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Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

orc · NYSE Real Estate
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Employees 51-200
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FY2015 Annual Report · Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
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O R C A   E X P L O R A T I O N   G R O U P   I N C .

2015
ANNUAL
REPORT

B

Orca Exploration Group Inc. is an international public company 

engaged in hydrocarbon exploration, development and supply of gas in 

Tanzania and oil appraisal and gas exploration in Italy. Orca Exploration 

trades on the TSXV under the trading symbols ORC.B and ORC.A.

FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS . . . . . 1

2015 OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS . . . . . 2

GAS RESERVES . . . . . 4

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS . . . . . 7

MANAGEMENT’S REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS . . . . . 48

AUDITORS’ REPORT . . . . . 49

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS . . . . . 50

NOTES TO THE CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS . . . . . 54

CORPORATE INFORMATION . . . . . 85

GLOSSARY

mcf

Thousands of standard cubic feet

MMcf

Millions of standard cubic feet

Bcf

Tcf

Billions of standard cubic feet

Trillions of standard cubic feet

MMcfd Millions of standard cubic feet per day

MMbtu Millions of British thermal units

1P

2P

3P

Kwh

MW

US$

Proven reserves

Proven and probable reserves

Proven, probable and possible reserves

Kilowatt hour

Megawatt

US dollars

HHV

LHV

High heat value

Low heat value

CDN$ Canadian dollars

bar

Fifteen pounds pressure per square inch

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTFinancial and Operating Highlights

(Expressed in US$ unless indicated otherwise)

OPERATING

Daily average gas delivered and sold (MMcfd)

Protected Gas

Additional Gas

Industrial

  Power

Total gas production

Average price (US$/mcf) 

Industrial

  Power

  Total

Operating netback (US$/mcf)

Additional Gas Gross Recoverable Reserves to end of license (Bcf)

Proved

Probable

Proved plus probable

Net Present Value, discounted at 10% (US$ millions)

Proved

Proved plus probable

FINANCIAL

Revenue

Funds flow from operating activities (1)

  per share - basic and diluted (US$)

Net cash flows from operating activities

  per share - basic and diluted (US$)

Net income (loss)

  per share - basic and diluted (US$)

Working capital

Cash

Capital expenditures

Long-term loan

Outstanding Shares ('000)

  Class A

  Class B

Total shares outstanding

Options

Weighted average diluted Class A and Class B shares

(1) See MD&A - Non-GAAP Measure.

1

fi
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i

l

a
n
d
o
p
e
r
a
t
i
n
g
h
g
h

i

l
i

g
h
t
s

Year ended/ as at 31 December 

2015

2014

38.8

47.4

11.4

36.0

86.2

7.58

3.54

4.49

2.57

368

49

417

309

357

54,088

26,571

0.76

7,018

0.20

1,533

0.04

32,521

53,797

38,411

18,599

1,751

33,106

34,857

–

34,887

36.6

53.2

12.6

40.6

89.8

8.61

3.56

4.76

2.22

450

54

504

379

417

56,607

32,436

0.93

29,757

0.85

(38,301)

(1.10)

34,148

57,659

1,312

–

1,751

33,164

34,915

400

34,863

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2

2015 Operating Highlights

• 

• 

• 

• 

Total Songo Songo field Protected Gas plus 
Additional Gas deliveries and sales averaged 86.2 
standard cubic feet per day (“MMcfd”) a decrease of 
3% over the prior year (89.8 MMcfd). Additional Gas 
sales volumes averaged 47.4MMcfd, a decrease of 
11% over the prior year (53.2 MMcfd) due largely to 
declining field productivity for the first nine months 
of the year together with reduced nominations 
by the Tanzanian Electrical Supply Company 
(“TANESCO”) and reduced gas sales to Tanzania 
Portland Cement Company (“TPCC”) because of 
maintenance issues in the first half of the year.

Power sector sales volumes decreased 11% to 36.0 
MMcfd compared to 40.6 MMcfd in the prior year, 
as a result of a decrease in production from the 
Songo Songo field due to the natural decline in 
well deliverability through Q3-2015 and the removal 
of two TANESCO power plant delivery points by 
order of the Ministry of Energy and Minerals on 9 
September 2015. In accordance with the Portfolio 
Gas Supply Agreement (“PGSA”) with TANESCO, 
a decrease in field gas production impacts on the 
volume supplied to the state utility. 

Industrial sales volumes decreased 9% to 11.4 MMcfd 
compared to 12.6 MMcfd in the prior year. The 
decrease is primarily due to a reduction in natural 
gas consumption by a cement company in Dar es 
Salaam resulting from unscheduled maintenance 
and the cessation of gas consumption by a textile 
company at the end of its contract period. These 
reductions were partly offset by an increase in gas 
consumption by edible oil companies.

Average gas prices decreased 6% to US$4.49/
mcf compared to US$4.76/mcf in the prior period. 
Industrial gas prices were down 12% to US$7.58/
mcf compared to US$8.61/mcf in the prior year. 
The decrease is primarily due to a change in sales 
mix together with a 48% decline in heavy fuel oil 
(“HFO”) prices (to which a majority of Industrial 
contracts are tied). The decline in the price of HFO 
is partially mitigated by floor prices in the contracts. 
Average Power sector gas prices decreased by 1% 
to US$3.54/mcf compared to US$3.56/mcf in the 
prior year, the annual indexation increase being 
counteracted by no sales to TANESCO having been 
made at the premium pricing as a consequence of 
decreased nominations.

• 

• 

Total proved reserves for Additional Gas decreased 
18% to 368 Bcf from 450 Bcf in the prior year and 
total proved plus probable reserves (“2P”) decreased 
17% to 417 Bcf from 504 Bcf in the prior year. 
The decrease in both is a consequence of 2015 
Additional Gas production of 17.3 Bcf and the slower 
anticipated growth in Power demand than previously 
communicated to the Company from the Tanzanian 
Petroleum Development Corporation (“TPDC”). The 
net present value of the estimated future cash flows 
of the 2P reserves at a 10% discount rate (“NPV10”) 
decreased 14% to US$357 million from US$417 
million in the previous year. The decline is a result 
of the fall in anticipated growth of the Power sector 
revenues which are anticipated to be realized at 
lower prices. The Company no longer considers it 
to be realistic that the PGSA gas prices will be rolled 
out given the industry competition that now exists in 
Tanzania. 

Revenue decreased 4% to US$54.1 million 
from US$56.6 million. The fall in revenue is the 
combination of an 11% fall in total Additional Gas 
sales volumes, and the 6% fall in the weighted 
average sale price. The capital investment in the 
workover programme during the year increased the 
Company share of net revenue as a consequence 
of increased Cost Gas and a smaller Profit Gas 
allocation to TPDC. This helped to offset the overall 
decline in revenue resulting from the drop in both 
volumes and prices. Funds flow from operating 
activities decreased 18% to US$26.6 million or 
US$0.76 per share basic and diluted, compared to 
US$32.4 million or US$0.93 per share basic and 
diluted in the prior period, primarily the result of 
lower revenue.

•  Net income for the year was US$1.5 million or 

US$0.04 per share basic and diluted, as compared to 
loss of US$38.3 million or loss of US$1.10 per share 
in the prior year. The loss in 2014 was primarily due 
to a US$35.1 million provision against the receivable 
from TANESCO.

•  Working capital as at 31 December 2015 decreased 
5% to US$32.5 million compared to US$34.1 million 
as at 31 December 2014 primarily as a result of 
moving forward with the development programme 
offset by a US$20 million increase in long-term debt.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORT3

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• 

Total capital expenditures were US$38.4 million for 
the year. In June 2015 the Company entered into a 
drilling contract with Paragon Offshore plc for the 
use of its M826 Mobile Drilling Workover Rig, as 
well the provision of associated services, in order 
to execute the offshore phase of the development 
programme for the Songo Songo gas field (the 
“Offshore Programme”). The Offshore Programme 
commenced on 2 September 2015 and included 
the workovers on three existing wells (SS-5, SS-7 
and SS-9) and drilling of one new well, SS-12. All 
workovers were successfully completed during the 
year while well SS-12 was successfully completed 
in February 2016. Upon completion of the Offshore 
Programme, the rig was released. 

•  On 29 October 2015, the Company and the 

International Finance Corporation (“IFC”) completed 
a debt financing agreement for the Company’s 
operating subsidiary, PanAfrican Energy Tanzania 
Limited to borrow up to US$60 million. The 
financing is a subordinated, income participating 
loan with flexible repayment terms and a maximum 
tenure of approximately 10 years. Drawdowns of 
the facility are subject to a number of terms and 
conditions. As at 31 December 2015, US$20 million 
of the facility had been drawn down, with the 
remaining US$40 million drawn in February 2016.

The US$1.2 billion government sponsored Tanzania 
National Natural Gas Infrastructure Project (“NNGIP”) 
is substantially complete, and the NNGIP gas 
processing plant on Songo Songo Island is expected 
to be able to take first gas by April 2016. The 
Company has submitted a draft gas sales agreement 
to TPDC to allow direct gas delivery to the NNGIP. 
Commercial terms remain a key condition to the 
Company’s commitment to expand Songo Songo 
natural gas sales beyond the existing Songas 
infrastructure and to supply gas to the NNGIP.

At the end of 2014 the Company reached and 
confirmed an understanding with TANESCO that 
it would only continue to supply gas if TANESCO 
remained current with payments for current gas 
deliveries. Excess payments received over and above 
the current balances would be applied to the arrears 
balance. In December 2014 as a result of a review 
the Company established a full provision against the 
entire long-term receivable of US$52.2 million as at 
31 December 2014.

• 

• 

• 

TANESCO payments for 2015 continued to be 
irregular. During Q4 2015 TANESCO payments 
decreased with only US$4.5 million being received 
against sales of US$11.7 million. As at 31 December 
2015 Management has reviewed the current 
position with TANESCO and feels that the policy 
implemented in 2014 is still appropriate and as a 
result, has reclassified a further US$9.8 million, the 
arrears in excess of 60 days, as long-term debt and 
has placed a full provision against this. As at the date 
of this report the total receivable is US$75.4 million.

•  During the third quarter of 2015, The Petroleum Act, 
2015, (the “Act”) was passed into law. The Act repeals 
earlier legislation, provides a regulatory framework 
over upstream, mid-stream and downstream 
gas activity, and consolidates and puts in place a 
comprehensive legal framework for regulating the 
oil and gas industry in the country. The Act also 
provides for the creation of an upstream regulator, 
the Petroleum Upstream Regulatory Authority 
(PURA). The mid and downstream oil and gas 
activities are proposed to be regulated by the current 
authority, the Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory 
Authority (EWURA). The bill also confers upon on 
TPDC, the status of the National Oil Company, 
mandated with the task of managing the country’s 
commercial interest in petroleum operations as well 
as mid and downstream natural gas activities. The 
bill vests TPDC with exclusive rights in the entire 
petroleum upstream value chain and the natural 
gas mid and downstream value chain. However, 
the exclusive rights of TPDC do not extend to mid 
and downstream petroleum supply operations. The 
Company is uncertain regarding the potential impact 
on its business in Tanzania. The Act does provide 
grandfathering provisions upholding the rights of the 
Company under their Production Sharing Agreement 
(“PSA”) as it was signed prior to passing of the Act. 
However, it is still unclear how the provisions of the 
Act will be interpreted and implemented regarding 
upstream and downstream activities. 

• 

The Company has an agreement to farm in on 
Central Adriatic B.R268.RG Permit offshore Italy. 
Changes in Italian environmental legislation in 
late 2015 have resulted in the development of this 
permit being postponed indefinitely. As at the date 
of this report, the Company has no further capital 
commitments in Italy.

 
4

Gas Reserves

The  Company's  natural  gas  reserves  as  at  December  31,  2015  for  the  period  to  the  end  of  its  license  in  October  2026 
were evaluated by independent petroleum engineering consultants McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. (“McDaniel”) in 
accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook 
(“COGE Handbook”) and National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). The 
independent reserves evaluation prepared by McDaniel (the “McDaniel Report”) is dated 24 March 2016 with an effective 
date  of  31  December  2015.  A  reserves  committee  of  the  Company  reviews  the  qualifications  and  appointment  of  the 
independent reserves evaluator and reviews the procedures for providing information to the evaluators. Reserves inluded 
herein are stated on a company gross basis unless noted otherwise. All the Company's reserves are conventional natural gas 
reserves and are located in Tanzania. Additional reserves information required under NI 51-101 are included in Orca's reports 
relating to reserves data and other oil and gas information under NI 51-101, which have been filed on its profile on SEDAR at 
www.sedar.com.

During 2015 no significant geological or geophysical data was acquired on or close to the Songo Songo field that might 
allow a re-assessment of the volumetric gas initially in place (“GIIP”) and reserves. The completion of the SS-12 development 
well  in  February  2016  encountered  the  top  reservoir  approximately  100  meters  high  to  prognosis,  and  the  Company  is 
currently analyzing this new data and its likely impact on the GIIP. The 2015 McDaniel Report has not made any allowance 
for any additional reserves associated with SS-12. 

On a gross Company basis there has been an 18% decrease in Songo Songo’s Total Proved Additional Gas reserves to the 
end of the license period, with no change on a life of field basis, with a total Additional Gas production of 17.3 Bcf during the 
year. There has been a 17% decrease in the Proved plus Probable Additional Gas reserves on a Gross Company life of license 
basis from 504.4 to 416.9 Bcf with no change on a life of field basis. The decrease is due to the 2015 production of Additional 
Gas and the slower anticipated growth in sales of Additional Gas to the NNGIP compared to previous years.

A summary of the remaining Additional Gas reserves on a life of license and life of field basis are presented below:

Songo Songo  
Additional Gas reserves to October 2026 (Bcf)

Independent reserves evaluation

Proved producing

Proved undeveloped

Total proved (1P)

Probable

Total proved and probable (2P)

2015

Gross (1)

Net (2)

Gross

245.9

121.9

367.8

49.1

416.9

158.5

70.5

229.0

40.9

269.9

283.6

166.8

450.4

54.0

504.4

2014

Net

194.0

88.9

282.9

37.3

320.2

(1) Gross equals the gross reserves that are available for the Company after estimating the effect of the TPDC back in (see below).

(2) Net equals the economic allocation of the Gross reserves to the Company as determined in accordance with the PSA.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORT 
 
 
5

G
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S

Songo Songo  
Additional Gas reserves to end of field life (Bcf)

Independent reserves evaluation

Proved producing

Proved undeveloped

Total proved (1P)

Probable

Total proved and probable (2P)

2015

2014

Gross (1)

Net (2)

Gross

Net

598.9

46.5

645.4

116.5

761.9

375.9

28.3

404.2

76.7

480.9

554.2

95.1

649.3

118.4

767.7

359.7

50.9

410.6

76.5

487.1

(1) Gross equals the gross reserves that are available for the Company after estimating the effect of the TPDC back in (see below).

(2) Net equals the economic allocation of the Gross reserves to the Company as determined in accordance with the PSA.

For the reserves certification as at 31 December 2015, the McDaniel Report has assumed that TPDC will exercise its right 
to ‘back in’ to any additional new field development plans for Songo Songo and consequently will receive a 20% increase 
in the profit share for the future production emanating from the SSN-1 well. McDaniel has taken the view that this ‘back in’ 
right should be treated as a TPDC working interest and therefore the Gross reserves have been adjusted for the volumes of 
Additional Gas that are allocated to TPDC for their working interest share. 

For the purpose of calculating the Gross Additional Gas reserves, McDaniel has assumed in its 2P case that 122 Bcf (2014: 130 
Bcf) or an average of 13.5 Bcf per annum will be required to meet the demands of the Protected Gas users from 1 January 
2015 to 31 July 2024. During 2015, the Protected Gas users consumed 14.2 Bcf.

Additional Gas  
price

Gross Additional Gas  
volumes

Additional Gas  
price

Gross Additional Gas  
volumes

Year

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

1P

US$/mcf

3.99 

4.10 

4.06 

4.08 

4.18 

4.30 

4.43 

4.56 

4.60 

4.67 

4.96 

1P

 MMcfd

93.10 

93.60 

108.90 

124.70 

128.60 

132.90 

137.21 

141.51 

145.82 

140.63 

121.89 

2P

US$/mcf

 4.03 

4.27 

4.27 

4.28 

4.44 

4.63 

4.82 

4.98 

4.98

4.95 

4.96

2P

 MMcfd

93.75 

98.49 

115.29 

137.17 

141.46 

146.19 

155.80 

157.00 

159.34 

166.80 

148.83

 
 
 
 
 
6

Gas Reserves

Present value of reserves
The estimated value of the Songo Songo reserves on a life of license basis based on the assumptions on production and 
pricing are as follows:

US$ millions

Proved producing

Proved undeveloped

Total proved (1P)

Probable

Total proved and probable (2P)

2015

10%

229.2

79.4

308.6

48.8

357.4

5%

294.6

114.7

409.3

65.9

475.2

15%

184.6

55.5

240.1

37.7

277.8

2014

10%

195.9

182.9

378.8

38.4

417.2

5%

274.3

233.5

507.8

60.3

568.1

15%

144.3

145.1

289.4

25.4

314.8

There has been a 14% decrease in the 2P present value at a 10% discount basis from US$417 million to US$357 million on a 
life of license basis. 

The  decrease  in  value  is  predominately  a  consequence  of  the  slower  anticipated  power  sales  to  TPDC  via  the  NNGIP 
Infrastructure. In order to commission the NNGIP gas processing plant in Mtwara in September 2015, the Company under 
a  Government  of  Tanzania  directive  was  requested  to  allow  connection  to  the  NNGIP  Infrastructure  of  two  TANESCO 
power plants previously supplied under the PGSA contract. The slower than anticipated construction and commissioning of 
additional power plants has resulted in the inability of the Company to make additional gas sales despite the completion of 
the Company’s offshore component of the development plan jointly approved with TPDC. 

Previous  reserve  reports  valuations  have  been  based  on  the  assumption  that  the  PGSA  contract  would  be  rolled  out  for 
deliveries to the NNGIP infrastructure. Following the connection of the two PGSA delivery points and the continued supply 
of gas to these plants by a third party, this assumption has been revised using the gas price contemplated for future sales 
to TPDC for valuation purposes. There is no guarantee that this proposed price will be realized and as such there could be 
further adjustments to the Company’s 2P present value once the negotiations are finalised and a new gas sales agreement 
is signed with TPDC.

O R C A   E X P L O R A T I O N   G R O U P   I N C .

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTO R C A   E X P L O R A T I O N   G R O U P   I N C .

MANAGEMENT’S  
DISCUSSION  
& ANALYSIS

8

THIS  MD&A  OF  FINANCIAL  CONDITION  AND  RESULTS  OF  OPERATIONS  SHOULD  BE  IN  CONJUNCTION  WITH  THE 
AUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND NOTES FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2015. THIS MD&A 
IS BASED ON THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE ON 14 APRIL 2016.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This management’s discussion and analysis (“MD&A”) contains forward-looking statements or information (collectively, “for-
ward-looking  statements”)  within  the  meaning  of  applicable  securities  legislation.  More  particularly,  this  MD&A  contains, 
without limitation, forward-looking statements pertaining to the following: the Company's expectations regarding supply 
and  demand  of  natural  gas;  anticipated  power  sector  revenues;  potential  impact  of  TPDC  future  back-in  rights  on  the 
economic terms of the PSA; the commissioning of the second gas processing facility on Songo Song Island which is part 
of the National Natural Gas Infrastructure Project (“NNGIP”) which included construction and commissioning of two gas 
processing facilities, a 505 kilometer pipeline supplying gas from the Mtwara Region of Tanzania to Dar es Salaam and a 
28 kilometer pipeline supplying gas from Songo Songo Island to the mainland NNGIP; ability to meet all conditions under 
the International Finance Corporation (“IFC”) financing agreement signed on 29 October 2015; the Company’s estimated 
spending  for  the  planned  Development  Programme  for  2016  and  2017,  which  includes  construction  of  the  production 
platform for well SS-12, tie-in of well SS-12 to the production facilities and implementation of a refrigeration unit to enable 
production into the NNGIP; the potential impact of the Petroleum Act 2015 on the Company’s business in Tanzania; the 
Company’s belief that the parties to the unsigned Amended and Restated Gas Agreement (“ARGA”) will continue to conduct 
themselves in accordance with the ARGA until the new Gas Sales Agreement (“GSA”) is signed; the Company’s expectation 
that, despite the Re-Rating Agreement of the gas processing plant owned by Songas Limited (“Songas”) having expired, the 
Songas gas processing plant will not be de-rated and the risk that Songas and the Company will not agree on appropriate 
terms and sign the GSA in a timely manner; the Company’s expectation that it can expand and maintain the deliverability 
of gas volumes in excess of the existing Songas infrastructure; the Company’s expectation that the SS-4 well may need 
to  be  suspended  in  the  future;  the  forward-looking  statements  under  “Contractual  Obligations  and  Committed  Capital 
Investment”;  the  Company’s  expectation  that  it  will  not  have  a  shortfall  during  the  term  of  the  Protected  Gas  delivery 
obligation to July 2024; and the Company’s expectations in respect of its appeal on the decision of the Tax Revenue Appeals 
Tribunal and other statements under “Contingencies - Taxation”. In addition, statements relating to “reserves” are by their 
nature forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions 
that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. The recovery and reserve estimates of the Company’s 
reserves  provided  herein  are  estimates  only  and  there  is  no  guarantee  that  the  estimated  reserves  will  be  recovered.  As 
a  consequence,  actual  results  may  differ  materially  from  those  anticipated  in  the  forward-looking  statements.  Although 
management believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, it cannot guarantee 
future results, levels of activity, performance or achievement since such expectations are inherently subject to significant 
business, economic, operational, competitive, political and social uncertainties and contingencies.

These  forward-looking  statements  involve  substantial  known  and  unknown  risks  and  uncertainties,  certain  of  which  are 
beyond the Company’s control, and many factors could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those 
expressed  or  implied  in  any  forward-looking  statements  made  by  the  Company,  including,  but  not  limited  to:  failure  to 
receive  payments  from  the  Tanzanian  Electrical  Supply  Company  (“TANESCO”);  risk  on  timing  for  the  NNGIP  to  be  fully 
commissioned; risk that the Tanzanian Production Development Corporation (“TPDC”), the Ministry of Energy and Minerals 
(“MEM”) and the Company are unable to agree on commercial terms for future incremental gas sales and consequently 
the  Company  cannot  expand  the  Songo  Songo  development  beyond  the  existing  Songas  infrastructure  and  supply  gas 
to the NNGIP; risk that additional gas volumes available to the NNGIP from third parties will replace all or a portion of the 
volumes currently nominated by TANESCO under the Portfolio Gas Sales Agreement (“PGSA”) until additional gas-fired power 
generation  is  brought  on-stream  to  consume  all  of  the  Company’s  available  gas  production;  risk  that  the  Development 
Programme  is  not  completed  as  planned  and  the  actual  cost  to  complete  the  Development  Programme  exceeds  the 
Company’s  estimates;  risk  that  the  remaining  well  workovers  under  the  Development  Programme  are  unsuccessful  or 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis9

determined to be infeasible; risk that the contingencies related to the development work for the full field development plan 
for Songo Songo are not satisfied; potential negative effect on the Company’s rights under the Production Sharing Agreement 
(“PSA”) and other agreements relating to its business in Tanzania as a result of the recently approved Petroleum Act, 2015, as 
well as the risk that such legislation will create additional costs and time connected with the Company’s business in Tanzania; 
risk that, without extending or replacing the Re-Rating Agreement, the gas processing plant may be de-rated back to its 
original capacity, resulting in a material reduction in the Company’s sales volumes of Additional Gas; risk that the Company 
will not fully recover Songas’ share of capital expenditures associated with the workovers of wells SS-5 and SS-9; risk that 
the Company will be required to pay additional taxes and penalties; the impact of general economic conditions in the areas 
in which the Company operates; civil unrest; industry conditions; changes in laws and regulations including the adoption 
of new environmental laws and regulations and changes in how they are interpreted and enforced; increased competition; 
the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management; fluctuations in commodity prices, foreign exchange or interest 
rates; stock market volatility; competition for, among other things, capital, drilling equipment and skilled personnel; failure to 
obtain required equipment for drilling; delays in drilling plans; failure to obtain expected results from drilling of wells; effect 
of changes to the PSA on the Company; changes in laws; imprecision in reserve estimates; the production and growth 
potential of the Company’s assets; obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities; risks associated with negotiating 
with foreign governments; inability to satisfy debt obligations and conditions; failure to successfully negotiate agreements; 
and risk that the Company will not be able to fulfil its contractual obligations. In addition there are risks and uncertainties 
associated with oil and gas operations, therefore the Company’s actual results, performance or achievement could differ 
materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurances can be 
given that any of the events anticipated by these forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, 
what benefits the Company will derive therefrom. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive.

Such forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions made by the Company in light of its experience and 
perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors the Company 
believes are appropriate in the circumstances, including, but not limited to, that the NNGIP is completed; the TPDC, the MEM 
and the Company are able to agree on commercial terms for future incremental gas sales and the Company can expand 
Songo  Songo  development  beyond  the  existing  Songas  infrastructure  and  supply  gas  to  the  NNGIP;  the  Development 
Programme will be completed within the timing anticipated; the actual costs to complete the Development Programme are 
in line with estimates; that there will continue to be no restrictions on the movement of cash from Mauritius or Tanzania; 
that the Company will have sufficient cash flow, debt or equity sources or other financial resources required to fund its 
capital and operating expenditures and requirements as needed; that the Company will have adequate funding to continue 
operations; that the Company will successfully negotiate agreements; receipt of required regulatory approvals; the ability 
of  the  Company  to  increase  production  at  a  consistent  rate;  infrastructure  capacity;  commodity  prices  will  not  further 
deteriorate  significantly;  the  ability  of  the  Company  to  obtain  equipment  and  services  in  a  timely  manner  to  carry  out 
exploration,  development  and  exploitation  activities;  future  capital  expenditures;  availability  of  skilled  labour;  timing  and 
amount of capital expenditures; uninterrupted access to infrastructure; the impact of increasing competition; conditions 
in general economic and financial markets; effects of regulation by governmental agencies; that the Company’s appeal of 
various tax assessments will be successful; that the enactment of the Petroleum Act, 2015 in Tanzania will not impair the 
Company’s rights under the PSA to develop and market natural gas in Tanzania; current or, where applicable, proposed 
industry conditions, laws and regulations will continue in effect or as anticipated as described herein; and other matters.

The forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no 
obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, 
future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws. 

management's discussion & analysis10

NON-GAAP MEASURES

THE COMPANY EVALUATES ITS PERFORMANCE USING A NUMBER OF NON-GAAP (GENERALLY ACCEPTED ACCOUNTING 
PRINCIPLES)  MEASURES.  THESE  NON-GAAP  MEASURES  ARE  NOT  STANDARDISED  AND  THEREFORE  MAY  NOT  BE 
COMPARABLE TO SIMILAR MEASUREMENTS OF OTHER ENTITIES.

• 

FUNDS FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES IS A TERM THAT REPRESENTS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS BEFORE 
WORKING CAPITAL CHANGES. IT IS A KEY MEASURE AS IT DEMONSTRATES THE COMPANY’S ABILITY TO GENERATE 
CASH NECESSARY TO ACHIEVE GROWTH THROUGH CAPITAL INVESTMENTS.

•  OPERATING  NETBACKS  REPRESENT  THE  PROFIT  MARGIN  ASSOCIATED  WITH  THE  PRODUCTION  AND  SALE  OF 
ADDITIONAL  GAS  AND  IS  CALCULATED  AS  REVENUES  LESS  PROCESSING  AND  TRANSPORTATION  TARIFFS, 
GOVERNMENT  PARASTATAL’S  REVENUE  SHARE,  OPERATING  AND  DISTRIBUTION  COSTS  FOR  ONE  THOUSAND 
STANDARD CUBIC FEET OF ADDITIONAL GAS. THIS IS A KEY MEASURE AS IT DEMONSTRATES THE PROFIT GENERATED 
FROM EACH UNIT OF PRODUCTION, AND IS WIDELY USED BY THE INVESTMENT COMMUNITY.

• 

FUNDS  FLOW  FROM  OPERATING  ACTIVITIES  PER  SHARE  IS  CALCUALATED  ON  THE  BASIS  OF  THE  FUNDS  FLOW 
FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES DIVIDED BY THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE NUMBER OF SHARES.

•  CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES PER SHARE IS CALCULATED AS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS DIVIDED 

BY THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE NUMBER OF SHARES.

ADDITIONAL  INFORMATION  REGARDING  ORCA  EXPLORATION  IS  AVAILABLE  UNDER  THE  COMPANY’S  PROFILE  ON 
SEDAR AT www.sedar.com.

NATURE OF OPERATIONS

The Company’s principal operating asset is its interest in the PSA with TPDC and the Government of Tanzania in the United 
Republic of Tanzania. This PSA covers the production and marketing of certain gas from the Songo Songo Block offshore 
Tanzania.

The PSA defines the gas produced from the Songo Songo field as “Protected Gas” and “Additional Gas”. The Protected Gas 
is owned by TPDC and is sold under a 20-year gas agreement (until 31st July 2024) to Songas. Songas is the owner of the 
infrastructure that enables the gas to be treated and delivered to Dar es Salaam, which includes a gas processing plant on 
Songo Songo Island.

Songas utilizes the Protected Gas as feedstock for its gas turbine electricity generators at Ubungo and for onward sale to 
customers. The Company receives no revenue for the Protected Gas delivered to Songas and operates the original wells and 
gas processing plant on a ‘no gain no loss’ basis.

Under  the  PSA,  the  Company  has  the  right  to  produce  and  market  all  gas  in  the  Songo  Songo  Block  in  excess  of  the 
Protected Gas requirements (“Additional Gas”).

TANESCO is a parastatal organization which is wholly-owned by the Government of Tanzania, with oversight by the MEM. 
TANESCO is responsible for the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity throughout Tanzania. Natural gas has 
become an integral component of TANESCO’s power generation fuel mix as a more reliable source of supply over seasonal 
hydro power and a more cost effective alternative to liquid fuels. The Company currently supplies gas directly to TANESCO 
by way of a Portfolio Gas Supply Agreement (“PGSA”) and indirectly through the supply of Protected Gas and Additional Gas 
to Songas which in turn generates and sells power to TANESCO. The state utility is the Company’s largest customer and the 
gas supplied by the Company to TANESCO today fires approximately 40% of the electrical power generated in Tanzania.

In addition to gas supplied to Songas and TANESCO for the generation of power, the Company has developed and supplies 
an industrial gas market in the Dar es Salaam area consisting of some 38 industrial customers.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
11

PRINCIPAL TERMS OF THE TANZANIAN PSA AND RELATED AGREEMENTS

The principal terms of the Songo Songo PSA and related agreements are as follows:

Obligations and restrictions

(a)  The Company has the right to conduct petroleum operations, market and sell all Additional Gas produced and share the 

net revenue with TPDC for a term of 25 years, expiring in October 2026.

(b)  The PSA covers the two licenses in which the Songo Songo field is located (“Discovery Blocks”). The Proven Section is 

essentially the area covered by the Songo Songo field within the Discovery Blocks.

(c)  No sale of Additional Gas may be made from the Discovery Blocks, if in the Company’s reasonable judgment such sales 
would jeopardise the supply of Protected Gas. Any Additional Gas contracts entered into are subject to interruption. 
Songas has the right to request that the Company and TPDC obtain security reasonably acceptable to Songas prior 
to making any sales of Additional Gas from the Discovery Block to secure the Company’s and TPDC’s obligations in 
respect of Insufficiency (see (d) below).

(d) 

“Insufficiency” occurs if there is insufficient gas from the Discovery Blocks to supply the Protected Gas requirements or 
if the gas is so expensive to develop that its cost exceeds the market price of alternative fuels at Ubungo.

  Where there have been third party sales of Additional Gas by the Company and TPDC from the Discovery Blocks prior to 
the occurrence of the Insufficiency, the Company and TPDC shall be jointly liable for the Insufficiency and shall satisfy 
its related liability by either replacing the Indemnified Volume (as defined in (e) below) at the Protected Gas price with 
natural gas from other sources; or by paying money damages equal to the difference between: (a) the market price for a 
quantity of alternative fuel that is appropriate for the five gas turbine electricity generators at Ubungo without significant 
modification together with the costs of any modification; and (b) the sum of the price for such volume of Protected Gas 
(at US$0.55/ MMbtu escalated) and the amount of transportation revenues previously credited by Songas to the state 
electricity utility, TANESCO, for the gas volumes.

(e)  The “Indemnified Volume” means the lesser of the total volume of Additional Gas sales supplied from the Discovery 
Blocks prior to an Insufficiency and the Insufficiency Volume. “Insufficiency Volume” means the volume of natural gas 
determined by multiplying the average of the annual Protected Gas volumes for the three years prior to the Insufficiency 
by 110% and multiplied by the number of remaining years (initial term of 20 years) of the power purchase agreement 
entered into between Songas and TANESCO in relation to the five gas turbine electricity generators at Ubungo from the 
date of the Insufficiency.

Access and development of infrastructure

(f)  The Company is able to utilise the Songas infrastructure including the gas processing plant and main pipeline to Dar es 
Salaam. Access to the pipeline and gas processing plant is open and can be utilised by any third party who wishes to 
process or transport gas.

Songas is not required to incur capital costs with respect to additional processing and transportation facilities unless the 
construction and operation of the facilities are, in the reasonable opinion of Songas, financially viable. If Songas is unable 
to finance such facilities, Songas shall permit the seller of the gas to construct the facilities at its expense, provided that, 
the facilities are designed, engineered and constructed in accordance with good pipeline and oilfield practices.

Revenue sharing terms and taxation

(g)  75% of the gross revenues, less processing and pipeline tariffs and direct sales taxes in any year (net revenue) can be 

used to recover past costs incurred. Costs recovered out of net revenue are termed “Cost Gas”.

management's discussion & analysis 
12

The Company pays and recovers costs of exploring, developing and operating the Additional Gas with two exceptions: 
(i) TPDC may recover reasonable market and market research costs as defined under the PSA; and (ii) TPDC has the 
right to elect to participate in the drilling of at least one well for Additional Gas in the Discovery Blocks for which there 
is a development program as detailed in an Additional Gas plan (“Additional Gas Plan”) as submitted to MEM, subject 
to TPDC being able to elect to participate in a development program only once and TPDC having to pay a proportion 
of the costs of such development program by committing to pay between 5% and 20% of the total costs (“Specified 
Proportion”). If TPDC does not notify the Company within 90 days of notice from the Company that the MEM has 
approved the Additional Gas Plan, then TPDC is deemed not to have elected. If TPDC elects to participate, then it will be 
entitled to a ratable proportion of the Cost Gas and their profit share percentage increases by the Specified Proportion 
for that development program.

To date, TPDC has neither elected to back in within the prescribed notice period nor contributed any costs associated 
with backing in, and accordingly the Company has determined that to date there has been no working interest earned 
by TPDC. For the purpose of the reserves certification as at 31 December 2015, it was assumed that TPDC will ‘back-in’ 
for  20%  for  all  future  new  drilling  activities  as  determined  by  the  current  submitted  Additional  Gas  Plan  and  this  is 
reflected in the Company’s net reserve position.

(h) 

In 2009, the energy regulator, Energy and Water Utility Regulatory Authority (“EWURA”), issued an order that saw the 
introduction of a flat rate tariff of US$0.59/mcf from 1 January 2010. The Company’s long-term gas price to the Power 
sector as set out in the unsigned ARGA and the PGSA is based on the price of gas at the wellhead. As a consequence, the 
Company is not impacted by the changes to the tariff paid to Songas or other operators in respect of sales to the Power 
sector. As at the date of this report, the ARGA remains an initialed agreement only and the parties are not in agreement 
with all the terms in the ARGA, however the parties are conducting themselves in terms of pricing as though the ARGA 
is in force. The Company and Songas are currently negotiating a new GSA. 

In 2011, the Company signed a re-rating agreement with TANESCO and Songas (the “Re-Rating Agreement”) to increase 
the gas processing capacity to a maximum of 110 MMcfd (the pipeline and pressure requirements at the Ubungo power 
plant restrict the infrastructure capacity to a maximum of 102 MMcfd). Under the terms of the Re-Rating Agreement, the 
Company effectively pays an additional tariff of US$0.30/mcf for sales between 70 MMcfd and 90 MMcfd and US$0.40/
mcf  for  volumes  above  90  MMcfd  in  addition  to  the  tariff  of  US$0.59/mcf  payable  to  Songas  as  set  by  the  energy 
regulator, EWURA.

Under the terms of this agreement, the Company agreed to indemnify Songas for damage to its facilities caused by the 
re-rating, up to a maximum of US$15 million, but only to the extent that this was not already covered by indemnities 
from TANESCO’s or Songas’ insurance policies. The Re-Rating Agreement expired on 31 December 2013. At this time 
the Company knows of no reason to de-rate the Songas gas processing plant and continues to produce at the higher 
rated limit and the Company expects this to continue. However, there are no assurances that the ability to produce at 
the higher rating will continue.

(i)  The cost of maintaining the wells and flowlines is split between the Protected Gas and Additional Gas users in proportion 
to the volume of their respective sales. The cost of operating the gas processing plant and the pipeline to Dar es Salaam 
is covered through the payment of the pipeline tariff.

(j)  Profits on sales from the Proven Section (“Profit Gas”) are shared between TPDC and the Company, the proportion of 

which is dependent on the average daily volumes of Additional Gas sold or cumulative production.

The Company receives a higher share of the net revenues after cost recovery, based on the higher of the cumulative 
production or the average daily sales. The Profit Gas share is a minimum of 25% and a maximum of 55%.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
 
 
 
 
13

Average daily sales  
of Additional Gas

Cumulative sales  
of Additional Gas

TPDC’s share  
of Profit Gas

Company’s share  
of Profit Gas

MMcfd

0 - 20

> 20 <= 30

> 30 <= 40

> 40 <= 50

> 50

Bcf

0-125

> 125 <= 250

> 250 <= 375

> 375 <= 500

> 500

%

75

70

65

60

45

%

25

30

35

40

55

For Additional Gas produced outside of the Proven Section, the Company’s Profit Gas share is 55%.

  Where  TPDC  elects  to  participate  in  a  development  program,  its  profit  share  percentage  increases  by  the  Specified 
Proportion (for that development program) with a corresponding decrease in the Company’s percentage share of Profit 
Gas.

The Company is liable for income tax in Tanzania. Where income tax is payable, the Company pays the tax and there is 
a corresponding deduction in the amount of the Profit Gas payable to TPDC.

(k) 

“Additional Profits Tax” (or “APT”) is payable when the Company recovers its costs out of Additional Gas revenues plus 
an annual operating return under the PSA of 25%, plus the percentage change in the United States Industrial Goods 
Producer Price Index (“PPI”); and the maximum APT rate is 55% of the Company’s Profit Gas when costs have been 
recovered with an annual return of 35% plus PPI return. The PSA is, therefore, structured to encourage the Company to 
develop the market and the gas fields in the knowledge that the Profit Gas share can increase with larger daily gas sales 
and that the costs will be recovered with a 25% plus PPI annual return before APT becomes payable. APT can have a 
significant negative impact on the project economics if only limited capital expenditure is incurred. 

(l)  The  Company  is  appointed  to  develop,  produce  and  process  Protected  Gas  and  operate  and  maintain  the  Songas 
gas  production  facilities  and  processing  plant,  including  the  staffing,  procurement,  capital  improvements,  contract 
maintenance,  maintenance  of  books  and  records,  preparation  of  reports,  maintenance  of  permits,  waste  handling, 
liaison with the Government of Tanzania and taking all necessary safety, health and environmental precautions, all in 
accordance with good oilfield practices. In return, the Company is paid or reimbursed by Songas so that the Company 
neither benefits nor suffers a loss as a result of its performance.

(m)  In the event of loss arising from Songas’ failure to perform, and the loss is not fully compensated by Songas or insurance 
coverage, then the Company is liable to a performance and operation guarantee of US$2.5 million when (i) the loss is 
caused by the gross negligence or willful misconduct of the Company, its subsidiaries or employees, and (ii) Songas has 
insufficient funds to cure the loss and operate the project.

Consolidation

The companies which are 100% owned that are being consolidated are:

Company

Orca Exploration Group Inc.

Orca Exploration Italy Inc.

Orca Exploration Italy Onshore Inc.

PAE PanAfrican Energy Corporation

PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Limited (“PAET”)

Orca Exploration UK Services Limited

Incorporated

British Virgin Islands

British Virgin Islands

British Virgin Islands

Mauritius

Jersey

United Kingdom

management's discussion & analysis 
 
 
14

Results for the year ended 31 December 2015

SUMMARY

The year ended 31 December 2015 saw a decrease from the prior year in 2P reserve volumes of 17% as a result of gas 
produced during the year, combined with slower anticipated growth in power demand that had been assumed based on 
forecasts from TPDC. As a result, the net present value of cash flows from 2P reserves at a 10% discount rate decreased 
13% compared to the prior year. Production capabilities increased during 2015 as a result of a significant capital expenditure 
program of US$38.4 million which included the completion of three successful workovers. 

The decrease in revenue for 2015 resulted in funds flow from operating activities declining 18% compared to the prior year. 
A further increase in the provision of the TANESCO long-term receivable also affected profitability, however, the Company 
was still able to earn a small profit for the year. The Company finished 2015 in a stable financial position with US$32.5 million 
in working capital and US$18.6 million in long-term debt as a result of the successful completion of a financing facility with 
the International Finance Corporation.

OPERATING VOLUMES

The  total  volume  of  Protected  Gas  and  Additional  Gas  delivered  and  sold  for  the  year  ended  31  December  2015  was 
31,485 MMcf (2014: 32,770 MMcf) or 86.2 MMcfd (2014: 89.8 MMcfd), net of approximately 0.5 MMcfd (2014: 0.8 MMcfd) 
consumed locally for fuel gas. 

The Additional Gas sales volumes for the year were 17,311 MMcf (2014: 19,421 MMcf) or average daily volumes of 47.4 MMcfd 
(2014: 53.2 MMcfd). This represents a decrease in average daily volumes of 11% year on year. 

Additional Gas sales volumes for Q4 2015 were 4,572 MMcf (Q4 2014: 4,461 MMcf) or average daily volumes of 49.7 MMcfd 
(Q4 2014: 48.5 MMcfd), an increase of 2.5% over the prior year quarter.

The decrease in Additional Gas volumes year over year is primarily the result of declining field productivity, reductions in 
nominations by TANESCO, and reduced Industrial gas sales volumes during the first nine months of 2015. The increase in 
Additional Gas sold quarter over quarter is the result of increasing field production as a consequence of successfully working 
over wells SS-5 and SS-9 during the third and fourth quarters of 2015. These wells were put back into production in Q4 2015.

The Company’s sales volumes were split between the Industrial and Power sectors as detailed in the table below:

Gross sales volume (MMcf)

Industrial sector

Power sector

Total volumes

Gross daily sales volume (MMcfd)

Industrial sector

Power sector

Total daily sales volume

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

2015

2014

1,089

3,483

4,572

11.8

37.9

49.7

1,084

3,377

4,461

11.8

36.7

48.5

4,166

13,145

17,311

11.4

36.0

47.4

4,598

14,823

19,421

12.6

40.6

53.2

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
 
15

Industrial sector
Industrial sales volume decreased by 9% to 4,166 MMcf (11.4 MMcfd) from 4,598 MMcf (12.6 MMcfd) in 2014. The decrease is 
primarily the result of unscheduled maintenance work by a number of customers together with the cessation of consumption 
by a textile company at the end of its contract period in June 2015. 

Fourth quarter Industrial sales volume increased by 1% to 1,089 MMcf (11.8 MMcfd) from 1,084 MMcf (11.8 MMcfd) in the 
prior year quarter. 

Power sector
Power sector sales volumes decreased by 11% to 13,145 MMcf (36.0 MMcfd), compared to 14,823 MMcf (40.6 MMcfd) in 
2014 as a result of decreased production from the Songo Songo field due to deliverability constraints during the first three 
quarters of 2015, and the decision by TANESCO not to renew a power generation contract with an emergency power plant. 

Power sector sales volumes increased by 3% to 3,483 MMcf (37.9 MMcfd), compared to 3,377 MMcf (36.7 MMcfd) in Q4 
2014 as a result of an increase in gas production following the successful completion of the well workover programme in 
Q4 2015. Under the PGSA Gas supply contract, TANESCO is a swing customer receiving less gas in the event of decline in 
gas production. The increase in gas deliverability as a result of successful workovers has resulted in TANESCO increasing gas 
consumption levels compared with same quarter in previous year.

SONGO SONGO DELIVERABILITY

As at 31 December 2015, the Company had a field productive capacity of approximately 155 MMcfd, with the expansion of 
production volumes limited to 102 MMcfd by the available Songas infrastructure. The increase in field productive capacity 
was due to successful workovers on wells SS-5, SS-7 and SS-9 completed during the fourth quarter of 2015. Well SS-3 is 
currently suspended and well SS-4 has been shut-in; it is the Company’s intention to undertake workovers on both the wells 
in the future. Subsequent to year-end, the Company completed drilling well SS-12, adding a further 35 MMcfd to the field 
productive capacity. The SS-12 well cannot be produced until the construction of a platform and flowline to tie the well into 
the NNGIP infrastructure.

The  Company  now  has  significant  redundant  productive  capacity  and  is  planning  the  installation  of  refrigeration  and 
compression facilities to ensure production capacity can be maintained well in excess of the volumes required to fill the 
Songas infrastructure. The Company is currently negotiating an agreement with TPDC for additional gas sales by tying into 
the NNGIP. Initial volumes sold to TPDC under this agreement would see a concomitant reduction in volumes through the 
existing Songas infrastructure. This would allow the Company to further increase sales volumes to industrial customers as 
production capacity would no longer be constrained by the Songas infrastructure.

management's discussion & analysis16

COMMODITY PRICES

The commodity prices achieved in the different sectors during the year is detailed in the table below:

US$/mcf

Average sales price

Industrial sector

Power sector

Weighted average price

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

2015

2014

7.62

3.56

4.51

8.24

3.49

4.64

7.58

3.54

4.49

8.61

3.56

4.76

i) 
In Q4 2015 the Company recognised income of US$0.7 million (Q4 2014: US$0.9 million), and for the year to 31 December 2015 US$2.1 
million (2014: US$4.2 million), deferred under a take-or-pay provision in an Industrial contract. Under the terms of the contract the customer 
has three years in which to utilise the deferred income, after which it is released to revenue. These amounts have been deducted from revenue 
in calculating the average sales prices achieved in the quarter and the year ended 31 December 2015.

Industrial sector
The average gas price achieved during the year was US$7.58/mcf down 12% from (2014: US$8.61/mcf). This is a consequence 
of several factors (i) a 48% decline in the Heavy fuel Oil (“HFO”) prices in the world market has offset the impact of annual 
price indexation for Industrial customers and has resulted in the majority of Industrial customers sales, whose prices are tied 
to HFO prices, being at the contractual floor in accordance with their contracts. The contractual pricing floors having helped 
to mitigate the impact of a falling HFO price, (ii) the impact of a decline in gas prices on the majority of industrial customers 
has offset a contractual step change in the gas price to the cement company that came into effect on 1 January 2015, and 
(iii) a change in the overall sales mix. 

The average Industrial gas price for the fourth quarter was US$7.62/mcf down 8% from Q4 2014 (US$8.24/mcf). The impact 
of prices indexation in January of each year was offset by a decline in HFO prices in the world market. A 1% decrease in the 
average price in Q4 2015 from the Q3 2015 price of US$7.67/mcf was due to a change in the sales mix.

Power sector
The average sales price to the Power sector was US$3.54/mcf for the year (2014: US$ 3.56 /mcf) a decrease of 1%. The fall 
in price despite the annual indexation rise of 2% each July under contractual arrangements is a consequence of decreased 
nominations by TANESCO resulting in fewer sales being made at the premium marginal prices under the PGSA. 

The average sales price to the Power sector in the fourth quarter was US$3.56/mcf, up 2% compared with US$3.49/mcf in 
Q4 2014. The increase is due to annual indexation of the base price in July. The average price for the fourth quarter is down 
2% compared to the Q3 2015 price of US$3.62/mcf as a result of a reduction in the volume sold at premium marginal prices 
under the PGSA.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis17

OPERATING REVENUE

Under the terms of the PSA, the Company is responsible for invoicing, collecting and allocating the revenue from Additional 
Gas sales.

The Company is able to recover all costs incurred on the exploration, development and operations of the project up to a 
maximum of 75% of the net revenue (“Cost Gas”) prior to the distribution of Profit Gas. Any costs not recovered in any period 
are carried forward for recovery out of future revenues. Once the Cost Gas has been recovered, TPDC is able to recover any 
pre-approved marketing costs.

The Additional Gas sales volumes for 2015 were below 50 MMcfd and, as a consequence, the Company was only entitled 
to a 40% share of Profit Gas revenue for the year as opposed to a 55% share (net of Cost Gas recoveries from revenue). See 
“Principal Terms of the Tanzanian PSA and Related Agreements.” The Company’s share of Profit Gas for the first nine months 
of 2014 entitled the Company to a 55% share of Profit Gas, this fell to 40% in Q4 2014.

The Company was allocated a total of 74 % of net revenue in 2015 (2014: 63%):

US$’000

Gross sales revenue

Gross tariff for processing plant and pipeline infrastructure

Gross revenue after tariff (net revenue)

Analysed as to:

Company Cost Gas

Company Profit Gas

Cost pool adjustment

Company operating revenue 

TPDC share of revenue

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

2015

2014

21,288

(3,229)

18,059

13,544

1,806

–

15,350

2,709

18,059

21,601

(3,153)

18,448

3,231

6,902

–

10,133

8,315

18,448

79,885

(12,282)

67,603

38,689

11,565

–

50,254

17,349

67,603

96,566

(13,674)

82,892

12,223

37,402

2,994

52,619

30,273

82,892

The Company’s total revenues for the quarter and the year ended 31 December 2015 amounted to US$15.9 million and 
US$54.1 million respectively, after adjusting the Company’s operating revenues of US$15.3 million and US$50.3 million by:

i) 

ii) 

adding US$0.9 million for income tax for the quarter and US$6.2 million for the year. The Company is liable for income 
tax in Tanzania, but the income tax is recoverable out of TPDC’s Profit Gas when the tax is payable. To account for this, 
revenue is adjusted to include the current income tax charge grossed up at 30%; and,

subtracting US$0.3 million and US$2.4 million for deferred Additional Profits Tax charged in the quarter and for the year 
– this tax is considered a royalty and is presented as a reduction in revenue. The APT charge for the prior year includes 
a  reduction  in  APT  of  US$0.9  million  resulting  from  the  recovery  of  downstream  costs  previously  and  temporarily 
excluded from the cost recoverable pool. See note on Cost Pool adjustments below. 

management's discussion & analysis 
18

Revenue presented on the Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Loss) may be reconciled to the operating 
revenue as follows:

US$’000

Industrial sector

Power sector

Gross sales revenue

Processing and transportation tariff

Net revenue

TPDC share of revenue

Company operating revenue

Additional Profits Tax charge

Current income tax adjustment

Revenue

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

8,794

12,494

21,288

(3,229)

18,059

(2,710)

15,349

(335)

858

15,872

2014

9,825

11,776

21,601

(3,153)

18,448

(8,315)

10,133

(1,429)

941

9,645

2015

33,164

46,721

79,885

(12,282)

67,603

(17,349)

50,254

(2,355)

6,189

54,088

2014

43,763

52,803

96,566

(13,674)

82,892

(30,273)

52,619

(7,280)

11,268

56,607

Company operating revenue increased 65% in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with Q4 2014. The increase is primarily 
due to a capital program to workover three offshore wells and to drill a new offshore well, which commenced in the third 
quarter of the year. The expenditures substantially increased the pool of recoverable costs. This entitled the Company to 
75% of net revenue as Cost Gas in the quarter and the corresponding reduction in Profit Gas also reduced the Profit Gas 
attributable to TPDC by 67%.

Company operating revenue for the year ended 31 December 2015 is down 4%, being the result of a number of factors. 
Sales volumes fell 11% which, combined with a 6% reduction in the weighted average sales price, resulted in a 17% drop in 
gross sales revenue. The processing and transportation tariff was US$1.4 million lower, in line with the reduction in sales 
volume, giving net revenue of US$67.6 million (2014: US$82.9 million).

In 2015 the Company was able to claim 57% or US$38.7 million (2014: 15% or US$12.2 million) of net revenues as Cost Gas, 
the increase resulting directly from the workover and drilling program. This increase in Cost Gas is responsible for almost 
entirely offsetting the effect of reduced prices and sales volumes.

A reduction of US$4.9 million or 67% in the APT charge for the year is the result of a reduction in the effective rate from 21.9% 
to 20.2% compounded by a fall of 69% in the Company’s share of Profit Gas to US$11.6 million (2014: US$37.4 million) on 
which it is based. The drop in Profit Gas is a direct result of capital expenditure increasing Cost Gas.

The Company’s share of revenue in 2014 included an adjustment to the Cost Pool (as defined herein) in respect of downstream 
costs incurred in prior years, and a further adjustment relating to non-recoverable items agreed by the Company in the 
course of settling the TPDC Cost Pool audit of 2002 to 2009 is detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Non recoverable costs

Recoverable costs 2011-2013

Cost Gas recorded in the period

Reduction in Profit Gas in the period

Net impact on Company share of operating revenue

YEAR ENDED  
31 DECEMBER 2014

(1,024)

7,360

6,336

(3,342)

2,994

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis19

PROCESSING AND TRANSPORTATION TARIFF

The Company effectively pays a tariff of US$0.30/mcf for sales between 70 MMcfd and 90 MMcfd and US$0.40/mcf for 
volumes above 90 MMcfd in addition to the regulated tariff of US$0.59/mcf payable to Songas. The charge for the quarter 
and for the year were US$3.2 million (Q4 2014: US$3.2 million) and US$12.3 million (2014: US$13.7 million) respectively. The 
reduction in the tariff for the year is the result of lower volumes during the periods.

PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION EXPENSES
Well  maintenance  costs  are  allocated  between  Protected  Gas  and  Additional  Gas  in  proportion  to  their  respective  sales 
during the period. The total cost of maintenance for the quarter was US$84 thousand (Q4 2014: US$500 thousand) and for 
the year, US$425 thousand (2014: US$1.2 million). Amounts allocated for Additional Gas for the quarter and for the year were 
US$47 thousand (Q4 2014: US$277 thousand) and US$233 thousand (2014: US$796 thousand), respectively. The decrease 
in  the  year  is  the  result  of  reduced  activity  as  a  consequence  of  the  additional  workload  associated  with  the  workover 
programme carried out in the second half of 2015.

Other field and operating costs include an apportionment of the annual PSA license costs, regulatory fees, insurance, some 
costs associated with the evaluation of the reserves, and the cost of personnel which are not recoverable from Songas.

Distribution costs represent the direct cost of maintaining the ring main distribution pipeline and pressure reduction station 
(security, insurance and personnel). Ring main distribution costs were US$512 thousand (Q4 2014: US$603 thousand) for 
the  quarter  and  US$1.9  million  (2014:  US$2.3  million)  for  the  year.  The  decrease  in  maintenance  and  operating  costs  is 
the result of the elimination of the CNG trucking costs for the Mikocheni network. TPDC completed the construction and 
commissioning  of  the  trunk  line  from  the  the  Company's  Ubungo  pressure  reducing  station  (‘’PRS’’)  to  the  Company's 
Mikocheni distribution network in June 2014. The Company signed an agreement with TPDC for the use of their trunk line 
in June 2014 and pay an interim tariff of $0.52/GJ for the transportation of the natural gas through the TPDC trunk-line. The 
production and distribution costs are detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Share of well maintenance 

Other field and operating costs

Ring main distribution costs

Production and distribution expenses

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

47

251

298

512

810

2014

277

788

1,065

603

1,668

2015

233

1,594

1,827

1,924

3,751

2014

796

2,374

3,170

2,323

5,493

management's discussion & analysis 
20

OPERATING NETBACKS

The netback per mcf before general and administrative costs, overhead, tax and APT is detailed in the table below:

US$/mcf

Gas price – Industrial

Gas price – Power

Weighted average price for gas

Tariff 

TPDC share of revenue

Net selling price

Well maintenance and other operating costs

Ring main distribution costs

Operating netback

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

7.62

3.56

4.51

(0.71)

(0.59)

3.21

(0.07)

(0.11)

3.03

2014

8.24

3.49

4.64

(0.71)

(1.86)

2.07

(0.24)

(0.14)

1.69

2015

7.58

3.54

4.49

(0.71)

(1.00)

2.78

(0.13)

(0.08)

2.57

2014

8.61

3.56

4.76

(0.70)

(1.56)

2.50

(0.16)

(0.12)

2.22

The operating netback increased by 79% from US$1.69/mcf in Q4 2014 to US$3.03/mcf in Q4 2015. The primary reason for 
the increase was the 67% decrease in TPDC share of revenue as a consequence of an increase in the Cost Gas recovered, 
mainly as a result of the workover and drilling programme. In addition, there was a decrease in well maintenance and other 
operating and distribution costs, largely as a consequence of the work-over activity. This was offset slightly by lower average 
industrial gas sales prices as a result of a significant decrease in the price of HFO at the world market that has offset the 
annual price indexation for both industrial and power gas prices, resulting in a decrease in the weighted average price of gas 
by 3%. 

The operating netback for the year increased 16% to US$2.57/mcf from US$2.22/mcf in 2014. The decrease in the weighted 
average price for the year of 6% was a consequence of a 48% decrease in the price of HFO at the world market and a change 
in sales mix was offset by a decrease in TPDC’s share of revenue on a per MCF basis of 36%, and a decrease in field operating 
and distribution costs.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
21

GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES

General and administrative expenses are detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Employee and related costs

Stock based compensation (recovery)

Office costs

Marketing and business development costs

Reporting, regulatory and corporate

Other

General and administrative expenses

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

2,796

(87)

916

6

1,067

–

4,698

2014

2,618

(1,101)

1,060

(25)

466

195

2015

7,001

(244)

3,366

214

3,271

–

3,213

13,608

2014

7,115

3,482

3,660

41

3,346

270

17,914

General and administrative expenses include the costs of running the natural gas distribution business in Tanzania which is 
recoverable as Cost Gas and is relatively fixed in nature. Excluding stock based compensation and other expenses, general 
and administrative expenses averaged US$1.6 million (Q4 2014: US$1.4 million) per month during the quarter and US$1.1 
million (2014: US$1.2 million) per month over the year.

STOCK BASED COMPENSATION

The breakdown of the costs incurred in relation to stock based compensation is detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Stock appreciation rights

Restricted stock units

Stock-based compensation (recovery)

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

463

(550)

(87)

2014

(537)

(564)

(1,101)

2015

(266)

22

(244)

2014

1,369

2,113

3,482

No stock options were outstanding as at 31 December 2015 compared to 400,000 at the end of 2014. No options were 
granted during the quarter (Q4 2014: nil).

As at 31 December 2015 a total of 3,100,000 stock appreciation rights (“SARs”) were outstanding compared to 2,910,000 
as at 31 December 2014. A total of 490,000 SARs were granted in during the year with exercise prices of CDN$3.02 to 
CDN$3.25, the newly granted SARs have terms of one to five years and vest in equal annual instalments beginning on the 
first anniversary of the grant date. No RSUs remain outstanding as at 31 December 2015 (2014: 645,199).

As SARs and RSUs are settled in cash, they are re-valued at each reporting date using the Black-Scholes option pricing model 
with the resulting liability being recognised in trade and other payables. In the valuation of stock appreciation rights and 
restricted stock units at the reporting date, the following assumptions have been made: a risk free rate of interest of 1.5%; 
stock volatility of 48.9% to 51.6%; 0% dividend yield; 5% forfeiture; and a closing price of CDN$2.75 per Class B share. 

As at 31 December 2015, a total accrued liability of US$1.6 million (2014: US$3.4 million) has been recognised in relation to 
SARS and RSUs. The Company recognised a credit of US$0.1 million (Q4 2014: credit US$1.0 million) for the quarter and for 
the year ended 31 December 2015 a credit of US$0.2 million (2014: expense US$3.5 million). 

management's discussion & analysis22

NET FINANCE EXPENSE

The movement in net finance expense is detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Finance income

Interest expense

Net foreign exchange loss

Financing fee

Provision for doubtful accounts 

Finance expense

Net finance expense

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

2015

2014

20

(117)

(370)

250

(10,731)

(10,968)

(10,948)

12

–

43

(117)

98

(24)

(4,814)

(2,677)

(4,437)

–

(35,127)

(39,941)

(39,929)

(16)

(11,178)

(13,988)

(13,945)

–

(37,047)

(41,508)

(41,410)

The increase in interest expense is a consequence of drawing US$20 million of the IFC loan facility in December 2015. 

The foreign exchange loss reflects the impact of movements in the value of the Tanzanian shilling against the US dollar 
during the period on outstanding customer/supplier balances and bank accounts in Tanzanian shillings.

TANESCO
At 31 December 2015, TANESCO owed the Company US69.7 million, excluding interest, (of which arrears were US$61.9 
million) compared to US$59.8 million (including arrears of US$52.2 million) as at 31 December 2014. During the year, the 
Company received a total of US$34.1 million (2014: US$46.7 million) from TANESCO against sales totaling US$43.6 million 
(2014: US$54.7 million). Current TANESCO receivables as at 31 December 2015 amounted to US$7.8 million (2014 US$7.7 
million). Since the year-end, TANESCO has paid the Company US$4.1 million in 2016, and as at the date of this report the 
total TANESCO receivable is US$75.4 million (of which US$61.9 million has been provided for). The amounts owed do not 
include interest billed to TANESCO. 

The Company has reached an understanding with TANESCO that it would only continue to supply gas if TANESCO remained 
reasonably current with payments for current gas deliveries. Excess payments received over and above the current balances 
would be applied to the arrears balance. TANESCO payments for 2015 continued to be irregular but were sufficient to cover 
current gas deliveries until the third quarter when payments again were not sufficient to cover current gas deliveries. During 
Q4 2015 TANESCO payments decreased further with only US$4.5 million being received against sales of US$11.7 million. 

Management  has  reviewed  the  current  position  with  TANESCO  and  concluded  that  the  policy  to  reclassify  all  amounts 
receivable from TANESCO in excess of 60 days, and in arrears, as a long-term receivable is still appropriate. As a result, the 
Company has classified US$9.8 million, the arrears in excess of 60 days, as long-term debt and has recorded a full provision 
against this. 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis23

Management concluded that the continued recognition of TANESCO revenue is appropriate. In arriving at this conclusion 
management has taken account of:

• 

• 

Recent discussions with the World Bank, the IMF and IFC during which the Company found strong support for funding 
to be directed at TANESCO, supported by a recent announcement from the IMF stating the need to address TANESCO 
debt. 

TANESCO, according to the World Bank, is now making a small profit. With the seasonal increase in available hydro 
power and new gas to power facilities coming on line later this year, the need for expensive liquid fuel will significantly 
reduce. 

•  Most recently, TPDC has co-signed with the Company a commitment from TANESCO establishing a payment plan 
going forward. This plan was agreed between the Company and TANESCO at the beginning of December 2015, and 
countersigned by TPDC in January 2016. TANESCO has fallen behind the agreed schedule of payments, but with TPDC 
signing  the  agreement  and  supporting  the  Company,  the  Company  has  a  much  stronger  legal  position  to  pursue 
collection of arrears. 

management's discussion & analysis24

TAXATION

Income Tax
Under the terms of the PSA with TPDC and the Government of Tanzania, the Company is liable for income tax in Tanzania 
at the corporate tax rate of 30%. However, the PSA provides a mechanism by which income tax payable is recovered from 
TPDC by reducing TPDC’s share of Profit Gas and increasing the allocation to the Company. This is reflected in the accounts 
by increasing the Company’s share of revenue by an amount equivalent to income taxes payable.

As  at  31  December  2015,  there  were  temporary  differences  between  the  carrying  value  of  the  assets  and  liabilities  for 
financial reporting purposes and the amounts used for taxation purposes under the Income Tax Act 2004. Applying the 30% 
Tanzanian tax rate, the Company has recognised a deferred tax liability of US$9.1 million (2014: US$7.3 million). During the 
year there was a deferred tax charge of US$1.7 million compared with a recovery of US$0.5 million in 2014. The deferred tax 
has no impact on cash flow until it becomes a current income tax, at which point the tax is paid and recovered from TPDC’s 
share of Profit Gas.

Additional Profits Tax
Under the terms of the PSA, in the event that all costs have been recovered with an annual return of 25% plus the percentage 
change in the United States Industrial Goods Producer Price Index (“PPI”), an Additional Profits Tax is payable.

The timing and the effective rate of APT depends on the realised value of Profit Gas which in turns depends of the level of 
expenditure. The Company provides for APT by forecasting annually the total APT payable as a proportion of the forecast 
Profit Gas over the term of the PSA. The forecast takes into account the timing of future development capital spending.

The effective APT rate of 18.6% (Q4 2014: 20.7%) has been applied to Profit Gas of US$1.8 million (Q4 2014: US$6.9 million) 
for the quarter, and an average effective rate of 20.2% (2014: 21.9%) has been applied to Profit Gas of US$11.6 million (2014: 
US$37.4 million) for the year ended 31 December 2015. Accordingly, US$0.3 million (Q4 2014: US$1.4 million) and US$2.4 
million  (2014:  US$7.3  million)  has  been  netted  off  revenue  for  the  quarter,  and  for  the  year  ended  31  December  2015, 
respectively. The 2014 year-to-date APT charge includes a reduction of US$0.9 million, reflecting the impact of recovering 
downstream costs on cumulative Profit Gas, as a result of the US$3.3 million Profit Gas adjustment identified in the Cost 
Pool adjustment detailed above.

US$’000

Deferred APT

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

335

2014

1,429

2015

2,355

2014

7,280

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
25

DEPLETION AND DEPRECIATION

Natural  gas  properties  are  depleted  using  the  unit  of  production  method  based  on  the  production  for  the  period  as  a 
percentage  of  the  total  future  production  from  the  Songo  Songo  proven  reserves.  As  at  31  December  2015  the  proven 
reserves  estimated  to  have  been  produced  over  the  term  of  the  PSA  license,  as  evaluated  by  the  independent  reservoir 
engineers, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd., were 368 Bcf (2014: 450 Bcf). A depletion expense of US$2.6 million 
(Q4 2014: US$3.1 million) for the quarter and US$11.9 million for the year (2014: US$13.6 million) has been recorded in the 
accounts; the decrease for the year is the result of an 11% decrease in sales volumes and a 1% decrease in the average 
depletion rate to US$0.69/mcf (2014: US$0.70/mcf).

Non-natural gas properties are depreciated as follows:

Leasehold improvements: 

Over remaining life of the lease 

Computer equipment: 

Vehicles: 

Fixtures and fittings: 

3 years

3 years

3 years

CARRYING AMOUNT OF ASSETS

Capitalised costs are periodically assessed to determine whether it is likely that such costs will be recovered in the future. To 
the extent that these capitalised costs are unlikely to be recovered in the future, they are impaired and recorded in earnings.

FUNDS FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES

Funds  flow  from  operating  activities  before  working  capital  changes  was  US$8.5  million  for  Q4  2015  (Q4  2014:  US$8.7 
million) and US$26.6 million (2014: US$32.4 million) for the year and is detailed in the table below:

US$’000

Funds flow from operating activities

Working capital adjustments (1)

Net cash flows from operating activities

Net cash used in investing activities

Net cash from (used in) financing activities

(Decrease) increase in cash

Effect of change in foreign exchange on cash

Net (decrease) increase in cash

(1) See Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

8,508

(3,058)

5,450

(19,539)

18,482

4,393

(136)

4,257

2014

8,733

2015

26,571

(10,969)

(19,553)

(2,236)

7,018

(718)

(9)

(2,963)

(2,494)

(5,457)

(29,950)

18,324

(4,608)

746

(3,862)

2014

32,436

(2,679)

29,757

(1,312)

(1,600)

26,845

(1,774)

25,071

management's discussion & analysis26

CAPITAL EXPENDITURES

During 2015 the Company incurred US$38.4 million (2014: US$0.5 million) in capital expenditures relating to the workover 
of  wells  SS-5,  SS-7,  SS-9  and  drilling  of  well  SS-12,  improvement  of  Songo  Songo  infrastructure,  and  purchase  of  other 
equipment. The 2015 capital expenditures are net of recharges of US$11.2 million to Songas for its share of costs on wells 
SS-5 and SS-9.

US$’000

Geological and geophysical and well drilling

Pipelines and infrastructure

Other equipment

THREE MONTHS ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

YEAR ENDED 
31 DECEMBER

2015

23,099

1,382

59

24,540

2014

522

193

3

718

2015

35,796

2,359

256

38,411

2014

913

133

266

1,312

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis 
27

WORKING CAPITAL

Working capital as at 31 December 2015 was US$32.5 million (31 December 2014: US$34.1 million) and is detailed in the 
table below:

US$’000

Cash

Trade and other receivables

  TANESCO

  Songas

Industrial customers

  Songas gas plant operations

  Songas well workover programme

  Other receivables

  Provision for doubtful accounts

Tax recoverable

Prepayments

Trade and other payables

  TPDC share of Profit Gas

  Songas

  Other trade payables

  Deferred income

  Accrued liabilities

Tax payable

Working capital (1)

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

53,797

25,391

57,659

49,324

7,831

2,178

6,894

5,631

11,209

1,604

(9,956)

28,208

1,071

11,234

667

8,351

4,519

1,118

84,825

49,531

7,671

23,864

7,532

19,300

–

773

(9,816)

33,409

28,871

1,961

2,780

9,726

11,815

642

119,440

76,747

2,773

32,521

8,545

34,148

Notes
(1) Working capital as at 31 December 2015 includes a TANESCO receivable (excluding interest) of US$7.8 million (31 December 2014: US$7.7 
million). Management has recorded a provision for doubtful accounts against the long-term receivables in excess of 60 days totaling US$61.9 
million (31 December 2014: US$52.2 million). The total of long and short-term TANESCO receivables, including interest, as at 31 December 
2015 was US$76.9 million. The financial statements do not recognise the interest receivable from TANESCO as it does not meet IAS 18 income 
recognition criteria. The Company is however actively pursuing the collection of all the receivables and the interest that has been charged to 
TANESCO.

Working capital as at 31 December 2015 decreased by 5% over 31 December 2014 and by 18% during the quarter, primarily 
as a result of having reclassified a further US$9.9 million of TANESCO receivables as long-term and an increase in payables 
resulting from the 2015 workover and drilling programme. Other significant points are:

• 

There are no restrictions on the movement of cash from Mauritius or Tanzania, and currently the majority of cash is 
outside of Tanzania. As at the date of this report, approximately 69% of the Company’s cash was held outside of Tanzania.

• 

Since the quarter end the Company has received US$4.1 million from TANESCO and US$2.1 million from Songas.

•  Of the US$6.9 million relating to other trade debtors US$6.1 million had been received as at the date of this report.

The  balance  of  US$28.2  million  payable  to  TPDC  represents  the  remaining  balance  of  its  share  of  revenue  as  at  
31 December 2015.

management's discussion & analysis 
28

LONG TERM LOAN

On the 29th October 2015, the Company entered into an agreement with the IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, to 
provide financing of up to US$60 million for the Company’s operating subsidiary, PAET.

The term of the Loan is 10-years, with no required repayment of principal for the first seven years, followed by a three-year 
amortization period. The Company may voluntarily prepay all or part of the Loan but must simultaneously pay any accrued 
base interest costs related to the principal amount being prepaid. If any portion of the Loan is prepaid prior to the fourth 
anniversary of the first drawdown, the Company would be required to pay the accrued base interest as if the prepaid portion 
of the Loan had remained outstanding for the full four years. The Loan is an unsecured subordinated obligation of PAET and 
is guaranteed by the Company to a maximum of US$30 million. The guarantee may only be called upon by IFC at maturity 
in  2025  and,  subject  to  IFC  approval  and  receipt  of  all  required  regulatory  approvals,  the  Company  may  issue  shares  in 
fulfillment of all or part of the guarantee obligation in 2025.

Base interest on the Loan is payable quarterly at 10% per annum on a ‘pay-if-you-can-basis’ using a formula to calculate the net 
cash available for such payments as at any given interest payment date. In addition, an annual variable participatory interest 
equating to 7% of the cash flow of PAET net of capital expenditures is payable in respect of any given year, commencing with 
2016. Such participatory interest survives the repayment and/or maturity of the Loan until 15 October 2026. Dividends and 
distributions from PAET to the Company are restricted during the term of the Off-Shore Programme and at any time that any 
amounts of unpaid interest, principal or participating interest are outstanding.

On the 14th December 2015 the Company, through PAET, made an initial drawdown of US$20 million from the available 
US$60 million. Subsequent to the year-end PAET has drawn the remaining US$40 million. The Offshore Programme was 
completed on 11 February 2016.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis29

SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA

There were 34,857,110 shares outstanding as at 31 December 2015 as detailed in the table below:

Number of shares (‘000)

Shares outstanding

Class A shares

Class B shares

Class A and Class B shares outstanding

Convertible securities

Options

Fully diluted Class A and Class B shares

Weighted average

Class A and Class B shares

Convertible securities

Options

Weighted average diluted Class A and Class B shares

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

1,751

33,106

34,857

–

34,857

1,751

33,164

34,915

400

35,315

34,887

34,863

–

–

34,887

34,863

As at 14 April 2016, there were a total of 1,750,517 Class A common voting shares (“Class A shares”) and 33,105,915 Class B 
subordinated voting shares (“Class B shares”) outstanding.

RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

One of the non-executive Directors is a partner at a law firm that provides legal advice to the Company and its subsidiaries. 
During the quarter, the Company incurred US$0.3 million (Q4 2014: US$0.1 million) and for the year ended 31 December 
2015 US$0.6 million (2014: US$0.2 million) to this firm for services provided. The transactions with this related party were 
made at the exchange amount. 

The former Chief Financial Officer who became an Executive Vice-President in November 2015, provided services to the 
Company through a consulting agreement with a personal services company. During the quarter the Company incurred 
US$0.2 million (Q4 2014 US$0.1 million) and for the year ended 31 December 2015 US$0.4 million (2014: US$0.6 million) to 
this firm for services provided.

As at 31 December 2015 the Company has a total of US$0.4 million (2014: US$nil) recorded in trade and other payables in 
relation to the related parties. 

management's discussion & analysis30

CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS AND COMMITTED CAPITAL INVESTMENT

Protected Gas
Under the terms of the original Gas Agreement  for  the  Songo Songo  project (“Gas  Agreement”),  in  the event  that there 
is a shortfall/insufficiency in Protected Gas as a consequence of the sale of Additional Gas, the Company is liable to pay 
the difference between the price of Protected Gas (US$0.55/MMbtu escalated) and the price of an alternative feedstock 
multiplied  by  the  volumes  of  Protected  Gas  up  to  a  maximum  of  the  volume  of  Additional  Gas  sold  (145.0  Bcf  as  at  31 
December 2015). The Company did not have a shortfall during the reporting period and does not anticipate a shortfall arising 
during the term of the Protected Gas delivery obligation to July 2024.

Re-Rating Agreement
In 2011, the Company signed a re-rating agreement with TANESCO and Songas (the “Re-Rating Agreement”) to increase 
the gas processing capacity to a maximum of 110 MMcfd (the pipeline and pressure requirements at the Ubungo power 
plant restrict the infrastructure capacity to a maximum of 102 MMcfd). Under the terms of the Re-Rating Agreement, the 
Company effectively pays an additional tariff of US$0.30/mcf for sales between 70 MMcfd and 90 MMcfd and US$0.40/
mcf for volumes above 90 MMcfd in addition to the tariff of US$0.59/ mcf payable to Songas as set by the energy regulator, 
EWURA. The Re-Rating agreement expired on 31 December 2013. Since 31 December 2013 production has continued within 
the higher rated limit and, given the Government’s interest in pursuing further development and increasing gas production, 
the Company expects this to continue. However there are no assurances that this will occur.

Under the terms of this agreement, the Company agreed to indemnify Songas for damage to its facilities caused by the 
re-rating, up to a maximum of US$15 million, but only to the extent that this was not already covered by indemnities from 
TANESCO’s or Songas’ insurance policies. 

Portfolio Gas Supply Agreement
On 17 June 2011, a long term (to June 2023) PGSA was signed between TANESCO (as the buyer), the Company and TPDC 
(collectively as the seller). Under the PGSA, the seller is obligated, subject to infrastructure capacity, to sell a maximum of 
approximately 37 MMcfd for use in any of TANESCO’s current power plants, except those operated by Songas at Ubungo. 
Under the agreement, the basic wellhead price of approximately US$2.93/mcf increased to US$2.98/mcf on 1 July 2015. 
Any volumes of gas delivered under the PGSA in excess of 36 MMcfd are subject to a 150% increase in the basic wellhead 
gas price.

Operating leases
The Company has two office rental agreements, one in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and one in Winchester, United Kingdom. 
The agreement in Dar es Salaam was entered into on 1 November 2015 and expires on 31 October 2019 at an annual rent 
of US$0.4 million. The agreement in Winchester expires on 25 September 2022 and is at an annual rental of US$0.1 million 
per annum. The costs of these leases are recognised in the general and administrative expenses.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis31

Capital Commitments

Italy

The Company has an agreement to farm in on the Central Adriatic B.R268.RG Permit offshore Italy. The farm-in commits the 
Company to fund 30% of the Elsa-2 appraisal well up to a maximum of US$11.5 million to earn a 15% working interest in the 
permit. Thereafter, the Company will fund all future costs relating to the well and the permit in proportion to its participating 
interest. The Company has also agreed to pay fifteen per cent (15%) of the back costs in relation to the well up to a maximum 
of US$0.5 million. Changes in Italian environmental legislation in late 2015 have resulted in the development of this permit 
being postponed indefinitely. As at the date of this report, the Company has no further capital commitments in Italy.

Tanzania

There  are  no  contractual  commitments  for  exploration  or  development  drilling  or  other  field  development  either  in  the 
PSA or otherwise agreed which would give rise to significant capital expenditure at Songo Songo. Any significant additional 
capital expenditure in Tanzania is discretionary.

Given the completion of the Offshore component of Phase I of the Development Programme in February 2016, which has 
restored field deliverability and provides sufficient natural gas production to fill the Songas plant and pipeline to capacity 
for the greater portion of the remaining life of the production license, the Company does not expect to commit to further 
significant capital expenditures until: (i) agreeing commercial terms with TPDC for the supply of gas to the NNGIP regarding 
the  sale  of  incremental  gas  volumes  from  Songo  Songo;  and/or  (ii)  TANESCO  arrears  have  been  substantially  reduced, 
guaranteed or other arrangements for payment made which are satisfactory to the Company; and/or (iii) the establishment 
of payment guarantees with the World Bank or other multi-lateral lending agencies to secure future receipts under any new 
sales contracts with Government entities.

When  conditions  are  deemed  appropriate  and  there  is  justification  to  further  improve  the  reliability/capacity  of  field 
deliverability, the Company may contemplate undertaking the remaining part or all of the Phase I Development Programme. 
The additional costs are estimated to be approximately US$30 million. There is no assurance that financing will be available 
and on acceptable commercial terms to complete Phase I.

At the date of this report, the Company has no significant outstanding contractual commitments, and has no outstanding 
orders for long lead items related to any capital programmes.

management's discussion & analysis32

CONTINGENCIES

Petroleum Act, 2015
During the third quarter of 2015, The Petroleum Act, 2015, (the “Act”) was passed into law. The Act repeals earlier legislation, 
provides  a  regulatory  framework  over  upstream,  mid-stream  and  downstream  gas  activity,  and  consolidates  and  puts  in 
place a comprehensive legal framework for regulating the oil and gas industry in the country. The Act also provides for 
the creation of an upstream regulator, the Petroleum Upstream Regulatory (PURA). The mid and downstream oil and gas 
activities are proposed to be regulated by the current authority, the Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority (EWURA). 
The  bill  also  confers  upon  on  TPDC,  the  status  of  the  National  Oil  Company,  mandated  with  the  task  of  managing  the 
country’s commercial interest in petroleum operations as well as mid and downstream natural gas activities. The bill vests 
TPDC with exclusive rights in the entire petroleum upstream value chain and the natural gas mid and downstream value 
chain. However, the exclusive rights of TPDC do not extend to mid and downstream petroleum supply operations. The 
Company  is  uncertain  regarding  the  potential  impact  on  its  business  in  Tanzania.  The  Act  does  provide  grandfathering 
provisions upholding the rights of the Company under their PSA as it was signed prior to passing of the Act. However, it is still 
unclear how the provisions of the Act will be interpreted and implemented regarding upstream and downstream activities 

TPDC Back-in
TPDC has previously indicated a wish to exercise its right under the PSA to ‘back in’ to the Songo Songo field development, 
and a further wish to convert this into a carried working interest in the PSA. The current terms of the PSA require TPDC to 
provide formal notice in a defined period and contribute a proportion of the costs of any development, sharing in the risks 
in return for an additional share of the gas. To date, TPDC has not contributed any costs. 

For the purpose of the reserves certification, it is assumed that TPDC will elect to ‘back-in’ for 20% for all future new drilling 
activities within the prescribed period as determined by the current development plan and this is reflected in the Company’s 
net reserve position.

Cost recovery
TPDC conducted an audit of the historic Cost Pool and in 2011 disputed approximately US$34 million of costs that had 
been  recovered  from  the  Cost  Pool  from  2002  through  to  2009.  In  2014  TPDC  and  the  Company  agreed  to  remove 
approximately US$1.0 million from  the  Cost  Pool.  In 2015 there  have  been no further developments. Under the dispute 
mechanism outlined in the PSA, TPDC are to appoint an independent specialist to assist the parties in reaching agreement 
on costs that are still subject to dispute. At the time of writing this report no such specialist has been appointed. If the matter 
is not resolved to the Company’s satisfaction, the Company intends to proceed to arbitration via the International Centre for 
Settlement of Investment Disputes (“ICSID”) pursuant to the terms of the PSA. 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis33

Tax dispute

Disputed amount US$, million

Taxation

Area

PAYE

Period

Reason for dispute

2008-10

WHT

2005-10

Income Tax

2008-13

Pay-As-You-Earn (“PAYE”) withholding 
tax on taxable income of employees on 
grossed up equivalent of staff salaries, 
which are contractually stated as net.

WHT on services by non-resident persons 
performed outside of Tanzania.

Deductibility of capital expenditures and expenses 
(2009), additional income tax (2008, 2010, 2011), 
and foreign exchange rate application (2013).

VAT

2008-10

Output VAT on imported services 
and SSI Operatorship services.

Principal

Interest

0.3

–

1.1

5.2

2.8

9.4

0.8

1.4

3.0

5.2

Total

0.3 (1)

1.9(2)

6.6(3)

5.8(4)

14.6

(1)   During the year, PAET appealed the Tax Revenue Appeals Board (“TRAB”) ruling that PAET is liable to pay PAYE on grossed up equivalent 

of staff salaries. PAET is awaiting appeal date to be set up with the Tax Revenue Appeals Tribunal (“TRAT”);

(2)   2005-2009 (US$1.8 million): During the year, TRAT ruled in favor of PAET. TRA has filed notice of appeal with the Court of Appeal, and PAET 

is awaiting decision of the Court of Appeal. 

 2010 (US$0.1 million): TRAB is awaiting a ruling from the Court of Appeal on the 2005-2009 case, which would influence TRAB decision 
on this matter accordingly.

(3)  (a)    2009 (US$1.8 million): During the year, TRAB has ruled against PAET with respect to the deductibility of capital expenditures and 

expenses. PAET appealed to TRAT and is awaiting hearing date to be scheduled; 

(b)   2008, 2010-2011 (US$4.6 million): During the year, PAET filed objections against TRA assessments with respect to additional tax and 

is awaiting a response;

(c)   2013 (US$ 0.2 million): During the year, PAET filed objections to TRA assessment with respect to foreign exchange rate application 

and is awaiting a response.

(4)  In 2014, PAET filed an objection to TRA’s claims and is awaiting a response.

Management, with the advice from its legal counsel, has reviewed the Company’s position on the above objections and 
appeals and has concluded that no provision is required with regard to the above matters.

management's discussion & analysis 
 
 
34

NEW ACCOUNTING POLICIES 

On 06 May, 2014, the IASB issued amendments to IFRS 11, “Accounting for Acquisitions of Interests in Joint Operations”. The 
Company intends to adopt amendments to IFRS 11 in its financial statements for the annual period beginning on January 1, 
2016. The Company is currently evaluating the impact of adopting IFRS 11 on its consolidated financial statements.

On May 28 2014, the IASB issued IFRS 15, “Revenue from Contracts with Customers,” which replaces IAS 18 “Revenue,” IAS 11 
“Construction Contracts,” and related interpretations. The new standard is effective for annual periods beginning on or after 
January 1, 2017, with early adoption permitted. The Company intends to adopt IFRS 15 on the finalized adoption date and is 
currently evaluating the impact of adopting the standard on its consolidated financial statements.

On July 24, 2014, the IASB issued the complete IFRS 9, “Financial Instruments” to replace IAS 39, “Financial Instruments: 
Recognition and Measurement”. IFRS 9 is effective for years beginning on or after January 1, 2018 and must be applied 
retrospectively with some exemptions. Early adoption is permitted if IFRS 9 is adopted in its entirety at the beginning of a 
fiscal period. The Company is currently evaluating the impact of adopting IFRS 9 on its consolidated financial statements.

On January 13, 2016, the IASB issued IFRS 16, “Leases”, which replaces IAS 17 “Leases”. The new standard introduces a single 
recognition and measurement model for leases, which would require the recognition of assets and liabilities for most leases 
with a term of more than twelve months. The new standard is effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 
2019. Early adoption is permitted for entities that apply IFRS 15 “Revenue from Contracts with Customers” at or before the 
initial adoption date of January 1, 2018. The Corporation intends to adopt IFRS 16 in its financial statements for the annual 
period beginning on January 1, 2019. The extent of the impact of the adoption of the standard has not yet been determined.

Financial instrument classification and measurement
The Company classifies the fair value of financial instruments according to the following hierarchy based on the amount of 
observable inputs used to value the instrument:

Level 1-Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or liabilities as of the reporting date. Active markets 
are those in which transactions occur in sufficient frequency and volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing basis.

Level 2-Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets included in Level 1. Prices in Level 2 are either directly or 
indirectly observable as of the reporting date. Level 2 valuations are based on inputs, including expected interest rate, share 
prices, and volatility factors, which can be substantially observed or corroborated in the marketplace.

Level 3-Valuation in this level are those with inputs for the asset or liabilities that are not based on observable market data.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis35

SUMMARY QUARTERLY RESULTS OUTSTANDING

The following is a summary of the results for the Company for the last eight quarters:

Funds flow from operating activities

8,508

9,462

4,889

3,712

8,733

6,641

11,651

Figures in US$’000 except 
where otherwise stated

Financial

Revenue 

Net (loss) income

Earnings (loss) per share  
- basic and diluted (US$)

Funds flow per share  
– basic and diluted (US$)

Operating netback (US$/mcf)

Working capital

Long-term loan

Shareholders’ equity

Capital expenditures 

2015

2014

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

15,872

15,943

12,553

9,720

9,645

14,631

18,854

13,477

restated

restated restated

(6,468)

6,112

3,566

(1,677)

(46,381)

(0.19)

0.18

0.10

(0.05)

(1.32)

4

–

0.17

6,137

1,939

0.24

3.03

0.27

2.65

0.14

2.68

0.11

1.86

0.25

1.69

0.19

2.12

0.33

2.92

32,521

39,660

38,067

34,870

34,148

42,001

30,399

12,783

18,599

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

78,154

84,476

78,480

74,944

76,635

123,004

123,019

116,752

0.05

5,411

0.15

2.03

Geological and geophysical and well drilling

23,099

7,578

4,135

Pipeline and infrastructure

Other equipment

1,382

59

547

150

275

47

984

155

–

522

193

3

273

12

39

9

(270)

48

109

198

176

Operating 

Additional Gas sold  
– industrial (MMcf)

Additional Gas sold  
– power (MMcf)

Average price per mcf  
– industrial (US$)

Average price per mcf 
– power (US$)

1,089

1,137

1,015

925

1,084

1,304

1,046

1,164

3,483

3,127

3,041

3,494

3,377

3,935

3,503

4,008

7.62

7.67

7.45

7.54

8.24

8.85

9.27

8.11

3.56

3.62

3.47

3.49

3.49

3.60

3.65

3.52

management's discussion & analysis36

PRIOR EIGHT QUARTERS

The Company’s revenue for the last two years has fluctuated between quarters due to several factors including seasonal 
issues such as the availability of hydro power, scheduled and unscheduled maintenance by customers resulting in reduced 
demand,  declining  well  production  capacity,  a  drop  in  world  HFO  prices  and  increased  competition  for  supply  of  gas 
within Tanzania. Sales increased in Q4 2015 following completion of the well workover programme which increased the 
Company’s well production capabilities.

The drop in sales in Q4 2014 saw the Company’s share of Profit Gas drop from 55% to 40% (see “Principal Terms of the 
Tanzanian  PSA  and  Related  Agreements”),  where  it  has  remained.  The  increase  in  revenue  in  the  second  half  of  2015  is 
directly related to the capital expenditure programme which has permitted the Company to take a significantly increased 
share of revenue as Cost Gas.

Changes in net income over the last two years have been dominated by TANESCO. In Q4 2014 the Company recorded a 
US$52.2 million doubtful debts provision against TANESCO arrears. In Q4 2015 an additional US$9.8 million was provided 
against increased TANESCO arrears. Other significant factors affecting the results were:

• 

• 

• 

The collapse of the Tanzanian Shilling led to a Q4 2014 exchange loss of US$4.8 million and a further loss of US$1.8 
million in Q1 2015. 

In 2014 the Company took a charge of US$3.5 million for stock based compensation, US$4.2 million in Q3.

In Q4 2014 the Company wrote off US$5.1 million relating to site survey costs for an exploration well which it no longer 
plans to drill. 

Capital expenditure for most of the periods was low. The 2015 workover and drilling programme commenced in Q3 2015 
with some preliminary expenditure in Q2.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis37

SELECTED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Selected annual financial information derived from the audited consolidated financial statements for the years ended 31 
December 2015, 2014 and 2013 is set out below:

Figures in US$’000 except per share amount

Revenue

Funds flow from operating activities

Cash flows from operating activities

Net income (loss)

Total assets

Earnings (loss) in US$ per share:

Basic and diluted

2015

54,088

26,571

7,018

1,533

189,683

2014

56,607

32,436

29,757

(38,301)

198,492

2013

53,482

32,394

22,491

(7,640)

207,257

0.04

(1.10)

(0.22)

Revenue decreased by 4% to US$54.1 million in 2015 from US$56.6 million in 2014. The sales volumes were 11% lower in 
2015 than 2014, with the weighted average price decreasing 6% from US$4.76/mcf to US$4.49/mcf.

The tax payable in respect of 2015 is US8.0 million (2014: US$11.9 million). Of this, US$4.5 million (2014: US$7.9 million) 
relating  to  the  current  year’s  profit  is,  in  accordance  with  the  terms  of  the  PSA,  recoverable  from  TPDC.  Consequently 
revenue in 2015 has been uplifted by the gross amount of US$6.2 million (2014: US$11.3 million).

The level of Industrial volumes decreased by 11% to 4,096 MMcf in 2015 from 4,598 MMcf in 2014, mainly as a consequence 
of unscheduled maintenance work by a number of customers. 

The level of Power volumes decreased by 11% to 13,215 MMcf (2014: 14,823 MMcf). The decrease in Power sales resulted 
from falling gas production and a decision by TANESCO not to renew a contract with an emergency power plant.

management's discussion & analysis38

BUSINESS RISKS

Financing
The ability of the Company to meet its financing obligations or to arrange financing in the future will if necessary depend 
in part upon the prevailing capital market conditions as well as the business performance of the Company. There can be 
no assurance that the Company would be successful in its efforts to meet its current commitments or arrange additional 
financing on terms satisfactory to the Company. If additional financing is raised by the issuance of shares from treasury of 
the Company, control of the Company may change and shareholders may suffer additional dilution.

From time to time the Company may enter into transactions to acquire assets or the shares of other companies. These 
transactions may be financed partially or wholly with debt, which may temporarily increase the Company’s debt levels above 
industry standards.

Collectability of Receivables
The Company evaluates the collectability of its receivables on the basis of payment history, frequency and predictability, as 
well as Management’s assessment of the customer’s willingness and ability to pay. Both Songas and the Company have been 
impacted by TANESCO’s inability to pay.

Amounts collected with respect to the long-term receivable in the future will be reflected in earnings when payment is 
received. Notwithstanding this provision, the Company and TANESCO continue to operate in accordance with the terms 
of  the  Portfolio  Gas  Supply  Agreement  whereby  natural  gas  continues  to  be  delivered  by  the  Company  and  TANESCO 
payments remain reasonably current on current deliveries. This provision against the TANESCO net long-term receivable 
will not prejudice the Company’s rights to payment in full or its ability to pursue collection in accordance with the terms of 
the agreement with TANESCO.

At  31  December  2015,  TANESCO  owed  the  Company  US69.7  million  excluding  interest  (of  which  arrears  were  US$61.9 
million) compared to US$59.8 million (including arrears of US$52.2 million) as at 31 December 2014. During the year, the 
Company received a total of US$34.1 million (2014: US$46.7 million) from TANESCO against sales totaling US$43.6 million 
(2014: US$54.7 million). Current TANESCO receivables as at 31 December 2015 amounted to US$7.8 million (2014 US$7.7 
million). Since the year-end, TANESCO has paid the Company US$4.1 million in 2016, and as at the date of this report the 
total TANESCO receivable is US$75.4 million (of which US$61.9 million has been provided for). The amounts owed do not 
include interest billed to TANESCO.

As at 31 December 2015, Songas owed the Company US$19.0 million (2014: US$43.2 million), whilst the Company owed 
Songas US$2.6 million (2014: US$30.4 million); there was no contractual right to offset these amounts. Amounts due to 
Songas primarily relate to pipeline tariff charges of US$ 1.1 million (2014: US$28.9 million), whereas the amounts due to the 
Company are mainly for capital expenditures of US$11.2 million (2014: US$nil), sales of gas of US$2.2 million (2014: US$23.9 
million) and for the operation of the gas plant of US$5.6 million (2014: US$19.3 million). The operation of the gas plant is 
conducted at cost and the charges are billed to Songas on a flow through basis on a “no profit, no loss” basis.

As at 31 December 2015 the net amount owed by Songas to the Company was US$16.3 million (2014: US$12.7 million). 
Although significant progress has been made in settling outstanding balances, a doubtful debt provision of US$9.8 million 
is necessary recognizing the pending settlement of the remaining overdue operatorship charges and the Songas share of 
the well workover costs. Any significant amounts not agreed to will be pursued through the mechanisms provided in the 
agreements with Songas.

The  “Tax  Recoverable”  figure  carried  on  the  balance  sheet  arises  from  the  revenue  sharing  mechanism  within  the  PSA 
which entitles the Company to recover from TPDC, by way of a deduction from TPDC’s Profit Gas share, an amount “the 
adjustment factor” equal to the actual income taxes payable by the Company. Recovery, by offset against TPDC’s share of 
revenue is dependent on payment of income taxes relating to prior period adjustment factors as they are assessed.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis39

Operating Hazards and Uninsured Risks
The business of the Company is subject to all of the operating risks normally associated with the exploration for, and the 
production, storage, transportation and marketing of oil and gas. These risks include blowouts, explosions, fire, gaseous 
leaks, downhole design and integrity, migration of harmful substances and oil spills, any of which could cause personal injury, 
result in damage to, or destruction of, oil and gas wells or formations or production facilities and other property, equipment 
and the environment, as well as interrupt operations. In addition, all of the Company’s operations will be subject to the risks 
normally incident to drilling of natural gas wells and the operation and development of gas properties, including encountering 
unexpected formations or pressures, premature declines of reservoirs, blowouts, equipment and tubing failures and other 
accidents, sour gas releases, uncontrollable flows of oil, natural gas or well fluids, adverse weather conditions, pollution and 
other environmental risks. Drilling conducted by the Company overseas will involve increased drilling risks of high pressures 
and mechanical difficulties, including stuck pipe, collapsed casing and separated cable. The impact that any of these risks 
may have upon the Company is increased due to the fact that the Company currently only has one producing property. 
The Company will maintain insurance against some, but not all, potential risks; however, there can be no assurance that 
such insurance will be adequate to cover any losses or exposure for liability. The occurrence of a significant unfavourable 
event not fully covered by insurance could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of 
operations and cash flows.

Furthermore, the Company cannot predict whether insurance will continue to be available at a reasonable cost or at all.

Foreign Operations
The Company’s operations and related assets are located in Italy and Tanzania which may be considered to be politically and/
or economically unstable. Exploration or development activities in Tanzania and Italy may require protracted negotiations 
with  host  governments,  national  oil  companies  and  third  parties  and  are  frequently  subject  to  economic  and  political 
considerations, such as, the risks of war, actions by terrorist or insurgent groups, expropriation, nationalization, creeping na-
tionalization, renegotiation or nullification of existing contracts and production sharing agreements, taxation policies, foreign 
exchange  restrictions,  changing  political  conditions,  international  monetary  fluctuations,  currency  controls  and  foreign 
governmental regulations that favour or require the awarding of drilling and construction contracts to local contractors or 
require foreign contractors to employ citizens of, or purchase supplies from, a particular jurisdiction. In addition, if a dispute 
arises with foreign operations, the Company may be subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of foreign courts.

In Tanzania the state retains ownership of the minerals and consequently retains control of, the exploration and production 
of  hydrocarbon  reserves.  Accordingly,  these  operations  may  be  materially  affected  by  the  Government  through  royalty 
payments,  export  taxes  and  regulations,  surcharges,  value  added  taxes,  production  bonuses  and  other  charges.  The 
Government  of  Tanzania  issued  a  National  Natural  Gas  Policy  in  2013,  which  policy  contemplates  greater  government 
control over the industry and in some areas conflicts with the Company’s rights under the Songo Songo PSA. This policy 
was confirmed with the passing of the Petroleum Act, 2015 during the past year. There can be no assurance that the rights 
of the Company under the PSA will be grandfathered with respect to any future natural gas legislation. 

The Company’s development properties and its current proved natural gas reserves located offshore on the Songo Songo 
Island in Tanzania are subject to regulation and control by the government of Tanzania. Primarily operations are regulated by 
national and parastatal organizations including the energy regulator, EWURA, and TPDC. The Company and its predecessors 
have operated in Tanzania for a number of years and believe that it has had reasonably good relations with the current 
Tanzanian  Government.  However,  there  can  be  no  assurance  that  present  or  future  administrations  or  governmental 
regulations in Tanzania will not materially adversely affect the operations or future cash flows of the Company.

Corruption remains an issue in Tanzania, the country ranking 117 out of 168 on the 2015 Transparency International Corruption 
Index.  At  the  end  of  2014,  there  was  a  significant  corruption  scandal  in  Tanzania’s  energy  sector  involving  a  number  of 
senior government officials, including senior officials from MEM. Having assessed the Company’s exposure to corruption in 
Tanzania, it was concluded that the risk of the Company and/ or its subsidiaries violating applicable laws prohibiting corrupt 
activities are mitigated or unlikely given the Company’s controls relating to such risks and their effective operation. There 
can be no assurance, however that corruption may indirectly affect or otherwise impair the Company’s ability to operate in 
Tanzania and effectively pursue its business plan in that country.

management's discussion & analysis40

The Tanzania Revenue Authority (“TRA”) is responsible for the collection of taxes in Tanzania. TRA is not party to the Songo 
Songo PSA and there is no assurance that the TRA will consider itself bound by its terms. Accordingly, there is a risk that the 
TRA will take interpretations of issues distinct from the PSA and result in assessments, penalties and fines which have not 
been contemplated by the Company and result in additional costs which are not recoverable under the PSA. The TRA has 
significant powers in Tanzania and is capable of causing the Company’s operations in that country to cease.

The  Company  requires  additional  gas  processing  and  transportation  infrastructure  to  allow  additional  development  and 
the ultimate monetisation of the Company’s reserves through additional gas sales. The Government of Tanzania is close to 
completing the US$1.2 billion NNGIP that comprises two gas processing plants, one being at Songo Songo, and a pipeline 
to transport gas from Southern Tanzania to Dar es Salaam. The NNGIP gas processing plant at Songo Songo is expected to 
be commissioned in the near future. The Company is currently negotiating on commercial terms for the sale of incremental  
gas  volumes  however  there  is  no  assurance  that  the  Company’s  gas  will  be  processed  and  transported  to  markets  on 
economic terms.

Access to Songas processing and transportation
Whilst the Company operates the Songo Songo gas processing plant, Songas is the owner of plant and pipeline system 
which transports natural gas from Songo Songo to Dar es Salaam. The Company’s ability to deliver gas to its customers in 
Dar es Salaam is dependent upon it having access to the Songas infrastructure. Although there are agreements with Songas 
to allow the Company to process and transport gas, there is no assurance that these rights could not be challenged or 
curtailed by Songas. The inability to access Songas plant and processing facilities would materially impair the Company’s 
ability to realise revenue from natural gas sales.

As a result of the Ubungo power plant re-rating that occurred in 2011 pursuant to the Re-Rating Agreement, the capacity of 
the Songas gas processing plant was increased to a maximum of 110 MMcfd (restricted to 102 MMcfd because of pipeline 
and pressure requirements). The Re-Rating Agreement expired on 31 December 2013 and no new agreement is currently in 
place. Without the Re-Rating Agreement, the gas plant capacity may be de-rated to 70 MMcfd (the capacity originally agreed 
to), which would result in a material reduction in the Company’s sales volumes of Additional Gas.

The Petroleum Act, 2015
In July 2015 the Tanzania Parliament passed The Petroleum Act, 2015, which was passed into law by Presidential decree on 
4 August 2015. The Act repeals earlier legislation, provides a regulatory framework over mid-stream and downstream gas 
activity and as well consolidates and puts in place a single, effective and comprehensive legal framework for regulating the 
oil and gas industry in the country. The Act also provides for the creation of an upstream regulator, the Petroleum Upstream 
Regulatory (PURA). The mid and downstream petroleum as well as gas activities are proposed to be regulated by the current 
authority, the Energy and Water Utilities Regulatory Authority (EWURA).

The Act also confers upon TPDC the status of the National Oil Company, mandated with the task of managing the country’s 
commercial interest in the petroleum operations as well as mid and downstream natural gas activities. The Act vests TPDC 
with exclusive rights in the entire petroleum upstream value chain and the natural gas mid and downstream value chain. 
However, the exclusive rights of the National Oil Company does not extended to mid and downstream petroleum supply 
operations.

The Act does provide grandfathering provisions upholding the rights of the Company under the PSA as it was signed prior 
to passing of the Act. However, it is still unclear how the provisions of the Act will be interpreted and implemented regarding 
upstream and downstream activities.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis41

Amended and Restated Gas Agreement
The Gas Agreement may be superseded by an initialed ARGA. The unsigned ARGA provides clarification of the Protected 
Gas volumes and removes all terms dealing with the security of the Protected Gas and contract terms dealing with the 
consequences of any insufficiency are dealt with in a new Insufficiency Agreement (“IA”). The IA specifies terms under which 
Songas may demand cash security in order to keep it whole in the event of a Protected Gas insufficiency. Should the IA be 
signed, it will govern the basis for determining security. Under the provisional terms of the IA, when it is calculated that funding 
is required, the Company is required to fund an escrow account at a rate of US$2.00/MMbtu on all Industrial Additional Gas 
sales out of its and TPDC’s share of revenue, and TANESCO shall contribute the same amount on Additional Gas sales to 
the Power sector. The funds provide security for Songas in the event of an insufficiency of Protected Gas. The Company is 
actively monitoring the reservoir and, supported by the report of its independent engineers, does not anticipate that a liability 
will occur in this respect. As at the date of this report, the ARGA remains an initialed agreement only, however the parties 
thereto, in certain respects, are conducting themselves as though the ARGA is in full force and effect. Management does not 
foresee at this time a material risk with the conduct of the Company’s business with an unsigned ARGA.

Industry Conditions
The oil and gas industry is intensely competitive and the Company competes with other companies which possess greater 
technical and financial resources. Many of these competitors not only explore for and produce oil and natural gas, but also 
carry on refining operations and market petroleum, natural gas products and other products on an international basis. Oil 
and gas production operations are also subject to all the risks typically associated with such operations, including premature 
decline of reservoirs and invasion of water into producing formations. Currently, the Company operates the Songo Songo 
natural  gas  property.  The  Company  has  the  right  to  earn  an  interest  in  a  permit  in  Italy;  however  the  changes  in  Italian 
environmental legislation in late 2015 have resulted in the development of the license being postponed indefinitely. There 
is a risk that in the future either the operatorship could change and the property operated by third parties or operations 
may be subject to control by national oil companies, Songas, or parastatal organisations and, as a result, the Company may 
have limited control over the nature and timing of exploration and development of such properties or the manner in which 
operations are conducted on such properties.

The marketability and price of natural gas which may be acquired, discovered or marketed by the Company will be affected 
by numerous factors beyond its control. The developed natural gas market in Tanzania is in its infancy and there is currently 
limited access to infrastructure with which to serve potential new markets beyond that being constructed by the Company 
and Songas. The ability of the Company to market any natural gas from current or future reserves in Tanzania may depend 
upon  its  ability  to  develop  natural  gas  markets  in  Tanzania  and  the  surrounding  region,  obtain  access  to  the  necessary 
infrastructure  to  process  gas  and  to  deliver  sales  gas  volumes,  including  acquiring  capacity  on  pipelines  which  deliver 
natural  gas  to  commercial  markets.  The  Company  is  also  subject  to  market  fluctuations  in  the  prices  of  oil  and  natural 
gas, uncertainties related to the delivery and proximity of its reserves to pipelines and processing facilities and extensive 
government regulation relating to prices, taxes, royalties, land tenure, allowable production, the export of oil and gas and 
many other aspects of the oil and gas business. The Company is also subject to a variety of waste disposal, pollution control 
and similar environmental laws.

The  oil  and  natural  gas  industry  is  subject  to  varying  environmental  regulations  in  each  of  the  jurisdictions  in  which  the 
Company may operate. Environmental regulations place restrictions and prohibitions on emissions of various substances 
produced  concurrently  and  oil  and  natural  gas  and  can  impact  on  the  selection  of  drilling  sites  and  facility  locations, 
potentially resulting in increased capital expenditures.

management's discussion & analysis42

Additional Gas
The  Company  has  the  right  under  the  terms  of  the  PSA  to  market  volumes  of  Additional  Gas  subject  to  satisfying  the 
requirements to deliver Protected Gas to Songas.

There is a risk that Songas could interfere in the Company’s ability to produce, transport and sell volumes of Additional Gas 
if the Company’s obligations to Songas under the Gas Agreement are not met. In particular, Songas has the right in specific 
circumstances to request reasonable security on all Additional Gas sales.

With the enactment of the Petroleum Act, 2015 TPDC was given significant rights over upstream and downstream operations 
in  the  country  and  is  the  sole  aggregator  of  natural  gas  in  the  country.  The  ACT  recognises  the  rights  of  the  Company 
pursuant  to  the  PSA,  however;  some  clauses  conflict  with  the  Company’s  rights  to  directly  market  Additional  Gas,  and 
there is a risk that this prior right will not continue to be recognised and that the Company’s ability to maximize revenue on 
Additional Gas sales may be impaired by the requirement to sell gas to TPDC as aggregator.

Replacement of Reserves
The Company’s natural gas reserves and production and, therefore, its cash flows and earnings are highly dependent upon 
the Company developing and increasing its current reserve base and discovering or acquiring additional reserves. Without the 
addition of reserves through exploration, acquisition or development activities, the Company’s reserves and production will 
decline over time as reserves are depleted. To the extent that cash flow from operations is insufficient and external sources 
of capital become limited or unavailable, the Company’s ability to make the necessary capital investments to maintain and 
expand its oil and natural gas reserves will be impaired. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to find and 
develop or acquire additional reserves to replace production at commercially feasible costs.

Asset Concentration
The  Company’s  natural  gas  reserves  are  currently  limited  to  one  producing  property,  the  Songo  Songo  field,  and  the 
productive potential from this field is limited. There is no assurance that the Company will have sufficient deliverability through 
the  existing  wells  to  provide  additional  natural  gas  sales  volumes,  and  that  there  may  be  significant  capital  expenditures 
associated with any remedial work, workovers, or new drilling required to achieve deliverability. In addition, any difficulties 
relating to the operation or performance of the field would have a material adverse effect on the Company. There will be no 
redundant capacity in the production facilities or pipeline until the Company can tie into new facilities or existing facilities are 
expanded. A loss or material reduction in production capabilities will have a material adverse effect on the total production 
and funds flow from operations of the Company. Changes in Italian environmental legislation in late 2015 have resulted in 
the development of the Elsa Italian license being postponed indefinitely.

Environmental and Other Regulations
Extensive  national,  state,  and  local  environmental  laws  and  regulations  in  foreign  jurisdictions  will  affect  nearly  all  of 
the  Company’s  operations.  These  laws  and  regulations  set  various  standards  regulating  certain  aspects  of  health  and 
environmental quality, provide for penalties and other liabilities for the violation of such standards and establish in certain 
circumstances obligations to remediate current and former facilities and locations where operations are or were conducted. 
In addition, special provisions may be appropriate or required in environmentally sensitive areas of operation. There can 
be  no  assurance  that  the  Company  will  not  incur  substantial  financial  obligations  in  connection  with  environmental 
compliance. Significant liability could be imposed on the Company for damages, cleanup costs or penalties in the event of 
certain discharges into the environment, environmental damage caused by previous owners of property purchased by the 
Company or non-compliance with environmental laws or regulations. Such liability could have a material adverse effect 
on the Company. Moreover, the Company cannot predict what environmental legislation or regulations will be enacted in 
the future or how existing or future laws or regulations will be administered or enforced. Compliance with more stringent 
laws or regulations, or more vigorous enforcement policies of any regulatory authority, could in the future require material 
expenditures by the Company for the installation and operation of systems and equipment for remedial measures, any or 
all of which may have a material adverse effect on the Company. As party to various licenses, the Company may have an 
obligation to restore producing fields to a condition acceptable to the authorities at the end of their commercial lives. The 
PSA does not contain abandonment obligations for the Company. In addition, the Company expects the Songo Songo field 
to produce well beyond the term of the current license.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis43

While management believes that the Company is currently in compliance with environmental laws and regulations applicable 
to the Company’s operations in Tanzania and Italy, no assurances can be given that the Company will be able to continue 
to comply with such environmental laws and regulations without incurring substantial costs.

The Company’s petroleum and natural gas operations are subject to extensive governmental legislation and regulation and 
increased public awareness concerning environmental protection.

In accordance with the terms of the PSA, no provision has been recognised for future decommissioning costs in Tanzania 
as it is forecast that there will still be commercial gas reserves when the Company relinquishes the license in 2026. The 
Company  expects  that  the  cost  of  complying  with  environmental  legislation  and  regulations  will  increase  in  the  future. 
Compliance with existing environmental legislation and regulations has not had a material effect on capital expenditures, 
earnings or competitive position of the Company to date. Although management believes that the Company’s operations 
and facilities are in material compliance with such laws and regulations, future changes in these laws, regulations or interpre-
tations thereof or the nature of its operations may require the Company to make significant additional capital expenditures 
to ensure compliance in the future.

Volatility of Oil and Gas Prices and Markets
The Company’s financial condition, operating results and future growth will be dependent on the prevailing prices for its 
natural gas production. Historically, the markets for oil and natural gas have been volatile and such markets are likely to 
continue to be volatile in the future. Prices for oil and natural gas are subject to large fluctuations in response to relatively 
minor changes to the demand for oil and natural gas, whether the result of uncertainty or a variety of additional factors 
beyond the control of the Company. Any substantial decline in the prices of oil and natural gas could have a material adverse 
effect on the Company and the level of its natural gas reserves. Additionally, the economics of producing from some wells 
may change as a result of lower prices, which could result in a suspension of production by the Company.

No  assurance  can  be  given  that  oil  and  natural  gas  prices  will  be  sustained  at  levels  which  will  enable  the  Company  to 
operate profitably. From time to time the Company may avail itself of forward sales or other forms of hedging activities with 
a view to mitigating its exposure to the risk of price volatility.

There has been a significant increase in exploration activity in Tanzania, which has yielded world class discoveries of natural 
gas that could, when developed, lead to increased competition for gas markets and lower gas prices in the future. 

In addition, various factors, including the availability and capacity of oil and gas gathering systems and pipelines, the effect of 
foreign regulation of production and transportation, general economic conditions, changes in supply due to drilling by other 
producers and changes in demand may adversely affect the Company’s ability to market its gas production.

Uncertainties in Estimating Reserves and Future Net Cash Flows
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and probable reserves and cash flows to be 
derived  therefrom,  including  many  factors  beyond  the  control  of  the  Company.  The  reserve  and  cash  flow  information 
contained herein represents estimates only. The reserves and estimated future net cash flow from the Company’s properties 
have  been  independently  evaluated  by  McDaniel  &  Associates  Consultants  Ltd.  These  evaluations  include  a  number  of 
assumptions  relating  to  factors  such  as  initial  production  rates,  production  decline  rates,  ultimate  recovery  of  reserves, 
timing and amount of capital expenditures, marketability of production, crude oil price differentials to benchmarks, future 
prices of oil and natural gas, operating costs, transportation costs, cost recovery provisions and royalties, TPDC “back-in” 
methodology and other government levies that may be imposed over the producing life of the reserves. These assumptions 
were based on price forecasts in use at the date of the relevant evaluations were prepared and many of these assumptions 
are subject to change and are beyond the control of the Company. Actual production and cash flows derived therefrom will 
vary from these evaluations, and such variations could be material.

management's discussion & analysis44

Title to Properties
Although title reviews have been done and will continue to be done according to industry standards prior to the purchase 
of most oil and natural gas producing properties or the commencement of drilling wells, such reviews do not guarantee or 
certify that an unforeseen defect in the chain of title will not arise to defeat the claim of the Company which could result in 
a reduction of the revenue received by the Company.

Acquisition Risks
The  Company  intends  to  acquire  natural  gas  infrastructure  and  possibly  additional  oil  and  gas  properties.  Although  the 
Company performs a review of the acquired properties that it believes is consistent with industry practices, such reviews are 
inherently incomplete. It generally is not feasible to review in depth every individual property involved in each acquisition. 
Ordinarily, the Company will focus its due diligence efforts on the higher valued properties and will sample the remainder. 
However, even an in depth review of all properties and records may not necessarily reveal existing or potential problems, 
nor will it permit a buyer to become sufficiently familiar with the properties to assess fully their deficiencies and capabilities. 
Inspections  may  not  be  performed  on  every  well,  and  structural  or  environmental  problems,  such  as  ground  water 
contamination, are not necessarily observable even when an inspection is undertaken. The Company may be required to 
assume pre-closing liabilities, including environmental liabilities, and may acquire interests in properties on an “as is” basis. 
There can be no assurance that the Company’s acquisitions will be successful.

Reliance on Key Personnel
The Company is highly dependent upon its executive officers and key personnel. The unexpected loss of the services of any 
of these individuals could have a detrimental effect on the Company. The Company does not maintain key life insurance on 
any of its employees or officers.

Controlling Shareholder
W  David  Lyons,  the  Company’s  Chairman,  and  Chief  Executive  Officer  is  the  beneficial  controlling  shareholder  of  the 
Company and holds approximately 99.6% of the outstanding Class A shares and approximately 16.5% of the Class B shares. 
Consequently, Mr. Lyons is the beneficial holder of approximately 20.7% of the equity (20.7% fully diluted) and controls 59.2% 
of the total votes of the Company.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTManagement’s Discussion & Analysis45

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES AND JUDGEMENTS

In applying the Company’s accounting policies, which are described in Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, 
management makes estimates and assumptions concerning the future. The resulting accounting estimates will, by definition, 
vary to the actual results. The estimates and assumptions that have a significant risk of causing a material adjustment to the 
carrying amounts of assets and liabilities within the next financial year are discussed below:

i)  Reserves

There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and probable reserves and cash flows 
to  be  derived  therefrom,  including  many  factors  beyond  the  control  of  the  Company.  The  reserve  and  cash  flow 
information  contained  herein  represents  estimates  only.  The  reserves  and  estimated  future  net  cash  flow  from  the 
Company’s  Exploration’s  properties  have  been  evaluated  by  McDaniel  &  Associates  Consultants  Ltd.,  independent 
petroleum engineers. These evaluations include a number of assumptions relating to factors such as initial production 
rates, production decline rates, ultimate recovery of reserves, timing and amount of capital expenditures, marketability of 
production, crude oil price differentials to benchmarks, future prices of oil and natural gas, operating costs, transportation 
costs, cost recovery provisions and royalties, TPDC “back-in” methodology and other government levies that may be 
imposed over the producing life of the reserves. These assumptions were based on price forecasts in use at the date 
of the relevant evaluations were prepared and many of these assumptions are subject to change and are beyond the 
control of the Company. For the purpose of the reserves certification as at 31 December 2015 it was assumed that 
TPDC will ‘back-in’ for 20% for all future new drilling activities after well SS-12 as determined by the current development 
plan and this is reflected in the Company’s net reserve position.

Reserves are integral to the amount of depletion recognized and impairment test.

ii)  Carrying value of exploration and evaluation assets and property, plant and equipment 

The Company assesses its property, plant and equipment for impairment when events or circumstances indicate that 
the carrying amount of its assets may not be recoverable. If any indication of impairment exists, the Company performs 
an  impairment  test  on  the  CGU,  which  is  the  lowest  level  at  which  there  are  identifiable  cash  flows.  The  carrying 
amount of the CGU is compared to its recoverable amount which is defined as the greater of its fair value less cost to 
sell and value in use and is subject to management estimates. These estimates include quantities of reserves and future 
production, future commodity pricing, development costs, operating costs, and discount rates. Any changes in these 
estimates may have an impact on the recoverable amount of the CGU.

Property,  plant  and  equipment  is  measured  at  cost  less  accumulated  depreciation,  depletion  and  amortization.  The 
Company’s oil and natural gas properties are depleted using the unit-of-production method over proved plus probable 
reserves. The unit-of-production method takes into account estimates of capital expenditures incurred to date along 
with future development capital required to develop both proved plus probable reserves.

iii)  Fair value of stock based compensation

All stock options issued or stock appreciation rights granted by the Company are required to be valued at their fair 
value. In assessing the fair value of the equity based compensation, estimates have to be made as to (i) the volatility in 
share price, (ii) the risk free rate of interest, and (iii) the level of forfeiture. In the case of stock options, this fair value is 
estimated at the date of issue and is not revalued, whereas the fair value of stock appreciation rights is recalculated at 
each reporting period.

management's discussion & analysis 
 
 
 
 
46

iv)  Cost Recovery

The  Company  is  able  to  recover  reasonable  costs  incurred  on  the  development  of  the  Songo  Songo  project  out 
of  75%  of  the  gross  revenues  less  processing  and  pipeline  tariffs  (net  revenue).  There  are  inherent  uncertainties  in 
estimating when costs have been recovered as these costs are subject to audit by TPDC and potential reassessment in 
certain circumstances after the elapse of a considerable period of time. Currently approximately US$34 million in cost 
recoveries for the period 2002 to 2009 have been rejected by TPDC, which audit finding is now the subject of a Notice 
of Dispute by the Company.

v)  Collectability of Receivables

Management reviews the accounts receivable aging and payment history on a weekly basis. Accounts which are in 
excess  of  60-days  in  arrears  are  identified  as  potential  doubtful  accounts.  When  sustained  arrears  performance  is 
exhibited over a quarter, together with an assessment by management of the customer’s willingness and ability to pay, 
an account is deemed “doubtful” and a provision against that account is made for the reporting period based on an 
assessment of that amount of arrears which are unlikely to be paid in the immediate future. 

TANESCO is, and has been, experiencing financial difficulties since 2011. These have been caused by a combination of 
dependence on high cost power generation based on liquid fuels following severe droughts in Tanzania, a government 
mandate to provide additional power stations and an inadequate tariff. 

The Company has reached an understanding with TANESCO that it would only continue to supply gas if TANESCO 
remained reasonably current with payments for current gas deliveries. Excess payments received over and above the 
current balances would be applied to the arrears balance. TANESCO payments for 2015 continued to be irregular but 
were sufficient to cover current gas deliveries until the third quarter when payments again were not sufficient to cover 
current gas deliveries. During Q4 2015 TANESCO payments decreased further with only US$4.5 million being received 
against sales of US$11.7 million. 

Management  has  reviewed  the  current  position  with  TANESCO  and  feels  that  the  policy  implemented  in  2014  to 
reclassify all amounts receivable from TANESCO in excess of 60 days, and in arrears, as a long-term receivable is still 
appropriate. 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.Management’s Discussion & Analysis 
 
 
 
 
FINANCIAL 
 STATEMENTS  
& NOTES

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.48

Management’s Report to Shareholders

The accompanying consolidated financial statements of Orca Exploration Group Inc. are the responsibility of Management. 
The financial and operating information presented in this annual report is consistent with that shown in the consolidated 
financial statements.

The consolidated financial statements have been prepared by Management, on behalf of the Board, in accordance with 
the  accounting  policies  disclosed  in  the  notes  to  the  consolidated  financial  statements.  Where  necessary,  management 
has made informed judgments and estimates in accounting for transactions which were not complete at the balance sheet 
date. In the opinion of management, the consolidated financial statements have been prepared within acceptable limits of 
materiality and are in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards appropriate in the circumstances.

Management, with the participation of the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness 
of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures and has concluded that such disclosure controls and procedures are 
effective.

Management maintains appropriate systems of internal controls. Policies and procedures are designed to give reasonable 
assurance that transactions are properly authorised, assets are safeguarded and financial records are properly maintained 
to provide reliable information for the preparation of financial statements. An independent firm of Chartered Professional 
Accountants,  as  appointed  by  the  Shareholders,  audited  the  consolidated  financial  statements  in  accordance  with  the 
Canadian Generally Accepted Auditing Standards to enable them to express an opinion on the fairness of the consolidated 
financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards.

The Board of Directors carries out its responsibility for the financial reporting and internal controls of the Company principally 
through an Audit Committee. The committee has met with the external auditors and Management in order to determine 
if Management has fulfilled its responsibilities in the preparation of the consolidated financial statements. The consolidated 
financial statements have been approved by the Board of Directors on the recommendation of the Audit Committee.

W. David Lyons 
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer 

 14 April 2016 

Blaine E. Karst 
Chief Financial Officer

14 April 2016

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORT  
 
Independent Auditors’ Report

49

To the Shareholders of Orca Exploration Group Inc.
We have audited the accompanying consolidated financial statements of Orca Exploration Group Inc., which comprise the 
consolidated statements of financial position as at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014, the consolidated statements 
of  comprehensive  income  (loss),  changes  in  shareholders’  equity  and  cash  flows  for  the  years  then  ended,  and  notes, 
comprising a summary of significant accounting policies and other explanatory information.

Management’s Responsibility for the Consolidated Financial Statements
Management is responsible for the preparation and fair presentation of these consolidated financial statements in accordance 
with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board, and for such 
internal control as management determines is necessary to enable the preparation of consolidated financial statements that 
are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error.

Auditors’ Responsibility
Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these consolidated financial statements based on our audits. We conducted 
our audits in accordance with Canadian Generally Accepted Auditing Standards. Those standards require that we comply 
with ethical requirements and plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the consolidated 
financial statements are free from material misstatement.

An audit involves performing procedures to obtain audit evidence about the amounts and disclosures in the consolidated 
financial statements. The procedures selected depend on our judgment, including the assessment of the risks of material 
misstatement of the consolidated financial statements, whether due to fraud or error. In making those risk assessments, we 
consider internal control relevant to the entity’s preparation and fair presentation of the consolidated financial statements in 
order to design audit procedures that are appropriate in the circumstances, but not for the purpose of expressing an opinion 
on  the  effectiveness  of  the  entity’s  internal  control.  An  audit  also  includes  evaluating  the  appropriateness  of  accounting 
policies  used  and  the  reasonableness  of  accounting  estimates  made  by  management,  as  well  as  evaluating  the  overall 
presentation of the consolidated financial statements.

We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained in our audits is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our 
audit opinion.

Opinion
In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position 
of Orca Exploration Group Inc. as at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014 and its consolidated financial performance 
and its consolidated cash flows for the years then ended in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards.

Chartered Professional Accountants 

14 April 2016 
Calgary, Canada

financial statements50

Consolidated Statements of  
Comprehensive Income (Loss) 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

US$’000

Revenue

Production and distribution

Net production revenue

Operating expenses

General and administrative

Depletion 

Asset impairment

Operating income

Net finance expense

Income (loss) before tax

Income tax - current

Income tax - (deferred) recovery 

Net income (loss)

Foreign currency translation gain from foreign operations

Comprehensive income (loss)

Net income (loss) per share (US$)

Basic and diluted

Weighted average shares outstanding (millions)

Basic and diluted

See accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

Note

6, 7

14

9

10

10

18

18

2015

54,088

(3,751)

50,337

(13,608)

(11,855)

–

24,874

(13,945)

2014

56,607

(5,493)

51,114

(17,914)

(13,567)

(5,086)

14,547

(41,410)

10,929

(26,863)

(7,691)

(1,705)

1,533

144

1,677

(11,895)

457

(38,301)

73

(38,228)

0.04

(1.10)

34.9

34.9

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTConsolidated Statements of Financial Position

51

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.

US$’000

Assets

Current assets

Cash and cash equivalents

Trade and other receivables

Tax recoverable

Prepayments

Non-current assets

Long-term trade receivable

Property, plant and equipment

Total assets

Equity and liabilities

Current liabilities

Trade and other payables

Tax payable

Non-current liabilities

Deferred income taxes

Long-term loan

Deferred Additional Profits Tax

Total liabilities

Equity

Capital stock

Contributed surplus

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

Accumulated loss

 AS AT 31 DECEMBER 

Note

2015

2014

12

10

12

13

15

10

16

11

17

53,797

25,391

4,519

1,118

57,659

49,324

11,815

642

84,825

119,440

584

104,274

104,858

189,683

49,531

2,773

52,304

9,312

18,599

31,314

59,225

111,529

85,488

6,347

(86)

(13,595)

78,154

634

78,418

79,052

198,492

76,747

8,545

85,292

7,606

–

28,959

36,565

121,857

85,637

6,356

(230)

(15,128)

76,635

Total equity and liabilities

189,683

198,492

See accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

Nature of Operations (Note 1); Contractual obligations and committed capital investment (Note 20); Contingencies (Note 21). 
The consolidated financial statements were approved by the Board of Directors on 14 April 2016.

Director  

Director

financial statements 
52

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC

US$’000

Operating activities

Net Income (loss)

Adjustment for:

  Depletion and depreciation

  Asset impairment

  Loss on disposal of fixtures and fittings

  Provision for doubtful debts

  Stock-based compensation (recovery)

  Deferred income taxes

  Deferred Additional Profits Tax

Interest expense

  Unrealised (gain) loss on foreign exchange

Funds flow from operating activities

Decrease (increase) in trade and other receivables

Decrease (increase) in tax recoverable

Increase in prepayments

(Decrease) increase in trade and other payables

(Decrease) increase in tax payable

Decrease (increase) in long-term receivable

Net cash flows from operating activities

Investing activities

Property, plant and equipment 

Change in working capital related to investing activities

Net cash used in investing activities

Financing activities

Bank loan repayments

Interest paid

Increase in long-term loan

Normal course issuer bid repurchases

Proceeds from exercise of options

Net cash flow from (used in) financing activities

(Decrease) increase in cash

Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year

Effect of change in foreign exchange on cash

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

See accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

 YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 

Note

2015

2014

1,533

(38,301)

13

14

13

9

17

10

11

9

12,555

–

–

9,908

(244)

1,705

2,355

117

(1,358)

26,571

15,222

7,296

(476)

(35,873)

(5,772)

50

7,018

14,197

5,086

7

37,047

3,482

(457)

7,280

24

4,071

32,436

(12,840)

(949)

(361)

18,287

1,624

(8,440)

29,757

13

(38,411)

(1,312)

8,461

–

(29,950)

(1,312)

9

16

17

–

(117)

18,599

(158)

–

18,324

(4,608)

57,659

746

53,797

(1,659)

(24)

–

–

83

(1,600)

26,845

32,588

(1,774)

57,659

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORT 
Consolidated Statements of Changes  
in Shareholders’ Equity

53

Balance as at 31 December 2015

85,488

6,347

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.

US$’000

Note

Balance as at 1 January 2015

Normal course issuer bid repurchases

Foreign currency translation 
adjustment on foreign operations

Net income

US$’000

Note

Balance as at 1 January 2014

Options exercised

Foreign currency translation  
adjustment on foreign operations

Net loss

Capital stock

Contributed 
Surplus

Cumulative 
translation 
adjustment

Accumulated 
Loss

Total

17

85,637

(149)

–

–

6,356

(9)

–

–

17

85,428

209

–

–

6,482

(126)

–

–

(230)

–

144

–

(86)

(15,128)

76,635

–

–

1,533

(158)

144

1,533

(13,595)

78,154

(303)

23,173

114,780

–

73

–

–

–

83

73

(38,301)

(15,128)

(38,301)

76,635

Capital stock

Contributed 
surplus

Cumulative 
translation 
adjustment

Accumulated 
(loss)/income

Total

Balance as at 31 December 2014

85,637

6,356

(230)

See accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

financial statements54

General Information
Orca  Exploration  Group  Inc.  was  incorporated  on  28  April  2004  under  the  laws  of  the  British  Virgin  Islands.  
The Company produces and sells natural gas to the power and industrial sectors in Tanzania.

The consolidated financial statements of the Company as at and for the year ended 31 December 2015 comprise 
accounts of the Company and all its wholly owned subsidiaries (collectively, the “Company” or “Orca Exploration”) 
and were authorised for issue in accordance with a resolution of the directors on 14 April 2016.

1

  NATURE OF OPERATIONS

The Company’s principal operating asset is its interest in a Production Sharing Agreement (“PSA”) with the Tanzania 
Petroleum  Development  Corporation  (“TPDC”)  and  the  Government  of  Tanzania  (“GoT”)  in  the  United  Republic 
of Tanzania. This PSA covers the production and marketing of certain gas from the Songo Songo Block offshore 
Tanzania.

The PSA defines gas in the Songo Songo field as “Protected Gas” and “Additional Gas”. The “Protected Gas” is owned 
by TPDC and is sold under a 20-year gas agreement (until July 2024) to Songas Limited (“Songas”). Songas is the 
owner of the infrastructure that enables the gas to be delivered to Dar es Salaam, which includes a gas processing 
plant on Songo Songo Island.

Songas utilizes the Protected Gas as feedstock for its gas turbine electricity generators for onward sale to customers. 
The  Company  receives  no  revenue  for  the  Protected  Gas  delivered  to  Songas  and  operates  the  field  and  gas 
processing plant on a ‘no gain no loss’ basis.

Under the PSA, the Company has the right to produce and market all gas in the Songo Songo Block in excess of the 
Protected Gas requirements (“Additional Gas”).

The Tanzania Electric Supply Company Limited (“TANESCO”) is a parastatal organization which is wholly-owned by 
the GoT, with oversight by the Ministry of Energy and Minerals (“MEM”). TANESCO is responsible for the generation, 
transmission  and  distribution  of  electricity  throughout  Tanzania.  The  Company  currently  supplies  gas  directly  to 
TANESCO by way of a Portfolio Gas Supply Agreement (“PGSA”) and indirectly through the supply of Protected Gas 
and Additional Gas to Songas which in turn generates and sells power to TANESCO. The state utility is the Company’s 
largest customer.

In addition to gas supplied to Songas and TANESCO for the generation of power, the Company has developed and 
supplies an industrial gas market in the Dar es Salaam area consisting of some 38 industrial customers.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements55

2

  BASIS OF PREPARATION

These consolidated financial statements have been prepared on a historical cost basis and have been prepared using 
the accrual basis of accounting. The consolidated financial statements are presented in US dollars (“US$”).

A.  Statement of Compliance

The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting 
Standards (“IFRS”) issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”).

B.  Basis of consolidation

Subsidiaries
The  consolidated  financial  statements  include  the  accounts  of  Orca  Exploration  Group  Inc.  and  all  its  wholly 
owned subsidiaries (collectively, the “Company”). Subsidiaries are those enterprises controlled by the Company. 
The following companies have been consolidated within the Orca Exploration financial statements:

Subsidiary 

Registered 

Holding 

Functional currency

Orca Exploration Group Inc. 
Orca Exploration Italy Inc. 
Orca Exploration Italy Onshore Inc. 
PAE PanAfrican Energy Corporation  Mauritius 
PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Limited 
Orca Exploration UK Services Limited  United Kingdom 

British Virgin Islands 
British Virgin Islands 
British Virgin Islands 

Jersey 

Parent Company 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 

US dollar 
Euro 
Euro 
US dollar 
US dollar 
British Pound 

Transactions eliminated upon consolidation
Inter-company  balances  and  transactions,  and  any  unrealised  gains  or  losses  arising  from  inter-company 
transactions, are eliminated in preparing the consolidated financial statements.

C.  Foreign currency

i)  Foreign currency transactions

 Transactions in foreign currencies are recorded at the rate of exchange prevailing at the date of the transaction. 
Monetary assets and liabilities in foreign currencies are translated at period-end rates. Non-monetary items 
are translated at historic rates, unless such items are carried at market value, in which case they are translated 
using  the  exchange  rates  that  existed  when  the  values  were  determined.  Any  resulting  exchange  rate 
differences are recognized in earnings.

ii)  Foreign currency translation

 Orca Exploration Italy Inc. and Orca Exploration Italy Onshore Inc. has the Euro and Orca UK Services has 
British pound sterling as their functional currencies. The assets and liabilities of these companies are translated 
into US dollars at the period-end exchange rate. The income and expenses of the companies are translated 
into US dollars at the average exchange rate for the period. Translation gains and losses are included in other 
comprehensive income.

notes 
 
 
 
56

3

SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

The accounting policies set out below have been applied consistently to all periods presented in these consolidated 
financial statements.

A.  Exploration and evaluation assets, property plant and equipment

i)  Exploration and evaluation assets

 Exploration  and  evaluation  costs  are  capitalised  as  intangible  assets.  Intangible  assets  includes  lease  and 
license  acquisition  costs,  geological  and  geophysical  costs  and  other  direct  costs  of  exploration  and 
evaluation which management considers to be unevaluated until reserves are appraised to be commercially 
viable and technologically feasible as commercial, at which time they are transferred to property, plant and 
equipment following an impairment review and depleted accordingly. Where properties are appraised to have 
no commercial value or are appraised at values less than book values, the associated costs are treated as an 
impairment loss in the period in which the determination is made.

ii)  Property, plant and equipment

 Property,  plant  and  equipment  comprises  the  Company’s  tangible  natural  gas  assets,  development  wells, 
together with leasehold improvements, computer equipment, motor vehicles and fixtures and fittings and 
are carried at cost, less any accumulated depletion, depreciation and accumulated impairment losses. Cost 
includes purchase price and construction costs for qualifying assets. Depletion of these assets commences 
when the assets are ready for their intended use. Only costs that are directly related to the discovery and 
development of specific oil and gas reserves are capitalised. The cost associated with tangible natural gas 
assets are amortised on a field by field unit of production method based on commercial proven reserves. The 
calculation of the unit of production amortisation takes into account the estimated future development cost 
of the field.

iii)  Impairment of exploration and evaluation assets, property, plant and equipment

 At each balance sheet date, the Company reviews the carrying amounts of its property, plant and equipment 
and  intangible  assets  to  determine  whether  there  is  any  indication  that  those  assets  have  suffered  an 
impairment  loss.  Individual  assets  are  grouped  together  as  a  cash  generating  unit  (“CGU”)  for  impairment 
assessment purposes at the lowest level at which there are identifiable cash flows that are independent from 
other group assets. In the case of exploration and evaluation assets, this will normally be at the CGU level. 
If  any  such  indication  of  impairment  exists,  the  Company  makes  an  estimate  of  its  recoverable  amount. 
The recoverable amount is the higher of fair value less costs to sell and value in use. Where the carrying 
amount of a CGU exceeds its recoverable amount, the CGU is considered impaired and is written down to its 
recoverable amount. In assessing the value in use, the estimated future cash flows are adjusted for the risks 
specific to the CGU and are discounted to their present value with a pre-tax discount rate that reflects the 
current market indicators. The fair value less costs to sell is the amount that would be obtained from the sale 
of a CGU in an arm’s length transaction between knowledgeable and willing parties. Where an impairment 
loss subsequently reverses, the carrying amount of the asset CGU is increased to the revised estimate of its 
recoverable amount, but so that the increased carrying amount does not exceed the carrying amount that 
would have been determined had no impairment loss been recognised for the CGU in prior years. A reversal 
of an impairment loss is recognised as income immediately.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 
 
 
 
57

B.  Operatorship

The  Company  operates  the  Songo  Songo  gas  field,  flow  lines  and  gas  processing  plant.  The  Songas  wells, 
flowlines and gas plant are operated by the Company on behalf of Songas on a ‘no gain no loss’ basis. The cost 
of operating and maintaining the wells and flow lines is paid for by the Company and Songas in proportion to the 
respective volumes of Protected Gas and Additional Gas sales. The costs of operating and maintaining the wells 
and flow lines are reflected in the accounts to the extent that the costs were incurred to accomplish Additional 
Gas sales. The cost of operating the gas processing plant and pipeline to Dar es Salaam is paid by Songas. Costs 
incurred by the Company in connection with the operatorship of the Songas plant are recorded as receivables, 
which are re-charged to Songas. Subsequent payments received from Songas are credited to receivables. When 
there are Additional Gas sales, a tariff is paid to Songas as compensation for using the gas processing plant and 
pipeline. This tariff is netted against revenue.

C.  Employment benefits

i)  Pension

 The  Company  does  not  operate  a  pension  plan,  but  it  does  make  defined  contributions  to  the  statutory 
pension  fund  for  employees  in  Tanzania.  Obligations  for  contributions  to  the  statutory  pension  fund  are 
recognised as an expense in the income statement as incurred.

ii)  Stock options

 The stock option plan provides for the granting of stock options to directors, Company officers, key personnel 
and employees to acquire shares at an exercise price determined by the market value at the date of grant. 
The exercise price of each stock option is determined at the closing market price of the Class B shares on the 
day prior to the day of grant. Each stock option granted permits the holder to purchase one Class B share at 
the stated exercise price. The Company records a charge to earnings using the Black-Scholes fair valuation 
option pricing model. The valuation is dependent on a number of estimates, including the risk free interest 
rate, the level of stock volatility, together with an estimate of the level of forfeiture. The level of stock volatility 
is calculated with reference to the historic traded daily closing share price at the date of issue.

iii)  Stock appreciation rights and restricted stock units

 Stock appreciation rights (“SARs”) and restricted stock units (“RSUs”) are issued to certain key managers, officers, 
directors and employees. The fair value of SARs and RSUs is expensed in the statement of comprehensive loss 
in accordance with the service period. The fair value of the SARs and RSUs is revalued every reporting date 
with the change in the value recognized in earnings.

D.  Asset retirement obligations

No provision has been made for future site restoration costs in Tanzania because the Company currently has no 
legal or contractual or constructive obligation under the PSA to restore the fields at the end of their commercial 
lives, should such occur within the term of the PSA. At such a time as the Company may be granted an extension 
of the term of the PSA, which encompasses the end of the field life, or other amendment to the PSA, which 
requires the Company to do so, a provision will be made for future site restoration costs.

notes 
 
 
58

E.  Revenue recognition, production sharing agreements and royalties

Pursuant to the terms of the PSA, the Company has exclusive rights to (i) to carry on Exploration Operations in 
the Songo Songo Gas Field; (ii) to carry on Development Operations in the Songo Songo Gas Field and (iii) jointly 
with TPDC, to sell or otherwise dispose of Additional Gas. 

The Company recognises revenue related to Additional Gas sales from the sale of gas to all customers, including 
both TANESCO and Songas, when title passes to the customer at fiscal gas meters which are installed at the 
respective customer’s plant gate in Dar es Salaam. Under the terms of the PSA, the Company pays both its share 
and TPDC’s share of operating, administrative and capital costs. The Company recovers all reasonably incurred 
operating, administrative and capital costs including the parastatal’s share of these costs from future revenues 
over several years (“Cost Gas”). TPDC’s share of operating and administrative costs, are recorded in operating and 
general and administrative costs when incurred and capital costs are recorded in ‘property, plant and equipment’. 
All recoveries are recorded as Cost Gas in the year of recovery.

The Company has a gas sales contract under which the customer is required to take, or pay for, a minimum 
quantity of gas. In the event that the customer has paid for gas that was not delivered, the additional income 
received  by  the  Company  is  carried  on  the  balance  sheet  as  “deferred  income”.  If  the  customer  consumes 
volumes in excess of the minimum, it will be charged at the current rate, but may receive a credit for volumes 
paid but not delivered. At the end of each reporting period the Company reassesses the volumes for which the 
customer may receive credit, any remaining balance is credited to income.

In any given year, the Company is entitled to recover as Cost Gas up to 75% of the net revenue (gross revenue 
less processing and pipeline tariffs). Any net revenue in excess of the Cost Gas (“Profit Gas”) is shared between the 
Company and TPDC in accordance with the terms of the PSA. Under the PSA the Company’s share of Profit Gas 
is further increased by the amount necessary to fully pay and discharge any liability for taxes on income. Revenue 
represents the Company’s share of Profit Gas and Cost Gas during the period.

Since 2011 TANESCO has experienced financial difficulties due to its dependence on high cost power generation 
based on liquid fuels following severe draughts in Tanzania. Whilst the Company has received assurances from 
the Government of Tanzania that it was arranging financing for TANESCO, the receivables continued to build.

The  Company  has  reached  an  understanding  with  TANESCO  that  it  would  only  continue  to  supply  gas  if 
TANESCO remained reasonably current with payments for current gas deliveries. Excess payments received over 
and above the current balances would be applied to the arrears balance. TANESCO payments for 2015 continued 
to be irregular but were sufficient to cover current gas deliveries until the third quarter when payments again were 
not sufficient to cover current gas deliveries. During Q4 2015 TANESCO payments decreased further with only 
US$4.5 million being received against sales of US$11.7 million. Management has reviewed the current position 
with TANESCO and feels that the policy implemented in 2014 to reclassify all amounts receivable from TANESCO 
in excess of 60 days, and in arrears, as a long-term receivable is still appropriate. As a result, the Company has 
classified  a  further  US$9.8  million,  the  arrears  in  excess  of  60  days,  as  long-term  debt  and  has  placed  a  full 
provision against this (see Note 12). The current total provision is US$61.9 million (2014: US$52.2 million).

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements59

F.  Additional Profits Tax

Under the terms of the PSA, in the event that all costs have been recovered with an annual return from the PSA 
of 25% plus the percentage change in the United States Industrial Goods Producer Price Index, an Additional 
Profits Tax (“APT”) is payable to the Government of Tanzania. This tax is considered to be a royalty and is netted 
against revenue. Deferred APT is provided for by forecasting the total APT payable as a proportion of the forecast 
Profit Gas over the term of PSA license. The actual APT that will be paid is dependent on the achieved value of 
the Additional Gas sales and the quantum and timing of the operating costs and capital expenditure programme.

The PSA states that APT shall be calculated for each year and shall vary with the real rate of return earned by the 
Company on the net cash flow from the Contract Area (as defined). The calculation of APT includes a working 
capital adjustment reflecting the effect of the timing of actual receipt of amounts owing from TANESCO on net 
cash flow available to APT.

G.  Income taxes

The Company is liable for Tanzanian income tax on the income for the year; this comprises current and deferred 
tax. Where current income tax is payable this is shown as a current tax liability. Deferred tax is provided using the 
balance sheet method, providing for temporary differences between the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities 
for financial reporting purposes and the amounts used for taxation purposes. The amount of deferred tax provided 
is based on the expected manner of realisation or settlement of carrying amounts of assets and liabilities using tax 
rates substantively enacted at the balance sheet date. A deferred tax asset is recognised only to the extent that it 
is probable that future taxable profits will be available against which the asset can be utilised. Deferred tax assets 
are reduced to the extent that it is no longer probable that the related tax benefits will be realised.

The Company operates in a jurisdiction with complex tax laws and regulations, which are evolving over time. 
The Company has taken certain tax positions in its tax filings and these filings are subject to audit and potential 
reassessment  after  the  lapse  of  considerable  time.  Accordingly,  the  actual  income  tax  impact  may  differ 
significantly from that estimated and recorded by management.

H.  Depreciation

Depreciation for non-natural gas properties is charged to earnings on a straight line basis over the estimated 
useful economic lives of each class of asset. The estimated useful lives are as follows:

Leasehold improvement 

Over remaining life of the lease

Computer equipment 

Vehicles 

Fixtures and fittings 

3 years

3 years

3 years

I.  Financial instruments

All financial instruments are initially recognized at fair value on the consolidated statement of financial position. 
The Company has classified each financial instrument into one of the following categories: (i) fair value through 
the  statement  of  comprehensive  income  (loss),  (ii)  loans  and  receivables,  and  (iii)  other  financial  liabilities. 
Subsequent measurement of financial instruments is based on their classification.

Financial assets and liabilities are recognized when the Company becomes a party to the contractual provisions 
of the instrument. Financial assets are derecognized when the rights to receive cash flows from the assets have 
expired or have been transferred and the Company has transferred substantially all risks and rewards of ownership. 
Financial assets and liabilities are offset and the net amount is reported on the statement of financial position 
when there is a legally enforceable right to offset the recognized amounts and there is an intention to settle on a 
net basis, or realize the asset and settle the liability simultaneously.

notes60

Initial recognition

At initial recognition, the Company classifies its financial instruments in the following categories depending on 
the purpose for which the instruments were acquired:

i)  Financial assets and liabilities at fair value through statement of comprehensive loss:

 A  financial  asset  or  liability  classified  in  this  category  is  recognized  at  each  period  at  fair  value  with  gains 
and losses from revaluation being recognized in net income. A financial asset or liability is classified in this 
category if acquired principally for the purpose of selling or repurchasing in the short-term. Derivatives are 
also included in this category unless they are designated as hedges.

ii)  Loans and receivables:

 Loans and receivables are initially measured at fair value plus directly attributable transaction costs and are 
subsequently recorded at amortized cost using the effective interest method.

 Long-term receivables are non-derivative financial assets with fixed or determinable payments that are not 
quoted in an active market. Long-term receivables are initially recognized at fair value based on the discounted 
cash flows. The discount rate is based on the credit quality and term of the financial instrument. The financial 
instrument is subsequently valued at amortized costs by accreting the instrument over the expected life of 
the assets. The accretion associated with instrument valued at amortized cost is reported on the statement 
of comprehensive loss each reporting period.

 The fair value of the Company’s trade and other receivables approximates their carrying values due to the 
short-term nature of these instruments.

iii)  Other financial liabilities:

 Trade and other payables and the long-term loan are classified as other financial liabilities and are initially 
measured at fair value less directly attributable transaction costs and are subsequently recorded at amortized 
cost using the effective interest method. The fair value of trade and other payables approximates the carrying 
amounts due to the short-term nature of these instruments. The fair value of the long-term loan approximates 
its carrying value as there has been no significant change in interest rates since the Company finalized the 
loan. The loan interest rate is fixed at 10%. 

Cash and cash equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents include cash on hand, term deposits and short-term highly liquid investments with the 
original term to maturity of three months or less, which are convertible to known amounts of cash and which, in 
the opinion of management, are subject to an insignificant risk of changes in value. The fair value of cash and cash 
equivalents approximates their carrying amount. There are no restrictions on the movement of funds out of Tanzania.

Impairment of financial assets
A financial asset is assessed at each reporting date to determine whether there is any objective evidence that it is 
impaired. A financial asset is considered to be impaired if objective evidence indicates that one or more events have 
had a negative effect on the estimated future cash flows of that asset.

An impairment loss in respect of a financial asset measured at amortized cost is calculated as the difference between 
its  carrying  amount  and  the  present  value  of  the  estimated  future  cash  flows  discounted  at  the  original  effective 
interest rate. Individually significant financial assets are tested for impairment on an individual basis. The remaining 
financial assets are assessed collectively in groups that share similar credit risk characteristics.

All impairment losses are recognized in earnings. An impairment loss is reversed if the reversal can be related objectively 
to an event occurring after the impairment loss was recognized. For financial assets measured at amortized cost the 
reversal is recognized in earnings .

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 
 
 
 
 
61

J.  Contributed surplus

This is used to record two types of transactions:

i)  To recognise the fair value of equity settled stock based compensation expensed in the year.

ii) 

 To account for the difference between the aggregated book value of the shares purchased under the normal 
course issuer bid and the actual consideration.

K.  Earnings or loss per share (”EPS”)

Basic earnings or loss per share is calculated by dividing net income (loss) attributable to owners of the Company 
(the numerator) by the weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding (the denominator) during the 
period. The denominator is calculated by adjusting the shares outstanding at the beginning of the period by the 
number of shares bought back or issued during the period, multiplied by a time-weighting factor.

Diluted EPS is calculated by adjusting the earnings and number of shares for the effects of all dilutive potential 
ordinary shares deemed to have been converted at the beginning of the period or if later, the date of issuance. The 
effects of anti-dilutive potential ordinary shares are ignored in calculating diluted EPS. All options are considered 
anti-dilutive when the Company is in a loss position.

L.  New accounting standards and interpretations 

On  May  28  2014,  the  IASB  issued  IFRS  15,  "Revenue  from  Contracts  with  Customers,"  which  replaces  IAS  18 
"Revenue," IAS 11 "Construction Contracts," and related interpretations. The new standard is effective for annual 
periods beginning on or after January 1, 2017, with early adoption permitted. The Company intends to adopt 
IFRS  15  on  the  finalized  adoption  date  and  is  currently  evaluating  the  impact  of  adopting  the  standard  on  its 
consolidated financial statements.

On  July  24,  2014,  the  IASB  issued  the  complete  IFRS  9,  “Financial  Instruments”  to  replace  IAS  39,  “Financial 
Instruments: Recognition and Measurement”. IFRS 9 is effective for years beginning on or after January 1, 2018 
and must be applied retrospectively with some exemptions. Early adoption is permitted if IFRS 9 is adopted in its 
entirety at the beginning of a fiscal period. The Company is currently evaluating the impact of adopting IFRS 9 on 
its consolidated financial statements.

On January 13, 2016, the IASB issued IFRS 16, "Leases", which replaces IAS 17 "Leases". The new standard introduces 
a  single  recognition  and  measurement  model  for  leases,  which  would  require  the  recognition  of  assets  and 
liabilities  for  most  leases  with  a  term  of  more  than  twelve  months.  The  new  standard  is  effective  for  annual 
periods beginning on or after January 1, 2019. Early adoption is permitted for entities that apply IFRS 15 "Revenue 
from Contracts with Customers" at or before the initial adoption date of January 1, 2018. The Corporation intends 
to adopt IFRS 16 in its financial statements for the annual period beginning on January 1, 2019. The extent of the 
impact of the adoption of the standard has not yet been determined.

notes62

4

  USE OF ESTIMATES AND JUDGEMENTS

In applying the Company’s accounting policies, which are described in Note 3, management makes estimates and 
assumptions concerning the future. The resulting accounting estimates will, by definition, vary to the actual results. 
The estimates and assumptions that have a significant risk of causing a material adjustment to the carrying amounts 
of assets and liabilities within the next financial year are discussed below:

A.  Reserves

There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and probable reserves and cash 
flows to be derived therefrom, including many factors beyond the control of the Company. The reserve and 
cash flow information contained herein represents estimates only. The reserves and estimated future net cash 
flow from the Company’s properties have been independently evaluated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants 
Ltd. (“McDaniel”), independent petroleum engineers. These evaluations include a number of assumptions relating 
to  factors  such  as  initial  production  rates,  production  decline  rates,  ultimate  recovery  of  reserves,  timing  and 
amount of capital expenditures, marketability of production, crude oil price differentials to benchmarks, future 
prices of oil and natural gas, operating costs, transportation costs, cost recovery provisions and royalties, TPDC 
“back-in” methodology and other government levies that may be imposed over the producing life of the reserves. 
These assumptions were based on price forecasts in use at the date of the relevant evaluations were prepared 
and many of these assumptions are subject to change and are beyond the control of the Company. For the 
purpose of the reserves certification as at 31 December 2015 it was assumed that TPDC will elect to ‘back-in’ for 
20% for all future new drilling activities after well SS-12 and this is reflected in the Company’s net reserve position. 
As at the time of writing this report TPDC have made no such election.

Reserves are integral to the amount of depletion recognized and impairment test.

B.  Carrying value of exploration and evaluation assets and property, plant and equipment

The Company assesses its property, plant and equipment for impairment when events or circumstances indicate 
that the carrying amount of its assets may not be recoverable. If any indication of impairment exists, the Company 
performs an impairment test on the CGU, which is the lowest level at which there are identifiable cash flows. The 
carrying amount of the CGU is compared to its recoverable amount which is defined as the greater of its fair value 
less cost to sell and value in use and is subject to management estimates. These estimates include quantities of 
reserves and future production, future commodity pricing, development costs, operating costs, and discount rates. 
Any changes in these estimates may have an impact on the recoverable amount of the CGU.

Property, plant and equipment is measured at cost less accumulated depreciation, depletion and amortization. 
The Company’s oil and natural gas properties are depleted using the unit-of-production method over proved plus 
probable reserves. The unit-of-production method takes into account estimates of capital expenditures incurred to 
date along with future development capital required to develop both proved plus probable reserves.

C.  Collectability of receivables

The  Company  evaluates  the  collectability  of  its  receivables  on  the  basis  of  payment  history,  frequency  and 
predictability, as well as Management’s assessment of the customer’s willingness and ability to pay. Management 
performs impairment tests each period on the Company’s current and long-term receivables (see Note 12).

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements63

D.  Fair value of stock based compensation

All stock options issued or stock appreciation rights granted by the Company are required to be valued at their 
fair value. In assessing the fair value of the equity based compensation, estimates have to be made as to (i) the 
volatility in share price, (ii) the risk free rate of interest, and (iii) the level of forfeiture. In the case of stock options, 
this fair value is estimated at the date of issue and is not revalued, whereas the fair value of stock appreciation 
rights is recalculated at each reporting period.

E.  Cost recovery

The Company is able to recover reasonable costs incurred on the development of the Songo Songo project out 
of 75% of the gross revenues less processing and pipeline tariffs (net revenue). There are inherent uncertainties in 
estimating when costs have been recovered as these costs are subject to government audit and in exceptional 
circumstances a potential reassessment after the elapse of a considerable period of time. 

F.  Financial instrument classification and measurement

The Company classifies the fair value of financial instruments according to the following hierarchy based on the 
amount of observable inputs used to value the instrument:

Level 1 – Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or liabilities as of the reporting date. 
Active  markets  are  those  in  which  transactions  occur  in  sufficient  frequency  and  volume  to  provide  pricing 
information on an ongoing basis.

Level 2 – Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets included in Level 1. Prices in Level 2 are 
either directly or indirectly observable as of the reporting date. Level 2 valuations are based on inputs, including 
expected interest rate, share prices, and volatility factors, which can be substantially observed or corroborated in 
the marketplace.

Level 3 – Valuation in this level are those with inputs for the asset or liabilities that are not based on observable 
market data. 

notes64

5

  RISK MANAGEMENT

The Company, by its activities in oil and gas exploration, development and production, is exposed to the risk associated 
with the unpredictable nature of the financial markets as well as political risk associated with conducting operations in 
an emerging market. The Company seeks to manage its exposure to these risks wherever possible.

A.  Foreign exchange risk

Foreign  exchange  risk  arises  when  transactions  and  recognised  assets  and  liabilities  of  the  Company  are 
denominated in a currency that is not the US dollar functional currency.

The Company operates internationally and is exposed to foreign exchange risk arising from currency exposures 
to US dollars. The main currencies to which the Company has an exposure are: Tanzanian shillings, British pounds 
sterling, Euros and Canadian dollars.

The  majority  of  the  expenditure  associated  with  the  operation  of  the  gas  distribution  system  is  denominated 
in  Tanzanian  shillings.  Whilst  conversion  of  Tanzanian  shillings  into  US  dollars  is  un-restricted,  the  foreign 
exchange market for Tanzanian shillings is limited and not highly liquid, reducing the Company’s ability to convert 
large amounts of Tanzanian shillings into US dollars at any given time. To mitigate the risk of Tanzanian shilling 
devaluation, the Company regularly converts Tanzanian shilling receipts into US dollars to the extent practicable. 
The majority of the consultants’ contracts are denominated in British pounds sterling. All of the capital stock, 
equity financing and any associated stock based compensation are denominated in Canadian dollars. All of the 
operational revenue and the majority of capital expenditure are denominated in US dollars.

There are no forward exchange rate contracts in place.

A 10% increase in the US dollar against the relevant foreign currency would result in an overall increase in working 
capital (defined as current assets less current liabilities) of US$0.7 million to US$33.1 million and an increase in 
the income before tax to US$11.1 million. The sensitivity includes only outstanding foreign currency denominated 
monetary  items  and  adjusts  their  translation  at  period  end  for  a  10%  change  in  the  foreign  currency  rates.  
A 10% sensitivity rate is used when reporting foreign currency risk internally to key management personnel and 
represents management’s assessment of the reasonable possible change in foreign exchange rates.

The following balances are denominated in foreign currency (stated in US dollars at period end exchange rates):

Balances as at December 31, 2015

US$’000

Cash

Trade and other receivables

Trade and other payables

B.  Commodity price risk

Canadian 
dollars 

Tanzanian 
shillings

Euros

Other

Total

0.4

–

(2.0)

(1.6)

2.0

4.9

(2.4)

4.5

0.8

0.1

(0.9)

–

3.8

0.9

(0.1)

4.6

7.0

5.9

(5.4)

7.5

The  Company  negotiated  industrial  gas  sales  contracts  with  gas  prices  which,  subject  to  certain  floors  and 
ceilings, are determined as a discount to the lowest cost alternative fuels in Dar es Salaam, namely Heavy Fuel Oil 
(“HFO”) and coal. The price of HFO is exposed to the volatility in the market price of crude oil.

C.  Interest rate risk

Interest rate risk is the risk that future cash flows will fluctuate as a result of changes in market interest rates. 
The Company has minimal exposure to interest rates as the long-term loan has a fixed interest rate and interest 
received on cash balances is not significant.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements65

D.  Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk of financial loss to the Company if a customer or counterparty to a financial instrument fails 
to meet its contractual obligations, and arises principally from the Company’s receivables from TANESCO and 
Songas.  The  carrying  amount  of  accounts  receivable  and  the  long-term  receivable  represents  the  maximum 
credit exposure. As of December 31, 2015 and 2014, other than the provisions against the long-term TANESCO 
receivable and gas plant operations charges/capital expenditure receivables from Songas, the Company does 
not have an allowance for doubtful accounts against any other receivables nor was it required to write-off any 
receivables (see Note 12).

All of the Company’s production is currently derived in Tanzania. The sales are made to the Power sector and the 
Industrial sector. In relation to sales to the Power sector, the Company has a contract with Songas for the supply 
of gas to the Ubungo power plant and a contract with TANESCO to supply approximately 37 MMcfd of gas. The 
contracts with Songas and TANESCO accounted for 58% of the Company’s operating revenue during 2015 and 
US$71.9 million of the short and long-term receivables prior to provision at year-end. 

TANESCO  has  continued  to  experience  financial  difficulties  during  2015,  which  has  resulted  in  irregular  and 
inconsistent  payments  for  gas  deliveries.  As  a  result  management  has  placed  a  provision  for  doubtful  debts 
against the entire amount of arrears due from TANESCO in the amount of US$61.9 million as at 31 December 
2015 (31 December 2014 US$52.2 million).

Sales to the Industrial sector, currently 38 customers, are subject to an internal credit review to minimize the risk 
of non-payment. 

The Company manages the credit exposure related to cash and cash equivalents by selecting counterparties 
based on credit ratings and monitoring all investments to ensure a stable return, avoiding complex investment 
vehicles with higher risk such as asset backed commercial paper. The Company’s cash resources are placed with 
reputable financial institutions with no history of default.

E.  Liquidity risk

Liquidity  risk  is  the  risk  that  the  Company  will  not  have  sufficient  funds  to  meet  its  liabilities.  Cash  forecasts 
identifying liquidity requirements of the Company are produced on a regular basis. These are reviewed to ensure 
sufficient funds exist to finance the Company’s current operational and investment cash flow requirements. The 
Company has US$49.5 million of financial liabilities with regards to trade and other payables of which US$48.6 
million is due within one to three months, nil is due within three to six months, and US$0.9 million is due within 
six to twelve months (see Note 15). As at year-end the Company had a current tax liability of US$2.4 million.

At the end of the year a significant proportion of the current liabilities relate to TPDC. The amounts due to TPDC 
represent its share of Profit Gas; however given the difficulties in collecting from TANESCO, the Company has 
been settling and intends to continue to settle these amounts on a pro rata basis in accordance with amounts 
received from TANESCO (see Note 12).

F.  Capital risk management

The Company’s objectives when managing capital are to safeguard the Company’s ability to continue as a going 
concern in order to provide returns for shareholders and benefits for other stakeholders and to achieve an optimal 
capital structure to reduce the cost of capital. The level of risk currently in Tanzania prohibits the optimisation of 
capital structure as many sources of traditional capital are unavailable.

G.  Country risk

Prior to 2014 an allegation had been made by TPDC that the Company had over-recovered approximately US$21 
million in Cost Gas revenue. This resulted in Parliament advising the GoT to take action to terminate the Company’s 
PSA. In response to a Notice of Dispute delivered by the Company in March 2014, TPDC retracted the allegation. In 
the opinion of management, the retraction exonerated the Company and to this date, no further action has been 
taken by Parliament or the Government against the Company related to the allegations. Accordingly, the Company 
continues to rely upon its rights under the existing PSA and has initiated notices of dispute to resolve any remaining 
issues. The Company has put in place an advisory committee of experienced individuals with significant experience 
working with the Tanzanian government to mitigate the risks of doing business in Tanzania. 

notes66

6

SEGMENT INFORMATION

The Company has one reportable industry segment which is international exploration, development and production 
of petroleum and natural gas. The Company currently has producing and exploration assets in Tanzania and had 
exploration and appraisal interests in Italy (see Note 20).

US$’000

External revenue

Segment income (loss)

Non-cash charge (1)

Depletion & depreciation

Asset impairment

Capital additions

Total assets

Total liabilities

2015

2014

Italy

Tanzania

Total

Italy

Tanzania

Total

–

(167)

–

–

–

–

1,621

131

54,088

1,700 

(9,908)

12,555

–

38,411

188,062

111,398

54,088

1,533

(9,908)

12,555

–

38,411

189,683

111,529

–

(6)

–

–

–

–

1,931

272

56,607

(38,295)

37,047

14,197

5,086

1,312

196,561

121,585

56,607

(38,301)

37,047

14,197

5,086

1,312

198,492

121,857

(1)  Non-cash charge represent amounts provided for doubtful accounts receivable from TANESCO.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 
7

  REVENUE

US$’000

Industrial sector

Power sector

Gross sales revenue

Processing and transportation tariff

Net revenue

TPDC share of revenue

Company operating revenue

Additional Profits Tax charge

Current income tax adjustment

Revenue

67

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

33,164

46,721

79,885

(12,282)

67,603

(17,349)

50,254

(2,355)

6,189

54,088

2014

43,763

52,803

96,566

(13,674)

82,892

(30,273)

52,619

(7,280)

11,268

56,607

The Company’s total revenues for the year amounted to US$54.1 million after adjusting the Company’s operating 
revenue of US$50.3 million by:

i) 

 adding US$6.2 million for income tax for the current year. The Company is liable for income tax in Tanzania, but 
the income tax is recoverable out of TPDC’s Profit Gas when the tax is payable. To account for this, revenue is 
adjusted to include the current income tax charge grossed up at 30% (see Note 10); and,

ii) 

 subtracting US$2.4 million for deferred Additional Profits Tax charged in the year – this tax is considered a royalty 
and is presented as a reduction in revenue. 

Cost Pool adjustments
In  2014,  the  Company  formally  advised  TPDC  that  the  downstream  business  will  remain  under  the  PSA  and  that 
related costs would be recovered in accordance with the terms of the PSA and would no longer be held separately. 
As  a  result  of  recovering  this  expenditure,  the  results  for  2014  reflect  a  reallocation  of  Cost  Gas  and  Profit  Gas 
between TPDC and the Company.

The following table shows the impact on the Company’s 2014 operating revenue resulting from adjusting the cost 
pool. The net amount which is included in the Company’s operating revenue of US$52.6 million has been recovered 
from TPDC’s share of revenue:

US$’000

Non-recoverable costs

Recoverable costs 2011-2013

Cost Gas recorded in the period

Reduction in Profit Gas in the period

Net impact on Company share of operating revenue

YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER
2014

(1,024)

7,360

6,336

(3,342)

2,994

notes 
68

8

  PERSONNEL EXPENSES

Personnel costs are as follows:

US$’000

Wages and salaries

Social security costs

Other statutory costs

Stock based compensation

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

9,037

876

207

10,120

(244)

9,876

8,958

675

321

9,954

3,482

13,436

Stock based compensation is recorded under general and administrative expenses in the statement of comprehensive 
income (loss). The balance of personnel expenses for 2015 of US$10.1 million (2014: US$10.0 million) is recorded in 
distribution and production expenses and general administrative expenses at US$1.9 million (2014: US$3.0 million) 
and US$8.0 million (2014: US$7.0 million) respectively. 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements9

  NET FINANCE EXPENSE

US$’000

Finance income

Interest expense

Net foreign exchange loss

Financing fee

Provision for doubtful accounts

Finance expense

Net finance expense

69

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

43

(117)

(2,677)

(16)

(11,178)

(13,988)

(13,945)

2014

98

(24)

(4,437)

–

(37,047)

(41,508)

(41,410)

During 2015, the Company billed TANESCO US$2.4 million (2014: US$2.2 million) of interest for late payments. The 
interest income is not recorded in the financial statements because it does not meet the revenue recognition criteria 
with respect to assurance of collectability. The Company is pursuing collection and amounts will be recognised in 
earnings when collected. The provision for doubtful accounts includes US$9.9 million (2014: US$35.1 million) for 
overdue TANESCO receivables and US$1.3 million (2014: US$1.9 million) relates to Songas receivables. 

Total amount of interest paid in 2015 was nil (2014: US$17 thousand).

notes 
70

10

INCOME TAXES

The tax charge is as follows:

US$’000

Current tax

Deferred tax expense (recovery)

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

7,691

1,705

9,396

2014

11,895

(457)

11,438

Tax of US$3.0 million (2014: US$1.5 million) was paid during the year in relation to the settlement of the prior year’s 
tax liability. The Company paid a further US$3.5 million related to periods from 2005 to 2013. In addition, provisional 
tax  payments  totaling  US$6.9  million  (2014:  US$8.8  million)  were  made  in  respect  of  the  current  year.  These  are 
presented as a reduction in tax payable on the statement of financial position.

Tax rate reconciliation

US$’000

Income (loss) before tax

Provision for income tax calculated at the statutory rate of 30%

Add the tax effect of non-deductible income tax items:

Administrative and operating expenses

Foreign exchange loss

Tax penalties

Stock-based compensation (recovery)

TANESCO interest not recognized as interest income (Note 9)

Unrecognized tax asset

Other permanent differences

YEARS ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

10,929

3,279

2014

(26,863)

(8,059)

1,552

199

–

(73)

714

2,930

795

9,396

1,387

349

272

1,045

650

15,646

148

11,438

As  at  31  December  2015,  the  provision  for  doubtful  debt  from  TANESCO  has  resulted  in  a  US$17.6  million  
(2014: US$15.6 million) unrecognised deferred tax asset. If this amount was ultimately not recovered, the Company 
would also be entitled to a US$10.5 million recovery of Value Added Tax.

 A deferred tax asset of US$2.2 million (2014: US$2.2 million) in respect of Longastrino Italy exploration and evaluation 
costs has not been recognised because it is not probable that there will be future profits against which this can be 
utilised.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 
71

The deferred income tax liability includes the following temporary differences:

US$’000

Differences between tax base and  
carrying value of property, plant and equipment

Tax recoverable from TPDC

Provision for doubtful debt 

Deferred Additional Profits Tax

Unrealised exchange losses/other provisions

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

(18,185)

(3,442)

2,987

9,394

(66)

(9,312)

(15,498)

(5,116)

2,945

8,688

1,375

(7,606)

Tax recoverable
The Company has a tax recoverable balance of US$4.5 million (2014: US$11.8 million). This arises from the revenue 
sharing  mechanism  within  the  PSA,  which  entitles  the  Company  to  recover  from  TPDC,  by  way  of  a  deduction 
from TPDC’s Profit Gas share an amount equal to the actual income taxes payable by the Company. The recovery, 
by deduction from TPDC’s share of revenue, is dependent upon payment of income taxes relating to prior period 
adjustment factors as they are assessed.

US$’000

Tax recoverable

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

4,519

2014

11,815

notes72

11

  ADDITIONAL PROFITS TAX

Under the terms of the PSA, in the event that all costs have been recovered with an annual cash return from the PSA 
of 25% plus the percentage change in the United States Industrial Goods Producer Price Index (“PPI”), an Additional 
Profits Tax (“APT”) is payable.

The Company provides for deferred APT by forecasting the total APT payable as a proportion of the forecast Profit 
Gas over the term of the PSA. The effective APT rate of 20.2% (2014: 21.9%) has been applied to Profit Gas of US$11.6 
million (2014: US$37.4 million). Accordingly, US$2.4 million (2014: US$7.3 million) has been netted off revenue for 
the year ended 31 December 2015. The APT charge for the 2014 includes a reduction of US$0.9 million, reflecting 
the impact of recovering downstream costs on cumulative Profit Gas, as a result of the US$3.3 million Profit Gas 
adjustment identified in the Cost Pool adjustment (see Note 7).

12

  TRADE AND OTHER RECEIVABLES

Current receivables

US$’000

Trade receivables

TANESCO

Songas

Industrial customers

Other receivables

Songas gas plant operations

Songas well workover programme

Other

Less provision for doubtful accounts

Trade receivables aged analysis

US$’000

TANESCO

Songas

Industrial customers

US$’000

TANESCO

Songas

Industrial customers

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

7,831

2,178

6,894

16,903

5,631

11,209

1,604

(9,956)

8,488

25,391

>90

–

–

821

821

>90

–

20,555

495

21,050

7,671

23,864

7,532

39,067

19,300

–

773

(9,816)

10,257

49,324

Total

7,831

2,178

6,894

16,903

Total

7,671

23,864

7,532

39,067

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2015

Current

>30 <60

>60 <90

3,972

1,082

3,317

8,371

3,859

1,096

1,859

6,814

–

–

897

897

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2014

Current

>30 <60

>60 <90

3,893

1,107

3,469

8,469

3,778

1,067

2,758

7,603

–

1,135

810

1,945

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements73

TANESCO
At  31  December  2015,  TANESCO  owed  the  Company  US$69.7  million  excluding  interest  (of  which  arrears  were 
US$61.9 million) compared to US$59.8 million (including arrears of US$52.2 million) as at 31 December 2014. During 
the  year,  the  Company  received  a  total  of  US$34.1  million  (2014:  US$46.7  million)  from  TANESCO  against  sales 
totaling US$43.6 million (2014: US$54.7 million). Current TANESCO receivables as at 31 December 2015 amounted 
to US$7.8 million (2014: US$7.7 million). Since the year-end, TANESCO has paid the Company US$4.1 million in 2016, 
and as at the date of this report the total TANESCO receivable is US$75.4 million (of which US$61.9 million has been 
provided for). The amounts owed do not include interest billed to TANESCO.

The Company has reached an understanding with TANESCO that it would only continue to supply gas if TANESCO 
remained reasonably current with payments for current gas deliveries. Excess payments received over and above the 
current balances would be applied to the arrears balance. TANESCO payments for 2015 continued to be irregular 
but were sufficient to cover current gas deliveries until the third quarter when payments again were not sufficient 
to  cover  current  gas  deliveries.  During  Q4  2015  TANESCO  payments  further  decreased  with  only  US$4.5  million 
being received against sales of US$11.7 million. Management has reviewed the current position with TANESCO and 
concluded that the policy to reclassify all amounts receivable from TANESCO in excess of 60 days, and in arrears, as 
a long-term receivable is still appropriate. As a result, the Company has classified US$9.8 million, the arrears in excess 
of 60 days, as long-term and has placed a full provision against this amount. The current total provision is US$61.9 
million (2014: US$ 52.2 million).

Long-term receivables

US$’000

TANESCO receivable

Provision for doubtful debts

Net TANESCO receivable

VAT bond

Lease deposit

Long-term receivables

Songas

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

61,922

52,154

(61,922)

(52,154)

–

332

252

584

–

369

265

634

As at 31 December 2015, Songas owed the Company US$19.0 million (2014: US$43.2 million), whilst the Company 
owed Songas US$2.6 million (2014: US$30.4 million); there is no contractual right to offset these amounts. Amounts 
due  to  Songas  primarily  relate  to  pipeline  tariff  charges  of  US$  1.1  million  (2014:  US$28.9  million),  whereas  the 
amounts due to the Company are mainly for capital expenditures of US$11.2 million (2014: US$nil), sales of gas of 
US$2.2 million (2014: US$23.9 million) and for the operation of the gas plant of US$5.6 million (2014: US$19.3 million). 
The operation of the gas plant is conducted at cost and the charges are billed to Songas on a flow through basis.

As  at  31  December  2015  the  net  amount  owed  by  Songas  to  the  Company  was  US$16.3  million  (2014:  US$12.7 
million). Although significant progress has been made in settling outstanding balances, a doubtful debt provision of 
US$9.8 million is necessary recognizing the pending settlement of the remaining overdue operatorship charges and 
the Songas share of the well workover costs. Any significant amounts not agreed will likely be pursued through the 
mechanisms provided in the agreements with Songas.

All amounts due to and from Songas have been summarized in the net Songas balance (see Note 15).

notes 
 
74

13

  PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT

US$’000

Costs

Oil & natural 
gas interests

Leasehold 
improvements

Computer 
equipment

Vehicles

Fixtures & 
fittings

Total

As at 1 January 2015

Additions

As at 31 December 2015

140,653

38,155

178,808

Accumulated depletion and depreciation

As at 1 January 2014

Depletion and depreciation

As at 31 December 2015

Net book values

63,534

11,855

75,389

As at 31 December 2015

103,419

699

–

699

170

175

345

354

1,233

108

1,341

955

213

1,168

173

149

148

297

120

48

168

129

1,125

143,859

–

38,411

1,125

182,270

662

264

926

65,441

12,555

77,996

199

104,274

Oil & natural 
gas interests

Leasehold 
improvements

Computer 
equipment

Vehicles

Fixtures & 
fittings

Total

US$’000

Costs

As at 1 January 2014

Additions

Transfer from Exploration  
& Evaluation assets

Disposals

139,072

1,103

478

–

As at 31 December 2014

140,653

Accumulated depletion and depreciation

As at 1 January 2014

Depletion and depreciation

Disposals

As at 31 December 2014

Net book values

49,967

13,567

–

63,534

885

72

–

(258)

699

245

183

(258)

170

1,158

75

–

–

1,233

761

194

–

955

278

137

12

–

–

149

137

(17)

–

120

1,082

50

142,334

1,312

–

(7)

478

(265)

1,125

143,859

392

270

–

662

51,502

14,197

(258)

65,441

29

463

78,418

As at 31 December 2014

77,119

529

In  determining  the  depletion  charge,  it  is  estimated  that  future  development  costs  of  US$103.8  million  (2014: 
US$252 million) will be required to bring the total proved reserves to production. The decrease in estimated future 
development costs is a result of the successful workovers completed during the year. This reduced the amount of 
capital expenditure required in the future to ensure the Company can produce the required gas volumes to meet its 
contractual obligations for the remaining life of the license. During the year the Company recorded depreciation of 
US$0.7 million (2014: US$0.6 million) in general and administrative expenses.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements75

14

  ASSET IMPAIRMENT

During 2014, site costs of survey and materials purchased in preparation for the drilling of the first Songo Songo West 
well of US$5.1 million recorded in exploration and evaluation assets were identified as having been impaired.

15

  TRADE AND OTHER PAYABLES

US$’000

Songas (1)

Other trade payables

Trade payables

TPDC share of Profit Gas

Deferred income

Accrued liabilities

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

1,071

11,234

12,305

28,208

667

8,351

49,531

2014

28,871

1,961

30,832

33,409

2,780

9,726

76,747

(1)   A summary of all Songas balances is presented below, including the opening position, movements during the year and details of post 

year-end settlements made in cash by the Company and by Songas (see Note 12). 

Pipeline tariff – payable

Gas sales – receivable

Gas plant operation receivable

Workover programme

Other payable

Net balances

1 January 2015

Year to date 
transactions

Gross balance  
31 Dec 2015

Post year-end 
payments 
and receipts

Outstanding 
as at the date 
of this report

(28,871)

23,864

19,300

–

(1,574)

12,719

27,800

(21,686)

(13,669)

11,209

28

3,682

(1,071)

2,178

5,631

11,209

(1,546)

16,401

1,071

(2,178)

–

–

–

(1,107)

–

–

5,631

11,209

(1,546)

15,294

notes76

16

  LONG-TERM LOAN

On  the  29th  October  2015,  the  Company  entered  into  a  loan  agreement  (“Loan”)  with  the  International  Finance 
Corporation (“IFC”), a member of the World Bank Group, for a US$60 million investment in the Company’s operating 
subsidiary, PanAfrican Energy Tanzania Limited (“PAET”).

The term of the Loan is 10-years, with no repayment of principal for the first seven years, followed by a three-year 
amortization period. The Loan is an unsecured subordinated obligation of PAET and is guaranteed by the Company 
to a maximum of US$30 million. The guarantee may only be called upon by IFC at maturity in 2025 and, subject to 
IFC approval and receipt of all required regulatory approvals, the Company may issue shares in fulfillment of all or part 
of the guarantee obligation in 2025.

Base  interest  on  the  Loan  is  payable  quarterly  at  10%  per  annum  on  a  ‘pay-if-you-can-basis’  using  a  formula  to 
calculate  the  net  cash  available  for  such  payments  as  at  any  given  interest  payment  date.  In  addition,  an  annual 
variable  participatory  interest  equating  to  7%  of  the  cash  flow  of  PAET  net  of  capital  expenditures  is  payable  in 
respect of any given year, commencing with 2016. Such participatory interest will continue until 15 October 2026 
regardless whether the Loan is repaid prior to its contractual maturity date. Dividends and distributions from PAET to 
the Company are restricted during the term of the Off-Shore Programme and at any time that any amounts of unpaid 
interest, principal or participating interest are outstanding. The Off-Shore Programme was completed subsequent to 
year-end.

On the 14th December 2015, PAET made an initial drawdown of US$20 million from the available US$60 million. 
Subsequent to the year-end PAET has drawn the remaining US$40 million. 

US$’000

Total IFC facility

Loan drawdown

Financing costs

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

60,000

20,000

(1,401)

18,599

–

–

–

– 

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements77

17

  CAPITAL STOCK

A.  Authorised

50,000,000 

Class A common shares 

No par value

100,000,000 

Class B subordinate voting shares 

No par value

100,000,000 

First preference shares 

No par value

The Class A and Class B shares rank pari passu in respect of dividends and repayment of capital in the event 
of winding-up. Class A shares carry twenty (20) votes per share and Class B shares carry one vote per share.  
The Class A shares are convertible at the option of the holder at any time into Class B shares on a one-for-one 
basis. The Class B shares are convertible into Class A shares on a one-for-one basis in the event that a take-over 
bid is made to purchase Class A shares which must, by reason of a stock exchange or legal requirements, be 
made to all or substantially all of the holders of Class A shares and which is not concurrently made to holders of 
Class B shares.

B.  Changes in the capital stock of the Company were as follows:

Number of shares

2015

2014

Authorised
(000)

Issued
(000)

Amount
(US$’000)

Authorised
(000)

Issued
(000)

Amount
(US$’000)

Class A

As at 1 January and 
31 December 

Class B

50,000

1,751

983

50,000

1,751

983

As at 1st January 

100,000

33,164

84,654

100,000

33,072

Stock options exercised

Normal course issuer 
bid repurchases

–

–

–

–

(58)

(149)

–

–

92

–

84,445

209

–

As at 31 December 

100,000

33,106

84,505

100,000

33,164

84,654

First preference

As at 31 December

100,000

–

–

100,000

–

–

Total Class A, Class B 
and first preference 

250,000

34,857

85,488

250,000

34,915

85,637

All of the issued capital stock is fully paid. 

Stock Options

Number of options

Outstanding as at 1 January

Forfeited

Exercised

Expired unexercised

Outstanding as at 31 December

2015

2014

Options

Exercise Price

Options

 Exercise Price

(000)

400

(400)

–

–

–

CDN$

 (000)

CDN$

3.18

3.18

–

–

–

1,742

1.00 to 3.60

(250)

(92)

(1,000)

400

3.60

1.00

1.00

3.18

notes78

Stock Appreciation Rights (“SARs”)

Number of options

Outstanding as at 1 January 

Expired

Granted (i)

2015

SARs

(000)

2014

 Exercise 
Price

SARs

Exercise Price

  (CDN$)

(000)

(CDN$)

2,910

2.12 to 4.20

1,130

2.12 to 4.20

(300)

4.20

490

3.02 to 3.25

–

1,780

–

2.30

Outstanding as at 31 December 

3,100

2.12 to 3.25

2,910

2.12 to 4.20

(i)   A total of 490,000 SARs were issued during the year with an exercise price from CDN$3.02 to CDN$3.25. These rights have a term of one 
to five years and vest in equal annual instalments, the first tranche vesting on the anniversary of the grant date. There is no maximum 
liability associated with these rights.

The weighted average remaining life and weighted average exercise prices of SARs at 31 December 2015 were as 
follows:

Number outstanding 
as at 31 December
(000)

Weighted average 
remaining contractual life
(years)

Number exercisable as 
at 31 December 2015
(000)

Weighted average 
exercise price
(CDN$)

Exercise price
(CDN$)

2.12 to 2.30

2.35 to 2.70

3.02 to 3.25

2.12 to 3.25

Restricted Stock Units (“RSUs”)

Outstanding as at 1 January

Granted 

Exercised

Outstanding as at 31 December

2,080

530

490

3,100

2.96

1.86

4.79

3.06

2015

RSUs
(000)

645

–

(645)

–

556

530

–

1,086

2.27

2.48

3.06

2.43

Grant/exercise 
price (CDN$)

–

–

2014

Grant/exercise 
price (CDN$)

–

3.70

3.79

2.90

RSUs
(000)

–

792

(147)

645

As SARs and RSUs are settled in cash, they are re-valued at each reporting date using the Black-Scholes option pricing 
model with the resulting liability being recognized in trade and other payables. In the valuation of stock appreciation 
rights and restricted stock units at the reporting date, the following assumptions have been made: a risk free rate of 
interest of 1.5%, stock volatility of 48.9% to 51.6%; 0% dividend yield; 5% forfeiture; a closing stock price of CDN$2.75 
per share.

US$’000

SARs

RSUs

YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

2015

1,572

–

1,572

2014

1,766

1,613

3,379

As  at  31  December  2015,  a  total  accrued  liability  of  US$1.6  million  (2014:  US$3.4  million)  has  been  recognised  in 
relation to SARs and RSUs which is included in other payables. The Company recognised a credit for the year of 
US$0.2 million (2014: expense US$3.5 million) in general and administrative expenses.

The credit in 2015 was the result of a 5% reduction in the share price to US$2.75 (2014: US$2.90) and a net increase 
in SARs of 190,000. The 2014 charge reflected the issue of 792,000 RSUs and 1,780,000 SARs.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements18

  EARNINGS PER SHARE

(‘000)

Outstanding shares

Weighted average number of Class A and Class B shares

Weighted average diluted number of Class A and Class B shares

79

AS AT 31 DECEMBER

2015

2014

34,887

34,887

34,863

34,863

The calculation of basic earnings (loss) per share is based on a net income (loss) for the year of US$1.5 million (2014: 
loss US$38.3 million) and a weighted average number of Class A and Class B shares outstanding during the period of 
34,887,100 (2014: 34,862,588).

19

  RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

One  of  the  non-executive  Directors  is  a  partner  at  a  law  firm  that  provides  legal  advice  to  the  Company  and  its 
subsidiaries. For the year ended 31 December 2015 US$0.6 million (2014: US$0.2 million) was incurred from this firm 
for services provided. The transactions with this related party were made at the exchange amount. 

The former Chief Financial Officer who became an Executive Vice-President in November 2015, provided services to 
the Company through a consulting agreement with a personal services company. For the year ended 31 December 
2015 US$0.4 million (2014: US$0.6 million) was incurred from this firm for services provided.

As  at  31  December  2015  the  Company  has  a  total  of  US$0.4  million  (2014:  US$nil)  recorded  in  trade  and  other 
payables in relation to the related parties. 

notes80

20

 CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS  
& COMMITTED CAPITAL INVESTMENTS

Protected Gas
Under the terms of the original gas agreement for the Songo Songo project (“Gas Agreement”), in the event that 
there is a shortfall/insufficiency in Protected Gas as a consequence of the sale of Additional Gas, then the Company 
is liable to pay the difference between the price of Protected Gas (US$0.55/MMbtu escalated) and the price of an 
alternative feedstock multiplied by the volumes of Protected Gas up to a maximum of the volume of Additional Gas 
sold (145.0 Bcf as at 31 December 2015). The Company did not have a shortfall during the reporting period and does 
not anticipate a shortfall arising during the term of the Protected Gas delivery obligation to July 2024.

The  Gas  Agreement  may  be  superseded  by  an  initialed  Amended  and  Restated  Gas  Agreement  (“ARGA”).  The 
unsigned ARGA provides clarification of the Protected Gas volumes and removes all terms dealing with the security 
of the Protected Gas and contract terms dealing with the consequences of any insufficiency are dealt with in a new 
Insufficiency Agreement (“IA”). The IA specifies terms under which Songas may demand cash security in order to keep 
it whole in the event of a Protected Gas insufficiency. Should the IA be signed, it will govern the basis for determining 
security. Under the provisional terms of the IA, when it is calculated that funding is required, the Company is required 
to fund an escrow account at a rate of US$2.00/MMbtu on all Industrial Additional Gas sales out of its and TPDC’s 
share  of  revenue,  and  TANESCO  shall  contribute  the  same  amount  on  Additional  Gas  sales  to  the  Power  sector. 
The funds provide security for Songas in the event of an insufficiency of Protected Gas. The Company is actively 
monitoring the reservoir and, supported by the report of its independent engineers, does not anticipate that a liability 
will occur in this respect. As at the date of this report, the ARGA remains an initialed agreement only, however the 
parties thereto, in certain respects, are conducting themselves as though the ARGA is in full force and effect.

Re-Rating Agreement
In 2011, the Company signed a re-rating agreement with TANESCO and Songas (the “Re-rating Agreement”) to increase 
the gas processing capacity to a maximum of 110 MMcfd (the pipeline and pressure requirements at the Ubungo 
power  plant  restrict  the  infrastructure  capacity  to  a  maximum  of  102  MMcfd).  Under  the  terms  of  the  Re-rating 
Agreement, the Company effectively pays an additional tariff of US$0.30/mcf for sales between 70 MMcfd and 90 
MMcfd and US$0.40/mcf for volumes above 90 MMcfd in addition to the tariff of US$0.59/mcf payable to Songas 
as set by the energy regulator, EWURA. The Re-rating agreement expired on 31 December 2013. Since 31 December 
2013 production has continued within the higher rated limit and the Company expects this to continue. However, 
there are no assurances that the ability to produce at the higher rating will continue.

Under the terms of this agreement, the Company agreed to indemnify Songas for damage to its facilities caused 
by the re-rating, up to a maximum of US$15.0 million, but only to the extent that this was not already covered by 
indemnities from TANESCO’s or Songas’ insurance policies. 

Portfolio Gas Supply Agreement ("PGSA")
On 17 June 2011, a long term (to June 2023) PGSA was signed between TANESCO (as the buyer) and the Company 
and TPDC (collectively as the seller). Under the PGSA, the seller is obligated, subject to infrastructure capacity, to sell 
a maximum of approximately 37 MMcfd for use in any of TANESCO’s current power plants except those operated 
by Songas at Ubungo. Under the agreement, the basic wellhead price of approximately US$2.93/mcf increased to 
US$2.98/mcf on 1 July 2015. Any volumes of gas delivered under the PGSA in excess of 36 MMcfd are subject to a 
150% increase in the basic wellhead gas price.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements 
81

Operating leases
The  Company  has  two  office  rental  agreements,  one  in  Dar  es  Salaam,  Tanzania  and  one  in  Winchester,  United 
Kingdom. The agreement in Dar es Salaam was entered into on 1 November 2015 and expires on 31 October 2019 
at an annual rent of US$0.4 million. The agreement in Winchester expires on 25 September 2022 and is at an annual 
rental  of  US$0.1  million  per  annum.  The  costs  of  these  leases  are  recognised  in  the  general  and  administrative 
expenses.

Capital Commitments
Italy

The Company has an agreement to farm in on Central Adriatic B.R268.RG Permit offshore Italy. The farm-in commits 
the Company to fund 30% of an appraisal well up to a maximum of US$11.5 million to earn a 15% working interest in 
the permit. Thereafter, the Company will fund all future costs relating to the well and the permit in proportion to its 
participating interest. The Company has also agreed to pay fifteen per cent (15%) of the back costs in relation to the 
well up to a maximum of US$0.5 million. Changes in Italian environmental legislation in late 2015 have resulted in the 
development of this permit being postponed indefinitely. As at the date of this report, the Company has no further 
capital commitments in Italy.

Tanzania

There are no contractual commitments for exploration or development drilling or other field development either in 
the PSA or otherwise agreed which would give rise to significant capital expenditure at Songo Songo. Any significant 
additional capital expenditure in Tanzania is discretionary.

Given the completion of the Offshore component of Phase I of the Development Programme in February 2016, 
which  has  improved  field  deliverability  and  provides  sufficient  natural  gas  production  to  fill  the  Songas  plant  and 
pipeline to capacity for the greater portion of the remaining life of the production license, the Company does not 
expect to commit to further significant capital expenditures until: (i) agreeing commercial terms with TPDC for the 
supply of gas to the NNGIP regarding the sale of incremental gas volumes from Songo Songo; and/or (ii) TANESCO 
arrears have been substantially reduced, guaranteed or other arrangements for payment made that are satisfactory to 
the Company; and/or (iii) the establishment of payment guarantees with the World Bank or other multi-lateral lending 
agencies to secure future receipts under any new sales contracts with Government entities.

When the required conditions are met, and in so doing justify further improving the reliability/capacity of field deliverability, 
the  Company  would  contemplate  undertaking  the  remaining  part  of  the  Phase  I  Development  Programme.  The 
additional costs are estimated to be approximately US$30 million. There is no assurance that financing will be available 
and on acceptable commercial terms to complete Phase I.

notes82

21

  CONTINGENCIES

Downstream unbundling
The newly passed Petroleum Act, 2015 (the “Act”) was passed into Law by Presidential decree on 4 August 2015. In 
relation to the unbundling of the downstream business, the Act vests TPDC with exclusive rights in the distribution 
of gas, however, the Act has a provision which recognizes the Company’s PSA within the legislation. The Company 
does not expect the new legislation to have a significant impact on the downstream distribution business however it 
is still unclear how the provisions of the Act will be interpreted and implemented.

TPDC Back-in
TPDC  has  previously  indicated  a  wish  to  exercise  its  right  under  the  PSA  to  ‘back  in’  to  the  Songo  Songo  field 
development  and  a  further  wish  to  convert  this  into  a  carried  working  interest  in  the  PSA.  The  current  terms  of 
the PSA require TPDC to provide formal notice in a defined period and contribute a proportion of the costs of any 
development, sharing in the risks in return for an additional share of the gas. To date, TPDC has not contributed any 
costs. 

For the purpose of the reserves certification as at 31 December 2015, it was assumed that TPDC will elect to ‘back-in’ 
for 20% for all future new drilling activities within the prescribed period as determined by the current development 
plan and this is reflected in the Company’s net reserve position.

Cost recovery
TPDC conducted an audit of the historic Cost Pool and in 2011 disputed approximately US$34 million of costs that 
had been recovered from the Cost Pool from 2002 through to 2009. In 2014 TPDC and the Company agreed to 
remove US$1.0 million from the Cost Pool. In 2015 there have been no further developments. Under the dispute 
mechanism  outlined  in  the  PSA,  TPDC  are  to  appoint  an  independent  specialist  to  assist  the  parties  in  reaching 
agreement on costs that are still subject to dispute, as at the time of writing this report no such specialist has been 
appointed. If the matter is not resolved to the Company’s satisfaction, the Company intends to proceed to arbitration 
via the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (“ICSID”) pursuant to the terms of the PSA.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements83

Tax dispute

Period

Reason for dispute

Disputed amount US$ million

Principal

Interest

Total

Taxation

 Area

PAYE

WHT

2008-10 Pay-As-You-Earn (“PAYE”) withholding tax on taxable 

income of employees on grossed up equivalent of 
staff salaries, which are contractually stated as net.

2005-10 WHT on services by non-resident persons 
performed outside of Tanzania.

Income Tax

2008-13 Deductibility of capital expenditures and expenses 

(2009), additional income tax (2008, 2010, 2011), 
and foreign exchange rate application (2013).

VAT

2008-10 Output VAT on imported services 

and SSI Operatorship services.

0.3

1.1

5.2

2.8

9.4

–

0.3 (1)

0.8

1.4

3.0

5.2

1.9 (2)

6.6 (3)

5.8 (4)

14.6

(1)   During the year, PAET appealed the Tax Revenue Appeals Board (“TRAB”) ruling that PAET is liable to pay PAYE on grossed up equivalent 

of staff salaries. PAET is awaiting appeal date to be set up with the Tax Revenue Appeals Tribunal (“TRAT”);

(2)   2005-2009 (US$1.8 million): During the year, TRAT ruled in favor of PAET. TRA has filed notice of appeal with the Court of Appeal, and PAET 

is awaiting decision of the Court of Appeal. 

 2010 (US$0.1 million): TRAB is awaiting a ruling from the Court of Appeal on the 2005-2009 case, which would influence TRAB decision 
on this matter accordingly.

(3)  (a)  2009  (US$1.8  million):  During  the  year,  TRAB  has  ruled  against  PAET  with  respect  to  the  deductibility  of  capital  expenditures  and 

expenses. PAET appealed to TRAT and is awaiting hearing date to be scheduled; 

(b)   2008, 2010-2011 (US$4.6 million): During the year, PAET filed objections against TRA assessments with respect to additional tax and 

is awaiting a response;

(c)   2013 (US$ 0.2 million): During the year, PAET filed objections to TRA assessment with respect to foreign exchange rate application and 

is awaiting a response.

(4)  In 2014, PAET filed an objection to TRA’s claims and is awaiting a response.

 Management, with the advice from its legal counsels, has reviewed the Company’s position on the above objections 
and appeals and has concluded that no provision is required with regard to the above matters.

notes 
 
 
84

22

  DIRECTORS AND OFFICERS EMOLUMENTS

US$’000

Directors

Directors

Officers

Officers

Year

Base

Bonus

2015

2014

2015

2014

1,100

1,412

1,469

748

500

660

345

210

Stock based 
compensation 
expense

1,676

2,412

43

334

Total

3,276

4,484

1,857

1,292

The table above provides information on compensation relating to the Company’s officers and directors. Six officers 
and three non-executive directors comprised the key management personnel during the year ended 31 December 
2015 (2014: four officers and two non-executive directors). One of the officers is also a director and as such their 
remuneration has been included under directors’ emoluments in the table above.

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC. |  2015 ANNUAL REPORTNotes to the Consolidated Financial Statements85

c
o
r
p
o
r
a
t
e

i

n
f
o
r
m
a
t
i

o
n

Corporate Information

Board of Directors

W. David Lyons 
Chairman and 
Chief Executive Officer

Queensway 
Gibraltar

Officers

W. David Lyons 
Chairman and 
Chief Executive Officer

Queensway 
Gibraltar

Operating Office

PanAfrican Energy  
Tanzania Limited

Oyster Plaza Building, 5th Floor 
Haile Selassie Road 
P.O. Box 80139, Dar es Salaam Tanzania 
Tel: + 255 22 2138737  
Fax: + 255 22 2138938

International Subsidiaries

David W. Ross 
Non-Executive Director

William H. Smith 
Non-Executive Director

Glenn D. Gradeen 
Non-Executive Director

Calgary, Alberta 
Canada

Calgary, Alberta 
Canada

Calgary, Alberta 
Canada

Blaine Karst 
Chief Financial Officer

Stephen Huckerby 
Chief Accounting Officer 

David K. Roberts 
Vice President of Operations

Calgary, Alberta 
Canada

St. Peters, Jersey 
Channel Islands

Kansas City, Missouri 
United States of America

Registered Office

Investor Relations

Orca Exploration  
Group Inc.

P.O. Box 146 
Road Town 
Tortola 
British Virgin Islands, VG110

W. David Lyons 
Chairman and 
Chief Executive Officer

WDLyons@orcaexploration.com 
www.orcaexploration.com

PanAfrican Energy  
Tanzania Limited

PAE PanAfrican 
Energy Corporation

Oyster Plaza Building, 5th Floor 
Haile Selassie Road 
P.O. Box 80139, Dar es Salaam Tanzania 
Tel: + 255 22 2138737  
Fax: + 255 22 2138938

1st Floor 
Cnr St George/Chazal Streets 
Port Louis 
Mauritius 
Tel: + 230 207 8888 
Fax: + 230 207 8833

Orca Exploration Italy Inc.

Orca Exploration Italy  
Onshore Inc.

P.O. Box 3152, 
Road Town 
Tortola 
British Virgin Islands

Engineering Consultants

Auditors

Website

McDaniel & Associates  
Consultants Ltd.  
Calgary, Canada

KPMG LLP 
Calgary, Canada

orcaexploration.com

Lawyers

Transfer Agent

Burnet, Duckworth  
& Palmer LLP 
Calgary, Canada

CST Trust Company 
Calgary, Alberta, Canada

 
www.orcaexploration.com

ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP INC.