QBE Insurance Group
Annual Report 2019

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2019 Annual Report Q B E I N S U R A N C E G R O U P L I M I T E D This is an interactive PDF designed to enhance your experience. The best way to view this report is with Adobe Acrobat Reader. Click on the links on the contents pages or use the home button in the footer to navigate the report. 1 A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i Table of contents A N N UA L R E P O R T 2 01 9 SECTION 1 SECTION 3 SECTION 5 Performance overview Governance Financial Report Financial Report contents Financial statements Notes to the financial statements Directors’ declaration 83 84 88 160 SECTION 6 Other information o n Independent auditor’s report Shareholder information Financial calendar 10-year history Glossary 161 169 172 173 174 Chairman’s message 2019 snapshot Group Chief Executive Officer’s report SECTION 2 Business review Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Operations overview North America business review International business review Australia Pacific business review 2 4 6 10 24 26 28 30 Climate change – our approach to risks and opportunities Risk – our business Board of Directors Group Executive Committee Corporate governance statement 32 40 44 46 48 SECTION 4 Directors’ Report Directors’ Report Remuneration Report 56 60 Auditor’s independence declaration 82 QBE Insurance Group Limited | ABN 28 008 485 014 All amounts in this report are US dollars unless otherwise stated. 2 Chairman's message Strong foundations for a sustainable future At QBE, our purpose is to give people the confidence to achieve their ambitions. Around the world, our team of more than 11,700 people strive every day to meet this commitment. We aim to keep the customer at the centre of our decision-making as we work to deliver insurance and risk management solutions that respond to our customers' current and emerging needs. When disaster strikes, our immediate priority is the safety, wellbeing and ultimately recovery of our customers and the communities in which they live. Throughout 2019, our customers around the world faced a number of challenges, from monsoonal flooding in the Queensland city of Townsville to devastating wildfires in the US, and unseasonal weather conditions which impacted the performance of our North American Crop business. Through it all, QBE was there to help. As 2019 ended and 2020 began, we were there too when unprecedented bushfires swept across the Australian landscape razing homes, businesses and livelihoods. The devastation caused by the fires is widespread and many QBE customers and their communities were impacted. I am enormously proud of how QBE responded to these events, which Pat details in his CEO report on page 6 of this Annual Report. Just as we were there in the immediate aftermath, we will continue to support our customers and bushfire communities on the long road to recovery. 2 Chairman's message 3 Strong foundations for a sustainable future At QBE, our purpose is to give people the confidence to achieve their ambitions. Around the world, our team of more than 11,700 people strive every day to meet this commitment. We aim to keep the customer at the centre of our decision-making as we work to deliver insurance and risk management solutions that respond to our customers' current and emerging needs. When disaster strikes, our immediate priority is the safety, wellbeing and ultimately recovery of our customers and the communities in which they live. Throughout 2019, our customers around the world faced a number of challenges, from monsoonal flooding in the Queensland city of Townsville to devastating wildfires in the US, and unseasonal weather conditions which impacted the performance of our North American Crop business. Through it all, QBE was there to help. As 2019 ended and 2020 began, we were there too when unprecedented bushfires swept across the Australian landscape razing homes, businesses and livelihoods. The devastation caused by the fires is widespread and many QBE customers and their communities were impacted. I am enormously proud of how QBE responded to these events, which Pat details in his CEO report on page 6 of this Annual Report. Just as we were there in the immediate aftermath, we will continue to support our customers and bushfire communities on the long road to recovery. Risk culture Sustainability We work in an era of increasing regulatory scrutiny for our industry. Across our operating divisions – North America, International and Australia Pacific – we strive to apply the highest possible governance standards as we respond to changing customer, community and stakeholder expectations around the world. In our home market of Australia, the Royal Commission into Misconduct in the Banking, Superannuation and Financial Services Industry is leading to a number of regulatory and legislative reforms that have ramifications for the insurance industry and the financial services sector more broadly. QBE is pleased to have played a constructive role in supporting these reforms, while also making a number of important changes within our operations in response to our own assessment of the strengths and areas for improvement in our governance, accountability and culture frameworks. Shareholder returns Unusually poor weather conditions in parts of the US adversely affected the financial performance of our North American Crop business in 2019. Regrettably, this weighed on the Group's underwriting result, despite very good pricing momentum and a strong investment performance in an otherwise challenging global interest rate environment. The Group statutory net profit after tax of $550 million represents a 41% increase on 2018, while the cash return on equity was 8.9% 1, up from 8.0% 1 in the prior year. The Board has taken this into account when determining this year’s final dividend. Our dividend policy is intended to reward shareholders relative to cash profit, while maintaining sufficient capital for future investment and growth in the business. Accordingly, the Board has declared a final dividend of 27 Australian cents per share. When combined with the 25 Australian cents per share dividend declared at the half year, this represents a 2019 full year dividend of 52 Australian cents per share. This compares favourably with 50 Australian cents per share paid out in 2018 and equates to a payout ratio of 65% of adjusted cash profit. During 2019, we also purchased an additional A$295 million in QBE shares as part of our three-year on-market share buyback program. As a company that helps people and businesses protect themselves from risk, QBE is keenly focused on sustainability. The identification and management of current and emerging environmental, social and governance trends is integral both to our ability to understand the needs of our customers and to ensuring the sustainability of our own business. In 2019, we further improved our overall ranking in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI)/Corporate Sustainability Assessment and maintained our inclusion in the DJSI Australia Index. This is positive recognition of the work we are doing, and in 2020 we will maintain our efforts in this area. Climate change is a global risk that has had, and will continue to have, ramifications around the world. It is a material risk for QBE and across our operations, and we have developed a detailed approach for how we manage climate-related risks. In 2019, we continued to deliver on our Climate Change Action Plan commitments and further enhanced our disclosures, in line with the recommendations of the Task-force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD). Pleasingly, our focus on climate change was recognised by non-profit climate research provider, CDP, with QBE’s score for corporate transparency and action jumping two places to a ‘B’ in 2019. An update on our Climate Change Action Plan is included on pages 32 to 39 of this Annual Report. Among the measures introduced in 2019 was the publication of our energy policy, which provides shareholders, customers and the wider community with a clear explanation of the Group’s approach to investing in and underwriting energy projects. Due to the high emissions intensity of thermal coal, QBE has maintained zero direct financial investment in thermal coal from 1 July 2019, and we have committed to phase out all direct insurance services for thermal coal customers within the next decade. I am also pleased to report that in 2019, QBE again achieved carbon neutrality and we set an ambitious target to use 100% renewable electricity across our operations by 2025. We are also working closely with our customers in a range of sectors around the world to support their transition to a lower carbon economy. Earlier this year, QBE launched its first disaster relief and climate resilience partnerships with two of the world’s leading humanitarian agencies, Red Cross and Save The Children. These three-year partnerships support the rapid mobilisation of support for disaster relief activities in response to catastrophic events. By directing a portion of these funds to climate resilience projects, we are also supporting the efforts of communities to protect themselves from physical risks and potentially mitigate future disaster. Looking ahead As a global insurer, with operations in 27 countries around the world, we are acutely aware of the challenges and uncertainties that tomorrow may bring. Global population growth, climate change, mass migration of people to cities, economic uncertainty, trade disputes and protectionism all present challenges for our customers and for our business. At the same time, technological innovation, the Internet of Things (IoT), the explosion in data and the increasingly sophisticated use of analytics all present opportunities for QBE. I am confident that, with a highly performing team under Pat Regan’s leadership, QBE is well placed to take advantage of these opportunities and build on the momentum we have created in 2019. Accordingly, I have advised the Board that I believe the time is right for me to step down as Chairman and from the QBE Group Board. Board renewal is important to bring fresh ideas and perspectives and I am delighted the Board has chosen Mike Wilkins to succeed me in the role of Group Chairman. Mike is a highly regarded and well credentialed director and will bring fresh thinking to the direction of your company. Thank you, our shareholders, for your support during my time as Chairman of this great company. I feel very privileged to have served in this role and I am confident that I leave QBE in very capable hands. I wish Mike, the Board, Pat and the executive team and everyone at QBE all the very best for the future. W. Marston Becker Chairman 1 2019 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes non-cash and material non-recurring items such as restructuring costs, gains (losses) on disposals, the impact of the Ogden decision in the UK and discontinued operations. 2018 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes the transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers' compensation liabilities. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 4 2019 snapshot 1 Shareholder highlights Financial highlights 3 Net profit after income tax (US$M) 2017 (1,249) Dividend per share (A¢) 52¢ Dividend payout (A$M) 681 A¢ 60 45 30 15 0 4 0 5 5 2 5 0 5 6 2 A$M 1,500 1,125 750 375 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Dividend per share (A¢) Dividend payout (A$M) 4% from 2018 Earnings per share (US¢) 41.8¢ 2018 29.0¢ 2016 Combined operating ratio 4 (COR) 2015 2014 2013 97.5% 5 2018 95.7% 6 Gross earned premium by class of business Gross written premium by class of business Adjusted net profit after tax (US$M) 844 687 742 622 5 (254) 4% from 2018 6 2019 2018 622 597 2017 (191) Other 2016 2015 Financial & credit 833 807 Insurance profit and underwriting result (US$M) Accident & health Insurance profit (US$M) Marine energy & aviation (cid:31) Commercial & domestic property (cid:31) Motor & motor casualty (cid:31) Agriculture (cid:31) Public/product liability (cid:31) Professional indemnity (cid:31) Workers' compensation (cid:31) Marine, energy & aviation (cid:31) Accident & health (cid:31) Financial & credit (cid:31) Other 2019 2018 % % 29.2 29.2 14.4 13.7 11.9 8.4 7. 1 6.6 5.3 3.3 0. 1 15.7 12.7 11. 1 7.9 7.3 6.6 Insurance 5.2 (loss) profit Underwriting 0.5 result 3.8 Workers' compensation 708 5 1 6 8 Professional indemnity $153 from 2018 6 Public/product liability 8 0 7 8 2 5 Underwriting result 4 (US$M) Agriculture 8 1 0 2 Motor & motor casualty Commercial & domestic property Insurance profit Underwriting result 290 5 4% $238 from 2018 6 6% 0 9 2 9 1 0 2 Adjusted cash profit return on average shareholders’ funds 2 8.9% 2018 8.0% Net earned premium (US$M) 11,609 1% from 2018 7 Net earned premium by type facultative insurance 92% direct and 8% inward reinsurance 1 The information in the tables above is extracted or derived from the Group’s audited financial statements included on pages 84 to 159 of this Annual Report. The Group Chief Financial Officer’s report sets out further analysis of the results to assist in comparison of the Group’s performance against 2019 targets provided to the market. 2 2019 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes non-cash and material non-recurring items such as restructuring costs, gains (losses) on disposals, the impact of the Ogden decision in the UK and discontinued operations. 2018 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes the transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 3 2018 and 2019 figures reflect results for continuing operations only. 4 5 A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p Shareholder highlights Financial highlights 3 Net profit after income tax (US$M) Operational highlights Sustainability highlights 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' Investments and cash at 31 December 2019 70% Private equity Average renewal rate increase Group-wide 8 Segment 6.3% North America International Australia Pacific 8 2018 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% Retention 78% 2018 81% Net investment return 4 3.6% 2018 2.3% Gross written premium growth 7 2% 2018 3% Fixed income duration 2.6years 2018 2.1 years Cash and investments at 31 December 2019 (US$M) 24,374 Investments and cash at 31 December 2019 Private equity 2019 2018 % % (cid:31) Corporate bonds 54.4 53. 1 (cid:31) Government bonds 23.8 21.7 (cid:31) Short-term money 4.4 5.6 Other - growth assets (cid:31) Infrastructure assets 3.7 3.7 (cid:31) Property trusts Developed Market Equities 4. 1 3. 1 (cid:31) Emerging market debt 1.0 2.3 High yield debt (cid:31) Cash and cash equivalents 2.2 3.8 (cid:31) Infrastructure debt Infrastructure debt 2.2 1.6 (cid:31) High yield debt 0.4 1.6 Cash and cash equivalents (cid:31) Developed Market Equities 1.2 2.5 (cid:31) Other – growth assets 0.9 1.2 Emerging market debt (cid:31) Private equity 0.7 0.8 Property trusts Renewable electricity use (%) Target by 2025 100% Currently 63% Climate change disclosure DISCLOSURE INSIGHT ACTION Score: B Employment engagement (%) Fostering a culture of innovation Ran a global challenge for employees to identify sustainable solutions 155 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 4% from 2018 Other - growth assets projects identified Developed Market Equities Financial inclusion High yield debt Infrastructure debt Impact investments Cash and cash equivalents Emerging market debt Property trusts QBE joined the program in Australia Infrastructure assets Short-term money Government bonds Corporate bonds Premiums4Good: Ethical Corporation’s global Responsible Business Awards – Finalist, 2019 Global disaster relief partnerships Partnering to build resilient communities and futures Infrastructure assets Short-term money % (cid:31) Corporate bonds 54.4 4 Excludes the impact of changes in risk-free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. (cid:31) Government bonds 23.8 (cid:31) Short-term money 5 Excludes one-off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 4.4 (cid:31) Infrastructure assets 3.7 6 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. (cid:31) Property trusts 3. 1 (cid:31) Emerging market debt 2.3 7 Constant currency basis. (cid:31) Cash and cash equivalents 2.2 8 Excludes premium rate changes relating to Australian compulsory third party motor (CTP). (cid:31) Infrastructure debt 1.6 (cid:31) High yield debt 1.6 (cid:31) Developed Market Equities 1.2 (cid:31) Other – growth assets 0.9 (cid:31) Private equity 0.8 2019 2018 % 53. 1 21.7 5.6 3.7 4. 1 1.0 3.8 2.2 0.4 2.5 1.2 0.7 Government bonds Corporate bonds 2019 snapshot 1 Dividend per share (A¢) Combined operating ratio 4 (COR) Adjusted net profit after tax (US$M) 52¢ Dividend payout (A$M) 681 4 0 5 5 2 5 0 5 6 2 A¢ 60 45 30 15 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Dividend per share (A¢) Dividend payout (A$M) 4% from 2018 A$M 1,500 1,125 750 375 0 Earnings per share (US¢) 41.8¢ 2018 29.0¢ 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 97.5% 5 2018 95.7% 6 Gross earned premium by class of business Gross written premium by class of business Insurance profit and underwriting result (US$M) (cid:31) Commercial & domestic property 29.2 29.2 2019 2018 % % (cid:31) Motor & motor casualty (cid:31) Agriculture (cid:31) Public/product liability (cid:31) Professional indemnity (cid:31) Workers' compensation (cid:31) Marine, energy & aviation (cid:31) Accident & health (cid:31) Financial & credit (cid:31) Other 15.7 12.7 11. 1 7.9 7.3 6.6 14.4 13.7 11.9 8.4 7. 1 6.6 5.3 3.3 Insurance 5.2 (loss) profit 3.8 Underwriting 0. 1 0.5 result 844 687 742 622 597 (1,249) 2019 2018 2016 2015 622 5 (254) 4% from 2018 6 2017 (191) Other 833 807 Financial & credit Accident & health Insurance profit (US$M) Marine energy & aviation Workers' compensation 708 5 $153 from 2018 6 Professional indemnity Public/product liability 1 6 8 8 2 5 8 0 7 0 9 2 Agriculture Underwriting result 4 (US$M) Motor & motor casualty 8 1 0 2 9 1 0 2 Insurance profit Commercial & domestic property Underwriting result 290 5 $238 from 2018 6 4% 6% Net earned premium by type 92% direct and insurance facultative 8% inward reinsurance Adjusted cash profit return on average shareholders’ funds 2 8.9% 2018 8.0% Net earned premium (US$M) 11,609 1% from 2018 7 1 The information in the tables above is extracted or derived from the Group’s audited financial statements included on pages 84 to 159 of this Annual Report. The Group Chief Financial Officer’s report sets out further analysis of the results to assist in comparison of the Group’s performance against 2019 targets provided to the market. 2 2019 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes non-cash and material non-recurring items such as restructuring costs, gains (losses) on disposals, the impact of the Ogden decision in the UK and discontinued operations. 2018 adjusted cash profit ROE excludes the transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 3 2018 and 2019 figures reflect results for continuing operations only. 6 Group Chief Executive Officer’s report Building momentum QBE was founded in 1886 in Townsville, Queensland. I’m not sure that anyone then could have imagined the kind of world we live in today, particularly the level of unpredictability facing business and society at large. In 2019, we saw low economic growth across most major economies but we also saw generally low unemployment and stock markets at record highs. Politically we saw trade tensions and protectionist policies, however we ended the year with a series of trade agreements signed, or in discussion. We also saw central banks maintain interest rates at record lows to try to stimulate growth – albeit at this stage with mixed success. This had implications for QBE and for our customers who represent almost every facet of the global economy – from big business to local stores and from skyscrapers to first homes – and who  face new risks and opportunities every day. Among these is the disruptive influence of technology, which  is changing almost every aspect of our lives and revolutionising traditional business models. Machine learning, artificial intelligence  and the extraordinary growth in internet enabled devices are leading to the creation of whole new industries. Just as our customers are exploring ways to integrate these tools and technologies into their businesses and lives, we too are exploring the enormous opportunities for our industry. I have described some of our work in this area in 2019, and our ambition for QBE for the future, below. What we perhaps feel most profoundly though, is the challenge that climate change presents to our customers and indeed the whole economy. Globally, the economic costs from natural disasters have now exceeded the 30‑year average for seven of the last 10 years, while the number of extreme weather events globally has tripled since the 1980s. In 2019 alone, we saw examples of this. As I write this, Australia is yet again experiencing severe weather, floods and  storms. This includes the recent Australian summer which was marked by severe weather and unprecedented bushfires that  had a devastating effect on many of our customers and the communities in which they live. I want to take this opportunity to personally acknowledge the hard work and bravery of the firefighters who were at the  front line of these fires, risking their lives  to protect others. I am proud to say this incredible group of people included some QBE employees. 6 Group Chief Executive Officer’s report 7 Building momentum QBE was founded in 1886 in Townsville, Queensland. I’m not sure that anyone then could exploring the enormous opportunities for our industry. I have described some of our work in this area in 2019, and our ambition for QBE have imagined the kind of world we live in for the future, below. today, particularly the level of unpredictability facing business and society at large. In 2019, we saw low economic growth across most major economies but we also saw generally low unemployment and stock markets at record highs. Politically we saw trade tensions and protectionist policies, however we ended the year with a series of trade agreements signed, or in discussion. We also saw central banks maintain interest rates at record lows to try to stimulate growth – albeit at this stage with mixed success. This had implications for QBE and for our customers who represent almost every facet of the global economy – from big business to local stores and from skyscrapers to first homes – and who  face new risks and opportunities every day. Among these is the disruptive influence of technology, which  is changing almost every aspect of our lives and revolutionising traditional business models. Machine learning, artificial intelligence  and the extraordinary growth in internet enabled devices are leading to the creation of whole new industries. Just as our customers are exploring ways to integrate these tools and technologies into their businesses and lives, we too are What we perhaps feel most profoundly though, is the challenge that climate change presents to our customers and indeed the whole economy. Globally, the economic costs from natural disasters have now exceeded the 30‑year average for seven of the last 10 years, while the number of extreme weather events globally has tripled since the 1980s. In 2019 alone, we saw examples of this. As I write this, Australia is yet again experiencing severe weather, floods and  storms. This includes the recent Australian summer which was marked by severe weather and unprecedented bushfires that  had a devastating effect on many of our customers and the communities in which they live. I want to take this opportunity to personally acknowledge the hard work and bravery of the firefighters who were at the  front line of these fires, risking their lives  to protect others. I am proud to say this incredible group of people included some QBE employees. The obvious link between these events and the changing climate brings into sharp focus how climate‑related risks are now the new normal for our industry. We must take action to address these risks in our own operations, at the same time as supporting our customers to mitigate their exposure to climate risks and support the transition to a lower carbon economy. You will find a summary of QBE’s work in  this area on page 32 of this Annual Report. Our year in review Despite the economic challenges described above, QBE made strong underlying progress in 2019. Through cell reviews and the Brilliant Basics program we have built on the significant  work undertaken over the last two years to simplify the portfolio, modernise our business and systematically overhaul our underwriting capability and culture. This has enabled us to deliver meaningful improvement in our operating metrics and a solid set of results in 2019. This includes a further improvement in the Group’s  attritional claims ratio, positive premium rate momentum and very strong divisional performances in our Australia Pacific and  International businesses. This gives us good momentum heading into 2020. Severe weather in parts of the US, including an unusually wet spring, created difficult  planting conditions for many of our Crop customers and this was compounded by frost and hail during the growing season. This resulted in a Crop combined operating ratio of 107.5%, materially higher than the 10‑year historical average of around 90%, and contributed to a net combined operating ratio for the Group of 97.5% 1,2,3 – outside our targeted range. However, with many of our North American casualty portfolios already subject to portfolio de‑risking initiatives since 2017, the underlying fundamentals of our North American business, and the entire Group, are strong and we are well placed for further improvement. science, third party data and artificial  intelligence (AI) tools being deployed across the Group. At the same time, the Brilliant Basics program continues to grow in influence  and sophistication as it maintains its strong momentum throughout the Group. In 2019, we established the Office of the Group Chief  Underwriter, further strengthened our underwriting governance, embedded global pricing standards and made significant improvements to our  claims handling processes. Cell reviews and Brilliant Basics underpinned a further 2.7% 4 improvement in the Group’s attritional claims ratio  in 2019. This means that the Group’s  attritional claims ratio has improved by almost 7% 4, since the second half of 2017 and we believe there is further improvement to come. In Australia Pacific, a further 4.2% 5 improvement in the attritional claims ratio helped underpin a very strong result for the division, which recorded a combined operating ratio of 90.0% 1. This compares with 90.3% 1 in 2018 and is despite the 2.6% higher costs of catastrophes. Similarly, in International, a further 3.0% improvement in the attritional claims ratio contributed to an improved divisional combined operating ratio of 95.4% 1. We also achieved positive rate momentum, with an average renewal rate increase of 8.3% 6 in the second half of 2019 contributing to a full year Group outcome of 6.3% 6. This positions us well moving forward. Importantly, despite the sluggish global economic conditions I described earlier, our investment returns were above the top end of our target range in 2019 and we also delivered our cost commitment targets, with meaningful efficiency  initiatives underway across the Group. Performance against our 2019 priorities Operational highlights Cell reviews remain core to the Group’s  strategy and in 2019 they helped contribute to a further improvement in the quality and consistency of our earnings. We continue to evolve cell reviews as we take advantage of improved data and insights now available to us through data The rollout of our global customer commitment program, coupled with our focus on replicating best practice customer programs across the Group, underpinned further improvements in our customer experience metrics in 2019. These metrics are also now routinely integrated into our cell review conversations, reflecting the importance of customer outcomes in our overall performance assessment. At the same time, our investments in technology are also helping deliver better customer outcomes, such as our robotic claims processes in UK motor and digital travel claims in Hong Kong. We are also deploying initiatives to support financial wellbeing and enhance the  accessibility of our products and services, for example by simplifying our product disclosures. In June, our Australian business also joined the Financial Inclusion Action Plan (FIAP) program – an initiative that promotes economic wellbeing, resilience and inclusion. We made further investments to strengthen our talent, leadership and capabilities in risk in 2019, with a heavy focus on conduct, risk management and governance. Our RISKsight program will underpin a stronger risk and compliance capability and culture. The rollout of this program has already led to the development of strengthened risk appetite statements and a refresh of our risk policies for all risk categories. Risk management is embedded in our day‑to‑day operations and our recent QBE Voice employee survey showed that 88% of our employees believe that managing risk is prioritised and valued across the business. With technology so critical to the future of our business, we made further progress on our technology roadmap. We increased the stability of our existing technology environment, automated our global infrastructure, upgraded and decommissioned end‑of‑life applications and provided the critical foundations for enhanced digital enablement. We have also made substantial investments in our cyber security capabilities, including the establishment of a Global Cyber Security Operations Centre. We are streamlining our engagement process with start‑ups to create ‘faster paths to partnership’, to make QBE  a partner of choice as we look to create new opportunities, while continuing to leverage our existing Ventures and other strategic partnerships. As we seek to work in faster and more agile ways, we are also creating opportunities for our people to develop and build the capabilities we will need for the future. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Excludes on‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 3 Continuing operations basis. 4 Excludes Crop and LMI. 5 Excludes LMI. 6 Excludes premium rate changes relating to CTP. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 8 Group Chief Executive Officer’s report We continue to support a host of flexibility,  diversity and inclusion initiatives across our global operations, including the launch of Share the Care in Australia and New Zealand, which gives both men and women equal opportunity to access parenting leave to balance their careers with taking care of a family. Across the Group, we have made a range of improvements in the available tools and benefits for our people to support  them with a healthy mind whether they are at work or at home. Our efforts to improve the diversity of our workforce were again recognised with QBE’s inclusion in the 2020 Bloomberg  Gender Equality Index. Pleasingly, we have made good progress towards our target of 35% women in senior management by 2020, with a further increase of 2% to 34% in 2019. Finally, I am also pleased to report further significant progress in our efforts to  manage climate related risk and reduce our environmental footprint in 2019. We have maintained carbon neutrality and we are committed to using 100% renewable electricity across our global operations by the end of 2025. We are already more than 60% of the way towards our goal. Conclusion In closing, I would like to thank all of our employees around the world for their hard work in 2019, as we continue to evolve and grow our business and lay the foundations for our long‑term sustainable growth. I would also like to acknowledge Marty Becker’s decision to retire from the QBE  Board and to express my sincere thanks for his wise counsel and friendship during our time working together. He has made an enormous contribution to QBE in his time as Chairman. I wish Marty every success for the future and I look forward to working with our new Chairman, Mike Wilkins, as we continue to build the QBE of the future. Finally, thank you to our customers, brokers and shareholders for your ongoing support for our great company. Pat Regan Group Chief Executive Officer Looking ahead 2020 targets Combined operating ratio 1,2 93.5% to 95.5% Investment return 1 2.5% to 3.0% With good progress against our seven priorities in 2019, and with a stronger culture and risk management now firmly embedded in our day-to-day operations, we are  more resilient and better equipped to respond to a changing regulatory environment. For 2020, we have developed a new set of priorities that will further concentrate our efforts on our key differentiators, helping us build a reputation for value, service, claims payment and performance. We are evolving our business at the same time as technological disruption continues to reshape the global economy and revolutionise entire industries. We are determined to stay ahead by building best in class AI, data and digital capabilities that will enable us to better support our customers in assessing and mitigating risk, while delivering every‑day brilliance in underwriting, pricing and claims. That work is well underway with a number of projects, including those identified  above, leveraging these enhanced capabilities and already delivering results. For example, we piloted a water monitoring technology with various housing associations in the UK, to reduce the number of water leak incidents they experience across an extensive property portfolio. In North America, we have partnered with Roost, a technology company based in Sunnyvale California, to offer our customers industry‑leading smart home products that offer innovative ways to monitor their home smoke detector and water systems. Wherever possible, we will replicate best practice and apply lessons learned as we refine and test new customer-focused ideas for the future.  Above all else, in 2020, we will continue to deliver for our customers and maintain our rigorous focus on performance through cell reviews, Brilliant Basics and our operational efficiency drive, to harness the momentum we have built and continue  creating value for our shareholders. 1 Assumes risk‑free rates as at 31 December 2019. 2 Excludes $30 million one‑off regulatory and other costs and the remaining $52 million of restructuring charges. 8 Group Chief Executive Officer’s report 9 2020 priorities Performance Continue to mature our cell review process to deliver our target COR. Deliver against key sustainability and climate commitments. Turn our focus to organic growth opportunities. Brilliant Basics + Talent & Culture Execute the next phase of Brilliant Basics with a sharper focus on delivering for our customers. Leverage best in class AI, data, and digital capabilities to embed everyday brilliance in underwriting and pricing and in particular, throughout our customer claims experience. Accelerate our talent and leadership strategy, building on our DNA to empower our people to thrive, now and in the future. Continue to enhance our performance management system, ME@QBE, supporting our people and leaders in managing career and talent development. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n Innovation & Technology Customer Focus Enhance our digital and data capability, update our IT platforms and accelerate the transition to the cloud. Through innovative partnerships and QBE Ventures, cultivate skills and capabilities for the future and create an environment that nurtures innovation and continuous improvement. Expand the breadth and depth of our customer focus by embedding our Customer@QBE framework, leveraging customer research to build deeper industry expertise and customer insights. Implement leading digital technologies to create seamless end‑to‑end experiences for our customers. We continue to support a host of flexibility,  management by 2020, with a further I would also like to acknowledge Marty diversity and inclusion initiatives across increase of 2% to 34% in 2019. our global operations, including the launch of Share the Care in Australia and New Zealand, which gives both men and women equal opportunity to access parenting leave to balance their careers with taking care of a family. Across the Group, we have made a range of improvements in the available tools and benefits for our people to support  them with a healthy mind whether they are at work or at home. Finally, I am also pleased to report further significant progress in our efforts to  manage climate related risk and reduce our environmental footprint in 2019. We have maintained carbon neutrality and we are committed to using 100% renewable electricity across our global operations by the end of 2025. We are already more than 60% of the way towards our goal. Our efforts to improve the diversity of our Conclusion workforce were again recognised with In closing, I would like to thank all of our QBE’s inclusion in the 2020 Bloomberg  employees around the world for their hard Gender Equality Index. Pleasingly, work in 2019, as we continue to evolve and we have made good progress towards grow our business and lay the foundations our target of 35% women in senior for our long‑term sustainable growth. Becker’s decision to retire from the QBE  Board and to express my sincere thanks for his wise counsel and friendship during our time working together. He has made an enormous contribution to QBE in his time as Chairman. I wish Marty every success for the future and I look forward to working with our new Chairman, Mike Wilkins, as we continue to build the QBE of the future. Finally, thank you to our customers, brokers and shareholders for your ongoing support for our great company. Pat Regan Group Chief Executive Officer Looking ahead 2020 targets Combined operating ratio 1,2 93.5% to 95.5% Investment return 1 2.5% to 3.0% With good progress against our seven priorities in 2019, and with a stronger culture and risk management now firmly embedded in our day-to-day operations, we are  more resilient and better equipped to respond to a changing regulatory environment. For 2020, we have developed a new set of priorities that will further concentrate our efforts on our key differentiators, helping us build a reputation for value, service, claims payment and performance. We are evolving our business at the same time as technological disruption continues to reshape the global economy and revolutionise entire industries. We are determined to stay ahead by building best in class AI, data and digital capabilities that will enable us to better support our customers in assessing and mitigating risk, while delivering every‑day brilliance in underwriting, pricing and claims. That work is well underway with a number of projects, including those identified  above, leveraging these enhanced capabilities and already delivering results. For example, we piloted a water monitoring technology with various housing associations in the UK, to reduce the number of water leak incidents they experience across an extensive property portfolio. In North America, we have partnered with Roost, a technology company based in Sunnyvale California, to offer our customers industry‑leading smart home products that offer innovative ways to monitor their home smoke detector and water systems. Wherever possible, we will replicate best practice and apply lessons learned as we refine and test new customer-focused ideas for the future.  Above all else, in 2020, we will continue to deliver for our customers and maintain our rigorous focus on performance through cell reviews, Brilliant Basics and our operational efficiency drive, to harness the momentum we have built and continue  creating value for our shareholders. 1 Assumes risk‑free rates as at 31 December 2019. 2 Excludes $30 million one‑off regulatory and other costs and the remaining $52 million of restructuring charges. 10 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Operating and financial review QBE reported a combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3, up from 95.7% 1,2,4 in 2018. A further improvement in the attritional claims ratio was more than offset by a severely weather-impacted Crop result and an expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims. Strong rate momentum, coupled with ongoing progress on Brilliant Basics and our operational efficiency drive, bodes well for sustainable margin expansion. General overview I am pleased with the continued improvement in the quality and resilience of our earnings as evidenced by a further material improvement in the attritional claims ratio, the promising early progress on our operational efficiency program and the strong pricing momentum underpinned by our forensic cell review process. However, unusually poor weather in the US, including an extremely wet spring followed by early frost and hail, severely impacted the performance of our historically profitable Crop business. This weighed on the Group’s result and contributed to a combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3 which was above our 2019 target range of 94.5%–96.5% 1,2. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Continuing operations basis. 3 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 4 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 10 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 11 Operating and financial review QBE reported a combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3, up from 95.7% 1,2,4 in 2018. A further improvement in the attritional claims ratio was more than offset by a severely weather-impacted Crop result and an expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims. Strong rate momentum, coupled with ongoing progress on Brilliant Basics and our operational efficiency drive, bodes well for sustainable margin expansion. General overview I am pleased with the continued improvement in the quality and resilience of our earnings as evidenced by a further material improvement in the attritional claims ratio, the promising early progress on our operational efficiency program and the strong pricing momentum underpinned by our forensic cell review process. However, unusually poor weather in the US, including an extremely wet spring followed by early frost and hail, severely impacted the performance of our historically profitable Crop business. This weighed on the Group’s result and contributed to a combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3 which was above our 2019 target range of 94.5%–96.5% 1,2. The result was also impacted by a strengthening of prior accident year claims reserves in specific US and European casualty portfolios exposed to heightened industry-wide claims inflation. Many of these portfolios have been the subject of de‑risking initiatives since 2017 and it is encouraging that much of the reserve strengthening related to underwriting years pre‑dating those initiatives. Importantly, reserve strengthening in these areas was almost entirely offset by a combination of reinsurance recoveries and continued favourable reserve development elsewhere across the Group. In 2019, we reset the Group’s reinsurance program which warranted a higher allowance for large individual risk and catastrophe claims. Pleasingly, we finished the year within our overall allowance, albeit with large individual risk claims higher than expected offset by lower than expected catastrophe claims. Large individual risk claims were higher than expected at $955 million, in part reflecting an industry‑wide increase in claim frequency and severity which is contributing to accelerating premium rate increases. Although above plan, risk claims are down from 2018 levels on a like‑for‑like (reinsurance) basis. In addition to premium rate increases, the continued and material improvement in the attritional claims ratio and early signs of a reduction in large individual risk claims reflect our ongoing commitment to cell reviews and Brilliant Basics. Cell reviews provide a direct link and alignment between our commercial activity and our financial returns, enabling us to hold each cell accountable for delivering an appropriate return on capital. Remediation work over the last two years has materially improved the results of cells delivering sub‑optimal returns and we believe there is further opportunity to optimise our return on capital. Portfolio rationalisation and simplification During 2019, we completed a number of asset sales and portfolio exits that have materially reduced complexity and contributed to the simplification of QBE. These included the sale of our operations in Colombia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Puerto Rico as well as our travel insurance business in Australia and New Zealand and our personal lines business in North America. Total annual gross written and net earned premium associated with these sales was around $410 million. In 2020, gross written and net earned premium will be impacted by around $150 million and $200 million respectively, reflecting the full year impact of the sales. Operational efficiency program In December 2018, we announced a three‑year operational efficiency program targeting gross cost savings of more than $200 million by 2021, translating into net cost savings of $130 million over the same time horizon, after allowing for underlying inflation and further investment in technology, digitisation and the Brilliant Basics program. From a 2018 cost base of $1.8 billion 1,2 and an expense ratio of 15.2% 1,2, we are targeting an expense ratio of less than 14% by 2021. Although only one year into a three‑year schedule of work, the efficiency program is progressing better than planned. Meaningful progress has been achieved in technology rationalisation and modernisation as we simplify our technology estate. A number of other areas contributed to expense savings including the sale of our retail personal lines business in North America as well as the simplification of divisional organisational structures, particularly in Australia, New Zealand and Global Infrastructure Services. We also achieved a meaningful reduction in third party consulting and travel costs. The Brilliant Basics program continues to improve our underwriting governance, risk selection, pricing tools and claims efficiency. This activity is translating into better underlying profitability and reduced earnings volatility. We now have tightly defined risk appetites in place, a clear line of sight on the business we are underwriting and better science supporting expected risk‑adjusted returns. As a result of these initiatives, we achieved underlying net cost savings of around $70 million. To support the program and as previously advised, we incurred a $43 million restructuring charge that was not reported as part of the Group’s underwriting result. Further restructuring charges of up to $52 million are anticipated during 2020. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Continuing operations basis. 3 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 4 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 1 Continuing operations basis. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 3 Constant currency basis. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v P e r f o r m a n c e Gross written premium 1 (US$M) i e w 13,442 2% from 2018 3 Net earned premium 1 (US$M) 11,609 1% from 2018 3 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 13,442 11,609 13,657 11,640 13,328 11,351 14,395 11,066 15,092 12,314 Gross written premium (US$M) Net earned premium (US$M) 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 12 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 2019 full year result With respect to the 2019 full year result, I would like to discuss three broad areas: 1. Financial performance 2. Investment performance and strategy 3. Financial strength and capital management 1. Financial performance QBE reported a statutory net profit after tax of $550 million, up 41% from $390 million in 2018. Excluding non-cash and material non-recurring items as reconciled on page 15, the adjusted cash profit was $733 million, up 6% from $692 million in the prior year. Adjusted cash profit return on equity was 8.9%, up from 8.0% in 2018. Including the final dividend of 27 Australian cents per share, the full year dividend of 52 Australian cents per share is up 4% on the prior year and equates to an adjusted cash profit payout ratio of 65%. The Group’s combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3 was up from 95.7% 1,2,4 in the prior year. The Group’s attritional claims ratio (excluding Crop and LMI) improved by 2.7% as a result of firming pricing conditions and portfolio enhancement driven by cell reviews and the Brilliant Basics program. The underwriting expense ratio improved by 0.6% 4 due to early benefits from the Group’s operational efficiency initiatives, coupled with the aforementioned one-off savings. These improvements were more than offset by a weather-impacted Crop result, an expected adverse impact from the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program and a reduced level of positive prior accident year claims development as we recognised areas of heightened claims inflation in North America and Europe. Gross written and net earned premium increased by 2% 2,5 and 1% 2,5 respectively, with renewal rate increases partly offset by disposals, further contraction in our Australian lenders’ mortgage insurance business (LMI) and targeted portfolio repositioning, particularly in North America. Looking briefly at divisional performance, the key themes to emerge from the 2019 result are set out below. North America result impacted by Crop underperformance, attritional weather and reserve strengthening North America reported a combined operating ratio of 106.5% 1, up from 98.7% 1 in the prior year. The result was adversely affected by a weather-impacted Crop result, coupled with adverse prior accident year development including reserve strengthening in specific casualty portfolios exposed to heightened industry-wide claims inflation. The attritional claims ratio improved slightly despite a heightened level of attritional weather events during the second half. Impacted by record prevented planting claims following an abnormally wet spring and reduced yields due to an unusually cold and hail affected end to the growing season, Crop reported a combined operating ratio of 107.5% (as flagged in our ASX announcement of 18 December 2019), up materially from the 10 year average combined operating ratio of around 90%. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019 with North America achieving an average renewal rate increase of 5.8% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. Second half renewal rate increases averaged 7.7%, up from 4.1% in the first half. Solid International result reflecting a lower attritional claims ratio and improved efficiency, partly offset by an increase in the cost of large individual risk claims International recorded another solid result with the combined operating ratio improving to 95.4% 1,3 from 95.9% 1,4 in the prior year. A further 3.0% improvement in the attritional claims ratio, coupled with a 1.3% reduction in the total acquisition cost ratio more than offset a largely expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims following the renegotiation of the Group’s external reinsurance program effective 1 January 2019. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019, especially in the second half of the year, with International achieving an average renewal rate increase of 6.0% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. Second half renewal rate increases averaged 9.2%, up from 3.8% in the first half. Strong Australia Pacific result despite adverse catastrophe experience, further moderation in LMI earnings and reduced positive prior accident year claims development Despite adverse catastrophe experience, further moderation in LMI earnings and reduced positive prior accident year claims development, Australia Pacific delivered a strong result reporting a combined operating ratio of 90.0% 1 compared with 90.3% 1 in the prior year. The result included a further 3.6% improvement in the attritional claims ratio (4.2% excluding LMI). Premium rate momentum remains strong with renewal rate increases averaging 7.3% 6 compared with 7.1% 6 in 2018. The combined operating ratio of our LMI business increased to 58.3% 1 from 54.8% 1 in the prior year, primarily due to the impact of significant premium contraction on both the net claims and expense ratios. Although lending practices continue to improve and arrears rates and new delinquencies fell during the year, total claims costs were broadly unchanged from the prior year as the business gradually works through claims relating to the unwind of the mining boom in regional Queensland and Western Australia. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Continuing operations basis. 3 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 4 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 5 Constant currency basis. 6 Excludes premium rate changes relating to CTP. 12 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 13 2. Investment performance and strategy Our investment portfolio delivered a net investment return of 3.6% 1 in 2019, slightly above the upper end of our 3.0%–3.5% target range 1 with most asset classes delivering better than expected returns. Fixed income assets generated a 3.7% return compared with 1.8% in the prior year, reflecting significant mark-to-market gains from lower sovereign bond yields and narrower global credit spreads. The decision to close our balance sheet duration mismatch during the year proved beneficial with the $231 million adverse impact of lower risk-free-rates used to discount net outstanding claims liabilities more than offset by $265 million of mark-to-market gains on our fixed income portfolio. In response to falling risk‑free rates, growth asset returns also outperformed, increasing to 11.8% from 6.2% in the prior year. Growth assets finished the year at 13.5% of the portfolio, in line with 13.7% at 31 December 2018. As at 31 December 2019, the running yield of the fixed income portfolio was 1.5%, down from 2.2% at 31 December 2018. Going forward and to align more closely with peer reporting, we have reallocated high yield and emerging market debt to fixed income from growth assets and have also commenced the deployment of a private credit allocation where the additional illiquidity premium offers incremental risk‑adjusted returns. Together, these changes are expected to increase our fixed income running yield to around 1.75% once fully implemented. During 2020, we intend to manage fixed income duration in a range of 2.5–3.0 years and growth asset exposure at around 12.5% 2 of total cash and investments. Together with a modest allowance for tactical asset allocation outperformance, these portfolio settings support our 2020 net investment return target range of 2.5%–3.0% 3. 3. Financial strength and capital management Our capital position remains strong when measured against both regulatory and rating agency capital requirements with the Group’s indicative APRA PCA multiple 1.71x at 31 December 2019. Although down from 1.78x at 31 December 2018, the PCA multiple remains above the midpoint of the Group’s 1.6–1.8x target PCA range, and the Group retains an excess above Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ‘AA’ minimum capital levels. The reduction in the Group’s PCA multiple primarily reflects the share buyback and dividends paid during the year (which together exceeded net cash profit) coupled with an increase in the asset risk charge due to the material increase in investment funds and following the decision to extend asset duration and modestly increase credit risk. An increase in the insurance risk charge due to the increase in net outstanding claims liabilities was more than offset by a reduction in the insurance concentration risk charge (ICRC) following further enhancements to the Group’s reinsurance protection effective 1 January 2020. At 31 December 2019, QBE’s debt to equity ratio was unchanged at 38.0% and slightly above the benchmark range of 25%–35%. Retained profit growth coupled with the senior debt repurchased during the year were offset by the share buyback and the adoption of AASB 9. The probability of adequacy (PoA) of outstanding claims was broadly unchanged at 90.0%, the mid‑point of our targeted PoA range of 87.5%–92.5%. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 1 Assumes risk‑free rates as at 31 December 2018. 2 From 1 January 2020, growth assets no longer include high yield debt or emerging market debt which is now considered part of our fixed income portfolio consistent with peer reporting. 3 Assumes risk‑free rates as at 31 December 2019. 2019 full year result With respect to the 2019 full year result, I would like to discuss three broad areas: 1. Financial performance 2. Investment performance and strategy 3. Financial strength and capital management 1. Financial performance QBE reported a statutory net profit after tax of $550 million, up 41% from $390 million in 2018. Excluding non-cash and material non-recurring items as reconciled on page 15, the adjusted cash profit was $733 million, up 6% from $692 million in the prior year. Adjusted cash profit return on equity was 8.9%, up from 8.0% in 2018. Including the final dividend of 27 Australian cents per share, the full year dividend of 52 Australian cents per share is up 4% on the prior year and equates to an adjusted cash profit payout ratio of 65%. The Group’s combined operating ratio of 97.5% 1,2,3 was up from 95.7% 1,2,4 in the prior year. The Group’s attritional claims ratio (excluding Crop and LMI) improved by 2.7% as a result of firming pricing conditions and portfolio enhancement driven by cell reviews and the Brilliant Basics program. The underwriting expense ratio improved by 0.6% 4 due to early benefits from the Group’s operational efficiency initiatives, coupled with the aforementioned one-off savings. These improvements were more than offset by a weather-impacted Crop result, an expected adverse impact from the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program and a reduced level of positive prior accident year claims development as we recognised areas of heightened claims inflation in North America and Europe. Gross written and net earned premium increased by 2% 2,5 and 1% 2,5 respectively, with renewal rate increases partly offset by disposals, further contraction in our Australian lenders’ mortgage insurance business (LMI) and targeted portfolio repositioning, particularly in North America. Looking briefly at divisional performance, the key themes to emerge from the 2019 result are set out below. North America result impacted by Crop underperformance, attritional weather and reserve strengthening North America reported a combined operating ratio of 106.5% 1, up from 98.7% 1 in the prior year. The result was adversely affected by a weather-impacted Crop result, coupled with adverse prior accident year development including reserve strengthening in specific casualty portfolios exposed to heightened industry-wide claims inflation. The attritional claims ratio improved slightly despite a heightened level of attritional weather events during the second half. Impacted by record prevented planting claims following an abnormally wet spring and reduced yields due to an unusually cold and hail affected end to the growing season, Crop reported a combined operating ratio of 107.5% (as flagged in our ASX announcement of 18 December 2019), up materially from the 10 year average combined operating ratio of around 90%. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019 with North America achieving an average renewal rate increase of 5.8% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. Second half renewal rate increases averaged 7.7%, up from 4.1% in the first half. Solid International result reflecting a lower attritional claims ratio and improved efficiency, partly offset by an increase in the cost of large individual risk claims International recorded another solid result with the combined operating ratio improving to 95.4% 1,3 from 95.9% 1,4 in the prior year. A further 3.0% improvement in the attritional claims ratio, coupled with a 1.3% reduction in the total acquisition cost ratio more than offset a largely expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims following the renegotiation of the Group’s external reinsurance program effective 1 January 2019. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019, especially in the second half of the year, with International achieving an average renewal rate increase of 6.0% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. Second half renewal rate increases averaged 9.2%, up from 3.8% in the first half. Strong Australia Pacific result despite adverse catastrophe experience, further moderation in LMI earnings and reduced positive prior accident year claims development Despite adverse catastrophe experience, further moderation in LMI earnings and reduced positive prior accident year claims development, Australia Pacific delivered a strong result reporting a combined operating ratio of 90.0% 1 compared with 90.3% 1 in the prior year. The result included a further 3.6% improvement in the attritional claims ratio (4.2% excluding LMI). Premium rate momentum remains strong with renewal rate increases averaging 7.3% 6 compared with 7.1% 6 in 2018. The combined operating ratio of our LMI business increased to 58.3% 1 from 54.8% 1 in the prior year, primarily due to the impact of significant premium contraction on both the net claims and expense ratios. Although lending practices continue to improve and arrears rates and new delinquencies fell during the year, total claims costs were broadly unchanged from the prior year as the business gradually works through claims relating to the unwind of the mining boom in regional Queensland and Western Australia. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Continuing operations basis. 3 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 4 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 5 Constant currency basis. 6 Excludes premium rate changes relating to CTP. 14 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Operating and financial performance Summary income statement STATUTORY RESULT ADJUSTMENTS ADJUSTED RESULT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Gross written premium Gross earned premium Net earned premium Net claims expense Net commission Underwriting and other expenses Underwriting result Net investment income on policyholders’ funds Insurance profit Net investment income on shareholders’ funds Financing and other costs (Losses) gains on sale of entities and businesses Unrealised losses on assets held for sale Share of net losses of associates Restructuring and related expenses Amortisation and impairment of intangibles Profit before income tax from continuing operations Income tax expense Profit after income tax from continuing operations Loss after income tax from discontinued operations Non‑controlling interests Net profit after income tax 2019 US$M 13,442 13,257 11,609 (8,102) (1,819) (1,690) (2) 649 647 387 (257) (8) – (3) (43) (51) 672 (104) 568 (21) 3 550 2018 US$M 13,657 13,601 11,640 (7,405) (1,957) (1,798) 480 346 826 201 (305) 12 (25) (2) – (80) 627 (72) 555 (177) 12 390 2019 US$M 2018 US$M – – – 61 – – 61 – 61 – – – – – – – 61 (10) 51 – – 51 – – 190 (166) 6 5 35 – 35 – – – – – – – 35 (5) 30 – – 30 2019 1 US$M 13,442 13,257 11,609 (8,041) (1,819) (1,690) 59 649 708 387 (257) (8) – (3) (43) (51) 733 (114) 619 (21) 3 601 2018 2 US$M 13,657 13,601 11,830 (7,571) (1,951) (1,793) 515 346 861 201 (305) 12 (25) (2) – (80) 662 (77) 585 (177) 12 420 1 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. Overview of the 2019 result The Group reported a 2019 statutory net profit after tax of $550 million compared with $390 million in the prior year. Continuing operations reported a statutory net profit after tax of $568 million compared with $555 million in the prior year, with the improvement primarily due to significantly stronger investment returns which more than offset the reduced underwriting result due to a severely weather-impacted North American Crop result. Discontinued operations reported a statutory net loss after tax of $21 million compared with a $177 million loss in the prior year, including a $10 million non-cash foreign currency translation reserve reclassification. The Group’s effective tax rate was 15% compared with 11% in the prior year, with the increase reflecting the mix of corporate tax rates in the jurisdictions in which QBE operates and the utilisation of previously unrecognised tax losses in the US. Excluding non-cash and material non-recurring items as reconciled on the opposite page, the adjusted cash profit was $733 million, up 6% from $692 million in the prior year. Adjusted cash profit return on equity was 8.9%, up from 8.0% in 2018. The preceding table shows the statutory result excluding items which materially distort key performance indicators. The 2019 adjusted result in the preceding table excludes a $61 million increase in the Group’s net central estimate of outstanding claims reflecting the reduction in statutory discount rates applicable to UK personal injury liabilities (the Ogden decision) with an associated $10 million tax impact. The 2018 adjusted result excludes the one‑off transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities which reduced net earned premium by $190 million and net claims expense by $166 million, whilst adversely impacting commission and underwriting expenses by $6 million and $5 million respectively. The transaction impacts year‑on‑year comparison of net earned premium and underwriting ratios, depressing the net claims ratio and inflating the combined commission and expense ratio. The underwriting results in the preceding table are presented on a continuing operations basis with the results of our Latin America Operations presented separately as discontinued operations for both the current and prior year. Further details of the Group’s disposal activities and discontinued operations are set out in note 7.1 to the financial statements. Unless otherwise stated, the commentary following refers to the Group’s result on the adjusted basis described above. 14 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 15 STATUTORY RESULT ADJUSTMENTS ADJUSTED RESULT Operating and financial performance Summary income statement FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Gross written premium Gross earned premium Net earned premium Net claims expense Net commission Underwriting and other expenses Underwriting result Net investment income on policyholders’ funds Insurance profit Net investment income on shareholders’ funds Financing and other costs (Losses) gains on sale of entities and businesses Unrealised losses on assets held for sale Share of net losses of associates Restructuring and related expenses Amortisation and impairment of intangibles Profit before income tax from continuing operations Income tax expense Profit after income tax from continuing Loss after income tax from discontinued operations operations Non‑controlling interests Net profit after income tax 2019 US$M 13,442 13,257 11,609 (8,102) (1,819) (1,690) (2) 649 647 387 (257) (8) – (3) (43) (51) 672 (104) 568 (21) 3 550 2018 US$M 13,657 13,601 11,640 (7,405) (1,957) (1,798) 480 346 826 201 (305) 12 (25) (2) – (80) 627 (72) 555 (177) 12 390 2019 US$M – – – – – 61 61 – 61 – – – – – – – 61 (10) 51 – – 51 1 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. Overview of the 2019 result 2018 US$M – – 190 (166) 6 5 35 – 35 – – – – – – – 35 (5) 30 – – 30 2019 1 US$M 13,442 13,257 11,609 (8,041) (1,819) (1,690) 59 649 708 387 (257) (8) – (3) (43) (51) 733 (114) 619 (21) 3 601 2018 2 US$M 13,657 13,601 11,830 (7,571) (1,951) (1,793) 515 346 861 201 (305) 12 (25) (2) – (80) 662 (77) 585 (177) 12 420 The Group reported a 2019 statutory net profit after tax of $550 million compared with $390 million in the prior year. Continuing operations reported a statutory net profit after tax of $568 million compared with $555 million in the prior year, with the improvement primarily due to significantly stronger investment returns which more than offset the reduced underwriting result due to a severely weather-impacted North American Crop result. Discontinued operations reported a statutory net loss after tax of $21 million compared with a $177 million loss in the prior year, including a $10 million non-cash foreign currency translation reserve reclassification. The Group’s effective tax rate was 15% compared with 11% in the prior year, with the increase reflecting the mix of corporate tax rates in the jurisdictions in which QBE operates and the utilisation of previously unrecognised tax losses in the US. Excluding non-cash and material non-recurring items as reconciled on the opposite page, the adjusted cash profit was $733 million, up 6% from $692 million in the prior year. Adjusted cash profit return on equity was 8.9%, up from 8.0% in 2018. The preceding table shows the statutory result excluding items which materially distort key performance indicators. The 2019 adjusted result in the preceding table excludes a $61 million increase in the Group’s net central estimate of outstanding claims reflecting the reduction in statutory discount rates applicable to UK personal injury liabilities (the Ogden decision) with an associated $10 million tax impact. The 2018 adjusted result excludes the one‑off transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities which reduced net earned premium by $190 million and net claims expense by $166 million, whilst adversely impacting commission and underwriting expenses by $6 million and $5 million respectively. The transaction impacts year‑on‑year comparison of net earned premium and underwriting ratios, depressing the net claims ratio and inflating the combined commission and expense ratio. The underwriting results in the preceding table are presented on a continuing operations basis with the results of our Latin America Operations presented separately as discontinued operations for both the current and prior year. Further details of the Group’s disposal activities and discontinued operations are set out in note 7.1 to the financial statements. Unless otherwise stated, the commentary following refers to the Group’s result on the adjusted basis described above. The Group reported a 2019 profit after tax from continuing operations of $619 million, up 6% from $585 million in the prior year, primarily reflecting significantly stronger investment returns which more than offset reduced underwriting profits as a result of a severely weather-impacted North American Crop result. On a constant currency basis, gross written premium increased by 2% reflecting premium rate driven growth largely offset by divestments, further LMI contraction and targeted portfolio repositioning in North America. On the same basis, net earned premium increased by 1% relative to the prior year assisted by reduced reinsurance costs. The combined operating ratio increased to 97.5% 1 compared with 95.7% 1 in the prior year. A further material improvement in the attritional claims ratio (excluding Crop and LMI), coupled with efficiency gains, was more than offset by significantly reduced Crop profitability, a reduced level of positive prior accident year claims development and an expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims following the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program. The current accident year combined operating ratio increased to 97.3% 1 from 96.5% 1 in 2018. The net return on investments backing policyholders’ funds increased to 4.5% from 2.3% in the prior year. Fixed income returns were especially strong reflecting mark-to-market gains on sovereign and corporate bonds driven by significantly lower global risk-free rates and a narrowing of credit spreads. Growth asset returns were also extremely strong, supported by lower global risk‑free rates. The Group reported an insurance profit of $708 million, down from $861 million in the prior year, largely reflecting the Crop-impacted underwriting result. The insurance profit margin decreased to 6.1% from 7.3% in the prior year. Consistent with the increase in investment income on policyholders’ funds, net investment income on shareholders’ funds was also significantly higher at $387 million compared with $201 million in 2018. Despite the first-time inclusion of lease liability interest charges associated with implementation of AASB 16, financing and other costs reduced materially to $257 million from $305 million in the prior year reflecting the non-recurrence of costs associated with foreign exchange contracts and other one‑off costs. 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. Reconciliation of cash profit 1 FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Net profit after tax Amortisation and impairment of intangibles after tax 2 Reclassification of foreign currency translation reserve after tax (FCTR) 3 Net cash profit after tax Restructuring and related expenses after tax Net loss (profit) on disposals after tax Ogden decision after tax Transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities after tax Loss from discontinued operations after tax (excluding reclassification of FCTR) Adjusted net cash profit after tax Return on average shareholders’ funds – adjusted cash basis (%) Basic earnings per share – cash basis (US cents) Dividend payout ratio (percentage of adjusted cash profit) 4 2019 US$M 550 71 16 637 32 8 51 – 5 733 8.9 48.4 65% 2018 US$M 390 108 217 715 – (13) – 30 (40) 692 8.0 53.1 72% A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i 1 Cash profit is presented on a statutory basis. 2 $43 million of pre‑tax amortisation expense is included in underwriting expenses (2018 $33 million). 3 The sale of operations in Colombia, Indonesia and Philippines gave rise to a foreign currency translation reserve (FCTR) reclassification charge (out of equity into profit or loss). This is a non-cash item and does not impact shareholders’ funds or QBE’s regulatory or rating agency capital base. Refer note 7.1.1 for further details. 4 Dividend payout ratio is calculated as the total A$ dividend divided by adjusted cash profit converted to A$ at the period average rate o n of exchange. 16 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Premium income Gross written premium fell 2% to $13,442 million from $13,657 million in the prior year. On an average basis and compared with 2018, the Australian dollar, sterling and euro depreciated against the US dollar by 7%, 4% and 5% respectively. Currency movements adversely impacted gross written premium by $434 million relative to the prior year. Gross written premium increased 2% on a constant currency basis reflecting premium rate driven growth in International (despite remediation led contraction in Asia) and Australia Pacific, largely offset by the impact of divestments and targeted portfolio repositioning, particularly in North America. Excluding divestments, underlying growth was 4% on a constant currency basis. The Group achieved an average renewal rate increase of 6.3% 1 compared with 4.7% 1 in the first half of 2019 and 5.0% 1 in 2018. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019, especially in International (particularly Europe) and North America. North America reported a 2% reduction in gross written premium. An average renewal rate increase of 5.8% compared with 4.1% in the prior year was more than offset by the divestment of the personal lines business and premium contraction due to targeted repositioning of the corporate and excess & surplus (E&S) lines portfolios. Adjusting for disposals, underlying growth was around 3% due primarily to strong service-driven growth in Crop. International reported gross written premium growth of 1% (up 4% on a constant currency basis), underpinned by an average renewal rate increase of 6.0% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. European Operations’ achieved an average renewal rate increase of 6.3% compared with 4.4% in 2018 while Asia achieved an average renewal rate increase of 3.5% compared with 0.7% in the prior year. Reflecting the improved pricing environment and emerging new business opportunities, European Operations achieved gross written premium growth of 5% on a constant currency basis which was partly offset by a further 4% contraction in Asia reflecting disposals coupled with further remediation initiatives that are now largely complete. Australia Pacific reported a 4% reduction in gross written premium (up 3% on a constant currency basis). An average renewal rate increase of 7.3% 1 compared with 7.1% 1 in the prior year was more than offset by the sale of the travel insurance business, a further contraction in LMI premium due to the slowdown in home lending and some normalisation of market share in South Australian CTP following the opening of the scheme to competition from 1 July 2019. Adjusting for the disposal of the travel insurance business, underlying premium growth was around 3%. Net earned premium fell 2% to $11,609 million from $11,830 million in the prior year but was up 1% on a constant currency basis assisted by reduced reinsurance costs following the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program, effective 1 January 2019. 1 Excludes premium rate changes relating to CTP. Underwriting performance Key ratios – Group FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Net claims ratio Net commission ratio Expense ratio Combined operating ratio Adjusted combined operating ratio 3 Insurance profit margin 2019 2018 STATUTORY % ADJUSTED 1 % STATUTORY % ADJUSTED 2 % 69.8 15.6 14.6 100.0 98.0 5.6 69.3 15.6 14.6 99.5 97.5 6.1 63.6 16.9 15.4 95.9 96.0 7.1 64.0 16.4 15.2 95.6 95.7 7.3 1 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 3 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 16 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 17 Premium income Gross written premium fell 2% to $13,442 million from $13,657 million in the prior year. On an average basis and compared with 2018, the Australian dollar, sterling and euro depreciated against the US dollar by 7%, 4% and 5% respectively. Currency movements adversely impacted gross written premium by $434 million relative to the prior year. Gross written premium increased 2% on a constant currency basis reflecting premium rate driven growth in International (despite remediation led contraction in Asia) and Australia Pacific, largely offset by the impact of divestments and targeted portfolio repositioning, particularly in North America. Excluding divestments, underlying growth was 4% on a constant currency basis. The Group achieved an average renewal rate increase of 6.3% 1 compared with 4.7% 1 in the first half of 2019 and 5.0% 1 in 2018. Premium rate momentum accelerated during 2019, especially in International (particularly Europe) and North America. North America reported a 2% reduction in gross written premium. An average renewal rate increase of 5.8% compared with 4.1% in the prior year was more than offset by the divestment of the personal lines business and premium contraction due to targeted repositioning of the corporate and excess & surplus (E&S) lines portfolios. Adjusting for disposals, underlying growth was around 3% due primarily to strong service-driven growth in Crop. International reported gross written premium growth of 1% (up 4% on a constant currency basis), underpinned by an average renewal rate increase of 6.0% compared with 4.1% in the prior year. European Operations’ achieved an average renewal rate increase of 6.3% compared with 4.4% in 2018 while Asia achieved an average renewal rate increase of 3.5% compared with 0.7% in the prior year. Reflecting the improved pricing environment and emerging new business opportunities, European Operations achieved gross written premium growth of 5% on a constant currency basis which was partly offset by a further 4% contraction in Asia reflecting disposals coupled with further remediation initiatives that are now largely complete. Australia Pacific reported a 4% reduction in gross written premium (up 3% on a constant currency basis). An average renewal rate increase of 7.3% 1 compared with 7.1% 1 in the prior year was more than offset by the sale of the travel insurance business, a further contraction in LMI premium due to the slowdown in home lending and some normalisation of market share in South Australian CTP following the opening of the scheme to competition from 1 July 2019. Adjusting for the disposal of the travel insurance business, underlying premium growth was around 3%. Net earned premium fell 2% to $11,609 million from $11,830 million in the prior year but was up 1% on a constant currency basis assisted by reduced reinsurance costs following the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program, effective 1 January 2019. 1 Excludes premium rate changes relating to CTP. Underwriting performance Key ratios – Group FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Net claims ratio Net commission ratio Expense ratio Combined operating ratio Adjusted combined operating ratio 3 Insurance profit margin 2019 2018 STATUTORY ADJUSTED 1 STATUTORY ADJUSTED 2 % 69.8 15.6 14.6 100.0 98.0 5.6 % 69.3 15.6 14.6 99.5 97.5 6.1 % 63.6 16.9 15.4 95.9 96.0 7.1 % 64.0 16.4 15.2 95.6 95.7 7.3 1 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. 3 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. Divisional performance Contributions by region FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER North America International 2,3 Australia Pacific Corporate adjustments Group adjusted Risk‑free rate impact Ogden adjustment Reinsurance transaction Group statutory Direct and facultative Inward reinsurance Group statutory GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM NET EARNED PREMIUM COMBINED OPERATING RATIO INSURANCE PROFIT BEFORE INCOME TAX 2019 US$M 4,637 4,924 3,920 (39) 13,442 – – – 13,442 12,263 1,179 13,442 2018 US$M 4,711 4,876 4,104 (34) 13,657 – – – 13,657 12,599 1,058 13,657 2019 US$M 3,942 4,089 3,568 10 11,609 – – – 11,609 10,641 968 11,609 2018 US$M 3,796 4,224 3,758 52 11,830 – – (190) 11,640 10,708 932 11,640 2019 % 106.5 1 95.4 1 90.0 1 – 97.5 1 2.0 0.5 – 100.0 99.7 103.7 100.0 2018 % 98.7 1 95.9 1 90.3 1 – 95.7 1 (0.1) – 0.3 95.9 96.4 89.8 95.9 2019 US$M 2018 US$M (187) 391 487 17 708 – (61) – 647 629 18 647 146 284 498 (67) 861 – – (35) 826 703 123 826 1 Excludes the impact of changes in risk‑free rates used to discount net outstanding claims. 2 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 3 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. Incurred claims The Group’s net claims ratio increased to 69.3% from 64.0% in the prior year, in part reflecting a material reduction in risk-free rates used to discount net outstanding claims liabilities. Risk‑free rate movements aside, a further improvement in the underlying attritional claims ratio was partly offset by reduced profitability in Crop insurance and a largely expected increase in the net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims following the restructure of the Group’s reinsurance program coupled with a reduced level of positive prior accident year claims development. The table below provides a summary of the major components of the net claims ratio. FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Attritional claims Large individual risk and catastrophe claims Impact of reinsurance transaction Claims settlement costs Claims discount Net incurred central estimate claims ratio (current accident year) Changes in undiscounted prior accident year central estimate Impact of Ogden Impact of reinsurance transaction Impact of changes in risk‑free rates Movement in risk margins Other (including unwind of prior year discount) Net incurred claims ratio (current financial year) 2019 2018 STATUTORY % ADJUSTED 1 % STATUTORY % ADJUSTED 2 % 52.5 11.9 – 3.3 (1.4) 66.3 (0.8) 0.5 – 2.0 (0.2) 2.0 69.8 52.5 11.9 – 3.3 (1.4) 66.3 (0.8) – – 2.0 (0.2) 2.0 69.3 53.2 10.0 (0.1) 3.3 (2.0) 64.4 (1.0) – (1.3) (0.1) 0.1 1.5 63.6 52.3 9.8 – 3.3 (2.0) 63.4 (1.0) – – (0.1) 0.1 1.6 64.0 1 Excludes one‑off impact of the Ogden decision in the UK. 2 Excludes transaction to reinsure Hong Kong construction workers’ compensation liabilities. As set out in the table overleaf, excluding Crop insurance and LMI, the attritional claims ratio reduced to 47.5% from 50.2% in the prior year, reflecting improvement in International and Australia Pacific. Excluding Crop insurance, North America’s attritional claims ratio improved 0.1% relative to the prior year. Benefits from underwriting and pricing initiatives as well as the sale of the personal lines (independent agency) business were largely offset by non‑catastrophe weather experience which impacted the affiliated and program property portfolios during the second half of the year. International’s attritional claims ratio improved 3.0% relative to the prior period reflecting favourable pricing conditions coupled with significantly reduced reinsurance expense and business mix changes. Excluding LMI, Australia Pacific’s attritional claims ratio improved by 4.2% with improvement observed across all portfolios except for engineering and personal accident. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v i e w B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n 18 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Analysis of attritional claims ratio FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Rest of portfolio Crop insurance LMI QBE Group adjusted 2019 2018 NEP US$M 10,251 1,197 161 11,609 ATTRITIONAL % 47.5 97.7 34.8 52.5 NEP US$M 10,662 980 188 11,830 ATTRITIONAL % 50.2 78.8 30.9 52.3 Large individual risk and catastrophe claims net of reinsurance are summarised in the table below. Large individual risk and catastrophe claims FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Total catastrophe claims Total large individual risk claims Total large individual risk and catastrophe claims 2019 US$M 426 955 1,381 % OF NEP 3.7 8.2 11.9 2018 US$M 523 640 1,163 % OF NEP 4.4 5.4 9.8 The increase in the total net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims was broadly in line with expectations following changes to the Group’s reinsurance, effective 1 January 2019. The net cost of catastrophe claims reduced to $426 million or 3.7% of net earned premium compared with $523 million or 4.4% in the prior year. This was below our annual allowance with adverse catastrophe experience in Australia Pacific more than offset by relatively benign experience in International and, to a lesser degree, North America. The net cost of large individual risk claims increased to $955 million or 8.2% of net earned premium from $640 million or 5.4% in the prior year. While down from 2018 on a like‑for‑like (reinsurance) basis, the net cost was nevertheless above our annual allowance largely reflecting higher than expected activity in International. Weighted average risk‑free rates As summarised in the table below, the currency weighted average risk‑free rate used to discount net outstanding claims liabilities decreased to 1.05% at 31 December 2019 from 1.66% at 31 December 2018. Risk‑free rates reduced appreciably across all currencies. Weighted average risk‑free rates 1 CURRENCY 31 DECEMBER 2019 30 JUNE 2019 31 DECEMBER 2018 30 JUNE 2018 Australian dollar US dollar Sterling Euro Group weighted Estimated impact of discount rate (charge) benefit % % % % % $M 1.11 1.95 0.80 (0.08) 1.05 (231) 1.14 2.09 0.80 (0.22) 1.10 (231) 2.06 2.74 1.08 0.23 1.66 13 2.29 2.80 1.10 0.30 1.77 40 1 Continuing operations basis. The significant reduction in risk-free rates gave rise to a $231 million underwriting charge that increased the net claims ratio by 2.0% compared with a $13 million benefit in the prior year that reduced the net claims ratio by 0.1%. Given the longer weighted average term to settlement of our euro denominated net claims liabilities, the fall in euro risk‑free rates during the period contributed disproportionately to the overall impact of lower weighted average risk‑free rates on the Group’s underwriting result. The $231 million impact on the underwriting result was more than offset by a corresponding $265 million gain in the value of fixed interest securities. Prior accident year claims development The result included $96 million of positive prior accident year claims development that benefited the claims ratio by 0.8% compared with $113 million or 1.0% in the prior year. The claims development includes $32 million of positive prior accident year claims development pertaining to North American Crop insurance that is matched by additional premium cessions under the MPCI scheme and an $86 million benefit in International due to the impact of adjusting the UK periodic payment order rate that is matched by a reduced discount benefit. Excluding these items, prior accident year claims development is better stated at $22 million adverse or 0.2% of net earned premium compared with $92 million or 0.8% of positive development in the prior year: • North America recorded $112 million of adverse development compared with $7 million in the prior year. This reflected a reduced level of positive development in Crop (that was not matched by additional premium cessions under the MPCI scheme), adverse development in assumed reinsurance (casualty and multi-line), corporate commercial, E&S lines and specialty programs; • International recorded $14 million of adverse development compared with $25 million in the prior year, reflecting substantial reserve strengthening in financial lines and direct and facultative property, largely offset by reinsurance recoveries and positive development in liability, reinsurance, marine and Asia; and • Australia Pacific reported $104 million of positive development compared with $129 million in the prior year, largely reflecting favourable claim development on NSW CTP coupled with lower than expected average claim size following privatisation of the SA CTP market, albeit partly offset by minor adverse development in householders, public liability, engineering and New Zealand. 18 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 19 Analysis of attritional claims ratio FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Rest of portfolio Crop insurance LMI QBE Group adjusted Large individual risk and catastrophe claims FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Total catastrophe claims Total large individual risk claims Total large individual risk and catastrophe claims 2019 2018 ATTRITIONAL ATTRITIONAL NEP US$M 10,251 1,197 161 11,609 % 47.5 97.7 34.8 52.5 NEP US$M 10,662 980 188 11,830 % 50.2 78.8 30.9 52.3 2019 US$M 426 955 1,381 % OF NEP 3.7 8.2 11.9 2018 US$M 523 640 1,163 % OF NEP 4.4 5.4 9.8 Large individual risk and catastrophe claims net of reinsurance are summarised in the table below. The increase in the total net cost of large individual risk and catastrophe claims was broadly in line with expectations following changes to the Group’s reinsurance, effective 1 January 2019. The net cost of catastrophe claims reduced to $426 million or 3.7% of net earned premium compared with $523 million or 4.4% in the prior year. This was below our annual allowance with adverse catastrophe experience in Australia Pacific more than offset by relatively benign experience in International and, to a lesser degree, North America. The net cost of large individual risk claims increased to $955 million or 8.2% of net earned premium from $640 million or 5.4% in the prior year. While down from 2018 on a like‑for‑like (reinsurance) basis, the net cost was nevertheless above our annual allowance largely reflecting higher than expected activity in International. Weighted average risk‑free rates As summarised in the table below, the currency weighted average risk‑free rate used to discount net outstanding claims liabilities decreased to 1.05% at 31 December 2019 from 1.66% at 31 December 2018. Risk‑free rates reduced appreciably across all currencies. Weighted average risk‑free rates 1 CURRENCY Australian dollar US dollar Sterling Euro Group weighted Estimated impact of discount rate (charge) benefit 1 Continuing operations basis. 31 DECEMBER 30 JUNE 31 DECEMBER 30 JUNE % % % % % $M 2019 1.11 1.95 0.80 (0.08) 1.05 (231) 2019 1.14 2.09 0.80 (0.22) 1.10 (231) 2018 2.06 2.74 1.08 0.23 1.66 13 2018 2.29 2.80 1.10 0.30 1.77 40 The significant reduction in risk-free rates gave rise to a $231 million underwriting charge that increased the net claims ratio by 2.0% compared with a $13 million benefit in the prior year that reduced the net claims ratio by 0.1%. Given the longer weighted average term to settlement of our euro denominated net claims liabilities, the fall in euro risk‑free rates during the period contributed disproportionately to the overall impact of lower weighted average risk‑free rates on the Group’s underwriting result. The $231 million impact on the underwriting result was more than offset by a corresponding $265 million gain in the value of fixed interest securities. Prior accident year claims development with $113 million or 1.0% in the prior year. The result included $96 million of positive prior accident year claims development that benefited the claims ratio by 0.8% compared The claims development includes $32 million of positive prior accident year claims development pertaining to North American Crop insurance that is matched by additional premium cessions under the MPCI scheme and an $86 million benefit in International due to the impact of adjusting the UK periodic payment order rate that is matched by a reduced discount benefit. Excluding these items, prior accident year claims development is better stated at $22 million adverse or 0.2% of net earned premium compared with $92 million or 0.8% of positive development in the prior year: • North America recorded $112 million of adverse development compared with $7 million in the prior year. This reflected a reduced level of positive development in Crop (that was not matched by additional premium cessions under the MPCI scheme), adverse development in assumed reinsurance (casualty and multi-line), corporate commercial, E&S lines and specialty programs; • International recorded $14 million of adverse development compared with $25 million in the prior year, reflecting substantial reserve strengthening in financial lines and direct and facultative property, largely offset by reinsurance recoveries and positive development in liability, reinsurance, marine and Asia; and • Australia Pacific reported $104 million of positive development compared with $129 million in the prior year, largely reflecting favourable claim development on NSW CTP coupled with lower than expected average claim size following privatisation of the SA CTP market, albeit partly offset by minor adverse development in householders, public liability, engineering and New Zealand. Commission and expenses The Group’s combined commission and expense ratio reduced to 30.2% from 31.6% in the prior year. The commission ratio improved to 15.6% from 16.4% in the prior year. International’s commission ratio fell significantly due to reduced reinsurance spend and actions to reduce commissions in the London Market and UK business units. North America and Australia Pacific also reported a modest improvement in their commission ratios, which also benefited from reduced reinsurance costs. The Group’s expense ratio improved to 14.6% from 15.2% in the prior year, reflecting a material cost and operating leverage driven improvement in North America partly offset by a modest increase in both International and Australia Pacific. International’s expense ratio increased as a result of higher incentive payments, irrecoverable VAT associated with Brexit and reduced net earned premium. The increase in Australia Pacific was primarily due to a further reduction in builders’ warranty fee income and a transitional excess profits and losses (TEPL) accrual with respect to NSW CTP scheme outperformance. The Group’s 2019 expense ratio is broadly in line with our expectations and we remain on track to deliver in accordance with previously advised commitments in relation to the three-year efficiency program. Income tax expense i e w The Group’s income tax expense of $114 million equated to an effective tax rate of 16% compared with tax expense of $77 million or 12% in the prior year. The low effective tax rate in 2019 reflects the mix of corporate tax rates in the countries where we operate, with profits in North America and Bermuda continuing to benefit from the utilisation of previously unrecognised tax losses. During 2019, QBE paid $52 million in corporate income tax to tax authorities globally, including $6 million in Australia. Income tax payments in Australia benefit our dividend franking account, the balance of which stood at A$87 million as at 31 December 2019. The Group is therefore capable of fully franking dividends of A$204 million. The dividend franking percentage is expected to remain at 30% for the 2020 interim dividend. Balance sheet Capital management summary Key financial strength ratios AS AT 31 DECEMBER Debt to equity Debt to tangible equity PCA multiple 1,2 Premium solvency 3 Probability of adequacy of outstanding claims BENCHMARK 25% to 35% 1.6x to 1.8x 87.5% to 92.5% 2019 38.0% 57.7% 1.71x 46.2% 90.0% 2018 38.0% 57.1% 1.78x 47.3% 90.1% 1 Prior year APRA PCA calculation has been restated to be consistent with APRA returns finalised subsequent to year end. 2 Indicative APRA PCA calculation at 31 December 2019. 3 Premium solvency ratio is calculated as the ratio of net tangible assets to adjusted net earned premium. The Group’s indicative APRA PCA multiple of 1.71x remains above the midpoint of the Group’s 1.6–1.8x target PCA range while the Group retains an excess above S&P ‘AA’ minimum capital levels. PCA summary AS AT 31 DECEMBER QBE’s regulatory capital base APRA’s Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA) PCA multiple 2019 1 US$M 8,502 4,965 1.71x o n 2018 2 US$M 8,762 4,931 1.78x A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v B u s i n e s s 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i 1 Indicative APRA PCA calculation at 31 December 2019. 2 Prior year APRA PCA calculation has been restated to be consistent with APRA returns finalised subsequent to year end. The PCA multiple is down from the December 2018 multiple of 1.78x, reflecting the following: • the share buyback and dividends paid during the year (which together exceeded net cash profit); • a higher asset risk charge due to the material increase in investment funds and following the decision to extend asset duration and modestly increase credit risk; • a higher insurance risk charge due to the increase in net outstanding claims liabilities; partly offset by • a reduction in the insurance concentration risk charge (ICRC) as a result of further enhancements to the Group’s reinsurance protection, effective 1 January 2020. During 2020, we intend maintaining our PCA within a target range of 1.6–1.8x. Debt to equity (gearing) was 38.0% at 31 December 2019, unchanged from the prior year. An ongoing focus on reducing gearing toward the Board’s target range of 25%–35% resulted in further liability management activity, the benefit of which was offset by the adoption of AASB 9. 20 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report During 2019, the major rating agencies revised their outlooks as follows: • On 11 April 2019, Moody’s revised the Group’s outlook from “negative” to “stable” and affirmed the ‘A3‘ issuer credit rating (ICR) on QBE Insurance Group Limited (the parent entity) as well as the ‘A1’ insurer financial strength (IFS) ratings of QBE’s main operating entities. • On 30 May 2019, S&P affirmed the ‘A-’ long-term ICR on the parent entity and the ‘A+’ IFS ratings on the Group’s core and highly strategic operating entities. The outlook across all entities remained “stable”. • On 18 June 2019, Fitch downgraded LMI’s IFS rating to ‘A+’ from ‘AA-‘ following a sector-wide reassessment by the agency. The outlook remained “stable”. • On 5 July 2019, A.M. Best affirmed the long term ICR of the parent entity and its main operating subsidiaries at ‘bbb+’ and ‘a+’ respectively and the IFS of the main operating subsidiaries at ‘A’ while affirming the outlook of the Group at “stable”. • On 12 July 2019, Fitch affirmed the long-term issuer default rating (IDR) at ‘A-‘ on the parent entity and the IFS ratings of its subsidiaries at ‘A+’. The outlook across all entities remained “stable”. • On 25 July 2019 and following a rating methodology change, S&P downgraded LMI to ‘A’ from ‘A+’. The outlook remained “stable”. LMI Asia was placed on CreditWatch Negative, with its rating unchanged at ‘A’. • On 31 July 2019 and following a rating methodology change, S&P affirmed QBE’s core subsidiaries at ‘A+’, outlook “stable”. • On 19 September 2019, LMI Asia’s rating was affirmed at ‘A’, with CreditWatch removed and a “stable” outlook. In August 2017, the Group commenced a three‑year cumulative on‑market share buyback program of up to A$1 billion, with a target of not more than A$333 million to be purchased in any one calendar year. During 2019, QBE purchased A$295 million of QBE shares resulting in the cancellation of 23.9 million shares or 1.8% of issued capital. Since commencement of the buyback, QBE has purchased A$767 million of QBE shares resulting in the cancellation of 68.1 million shares or 5.0% of issued capital. Capital summary AS AT 31 DECEMBER Net assets Less: intangible assets Net tangible assets Add: borrowings Total tangible capitalisation Borrowings 2019 US$M 8,153 (2,791) 5,362 3,095 8,457 2018 US$M 8,400 (2,800) 5,600 3,188 8,788 As at 31 December 2019, total borrowings were $3,095 million, down $93 million or 3% from $3,188 million at 31 December 2018. In March 2019, the Group undertook a tender offer for the buyback of senior unsecured debt securities due 21 October 2022, which resulted in the purchase and cancellation of $195 million of senior debt. The debt buyback undertaken during the year was partly offset by the adoption of AASB 9, effective 1 January 2019 which gave rise to the immediate derecognition of $83 million of capitalised debt exchange premiums, with a corresponding increase in the carrying value of borrowings and decrease in opening retained earnings. The decrease in retained earnings will be offset by reduced financing costs going forward, including a $14 million saving in financing costs in the current year. Gross interest expense on long term borrowings for the year was $195 million, down from $205 million in the prior year. The average annualised cash cost of borrowings at 31 December 2019 was 6.3%, down slightly from 6.4% at 31 December 2018, reflecting the buyback of the remaining senior debt (which had a lower coupon compared with the Group’s remaining capital qualifying debt) more than offset by reduced capitalised debt exchange premium amortisation following the adoption of AASB 9. As at 31 December 2019, virtually all the Group’s debt counted towards regulatory capital. This is up from 94% as at 31 December 2018, reflecting the buyback and cancellation of almost all the remaining non-qualifying senior unsecured debt during the half. Borrowings maturity 1 AS AT 31 DECEMBER Less than one year One to five years More than five years 1 Based on first call date. Borrowings profile AS AT 31 DECEMBER Senior debt Subordinated debt Additional tier 1 securities Further details of borrowings are set out in note 5.1 to the financial statements. 2019 % 5 56 39 2019 % – 87 13 2018 % – 42 58 2018 % 6 81 13 20 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 21 During 2019, the major rating agencies revised their outlooks as follows: Net outstanding claims liabilities AS AT 31 DECEMBER Net central estimate Risk margin Net outstanding claims Probability of adequacy of outstanding claims (PoA) Weighted average discount rate Weighted average term to settlement (years) 2019 US$M 13,675 1,136 14,811 % 90.0 1.1 3.6 2018 US$M 12,870 1,158 14,028 % 90.1 1.7 3.3 2017 US$M 14,029 1,239 15,268 % 90.0 1.7 3.1 2016 US$M 12,693 1,088 13,781 % 89.5 1.5 2.9 2015 US$M 14,119 1,260 15,379 % 89.0 1.9 3.0 Net outstanding claims liabilities are discounted using sovereign bond rates as a proxy for risk‑free interest rates and not the actual earning rate on our investments. A n n u a l R e p o r t 2 0 1 9 Q B E I n s u r a n c e G r o u p 1 o v e r v i e w P e r f o r m a n c e 2 r e v B u s i n e s s At 31 December 2019, risk margins in net outstanding claims were $1,136 million or 8.3% of the net central estimate of outstanding claims compared with $1,158 million or 9.0% of the net central estimate at 31 December 2018. Excluding foreign exchange movements, risk margins decreased $23 million during the year compared with a $12 million increase in the prior year. i e w 3 G o v e r n a n c e 4 R e p o r t D i r e c t o r s ' 5 R e p o r t F i n a n c i a l 6 i O t h e r n f o r m a t i o n The PoA is broadly unchanged at 90.0%. The reduction in risk margin as a percentage of the net central estimate of outstanding claims is supported by a decrease in the coefficient of variation, which reflects reduced reserve uncertainty as a result of the Ogden decision, the stability of our current Crop reserves on a net of reinsurance basis and the insights we have drawn from Brilliant Basics pricing and claims initiatives as part of our reserving process, particularly in North America. Intangible assets The carrying value of identifiable intangibles and goodwill at 31 December 2019 was $2,791 million, down from $2,800 million at 31 December 2018. During the year, the carrying value of intangibles reduced by only $9 million primarily due to the net amortisation and impairment expense of $94 million which more than offset net additions in the period, being mainly the capitalisation of software in relation to various information technology projects. At 31 December 2019, QBE reviewed all material intangibles for indicators of impairment, consistent with the Group’s policy and the requirements of the relevant accounting standard. No material impairment was identified. Investment performance and strategy Our investment portfolio delivered a net investment return of 4.6% in 2019, up materially from 2.2% in the prior year. Excluding the impact of lower risk‑free rates during the year, the net investment return was 3.6% slightly above the upper end of our 3.0%–3.5% target return range. Most asset classes delivered better than expected returns following especially volatile markets in the final quarter of 2018. Despite progressively falling yields across the year, fixed income assets generated a 3.7% return compared with 1.8% in 2018, reflecting significant mark-to-market gains as a result of lower risk-free rates and credit spread tightening. The decision to close our balance sheet duration mismatch during the year proved beneficial with the $231 million adverse impact of lower risk-free-rates used to discount net outstanding claims liabilities more than offset by $265 million of mark-to-market gains on our fixed income portfolio. Growth asset returns were also very strong, achieving an overall return of 11.8%, substantially above expectations and the prior year return of 6.2%. Equity markets were particularly buoyant delivering significantly higher than expected investment income; returns on our infrastructure assets were above expectations; and unlisted property exposures were in line with expectations. As at 31 December 2019, the running yield of the fixed income portfolio was 1.5%, down from 2.2% at 31 December 2018. This reflects the significant bond market rally and credit spread narrowing experienced during the year, partly offset by a slightly increased exposure to credit. Fixed income portfolio duration at the balance date was 2.6 years and growth asset exposure was 13.5% of total cash and investments. Going forward and to align more closely with peer reporting, we have reallocated high yield and emerging market debt to fixed income from growth assets and have also commenced the deployment of a private credit allocation where the additional illiquidity premium offers incremental risk‑adjusted returns. Together, these changes are expected to increase our fixed income running yield to around 1.75% once fully implemented. Closing total cash and investments was $24,374 million, up 6% from $22,887 million at 31 December 2018, partly reflecting an increase in reinsurance recovery collections pertaining to the group aggregate reinsurance that was in place during 2015–2019. During 2020, we intend to manage fixed income duration in a range of 2.5–3.0 years, target growth assets at around 12.5% 1 of total cash and investments and modestly raise our exposure to lower rated and less liquid credit. Together with a modest allowance for tactical asset allocation outperformance, these portfolio settings support a 2020 target net investment return of 2.5%–3.0% 2. 1 From 1 January 2020, growth assets no longer include high yield debt or emerging market debt which is now considered part of our fixed income portfolio consistent with peer reporting. 2 Assumes risk‑free rates as at 31 December 2019. • On 11 April 2019, Moody’s revised the Group’s outlook from “negative” to “stable” and affirmed the ‘A3‘ issuer credit rating (ICR) on QBE Insurance Group Limited (the parent entity) as well as the ‘A1’ insurer financial strength (IFS) ratings of QBE’s main operating entities. • On 30 May 2019, S&P affirmed the ‘A-’ long-term ICR on the parent entity and the ‘A+’ IFS ratings on the Group’s core and highly strategic operating entities. The outlook across all entities remained “stable”. • On 18 June 2019, Fitch downgraded LMI’s IFS rating to ‘A+’ from ‘AA-‘ following a sector-wide reassessment by the agency. The outlook remained “stable”. • On 5 July 2019, A.M. Best affirmed the long term ICR of the parent entity and its main operating subsidiaries at ‘bbb+’ and ‘a+’ respectively and the IFS of the main operating subsidiaries at ‘A’ while affirming the outlook of the Group at “stable”. • On 12 July 2019, Fitch affirmed the long-term issuer default rating (IDR) at ‘A-‘ on the parent entity and the IFS ratings of its subsidiaries at ‘A+’. The outlook across all entities remained “stable”. • On 25 July 2019 and following a rating methodology change, S&P downgraded LMI to ‘A’ from ‘A+’. The outlook remained “stable”. LMI Asia was placed on CreditWatch Negative, with its rating unchanged at ‘A’. • On 31 July 2019 and following a rating methodology change, S&P affirmed QBE’s core subsidiaries at ‘A+’, outlook “stable”. • On 19 September 2019, LMI Asia’s rating was affirmed at ‘A’, with CreditWatch removed and a “stable” outlook. In August 2017, the Group commenced a three‑year cumulative on‑market share buyback program of up to A$1 billion, with a target of not more than A$333 million to be purchased in any one calendar year. During 2019, QBE purchased A$295 million of QBE shares resulting in the cancellation of 23.9 million shares or 1.8% of issued capital. Since commencement of the buyback, QBE has purchased A$767 million of QBE shares resulting in the cancellation of 68.1 million shares or 5.0% of issued capital. As at 31 December 2019, total borrowings were $3,095 million, down $93 million or 3% from $3,188 million at 31 December 2018. In March 2019, the Group undertook a tender offer for the buyback of senior unsecured debt securities due 21 October 2022, which resulted in the purchase and cancellation of $195 million of senior debt. The debt buyback undertaken during the year was partly offset by the adoption of AASB 9, effective 1 January 2019 which gave rise to the immediate derecognition of $83 million of capitalised debt exchange premiums, with a corresponding increase in the carrying value of borrowings and decrease in opening retained earnings. The decrease in retained earnings will be offset by reduced financing costs going forward, including a $14 million saving in financing costs in the current year. Gross interest expense on long term borrowings for the year was $195 million, down from $205 million in the prior year. The average annualised cash cost of borrowings at 31 December 2019 was 6.3%, down slightly from 6.4% at 31 December 2018, reflecting the buyback of the remaining senior debt (which had a lower coupon compared with the Group’s remaining capital qualifying debt) more than offset by reduced capitalised debt exchange premium amortisation following the adoption of AASB 9. As at 31 December 2019, virtually all the Group’s debt counted towards regulatory capital. This is up from 94% as at 31 December 2018, reflecting the buyback and cancellation of almost all the remaining non-qualifying senior unsecured debt during the half. Capital summary AS AT 31 DECEMBER Net assets Less: intangible assets Net tangible assets Add: borrowings Total tangible capitalisation Borrowings Borrowings maturity 1 AS AT 31 DECEMBER Less than one year One to five years More than five years 1 Based on first call date. Borrowings profile AS AT 31 DECEMBER Senior debt Subordinated debt Additional tier 1 securities 2019 US$M 8,153 (2,791) 5,362 3,095 8,457 2018 US$M 8,400 (2,800) 5,600 3,188 8,788 2019 % 5 56 39 2019 % – 87 13 2018 % – 42 58 2018 % 6 81 13 Further details of borrowings are set out in note 5.1 to the financial statements. 22 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report Total net investment income POLICYHOLDERS’ FUNDS SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS TOTAL FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2019 US$M 2018 US$M 2019 US$M 2018 US$M Fixed interest, short‑term money and cash income Income on growth assets Gross investment income 1 Investment expenses Net investment income Foreign exchange (loss) gain Other (expenses) income Net investment and other income 481 212 693 (11) 682 (23) (10) 649 245 111 356 (11) 345 1 – 346 272 129 401 (6) 395 – (8) 387 142 60 202 (6) 196 – 5 201 2019 US$M 753 341 1,094 (17) 1,077 (23) (18) 1,036 1 Includes fair value gains on investments of $492 million (2018 $143 million losses) comprising gains on investments supporting policyholders’ funds of $309 million (2018 $87 million losses) and shareholders’ funds of $183 million (2018 $56 million losses). Annualised gross and net investment yield YIELD ON INVESTMENT ASSETS BACKING POLICYHOLDERS’ FUNDS YIELD ON INVESTMENT ASSETS BACKING SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS TOTAL FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER Gross investment yield 1 Net investment yield 2 Net investment and other income yield 3 2019 % 4.6 4.5 4.3 2018 % 2.3 2.3 2.3 2019 % 4.7 4.6 4.5 2018 % 2.3 2.2 2.2 2019 % 4.6 4.6 4.4 2018 US$M 387 171 558 (17) 541 1 5 547 2018 % 2.3 2.2 2.3 1 Gross investment yield is calculated with reference to gross investment income as a percentage of average investment assets backing policyholders’ or shareholders’ funds as appropriate. 2 Net investment yield is calculated with reference to gross investment income less investment expenses as a percentage of average investment assets backing policyholders’ or shareholders’ funds as appropriate. 3 Net investment and other income yield is calculated with reference to net investment and other net income as a percentage of average investment assets backing policyholders’ or shareholders’ funds as appropriate. Total cash and investments AS AT 31 DECEMBER Cash and cash equivalents Short‑term money Government bonds Corporate bonds Infrastructure debt Developed market equity Emerging market equity Emerging market debt High yield debt Unlisted property trusts Infrastructure assets Private equity Alternatives Investment properties Total investments and cash INVESTMENT ASSETS BACKING POLICYHOLDERS’ FUNDS INVESTMENT ASSETS BACKING SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS TOTAL 2019 US$M 359 699 3,811 8,698 253 150 71 363 263 469 592 133 60 24 15,945 2018 US$M 536 796 3,089 7,540 308 324 180 145 50 567 528 99 – 22 14,184 2019 US$M 188 367 2,002 4,570 133 131 37 191 138 247 311 70 31 13 8,429 2018 US$M 327 487 1,886 4,604 187 241 109 89 31 346 323 60 – 13 8,703 2019 US$M 547 1,066 5,813 13,268 386 281 108 554 401 716 903 203 91 37 24,374 2018 US$M 863 1,283 4,975 12,144 495 565 289 234 81 913 851 159 – 35 22,887 22 Group Chief Financial Officer’s report 23 Total net investment income Interest bearing financial assets – S&P security grading POLICYHOLDERS’ FUNDS SHAREHOLDERS’ FUNDS TOTAL AS AT 31 DECEMBER S&P rating AAA AA A

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