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White Mountains Insurance Group LtdMGIC Investment Corporation Annual Report 2021 Our Business We are a holding company and through wholly-owned subsidiaries, including Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, we provide private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services. Financial Summary Net income ($ millions) Diluted income per share ($) Net operating income (1) ($ millions) Net operating income per diluted share (1) ($) 2019 2020 2021 $ $ $ $ 673.8 $ 1.85 $ 669.7 $ 1.84 $ 446.1 $ 1.29 $ 456.8 $ 1.32 $ 635.0 1.85 658.6 1.91 (1) We believe that use of the Non-GAAP measures of net operating income and net operating income per diluted share facilitate the evaluation of the company's core financial performance thereby providing relevant information. For a description of how we calculate these measures and for a reconciliation of these measure to their nearest comparable GAAP measures, see "Explanation and Reconciliation of our use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 1 New Primary Insurance Written($ billions)$63.4$112.1$120.2201920202021Revenue($ millions)$1,214$1,199$1,186201920202021Losses incurred, net($ millions)$119$365$65201920202021Direct Primary Insurance in Force($ billions)$222.3$246.6$274.4201920202021Book Value per Share$12.41$13.88$15.18201920202021Default Inventory(# loans)30,02857,71033,290201920202021the housing market, including first-time, and At MGIC, our main business objective is to provide critical support to low- and moderate‑wealth homebuyers. We strive to achieve that objective by, among other things, offering competitive products and best-in- class service to mortgage originators and servicers, and by maintaining a sharp focus on the sources and uses of our capital. We deliver a product that helps people get the keys to their own homes. Dear Fellow Shareholders: I am pleased to report that 2021 was another successful year for our company. The successes we enjoyed reflect the solid credit quality of our growing insurance in force, a strong housing market, a decreasing delinquency rate, our market presence, the current favorable economic conditions, and the hard work and commitment to excellence of my fellow co-workers. Following are several of our 2021 accomplishments: • • • • • • • • • Earned $635 million of net income ($1.85 per diluted share) for the year, compared to $446 million ($1.29 per diluted share) in 2020. Increased primary new insurance written (NIW) from $112.1 billion in 2020 to $120.2 billion in 2021 and increased primary insurance in force (IIF) by more than 11.3% year-over-year. The NIW is consistent with the Company's risk and return goals. Paid $400 million of cash dividends from our principal subsidiary, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) to our holding company, after having temporarily suspended such dividends through mid-2021 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Maintained financial strength and capital flexibility while returning approximately $385 million in capital to shareholders: Repurchased 5.6% of our shares that were outstanding at the beginning of the year. Increased cash dividends to shareholders by 33% in the second half of 2021. Repurchased $99 million of our 2063 Junior Convertible Debentures, which eliminated approximately 7.5 million potentially dilutive shares. Expanded our reinsurance program by reaching favorable terms to secure quota share reinsurance coverage on NIW through 2023, and by executing two insurance linked note transactions, providing a total of $797 million in excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage on a portion of our 2020 and 2021 NIW. These transactions allow us to better manage our risk profile and provide an alternative source of capital. Continued to transform our business processes along a number of dimensions, including pricing, data and analytics, inside sales and our underwriting platform. The accomplishments described above were all achieved despite managing through the continuing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic including transitioning our workforce to a flexible hybrid model from the remote work environment, in a second straight year of record-breaking NIW. Net income rebounded to $635.0 from $446.1 million in 2020 and earnings per diluted share increased to $1.85 from $1.29 in 2020. The increase in net income primarily reflects a decrease in losses incurred, partially offset by increases in the provision for income taxes, other underwriting and operating expenses, net, and loss on debt extinguishment. The increase in diluted earnings per share also reflects a decrease 2 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report in the number of diluted weighted average shares outstanding. In 2021 we generated a 13.5% return on shareholders’ equity and paid a common dividend with an approximate yield of 2%. Throughout 2021, home prices continued to appreciate while interest rates remained relatively attractive and housing stock remained constrained. The demand for single family purchase loans continued to be robust, although we did begin to see refinance activity slow down, especially in the second half of the year, as interest rates ticked up. While lower refinance activity typically results in less NIW, it is generally a positive for persistency (the percentage of insurance remaining in force from the year prior) and IIF growth, which is the source of future revenue. For the second consecutive year, the housing market was one of the bright spots in the economy - it generated more than $4 trillion of purchase and refinance mortgage originations and enabled us to write a record volume of new business. This record amount of NIW combined with modestly higher persistency on our existing books of business increased our IIF by 11% year-over-year. Our record NIW was also the result of our value proposition for both lenders (ease of execution and ancillary services) and borrowers (faster equity buildup and ability to cancel, when compared to FHA execution). As reported by Inside Mortgage Finance, the size of the market for insurable low down-payment loans was approximately $1.4 trillion in each of 2021and 2020, and the private mortgage insurance (PMI) industry’s share of that market was 43.2% in 2021, compared to 43.9% in 2020. We are proud to say that we increased our market share within the PMI industry to 20.6% in 2021, compared to 18.7% in 2020. The insurance we wrote in recent years has performed exceptionally well, in part due to strong credit profiles of the insured loans and the vibrant economy, with its low unemployment and solid home price appreciation. However, as the spike in delinquencies that resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic reminded us, economic cycles can change and it is important to have in place risk management tools to help prepare for such changes. One tool is reinsurance. We have used quota share transactions since 2013 and have used insurance-linked notes transactions, executed in the capital markets, on portions of our 2016 through 2021 books of business. We have been able to execute these transactions at attractive costs of capital and intend to continue to seek to use these tools when it makes economic sense. In addition to reducing losses in weaker economic environments (we ceded $10 million of incurred losses in 2021 compared to $78 million in 2020), these transactions diversify our sources of capital relief and enhance our returns. MGIC’s balance sheet and capital position were strong entering the year and continued to strengthen throughout 2021. At year-end 2021, MGIC had $3.4 billion more capital than required under state capital requirements and $2.2 billion more available assets than required by the private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements (PMIERs) of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs). As of December 31, 2021, our consolidated cash and investments totaled $6.9 billion, including $663 million of cash and investments at our holding company. The consolidated investment portfolio had a mix of 84% taxable and 16% tax exempt securities, and a pre-tax yield of approximately 2.5%. Our total debt-to- capital ratio was approximately 19% at December 31, 2021. Our capital management strategy has resulted in a strong and dynamic capital position, which has allowed us to successfully take advantage of the unexpectedly large 2020 and 2021 housing markets. Further, we are positioned to take full advantage of the overall market opportunity for private mortgage insurance, which we expect will be somewhat smaller in 2022. Our current capital management strategy has three primary priorities: • • • Protect the health of the holding company and maintain maximum capital flexibility Protect the health of MGIC and position it to succeed in the future Return excess capital to shareholders above target liquidity levels of MGIC and the holding company MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 3 We executed several capital management transactions in 2021 that improved the quality of our balance sheet including the repurchase of $98.6 million in aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures at a purchase price of $135.5 million, plus accrued interest. Although the repurchase resulted in a $36.9 million loss on debt extinguishment, it also reduced our potentially dilutive shares by approximately 7.5 million shares, eliminated approximately $9 million of annual interest expense, and lowered our overall debt to capital ratio. Reflecting MGIC’s strong balance sheet and capital position as well as its outlook for the future, our Board authorized MGIC to pay dividends totaling of $400 million to our holding company in 2021. In the third quarter of 2021, the MTG Board increased the common dividend by 33% to $0.08/share and for the full year 2021, we returned $94.7 million in dividends to our shareholders. The holding company repurchased approximately 19.0 million shares of common stock in 2021, or 5.6% of the beginning number of shares outstanding, using the remaining authorization under the program that was approved by our Board in 2020. In the fourth quarter of 2021, our board approved a separate $500 million share repurchase program that expires at the end of 2023 and we began to repurchase shares under it in 2022. Turning now to the regulatory environment, the federal government, through various agencies, including the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) continues to focus its housing policy efforts on promoting equitable access to sustainable and affordable housing, mitigating foreclosure and eviction risk for homeowners impacted by COVID-19, and ensuring a successful economic recovery, as opposed to making large scale changes to the housing finance infrastructure. Our business is organized to deliver a product that helps borrowers get the keys to their own homes, opening the door to the economic and social benefits of sustainable homeownership and we believe that we are well-positioned to responsibly capitalize on these efforts. We believe that sustainable housing options are possible without creating undue risk to the housing system, provided the programs are thoughtfully constructed. We will continue to educate about the benefits, and advocate for the increased use, of private capital, including private mortgage insurance, in the residential housing and mortgage finance industry. The use of private capital reduces taxpayer exposure to housing while maintaining a resilient housing finance system. This year, 2022, marks the 65th year that MGIC has been supporting the U.S. housing market and helping individuals and families achieve affordable and sustainable homeownership. In addition to offering a compelling business proposition for our customers, we want to foster an environment where diversity is embraced, and co-workers are positioned to succeed. This requires providing tools and resources for people to fully develop in the organization, increasing opportunities for engagement, and endeavoring to recruit diverse teams to best serve our customers. At MGIC, we take pride in knowing that what we do matters. As pioneers of the modern form of private mortgage insurance, MGIC has helped over 13.5 million families achieve homeownership sooner. This is a touchstone we return to when we think about the work we do, how we do it, and why we do it. Homeownership can be a powerful vehicle for financial stability and generational wealth, which means that our impact extends well beyond the walls of our company, beyond our investors, beyond our customers, even beyond the consumers who use our product. Our work supports resilient communities and the social fabric at large. To help articulate our values, we annually publish on our website an Environmental, Social and Governance Report. I am confident in our positioning in this market, and we like the risk-reward equation that the current conditions offer. We have the right team in place to build off of our solid foundation to continue to deliver competitive offerings and best-in-class service to our customers and generate strong returns for our shareholders through the core business as well as capital returns. That is why, when I look ahead, I am very excited about the future of our company. 4 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report I would like to thank our shareholders, customers and business partners for their support in 2021. I especially want to thank my fellow co-workers. Throughout our 65 years of providing support to first‑time homebuyers, our people have been the cornerstone of the many accomplishments of MGIC. I am very proud of our organization that, while navigating through all of the obstacles brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, for the last two years we have delivered on our promise to customers and shareholders and in those two years, combined, we: wrote $230 billion of NIW, grew our insurance in force by 23%, reduced the number of fully dilutive shares by 10%, increased the common stock dividend by 33%, increased book value by 22% and distributed $177 million in common stock dividends. The continued efforts by our team to support our customers, their local communities and fellow co- workers have been remarkable. I am humbled to lead an organization of co-workers with such high dedication and integrity. Respectfully, Tim Mattke Chief Executive Officer From left: Jay Hughes, Executive Vice President - Sales and Business Development Sal Miosi, President and Chief Operating Officer Tim Mattke, Chief Executive Officer Steve Thompson, Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer Paula Maggio, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary Nathan Colson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 5 Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations OVERVIEW This Overview of the MD&A highlights selected information and may not contain all of the information that is important to readers of this Annual Report. Hence, this Overview is qualified by the information that appears elsewhere in this Annual Report, including the other portions of the MD&A. Through our subsidiary, MGIC, we are a leading provider of PMI in the United States, as measured by $274.4 billion of primary IIF on a consolidated basis at December 31, 2021. Summary of financial results of MGIC Investment Corporation Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Change (in millions, except per share data) Selected statement of operations data Net premiums earned $ 1,014.4 $ 1,021.9 (1) % Investment income, net of expenses Losses incurred, net Other operating and underwriting expenses, net Loss on debt extinguishment Income before tax Provision for income taxes Net income Diluted income per share Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1) Adjusted pre-tax operating income Adjusted net operating income Adjusted net operating income per diluted share 156.4 64.6 154.4 364.8 1 % (82) % 198.4 176.4 12 % 36.9 801.8 166.8 635.0 26.7 559.3 113.2 446.1 38 % 43 % 47 % 42 % $ 1.85 $ 1.29 43 % $ 831.7 $ 572.8 45 % 658.6 456.8 44 % $ 1.91 $ 1.32 45 % (1) See "Explanation and Reconciliation of our use of Non- GAAP Financial Measures." We have reproduced below the “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” “Risk Factors” and "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" that appeared in our Annual Report on Form 10‑K for the year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 23, 2022. Except for certain cross-references, we have not changed what appears below in those sections from what was in our Form 10-K. As a result, those sections are not in updated circumstances that have occurred since our Annual Report on Form 10-K was filed with the SEC. reflect any events or changes to INTRODUCTION As used below, “we” and “our” refer to MGIC Investment Corporation’s consolidated operations or to MGIC Investment Corporation, as a separate entity, as the context requires. References to "we" and "our" in the context of debt obligations refer to MGIC Investment Corporation. See the "Glossary of terms and acronyms" for definitions and descriptions of terms used throughout this annual report. The Risk Factors contained discuss trends and uncertainties affecting us and are an integral part of the MD&A. The following is a discussion and analysis of the financial conditions and results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, including comparisons between 2021 and 2020. Comparisons between 2020 and 2019 have been omitted from this Annual Report, but can be found in "Item 7 - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020 filed with the SEC. Forward Looking and Other Statements forward As discussed under “Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors” in this Annual Report, actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated looking statements. We are not by undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. Therefore, no reader of this document should rely on these statements being current as of any time other than the time at which this document was the Securities and Exchange Commission. filed with 6 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report SUMMARY OF 2021 FINANCIAL RESULTS BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT Management's Discussion and Analysis Net income of $635.0 million for 2021 increased by $188.9 million when compared to the prior year, and diluted income per share of $1.85 increased by 43% when compared to the prior year. These increases incurred, primarily reflect a decrease partially offset by increases in the provision for income taxes, other underwriting and operating expenses, net, and loss on debt extinguishment. losses in Diluted income per share increased due to a an increase in net income and a decrease in the number of diluted weighted average shares outstanding. income Adjusted net operating for 2021 was $658.6 million (2020: $456.8 million) and adjusted net operating income per diluted share was $1.91 (2020: $1.32). Adjusted net operating income for 2021 and 2020 loss on debt extinguishment and net realized investment gains. included adjustments for a Losses incurred, net were $64.6 million, compared to $364.8 million the prior year. The decrease reflects fewer delinquency notices in 2021 compared with 2020 which was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and the resultant macroeconomic environment. The decrease in losses incurred in 2021 was also due loss reserve development of $60.0 to favorable million primarily due to a decrease in the estimated claim rate on pre-COVID and peak COVID delinquencies (those that occurred in the second and third quarters of 2020). The favorable loss reserve development was offset by the recognition of a probable loss of $6.3 million related to litigation of our claims paying practice. In 2020 we experienced adverse loss reserve development of $19.6 million primarily due to an increase in the estimate of claim severity. The increase in our provision for income taxes to $166.8 million in 2021 compared to $113.2 million in 2020 was primarily due to an increase in income before tax. Our effective tax rate for 2021 was 20.8% compared to 20.2% for 2020. Other operating and underwriting expenses, net increased to $198.4 million in 2021 from $176.4 million in professional and consulting services, offset by an increase in ceding commissions. in 2020 primarily due increases to We recorded a loss on debt extinguishment of $36.9 million in 2021 associated with the repurchase of a portion of our 9% Debentures and $26.7 million in 2020 associated with the repurchases of a portion of each of our 5.75% Notes and our 9% Debentures. Economic conditions Low interest rates, increasing household formations and appreciating home values supported favorable housing trends in 2021. These factors contributed to an increase in home purchase activity in 2021, after a strong 2020. Refinance activity was also robust during 2021, but decreased throughout the year. The continued favorable housing trends resulted in an increase in our NIW, from $120.2 billion in 2021 when compared to $112.1 billion in 2020. future financial impact our the COVID-19 pandemic may While uncertain, adversely results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition. The magnitude of the impact will be influenced by various factors, including the length and severity of the pandemic in the United States, efforts to reduce the transmission of COVID-19, the level of unemployment, and the impact of government initiatives and actions taken by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the "GSEs") (including mortgage forbearance and modification programs) to mitigate the economic harm caused by COVID-19. The level of unemployment, interest rates, and home prices may change in the future. For the possible effects of such changes, see our risk factors titled "If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline,” “Downturns in the domestic economy or declines in home prices may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing, with a corresponding decrease in our returns,” “Changes in interest rates, house prices or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements may change the length of time that our policies remain in force," and "The COVID-19 pandemic may materially impact our financial results, business, liquidity, and/or financial condition." Mortgage insurance market The past several years of fundamentals and characteristics of our contributed to a growing insurance in force. in our view, recently favorable housing risk favorable loans insured The percentage of our NIW with DTI ratios over 45% and LTV's over 95% in 2021 compared with 2020. The increase was primarily driven by an increase in home price appreciation and an increase in purchase activity with a corresponding decrease in refinance activity. increased slightly Refer to "Mortgage Insurance Portfolio" for additional discussion of changes in our NIW mix during 2020. Competition PMI. The private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and is expected to remain so. We believe MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 7 Management's Discussion and Analysis financial requirements, insurers based on premium that we currently compete with other private rates, mortgage underwriting strength (including based on credit or financial strength ratings), customer relationships, name recognition, reputation, strength of management teams and field organizations, the ancillary products and services the effective use of provided technology and the delivery and servicing of our mortgage insurance products. lenders and innovation to in Pricing practices In recent years, the industry has materially reduced its use of standard rate cards, which were fairly consistent among competitors, and correspondingly increased its use of (i) "risk-based pricing systems" that use a spectrum of filed rates to allow for formulaic, risk-based pricing based on multiple attributes that may be quickly adjusted within certain parameters, and (ii) customized rate plans, both of which typically have rates lower than the standard rate card. Our increased use of reinsurance over the past several years, and the improved credit profile and reduced loss expectations associated with loans insured after 2008, have helped to mitigate the negative effect of declining premium rates on our expected returns. We expect our direct premium yield to continue to decline as older policies with higher premium rates run off, and are replaced with new insurance policies, which generally have lower premium rates. For information about competition in the private mortgage insurance industry, see our risk factor titled “Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and/or increase our losses." GSE Risk Share Transactions In 2018, the GSEs initiated secondary mortgage market programs with loan level mortgage default coverage provided by various (re)insurers that are not mortgage insurers governed by PMIERs, and that are not selected by the lenders. Due to differences in policy terms, these programs may offer premium rates that are below prevalent single premium LPMI rates. While we view these programs as competing insurance, we with traditional private mortgage participate in these programs from time to time. The GSEs (and other investors) have also used other forms of credit enhancement that did not involve traditional private mortgage insurance, such as engaging in credit-linked note transactions executed in the capital markets, or using other forms of debt issuances or securitizations that transfer credit risk directly to other investors, including competitors and an affiliate of MGIC; using other risk mitigation techniques in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage; or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement. 8 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Government programs. PMI also competes against government mortgage insurance programs such as the FHA, VA, and USDA, primarily for lower FICO score business. The combined market share of primary mortgage insurance written by government programs continues to exceed that written by PMI in 2020 and 2021. The strong refinance markets in 2020 and 2021, and PMI premium rate reductions, have contributed to a PMI market share consistent with 2018 and 2019, which were at its highest levels since the financial crisis. Refer to "Mortgage Insurance Portfolio" for additional discussion of the 2021 business environment and the impact it had on operating measures including NIW, IIF and RIF. PMIERs We operate under the requirements of the PMIERs of the GSEs in order to insure loans delivered to or purchased by them. The PMIERs include financial requirements as well as business, quality control and certain transactional approval requirements. The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer’s "Available Assets" (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its "Minimum Required Assets" (which are based on an insurer's book of risk in force, calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given for risk ceded under reinsurance transactions, and subject to a floor amount). Based on our application of the more restrictive PMIERs, MGIC's Available Assets under PMIERs totaled $5.7 billion, an excess of $2.2 billion over its Minimum Required Assets at December 31, 2021. BUSINESS OUTLOOK FOR 2022 Our outlook for 2022 should be viewed against the backdrop of the business environment discussed above. NIW Our NIW is affected by total mortgage originations, the percentage of total mortgage originations using private mortgage insurance (the "PMI penetration rate"), and our market share within the PMI industry. As of January 2022, the total mortgage origination forecasts from the GSEs and MBA indicate average mortgage originations of $3.1 in 2022, compared to an average estimated $4.4 trillion in 2021. Purchase originations are expected to increase in 2022, compared refinance transactions are expected to decrease. As a result of the decrease in forecasted mortgage originations, we are expecting NIW to be lower in 2022 compared to 2021. The reduction will be driven primarily by a decrease in refinance activity. to 2021, while trillion The widespread use of risk based pricing systems by the PMI industry makes it more difficult to compare our rates to those offered by our competitors. We may not be aware of industry rate changes until we observe that our volume of NIW has changed. In addition, business under customized rate plans is awarded by certain customers for only limited periods of time. As a result, our NIW may fluctuate more than it had in the past. IIF Our IIF increased 11.3% in 2021. We expect our IIF to grow in 2022, but at a slower rate than what we experienced in 2021. Our book of IIF is an important driver of our future revenues, and its growth is driven by our ability to generate NIW and retain existing policies in force, as measured by our persistency. Interest rates influence both our NIW and persistency. Generally speaking, in a rising rate environment, total mortgage originations may decline; however, absent material accumulated home price appreciation since the issuance of a policy, we would also expect policy cancellation rates to decline, and in turn increase persistency, although the impact generally lags the change in interest rates. The Federal Reserve has indicated that interest rates may increase in 2022 and home price appreciation is expected to slow in 2022 when compared to the record highs of 2021. Results of operations Premiums. Despite an increase in IIF, we expect our 2022 earned premiums (on a direct basis) to be lower than they were in 2021. Overall, our premium rates have been trending down in recent years, including in 2021, as the books of business written at lower rates represent an increasing percentage of our total IIF. Our 2022 net premiums written are expected to be comparable to 2021, while our net premiums earned are expected to decrease in 2022. Our net premiums written and earned will be impacted by the downward trend in premium rates noted above and by the amount of premiums we cede under our quota share and excess of loss reinsurance transactions, offset by an increase in IIF. Net premiums earned are also impacted by the amount of accelerated premiums from single premium policy cancellations, which generally decrease as refinance activity decreases. Our unearned premium decreased to $241.7 million at December 31, 2021 from $287.1 million at December 31, 2020. The amount of profit commission we receive, which reduces the amount of premiums we cede, is variable year-to-year and is dependent on the amount of losses ceded. The amount of premiums we cede in 2022 will be affected by any changes in our reinsurance coverage. Factors that affect the amount of premiums we earn from our in our "Consolidated Results of Operations - Premium yield." further discussed IIF are Management's Discussion and Analysis income income in 2022 investment investment income. Net Investment is a material contributor to our results of operations. We expect net to be comparable to 2021. The amount of investment income will be impacted by the change in the yield we can earn on investments and the level of invested assets. The level of invested assets will primarily be impacted by the amount of cash we expect to use in financing activities from relative operations. The magnitude of any change in our invested asset level will be subject to the timing of our financing activities. to our cash Losses. Losses incurred, net in 2021 were $64.6 million, a decrease of $300.2 million over the prior year losses incurred of $364.8 million. The decrease reflects fewer delinquency notices received in 2021 compared with 2020 which was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The decrease was also due to favorable loss reserve development of $60.0 million recognized loss development of $19.6 million in 2020. Through December 31, 2021, our re-estimation of reserves resulted in favorable development on pre-COVID and peak COVID delinquencies as a result of a decrease in the estimated claim rate on those delinquencies. In 2020, we experienced adverse loss development of $19.6 million primarily related to an increase in the estimate of claim severity. in 2021 compared to adverse We expect our delinquency inventory to continue to decrease in 2022, but at a slower rate than what we experienced in 2021. As foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance plans end, we expect to see an increase in claims received and claims paid. Underwriting and operating expenses, net. We expect underwriting and operating expenses, net to increase in 2022 as we invest in our technology and data and analytics infrastructure to execute our strategies. Income taxes. We expect our 2022 effective tax rate to be approximately 21%. CAPITAL MGIC dividend payments to our holding company regulation. Amounts The ability of MGIC to pay dividends is restricted by insurance in excess of prescribed limits are deemed “extraordinary” and may not be paid if disapproved by the OCI. A dividend is extraordinary when the proposed dividend amount, plus dividends paid in the twelve months preceding the dividend payment date exceed the ordinary dividend level. At December 31, 2021 MGIC could pay $122 million of ordinary dividends without OCI approval, before taking into consideration dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. In 2021 and 2020, MGIC paid a cash and/or investment security dividend of $400 million and $390 million, respectively, to our holding company. In 2020 MGIC distributed to the holding company, as a dividend, its MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 9 Management's Discussion and Analysis ownership in $133 million of the holding company’s 9% Debentures. Future dividend payments from MGIC to the holding company will continue to be determined in consultation with the board. Share repurchase programs Repurchases may be made from time to time on the open market (including through 10b5-1 plans) or through privately negotiated transactions. The repurchase programs may be suspended for periods or discontinued at any time. After suspending stock repurchases due to the COVID 19 pandemic, we repurchased approximately 19.0 million in the second half of 2021 using approximately $291 million of holding company resources. Prior to the COVID 19 pandemic, we repurchased approximately 9.6 million shares of our common stock in the first quarter of 2020 using approximately $120 million of holding company resources. As of December 31, 2021, we had $500 million of authorization remaining to repurchase our common stock through the end of 2023 under a share repurchase program approved by our Board of Directors in October 2021. The following table shows details of our share repurchase programs. Repurchase Program Expiration Date Repurchased (in millions) Authorization Remaining (in millions) 2019 Authorization 2020 Authorization 2021 Authorization December 31, 2020 December 31, 2021 December 31, 2023 $ $ $ 200 $ 300 $ — — — $ 500 As of December 31, 2021, we had approximately 320,336 million shares of common stock outstanding. Dividends to shareholders In the first and second quarters of 2021, we paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.06 per share to shareholders which totaled $41.1 million. In the third and fourth quarters of 2021, we paid a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share which totaled $53.6 million. On January 25, 2022, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend to holders of the company's common stock of $0.08 per share payable on March 2, 2022, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 16, 2022. For information about how the payment of dividends by our holding company will result in an adjustment to the conversion rate and price of our convertible securities, see our risk factor titled “Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we raise or if the holders of our outstanding convertible debt convert that debt into shares of our common stock.” GSEs We must comply with a GSE's PMIERs to be eligible to insure loans delivered to or purchased by that GSE. The PMIERs include financial requirements, as well as business, quality control and certain transaction approval requirements. The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer’s “Available Assets” (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its “Minimum Required Assets” (which are generally based on an insurer’s book of risk in force and are calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given reinsurance transactions). risk ceded under for The PMIERs generally require us to hold significantly more Minimum Required Assets for delinquent loans than for performing loans and the Minimum Required Assets required to be held increases as the number of payments missed on a delinquent loan increases. If MGIC ceases to be eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would significantly reduce the volume of our NIW, the substantial majority of which loans delivered to or purchased by the GSEs. In addition to the increase in Minimum Required Assets associated with delinquent loans, factors that may negatively impact MGIC’s ability to continue to comply with the financial requirements of the PMIERs include the following: is for è The GSEs may make the PMIERs more onerous in the future. The PMIERs provide that the factors that determine Minimum Required Assets will be updated periodically, or as needed if there is a significant change in macroeconomic conditions or loan performance. We do not anticipate that the regular periodic updates will occur more frequently than once every two years. The PMIERs state that the GSEs will provide notice 180 days prior to the effective date of updates to the factors; however, the GSEs may amend any portion of the PMIERs at any time. the applicable GSE. è There may be future implications for PMIERs as a result of changes to the regulatory capital requirements for the GSEs. In 2020, the FHFA adopted a rule containing a capital framework for the GSEs that generally would have become effective on the date of termination of the FHFA’s conservatorship of In September 2021, the FHFA issued a notice of proposed rule-making that would modify that capital framework. In light of recent home price adjustments countercyclical appreciation, included in the capital requirements could lead to significantly higher capital requirements for loans with loan-to-vale ("LTV") ratios greater than 80%. When the final GSE capital requirements have been determined and become effective, they may affect the Minimum Required Assets required to be held by mortgage insurers. 10 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report è Our future operating results may be negatively impacted by the matters discussed in our risk factors. Such matters could decrease our revenues, increase our losses or require the use of assets, thereby creating a shortfall in Available Assets. è Should capital be needed by MGIC in the future, capital contributions from our holding company may not be available due to competing demands on holding company resources, including for repayment of debt. Our reinsurance transactions enable us to earn higher returns on our business than we would without them because they reduce the Minimum Required Assets we must hold under PMIERs. However, reinsurance may not always be available to us; or available on similar terms, and our quota share reinsurance subjects us to counterparty credit risk. The calculated credit for excess of loss reinsurance transactions under PMIERs is generally based on the PMIERs requirement of the covered loans and the attachment and detachment point of the coverage. PMIERs credit is generally not given for the reinsured risk above the reinsurance PMIERs transactions are subject to periodic review by the GSEs and there is a risk we will not receive our current level of credit in future periods for the risk ceded under them. In addition, we may not receive the same level of credit under future transactions that we receive under existing transactions. requirement. Our existing State Regulations The insurance laws of 16 jurisdictions, including Wisconsin, our domiciliary state, require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to its RIF (or a similar measure) in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. We refer to these requirements as the “State Capital Requirements.” While they vary among jurisdictions, the most common State Capital Requirements allow for a maximum risk-to-capital ratio of 25 to 1. A risk-to-capital ratio will increase if (i) in capital exceeds the the percentage decrease insured risk, or (ii) the percentage decrease percentage less than the increase percentage increase in insured risk. Wisconsin does not regulate capital by using a risk-to-capital measure but instead requires a MPP. MGIC's "policyholder position" includes its net worth or surplus and its, contingency reserve. in in capital is At December 31, 2021, MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio was 9.5 to 1, below the maximum allowed by the jurisdictions with State Capital Requirements, and its policyholder position was $3.4 billion above the required MPP of $1.9 billion. Our risk-to-capital ratio and MPP reflect full credit for the risk ceded under our reinsurance transactions. It is possible that under the revised State Capital Requirements discussed below, MGIC will not be allowed full credit for the risk ceded Management's Discussion and Analysis under such transactions. If MGIC is not allowed an agreed level of credit under either the State Capital Requirements or the PMIERs, MGIC may terminate the reinsurance transactions, without penalty. At this time, we expect MGIC to continue to comply with the current State Capital Requirements; however, refer to our risk factor titled “State capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis” for more information about matters that could negatively affect such compliance. At December 31, 2021, the risk-to-capital ratio of our combined insurance operations (which includes a reinsurance affiliate) was 9.5 to 1. requirements in insurers that are provided for The NAIC previously announced plans to revise the for minimum capital and surplus mortgage its Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act. In 2019, a working group of state regulators released an exposure draft of a revised Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act and a risk-based capital framework to establish capital requirements for mortgage insurers, although no date has been the NAIC must propose established by which revisions to the capital requirements and certain items have not yet been completely addressed by the framework, including the treatment of ceded risk and minimum capital floors. GSE REFORM The FHFA has been the conservator of the GSEs since 2008 and has the authority to control and direct their increased role that the federal operations. The government has assumed in the residential housing finance system through the GSE conservatorship may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change, including through administrative action, in ways that have a material adverse effect on us and that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. As a result of the 2021 change in the Presidential Administration, the June 2021 appointment of a new Acting Director of the FHFA who has also been nominated to become the full-time Director, and the 2021 U.S. Supreme Court decision that allows the President to remove the FHFA Director at will, it is uncertain what role the GSEs, FHA and private capital, including private mortgage insurance, will play in the residential housing finance system in the future. The timing and impact on our business of any resulting changes is uncertain. Many of the proposed changes would require Congressional action to implement and it is difficult to estimate when Congressional action would be final and how long any associated phase-in period may last. For additional the business information about practices of the GSEs, see our risk factor titled “Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 11 Management's Discussion and Analysis federal legislation that changes their charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.” COVID-19 PANDEMIC The COVID-19 pandemic had a material impact on our 2020 financial results. While uncertain, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s future business, financial results, liquidity and/or financial condition may also be material. The magnitude of the impact will be influenced by various factors, including the length and severity of the pandemic in the United States, efforts transmission of COVID-19, the level of unemployment, and the impact of government initiatives and actions taken by the and GSEs modification programs) to mitigate the economic harm caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. (including mortgage forbearance reduce the to in a claim than a delinquent In certain circumstances, the servicer of a loan may be unable to contact the borrower regarding an extension of the forbearance plan and it will expire without being extended. A delinquent mortgage for which the borrower was unable to be contacted and that is not in a forbearance plan may be more likely to result in a forbearance plan. The substantial majority of our NIW was delivered to or purchased by the GSEs. While servicers of some non-GSE loans may not be required to offer forbearance to borrowers, we allow servicers to apply GSE loss mitigation programs to non-GSE loans. In addition, the CFPB requires substantial loss mitigation efforts be made prior to servicers initiating foreclosure, therefore, servicers of non-GSE loans may have an incentive to offer forbearance or deferment. loan Historically, forbearance plans have reduced the incidence of our losses on affected loans. However, given the uncertainty surrounding the long-term economic impact of COVID-19, it is difficult to predict the ultimate effect of COVID-19 related forbearances on our loss incidence. As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, 33% and 62% of our delinquency inventory was reported to us as in forbearance plans, respectively. Whether a loan's delinquency will cure, including through modification, when its forbearance plan ends will depend on the economic circumstances of the borrower at that time. The severity of losses associated with loans whose delinquencies do not cure will depend on economic conditions at that time, including home prices. The GSEs have introduced specific loss mitigation options for borrowers impacted by COVID-19 when their forbearance plans end, including the COVID-19 Payment Deferral solution for borrowers who are unable to immediately or gradually repay their missed loan payments. Under the COVID-19 Payment Deferral solution, the borrower's monthly loan payment would be returned to its pre-COVID amount and the missed payments would be added to the end of the mortgage term without accruing any additional interest or late fees. The deferred payments would be due when the loan is paid off, refinanced or the home is sold. The foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance plans in place under the GSE initiatives have delayed the receipt and payment of claims. Foreclosures on mortgages purchased or securitized by the GSEs were suspended through July 31, 2021. Under a CFPB rule that was effective through December 31, 2021, with limited exceptions, servicers were required to ensure that at least one temporary procedural safeguard had been met before referring 120-day delinquent loans for foreclosure. With the expiration of the CFPB rule, it is likely that foreclosures and claims will increase. FACTORS AFFECTING OUR RESULTS the COVID-19 pandemic may As noted above, adversely affect our future business, results of operations, and financial condition. The extent of the adverse effects will depend on the duration and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, the ultimate related delinquencies and effect of COVID-19 forbearances on our loss incidence, and the effect of the pandemic on the U.S. economy and housing market. We have addressed some of the potential impacts throughout this document. The future effects of changing climatic conditions on our business is uncertain. For information about possible effects, please refer to our Risk Factor titled “Pandemics, hurricanes and other natural disasters may impact our incurred losses, the amount and timing of paid claims, our inventory of notices of default and our Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs.” Our results of operations are affected by: Premiums written and earned Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by: • • NIW, which increases IIF. Many factors affect NIW, including the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those mortgages from the FHA, the VA, other mortgage insurers, and other alternatives to mortgage insurance, including GSE programs that may reduce or eliminate the demand for mortgage insurance. NIW does not include loans previously insured by us that are modified, such as loans modified under HARP. Cancellations, which reduce IIF. Cancellations due to refinancing are affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force 12 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report the right book, current home values compared to values when the loans in the in force book were insured and the terms on which mortgage credit is available. Home price appreciation can give homeowners to cancel mortgage insurance on their loans if sufficient home equity is achieved. Cancellations also result from policy rescissions, which require us to return any premiums received on the rescinded policies, and claim payments, which require us to return any premium received on the related policies from the date of default on loans. Cancellations of single premium policies, which are generally non-refundable, result in immediate recognition of any remaining unearned premium. insured the • • • the loans, pressures, insured Premium rates, which are affected by product risk type, competitive characteristics of the the percentage of coverage on the insured loans, and PMIERs capital requirements. The substantial majority of our monthly and annual mortgage insurance premiums are under premium plans for which, for the first ten years of the policy, the amount of premium is determined by multiplying the initial premium rate by the original loan balance; thereafter, the premium rate resets to a lower rate used for the remaining life of the policy. The remainder of our monthly and annual premiums are under premium plans for which premiums are determined by a fixed percentage of the loan’s amortizing balance over the life of the policy. Premiums ceded, net of profit commission under our QSR Transactions, and premiums ceded under our Home Re Transactions. The profit commission varies inversely with the level of ceded losses incurred on a “dollar for dollar” basis and can be eliminated at ceded loss levels higher than we experienced in 2021. As a result, lower levels of losses incurred result in a higher profit commission and less benefit from ceded losses incurred; higher levels of losses incurred result in more benefit from ceded losses incurred and a lower profit commission (or for certain levels of accident its elimination). See Note 9 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated a financial discussion of our reinsurance transactions. statements ratios, year loss for Premiums earned are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the period. A change in the average IIF in the current period compared to an earlier period is a factor that will increase (when the average in force is higher) or reduce (when it is lower) premiums written and earned in the current period, although this effect may be enhanced (or mitigated) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods, as well as by premiums that are Management's Discussion and Analysis returned or expected to be returned in connection rescissions, and with claim payments and premiums ceded under reinsurance transactions. Also, NIW and cancellations during a period will generally have a greater effect on premiums earned in subsequent periods than in the period in which these events occur. Investment income fixed Our investment portfolio is composed principally of income securities. The investment grade principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair value, such as from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of cash generated from (or used in) operations, such as NPW, investment income, net claim payments and expenses, and cash provided by (or used for) non- operating activities, such as debt or stock issuances or repurchases, and dividends. Losses incurred for delinquent Losses incurred are the current expense that reflects claim payments, cost of settling claims, and changes in our estimates of payments that will ultimately be made as a result of delinquencies on insured loans. As explained under “Critical Accounting Estimates” below, except in the case of a premium deficiency reserve, we recognize an estimate of this expense only level of new delinquencies has historically followed a seasonal pattern, with new delinquencies in the first part of the year lower than new delinquencies in the latter part of the year, though this pattern can be affected by the state of the economy and local housing markets. Pandemics, including COVID-19, and other natural disasters may result in delinquencies not following the typical pattern. Losses incurred are generally affected by: loans. The • • • • • of the state economy, The including unemployment and housing values, each of which affects the loans will become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their delinquency. likelihood that The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims. The size of loans insured, with higher average loan amounts losses incurred. increase tending to The percentage of coverage on insured loans, with deeper average coverage tending to increase incurred losses. The rate at which we rescind policies or curtail claims. Our estimated loss reserves incorporate MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 13 Management's Discussion and Analysis our estimates of future rescissions of policies and curtailments of claims, and reversals of rescissions and curtailments. We collectively refer rescissions and denials as “rescissions” and variations of this term. We call reductions to claims "curtailments." to such the condition of The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first few years after loans are originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining, although persistency, the economy, including unemployment and housing prices, and other factors can affect this pattern. For example, a weak economy or housing value declines can lead to claims from older books increasing, continuing at stable levels or experiencing a lower rate of decline. See further information under “Mortgage insurance earnings and cash flow cycle” below. Losses ceded under reinsurance agreements. See Note 9 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our reinsurance agreements. • • Underwriting and other expenses Underwriting and other expenses include items such as employee compensation, fees for professional and consulting services, depreciation and maintenance expense, and premium taxes, and are reported net of ceding commissions associated with our QSR Transactions. Employee compensation expenses are variable due to share-based compensation, changes in benefits, and changes in headcount (which can fluctuate due to volume). See Note 9 – “Reinsurance” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of ceding commission on our QSR Transactions. Interest expense Interest expense reflects the interest associated with our consolidated outstanding debt obligations discussed in Note 7 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements and under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below. Other Certain activities that we do not consider being part of our fundamental operating activities may also impact our results of operations and are described below. Net realized investment gains (losses) • • income securities. Realized investment Fixed gains and losses reflect the difference between the amount received on the sale of a fixed income security and the fixed income security’s cost basis, as well as any credit allowances and any impairments recognized in earnings. The amount received on the sale of fixed income securities is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable securities at the time of sale. temporary" "other than Equity securities. Realized investment gains and losses are accounted for as a function of the periodic change in fair value. Loss on debt extinguishment that are undertaken Gains and losses on debt extinguishment result from discretionary activities to enhance our capital position, improve our debt profile and/or reduce potential dilution from our outstanding convertible debt. Extinguishing our outstanding debt obligations early through these discretionary activities may result in losses primarily driven by the payment of consideration in excess of our carrying value , and the write off of unamortized debt issuance costs on the extinguished portion of the debt. Refer to “Explanation and reconciliation of our use of Non-GAAP financial measures” below to understand how these items impact our evaluation of our core financial performance. MORTGAGE FLOW CYCLE INSURANCE EARNINGS AND CASH In general, the majority of any underwriting profit that a book generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of any underwriting profit realized in the first year following the year the book was written. Subsequent years of a book may result in either underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results typically occurs because relatively few of the incurred losses on delinquencies that a book will ultimately experience typically occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium revenues, as the number of insured loans decreases (primarily due to loan prepayments) and increasing losses. The typical pattern is also a function of premium rates generally resetting to lower levels after ten years. Changes in including those related to economic conditions, pandemics, including COVID-19, and other natural disasters may result in delinquencies not following the typical pattern. 14 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis CYBERSECURITY increasingly reliant on the efficient and We are information uninterrupted operation of complex technology systems. All technology information systems are potentially vulnerable to damage or interruption from a variety of sources, including by third-party cyber attacks, including those involving ransomware. The Company discovers vulnerabilities and experiences malicious attacks and other attempts to gain unauthorized access to its systems on a regular basis. Globally, attacks are expected to continue accelerating frequency and sophistication with increasing use by actors of tools and techniques that will hinder the Company’s ability to identify, investigate and recover from incidents. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company transitioned to a primarily virtual workforce model and will likely continue to operate under a hybrid model in the future. Virtual and hybrid workforce models may be more vulnerable to security breaches. in both in place to secure our While we have information security policies and systems information technology systems and to prevent unauthorized access to or disclosure of sensitive information, there can be no assurance with respect to our systems and those of our third-party vendors that unauthorized access to the systems or disclosure of the sensitive information, either through the actions of third parties or employees, will not occur. For additional the business information about practices of the GSEs, see our risk factor titled “We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is improperly disclosed, our information technology systems are damaged or their operations are interrupted, or our automated processes do not operate as expected.” MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 15 Management's Discussion and Analysis The following table shows five years of selected financial information. Summary of operations (In thousands, except per share data) 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 As of and for the Years Ended December 31, Revenues: Net premiums written Net premiums earned Investment income, net Realized investment (losses) gains, net including net impairment losses Other revenue Total revenues Losses and expenses: Losses incurred, net Underwriting and other expenses Interest expense Loss on debt extinguishment Total losses and expenses Income before tax Provision for income taxes (1) Net income $ 969,010 $ 928,742 $ 1,001,308 $ 992,262 $ 997,955 1,014,419 1,021,943 1,030,988 156,438 154,396 167,045 6,582 8,236 13,752 9,055 5,306 10,638 975,162 141,331 (1,353) 8,708 934,747 120,871 231 10,205 1,185,675 1,199,146 1,213,977 1,123,848 1,066,054 64,577 211,047 71,360 36,914 383,898 801,777 166,794 364,774 188,778 59,595 26,736 639,883 559,263 113,170 118,575 194,769 52,656 — 366,000 847,977 174,214 36,562 190,143 52,993 — 279,698 844,150 174,053 53,709 170,749 57,035 65 281,558 784,496 428,735 $ 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 673,763 $ 670,097 $ 355,761 Weighted average common shares outstanding 351,308 359,293 373,924 386,078 394,766 Diluted income per share $ 1.85 $ 1.29 $ 1.85 $ 1.78 $ 0.95 Balance sheet data Total investments $ 6,606,749 $ 6,682,911 $ 5,758,320 $ 5,159,019 $ 4,990,561 Cash and cash equivalents 284,690 287,953 161,847 151,892 99,851 Total assets Loss reserves Short- and long-term debt Convertible junior subordinated debentures Shareholders' equity Book value per share 7,325,008 7,354,526 6,229,571 5,677,802 5,619,499 883,522 880,537 1,036,508 1,034,379 555,334 575,867 674,019 574,713 985,635 573,560 110,204 208,814 256,872 256,872 256,872 $ 4,861,382 4,698,986 4,309,234 3,581,891 3,154,526 $ 15.18 $ 13.88 $ 12.41 $ 10.08 $ 8.51 (1) In 2017, we remeasured our net deferred tax assets at the lower enacted corporate income tax rate under the Tax Act. 16 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis Other data New primary insurance written ($ millions) $ 120,204 $ 112,113 New primary risk written ($ millions) $ 30,324 $ 26,759 $ $ 63,421 15,811 $ $ 50,526 12,657 $ $ 49,123 12,217 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Years Ended December 31, IIF (at year-end) ($ millions) Direct primary IIF RIF (at year-end) ($ millions) Direct primary RIF Direct pool RIF With aggregate loss limits Without aggregate loss limits Primary loans in default ratios Policies in force Loans in default $ 274,404 $ 246,572 $ 222,295 $ 209,707 $ 194,941 $ 69,337 $ 61,812 $ 57,213 $ 54,063 $ 50,319 206 99 210 130 213 163 228 191 236 235 1,164,984 1,126,079 1,079,578 1,058,292 1,023,951 33,290 57,710 30,028 32,898 46,556 Percentage of loans in default 2.84 % 5.11 % 2.78 % 3.11 % 4.55 % Insurance operating ratios (GAAP) Loss ratio Underwriting Expense ratio Risk-to-capital ratio (statutory) Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation Combined insurance companies 6.4 % 20.6 % 9.5:1 9.5:1 35.7 % 19.2 % 9.2:1 9.1:1 11.5 % 18.4 % 9.7:1 9.6:1 3.7 % 18.2 % 9.0:1 9.8:1 5.7 % 16.0 % 9.5:1 10.5:1 MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 17 Management's Discussion and Analysis EXPLANATION AND RECONCILIATION OF OUR USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES (1) Net realized investment gains (losses). The recognition of net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing of individual securities sales is highly discretionary and is influenced by such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles. (2) Gains and losses on debt extinguishment. Gains and losses on debt extinguishment result from discretionary activities that are undertaken to enhance our capital position, improve our debt profile, and/or reduce potential dilution from our outstanding convertible debt. (3) Net impairment losses recognized in earnings. The recognition of net impairment losses on investments can vary significantly in both size and timing, depending on market credit cycles, individual issuer performance, and general economic conditions. (4) Infrequent or unusual non-operating items. Items that are non-recurring in nature and are not part of our primary operating activities. (loss) per diluted share We believe that use of the Non-GAAP measures of adjusted pre-tax operating income (loss), adjusted net operating income (loss) and adjusted net operating the income financial evaluation of performance thereby providing relevant information to investors. These measures are not recognized in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. company's facilitate core the Adjusted pre-tax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP income (loss) before tax, excluding the effects of net realized investment gains (losses), gain and losses on debt extinguishment, net impairment losses recognized infrequent or unusual non-operating items where applicable. in earnings and Adjusted net operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP net income (loss) excluding the after-tax effects of net realized investment gains (losses), gain and losses on debt extinguishment, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, and infrequent or unusual non-operating items where applicable. The amounts of adjustments to components of pre-tax operating income (loss) are tax effected using a federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Adjusted net operating income (loss) per diluted share is calculated in a manner consistent with the accounting standard regarding earnings per share by dividing (i) adjusted net operating income (loss) after interest expense on for making adjustments convertible debt, whenever the impact is dilutive by (ii) average diluted weighted shares common outstanding, which reflects share dilution from unvested restricted stock units and from convertible debt when dilutive under the “if-converted” method. Although adjusted pre-tax operating income (loss) and adjusted net operating income (loss) exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent items that are: (1) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) impacted by both discretionary and other economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below. Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of these adjustments. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. Therefore, their measures may not be comparable to those used by us. 18 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis Non-GAAP reconciliations Reconciliation of Income before tax / Net income to Adjusted pre-tax operating income / Adjusted net operating income: (in thousands) Income before tax / Net income Adjustments: Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Pre-tax Net (after-tax) Tax Effect $ 801,777 $ 166,794 $ 634,983 Pre-tax 559,263 Tax Effect 113,170 Net (after-tax) 446,093 Net realized investment (gains) losses Loss on debt extinguishment (7,009) 36,914 (1,472) 7,752 (5,537) 29,162 (13,245) 26,736 (2,781) 5,615 (10,464) 21,121 Adjusted pre-tax operating income / Adjusted net operating income $ 831,682 $ 173,074 $ 658,608 $ 572,754 $ 116,004 $ 456,750 Reconciliation of Net income per diluted share to Adjusted net operating income per diluted share: Weighted average diluted shares outstanding Net income per diluted share Net realized investment (gains) losses Loss on debt extinguishment Adjusted net operating income per diluted share 351,308 1.85 $ (0.02) 0.08 $ 1.91 359,293 1.29 $ (0.03) 0.06 $ 1.32 MORTGAGE INSURANCE PORTFOLIO MORTGAGE ORIGINATIONS The is total amount of mortgage originations generally influenced by the level of new and existing home sales, the percentage of homes purchased for cash, and the level of refinance activity. PMI market share of total mortgage originations is influenced by the mix of purchase and refinance originations. PMI market share is also impacted by the market share of total originations of the FHA, VA, USDA, and other alternatives to mortgage insurance, including GSE programs that may reduce or eliminate the demand for mortgage insurance. Total mortgage originations in 2020 and 2021 reflect record highs in the housing market. Total mortgage originations are forecasted to be strong in 2022, although less so than the last two years. The 2022 refinance market is forecasted to decrease, while the purchase market is forecasted to increase when compared to estimates for 2021. E - Estimated, F- Forecast Source: GSEs and MBA estimates/forecasts as of January 2022. Amounts represent the average of all sources. The total estimated mortgage insurance volume is shown below. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 19 Mortgage originations(in billions)$3,069$4,359$4,307$1,953$1,804$1,547$1,116$2,555$2,760PurchaseRefinance2022 (F)2021 (E)2020$0$2,000$4,000 Management's Discussion and Analysis Estimated total of PMI, FHA, USDA, and VA primary mortgage insurance (in billions) Primary mortgage insurance Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2020 $1,050 $1,366 Source: Inside Mortgage Finance - November 11, 2021 or SEC filings. Includes HARP NIW. is primarily PMI's market share impacted by competition from government mortgage insurance programs. In consideration of the expected decrease in mortgage originations, our 2022 NIW is expected to decrease from 2021. MORTGAGE INSURANCE INDUSTRY We compete against five other private mortgage insurers, as well as government mortgage insurance programs, including those offered by the FHA, VA, and USDA. Refer to "Overview - Business Environment - Competition" for a discussion of our competitive position. The PMI industry's market share through September 30, 2021 decreased compared to the market share for the full year of 2020. NEW INSURANCE WRITTEN NIW for 2021 continued to have what we believe are favorable risk characteristics. The following tables provide information about characteristics of our NIW. The percentage of our NIW with DTI ratios over 45% and LTV's over 95% in 2021 compared with 2020. The increase was primarily driven by an increase in home price appreciation and purchase activity with a corresponding decrease in refinance activity. increased slightly Primary NIW by FICO score (% of primary NIW) 2021 2020 Years Ended December 31, 760 and greater 740 - 759 720 - 739 700 - 719 680 - 699 660 - 679 640 - 659 639 and less Total Primary NIW by loan-to-value 45.6 % 17.5 % 13.7 % 11.1 % 7.3 % 2.7 % 1.6 % 0.5 % 100 % 47.1 % 18.2 % 13.3 % 10.3 % 7.3 % 2.1 % 1.1 % 0.6 % 100 % Estimated primary MI market share (% of total primary MI volume) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2020 PMI FHA VA USDA 43.4% 23.9% 30.9% 1.9% 43.9% 23.4% 30.9% 1.8% (% of primary NIW) 95.01% and above 90.01% to 95.00% 85.01% to 90.00% 80.01% to 85% Total Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 10.8 % 43.7 % 30.0 % 15.5 % 100 % 8.6 % 39.1 % 32.1 % 20.2 % 100 % Source: Inside Mortgage Finance - November 11, 2021. Includes HARP NIW. Primary NIW by debt-to-income ratio Based on the current trajectory of our business, as shown in the table below, we expect that our market share within the PMI industry has increased in 2021 when compared to 2020. For additional discussion of the competitive landscape of the industry refer to "Overview - Business Environment - Competition." (% of primary NIW) 45.01% and above 38.01% to 45.00% 38.00% and below Total Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 13.6 % 30.0 % 56.4 % 100 % 11.3 % 30.8 % 57.9 % 100 % Estimated MGIC market share (% of total primary private MI volume) MGIC Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021 Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2020 20.5% 18.7% Source: Inside Mortgage Finance - November 11, 2021. Excludes HARP NIW. Primary NIW by policy payment type (% of primary NIW) Monthly premiums Single premiums Annual Premiums Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 92.5 % 7.4 % 0.1 % 91.0 % 8.9 % 0.1 % 20 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis Primary NIW by type of mortgage Years Ended December 31, The composition of our primary RIF by policy year as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 is shown below: (% of primary NIW) 2021 2020 Primary risk in force ($ in millions) 2004 and prior 2005 - 2008 2009 - 2015 2016 - 2021 Total December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 500 3,728 2,865 62,244 69,337 635 5,043 5,689 50,445 61,812 POOL AND OTHER INSURANCE reasons, for a variety of MGIC has written no new pool insurance since 2008, however, including responding to capital market alternatives to private mortgage insurance and customer demands, MGIC may write pool risk in the future. Our direct pool RIF was $305 million ($206 million on pool policies with aggregate loss limits and $99 million on pool policies without aggregate limits) at December 31, 2021 compared to $340 million ($210 million on pool policies with aggregate loss limits and $130 million on pool policies without aggregate limits) at December 31, 2020. If claim payments associated with a specific pool reach the aggregate loss limit, the remaining IIF within the pool would be cancelled and any remaining defaults under the pool would be removed from our default inventory. loss loss In connection with the GSEs' CRT programs, an insurance subsidiary of MGIC provides insurance and reinsurance covering portions of the credit risk related to certain reference pools of mortgages acquired by the GSEs. Our RIF, as reported to us, related to these programs was approximately $321 million and $287 million as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. Purchases Refinances IIF AND RIF 79.7 % 20.3 % 64.3 % 35.7 % the Our IIF grew 11.3% in 2021, and 10.9% in 2020, as NIW more than offset policy cancellations. Cancellation activity is primarily due to refinancing activity, but is also impacted by policies cancelled when borrowers required amount of home equity, achieve to claim payment, and by cancellations due rescissions. Refinancing activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. Persistency. Our persistency at December 31, 2021 was 62.6% compared to 60.5% at December 31, 2020. Since 2000, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 84.7% at December 31, 2009 to a low of 47.1% at December 31, 2003. Insurance in force and risk in force ($ in billions) NIW Cancellations Increase in primary IIF Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ $ 120.2 $ 112.1 (92.4) 27.8 $ (87.8) 24.3 Direct primary IIF as of December 31, $ 274.4 $ 246.6 Direct primary RIF as of December 31, $ 69.3 $ 61.8 CREDIT PROFILE OF OUR PRIMARY RIF Our 2009 and later books possess significantly improved risk characteristics when compared to our refinance 2005-2008 books. Modification and programs, such as HAMP and HARP, which expired at the end of 2016 and 2018, respectively, but have been replaced by other GSE modification programs, make outstanding loans more affordable to borrowers with the goal of reducing the number of foreclosures. As of December 31, 2021, modifications accounted for approximately 5.4% of our total primary RIF, compared to 7.8% at December 31, 2020. Loans associated with 86% of all our modifications were current as of December 31, 2021. For additional information on the composition of our primary RIF see "Business - Our Products and Services" MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 21 Management's Discussion and Analysis CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS The following section of the MD&A provides a comparative discussion of our Consolidated Results of Operations for the two-year period ended December 31, 2021. For a discussion of the Critical Accounting Estimates used by us that affect the Consolidated Results of Operations, see "Critical Accounting Estimates" below. (1) Total direct premiums earned, excluding premium refunds and accelerated premiums from single premium policy cancellations divided by average primary insurance in force. (2) Assumed premiums include those from our participation in GSE CRT programs, of which the impact on the net premium yield was 0.4 bps in 2021 and 0.5 bps in 2020 Revenues Revenues Changes in our premium yields when compared to the respective prior year periods reflect the following: Year Ended December 31, In force Portfolio Yield (In millions) 2021 2020 Net premiums written $ 969.0 $ 928.7 Net premiums earned $ 1,014.4 $ 1,021.9 Investment income, net of expenses Net realized investment (losses) gains Other revenue Total revenues 156.4 154.4 6.6 8.2 13.8 9.1 $ 1,185.7 $ 1,199.1 NET PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND EARNED NPW increased 4% while NPE decreased 1%, in 2021 compared with the prior year, The increase in net premiums written was due to an increase in insurance in force partially offset by the effects of a decrease in the direct premium yield and an increase in ceded premiums written, net of profit commission. The decrease in net premiums earned was due to a decrease in accelerated premiums earned from single premium policy cancellations, given the decrease in refinance activity, partially offset by the increase in net premiums written. Premium yield Premium yield is NPE divided by average IIF during the year and is influenced by a number of key drivers, which have a varying impact from period to period. The following table provides information related to our premium yield for 2021, and 2020. Premium Yield (in basis points) 2021 2020 Year Ended December 31, In force portfolio yield (1) Premium refunds Accelerated earnings on single premium policies Total direct premium yield Ceded premiums earned, net of profit commission and assumed premiums (2) Net premium yield 42.2 (0.6) 3.2 44.8 (5.9) 38.9 46.7 (0.5) 5.0 51.2 (7.6) 43.6 è A larger percentage of our IIF is from book years with lower premium rates due to a decline in premium rates in recent years resulting from pricing competition, insuring mortgages with lower risk characteristics, lower required capital, the availability of reinsurance and certain policies undergoing premium rate resets on their ten-year anniversaries. Premium Refunds è Premium refunds adversely impact our premium yield and are primarily driven by claim activity and our estimate of refundable premiums on our delinquent inventory. Accelerated earnings on single premium policies è Accelerated earned premium from cancellation of single premium policies prior to their estimated policy life, primarily due to increased refinancing activity increase our yield. earned, Ceded premiums earned, net of profit commission and assumed premiums è Ceded premiums net of profit commission adversely impact our premium yield. Ceded premium earned, net of profit commission, were primarily associated with QSR Transactions and Home Re Transactions. Assumed premiums consists primarily of premiums from GSE CRT programs. See "Reinsurance Agreements" below for reinsurance transactions. further discussion on our losses," increase our As discussed in our Risk Factor titled "Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and/ or the private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and premium rates have declined over the past several years. We expect that our in force portfolio yield will continue to decline as older insurance policies with higher premium rates run off or have their premium rates reset, or are replaced with new insurance policies, which generally have lower premium rates. While our increased use of reinsurance over the past several years has helped to mitigate the negative effect of 22 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis declining premium rates on our returns, refer to our risk factor titled "Reinsurance may not always be available or affordable" for a discussion of the risks associated with the availability of reinsurance. Quota share reinsurance (Dollars in thousands) 2021 2020 As of and For the Years Ended December 31, See "Overview – Factors Affecting Our Results" above for additional factors that also influence the amount of net premiums written and earned in a year. Statements of operations: Ceded premiums written and earned, net of profit commission $ 118,537 $ 167,930 REINSURANCE AGREEMENTS Quota share reinsurance Our quota share reinsurance affects various lines of our statements of operations and therefore we believe it should be analyzed by reviewing its effect on our pre-tax net income, as described below. % of direct premiums written % of direct premiums earned 11 % 10 % 15 % 14 % Profit commission 153,759 72,452 Ceding commissions 53,460 48,077 Ceded losses incurred 9,862 78,012 è We cede a fixed percentage of premiums earned insurance covered by the and received on agreements. è We receive the benefit of a profit commission through a reduction in the premiums we cede. The profit commission varies inversely with the level of losses incurred on a "dollar for dollar" basis and can be eliminated at loss levels higher than we are currently experiencing. As a result, lower levels of losses incurred result in a higher profit commission and less benefit from ceded losses incurred, higher levels of ceded losses incurred result in more benefit from ceded losses incurred and a lower profit commission (or for certain levels of losses of accident year loss ratios, its elimination). è We receive the benefit of a ceding commission through a reduction in underwriting expenses equal to 20% of premiums ceded (before the effect of the profit commission). è We cede a fixed percentage of losses incurred on insurance covered by the agreements. Mortgage insurance portfolio: Ceded RIF (in millions) 2015 QSR 2017 QSR 2018 QSR 2019 QSR 2020 QSR 2021 QSR Credit Union QSR Total ceded RIF $ 889 $ 1,625 — — 1,539 4,754 7,470 1,594 1,330 1,333 2,779 6,169 — 770 $ 16,246 $ 14,006 Ceded losses incurred for the year ended December 31, 2021 reflect favorable loss reserve development on previously received delinquency notices and a decrease in new delinquency notices reported on insurance covered by our QSR Transactions. Ceded loss incurred for 2020 reflect the increase in new delinquency notices due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on insurance covered by our QSR Transactions. See "Losses Incurred, net” below for discussion of our loss reserves. The following table provides information related to our quota share agreements for 2021 and 2020. Covered Risk The amount of our NIW, new risk written, IIF, and RIF subject to our QSR Transactions as shown in the following table will vary from period to period in part due to the mix of our risk written during the period. Quota share reinsurance As of and For the Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 NIW subject to QSR Transactions 81.9 % 74.4 % New Risk Written subject to QSR Transactions IIF subject to QSR Transactions RIF subject to QSR Transactions 90.5 % 78.4 % 77.9 % 85.5 % 75.9 % 81.8 % MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 23 Management's Discussion and Analysis The NIW subject to quota share reinsurance increased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to a decrease in NIW with LTVs less than or equal to 85% and amortization terms less than or equal to 20 years, which generally have lower coverage percentages, and are excluded from the QSR Transactions. We terminated our 2017 and 2018 QSR Transactions effective December 31, 2021 and incurred an early termination fee of $5 million. The termination reduces the amount of IIF and RIF subject to QSR transactions. 2022 and 2023 QSR Transaction. We have executed an agreement with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers for reinsurance transactions to our existing QSR with similar structures transactions that will cover most of our NIW in 2022 (with an additional 15.0% quota share) and 2023 (with a 15% quota share). This is in addition to the that reinsurance agreements executed included a 15.0% quota share on eligible 2022 NIW and the Credit Union QSR Transaction that covers NIW on loans originated by credit unions with a 65% quota share. in 2021 Excess of loss reinsurance Our excess-of-loss reinsurance agreements provide $1.4 billion of loss coverage on an existing portfolio of in force policies having an in force dates from July 1, 2016 through March 31, 2019, and January 1, 2020 through May 28, 2021, all dates inclusive. For the reinsurance coverage, we retain the first layer of the respective aggregate losses paid, and a Home Re Entity will then provide the second layer coverage up to the outstanding reinsurance amount. As of December 31, 2021, the remaining first layer retention and remaining excess of loss reinsurance coverage under our Home Re Transactions was as follows: ($ In thousands) Remaining First Layer Retention Remaining Excess of Loss Reinsurance Coverage Home Re 2018-1 $ 165,365 $ Home Re 2019-1 Home Re 2020-1 Home Re 2021-1 Home Re 2021-2 183,917 275,204 211,142 190,159 218,343 208,146 234,312 387,830 398,429 Total ceded premiums for 2021 and 2020 were $44.5 million and $20.8 million, respectively. When a “Trigger Event” is in effect, payment of principal on the notes that were sold by the Home Re Entity to raise capital to supports its reinsurance obligation will be suspended and the reinsurance coverage available to MGIC under the transactions will not be reduced by such principal payments. As of December 31, 2021 a "Trigger Event" has occurred on our Home Re 2018-1 and Home Re 2019-1 ILN transactions because the reinsured principal balance loans that were reported 60 or more days of in each delinquent exceeded the transaction. A "Trigger Event" has also occurred on the Home Re 2021-2 ILN transactions because the credit enhancement of the most senior tranche is less than the target credit enhancement. limit specified See Note 9 - "Reinsurance," to our consolidated financial statements for additional information on the Home Re Entities. INVESTMENT INCOME, NET income investment Net increased 1% to $156.4 million in 2021 compared to $154.4 million in 2020. The increase in investment income was due to an increase in the average investment portfolio, partially offset by a decrease in the average investment yield. See "Balance Sheet Review" in this MD&A for further discussion regarding our investment portfolio. NET REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS (LOSSES) Net realized investment gains (losses) in 2021 and 2020 were $6.6 million and $13.8 million, respectively. The decrease in net realized investment gains was primarily due to a decrease in the number of fixed income and equity securities sold. OTHER REVENUE Other revenue decreased to $8.2 million in 2021 from $9.1 million in 2020. Losses and expenses Losses and expenses (In millions) Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Losses incurred, net $ 64.6 $ 364.8 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs Other underwriting and operating expenses, net Interest expense Loss on debt extinguishment Total losses and expenses 12.6 198.4 71.4 36.9 12.4 176.4 59.6 26.7 $ 383.9 $ 639.9 24 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis such as the settlement agreements discussed in Note to our “Litigation and Contingencies” 17 – consolidated financial statements. Changes to our estimates could result in a material impact to our consolidated results of operations and financial position, even in a stable economic environment. Losses incurred, net decreased to $64.6 million compared to $364.8 million in 2020. The decrease reflects fewer delinquency notices received in 2021 compared with 2020 which was impacted by the COVID-19 resultant macroeconomic environment. pandemic, and the resulted reserves The decrease was also due to favorable loss reserve development of $60.0 million recognized in 2021 compared to adverse loss development of $19.6 million in 2020. Through December 31, 2021, our re- estimation of favorable development on pre-COVID and peak COVID delinquencies as a result of a decrease in the estimated claim rate on those delinquencies. This was offset by the recognition of a probable loss of $6.3 million related to litigation of our claim paying practices. In 2020, we experienced adverse loss development of $19.6 million primarily related to an increase in the estimate of claim severity. in See "New notice claim rate" and "Claims severity" below for additional factors and trends that impact these loss reserve assumptions. Composition of losses incurred (In millions) Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 Current year / New notices $ 124.6 $ 345.2 Prior year reserve development (60.0) 19.6 Losses incurred, net $ 64.6 $ 364.8 Loss ratio The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred losses and LAE, net to net premiums earned. The decrease in the loss ratio in 2021 when compared to 2020 was primarily due to a decrease in losses incurred discussed above. Loss ratio Year Ended December 31, 2021 6.4 % 2020 35.7 % LOSSES INCURRED, NET As discussed in “Critical Accounting Estimates” below and consistent with industry practices, we establish case loss reserves for future claims on delinquent loans that were reported to us as two payments past due and have not become current or resulted in a claim payment. Such loans are referred to as being in our delinquency inventory. Case loss reserves are established based on estimating the number of loans in our delinquency inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity. IBNR reserves are established for delinquencies estimated to have occurred prior to the close of an accounting period, but have not yet been reported to us. IBNR reserves are established using estimated delinquencies, claim rates and claim severities. loss than our Estimation of losses is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy, including unemployment and the current and future strength of local housing markets. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions, including impact of the unemployment and the continued COVID-19 pandemic, in leading borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, the impact of past and future government initiatives and actions taken by the GSEs (including mortgage forbearance programs and foreclosure moratoriums), and a drop in housing values which may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Loss reserves in future periods will also be dependent on the number of loans reported to us as delinquent. to a reduction As discussed in our Risk Factor titled “The Covid-19 pandemic may materially impact our future financial results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition" the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our future incurred losses is uncertain and may be material. As discussed in our risk factor titled “Because we establish loss reserves only upon a loan delinquency rather than based on estimates of our ultimate losses on risk in force, losses may have a disproportionate adverse effect on our earnings in certain periods” if we have not received a notice of delinquency with respect to a loan and if we have not estimated the loan to be delinquent as of December 31, 2021 and recorded an IBNR reserve, then we have not yet recorded an incurred loss with respect to that loan. Our estimates are also affected by any agreements we enter into regarding our claims paying practices MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 25 Management's Discussion and Analysis New notice claim rate The number of new delinquency notices received for the year ended December 31, 2021 decreased 60% compared to 2020 and new delinquency notices received in second half of 2021 were below pre- COVID-19 pandemic levels. The new notice claim rate in 2021 was consistent with the new notice claim rate in 2020. the loans. However, given Many of the loans in our delinquency inventory have entered forbearance plans. Historically, forbearance plans have reduced the incidence of our losses on the uncertainty affected surrounding impact of COVID-19, it is difficult to predict the ultimate effect of COVID-19 related forbearances on our loss incidence. Whether a loan's delinquency will cure, including through modification, when its forbearance plan ends will depend on the economic circumstances of the losses borrower at that time. The severity of long-term economic associated with loans whose delinquencies do not cure will depend on economic conditions at that time, including home prices compared to home prices at the time of placement of coverage. Forbearance information is based on the most recent information provided by the GSEs, as well as loan servicers, and we believe substantially all forbearances are related to COVID-19. While the forbearance information provided by the GSEs refers to delinquent loans in forbearance as of the information provided by loan servicers may be more current. As of December 31, 2021, 33% of our delinquency inventory was in such plans. the prior month-end, The table below presents our new delinquency notices received, delinquency inventory, percentage of loans in forbearance, and the average number of missed payments for the loans in our delinquency inventory by policy year. New notices and delinquency inventory during the period Policy Year New Notices in 2021 December 31, 2021 Delinquency Inventory as of 12/31/21 % of Delinquency Inventory in Forbearance Avg. Number of Missed Payments of Delinquency Inventory 2004 and prior 2005-2008 2009-2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total Claim rate on new notices (1) 3,893 13,070 4,040 2,375 3,384 3,902 4,163 5,623 1,982 42,432 8 % 2,829 10,882 3,400 2,004 2,949 3,412 3,340 3,308 1,166 33,290 21.4 % 24.3 % 34.9 % 43.5 % 46.6 % 49.3 % 58.1 % 63.4 % 40.9 % 39.5 % 19 19 13 12 12 12 11 8 4 14 Policy Year New Notices in 2020 December 31, 2020 Delinquency Inventory as of 12/31/20 % of Delinquency Inventory in Forbearance Avg. Number of Missed Payments of Delinquency Inventory 2004 and prior 2005-2008 2009-2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 6,079 26,838 13,513 9,497 13,139 15,040 16,904 5,089 Total Claim rate on new notices (1) 106,099 7 % 3,885 17,084 6,917 4,599 6,746 7,468 7,929 3,082 57,710 24.1 % 38.0 % 66.1 % 75.9 % 76.8 % 79.4 % 84.1 % 84.8 % 62.2 % 16 14 8 7 7 7 6 5 10 (1) - Claim rate is the respective full year weighted average rate and is rounded to the nearest whole percent. 26 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis Claims severity Factors that impact claim severity include: è economic conditions at that time, including home prices compared to home prices at the time of placement of coverage è exposure on the loan, which is the unpaid principal balance of the loan times our insurance coverage percentage, è length of time between delinquency and claim filing (which impacts the amount of interest and expenses, with a longer period between default and claim filing generally increasing severity), and è curtailments. As discussed in Note 8 - "Loss Reserves," our loss reserves estimates take into consideration current trends over time, because the development of the delinquencies may vary from period to period without establishing a meaningful trend. In light of the forbearance and foreclosure moratorium programs associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, the average number of missed payments at the time a claim is received and expected to be received increased in 2021 and will increase in 2022. Although foreclosure moratoriums are expiring, under a CFPB rule that was generally effective through December 31, 2021, with limited exceptions, servicers were required to ensure that at least one temporary safeguard had been met before referring 120-day delinquent loans for foreclosure. With the expiration of the CFPB rule, it is likely that foreclosures and claims will increase. The majority of loans insured prior to 2008 (which represent 41% of the loans in the delinquent inventory) are covered by master policy terms that, except under certain circumstances, do not limit the number of years that an insured can include interest when filing a claim. Under our current master policy terms, an insured can include accumulated interest when filing a claim only for the first three years the loan is delinquent. In each case, the insured must comply with its obligations under the terms of the applicable master policy. The quarterly trend in claims severity for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2021 is shown in the following table. Claims severity trend Period Q4 2021 Q3 2021 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Average exposure on claim paid $ 43,485 $ 42,468 40,300 46,807 48,321 47,780 44,905 46,247 46,076 42,821 46,950 42,277 Average claim paid % Paid to exposure Average number of missed payments at claim received date 32,722 36,138 34,068 36,725 40,412 40,600 42,915 47,222 46,302 44,388 46,883 43,930 75.2 % 85.1 % 84.5 % 78.5 % 83.6 % 85.0 % 95.6 % 102.1 % 100.5 % 103.7 % 99.9 % 103.9 % 42 34 36 34 32 27 32 33 34 35 34 35 Note: Table excludes material settlements. Settlements include amounts paid in settlement of disputes for claims paying practices and/or commutations of policies. Claims that were resolved after the first quarter of 2020 experienced an increase in loss mitigation activities, primarily third party acquisitions (sometimes referred to as “short sales”), resulting in a decrease in the average claim paid and the average claim paid as a percentage of exposure. In the fourth quarter of 2021, the average number of missed payments at the time claims were received increased compared to the previous quarter as foreclosure moratoriums expired resulting in an increase in our claims received. However, at December 31, 2021, claims received are still below levels experienced prior to the second quarter of 2020. As foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance plans end, we expect to see an increase in claims received and claims paid at exposure levels above those experienced subsequent to the second quarter of 2020. The magnitude and timing of the increases are uncertain. See Note 8 – “Loss Reserves” to our consolidated financial statements and “Critical Accounting Estimates” below for a discussion of our losses incurred and claims paying practices (including curtailments). MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 27 Management's Discussion and Analysis The length of time a loan is in the delinquency inventory can differ from the number of payments that the borrower has not made or is considered delinquent. These differences typically result from a borrower making monthly payments that do not result in the loan becoming fully current. The number of payments that a borrower is delinquent is shown in the following table. Primary delinquent inventory - number of payments delinquent 2021 9,529 9,208 2020 14,183 35,977 14,553 7,550 33,290 57,710 3 payments or less 4 - 11 payments 12 payments or more (1) Total 3 payments or less 4 - 11 payments 12 payments or more Total (1) Approximately 13% and 31% of the loans in the primary delinquency inventory with 12 payments or more delinquent have at least 36 payments delinquent as of December 31, 2021, and 2020, respectively. The increase in loans in the delinquency inventory that are 12 months or more payments delinquent compared to December 31, 2020 is primarily due to the number of new delinquency notices received in the second quarter of 2020 resulting from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. This was partially offset by an increase in cures in the second half of 2020 and throughout 2021. NET LOSSES AND LAE PAID Net losses and LAE paid decreased 71% in 2021 compared to 2020 primarily due to lower claim activity on our primary business due to foreclosure moratoriums and payment forbearance plans in place. As the various moratorium and forbearance plans end, we expect net losses and LAE paid to increase, however, the magnitude and timing of the increases are uncertain. 28 % 28 % 44 % (1) 25 % 62 % 13 % 100 % 100 % (2) See Note 8 - "Loss Reserves" for additional information on our settlements of disputes for claims paying practices and/or commutations of policies See Note 9 - "Reinsurance" for additional information on our reinsurance termination The table below presents our net losses and LAE paid for 2021 and 2020. Net losses and LAE paid (in millions) 2021 2020 Total primary (excluding settlements) Claims paying practices and NPL settlements (1) Pool Direct losses paid Reinsurance Net losses paid LAE Net losses and LAE paid before terminations Reinsurance terminations (2) Net losses and LAE paid $ 43 $ 98 14 — 57 (2) 55 14 69 (36) — 2 100 (4) 96 18 114 — $ 33 $ 114 Primary losses paid for the top 15 jurisdictions (based on 2021 losses paid) and all other jurisdictions for 2021 and 2020 appears in the table below. Primary paid losses by jurisdiction (In millions) Puerto Rico * Florida * New York * Illinois * Maryland New Jersey * Pennsylvania * Connecticut * Ohio * Indiana * Massachusetts Louisiana * Iowa * Texas Virginia All other jurisdictions Total primary (excluding settlements) 2021 2020 $ 6 $ 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 $ 43 $ 5 13 11 9 7 8 4 2 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 27 98 Note: Asterisk denotes jurisdictions in the table above that predominately use a judicial foreclosure process, which generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be completed. 28 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis LOSS RESERVES Our primary default rate at December 31, 2021 was 2.84% (2020: 5.11% ). There were 33,290 loans in our delinquency inventory at December 31, 2021, compared to 57,710 at December 31, 2020. The primary delinquency inventory at December 31, 2020 reflects the adverse economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. New delinquency notices received in 2021 were 42,432 compared with 106,099 in 2020. As of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, 33% and 62%, respectively, of our delinquency inventory were reported to us as subject to forbearance plans. loan with fewer missed Generally, a defaulted payments is less likely to result in a claim. However, given the uncertainty surrounding the long-term economic impact of COVID-19, it is difficult to predict the ultimate effect of COVID-19 related delinquencies and forbearances on our loss incidence. Whether a loan’s delinquency will cure, through modification, when its forbearance plan ends will depend on the economic circumstances of the borrower at that time. including The primary average claim paid for the top 5 jurisdictions (based on 2021 losses paid) for 2021 and 2020 appears in table below. Primary average claim paid Puerto Rico * $ 44,924 $ 42,650 2021 2020 Florida * New York * Illinois * Maryland All other jurisdictions All jurisdictions 45,599 59,610 100,403 111,112 32,982 48,979 26,068 34,956 43,339 63,665 35,770 43,901 Note: Asterisk denotes jurisdictions in the table above that predominately use a judicial foreclosure process, which generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be completed. The primary average claim paid can vary materially from period to period based upon a variety of factors, including the local market conditions, average loan amount, average coverage percentage, the amount of time between delinquency and claim filing, and our loss mitigation efforts on loans for which claims are paid. The primary average RIF on delinquent loans as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 and for the top 5 jurisdictions (based on December 31, 2021 delinquency inventory) appears in the following table. Primary average RIF - delinquent loans Florida Texas Illinois California New York All other jurisdictions All jurisdictions 2021 2020 $ 56,227 $ 56,956 51,037 40,798 89,935 74,836 47,538 51,887 53,194 41,451 89,202 73,509 49,888 53,804 The primary average RIF on all loans was $59,518 and $54,891 at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 29 Management's Discussion and Analysis The primary and pool loss reserves as of December 31, 2021, and 2020 appear in the table below. Gross loss reserves Primary: Case reserves (In millions) IBNR and LAE Total primary direct loss reserves Ending delinquency inventory Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) Average direct reserve per default Primary claims received inventory included in ending delinquency inventory Pool (1): Direct loss reserves (In millions): With aggregate loss limits Without aggregate loss limits Total pool direct loss reserves Ending delinquency inventory: With aggregate loss limits Without aggregate loss limits Total pool ending delinquency inventory Pool claims received inventory included in ending delinquency inventory Other gross loss reserves (2) (In millions) December 31, 2021 2020 $ 795 82 877 $ 789 82 871 33,290 2.84 % $ 26,156 211 57,710 5.11 % $ 15,100 159 4 2 6 1 313 185 498 1 6 2 8 2 442 238 680 10 (1) Since a number of our pool policies include aggregate loss limits and/or deductibles, we do not disclose an average direct reserve per default for our pool business. (2) Other gross loss reserves includes direct and assumed reserves that are not included within our primary or pool loss reserves. The average direct reserve per default as of December 31, 2021 increased when compared to the average as of December 31, 2020 because the delinquency inventory as of December 31, 2021 included loans with more missed payment, which generally have higher anticipated claim rates. 30 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis The primary delinquency inventory for the top 15 (based on December 31, 2021 jurisdictions delinquency inventory) at December 31, 2021, and 2020 appears in table the below. The primary delinquency inventory by policy year at December 31, 2021 and 2020 appears in the following table. Primary delinquency inventory by policy year Primary delinquency inventory by jurisdiction 2021 2020 2004 and prior 2004 and prior %: 2005 2006 2007 2008 2021 2020 2,829 3,885 8 % 6 % 1,703 2,928 4,973 1,278 2,462 4,265 8,011 2,346 Florida * Texas Illinois * California New York * Pennsylvania * Ohio * Georgia New Jersey * Michigan North Carolina Maryland Virginia Louisiana * Indiana 2,948 2,572 2,082 1,852 1,674 1,672 1,458 1,272 1,169 1,144 987 929 766 757 736 5,936 4,617 3,460 3,584 2,416 2,593 2,541 2,422 1,960 1,842 1,686 1,556 1,377 979 1,163 All other jurisdictions Total 11,272 33,290 19,578 57,710 Note: Asterisk denotes jurisdictions in the table above that predominately use a judicial foreclosure process, which generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be completed. 2005 - 2008 % 33 % 30 % 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 84 56 79 143 441 1,055 1,542 159 99 151 357 929 2,089 3,133 2009 - 2015 % 10 % 12 % 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2,004 2,949 3,412 3,340 3,308 1,166 2016 and later %: 49 % 4,599 6,746 7,468 7,929 3,082 — 52 % Total 33,290 57,710 On our primary business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third and fourth year after loan origination. However, the pattern of claim frequency can be affected by many factors, including persistency and deteriorating economic conditions. Deteriorating economic conditions can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims. As of December 31, 2021, 78% of our primary RIF was written subsequent to December 31, 2018, 82% of our primary RIF was written subsequent to December 31, 2017, and 86% of our primary RIF was written subsequent to December 31, 2016. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 31 Management's Discussion and Analysis COVID-19 Delinquency Activity At March 31, 2020, before the COVID-19 pandemic impacted our delinquency inventory, our delinquency inventory was 27,384. As a result of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, including the high level of unemployment and economic uncertainty resulting from measures to reduce the transmission of the COVID-19, we experienced an in our delinquency inventory. increase Forbearance programs enacted by the GSEs provide for payment forbearance on mortgages to borrowers experiencing a hardship during the COVID-19 pandemic. The forbearance information provided by the GSEs will be with respect to delinquent loans in forbearance as of the prior month-end, while the information provided by loan servicers may be more current. As of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020 33% and 62%, respectively, of our delinquency inventory was reported as subject to a forbearance plan. We believe represent forbearances related to COVID-19. The following tables present characteristics of our primary delinquency inventory in forbearance plans. substantially all The number of payments in forbearance is delinquent as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 is shown in the following table. that a borrower Primary delinquency inventory in forbearance - by jurisdiction 2021 2020 Florida * Texas Illinois * California New York * Pennsylvania * Ohio * Georgia New Jersey * Michigan North Carolina Maryland Virginia Louisiana * Indiana 1,071 1,002 701 805 406 458 357 495 387 341 336 340 291 294 176 4,150 3,285 2,162 2,668 1,088 1,294 1,228 1,721 1,174 1,151 1,081 994 935 562 538 All other jurisdictions Total 3,677 11,137 11,847 35,878 The primary delinquency inventory in forbearance by policy year at December 31, 2021, and 2020 appears in the table below. Forbearance delinquency inventory - number of payments delinquent Primary delinquency inventory in forbearance by policy year 2021 2020 2021 2020 3 payments or less 4 - 11 payments 12 payments or more Total 3 payments or less 4 - 11 payments 12 payments or more Total 2,565 4,594 3,978 11,137 23 % 41 % 36 % 100 % 6,580 28,153 1,145 35,878 18 % 79 % 3 % 100 % The primary delinquency inventory in forbearance for the top 15 jurisdictions (based on December 31, 2021 delinquency inventory) at December 31, 2021 and 2020 appears in the following table. 2004 and prior 2004 and prior %: 2005 2006 2007 2008 483 4 % 352 601 921 288 937 3 % 671 1,293 3,330 1,197 2005 - 2008 % 20 % 18 % 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20 7 18 40 114 278 546 2009 - 2015 % 9 % 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 740 1,066 1,304 1,482 2,238 639 2016 and later %: 67 % 84 38 66 229 583 1,389 2,180 13 % 3,490 5,180 5,927 6,670 2,614 — 67 % Total 11,137 35,878 32 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Discussion and Analysis The increase in our provision for income taxes for 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily due to an increase in income before tax. Our effective tax rate for 2021 and 2020 was below the federal statutory income tax rate of 21% primarily due to the benefits of tax-preferenced securities. See Note 12 – “Income Taxes” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of our tax position. UNDERWRITING AND OTHER EXPENSES, NET Underwriting and other expenses include items such as employee compensation costs, for professional and consulting services, depreciation and maintenance expense, and premium taxes, and are reported net of ceding commissions. fees Underwriting and other expenses for 2021 increased to $198.4 million from $176.4 million in 2020. The increase is primarily due to increases in professional and consulting services related to our investments in our technology and data and analytics infrastructure, partially offset by an increase in ceding commission on our QSR transactions. Underwriting expense ratio The underwriting expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the underwriting and operating expenses, net and amortization of DAC of our insurance operations (which excludes combined underwriting and operating expenses of our non- insurance operations) to NPW, and is presented in the table below for the past two years. The underwriting expense ratio increased in 2021 compared with 2020 due in underwriting expenses and other expenses, net, partially offset by higher NPW. increase to an Underwriting expense ratio 20.6 % 19.2 % Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 INTEREST EXPENSE Interest expense for 2021 was $71.4 million compared to $59.6 million for 2020. The increase is due to the issuance of the 5.25% Notes in August 2020, partially offset by the repurchase of a portion of the 5.75% Notes in 2020 and the 9% Debentures in 2021 and 2020. LOSS ON DEBT EXTINGUISHMENT We recorded a loss on debt extinguishment of $36.9 million in 2021 associated with the repurchase of a portion of our 9% Debentures and $26.7 million in 2020 associated with the repurchase of a portion of each of our 5.75% Notes and our 9% Debentures. See Note 7 - "Debt" to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion on our debt. INCOME TAX EXPENSE AND EFFECTIVE TAX RATE Income tax provision and effective tax rate (In millions, except rate) 2021 2020 Income before tax Provision for income taxes Effective tax rate $ 802 167 $ 559 113 20.8 % 20.2 % MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 33 Operating Companies (1) Holding Company As of December 31, è Preserve PMIERs assets $ Change è Maximize total return with emphasis on yield, subject to our other objectives è Provide liquidity with minimized realized loss è Maintain highly liquid, low volatility assets Management's Discussion and Analysis BALANCE SHEET REVIEW Shareholders' equity Shareholders' equity (In millions) 2021 2020 Shareholders' equity Common stock Paid-in capital Treasury stock $ 371 $ 371 $ — 1,795 1,862 (675) (393) (67) (282) Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), net of tax 120 217 Retained earnings 3,251 2,642 (97) 609 Total 4,861 $ 4,699 $ 162 increase in shareholders' equity The in 2021 compared with the prior year was primarily due to net income, offset in part by the repurchase of shares of our common stock and quarterly dividends paid to shareholders. Total assets and total liabilities As of December 31, 2021, total assets were $7.3 billion and total liabilities were $2.5 billion. Compared to December 31 ,2020, total assets decreased modestly and total liabilities decreased by $0.2 billion. The following sections focus on the assets and liabilities experiencing major developments in 2021. INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO The investment portfolio decreased to $6.6 billion as of December 31, 2021 (2020: $6.7 billion), primarily due to lower unrealized gains. The return we generate on our investment portfolio is an important component of our consolidated financial results. Our investment portfolio primarily consists of a diverse mix of highly rated fixed income securities. The investment portfolio is designed to achieve the following objectives: 34 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report è Limit portfolio volatility è Maintain high credit quality è Duration 3.5 to 5.5 è Duration maximum of years 2.5 years (1) Primarily MGIC To achieve our portfolio objectives, our asset allocation considers the risk and return parameters of the various asset classes in which we invest. This asset allocation is informed by, and based on, the following factors: è economic and market outlooks; è diversification effects; è security duration; è liquidity; è capital considerations; and è income tax rates. The average duration and embedded investment yield of our investment portfolio as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 is shown in the following table. Portfolio duration and embedded investment yield Duration (in years) Pre-tax yield (1) After-tax yield (1) December 31, 2021 4.5 2.5% 2.1% 2020 4.3 2.6% 2.1% (1) Embedded investment yield is calculated on a yield-to- worst basis. The credit risk of a security is evaluated through analysis of the security's underlying fundamentals, including the issuer's sector, scale, profitability, debt investment policy coverage, and guidelines limit the amount of our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. The following table shows the security ratings of our fixed income investments as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. ratings. The Fixed income security ratings % of fixed income securities at fair value Security Ratings (1) Period December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 AAA 18% 23% AA 26% 22% A 36% 35% BBB 20% 20% (1) Ratings are provided by one or more of: Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings. If three ratings are available, the middle rating is shown; otherwise the lowest rating is shown. Our investment portfolio was invested in comparable security types for the years ended December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020. See Note 5 – “Investments” for financial statements to our consolidated additional disclosure on our investment portfolio. Investments outlook Our investment portfolio of fixed income securities is subject to interest rate risk and its fair value is likely to increase in a decreasing interest rate environment. Changes in interest rates affect the carrying value and returns of our fixed income investments. We seek to interest rate risk and manage our exposure to volatility by maintaining a diverse mix of high-quality securities with an intermediate duration profile. The Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) maintained the targeted federal funds rate at 0 percent to 1/4 percent throughout 2021 as it weighed impacts of the Covid-19 the ongoing economic Pandemic, employment and the inflation and associated risks to the economic outlook. In response to rising inflation, and a desire to normalize monetary policy, the FOMC has signaled increases to the federal funds rate in 2022. Yields have increased in the capital markets the FOMC’s announcements, which has recently resulted in a lower level of unrealized gains on our fixed income investments. response to in While higher interest rates may adversely impact the fair values of our fixed income investments, they present an opportunity to reinvest investment income and proceeds from security maturities into higher yielding investments. Investing activity will continue to decrease our portfolio yield as long as market yields remain below the current portfolio yield. Any decline in market-based portfolio yield is expected to result in lower net investment income in future periods. As of December 31, 2021, approximately 6% of the fair value of our investment portfolio consisted of securities referencing LIBOR, none of which reference one-week and two-month tenors. As discussed in our risk factor titled "The Company may be adversely impacted by the transition from LIBOR as a reference the rate," administrator of LIBOR, ceased publishing the one- week and two-month tenors of the USD LIBOR tenors and intends to cease publishing the other USD LIBOR tenors on June 30, 2023. ICE Benchmark Administration, the Management's Discussion and Analysis CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS Cash and cash equivalents increased to $285 million, as of December 31, 2021 (2020: $288 million), as net cash generated from operating was substantially used in financing activities and net purchases of investments. REINSURANCE RECOVERABLE ON PAID LOSSES Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses increased to $36.3 million at December 31, 2021 (2020: $0.7 million) primarily due to the termination of our 2017 and 2018 QSR transaction as of December 31, 2021. The reinsurers participating in the 2017 and 2018 QSR transaction were responsible for any loss and LAE reserves incurred at the time of termination. (2) reserves) (known as case LOSS RESERVES Our loss reserves include estimates of losses and settlement expenses on (1) loans in our delinquency IBNR inventory delinquencies, and (3) LAE. Our gross reserves are reduced by reinsurance recoverable on our estimated losses and settlement expenses to calculate a net reserve balance. Loss reserves increased slightly to $884 million as of December 31, 2021, from $881 million of December 31, 2020. Reinsurance recoverables on our estimated losses and settlement expenses were $67 million and $95 million as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. The increase in loss reserves is primarily due to additional loss reserves established on new delinquency notices received in 2021, partially offset by favorable development on pre-COVID and peak COVID delinquencies as a result of a decrease in the estimated ultimate claim rate on those delinquencies. The reserves decreased primarily due to the termination of the 2017 and 2018 QSR transaction. recoverable on reinsurance loss LONG-TERM DEBT Our long-term debt decreased to $1,146.7 million as of December 31, 2021 from $1,243.2 million as of In December 2021 we December 31, 2020. in aggregate principal repurchased $98.6 million amount of our 9% Debentures due 2063. UNEARNED PREMIUM Our unearned premium decreased to $241.7 million as of December 31, 2021 from $287.1 million as of December 31, 2020 primarily due to single premium policy cancellations exceeding the level of new business from single premium policies. OTHER LIABILITIES Other liabilities decreased to $192 million as of December 31, 2021 (2020: $245 million), primarily due to decreases in our deferred income tax liability, (net of ceding reinsurance premium payable commission and profit commission), liability for pension obligations and investment securities payable. These were partially offset by an increase in our accrual for premium refunds. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 35 Management's Discussion and Analysis LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our insurance operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, less amounts paid for claims, interest expense and operating expenses, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale investments and purchases of and maturity of property and equipment and (3) financing cash flows impact our capital generally from activities that structure, such as changes in debt and shares outstanding and dividend payouts. The following table summarizes these three cash flows on a consolidated basis for the last two years. Summary of consolidated cash flows (In thousands) 2021 2020 Years ended December 31, Total cash provided by (used in): Operating activities $ 696,317 $ 732,309 Investing activities Financing activities (160,749) (772,506) (527,290) 167,821 Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents Operating activities $ 8,278 $ 127,624 The following list highlights the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities: Sources + Premiums received + Loss payments from reinsurers + Investment income Uses - Claim payments However, due to the foreclosure moratoriums and in place, we have payment forbearance plans experienced a decrease in losses and LAE paid through 2021. As the various moratoriums and forbearance plans end, we expect net losses and LAE paid to increase, however, the magnitude and timing of the increases are uncertain. invest our claims paying We from premiums and other sources in various investment securities that earn interest. We also use cash to pay for our ongoing expenses such as salaries, debt interest, professional services and occupancy costs. resources We also have purchase obligations totaling approximately $40 million which consist primarily of contracts related to our continued investment in our information technology infrastructure in the normal course of business. The majority of these obligations are under contracts that give us cancellation rights with notice. In the next twelve months we anticipate we will pay approximately $12 million for our purchase obligations. In connection with the reinsurance we use to manage the risk associated with our insurance policies, we cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when claims subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid. Net cash provided by operating activities in 2021 decreased compared to 2020 primarily due to an increase interest expense and underwriting and operating expenses. This was partially offset by a decrease in losses paid and an increase in premium received. in tax payments, Investing activities The following list highlights the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities: - Premium ceded to reinsurers Sources - Interest expense - Operating expenses - Tax payments installment basis Our largest source of cash is from premiums received from our insurance policies, which we receive on a for most policies. monthly Premiums are received at the beginning of the coverage period for single premium and annual premium policies. Our is generally for claims that arise when a delinquency loss. Based on historical results experience, we expect our future claim payments associated with established case loss reserves to pay out at or within 5 years, with the majority of future claim payments made within one to three years. largest cash outflow insured in an + Proceeds from sales of investments + Proceeds from maturity of fixed income securities Uses - Purchases of investments - Purchases of property and equipment We maintain an investment portfolio that is primarily invested in a diverse mix of fixed income securities. As of December 31, 2021, our portfolio had a fair value of $6.6 billion, a decrease of $0.1 billion, or (1.1)% from December 31, 2020. Net cash flows used in investing activities in 2021 and 2020 primarily reflect purchases of fixed income securities in an amount that exceeded our proceeds from sales and 36 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report maturities of such securities during the year as cash for additional from operations was available investment. investment portfolio activities, our investing activities included investment in our technology infrastructure to enhance our ability to conduct business and execute our strategies. In addition to Financing activities The following list highlights the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities: Sources + Proceeds from debt and/or common stock issuances Uses - Repurchase of common stock - Payment of dividends to shareholders - Repayment/repurchase of debt - Payment of withholding taxes related to share- based compensation net share settlement Net cash flows used in financing activities in 2021 primarily reflect repurchases of our common stock, repurchase of a portion of our 9% Debentures, payment of dividends to shareholders and the payment of withholding taxes related to share-based compensation net share settlement. In 2020, financing activities also included cash received from the issuance of our 5.25% Notes. * * * For a further discussion of matters affecting our cash flows, see "Balance Sheet Review" above and "Debt at our Holding Company and Holding Company Liquidity" below. CAPITALIZATION Capital Risk Capital risk is the risk of adverse impact on our ability to comply with capital requirements (regulatory and level, structure and GSE) and to maintain the composition of capital required for meeting financial performance objectives. A strong capital position is essential to our business strategy and is important to maintain a competitive position in our industry. Our capital strategy focuses on long-term stability, which enables us to build and invest in a stressed environment. in our business, even Management's Discussion and Analysis Our capital management objectives are to: è influence and ensure compliance with capital requirements, è maintain access to capital and reinsurance markets, è manage our capital to support our business strategies and the competing priorities of relevant stakeholders è assess appropriate uses for capital that cannot be deployed in support of our business strategies, including the size and form of capital return to shareholders, and è support business opportunities by enabling capital flexibility and efficiently using company resources. These objectives are achieved through ongoing monitoring and management of our capital position, mortgage insurance portfolio stress modeling, and a capital governance framework. Capital management is intended to be flexible in order to react to a range of potential events. The focus we place on any individual objective may change over time due to factors that include, but are not limited to, economic conditions, changes at the GSEs, competition, and alternative transactions to transfer mortgage risk. Capital Structure The following table summarizes our capital structure as of December 31, 2021, and 2020. (In thousands, except ratio) Common stock, paid- in capital, retained earnings, less treasury stock Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of tax Total shareholders' equity Long-term debt, par value Total capital resources Ratio of long-term debt to shareholders' equity 2021 2020 $ 4,741,685 $ 4,482,165 119,697 216,821 4,861,382 4,698,986 1,157,500 1,256,110 $ 6,018,882 $ 5,955,096 23.8 % 26.7 % The increase in total shareholders' equity in 2021 from 2020 was primarily due to net income during 2021, offset by our repurchases of our common stock, and dividends paid to shareholders. See Note 13 - "Shareholders' Equity" for further information. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 37 Management's Discussion and Analysis DEBT AT OUR HOLDING COMPANY AND HOLDING COMPANY LIQUIDITY Debt obligations - holding company The 5.75% Notes, 5.25% Notes, and 9% Debentures are obligations of our holding company, MGIC Investment Corporation, and not of its subsidiaries. We have no debt obligations due within the next twelve months. As of December 31, 2021, our 5.25% Notes had $650 million of outstanding principal due in 2028, our 5.75% Notes had $242.3 million of outstanding principal due in August 2023, and our 9% Debentures had $110.2 million of outstanding principal due in April 2063. In February 2022, we repurchased $42.0 million aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures at a purchase prices of $57.3 million, plus accrued interest. The 9% Debentures are a convertible debt issuance. Subject to certain limitations and restrictions, holders of the 9% Debentures may convert their notes into shares of our common stock at their option prior to certain dates prescribed under the terms of their issuance, in which case our corresponding obligation will be eliminated prior to the scheduled maturity. In December 2021, we repurchased $98.6 million in aggregate principal of our 9% Debentures. See Note 7 - "Debt" for further information on our outstanding debt obligations and transactions impacting our consolidated financial statements in 2021 and 2020. Liquidity analysis - holding company As of December 31, 2021, and December 31, 2020, we had approximately $663 million and $847 million, respectively, in cash and investments at our holding company. These resources are maintained primarily to service our debt interest expense, pay debt maturities, repurchase shares, pay dividends to shareholders, and to settle intercompany obligations. While these assets are held, we generate investment income that serves to offset a portion of our interest expense. Investment income and the payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries are the principal sources of holding company cash inflow. MGIC is the principal source of dividends, and their payment is restricted by insurance regulation. See Note 14 - “Statutory Information” to our consolidated financial statement for additional information about MGIC’s dividend restrictions. The payment of dividends from MGIC is also influenced by our view of the appropriate level of excess PMIERs Available Assets to maintain. Raising capital in the public is another potential source of holding markets company liquidity. The ability to raise capital in the public markets is subject to prevailing market conditions, investor demand for the securities to be issued, and our deemed creditworthiness. Over the next twelve months the principal demand on holding company resources will be interest payments on our 5.75% Notes, 5.25% Notes, and 9% Debentures approximating $58 million, based on the debt outstanding at December 31, 2021. We believe our holding company has sufficient sources of liquidity to meet its payment obligations for the foreseeable future. During the last half of 2021 and the first quarter of 2020, we used approximately $291 million and $120 million respectively, of available holding company cash to repurchase shares of our common stock. In 2022, through February 18, we used approximately $76 million of available holding company cash to repurchase shares of our common stock. The repurchase programs may be suspended or discontinued at any time. See “Overview - Capital” of this MD&A for a discussion of our share repurchase programs. We may use additional holding company cash to repurchase additional shares or to repurchase our outstanding debt obligations. Such repurchases may be material, may be made for cash (funded by debt) and/or exchanges for other securities, and may be made in open market purchases (including through 10b5-1 plans), privately negotiated acquisitions or other transactions. See "Overview-Capital" of this MD&A for a discussion for a discussion of our share repurchase programs. In 2021 we used $94 million to pay cash dividends to shareholders. On January 25, 2022, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per common share to shareholders of record on February 16 2022, payable on March 2, 2022. Our holding company cash and investments decreased $184 million in 2021, to $663 million as of December 31, 2021. Significant cash and investments inflows during the year: • • $400 million of dividends received from MGIC, and $17 million of investment income. Significant cash outflows during the year: • • • • $291 million of share repurchase transactions, $94 million shareholders, in cash dividends paid to in $136 million repurchases of our 9% Debentures ($98.6 million in principal amount), and $69 million of interest payments on our 5.75% Notes, 5.25% Notes and 9% Debentures. 38 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report The net unrealized gains on our holding company investment portfolio were approximately $2.6 million at December 31, 2021 and the portfolio had a modified duration of approximately 1.7 years. Scheduled debt maturities beyond the next twelve months include $242.3 million of our 5.75% Notes in 2023, $650 of our 5.25% Notes in 2028, and $110.2 million of our 9% Debentures in 2063. The principal amount of the 9% Debentures is currently convertible, at the holder’s option, at a conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 76.5496 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures. This represents a conversion price of approximately $13.06 per share. We may redeem the 9% Debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the 9% Debentures being redeemed, plus any accrued and unpaid interest, if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds $16.98 (adjusted pro rata for changes in the conversion price) for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption. We expect to provide a redemption notice for the Debentures when this requirement is met and would expect the majority of the holders of the Debentures would elect to convert their Debentures into common stock before the redemption date. Under the terms of the Debenture, we may pay cash in lieu of issuing shares. See Note 7 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements for additional information about the conversion terms of our 9% Debentures. The description in Note 7 - “Debt" to our consolidated financial statements is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the notes and debentures. The terms of our 9% Debentures are contained in the Indenture dated as of March 28, 2008, between us and U.S. Bank National Association filed as an exhibit to our Form 10-Q filed with the SEC on May 12, 2008. The terms of our 5.75% Notes are contained in a Supplemental Indenture, dated as of August 5, 2016, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, which is included as an exhibit to our 8-K filed with the SEC on August 5, 2016, and in the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000 between us and the trustee. The terms of our 5.25% Notes are contained in a Supplemental Indenture, dated as of August 12, 2020, between us and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee, which is included as an exhibit to our 8-K filed with the SEC on August 12, 2020, and in the Indenture dated as of October 15, 2000 between us and the trustee. Although not anticipated in the near term, we may also contribute funds to our insurance operations to comply with the PMIERs or the State Capital Requirements. See “Overview – Capital” above for a discussion of these requirements. See the discussion of our non-insurance contract underwriting services in Note 17 – “Litigation and Contingencies” to our Management's Discussion and Analysis consolidated financial statements for other possible uses of holding company resources. DEBT AT SUBSIDIARIES MGIC is a member of the FHLB. Membership in the FHLB provides MGIC access to an additional source of liquidity via a secured lending facility. MGIC has outstanding a $155.0 million fixed rate advance from the FHLB. Interest on the advance is payable monthly at a fixed annual rate of 1.91%. The principal of the advance matures on February 10, 2023 but may be prepaid at any time. Such prepayment would be below par if interest rates have risen after the advance was originated, or above par if interest rates have declined. The advance is secured by eligible collateral in the form of pledged securities from the investment portfolio, whose market value must be maintained at a minimum of 102% of the principal balance of the advance. Annual debt services on the FHLB debt as of December 31, 2021, is approximately $3 million. Capital Adequacy PMIERs We operate under each of the GSE's PMIERs. Refer to "Overview - Capital - GSEs" of this MD&A for further discussion of PMIERs. As of December 31, 2021, MGIC’s Available Assets under PMIERs totaled approximately $5.7 billion, an excess of approximately $2.2 billion over its Minimum Required Assets; and MGIC is in compliance with the requirements of the PMIERs and eligible to insure loans delivered to or purchased by the GSEs. Maintaining a sufficient level of excess Available Assets will allow MGIC to remain in compliance with the PMIERs financial requirements. The table below presents the PMIERS capital credit for our reinsurance transactions. PMIERs - Reinsurance Credit (In millions) QSR Transactions Home Re Transactions Total capital credit for Reinsurance Transactions December 31, 2021 2020 $ 1,129 $ 1,002 765 482 $ 1,894 $ 1,484 Our 2022 QSR transaction terms are generally comparable to our existing QSR transactions and will also provide PMIERs capital credit. Refer to Note 9 - "Reinsurance" financial statements information on our reinsurance transactions. for additional consolidated our to The PMIERs generally require us to hold significantly more Minimum Required Assets for delinquent loans than for performing loans and the Minimum Required MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 39 in statutory policyholders' position was primarily due to an increase in statutory contingency reserves and net income during 2021, offset by dividends paid to our holding company of $400 million. The increase in our RIF, net of reinsurance, was primarily due to an increase in our IIF and the termination of our 2017 and 2018 QSR Transaction, offset by a decrease in our reduction to risk on policies that are currently in default for which loss reserves have been established. Our risk-to-capital ratio will increase if the percentage increase in capital exceeds the percentage decrease in insured risk. For additional information regarding regulatory capital see Note 14 – “Statutory Information” to our consolidated financial statements as well as our risk factor titled “State capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis.” Financial Strength Ratings MGIC financial strength ratings Rating Agency Moody's Investors Service Standard and Poor's Rating Services A.M. Best Rating Outlook Baa1 BBB+ A- Stable Stable Stable MAC financial strength ratings Rating Agency A.M. Best Rating Outlook A- Stable information about the For further importance of MGIC’s ratings and rating methodologies, see our risk in our factor relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and / or increase our losses.” “Competition or changes titled Management's Discussion and Analysis Assets required to be held increases as the number of payments missed on a delinquent loan increases. We plan to continuously comply with the PMIERs through our operational activities or through the contribution of funds from our holding company, subject to demands on the holding company's resources, as outlined above. RISK-TO-CAPITAL loss limits and without these We compute our risk-to-capital ratio on a separate company statutory basis, as well as on a combined insurance operations basis. The risk-to-capital ratio is our net RIF divided by our policyholders’ position. Our net RIF includes both primary and pool RIF and excludes risk on policies that are currently in default and for which case loss reserves have been established and the risk covered by reinsurance. The risk amount includes pools of loans with contractual limits. aggregate Policyholders’ position consists primarily of statutory policyholders’ surplus (which increases as a result of statutory net income and decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends paid), plus the statutory contingency reserve and a portion of the reserves for unearned premiums. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a liability on the statutory balance sheet. A mortgage insurance company is required to make annual additions to a contingency reserve of approximately 50% of earned premiums. These contributions must generally be maintained for a period of ten years. However, with regulatory approval a mortgage insurance company may make early withdrawals from the contingency reserve when incurred losses exceed 35% of earned premiums in a calendar year. The table below presents our combined insurance companies’ risk-to-capital calculation (which includes a reinsurance affiliate). Risk-to-capital - Combined insurance companies (In millions, except ratio) RIF - net (1) Statutory policyholders' surplus December 31, 2021 2020 $ 50,748 $ 44,868 $ 1,221 $ 1,340 Statutory contingency reserve 4,127 3,586 Statutory policyholders' position $ 5,348 $ 4,926 Risk-to-capital 9.5:1 9.1:1 (1) RIF – net, as shown in the table above, is net of reinsurance and exposure on policies currently delinquent ($1.8 billion at December 31, 2021 and $2.9 billion at December 31, 2020) and for which case loss reserves have been established. increase in our combined The 2021 insurance companies risk-to-capital was due to an increase in RIF, net of reinsurance, partially offset by an increase in our statutory policyholder's position. The increase 40 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES The accounting estimates described below require significant the preparation of our consolidated financial statements. judgments and estimates in LOSS RESERVES uncertainty The estimation of case loss reserves is subject to inherent significant and to our judgement by management. Changes estimates could result in a material impact to our consolidated results and financial position, even in a stable economic environment. requires Case Reserves reserves are established Case for estimated insurance losses when notices of delinquency on insured mortgage loans are received. Such loans are referred to as being in our delinquency inventory. For reporting purposes, we consider a loan delinquent when it is two or more payments past due and has not become current or resulted in a claim payment. Even though the accounting standard, ASC 944, regarding accounting and insurance entities specifically excluded mortgage insurance from its guidance relating to loss reserves, we establish loss reserves using the general principles contained in the insurance standard. However, consistent with industry standards for mortgage insurers, we do not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans which are not currently delinquent. reporting by Management's Discussion and Analysis determine reserves does not include quantitative ranges of outcomes that are reasonably likely to occur. rates, interest The claim rates and claim severities are affected by external events, including actual economic conditions such as changes in unemployment rates, interest rates or housing values, pandemics and natural disasters. Our estimation process does not include a correlation between claim rates and claim severities to projected economic conditions such as changes in unemployment rates or housing values. Our experience is that analysis of that nature would not produce reliable results as the change in one economic condition cannot be isolated to determine its specific effect on our ultimate paid losses because each economic condition is also influenced by other economic conditions. Additionally, the changes and interactions of these economic conditions are not likely homogeneous throughout the in which we conduct business. Each regions influences our ultimate paid economic condition losses differently, even if apparently similar in nature. Furthermore, changes in economic conditions may not necessarily be reflected in our loss development in the quarter or year in which the changes occur. in lag changes Actual claim economic conditions by at least nine to twelve months. results generally We establish reserves using estimated claim rates and claim severities in estimating the ultimate loss. The estimated claim rates and claim severities are used to determine the amount we estimate will actually be paid on the delinquent loans as of the reserve date. If a policy is rescinded we do not expect that it will result in a claim payment and thus the rescission generally reduces the historical claim rate used in establishing reserves. In addition, if a loan cures its delinquency, including through a successful loan modification, the cure reduces the historical claim rate used in establishing reserves. To establish reserves, we utilize a reserving model that continually incorporates historical data into the estimated claim rate. The model also incorporates an estimate for the amount of the claim we will pay, or severity. The severity is estimated using the historical percentage of our claims paid compared to our loan exposures, as well as the RIF of the loans currently in default. We do not utilize an explicit rescission rate in our reserving methodology, but rather our reserving methodology incorporates the effects rescission activity has had on our historical claim rate and claim severities. We review recent trends in the claim rate, claim severity, levels of defaults by geography and average loan exposure. As a result, the process to Our estimates are also affected by any agreements we enter into regarding our claims paying practices, such as the settlement agreements discussed in Note 17 – to our “Litigation and Contingencies” consolidated financial statements. Our estimate of loss reserves is sensitive to changes in claim rate and claim severity; it is possible that even a relatively small change in our estimated claim rate or claim severity could have a material impact on reserves and, correspondingly, on our consolidated results of operations even in a stable economic environment. For example, as of December 31, 2021, assuming all other factors remain constant, a $1,000 in the average claim severity increase/decrease reserve factor would change the reserve amount by approximately +/- $16 million. A one percentage point increase/decrease in the average claim rate reserve factor would change reserve amount by the approximately +/- $19 million. Historically, it has not been uncommon for us to experience variability in the development of the loss reserves through the end of the following year at this level or higher, as shown by the historical development of our loss reserves in the table below: MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 41 Management's Discussion and Analysis Historical development of loss reserves (In thousands) Losses incurred related to prior years (1) Reserve at end of prior year 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 (60,015) 19,604 (71,006) (167,366) (231,204) 880,537 555,334 674,019 985,635 1,438,813 (1) A negative number for a prior year indicates a redundancy of loss reserves. A positive number for a prior year indicates a deficiency of loss reserves. See Note 8 – “Loss Reserves” to our consolidated financial statements for a discussion of recent loss development. 42 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Glossary of terms and acronyms / A ARMs Adjustable rate mortgages ABS Asset-backed securities ASC Accounting Standards Codification Available Assets Assets, as designated under the PMIERs, that are readily available to pay claims, and include the most liquid investments / B Book or book year A group of loans insured in a particular calendar year BPMI Borrower-paid mortgage insurance / C CECL Current expected credit losses covered under ASC 326 Debt-to-income ("DTI") ratio The ratio, expressed as a percentage, of a borrower's total debt payments to gross income Delinquent Loan A loan that is past due on a mortgage payment. A delinquent loan is typically reported to us by servicers when the loan has missed two or more payments. A loan will continue to be reported as delinquent until it becomes current or a claim payment has been made. A delinquent loan is also referred to as a default Delinquency Rate The percentage of insured loans that are delinquent Direct Before giving effect to reinsurance /E EPS Earnings per share / F Fannie Mae Federal National Mortgage Association CFPB FCRA Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Fair Credit Reporting Act CLO FHA Collateralized loan obligations Federal Housing Administration CMBS FHFA Commercial mortgage-backed securities Federal Housing Finance Agency COVID-19 Pandemic FHLB An outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease, later named COVID-19, that has spread globally, causing significant adverse effects on populations and economies. The outbreak of COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization and a national emergency in the United States in March 2020 CRT Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago, of which MGIC is a member FICO score A measure of consumer credit risk provided by credit bureaus, typically produced from statistical models by Fair Isaac Corporation utilizing data collected by the credit bureaus Credit risk transfer. The transfer of a portion of mortgage credit risk to the private sector through different forms of transactions and structures Freddie Mac Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation / D DAC Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs / G GAAP Generally Accepted Accounting Principles United States in the MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 43 Glossary GSEs Collectively, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac / H HAMP Home Affordable Modification Program HARP Home Affordable Refinance Program Home Re Entities Unaffiliated special purpose insurers domiciled in Bermuda that participate in our aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreements. Home Re Transactions Excess-of-loss reinsurance transactions with the Home Re Entities HOPA Homeowners Protection Act HUD Housing and Urban Development / I IBNR Reserves Loss reserves established on loans we estimate are delinquent, but for which the delinquency has not been reported to us IIF Insurance in force, which for loans insured by us, is equal to the unpaid principal balance, as reported to us ILN Insurance-linked notes / L LAE Loss adjustment expenses, which includes the costs of settling claims, including legal and other expenses and general expenses of administering the claims settlement process. Loan-to-value ("LTV") ratio The ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the dollar amount of the first mortgage loan to the value of the property at the time the loan became insured and does not subsequent housing price appreciation or depreciation. Subordinate mortgages may also be present reflect Long-term debt: 5.75% Notes 5.75% Senior Notes due on August 15, 2023, with interest payable semi-annually on February 15 and August 15 of each year 5.25% Notes 5.25% Senior Notes due on August 15, 2028, with interest payable semi-annually on February 15 and August 15 of each year 9% Debentures 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due on April 1, 2063, with interest payable semi- annually on April 1 and October 1 of each year FHLB Advance or the Advance 1.91% Fixed rate advance from the FHLB due on February 10, 2023, with interest payable monthly Loss ratio The ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to NPE Low down payment loans or mortgages Loans with less than 20% down payments LPMI Lender-paid mortgage insurance / M MBS Mortgage-backed securities MD&A Management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations MGIC Mortgage Guaranty subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corporation Insurance Corporation, a MAC MGIC Assurance Corporation, a subsidiary of MGIC Minimum Required Assets The minimum amount of Available Assets that must be held under the PMIERs, which is based on an insurer's book of RIF and is calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given reinsurance transactions, and subject to a floor of $400 million risk ceded under for 44 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Glossary MPP PMI state Minimum Policyholder Position, as required under certain “policyholder requirements. The position” of a mortgage insurer is its net worth or surplus, contingency reserve and a portion of the reserves for unearned premiums / N N/A Not applicable for the period presented Private Mortgage Insurance (as an industry or product type) PMIERs Insurer Eligibility Requirements Private Mortgage issued by each of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to set forth requirements that an approved insurer must meet and maintain to provide mortgage guaranty insurance on loans delivered to or acquired by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, as applicable NAIC The Commissioners National NIW Association of Insurance Pre-COVID-19 delinquencies A delinquent loan reported to us prior to the second quarter of 2020 New Insurance Written, is the aggregate original principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period Premium Rate The contractual rate charged for coverage under our insurance policies N/M Data, or calculation, deemed not meaningful for the period presented NPE The amount of premiums earned, net of premiums assumed and ceded under reinsurance agreements NPL Non-performing loan, which is a delinquent loan, at any stage in its delinquency NPW The amount of premiums written, net of premiums assumed and ceded under reinsurance agreements / O OCI Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin OTTI Other than temporary impairment / P Premium Yield The ratio of premium earned divided by the average IIF outstanding for the period measured Primary Insurance Insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans. Primary insurance may be written on a "flow" basis, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions, or on a "bulk" basis, in which each loan in a portfolio of loans is individually insured in a single bulk transaction Profit Commission Payments we receive from reinsurers under each of our quota share reinsurance transactions if the annual loss ratio is below levels specified in the quota share reinsurance transaction / Q QSR Transaction Quota share reinsurance transaction with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers Peak-COVID-19 delinquencies 2015 QSR A delinquent loan reported to us in the second and third quarter of 2020 Our QSR transaction that provides coverage on eligible NIW written prior to 2017 Persistency 2017 QSR The percentage of our insurance remaining in force from one year prior Our QSR transaction that provided coverage on eligible NIW in 2017 MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 45 Glossary 2018 QSR Our QSR transaction that provided coverage on eligible NIW in 2018 2019 QSR Our QSR transaction that provides coverage on eligible NIW in 2019 2020 QSR Our QSR transactions that provides coverage on eligible NIW in 2020 2021 QSR RMBS Residential mortgage-backed securities / S State Capital Requirements Under certain state regulations, the minimum amount of statutory capital relative to risk in force (or similar measure) / T Tax Act The U.S. tax reform enacted on December 22, 2017 and commonly referred to as the "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act" Our QSR transactions that provides coverage on eligible NIW in 2021 TILA 2022 QSR Our QSR transactions that provides coverage on eligible NIW in 2022 / U Underwriting expense ratio Truth in Lending Act Credit Union QSR Our QSR transaction that provides coverage on eligible NIW institutions originated from April 1, 2020 through December 31, 2025 from credit union The ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the underwriting and operating expenses, net and amortization of DAC of our combined insurance (which excludes underwriting and operations operating non-insurance our expenses subsidiaries) to NPW of / R RESPA Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act Underwriting profit NPE minus incurred losses and underwriting and operating expenses RIF Risk in force, which for an individual loan insured by us, is equal to the unpaid loan principal balance, as reported to us, multiplied by the insurance coverage percentage. RIF is sometimes referred to as exposure Risk-to-capital USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture / V VA U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Under certain state regulations, the ratio of RIF, net of reinsurance and exposure on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established, to the level of statutory capital VIE Variable interest entity 46 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk Our investment portfolio is essentially a fixed income portfolio and is exposed to market risk. Important drivers of the market risk are credit spread risk and interest rate risk. Credit spread risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in credit spreads. Credit income is the additional yield on fixed spread securities above the risk-free rate (typically referenced as the yield on U.S. Treasury securities) that market participants for assuming credit, liquidity and/or prepayment risks. to compensate require them We manage credit risk via our investment policy guidelines which primarily require us to place our investments in investment grade securities and limit the amount of our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and instrument. Guideline and investment portfolio detail is available in "Business – Section C, Investment Portfolio" in in Item 1 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 filed with the SEC on February 23, 2022. type of Interest rate risk is the risk that we will incur a loss due to adverse changes in interest rates relative to the characteristics of our interest bearing assets. One of the measures used to quantify this exposure is modified duration. Modified duration measures the price sensitivity of the assets to the changes in spreads. At December 31, 2021, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.5 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 4.5% in the fair value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the fair value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the fair value would increase. A discussion of portfolio strategy appears in "Management's Discussion and Analysis – Balance Sheet Review– Investment Portfolio." MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 47 Risk Factors As used below, “we,” “our” and “us” refer to MGIC Investment Corporation’s consolidated operations or to MGIC Investment Corporation, as the context requires; and “MGIC” refers to Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation. yet been reported to us (which is included in what we refer to as “IBNR”). In addition, our current estimates of the number of delinquencies for which we will receive claims, and the amount, or severity, of each claim, may increase. to matters other Our actual results could be affected by the risk factors below. These risk factors are an integral part of this annual report. These risk factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of than statements which relate historical fact, including matters that inherently refer to future events. Among others, statements that include words such as “believe,” “anticipate,” “will” or “expect,” or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. No reader of this annual report should rely on these statements being current at any time other than the time at which this annual report was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Risk Factors Relating to the COVID-19 Pandemic The COVID-19 pandemic may materially impact our liquidity and/or future financial results, business, financial condition. The COVID-19 pandemic had a material impact on our 2020 financial results. While uncertain, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s future financial results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition may also be material. The magnitude of the impact will be influenced by various factors, including the length and severity of the pandemic in the United transmission of States, efforts COVID-19, the level of unemployment, and the impact of government initiatives and actions taken by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (including mortgage forbearance and modification programs) to mitigate the economic harm caused by COVID-19. "GSEs") reduce (the the to The COVID-19 pandemic may impact our business in various ways, including the following, each of which is described in more detail in the remainder of these risk factors: • Our incurred losses will increase if the number of delinquencies increases. We establish reserves for insurance losses when delinquency notices are received on loans that are two or more payments past due and for loans we estimate are delinquent prior to the close of the accounting period but for which delinquency notices have not • We may be required to maintain more capital under the private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements ("PMIERs") of the GSEs, which generally require more capital to be held for delinquent loans than for performing loans and require more capital to be held as the number of payments missed on delinquent loans increases. • • If the number of delinquencies increases, the number of claims we must pay over time will generally increase. Our access to the reinsurance and capital markets may be limited and the terms under which we are able to access such markets may be less attractive terms of our previous transactions. than the Risk Factors Relating to the Mortgage Insurance Industry and its Regulation Downturns in the domestic economy or declines in in more homeowners home prices may defaulting and our increasing, with a corresponding decrease in our returns. losses result Losses result from events that reduce a borrower’s ability or willingness to make mortgage payments, such as unemployment, health issues, family status, and whether the mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home, net of sales-related expenses. A deterioration in economic conditions, including an increase in unemployment, generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect home prices, which in turn can influence the willingness of borrowers with sufficient resources to make mortgage payments when the mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home, net of sales-related expenses. “FHFA”), which The seasonally-adjusted Purchase-Only U.S. Home Price Index of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (the is based on single-family properties whose mortgages have been purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, indicates that home prices increased by 15.9% in the first eleven months of 2021, after increasing by 11.5%, 5.4%, 5.7% and 6.3% in 2020, 2019, 2018 and 2017, respectively. The price-to-income ratio in some markets exceeds its historical average, in part as a result of recent home price appreciation outpacing increases in income. Home prices may decline even absent a deterioration 48 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result from changes in buyers’ perceptions of future appreciation, restrictions on and the cost of mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards, higher interest rates, changes to the tax deductibility in the rate of of mortgage household formations, or other factors. interest, decreases the potential for the current market environment, levels of unemployment may result in an High loan delinquencies and an increasing number of increasing number of insurance claims; however, the increases are difficult to predict given the uncertainty in including uncertainty about the length and severity of the the COVID-19 transmission of COVID-19; effects of forbearance programs enacted by the GSEs, various states and municipalities; and effects of past and future government stimulus programs. pandemic; reduce efforts to for Forbearance federally-insured mortgages (including those delivered to or purchased by the GSEs) allows for mortgage payments to be suspended for up to 18 months: an initial forbearance period of up to six months; if requested by the borrower following contact by the servicer, an extension of up to six months; and, for loans in a COVID-19 forbearance plan as of February 28, 2021, an additional extension of up to six months, subject to certain limits. In certain circumstances, the servicer will be unable to contact the borrower the forbearance plan and it will expire without being extended, or further extended, as applicable. A delinquent loan for which the borrower was unable to be contacted and that is not in a forbearance plan may be more likely to result in a claim than a delinquent loan in a forbearance plan. regarding an extension of the the uncertainty surrounding Historically, forbearance plans have reduced the incidence of our losses on affected loans. However, given long-term economic impact of COVID-19, it is difficult to predict the ultimate effect of COVID-19 related forbearances on our loss incidence. Of the 46,684 loans in our delinquency inventory as of June 30, 2020 that were reported to us as in forbearance, 85% are no longer in the default inventory as of December 31, 2021; 4% are still in the delinquency inventory and reported to us as in forbearance; and 11% are still in the delinquency inventory but no in forbearance. At December 31, 2021, 11,137, or 33%, of the loans in our delinquency inventory were reported to us as in forbearance and of those, 40%, 12%, 12% and 10% have reached the fifteen-month, twelve-month, nine-month and six-month anniversaries of their loan forbearance plans, respectively. Whether a delinquency will cure, including through modification, when forbearance ends will depend on the economic circumstances of the borrower at that time. The GSEs have introduced specific loan workout options for longer reported to us as Risk Factors borrowers whose COVID-19 forbearance plans end. If a servicer is unable to contact a borrower to determine a loan workout option, the forbearance plan will end and the loan may remain delinquent. The severity of losses associated with delinquencies that do not cure will depend on economic conditions at that time, including home prices. Foreclosures on mortgages purchased or securitized by the GSEs were suspended through July 31, 2021. Under a CFPB rule that was effective through December 31, 2021, with limited exceptions, servicers were required to ensure that at least one temporary procedural safeguard had been met before referring 120-day delinquent loans for foreclosure. With the expiration of the CFPB rule, it is likely that foreclosures and claims will increase. We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ private insurer eligibility requirements and our mortgage returns may decrease if we are required to maintain more capital in order to maintain our eligibility. We must comply with a GSE's PMIERs to be eligible to insure loans delivered to or purchased by that GSE. The PMIERs include financial requirements, as well as business, quality control and certain transaction approval requirements. The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer’s “Available Assets” (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its “Minimum Required Assets” (which are generally based on an insurer’s book of risk in force and calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given reinsurance agreements). risk ceded under for Based on our interpretation of the PMIERs, as of December 31, 2021, MGIC’s Available Assets totaled $5.7 billion, or $2.2 billion in excess of its Minimum Required Assets. MGIC is in compliance with the PMIERs and eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs. Our "Minimum Required Assets" reflect a credit for risk ceded under our reinsurance transactions, which are discussed in our risk factor titled "The mix of business we write affects our Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, our premium yields and the likelihood of losses occurring." The calculated credit for excess of loss reinsurance transactions under PMIERs is generally based on the PMIERs requirement of the covered loans and the attachment and detachment points of the coverage, all of which fluctuate over time. PMIERs credit is generally not given for the reinsured risk above the PMIERs requirement. The GSEs have discretion to further limit reinsurance credit under the PMIERs. Refer to our Quarterly Supplements, which are posted on our investor website, for the calculated PMIERs credit for each of our excess of loss reinsurance transactions. We are not including the information contained in those Supplements or on our investor website as a MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 49 Risk Factors part of, or incorporating it by reference into, this Report. There is a risk we will not receive our current level of credit in future periods for ceded risk. In addition, we may not receive the same level of credit under future reinsurance transactions that we receive under existing transactions. If MGIC is not allowed certain levels of credit under the PMIERs, under certain circumstances, MGIC may terminate the reinsurance transactions without penalty. The PMIERs generally require us to hold significantly more Minimum Required Assets for delinquent loans than for performing loans and the Minimum Required Assets required to be held increases as the number of payments missed on a delinquent loan increases. If the number of loan delinquencies caused by the COVID-19 pandemic or other factors increases, it may cause our Minimum Required Assets to exceed our Available Assets. We are unable to predict the ultimate number of loans that will become delinquent. If our Available Assets fall below our Minimum Required Assets, we would not be in compliance with the PMIERs. The PMIERs provide a list of remediation actions for a mortgage insurer's non-compliance, with additional actions possible in the GSEs' discretion. At the extreme, the GSEs may suspend or terminate our eligibility to insure loans purchased by them. Such suspension or termination would significantly reduce the volume of our new insurance written ("NIW"); the substantial majority of which is for loans delivered to or purchased by the GSEs. In addition to the increase in Minimum Required Assets associated with delinquent loans, factors that may negatively impact MGIC’s ability to continue to comply with the financial requirements of the PMIERs include the following: • • The GSEs may make the PMIERs more onerous in the future. The PMIERs provide that the factors that determine Minimum Required Assets will be updated periodically, or as needed if there is a significant change in macroeconomic conditions or loan performance. We do not anticipate that the regular periodic updates will occur more frequently than once every two years. The PMIERs state that the GSEs will provide notice 180 days prior to the effective date of updates to the factors; however, the GSEs may amend the PMIERs at any time, imposing restrictions specific to our company. including by There may be future implications for PMIERs as a result of changes to the regulatory capital requirements for the GSEs. In 2020, the FHFA adopted a rule containing a capital framework for the GSEs that generally would have become effective on the date of termination of the FHFA’s conservatorship of In September 2021, the FHFA issued a notice of proposed rule-making that would modify that capital framework. When the final GSE capital the applicable GSE. requirements have been determined and become effective, they may affect the Minimum Required Assets required to be held by mortgage insurers. • Our future operating results may be negatively impacted by the matters discussed in the rest of these risk factors. Such matters could decrease our revenues, increase our losses or require the use of assets, thereby creating a shortfall in Available Assets. Should capital be needed by MGIC in the future, capital contributions from our holding company may not be available due to competing demands on holding company resources, including for repayment of debt. Because we establish loss reserves only upon a loan delinquency rather than based on estimates of our ultimate losses on risk in force, losses may have a disproportionate adverse effect on our earnings in certain periods. In accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States, we establish case reserves for insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses only when delinquency notices are received for insured loans that are two or more payments past due and for loans we estimate are delinquent but for which delinquency notices have not yet been received (which we include in “IBNR”). Losses that may occur from loans that are not delinquent are not reflected in our financial statements, except in the case where a premium deficiency exists. A premium deficiency would be recorded if the present value of expected future losses and expenses exceeds the present value of expected future premiums and already established loss reserves on the applicable loans. As a result, future losses incurred on loans that are not currently delinquent may have a material impact on future results as delinquencies emerge. As of December 31, 2021, we had established case reserves and reported losses incurred for 33,290 loans in our delinquency inventory and our IBNR reserve totaled $27 million. The number of loans in our delinquency inventory may increase from that level as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, and our losses incurred may increase. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of incurred will be delinquencies and our influenced by various those discussed in our risk factor titled "The COVID-19 pandemic may materially impact our financial results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition." losses factors, including loss reserve estimates are subject Because to uncertainties, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves. When we establish case reserves, we estimate our ultimate loss on delinquent loans by estimating the number of such loans that will result in a claim payment (the "claim rate"), and further estimating the 50 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report loss than our incorporate anticipated cures, amount of the claim payment (the "claim severity"). loss Our estimates mitigation activity, rescissions and curtailments. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by management. Our actual claim payments may be substantially reserve estimates. Our different estimates could be affected by several factors, including a change in regional or national economic conditions, the impact of past and future government initiatives and actions taken by the GSEs to mitigate the economic harm caused by the COVID-19 pandemic (including foreclosure moratoriums and mortgage forbearance and modification programs) and efforts to reduce the transmission of COVID-19, and a change in the length of time loans are delinquent before claims are received. All else being equal, the longer a loan is delinquent before a claim is received, the greater the severity. As a result of foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance programs, the average time it takes to receive claims has increased. The change in economic conditions may include changes in unemployment, including prolonged unemployment as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, which may affect the ability of borrowers to make mortgage payments, and changes in home prices, which may affect the willingness of borrowers to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. The economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic may be disproportionately concentrated regions. Information about the geographic dispersion of our insurance in force can be found in our Annual Reports on Form 10-K and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Changes to our claim rate and claim severity estimates could have a material impact on our future results, even in a stable economic environment. Losses incurred generally have followed a seasonal trend in which the second half of the year has weaker credit performance than the first half, with higher new default notice activity and a lower cure rate; however, the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic affected this pattern in 2020 and 2021. geographic certain in The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance. Alternatives to private mortgage insurance include: • • • investors using risk mitigation and credit risk transfer techniques other than private mortgage insurance, or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement, lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring, lenders using Federal Housing Administration ("FHA"), U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Risk Factors ("VA") and other government mortgage insurance programs, and • lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% LTV ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% LTV ratio rather than a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% LTV ratio that has private mortgage insurance. require charters generally The GSEs’ credit enhancement for a low down payment mortgage loan (a loan in an amount that exceeds 80% of a home’s value) in order for such loan to be eligible for purchase by the GSEs. Private mortgage insurance generally has been purchased by in primary mortgage lenders market transactions to satisfy this credit enhancement requirement. In 2018, the GSEs initiated secondary mortgage market programs with loan level mortgage default coverage provided by various (re)insurers that are not mortgage insurers governed by PMIERs, and that are not selected by the lenders. These programs, which currently account for a small percentage of the low down payment market, compete with traditional private mortgage insurance and, due to differences in policy terms, they may offer premium rates that are below prevalent single premium lender-paid mortgage insurance ("LPMI") rates. We participate in these programs from time to time. See our risk factor titled “Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal legislation that changes their charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses” for a discussion of various business practices of the GSEs that may be changed, including through expansion or modification of these programs. The GSEs (and other investors) have also used other forms of credit enhancement that did not involve traditional private mortgage insurance, such as engaging in credit-linked note transactions executed in the capital markets, or using other forms of debt issuances or securitizations that transfer credit risk directly to other investors, including competitors and an affiliate of MGIC; using other risk mitigation techniques in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage; or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement. The FHA's share of the low down payment residential mortgages that were subject to FHA, VA, USDA or primary private mortgage insurance was 23.9% in the first three quarters of 2021, 23.4% in 2020 and 28.2% in 2019. Beginning in 2012, the FHA’s share has been as low as 23.4% (in 2020) and as high as 42.1% (in 2012). Factors that influence the FHA’s market share include relative rates and fees, underwriting guidelines and loan limits of the FHA, VA, private mortgage insurers and the GSEs; lenders' perceptions of legal risks under FHA versus GSE programs; flexibility for the FHA to establish new products as a result of MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 51 Risk Factors focus of federal legislation and programs; returns expected to be obtained by lenders for Ginnie Mae securitization of FHA-insured loans compared to those obtained from selling loans to the GSEs for securitization; and differences in policy terms, such as the ability of a borrower to cancel insurance coverage under certain the Presidential circumstances. The Administration on equitable housing finance and sustainable housing opportunities the likelihood of a reduction in the FHA’s mortgage insurance premium rates. Such a rate reduction would negatively impact our NIW; however, given the many factors that influence the FHA's market share, it is difficult to predict the impact. In addition, we cannot predict how the factors that affect the FHA’s share of new insurance written will change in the future. increases The VA's share of the low down payment residential mortgages that were subject to FHA, VA, USDA or primary private mortgage insurance was 30.9% in the first three quarters of 2021, 30.9% in 2020 and 25.2% in 2019. Beginning in 2012, the VA’s share has been as low as 22.8% (in 2013) and as high as 30.9% (in 2020 and the first three quarters of 2021). We believe that the VA’s market share has generally been elevated in recent years because of an increase in the number of borrowers that are eligible for the VA’s program, which offers 100% LTV ratio loans and charges a one-time funding fee that can be included in the loan amount, and because eligible borrowers have opted to use the VA program when refinancing their mortgages. Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal their charters or a legislation restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses. that changes The substantial majority of our NIW is for loans purchased by the GSEs; therefore, the business practices of the GSEs greatly impact our business. The GSEs have been requested to submit Equitable Housing Finance Plans to the FHFA. The plans are to identify and address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities, including the GSEs’ goals and action plans to advance equity in housing finance for the next three years. The action plans, when finalized, may include methods to reduce mortgage costs for including historically mortgage insurance costs. The GSEs’ action plans will likely change certain of the GSEs’ business practices and those changes may affect the mortgage insurance industry. The GSEs’ business practices that currently affect the mortgage insurance industry include: underserved borrowers, • The GSEs' PMIERs, the financial requirements of which are discussed in our risk factor titled “We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements and our returns may decrease if we are required to maintain more capital in order to maintain our eligibility.” • • • The capital and collateral requirements for participants in the GSEs' alternative forms of credit enhancement discussed in our risk factor titled "The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance." The level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of the GSEs’ charters, when private mortgage insurance is used as the low down required credit enhancement on payment mortgages (the GSEs generally require a level of mortgage insurance coverage that is higher than the level of coverage required by their charters; any change in the required level of coverage will impact our new risk written). The amount of loan level price adjustments and guaranty fees (which result in higher costs to borrowers) that the GSEs assess on loans that require private mortgage insurance. In January 2022, the FHFA announced targeted increases in the loan level price adjustments for certain high- balance loans and second home mortgages. The GSE capital framework, when finalized, may lead the GSEs to increase their guaranty fees. • Whether the GSEs select or the lender’s selection of the mortgage influence mortgage insurer providing coverage. • • • • • The underwriting standards that determine which loans are eligible for purchase by the GSEs, which can affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the availability of mortgage loans. The terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law and the business practices associated with such cancellations. For information, see our risk factor titled more interest rates, house prices or “Changes in mortgage insurance cancellation requirements may change the length of time that our policies remain in force.” The programs established by the GSEs intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages and in which mortgage servicers must implement such programs. the circumstances The terms that the GSEs require to be included in mortgage insurance policies for loans that they purchase, including limitations on the rescission rights of mortgage insurers. The extent to which the GSEs mortgage in insurers’ claims paying practices, intervene 52 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report • • rescission practices or rescission settlement practices with lenders. The maximum loan limits of the GSEs compared to those of the FHA and other investors. the FHFA established The benchmarks established by the FHFA for loans to be purchased by the GSEs, which can insured. In affect the loans available to be December 2021, the benchmark levels for 2022-2024 purchases of low-income home mortgages, very low-income home mortgages and refinance mortgages, each of which exceeded the 2021 benchmarks. The FHFA also established two new sub-goals: one targeting minority communities and low-income neighborhoods. low-income targeting other the The FHFA has been the conservator of the GSEs since 2008 and has the authority to control and direct their operations. The increased role that the federal government has assumed in the residential housing finance system through the GSE conservatorship may increase the likelihood that the business practices of the GSEs change, including through administrative action, in ways that have a material adverse effect on us and that the charters of the GSEs are changed by new federal legislation. As a result of the 2021 change in the Presidential Administration, the June 2021 appointment of a new Acting Director of the FHFA who has also been nominated to become the full-time Director, and the 2021 U.S. Supreme Court decision that allows the President to remove the FHFA Director at will, it is uncertain what role the GSEs, FHA and private capital, including private mortgage insurance, will play in the residential housing finance system in the future. The timing and impact on our business of any resulting changes is uncertain. Many of the proposed changes would require Congressional action to implement and it is difficult to estimate when Congressional action would be final and how long any associated phase-in period may last. Reinsurance may not always be available or affordable. We have in place quota share reinsurance ("QSR") and excess of loss reinsurance ("XOL") transactions providing various amounts of coverage on 78% of our risk in force as of December 31, 2021. As of December 31, 2021, our QSR transactions with unaffiliated reinsurers cover most of our insurance written from 2013 through 2016 and 2019 through 2022, and smaller portions of our insurance written prior to 2013 and from 2023 through 2025. The weighted average coverage percentage of our QSR transactions was 30%, based on risk in force as of December 31, 2021. We elected to terminate our QSR Transactions Risk Factors covering 2017 and 2018 policy years, effective transactions at December 31, 2021. Our XOL December 31, 2021 provided XOL reinsurance coverage for a portion of the risk associated with certain mortgage insurance policies having insurance coverage in force dates from July 1, 2016 through March 31, 2019 and January 1, 2020 through May 28, 2021, all dates inclusive. The XOL transactions were entered into with special purpose insurers that issued notes linked to the reinsurance coverage ("Insurance Linked Notes" or "ILNs"). The reinsurance transactions reduce the tail-risk associated with stress scenarios. As a result, they reduce the capital that we are required to hold to support the risk and they allow us to earn higher returns on our business than we would without them. However, reinsurance may not always be available to us or available on similar terms, the quota share reinsurance transactions subject us to counterparty credit risk, and the GSEs may change the credit they allow under the PMIERs for risk ceded under our reinsurance transactions. If we are unable to obtain reinsurance for NIW, the capital required to support our NIW will increase and our returns may decrease absent an increase in our premium rates. An increase in our premium rates may lead to a decrease in our NIW. We are subject to comprehensive regulation and other requirements, which we may fail to satisfy. for insurers, fee provisions of investors. Mortgage the protection of our We are subject to comprehensive regulation, including by state insurance departments. Many regulations are designed insured policyholders and consumers, rather than for the benefit of including MGIC, have in the past been involved in litigation and regulatory actions related to alleged violations of the anti-referral the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act ("RESPA"), and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act ("FCRA"). While these proceedings in the aggregate did not result in material liability for MGIC, there can be no assurance that the outcome of future proceedings, if any, under these laws would not have a material adverse effect on us. To the extent that we are construed to make independent credit decisions in connection with our contract underwriting activities, we also could be subject to increased regulatory requirements under the Equal Credit Opportunity Act ("ECOA"), FCRA, and other laws. Under relevant laws, examination may also be made of whether a mortgage insurer's underwriting decisions have a disparate impact on persons belonging to a protected class in violation of the law. Although their scope varies, state insurance laws generally grant broad supervisory powers to agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business, insurance including payment for the referral of MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 53 Risk Factors about information business, premium rates and discrimination in pricing, and minimum capital requirements. The increased use, by the private mortgage insurance industry, of risk-based pricing systems that establish premium rates based on more attributes than previously considered, and of algorithms, artificial intelligence lead to additional and data and analytics, may regulatory scrutiny of premium rates and of other matters such as discrimination in pricing and underwriting, data privacy and access to insurance. capital For more requirements, see our risk factor titled “State capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis.” For information about regulation of data privacy, see our risk factor titled “We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers that we maintain is improperly disclosed; our technology systems are damaged or their operations are interrupted; or our automated processes do not operate as expected.” For more details about the various ways in which our subsidiaries are regulated, see “Business - Regulation” in Item 1 of our Annual Report on Form 10- K for the year ended December 31, 2021 filed with the SEC on February 23, 2022.. information state While we have established policies and procedures to comply with applicable laws and regulations, many such laws and regulations are complex and it is not possible to predict the eventual scope, duration or outcome of any reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry. If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline. liquidity The factors that may affect the volume of low down payment mortgage originations include the health of the U.S. economy, conditions in regional and local economies and the level of consumer confidence; restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards, risk- issues or retention and/or capital requirements affecting lenders; the level of home mortgage interest rates; housing affordability; new and existing housing availability; the rate of household formation, which is influenced, in part, by population and immigration trends; homeownership rates; the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether refinanced loans have LTV ratios that require private mortgage insurance; and government housing policy encouraging first-time homebuyers. A decline in the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations could decrease demand for mortgage insurance and limit our NIW. For other factors that could decrease the demand for mortgage insurance, see our risk factor titled “The amount of insurance we write could be adversely loans to affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.” State capital requirements may prevent us from continuing to write new insurance on an uninterrupted basis. insurance laws of 16 jurisdictions, including The Wisconsin, MGIC's domiciliary state, require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to its risk in force (or a similar measure) in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. We refer to these requirements as the “State Capital Requirements.” While they vary among jurisdictions, the most common State Capital Requirements allow for a maximum risk-to-capital ratio of 25 to 1. A risk-to-capital ratio will increase if (i) the percentage decrease in capital exceeds the insured risk, or (ii) the percentage decrease less than the increase percentage percentage increase in insured risk. Wisconsin does not regulate capital by using a risk-to-capital measure but instead requires a minimum policyholder position (“MPP”). MGIC's “policyholder position” includes its net worth or surplus, and its contingency reserve. in in capital is At December 31, 2021 MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio was 9.5 to 1, below the maximum allowed by the jurisdictions with State Capital Requirements, and its policyholder position was $3.4 billion above the required MPP of $1.9 billion. At December 31, 2021, the risk-to-capital ratio of our combined insurance operations was 9.5 to 1. Our risk-to-capital ratio and MPP reflect full credit for the risk ceded under our quota share loss transactions with unaffiliated reinsurers. It is possible that under the revised State Capital Requirements discussed below, MGIC will not be allowed full credit for the risk ceded under such transactions. If MGIC is not allowed an agreed level of credit under the State Capital Requirements, MGIC may the reinsurance transactions, without penalty. reinsurance and excess of terminate The NAIC previously announced plans to revise the State Capital Requirements that are provided for in its Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act. In December 2019, a working group of state regulators released an exposure draft of a revised Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act and a risk-based capital framework to establish capital requirements for mortgage insurers, although no date has been established by which the NAIC must propose revisions to the capital requirements and certain items have not yet been completely addressed by the framework, including the treatment of ceded risk and minimum capital floors. While MGIC currently meets the State Capital Requirements of Wisconsin and all other jurisdictions, it could be prevented from writing new business in the future in all jurisdictions if it fails to meet the State 54 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report if insurance to write new Capital Requirements of Wisconsin, or it could be prevented from writing new business in a particular jurisdiction it fails to meet the State Capital Requirements of that jurisdiction, and in each case if MGIC does not obtain a waiver of such requirements. It is possible that regulatory action by one or more jurisdictions, including those that do not have specific State Capital Requirements, may prevent MGIC from continuing in such jurisdictions. If we are unable to write business in a particular jurisdiction, lenders may be unwilling to procure insurance from us anywhere. In addition, a lender’s assessment of the future ability of our insurance operations to meet the State Capital Requirements or the PMIERs may affect its willingness to procure insurance from us. In this regard, see our risk factor titled “Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and/or increase our losses.” A possible future failure by MGIC to meet the State Capital Requirements or the PMIERs will not necessarily mean that MGIC lacks sufficient resources to pay claims on its insurance liabilities. You should read the rest of these risk factors for information about matters that could negatively affect MGIC’s compliance with State Capital Requirements and its claims paying resources, including the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. We are susceptible to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans that we insure and we rely on third- party reporting for information regarding the mortgage loans we insure. We depend on reliable, consistent third-party servicing of the loans that we insure. An increase in delinquent loans, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, may result in liquidity issues and operational burdens for servicers. When a mortgage loan that is collateral for a mortgage backed security ("MBS") becomes delinquent, the servicer is usually required to continue to pay principal and interest to the MBS investors, generally for four months, even though the servicer is not receiving payments from borrowers. This may cause liquidity issues for especially non-bank servicers (who service approximately 46% of loans underlying our insurance in force as of December 31, 2021) because they do not have the same sources of liquidity that bank servicers have. the While there has been no disruption in our premium receipts through the end of December 2021, servicers who experience future liquidity issues may be less likely to advance premiums to us on policies covering delinquent loans or to remit premiums on policies covering loans that are not delinquent. Our policies allow us to cancel coverage on loans that are not delinquent if the premiums are not paid within a grace period. However, the COVID-19 pandemic, many states have enacted moratoriums on the cancellation of insurance due to non-payment. The response to in Risk Factors specific provisions of the moratoriums vary from state-to-state. A future increase in delinquent loans caused by the COVID-19 pandemic or other factors, as well as the possible transfer of servicing resulting from liquidity increase the operational burden on issues, may servicers, cause a disruption in the servicing of delinquent loans and reduce servicers’ abilities to undertake mitigation efforts that could help limit our losses. The information presented in this report and on our website with respect to the mortgage loans we insure is based on information reported to us by third parties, including the servicers and originators of the mortgage loans, and information presented may be subject to lapses or inaccuracies in reporting from such third parties. In many cases, we may not be aware that information reported to us is incorrect until such time as a claim is made against us under the relevant insurance policy. We do not receive monthly policy status information from servicers for single premium policies, and may not be aware that the mortgage loans insured by such policies have been repaid. We periodically attempt to determine if coverage is still in force on such policies by asking the last servicer of record or through the periodic reconciliation of loan information with certain servicers. It may be possible that our reports continue to reflect, as active, policies on mortgage loans that have been repaid. Changes in interest rates, house prices or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements may change the length of time that our policies remain in force. The premium from a single premium policy is collected upfront and generally earned over the estimated life of the policy. In contrast, premiums from monthly and annual premium policies are received each month or year, as applicable, and earned each month over the life of the policy. In each year, most of our premiums earned are from insurance that has been written in prior years. As a result, the length of time insurance remains in force, which is generally measured by persistency (the percentage of our insurance remaining in force from one year prior), is a significant determinant of our revenues. A higher than expected persistency the profitability from single premium policies because they will remain in force longer and may increase the incidence of claims than was estimated when the policies were written. A low persistency rate on monthly and annual premium policies will reduce future premiums but may also reduce the incidence of claims, while a high persistency on those policies will increase the increase future premiums but may incidence of claims. rate may decrease Our persistency rate was 62.6% at December 31, 2021, 60.5% at December 31, 2020 and 75.8% at MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 55 Risk Factors December 31, 2019. Since 2000, our year-end persistency ranged from a high of 84.7% at December 31, 2009 to a low of 47.1% at December 31, 2003. Our persistency rate is primarily affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates on our insurance in force, which affects the vulnerability of the insurance in force to refinancing; and the current amount of equity that borrowers have in the homes underlying our insurance in force. The amount of equity affects persistency in the following ways: increase in delinquencies or a decrease in home prices in the affected areas. If we were to attempt to limit our new insurance written in affected areas, lenders may be unwilling to procure insurance from us anywhere. Pandemics and other natural disasters could also lead to increased reinsurance rates or reduced availability of reinsurance. This may cause us to retain more risk than we otherwise would retain and could negatively affect our compliance with the financial requirements of the PMIERs. • • • Borrowers with significant equity may be able to refinance their loans without requiring mortgage insurance. The Homeowners Protection Act (“HOPA”) requires servicers to cancel mortgage insurance when a borrower’s LTV ratio meets or is scheduled to meet certain levels, generally based on the original value of the home and subject to various conditions. The GSEs’ mortgage insurance cancellation guidelines apply more broadly than HOPA and also consider a home’s current value. For example, borrowers may request cancellation of mortgage insurance based on the home’s current value if certain LTV and seasoning requirements are met and the borrowers have an acceptable payment history. For loans seasoned between two and five years, the LTV ratio must be 75% or less, and for loans seasoned more than five years the less. For more LTV ratio must be 80% or information about the GSEs guidelines and business practices, and how they may change, see our risk factor titled “Changes in the business practices of the GSEs, federal legislation that changes their charters or a restructuring of the GSEs could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.” Pandemics, hurricanes and other natural disasters may impact our incurred losses, the amount and timing of paid claims, our inventory of notices of default and our Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs. Pandemics and other natural disasters, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, wildfires and floods, or other events related to changing climatic conditions, could trigger an economic downturn in the affected areas, or in areas with similar risks, which could result in a decline in our business and an increased claim rate on policies in those areas. Natural disasters, rising sea levels and/or fresh water shortages could lead to a decrease in home prices in the affected areas, or in areas with similar risks, which could result in an increase in claim severity on policies in those areas. In addition, the inability of a borrower to obtain hazard and/or flood insurance, or the increased cost of such insurance, could lead to an the increase The PMIERs require us to maintain significantly more "Minimum Required Assets" for delinquent loans than for performing in loans; however, Minimum Required Assets is not as great for certain delinquent loans in areas that the Federal Emergency Management Agency has declared major disaster areas and for certain loans whose borrowers have been affected by COVID-19. See our risk factor titled "We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements and our returns may decrease if we are required to maintain more capital in order to maintain our eligibility." In January 2021, the FHFA issued a Request for Input (“RFI”) regarding Climate and Natural Disaster Risk Management at the Regulated Entities (i.e., the GSEs and the Federal Home Loan Banks). The FHFA has instructed the GSEs to designate climate change as a priority concern and actively consider its effects in their decision making. It is possible that efforts to manage this risk by the FHFA, GSEs (including through GSE guideline or mortgage insurance policy changes) or others could materially impact the volume and characteristics of our NIW (including its policy terms), home prices in certain areas and defaults by borrowers in certain areas. Risk Factors Relating to Our Business Generally The premiums we charge may not be adequate to compensate us for our liabilities for losses and as a result any inadequacy could materially affect our financial condition and results of operations. When we set our premiums at policy issuance, we have expectations regarding likely performance of the insured risks over the long term. Generally, we cannot cancel mortgage insurance coverage or adjust renewal premiums during the life of a policy. As a result, higher than anticipated claims generally cannot be offset by premium increases on policies in force or mitigated by our non-renewal or cancellation of insurance coverage. Our premiums are subject to approval by state regulatory agencies, which can delay or limit our ability to increase premiums on future policies. In addition, our customized rate plans may delay our ability to increase premiums on future policies covered by such plans. The premiums we charge, the income we earn and the amount of investment 56 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report reinsurance we carry may not be adequate to compensate us for the risks and costs associated with the insurance coverage provided to customers. An increase in the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipated when we set the premiums, could adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition. Our premium rates are also based in part on the amount of capital we are required to hold against the insured risk. If the amount of capital we are required to hold increases from the amount we were required to hold when we set the premiums, our returns may be lower than we assumed. For a discussion of the amount of capital we are required to hold, see our risk factor titled "We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements and our returns may decrease if we are required to maintain more capital in order to maintain our eligibility." Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and / or increase our losses. The private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and is expected to remain so. We believe we currently compete with other private mortgage insurers based on premium rates, underwriting requirements, financial strength (including based on ratings), customer credit or relationships, name recognition, reputation, strength of management teams and field organizations, the ancillary products and services provided to lenders and the effective use of technology and innovation in the delivery and servicing of our mortgage insurance products. financial strength rates are higher Our relationships with our customers, which may affect the amount of our NIW, could be adversely affected by a variety of factors, including if our premium those of our competitors, our underwriting requirements are more restrictive than those of our competitors, or our customers are dissatisfied with our claims-paying practices (including insurance policy rescissions and claim curtailments). than In recent years, the industry has materially reduced its use of standard rate cards, which were fairly consistent among competitors, and correspondingly increased its use of (i) "risk-based pricing systems" that use a spectrum of filed rates to allow for formulaic, risk-based pricing based on multiple attributes that may be quickly adjusted within certain parameters, and (ii) customized rate plans, both of which typically have rates lower than the standard rate card. Our increased use of reinsurance over the past several years, and the improved credit profile and loans reduced insured after 2008, have helped to mitigate the negative effect of declining premium rates on our expected returns. However, refer to our risk factor titled "Reinsurance may not always be available or loss expectations associated with Risk Factors affordable" for a discussion of the risks associated with the availability of reinsurance, and our risk factors titled “Downturns in the domestic economy or declines in more homeowners in home prices may result increasing, with a defaulting and our losses corresponding decrease returns,” and “Pandemics, hurricanes and other natural disasters may impact our incurred losses, the amount and timing of paid claims, our inventory of notices of default and our Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs” for a discussion about risks associated with our NIW. in our The widespread use of risk-based pricing systems by the private mortgage insurance industry makes it more difficult to compare our rates to those offered by our competitors. We may not be aware of industry rate changes until we observe that our volume of NIW has changed. In addition, business under customized rate plans is awarded by certain customers for only limited periods of time. As a result, our NIW may fluctuate the more concentration of our new business, our top ten customers accounted for approximately 36% in 2021 and 41% in 2020. the past. Regarding it had than in We monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to balance both profitability and market share considerations in developing our pricing strategies. Premium rates on NIW will change our premium yield (net premiums earned divided by the average in force) over time as older insurance policies run off and new insurance policies with premium rates that are generally lower are written. insurance Certain of our competitors have access to capital at a lower cost than we do (including, through off-shore intercompany reinsurance vehicles, which have tax advantages that may increase if U.S. corporate income taxes increase). As a result, they may be able to achieve higher after-tax rates of return on their NIW compared to us, which could allow them to leverage reduced premium rates to gain market share, and they may be better positioned to compete outside of traditional mortgage by participating credit enhancement pursued by the GSEs discussed in our risk factor titled "The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance." including of alternative insurance, forms in Although the current PMIERs of the GSEs do not require an insurer to maintain minimum financial strength ratings, our financial strength ratings can affect us in the ways set forth below. If we are unable to compete effectively in the current or any future markets as a result of the financial strength ratings assigned to our insurance subsidiaries, our future NIW could be negatively affected. • A downgrade in our financial strength ratings could result in increased scrutiny of our financial MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 57 Risk Factors • • condition by the GSEs and/or our customers, potentially resulting in a decrease in the amount of our NIW. improve our Our ability to participate in the non-GSE residential mortgage-backed securities market (the size of which has been limited since 2008, but may grow in the future), could depend on our ability to maintain and investment grade ratings for our insurance subsidiaries. We could be competitively disadvantaged with some market participants because the financial strength ratings of our insurance subsidiaries are lower than those of some competitors. MGIC's financial strength rating from A.M. Best is A- (with a stable outlook), from Moody’s is Baa1 (with a stable outlook) and from Standard & Poor’s is BBB+ (with a stable outlook). In addition, although require minimum Financial strength ratings may also play a greater role if the GSEs no longer operate in their current capacities, for example, due to legislative or the regulatory action. PMIERs do not financial strength ratings, the GSEs consider financial strength ratings to be important when using forms of credit enhancement other than traditional mortgage insurance, as discussed in our risk factor titled "The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance." The final GSE capital framework provides more capital credit for transactions with higher rated counterparties, as well as those who are diversified. Although we are currently unaware of a direct impact on MGIC, this could potentially become a competitive disadvantage in the future. In December 2021, Standard & Poor’s announced a proposed change to their rating methodologies for insurers, including mortgage insurers. It is uncertain what impact the proposed change would have, whether it will be adopted in its current form, whether it will prompt similar moves at other rating agencies, or the extent to which it will impact how external parties evaluate the different rating levels. We are involved in legal proceedings and are subject to the risk of additional legal proceedings in the future. files to determine loan and servicing Before paying an insurance claim, generally we review the the appropriateness of the claim amount. When reviewing the files, we may determine that we have the right to rescind coverage or deny a claim on the loan (both referred to as “rescissions”). In addition, our insurance policies generally provide that we can reduce a claim if the servicer did not comply with its obligations under our insurance policy (such reduction referred to as a “curtailment”). immaterial percentage of claims received have been resolved by recent years, an In rescissions. In 2021 and 2020, curtailments reduced our average claim paid by approximately 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively. The COVID-19-related foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance plans have decreased our claims paid activity beginning in the second quarter of 2020. It is difficult to predict the level of curtailments once the foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance reserving methodology incorporates our estimates of future rescissions, curtailments, and reversals of rescissions and curtailments. A variance between ultimate actual rescission, curtailment and reversal rates and our estimates, as a result of the outcome of litigation, settlements or other factors, could materially affect our losses. end. Our plans loss loss When the insured disputes our right to rescind coverage or curtail claims, we generally engage in discussions in an attempt to settle the dispute. If we are unable to reach a settlement, the outcome of a legal dispute ultimately may be determined by loss proceedings. Under ASC 450-20, until a associated with settlement discussions or legal proceedings becomes probable and can be reasonably estimated, we consider our claim payment or rescission resolved for financial reporting purposes and do not accrue an estimated loss. When we determine that a is probable and can be reasonably estimated, we record our best estimate of our probable loss, including recording a probable loss of $6.3 million in 2021. In those cases, until settlement legal proceedings are concluded negotiations or (including receipt of any necessary GSE the approvals), it is possible that we will record an additional in discussions and/or proceedings with respect to our claims paying practices. Although it is possible that, if not resolved by negotiation, we will not prevail on all matters, we are unable to make a reasonable estimate or range of estimates of the potential liability. We estimate the maximum exposure where a loss is reasonably possible to be approximately $27 million more than the amount of probable loss we have recorded. This estimate of maximum exposure is based on currently available information; is subject to significant judgment, numerous assumptions and known and unknown uncertainties; will include an amount for matters for which we have recorded a probable loss until such matters are concluded; will include different matters from time to time; and does not include interest or consequential or exemplary damages. loss. We are currently involved In addition to the matters described above, from time to time, we are involved in other disputes and legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business. In our opinion, based on the facts known at this time, the ultimate resolution of these ordinary course disputes and legal proceedings will not have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. financial position or 58 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Risk Factors If our risk management programs are not effective in identifying, or adequate in controlling or mitigating, the risks we face, or if the models used in our businesses are inaccurate, it could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition. - Our Products and Services Our enterprise risk management program, described in "Business - Risk Management" in Item 1 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 filed with the SEC on February 23, 2022, may not be effective in identifying, or adequate in controlling or mitigating, the risks we face in our business. We employ proprietary and third party models to project returns, price products (including through our risk-based pricing system), determine the techniques used to underwrite insurance, estimate reserves, generate projections used to estimate future pre-tax income and to evaluate loss recognition testing, evaluate risk, determine internal capital requirements, perform stress testing, and for other uses. These models rely on estimates and projections that are inherently uncertain and may not operate as intended, especially in unprecedented circumstances such as those surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, or with respect to emerging risks, such as changing climatic conditions. In addition, from time to time we seek to improve certain models, and the conversion process may result in material changes to certain assumptions, which could impact our expectations about future returns and financial results. The models we employ are complex, which increases our risk of error in their design, implementation or use. Also, the associated input data, assumptions and calculations may not be correct or accurate, and the controls we have in place to mitigate that risk may not be effective in all cases. The risks related to our models may increase when we change assumptions and/or methodologies, or when we add or change modeling platforms. We have enhanced, and we intend to continue to enhance, our modeling capabilities. Moreover, we may use information we receive through enhancements to refine or otherwise change existing assumptions and/ or methodologies. We rely on our management team and our business could be harmed if we are unable to retain qualified personnel or successfully develop and/or recruit their replacements. Our success depends, in part, on the skills, working relationships and continued services of our management team and other key personnel. The unexpected departure of key personnel could adversely affect the conduct of our business. In such event, we would be required to obtain other personnel to manage and operate our business. In addition, we will be required to replace the knowledge and expertise of our aging workforce as our workers retire. In either case, there can be no assurance that we recruit suitable to develop or would be able replacements for that individuals; the departing replacements could be hired, if necessary, on terms that are favorable to us; or that we can successfully transition such replacements in a timely manner. We into any employment currently have not entered agreements with our officers or key personnel. Volatility or lack of performance in our stock price may affect our ability to retain our key personnel or attract replacements should key personnel depart. Without a properly skilled and experienced workforce, our costs, including productivity costs and costs to replace employees may increase, and this could negatively impact our earnings. limited staff In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company transitioned to a virtual workforce model with certain essential activities supported by in controlled office environments. This transition was made to responsibly provide for the safety of employees and to continue to serve customers across our businesses. As our employees begin to return to the office, they may be exposed to health risks, which liability. We have to potential may expose us established an interim succession plan for each of our key executives, should an executive be unable to perform his or her duties. The mix of business we write affects our Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, our premium yields and the likelihood of losses occurring. The Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs are, in part, a function of the direct risk-in-force and the risk profile of the loans we insure, considering LTV ratio, credit score, vintage, Home Affordable Refinance Program ("HARP") status and delinquency status; and whether the loans were insured under lender-paid mortgage insurance policies or other policies that are not subject to automatic termination consistent with the Homeowners Protection Act requirements for borrower-paid mortgage insurance. Therefore, if our direct risk-in-force increases through increases in NIW, or if our mix of business changes to include loans with higher LTV ratios or lower FICO scores, for example, all other things equal, we will be required to hold more Available Assets in order to maintain GSE eligibility. The minimum capital required by the risk-based capital framework contained in the exposure draft released by the NAIC in December 2019 would be, in part, a function of certain loan and economic factors, including property location, LTV ratio and credit score, general underwriting quality in the market at the time of loan origination, the age of the loan, and the premium rate we charge. Depending on the provisions of the capital requirements when they are released in final form and become effective, our mix of business may affect the minimum capital we are required to hold under the new framework. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 59 Risk Factors The percentage of our NIW from all single-premium policies was 7.4% in 2021 and 8.9% in 2020 and has ranged from approximately 5.7% in 2021 to 19% in 2017. Depending on the actual life of a single premium policy and its premium rate relative to that of a monthly premium policy, a single premium policy may less premium than a monthly generate more or premium policy over its life. losses incurred and As discussed in our risk factor titled "Reinsurance may not always be available or affordable," we have in place various QSR transactions. Although the transactions reduce our premiums, they have a lesser impact on our overall results, as losses ceded under the transactions reduce our the ceding commissions we receive reduce our underwriting expenses. The effect of the QSR transactions on the various components of pre-tax income will vary from period to period, depending on the level of ceded losses incurred. We also have in place various excess- of-loss ("XOL") reinsurance transactions, under which we cede premiums. Under the XOL reinsurance transactions, for the respective reinsurance coverage periods, we retain the first layer of aggregate losses, and special purpose insurers provide second layer coverage up to the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount. In addition to the effect of reinsurance on our premiums, we expect a decline in our premium yield because an increasing percentage of our insurance in force is from recent book years whose premium rates had been trending lower. Our ability to rescind insurance coverage became more limited for new insurance written beginning in mid-2012, and it became further limited for new insurance written under our revised master policy that became effective March 1, 2020. These limitations may result in higher losses paid than would be the case under our previous master policies. In addition, our rescission rights temporarily have become more limited due to accommodations we have made in connection with the COVID-19 pandemic. We have waived our rescission rights in certain circumstances where the failure to make payments was associated with a COVID-19 pandemic-related forbearance. From time to time, in response to market conditions, we change the types of loans that we insure. We also may change our underwriting guidelines, in part by agreeing with certain approval recommendations from a GSE automated underwriting system. In the third quarter of 2021, Fannie Mae indicated that it was easing its credit assessments and guidelines to help increase homeownership opportunities for borrowers. We have aligned with these changes, which will result in our insuring some loans with FICO scores lower than 620. We also make exceptions to our underwriting requirements on a loan-by-loan basis and for certain customer programs. Our underwriting requirements are available on our website at http:// www.mgic.com/underwriting/index.html. including Even when home prices are stable or rising, mortgages with certain characteristics have higher probabilities of claims. As of December 31, 2021, mortgages with these characteristics in our primary risk in force included mortgages with LTV ratios greater than 95% (14.7%), mortgages with borrowers having FICO scores below 680 (7.9%), those with borrowers having FICO scores of 620-679 (6.8%), mortgages with limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation (1.0%), and mortgages with borrowers having DTI ratios greater than 45% (or where no ratio is available) (13.6%), each attribute as determined at the time of loan origination. Loans with more than one of these attributes accounted for 2% of our primary risk in force as of December 31, 2021, and less than one percent of our NIW in each of 2021 and the 2020. When home prices percentage of our NIW from purchase transactions increases, our NIW on mortgages with higher LTV ratios and higher DTI ratios may increase. increase and/or the from results From time to time, we change the processes we use to underwrite loans. For example: we rely on information provided to us by lenders that was obtained from certain of the GSEs’ automated appraisal and income verification tools, which may produce results that differ that would have been determined using different methods; we accept GSE appraisal waivers for certain refinance loans, the numbers of which have increased significantly beginning in 2020 and remain elevated; and we accept GSE appraisal that allow property valuations in certain transactions to be based on appraisals that do not involve an onsite or interior inspection of the property. Our acceptance of automated GSE appraisal and income verification tools, GSE appraisal waivers and GSE appraisal flexibilities may affect our pricing and risk assessment. We also continue to further automate our underwriting processes and it is possible that our automated processes result in our insuring loans that we would not otherwise have insured under our prior processes. flexibilities Approximately 72.2% of our 2021 NIW and 70.2% of our 2020 NIW (by risk written) was originated under delegated underwriting programs pursuant to which the loan originators had authority on our behalf to underwrite the loans for our mortgage insurance. For loans originated through a delegated underwriting program, we depend on the originators' compliance with our guidelines and rely on the originators' representations that the loans being insured satisfy the underwriting guidelines, eligibility criteria and other requirements. While we have established systems and processes to monitor whether certain aspects of our underwriting guidelines were being followed by the originators, such systems may not ensure that the 60 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report guidelines were being strictly followed at the time the loans were originated. The widespread use of risk-based pricing systems by the private mortgage insurance industry (discussed in our risk factor titled "Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and / or increase our losses") makes it more difficult to compare our premium rates to those offered by our competitors. We may not be aware of industry rate changes until we observe that our mix of new insurance written has changed and our mix may fluctuate more as a result. on If state or federal regulations or statutes are changed in ways that ease mortgage lending standards and/or requirements, or if lenders seek ways to replace business in times of lower mortgage originations, it is possible that more mortgage loans could be originated with higher risk characteristics than are currently being originated, such as loans with lower FICO scores and higher DTI ratios. The focus of the new FHFA leadership homeownership increasing opportunities for borrowers is likely to have this effect. Lenders could pressure mortgage insurers to insure such loans, which are expected to experience higher claim rates. Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment income will be adequate to compensate for actual losses paid even under our current underwriting requirements. Our holding company debt obligations materially exceed our holding company cash and investments. in cash and At December 31, 2021, we had approximately $663 investments at our holding million company and our holding company’s debt obligations were $1.0 billion in aggregate principal amount, consisting of $242 million of 5.75% Senior Notes due in 2023 ("5.75% Notes"), $650 million of 5.25% Senior Notes due 2028 (the 5.25% Notes), and $110 million of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063 ("9% Debentures"). Annual debt service on the 5.75% Notes, 5.25% Notes and 9% Debentures is outstanding as of December 31, 2021, approximately $58 million. Investment Corporation, and not of The 5.75% Senior Notes, 5.25% Senior Notes and 9% Debentures are obligations of our holding company, MGIC its subsidiaries. The payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries (primarily MGIC) which, other than investment income and raising capital in the public markets, is the principal source of our holding company cash inflow. Although MGIC holds assets in excess of its minimum statutory capital requirements and its PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of MGIC to pay dividends is restricted by insurance Risk Factors In general, dividends regulation. in excess of prescribed limits are deemed “extraordinary” and may not be paid if disapproved by the OCI. The level of ordinary dividends that may be paid without OCI approval is determined on an annual basis. A dividend is extraordinary when the proposed dividend amount, plus dividends paid in the twelve months preceding the dividend payment date exceed the ordinary dividend level. At December 31, 2021 MGIC could pay $122 million of ordinary dividends without OCI approval, before taking into consideration dividends paid in the preceding twelve months. In 2021, MGIC paid $400 million in dividends of cash and investments to the holding company. Future dividend payments from MGIC to the holding company will be determined in consultation with the board of directors, and after considering any updated estimates about the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business. In the fourth quarter of 2021, we repurchased $99 million in aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures, using $136 million of holding company resources, eliminating 7.5 million potentially dilutive common shares, reducing annual interest expense by $8.9 million and resulting in a $37 million loss on debt extinguishment. We may continue to repurchase our debt obligations on the open market (including through 10b5-1 plans) or through privately negotiated transactions. In addition, we may redeem our 9% Debentures as discussed in our risk factor titled "Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we raise or if the holders of our outstanding convertible debt convert that debt into shares of our common stock." 19.0 million second half of 2021, we Repurchases of our common stock may be made from time to time on the open market (including through through privately negotiated 10b5-1 plans) or transactions. In 2020 we repurchased approximately 9.6 million shares of our common stock, using approximately $120 million of holding company resources. After suspending stock repurchases due to the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, in repurchased the approximately using approximately $291 million of holding company resources. As of December 31, 2021, we had $500 million of authorization remaining to repurchase our common stock through the end of 2023 under a share repurchase program approved by our Board of Directors in October 2021. If any capital contributions to our subsidiaries are required, such contributions would decrease our holding company cash and investments. As described in our Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on February 11, 2016, MGIC borrowed $155 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago. This is an obligation of MGIC and not of our holding company. shares, MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 61 Risk Factors Your ownership in our company may be diluted by additional capital that we raise or if the holders of our outstanding convertible debt convert that debt into shares of our common stock. financial statements. As noted above, we have repurchased shares of our common stock in 2021 and intend to do so again in the future. In addition, we repurchased a portion of our debt obligations in 2021 and may do so again in the future. As noted above under our risk factor titled “We may not continue to meet the GSEs’ private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements and our returns may decrease if we are required to maintain more capital in order to maintain our eligibility,” although we are currently in compliance with the requirements of the PMIERs, there can be no assurance that we would not seek to issue additional debt capital or to raise additional equity or equity-linked capital to manage our capital position under the PMIERs or for other purposes. Any future issuance of equity securities may dilute your ownership interest in our company. In addition, the market price of our common stock could decline as a result of sales of a large number of shares or similar securities in the market or the perception that such sales could occur. At December 31, 2021, we had outstanding $110 million principal amount of 9% Debentures. The principal amount of the 9% Debentures is currently convertible, at the holder’s option, at a conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 76.5496 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures. This represents a conversion price of approximately $13.06 per share. The payment of dividends by our holding company results in an adjustment to the conversion rate and price, with such adjustment generally deferred until the end of the year. interest, We may redeem the 9% Debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the 9% Debentures being redeemed, plus any accrued and if the closing sale price of our unpaid common stock exceeds $16.98 (adjusted pro rata for changes in the conversion price) for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption. We have the right, and may elect, to defer interest payable under the 9% Debentures in the future. If a holder elects to convert its 9% Debentures, the interest that has been deferred on the 9% Debentures being converted into shares of our common stock. The conversion rate for such deferred interest is based on the average price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period immediately prior to the election to convert the associated debentures. We may elect to pay cash for some or all of the shares issuable upon a conversion of the debentures. For more information about the 9% Debentures, including additional requirements resulting from the deferral of interest, see Note 7 – “Debt” to our consolidated financial statements. is also convertible For a discussion of the dilutive effects of our convertible securities on our earnings per share, see Note 4 – “Earnings Per Share” to our consolidated The price of our common stock may fluctuate significantly, which may make it difficult for holders to resell common stock when they want or at a price they find attractive. incurred in our share expectations of (including The market price for our common stock may fluctuate significantly. In addition to the risk factors described herein, the following factors may have an adverse impact on the market price for our common stock: changes in general conditions in the economy, the mortgage insurance industry or the financial markets; announcements by us or our competitors of acquisitions or strategic initiatives; our actual or anticipated quarterly and annual operating results; future changes financial in performance losses on our insurance in force); changes in estimates of securities analysts or rating agencies; actual or anticipated repurchase program or changes in operating performance or dividends; changes market valuation of companies in the mortgage insurance industry; the addition or departure of key personnel; changes in tax law; and adverse press or news announcements affecting us or the industry. In addition, ownership by certain types of investors may affect the market price and trading volume of our common stock. For example, ownership in our common stock by investors such as index funds and exchange-traded funds can affect the stock’s price when those investors must purchase or sell our common investors have experienced significant cash inflows or outflows, the index to which our common stock belongs has been rebalanced, or our common stock is added to and/or removed from an index (due to changes in our market capitalization, for example). stock because the We could be adversely affected if personal information on consumers improperly that we maintain disclosed, our information technology systems are damaged or their operations are interrupted, or our automated processes do not operate as expected. is As part of our business, we maintain large amounts of personal information of consumers, including on our servers and those of cloud computing services. Federal and state laws designed to promote the protection of such information require businesses that collect or maintain consumer information to adopt information security programs, and to notify jurisdictions, regulatory individuals, and authorities, of security breaches involving personally identifiable information. in some 62 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report increasingly reliant on the efficient and We are information uninterrupted operation of complex technology systems. All technology information systems are potentially vulnerable to damage or interruption from a variety of sources, including by third-party cyber attacks, including those involving ransomware. The Company discovers vulnerabilities and experiences malicious attacks and other attempts to gain unauthorized access to its systems on a regular basis. Globally, attacks are expected to frequency and continue accelerating sophistication with increasing use by actors of tools and techniques that will hinder the Company’s ability to identify, investigate and recover from incidents. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company transitioned to a primarily virtual workforce model and will likely continue to operate under a hybrid model in the future. Virtual and hybrid workforce models may be more vulnerable to security breaches. in both through While we have information security policies and systems in place to secure our information technology systems and to prevent unauthorized access to or disclosure of sensitive information, there can be no assurance with respect to our systems and those of our third-party vendors that unauthorized access to the systems or disclosure of the sensitive information, either third parties or the actions of employees, will not occur. Due to our reliance on information technology systems, including ours and those of our customers and third-party service providers, and to the sensitivity of the information that we maintain, unauthorized access to the systems or disclosure of the information could adversely affect our reputation, severely disrupt our operations, result in a loss of business and expose us to material claims for damages and may require that we provide free credit monitoring services to individuals affected by a security breach. Should we experience an unauthorized disclosure of information or a cyber attack, including those involving ransomware, some of the costs we incur may not be recoverable through legal or other processes, and this may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. insurance, or We are in the process of upgrading certain information systems, and transforming and automating certain business processes, and we continue to enhance our risk-based pricing system and our system for evaluating risk. Certain information systems have been in place for a number of years and it has become increasingly difficult to support their operation. The implementation of technological and business process improvements, as well as their integration third-party systems when with customer and applicable, is complex, expensive and time consuming. If we fail to timely and successfully implement and integrate the new technology systems, if the third party providers to which we are becoming increasingly Risk Factors reliant do not perform as expected, if our legacy systems fail to operate as required, or if the upgraded systems and/or transformed and automated business processes do not operate as expected, it could have a material adverse impact on our business, business prospects and results of operations. Our success depends, in part, on our ability to manage risks in our investment portfolio. by ratings downgrades, Our investment portfolio is an important source of revenue and is our primary source of claims paying resources. Although our investment portfolio consists mostly of highly-rated fixed income investments, our investment portfolio is affected by general economic conditions and tax policy, which may adversely affect the markets for credit and interest-rate-sensitive securities, including the extent and timing of investor participation in these markets, the level and volatility of interest rates and credit spreads and, consequently, the value of our fixed income securities. The value of investment portfolio may also be adversely our increased affected bankruptcies and credit spreads widening in distressed industries. In addition, the collectability and valuation of our municipal bond portfolio may be adversely affected if state and local municipalities incur increased costs to respond to COVID-19 and receive fewer tax revenues due to adverse economic conditions. Our investment portfolio also includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, collateralized loan obligations, and asset-backed securities, which could be adversely affected by declines in real estate in unemployment and/or valuations, financial market disruption, including a heightened collection risk on the underlying loans. As a result of these matters, we may not achieve our investment objectives and a reduction in the market value of our investments could have an adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations. increases For the significant portion of our investment portfolio that is held by MGIC, to receive full capital credit under insurance regulatory requirements and under the PMIERs, we generally are limited to investing in investment grade fixed income securities whose yields reflect their lower credit risk profile. Our investment income depends upon the size of the portfolio and its reinvestment at prevailing interest rates. A prolonged period of low investment yields would have an adverse impact on our investment income as would a decrease in the size of the portfolio. We structure our investment portfolio to satisfy our expected liabilities, including claim payments in our mortgage insurance business. If we underestimate our liabilities or improperly structure our investments to meet these liabilities, we could have unexpected losses resulting from the forced liquidation of fixed income investments before their maturity, which could adversely affect our results of operations. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 63 Risk Factors The Company may be adversely impacted by the transition from LIBOR as a reference rate. The United Kingdom’s Financial Conduct Authority, which regulates LIBOR, announced that after 2021 it would no longer publish one-week and two-month tenor USD LIBOR and that after June 30, 2023, it would no longer publish all other USD LIBOR tenors. Efforts are underway to identify and transition to a set of alternative reference rates. The set of alternative rates the Secured Overnight Financing Rate includes (“SOFR”), which the Federal Reserve Bank of New York began publishing in 2018. Because SOFR is calculated based on different criteria than LIBOR, SOFR and LIBOR may diverge. While it is not currently possible to determine precisely whether, or to what extent, the replacement of LIBOR would affect us, the implementation of alternative benchmark rates to LIBOR may have an adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition. We have three primary types of transactions that involve financial instruments referencing LIBOR. First, as of December 31, 2021, approximately 6% of the fair value of our investment portfolio consisted of securities referencing LIBOR, none of which reference one-week and two-month tenors. Second, as of December 31, 2021, approximately $0.5 billion of our risk in force was on adjustable rate mortgages whose interest is referenced to one-month USD LIBOR. A change in reference rate associated with these loans may affect their principal balance, which may affect our risk-in-force and the amount of Minimum Required Assets we are required to maintain under PMIERs. A change in reference rate may also affect the amount of principal and/or accrued interest we are required to pay in the event of a claim payment. Third, the premiums under most of our 2018-2021 excess-of- loss reinsurance agreements are determined, in part, by the difference between interest payable on the reinsurers’ notes which reference one-month USD LIBOR and earnings from a pool of securities receiving interest that may reference LIBOR (in 2021, our total premiums on such transactions were approximately $39.5 million). 64 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting CHANGES IN INTERNAL CONTROL DURING THE FOURTH QUARTER There are no changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) and Rule 15d-15(f) under the Exchange Act) that occurred during the quarter ended December 31, 2021 that have materially affected, or are to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting. reasonably likely financial reporting internal control over Our management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rule 13a-15(f)). Our is designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation in of financial statements for external purposes accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. Because of limitations, however, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. inherent its Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting using the framework in Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on such evaluation, our management concluded that our internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2021. an LLP, PricewaterhouseCoopers independent registered public accounting firm, has audited the consolidated financial statements and effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, as stated in their report which appears herein. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 65 Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of MGIC Investment Corporation Opinions on the Financial Statements and Internal Control over Financial Reporting the We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of MGIC Investment Corporation and its subsidiaries (the “Company”) as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, and related consolidated statements of operations, of comprehensive income, of shareholders' equity and of cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2021, including the related notes and financial statement schedules listed in the index appearing under Item 15(a)2 (collectively referred to as the “consolidated financial statements”). We also have audited the Company's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO). In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of the Company as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, and the results of its operations and its cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2021 in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. Also in our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the COSO. Basis for Opinions is included financial reporting, to express opinions on The Company's management is responsible for these consolidated financial statements, for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting, and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over in Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting appearing under Item 9A. Our the responsibility Company’s consolidated financial statements and on the Company's internal control over financial reporting based on our audits. We are a public accounting firm registered with the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) (PCAOB) and are independent with respect to the required to be the U.S. federal Company securities rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB. in accordance with laws and the applicable We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audits to obtain assurance about whether reasonable the consolidated financial statements are free of material misstatement, whether due to error or fraud, and whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audits of the consolidated financial statements included performing procedures to assess the risks of material misstatement of the consolidated financial statements, whether due to error or fraud, and performing procedures that respond to those risks. Such procedures included examining, on a test basis, evidence regarding the amounts and disclosures in the consolidated financial statements. Our audits also included evaluating the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall presentation of the consolidated financial statements. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, and testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk. Our audits also included performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinions. Definition and Limitations of Internal Control over Financial Reporting regarding to provide reliability of A company’s internal control over financial reporting reasonable is a process designed assurance financial the reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (ii) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements. Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. in conditions, or that 66 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report included, among others, related to the claim rate and claim severity. These the procedures also involvement of professionals with specialized skill and knowledge to assist in developing an independent estimate of the primary case reserves and comparing this independent estimate to management’s recorded primary case reserves to evaluate the reasonableness of the recorded primary case reserves. Developing the independent the completeness and accuracy of data provided by management developing assumptions related to the claim rate and claim severity. independently estimate involved testing and /s/ PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP Milwaukee, Wisconsin February 23, 2022 We have served as the Company’s auditor since 1985. Critical Audit Matters financial statements The critical audit matter communicated below is a matter arising from the current period audit of the consolidated that was communicated or required to be communicated to the audit committee and that (i) relates to accounts or disclosures that are material to the consolidated financial statements and (ii) involved our especially challenging, subjective, or complex judgments. The communication of critical audit matters does not alter in any way our opinion on the consolidated financial statements, taken as a whole, and we are not, by communicating the critical audit matter below, providing a separate opinion on the critical audit matter or on the accounts or disclosures to which it relates. Valuation of Loss Reserves – Primary Case Reserves loss insured mortgage As described in Notes 3 and 8 to the consolidated financial statements, the Company establishes case reserves for estimated insurance losses when notices of delinquency on loans are received. As of December 31, 2021, the Company’s reserves were $884 million. A recorded significant portion of total loss reserves relate to primary case reserves established for the Company’s primary insurance business. Case reserves are established by estimating the number of loans in the delinquency inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity. The Company’s case reserve estimates are primarily established including based rescissions of policies, curtailments of claims, and loan modification activity. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy, including unemployment and the current and future strength of local housing markets; exposure on insured loans; the amount of time between delinquency and claim filing; and curtailments and rescissions. experience, historical upon The principal considerations for our determination that performing procedures relating to the valuation of loss reserves – primary case reserves is a critical audit matter are (i) the significant judgment by management when developing the estimate of the primary case reserves; (ii) a high degree of auditor judgment, subjectivity, and effort in performing procedures and evaluating the audit evidence relating to the claim rate and claim severity significant assumptions; and (iii) the audit effort involved the use of professionals with specialized skill and knowledge. involved the matter performing Addressing procedures and evaluating audit evidence in connection with forming our overall opinion on the consolidated financial statements. These procedures included testing the effectiveness of controls relating to the valuation of loss reserves, including controls over the development of significant assumptions MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 67 MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (In thousands) Assets Investment portfolio: Fixed income, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost, 2021 - $6,397,658; 2020 - $6,317,164) Equity securities, at fair value (cost, 2021 - $15,838; 2020 - $17,522) Other invested assets, at cost Total investment portfolio Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash and cash equivalents Accrued investment income Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses Premiums receivable Home office and equipment, net Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs Other assets Total assets Liabilities and shareholders' equity Liabilities: Loss reserves Unearned premiums Federal Home Loan Bank Advance Senior notes Convertible junior subordinated debentures Other liabilities Total liabilities Contingencies Shareholders' equity: December 31, Note 2021 2020 5 / 6 $ 6,587,581 $ 6,661,596 16,068 3,100 18,215 3,100 6,606,749 6,682,911 284,690 287,953 20,268 51,902 66,905 36,275 56,540 45,614 21,671 8,727 49,997 95,042 669 56,044 47,144 21,561 134,394 104,478 $ 7,325,008 $ 7,354,526 $ 883,522 $ 880,537 241,690 155,000 881,508 110,204 191,702 287,099 155,000 879,379 208,814 244,711 2,463,626 2,655,540 9 9 8 7 7 7 17 13 Common stock (one dollar par value, shares authorized 1,000,000; shares issued 2021 - 371,353; 2020 - 371,353; shares outstanding 2021 - 320,336; 2020 - 338,573) Paid-in capital Treasury stock at cost (shares 2021 - 51,017; 2020 - 32,779) 371,353 371,353 1,794,906 1,862,042 (675,265) (393,326) Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax 10 119,697 216,821 Retained earnings Total shareholders' equity Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 3,250,691 2,642,096 4,861,382 4,698,986 $ 7,325,008 $ 7,354,526 See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements. 68 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (In thousands, except per share data) Note 2021 2020 2019 Years Ended December 31, Revenues: Premiums written: Direct Assumed Ceded Net premiums written Decrease (increase) in unearned premiums Net premiums earned Investment income, net of expenses Net realized investment gains (losses) Other revenue Total revenues Losses and expenses: Losses incurred, net Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs Other underwriting and operating expenses, net Loss on debt extinguishment Interest expense Total losses and expenses Income before tax Provision for income taxes Net income Earnings per share: Basic Diluted Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted $ 1,123,117 $ 1,106,632 $ 1,124,196 8,924 (163,031) 969,010 45,409 10,837 (188,727) 928,742 93,201 1,014,419 1,021,943 156,438 6,582 8,236 154,396 13,752 9,055 6,446 (129,334) 1,001,308 29,680 1,030,988 167,045 5,306 10,638 1,185,675 1,199,146 1,213,977 64,577 12,602 198,445 36,914 71,360 383,898 801,777 166,794 364,774 12,380 176,398 26,736 59,595 639,883 559,263 113,170 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 118,575 12,001 182,768 — 52,656 366,000 847,977 174,214 673,763 1.90 $ 1.85 $ 1.31 $ 1.29 $ 1.91 1.85 334,330 339,953 352,827 351,308 359,293 373,924 $ $ $ 9 9 5 5 8 / 9 7 7 12 4 4 4 See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 69 MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (In thousands) Net income Years Ended December 31, Note 2021 2020 2019 $ 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 673,763 Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax: Change in unrealized investment gains and losses Benefit plans adjustment Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax 10 5/10 11 (122,099) 24,975 (97,124) 133,616 10,497 144,113 Comprehensive income $ 537,859 $ 590,206 $ 173,910 23,012 196,922 870,685 See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements. 70 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY (In thousands) Common stock Note 2021 2020 2019 Years Ended December 31, Balance, beginning and end of year 371,353 371,353 371,353 Paid-in capital Balance, beginning of year Cumulative effect of debt with conversion options accounting standards update Balance, beginning of period, as adjusted Reacquisition of convertible junior subordinated debentures-equity component 7 Reissuance of treasury stock, net under share- based compensation plans Equity compensation Balance, end of year Treasury stock Balance, beginning of year Purchases of common stock 13 Reissuance of treasury stock, net under share- based compensation plans Balance, end of year Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) Balance, beginning of year Other comprehensive (loss) income 10 Balance, end of year Retained earnings Balance, beginning of year Cumulative effect of debt with conversion options accounting standards update Balance, beginning of period, as adjusted Net income Cash dividends Balance, end of year 1,862,042 1,869,719 1,862,536 (68,289) 1,793,753 — — 1,869,719 1,862,536 — (2,673) — (15,956) 17,109 (18,807) 13,803 (11,715) 18,898 1,794,906 1,862,042 1,869,719 (393,326) (290,818) 8,879 (675,265) 216,821 (97,124) 119,697 (283,196) (119,997) 9,867 (393,326) 72,708 144,113 216,821 (175,059) (114,126) 5,989 (283,196) (124,214) 196,922 72,708 2,642,096 2,278,650 1,647,275 68,289 2,710,385 634,983 (94,677) — — 2,278,650 1,647,275 446,093 (82,647) 673,763 (42,388) 3,250,691 2,642,096 2,278,650 Total shareholders' equity $ 4,861,382 $ 4,698,986 $ 4,309,234 See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 71 MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (In thousands) Cash flows from operating activities: Net income Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and other amortization Deferred tax expense Loss on debt extinguishment Net realized investment (gains) losses Change in certain assets and liabilities: Accrued investment income Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses Premiums receivable Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs Profit commission receivable Loss reserves Unearned premiums Return premium accrual Current income taxes Other, net Net cash provided by operating activities Cash flows from investing activities: Purchases of investments Proceeds from sales of investments Proceeds from maturity of fixed income securities Net decrease in payables for securities Additions to property and equipment Net cash used in investing activities Cash flows from financing activities: Proceeds from issuance of senior notes Purchase of senior notes Payment of original issue discount - senior notes Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 673,763 66,014 5,188 36,914 57,812 27,475 26,736 48,784 11,096 — (6,582) (13,752) (5,306) (1,905) (292) (1,704) 28,137 (73,401) 11,687 (35,606) (496) (110) (19,245) 852 (457) (3,030) 4,586 1,427 (497) (643) 4,945 2,985 325,203 (118,685) (45,409) (93,203) (29,683) 7,200 5,429 18,820 (500) (11,500) 6,271 21,916 1,057 24,791 696,317 732,309 609,532 (1,531,129) (2,636,972) (1,394,126) 473,904 836,851 229,796 900,591 1,030,926 748,165 — — (307) (4,115) (3,311) (5,636) (160,749) (772,506) (422,108) — — — 640,250 (179,735) (2,969) — — — — — — Purchase of convertible junior subordinated debentures (98,610) (36,392) Payment of original issue discount- convertible junior subordinated debentures — (15,049) Cash portion of loss on debt extinguishment (36,914) (25,266) Repurchase of common stock Dividends paid Payment of debt issuance costs Payment of withholding taxes related to share-based compensation net share settlement Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (290,818) (119,997) (125,766) (94,219) (82,061) (41,914) — (2,020) — (6,729) (8,940) (5,726) (527,290) 167,821 (173,406) Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents 8,278 127,624 14,018 Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 296,680 169,056 155,038 Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents at end of year $ 304,958 $ 296,680 $ 169,056 See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements. 72 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements NOTE 1 Nature of Business NOTE 2 Basis of Presentation BASIS OF PRESENTATION The accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"), as codified in the Accounting Standards Codification ("ASC"). Our consolidated financial statements include the accounts of MGIC Investment Corporation and its majority-owned subsidiaries. Intercompany transactions and balances have been eliminated. In accordance with GAAP, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods. Actual results could differ from those estimates. The COVID-19 pandemic had a material impact on our 2020 financial results. While uncertain, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s future financial results, business, liquidity and/or financial condition may also be material. The magnitude of the impact will be influenced by various factors, including the length and severity of the pandemic in the United States, efforts transmission of COVID-19, the level of unemployment, and the impact of government initiatives and actions taken by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (including mortgage forbearance and modification programs) to mitigate the economic harm caused by COVID-19. "GSEs") reduce (the the to SUBSEQUENT EVENTS We have considered subsequent events through the date of this filing. through Mortgage Guaranty MGIC Investment Corporation is a holding company Insurance which, Corporation ("MGIC"), is principally engaged in the mortgage insurance business. We provide mortgage insurance to lenders throughout the United States and to government sponsored entities to protect against loss from defaults on low down payment residential mortgage insurance loans. Primary mortgage provides mortgage default protection on individual loans and covers a percentage of the unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest and certain expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure or sale approved by us, of the underlying property. MGIC Assurance Corporation ("MAC") and MGIC insurance subsidiaries of MGIC, provide insurance for certain mortgages under Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the "GSEs") credit risk transfer programs. Indemnity Corporation ("MIC"), Through certain non-insurance subsidiaries, we also provide certain services for the mortgage finance industry, such as contract underwriting. At December 31, 2021, our direct primary insurance in force ("IIF") was $274.4 billion, which represents the principal balance in our records of all mortgage loans that we insure, and our direct primary risk in force ("RIF") was $69.3 billion, which represents the IIF multiplied by the insurance coverage percentage. The substantial majority of our NIW has been for loans purchased by the GSEs. The current private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements ("PMIERs") of the GSEs include financial requirements, as well as business, quality control and certain transactional approval requirements. The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer’s "Available Assets" (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its "Minimum Required Assets" (which are based on an insurer's book of risk in force, calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions). Based on our application of the PMIERs, as of December 31, 2021, MGIC’s Available Assets are in excess of its Minimum Required Assets; and MGIC is in compliance with the PMIERs and eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 73 inputs Market indicators, industry, and economic events are listed above are also considered. The evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model. This model combines all inputs to arrive at a value assigned to each security. Quality controls are performed by independent pricing sources throughout this process, which include reviewing tolerance reports, trading information, data changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. the On a quarterly basis, we perform quality controls over values received from the pricing sources which also include reviewing tolerance reports, data changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. We have not made any adjustments to the prices obtained from the independent pricing sources. Valuation hierarchy for fair disclosure of A three-level valuation hierarchy has been established value under GAAP measurements. The valuation hierarchy is based on the transparency of inputs to the valuation of a financial instrument as of the measurement date. To determine the fair value of securities available-for-sale in Level 1 and Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy, independent pricing sources, as described below, have been utilized. One price is provided per security based on observable market data. To ensure securities are appropriately classified in the fair value hierarchy, we review the pricing techniques and methodologies of the independent pricing sources and believe that their policies adequately consider market activity, either based on specific transactions issue valued or based on modeling of for the securities with similar credit quality, duration, yield and structure that were recently traded. NOTE 3 Significant Accounting Policies CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS We consider money market funds and investments with original maturities of three months or less to be cash equivalents. RESTRICTED CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS Restricted cash and cash equivalents consists of cash and money market funds held in trusts for the benefit under reinsurance agreements or for other contractual restrictions. counterparties contractual of FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS We carry certain financial instruments at fair value and disclose the fair value of all financial instruments. Our financial instruments carried at fair value are recurring basis. predominantly measured on a Financial instruments measured on a nonrecurring basis are subject to fair value adjustments only in certain circumstances (for example, when there is evidence of impairment). The fair value of an asset or liability is defined as the price that would be received upon a sale of an asset, or paid to transfer a liability, in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Fair value is based on quoted market prices or inputs, where available. If prices or quotes are not available, fair value is based on valuation models or other valuation techniques that consider relevant transaction characteristics (such as maturity) and use inputs observable or unobservable market as parameters interest rates, volatilities, equity or debt prices, and credit curves. Valuation adjustments may be made to ensure that financial instruments are recorded at fair value, as described below. including yield curves, For the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, we did not elect to measure any financial instruments acquired, or issued, such as our outstanding debt obligations, at fair value for which the primary basis of accounting is not fair value. Valuation process We use independent pricing sources to determine the fair value of a substantial majority of our financial instruments, which primarily consist of assets in our investment portfolio, but also includes cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents. A variety of inputs are used; in approximate order of priority, they are: benchmark yields, reported trades, two-sided broker/dealer quotes, markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers, and reference research publications. including market issuer spreads, data 74 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report The three levels are defined as follows: è Level 1 Quoted prices for identical instruments in that we can access. active markets Financial assets using Level 1 inputs primarily include U.S. Treasury securities, money market funds, treasury bills, and certain equity securities. than quoted prices, è Level 2 Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets that we can access; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other that are observable in the marketplace for the instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the instruments. Financial assets using Level 2 include obligations government corporations and agencies, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, asset- backed securities, most municipal bonds, and commercial paper. inputs primarily U.S. of The independent pricing sources used for our Level 2 investments vary by type of - "Fair Value investment. See Note 6 Measurements" for further information. è Level 3 Valuations from derived valuation techniques in which one or more significant inputs or value drivers are unobservable or, from par values due to restrictions on certain securities that require them to be redeemed or sold only to the security issuer at par value. The inputs used to derive the fair value of Level 3 securities reflect our own assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability. Our non-financial assets that are classified as Level 3 securities consist of real estate acquired through claim settlement. The fair value of real estate acquired lower of our acquisition cost or a percentage of the appraised value. The percentage applied to the appraised value is based upon our historical sales experience adjusted for current trends. the is INVESTMENTS Fixed income securities. Our fixed income securities are classified as available-for-sale and are reported at fair value. The related unrealized investment gains or losses are, after considering the related tax expense or benefit, recognized as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) in shareholders' equity. Realized investment gains and losses on fixed income securities are reported in income based upon specific identification of securities sold as well as any credit allowance (2021 and 2020), and any temporary" impairments ("OTTI") (2019). "other than Notes Equity securities. Equity securities are reported at fair value, except for certain securities that are carried at cost. Equity securities carried at cost are reported as Other invested assets. Realized investment gains and losses on equity securities are reported in income based upon specific identification of securities sold, as well as any change in fair value of equity securities. Other invested assets. Other invested assets are represent our carried at cost. These assets investment in Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago ("FHLB") stock, which due to restrictions, is required to be redeemed or sold only to the security issuer at par value. We report accrued investment income separately from securities. Accrued investment income is written off through net realized investment gains (losses) if, and at the time, the issuer of the security defaults or is expected to default on payments. Unrealized losses and allowance for credit losses Each quarter we determine whether securities in an unrealized loss position are impaired by considering several factors including, but not limited to: è our intent to sell the security or whether it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis; è the present value of the discounted cash flows we expect to collect compared to the amortized cost basis of the security; è failure of the issuer to make scheduled interest or principal payments; è a change in rating to below investment grade; and è adverse conditions specifically related to the security, an industry, or a geographic area. Based on our evaluation, we will record a realized loss on an impaired security if we intend to sell, if it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell it prior to recovery of its amortized cost basis, or if the present value of the discounted cash flows we expect to collect is less than the amortized cost basis of the security. When a security is considered to be impaired, but when a sale is not intended or is not likely, the loss is separated into the portion that represents the credit loss and the portion that is due to other factors. An allowance for credit losses is recorded, subject to reversal, for the credit loss portion in the statement of investment gains and operations within realized losses, while the is recognized in accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of taxes. A credit loss is determined to exist if the present value of the discounted cash flows, using the security’s original yield, expected to be collected from the security is less than the cost basis of the security. loss due to other factors MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 75 Notes For 2019, our evaluation of whether a decline in fair values was other-than-temporary also included reviewing the extent and duration of the decline. Based on our evaluation, if the fair value of a security was below its amortized cost at the time of our intent to sell, the security was classified as other-than- temporarily impaired and the full amount of the impairment was recognized as a loss in the statement of operations. Otherwise, when a security was considered to be other-than-temporarily impaired, the loss was separated into the portion of the loss that represented the credit loss and the portion that was due to other factors. The credit loss portion was recognized as a loss in the statement of operations, while the loss due to other factors was recognized in accumulated other comprehensive loss, net of taxes. A credit loss was determined to exist if the present value of the discounted cash flows, using the security’s original yield, expected to be collected from the security was less than the cost basis of the security. If the security was determined to be other- than-temporary-impaired the security was classified as other-than-temporarily full amount of the impairment was recognized as a loss in the statement of operations. impaired and the HOME OFFICE AND EQUIPMENT financial Home office and equipment is carried at cost net of depreciation. For reporting purposes, depreciation is determined on a straight-line basis for the home office and equipment over estimated lives ranging from 3 to 45 years. For income tax purposes, we use accelerated depreciation methods. Home office and equipment is shown net of accumulated depreciation of $55.4 million, $51.2 million and $43.0 million as of December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. Depreciation expense for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019 was $5.6 million, $6.3 million and $6.5 million, respectively. DEFERRED COSTS INSURANCE POLICY ACQUISITION the successful Costs directly associated with acquisition of mortgage insurance business, consisting of employee compensation and other policy issuance and underwriting expenses, are initially deferred and reported as deferred insurance policy acquisition costs ("DAC"). The deferred costs received are net of any ceding commissions associated with our reinsurance agreements. For each underwriting year of business, these costs are amortized to income in proportion to estimated gross profits over the estimated life of the policies. We in our investment utilize anticipated calculation. This includes accruing interest on the unamortized balance of DAC. The estimates for each underwriting year are reviewed quarterly and updated when necessary to reflect actual experience and any income changes to key variables such as persistency or loss development. LOSS RESERVES Loss reserves include case reserves, incurred but not loss adjustment reported ("IBNR") reserves, and expense ("LAE") reserves. Case reserves and LAE reserves are established when notices of delinquency on insured mortgage loans are received. Such loans are referred to as being in our delinquency inventory. For reporting purposes, we consider a loan delinquent when it is two or more payments past due and has not become current or resulted in a claim payment. Even though the accounting standard, ASC 944, regarding accounting insurance entities specifically and reporting by excludes mortgage its guidance insurance from relating to loss reserves, we establish loss reserves the the general principles contained using insurance standard. However, consistent with industry standards for mortgage insurers, we do not establish case reserves for future claims on insured loans that are not currently delinquent. in Case reserves are established by estimating the number of loans in our delinquency inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity. Our case reserve estimates are primarily established based including rescissions of policies, curtailments of claims, and loan modification activity. Adjustments to reserve estimates are reflected in the financial statements in the years in which the adjustments are made. The liability is based on information provided by the ceding companies. reinsurance assumed experience, historical upon for IBNR reserves are established for delinquencies estimated to have occurred prior to the close of an accounting period, but have not yet been reported to reported us. Consistent with delinquencies, IBNR reserves are also established using estimated claim rates and claim severities. reserves for LAE reserves are established for the estimated costs of settling claims, including legal and other expenses, and general expenses of administering the claims settlement process. Our loss reserve estimates are also affected by any agreements we enter into regarding our claims paying practices, such as the settlement agreements discussed in Note 17 – “Litigation and Contingencies” to our consolidated financial statements. Loss reserves are ceded to reinsurers under our reinsurance agreements. (See Note 8 – “Loss Reserves” and Note 9 – “Reinsurance.”) 76 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report PREMIUM DEFICIENCY RESERVE After our loss reserves are established, we perform premium deficiency tests using our best estimate of future premium, losses and LAE paid. Premium deficiency reserves are established, if necessary, when the present value of expected future losses and LAE paid exceeds the present value of expected future premium and already established reserves. REVENUE RECOGNITION We write policies which are guaranteed renewable at the insured's option on a monthly, single, or annual premium basis. We have no ability to re-underwrite or reprice these policies. Premiums written on monthly premium policies are earned as coverage is provided. Premiums written on single premium policies and annual premium policies are initially deferred as unearned premium reserve. Premiums written on annual premium policies are earned on a monthly pro rata basis. Premiums written on policies covering more than one year are amortized over the estimated policy life based on historical experience, which includes the anticipated incurred loss pattern. When a policy is cancelled for a reason other than rescission or claim payment, all premium that is non-refundable is immediately earned. Any refundable premium is returned to the servicer or borrower. When a policy is cancelled due to rescission, all previously collected premium is returned and when a policy is cancelled because a claim is paid, premium collected since the date of delinquency is returned. The liability associated with our estimate of premium to be returned is accrued for separately and included in "Other liabilities" on our consolidated balance sheets. Changes in this liability, and the actual return of premiums for all periods, affects premiums written and earned. We assess whether a credit loss allowance is required for our premium receivable. We consider collectability trends and industry development, among other things. Any estimated credit loss would be immediately recognized. Fee income of our non-insurance subsidiaries is earned and recognized as the services are provided and the customer is obligated to pay. Fee income consists primarily of contract underwriting and related fee-based services provided to lenders and is included in “Other revenue” on the consolidated statements of operations. INCOME TAXES Deferred income taxes are provided under the liability method, which recognizes the future tax effects of temporary differences between amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements and the tax bases of these items. The estimated tax effects are computed at the enacted federal statutory income tax rate. Changes in tax laws, rates, regulations, and Notes policies or the final determination of tax audits or examinations, could materially affect our estimates and can be significant to our operating results. We evaluate the realizability of the deferred tax assets based on the weight of all available positive and negative evidence. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if it is more likely than not that all or some portion of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. for threshold recognition The recognition of a tax position is determined using a two-step approach. The first step applies a more- likely-than-not and derecognition. The second step measures the tax position as the greatest amount of benefit that is cumulatively greater than 50% likely to be realized. When evaluating a tax position for recognition and measurement, we presume that the tax position will be examined by the relevant taxing authority that has information. We full knowledge of all relevant recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in our provision for income taxes. reserves that are recorded for Federal tax law permits mortgage guaranty insurance companies to deduct from taxable income, subject to certain limitations, the amounts added to contingency loss regulatory purposes. The amounts we deduct must generally be included in taxable income in the tenth subsequent year. The deduction is allowed only to the extent that we purchase and hold U.S. government non-interest- bearing tax and loss bonds in an amount equal to the tax benefit attributable to the deduction. We account for these purchases as a payment of current federal income tax. (See "Note 12 - Income Taxes.") BENEFIT PLANS We have a non-contributory defined benefit pension plan covering substantially all employees, as well as a supplemental executive retirement plan. Retirement benefits are based on compensation and years of service, utilizing a cash balance formula. Under the cash balance formula, participants’ accounts are credited each year with an employer contribution and interest. The employer contribution is a percentage of eligible earnings based on the participant’s age on January 1, 2019. We recognize these retirement benefit costs over the period during which employees render the service that qualifies them for benefits. Our policy is to fund pension cost as required under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974. We offer both medical and dental benefits for retired domestic employees, their eligible spouses and dependents until the retiree reaches the age of 65. Under the plan retirees pay a premium for these benefits. We accrue the estimated costs of retiree medical and dental benefits over the period during which employees render the service that qualifies them for benefits. (See Note 11 – “Benefit Plans.”) MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 77 Notes REINSURANCE share quota reinsurance We cede insurance risk through the use of quota share reinsurance transactions and aggregate excess of loss reinsurance transactions. Premiums and losses incurred are ceded pursuant to the terms of our transactions. Reinsurance premiums ceded under our excess of loss transactions are composed of coverage, initial expense and supplemental premiums. The coverage premiums are generally calculated as the difference between the amount of interest payable by the Home Re Entity on the remaining reinsurance coverage levels, and the investment income collected on the collateral assets held in the reinsurance trust account and used to collateralize the Home Re Entity's reinsurance obligation to MGIC. under ceded Loss reserves are reported before taking credit for reinsurance amounts transactions. Ceded loss reserves are reflected as "Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves." Amounts due from reinsurers on paid claims are reflected as “Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses.” Ceded premiums payable, net of ceding commission and profit commission are included in “Other liabilities.” Profit commissions are included with “Premiums written – Ceded” and ceding commissions are included with “Other underwriting and operating expenses, net.” We remain liable for all insurance ceded. (See Note 9 – “Reinsurance.”) recorded life of reinsurance recoverable, We assess the credit risk associated with our reinsurance recoverable. Effective January 1, 2020 if an estimated credit loss is expected to occur over the remaining is immediately In assessing to whether a credit allowance should be established, we consider several factors including, but not limited to, the credit ratings of individual reinsurers, investor reports for our excess of loss transactions, collateral held in trust accounts in which MGIC is the sole beneficiary, and aging of outstanding reinsurance recoverable balances. income. it Assumed reinsurance received from the ceding company. is based on information SHARE-BASED COMPENSATION We have certain share-based compensation plans. Under the fair value method, compensation cost is measured at the grant date based on the fair value of the award and is recognized over the service period which generally corresponds to the vesting period. Awards under our plans generally vest over periods ranging from one to three years, although awards to our non-employee directors vest immediately. (See Note 15 – “Share-based Compensation Plans.”) EARNINGS PER SHARE Basic earnings per share ("EPS") is calculated by dividing net income by the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding. The computation of basic EPS includes as "participating securities" an immaterial number of unvested share- based compensation awards that contain non- forfeitable rights to dividends or dividend equivalents, whether paid or unpaid, under the "two-class" method. Our participating securities are composed of vested restricted stock and restricted stock units ("RSUs") with non-forfeitable rights to dividends. Diluted EPS includes the components of basic EPS and also gives effect to dilutive common stock equivalents. We calculate diluted EPS using the treasury stock method and if-converted method. Under the treasury stock method, diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if our unvested restricted stock units result in the issuance of common stock. Under the if- converted method, diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if our 9% Debentures are converted to common stock. The determination of potentially issuable shares does not consider the satisfaction of the conversion requirements and the shares are included in the determination of diluted EPS as of the beginning of the period, if dilutive. For purposes of calculating basic and diluted EPS, vested restricted considered and RSUs outstanding. stock are RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS In 2021, MGIC distributed to the holding company, as a dividend, its investment in MGIC Credit Assurance Corporation. In 2020 MGIC Reinsurance Corporation of Wisconsin, a subsidiary of MGIC, merged with MGIC. There were no related party transactions during 2019. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS ACCOUNTING AND REPORTING Accounting standards effective in 2021, or early adopted, and relevant to our financial statements Simplifying the Accounting for Income Taxes: ASU 2019-12 Effective January 1, 2021, we adopted FASB guidance on a prospective basis which simplifies Accounting for Income Taxes (Topic 740) by removing certain exceptions to Topic 740. The adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements. Clarification of Accounting for Equity Securities: ASU 2020-01 Effective January 1, 2021, we adopted ASU 2020-01, which clarifies certain interactions of accounting for equity securities under Topic 321, accounting for the equity method of equity securities under 78 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report accounting in Topic 323, and accounting for certain forward contracts and purchased options in Topic 815. The amendment clarifies the consideration of observable or discounting the equity method of accounting. The adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements. transactions applying before Improvements Codification to Subtopic 310-20, Receivables - Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs: ASU 2020-08 Effective January 1, 2021, we adopted Accounting Standards Update No. 2017-08, Receivables— Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs (Subtopic 310-20): Premium Amortization on Purchased Callable Debt Securities. FASB standard 2017-08 shortened for certain the amortization period purchased callable debt securities held at a premium by requiring that an entity amortize the premium associated with those callable debt securities within the scope of paragraph 310-20-25-33 to the earliest call date and clarified the FASB’s intent that an entity should reevaluate whether a callable debt security that has multiple call dates is within the scope of paragraph 310-20-35-33 for each reporting period. This guidance clarified that the issuer of a callable debt security should use the next call date versus the earliest call date in amortizing premium. The adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements. Accounting for Convertible Instruments and Contracts in an Entity’s Own Equity: ASU 2020-06 for certain the accounting Effective January 1, 2021, we adopted ASU 2020-06 using a modified retrospective basis. ASU 2020-06 simplifies financial instruments with characteristics of liabilities and equity. It also includes amendments to EPS guidance. The updated guidance reduced the number of accounting models for convertible debt instruments and convertible preferred stock, and eliminated the cash conversion feature within ASU 470. As a result of these changes, more convertible instruments will be reported as a single unit on the balance sheet. We previously accounted for our 9% Debentures under the cash conversion feature, which required us to account for the conversion features of our 9% Debentures within Paid-in Capital. The adoption of this guidance resulted in a $68.3 million cumulative effect adjustment to our 2021 beginning Retained Earnings and Paid-in Capital to reflect the 9% Debentures as if we had always accounted for them as a liability in their entirety. The updated guidance also includes updates to the EPS calculation. It requires an entity to use the if- converted method, assume share settlement when settlement can be in cash or in shares, use an average market price for the period if the number of shares is based on an entity’s share price, and use the weighted average shares from each quarter to calculate the Notes year to date weighted average shares. The guidance also includes improvements to the disclosures for convertible instruments and EPS. The adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statement disclosures. Reference Rate Reform: ASU 2020-04 In March 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-04 to provide temporary optional guidance to ease the potential burden in accounting for (or recognizing the effects of) reference rate reform. It provides optional expedients and exceptions for applying generally accepted accounting principles to contracts, hedging relationships and other transactions affected by reference rate reform if certain criteria are met. This standard may be elected and applied prospectively over time from March 12, 2020 through December 31, 2022 as reference rate reform activities occur. The adoption of, and future elections under, this standard are not expected to have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements as the standard will ease, if warranted, the requirements for accounting for the future effects of reference rate reform. We continue to monitor the impact the discontinuance of LIBOR or other reference rates will have on our contracts and other transactions. Prospective Accounting Standards Table 2.1 shows the relevant new amendments to accounting standards, which are not yet effective or adopted. Standard / Interpretation Table 2.1 Amended Standards ASC 944 Long-Duration Contracts Effective date • ASU 2018-12 - Financial Services - Insurance (Topic 944): Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts January 1, 2022 Targeted Improvements for Long Duration Contracts: ASU 2018-12 presentation In August 2018, the FASB issued guidance which simplifies the amortization of deferred acquisition costs. It also provides updates to the recognition, measurement, disclosure and requirements for long duration contracts, which generally do not apply to mortgage insurance. The updated guidance requires deferred acquisition costs to be amortized on a constant level basis over the expected term of the related contracts, versus in proportion to premium, gross profits, or gross issued ASU margins. 2020-11 deferring the effective date, so that it applies for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2022, including interim periods within those annual periods. We are currently evaluating the impacts the In November 2020, FASB MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 79 Notes adoption of this guidance will have on our consolidated financial statements, but do not expect it to have a material impact. NOTE 4 Earnings Per Share Table 4.1 reconciles basic and diluted EPS amounts: Earnings per share Table 4.1 (In thousands, except per share data) Basic earnings per share: Net income Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic Basic earnings per share Diluted earnings per share: Net income Interest expense, net of tax (1): 9% Debentures Diluted income available to common shareholders Weighted-average shares - basic Effect of dilutive securities: Unvested restricted stock units 9% Debentures Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted Diluted income per share Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 673,763 334,330 339,953 352,827 $ 1.90 $ 1.31 $ 1.91 $ 634,983 $ 446,093 $ 673,763 14,343 17,004 18,264 $ 649,326 $ 463,097 $ 692,027 334,330 339,953 352,827 1,782 15,196 351,308 1,589 17,751 359,293 2,069 19,028 373,924 $ 1.85 $ 1.29 $ 1.85 (1) Interest expense for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019 has been tax effected at a rate of 21%. For the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, all of our then outstanding 9% Debentures are reflected in diluted earnings per share using the “if-converted” method. Under this method, if dilutive, the common stock related to the outstanding 9% Debentures is assumed issued as of the beginning of the reporting period and the related interest expense, net of tax, is added back to earnings in calculating diluted EPS. 80 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes NOTE 5 Investments FIXED INCOME SECURITIES Our fixed income securities consisted of the following as of December 31, 2021 and 2020: Details of fixed income investment securities by category as of December 31, 2021 Table 5.1a (In thousands) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Foreign government debt Total fixed income securities Amortized Cost Allowance for Expected Credit Loss Gross Unrealized Gains Gross Unrealized Losses Fair Value $ 133,990 $ — $ 285 $ (868) $ 133,407 2,408,688 2,704,586 150,888 309,991 315,330 360,436 13,749 — — — — — — — 133,361 75,172 (7,396) 2,534,653 (13,776) 2,765,982 830 2,397 5,736 609 — (1,008) (3,278) (1,936) (106) (99) 150,710 309,110 319,130 360,939 13,650 $ 6,397,658 $ — $ 218,390 $ (28,467) $ 6,587,581 Details of fixed income investment securities by category as of December 31, 2020 Table 5.1b (In thousands) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Foreign government debt Commercial paper Amortized Cost Allowance for Expected Credit Loss Gross Unrealized Gains Gross Unrealized Losses Fair Value $ 264,531 $ — $ 1,164 $ (2) $ 265,693 2,083,568 2,690,860 203,807 425,532 312,572 310,616 4,485 21,193 — — (49) — — — — — 166,557 155,156 2,946 6,472 16,055 566 224 — (256) 2,249,869 (1,728) 2,844,288 (18) (838) (1,125) (692) — — 206,686 431,166 327,502 310,490 4,709 21,193 Total fixed income securities $ 6,317,164 $ (49) $ 349,140 $ (4,659) $ 6,661,596 The decrease in gross unrealized gains and the increase in gross unrealized losses in our fixed income securities from December 31, 2020 to December 31, 2021 were principally related to an increase in market yields which may include increased risk-free interest rates or wider credit spreads since the time of initial purchase. We had $13.4 million and $14.1 million of investments at fair value on deposit with various states as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively, due to regulatory requirements of those states' insurance departments. In connection with our insurance and reinsurance activities within insurance subsidiaries of MGIC, we are required to maintain assets in trusts for the benefit of contractual counterparties. The fair value of the investments and restricted cash and cash equivalents on deposit in these trusts was $189.8 million and $165.9 million at December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 81 Notes Table 5.2 compares the amortized cost and fair values of fixed income securities, by contractual maturity, as of December 31, 2021. Actual maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Because most mortgage and asset-backed securities provide for periodic payments throughout their lives, they are listed in separate categories. Fixed income securities maturity schedule Table 5.2 (In thousands) Due in one year or less Due after one year through five years Due after five years through ten years Due after ten years ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs December 31, 2021 Amortized Cost Fair Value $ 338,988 $ 1,751,297 1,745,569 1,425,159 5,261,013 150,888 309,991 315,330 360,436 341,604 1,795,249 1,824,307 1,486,532 5,447,692 150,710 309,110 319,130 360,939 Total as of December 31, 2021 $ 6,397,658 $ 6,587,581 Proceeds from sales of fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale were $471.8 million, $803.4 million, and $228.1 million during the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Gross gains of $9.0 million, $21.3 million, and $7.1 million and gross losses of $1.9 million, $8.8 million, and $3.5 million were realized on those sales during the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. We recorded no realized losses for the year ended December 31, 2021 related to our intent to sell certain securities. We recorded $0.3 million of realized losses for the year ended December 31, 2020 related to our intent to sell certain securities. We also recorded a credit allowance of $49 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2020. EQUITY SECURITIES The cost and fair value of investments in equity securities as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020 are shown in tables 5.3a and 5.3b below. Details of equity investment securities as of December 31, 2021 Table 5.3a (In thousands) Equity securities Details of equity investment securities as of December 31, 2020 Table 5.3b (In thousands) Equity securities Cost Gross gains Gross losses Fair Value 15,838 264 (34) 16,068 Cost Gross gains Gross losses Fair Value 17,522 695 (2) 18,215 Proceeds from the sale of equity securities were $2.6 million, $25.7 million, and $1.7 million during the years ended December 31, 2021 2020, and 2019, respectively. Gross gains of $6.0 thousand, $1.8 million, and $1.6 million were realized on those sales during the year ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Gross losses of $2.3 thousand, $0.4 million, and zero were realized on those sales during the year ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. For the year ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 we recognized $0.5 million in net losses, $0.6 million and $0.2 million of net gains on equity securities still held as of December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively, which are reported in Net realized investment gains (losses) on our consolidated statements of operations. 82 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes OTHER INVESTED ASSETS Other invested assets represents our investment in Federal Home Loan Bank ("FHLB") stock that is carried at cost, which due to its nature approximates fair value. Ownership of FHLB stock provides access to a secured lending facility, and our current FHLB Advance amount is secured by eligible collateral whose fair value is maintained at a minimum of 102% of the outstanding principal balance of the FHLB Advance. As of December 31, 2021, that collateral consisted of fixed income securities included in our total investment portfolio, and cash and cash equivalents, with a total fair value of $167.2 million. UNREALIZED INVESTMENT LOSSES Tables 5.4a and 5.4b below summarize, for all available-for-sale investments in an unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized losses by the length of time those securities have been continuously in an unrealized loss position. Gross unrealized losses on our available-for- sale investments amounted to $28.5 million and $4.7 million as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The fair value amounts reported in tables 5.4a and 5.4b below are estimated using the process described in Note 6 - "Fair Value Measurements" to these consolidated financial statements. Unrealized loss aging for securities by type and length of time as of December 31, 2021 Table 5.4a (In thousands) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Foreign government debt Total Less Than 12 Months 12 Months or Greater Total Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses $ 91,154 $ (790) $ 2,616 $ (78) $ 93,770 $ (868) 452,021 865,085 100,064 180,586 89,889 177,663 13,649 (7,189) (13,260) (998) (2,548) (1,887) (71) (99) 15,540 10,997 1,552 31,641 1,511 21,973 — (207) (516) 467,561 876,082 (10) 101,616 (730) 212,227 (49) (35) — 91,400 199,636 13,649 (7,396) (13,776) (1,008) (3,278) (1,936) (106) (99) $ 1,970,111 $ (26,842) $ 85,830 $ (1,625) $ 2,055,941 $ (28,467) Unrealized loss aging for securities by type and length of time as of December 31, 2020 Table 5.4b (In thousands) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Total Less Than 12 Months 12 Months or Greater Total Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses $ 2,690 $ (2) $ — $ — $ 2,690 $ (2) 31,416 44,968 14,929 98,409 13,212 95,287 (256) (1,728) (18) (773) (789) (261) — — — 3,566 2,799 73,904 — — — (65) (336) (431) 31,416 44,968 14,929 101,975 16,011 169,191 (256) (1,728) (18) (838) (1,125) (692) $ 300,911 $ (3,827) $ 80,269 $ (832) $ 381,180 $ (4,659) Based on current facts and circumstances, we believe the unrealized losses as of December 31, 2021 presented in table 5.4a above are not indicative of the ultimate collectability of the current amortized cost of the securities and that the securities are not impaired. The gross unrealized losses in all categories of our investments were caused by changes in market yields, between the time of purchase and the respective fair value measurement date. We also rely upon estimates of several credit and non-credit factors in our review and evaluation of individual investments to determine whether a credit impairment exists. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 83 Notes The unrealized losses in all categories of our investments as of December 31, 2020 were primarily attributable to widening credit spreads over risk free rates, as a result of economic and market uncertainties arising from the COVID-19 pandemic, which included demand shocks in multiple sectors that originated in 2020. There were 610 and 109 securities in an unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. As of December 31, 2021, the fair value as a percent of amortized cost of the securities in an unrealized loss position was 99% and approximately 15% of the securities in an unrealized loss position were backed by the U.S. Government. As of December 31, 2020, the fair value as a percent of amortized cost of the securities in an unrealized loss position was 99% and approximately 27% of the securities in an unrealized loss position were backed by the U.S. Government. All of the securities in an unrealized loss position are current with respect to their interest obligations. The source of net investment income is shown in table 5.5 below. Net investment income Table 5.5 (In thousands) Fixed income securities Equity securities Cash equivalents Other Investment income Investment expenses Net investment income 2021 2020 2019 $ 160,030 $ 157,065 $ 165,523 471 75 22 620 1,648 275 406 4,444 974 160,598 159,608 171,347 (4,160) (5,212) (4,302) $ 156,438 $ 154,396 $ 167,045 The change in unrealized gains (losses) of investments is shown in table 5.6 below. Change in unrealized gains (losses) Table 5.6 (In thousands) Fixed income securities 2021 2020 2019 $ (154,555) $ 169,135 $ 220,139 84 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes NOTE 6 Fair Value Measurements Recurring fair value measurements The following describes the valuation methodologies generally used by the independent pricing sources, or by us, to measure financial instruments at fair value, including the general classification of such financial instruments pursuant to the valuation hierarchy. • Fixed income securities: U.S. Treasury Securities and Obligations of U.S. Government Corporations and Agencies: Securities with valuations derived from quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we can access are categorized in Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. Securities valued by surveying the dealer community, obtaining relevant trade data, benchmark quotes and spreads and incorporating this information in the valuation process are categorized as Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Corporate Debt Bonds are valued by surveying the dealer community, obtaining relevant trade data, benchmark quotes and spreads and incorporating this information into the valuation process. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Obligations of U.S. States & Political Subdivisions are valued by tracking, capturing, and analyzing quotes for active issues and trades reported via the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board records. Daily briefings and reviews of current economic conditions, trading levels, spread relationships, and the slope of the yield curve provide further data for evaluation. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") are valued by monitoring interest rate movements, and other pertinent data daily. Incoming market data is enriched to derive spread, yield and/or price data as appropriate, enabling known data points to be extrapolated for valuation application across a range of related securities. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are valued using techniques that reflect market participants’ assumptions and maximize the use of relevant observable inputs including quoted prices for similar assets, benchmark yield curves and market corroborated inputs. Evaluation uses regular reviews of the inputs for securities covered, including executed trades, broker quotes, credit information, collateral attributes and/or cash flow waterfall as applicable. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Asset-Backed Securities ("ABS") are valued using spreads and other information solicited from market buy- and-sell-side sources, including primary and secondary dealers, portfolio managers, and research analysts. Cash flows are generated for each tranche, benchmark yields are determined, and deal collateral performance and tranche level attributes including trade activity, bids, and offers are applied, resulting in tranche specific prices. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Collateralized loan obligations ("CLOs") are valued by evaluating manager rating, seniority in the capital structure, assumptions about prepayment, default and recovery and their impact on cash flow generation. Loan level net asset values are determined and aggregated for tranches and as a final step prices are checked against available recent trade activity. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Foreign government debt is valued by surveying the dealer community, obtaining relevant trade data, benchmark quotes and spreads and incorporating this information into the valuation process. These securities are generally categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Commercial Paper, which has an original maturity greater than 90 days, is valued using market data for comparable instruments of similar maturity and average yields. These securities are categorized in Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. • Equity securities: Consist of actively traded, exchange-listed equity securities, including exchange traded funds (“ETFs”) and Bond Mutual Funds, with valuations derived from quoted prices for identical assets in active markets that we can access. These securities are valued in Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. • Cash Equivalents: Consists of money market funds and treasury bills with valuations derived from quoted prices for identical assets in active markets that we can access. These securities are valued in level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. Instruments in this category valued using market data for comparable instruments are classified as level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 85 Notes • Real estate acquired is valued at the lower of our acquisition cost or a percentage of the appraised value. The percentage applied to the appraised value is based upon our historical sales experience adjusted for current trends. These securities are categorized in level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. Assets measured at fair value included those listed, by hierarchy level, in the following tables as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. The fair value of the assets is estimated using the process described above, and more fully in Note 3 - "Significant Accounting Policies" to the consolidated financial statements. Assets carried at fair value by hierarchy level as of December 31, 2021 Table 6.1a (In thousands) Fair Value Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Foreign government debt Total fixed income securities Equity securities Cash Equivalents Real estate acquired (1) Total $ 133,407 $ 102,153 $ 31,254 $ 2,534,653 2,765,982 150,710 309,110 319,130 360,939 13,650 6,587,581 16,068 254,230 1,507 — — — — — — — 102,153 16,068 254,230 — 2,534,653 2,765,982 150,710 309,110 319,130 360,939 13,650 6,485,428 — — — $ 6,859,386 $ 372,451 $ 6,485,428 $ — — — — — — — — — — — 1,507 1,507 Assets carried at fair value by hierarchy level as of December 31, 2020 Table 6.1b (In thousands) Fair Value Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions Corporate debt securities ABS RMBS CMBS CLOs Foreign government debt Commercial paper Total fixed income securities Equity securities Cash Equivalents Real estate acquired (1) Total $ 265,693 $ 149,339 $ 116,354 $ 2,249,869 2,844,288 206,686 431,166 327,502 310,490 4,709 21,193 6,661,596 18,215 288,941 1,092 — — — — — — — — 149,339 18,215 275,668 — 2,249,869 2,844,288 206,686 431,166 327,502 310,490 4,709 21,193 6,512,257 — 13,273 — $ 6,969,844 $ 443,222 $ 6,525,530 $ — — — — — — — — — — — — 1,092 1,092 (1) Real estate acquired through claim settlement, which is held for sale, is reported in "Other assets" on the consolidated balance sheets. Certain financial insurance contracts, are excluded from fair value disclosure requirements. The carrying values of cash and cash equivalents (Level 1) and accrued investment income (Level instruments, including 86 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes 2) approximated their fair values. Additional fair value disclosures related to our investment portfolio are included in Note 5 - "Investments." RECONCILIATIONS OF LEVEL 3 ASSETS For assets measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3), a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 is shown in table 6.2 below. There were no losses included in earnings for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 attributable to the change in unrealized losses on assets still held at the end of each applicable year. Fair value roll-forward for financial instruments classified as Level 3 for the year ended December 31, Table 6.2 (In thousands) Beginning balance Purchases Sales Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net Real Estate Acquired 2021 2020 $ 1,092 $ 4,836 (4,806) 385 7,252 8,609 (15,429) 660 1,092 Ending balance $ 1,507 $ FINANCIAL LIABILITIES NOT CARRIED AT FAIR VALUE Other invested assets represents our investment in FHLB stock that is carried at cost, which due to restrictions that require it to be redeemed or sold only to the security issuer at par value, approximates fair value. The fair value of other invested assets is categorized as Level 2. Financial liabilities include our outstanding debt obligations. The fair values of our 5.75% and 5.25% Notes and 9% Debentures were based on observable market prices. The fair value of the FHLB Advance was estimated using cash flows discounted at current incremental borrowing rates for similar borrowing arrangements. In all cases they are categorized as Level 2. See Note 7 - "Debt" for a description of the financial liabilities in table 6.3. Table 6.3 compares the carrying value and fair value of our financial assets and liabilities disclosed, but not carried, at fair value as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. Financial liabilities not carried at fair value Table 6.3 (In thousands) Financial assets Other invested assets Financial liabilities FHLB Advance 5.75% Notes 5.25% Notes 9% Debentures December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 Carrying Value Fair Value Carrying Value Fair Value $ $ 3,100 $ 3,100 $ 3,100 $ 3,100 155,000 $ 157,585 $ 155,000 $ 241,255 640,253 110,204 256,213 686,875 151,000 240,597 638,782 208,814 160,865 261,752 696,449 273,569 Total financial liabilities $ 1,146,712 $ 1,251,673 $ 1,243,193 $ 1,392,635 The 5.75% Notes, 5.25% Notes, and 9% Debentures are obligations of our holding company, MGIC Investment Corporation. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 87 Notes NOTE 7 Debt DEBT OBLIGATIONS Table 7.1 shows the carrying value of our long-term debt obligations as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. Long-term debt obligations Table 7.1 (In millions) FHLB Advance - 1.91%, due February 2023 5.75% Notes, due August 2023 (par value: $242.3 million) 5.25% Notes, due August 2028 (par value: $650 million) 9% Debentures, due April 2063 December 31, 2021 2020 $ 155.0 $ 155.0 241.3 240.6 640.2 110.2 638.8 208.8 Long-term debt, carrying value $ 1,146.7 $ 1,243.2 The 5.75% Senior Notes (“5.75% Notes”), 5.25% Senior Notes ("5.25% Notes") and 9% Convertible Junior (“9% Debentures”) are Subordinated Debentures obligations of our holding company, MGIC Investment Corporation. The Federal Home Loan Bank Advance (“FHLB Advance”) is an obligation of MGIC. 2021 Transactions In December 2021, we repurchased $98.6 million in aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures at a purchase price of $135.5 million, plus accrued interest. The repurchase of 9% Debentures resulted in a $36.9 million loss on debt extinguishment on our consolidated statement of operations and a reduction in our potentially dilutive shares by approximately 7.5 million shares. 2020 Transactions In August 2020, we issued $650 million aggregate principal amount of 5.25% Notes, which are due in 2028 and received net proceeds, after the deduction of underwriting fees, of $640.3 million. In addition to underwriting incurred approximately $2.0 million of other expenses associated with the issuance of these notes. fees, we We repurchased $182.7 million in aggregate principal amount of our 5.75% notes at a purchase price of $197.8 million, plus accrued interest, using proceeds from the 5.25% Notes issuance. The excess of the purchase price over the carrying value, plus the write- off of unamortized issuance costs on the par value, is loss on debt extinguishment of reflected as a $16.5 million on our consolidated statement of operations. We repurchased $48.1 million in aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures at a purchase price of $61.6 million, plus accrued interest, using proceeds from the 5.25% Notes issuance. The repurchase of 9% Debentures resulted in a $10.2 million loss on debt extinguishment on our consolidated statement of operations; a reduction in our shareholders' equity of $2.7 million related to the reacquisition of the equity component of the 9% Debentures; and a reduction in our potentially dilutive shares by approximately 3.6 million shares. FHLB Advance MGIC borrowed $155.0 million in the form of a fixed rate advance from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago ("Advance"). Interest on the Advance is payable monthly at an annual rate, fixed for the term of the Advance, of 1.91%. The principal of the Advance matures on February 10, 2023. MGIC may prepay the Advance at any time. Such prepayment would be below par if interest rates have risen after the Advance was originated, or above par if interest rates have declined. The Advance is secured by eligible collateral whose market value must be maintained at 102% of the principal balance of the Advance. MGIC provided eligible collateral from its investment portfolio. 5.75% Notes Interest on the 5.75% Notes is payable semi-annually on February 15 and August 15 of each year. We have the option to redeem these notes, in whole or in part, at any time or from time to time prior to maturity at a redemption price equal to the greater of (i) 100% of the aggregate principal amount of the notes to be redeemed and (ii) the make-whole amount, which is the sum of the present values of the remaining scheduled payments of principal and interest discounted at the treasury rate defined in the notes plus 50 basis points and accrued interest. The 5.75% Notes have covenants and events of default customary for securities of this nature, and further provide that the trustee or holders of at least 25% in aggregate principal amount of the outstanding 5.75% Notes may declare them immediately due and payable upon the occurrence of certain events of default after the expiration of the applicable grace period. In addition, in the case of an event of default arising from certain events of bankruptcy, insolvency or reorganization relating to the Company or any of its significant subsidiaries, the 5.75% Notes will become due and payable immediately. This description is not intended to be complete in all respects and is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the 5.75% including their covenants and events of Notes, 88 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report default. We were in compliance with all covenants as of December 31, 2021. 5.25% Notes Interest on the 5.25% Notes is payable semi-annually on February 15 and August 15. Prior to August 15, 2023, we may redeem the 5.25% Notes at an amount equal to the sum of (a) the greater of: (i) the sum of the principal amount and the make-whole amount; and (ii) 102.625% of principal; and (b) accrued and is the interest. The make-whole amount unpaid excess of: (1) the present value of the remaining principal, premium and interest payments that would be payable with respect to the note if such note were redeemed on August 15, 2023 (at 102.625% of principal), computed using a discount rate equal to the treasury rate specified in the notes, plus 50 basis points, over (2) the outstanding principal amount of such note. On and after August 15, 2023, we may redeem the notes at 102.625% of principal; on or after August 15, 2024, we may redeem the notes at 101.313% of principal; and on or after August 15, 2025, we may redeem the notes at 100% of principal; in each case, plus accrued and unpaid interest. The 5.25% Notes have covenants and events of default customary for securities of this nature, and further provide that the trustee or holders of at least 25% in aggregate principal amount of the outstanding 5.25% Notes may declare them immediately due and payable upon the occurrence of certain events of default after the expiration of the applicable grace period. In addition, in the case of an event of default arising from certain events of bankruptcy, insolvency or reorganization relating to the Company or any of its significant subsidiaries, the 5.25% Notes will become due and payable immediately. This description is not intended to be complete in all respects and is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the 5.25% Notes, including their covenants and events of default. We were in compliance with all covenants as of December 31, 2021. 9% Debentures to the maturity date. This The 9% Debentures are currently convertible, at the holder's option, at a conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 76.5496 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of the 9% Debentures at any time prior represents a conversion price of approximately $13.06 per share. If a holder elects to convert their 9% Debentures, deferred interest, if any, owed on the 9% Debentures being converted is also converted into shares of our common stock. The conversion rate for any deferred interest is based on the average price that our shares traded at during a 5-day period immediately prior to the election to convert. Notes The 9% Debentures include a feature that allows us, at our option, to make a cash payment to converting holders in lieu of issuing shares of common stock upon conversion of the 9% Debentures. We may redeem the 9% Debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the 9% Debentures being redeemed, plus any accrued and unpaid interest, if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds $16.98 (adjusted pro rata for changes in the conversion price) for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption. Interest on the 9% Debentures is payable semi- annually in arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year. As long as no event of default with respect to the debentures has occurred and is continuing, we interest, under an optional deferral may defer provision, for one or more consecutive interest periods up to 10 years without giving rise to an event of default. Deferred interest will accrue additional interest at the rate then applicable to the debentures. During an optional deferral period we may not pay or declare dividends on our common stock. When interest on the 9% Debentures is deferred, we are required, not later than a specified time, to use reasonable commercial efforts to begin selling qualifying securities to persons who are not our affiliates. The specified time is one business day after we pay interest on the 9% Debentures that was not deferred, or if earlier, the fifth anniversary of the scheduled interest payment date on which the deferral started. Qualifying securities are common stock, certain warrants and certain non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock. The requirement to use such efforts to sell such securities is called the Alternative Payment Mechanism. The net proceeds of Alternative Payment Mechanism sales are to be applied to the payment of deferred interest, including the compound portion. We cannot pay deferred interest other than from the net proceeds of Alternative Payment Mechanism sales, except at the final maturity of the debentures or at the tenth anniversary of the start of the interest deferral. The Alternative Payment Mechanism does not require us to sell common stock or warrants before the fifth anniversary of the interest payment date on which that deferral started if the net proceeds (counting any net proceeds of those securities previously sold under the Alternative Payment Mechanism) would exceed the 2% cap. The 2% cap is 2% of the average closing price of our common stock times the number of our outstanding shares of common stock. The average price is determined over a specified period ending before the issuance of the common stock or warrants being sold, and the number of outstanding shares is determined as of the date of our most recent publicly released financial statements. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 89 Notes We are not required to issue under the Alternative Payment Mechanism a total of more than 10 million shares of common stock, including shares underlying qualifying warrants. In addition, we may not issue under the Alternative Payment Mechanism qualifying preferred stock if the total net proceeds of all issuances would exceed 25% of the aggregate principal amount of the debentures. The Alternative Payment Mechanism does not apply interest during any period between scheduled payment dates if there is a “market disruption event” that occurs over a specified portion of such period. Market disruption events include any material adverse change in domestic or international economic or financial conditions. This description is not intended to be complete in all respects and is qualified in its entirety by the terms of the 9% Debentures, including their covenants and events of default. We were in compliance with all covenants at December 31, 2021. The 9% Debentures rank junior to all of our existing and future senior indebtedness. In February 2022, we repurchased $42.0 million aggregate principal amount of our 9% Debentures at purchase prices of $57.3 million, plus accrued interest. INTEREST PAYMENTS Interest payments were $71.7 million during 2021, $54.3 million during 2020 and $50.8 million during 2019. NOTE 8 Loss Reserves As described in Note 3 – “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies – Loss Reserves,” We establish case reserves and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") reserves on delinquent loans that were reported to us as two or more payments past due and have not become current or resulted in a claim payment. Such loans are referred to as being in our delinquency inventory. Case reserves are established by estimating the number of loans in our delinquency inventory that will result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim severity. IBNR reserves are established for estimated losses from delinquencies we estimate have occurred prior to the close of an accounting period, but have not yet been reserves are also established using estimated claim rates and claim severities reported to us. IBNR Estimation of losses is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy, including unemployment and the current and future strength of local housing markets; exposure on insured loans; the amount of time between delinquency and claim filing (all else being equal, the longer the period between delinquency and claim filing, the greater the severity); and curtailments and rescissions. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions, including impact of the unemployment and the continued COVID-19 pandemic, in leading borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, the impact of past and future government initiatives and actions taken by the GSEs (including mortgage forbearance programs and foreclosure moratoriums), and a drop in housing values which may affect borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance. Loss reserves in future periods will also be dependent on the number of loans reported to us as delinquent. to a reduction Changes to our estimates could result in a material impact to our consolidated results of operations and financial position, even in a stable economic environment. Given the uncertainty surrounding the long-term impact of COVID-19, it is difficult to predict related the ultimate effect of delinquencies and loss incidence. forbearances on our the COVID-19 In considering the potential sensitivity of the factors underlying our estimate of loss reserves, it is possible that even a relatively small change in our estimated claim rate or claim severity could have a material impact on loss reserves and, correspondingly, on our consolidated results of operations even in a stable economic environment. For example, as of December 31, 2021, assuming all other factors remain constant, a $1,000 increase/decrease in the average severity reserve factor would change the loss reserve amount by approximately +/- $16 million. A one percentage point increase/decrease in the average claim rate reserve factor would change the loss reserve amount by approximately +/- $19 million. relating incurred to delinquencies The “Losses incurred” section of table 8.1 below shows losses incurred on delinquencies that occurred in the current year and in prior years. The amount of that losses occurred in the current year represents the estimated amount to be ultimately paid on such delinquencies. The amount of to delinquencies that occurred in prior years represents the difference between the actual claim rate and claim severity associated with those delinquencies resolved in the current year compared to the estimated claim rate and claim severity at the prior year-end, as well as a re-estimation of amounts to be incurred relating losses 90 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes ultimately paid on delinquencies continuing from the end of the prior year. This re-estimation of the claim rate and claim severity is the result of our review of current trends in the delinquency inventory, such as percentages of delinquencies that have resulted in a claim, the amount of the claims relative to the average level of loan exposure, changes delinquencies by geography and changes in average loan exposure. in the relative second and third quarter of 2020). This was offset by the recognition of a probable loss of $6.3 million related to litigation of our claims paying practices and adverse development on LAE reserves and reinsurance. For the year ended December 31, 2020 we experienced adverse loss development of $19.6 million on previously received delinquencies primarily related to claim severity and adjustments to LAE reserves. Losses incurred on delinquencies that occurred in the current year decreased in 2021 compared to 2020 due to a decrease in new delinquency notices reported. New delinquency notices and IBNR reserve estimates increased in 2020 due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2021, we experienced favorable loss development of $60.0 million on previously received delinquencies primarily due to the decrease in the claim rate on pre- COVID-19 and peak COVID-19 delinquencies (those delinquencies for which notices were received in the The “Losses paid” section of table 8.1 below shows the amount of losses paid on delinquencies that occurred in the current year and losses paid on delinquencies that occurred in prior years. In light of the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, foreclosure moratoriums and specifically forbearance plans, the average time it takes to receive a claim has increased. the Table 8.1 provides a reconciliation of beginning and ending loss reserves as of and for the past three years: Development of loss reserves 8.1 Table (In thousands) Reserve at beginning of year Less reinsurance recoverable Net reserve at beginning of year Losses incurred: Losses and LAE incurred in respect of delinquent notices received in: Current year Prior years (1) Total losses incurred Losses paid: Losses and LAE paid in respect of delinquent notices received in: Current year Prior years Reinsurance terminations (2) Total losses paid Net reserve at end of year Plus reinsurance recoverables Reserve at end of year 2021 880,537 $ 2020 555,334 $ 2019 674,019 $ 95,042 785,495 21,641 533,693 33,328 640,691 124,592 (60,015) 64,577 345,170 19,604 364,774 189,581 (71,006) 118,575 664 68,769 (35,978) 33,455 816,617 66,905 3,069 109,923 (20) 112,972 785,495 95,042 4,018 235,551 (13,996) 225,573 533,693 21,641 $ 883,522 $ 880,537 $ 555,334 (1) (2) A positive number for prior year loss development indicates a deficiency of prior year reserves. A negative number for prior year loss development indicates a redundancy of prior year loss reserves. See the following table for more information about prior year loss development. In a termination, amounts for any incurred but unpaid losses are paid to us. As a result, the amount due from the reinsurers is reclassified from reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves to reinsurance recoverable on paid losses, resulting in no impact on losses incurred. (See Note 9 - "Reinsurance") MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 91 Notes The prior year development of the reserves in 2021, 2020 and 2019 is reflected in the table 8.2 below. Reserve development on previously received delinquencies 8.2 Table (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 (Decrease) in estimated claim rate on primary delinquencies $ (82,904) $ (2,536) $ (111,848) Increase (decrease)in estimated claim severity on primary delinquencies Change in estimates related to pool reserves, LAE reserves, reinsurance and other Total prior year loss development (1) 310 22,579 13,535 8,605 (434) 41,276 $ (60,015) $ 19,604 $ (71,006) (1) A positive number for prior year loss development indicates a deficiency of prior year loss reserves. A negative number for prior year loss development indicates a redundancy of prior year loss reserves. 92 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes Historically as a delinquency ages it is more likely to result in a claim. The number of consecutive months that a borrower has been delinquent is shown in table 8.4 below. Primary delinquency inventory - consecutive months delinquent Table 8.4 December 31, 2021 2020 2019 3 months or less 7,586 11,542 9,447 4 - 11 months 12 months or more (1) 7,990 34,620 9,664 17,714 11,548 10,917 Total 33,290 57,710 30,028 3 months or less 4 - 11 months 12 months or more 23 % 24 % 53 % 20 % 60 % 20 % 32 % 32 % 36 % Total 100 % 100 % 100 % Primary claims received inventory included in ending delinquent inventory 211 159 538 Approximately 20%, 31%, and 36% of the delinquent inventory that has been delinquent for 12 consecutive months or more has been delinquent for at least 36 consecutive months as of December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The increase in loans in the delinquency inventory that are 12 months or more consecutive months delinquent compared to December 31, 2020 is primarily due to the number of new delinquency notices received in the second quarter of 2020 resulting from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. This was partially offset by an increase in cures in the second half of 2020 and throughout 2021. POOL INSURANCE DEFAULT INVENTORY insurance default inventory was 498 at Pool December 31, 2021, 680 at December 31, 2020, and 653 at December 31, 2019. PREMIUM REFUNDS Our estimate of premiums to be refunded on expected claim payments is accrued for separately in "Other liabilities" on our consolidated balance sheets and approximated $37 million and $30 million at December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. DELINQUENCY INVENTORY in A roll-forward of our primary delinquency inventory for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 appears information table 8.3 below. The concerning new notices and cures is compiled from monthly reports received from loan servicers. The level of new notice and cure activity reported in a particular month can be influenced by, among other things, the date on which a servicer generates its report, the number of business days in a month and transfers of servicing between loan servicers. Primary delinquency inventory roll-forward Table 8.3 Beginning delinquent inventory New Notices Cures Paid claims Rescissions and denials Other items removed from inventory Ending delinquent inventory 2021 2020 2019 57,710 30,028 32,898 42,432 106,099 54,239 (64,896) (76,107) (52,035) (1,223) (2,245) (4,267) (38) (65) (168) (695) — (639) 33,290 57,710 30,028 (1) During 2021 and 2019, our losses paid included amounts paid upon commutation of coverage on pools of non-performing loans ("NPLs"). As a result of these payments 695 items were removed from the delinquency inventory with an amount paid of $13.8 million in 2021. During 2019, 639 items were removed from delinquency inventory with an amount paid of $30.0 million. COVID-19 Activity the to reduce including the high Our delinquency notices increased beginning in the second quarter of 2020 because of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, level of unemployment and economic uncertainty resulting from measures transmission of COVID-19. Starting in the third quarter of 2020, we experienced an increase in cures associated with our COVID-19 new delinquency notices. Government initiatives and actions taken by the GSEs provide for payment forbearance on mortgages to borrowers experiencing hardship during the COVID-19 pandemic. These forbearance plans generally allow for mortgage payments to be suspended for up to 18 months: an initial forbearance period of up to six months; if requested by the borrower, an extension of up to six months; and, for loans in a COVID-19 forbearance plan as of February 28, 2021, an additional extension up to six months, subject to certain limits. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 93 Each of our QSR transactions typically have annual loss ratio caps of 300% and lifetime loss ratios of 200%. Notes NOTE 9 Reinsurance Our consolidated financial statements reflect the effects of assumed and ceded reinsurance transactions. Assumed reinsurance refers to the acceptance of certain insurance risks that other insurance companies have underwritten. Ceded reinsurance involves transferring certain insurance risks (along with, in the case of quota share reinsurance, the related earned premiums) we have underwritten to other insurance companies who agree to share risks. The purpose of ceded reinsurance is to protect us, at a cost, against losses arising from our mortgage guaranty policies covered by the agreement and to manage our capital requirements under PMIERs. Reinsurance is currently placed on a quota share and excess of loss basis but we also have reinsurance agreements that were in effect through December 31, 2020. immaterial captive these Table 9.1 below shows the effect of all reinsurance agreements on premiums earned and losses incurred in the consolidated statements of as reflected operations. Reinsurance Table 9.1 (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Years ended December 31, Premiums earned: Direct Assumed Ceded Net premiums earned Losses incurred: Direct Assumed Ceded Net losses incurred $ 1,167,592 $ 1,199,824 $ 1,155,240 9,858 10,848 5,085 (163,031) (188,729) (129,337) 1,014,419 1,021,943 1,030,988 74,496 442,194 130,100 (57) 555 (125) (9,862) (77,975) (11,400) $ 64,577 $ 364,774 $ 118,575 QUOTA SHARE REINSURANCE We have entered into quota share reinsurance ("QSR") transactions with panels of third-party reinsurers to cede a fixed quota share percentage of premiums earned and received and losses incurred on insurance covered by the transactions. We receive the benefit of a ceding commission equal to 20% of premiums ceded before profit commission. We also receive the benefit of a profit commission through a reduction of premiums we cede. The profit commission varies inversely with the level of losses on a “dollar for dollar” basis and can be eliminated at annual loss ratios higher than we have experienced on our QSR transactions. 94 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes Table 9.2 below provides additional detail regarding our QSR transactions in effect during 2021. Reinsurance Table 9.2 Quota Share Contract Policy Year Quota Share % 2015 QSR 2017 QSR (2) 2018 QSR (2) 2019 QSR 2020 QSR Prior to 2017 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 QSR and 2021 QSR 2020 - 2021 2021 QSR 2022 QSR Credit Union QSR (3) 2021 2022 2020-2025 15.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 12.5% 17.5% 12.5% 15.0% 65.0% Annual Loss Ratio to Exhaust Profit Commission (1) 68.0% 60.0% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 57.5% 57.5% 50.0% Contractual Termination Date December 31, 2031 December 31, 2028 December 31, 2029 December 31, 2030 December 31, 2031 December 31, 2032 December 31, 2032 December 31, 2033 December 31, 2039 (1) We will receive a profit commission provided the annual loss ratio on policies covered under the transaction remains below this ratio. (2) 2017 and 2018 QSR Transactions were terminated effective December 31, 2021. (3) Eligible credit union business written before April 1, 2020 was covered by our 2019 and prior QSR Transactions. We have executed an agreement with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers for a reinsurance transaction with an effective date of January 1, 2022 with a similar structure to our existing QSR transactions that will cover most of our NIW in 2022 (with an additional 15.0% quota share) and 2023 (with a 15% quota share). Generally, we will receive an annual profit commission provided the annual loss ratio on the loans covered under the transaction remain below 62.0%. We can elect to terminate the QSR Transactions under specified scenarios without penalty upon prior written notice, including if we will receive less than 90% (80% for the Credit Union QSR Transaction ) of the full credit amount under the PMIERs, full financial statement credit or full credit under applicable regulatory capital requirements for the risk ceded in any required calculation period. Early termination of the QSR agreements can also be elected by us for a fee, or under specified scenarios for no fee upon prior written notice. Table 9.3 provides additional detail regarding optional termination dates and optional reductions to our quota share percentage which can, in each case be elected by us for a fee. The optional reduction to the quota share percentage would give us an option to reduce our quota share percentage from the original percentage as shown in table 9.2 to the percentage showed in 9.3. Reinsurance Table 9.3 Quota Share Contract 2015 QSR 2019 QSR 2020 QSR 2020 QSR and 2021 QSR, 2020 Policy year 2020 QSR and 2021 QSR, 2021 Policy year 2021 QSR Optional Termination Date (1) June 30, 2021 Optional Quota Share % Reduction Date (2) NA Quota Share % Reduction NA 25% or 20% 10.5% or 8% July 1, 2020 July 1, 2021 December 31, 2021 December 31, 2022 December 31, 2022 December 31, 2023 December 31, 2023 July 1, 2021 14.5% or 12% July 1, 2022 July 1, 2022 14.5% or 12% 10.5% or 8% 2022 QSR (1) We can elect early termination of the QSR transaction beginning on this date, and bi-annually thereafter. (2) We can elect to reduce the quota share percentage beginning on this date, and bi-annually thereafter. July 1, 2023 December 31, 2024 12.5% or 10% MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 95 Notes Table 9.4 provides a summary of our QSR Transactions, excluding captive agreements, for 2021, 2020, and 2019. Quota share reinsurance Table 9.4 (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Ceded premiums written and earned, net of profit commission $ 118,537 $ 167,930 $ Years ended December 31, Ceded losses incurred Ceding commissions (1) Profit commission 9,862 53,460 153,759 78,012 48,077 72,452 111,550 11,395 48,793 139,179 (1) Ceding commissions are reported within Other underwriting and operating expenses, net on the consolidated statements of operations. We incurred an early termination fee of $5 million for the termination of our 2017 and 2018 QSR Transactions effective December 31, 2021. The reinsurance recoverable on paid losses as of December 31, 2021 includes $36 million due from the reinsurers participating in the 2017 and 2018 QSR Transactions for loss and LAE reserves incurred at the time of termination. Ceded premiums written and earned, net of profit commission, increased in 2020 due to the decrease in profit commission. The decrease in profit commission was a result of higher ceded losses incurred, primarily due to an increase in the delinquency inventory due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Under the terms of our QSR Transactions currently in effect, ceded premiums, ceding commissions, profit commission, and ceded loss paid and LAE paid are settled net on a quarterly basis. The ceded premiums due after deducting the related ceding commission and profit commission is reported within "Other liabilities" on the consolidated balance sheets. The reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves related to our QSR Transactions was $66.9 million as of December 31, 2021 and $95.0 million as of December 31, 2020. The reinsurance recoverable balance is secured by funds on deposit from the reinsurers, the minimum amount of which is based on the greater of 1) a reinsurer's funding requirements under PMIERs or 2) ceded reserves and unpaid losses. Each of the reinsurers under our quota share reinsurance agreements described above has an insurer financial strength rating of A- or better (or a comparable rating) by Standard and Poor's Rating Services, A.M. Best, Moody's, or a combination of the three. An allowance for credit losses was not required for 2021. 96 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes EXCESS OF LOSS REINSURANCE We have aggregate excess of loss reinsurance transactions (“Home Re Transactions”) with unaffiliated special purpose insurers (“Home Re Entities”). For the reinsurance coverage periods, we retain the first layer of the respective aggregate losses paid, and a Home Re special purpose entity will then provide second layer coverage up to the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount. We retain losses paid in excess of the outstanding reinsurance coverage amount. Subject to certain conditions, the reinsurance coverage decreases over a period of either 10 or 12.5 years, depending on the transaction, as the underlying covered mortgages amortize or are repaid, or mortgage insurance losses are paid. The Home Re entities financed the coverages by issuing mortgage insurance-linked notes (“ILNs”) to unaffiliated investors in an aggregate amount equal to the initial reinsurance coverage amounts. Each ILN is non-recourse to any assets of MGIC or affiliates. The proceeds of the ILNs, which were deposited into reinsurance trusts for the benefit of MGIC, will be the source of reinsurance claim payments to MGIC and principal repayments on the ILNs. When a “Trigger Event” is in effect, payment of principal on the related notes will be suspended and the reinsurance coverage available to MGIC under the transactions will not be reduced by such principal payments. As of December 31, 2021 a "Trigger Event" has occurred on our Home Re 2018-1 and Home Re 2019-1 ILN transactions because the reinsured principal balance of loans that were reported 60 or more days delinquent exceeded a percentage of the total reinsured principal balance of loans specified under each transaction. A "Trigger Event" has also occurred on the Home Re 2021-2 ILN transactions because the credit enhancement of the most senior tranche is less than the target credit enhancement. Table 9.5 provides a summary of our Home Re Transactions as of December 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019. Excess of Loss Reinsurance Table 9.5 ($ in thousands) Home Re 2021-2, Ltd. Home Re 2021-1, Ltd. Home Re 2020-1, Ltd. Home Re 2019-1, Ltd. Home Re 2018-1, Ltd. Issue Date August 3, 2021 February 2, 2021 October 29, 2020 May 25, 2019 October 30, 2018 Policy Inforce Dates Optional Call Date (1) Legal Maturity Initial First Layer Retention Initial Excess of Loss Reinsurance Coverage 2021 Remaining First Layer Retention Remaining Excess of Loss Reinsurance Coverage 2020 Remaining First Layer Retention Remaining Excess of Loss Reinsurance Coverage 2019 Remaining First Layer Retention Remaining Excess of Loss Reinsurance Coverage January 1, 2021 - May 28, 2021 August 1, 2020 - December 31, 2020 January 1, 2020 - July 31, 2020 January 1, 2018 - March 31, 2019 July 1, 2016 - December 31, 2017 July 25, 2028 January 25, 2028 October 25, 2027 May 25, 2026 October 25, 2025 12.5 years 12.5 years 190,159 211,159 10 years 275,283 10 years 185,730 10 years 168,691 398,429 398,848 412,917 315,739 318,636 190,159 211,142 275,204 183,917 165,365 398,429 387,830 234,312 208,146 218,343 — — — — — — — — 275,283 184,514 166,005 412,917 208,146 218,343 — — 185,636 167,779 271,021 260,957 (1) We have the right to terminate the Home Re Transactions under certain circumstances and on any payment date on or after the respective Optional Call date. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 97 Notes the Home Re Entity's The reinsurance premiums ceded to each Home Re Entity are composed of coverage, initial expense and supplemental premiums. The coverage premiums are generally calculated as the difference between the amount of interest payable by the Home Re Entity on the remaining reinsurance coverage levels, and the investment income collected on the collateral assets in reinsurance trust account and used to held collateralize reinsurance obligation to MGIC. The amount of monthly reinsurance coverage premium ceded will fluctuate due to changes in the reference rate and changes in money market rates that affect investment income collected on the assets in the reinsurance trust. The Home Re 2021-2 Transactions references SOFR, while the remaining Home Re Transactions reference the one-month LIBOR. As a result, we concluded that each Home Re Transaction contains an embedded derivative that is accounted for separately as a the freestanding derivative. The fair values of derivatives at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, were not material to our consolidated balance sheet, and the change in fair values during the years ended December 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 were not material to our consolidated statements of operations. Total ceded premiums under the Home Re transaction were $44.5 million, $20.8 million, and $17.6 million for the years ended December 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019. At the time the Home Re Transactions were entered into, we concluded that each Home Re Entity is a variable interest entity (“VIE”). A VIE is a legal entity that does not have sufficient equity at risk to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support or is structured such that equity investors lack the ability to make sufficient decisions relating to the entity’s operations through voting rights or do not substantively participate in gains and losses of the entity. Given that MGIC (1) does not have the unilateral power to direct the activities that most significantly affect each Home Re Entity’s economic performance and (2) does not have the obligation to absorb losses or the right to receive benefits of each Home Re Entity that could be significant to the Home Re Entity, consolidation of the Home Re Entities is not required. We are required to disclose our maximum exposure to loss, which we consider to be an amount that we could be required to record in our statements of operations, as a result of our involvement with the VIEs under our Home Re Transactions. As of December 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, we did not have material exposure to the VIEs as we have no investment in the VIEs and had no reinsurance claim payments due from the VIEs under our reinsurance transactions. We are unable to determine the timing or extent of claims from losses that are ceded under the reinsurance to the trust agreements. The transactions. The VIE assets are deposited in reinsurance trusts for the benefit of MGIC that will be the source of reinsurance claim payments to MGIC. The purpose of the reinsurance trusts is to provide security to MGIC for the obligations of the VIEs under the reinsurance transactions. The trustee of the reinsurance trusts, a recognized provider of corporate trust services, has established segregated accounts within the reinsurance trusts for the benefit of MGIC, trust pursuant in agreements are governed by, and construed accordance with, the laws of the State of New York. If the trustee of the reinsurance trusts failed to distribute claim payments to us as provided in the reinsurance trusts, we would incur a loss related to our losses ceded under the reinsurance transactions and deemed unrecoverable. We are also unable to determine the impact such possible failure by the trustee to perform pursuant to the reinsurance trust agreements may have on our consolidated financial statements. As a result, we are unable to quantify our maximum exposure to loss related to our involvement with the VIEs. MGIC has certain termination rights under the reinsurance transactions should its claims not be paid. We consider our exposure to loss from our reinsurance transactions with the VIEs to be remote. Table 9.6 presents the total assets of the Home Re Entities as of December 31, 2021 , December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019. Home Re Entities total assets Table 9.6 (In thousands) Home Re Entity December 31, 2021 Home Re 2018-1 Ltd. Home Re 2019-1 Ltd. Home Re 2020-1 Ltd. Home Re 2021-1 Ltd. Home Re 2021-2 Ltd. December 31, 2020 Home Re 2018-01 Ltd. Home Re 2019-01 Ltd. Home Re 2020-01 Ltd. December 31, 2019 Home Re 2018-01 Ltd. Home Re 2019-01 Ltd. Total VIE Assets $ $ $ 218,343 208,146 251,387 398,848 398,429 218,343 208,146 412,917 269,451 283,150 The reinsurance trust agreements provide that the trust assets may generally only be invested in certain money market funds that (i) invest at least 99.5% of their total assets in cash or direct U.S. federal government obligations, such as U.S. Treasury bills, as well as other short-term securities backed by the 98 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes The total calculated PMIERs credit for risk ceded under our Home Re Transactions is generally based on the PMIERs requirement of the covered policies and the attachment and detachment points of the coverage, all of which fluctuate over time. (see Note 1 - "Nature of Business" and Note 2 - "Basis of Presentation" ). full faith and credit of the U.S. federal government or issued by an agency of the U.S. federal government, (ii) have a principal stability fund rating of “AAAm” by S&P or a money market fund rating of “Aaa-mf” by Moody’s as of the Closing Date and thereafter maintain any rating with either S&P or Moody’s, and (iii) are permitted investments under the applicable credit for reinsurance laws and applicable PMIERs credit for reinsurance requirements. NOTE 10 Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) The pretax components of our other comprehensive income (loss) and related income tax (expense) benefit for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019 are included in table 10.1 below. Components of other comprehensive income (loss) 10.1 Table (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Net unrealized investment (losses) gains on securities without an allowance for credit losses $ (154,555) $ 169,135 $ 220,139 Income tax benefit (expense) Net of taxes Net changes in benefit plan assets and obligations Income tax benefit (expense) Net of taxes Total other comprehensive income (loss) Total income tax benefit (expense) 32,456 (122,099) 31,613 (6,638) 24,975 (122,942) 25,818 (35,519) 133,616 13,288 (2,791) 10,497 182,423 (38,310) (46,229) 173,910 29,129 (6,117) 23,012 249,268 (52,346) Total other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax $ (97,124) $ 144,113 $ 196,922 The pretax and related income tax benefit (expense) components of the amounts reclassified from our accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ( "AOCI", "AOCL") to our consolidated statements of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019 are included in table 10.2 below. Reclassifications from Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) Table 10.2 (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Reclassification adjustment for net realized (losses) gains included in net income (1) $ 10,455 $ 13,862 $ Income tax benefit (expense) Net of taxes Reclassification adjustment related to benefit plan assets and obligations (2) Income tax benefit (expense) Net of taxes Total reclassifications Income tax benefit (expense) Total reclassifications, net of tax (2,195) 8,260 (9,779) 2,053 (7,726) 676 (142) (2,912) 10,950 (15,968) 3,353 (12,615) (2,106) 441 3,637 (763) 2,874 (8,097) 1,701 (6,396) (4,460) 938 $ 534 $ (1,665) $ (3,522) (1) (2) (Decreases) increases Net realized investment gains on the consolidated statements of operations. Decreases (increases) Other underwriting and operating expenses, net on the consolidated statements of operations. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 99 Notes A roll-forward of AOCI (AOCL) for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, including amounts reclassified from AOCI (AOCL), is included in table 10.3 below. Roll-forward of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) Table 10.3 (In thousands) Net unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities Net benefit plan assets and obligations recognized in shareholders' equity Total AOCL Balance, December 31, 2018, net of tax $ (35,389) $ (88,825) $ (124,214) Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications Less: Amounts reclassified from AOCL Balance, December 31, 2019, net of tax Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications Less: Amounts reclassified from AOCL Balance, December 31, 2020, net of tax Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications Less: Amounts reclassified from AOCL 176,784 2,874 138,521 144,566 10,950 272,137 (113,839) 8,260 16,616 (6,396) (65,813) (2,118) (12,615) (55,316) 17,249 (7,726) Balance, December 31, 2021, net of tax $ 150,038 $ (30,341) $ 193,400 (3,522) 72,708 142,448 (1,665) 216,821 (96,590) 534 119,697 NOTE 11 Benefit Plans We have a non-contributory defined benefit pension plan covering substantially all employees, as well as a supplemental executive retirement plan. We also offer both medical and dental benefits for retired domestic employees, their eligible spouses and dependents under a postretirement benefit plan. The following tables 11.1, 11.2, and 11.3 provide the components of aggregate annual net periodic benefit cost for each of the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 and changes in the benefit obligation and the funded status of the pension, supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans as recognized in the consolidated balance sheets as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. Components of net periodic benefit cost Table 11.1 Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits (In thousands) 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2019 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2019 1. Company Service Cost $ 7,569 $ 7,342 $ 8,345 $ 1,508 $ 1,263 $ 2. Interest Cost 11,276 13,036 15,705 648 832 1,345 1,130 3. Expected Return on Assets (20,657) (22,139) (19,466) (8,863) (7,407) (5,785) 4. Other Adjustments Subtotal 5. Amortization of: a. Net Transition Obligation/(Asset) b. Net Prior Service Cost/(Credit) c. Net Losses/(Gains) Total Amortization 6. Net Periodic Benefit Cost 7. Cost of settlements 8. Total Expense for Year — — (1,812) (1,761) — 4,584 — — — (6,707) (5,312) (3,310) — (239) 5,490 5,251 3,439 6,012 — (247) 6,578 6,331 4,570 10,369 — (281) 8,412 8,131 12,715 1,933 — 213 (1,697) (1,484) (8,191) — — 51 (783) (732) — (34) — (34) (6,044) (3,344) — — $ 9,451 $ 14,939 $ 14,648 $ (8,191) $ (6,044) $ (3,344) 100 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Development of funded status Table 11.2 (In thousands) Actuarial Value of Benefit Obligations 1. Measurement Date 2. Accumulated Benefit Obligation Funded Status/Asset (Liability) on the Consolidated Balance Sheet 1. Projected Benefit Obligation 2. Plan Assets at Fair Value 3. Funded Status - Overfunded/Asset 4. Funded Status - Underfunded/Liability Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss Table 11.3 (In thousands) 1. Net Actuarial (Gain)/Loss 2. Net Prior Service Cost/(Credit) 3. Net Transition Obligation/(Asset) 4. Total at Year End Notes Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 $ 390,747 $ 423,305 $ 25,635 $ 28,714 $ (391,698) $ (423,713) $ (25,635) $ (28,714) 391,555 411,245 140,839 119,024 N/A (143) N/A $ 115,204 $ 90,310 (12,468) N/A N/A Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 $ 84,045 $ 98,899 $ (47,352) $ (30,565) (747) — (988) — 2,461 — 2,673 — $ 83,298 $ 97,911 $ (44,891) $ (27,892) The amortization of gains and losses resulting from differences in actual experience from assumed experience or changes in assumptions including discount rates is included as a component of Net Periodic Benefit Cost/ (Income) for the year. The gain or loss in excess of a 10% corridor is amortized by the average remaining service period of participating employees expected to receive benefits under the plan. Table 11.4 shows the changes in the projected benefit obligation for 2021 and 2020. Change in projected benefit / accumulated benefit Table 11.4 (In thousands) Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 1. Benefit Obligation at Beginning of Year $ 423,713 $ 413,350 $ 28,714 $ 27,496 2. Company Service Cost 3. Interest Cost 4. Plan Participants' Contributions 5. Net Actuarial (Gain)/Loss 6. Benefit Payments from Fund (1) 7. Benefit Payments Directly by Company 8. Plan Amendments 9. Other Adjustment 10. Settlement (Gain)/Loss 11. Benefit Obligation at End of Year 7,569 11,276 — (10,018) (40,482) (362) 2 — — 7,342 13,036 — 36,196 (40,260) (5,953) 2 — — 1,508 648 456 (3,574) (1,963) — — (154) — 1,263 832 425 660 (1,975) — — 13 — $ 391,698 $ 423,713 $ 25,635 $ 28,714 (1) Includes lump sum payments of $27.6 million and $27.5 million in 2021 and 2020, respectively, from our pension plan to eligible participants, which were former employees with vested benefits. The actuarial gain for 2021 for the pension and supplemental executive retirement plans was primarily due to an increase in the discount rate used to calculate the obligation. The actuarial loss for 2020 for the pension and supplemental executive retirement plans was primarily due to a decrease in the discount rate used to calculate MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 101 Notes the obligation. The actuarial gain for 2021 for other postretirement plans was primarily due to an increase in the discount rate used to calculate the obligation. The actuarial loss for 2020 for the postretirement benefits plan was primarily due to the decrease in the discount rate used to calculate the obligation. Table 11.7 below includes the actuarial assumptions used to calculate the benefit obligations of our plans for 2021 and 2020. Tables 11.5 and 11.6 shows the changes in the fair value of the net assets available for plan benefits, and changes in other comprehensive income (loss) during 2021 and 2020. Change in plan assets Table 11.5 (In thousands) Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 1. Fair Value of Plan Assets at Beginning of Year $ 411,245 $ 402,691 $ 119,024 $ 99,590 2. Company Contributions 3. Plan Participants' Contributions 4. Benefit Payments from Fund 5. Benefit Payments paid directly by Company 6. Actual Return on Assets 7. Other Adjustment 7,162 — (40,482) (362) 13,992 — 12,453 — (40,260) (5,953) 42,314 — — 456 — 425 (1,963) (1,975) — 23,773 (451) — 21,409 (425) 8. Fair Value of Plan Assets at End of Year $ 391,555 $ 411,245 $ 140,839 $ 119,024 Change in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI") Table 11.6 (In thousands) 1. AOCI in Prior Year 2. Increase/(Decrease) in AOCI Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 $ 97,911 $ 98,589 $ (27,892) $ (15,281) a. Recognized during year - Prior Service (Cost)/Credit 239 247 b. Recognized during year - Net Actuarial (Losses)/Gains (11,502) (16,948) c. Occurring during year - Prior Service Cost 2 2 (213) 1,697 — (51) 782 — d. Occurring during year - Net Actuarial Losses/(Gains) (3,352) 16,021 (18,483) (13,342) 3. AOCI in Current Year $ 83,298 $ 97,911 $ (44,891) $ (27,892) 102 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes The projected benefit obligations, net periodic benefit costs and accumulated postretirement benefit obligation for the plans were determined using the following weighted average assumptions. Actuarial assumptions Table 11.7 Weighted-Average Assumptions Used to Determine Benefit Obligations at year end 1. Discount Rate 2. Rate of Compensation Increase 3. Cash balance interest crediting rate Weighted-Average Assumptions Used to Determine Net Periodic Benefit Cost for Year 1. Discount Rate 2. Expected Long-term Return on Plan Assets 3. Rate of Compensation Increase Assumed Health Care Cost Trend Rates at year end 1. Health Care Cost Trend Rate Assumed for Next Year 2. Rate to Which the Cost Trend Rate is Assumed to Decline (Ultimate Trend Rate) 3. Year That the Rate Reaches the Ultimate Trend Rate Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 3.05 % 3.00 % 2.80 % 2.80 % 5.25 % 3.00 % N/A N/A N/A 2.75 % 3.00 % 2.50 % 3.30 % 5.75 % 3.00 % N/A N/A N/A 2.85 % 2.35 % N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.35 % 7.50 % N/A 3.20 % 7.50 % N/A 6.50 % 6.00 % 5.00 % 2028 5.00 % 2024 In selecting a discount rate, we performed a hypothetical cash flow bond matching exercise, matching our expected pension plan and postretirement medical plan cash flows, respectively, against a selected portfolio of high quality corporate bonds. The modeling was performed using a bond portfolio of noncallable bonds with at least $50 million outstanding. The average yield of these hypothetical bond portfolios was used as the benchmark for determining the discount rate. In selecting the expected long-term rate of return on assets, we considered the average rate of earnings expected on the classes of funds invested or to be invested to provide for the benefits of these plans. This included considering the trusts' targeted asset allocation for the year and the expected returns likely to be earned over the next 20 years. The year-end asset allocations of the plans are shown in table 11.8 below. Plan assets Table 11.8 1. Equity Securities 2. Debt Securities 3. Total Pension Plan Other Postretirement Benefits 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2020 21 % 79 % 100 % 21 % 79 % 100 % 100 % — % 100 % 100 % — % 100 % In accordance with fair value guidance, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in order to measure fair value of our benefit plan assets: è Level 1 Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we can access. Financial assets using Level 1 inputs include equity securities, mutual funds, money market funds, certain U.S. Treasury securities and exchange traded funds ("ETFs"). è Level 2 Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the instruments. Financial assets using Level 2 inputs include certain municipal, corporate and foreign bonds, obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies, and pooled equity accounts. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 103 Notes To determine the fair value of securities in Level 1 and Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy, independent pricing sources have been used. One price is provided per security based on observable market data. To ensure securities are appropriately classified in the fair value hierarchy, we review the pricing techniques and methodologies of the independent pricing sources and believe that their policies adequately consider market activity, either based on specific transactions for the issue valued or based on modeling of securities with similar credit quality, duration, yield and structure that were recently traded. A variety of inputs are used by the independent pricing sources including benchmark yields, reported trades, non-binding broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data including market research publications. Inputs may be weighted differently for any security, and not all inputs are used for each security evaluation. Market indicators, industry and economic events are also considered. This information is evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model. In addition, on a quarterly basis, we perform quality controls over values received from the pricing source (the “Trustee”) which include comparing values to other independent pricing sources. In addition, we review annually the Trustee’s auditor’s report on internal controls in order to determine that their controls around valuing securities are operating effectively. We have not made any adjustments to the prices obtained from the independent sources. Tables 11.9a and 11.9b set forth by level, within the fair value hierarchy, the pension plan assets and related accrued investment income at fair value as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. There were no securities that used Level 3 inputs. Pension plan assets at fair value as of December 31, 2021 Table 11.9a (In thousands) Domestic Mutual Funds Corporate Bonds U.S. Government Securities Municipal Bonds Foreign Bonds Pooled Equity Accounts Total Assets at fair value Pension plan assets at fair value as of December 31, 2020 Table 11.9b (In thousands) Domestic Mutual Funds Corporate Bonds U.S. Government Securities Municipal Bonds Foreign Bonds Pooled Equity Accounts Total Assets at fair value Level 1 Level 2 Total $ 4,071 $ — $ — 32,947 — — — 221,033 — 20,093 34,103 79,308 4,071 221,033 32,947 20,093 34,103 79,308 $ 37,018 $ 354,537 $ 391,555 Level 1 Level 2 Total $ 4,842 $ — $ — 26,407 — — — 231,190 — 32,891 33,368 82,547 4,842 231,190 26,407 32,891 33,368 82,547 $ 31,249 $ 379,996 $ 411,245 The pension plan has implemented a strategy to reduce risk through the use of a targeted funded ratio. The liability driven component is key to the asset allocation. The liability driven component seeks to align the duration of the fixed income asset allocation with the expected duration of the plan liabilities or benefit payments. Overall asset allocation is dynamic and specifies target allocation weights and ranges based on the funded status. An improvement in funded status results in the de-risking of the portfolio, allocating more funds to fixed income and less to equity. A decline in funded status would result in a higher allocation to equity. The maximum equity allocation is 40%. 104 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Notes The primary focus in developing asset allocation ranges for the portfolio is the assessment of the portfolio's investment objectives and the level of risk that is acceptable to obtain those objectives. To achieve these objectives the minimum and maximum allocation ranges for fixed income securities and equity securities are: Equities (long only) Real estate Commodities Fixed income/Cash Minimum Maximum 70 % 0 % 0 % 0 % 100 % 15 % 10 % 10 % Given the long term nature of this portfolio and the lack of any immediate need for significant cash flow, it is anticipated that the equity investments will consist of growth stocks and will typically be at the higher end of the allocation ranges above. Investment in international mutual funds is limited to a maximum of 30% of the equity range. The allocation as of December 31, 2021 included 2% that was primarily invested in equity securities of emerging market countries and another 18% was invested in securities of companies primarily based in Europe and the Pacific Basin. Tables 11.12 and 11.13 show the current and estimated future contributions and benefit payments. Company contributions Table 11.12 Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits (In thousands) 12/31/2021 12/31/2021 Company Contributions for the Year Ending: 1. Current 2. Current + 1 $ 7,162 $ 6,500 — — The equity investments use combinations of mutual funds, ETFs, and pooled equity account structures focused on the following strategies: Strategy Objective Investment types Return seeking growth Return seeking bridge Funded ratio improvement over the long term Downside protection in the event of a declining equity market ● Global quality growth ● Global low volatility ● Enduring asset ● Durable company income government investments can agency, The fixed income objective is to preserve capital and to provide monthly cash flows for the payment of plan liabilities. Fixed include government, corporate, mortgage-backed, asset-backed, and municipal securities, and other classes of bonds. The duration of the fixed income portfolio has an objective of being within one year of the duration of the accumulated benefit obligation. The fixed income investments have an objective of a weighted average credit of A3/A-/A- by Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch, respectively. Tables 11.10a and 11.10b set forth the other postretirement benefits plan assets at fair value as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. All are Level 1 assets. Other postretirement benefits plan assets at fair value as of December 31, 2021 Table 11.10a (In thousands) Domestic Mutual Funds International Mutual Funds Total Assets at fair value $ $ Level 1 112,770 28,069 140,839 Other postretirement benefits plan assets at fair value as of December 31, 2020 Table 11.10b (In thousands) Domestic Mutual Funds International Mutual Funds Total Assets at fair value $ $ Level 1 91,454 27,570 119,024 is designed to Our postretirement plan portfolio achieve the following objectives over each market cycle and for at least 5 years: è Total return should exceed growth Consumer Price Index by 5.75% annually in the è Achieve competitive investment results MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 105 Notes Benefits payments - total Table 11.13 Pension and Supplemental Executive Retirement Plans Other Postretirement Benefits (In thousands) 12/31/2021 12/31/2021 Actual Benefit Payments for the Year Ending: 1. Current $ 40,844 $ 1,963 Expected Benefit Payments for the Year Ending: 2. Current + 1 3. Current + 2 4. Current + 3 5. Current + 4 6. Current + 5 7. Current + 6 - 10 28,806 29,023 28,247 28,320 28,815 131,716 1,713 1,888 2,000 2,148 2,108 9,854 Deferred tax components Table 12.2 (In thousands) 2021 2020 Unearned premium reserves $ 19,116 $ 23,163 Benefit plans Loss reserves Unrealized appreciation in investments Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost Deferred compensation Other, net (21,360) (13,977) 4,034 3,542 (39,883) (72,341) (4,551) 6,118 (2,886) (4,528) 6,776 (2,677) Net deferred tax liability $ (39,412) $ (60,042) We believe that all gross deferred tax assets at December 31, 2020 and 2021 are fully realizable and no valuation allowance has been established. Table 12.3 summarizes the components of the provision for income taxes: PROFIT SHARING AND 401(K) Provision for (benefit from) income taxes We have a profit sharing and 401(k) savings plan for employees. At the discretion of the Board of Directors, we may make a contribution to the plan of up to 5% of each participant's eligible compensation. We provide a matching 401(k) savings contribution for employees of 100% up to the first 4% contributed. We recognized expenses related to these plans of $8.0 million in 2021 and 2020 respectively, and $7.4 million in 2019. Table 12.3 (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Current Federal $ 161,055 $ 85,574 $ 162,911 Deferred Federal 4,392 28,244 11,860 Other 1,347 (648) (557) Provision for income taxes $ 166,794 $ 113,170 $ 174,214 NOTE 12 Income Taxes tax Net deferred the liabilities Consolidated Balance Sheet at December 31, 2021 and 2020 as a component of Other liabilities are as follows: included on Deferred tax assets and liabilities Table 12.1 (In thousands) 2021 2020 Total deferred tax assets $ 32,331 $ 38,443 Total deferred tax liabilities (71,743) (98,485) Net deferred tax liability $ (39,412) $ (60,042) Table 12.2 includes the components of the net deferred tax liability as of December 31, 2021 and 2020. Current federal income tax payments were $155.3 million, $79.6 million, and $158.3 million in 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. At December 31, 2021 we owned $426.3 million of tax and loss bonds. Table 12.4 reconciles the federal statutory income tax rate to our effective tax provision rate. Effective tax rate reconciliation Table 12.4 Federal statutory income tax rate Tax exempt municipal bond interest Other, net 2021 2020 2019 21.0 % 21.0 % 21.0 % (0.6) % (0.9) % (0.6) % 0.4 % 0.1 % 0.1 % Effective tax rate 20.8 % 20.2 % 20.5 % We have not recorded any uncertain tax positions during 2020 and 2021 and have no unrecognized tax benefits at December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2021. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income taxes. The statute of limitations related to the consolidated federal income tax return is closed for all years prior to 2018. 106 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report NOTE 13 Shareholders' Equity CHANGE IN ACCOUNTING POLICY As of January 1, 2021, we adopted the updated guidance for "Accounting for Convertible Instruments in an Entity’s Own Equity”. The and Contracts application of this guidance resulted in a $68.3 million cumulative effect adjustment to our 2021 beginning retained earnings and paid in capital to reflect the 9% Debenture as if we had always accounted for the debt as a liability in its entirety. SHARE REPURCHASE PROGRAMS Repurchases may be made from time to time on the open market (including through 10b5-1 plans) or through privately negotiated transactions. In the last half of 2021 we repurchased approximately 19.0 million shares of our common stock at a weighted average cost per share of $15.30, which included commissions. We may repurchase up to an additional $500 million of our common stock through the end of 2023 under a share repurchase program approved by our Board of Directors in October 2021. In 2022, through February 18, we repurchased approximately 4.9 million shares of our common stock at a weighted average cost per share of $15.50, which included commissions. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, In the first quarter of 2020, we repurchased approximately 9.6 million shares of our common stock at a weighted average cost per share of $12.47, which included commissions. 2019, we repurchased During approximately 8.7 million shares of our common stock at a weighted average cost per share of $13.13, which included commissions. CASH DIVIDENDS In the first and second quarters of 2021, we paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.06 per share to shareholders which totaled $41.1 million. In the third and fourth quarters of 2021, we paid quarterly cash dividends of $0.08 per share which totaled $53.6 million. On January 25, 2022, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend to holders of the company's common stock of $0.08 per share payable on March 2, 2022, to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 16, 2022. Notes NOTE 14 Statutory Information STATUTORY ACCOUNTING PRINCIPLES The statutory financial statements of our insurance companies are presented on the basis of accounting principles prescribed, or practices permitted, by the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin (the "OCI"), which has adopted the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") Statements of Statutory Accounting Principles ("SSAP") as the basis of its statutory accounting principles. In converting from statutory to GAAP, typical adjustments include deferral of policy acquisition costs, the inclusion of net unrealized holding gains or losses in shareholders' equity relating to fixed income securities, and the inclusion of statutory non-admitted assets. In addition to the typical adjustments from statutory to GAAP, mortgage insurance companies are required to maintain contingency loss reserves equal to 50% of premiums earned under SSAP and principles prescribed by the OCI. Such amounts cannot be withdrawn for a period of ten years except as permitted by insurance regulations. With regulatory approval, a mortgage guaranty insurance company may make early withdrawals from the contingency losses exceed 35% of reserve when premiums earned in a calendar year. For the year ended 2021, MGIC did not withdraw amounts from its contingency reserve. Changes in contingency loss the statutory statement of reserves reserves are not operations. Contingency reflected as liabilities under GAAP and changes in contingency loss reserves do not impact the GAAP statements of operations. incurred impact loss As a mortgage guaranty insurer, we are eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, under Section 832(e) of the IRC for amounts required by state law or regulation to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. The deduction is allowed only to the extent that we purchase tax and loss bonds (“T&L Bonds”) in an amount equal to the tax benefit derived from deducting any portion of our statutory contingency reserves. Under statutory accounting practices, purchases of T&L Bonds are accounted for as investments. Under GAAP, purchases of T&L Bonds are accounted for as a payment of current taxes. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 107 Notes The statutory net income, policyholders’ surplus, and insurance contingency subsidiaries, which agrees to amounts utilized in our risk-to-capital calculations, are shown in table 14.1. liability of our reserve Statutory financial information of insurance subsidiaries Table 14.1 As of and for the Years Ended December 31, (In thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Statutory net income $ 295,811 $ 65,201 $ 305,857 Statutory policyholders' surplus 1,220,714 1,339,509 1,619,069 Contingency reserve 4,126,604 3,585,864 3,021,055 For the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 there were no surplus contributions made to MGIC or distributions insurance subsidiaries to us. Dividends paid by MGIC are shown in table 14.2 below. from other Surplus contributions and dividends of insurance subsidiaries Table 14.2 (In thousands) Dividends paid by MGIC to the parent company (1) Years Ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 400,000 390,000 280,000 its (1) Dividends paid in cash and/or investment securities. Also in 2021 MGIC distributed to the holding company, as a in MGIC Credit Assurance dividend, Corporation at an amount of $8.9 million. In 2020, MGIC distributed to the holding company, as a dividend, its ownership in the 9% Debentures held at an amortized cost of $139.5 million. investment STATUTORY CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS the Financial The insurance laws of 16 jurisdictions, including Wisconsin, our domiciliary state, require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to the RIF (or a similar measure) in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. We refer to these requirements as the “State Capital Requirements” and, together with the “Financial Requirements, GSE Requirements.” While they vary among jurisdictions, the most common State Capital Requirements allow for a maximum risk-to-capital ratio of 25 to 1. A risk-to- if (i) the percentage capital ratio will decrease in capital exceeds the percentage decrease in insured risk, or (ii) the percentage increase in capital is less than the percentage increase in insured risk. Wisconsin does not regulate capital by using a requires a risk-to-capital measure but ("MPP"). MGIC's minimum policyholder position “policyholder position” its net worth or includes surplus, and its contingency loss reserve. increase instead At December 31, 2021, MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio was 9.5 to 1, below the maximum allowed by the jurisdictions with State Capital Requirements and its policyholder position was $3.4 billion above the It that under required MPP of $1.9 billion. The calculation of our risk-to-capital ratio and MPP reflect credit for the risk ceded under our reinsurance transactions. is possible revised State Capital the Requirements discussed below, MGIC will not be allowed full credit for the risk ceded to the reinsurers. If MGIC is not allowed an agreed level of credit under either the State Capital Requirements or the financial requirements of the PMIERs, MGIC may terminate the reinsurance agreements, without penalty. At this time, we expect MGIC to continue to comply with the current State Capital Requirements; however, you should read the rest of these financial statement footnotes for information about matters that could negatively affect such compliance. At December 31, 2021, the risk-to-capital ratio of our combined insurance operations (which includes a reinsurance affiliate) was 9.5 to 1. The NAIC has previously announced plans to revise the State Capital Requirements that are provided for in its Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act. In December 2019, a working group of state regulators released an exposure draft of a revised Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act and a risk-based capital framework to establish capital requirements for mortgage insurers, although no date has been established by which the NAIC must propose revisions to the capital requirements and certain items have not yet been completely addressed by the framework, including the treatment of ceded risk and minimum capital floors. DIVIDEND RESTRICTIONS MGIC is subject to statutory regulations as to payment of dividends. The maximum amount of dividends that MGIC may pay in any twelve-month period without regulatory approval by the OCI is the lesser of adjusted statutory net income or 10% of statutory policyholders' surplus as of the preceding calendar year end. Adjusted statutory net income is defined for this purpose to be the greater of statutory net income, net of realized investment gains, for the calendar year preceding the date of the dividend or statutory net income, net of realized investment gains, for the three calendar years preceding the date of the dividend less dividends paid within the first two of the preceding three calendar years. The maximum dividend that could be paid is reduced by dividends paid in the twelve months preceding the dividend payment date. Before making any dividend payments in 2022, we will notify the OCI to ensure it does not object. The OCI recognizes only statutory accounting principles prescribed, or practices permitted, by the State of Wisconsin for determining and reporting the financial condition and results of operations of an insurance company. The OCI has adopted certain prescribed accounting practices that differ from those 108 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report loss reserves record changes the through in other states. Specifically, Wisconsin found the in domiciled companies contingency income statement as a change in underwriting deduction. As a result, in periods in which MGIC is increasing contingency loss reserves, statutory net income is reduced. For the year ended December 31, 2021, MGIC’s increase in contingency loss reserves was $534 million and statutory net income was $290 million. As of December 31, 2021, MGIC's statutory policyholders' surplus was $1,217 million. NOTE 15 Share-based Compensation Plans We have certain share-based compensation plans. Under the fair value method, compensation cost is measured at the grant date based on the fair value of the award and is recognized over the service period which generally corresponds to the vesting period. Awards under our plans generally vest over periods ranging from one to three years, although awards to our non-employee directors vest immediately. We have an omnibus incentive plan that was adopted on April 23, 2020. When the 2020 plan was adopted, no further awards could be made under our previous 2015 plan. The purpose of the 2020 plan is to motivate and incentivize performance by, and to retain the services of, key employees and non- employee directors through receipt of equity-based and other incentive awards under the plan. Awards issued under the plan that are subsequently forfeited will not count against the limit on the maximum number of shares that may be issued under the plan. The 2020 plan provides for the award of stock options, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock and restricted stock units, as well as cash incentive awards. No awards may be granted after April 23, 2030 under the 2020 plan. The vesting provisions of options, restricted stock and restricted stock units are determined at the time of grant. At December 31, 2021, 8.8 million shares were available for future grant under the 2020 plan. The compensation cost that has been charged against income for share-based plans was $17.1 million, $13.8 million, and $18.9 million for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The tax benefit recognized for share-based plans was $1.8 million, $1.7 million, and $2.7 million for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Table 15.1 summarizes restricted stock or restricted stock unit (collectively called “restricted stock”) activity during 2021. income related Restricted stock Table 15.1 Weighted Average Grant Date Fair Market Value Restricted stock outstanding at December 31, 2020 $ Granted (1) Vested Forfeited 13.57 12.83 14.97 13.87 Notes Shares 4,139,243 1,370,542 (1,330,129) (33,568) Restricted stock outstanding at December 31, 2021 $ 12.88 4,146,088 (1) Approximately 71% of the shares granted in 2021 are subject to performance conditions under which the target number of shares granted may vest up to 200%. At December 31, 2021, the 4.1 million shares of restricted stock outstanding consisted of 3.1 million shares that are subject to performance conditions (“performance shares”) and 1.0 million shares that are subject only to service conditions (“time vested shares”). The weighted-average grant date fair value of restricted stock granted during 2020 and 2019 was $13.62 and $11.92, respectively. The fair value of restricted stock granted is the closing price of the common stock on the New York Stock Exchange on the date of grant or previous trading day if the Exchange is closed on the date of grant. The total fair value of restricted stock vested during 2021, 2020 and 2019 was $15.1 million, $20.4 million, and $13.7 million, respectively. share-based compensation As of December 31, 2021, there was $38.1 million of total unrecognized compensation cost related to non- vested compensation agreements granted under the plans. Of this total, $32.6 million of to unrecognized performance shares and $5.5 million relates to time vested shares. A portion of the unrecognized costs associated with the performance shares may or may not be recognized in future periods, depending upon whether or not the performance and service conditions are met. The cost associated with the time vested shares is expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 1.7 years. relate costs NOTE 16 Leases We lease data processing equipment and autos under operating leases that expire during the next four years. Generally, rental payments are fixed. Table 16.1 shows minimum the future operating lease payments as of December 31, 2021. MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 109 Notes Minimum future operating lease payments Table 16.1 (In thousands) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 and thereafter Total Amount 771 416 211 45 — 1,443 $ $ Total lease expense under operating leases was $1.3 million in 2021, $1.9 million in 2020, and $2.1 million in 2019. NOTE 17 Litigation and Contingencies claims paying practices. Although it is possible that, if not resolved by negotiation, we will not prevail on all matters, we are unable to make a reasonable estimate or range of estimates of the potential liability. We estimate the maximum exposure where a loss is reasonably possible to be approximately $27 million more than the amount of probable loss we have recorded. This estimate of maximum exposure is based on currently available information; is subject to significant judgment, numerous assumptions and known and unknown uncertainties; will include an amount for matters for which we have recorded a probable loss until such matters are concluded; will include different matters from time to time; and does not include interest or consequential or exemplary damages. In files recent years, an rescissions. to determine loan and servicing Before paying an insurance claim, generally we review the the appropriateness of the claim amount. When reviewing the files, we may determine that we have the right to rescind coverage or deny a claim on the loan (both referred to as “rescissions”). In addition, our insurance policies generally provide that we can reduce a claim if the servicer did not comply with its obligations under our insurance policy (such reduction referred to as a "curtailment"). immaterial percentage of claims received in a quarter have been resolved by In 2021 and 2020, curtailments reduced our average claim paid by respectively. The approximately 4.4% and 3.6%, COVID-19-related and forbearance plans have decreased our claims paid activity beginning in the second quarter of 2020. It is difficult to predict the level of curtailments once the foreclosure moratoriums and forbearance plans end. Our incorporates our estimates of future rescissions, curtailments, and reversals of rescissions and curtailments. A variance between ultimate actual rescission, curtailment, and reversal rates and our estimates, as a result of the outcome of litigation, settlements or other factors, could materially affect our losses. loss reserving methodology foreclosure moratoriums When the insured disputes our right to rescind coverage or curtail claims, we generally engage in discussions in an attempt to settle the dispute. If we are unable to reach a settlement, the outcome of a legal dispute ultimately may be determined by proceedings. Under ASC 450-20, until a loss associated with settlement discussions or legal proceedings becomes probable and can be reasonably estimated, we consider our claim payment or rescission resolved for financial reporting purposes and do not accrue an estimated loss. When we determine that a loss is probable and can be reasonably estimated, we record our best estimate of our probable loss, including recording a probable loss of $6.3 million in 2021. In those cases, until settlement negotiations or legal proceedings are concluded (including the receipt of any necessary GSE approvals), it is possible that we will record an additional loss. We are currently involved in discussions and/or proceedings with respect to our in involved Mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have in the past been litigation and regulatory actions related to alleged violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act ("RESPA") and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act ("FCRA"). While these proceedings in the aggregate did not result in material liability for MGIC, there can be no assurance that the outcome of future proceedings, if any, under these laws would not have a material adverse effect on us. To the extent that we are construed to make independent credit decisions in connection with our contract underwriting activities, we also could be subject to increased regulatory requirements under the Equal Credit Opportunity Act , FCRA, and other laws, examination may also be made of whether a mortgage insurer’s underwriting decisions have a disparate impact on persons belonging to a protected class in violation of the law. laws. Under relevant Through a non-insurance subsidiary, we provide an outsourced underwriting service to our customers known as contract underwriting. As part of the contract underwriting activities, that subsidiary is responsible for the quality of the underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. That subsidiary may be required to provide certain remedies to its customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are not met, and we have an established reserve for such future obligations. Claims for remedies may be made a number of years after the underwriting work was performed. The related contract underwriting remedy expense for each of the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019, was immaterial to our consolidated financial statements. In addition to the matters described above, we are involved in other disputes and legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business. In our opinion, based on the facts known at this time, the ultimate resolution of these ordinary course disputes and legal proceedings will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations. 110 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Directors MGIC Investment Corporation Analisa M. Allen Jay C. Hartzell Information Technology Consultant President Gerson Lehrman Group University of Texas at Austin Former CIO of Data & Analytics JP Morgan Chase's Consumer Bank Timothy A. Holt Melissa B. Lora Former President Taco Bell International Restaurant company Daniel A. Arrigoni Chief Investment Officer Chief Executive Officer Former President & Chief Aetna, Inc. MGIC Investment Corporation Former Senior Vice President & Timothy J. Mattke Executive Officer Diversified health care benefits U.S. Bank Home Mortgage Corp. company Home loan originator and servicer C. Edward Chaplin Former President & CFO MBIA Inc. Jodeen A. Kozlak Founder and CEO Kozlak Capital Partners, LLC Former Senior Vice President of Human Resources Provider of financial guarantee Alibaba Group insurance Curt S. Culver Chairman Former Chief Executive Officer MGIC Investment Corporation Multinational Conglomerate Michael E. Lehman Former Executive Vice President & CFO Sun Microsystems Moody’s Analytics, Inc. Risk measurement and management firm Gary A. Poliner Former President Northwestern Mutual Life Ins. Co. Financial services company Sheryl L. Sculley Former City Manager (CEO) City of San Antonio Mark M. Zandi Chief Economist Officers MGIC Investment Corporation Chief Executive Officer Timothy J. Mattke President and Chief Operating Officer Salvatore A. Miosi Executive Vice Presidents Nathaniel H. Colson Chief Financial Officer Paula C. Maggio General Counsel and Secretary Vice Presidents Nathan R. Abramowski Treasurer Heidi A. Heyrman Assistant Secretary Brian M. Remington Assistant Secretary Julie K. Sperber Controller & Chief Accounting Officer Martha F. Tsuchihashi Assistant Secretary MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 111 Officers Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation Chief Executive Officer Timothy J. Mattke Luis A. Contreras National Accounts President and Chief Operating Officer Salvatore A. Miosi Geoffrey F. Cooper Product Development Christopher T. Perry Sales Tara E. Radmann Business Automation Margaret M. Crowley Brian M. Remington Marketing and Customer Experience Loss Mitigation, Assistant General Counsel and Assistant Secretary David H. Schroeder Claims & Policy Servicing John R. Schroeder Corporate Development Bryan D. Specht Underwriting & Customer Care Julie K. Sperber Controller and Chief Accounting Officer Paul A. Spiroff Finance Jennifer M. Steffens Credit Policy and Analytics Martha F. Tsuchihashi Securities Law, Assistant General Counsel and Assistant Secretary Sean R. Valcamp Chief Technology Officer Kathleen E. Valenti Chief Compliance Officer Jennifer A. Westphal Chief Information Security Officer Executive Vice Presidents Nathaniel H. Colson Chief Financial Officer James J. Hughes Sales and Business Development Paula C. Maggio General Counsel and Secretary Steven M. Thompson Chief Risk Officer Senior Vice Presidents Annette M. Adams Dean D. Dardzinski Managing Director Stephen M. Dempsey Managing Director Mary L. Elkins Systems Development Daniel J. Garcia-Velez Business Development Chief Human Resources Officer Heidi A. Heyrman Robert J. Candelmo Chief Information Officer Michael E. Jacobson Product Strategy Michael J. Zimmerman Investor Relations Vice Presidents Nathan R. Abramowski Treasurer Terry A. Aikin Managing Director Robert K. Bates Sales Strategy Jane S. Coleman National Accounts Regulatory Relations, Assistant General Counsel and Assistant Secretary Dianna L. Higgins Internal Audit Gary J. Johnson Data Science Sri Kadasinghanahalli Systems Development Mark J. Krauter National Accounts Michael L. Kull Managing Director Elyse M. Mitchell National Accounts Stacey B. Murphy Talent and Total Rewards 112 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report Performance Graph The graph below compares the cumulative total return on (a) our Common Stock, (b) a composite peer group index selected by us, (c) the Russell 2000 Financial Services Index and (d) the S&P 500. Our peer group index consists of the peers against which we analyzed our 2021 executive compensation: Arch Capital Group Ltd., Assured Guaranty Ltd., Essent Group Ltd., Fidelity National Financial Inc., First American Financial Corp., Flagstar Bancorp Inc., Genworth Financial Inc., NMI Holdings Inc., Ocwen Financial Corp., PennyMac Financial Services Inc., Radian Group, Stewart Information Services Corp., and Walker and Dunlop, Inc. The criteria considered when selecting this peer group included whether the company: 1) is a mortgage insurer, or direct competitor; 2) has significant exposure to residential real estate; 3) is in an industry in which we compete for talent; 4) chose us as a benchmarking peer, and 5) is reasonably similar in size to us, in terms of revenues and market capitalization. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Russell 2000 Financial Index 100 115 102 128 153 176 S&P 500 100 122 116 153 181 233 Peer Index (ACGL, AGO, ESNT, FAF, FBC, FNF, GNW, NMIH, OCN, PFSI, RDN, STC & WD) MGIC 100 119 108 158 140 177 100 138 103 140 127 149 MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report | 113 Russell 2000 Financial IndexS&P 500Peer Index (ACGL,AGO,ESNT,FAF,FBC,FNF,GNW,NMIH,OCN,PFSI, RDN,STC, & WD)MGIC201620172018201920202021100150200250300MGIC Stock MGIC Investment Corporation Common Stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol MTG. At March 11, 2022, 314,786,451 shares of our common stock were entitled to vote. The payment of dividends is subject to the discretion of our Board and will depend on many factors, including our operating results, financial condition and capital position. See Note 7 - “Debt” to our consolidated for dividend restrictions that apply when we elect to Junior interest on our Convertible defer Subordinated Debentures. financial statements is a holding company and the The Company payment of dividends insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulations. For a discussion of these restrictions, see Note 14 - "Statutory Information, Dividend Restrictions” to our consolidated financial statements. from its As of March 11, 2022, the number of shareholders of record was 291. In addition, we estimate that there are approximately 55,800 beneficial owners of shares held by brokers and fiduciaries. Shareholder Information The Annual Meeting The Annual Meeting of Shareholders of MGIC Investment Corporation will be held on April 28, 2022, at 9:00 a.m. Central time, via webcast at: www.virtualshareholdermeeting.com/MTG2022. 10-K Report Copies of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, are available without charge to shareholders on request from: Secretary MGIC Investment Corporation P. O. Box 488 Milwaukee, WI 53201 from The Annual Report on Form 10-K referred to above includes as exhibits certifications the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief the Financial Officer under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Following the 2021 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer submitted a Written Affirmation to the New York Stock Exchange that he was not aware of any violation by the Company of the corporate governance standards of Exchange. listing Transfer Agent and Registrar American Stock Transfer & Trust Company, LLC 6201 15th Avenue Brooklyn, NY 11219 800-937-5449 Corporate Headquarters MGIC Plaza 270 East Kilbourn Avenue Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202 Mailing Address P. O. Box 488 Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53201 Shareholder Services (414) 347-6596 114 | MGIC Investment Corporation 2021 Annual Report MGIC Investment Corporation MGIC Plaza Milwaukee, WI 53202 mtg.mgic.com ©2022 MGIC Investment Corporation All rights reserved 21-50334 3/22
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