SELECTIVE ANNUAL REPORT 2017Driving sustained outperformanceANNUALREPORT2017Selective has a long history of financial
strength, superior execution, and
profitable growth. The 36th largest*
property and casualty company in the
U.S., Selective provides value-added
products and services to businesses,
public entities, and individuals through
the following segments:
Insurance Operations
Standard Commercial
78% of business†
Standard Personal
13% of business†
Excess & Surplus
9% of business†
Investments
After-tax net investment income of $119
million in 2017 was a 20% increase over
2016.
Selective is a super-regional
company, and growing.
In 2017, we commenced our geographic
expansion program by: (i) adding two new
states – Arizona and New Hampshire – to
our Commercial Lines footprint; and (ii)
widening our field model to include our
new Southwest Region office in Arizona.
Expansion will continue throughout 2018
as we open for business in Colorado
(effective January 2018), New Mexico, and
Utah for Commercial Lines, and in Arizona
and Utah for Personal Lines.
To date, we write standard Commercial
Lines business in 25 states and the
District of Columbia. Our long-term
growth plan to achieve a 3% total market
share in our footprint states includes
increasing the market share held by
our “ivy league” distribution partners
to at least 25% of their state’s available
premium and increasing our share of
their business, which we refer to as our
“share of wallet,” to 12%. Combined, this
provides for an additional $2.5 billion of
premium opportunity.
* According to A.M. Best Top 200 U.S. Property/Casualty Writers,
ranked by 2016 net premiums written.
† Based on net premiums written.
2017
A YEAR OF
SUCCESS
93.3%
GAAP
Combined Ratio
6%
Year over Year Growth
in Net Premiums Written
11.4%
Non-GAAP Operating
Return on Average Equity
11%
Year over Year Growth
in Book Value Per Share
2017 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
($ in millions, except per share data)
Insurance Operations
Net premiums written
GAAP combined ratio
Underwriting gain after-tax
Return on average equity from insurance operations after-tax
Investments
Net investment income after-tax
Net realized gains (losses) after-tax
Total invested assets
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders’ equity
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
Return on average equity from net investment income after-tax
Summary Data
Total revenues
Net income
Return on average equity
Non-GAAP operating income*
Non-GAAP operating return on average equity*
Operating cash flow as % of net premiums written
Total assets
Stockholders’ equity
Per Share Data
Diluted net income
Diluted non-GAAP operating income*
Dividends
Stockholders’ equity
AVERAGE
ANNUAL
RETURN
Growth of a $10,000
investment (year-end
2012-17)
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
2017
2016
% or Point Change
Better (Worse)
$2,370.6
$2,237.3
93.3%
$100.3
6.2%
$118.5
$4.1
92.9%
$98.8
6.7%
$98.4
$(3.2)
$5,685.2
$5,364.9
$3.32
2.1%
7.3%
$3.50
1.9%
6.7%
$2,470.0
$2,284.3
$168.8
10.4%
$184.9
11.4%
15.6%
$158.5
10.8%
$161.7
11.0%
13.5%
$7,686.4
$7,355.8
$1,713.0
$1,531.4
$2.84
$3.11
$0.66
$2.70
$2.75
$0.61
$29.28
$26.42
6%
(0.4) pts
2%
(0.5) pts
20%
229%
6%
(5)%
0.2 pts
0.6 pts
8%
7%
(0.4) pts
14%
0.4 pts
2.1 pts
4%
12%
5%
13%
8%
11%
SIGI
S&P 500
S&P Prop/Cas
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
* Non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating earnings per share, and non-GAAP operating return on equity are non-GAAP (U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) measures.
Refer to the section entitled, “Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015” in Item 7 “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations,” which appears in the Company’s Form 10-K for a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the equivalent GAAP measures.
SELECTIVE 2017 ANNUAL REPORT 1
TO OUR SHAREHOLDERS
We are extremely proud of our 2017 financial results. Non-GAAP operating return on equity of 11.4% was
in line with our long-term goal of achieving a return that is 300 basis points above our weighted average
cost of capital. An impressive result given: (i) record levels of expected industry-wide catastrophe losses;
(ii) an ongoing competitive Commercial Lines underwriting environment; and (iii) sustained low interest rates
continuing to pressure investment yields.
Our 2017 GAAP combined ratio was an excellent
93.3%, and on an underlying basis, or after adjusting
for catastrophe losses and favorable prior year casualty
reserve development, it was an extremely strong 92.5%.
In addition, our 2017 after-tax net investment income was
$119 million, up 20% over last year.
2017 was a turbulent catastrophe year, with global insured
catastrophe losses estimated as high as $136 billion
for the industry. The industry experienced Hurricanes
Harvey, Irma, and Maria in the third quarter, followed by
the devastating California wildfires in the fourth quarter.
For Selective, the impact of catastrophe losses was well
below that of the industry, accounting for 2.9 points on the
2017 combined ratio, and 3.6 points on average over the
past 10 years.
Given the elevated level of industry catastrophe losses
and sub-par return on equity performance for the industry,
we expect to see upward pricing momentum in 2018. If
companies do not achieve overall renewal pure price
increases that keep pace with claims inflation, then loss
ratios will rise. Higher premium rates must support: (i)
increased catastrophe loss volatility; (ii) expected claim
inflation; and (iii) continued low after-tax new money
investment yields.
During 2017, we executed successfully on several difficult
objectives that will permit sustained, strong performance,
including: (i) achieving a standard Commercial Lines
written renewal pure price increase of 2.9%; (ii) improving
renewal underwriting quality while maintaining strong and
stable retention; (iii) targeted underwriting actions in our
During 2017, we executed successfully
on several difficult objectives that will
permit sustained, strong performance...
standard Personal Lines and Excess and Surplus Lines
segments to improve profitability; (iv) excellent investment
income results with after-tax new money investment rates
of 2.1%; and (v) strong operating cash flows that equated
to 16% of net premiums written. All of these achievements,
GAAP COMBINED RATIOS
107.2%
101%
110%
105%
100%
95%
90%
85%
Reported Combined Ratio
Underlying Combined Ratio*
93.3%
92.5%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
The achievement of our targeted strategic
initiatives has contributed to strong GAAP reported
and underlying combined ratios.
*Underlying GAAP combined ratio excludes catastrophe losses and
prior year casualty reserve development
coupled with a lower Federal income tax rate for U.S.
corporate taxpayers that reduces our estimated 2018
effective tax rate by approximately 10 points, establish a
strong base for future profitable growth.
Our long-term growth plans include: (i) increased “ivy
league” distribution partner representation; (ii) higher share
of our distribution partners’ premiums; and (iii) geographic
expansion of our Commercial and Personal Lines footprint.
2
Our expansion efforts are on track, as we opened two
Commercial Lines states, Arizona and New Hampshire,
in 2017. In January 2018, we entered Colorado and
we are now in 25 states. Obtaining our long-term goal
of a 3% market share in these states would create
a Commercial Lines company profile in excess of
$4 billion in net written premiums, representing an
additional $2.5 billion premium opportunity for our
standard Commercial Lines segment. This effort continues
as we plan to open New Mexico and Utah, and later this
year, Arizona and Utah for Personal Lines.
At Selective, talent continues to
differentiate us and drives our market-
leading position in Commercial Lines.
footprint state. Our distribution partners rated us an 8.8 on
a 10-point scale for overall satisfaction.
We continue to expand our sophisticated Commercial
Lines underwriting tools and processes that allow
We are always investing to
make Selective the best - a
truly unique company in the
industry. This commitment
positions us for sustained
financial outperformance
and to attract high-caliber
distribution partners and
employees to support our
future growth.
Our employees are the best
and execute the numerous
strategies that define the
Company’s success. Our
achievements in 2017 could
not have been accomplished
without their perseverance,
focus, and dedication, as
they strive each day to meet
and exceed our targets.
This unwavering focus on
delivering an exceptional
experience to our distribution
partners and customers drives our “Overall Satisfaction”
and “Net Promoter Survey” scores. At Selective, talent
continues to differentiate us and drives our market-leading
position in Commercial Lines.
The Company’s franchise distribution model is enabled
by an empowered field-based underwriting model - a
true differentiator in the marketplace. We are focused on
providing our distribution partners with the tools, products,
services, and resources they need to be successful. We
distribute Commercial Lines business through 1,250
distribution partners, averaging about 50 agents per
Gregory E. Murphy, Chairman and CEO, and
John J. Marchioni, President and COO.
employees to make better
decisions faster, while
enhancing outcomes for new
and renewal business. This is
best demonstrated by our: (i)
market-leading performance
in managing Commercial
Lines renewal pure price and
retention; (ii) continued strong
growth relative to the industry;
and (iii) strong non-GAAP
operating return on equity,
which in 2017, is forecasted to
be more than three times that
of the industry.
We are also making significant
investments to enhance the
overall customer experience
in an omni-channel
environment to meet or exceed
rapidly evolving customer
expectations, as we continue
to strive toward providing
best-in-class customer service in a 24-hour, 365-day
environment. Our goals in this area are centered on
leveraging technology to improve customer retention
rates, which, over time, should lead to higher business
volumes and enhanced quality of business.
Standard Commercial Insurance
Standard Commercial Lines, which accounted for 78% of
total net premiums written, had another excellent year. Net
premiums written increased 6% and the combined ratio
was an extremely profitable 91.6%. Results were driven by
strong performance in larger lines, such as general liability
SELECTIVE 2017 ANNUAL REPORT 3
and workers compensation. Commercial auto results
negatively impacted us and the rest of the industry.
We continue to drive renewal pure price increases that
equal our expected claim inflation. Profitable growth
requires managing renewal pure price, maintaining
strong retention rates, and generating new business.
Standard Personal Insurance
Standard Personal Lines, which accounted for 13% of
total net premiums written, had a profitable year and
generated a 96.2% combined ratio. Steps that we have
taken in recent years to improve performance through
pricing and business mix shifts in the homeowners
line of business resulted in an extremely strong
88.2% combined ratio. Our personal auto business
experienced adverse loss trends, and we continue to
target margin improvement through price increases,
including a plan for rate filings averaging 7.4% in 2018,
and expense reductions.
Excess and Surplus Insurance
Our Excess and Surplus Lines segment, which accounted
for 9% of total net premiums written, generated a 103.0%
combined ratio for 2017. This included 5.3 points of
catastrophe losses and 4.7 points of unfavorable prior
year casualty reserve development. Our underlying
combined ratio improved to 93.0% in 2017. We have
taken a number of steps to address the profitability
of this segment over the past two years, including
implementing substantial targeted price increases and
changing the business mix. We are pleased with the
pricing of new business, and when combined with our
initiatives to centralize claims handling and improve loss
settlement outcomes, profitability should increase.
Investments
We had excellent performance in our investment portfolio
during 2017. Fixed income securities, which represent 92%
of total invested assets, experienced an increase in after-
tax net investment income, resulting mostly from a higher
book yield. This portfolio is highly rated with an average
credit rating of AA- and a 3.8-year effective duration. Our
portfolio managers generated significant alpha during the
year without taking on higher credit or duration risk. Our
equity and alternative investments portfolio generated
$14 million of after-tax net investment income in 2017. The
after-tax yield on total invested assets was 2.1% for the year.
We ended the year with $3.32 of invested assets per dollar
4
CONSERVATIVE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
$5.7 billion as of 12/31/2017
Fixed Income: 92%
Short-term: 3%
Equities: 3%
Other Investments: 2%
Selective invests the premiums collected by
our insurance segments, as well as amounts
generated throughout our capital management
strategies. The primary objective of our
conservative investment portfolio is to maximize
after-tax net investment income while balancing
risk and generating long-term growth in
shareholder value.
We are also making significant
investments to enhance the overall
customer experience in an omni-
channel environment to meet or exceed
rapidly evolving customer expectations.
of stockholders’ equity, which contributed 7.3 percentage
points to our 2017 non-GAAP operating return on equity.
Board Leadership
A. David Brown is retiring in May 2018, after 22 years of
dedicated service, as he reaches our mandatory Director
retirement age. He has been an important part of our
Board, serving previously as Lead Independent Director for
four years and having chaired several committees. Befitting
his influence in our boardroom, Savoy Magazine named
David one of “2017’s Most Influential Black Directors.”
Conclusion
On behalf of our Board of Directors and our employees,
thank you for your ownership position in Selective. We are
proud of our accomplishments in 2017 and look forward to
building on them in 2018. The investments we are making
today to continually grow and improve, while leveraging
the latest tools and technologies, should position us well
for the future.
Sincerely,
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman and CEO
John J. Marchioni
President and COO
We will miss David’s wisdom, sense of humor, inclusive
leadership, open mindedness, and mentorship.
We are pleased to welcome two new Directors
Thomas A. McCarthy, Cigna Corporation’s former
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer,
joined the Board in January 2018. Tom will play a key
role in contributing to Selective’s overall corporate
strategies. In particular, we think his deep knowledge
of customer experience, agents, investments, and
capital management will be an immediate and
significant asset to our Board.
H. Elizabeth Mitchell, former President and Chief
Executive Officer of Renaissance Reinsurance U.S., Inc.
and Platinum Underwriters Reinsurance, Inc., joined
the Board in March 2018. A member of the American
Academy of Actuaries and a Fellow of the Casualty
Actuarial Society, Liz has over 30 years of property and
casualty insurance and reinsurance expertise. We
believe her broad range of industry and leadership
experiences and her strengths in risk management,
actuarial science, and insurance operations will
greatly assist further development of our corporate
and operating strategies.
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE GROWTH
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
$32
$24
$16
$8
$3.4B
$4B
$3
$2
$1
$0
$1.2B
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
A strong track record of book value per share growth contributes to greater total shareholder
value creation over time.
SELECTIVE 2017 ANNUAL REPORT 5
CAPABILITIES OF A NATIONAL
CARRIER WITH RELATIONSHIPS
OF A REGIONAL CARRIER
Our Growing Geographic Footprint
Selective is a super-regional insurance carrier operating in the following states:
Standard Commercial (25 states)
Targeted expansion states
Opened for business in January 2018
Standard Personal* (13 states)
Targeted expansion states
* Flood Insurance available in all 50 states
Excess & Surplus (50 states)
Our Competitive Advantages
Unique field model enabled by sophisticated tools and technology
Selective’s empowered and dynamic field model, comprised of locally-based field underwriters, claims professionals, and
safety management specialists, is key to our agency value proposition and underwriting quality. Enabled by sophisticated
tools, our field experts apply a data-driven approach to underwriting and pricing to effectively deliver products and services
to our distribution partners.
Superior customer experience delivered by best-in-class employees
The cornerstone of Selective’s success is our talented team. One of our core values is to “be the best,” which includes
developing the best employees, creating the best products for our customers, and delivering the best service to our
distribution partners and mutual customers.
True franchise value with “ivy league” distribution partners
Selective works closely with more than 1,250 retail and 85 wholesale distribution partners to build strong relationships and deliver
exceptional service to our shared customers. We are committed to our distribution partners’ success and provide them with the
tools, products, services, and resources to prosper and build their market share. We will continue to appoint high-caliber and
diverse distribution partners to drive profitable growth and expand our geographic footprint.
Above-average operating leverage enhances return on equity
Our strong balance sheet, underwriting risk profile, and conservative investment portfolio allow us to take on more operating
leverage with a net premiums written to statutory surplus ratio of 1.4 to 1, which is approximately twice the industry average.
As a result, each point on our combined ratio equates to approximately 1.1 points of non-GAAP operating return on average
equity.†
† Non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating earnings per share, and non-GAAP operating return on equity are non-GAAP (U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles)
measures. Refer to the section entitled, “Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015” in Item 7 “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations,” which appears in the Company’s Form 10-K for a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the equivalent GAAP measures.
6
COMMITTED TO
SERVICE EXCELLENCE
Customer-Centricity is Core to Who We Are as a Company.
Selective’s strategy for each segment of our business is underscored by a strong focus on customer experience,
which is central to our long-term success. Our commitment to customer-centricity is driven by our employees and
ensures we continually deliver a superior service experience across all channels, which we call omni-channel, to
serve our customers how and when they choose.
Selective has made significant investments in technology to enhance our
customer experience capabilities. In 2017, we:
Connected multiple systems
to obtain a 360° view of
our customers to better
understand who they are
and what they want.
Launched new technology to
enable more customized,
proactive customer
communication and
risk management
solutions.
Released an improved Customer
Self-Service portal and updated
the Selective Mobile App to enrich
our customers’ digital experience
and simplify transactions, like
paying a bill or submitting a claim.
Initiated the application of more
advanced analytics in our pursuit
to gather deeper customer
insights and improve customer
experience, business acquisition,
and retention.
Deployed a new customer
relationship management tool in
our contact centers to improve the
way we connect, communicate,
and collaborate with our
customers and distribution
partners.
SELECTIVE 2017 ANNUAL REPORT 7
MANAGEMENT TEAM
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
John J. Marchioni
President and Chief Operating Officer
George D. Dufala, Jr.
Executive Vice President
Insurance Operations
Gordon J. Gaudet
Executive Vice President
Chief Information Officer
Michael H. Lanza
Executive Vice President
General Counsel and
Chief Compliance Officer
Charles A. Musilli, III
Executive Vice President
Chief Human Resources
Officer
George A. Neale
Executive Vice President
Chief Claims Officer
Vincent M. Senia
Executive Vice President
Chief Actuary
Mark A. Wilcox
Executive Vice President
Chief Financial Officer
2017 FINANCIALS
FORM 10-K
2017 ANNUAL REPORT
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 10-K
(Mark One)
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended: December 31, 2017
or
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF
1934
For the transition period from_______________________to_______________________
Commission file number 001-33067
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
New Jersey
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization)
22-2168890
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
40 Wantage Avenue, Branchville, New Jersey
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
07890
(Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(973) 948-3000
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Common Stock, par value $2 per share
Title of each class
Name of each exchange on which registered
NASDAQ Global Select Market
5.875% Senior Notes due February 9, 2043
New York Stock Exchange
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
Yes
No
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.
Yes
No
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to
file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes
No
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Website, if any, every
Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12
months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
Yes
No
1
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and
will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by
reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a
smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company”
in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer
Non-accelerated filer
Emerging growth company
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
Accelerated filer
Smaller reporting company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period
for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standard provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).
Yes
No
The aggregate market value of the voting company common stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant, based on the closing
price on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, was $2,859,898,742 on June 30, 2017. As of February 9, 2018, the registrant had
outstanding 58,717,701 shares of common stock.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrant’s definitive Proxy Statement for the 2018 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to be held on May 2, 2018
are incorporated by reference into Part III of this report.
2
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Table of Contents
Page No.
PART I
Item 1.
Item 1A.
Item 1B.
Item 2.
Item 3.
PART II
Item 5.
Item 6.
Item 7.
Item 7A.
Item 8.
Item 9.
Item 9A.
Item 9B.
PART III
Item 10.
Item 11.
Item 12.
Item 13.
Item 14.
PART IV
Item 15.
Business
Risk Factors
Unresolved Staff Comments
Properties
Legal Proceedings
Market For Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer
Purchases of Equity Securities
Selected Financial Data
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Forward-looking Statements
Introduction
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment
Federal Income Taxes
Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments
Ratings
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Financial Statements and Supplementary Data
Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2017 and 2016
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Years Ended
December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Years Ended
December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity for the Years Ended
December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Years Ended
December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure
Controls and Procedures
Other Information
Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance
Executive Compensation
Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related
Stockholder Matters
Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence
Principal Accounting Fees and Services
Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules
3
4
17
30
30
30
31
34
35
35
35
36
45
50
62
62
65
65
66
66
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
132
132
134
134
134
134
134
134
135
PART I
Item 1. Business.
Overview
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (referred to as the “Parent”) is a New Jersey holding company that was incorporated in 1977.
Our main office is located in Branchville, New Jersey and the Parent’s common stock is publicly traded on the NASDAQ
Global Select Market under the symbol “SIGI.” The Parent has ten insurance subsidiaries, nine of which are licensed by
various state departments of insurance to write specific lines of property and casualty insurance business in the standard
market. The remaining subsidiary is authorized by various state insurance departments to write property and casualty insurance
in the excess and surplus ("E&S") lines market. Our ten insurance subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the “Insurance
Subsidiaries.” The Parent and its subsidiaries are collectively referred to as "we," “us,” or “our” in this document.
In 2017, we were ranked as the 36th largest property and casualty group in the United States based on 2016 net premiums
written (“NPW”) in A.M. Best Company’s (“A.M. Best”) annual list of “Top 200 U.S. Property/Casualty Writers.”
The property and casualty insurance market is highly competitive, with fragmented market share and three main distribution
methods: (i) sales through independent insurance agents; (ii) direct sales to personal and commercial customers; and (iii) a
combination of independent agent and direct sales. In this highly competitive and regulated industry, we have several strategic
advantages as follows: (i) the true franchise value we have built through our relationships with a small group of distribution
partners that we refer to as our "ivy league" independent distribution partners, who collectively have significant market share in
the states in which we operate and from whom we expect to gain increasing percentages of the business they write; (ii) our
unique field model, in which our underwriting, claims, and safety management personnel are located in the same communities
as our distribution partners and customers supported by sophisticated analytics, technology, and regional and home office
support; and (iii) our focus on service and providing an exceptional and personalized customer experience that is seamless
regardless of whether the method of communication is on-line, over the phone, or in person with one of our distribution
partners. We refer to this as our omni-channel customer experience.
We have defined a long-term financial goal to achieve a non-GAAP operating return on equity of 300 basis points over our
weighted-average cost of capital. For further details regarding our 2017 performance as it relates to return on equity, refer to
"Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K.
Financial Strength Ratings play a significant role in insurance purchasing recommendations by our distribution partners and in
decision-making by our customers. Distribution partners generally recommend higher rated carriers to limit their liability for
error and omission claims, and customers often have minimum insurer rating requirements in loan and other banking covenants
securing real and personal property. Our Insurance Subsidiaries’ ratings by major rating agency are as follows:
Rating Agency
A.M. Best
Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings (“S&P”)
Moody’s Investors Services (“Moody’s”)
Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”)
Financial Strength Rating
A
A
A2
A+
Outlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
For further discussion on our ratings, please see the “Ratings” section of Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” of this Form 10-K.
We have provided a glossary of terms as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 10-K, which defines certain industry-specific and other
terms that are used in this Form 10-K.
4
Segments
We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows:
•
•
Standard Commercial Lines, which is comprised of insurance products and services provided in the standard
marketplace to commercial enterprises, which are typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local
government agencies. This business represents 78% of our total insurance operations’ NPW and is sold in 25 states
and the District of Columbia.
Standard Personal Lines, which is comprised of insurance products and services provided primarily to individuals
acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace. This business represents 13% of our total insurance operations’
NPW and is primarily sold in 13 Eastern and Midwestern states. Standard Personal Lines includes flood insurance
coverage. We are the fifth largest writer of this coverage through the National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”)
and write flood business in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
• E&S Lines, which is comprised of insurance products and services provided to customers who have not obtained
coverage in the standard marketplace. We currently only write commercial lines E&S coverages and this business
represents 9% of our total insurance operations’ NPW and is sold in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
•
Investments, which invests the premiums collected by our insurance operations, as well as amounts generated
through our capital management strategies, which includes the issuance of debt and equity securities.
We derive substantially all of our income in three ways:
• Underwriting income/loss from our insurance operations. Underwriting income/loss is comprised of revenues,
which are the premiums earned on our insurance products and services, less expenses. Gross premiums are direct
premium written (“DPW”) plus premiums assumed from other insurers. Gross premiums less premium ceded to
reinsurers, is NPW. NPW is recognized as revenue ratably over a policy’s term as net premiums earned (“NPE”).
Expenses related to our insurance operations fall into three main categories: (i) losses associated with claims and
various loss expenses incurred for adjusting claims (referred to as “loss and loss expense”); (ii) expenses related to
insurance policy issuance, such as commissions to our distribution partners, premium taxes, and other expenses
incurred in issuing and maintaining policies, including employee compensation and benefits (referred to as
“underwriting expenses”); and (iii) policyholder dividends.
• Net investment income from the investment segment. We generate income from investing insurance premiums and
amounts generated through our capital management strategies. Net investment income consists primarily of: (i)
interest earned on fixed income investments and preferred stocks; (ii) dividends earned on equity securities; and (iii)
other income primarily generated from our alternative investment portfolio.
• Net realized gains and losses on investment securities from the investments segment. Realized gains and losses
from the investment portfolios of the Insurance Subsidiaries and the Parent are typically the result of sales, calls,
and redemptions. They also include write downs from other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”).
Our income is partially offset by: (i) expenses at the Parent that include long-term incentive compensation to employees,
interest on our debt obligations, and other general corporate expenses; and (ii) federal income taxes.
We use the combined ratio as the key measure in assessing the performance of our insurance operations. The combined ratio is
calculated by adding: (i) the loss and loss expense ratio, which is the ratio of incurred loss and loss expense to NPE; (ii) the
expense ratio, which is the ratio of underwriting expenses to NPE; and (iii) the dividend ratio, which is the ratio of policyholder
dividends to NPE. A combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit and a combined ratio over 100% indicates an
underwriting loss. The combined ratio does not reflect investment income, federal income taxes, or Parent company income or
expense.
We use after-tax investment income, and net realized gains or losses as the key measures in assessing the performance of our
investments segment. Our investment philosophy includes setting certain risk and return objectives for the fixed income,
equity, and other investment portfolios. We generally review our performance by comparing our returns for each of these
components of our portfolio to a weighted-average benchmark of comparable indices.
5
For revenue and profitability measures for each of our segments, see Note 11. "Segment Information" in Item 8. "Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. We do not allocate assets to individual segments. In addition, for
analysis of segments' results, see "Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment" in Item 7. "Management's
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K.
Insurance Operations
Overview
We derive all of our insurance operations revenue from selling insurance products and services to businesses and individuals
for premium. The majority of our sales are annual insurance policies. Our most significant cost associated with the sale of
insurance policies is our loss and loss expense.
To that end, we establish loss and loss expense reserves that are estimates of the ultimate amounts that we will need to pay in
the future for claims and related expenses for insured losses that have already occurred. Estimating reserves as of any given
date requires the application of estimation techniques, involves a considerable degree of judgment and is an inherently
uncertain process. We regularly review our reserving techniques and the overall adequacy of our reserves. For disclosures
concerning our unpaid loss and loss expense, as well as a full discussion regarding our loss reserving process, see "Critical
Accounting Policies and Estimates" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations." of this Form 10-K. Additionally, for an analysis of changes in our loss reserves over the most recent three-year
period, see Note 9. "Reserve for Loss and Loss Expense" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this
Form 10-K.
As part of our risk management efforts associated with the sale of our products and services, we use reinsurance to protect our
capital resources and insure us against losses on the risks that we underwrite. We use two main reinsurance vehicles: (i) a
reinsurance pooling agreement among our Insurance Subsidiaries in which each company agrees to share in premiums and
losses based on certain specified percentages; and (ii) reinsurance contracts and arrangements with third parties that cover
various policies that we issue to our customers. For information regarding reinsurance treaties and agreements, see
"Reinsurance" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this
Form 10-K.
Insurance Operations Products and Services
The types of insurance we sell in our insurance operations fall into two broad categories:
•
Property insurance, which generally covers the financial consequences of accidental loss of an insured’s real and/or
personal property. Property claims are generally reported and settled in a relatively short period of time.
• Casualty insurance, which generally covers the financial consequences of employee injuries in the course of
employment and bodily injury and/or property damage to a third party as a result of an insured’s negligent acts,
omissions, or legal liabilities. Casualty claims may take several years, and for some casualty claims even several
decades, to be reported and settled.
We underwrite our business primarily through traditional insurance. The following table shows the principal types of policies
we write:
Types of Policies
Category of Insurance
Commercial Property (including Inland Marine)
Property
Commercial Automobile
Property/Casualty
General Liability (including Excess Liability/
Umbrella)
Workers Compensation
Businessowners' Policy
Bonds (Fidelity and Surety)
Homeowners
Personal Automobile
Casualty
Casualty
Property/Casualty
Casualty
Property/Casualty
Property/Casualty
Standard Personal
Lines
E&S Lines
X
X
X
Standard Commercial
Lines
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Personal Umbrella
Flood1
1Flood insurance premiums and losses are 100% ceded to the Federal Government’s Write Your Own ("WYO") Program of the National Flood Insurance
Program ("NFIP").
Casualty
Property
X
X
6
Product Development and Pricing
Our insurance policies are contracts that specify our coverages - what we will pay to or for an insured upon a specified loss.
We develop our coverages internally and by adopting and modifying forms and statistical data licensed from third party
aggregators, notably Insurance Services Office, Inc. (“ISO”), American Association of Insurance Services, Inc. ("AAIS"), and
the National Council on Compensation Insurance, Inc. ("NCCI"). Determining the price to charge for our coverages involves
consideration of many variables. At the time we underwrite and issue a policy, we do not know what our actual costs for the
policy will be in the future. To calculate and project future costs, we examine and analyze historical statistical data and factor
in expected changes in loss trends. Additionally, we have developed predictive models for certain of our Standard Commercial
and Standard Personal Lines. Predictive models analyze historical statistical data regarding our customers and their loss
experience, rank our policies, or potential policies, based on this analysis, and apply this risk data to current and future
customers to predict the likely profitability of an account. A model’s predictive capabilities are limited by the amount and
quality of the statistical data available. As a super-regional insurance group, our loss experience is not always statistically large
enough to analyze and project future costs. Consequently, we use ISO, AAIS, and NCCI data to supplement our proprietary
data.
Customers and Customer Markets
We categorize our Standard Commercial Lines customers into the following strategic business units ("SBUs"):
Percentage of Standard
Commercial Lines
Contractors
Mercantile and Services
Community and Public Services
Manufacturing and Wholesale
Bonds
Total Standard Commercial Lines
37%
26%
19%
17%
1%
100%
General contractors and trade contractors
Description
Focuses on retail, office, service businesses, restaurants, golf courses, and hotels
Focuses on public entities, social services, religious institutions, and schools
Includes manufacturers, wholesalers, and distributors
Includes fidelity and surety
We do not categorize our Standard Personal Line customers or our E&S Line customers by SBU.
The following are general guidelines that can be used as indicators of the approximate size of our customers:
• The average Standard Commercial Lines account size is approximately $11,000.
• The average Standard Personal Lines account size is approximately $2,000.
• The average E&S Lines policy is approximately $3,000.
No one customer accounts for 10% or more of our insurance operations in the aggregate.
Geographic Markets
We principally sell in the following geographic markets:
•
•
Standard Commercial Lines products and services are primarily sold in 25 states located in the Eastern, Midwestern
and Southwestern regions of the United States and the District of Columbia. In January 2018, we entered Colorado,
and we expect to add New Mexico and Utah later this year. This will bring our total Standard Commercial Lines
states to 27 by the end of 2018.
Standard Personal Lines products and services are primarily sold in 13 states located in the Eastern and Midwestern
regions of the United States, except for the flood portion of this segment, which is sold in all 50 states and the District
of Columbia. In the future, we expect to add Arizona and Utah, which will bring our total primary Standard Personal
Lines states to 15.
• E&S Lines are sold in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
7
Geographic diversification lessens our exposure to regulatory, competitive, and catastrophic risk. The following table lists the
principal states in which we write business and the percentage of total NPW each represents for the last three fiscal years:
% of NPW
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
New York
Maryland
Virginia
Georgia
North Carolina
Indiana
Illinois
South Carolina
Michigan
Other states
Total
Years ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
19.6%
11.8
8.2
5.5
4.6
4.5
4.2
3.7
3.6
3.2
3.1
28.0
100.0%
20.2
11.8
7.8
5.4
4.6
4.3
3.9
3.9
3.6
3.1
3.3
28.1
100.0
21.2
11.7
7.2
5.4
4.6
4.1
3.7
4.3
3.7
3.0
3.5
27.6
100.0
We support geographically diversified business from our corporate headquarters in Branchville, New Jersey, and our seven
regional branches (referred to as our “Regions”). The table below lists our Regions and where they have office locations:
Region
Heartland
New Jersey
Northeast
Mid-Atlantic
Southern
Southwest
E&S
Office Location
Carmel, Indiana
Hamilton, New Jersey
Branchville, New Jersey
Allentown, Pennsylvania and Hunt Valley, Maryland
Charlotte, North Carolina
Scottsdale, Arizona
Horsham, Pennsylvania and Scottsdale, Arizona
Distribution Channel
We sell our insurance products and services through the following types of distribution partners:
•
•
Standard Commercial Lines: independent retail agents;
Standard Personal Lines: independent retail agents; and
• E&S Lines: wholesale general agents and brokers.
We pay our distribution partners commissions that are based on a percentage of direct premiums written, and in some cases are
further based on profit calculations, and other consideration for business placed with us. We seek to compensate them fairly
and in a manner consistent with market practices. No one distribution partner is responsible for 10% or more of our combined
insurance operations' premium. Our top 20 distribution partners generated approximately 27% of our NPW in 2017, with 19 of
the 20 being larger agency groups.
As our customers rely heavily on our distribution partners, it is sometimes difficult to develop brand recognition as these
customers cannot always differentiate between their insurance agents and their insurance carriers. We continue to evolve our
service model, post policy-acquisition, with an increasing focus on the customer. Our goal is to provide our customers with
24/7 access to transactional capabilities and account information. Customers expect this level of access from every business
and, while many insurers offer such solutions in the personal lines space, we want to be a leader in this area for our entire book
of business. When combined with our digital strategy, we believe this level of access will significantly improve the customer
experience. Within our digital strategy, we provide self-servicing capabilities via a mobile application and a web-based portal
where our customers have access to basic account information on demand. These efforts will allow us to continue to offer
customers a shared experience with our distribution partners, while positioning us to more directly demonstrate our value
proposition.
8
Independent Retail Agents
According to a study released in 2017 by the Independent Insurance Agents & Brokers of America, independent retail insurance
agents and brokers write approximately 83% of standard commercial lines insurance and 36% of standard personal lines
insurance in the United States. We believe that independent retail insurance agents will remain a significant force in overall
insurance industry premium production because they represent more than one insurance carrier and therefore are able to
provide a wider choice of commercial and personal lines insurance products and risk-based consultation to customers.
We currently have 1,250 independent retail agents selling our Standard Commercial Lines business, 685 of which also sell our
Standard Personal Lines business (excluding flood). In total, these 1,250 distribution partners have approximately 2,350 office
locations selling our business. In addition, we have approximately 5,800 retail agents selling our flood insurance products.
In a 2017 survey, we received an overall satisfaction score of 8.8 out of 10 from our standard market distribution partners,
which, we believe, highlighted their satisfaction with our products, the ease of reporting claims, and the professionalism and
effectiveness of our employees.
Wholesale General Agents
E&S Lines are written almost exclusively through 85 wholesale general agents and 9 wholesale brokers with a combined 245
office locations, who are our distribution partners in the E&S market. We have granted limited binding authority to the
wholesale general agents for business that meets our prescribed underwriting and pricing guidelines. The wholesale brokers
submit brokerage business to us for risk acceptability, terms and conditions, and pricing.
Marketing
Our primary marketing strategy is to:
• Use an empowered field underwriting model to provide our Standard Commercial Lines retail distribution partners
with resources within close geographic proximity to their businesses and our mutual customers. For further
discussion on this, see the “Field Model and Technology” section below.
• Develop close relationships with each distribution partner, as well as their principals and producers: (i) by soliciting
their feedback on products and services; (ii) by advising them concerning our product developments; and (iii)
through education and development focusing on producer recruitment, sales training, enhancing customer
experience, online marketing, and distribution operations.
• Develop with each distribution partner, and then carefully monitor, annual goals regarding: (i) types and mix of
risks placed with us; (ii) amount of premium or number of policies placed with us; (iii) customer service and
retention levels; and (iv) profitability of business placed with us.
• Develop brand recognition with our customers through our marketing efforts to be recognized as a proactive risk
manager, which include advertising, proactive communication, and providing exceptional products and services that
help position us as a leader in the marketplace.
Field Model and Technology
We use the service mark “High-tech x High-touch = HT2 SM” to describe our business strategy. “High-tech” refers to our
technology that we use to make it easy for our distribution partners and customers to do business with us. “High-touch” refers
to the close relationships that we have with our distribution partners and customers through our field business model.
High Tech
We leverage the use of technology in our business. We have made significant investments in information technology platforms,
integrated systems, internet-based applications, and predictive modeling initiatives. We do this to provide:
• Our distribution partners and customers with access to accurate business information and the ability to process
certain transactions from their locations, seamlessly integrating those transactions into our systems;
• Our underwriters with targeted underwriting and pricing tools to enhance profitability while growing the business;
• Our workers compensation claims adjusters with predictive tools to indicate when claims are likely to escalate to
better serve our customers;
9
• Our Special Investigations Unit ("SIU") investigators access to our business intelligence systems to better identify
claims with potential fraudulent activities;
• Our claims recovery and subrogation departments with the ability to expand and enhance their models through the
use of our business intelligence systems; and
• Our customers with 24/7 access to transactional capabilities and information through a web-based customer portal
and a customer mobile application.
We manage our information technology projects through an Enterprise Project Management Office (“EPMO”) governance
model. The EPMO is supported by certified project managers who apply methodologies to: (i) communicate project
management standards; (ii) provide project management training and tools; (iii) manage projects; (iv) review project status and
cost; and (v) provide non-technology project management consulting services to the rest of the organization. The EPMO,
which includes senior management representatives from all major business areas, corporate functions, and information
technology, meets regularly to review all major initiatives and receives reports on the status of other projects. We believe the
EPMO is an important factor in the success of our technology implementation.
Our primary technology operations are located in Branchville, New Jersey and Glastonbury, Connecticut. We have agreements
with multiple consulting, information technology, and service providers for supplemental staffing services. Collectively, these
providers supply approximately 47% of our skilled technology capacity and are principally based in the U.S., although we do
contract with some service providers who are based, or utilize resources, outside the U.S. We retain management oversight of
all projects and ongoing information technology production operations. We believe we would be able to manage an efficient
transition to new vendors without significant impact to our operations if we terminated an existing vendor.
High Touch
To support our distribution partners, we employ a field model for both underwriting and claims, with various employees in the
field, usually working from home offices near our distribution partners. We believe that we build better and stronger
relationships with our distribution partners because of the close proximity of our field employees, and the resulting direct
interaction with our distribution partners and customers. At December 31, 2017, we had approximately 2,260 employees, of
which 560 worked in the field, 860 worked in one of our regional offices, and the remainder worked in our corporate office.
Underwriting Process
Our underwriting process requires communication and interaction among:
• Our Regions, together with our corporate underwriting and actuarial departments, jointly establish and execute upon
the following for our Standard Commercial Lines business: (i) annual premium and pricing goals; (ii) specific new
business targets by distribution partner; and (iii) profit improvement plans as needed across lines, states, and/or
distribution partners;
• Our corporate underwriting department, which develops our underwriting appetite, products, policy forms, pricing,
and underwriting guidelines for our standard market business;
• Our corporate actuaries who assist in the determination of rate and pricing levels, while monitoring pricing and
profitability along with the Regions, corporate underwriting department, and business intelligence staff for our
standard and E&S market business;
• Our distribution partners, which include independent retail agents for our standard market business and wholesale
general agents for our E&S market business, that provide front-line underwriting within our prescribed guidelines;
• Our Agency Management Specialists (“AMSs”), who: (i) manage the growth and profitability of business that their
assigned distribution partners write with us; and (ii) perform field underwriting for new Standard Commercial Lines
business;
• Our territory managers who have oversight of the AMS production team for Standard Commercial Lines, ensure that:
(i) annual profit and growth plans are developed on a state by state basis; (ii) the achievement of these state plans are
monitored at the state, AMS territory and account level; and (iii) individual agency plans are developed and monitored
for achievement annually;
10
• Our Standard Commercial Lines small business teams that are responsible for handling: (i) new business in need of
review that was submitted by our distribution partners through our automated underwriting platform, One & Done®;
and (ii) other new small accounts and middle market accounts with low underwriting complexity;
• Our Safety Management Specialists (“SMSs”), who provide a wide range of front-line safety management services to
our Standard Commercial Lines customers as discussed more fully below;
• Our regional underwriters, who manage the in-force policies for their assigned Standard Commercial Lines
distribution partners, including, but not limited to, managing profitability and pricing levels within their portfolios by
developing policy-specific pricing;
• Our premium auditors, who supplement the underwriting process by working with insureds to accurately audit
exposures for certain Standard Commercial Lines policies that we write;
• Our field technical coordinators, who are responsible for technology assistance and training to aid our employees and
standard market distribution partners;
• Our Personal Lines Marketing Specialists (“PLMSs”), who have primary responsibility for identifying new
opportunities to grow our Standard Personal Lines; and
• Our E&S territory managers, who have primary responsibility for identifying new opportunities to grow our E&S
Lines.
We have an underwriting service center (“USC”) located in Richmond, Virginia. The USC assists our distribution partners by
servicing certain Standard Personal Lines and smaller Standard Commercial Lines accounts. At the USC, many of our
employees are licensed agents who respond to customer inquiries about insurance coverage, billing transactions, and other
matters. For the convenience of using the USC and our handling of certain transactions, our distribution partners agree to
receive a slightly lower than standard commission for the premium associated with the USC. As of December 31, 2017, our
USC was servicing Standard Commercial Lines NPW of $51.5 million and Standard Personal Lines NPW of $28.3 million.
The $79.8 million total serviced by the USC represents 3% of our total NPW.
As mentioned above, our field model provides a wide range of front-line safety management services focused on improving a
Standard Commercial Lines insured’s safety and risk management programs. Our service mark “Safety Management:
Solutions for a safer workplace”SM includes: (i) risk evaluation and improvement surveys intended to evaluate potential
exposures and provide solutions for mitigation; (ii) internet-based safety management educational resources, including a large
library of coverage-specific safety materials, videos and online courses, such as defensive driving and employee educational
safety courses; (iii) thermographic infrared surveys aimed at identifying electrical hazards; and (iv) Occupational Safety and
Health Administration construction and general industry certification training. Risk improvement efforts for existing customers
are designed to improve loss experience and policyholder retention through valuable ongoing consultative service. Our safety
management goal is to work with our customers to identify, mitigate, and eliminate potential loss exposures.
Claims Management
Effective, fair, and timely claims management is one of the most important services that we provide to our customers and
distribution partners. It is also one of the critical factors in achieving underwriting profitability. We have structured our claims
organization to emphasize: (i) cost-effective delivery of claims services and control of loss and loss expense; and (ii)
maintenance of timely and adequate claims reserves. In connection with our Standard Commercial Lines and Standard
Personal Lines, we achieve better claim outcomes through a field model that locates claim representatives in close proximity to
our customers and distribution partners.
We have a claims service center (“CSC”), co-located with the USC, in Richmond, Virginia. The CSC receives first notices of
loss from our customers and claimants related to our Standard Commercial Lines and Standard Personal Lines and manages
routine automobile and property claims with no injuries. The CSC is designed to help: (i) reduce the claims settlement time on
first- and third-party automobile property damage claims; (ii) increase the use of body shops, glass repair shops, and car rental
agencies that have contracted with us at discounted rates and specified service levels; (iii) handle and settle small property
claims; and (iv) investigate and negotiate auto liability claims. The CSC, as appropriate, will assign claims to the appropriate
regional claims office or other specialized area within our claims organization.
Claims Management Specialists (“CMSs”) are responsible for investigating and resolving the majority of our standard
marketplace commercial automobile bodily injury, general liability, and property losses with low severities. We also have
11
Property Claims Specialists ("PCSs") to handle property claims with severities ranging from $10,000 to $100,000. They also
form the basis of our catastrophe response team. Strategically located throughout our footprint, CMSs and PCSs are able to
provide highly responsive customer and distribution partner service to quickly resolve claims within their authority.
Our E&S claims processing is consistent with our Standard Commercial Lines and Standard Personal Lines claims processing.
E&S claims are handled in our standard lines regional offices and are segregated by line of business (property and liability),
litigation, and complexity.
Our Quality Assurance Unit conducts monthly file reviews on all of our operations to validate compliance with our quality
claim handling standards.
Complex and litigated claims oversight is handled by specialists within the Complex Claims and Litigation Unit ("CCU").
We have implemented specialized claims handling as follows:
• Liability claims with high severity or technically complex losses are handled by the CCU. The CCU specialists are
primarily field based and handle losses based on injury type or with severities greater than $250,000.
• Litigated matters not meeting the CCU criteria are handled within our regional litigation offices. These teams are
aligned based upon jurisdictional knowledge and technical experience and are supervised by regional litigation
managers. These claims are segregated from the CMSs to allow for focused management and application of specific
technical expertise.
• Workers compensation claims handling is centralized in Charlotte, North Carolina. Jurisdictionally trained and
aligned medical-only and lost-time adjusters manage non-complex workers compensation claims within our footprint.
Claims with high exposure and/or significant escalation risk are referred to the workers compensation strategic case
management unit.
• Low severity/high volume property claims are handled by the CSC. Certain complex claims that do not involve
structural damage (i.e. employee dishonesty and equipment breakdown losses) are handled by a small group of
specialists in the CSC.
• The Large Loss Unit ("LLU") handles complex property claims, typically those in excess of $100,000.
• All asbestos and environmental claims are referred to our specialized corporate Environmental Unit, which also
handles other latent claims.
• The Construction Defect Unit unit handles larger, complex construction defect claims.
This structure allows us to provide experienced adjusting to each claim category.
All insurance operations are supported by the SIU that investigates potential insurance fraud and abuse, and supports efforts by
regulatory bodies and trade associations to curtail the cost of fraud. We have developed a proprietary SIU fraud detection
model that identifies the potential fraud cases early on in the life of the claim. The SIU adheres to uniform internal procedures
to improve detection and take action on potentially fraudulent claims. It is our practice to notify the proper authorities of SIU
findings, which we believe sends a clear message that we will not tolerate fraud against us or our customers. The SIU
supervises anti-fraud training for all claims adjusters and AMSs.
Insurance Operations Competition
Our insurance operations face competition from public, private, and mutual insurance companies, which may have lower
operating costs and/or lower cost of capital than we do. Some, like us, rely on partners for the distribution of their products and
services and have competition within their distribution channel, making growth in market share difficult. Other insurance
carriers either employ their own agents who only represent them or use a combination of distribution partners, captive agents,
and direct marketing. The following provides information on the competition facing our insurance operations:
12
Standard Commercial Lines
The Standard Commercial Lines property and casualty insurance market is highly competitive and market share is fragmented
among many companies. We compete with two types of companies, primarily on the basis of price, coverage terms, claims
service, customer experience, safety management services, ease of technology usage, and financial ratings:
• Regional insurers, such as Cincinnati Financial Corporation, Erie Indemnity Company, The Hanover Insurance
Group, Inc., and United Fire Group, Inc.; and
• National insurers, such as The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc.,
Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company, Chubb Limited, The Travelers Companies, Inc., and Zurich Insurance
Group, Ltd.
Standard Personal Lines
Our Standard Personal Lines face competition primarily from the regional and national carriers noted above, as well as
companies such as State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Company and Allstate Corporation. In addition, we face
competition from direct insurers such as The Government Employees Insurance Company and The Progressive Corporation,
which primarily offer personal auto coverage and market through a direct-to-consumer model.
E&S Lines
Our E&S Lines face competition from the E&S subsidiaries of the regional and national carriers named above, as well as the
following companies:
• Nautilus Insurance Group, a member of W. R. Berkley Company;
• Colony Specialty, a member of the Argo Group International Holding Ltd;
• Western World Insurance Group, a member of the Validus Group;
• Century Insurance Group, a member of the Meadowbrook Insurance Group;
• The Burlington Insurance Company, a member of IFG Companies;
• United States Liability Insurance Group, a member of Berkshire Hathaway, Inc.; and
• Markel Corporation.
Other
In addition, both existing competitors and new industry participants are developing new platforms that are leveraging
technology and the Internet to provide a low cost "direct to the customer" model. New competitors emerging under this digital
platform include, but are not limited to, Lemonade, Attune, and Metromile. Many of these new entrants have significant
financial backing. Further, reinsurers have entered certain primary property and casualty insurance markets to diversity their
operations and compete with us.
Insurance Regulation
Primary Oversight by the States in Which We Operate
Our insurance operations are heavily regulated. The primary public policy behind insurance regulation is the protection of
policyholders and claimants over all other constituencies, including shareholders. By virtue of the McCarran-Ferguson Act,
Congress has largely delegated insurance regulation to the various states. The primary market conduct and financial regulators
of our Insurance Subsidiaries are the departments of insurance in the states in which they are organized and are licensed. The
types of activities that are regulated by the states include:
Pricing and underwriting practices;
•
• Claims practices;
• Exiting geographic markets and/or canceling or non-renewing policies;
• Assessments for guaranty funds and second-injury funds and other mandatory assigned risks and reinsurance;
• The types, quality and concentration of investments we make; and
• Dividends from our Insurance Subsidiaries to the Parent.
For additional discussion of the broad regulatory, administrative, and supervisory powers of the various departments of
insurance, refer to the risk factor that discusses regulation in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K.
Our various state insurance regulators are members of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The
NAIC has codified statutory accounting principles ("SAP") and other accounting reporting formats and drafts model insurance
laws and regulations governing insurance companies. An NAIC model only becomes law when it is enacted in the various state
13
legislatures or promulgated as a regulation by the state insurance department. The adoption of certain NAIC model laws and
regulations, however, is a key aspect of the NAIC Financial Regulations Standards and Accreditation Program.
NAIC Monitoring Tools
Among the NAIC's various financial monitoring tools that are material to the regulators in states in which our Insurance
Subsidiaries are organized are the following:
• The Insurance Regulatory Information System (“IRIS”). IRIS identifies 13 industry financial ratios and specifies
“usual values” for each ratio. Departure from the usual values on four or more of the financial ratios can lead to
inquiries from individual state insurance departments about certain aspects of the insurer's business. Our Insurance
Subsidiaries have consistently met the majority of the IRIS ratio tests.
• Risk-Based Capital. Risk-based capital is measured by four major areas of risk to which property and casualty
insurers are exposed: (i) asset risk; (ii) credit risk; (iii) underwriting risk; and (iv) off-balance sheet risk. Insurers face
a steadily increasing amount of regulatory scrutiny and potential intervention as their total adjusted capital declines
below two times their "Authorized Control Level". Based on our 2017 statutory financial statements, which have been
prepared in accordance with SAP, the total adjusted capital for each of our Insurance Subsidiaries substantially
exceeded two times their Authorized Control Level.
• Annual Financial Reporting Regulation (referred to as the "Model Audit Rule"). The Model Audit Rule, which is
modeled closely on the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, as amended ("Sarbanes-Oxley Act"), regulates: (i) auditor
independence; (ii) corporate governance; and (iii) internal control over financial reporting. As permitted under the
Model Audit Rule, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of the Parent also serves as the audit
committee of each of our Insurance Subsidiaries.
• Own Risk and Solvency Assessment ("ORSA"). ORSA requires insurers to maintain a framework for identifying,
assessing, monitoring, managing, and reporting on the “material and relevant risks” associated with the insurers' (or
insurance groups') current and future business plans. ORSA, which has been adopted by the state insurance regulators
of our Insurance Subsidiaries, requires companies to file an internal assessment of their solvency with insurance
regulators annually. Although no specific capital adequacy standard is currently articulated in ORSA, it is possible
that such standard will be developed over time and may increase insurers' minimum capital requirements, which could
adversely impact our growth and return on equity.
In addition to the formal regulation above, we are subject to capital adequacy monitoring by rating agencies, for example,
Best's Capital Adequacy Ratio ("BCAR"). BCAR, which was developed by A.M. Best, examines an insurer's leverage,
underwriting activities, and financial performance.
Federal Regulation
Notable federal legislation and administrative policies that affect the insurance industry are:
• The Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act ("TRIPRA");
• The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (“Dodd-Frank Act”); and
• Various privacy laws that apply to us because we have personal non-public information, including the:
Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act;
Fair Credit Reporting Act;
Drivers Privacy Protection Act; and
Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act.
Like all businesses, we are required to enforce the economic and trade sanctions of the Office of Foreign Assets Control
(“OFAC”).
The Mitigation Division of the Federal Emergency Management Agency ("FEMA") oversees the WYO Program of the NFIP,
which was enacted by Congress. Under the program, we receive an expense allowance for flood policies written and a servicing
fee for flood claims administered, and all losses are 100% reinsured by the Federal Government. Congress sets the WYO
Program's budgeting, rules, and rating parameters. Two significant pieces of legislation that impact the WYO Program are the
Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012 ("Biggert-Waters Act") and the Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability
Act of 2014 ("Flood Affordability Act"). The Biggert-Waters Act: (i) extended the NFIP funding to September 30, 2017; and
(ii) moved the program to more market based rates for certain flood policies. The Flood Affordability Act repealed and
modified certain provisions in the Biggert-Waters Act regarding premium adjustments. The NFIP has received multiple short-
term extensions and currently expires on March 23, 2018.
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In response to the financial markets crises in 2008 and 2009, the Dodd-Frank Act was enacted in 2010. This law provided for,
among other things, the following:
• The establishment of the Federal Insurance Office (“FIO”) under the United States Department of the Treasury;
•
• Corporate governance reforms for publicly traded companies.
Federal Reserve oversight of financial services firms designated as systemically important; and
The FIO, the Federal Reserve, state regulators, and other regulatory bodies have been developing models for capital standards,
negotiated a covered agreement with the European Union that, among other things, impacted reinsurance collateral, and have
been gathering data as required under the Dodd-Frank Act. Changes to the Dodd-Frank Act and FIO are expected as the Trump
Administration and the Republican Congress seek opportunities to pare down the Dodd-Frank Act and its regulations.
Legislation has passed the House that would limit the scope of the Dodd-Frank Act but has yet to be considered by the Senate.
The Trump Administration, though, continues to seek regulatory limitations. For additional information on the potential impact
of the Dodd-Frank Act, refer to the risk factor related to this legislation within Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K.
International Regulation
We believe that development of global capital standards will influence the development of similar standards by domestic
regulators. Notable international developments include the following:
•
In 2014, the International Association of Insurance Supervisors proposed Basic Capital Standards for Global
Systemically Important Insurers as well as a uniform capital framework for internationally active insurers; and
• The European Union enacted Solvency II, which sets out new requirements on capital adequacy and risk management
for insurers operating in Europe, which was implemented in 2016.
For additional information on the potential impact of international regulation on our business, refer to the risk factor related to
regulation within Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K.
Investment Segment
Our Investment segment invests the cash we collect from our insurance policies prior to the payment of claims, as well as
amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities, to
generate investment income and to satisfy obligations to our customers, our shareholders, and our debt holders, among others.
At December 31, 2017, our investment portfolio consisted of the following:
Category of Investment
($ in millions, except invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity)
Fixed income securities
Equity securities
Short-term investments
Other investments, including alternatives
Total
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
Carrying Value
% of Investment
Portfolio
$
$
$
5,204.6
182.7
165.6
132.3
5,685.2
3.32
92
3
3
2
100
Our investment philosophy includes certain return and risk objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment
portfolios. After-tax yield and income generation are key objectives of our investment strategy, although we also focus on the
total return of the portfolio. In 2016, we determined that a more active management approach to our fixed income portfolio
was appropriate to maximize the risk-adjusted after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while maintaining a similar
level of credit quality and duration risk. To execute on this revised approach, we hired several new investment managers who
were on-boarded in the fourth quarter of 2016. Since then, through active security selection, we have increased the book yield
of our fixed income portfolio, which resulted in a higher level of net investment income in 2017, while maintaining the overall
credit quality and duration of the portfolio. In addition, we have continued to diversify and have modestly increased our
exposure to risk assets to 8% while moving towards a long-term target risk allocation of approximately 10% of total invested
assets. Risk assets principally include public equities, high-yield fixed income securities, and private assets. Our core
investment philosophy has not changed. We remain focused on diversification, capital preservation, investment quality, and
liquidity to meet our needs and obligations.
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For further information regarding our risks associated with the overall investment portfolio, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and
Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” and Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. For additional information
about investments, see the section entitled, “Investments,” in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations.” and Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Note 5. of this Form 10-K.
Enterprise Risk Management
As a property and casualty holding company, our Insurance Subsidiaries are in the business of assuming risk. We categorize
our major risks into the following five broad categories:
• Asset risk, which stems primarily from our investment portfolio and reinsurance recoverables and includes credit and
market risk;
• Underwriting risk, which is the risk that the insured losses are higher than our expectations, including losses from
inadequate loss reserves, larger than expected non-catastrophe current accident year losses and catastrophe losses;
• Liquidity risk, which is the risk we will be unable to meet contractual obligations as they become due because we are
unable to liquidate assets or obtain adequate funding without incurring unacceptable losses;
• Emerging risks, which are new and known but evolving risks that may have a significant impact on our financial
strength, reputation, or long-term strategy; and
• Other risks, including a broad range of operational risks that can be difficult to quantify, such as legal, regulatory,
reputational and strategic risks as well as the risk of fraud, human failure and failure of controls and systems.
Our internal control framework operates with the three lines of defense model. The first line of defense consists of individual
functions that deliberately assume risks and own and manage our risk on a day-to-day and business operational basis. The
second line of defense is responsible for risk oversight and also supports the first line to understand and manage risk. A
dedicated risk team led by the Chief Risk Officer is responsible for this second line and reports to the Chief Financial Officer.
The third line of defense is our Internal Audit team, which provides independent, objective assurance as to the assessment of
the adequacy and effectiveness of our internal control environment. It also coordinates risk-based audits and compliance
reviews and other specific initiatives to evaluate and address risk within targeted areas of our business.
We use Enterprise Risk Management (“ERM”) as part of our governance and control process to take an entity-wide view of our
major risks and their impact. Our ERM framework is designed to identify, measure, report, and monitor our major risks and
develop appropriate responses to support successful execution of our business strategy.
Our Board oversees our enterprise risk management process and sets our overall risk appetite, while the Executive Risk
Committee is responsible for the holistic evaluation and supervision of our aggregated risk profile and determination of future
risk management actions in support of overall risk appetite. In addition to the Board’s oversight of the overall risk and the
ERM process, various committees of the Board oversee risks specific to their areas of supervision and report their activities and
findings to the full Board. The Executive Risk Committee uses various management committees for detailed analysis and
management of specific major risks. The Executive Risk Committee primarily consists of the Chief Executive Officer, his
direct reports and key operational leaders, each of whom is responsible for management of risk in his or her respective area,
and the Chief Risk Officer.
In addition to the various committees and the governance process over ERM, we believe that high-quality and effective ERM is
best achieved when it is a shared cultural value throughout the organization. We consider ERM to be a key process that is the
responsibility of every employee. We have developed and use tools and processes that we believe support a culture of risk
management and create a robust framework of ERM within our organization. In addition, our compensation policies and
practices, as well as our governance framework, including our Board's leadership structure, are designed to support our overall
risk appetite and strategy. We believe that our ERM processes and practices help us to identify potential events that may affect
us, quantify, evaluate and manage the risks to which we are exposed, and provide reasonable assurance regarding the
achievement of our objectives.
We rely on quantitative and qualitative tools to identify, prioritize, and manage our major risks including proprietary and third-
party computer modeling as well as various other analyses. The Executive Risk Committee meets at least quarterly and
reviews and discusses various aspects and the interrelation of Selective’s major risks, including, but not limited to, capital
modeling results, capital adequacy, risk metrics, emerging risks, and sensitivity analysis. Consistent with the requirements of
state insurance regulators, our Insurance Subsidiaries annually file their ORSA report, which is an internal assessment of our
Insurance Subsidiaries' solvency. The Chief Risk Officer develops the report in coordination with members of the Executive
Risk Committee, and the report is provided to the Board. The Chief Risk Officer reports on the Executive Risk Committee's
activities, analyses, and findings to the Board or the appropriate Board Committee, and provides a quarterly update on certain
risk metrics.
16
We believe that our risk governance structure facilitates strong risk dialogue across all levels and disciplines of the organization
and promotes robust risk management practices. All of our strategies and controls, however, have inherent limitations. We
cannot be certain that an event or series of unanticipated events will not occur and result in losses greater than we expect and
have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
An investor should carefully consider the risks and all of the other information included in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.”, Item 7A.
“Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.", and Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data."
of this Form 10-K.
Reports to Security Holders
We file with the SEC all required disclosures, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q,
Current Reports on Form 8-K, Proxy Statements, and other required information under Sections 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”). We provide access to these filed materials on our Internet website,
www.Selective.com.
Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Any of the following risk factors could: (i) significantly impact our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations,
financial condition, and debt ratings; and (ii) cause our actual results to differ materially from historical or anticipated results.
These non-exhaustive risk factors might affect, alter, or change our actions executing our long-term capital strategy, including,
but not limited to, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity
securities, repurchasing our equity securities, redeeming our fixed income securities, or increasing or decreasing stockholders’
dividends.
Risks Related to our Insurance Operations
We are subject to losses from catastrophic events.
Our results are subject to losses from natural and man-made catastrophes, including, but not limited to: hurricanes, tornadoes,
windstorms, earthquakes, hail, terrorism, including cyber-attacks, explosions, severe winter weather, floods, and fires, some of
which may be related to climate changes. The frequency and severity of these catastrophes are inherently unpredictable. One
year may be relatively free of such events while another may have multiple events. For further discussion regarding man-made
catastrophes that relate to terrorism, see the risk factor directly below regarding the potential for significant losses from acts of
terrorism.
There is widespread interest among scientists, legislators, regulators, and the public regarding the effect that greenhouse gas
emissions may have on our environment, including climate change. If greenhouse gasses continue to impact our climate, it is
possible that more devastating catastrophic events could occur.
The magnitude of catastrophe losses is determined by the severity of the event and the total amount of insured exposures in the
area affected by the event as determined by ISO's Property Claim Services unit. Most of the risks underwritten by our
insurance operations are concentrated geographically in the Eastern and Midwestern regions of the country. In 2017,
approximately 20% of NPW were related to insurance policies written in New Jersey. Catastrophes in the Eastern and
Midwestern regions of the U.S. could adversely impact our financial results, as was the case in 2010, 2011, and 2012.
Although catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of property and casualty insurance lines, most of our historical catastrophe-
related claims have been from commercial property and homeowners coverages. In an effort to limit our exposure to
catastrophe losses, we purchase catastrophe reinsurance. Catastrophe reinsurance could prove inadequate if: (i) the various
modeling software programs that we use to analyze the Insurance Subsidiaries’ risk result in an inadequate purchase of
reinsurance by us; (ii) a major catastrophe loss exceeds the reinsurance limit or the reinsurers’ financial capacity; or (iii) the
frequency of catastrophe losses results in our Insurance Subsidiaries exceeding the aggregate limits provided by the catastrophe
reinsurance treaty. Even after considering our reinsurance protection, our exposure to catastrophe risks could have a material
adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
Our loss and loss expense reserves may not be adequate to cover actual losses and expenses.
We are required to maintain loss and loss expense reserves for our estimated liability for loss and loss expense associated with
reported and unreported insurance claims. Our estimates of reserve amounts are based on facts and circumstances that we
know, including our expectations of the ultimate settlement and claim administration expenses, trends in claims severity and
frequency, including inflationary trends particularly regarding medical costs, predictions of future events, and other subjective
factors relating to our insurance policies in force. There is no method for precisely estimating the ultimate liability for
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settlement of claims. We cannot be certain that the reserves we establish are adequate or will be adequate in the future. From
time-to-time, we increase reserves if they are inadequate or reduce them if they are redundant. An increase in reserves: (i)
reduces net income and stockholders’ equity for the period in which the reserves are increased; and (ii) could have a material
adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
We are subject to potentially significant losses from acts of terrorism.
As a Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines writer, we are required to participate in TRIPRA, which was extended by
Congress to December 31, 2020. TRIPRA requires private insurers and the U.S. government to share the risk of loss on future
acts of terrorism certified by the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury. Under TRIPRA, insureds with non-workers compensation
commercial policies have the option to accept or decline our terrorism coverage or negotiate with us for other terms. In 2017,
90% of our Standard Commercial Lines non-workers compensation policyholders purchased terrorism coverage that included
nuclear, biological, chemical, and radioactive ("NBCR") events. Terrorism coverage is mandatory for all primary workers
compensation policies, so the TRIPRA back-stop applies to these policies. A risk exists that, if the U.S. Secretary of Treasury
does not certify certain future terrorist events, we would be required to pay related covered losses without TRIPRA's risk
sharing benefits. Examples of this potential risk are the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing and the 2015 shootings in San
Bernardino, California, neither of which were certified as terrorism events.
Under TRIPRA, each participating insurer is responsible for paying a deductible of specified losses before federal assistance is
available. This deductible is based on a percentage of the prior year’s applicable Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines
premiums. In 2018, our deductible is $323 million. For losses above the deductible, the federal government will pay 82% of
losses to an industry limit of $100 billion, and the insurer retains 18%. The federal share of losses will be reduced by 1% each
year to 80% by 2020. Although TRIPRA’s provisions will mitigate our loss exposure to a large-scale terrorist attack, our
deductible is substantial and could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition,
financial strength, and debt ratings.
TRIPRA rescinded all previously approved coverage exclusions for terrorism. Many of the states in which we write
commercial property insurance mandate that we cover fire following an act of terrorism regardless of whether the insured
specifically purchased terrorism coverage. Likewise, terrorism coverage cannot be excluded from workers compensation
policies in any state in which we write.
Personal lines of business have never been covered under TRIPRA. Homeowners policies within our Standard Personal Lines
exclude nuclear losses, but do not exclude biological or chemical losses.
Our ability to reduce our risk exposure depends on the availability and cost of reinsurance.
We transfer a portion of our underwriting risk exposure to reinsurance companies. Through our reinsurance arrangements, a
specified portion of our loss and loss expense are assumed by the reinsurer in exchange for a specified portion of premiums.
The availability, amount, and cost of reinsurance depend on market conditions, which may vary significantly. Most of our
reinsurance contracts renew annually and may be impacted by the market conditions at the time of the renewal that are
unrelated to our specific book of business or experience. Any decrease in the amount of our reinsurance will increase our risk
of loss. Any increase in the cost of reinsurance that cannot be included in renewal price increases will reduce our earnings.
Accordingly, we may be forced to incur additional expenses for reinsurance or may not be able to obtain sufficient reinsurance
on acceptable terms. Either could adversely affect our ability to write future business or result in the assumption of more risk
with respect to those policies we issue.
We are exposed to credit risk.
We are exposed to credit risk in several areas of our insurance operations, including from:
• Our reinsurers, who are obligated to us under our reinsurance agreements. Amounts recoverable from our
reinsurers can increase quickly and significantly during periods of high catastrophe loss activity, so our credit risk
related to our reinsurance relationships can increase significantly and will fluctuate over time. In addition, our
reinsurers often rely on their own reinsurance programs, or retrocessions, as part of managing their exposure to
large losses. Given the relatively small size of the global reinsurance community, the inability of our reinsurers to
collect on their retrocession program, or their inability to reinstate their coverage after a large loss, may impair their
ability to pay us for the amounts we cede to them. Accordingly, we have direct and indirect counterparty credit risk
from our reinsurers. We attempt to mitigate this credit risk by: (i) pursuing relationships with reinsurers rated “A-”
or higher by A.M. Best; and/or (ii) obtaining collateral to secure reinsurance obligations.
• Certain life insurance companies if they fail to fulfill their obligations to those customers for whom we have
purchased annuities under structured settlement agreements.
18
•
•
Some of our distribution partners, who collect premiums due us from our customers.
Some of our customers, who are responsible for payment of premiums and/or deductibles directly to us.
• The invested assets in our defined benefit plan, which partially serve to fund our liability associated with this plan.
To the extent that credit risk adversely impacts the valuation and performance of the invested assets within our
defined benefit plan, the funded status of the defined benefit plan could be adversely impacted and, as result, could
increase the cost of the plan to us.
Our exposure to credit risk could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition,
financial strength, and debt ratings.
Difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy may adversely affect our revenue and profitability and harm
our business, and these conditions may not improve in the near future.
General economic conditions in the U.S. and throughout the world and volatility in financial and insurance markets may
materially affect our results of operations. Factors such as business and consumer confidence, unemployment levels, consumer
spending, business investment, government spending, the volatility and strength of the capital markets, and inflation all affect
the business and economic environment and, indirectly, the amount and profitability of our business. During 2017, 33% of
DPW in our Standard Commercial Lines business was based on payroll/sales of our underlying customers. An economic
downturn in which our customers experience declines in revenue or employee count could adversely affect our audit and
endorsement premium in our Standard Commercial Lines.
Unfavorable economic developments could adversely affect our earnings if our customers have less need for insurance
coverage, cancel existing insurance policies, modify coverage, or choose not to renew with us. Challenging economic
conditions may impair the ability of our customers to pay premiums as they come due. Adverse economic conditions may have
a material effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
A downgrade or a potential downgrade in our financial strength or credit ratings could result in a loss of business and could
have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
A significant financial strength rating downgrade, particularly from A.M. Best, would affect our ability to write new or renewal
business with customers, some of whom are required under various third party agreements to maintain insurance with a carrier
with a specified minimum rating. In addition, our $30 million line of credit ("Line of Credit") requires our Insurance
Subsidiaries to maintain an A.M. Best rating of at least “A-” (one level below our current rating) and a default could lead to
acceleration of any outstanding principal. Such an event could trigger default provisions under certain of our other debt
instruments and negatively impact our ability to borrow in the future. As a result, any significant downgrade in our financial
strength ratings could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial
strength, and debt ratings. Refer to Item 1. "Business" for our current financial strength ratings.
Nationally recognized statistical rating organizations ("NRSROs") also rate our long-term debt creditworthiness. Credit ratings
indicate the ability of debt issuers to meet debt obligations in a timely manner and are important factors in our overall funding
profile and ability to access certain types of liquidity. Our current senior credit ratings are as follows:
NRSRO
Credit Rating
Long Term Credit Outlook
A.M. Best
S&P
Moody’s
Fitch
bbb+
BBB
Baa2
BBB+
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Downgrades in our credit ratings could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations in
many ways, including making it more expensive for us to access capital markets. We cannot predict possible actions NRSROs
may take regarding our ratings that could adversely affect our business or the possible actions we may take in response to any
such actions.
19
We have many competitors and potential competitors.
Demand for insurance is influenced by prevailing general economic conditions. The supply of insurance is related to prevailing
prices, insured loss levels, and industry capital levels that may fluctuate in response to changing rates of return on insurance
industry investments. Pricing also is influenced by the operating performance of insurers, who may increase pricing to meet
return on equity objectives. As a result, the insurance industry has had historical cycles characterized by periods of intense
price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity and periods of favorable pricing driven by shortages of capacity and
poor insurer operating performance. If competitors price business below technical levels, we might find it necessary to reduce
our profit margin to retain our best business.
Pricing and loss trends impact our profitability. For example, assuming retention and all other factors remain constant:
• A pure price decline of approximately 1% would increase our combined ratio by approximately 0.75 points;
• A 3% increase in our expected claim costs for the current accident year would cause our loss and loss expense ratio
to increase by approximately 1.75 points;
• A combination of the two could raise the combined ratio by approximately 2.5 points.
In addition, loss trends impacting current accident year results are likely to impact our reserves for prior accident years. For
example, medical inflation can have a significant impact on the reserves of long-tail lines such as workers compensation and
general liability. A 3% increase in our reserves would cause our loss and loss expense ratio to increase by approximately 4
points.
We compete with regional, national, and direct-writer property and casualty insurance companies for customers, distribution
partners, and employees. Some competitors are public companies and some are mutual companies. Many competitors are
larger and may have lower operating costs, lower cost of capital, or the ability to absorb greater risk while maintaining their
financial strength ratings. Consequently, some competitors may be able to price their products more competitively. These
competitive pressures could result in increased pricing pressures on a number of our products and services, particularly as
competitors seek to win market share, and may limit our ability to maintain or increase our profitability. Because of its
relatively low cost of entry, the internet has emerged as a significant place of new competition, both from existing competitors
and new competitors. New competitors emerging under this digital platform include, but are not limited to, Lemonade and
Attune. Reinsurers also have entered certain primary property and casualty insurance markets to diversify their operations and
compete with us. Further new competition could cause changes in the supply or demand for insurance and adversely affect our
business.
We have less loss experience data than our larger competitors.
Insurers rely on their ability to access reliable data about their customers and loss experience to build complex analytics and
predictive models to assess the profitability of risks, as well as the potential for adverse claim development, recovery
opportunities, fraudulent activities, and customer buying habits. The use of data science and analytics will continue to increase
and become more complex and accurate. The loss experience from our insurance operations may not be large or granular
enough in all circumstances to analyze and project our future costs. In addition, we have more limited experience data related
to our E&S business, which we purchased in 2011. We use data from ISO, AAIS, and NCCI to obtain industry loss experience
to supplement our own data. While statistically relevant, that data is not specific to the performance of risks we have
underwritten. Larger competitors, particularly national carriers, have a significantly larger volume of data regarding the
performance of risks that they have underwritten. The analytics of their loss experience data may be more predictive of
profitability of their risks than our analysis using, in part, general industry loss experience. For the same reason, should
Congress repeal the McCarran-Ferguson Act, which provides an anti-trust exemption for the aggregation of loss data, and we
are unable to access data from ISO, AAIS, and NCCI, we will be at a competitive disadvantage to larger insurers who have
more loss experience data on their own customers and may not need aggregated industry loss data.
We depend on distribution partners.
We market and sell our insurance products through distribution partners who are not our employees. We believe that these
partners will remain a significant force in overall insurance industry premium production because they can provide customers
with a wider choice of insurance products than if they represented only one insurer. However, changes impacting our
distribution channel may present challenges and risks to our strategy, including the following:
• The availability of products from multiple markets creates competition in our distribution channel and we must
market our products and services to our distribution partners before they sell them to our mutual customers.
• Growth in our market share is dependent in part on growth in the market share controlled by our distribution
partners. The independent retail insurance agencies control approximately 83% of Standard Commercial Lines
20
business but only 36% of Standard Personal Lines business in the U.S. This, in turn, limits our Standard
Personal Lines market opportunity. In addition, in the last several years, both existing and new industry
participants have been focusing on developing new platforms that are leveraging technology and the internet to
provide a low cost "direct to the customer" distribution model. These efforts may impact the overall market
share controlled by our distribution partners and make it more difficult for us to grow or require us to establish
relationships with more distribution partners.
• There has been a trend towards increased consolidation within our distribution channel, which increases
competition among fewer distributors and increases the influence each distribution partner has on our business.
Currently, no one distribution partner is responsible for 10% or more of our combined insurance operations'
premium.
Our financial condition and results of operations are tied to the successful marketing and sales efforts of our products by our
distribution partners. In addition, under insurance laws and regulations and common law, we potentially can be held liable for
business practices or actions taken by our distribution partners.
Expansion of our insurance offerings and geographic footprint may create additional risks
Part of our growth strategy includes careful geographic and product expansion. In 2017, we established a Southwest Region
when we expanded our Standard Commercial Lines writings into Arizona. We also expanded our Standard Commercial Lines
business into New Hampshire in 2017 and on January 1, 2018 we began writing in Colorado. We expect to continue to
diversify our book of business through geographic and product expansion. Although diversification of our business is
beneficial to our competitive position and long-term results, it exposes us to increased and different risks. Among such
increased risks are catastrophic natural risks to which we previously only had limited exposure due to our narrower geographic
footprint. These new risks could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition,
financial strength, and debt ratings.
We are heavily regulated and changes in regulation may reduce our profitability, increase our capital requirements, and/or
limit our growth.
Our Insurance Subsidiaries are heavily regulated by extensive laws and regulations that may change on short notice. The
primary public policy behind insurance regulation is the protection of policyholders and claimants over all other constituencies,
including shareholders. Historically by virtue of the McCarran-Ferguson Act, our Insurance Subsidiaries are primarily
regulated by the states in which they are domiciled and licensed. State insurance regulation is generally uniform throughout the
U.S. by virtue of similar laws and regulations required by the NAIC to accredit state insurance departments so their
examinations can be given full faith and credit by other state regulators. Despite their general similarity, various provisions of
these laws and regulations vary from state to state. At any given time, there may be various legislative and regulatory proposals
in each of the 50 states and District of Columbia that, if enacted, may affect our Insurance Subsidiaries. The types of activities
that are regulated by the states include:
Pricing and underwriting practices;
•
• Claims practices;
• Exiting geographic markets and/or canceling or non-renewing policies;
• Assessments for guaranty funds and second-injury funds and other mandatory assigned risks and reinsurance;
• The types, quality and concentration of investments we make;
• Dividends from our Insurance Subsidiaries to the Parent; and
• The acquisition of 10% or more of the stock of a company such as Selective, which is an insurance holding company
that owns insurance subsidiaries.
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The broad regulatory, administrative, and supervisory powers of the various state departments of insurance include the
following:
• Related to our financial condition, review and approval of such matters as minimum capital and surplus
requirements, standards of solvency, security deposits, methods of accounting, form and content of statutory
financial statements, reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, reinsurance, payment of dividends
and other distributions to shareholders, periodic financial examinations, and annual and other report filings.
• Related to our general business, review and approval of such matters as certificates of authority and other insurance
company licenses, licensing and compensation of distribution partners, premium rates (which may not be excessive,
inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory), policy forms, policy terminations, reporting of statistical information
regarding our premiums and losses, periodic market conduct examinations, unfair trade practices, participation in
mandatory shared market mechanisms, such as assigned risk pools and reinsurance pools, participation in
mandatory state guaranty funds, and mandated continuing workers compensation coverage post-termination of
employment.
• Related to our ownership of the Insurance Subsidiaries, we are required to register as an insurance holding company
system in each state where an insurance subsidiary is domiciled and report information concerning all of our
operations that may materially affect the operations, management, or financial condition of the insurers. As an
insurance holding company, the appropriate state regulatory authority may: (i) examine our Insurance Subsidiaries
or us at any time; (ii) require disclosure or prior approval of material transactions of any of the Insurance
Subsidiaries with its affiliates; and (iii) require prior approval or notice of certain transactions, such as payment of
dividends or distributions to us.
Although Congress has largely delegated insurance regulation to the various states by virtue of the McCarran-Ferguson Act, we
are also subject to federal legislation and administrative policies, such as disclosure under the securities laws, including the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Dodd-Frank Act, TRIPRA, OFAC, and various privacy laws, including the Gramm-Leach-Bliley
Act, the Fair Credit Reporting Act, the Drivers Privacy Protection Act, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act,
and the policies of the Federal Trade Commission. As a result of issuing workers compensation policies, we are subject to
Mandatory Medicare Secondary Payer Reporting under the Medicare, Medicaid, and SCHIP Extension Act of 2007. If
Congress were to enact laws affecting the oversight of insurer solvency but state regulators remain responsible for rate
approval, it is possible that we could be subject to a conflicting and inconsistent regulatory framework that could effect our
profitability and capital adequacy.
The European Union enacted Solvency II, which was implemented in 2016 and sets out new requirements for capital adequacy
and risk management for insurers operating in Europe. The strengthened regime is intended to reduce the possibility of
consumer loss or market disruption in insurance. In addition, in 2014, the International Association of Insurance Supervisors
proposed Basic Capital Standards for Global Systemically Important Insurers as well as a uniform capital framework for
internationally active insurers. Although Solvency II does not govern domestic American insurers, and we do not have
international operations, we believe that development of global capital standards will influence the development of similar
standards by domestic regulators. The NAIC requires insurers to maintain a framework for identifying, assessing, monitoring,
managing, and reporting on the “material and relevant risks” associated with the insurer's (or insurance group's) current and
future business plans. ORSA requires companies to file an internal assessment of their solvency with insurance regulators
annually. Although no specific capital adequacy standard is currently articulated in ORSA, it is possible that such a standard
will be developed over time and may increase insurers' minimum capital requirements, which could adversely impact our
growth and return on equity.
We are subject to non-governmental regulators, such as the NASDAQ Stock Market and the New York Stock Exchange where
we list our securities. Many of these regulators, to some degree, overlap with each other on various matters. They have
different regulations on the same legal issues that are subject to their individual interpretative discretion. Consequently, we
have the risk that one regulator’s position may conflict with another regulator’s position on the same issue. As compliance is
generally reviewed in hindsight, we are subject to the risk that interpretations will change over time.
We believe we are in compliance with all laws and regulations that have a material effect on our results of operations, but the
cost of complying with various, potentially conflicting laws and regulations, and changes in those laws and regulations could
have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
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Class action litigation could affect our business practices and financial results.
Our industry has been the target of class action litigation, including the following areas:
• Urban homeowner insurance underwriting practices, including those related to architectural or structural features
and attempts by federal regulators to expand the Federal Housing Administration's guidelines to determine unfair
discrimination;
Investment disclosure;
• Credit scoring and predictive modeling pricing;
• Cybersecurity breaches;
•
• Managed care practices;
•
• Direct repair shop utilization practices;
• The use of after-market replacement parts;
Flood insurance claim practices; and
•
Shareholder class action suits.
•
Prompt and appropriate payment of personal injury protection claims;
If we were to be named in such class action litigation, we could suffer reputational harm with purchasers of insurance and have
increased litigation expenses that could have a materially adverse effect on our operations or results.
Risks Related to Our Investment Segment
We are exposed to interest rate risk in our investment portfolio.
We are exposed to interest rate risk primarily related to the market price, and cash flow variability, associated with changes in
interest rates. Recent economic data points to increased U.S. and global economic growth, continued low levels of
unemployment and signs of rising wages, which compounded with the potential for the pro-growth benefits of the Tax Cuts and
Jobs Act of 2017 ("Tax Reform") and the potential for higher federal budget deficits, has recently led to rising U.S. interest
rates. A rise in interest rates may decrease the fair value of our existing fixed income investments and declines in interest rates
may result in an increase in the fair value of our existing fixed income investments. Our fixed income securities portfolio,
which currently has an effective duration of 3.8 years contains interest rate sensitive instruments that may be adversely affected
by changes in interest rates resulting from governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political
conditions, and other factors beyond our control. A rise in interest rates would decrease the net unrealized gain position of the
investment portfolio, partially offset by our ability to earn higher rates of return on funds reinvested in new investments.
Conversely, a decline in interest rates would increase the net unrealized gain position of the investment portfolio, partially
offset by lower rates of return on new and reinvested cash in the portfolio. Changes in interest rates have an effect on the
calculated duration of certain securities in the portfolio. We seek to mitigate our interest rate risk associated with holding fixed
income investments by monitoring and maintaining the average duration of our portfolio with a view toward achieving an
adequate after-tax return without subjecting the portfolio to an unreasonable level of interest rate risk. This may include
investing in floating rate securities, which currently represent 18% of our fixed income portfolio, and other shorter duration
securities that exhibit low effective duration and interest rate risk, but expose the portfolio to other risks, including the risk of a
change in credit spreads, liquidity spreads, and other factors that may adversely impact the value of the portfolio. Although we
take measures to manage the economic risks of investing in a changing interest rate environment, we may not be able to
mitigate the interest rate risk of our assets relative to our liabilities, particularly our loss reserves. In addition, our pension and
post-retirement benefit obligations include a discount rate assumption, which is an important element of expense and/or
liability measurement. Changes in the discount rate assumption could materially impact our pension and post-retirement life
valuation.
We are exposed to credit risk in our investment portfolio.
The value of our investment portfolio is subject to credit risk from the issuers and/or guarantors of the securities in the
portfolio, other counterparties in certain transactions and, for certain securities, insurers that guarantee specific issuer’s
obligations. Defaults by the issuer or an issuer’s guarantor, insurer, or other counterparties regarding any of our investments,
could reduce our net investment income and net realized investment gains or result in investment losses. We are subject to the
risk that the issuers, or guarantors, of fixed income securities we own may default on principal and interest payments due under
the terms of the securities. In addition, changes in the financial market environment and sentiment regarding the broad
economy may impact the credit spreads demanded by fixed income investors, which in turn may negatively impact the fair
market value of our fixed income securities. At December 31, 2017, our fixed income securities portfolio represented
approximately 92% of our total invested assets, of which approximately 97% were investment grade and 3% were below
investment grade rated, resulting in an average credit rating of AA- of the fixed income securities portfolio. Our spread
duration, which is reflective of the sensitivity of our fixed income portfolio to changes in credit spread is currently 4.6 years.
Over time, our exposure to below investment grade securities and other credit sensitive risk assets may fluctuate as we continue
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to diversify the portfolio and take advantage of opportunities to add or reduce risk commensurate with our risk-taking capacity
and market conditions. The occurrence of a major economic downturn, acts of corporate malfeasance, widening credit spreads,
budgetary deficits, municipal bankruptcies spurred by, among other things, pension funding issues, or other events that
adversely affect the issuers or guarantors of these securities could cause the value of our fixed income securities portfolio and
our net income to decline and the default rate of our fixed income securities portfolio to increase.
With economic uncertainty, the credit quality of issuers or guarantors could be adversely affected and a ratings downgrade of
the issuers or guarantors of the securities in our portfolio could cause the value of our fixed income securities portfolio and our
net income to decrease. As our stockholders' equity is leveraged at 3.32:1 to our investment portfolio, a reduction in the value
of our investment portfolio could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition, and
debt ratings. Levels of write-downs are impacted by our assessment of the impairment, including a review of the underlying
collateral of structured securities, and our intent and ability to hold securities that have declined in value until recovery. If we
reposition or realign portions of the portfolio so that we determine not to hold certain securities in an unrealized loss position to
recovery, we will incur an OTTI charge. For further information regarding credit and interest rate risk, see Item 7A.
“Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of this Form 10-K.
Our statutory surplus may be materially affected by rating downgrades on investments held in our portfolio.
We are exposed to significant financial and capital markets risks, primarily relating to interest rates, credit spreads, equity
prices, and the change in market value of our alternative investment portfolio. A decline in both income and our investment
portfolio asset values could occur as a result of, among other things, a decrease in market liquidity, fluctuations in interest rates,
decreased dividend payment rates, negative market perception of credit risk with respect to types of securities in our portfolio, a
decline in the performance of the underlying collateral of our structured securities, reduced returns on our alternative
investment portfolio, or general market conditions. A global decline in asset values will be more amplified in our financial
condition, as our statutory surplus is leveraged at a 3.2:1 ratio to our investment portfolio.
With economic uncertainty, the credit quality and ratings of securities in our portfolio could be adversely affected. The NAIC
could potentially apply a more adverse class code on a security than was originally assigned, which could adversely affect
statutory surplus because securities with NAIC class codes three through six require securities to be marked-to-market for
statutory accounting purposes, as compared to securities with NAIC class codes of one or two that are carried at amortized cost.
We are subject to the types of risks inherent in investing in private limited partnerships.
Our other investments include investments in private limited partnerships that invest in various strategies, such as private
equity, private credit, and real assets. Since these partnerships’ underlying investments consist primarily of assets or liabilities
for which there are no quoted prices in active markets for the same or similar assets, the valuation of interests in these
partnerships is subject to a higher level of subjectivity and unobservable inputs than substantially all of our other investments
and as such, is subject to greater scrutiny and reconsideration from one reporting period to the next. As these investments are
recorded under the equity method of accounting, any decreases in the valuation of these investments would negatively impact
our results of operations. We currently expect to increase our allocation to these investments, which may result in additional
variability in our net investment income.
We value our investments using methodologies, estimations, and assumptions that are subject to differing interpretations.
Changes in these interpretations could result in fluctuations in the valuations of our investments that may adversely affect
our results of operations or financial condition.
Fixed income, equity, and short-term investments, which are reported at fair value on our Consolidated Balance Sheet,
represented the majority of our total cash and invested assets as of December 31, 2017. As required under accounting rules, we
have categorized these securities into a three-level hierarchy, based on the priority of the inputs to the respective valuation
technique. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities
(Level 1). The next priority is to quoted prices in markets that are not active or inputs that are observable either directly or
indirectly, including quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities or in markets that are not active and other inputs that can be
derived principally from, or corroborated by, observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities
(Level 2). The lowest priority in the fair value hierarchy is to unobservable inputs supported by little or no market activity and
that reflect the reporting entity’s own assumptions about the exit price, including assumptions that market participants would
use in pricing the asset or liability (Level 3).
An asset or liability’s classification within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its
valuation. We generally use an independent pricing service and broker quotes to price our investment securities. At
December 31, 2017, approximately 6% and 93% of these securities represented Level 1 and Level 2, respectively. However,
prices provided by independent pricing services and brokers can vary widely even for the same security. Rapidly changing and
unprecedented credit and equity market conditions could materially impact the valuation of securities as reported within our
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consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) and the period-to-period changes in value could vary significantly.
Decreases in value may result in an increase in non-cash OTTI charges, which could have a material adverse effect on our
results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
The determination of the amount of impairments taken on our investments is highly subjective and could materially impact
our results of operations or our financial position.
The determination of the amount of impairments taken on our investments is based on our periodic evaluation and assessment
of our investments and known and inherent risks associated with the various asset classes. Such evaluations and assessments
are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available. Management updates its evaluations regularly and
reflects changes in impairments as such evaluations are revised. There can be no assurance that management has accurately
assessed the level of impairments taken as reflected in our Financial Statements. Furthermore, additional impairments may
need to be taken in the future. It is possible that interest rates, which are at historic lows, will increase which will result in a
reduction in net unrealized gains and may result in net unrealized losses associated with declines in value strictly related to
such interest rate movements. It is possible that this could result in realized losses if we sell such securities or possibly more
OTTI if we determine we do not have the ability and intent to hold those securities until they recover in value. In addition, we
recently hired several new investment managers and expect them to take a more active approach to managing our fixed income
securities portfolio. As a result, we expect our OTTI to increase in coming periods based on an increase in securities that we
may intend to sell despite being in an unrealized loss position. Historical trends may not be indicative of future impairments.
For further information regarding our evaluation and considerations for determining whether a security is other-than-
temporarily impaired, please refer to “Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates” in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” of this Form 10-K.
Changes in tax law could adversely affect our investments results.
Amendments to the tax laws and regulations of U.S. federal, state, and local governments may adversely impact us. Our
investment portfolio benefits from tax exemptions and certain other tax laws, including, non-exhaustively those governing
dividends received deductions, and tax-advantaged municipal bond interest. Future federal and/or state tax law changes could
lessen or eliminate some or all of these favorable tax advantages, negatively impact the value of our investment portfolio, and
materially and adversely impact our results of operations. In addition, the elimination of the state and local tax deduction (the
"SALT deduction") for U.S. taxpayers filing Federal income tax returns could have negative consequences to the financial
strength of issuers of state and local municipal securities of which we have invested in, which could reduce the value of our
investment portfolio, and materially and adversely impact our results of operations. The elimination of the SALT deduction, as
well as the lower $750,000 mortgage cap on the deductibility of mortgage interest for U.S. taxpayers, could reduce the value of
residential real estate, which could have negative financial consequences to various classes of investments that we have
invested in, such as residential mortgage backed securities, and other asset classes backed by mortgages or real estate, and this
could reduce the value of our investment portfolio, and materially and adversely impact our results of operations.
Uncertainty regarding domestic and international political developments and their impact on the economy could lead to
investment losses, which may adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, and debt ratings.
As a property and casualty insurance holding company, we depend on income from our investment portfolio for a significant
portion of our revenue and earnings. Our investment portfolio is exposed to significant financial and capital market risks, both
in the U.S. and abroad. Volatile changes in general market or economic conditions could lead to a decline in the market value
of our portfolio as well as the performance of the underlying collateral of our structured securities. The current political
climate has created more uncertainty about U.S. domestic and foreign policy that may elevate the volatility of the financial
markets and adversely impact our investment portfolio.
Our notes payable and line of credit are subject to certain debt-to-capitalization restrictions and net worth covenants that a
significant decline in investment value could impact. Significant future declines in investment value also could require further
OTTI charges. Depending on future market conditions, such as an extreme prolonged market event like the global credit crisis,
we could incur additional realized and unrealized losses in future periods that could adversely impact our results of operations,
financial condition, debt and financial strength ratings, and our ability to access capital markets.
For more information regarding market interest rate, credit, and equity price risk, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative
Disclosures About Market Risk.” of this Form 10-K.
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Risks Related to Our Corporate Structure and Governance
We are a holding company and our ability to declare dividends to our shareholders, pay indebtedness, and enter into
affiliate transactions may be limited because our Insurance Subsidiaries are regulated.
Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends, make loans or advances to us, or enter into
transactions with affiliates may materially affect our ability to pay dividends on our common stock or repay our indebtedness.
As of December 31, 2017, the Parent had retained earnings of $1.7 billion. Of this amount, $1.6 billion was related to
investments in our Insurance Subsidiaries. The Insurance Subsidiaries have the ability to provide for $211 million in ordinary
annual dividends to us in 2018 under applicable state regulation; however, as they are regulated entities, their ability to pay
dividends or make loans or advances to us is subject to the approval or review of the insurance regulators in the states where
they are domiciled. The standards for review of such transactions are whether: (i) the terms and charges are fair and
reasonable; and (ii) after the transaction, the Insurance Subsidiary's surplus for policyholders is reasonable in relation to its
outstanding liabilities and financial needs. Although dividends and loans to us from our Insurance Subsidiaries historically
have been approved, we can make no assurance that future dividends and loans will be approved. For additional details
regarding dividend restrictions, see Note 19. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on
Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
Because we are an insurance holding company and a New Jersey corporation, we may be less attractive to potential
acquirers and the value of our common stock could be adversely affected.
Because we are an insurance holding company that owns insurance subsidiaries, anyone who seeks to acquire 10% or more of
our stock must seek prior approval from the insurance regulators in the states in which the subsidiaries are organized and file
extensive information regarding their business operations and finances.
Provisions in our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation may discourage, delay, or prevent us from being acquired,
including:
•
•
Supermajority shareholder voting requirements to approve certain business combinations with interested
shareholders (as defined in the Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation) unless certain other conditions
are satisfied; and
Supermajority shareholder voting requirements to amend the foregoing provisions in our Amended and Restated
Certificate of Incorporation.
In addition to the requirements in our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation, the New Jersey Shareholders’
Protection Act also prohibits us from engaging in certain business combinations with interested stockholders (as defined in the
statute), in certain instances for a five-year period, and in other instances indefinitely, unless certain conditions are satisfied.
These conditions may relate to, among other things, the interested stockholder’s acquisition of stock, the approval of the
business combination by disinterested members of our Board of Directors and disinterested stockholders, and the price and
payment of the consideration proposed in the business combination. Such conditions are in addition to those requirements set
forth in our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation.
These provisions of our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation and New Jersey law could have the effect of
depriving our stockholders of an opportunity to receive a premium over our common stock’s prevailing market price in the
event of a hostile takeover and may adversely affect the value of our common stock.
Risks Related to Evolving Legislation
We face risks regarding our flood business because of uncertainties regarding the NFIP.
We are the fifth largest insurance group in the WYO arrangement of the NFIP, which is managed by the Mitigation Division of
FEMA in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. Under the arrangement, we receive an expense allowance for policies
written and a servicing fee for claims administered, and all losses are 100% reinsured by the Federal Government. The current
expense allowance is 30.9% of DPW. The servicing fee is the combination of 0.9% of DPW and 1.5% of incurred losses.
As a WYO carrier, we are required to follow NFIP procedures in the administration of flood policies and claims. Some of these
requirements may differ from our normal business practices and may present a reputational risk to our brand. While insurance
companies are regulated by the states and the NFIP requires WYO carriers to be licensed in the states in which they operate, the
NFIP is a federal program and WYO carriers are fiscal agents of the U.S. Government and must follow the NFIP's directives.
Consequently, we have the risk that directives from the NFIP and a state regulator on the same issue may conflict.
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There has been significant public policy and political debate regarding the NFIP and its outstanding debt, including the NFIP's
purchase of reinsurance. Prior to Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria, in the third quarter of 2017, the NFIP had accumulated
debt totaling approximately $25 billion. Losses from the 2017 storms are estimated to total approximately $16 billion and,
together with its previously accumulated debt, likely would exceed the NFIP’s total borrowing authority. In response, Congress
passed legislation that forgave $16 billion of NFIP debt and allowed recent flood claims to be paid within the program’s $25
billion debt level. In November 2017, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the 21st Century Flood Reform Act, which
would extend the NFIP for 5 years, but reduce the WYO reimbursement rate by 3 points from its current 30.9% to 27.9% over a
three-year period. The bill also proposes changes in certain operational processes and provides incentives for the private flood
markets. The U.S. Senate has yet to consider this bill. While Congress continues to debate a comprehensive reform package,
the NFIP has received multiple short-term extensions and is currently authorized through March 23, 2018. We expect the
program will continue to operate under a series of short-term extensions, but it may also experience a periodic lapse as it
becomes encumbered by other budgetary issues.
Our flood business could be impacted by: (i) a lapse in program authorization; (ii) any mandate for primary insurance carriers
to provide flood insurance; or (iii) private writers becoming more prevalent in the marketplace. The uncertainty created by the
public policy debate and politics of flood insurance reform make it difficult for us to predict the future of the NFIP and our
continued participation in the program.
We are subject to risk that enacted legislation might significantly change insurance regulation and adversely impacts our
business, financial condition, and/or the results of operations.
We cannot predict what federal and state rules or legislation will be proposed and adopted, or what impact, if any, such
proposals or the cost of compliance with such proposals, could have on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition,
financial strength, and debt ratings.
In 2009, Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Act to address corporate governance and control issues identified in the financial
crises in 2008 and 2009 and the non-insurance subsidiaries of American International Group, Inc. One of the key Dodd-Frank
Act provisions created the FIO as part of the U.S. Department of Treasury to advise the federal government on insurance issues.
Another Dodd-Frank Act provision requires the Federal Reserve, through the Financial Services Oversight Council (“FSOC”),
to supervise financial service firms designated as systemically important financial institutions ("SIFI"). We are not and do not
expect to be designated as a SIFI. Included among Dodd-Frank's corporate governance reforms for public companies were
proxy access, say-on-pay, and other compensation and governance issues. A number of Dodd-Frank reform bills have been
introduced, but it is uncertain whether any proposal will pass into law.
In general, the Trump Administration and the current Republican majority favor less federal involvement in insurance.
Legislative proposals, however, could involve the federal government directly in regulating the business of insurance.
President Trump and the Republican congressional majority favor the repeal of the Affordable Care Act ("ACA"). Repeal of
the ACA presents some legal and practical challenges. Some reform proposals include a provision to permit sales of insurance
across state lines, which is not permitted under current federal law without approval of the respective state insurance regulators.
Some ACA reforms call for the elimination of the anti-trust exemptions for health insurers under the McCarran-Ferguson Act.
While we are not a health insurer, we and our property and casualty competitors operate under anti-trust exemptions that permit
the aggregation of claims and other data in numbers actuarially and statistically sufficient to price insurance. If the MFA were
repealed for the property and casualty industry, we would have to seek a business practices exemption from the Department of
Justice to share information with other insurers. We cannot predict the impact such a legislative event could have on our
product and services supplier relationships, results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt
ratings.
Legislative and regulatory proposals in various states sometimes seek to limit the ability of insurers to assess insurance risk,
including limiting or prohibiting the use of certain factors or predictive measures in property and casualty underwriting such as
insurance scores and marketplace considerations. These proposals, if enacted, could impact underwriting pricing and results of
operations.
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Risks Related to Our General Operations
The failure of our risk management strategies could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of
operations.
As an insurance provider, it is our business to take on risk from our customers. Our long-term strategy includes the use of
above average operational leverage, which can be measured as the ratio of NPW to our equity or policyholders surplus. We
balance operational leverage risk with a number of risk management strategies within our insurance operations to achieve a
balance of growth and profit and to reduce our exposure. These strategies include, but are not limited to, the following:
• Being disciplined in our underwriting practices;
• Being prudent in our claims management practices, establishing adequate loss and loss expense reserves, and
placing appropriate reliance on our claims analytics;
• Continuing to develop and implement various underwriting tools and automated analytics to examine historical
statistical data regarding our customers and their loss experience to: (i) classify such policies based on that
information; (ii) apply that information to current and prospective accounts; and (iii) better predict account
profitability;
• Continuing to develop our customer experience platform as we grow in our understanding of customer
segmentation;
Purchasing reinsurance and using catastrophe modeling; and
•
• Being prudent in our financial planning process, which supports our underwriting strategies.
We also maintain a conservative approach to our investment portfolio management and employ risk management strategies that
include, but are not limited to:
• Being prudent in establishing our investment policy and appropriately diversifying our investments, which supports
our liabilities and underwriting strategies;
• Using models to analyze historical investment performance and predict future investment performance under a
variety of scenarios using asset concentration, asset volatility, asset correlation, and systematic risk; and
• Closely monitoring investment performance, general economic and financial conditions, and other relevant factors.
All of these strategies have inherent limitations. We cannot be certain that an event or series of unanticipated events will not
occur and result in losses greater than we expect and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity,
financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
Operational risks, including human or systems failures, are inherent in our business.
Operational risks and losses can result from, among other things, fraud, errors, failure to document transactions properly or to
obtain proper internal authorization, failure to comply with regulatory requirements, information technology failures, or
external events.
Our predictive models for underwriting, claims, and catastrophe losses, as well as our business analytics and our information
technology and application systems are critical to our business. We expect our information technology and application systems
to remain an important part of our underwriting process and our ability to compete successfully. A major defect or failure in
our internal controls or information technology and application systems could: (i) result in management distraction; (ii) harm
our reputation; or (iii) increase our expenses. We believe appropriate controls and mitigation procedures are in place to prevent
significant risk of a defect in our internal controls around our information technology and application systems, but internal
controls provide only a reasonable, not absolute, assurance as to the absence of errors or irregularities and any ineffectiveness
of such controls and procedures could have a significant and negative effect on our business.
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Rapid development of new technologies may result in an unexpected impact on our business and insurance industry overall.
Development of new technologies continues to impact all aspects of business and individuals’ lives at rapid speed. Often such
developments are positive and gradually improve standards of living and speed of communications, and allow for the
development of more efficient processes. The rapid development of new technologies, however, also presents challenges and
risks. Examples of such emerging risks include, but are not limited to:
• Change in exposures and claims frequency and/or severity due to unanticipated consequences of new technologies
and their use. For example, technologies have been developed and are being tested for autonomous self-driving
automobiles. It is unclear and we cannot predict the corresponding impact to automobile claims. It is possible that
these technological developments will affect the profitability and demand for automobile insurance.
• Changes in how insurance products are marketed and purchased due to the availability of new technologies and
changes in customer expectations. For example, comparative rating technologies, which are widely used inpersonal
lines insurance, facilitate the process of efficiently generating quotes from multiple insurance companies. This
technology makes differentiation based upon factors other than pricing more difficult and has increased price
comparisons, resulting in a higher level of quote activity with a lower percentage of quotes becoming new business
written. These trends may continue to accelerate and may affect other lines of business, which could put pressure
on our future profitability and growth.
• New technologies may require the development of new insurance products without the support of sufficient
historical claims data for us to continue to compete effectively for our distribution partners' business and customers.
We depend on key personnel.
To a large extent, our business' success depends on our ability to attract and retain key employees. Competition to attract and
retain key personnel is intense. While we have employment agreements with certain key managers, all of our employees are at-
will employees and we cannot ensure that we will be able to attract and retain key personnel. As of December 31, 2017, our
workforce had an average age of approximately 47 and approximately 18% of our workforce was retirement eligible, which we
define as including individuals who are 55 years of age and have 10 or more years of service.
We are subject to a variety of modeling risks, which could have a material adverse impact on our business results.
We rely on complex financial models, such as predictive underwriting models, a claims fraud model, third party catastrophe
models, an enterprise risk management capital model, and modeling tools used by our investment managers, which have been
developed internally or by third parties to analyze historical loss costs and pricing, trends in claims severity and frequency, the
occurrence of catastrophe losses, investment performance, and portfolio risk. Flaws in these financial models, or faulty
assumptions used by these financial models, could lead to increased losses. We believe that statistical models alone do not
provide a reliable method for monitoring and controlling risk. Therefore, such models are tools and do not substitute for the
experience or judgment of senior management.
We are subject to attempted cyber-attacks and other cybersecurity risks.
Our business heavily relies on various information technology and application systems that are connected to, or may be
accessed from, the Internet and may be impacted by a malicious cyber-attack. Our systems also contain confidential and
proprietary information regarding our operations, our employees, our agents, and our customers and their employees and
property, including personally identifiable information. A malicious cyber-attack on our systems or those of our vendors may
interrupt our ability to operate and impact our results of operations. We have, and expect to continue to, develop and invest in a
variety of controls to prevent, detect, and appropriately react to cyber-attacks, including frequently testing our systems' security
and access controls. Cyber-attacks continue to become more complex and broad-ranging, and our internal controls provide
only a reasonable, not absolute, assurance that we will be able to protect ourselves from significant cyber-attack incidents. By
outsourcing certain business and administrative functions to third parties, we may be exposed to enhanced risk of data security
breaches. Any breach of our systems or data security could damage our reputation and/or result in monetary damages that, in
turn, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt
ratings. Although we have not experienced a material cyber-attack, it is possible that it might occur. We have insurance
coverage for certain cybersecurity risks, including privacy breach incidents, that provides protection up to $20 million above a
deductible of $1 million. In addition, within our Standard Commercial Lines segment, we offer cyber-related insurance
products for which we have mitigated the majority of the related risk through protection under our reinsurance treaties.
29
Given the increased number of identity thefts from cyber-attacks, federal and state policymakers have, and will likely continue
to propose increased regulation of the protection of personally identifiable information and appropriate protocols after a related
cybersecurity breach. The New York Department of Financial Services recently adopted a cyber protection and reporting
regulation for financial services companies with which we are complying. The NAIC also has adopted a model regulation
based upon the New York regulation, and we expect other states to consider adoption of the NAIC model in 2018. Compliance
with these regulations and efforts to address continually developing cybersecurity risks may result in a material adverse effect
on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings.
Changes in tax law could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
We are subject to the tax laws and regulations of U.S. federal, state, and local governments, and their amendment could
adversely impact us. For example, the U.S. tax code was recently amended to reduce the federal corporate income tax rate
from 35% to 21% effective for the 2018 tax year. As a result, our deferred tax assets were reduced and we were required to
recognize a reduction of a previously-recognized federal tax benefit in the fourth quarter of 2017, when enacted. Potential
future tax rule changes may increase or decrease our actual tax expense and could materially and adversely affect our results of
operations.
If we experience difficulties with outsourcing relationships, our ability to conduct our business might be negatively
impacted.
We currently outsource certain business and administrative functions to third parties for expediency, efficiency and economies
of scale and this outsourcing may increase in the future. If we or our third-party partners falter in the development,
implementation, or execution of our outsourcing strategies, we may experience operational difficulties, increased costs, and
customer losses that may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition. We have
supplemental staffing service agreements with multiple consulting, information technology, and service providers that supply
approximately 47% of our skilled technology capacity. These resources are principally based in the U.S., although some of the
resources are foreign. The impact of the recently-enacted U.S. tax reform on the availability and cost of these services is still
uncertain.
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments.
None.
Item 2. Properties.
Our main office is located in Branchville, New Jersey on a site owned by a subsidiary with approximately 114 acres and
315,000 square feet of operational space. We lease all of our other facilities. The principal office locations related to our
insurance operations are described in the “Geographic Markets” section of Item 1. “Business.” of this Form 10-K. We believe
our facilities provide adequate space for our present needs and that additional space, if needed, would be available on
reasonable terms.
Item 3. Legal Proceedings.
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these
proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing
indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought
against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect
that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial
condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.
From time to time, our Insurance Subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims
for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national
class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers
compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also
named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of
which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect
that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after
consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the
large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a
material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.
30
As of December 31, 2017, we do not believe the Company or any of the Insurance Subsidiaries was a defendant in any legal
action that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.
PART II
Item 5. Market For Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity
Securities.
(a) Market Information
Our common stock is traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “SIGI.” The following table sets forth
the high and low sales prices, as reported on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, for our common stock for each full quarterly
period within the two most recent fiscal years:
First quarter
Second quarter
Third quarter
Fourth quarter
2017
2016
High
Low
High
Low
$
49.05
53.75
54.05
62.40
38.50
44.65
46.28
53.55
36.92
38.67
41.30
44.00
29.27
33.60
35.90
34.95
On February 9, 2018, the closing price of our common stock as reported on the NASDAQ Global Select Market was $57.10.
(b) Holders
We had 3,197 stockholders of record as of February 9, 2018 according to the records maintained by our transfer agent.
(c) Dividends
Dividends on shares of our common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board based on our results of
operations, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors. On October 25, 2017,
the Board of Directors approved a 13% increase in our dividend to $0.18 per share. In addition, on February 1, 2018, the Board
of Directors declared a $0.18 per share quarterly cash dividend on common stock that is payable March 1, 2018, to
stockholders of record as of February 15, 2018. The following table provides information on the dividends declared for each
quarterly period within our two most recent fiscal years:
Dividend Per Share
First quarter
Second quarter
Third quarter
Fourth quarter
2017
2016
$
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.18
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.16
Our ability to receive dividends, loans, or advances from our Insurance Subsidiaries is subject to the approval and/or review of
the insurance regulators in the respective domiciliary states of our Insurance Subsidiaries. Such approval and/or review is
made under the respective domiciliary states’ insurance holding company acts, which generally require that any transaction
between related companies be fair and equitable to the insurance company and its policyholders. Although our dividends have
historically been met with regulatory approval, there is no assurance that future dividends will be approved given current
market conditions. We currently expect to continue to pay quarterly cash dividends on shares of our common stock in the
future. For additional information, see Note 19. "Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on
Dividends and Transfers of Funds" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
31
(d) Securities Authorized for Issuance under Equity Compensation Plans
The following table provides information about our common stock authorized for issuance under equity compensation plans as
of December 31, 2017:
Plan Category
(a)
(b)
Number of securities to be
issued upon exercise of
outstanding options,
warrants and rights
Weighted-average
exercise price of
outstanding options,
warrants and rights
(c)
Number of securities remaining
available for
future issuance under
equity compensation
plans (excluding
securities reflected in column (a))
Equity compensation plans approved by security holders
229,864 1 $
15.38
4,833,993 2
1 Weighted average remaining contractual life of options is 1.50 years.
2 Includes 499,629 shares available for issuance under our Employee Stock Purchase Plan (2009); 1,817,493 shares available for issuance under the Stock
Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance Agencies; and 2,516,871 shares for issuance under the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan
("Stock Plan"). Future grants under the Stock Plan can be made, among other things, as stock options, restricted stock units, or restricted stock.
(e) Performance Graph
The following chart, produced by Research Data Group, Inc., depicts our performance for the period beginning December 31,
2012 and ending December 31, 2017, as measured by total stockholder return on our common stock compared with the total
return of the NASDAQ Composite Index and a select group of peer companies comprised of NASDAQ-listed companies in
SIC Code 6330-6339, Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance.
This performance graph is not incorporated into any other filing we have made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission ("SEC") and will not be incorporated into any future filing we may make with the SEC unless we so specifically
incorporate it by reference. This performance graph shall not be deemed to be “soliciting material” or to be “filed” with the
SEC unless we specifically request so or specifically incorporate it by reference in any filing we make with the SEC.
32
(f) Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer and Affiliated Purchasers
The following table provides information regarding our purchases of our common stock in the fourth quarter of 2017:
Period
October 1 – 31, 2017
November 1 – 30, 2017
December 1 – 31, 2017
Total
Total Number of
Shares Purchased1
Average Price
Paid Per Share
193
$
—
—
193
$
54.95
—
—
54.95
Total Number of
Shares Purchased
as Part of Publicly
Announced Programs
Maximum Number of
Shares that May Yet
Be Purchased Under the
Announced Programs
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1During the fourth quarter of 2017, 193 shares were purchased from employees in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units. These repurchases were
made to satisfy tax withholding obligations with respect to those employees. These shares were not purchased as part of any publicly announced program. The
shares were purchased at fair market value as defined in the Stock Plan.
33
Item 6. Selected Financial Data.
Five-Year Financial Highlights
(All presentations are in accordance with GAAP unless noted otherwise, number of weighted average shares and dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)
Net premiums written
Net premiums earned
Net investment income earned
Net realized gains (losses)
Total revenues
Catastrophe losses
Underwriting income
Net income
Comprehensive income
Total assets
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Stockholders’ equity
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio
Combined ratio
Impact of catastrophe losses on combined ratio
2017
$
2,370,641
2,291,027
161,882
6,359
2,469,984
67,299
154,336
168,826
204,946
7,686,431
—
439,116
1,712,957
1.4
93.3 %
2.9
pts
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
$
3.32
Yield on investments, before tax
Debt to capitalization ratio
Return on average equity
Per share data:
Net income from continuing operations:
Basic
Diluted
Net income:
Basic
Diluted
Dividends to stockholders
2.9 %
20.4
10.4
2.89
2.84
2.89
2.84
0.66
$
$
$
2016
2015
2014
2013
2,237,288
2,149,572
130,754
(4,937)
2,069,904
1,989,909
121,316
13,171
1,885,280
1,852,609
138,708
26,599
1,810,159
1,736,072
134,643
20,732
2,284,270
2,131,852
2,034,861
1,903,741
59,735
151,933
158,495
151,970
59,055
149,029
165,861
136,648
59,971
78,143
141,827
136,764
47,415
38,766
106,418
77,229
7,355,848
6,904,433
6,574,942
6,262,585
—
438,667
1,531,370
60,000
328,192
1,398,041
—
372,689
1,275,586
13,000
371,829
1,153,928
1.4
92.9
2.8
3.50
2.5
22.3
10.8
2.74
2.70
2.74
2.70
0.61
1.5
92.5
3.0
3.64
2.5
21.7
12.4
2.90
2.85
2.90
2.85
0.57
1.4
95.8
3.2
3.77
3.0
22.6
11.7
2.52
2.47
2.52
2.47
0.53
1.4
97.8
2.7
3.97
3.0
25.0
9.5
1.93
1.89
1.91
1.87
0.52
Stockholders’ equity
29.28
26.42
24.37
22.54
20.63
Price range of common stock:
High
Low
Close
Number of weighted average shares:
Basic
Diluted
62.40
38.50
58.70
58,458
59,357
44.00
29.27
43.05
57,889
58,747
37.91
25.49
33.58
57,212
58,156
27.65
21.38
27.17
56,310
57,351
28.31
19.53
27.06
55,638
56,810
34
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
Forward-looking Statements
Certain statements in this report, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” as that
term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). The PSLRA provides a safe harbor under
the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and the Exchange Act for forward-looking statements. These statements relate to our
intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations or forecasts of future events or future financial performance and involve known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause us or the industry’s actual results, levels of activity, or
performance to be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases,
forward-looking statements may be identified by use of the words such as “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,”
“plan,” “anticipate,” “target,” “project,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “pro forma,” “seek,” “likely,” or
“continue” or other comparable terminology. These statements are only predictions, and we can give no assurance that such
expectations will prove to be correct. We undertake no obligation, other than as may be required under the federal securities
laws, to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or
otherwise.
Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those we have projected, forecasted or estimated in forward-
looking statements are discussed in further detail in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. These risk factors may not be
exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time-to-time. We
can neither predict such new risk factors nor can we assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our businesses or the
extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or
implied in any forward-looking statements in this report. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-
looking events discussed in this report might not occur.
Introduction
We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows:
•
•
Standard Commercial Lines - comprised of insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to
our commercial enterprises, which are typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local government agencies.
Standard Personal Lines - comprised of insurance products and services, including flood insurance coverage, provided
primarily to individuals acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace.
• Excess and surplus ("E&S") Lines - comprised of insurance products and services provided to customers who have not
obtained coverage in the standard marketplace.
•
Investments - invests the premiums collected by our insurance operations, as well as amounts generated through our
capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities.
Our Standard Commercial and Standard Personal Lines products and services are written through our nine insurance
subsidiaries, some of which write flood business through the Write Your Own ("WYO") program of the National Flood
Insurance Program ("NFIP"). Our E&S Lines products and services are written through one subsidiary, Mesa Underwriters
Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC"). This subsidiary provides us with a nationally-authorized non-admitted platform to
offer insurance products and services to customers who generally cannot obtain coverage in the standard marketplace.
Our ten insurance subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the "Insurance Subsidiaries."
The following is Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the consolidated results of operations and financial
condition, as well as known trends and uncertainties, that may have a material impact in future periods.
In the MD&A, we will discuss and analyze the following:
Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015;
• Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates;
•
• Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment;
•
•
• Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements;
• Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments; and
• Ratings.
Federal Income Taxes;
Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources;
35
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
We have identified the policies and estimates described below as critical to our business operations and the understanding of
the results of our operations. Our preparation of the Financial Statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that
affect the reported amount of assets and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of our Financial
Statements, and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the reporting period. There can be no assurance that
actual results will not differ from those estimates. Those estimates that were most critical to the preparation of the Financial
Statements involved the following: (i) reserves for loss and loss expense; (ii) pension and post-retirement benefit plan actuarial
assumptions; (iii) investment valuation and other-than-temporary-impairments (“OTTI”); and (iv) reinsurance.
Reserves for Loss and Loss Expense
Significant periods of time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to the insurer, and the
insurer’s payment of that loss. To recognize liabilities for unpaid loss and loss expense, insurers establish reserves as balance
sheet liabilities representing an estimate of amounts needed to pay reported and unreported net loss and loss expense. We had
accrued $3.8 billion of gross loss and loss expense reserves and $3.2 billion of net loss and loss expense reserves at
December 31, 2017. At December 31, 2016, these gross and net reserves were $3.7 billion and $3.1 billion, respectively.
The following tables provide case and incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves for loss and loss expenses, and reinsurance
recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense as of December 31, 2017 and 2016:
As of December 31, 2017
Losses and Loss Expense Reserves
Case
Reserves
IBNR
Reserves
Total
Reinsurance
Recoverable on
Unpaid Loss and
Loss Expense
Net Reserves
$
($ in thousands)
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile
Businessowners' policies
Commercial property
Other
Total Standard Commercial Lines
Personal automobile
Homeowners
Other
Total Standard Personal Lines
Casualty lines1
Property lines2
Total E&S Lines
260,605
427,955
200,409
31,758
64,192
5,018
989,937
76,895
15,477
51,646
144,018
53,764
6,586
60,350
1,046,261
756,609
291,681
58,522
13,420
8,787
1,306,866
1,184,564
492,090
90,280
77,612
13,805
2,175,280
3,165,217
73,356
18,763
27,029
119,148
273,607
8,900
282,507
150,251
34,240
78,675
263,166
327,371
15,486
342,857
Total
3,771,240
1Includes general liability (95% of net reserves) and commercial auto liability coverages (5% of net reserves).
2Includes commercial property (90% of net reserves) and commercial auto property coverages (10% of net reserves).
2,576,935
1,194,305
$
36
175,276
218,024
16,745
3,926
24,387
2,287
440,645
53,129
999
69,333
123,461
21,360
389
21,749
1,131,590
966,540
475,345
86,354
53,225
11,518
2,724,572
97,122
33,241
9,342
139,705
306,011
15,097
321,108
585,855
3,185,385
$
December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial auto
Businessowners' policies
Commercial property
Other
Total Standard Commercial Lines
Personal automobile
Homeowners
Other
Total Standard Personal Lines
Casualty lines1
Property lines2
E&S Lines
Losses and Loss Expense Reserves
Case
Reserves
IBNR
Reserves
Total
Reinsurance
Recoverable on
Unpaid Loss and
Loss Expense
Net Reserves
235,329
463,523
170,380
40,018
50,757
5,243
965,250
78,512
24,779
64,314
167,605
50,337
8,253
58,590
1,053,400
745,590
259,861
56,894
7,910
9,647
1,288,729
1,209,113
430,241
96,912
58,667
14,890
2,133,302
3,098,552
72,435
19,845
26,198
118,478
241,473
7,021
248,494
150,947
44,624
90,512
286,083
291,810
15,274
307,084
179,997
223,327
17,373
7,012
13,615
2,613
443,937
55,223
3,206
82,625
141,054
25,741
468
26,209
1,108,732
985,786
412,868
89,900
45,052
12,277
2,654,615
95,724
41,418
7,887
145,029
266,069
14,806
280,875
611,200
3,080,519
Total
3,691,719
1Includes general liability (97% of net reserves) and commercial auto liability coverages (3% of net reserves).
2Includes commercial property (93% of net reserves) and commercial auto property coverages (7% of net reserves).
1,191,445
2,500,274
$
How reserves are established
Each quarter, our internal actuaries prepare a comprehensive loss and loss expense reserve analysis. This analysis uses
standard actuarial projection techniques, applied to our own loss and loss expense experience, to produce updated ultimate loss
and loss expense estimates. In addition, other non-standard approaches may be considered. The results of the reserve analysis
are then discussed with management in order to determine if any changes are required to the estimated ultimate loss and loss
expense reserves. In addition to the actuarial loss and loss expense projections, management also considers other information
and factors. Other considerations include internal impacts such as changes to our underwriting and claims practices, as well as
external impacts, such as economic, legal, judicial and social trends. Upon considering all of this information, management
makes a decision regarding changes to the reserve estimates.
The actuarial reserve analysis is the foundation of the quarterly reserve review process. Using generally accepted actuarial
reserving techniques, we project our estimate of ultimate loss and loss expense at each reporting date. Our IBNR reserve is the
difference between the projected ultimate loss and loss expense incurred and the sum of: (i) case loss and loss expense
reserves; and (ii) paid loss and loss expense. The actuarial techniques used in determining ultimate losses are part of a
comprehensive reserving process that includes two primary components. The first component is a detailed quarterly reserve
analysis performed by our internal actuarial staff. In completing this analysis, the actuaries must gather substantially similar
data in sufficient volume to ensure statistical credibility of the data, while maintaining appropriate differentiation. This process
defines the reserving segments, to which various actuarial projection methods are applied. When applying these methods, the
actuaries are required to make numerous assumptions including, for example, the selection of loss and loss expense
development factors and the weight to be applied to each individual projection method. These methods include paid and
incurred versions of the following methods: aggregate loss and loss expense development, Bornhuetter-Ferguson, Berquist-
Sherman, and frequency/severity modeling (via a development approach). The second component of the analysis is the
projection of the expected ultimate loss and loss expense ratio for each line of business for the current accident year. This
projection is part of our planning process wherein we review and update expected loss and loss expense ratios each quarter.
This review includes actual versus expected pricing changes, loss and loss expense trend assumptions, and updated prior period
loss and loss expense ratios from the most recent quarterly reserve analysis. Actual claims counts and severities are also
considered relative to initial expectations.
37
In addition to the quarterly reserve analysis, a range of possible IBNR reserves is estimated annually and continually
considered, among other factors, in establishing IBNR for each reporting period. Loss and loss expense trends are also
considered, which include, but are not limited to, large loss activity, asbestos and environmental claim activity, large case
reserve additions or reductions for prior accident years, and reinsurance recoverable issues. We also consider factors such as:
(i) per claim information; (ii) company and industry historical loss experience; (iii) legislative enactments, judicial decisions,
legal developments, and changes in political attitudes; and (iv) trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of
inflation. Based upon our quarterly reserve analysis, our annual reserve range, and other relevant factors and considerations,
IBNR is established and the ultimate net liability for loss and loss expense is determined. Such an assessment requires
considerable judgment given that it is frequently not possible to determine whether a change in the data is an anomaly until
sometime after the event. Even if a change is determined to be permanent, it is not always possible to reliably determine the
extent of the change until sometime later. There is no precise method for subsequently evaluating the impact of any specific
factor on the adequacy of reserves because the eventual deficiency or redundancy is affected by many factors. The changes in
these estimates, resulting from the continuous review process and the differences between estimates and ultimate payments, are
reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income for the period in which such estimates are changed. Any changes in the
liability estimate may be material to the results of operations in future periods. In addition to our internal review, statutory
regulation requires us to have a Statement of Actuarial Opinion issued annually on our statutory reserve adequacy. We engage
an external consulting actuary to issue this opinion based on their independent review.
Range of reasonable reserves
We have estimated a range of reasonably possible reserves for net loss and loss expense claims to be $2,899 million to $3,361
million at December 31, 2017, which compares to $2,780 million to $3,237 million at December 31, 2016. These ranges reflect
low and high reasonable reserve estimates, which were selected primarily by considering the range of indications calculated
using generally accepted actuarial techniques. Such techniques assume that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current
developments and anticipated trends, are an appropriate basis for predicting future events. Although these reflect ranges of
reasonable estimates, it is possible that the final outcomes may fall above or below these amounts. The ranges do not include a
provision for potential increases or decreases associated with asbestos, environmental, and certain other continuous exposure
claims, as traditional actuarial techniques cannot be effectively applied to these exposures.
Major developments related to loss and loss expense reserve estimates and uncertainty
The Insurance Subsidiaries are multi-state, multi-line property and casualty insurance companies and, as such, are subject to
reserve uncertainty stemming from a variety of sources. These uncertainties are considered at each step in the process of
establishing loss and loss expense reserves. As market conditions change, certain developments may occur that increase or
decrease the amount of uncertainty. These developments include impacts within our own paid and reported loss and loss
expense experience, as well as other internal and external factors that have not yet manifested within our data, but may do so in
the future. All of these developments are considered when establishing loss and loss expense reserves, and in estimating the
range of reasonable reserves.
Changes in Reserve Estimates (Loss Development)
Each quarter a reserve review produces updated reserve estimates for the current and prior accident years, which in turn leads
to changes in the booked reserves, favorably, or unfavorably. In 2017, we experienced overall net favorable loss development
of $39.2 million, compared to $65.8 million in 2016, and $69.0 million in 2015. The following table summarizes prior year
development by line of business:
(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Loss and Loss Expense Development
($ in millions)
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile
Businessowners' policies
Commercial property
Personal automobile
Homeowners
E&S casualty lines
Other
Total
2017
2016
2015
$
(48.3)
(52.3)
35.6
1.9
8.7
6.7
0.4
10.0
(1.9)
$
(39.2)
(45.0)
(56.0)
25.3
1.8
0.3
1.0
1.7
6.0
(0.9)
(65.8)
(51.0)
(37.0)
2.4
2.2
(3.0)
0.4
1.5
16.0
(0.5)
(69.0)
38
A detailed discussion of recent reserve developments, by line of business, follows.
Standard Market General Liability Line of Business
At December 31, 2017, our general liability line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $1.1 billion, which
represented 36% of our total net reserves. In 2017, this line experienced favorable development of $48.3 million, attributable
to lower than expected frequencies and severities, mainly in accident years 2016 and prior.
During 2016, this line experienced favorable development of $45.0 million, attributable mainly to lower than anticipated claims
severities in accident years 2008 through 2013 and 2015.
By its nature, this line presents a diverse set of exposures, and therefore can be influenced by a variety of factors. In recent
years, the line has been favorably impacted by decreasing frequencies and relatively benign severity trends. As the economy
continues to improve it is possible that these trends will be affected. Our actuarial department actively monitors these trends
within our reserve review data, and holds frequent discussions with claims, to identify any potential shifts in these trends.
Standard Market Workers Compensation Line of Business
At December 31, 2017, our workers compensation line of business recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $966.5 million,
which represented 30% of our total net reserves. During 2017, this line experienced favorable development of $52.3 million
driven by accident years 2016 and prior. During 2016, this line experienced favorable development of $56.0 million driven by
accident years 2014 and prior. During 2017, this line again showed lower loss emergence than expected, due, in part, to: (i)
lower medical inflation than originally anticipated; (ii) our proactive underwriting actions in recent years; and (iii) various
significant claims initiatives that we have implemented.
While we believe these changes are significant drivers of our improved loss experience, there is always risk associated with
change. Most notably, these changes in operations may inherently change paid and reported development patterns. While our
reserve analyses incorporate methods that adjust for these changes, there nevertheless remains a greater risk in the estimated
reserves.
In addition to the uncertainties associated with actuarial assumptions and methodologies described above, the workers
compensation line of business can be impacted by a variety of issues, such as the following:
Unexpected changes in medical cost inflation - The industry is currently experiencing a period of lower claim cost
inflation. Changes in our historical workers compensation medical costs, along with uncertainty regarding future
medical inflation, creates the potential for additional variability in our reserves;
Changes in statutory workers compensation benefits - Benefit changes may be enacted that affect all outstanding
claims, regardless of having occurred in the past. Depending upon the social and political climate, these changes may
either increase or decrease associated claim costs;
Changes in utilization of the workers compensation system - These changes may be driven by economic, legislative, or
other changes. For example, this includes increased use of pharmaceuticals and more complex medical procedures.
Audit premium and endorsement premium may also introduce uncertainty into our reserves, since earned premiums are used as
a basis to set initial reserves. Over recent years, this activity has been fairly consistent. In 2017, audit and endorsement
activity resulted in additional premium of $18.2 million, and in 2016 it resulted in additional premium of $22.6 million.
Standard Market Commercial Automobile Line of Business
At December 31, 2017, our commercial automobile line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $475 million,
which represented 15% of our total net reserves. In 2017, this line experienced unfavorable development of $35.6 million,
which was mainly driven by increases in accident years 2012 through 2016, due to higher than expected frequency and severity.
In 2016, this line experienced unfavorable development of $25.3 million, which was mainly driven by higher severity in
accident year 2014 and higher frequency and severity in 2015.
For the industry, the commercial automobile line has experienced unfavorable trends in recent years, in both its casualty and
property coverages. We believe the increased frequencies are largely due to increased miles driven as a result of lower
39
unemployment and lower gasoline prices, as well as an increase in distracted driving. Rising severities may be the result of the
increasing complexity of vehicles and the technology they incorporate, which results in increased repair costs.
We are currently taking actions to improve the profitability of this line of business, including:
• Taking meaningful rate and underwriting actions on our renewal portfolio. We will continue to leverage our predictive
modeling and analytical capabilities to provide more granular insights as to where best to focus our actions.
• Aggressively managing new business pricing and hazard mix, co-underwriting selected higher hazard classes by the
field and home office, providing better recognition of risk drivers and improved pricing.
• Reducing premium leakage by improving the quality of our rating information. This includes validating application
information using third party data and obtaining more detailed driver information.
• Exploring new tools to score drivers to underwrite more effectively and align rate with exposure.
Standard Market Personal Automobile Line of Business
At December 31, 2017, our personal automobile line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $97 million,
which represented 3% of our total net reserves. In 2017, this line experienced unfavorable development of $6.7 million mainly
attributable to an increase in accident years 2011 through 2016. This line experienced unfavorable prior year development of
$1.0 million in 2016.
Some of the drivers affecting the commercial automobile line are also affecting this line. Increased usage and vehicle repair
costs, coupled with social trends such as distracted driving, are likely causes of increased frequencies and rising severities. We
continue to recalibrate our predictive models, as well as refine our underwriting and pricing approaches. While we believe
these changes will ultimately lead to improved profitability and greater stability, they may impact paid and reported
development patterns, thereby increasing the uncertainty in the reserves in the near-term.
E&S Casualty Lines of Business
At December 31, 2017, our E&S casualty lines of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $306 million, which
represented 10% of our total net reserves. In 2017, this line experienced unfavorable development of $10.0 million, mostly
associated with accident years 2014 and 2015. In 2016, this line experienced unfavorable development of $6.0 million, mostly
associated with accident year 2014. Since we have limited historical loss experience in this segment, our reserve estimates are
subject to somewhat greater uncertainty than the comparable Standard Commercial and Personal Line segments. In addition,
by its nature, the composition of this book changes over time, which may impact development patterns.
While E&S results have improved over recent years, they still have not reached our target return. In order to improve
outcomes, we have taken the following actions related to E&S casualty claims:
• Over the course of late 2015 and early 2016, our E&S claims handling function was aligned with our standard
operations claims function. E&S claims were migrated from the business unit in Scottsdale, Arizona, to the
appropriate regional claims operation. Complex claims are referred to the corporate Complex Claims Unit ("CCU")
for specialized handling.
• Claims have been segregated into “litigated” versus “non-litigated.” Separate claim handling teams have been created,
with the required skill sets, to appropriately handle these two types of claims.
• We implemented the following expense improvement initiatives regarding outside adjusters and legal counsel:
Maximized use of staff counsel, increasing staff where necessary to support claims volume;
Utilized staff coverage attorney for coverage reviews;
Heightened focus on legal budgeting and expense management;
Required panel counsel firms to use our electronic legal billing and budgeting system to better manage
budgets and expenses associated with litigation; and
Implemented a panel counsel review process.
We believe that the actions above will not only lead to earlier identification of severe claims, but also earlier claims resolutions
with improved outcomes. With that said, changes in claims operations can result in changes to claims reserving and settlement
patterns. Over time, we expect these patterns to stabilize, but in the near term these operational changes increase the
uncertainty in reserve estimates.
40
Other impacts creating additional loss and loss expense reserve uncertainty
Claims Initiative Impacts
In addition to the line of business specific issues mentioned above, our lines of business have been impacted by a number of
initiatives undertaken by our Claims Department that have resulted in variability, or shifts, in the average level of case reserves.
Some of these initiatives have also impacted claims settlement rates. These changes affect the data upon which the ultimate
loss and loss expense projections are made. While these changes in case reserve levels and settlement rates increase the
uncertainty in the short run, we expect the longer-term benefit will be a more refined management of the claims process.
Some of the specific actions implemented over the past several years, in addition to those regarding E&S as discussed above,
are as follows:
•
Increased focus on reducing workers compensation medical costs through more favorable Preferred Provider
Organization ("PPO") contracts and greater PPO penetration.
• A more comprehensive approach for handling workers compensation claims, with an emphasis towards improving
recovery times, allowing for earlier “return-to-work.” This involves elevated and proactive case management in the
areas of medical, pharmaceutical, and physical therapy treatments.
• The continued use of our CCU, to which all significant and complex liability claims are assigned. This unit has been
staffed with personnel that have significant experience in handling and settling these types of claims.
• The strategic realignment of our CMS model to handle property claims under $5,000.
• The continued use of our Property Claims Specialists ("PCS") and our Property Large Loss Unit ("LLU"). Our PCSs
handle claims between $5,000 and $100,000, while the LLU handles claims above $100,000. Both groups form the
core of our catastrophe response team. During 2016, we began increasing the number of property claims specialists to
respond to property claims with higher severity and/or complexity. This provides us with more staff to respond to
claim volume, including the fluctuations that result from catastrophes, while ensuring we have the highest level of
property expertise available to apply to our more complex claims.
• Continued efforts in the areas of fraud investigation and salvage/subrogation recoveries. These efforts have been
supported by the introduction of predictive models that allow us to better focus our efforts.
Our internal reserve analyses incorporate certain actuarial projection methods, which make adjustments for changes in case
reserve adequacy and claims settlement rates. These methods adjust our historical loss experience to the current level of case
adequacy or settlement rate, which provides a more consistent basis for projecting future development patterns. These methods
have their own assumptions and judgments associated with them, so as with any projection method, they are not definitive in
and of themselves. Furthermore, given that the expected benefits from our claims initiatives take time to fully manifest, we do
not take full credit for the anticipated benefit in establishing our loss and loss expense reserves. These initiatives may prove
more or less beneficial than currently reflected, which will affect development in future years. Our various projection methods
provide an indication of these potential future impacts. These impacts would be greatest within our larger reserve lines of
workers compensation, general liability, and commercial automobile liability, within the more recent accident years.
Economic Inflationary Impacts
Current United States monetary policy and global economic conditions bring additional uncertainty in the long-term given the
length of time required for claim settlement and the impact of medical cost trends relating to longer-tail liability and workers
compensation claims. In addition, recent economic data points to increased U.S. and global economic growth, continued low
levels of unemployment and signs of rising wages, which compounded with the potential for the pro-growth benefits of the Tax
Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 ("Tax Reform") and the potential for higher Federal budget deficits, has recently led to rising U.S.
interest rates and may result in a higher level of inflation in 2018 and beyond. Uncertainty regarding future inflation or
deflation creates the potential for additional volatility in our reserves for these lines of business.
Sensitivity analysis: Potential impact on reserve uncertainty due to changes in key assumptions
Our process to establish reserves includes a variety of key assumptions, including, but not limited to, the following:
• The selection of loss and loss expense development factors;
• The weight to be applied to each individual actuarial projection method;
•
• Expected claim frequencies, severities and ultimate loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year.
Projected future loss trends; and
41
The importance of any single assumption depends on several considerations, such as the line of business and the accident year.
If the actual experience emerges differently than the assumptions used in the process to establish reserves, changes in our
reserve estimate are possible and may be material to the results of operations in future periods. Set forth below are sensitivity
tests that highlight potential impacts to loss and loss expense reserves under different scenarios, for the major casualty lines of
business. These tests consider each assumption and line of business individually, without any consideration of correlation
between lines of business and accident years. Therefore, the results in the tables below do not constitute an actuarial range.
While the figures represent possible impacts from variations in key assumptions as identified by management, there is no
assurance that the future emergence of our loss and loss expense experience will be consistent with either our current or
alternative sets of assumptions.
While the sources of variability discussed above are generated by different internal and external trends and operational changes,
they ultimately manifest themselves as changes in the expected loss and loss expense development patterns. These patterns are
a key assumption in the reserving process. In addition to the expected development patterns, the expected loss and loss
expense ratios are another key assumption in the reserving process. These expected ratios are developed through a rigorous
process of projecting recent accident years' experience to an ultimate settlement basis, and then adjusting it to the current
accident year's pricing and loss cost levels. Impact from changes in the underwriting portfolio and changes in claims handling
practices are also quantified and reflected, where appropriate. As is the case with all estimates, the ultimate loss and loss
expense ratios may differ from those currently estimated.
The sensitivities of loss and loss expense reserves to these key assumptions are illustrated below for the major casualty lines.
The first table shows the estimated impacts from changes in expected reported loss and loss expense development patterns. It
shows reserve impacts by line of business if the actual calendar year incurred amounts are greater or less than current
expectations by the selected percentages. While the selected percentages by line are judgmental, they are based upon the
reserve range analysis, as well as the actual historical reserve development for the line of business. The second table shows the
estimated impacts from changes to the expected loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year. It shows reserve
impacts by line of business if the expected loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year are greater or less than
current expectations by the selected percentages.
Reserve Impacts of Changes to Expected Loss and Loss Expense Reporting Patterns
($ in millions)
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile liability
Personal automobile liability
E&S casualty lines
Percentage
Decrease/
Increase
7%
$
10
12
15
10
(Decrease) to Future
Calendar Year Reported
Increase to Future Calendar
Year Reported
(80) $
(70)
(50)
(10)
(35)
80
70
50
10
35
Reserve Impacts of Changes to Current Year Expected Ultimate Loss and Loss Expense Ratios
($ in millions)
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile liability
Personal automobile liability
E&S casualty lines
Percentage
Decrease/
Increase
(Decrease) to Current
Accident Year Expected Loss
and Loss Expense Ratio
Increase to Current Accident
Year Expected Loss and Loss
Expense Ratio
10 pts $
10
10
10
10
(60) $
(35)
(35)
(10)
(15)
60
35
35
10
15
Note that there is some overlap between the impacts in the two tables. For example, increases in the calendar year development
would ultimately impact our view of the current accident year's loss and loss expense ratios. Nevertheless, these tables provide
perspective into the sensitivity of each of these key assumptions.
Asbestos and Environmental Reserves
Our general liability, excess liability, and homeowners reserves include exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. Our
exposure to environmental liability is primarily due to: (i) landfill exposures from policies written prior to the absolute
pollution endorsement in the mid 1980s; and (ii) underground storage tank leaks mainly from New Jersey homeowners policies.
These environmental claims stem primarily from insured exposures in municipal government, small non-manufacturing
commercial risks, and homeowners policies.
42
The total carried net losses and loss expense reserves for these claims were $21.2 million as of December 31, 2017 and $22.7
million as of December 31, 2016. The emergence of these claims occurs over an extended period and is highly unpredictable.
For example, within our Standard Commercial Lines book, certain landfill sites are included on the National Priorities List
(“NPL”) by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (“USEPA”). Once on the NPL, the USEPA determines an
appropriate remediation plan for these sites. A landfill can remain on the NPL for many years until final approval for the
removal of the site is granted from the USEPA. The USEPA has the authority to re-open previously closed sites and return
them to the NPL. We currently have reserves for seven customers related to four sites on the NPL.
“Asbestos claims” are claims for bodily injury alleged to have occurred from exposure to asbestos-containing products. Our
primary exposure arises from insuring various distributors of asbestos-containing products, such as electrical and plumbing
materials. At December 31, 2017, asbestos claims constituted 30% of our $21.2 million net asbestos and environmental
reserves, compared to 29% of our $22.7 million net asbestos and environmental reserves at December 31, 2016.
“Environmental claims” are claims alleging bodily injury or property damage from pollution or other environmental
contaminants other than asbestos. These claims include landfills and leaking underground storage tanks. Our landfill exposure
lies largely in policies written for municipal governments, in their operation or maintenance of certain public lands. In addition
to landfill exposures, in recent years, we have experienced a relatively consistent level of reported losses in the homeowners
line of business related to claims for groundwater contamination from leaking underground heating oil storage tanks in New
Jersey. In 2007, we instituted a fuel oil system exclusion on our New Jersey homeowners policies that limits our exposure to
leaking underground storage tanks for certain customers. At that time, existing customers were offered a one-time opportunity
to buy back oil tank liability coverage. The exclusion applies to all new homeowners policies in New Jersey. These customers
are eligible for the buy-back option only if the tank meets specific eligibility criteria.
Our asbestos and environmental claims are handled in our centralized and specialized asbestos and environmental claim unit.
Case reserves for these exposures are evaluated on a claim-by-claim basis. The ability to assess potential exposure often
improves as a claim develops, including judicial determinations of coverage issues. As a result, reserves are adjusted
accordingly.
Estimating IBNR reserves for asbestos and environmental claims is difficult because of the delayed and inconsistent reporting
patterns associated with these claims. In addition, there are significant uncertainties associated with estimating critical
assumptions, such as average clean-up costs, third-party costs, potentially responsible party shares, allocation of damages,
litigation and coverage costs, and potential state and federal legislative changes. Normal historically-based actuarial
approaches cannot be applied to asbestos and environmental claims because past loss history is not indicative of future
potential loss emergence. In addition, while certain alternative models can be applied, such models can produce significantly
different results with small changes in assumptions. As a result, we do not calculate an asbestos and environmental loss range.
Historically, our asbestos and environmental claims have been significantly lower in volume, with less volatility and
uncertainty than many of our competitors in the Standard Commercial Lines industry. Prior to the introduction of the absolute
pollution exclusion endorsement in the mid-1980's, we were primarily a Standard Personal Lines carrier and therefore do not
have broad exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. Additionally, we are the primary insurance carrier on the majority
of these exposures, which provides more certainty in our reserve position compared to others in the insurance marketplace.
Pension and Post-retirement Benefit Plan Actuarial Assumptions
Our pension and post-retirement benefit obligations and related costs are calculated using actuarial methods, within the
framework of U.S. GAAP. Two key assumptions, the discount rate and the expected return on plan assets, are important
elements of expense and/or liability measurement. We evaluate these key assumptions annually. Other assumptions involve
demographic factors, such as retirement age and mortality.
The discount rate enables us to state expected future cash flows at their present value on the measurement date. The purpose of
the discount rate is to determine the interest rates inherent in the price at which pension benefits could be effectively settled.
Our discount rate selection is based on high-quality, long-term corporate bonds. A higher discount rate reduces the present
value of benefit obligations. Conversely, a lower discount rate increases the present value of benefit obligations. Our discount
rate decreased 63 basis points, to 3.78%, as of December 31, 2017 compared to 4.41% as of December 31, 2016. For
additional information regarding our discount rate selection, refer to Note 14. “Retirement Plans” in Item 8. “Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
The expected long-term rate of return on the plan assets is determined by considering the current and expected asset allocation,
as well as historical and expected returns on each plan asset class. A lower expected rate of return on pension plan assets would
increase pension expense. Our long-term expected return on plan assets increased 12 basis points, to 6.36%, as of
43
December 31, 2017 compared to 6.24% as of December 31, 2016, reflecting a higher allocation to equity securities in the
portfolio.
At December 31, 2017, our pension and post-retirement benefit plan obligation was $381.0 million compared to $346.0 million
at December 31, 2016. Plan assets were $363.7 million and $316.5 million at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016,
respectively. Volatility in the marketplace, coupled with changes in the discount rate assumption, could materially impact our
pension and post-retirement life valuation in the future. For additional information regarding our pension and post-retirement
benefit plan obligations, see Note 14. “Retirement Plans” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
Investment Valuation and OTTI
Investment Valuation
The fair value of our investment portfolio is defined under accounting guidance as the exit price or the amount that would be:
(i) received to sell an asset; or (ii) paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants. When
determining an exit price we must, when available, rely upon observable market data. Our available-for-sale ("AFS") portfolio
is carried at fair value and the related unrealized gains or losses are reflected in stockholders' equity, net of tax. For both our
AFS and held-to-maturity ("HTM") portfolios, fair value is a key factor in the evaluation of a security for OTTI.
We have categorized our investment portfolio, based on the priority of the inputs to the valuation technique, into a three-level
fair value hierarchy. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets
and liabilities (Level 1) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3).
The fair value of approximately 99% of our investment portfolio is classified as either Level 1 or Level 2 in the fair value
hierarchy. Fair value measurements in Level 1 represent quoted prices in active markets for identical assets. Fair value
measurements in Level 2 represent prices determined using observable data from similar securities that have traded in the
marketplace, typically using matrix pricing. The fair value of our Level 2 securities are determined by external pricing
services. We have evaluated the pricing methodology used for these Level 2 prices and have determined that the inputs used
are observable. For additional information regarding the valuation techniques used, refer to item (e) of Note 2. "Summary of
Significant Accounting Policies" within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Annual Report.
Less than 1% of our investment portfolio is classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy. Fair value measurements in Level
3 are based on unobservable market inputs because the related securities are not traded on a public market. For additional
information regarding the valuation techniques used for our Level 3 securities, refer to item (e) of Note 2. "Summary of
Significant Accounting Policies" within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Annual Report.
OTTI
Our investment portfolio is subject to market declines below amortized cost that may be other than temporary and therefore
may result in the recognition of OTTI losses. Factors considered in the determination of whether or not a decline is other than
temporary require significant judgment and include, but are not limited to, the financial condition of the issuer, the expected
near-term and long-term prospects of the issuer, and our evaluation of the projected cash flow stream from the security. For
additional information regarding our OTTI process and OTTI charges recorded, see item (d) of Note 2. "Summary of
Significant Accounting Policies" and item (j) of Note 5. "Investments" within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary
Data." of this Annual Report, respectively.
Reinsurance
Reinsurance recoverables on paid and unpaid loss and loss expense represent estimates of the portion of such liabilities that will
be recovered from reinsurers. Each reinsurance contract is analyzed to ensure that the transfer of risk exists to properly record
the transactions in the Financial Statements. Amounts recovered from reinsurers are recognized as assets at the same time and
in a manner consistent with the paid and unpaid losses associated with the reinsured policies. An allowance for estimated
uncollectible reinsurance is recorded based on an evaluation of balances due from reinsurers and other available information.
This allowance totaled $4.6 million at December 31, 2017 and $5.5 million at December 31, 2016. We continually monitor
developments that may impact recoverability from our reinsurers and have available to us contractually provided remedies if
necessary. For further information regarding reinsurance, see the “Reinsurance” section below and Note 8. “Reinsurance” in
Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
44
Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 20151
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
2017
Revenues
After-tax net investment income
After-tax underwriting income
Net income before federal income tax
Net income
Diluted net income per share
Diluted weighted-average outstanding shares
Combined ratio
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
After-tax yield on investments
Return on average equity ("ROE")
Non-GAAP operating income
Diluted non-GAAP operating income per share
$
2,469,984
118,520
100,318
261,968
168,826
2.84
59,357
93.3 %
3.32
2.1 %
10.4
184,898
3.11
$
$
$
2016
2,284,270
98,405
98,756
219,955
158,495
2.70
58,747
92.9
3.50
1.9
10.8
161,704
2.75
2017 vs.
2016
8 % $
20
2
19
7
5
1
$
2015
2,131,852
93,836
96,869
232,692
165,861
2.85
58,156
0.4
pts
(5) % $
pts
0.2
(0.4)
92.5 %
3.64
1.9 %
12.4
14 % $
13
157,300
2.70
2016 vs.
2015
7 %
5
2
(5)
(4)
(5)
1
0.4
pts
(4) %
— pts
(1.6)
3 %
2
Non-GAAP operating ROE
1Refer to the Glossary of Terms attached to this Form 10-K as Exhibit 99.1 for definitions of terms used in this financial review.
11.4 %
11.0
pts
0.4
11.8 %
(0.8) pts
Reconciliations of net income, net income per share, and ROE to non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income
per share, and non-GAAP operating ROE, respectively, are provided in the tables below:
Reconciliation of net income to non-GAAP operating income
($ in thousands)
Net income
Exclude: Net realized (gains) losses
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains (losses)
Exclude: Tax reform impact
Non-GAAP operating income
Reconciliation of net income per share to non-GAAP operating income per share
Diluted net income per share
Exclude: Net realized (gains) losses per share
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains (losses) per share
Exclude: Tax reform impact per share
Diluted non-GAAP operating income per share
2017
2016
2015
$
168,826
158,495
(6,359)
2,226
20,205
184,898
4,937
(1,728)
—
161,704
2017
2016
2015
2.84
(0.11)
0.04
0.34
3.11
2.70
0.08
(0.03)
—
2.75
$
$
$
Reconciliation of ROE to non-GAAP operating ROE
2017
2016
2015
Insurance operations
Investment income
Other
Net realized gains (losses)
Tax on net realized (gains) losses
Tax reform impact
ROE
Exclude: Net realized (gains) losses
Exclude: Tax on net realized gains (losses)
Exclude: Tax reform impact
Non-GAAP operating ROE
6.2%
7.3
(2.1)
0.4
(0.2)
(1.2)
10.4
(0.4)
0.2
1.2
11.4%
6.7
6.7
(2.4)
(0.3)
0.1
—
10.8
0.3
(0.1)
—
11.0
45
165,861
(13,171)
4,610
—
157,300
2.85
(0.23)
0.08
—
2.70
7.3
7.0
(2.5)
1.0
(0.4)
—
12.4
(1.0)
0.4
—
11.8
We delivered strong financial results in 2017 with net income of $168.8 million, up 7% from 2016, and non-GAAP operating
income of $184.9 million, up 14% from 2016. We generated a 10.4% ROE in 2017 and an 11.4% non-GAAP operating ROE,
our key measure of long term financial success, with our non-GAAP operating ROE increasing 40 basis points from 11.0% in
2016. Our strong financial results were driven by a record level of after-tax underwriting income, despite the record level of
insured global catastrophe losses in 2017 and a relatively weak overall commercial lines pricing environment, and a record
level of after-tax net investment income, despite the continued low interest rate environment. Our record level of after-tax
underwriting income reflect our efforts to: (i) drive renewal pure price increases at the account level within our Standard
Commercial and Standard Personal Lines segments as well as our E&S segment; (ii) generate new business and grow our net
premiums written; and (iii) improve the underlying profitability of our book of business through various underwriting and
claims initiatives. Our NPW growth of 6% in 2017 and 8% in 2016 was driven by our strong franchise value with our "ivy
league" distribution partners. In addition, for more than eight years our Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price
increases have cumulatively outperformed the Willis Towers Watson Commercial Lines Pricing (or CLIPs) survey by
approximately 2,100 basis points, while maintaining high retention rates, which has helped improve underlying results.
Additionally, in 2017, we appointed 102 retail agents, which is exclusive of 26 agents that have been appointed in our new
states of Arizona and New Hampshire, as we continue to seek ways to increase our market share.
In addition to the cumulative renewal pure price increases we have achieved over the past several years, we have driven
underwriting and claims process enhancements, and we have improved our mix of business based on expected future
profitability. For example, our workers compensation book of business, which represents approximately 17% of our Standard
Commercial Lines business, continues to benefit from the steps we have taken in recent years to increase premium rates on this
line, despite the fact that pricing was flat in 2017. Additionally, this line has benefited from: (i) an improved business mix that
is shifting towards lower hazard and smaller accounts from higher hazard and larger accounts; (ii) claims initiatives, such as
reducing workers compensation medical costs through more favorable PPO contracts and greater PPO penetration; and (iii)
lower inflationary trends for this long-tail line. For a full discussion of the claims initiatives that we have deployed, refer to the
“Reserves for Loss and Loss Expenses” section within Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates in Item 7. “Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.”
Our commercial and personal automobile lines of business have been unprofitable in recent years and remain areas of focus as
we are taking steps to improve profitability in these lines of business. In 2017, we recorded unfavorable prior year casualty
reserve development and increases to our current year loss costs for these lines. We will continue to seek to actively implement
renewal pure price increases in these lines, which have averaged 6.7% in 2017 for commercial auto and 4.1% for personal auto,
to improve the level of profitability of these lines of business, which have not met our risk adjusted return expectations in
recent years. We have also been managing our commercial auto in-force book of business in targeted industry segments and we
have been reducing exposures to higher hazard commercial auto classes to improve the underlying profitability of this business.
Our E&S segment also remains a focus area, with a combined ratio of 103.0% for 2017. We face a competitive environment in
this segment, and our pricing and underwriting initiatives aimed at improving profitability have resulted in a decline in new
business volume. Our focus in E&S is on improving profitability, rather than premium volume or growth, and we expect
continued volatility in net premiums written in this segment until the E&S segment meets our risk adjusted return expectations.
After-tax net investment income grew 20% in 2017 and 5% in 2016. The improvements in 2017 and 2016 were driven by a
higher fixed income book yield and improved returns on our alternative investments. We have continued to diversify and
modestly increase our exposure to risk assets and move towards a long-term target allocation of approximately 10% of total
invested assets. Risk assets, which principally include public equities, high-yield fixed income securities, and private assets,
represented 8% of our total invested assets at December 31, 2017.
We generated a non-GAAP operating ROE of 11.4% in 2017, which is in line with our long-term goal of generating a non-
GAAP operating ROE that is 300 basis points in excess of our weighted average cost of capital. Our long-term financial target
for 2017 was 11.5%, based on an estimated weighted average cost of capital of 8.5%. Our non-GAAP operating ROE was
11.0% for 2016, compared to our target of 11.7%, which was based on our weighted average cost of capital of 8.7%.
Underwriting profitability, coupled with the performance of our investment portfolio, contributed to this achievement.
46
Insurance Operations
The key metric in understanding our insurance operations’ contribution to ROE is the GAAP combined ratio. The following
table provides a quantitative foundation for analyzing this ratio:
All Lines
($ in thousands)
Insurance Operations Results:
Net premiums written ("NPW")
Net premiums earned ("NPE")
Less:
Loss and loss expense incurred
Net underwriting expenses incurred
Dividends to policyholders
Underwriting income
Combined Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio
Underwriting expense ratio
Dividends to policyholders ratio
Combined ratio
2017
2016
2017
vs. 2016
2015
2016
vs. 2015
$
2,370,641
2,291,027
1,345,074
786,983
4,634
154,336
$
58.7 %
34.4
0.2
93.3
2,237,288
2,149,572
1,234,797
759,194
3,648
151,933
57.4
35.3
0.2
92.9
6 % $
7
2,069,904
1,989,909
9
4
27
2 % $
1,148,541
686,120
6,219
149,029
8 %
8
8
11
(41)
2 %
1.3 pts
57.7 %
(0.3) pts
(0.9)
—
0.4
34.5
0.3
92.5
0.8
(0.1)
0.4
Increases in our combined ratio were driven by: (i) lower levels of net favorable prior year casualty loss development; (ii) a
slightly higher level of catastrophe losses; and (iii) a slightly higher level of non-catastrophe property losses. These items were
offset in part in 2017 by a lower underwriting expense ratio. The details of these items are provided below:
• Net favorable prior year casualty reserve development:
(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development
($ in millions)
General liability
Commercial automobile
Workers compensation
Businessowners' policies
Other
Total Standard Commercial Lines
Homeowners
Personal automobile
Total Standard Personal Lines
E&S casualty lines
2017
2016
2015
$
(48.3)
36.0
(52.3)
—
(2.0)
(66.6)
1.0
7.0
8.0
10.0
(45.0)
25.0
(56.0)
0.5
(2.0)
(77.5)
1.5
1.0
2.5
6.0
(51.0)
3.0
(37.0)
4.0
—
(81.0)
(2.0)
—
(2.0)
16.0
Total favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(48.6)
(69.0)
(67.0)
(Favorable) impact on loss ratio
(2.1) pts
(3.2)
(3.4)
For a qualitative discussion of this reserve development, please see the related insurance segment discussions below.
• Catastrophe losses:
Catastrophe Losses
($ in millions)
For the Year ended December 31,
Loss and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Loss and Loss
Expense Ratio
(Favorable)/
Unfavorable Year-
Over-Year Change
2017
2016
2015
$
67.3
59.7
59.1
2.9 pts
2.8
3.0
0.1
(0.2)
(0.2)
47
• Non-catastrophe property losses:
Non-Catastrophe Property Losses
($ in millions)
For the Year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
Loss and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Loss and Loss
Expense Ratio
(Favorable)/
Unfavorable Year-Over-
Year Change
$
303.7
279.2
265.4
13.3 pts
13.0
13.3
0.3
(0.3)
(2.2)
The deterioration in the loss and loss expense ratio in 2017 was partially offset by improvement in the underwriting expense
ratio of 0.9 points in 2017. This improvement was driven by:
• A 0.5-point decrease in commissions to our distribution partners in 2017 due to lower supplemental commission
expense, as well as lower base commissions that were driven by targeted actions we took in late 2016 on our
homeowners book of business;
• A 0.4-point decrease in labor expenses as a percentage of premium in 2017, as we recognized productivity gains from
the growth of our business; and
• A 0.3-point decrease in pension expense in 2017 reflecting expected returns on pension plan assets that have outpaced
expenses in the current year periods. For additional information on our pension plan, refer to Note 14. "Retirement
Plans" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
•
Partially offsetting these improvements was an increase of 0.3 points of other expense items.
The 0.8-point increase in the 2016 underwriting expense ratio compared to 2015 was driven by 0.7 points of higher
supplemental commissions to our distribution partners as a result of improved underwriting profitability, as well as increased
compensation paid to our employees, partially offset by reduced pension costs driven in part by the curtailment of our pension
plan in the first quarter of 2016.
Investments Segment
The ROE contribution from investment income has increased in 2017 compared to 2016 reflecting higher yields on our core
fixed income portfolio, coupled with a higher asset base driven by cash flows from operations that were 16% of NPW for the
year. In addition, our alternative investment portfolio generated $8.3 million in after-tax income in 2017 compared to $2.0
million in 2016.
Net realized gains/losses, which is another component of our investment segments' results, experienced volatility in its
contribution to ROE in 2015 through 2017. For qualitative information regarding these fluctuations, which include OTTI
charges and investment sales that are largely discretionary as to timing, refer to Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. "Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
Other
The reduction to ROE from "other" in the "Reconciliation of ROE to non-GAAP operating ROE" table above is primarily
related to share-based compensation expense at the holding company level. This component of ROE improved marginally in
2017, reflecting a 0.3-point benefit from a change in accounting treatment that requires certain share-based compensation tax
benefits to be recorded through income beginning in 2017, coupled with a change in our share-based compensation agreements
that began with our 2017 awards. We restructured our newly-issued stock compensation awards to be more aligned with grant
date fair value expense treatment and lowered the allocation to awards that require fair value adjustments subsequent to grant
date. However, the 36% increase in our stock price during 2017 has resulted in fair value adjustments to our outstanding
awards that have increased our share-based compensation expense and offset the savings associated with the structural changes.
48
Outlook
We continue to execute successfully on several important objectives that have set the table for our performance in 2018,
including: (i) achieving Standard Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases of 2.9% for full-year 2017 and 2.8% in
January 2018; (ii) improving renewal underwriting quality while maintaining strong and stable retention; (iii) targeting
underwriting actions in our E&S Lines to improve profitability in this segment; and (iv) achieving strong investment results
with after-tax new money rates of 2.1% and strong operating cash flow that was 16% of NPW in 2017. All of these
achievements will help drive our future financial performance in 2018 and beyond.
Despite our strong financial performance in 2017 and expectations for 2018, the U.S. property and casualty insurance industry
continues to be characterized by an abundance of capital, intense competition and low overall premium growth. According to
A.M. Best's "US Property/Casualty: 2018 Review & Preview," for 2018, rate increases are expected to remain in the low single
digits for most lines of business. A.M. Best is estimating an overall statutory combined ratio for the industry for 2018 of
100.0% and an estimated after-tax return on surplus of 5.8%. In addition, A.M. Best estimates that property and casualty loss
and loss adjustment expense reserve adequacy peaked several years ago and reserve adequacy has been declining since.
Our long-term growth plans include: (i) increasing the Standard Commercial Lines market share held by our "ivy league"
distribution partners to at least 25%; (ii) increasing our share of the business within these distribution partners, which we refer
to as our "share of wallet," to 12%; and (iii) geographic expansion. To date, we write Standard Commercial Lines business in
25 states and the District of Columbia, which at a 3% market share, would create a corporate Standard Commercial Lines
profile in excess of $4 billion of net premiums written.
Effective July 1, 2017, we opened Arizona and New Hampshire for Standard Commercial Lines business. We have appointed a
total of 26 agents in these states, with appointments in each state controlling in excess of 20% of that state's available Standard
Commercial Lines premium. During 2017, we generated $9.1 million of premium volume in these new markets. On January
1, 2018 we opened Standard Commercial Lines business in Colorado, and we expect to open New Mexico and Utah by the end
of 2018. We also expect to open Arizona and Utah for Standard Personal Lines business in the future.
Investing in the development and implementation of leading technologies to enhance our underwriting is integral to our overall
strategy. The ability to segment our business on a granular basis allows us to present the right price for a given risk. In 2017,
we deployed a new underwriting tool that provides real-time insights into how each piece of new business compares with
similar accounts already in our portfolio. We believe this tool positions us better to grow the business regardless of overall
market dynamics. It also demonstrates our commitment to developing and implementing a best-in-class technology platform
that enhances our decision making capabilities.
As an organization, we are making significant investments that are focused on enhancing the overall customer experience in an
omni-channel environment. To that end, we have recently deployed a new customer experience desktop to our contact center
employees and we are also working closely with our distribution partners to ensure we present our customers with a seamless
experience. We recognize that our customers' expectations on how they engage with us are rapidly evolving and we continue to
strive towards providing best-in-class customer service in a 24-hour, 365-day environment. Our goals in this area are centered
around leveraging technology to improve customer retention rates, which should, over time, enhance the quality of our
business.
Our investment portfolio generated after-tax net investment income of $119 million in 2017, which was a 20% increase over
2016. We have generated strong investment returns despite low interest rates, while maintaining a similar level of credit quality
and duration risk on the portfolio. Risk assets, which principally include high-yield fixed income securities, equities, and our
alternative investment portfolio, are up modestly to 8% from 7% last year end. We have been gradually diversifying our
portfolio, and will likely continue to modestly increase our risk asset allocation over time up to approximately 10% of our
invested assets, depending on market conditions.
Our 2018 results will be favorably impacted by Tax Reform, which we expect to lower our effective tax rate by 10 percentage
points, to approximately 18% going forward, including 17% from net investment income and approximately 21% for all other
items. This effective rate will fluctuate depending on the investment portfolio's allocation to tax-advantaged municipal
securities, which will continue to be taxed at 5.25%. We expect this benefit to assist us in achieving our long-term goal of
generating non-GAAP operating ROE that is approximately 300 basis points in excess of our weighted average cost of capital
over time.
49
Our achievements in 2017, coupled with the impact of Tax Reform, will help drive our future financial performance in 2018
and beyond.
In January 2018, we experienced an estimated $63 million of insured property losses which were approximately $30 million in
excess of our property loss expectations for the month of January. Refer to Note 21. "Subsequent Events" in Item 8. "Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K for additional information.
For 2018, we expect to generate the following results:
• A GAAP combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, of approximately 91.0%. This assumes no prior year casualty
reserve development;
• Catastrophe losses of 3.5 points;
• After-tax net investment income of $144 million, which includes $10 million of after-tax net investment income from
our alternative investments;
• An overall effective tax rate of approximately 18%, which includes an effective tax rate of 17% for net investment
income, inclusive of tax-advantaged municipal securities' tax rate of 5.25%, and approximately 21% for all other
items; and
• Weighted average shares outstanding of 59.6 million.
Our weighted average cost of capital has increased from 8.5% in 2017 to 9.0% in 2018, driven principally by a higher
estimated cost of equity, and as such our long-term financial target of generating a non-GAAP operating ROE of 300 basis
points above our weighted average cost of capital, has increased our financial target to 12.0% for 2018.
Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment
Standard Commercial Lines Segment
($ in thousands)
Insurance Segments Results:
NPW
NPE
Less:
Loss and loss expense incurred
Net underwriting expenses incurred
Dividends to policyholders
Underwriting income
Combined Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio
Underwriting expense ratio
Dividends to policyholders ratio
Combined ratio
2017
2016
2017
vs. 2016
2015
2016
vs. 2015
$
1,858,735
1,788,499
1,008,150
626,201
4,634
$
149,514
56.3 %
35.0
0.3
91.6
1,745,782
1,665,483
913,506
601,894
3,648
146,435
54.8
36.2
0.2
91.2
6 % $
1,596,965
7
1,529,442
%
9
9
10
4
27
819,573
539,154
6,219
11
12
(41)
2 % $
164,496
(11) %
1.5 pts
53.6 %
(1.2)
0.1
0.4
35.2
0.4
89.2
pts
1.2
1.0
(0.2)
2.0
For the past three years, growth in this segment of our business has reflected: (i) renewal pure price increases; (ii) new business
growth; and (iii) stable retention. Quantitative information on these drivers is as follows:
($ in millions)
Retention
Renewal pure price increases on NPW
Direct new business
For the Year Ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
83 %
2.9
368.2
$
83
2.6
357.6
83
3.0
339.6
50
Increases in the loss and loss expense ratio over the three-year period were driven by lower favorable prior year casualty
reserve development coupled with higher property losses, as displayed in the tables below. For quantitative information on the
prior year development by line of business, see "Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 2017, 2016, and
2015" above and for qualitative information about the significant drivers of this development, see the line of business
discussions below.
($ in millions)
For the year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
(Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve
Development
Losses and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Losses and
Loss Expense Ratio
Unfavorable/
(Favorable)
Year-Over-Year
Change
$
(66.6)
(77.5)
(81.0)
(3.7) pts
(4.7)
(5.3)
1.0
0.6
(2.1)
($ in millions)
Non-Catastrophe Property Losses
Catastrophe Losses
For the year ended
December 31,
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Total Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Unfavorable/
(Favorable)
Year-Over-Year
Change
2017
2016
2015
$
204.9
182.4
154.7
11.5 pts $
11.0
10.1
40.0
35.0
34.1
2.2 pts
2.1
2.2
13.7
13.1
12.3
0.6
0.8
(3.1)
The increase in the loss and loss expense ratio in 2017 was partially offset by a 1.2-point decrease in the underwriting expense
ratio in 2017 compared to 2016. The expense improvement drivers in this segment of our business are similar to those driving
our overall insurance results as described in the financial highlights section above and include:
• A 0.3-point decrease in supplemental commissions to our distribution partners;
• A 0.4-point decrease in labor expenses reflecting productivity gains from the growth of our business, including our
geographic expansion efforts; and
• A 0.3-point decrease in pension expense due to the extension of the amortization period over which we are
recognizing the net actuarial loss on our pension plan.
There was an increase of 1.0 point in the underwriting expense ratio in 2016 compared to 2015. This increase was primarily
attributable to higher supplemental commission expense to our distribution partners of 0.9 points.
The following is a discussion of our most significant Standard Commercial Lines of business:
General Liability
($ in thousands)
NPW
Direct new business
Retention
Renewal pure price increases
NPE
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
% of total standard commercial NPW
$
$
2017
594,816
110,069
83 %
2.6
569,217
98,229
82.7
32
2016
2017
vs. 2016
553,579
105,961
83
1.8
527,859
79,120
85.0
32
7 % $
4
— pts
0.8
8 % $
24
(2.3)
2015
505,891
99,938
83 %
2.7
483,291
86,015
82.2
32
2016
vs. 2015
9 %
6
— pts
(0.9)
9 %
(8)
2.8
Growth in 2017 and 2016 premium was primarily due to direct new business as outlined in the table above, coupled with strong
retention and renewal pure price increases.
51
The combined ratio decreased in 2017 by 2.3 points driven by: (i) a decrease in supplemental commission to our distribution
partners of 0.4 points; (ii) a decrease in pension expense of 0.3 points; and (iii) a decrease in current year loss costs of
approximately 0.4 points. Favorable prior year development was consistent with 2016 at 8.5 points.
The combined ratio increased in 2016 compared to 2015 by 2.8 points driven by a reduction in favorable prior year
development. The impact of the prior year casualty reserve development on this line was as follows:
•
•
•
2017: favorable prior year development of 8.5 points attributable to decreases in accident years 2016 and prior, driven
by lower than expected frequencies and severities.
2016: favorable prior year development of 8.5 points attributable to accident years 2008 through 2013 and 2015. This
was primarily driven by lower than anticipated claims severities.
2015: favorable prior year development of 10.6 points attributable to accident years 2013 and prior. This was
primarily driven by severities that continued to develop lower than expected, within both the premises and operations
and products liability coverages. In addition, the reduction in frequencies exhibited in recent accident years continued
into accident year 2015.
Commercial Automobile
($ in thousands)
NPW
Direct new business
Retention
Renewal pure price increases
NPE
Underwriting loss
Combined ratio
% of total standard commercial NPW
2017
2016
2017
vs. 2016
$
465,621
78,869
84 %
6.7
$
442,818
(65,267)
114.7
25
422,013
77,255
84
4.9
398,942
(43,163)
110.8
24
10 % $
2
— pts
1.8
2015
376,064
70,556
83 %
3.8
11 % $
358,909
(51)
3.9
(7,794)
102.2
24
2016
vs. 2015
12 %
9
1 pts
1.1
11 %
(454)
8.6
For the past three years, growth in this line of business has reflected: (i) renewal pure price increases; (ii) new business growth;
and (iii) stable retention.
The 3.9-point increase in the combined ratio in 2017 compared to 2016 was primarily driven by a 5.4-point increase in the loss
and loss expense ratio, which was attributable to the following: (i) an increase in the current year loss reserve estimate of 4.6
points reflecting higher casualty claim frequency; and (ii) unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development that increased
the combined ratio by 1.8 points compared to last year. The increase in the loss and loss expense ratio was partially offset by a
1.3-point decrease in the underwriting expense ratio.
The 8.6-point increase in the combined ratio in 2016 compared to 2015 was driven by: (i) unfavorable prior year casualty
reserve development that increased the combined ratio by 5.5 points compared to 2015; (ii) an increase in the current year loss
reserve estimate of 2.1 points reflecting higher casualty claim frequency; and (iii) higher property losses of 1.0 point.
Prior year casualty reserve development was as follows:
•
•
•
2017: Unfavorable development of 8.1 points, which was driven primarily by increases in accident years 2012
through 2016, due to higher than expected frequency and severity.
2016: Unfavorable development of 6.3 points, which was driven primarily by bodily injury liability for accident years
2014 and 2015. The unfavorable development in accident year 2014 was driven by higher than expected severity,
whereas accident year 2015 was driven by higher than expected frequency and severity.
2015: Unfavorable development of 0.8 points, which was driven by bodily injury liability for accident years 2013 and
2014. This was partially offset by favorable development in accident years 2010 and 2011. The unfavorable
development in accident years 2013 and 2014 was driven by severities that were greater than expected.
52
Workers Compensation
($ in thousands)
NPW
Direct new business
Retention
Renewal pure price increases
NPE
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
% of total standard commercial NPW
2017
2016
2017
vs. 2016
$
$
323,263
66,616
84 %
—
317,982
61,693
80.6
17
319,807
67,102
84
1.2
308,233
56,118
81.8
18
1 % $
(1)
— pts
(1.2)
3 % $
10
(1.2)
2016
vs. 2015
7 %
(3)
1 pts
(1.4)
6 %
68
(6.7)
2015
299,686
68,971
83 %
2.6
290,075
33,399
88.5
19
NPW increases in the last three years were due to strong retention and new business. The NPW increases in 2016 compared to
2015 were also driven by renewal pure price increases.
The improvement in the combined ratio was attributable to the loss and loss expense ratio, which decreased 0.9 points in 2017
driven by lower current year loss costs, which was partially offset by lower favorable prior year development. Additionally, the
expense ratio improved by 1.2-points, consistent with the improvement in overall Standard Commercial Lines discussed above.
The 2016 combined ratio decrease compared to 2015 was due primarily to a favorable prior year casualty development, which
for all years is outlined in the table below.
($ in millions)
For the year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
(Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve
Development
Losses and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Losses and
Loss Expense Ratio
Unfavorable/
(Favorable)
Year-Over-Year
Change
$
(52.3)
(56.0)
(37.0)
(16.4) pts
(18.2)
(12.8)
1.8
(5.4)
12.8
The favorable development in this line is due, in part, to lower medical inflation than originally anticipated, as well as the
various claims initiatives that we have implemented.
Commercial Property
($ in thousands)
NPW
Direct new business
Retention
Renewal pure price increases
NPE
Underwriting income
Combined ratio
% of total standard commercial NPW
$
$
2017
322,343
73,951
82 %
1.7
311,932
31,976
89.7
17
2016
2017
vs. 2016
2015
2016
vs. 2015
308,140
74,901
82
2.4
293,438
42,270
85.6
18
5 % $
(1)
— pts
(0.7)
6 % $
(24)
4.1
282,731
72,118
82 %
2.8
269,022
47,674
82.3
18
9 %
4
— pts
(0.4)
9 %
(11)
3.3
Our commercial property business has experienced profitable results during the three-year period in the table above despite a
competitive pricing environment. Although the table below reflects higher severities for our property losses, our results have
benefited from generally benign catastrophe loss activity in our geographic footprint. We believe pricing will strengthen as a
result of the level of industry-wide catastrophic events.
53
Quantitative information regarding property losses is as follows:
($ in millions)
For the year ended
December 31,
Non-Catastrophe Property Losses
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Catastrophe Losses
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
2017
2016
2015
$
109.5
95.9
78.4
35.1 pts $
32.7
29.1
34.2
23.7
25.8
11.0 pts
8.1
9.6
Total Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
46.1
40.8
38.7
Unfavorable/
(Favorable)
Year-Over-Year
Change
5.3
2.1
(16.3)
Standard Personal Lines Segment
($ in thousands)
Insurance Segments Results:
NPW
NPE
Less:
Loss and loss expense incurred
Net underwriting expenses incurred
Underwriting income
Combined Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio
Underwriting expense ratio
Combined ratio
2017
2016
2017
vs. 2016
2015
2016
vs. 2015
$
$
296,775
289,701
189,294
89,303
11,104
65.4 %
30.8
96.2
281,822
280,607
177,749
90,439
12,419
63.3
32.3
95.6
5 % $
3
6
(1)
(11) % $
2.1 pts
(1.5)
0.6
283,926
288,134
200,237
86,561
1,336
(1) %
(3)
(11)
5
830 %
69.5 %
(6.2) pts
30.0
99.5
2.3
(3.9)
NPW in this segment increased 5% in 2017 compared to 2016 as shown in the table above. As illustrated in the table below, the
increase in 2017 was primarily due to increases in new business and improving retention. In 2016, NPW decreased compared to
2015 reflecting the highly competitive market.
($ in millions)
Retention
Renewal pure price increases on NPW
Direct new business premiums
2017
2016
2015
84 %
3.0
50.9
$
82
4.8
39.7
82
5.8
32.9
The loss and loss expense ratio increased 2.1 points in 2017 compared to 2016, primarily driven by unfavorable prior year
casualty reserve development. Despite the unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development in 2016 as compared to 2015,
the overall combined ratio improved almost 4 points primarily as a result of improved property results. The details of the prior
year casualty reserve development, catastrophe losses and non-catastrophe property losses for all of the years presented were as
follows:
($ in millions)
Non-Catastrophe Property Losses
Catastrophe Losses
For the year ended
December 31,
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Total Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
(Favorable)/
Unfavorable
Year-Over-Year
Change
2017
2016
2015
$
76.2
71.2
87.2
26.3 pts $
25.4
30.3
16.1
18.2
21.7
5.6 pts
6.5
7.5
31.9
31.9
37.8
—
(5.9)
0.9
($ in millions)
For the year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty
Reserve Development
Losses and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Losses and
Loss Expense Ratio
Unfavorable
Year-Over-Year
Change
8.0
2.5
(2.0)
$
54
pts
2.8
0.9
(0.7)
1.9
1.6
2.2
The prior year development in both 2017 and 2016 primarily related to our personal automobile book of business.
The underwriting expense ratio decreased in 2017 compared to 2016 reflecting: (i) targeted actions taken on our homeowners
book of business that drove a 0.7-point decrease in direct commissions for this segment; (ii) a decrease in supplemental
commissions to our distribution partners of 0.2 points; and (iii) a reduction in pension expense of 0.3 points.
The increase in the underwriting expense ratio in 2016 compared to 2015 was primarily driven by increased costs related to: (i)
capital improvements of 0.8 points; (ii) underwriting expenses from third-party data vendors of 0.4 points; and (iii)
supplemental commission expense to our distribution partners of 0.3 points.
E&S Lines Segment
($ in thousands)
2017
2016
Insurance Segments Results:
NPW
NPE
Less:
Loss and loss expense incurred
Net underwriting expenses incurred
Underwriting loss
Combined Ratios:
Loss and loss expense ratio
Underwriting expense ratio
Combined ratio
$
$
215,131
212,827
147,630
71,479
(6,282)
69.4 %
33.6
103.0
209,684
203,482
143,542
66,861
(6,921)
70.5
32.9
103.4
2017
vs. 2016
2015
2016
vs. 2015
3 % $
5
3
7
9 % $
189,013
172,333
128,731
60,405
(16,803)
(1.1) pts
0.7
(0.4)
74.7 %
35.1
109.8
11 %
18
12
11
59 %
(4.2) pts
(2.2)
(6.4)
We continue to focus on profitability drivers in our E&S operations and have been actively managing price increases during the
past two years. While the NPW growth rate has declined as a consequence of these actions, our primary focus is on bringing
this segment to targeted levels of profitability. Quantitative information is as follows:
($ in millions)
Overall new/renewal price increases
Direct new business premiums
2017
2016
2015
$
5.0 %
90.5
4.9
100.0
2.9
99.6
The loss and loss expense ratio improvement in 2017 compared to 2016 is primarily attributable to a decrease in current year
loss costs reflecting our underwriting and claims improvement initiatives, including generating earned rate that is sufficient to
outpace loss costs. The 2016 improvement compared to 2015 was primarily due to lower unfavorable prior year casualty
reserve development.
Quantitative information pertaining to our property losses and prior year development are as follows:
($ in millions)
Non-Catastrophe Property Losses
Catastrophe Losses
For the year ended
December 31,
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Losses and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Total Impact on
Losses and Loss
Expense Ratio
Unfavorable
Year-Over-Year
Change
2017
2016
2015
$
22.6
25.6
23.6
10.6 pts $
12.6
13.7
11.2
6.5
3.2
5.3 pts
3.2
1.9
15.9
15.8
15.6
($ in millions)
For the year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve
Development
Losses and Loss
Expense Incurred
Impact on Losses and
Loss Expense Ratio
Unfavorable/
(Favorable)
Year-Over-Year
Change
10.0
6.0
16.0
$
55
pts
4.7
2.9
9.3
0.1
0.2
1.5
1.8
(6.4)
5.2
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development for 2017 was $10 million, driven by increases in claims severities in
accident years 2014 and 2015. Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development for 2016 was $6 million, driven by
increases in claims severity in accident year 2014.
The underwriting expense ratio improvement in 2017 compared to 2016 was primarily due to a 0.8-point increase in the
allocation of corporate services to this segment in 2017. The improvement in the underwriting expense ratio in 2016 compared
to 2015 was primarily driven by a 1.6-point reduction year over year from the annual cash incentive plan payment for
employees in this segment based on 2015 underwriting results.
Reinsurance
We use reinsurance to protect our capital resources and insure us against losses on property and casualty risks that we
underwrite. We use two main reinsurance vehicles: (i) a reinsurance pooling agreement among our Insurance Subsidiaries
through which each company agrees to share in premiums and losses based on certain specified percentages; and (ii)
reinsurance contracts and arrangements with third parties that cover various policies that we issue to our customers.
Reinsurance Pooling Agreement
The primary purposes of the reinsurance pooling agreement among our Insurance Subsidiaries are the following:
•
Pool or share proportionately the underwriting profit and loss results of property and casualty insurance
underwriting operations through reinsurance;
•
Prevent any of our Insurance Subsidiaries from suffering undue loss;
• Reduce administration expenses; and
•
Permit all of the Insurance Subsidiaries to obtain a uniform rating from A.M. Best.
The following illustrates the pooling percentages by Insurance Subsidiary as of December 31, 2017:
Insurance Subsidiary
Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA")
Selective Way Insurance Company ("SWIC")
Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC")
Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast ("SICSE")
Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY")
Selective Casualty Insurance Company ("SCIC")
Selective Auto Insurance Company of New Jersey ("SAICNJ")
Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC")
Selective Insurance Company of New England ("SICNE")
Selective Fire and Casualty Insurance Company ("SFCIC")
Pooling Percentage
32.0%
21.0%
9.0%
7.0%
7.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
3.0%
3.0%
Reinsurance Treaties and Arrangements
By entering into reinsurance treaties and arrangements, we are able to increase our underwriting capacity and accept larger
individual risks and a larger aggregation of risks without directly increasing our capital or surplus. Our reinsurance program
principally consists of traditional reinsurance. Under our reinsurance treaties, the reinsurer generally assumes a portion of the
losses we cede to them in exchange for a portion of the premium. Amounts not reinsured below an attachment point are known
as retention. Reinsurance does not legally discharge us from liability under the terms and limits of our policies, but it does
make our reinsurer liable to us for the amount of liability we cede to them. In addition, our reinsurers often rely on their own
reinsurance programs, or retrocession, as part of managing their exposure to large losses. Given the relatively small size of the
global reinsurance community, the inability of our reinsurers to collect on their retrocession program may impair their ability to
pay us for the amounts we cede to them. Accordingly, we have direct and indirect counterparty credit risk from our reinsurers.
We attempt to mitigate this credit risk by: (i) pursuing relationships with reinsurers rated “A-” or higher by A.M. Best; and/or
(ii) obtaining collateral to secure reinsurance obligations. Some of our reinsurance contracts include provisions that permit us
to terminate or commute the reinsurance treaty if the reinsurer's financial condition or rating deteriorates or otherwise require
our reinsurers to post collateral. We monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and we review the quality of reinsurance
recoverables and reserves for uncollectible reinsurance. For additional information regarding our counterparty credit risk with
our reinsurers, see Note 8. "Reinsurance" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
56
We have reinsurance contracts that separately cover our property and casualty insurance business. Available reinsurance can be
segregated into the following key categories:
• Property Reinsurance - includes our property excess of loss treaties purchased for protection against large
individual property losses and our property catastrophe treaties purchased to provide protection for the overall
property portfolio against severe catastrophic events. Facultative reinsurance is used for property risks that are in
excess of our treaty capacity.
• Casualty Reinsurance - purchased to provide protection for both individual large casualty losses and catastrophic
casualty losses involving multiple claimants or customers. Facultative reinsurance is also used for casualty risks
that are in excess of our treaty capacity.
•
Terrorism Reinsurance - in addition to protection built into our property and casualty reinsurance treaties, terrorism
protection is available as a federal backstop related to terrorism losses as provided under the Terrorism Risk
Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (“TRIPRA”). For further information regarding this legislation, see Item
1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K.
• Flood Reinsurance - as a servicing carrier in the WYO Program, we receive a fee for writing flood business, for
which the related premiums and losses are 100% ceded to the federal government.
In addition to the above categories, we have entered into several reinsurance agreements with Montpelier Re Insurance Ltd.,
now part of SOMPO Holdings, Inc., as part of the acquisition of MUSIC in December 2011. Together, these agreements
provide protection for losses on policies written prior to the acquisition and any development on reserves established by
MUSIC as of the date of acquisition. The reinsurance recoverables under these treaties are collateralized.
Property Reinsurance
The property catastrophe treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S business, was renewed effective January
2018. An additional $50 million layer was placed at the top of the program, bringing the total program's coverage to $735
million in excess of $40 million. The annual aggregate limit net of our co-participation is approximately $1.1 billion for 2018.
We also renewed the separate catastrophe treaty of $35 million in excess of $5 million that covers events outside of our
historical standard lines footprint, in support of our growing E&S property book and geographic expansion into Arizona, New
Hampshire, and Colorado. Overall catastrophe ceded premium for 2018 increased due to some hardening of the reinsurance
market and the purchase of the additional $50 million layer. On a risk-adjusted basis, the expiring layers saw a very modest
increase in price.
As our need for catastrophe reinsurance increases, we seek ways to minimize credit risk inherent in a reinsurance transaction by
dealing with highly-rated reinsurance partners and purchasing collateralized reinsurance products, particularly for high severity,
low-probability events. The current reinsurance program includes $224 million in collateralized limit, primarily in the top
layers of the catastrophe program.
We continue to assess our property catastrophe exposure aggregations, modeled results, and effects of growth on our property
portfolio, and strive to manage our exposure to individual large events balanced against the cost of reinsurance protections.
Although we model various catastrophic perils, due to our geographic spread, the risk of hurricane continues to be the most
significant natural catastrophe peril to which our portfolio is exposed. Below is a summary of the largest five actual hurricane
losses that we experienced in the past 25 years:
($ in millions)
Hurricane Name
Superstorm Sandy
Hurricane Irene
Hurricane Hugo
Hurricane Isabel
Hurricane Floyd
Actual Gross Loss
125.5 1
44.9
26.4
25.1
14.5
Net Loss2
45.6
40.2
3.0
15.7
14.5
Accident
Year
2012
2011
1989
2003
1999
1 This amount represents reported and unreported gross losses estimated as of December 31, 2017.
2 Net loss does not include reinstatement premiums, taxes, or flood claims handling fees.
57
We use the results of the Risk Management Solutions and AIR Worldwide models in our review of exposure to hurricane risk.
Each of these third party vendors provide two views of the modeled results as follows: (i) a long-term view that closely relates
modeled event frequency to historical hurricane activity; and (ii) a medium-term view that adjusts historical frequencies to
reflect expectations of hurricane activity in the near future. We believe that modeled estimates provide a range of potential
outcomes and we review multiple estimates for purposes of understanding our catastrophic risk. The following table provides
modeled hurricane results based on a blended view of the four models for the Insurance Subsidiaries' combined property book
as of July 2017:
Occurrence Exceedence Probability
Four-Model Blend
($ in thousands)
4.0% (1 in 25 year event)
2.0% (1 in 50 year event)
1.0% (1 in 100 year event)
0.67% (1 in 150 year event)
0.5% (1 in 200 year event)
0.4% (1 in 250 year event)
0.2% (1 in 500 year event)
1 Include assumptions for certain un-modeled costs, such as the impact of loss expenses, residual market assessments, and automobile-related losses, which
collectively increase our gross losses by an estimated 13%.
2 Losses are after a 21% Federal income tax benefit and include applicable reinstatement premiums.
3 Equity as of December 31, 2017.
Gross
Losses1
$139,419
251,195
436,963
586,317
710,461
791,029
1,170,133
Net
Losses2
36,229
40,431
47,750
57,892
62,863
82,601
374,353
Net Losses
as a Percent of
Equity3
2%
2
3
3
4
5
22
Our current catastrophe reinsurance program exhausts at approximately 1 in 250 year return period, or events with 0.4%
probability, based on a multi-model view of hurricane risk. Our actual gross and net losses incurred from U.S. landfalling
hurricanes will vary, perhaps materially, from our estimated modeled losses.
The property excess of loss treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S business, was renewed on July 1, 2017 with
the top layer renewed on January 1, 2018. The major terms of these treaties are consistent with the prior year.
The following is a summary of our property reinsurance treaties and arrangements covering our Insurance Subsidiaries:
PROPERTY REINSURANCE ON INSURANCE PRODUCTS
Treaty Name
Reinsurance Coverage
Terrorism Coverage
Property Catastrophe
Excess of Loss
(covers all insurance
operations)
Property Excess of Loss
(covers all insurance
operations)
Flood
$735 million above $40 million retention treaty in five layers:
- 80% of losses in excess of $40 million up to
$100 million;
- 95% of losses in excess of $100 million up to
$225 million;
- 95% of losses in excess of $225 million up to
$475 million; and
- 90% of losses in excess of $475 million up
to $725 million.
- 90% of losses in excess of $725 million up
to $775 million.
- The treaty provides various reinstatement provisions
depending on the layer. The annual aggregate limit is $1.1
billion, net of the Insurance Subsidiaries' co-participation.
In addition, our $35 million above $5 million retention treaty
covers 85% of losses outside of our standard lines historical
footprint states and has an annual aggregate limit of $30
million, net of the Insurance Subsidiaries' co-participation.
This layer was purchased primarily to protect the growth of
our E&S property book but also provides coverage for our
Standard Lines expansion states.
$58 million above $2 million retention covering 100% in
three layers. Losses other than TRIPRA certified losses are
subject to the following reinstatements and annual aggregate
limits:
- $8 million in excess of $2 million layer
provides unlimited reinstatements;
- $30 million in excess of $10 million layer
provides three reinstatements, $120 million in
aggregate limits; and
- $20 million in excess of $40 million layer
provides approximately $75 million in aggregate limits.
100% reinsurance by the federal government’s WYO
Program.
58
All nuclear, biological, chemical, and radioactive ("NBCR")
losses are excluded regardless of whether or not they are
certified under TRIPRA. Non-NBCR losses are covered to
the same extent as non-terrorism losses. Please see Item 1A.
“Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K for discussion regarding
TRIPRA.
All NBCR losses are excluded regardless of whether or not
they are certified under TRIPRA. For non-NBCR losses, the
treaty distinguishes between acts committed on behalf of
foreign persons or foreign interests ("Foreign Terrorism") and
those that are not. The treaty provides annual aggregate limits
for Foreign Terrorism (other than NBCR) acts of $24 million
for the first layer and $60 million for the second layer and for
the third layer approximately $35 million in annual aggregate
limits. Non-foreign terrorism losses (other than NBCR) are
covered to the same extent as non-terrorism losses.
None
Casualty Reinsurance
The casualty excess of loss treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S business, was renewed on July 1, 2017 and
is effective through June 30, 2018, with substantially the same terms as the expiring treaty.
The following is a summary of our casualty reinsurance treaties and arrangements covering our Insurance Subsidiaries:
CASUALTY REINSURANCE ON INSURANCE PRODUCTS
Treaty Name
Reinsurance Coverage
Terrorism Coverage
Casualty Excess of Loss
(covers all insurance
operations)
There are six layers covering 100% of $88 million in excess
of $2 million. Losses other than terrorism losses are subject to
the following reinstatements and annual aggregate limits:
All NBCR losses are excluded. All other losses stemming
from the acts of terrorism are subject to the following
reinstatements and annual aggregate limits:
- $3 million in excess of $2 million layer
with $78 million annual aggregate limit;
- $7 million in excess of $5 million layer
with $35 million annual aggregate limit;
- $9 million in excess of $12 million layer
with $27 million annual aggregate limit;
- $9 million in excess of $21 million layer
with $18 million annual aggregate limit;
- $20 million in excess of $30 million layer
with $40 million annual aggregate limit;
- $40 million in excess of $50 million layer
with $80 million annual aggregate limit;
Montpelier Re Quota
Share and Loss
Development Cover
(covers E&S Lines)
As part of the acquisition of MUSIC we entered into several
reinsurance agreements that together provide protection for
losses on policies written prior to the acquisition and any
development on reserves established by MUSIC as of the date
of acquisition. The reinsurance recoverables under these
treaties are 100% collateralized. Montpelier Re was acquired
by Endurance Specialty on December 29, 2015. On March
28, 2017, Endurance Specialty was acquired by SOMPO
Holdings, Inc.
- $3 million in excess of $2 million layer with
$15 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
- $7 million in excess of $5 million layer with
$28 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
- $9 million in excess of $12 million layer with
$27 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
- $9 million in excess of $21 million layer with
$18 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
- $20 million in excess of $30 million layer with
$40 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
- $40 million in excess of $50 million layer with
$80 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit;
Provides full terrorism coverage including NBCR.
We have other reinsurance treaties that we do not consider core to our reinsurance program, such as our Surety and Fidelity
Excess of Loss Reinsurance Treaty, National Workers Compensation Reinsurance Pool Quota Share, which covers business
assumed from the involuntary workers compensation pool, our Equipment Breakdown Coverage Reinsurance Treaty, and our
Data Compromise Reinsurance Treaty.
We regularly reevaluate our overall reinsurance program and try to develop effective ways to manage the transfer of risk. Our
analysis is based on a comprehensive process that includes periodic analysis of modeling results, aggregation of exposures,
exposure growth, diversification of risks, limits written, projected reinsurance costs, financial strength of reinsurers, and
projected impact on earnings, equity, and statutory surplus. We strive to balance sometimes opposing considerations of
reinsurer credit quality, price, terms, and our appetite for retaining a certain level of risk.
Investments Segment
The primary objective of the investment portfolio is to maximize after-tax income and total return of the portfolio, while
maintaining credit quality and managing our duration risk profile. Our investment philosophy includes certain return and risk
objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment portfolios. After-tax yield and income generation are key drivers
to our investment strategy, which we believe will be obtained through more active management of the portfolio.
Total Invested Assets
($ in thousands)
Total invested assets
Invested assets per dollar of stockholders' equity
Unrealized gain – before tax
Unrealized gain – after tax
2017
2016
Change
$
5,685,179
3.32
124,679
80,575
5,364,947
3.50
64,803
42,122
6%
(5)
92
91
The increase in our investment portfolio at December 31, 2017 compared with year-end 2016 was primarily driven by
operating cash flow of $370.7 million, $51.1 million of which was used to fund shareholder dividends and capital expenditures
in the aggregate. The $59.9 million change in unrealized gains was comprised of $46.8 million from our fixed income
securities and $13.0 million from our equity portfolio.
59
We seek to structure our portfolio conservatively with a focus on: (i) asset diversification; (ii) investment quality; (iii) liquidity,
particularly to meet the cash obligations of our insurance operations; (iv) consideration of taxes; and (v) preservation of capital.
We have a high quality and liquid investment portfolio. The breakdown of our investment portfolio is as follows:
As of December 31,
Fixed income securities:
U.S. government obligations
Foreign government obligations
State and municipal obligations
Corporate securities1
Mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”)
Collateralized loan obligations ("CLO") and other asset-backed securities ("ABS")
Total fixed income securities
2017
2016
1 %
—
29
28
20
14
92
2
1
27
37
15
10
92
Equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock1
Total equity securities
2
—
2
4
Short-term investments
2
Other investments
100
Total
1Includes $75.8 million of preferred stock within corporate securities and $15.0 million of preferred stock within equity securities. In aggregate, these account
for approximately 1% of invested assets at December 31, 2017.
3
—
3
3
2
100 %
Fixed Income Securities
The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio as of December 31, 2017 was 3.8 years, compared to the
Insurance Subsidiaries’ liability duration of approximately 3.8 years. The current duration of the fixed income securities
portfolio is within our historical range, and is monitored and managed to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk at an
acceptable level. We maintain a well-diversified portfolio across sectors, credit quality, and maturities that affords us ample
liquidity. Every purchase or sale is made with the intent of maximizing risk-adjusted investment returns in the current market
environment while balancing capital preservation. Over time, we may seek to increase or decrease the duration and overall
credit quality of the portfolio based on market conditions.
Our fixed income securities portfolio maintained a weighted average credit rating of AA- as of December 31, 2017 with 97%
of the securities within the portfolio being investment grade quality at both December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016. For
further details on how we manage overall credit quality and the various risks to which our portfolio is subject, see Item 7A.
“Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of this Form 10-K.
Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses
HTM fixed income securities were in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position of $0.1 million at December 31, 2017. AFS
fixed income securities that were in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2017 by contractual maturity are shown below.
MBS are included in the maturity tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from
contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment
penalties.
Contractual Maturities
($ in thousands)
Available-for-sale ("AFS") fixed income securities:
Amortized Cost
Fair Value
Unrealized Loss
One year or less
Due after one year through five years
Due after five years through ten years
Due after ten years
Total
$
$
66,353
353,822
469,452
20,686
910,313
66,217
351,951
466,530
20,554
905,252
(136)
(1,871)
(2,922)
(132)
(5,061)
We have reviewed securities in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position in accordance with our OTTI policy as discussed in
Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form
10-K. For qualitative information regarding our conclusions as to why these impairments are deemed temporary, see Note 5.
“Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
60
Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income earned were as follows:
($ in thousands)
Fixed income securities
Equity securities
Short-term investments
Other investments
Investment expenses
Net investment income earned – before tax
Net investment income tax expense
Net investment income earned – after tax
Effective tax rate
Annual after-tax yield on fixed income securities
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
2017
2016
2015
$
$
153,230
6,442
1,526
12,871
(12,187)
161,882
43,362
118,520
26.8%
2.2
2.1
129,306
7,368
686
2,940
(9,546)
130,754
32,349
98,405
24.7
2.0
1.9
123,230
9,161
112
(1,890)
(9,297)
121,316
27,480
93,836
22.7
2.1
1.9
Net investment income before tax increased $31.1 million in 2017 compared to 2016, driven by higher yields on our core fixed
income securities portfolio, coupled with a higher asset base from operating cash flows that were 16% of net premiums written.
In addition, our alternative income portfolio generated higher returns this year as compared to last.
The $9.4 million increase in net investment income before tax in 2016, compared to 2015, was primarily attributable to
increases in fixed income securities of $6.1 million and in other investment income of $4.8 million. Returns on fixed income
securities increased due to a higher asset base, with a modest increase to taxable asset classes, while improved returns on our
energy-related and private equity limited partnerships drove the increase in income on our other investment portfolio.
The effective tax rate on our investment portfolio applicable to net investment income has increased approximately 200 basis
points per year in the three-year period presented above. This has been driven by a modest increase to taxable asset classes
recently coupled with higher returns on our alternative investment portfolio, which is taxed at 35%. As a result of Tax Reform,
we anticipate a reduction in the effective rate on net investment income to approximately 17%, inclusive of tax-advantaged
municipal securities' tax rate of 5.25% and approximately 21% for all other items, beginning with the 2018 tax year, although
the actual effective tax rate will be impacted by our allocation to tax-advantaged municipal securities. See the "Federal Income
Taxes" discussion below for additional information regarding the impact of this legislation.
Realized Gains and Losses
Our general philosophy for sales of securities is to reduce our exposure to securities and sectors based on economic evaluations
and when the fundamentals for that security or sector have deteriorated, or to opportunistically trade out of securities to other
securities with better economic return characteristics. Net realized gains (losses) for the indicated periods were as follows:
($ in thousands)
Net realized gains, excluding OTTI
OTTI
Total net realized gains (losses)
2017
2016
2015
$
$
11,204
(4,845)
6,359
3,562
(8,499)
(4,937)
31,537
(18,366)
13,171
We regularly review our entire investment portfolio for declines in fair value. If we believe that a decline in the value of a
particular investment is other than temporary, which would typically be for reasons other than changes in fair values
attributable to interest rate movements, we record it as an OTTI through realized losses in earnings for the credit-related portion
and through unrealized losses in other comprehensive income for the non-credit related portion for fixed income securities. If
there is a decline in fair value of an equity security that we do not intend to hold or if we determine the decline is other than
temporary, we write down the cost of the investment to fair value and record the charge through earnings as a component of
realized losses.
For additional information regarding our realized gains and losses as well as our OTTI methodology, see Note 2. “Summary of
Significant Accounting Policies” and Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
As a result of a change in accounting guidance that became effective on January 1, 2018, realized gains and losses now include
the change in market value of our equity securities, which are now recognized in earnings, rather than in accumulated other
comprehensive income (loss). If this guidance were effective in 2017, realized gains would have included $13.0 million from
61
this fluctuation on a pre-tax basis. For additional information regarding this change in accounting guidance, see Note 3.
"Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements."
Federal Income Taxes
The following table provides information regarding federal income taxes.
($ in millions)
Federal income tax expense
Exclude: Tax reform impact
Federal income tax expense, excluding tax reform impact
Effective tax rate
Effective tax rate without tax reform impact
2017
2016
2015
$
93.1
20.2
72.9
35.6%
27.8
61.5
—
61.5
27.9
27.9
66.8
—
66.8
28.7
28.7
On December 22, 2017, Tax Reform was signed into law, which among other provisions, will reduce our statutory corporate tax
rate from 35% to 21% beginning with our 2018 tax year. We revalued our deferred tax inventory as of December 31, 2017 in
consideration of this reduction, which resulted in a $20.2 million charge to federal income tax expense as our net deferred tax
assets have become less valuable given the decrease in the tax rate. Excluding the impact of this charge, our effective tax rate
for 2017 was 27.8%, which is consistent with the other years presented in the table above. In general, our effective tax rate
differs from the statutory tax rate of 35% primarily because of tax-advantaged interest and dividend income. The contribution
of this tax-advantaged income to overall pre-tax income remained relatively stable in 2015 through 2016 and, as a result, there
is not a significant variance in our overall effective tax rate during these periods.
As a result of Tax Reform, we anticipate a reduction in our effective rate to approximately 18% going forward, including 17%
for net investment income and approximately 21% for all other items. Included in the investment effective tax rate is the tax-
advantaged municipal securities' tax rate of 5.25% and 13.125% for dividends on U.S. public equity securities.
See Note 13. “Federal Income Taxes” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K for further
information regarding the following: (i) the implementation of Tax Reform; (ii) a reconciliation of our effective tax rate to the
statutory rate of 35%; and (iii) details regarding our net deferred tax assets.
Financial Condition, Liquidity, and Capital Resources
Capital resources and liquidity reflect our ability to generate cash flows from business operations, borrow funds at competitive
rates, and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.
Liquidity
We manage liquidity with a focus on generating sufficient cash flows to meet the short-term and long-term cash requirements
of our business operations. Our cash and short-term investment position of $166 million at December 31, 2017 was comprised
of $25 million at Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Parent”) and $141 million at the Insurance Subsidiaries. Short-term
investments are generally maintained in "AAA" rated money market funds approved by the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners ("NAIC"). The Parent maintains an investment portfolio containing high-quality, highly-liquid government and
corporate fixed income securities. This portfolio amounted to $90 million at December 31, 2017, compared to $74 million at
December 31, 2016. In total, we had $114 million of cash and investments at the Parent at December 31, 2017 compared to
$92 million at December 31, 2016. We expect to continue to increase the level of cash and invested assets at the Parent over
time, although there will be fluctuations in these cash and invested asset balances, based on factors including the amount and
availability of dividends from our Insurance Subsidiaries, investment income, expenses and other needs of the Parent. Our
target is to increase the cash and liquidity at the Parent to two years of its expected annual needs.
Sources of Liquidity
Sources of cash for the Parent have historically consisted of dividends from the Insurance Subsidiaries, the investment portfolio
discussed above, borrowings under lines of credit and loan agreements with certain Insurance Subsidiaries, and the issuance of
stock and debt securities. We continue to monitor these sources, giving consideration to our long-term liquidity and capital
preservation strategies.
Insurance Subsidiary Dividends
The Insurance Subsidiaries paid $80 million in dividends to the Parent in 2017. As of December 31, 2017, our allowable
ordinary maximum dividend is $211 million for 2018.
62
Any dividends to the Parent are subject to the approval and/or review of the insurance regulators in the respective Insurance
Subsidiaries' domiciliary states and are generally payable only from earned surplus as reported in the statutory annual
statements of those subsidiaries as of the preceding December 31. Although past dividends have historically been met with
regulatory approval, there is no assurance that future dividends that may be declared will be approved. For additional
information regarding dividend restrictions, refer to Note 19. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and
Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form
10-K.
The Insurance Subsidiaries generate liquidity through insurance float, which is created by collecting premiums and earning
investment income before losses are paid. The period of the float can extend over many years. Our investment portfolio
consists of maturity dates that continually provide a source of cash flow for claims payments in the ordinary course of business.
The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio, as well as the liabilities of the Insurance Subsidiaries, was 3.8
years as of December 31, 2017. As protection for the capital resources at the Insurance Subsidiaries, we purchase reinsurance
coverage for any significantly large claims or catastrophes that may occur during the year.
Line of Credit
The Parent's line of credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust
Company (BB&T) (referred to as our "Line of Credit"), was renewed effective December 1, 2015 with a borrowing capacity of
$30 million, which can be increased to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners. This Line of Credit expires on
December 1, 2020 and has an interest rate which varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings.
For information regarding the Line of Credit agreement and corresponding representations, warranties, and covenants, refer to
Note 10. “Indebtedness” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
Several of our Insurance Subsidiaries are members of certain branches of the Federal Home Loan Bank, which provides those
subsidiaries with additional access to short-term and/or long-term liquidity. Membership is as follows:
Branch
Insurance Subsidiary Member
Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI")
Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY")
SICSC1
SICSE1
SICA
SICNY
1These subsidiaries are jointly referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana.
The Line of Credit permits aggregate borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY up to 10% of the respective member
company’s admitted assets for the previous year. Additionally, as SICNY is domiciled in New York, this company's borrowings
from the FHLBNY are limited to the lower of 5% of admitted assets for the most recently completed fiscal quarter or 10% of
admitted assets for the previous year end.
All borrowings from both the FHLBI and the FHLBNY are required to be secured by investments pledged as collateral. For
additional information regarding collateral outstanding, refer to Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and
Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
The following table provides information on the remaining capacity for Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings based on these
restrictions, as well as the amount of additional stock that would need to be purchased to allow these member companies to
borrow their remaining capacity:
($ in millions)
As of December 31, 2017
SICSC
SICSE
SICA
SICNY
Total
Admitted
Assets
Borrowing
Limitation
Amount
Borrowed
Remaining
Capacity
Additional
Stock
Requirements
$
648.0
$
507.5
2,434.9
442.5
$
64.8
50.8
243.5
22.1
381.2
32.0
28.0
50.0
—
110.0
32.8
22.8
193.5
22.1
271.2
1.4
1.0
8.7
1.0
12.1
63
Intercompany Loan Agreements
The Parent has lending agreements with the Indiana Subsidiaries that have been approved by the Indiana Department of
Insurance, which provide additional liquidity to the Parent. Similar to the Line of Credit agreement, these lending agreements
limit borrowings by the Parent from the Indiana Subsidiaries to 10% of the admitted assets of the respective Indiana Subsidiary.
The following table provides information on the Parent’s borrowings and remaining borrowing capacity from the Indiana
Subsidiaries:
($ in millions)
As of December 31, 2017
SICSC
SICSE
Total
Admitted
Assets
as of
December 31,
2017
Borrowing
Limitation
Amount
Borrowed
Remaining
Capacity
$
648.0
507.5
$
$
64.8
50.8
115.6
27.0
18.0
45.0
37.8
32.8
70.6
Short-term Borrowings
There were no balances outstanding under the Line of Credit at December 31, 2017 or at any time during 2017. During 2017,
SICA borrowed an aggregate of $84 million from the FHLBNY, which was subject to the borrowing limitations outlined above.
This amount has already matured and has been paid.
For additional information regarding other borrowings, see Note 10. "Indebtedness" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and
Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
Capital Market Activities
The Parent had no private or public issuances of stock or debt instruments during 2017.
Uses of Liquidity
The liquidity generated from the sources discussed above is used, among other things, to pay dividends to our shareholders.
Dividends on shares of the Parent's common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board of Directors based on
our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors. In October
2017, our Board of Directors approved an increase in the quarterly cash dividend, to $0.18 from $0.16 per share.
Our ability to meet our interest and principal repayment obligations on our debt, as well as our ability to continue to pay
dividends to our stockholders, is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to
pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. Our next two principal
repayments, each in the amount of $25 million, are due in 2021, with the next following principal payment due in 2026. We
have $185 million of Senior Notes due February 9, 2043 that became callable on February 8, 2018. We may elect to call these
Senior Notes, in whole or in part, at any time on or after February 8, 2018. If we were to call and redeem these Senior Notes
we would write-off the associated unamortized debt issuance costs. The balance of the unamortized debt issuance costs
associated with our $185 million of Senior Notes was $4.6 million at December 31, 2017.
Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, without alternative liquidity options,
could materially affect our ability to service debt and pay dividends on common stock.
Capital Resources
Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting
insurance risks, and facilitate continued business growth. At December 31, 2017, we had GAAP stockholders’ equity and
statutory surplus of $1.7 billion. With total debt of $439 million, our debt-to-capital ratio was approximately 20%.
Our cash requirements include, but are not limited to, principal and interest payments on various notes payable, dividends to
stockholders, payment of claims, payment of commitments under limited partnership agreements and capital expenditures, as
well as other operating expenses, which include commissions to our distribution partners, labor costs, premium taxes, general
and administrative expenses, and income taxes. For further details regarding our cash requirements, refer to the section below
entitled, “Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.”
We continually monitor our cash requirements and the amount of capital resources that we maintain at the holding company
and operating subsidiary levels. As part of our long-term capital strategy, we strive to maintain capital metrics, relative to the
macroeconomic environment, that support our targeted financial strength. Based on our analysis and market conditions, we
may take a variety of actions, including, but not limited to, contributing capital to the Insurance Subsidiaries in our insurance
64
operations, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing shares of the Parent’s common stock, and increasing
stockholders’ dividends.
Our capital management strategy is intended to protect the interests of the policyholders of the Insurance Subsidiaries and our
stockholders, while enhancing our financial strength and underwriting capacity.
Book value per share increased to $29.28 as of December 31, 2017, from $26.42 as of December 31, 2016, primarily due to
$2.84 in net income per share and a $0.66 per share increase in unrealized gains related to our investment portfolio. These
increases were partially offset by $0.66 paid in dividends per share to our shareholders.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
At December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016, we did not have any material relationships with unconsolidated entities or
financial partnerships, such entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been
established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or for other contractually narrow or limited purposes.
As such, we are not exposed to any material financing, liquidity, market, or credit risk that could arise if we had engaged in
such relationships.
Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments
Our contractual obligations include required payments under capital and operating leases, debt obligations, and reserves for
loss and loss expenses. As discussed in the “Reserves for Loss and Loss Expense” section in the "Critical Accounting Policies
and Estimates" section of this MD&A, we maintain case reserves and estimates of reserves for loss and loss expense IBNR, in
accordance with industry practice. Using generally accepted actuarial reserving techniques, we project our estimate of ultimate
loss and loss expense at each reporting date.
Given that the losses and loss expense reserves are estimates, as described in detail under the “Critical Accounting Policies and
Estimates” section of this MD&A, the payment of actual loss and loss expense is generally not fixed as to amount or timing.
Due to this uncertainty, financial accounting standards prohibit us from discounting these reserves to their present value.
Additionally, estimated losses as of the financial statement date do not consider the impact of estimated losses from future
business. Therefore, the projected settlement of the reserves for net loss and loss expense will differ, perhaps significantly,
from actual future payments.
The projected paid amounts in the table below by year are estimates based on past experience, adjusted for the effects of current
developments and anticipated trends, and include considerable judgment. There is no precise method for evaluating the impact
of any specific factor on the projected timing of when loss and loss expense reserves will be paid and as a result, the timing and
amounts of the actual payments will be affected by many factors. Care must be taken to avoid misinterpretation by those
unfamiliar with this information or familiar with other data commonly reported by the insurance industry.
Our future cash payments associated with contractual obligations pursuant to operating and capital leases, debt, interest on debt
obligations, and loss and loss expense as of December 31, 2017 are summarized below:
Contractual Obligations
($ in millions)
Operating leases
Capital leases
Notes payable
Interest on debt obligations
Subtotal
Gross losses and loss expense payments
Ceded losses and loss expense payments
Net losses and loss expense payments
Total
$
31.9
2.4
445.0
476.6
955.9
3,771.2
585.8
3,185.4
Payment Due by Period
Less than
1 year
1-3
years
3-5
years
More than
5 years
10.0
2.3
—
23.8
36.1
1,005.7
174.0
831.7
13.5
0.1
—
47.7
61.3
1,155.3
134.5
1,020.8
5.8
—
50.0
46.6
102.4
568.4
71.4
497.0
599.4
2.6
—
395.0
358.5
756.1
1,041.8
205.9
835.9
1,592.0
Total
$
4,141.3
867.8
1,082.1
See the “Short-term Borrowings” section above for a discussion of our syndicated Line of Credit agreement.
Certain of our notes payable in table above contain cross-default provisions, the details are which are included in Note 10.
"Indebtedness" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." in this Form 10-K.
65
At December 31, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire at various dates through 2032 that may require us to invest
up to an additional $221 million in alternative and other investments. There is no certainty that any such additional investment
will be required. We have issued no material guarantees on behalf of others and have no trading activities involving non-
exchange traded contracts accounted for at fair value. We have no material transactions with related parties other than those
disclosed in Note 16. “Related Party Transactions” included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
Additionally, as of December 31, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire in 2023 to invest $16.3 million in a non-
publicly traded common stock within our available-for-sale portfolio. We expect to have the capacity to repay and/or refinance
these obligations as they come due.
Ratings
We are rated by major rating agencies that issue opinions on our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position,
and ability to meet policyholder obligations. We believe that our ability to write insurance business is most influenced by our
rating from A.M. Best. In the third quarter of 2017, A.M. Best reaffirmed our rating of "A (Excellent)," their third highest of 13
financial strength ratings with a "stable" outlook. The rating reflects A.M. Best's view that we have an excellent level of risk-
adjusted capitalization, strong operating performance, and high policy retention across our standard lines of business. We have
been rated "A" or higher by A.M. Best for the past 87 years. A downgrade from A.M. Best to a rating below “A-” is an event of
default under our Line of Credit and could affect our ability to write new business with customers and/or distribution partners,
some of whom are required (under various third-party agreements) to maintain insurance with a carrier that maintains a
specified A.M. Best minimum rating.
Ratings by other major rating agencies are as follows:
•
•
Fitch Ratings ("Fitch") - Our "A+" Rating was reaffirmed in the second quarter of 2017 with a "stable" outlook by
Fitch. In taking this action, Fitch cited our strong financial performance and capitalization with growth in
stockholders' equity, as well as a strong competitive position and diversified underwriting.
S&P Global Ratings ("S&P") - Our "A" rating was reaffirmed in the fourth quarter of 2017 with a "stable" outlook by
S&P. In taking this action, S&P cited our strong business risk profile and strong financial risk profile, built on our
strong competitive position and very strong capital and earnings. In addition, our stable outlook reflects S&P's
expectation that we will sustain our strong competitive position and operating performance.
• Moody's Investor Service ("Moody's") - Our "A2" financial strength rating with a "stable" outlook was reaffirmed in
the second quarter of 2017 by Moody's. In taking this action, Moody's cited our solid regional franchise with
established independent agency support, solid risk adjusted capitalization, strong invested asset quality, and good
underwriting profitability.
Our S&P, Moody's, and Fitch financial strength and associated credit ratings affect our ability to access capital markets. The
interest rate on our Line of Credit varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There can be no
assurance that our ratings will continue for any given period or that they will not be changed. It is possible that positive or
negative ratings actions by one or more of the rating agencies may occur in the future.
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
Market Risk
The fair value of our assets and liabilities are subject to market risk, primarily interest rate, credit risk, and equity price risk
related to our investment portfolio as well as fluctuations in the value of our alternative investment portfolio. The allocation of
our portfolio was 92% fixed income securities, 3% equity securities, 3% short-term investments, and 2% other investments as
of December 31, 2017. We do not hold derivative or commodity investments. Foreign investments are made on a limited
basis, and all fixed income transactions are denominated in U.S. currency. We have minimal foreign currency fluctuation risk.
For a discussion of our investment objective and philosophy, see the "Investments" section of Item 7. "Management's
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K.
We manage our investment portfolio to mitigate risks associated with various financial market scenarios. We will, however,
take prudent risk to enhance our overall long-term results while managing a conservative, well-diversified investment portfolio
to support our underwriting activities.
66
Interest Rate Risk
Investment Portfolio
We invest in interest rate-sensitive securities, mainly fixed income securities. Our fixed income securities portfolio is
comprised of primarily investment grade (investments receiving S&P or an equivalent rating of BBB- or above) corporate
securities, U.S. government and agency securities, municipal obligations, CLO and other ABS, and MBS. Our strategy to
manage interest rate risk is to purchase intermediate-term fixed income investments that are attractively priced in relation to
perceived credit risks.
Our exposure to interest rate risk relates primarily to the market price and cash flow variability associated with changes in
interest rates. As our fixed income securities portfolio contains interest rate-sensitive instruments, it may be adversely affected
by changes in interest rates resulting from governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political
conditions, and other factors beyond our control. Recent economic data points to increased U.S. and global economic growth,
continued low levels of unemployment and signs of rising wages, which compounded with the potential for the pro-growth
benefits of Tax Reform and the potential for higher Federal budget deficits, has recently led to rising U.S. interest rates. A rise
in interest rates will decrease the fair value of our existing fixed income investments and a decline in interest rates will result in
an increase in the fair value of our existing fixed income investments. However, new and reinvested money used to purchase
fixed income securities would benefit from rising interest rates and would be negatively impacted by falling interest rates.
We seek to mitigate our interest rate risk associated with holding fixed income investments by monitoring and maintaining the
effective duration of our portfolio with a view toward achieving an adequate after-tax return without subjecting the portfolio to
an unreasonable level of interest rate risk. The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio at December 31, 2017
and December 31, 2016 was 3.8 years. The current duration is within our historical range, and is monitored and managed to
maximize yield while managing interest rate risk at an acceptable level. The Insurance Subsidiaries’ liability duration is
approximately 3.8 years.
We use an interest rate sensitivity analysis to measure the potential loss or gain in future earnings, fair values, or cash flows of
market sensitive fixed income securities. The sensitivity analysis hypothetically assumes an instant parallel 200 basis point
shift in interest rates up and down in 100 basis point increments from the date of the Financial Statements. We use fair values
to measure the potential loss. This analysis is not intended to provide a precise forecast of the effect of changes in market
interest rates and equity prices on our income or stockholders’ equity. Further, the calculations do not take into account any
actions we may take in response to market fluctuations, and do not take into account changes to credit spreads, liquidity
spreads, and other risk factors which may also impact the value of the fixed income portfolio.
The following table presents the sensitivity analysis of interest rate risk as of December 31, 2017:
($ in thousands)
HTM fixed income securities
Fair value of HTM fixed income securities portfolio
$
Fair value change
Fair value change from base (%)
AFS fixed income securities
2017
Interest Rate Shift in Basis Points
-200
-100
0
100
200
46,202
2,102
45,231
1,131
4.77%
2.56%
44,100
43,021
(1,079)
41,988
(2,112)
(2.45)%
(4.79)%
Fair value of AFS fixed income securities portfolio
$
5,526,150
5,357,189
5,162,522
4,962,328
4,763,513
Fair value change
Fair value change from base (%)
363,628
194,667
7.04%
3.77%
(200,194)
(399,009)
(3.88)%
(7.73)%
Pension and Post-Retirement Benefit Plan Obligation
Our pension and post-retirement benefit obligations and related costs are calculated using actuarial methods within the
framework of U.S. GAAP. The discount rate assumption is an important element of expense and liability measurement.
Changes in the discount rate assumption could materially impact our pension and post-retirement life valuation in the future.
For additional information regarding our discount rate selection, refer to Note 14. "Retirement Plans" in Item 8. “Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
67
Credit Risk
Our most significant credit risk is within our fixed income security portfolio, which had an overall credit quality of “AA-” as of
December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Exposure to non-investment grade bonds represented approximately 3% of the
total fixed income securities portfolio at both December 31, 2017 and 2016.
The following table summarizes the fair value, carry value, net unrealized/unrecognized gain (loss) balances, and the weighted
average credit qualities of our fixed income securities at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
Total fixed income portfolio
$
5,206.6
5,204.7
December 31, 2017
($ in millions)
U.S. government obligations
Foreign government obligations
State and municipal obligations
Corporate securities
CLO and Other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
December 31, 2016
($ in millions)
U.S. government obligations
Foreign government obligations
State and municipal obligations
Corporate securities
CLO and Other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
$
49.7
18.6
1,609.2
1,635.3
795.5
383.4
714.9
49.7
18.6
1,608.2
1,634.4
795.5
383.4
714.9
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
$
77.3
26.9
1,459.5
2,021.8
529.0
258.0
525.2
77.3
26.9
1,457.4
2,020.3
529.0
258.0
525.2
0.4
0.5
44.8
30.0
6.3
0.7
5.1
87.8
2.2
0.3
15.7
22.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
42.6
AAA
A
AA
BBB+
AA
AA+
AA+
AA-
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
AAA
A
AA
A-
AA+
AAA
AA+
AA-
Total fixed income portfolio
$
4,897.7
4,894.1
State and Municipal Obligations
The following table details the top 10 state exposures of the municipal bond portion of our fixed income portfolio at
December 31, 2017:
General Obligation
Local
State
% of Total
Weighted Average
Credit Quality
State Exposures of Municipal Bonds
($ in thousands)
New York
California
Texas1
New Jersey
Washington
Pennsylvania
Florida
Arizona
Massachusetts
Ohio
Other
Pre-refunded/escrowed to maturity bonds
Special
Revenue
127,128
101,178
61,696
76,668
38,882
55,371
51,067
53,379
51,465
30,700
Fair
Value
149,605
143,893
122,813
76,668
71,883
71,838
65,310
64,518
52,371
41,635
434,564
653,779
—
14,718
18,573
—
12,814
16,467
8,953
—
906
5,263
58,517
136,211
1,082,098
1,514,313
18,581
53,264
94,918
$
22,477
27,997
42,544
—
20,187
—
5,290
11,139
—
5,672
160,698
296,004
23,073
9%
9%
8%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
41%
94%
6%
AA-
AA-
AA
A
AA
A+
AA
AA
AA
AA-
AA
AA-
AA
AA
Total
$ 319,077
154,792
1,135,362
1,609,231
100%
% of Total Municipal Portfolio
1 Of the $42.5 million in local Texas general obligation bonds, $23.9 million represents investments in Texas Permanent School Fund bonds, which are
considered to have lower risk as a result of the bond guarantee programs that support these bonds.
100%
70%
20%
10%
68
Special revenue fixed income securities of municipalities (referred to as “special revenue bonds”) generally do not have the
“full faith and credit” backing of the municipal or state governments, as do general obligation bonds, but special revenue bonds
have a dedicated revenue stream for repayment. For our special revenue bonds, 81% of the dedicated revenue stream is
comprised of the following: (i) essential services (46%), which is comprised of transportation, water and sewer, and electric;
(ii) education (11%), which includes school districts and higher education, including state-wide university systems; and (iii)
special tax (24%), which are backed by a dedicated lien on a tax or other revenue repayment source. As such, we believe our
special revenue bond portfolio is appropriate for the current environment.
Corporate Securities
For investment-grade corporate bonds, we address the risk of an individual issuers' default by maintaining a diverse portfolio of
holdings. The primary risk related to non-investment grade corporate bonds is credit risk. A weak financial profile can lead to
rating downgrades from the credit rating agencies, which can put further downward pressure on bond prices. Valuations on
these bonds are related more directly to underlying operating performance than to general interest rates. Our holdings of non-
investment grade corporate bonds represent less than 3% of our overall investment portfolio.
The tables below provide details on our corporate bond holdings at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
December 31, 2017
($ in millions)
Investment grade
Non-investment grade
Total corporate securities
December 31, 2016
($ in millions)
Investment grade
Non-investment grade
Total corporate securities
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
1,505.0
130.3
1,635.3
1,504.1
130.3
1,634.4
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
1,892.4
129.4
2,021.8
1,890.9
129.4
2,020.3
$
$
$
$
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
27.5
2.5
30.0
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
21.0
1.6
22.6
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
A-
B
BBB+
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
A-
B+
A-
CLO and Other ABS Portfolio
For CLO and other ABS, the primary risk is credit risk. We manage this risk by evaluating a number of factors, including the
structuring of the deal, the credit quality of underlying loans or assets, the composition of the underlying portfolio, and the
track record and capabilities of the portfolio manager. Key performance metrics, including over collateralization, interest
coverage, and cash flows, are monitored on an on-going basis. We consider the overall credit environment, economic
conditions, total projected return on the investment, and overall asset allocation of the portfolio in our decisions to purchase or
sell CLO and other ABS.
The tables below provide details on our CLO and other ABS holdings at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
December 31, 2017
($ in millions)
Investment grade:
CLO
Other ABS
Total investment grade
Non-investment grade:
CLO
Other ABS
Total non-investment grade
Total CLO and other ABS
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
$
$
572.5
202.2
774.7
20.8
—
20.8
795.5
572.5
202.2
774.7
20.8
—
20.8
795.5
2.1
2.9
5.0
1.3
—
1.3
6.3
AA+
AA-
AA+
BB-
—
BB-
AA
69
December 31, 2016
($ in millions)
Investment grade:
CLO
Other ABS
Total investment grade
Non-investment grade:
CLO
Other ABS
Total non-investment grade
Total CLO and other ABS
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality
$
$
341.9
170.2
512.1
16.9
—
16.9
529.0
341.9
170.2
512.1
16.9
—
16.9
529.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.8
—
0.8
1.1
AAA
AA+
AA+
BB-
—
BB-
AA+
MBS Portfolio
To manage and mitigate exposure on our MBS portfolio (CMBS and RMBS), we perform analysis both at the time of purchase
and as part of the ongoing portfolio evaluation. This analysis includes review of loan-to-value ratios, geographic spread of the
assets securing the bond, delinquencies in payments for the underlying mortgages, gains/losses on sales, evaluations of
projected cash flows, as well as other information that aids in determination of the health of the underlying assets. We consider
the overall credit environment, economic conditions, total projected return on the investment, and overall asset allocation of the
portfolio in our decisions to purchase or sell MBS.
Equity Price Risk
Our equity securities portfolio is exposed to risk arising from potential volatility in equity market prices. We attempt to
minimize the exposure to equity price risk by maintaining a diversified portfolio and limiting concentrations in any one
company or industry. The following table presents the hypothetical increases and decreases in 10% increments in market value
of the equity portfolio as of December 31, 2017:
($ in thousands)
(30)%
(20)%
(10)%
Fair value of AFS equity portfolio
$
127,893
Fair value change
(54,812)
146,164
(36,541)
164,434
(18,271)
0%
182,705
10%
20%
30%
200,976
18,271
219,246
36,541
237,517
54,812
Change in Equity Values in Percent
In addition to our equity securities, we invest in certain other investments that are also subject to price risk. Our other
investments primarily include alternative investments in private limited partnerships that invest in various strategies such as
private equity, energy/power generation, middle market lending, mezzanine debt, distressed debt, and real estate. As of
December 31, 2017, other investments represented 2% of our total invested assets and 8% of our stockholders’ equity. These
investments are subject to the risks arising from the fact that their valuation is inherently subjective. The general partner of
each of these partnerships usually reports the change in the value of the interests in the partnership on a one quarter lag because
of the nature of the underlying assets or liabilities. Since these partnerships' underlying investments consist primarily of assets
or liabilities for which there are no quoted prices in active markets for the same or similar assets, the valuation of interests in
these partnerships are subject to a higher level of subjectivity and unobservable inputs than substantially all of our other
investments. Each of these general partners is required to determine the partnerships' value by the price obtainable for the sale
of the interest at the time of determination. Valuations based on unobservable inputs are subject to greater scrutiny and
reconsideration from one reporting period to the next and therefore, may be subject to significant fluctuations, which could lead
to significant decreases from one reporting period to the next. As we record our investments in these various partnerships
under the equity method of accounting, any decreases in the valuation of these investments would negatively impact our results
of operations. For additional information regarding these alternative investment strategies, see Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8.
“Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K.
In addition to the above, we have a defined benefit pension plan with $363.1 million in invested assets as of December 31,
2017, of which approximately 60% was invested in assets subject to equity price risk. The value of these invested assets is an
important element of expense and liability measurement for our pension plan. For additional information regarding the fair
value of our pension assets, refer to Note 14. "Retirement Plans" in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of
this Form 10-K
70
Indebtedness
(a) Long-Term Debt
As of December 31, 2017, we had outstanding long-term debt of $439.1 million that matures as shown in the following table:
($ in thousands)
Financial liabilities
Long-term debt
1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY
1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY
3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI
7.25% Senior Notes
6.70% Senior Notes
5.875% Senior Notes
Subtotal
Unamortized debt issuance costs
Total notes payable
Year of
Maturity
Carrying
Amount
Fair
Value
2017
$
2021
2021
2026
2034
2035
2043
25,000
25,000
60,000
49,904
99,446
185,000
444,350
(5,234)
$
439,116
24,270
24,210
60,334
61,391
116,597
186,332
473,134
The weighted average effective interest rate for our outstanding long-term debt was 5.3% at December 31, 2017. Our debt is
not exposed to material changes in interest rates because the interest rates are fixed. Our $185 million of Senior Notes due
2043 became callable on February 8, 2018. We may elect to call these Senior Notes, in whole or in part, at any time on or after
February 8, 2018. If we were to call and redeem these Senior Notes we would write-off the associated unamortized debt
issuance costs. The balance of the unamortized debt issuance costs associated with our $185 million of Senior Notes was $4.6
million at December 31, 2017.
Refer to Note 10. "Indebtedness", within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K for
discussion on debt covenant provisions.
(b) Short-Term Debt
Our Line of Credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust
Company (BB&T), was renewed effective December 1, 2015 with a borrowing capacity of $30 million, which can be increased
to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners.
The Line of Credit provides the Parent with an additional source of short-term liquidity. The interest rate on our Line of Credit
varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. The Line of Credit expires on December 1, 2020. There
were no balances outstanding under this Line of Credit or the previous credit facility at December 31, 2017 or at any time
during 2017.
71
PART II
Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
The Board of Directors and Stockholders
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.:
Opinion on the Consolidated Financial Statements
We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and subsidiaries (the
Company) as of December 31, 2017 and 2016, the related consolidated statements of income, comprehensive income,
stockholders’ equity, and cash flows for each of the years in the three-year period ended December 31, 2017, and the related
notes and financial statement schedules I to V (collectively, the consolidated financial statements). In our opinion, the
consolidated financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of the Company as of December
31, 2017 and 2016, and the results of its operations and its cash flows for each of the years in the three-year period ended
December 31, 2017, in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles.
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States)
(PCAOB), the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2017, based on criteria established in
Internal Control - Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway
Commission, and our report dated February 19, 2018 expressed an unqualified opinion on the effectiveness of the Company’s
internal control over financial reporting.
Basis for Opinion
These consolidated financial statements are the responsibility of the Company’s management. Our responsibility is to express
an opinion on these consolidated financial statements based on our audits. We are a public accounting firm registered with the
PCAOB and are required to be independent with respect to the Company in accordance with the U.S. federal securities laws
and the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB.
We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the
audits to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the consolidated financial statements are free of material misstatement,
whether due to error or fraud. Our audits included performing procedures to assess the risks of material misstatement of the
consolidated financial statements, whether due to error or fraud, and performing procedures that respond to those risks. Such
procedures included examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the consolidated financial
statements. Our audits also included evaluating the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management,
as well as evaluating the overall presentation of the consolidated financial statements. We believe that our audits provide a
reasonable basis for our opinion.
We have served as the Company's auditor since 1964.
/s/ KPMG LLP
New York, New York
February 19, 2018
72
Consolidated Balance Sheets
December 31,
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
ASSETS
Investments:
Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity – at carrying value
(fair value: $44,100 – 2017; $105,211 – 2016)
Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
(amortized cost: $5,076,716 – 2017; $4,753,759 – 2016)
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
(cost: $143,811 – 2017; $120,889 – 2016)
Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)
Other investments
Total investments (Notes 5 and 7)
Cash
Interest and dividends due or accrued
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible
accounts of: $10,000 – 2017; $5,980 – 2016
Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance for uncollectible
accounts of: $4,600 – 2017; $5,500 – 2016 (Note 8)
Prepaid reinsurance premiums (Note 8)
Current federal income tax (Note 13)
Deferred federal income tax (Note 13)
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated
depreciation and amortization of: $213,227 – 2017; $198,729 – 2016
Deferred policy acquisition costs (Note 2)
Goodwill (Note 11)
Other assets
Total assets
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Liabilities:
Reserve for loss and loss expense (Note 9)
Unearned premiums
Long-term debt (Note 10)
Accrued salaries and benefits
Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Stockholders’ Equity:
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
Authorized shares 360,000,000
Issued: 102,284,564 – 2017; 101,620,436 – 2016
Additional paid-in capital
Retained earnings
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (Note 6)
Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 43,789,442 – 2017; 43,653,237 – 2016)
Total stockholders’ equity
Commitments and contingencies (Notes 17 and 18)
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
73
2017
2016
$
42,129
101,556
5,162,522
4,792,540
182,705
165,555
132,268
146,753
221,701
102,397
5,685,179
5,364,947
534
40,897
747,029
594,832
153,493
3,243
31,990
63,959
235,055
7,849
122,371
458
40,164
681,611
621,537
146,282
2,486
84,840
69,576
222,564
7,849
113,534
7,686,431
7,355,848
3,771,240
1,349,644
439,116
131,850
281,624
3,691,719
1,262,819
438,667
132,880
298,393
5,973,474
5,824,478
—
—
204,569
367,717
1,698,613
20,170
(578,112)
1,712,957
203,241
347,295
1,568,881
(15,950)
(572,097)
1,531,370
$
$
$
$
$
7,686,431
7,355,848
Consolidated Statements of Income
December 31,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
Revenues:
Net premiums earned
Net investment income earned
Net realized gains (losses):
Net realized investment gains
Other-than-temporary impairments
Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed income securities recognized in other
comprehensive income
Total net realized gains (losses)
Other income
Total revenues
Expenses:
Loss and loss expense incurred
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
Other insurance expenses
Interest expense
Corporate expenses
Total expenses
2017
2016
2015
$
2,291,027
161,882
2,149,572
130,754
1,989,909
121,316
11,204
(4,809)
(36)
6,359
10,716
3,562
(8,509)
10
(4,937)
8,881
31,537
(18,366)
—
13,171
7,456
2,469,984
2,284,270
2,131,852
1,345,074
1,234,797
1,148,541
469,236
333,097
24,354
36,255
450,328
321,395
22,771
35,024
399,436
300,359
22,428
28,396
2,208,016
2,064,315
1,899,160
Income before federal income tax
261,968
219,955
232,692
Federal income tax expense:
Current
Deferred
Total federal income tax expense
Net income
Earnings per share:
Basic net income
Diluted net income
Dividends to stockholders
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
62,184
30,958
93,142
48,581
12,879
61,460
45,347
21,484
66,831
168,826
158,495
165,861
2.89
2.84
0.66
2.74
2.70
0.61
2.90
2.85
0.57
$
$
$
$
74
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
December 31,
($ in thousands)
Net income
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during year
Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in other comprehensive income
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Held-to-maturity securities
Non-credit other-than-temporary impairments
Realized (gains) losses on available for sale securities
Total unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Net actuarial (loss) gain
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
Other comprehensive income (loss)
Comprehensive income
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
2017
2016
2015
$
168,826
158,495
165,861
43,015
23
(116)
68
(4,537)
38,453
(5,977)
(26,143)
(6)
—
(92)
138
3,064
(2,873)
(377)
232
(9,110)
(35,398)
(3,700)
(7,852)
1,585
1,367
(2,333)
36,120
4,200
(3,652)
(6,525)
$
204,946
151,970
4,600
6,185
(29,213)
136,648
75
Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity
December 31,
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
Common stock:
Beginning of year
Dividend reinvestment plan
(shares: 28,607 – 2017; 38,741 – 2016; 50,013 – 2015)
Stock purchase and compensation plans
(shares: 635,521 – 2017; 720,323 – 2016; 863,426 – 2015)
End of year
Additional paid-in capital:
Beginning of year
Dividend reinvestment plan
Stock purchase and compensation plans
End of year
Retained earnings:
Beginning of year
Net income
Dividends to stockholders
($0.66 per share – 2017; $0.61 per share – 2016; $0.57 per share – 2015)
End of year
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss):
Beginning of year
Other comprehensive income (loss)
End of year
Treasury stock:
Beginning of year
Acquisition of treasury stock
(shares: 136,205 – 2017; 152,595 – 2016; 147,461 – 2015)
End of year
Total stockholders’ equity
2017
2016
2015
$
203,241
201,723
199,896
57
77
100
1,271
204,569
1,441
203,241
1,727
201,723
347,295
1,395
19,027
367,717
326,656
1,389
19,250
347,295
305,385
1,374
19,897
326,656
1,568,881
1,446,192
1,313,440
168,826
158,495
165,861
(39,094)
(35,806)
(33,109)
1,698,613
1,568,881
1,446,192
(15,950)
36,120
20,170
(9,425)
(6,525)
(15,950)
19,788
(29,213)
(9,425)
(572,097)
(567,105)
(562,923)
(6,015)
(4,992)
(4,182)
(578,112)
(572,097)
(567,105)
$
1,712,957
1,531,370
1,398,041
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. also has authorized, but not issued, 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock, without par value, of which 300,000 shares have been
designated Series A junior preferred stock, without par value.
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
76
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
December 31,
($ in thousands)
Operating Activities
Net income
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
Stock-based compensation expense
Undistributed (gains) losses of equity method investments
Net realized (gains) losses
Loss on disposal of fixed assets
Changes in assets and liabilities:
Increase in reserves for loss and loss expense, net of reinsurance recoverables
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance
Decrease in net federal income taxes
Increase in premiums receivable
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs
(Increase) decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
(Decrease) increase in accrued salaries and benefits
Increase in other assets
Increase in other liabilities
Net cash provided by operating activities
Investing Activities
Purchase of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
Purchase of other investments
Purchase of short-term investments
Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Sale of short-term investments
Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
Distributions from other investments
Purchase of property and equipment
Net cash used in investing activities
Financing Activities
Dividends to stockholders
Acquisition of treasury stock
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
Proceeds from borrowings
Repayment of borrowings
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
Repayment of capital lease obligations
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
Net increase (decrease) in cash
Cash, beginning of year
Cash, end of year
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
77
2017
2016
2015
$
168,826
158,495
165,861
52,100
12,089
(6,393)
(6,359)
998
106,226
79,614
30,918
(65,418)
(12,491)
(1,088)
(5,714)
(9,872)
27,297
370,733
61,671
10,449
(2,316)
4,937
—
114,422
87,716
11,150
(66,447)
(9,405)
(1,473)
(46,536)
(30,071)
9,191
301,783
59,688
8,973
1,889
(13,171)
—
59,438
79,995
25,004
(56,386)
(27,551)
407
11,392
(11,523)
77,564
381,580
—
(4,235)
(3,316)
(2,130,362)
(1,982,023)
(1,041,916)
(61,931)
(55,830)
(35,490)
(66,164)
(195,720)
(12,170)
(4,280,553)
(3,499,380)
(1,602,327)
1,197,920
4,338,318
58,832
555,216
37,960
23,426
(14,071)
(331,075)
(37,045)
(6,015)
7,599
84,000
(84,000)
—
(4,121)
(39,582)
76
458
534
$
926,470
3,470,022
102,868
641,524
119,617
26,837
(18,147)
(318,101)
(33,758)
(4,992)
7,811
165,000
(115,000)
1,819
(5,002)
15,878
(440)
898
458
61,571
1,539,480
106,621
567,445
172,561
32,457
(16,229)
(391,543)
(31,052)
(4,182)
10,089
15,000
—
1,736
(4,689)
(13,098)
(23,061)
23,959
898
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
Note 1. Organization
Selective Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, (collectively referred to as “we,” “us,” or “our”) offers standard
commercial, standard personal, and excess and surplus ("E&S") lines property and casualty insurance products. Selective
Insurance Group, Inc. (referred to as the “Parent”) was incorporated in New Jersey in 1977 and its corporate headquarters is
located in Branchville, New Jersey. The Parent’s common stock is publicly traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market
under the symbol “SIGI.” We have provided a glossary of terms as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 10-K, which defines certain
industry-specific and other terms that are used in this Form 10-K.
We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows:
•
•
Standard Commercial Lines - comprised of insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to
commercial enterprises, which are typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local government agencies.
Standard Personal Lines - comprised of insurance products and services, including flood insurance coverage, provided
primarily to individuals acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace.
• E&S Lines - comprised of insurance products and services provided to customers who have not obtained coverage in
the standard marketplace.
•
Investments - invests the premiums collected by our insurance operations, as well as amounts generated through our
capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities.
Note 2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies
(a) Principles of Consolidation
The accompanying consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) include the accounts of the Parent and its
subsidiaries, and have been prepared in conformity with: (i) U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"); and (ii)
the rules and regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). All significant intercompany accounts and
transactions are eliminated in consolidation.
(b) Use of Estimates
The preparation of our Financial Statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and
assumptions that affect the reported financial statement balances, as well as the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities.
Actual results could differ from those estimates.
(c) Reclassifications
In 2017, we reclassified certain line items within our Consolidated Statements of Income to enhance the ability to analyze our
expenses. Specifically, we reclassified our insurance underwriting expenses into amortization of deferred policy acquisition
costs and other insurance expenses. These expenses were previously included in policy acquisition costs and other expenses. In
addition, all expenses of the Parent, which were previously included in other expenses, are now separately identifiable as
corporate expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Income. All prior periods presented in this Form 10-K have been
reclassified to reflect this change.
(d) Investments
Fixed income securities may include investment grade and below investment grade rated bonds, redeemable preferred stocks,
non-redeemable preferred stocks with certain debt-like characteristics, mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”), collateralized loan
obligations ("CLO"), and other asset-backed securities (“ABS”). MBS, CLO, and other ABS are jointly referred to as
structured securities. Fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale (“AFS”) are reported at fair value. Those fixed
income securities that we have the ability and positive intent to hold to maturity are classified as held-to-maturity (“HTM”) and
are carried at either: (i) amortized cost; or (ii) market value at the date of transfer into the HTM category, adjusted for
subsequent amortization. The amortized cost of fixed income securities is adjusted for the amortization of premiums and the
accretion of discounts over the expected life of the security using the effective yield method. Premiums and discounts arising
from the purchase of structured securities are amortized over the expected life of the security based on future principal
payments, giving additional consideration to prepayments. These prepayments are estimated based on historical and projected
cash flows. Prepayment assumptions are reviewed quarterly and adjusted to reflect actual prepayments and changes in
expectations. Future amortization of any premium and/or discount is adjusted to reflect the revised assumptions. Interest
income, as well as amortization and accretion, is included in "Net investment income earned" on our Consolidated Statements
of Income. The amortized cost of a fixed income security is written down to fair value when a decline in value is considered to
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be other than temporary. See the discussion below on realized investment gains and losses for a description of the accounting
for impairments. After-tax unrealized gains and losses on: (i) fixed income securities classified as AFS; and (ii) fixed income
securities that were transferred into an HTM designation from an AFS designation, are included in accumulated other
comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI").
Equity securities, which are classified as AFS, may include common and non-redeemable preferred stocks. These securities are
carried at fair value and the related dividend income is included in "Net investment income earned" on our Consolidated
Statements of Income. The cost of equity securities is written down to fair value when a decline in value is considered to be
other than temporary. See the discussion below on realized investment gains and losses for a description of the accounting for
impairments. After-tax unrealized gains and losses are included in AOCI.
Short-term investments may include certain money market instruments, savings accounts, commercial paper, and debt issues
purchased with a maturity of less than one year. We also enter into reverse repurchase agreements that are included in short-
term investments. These loans are fully collateralized with high quality, readily marketable instruments at a minimum of 102%
of the loan principal. At maturity, we receive principal and interest income on these agreements. All short-term investments
are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. The associated income is included in "Net investment income earned" on
our Consolidated Statements of Income.
Other investments may include alternative investments and other securities. Alternative investments are accounted for using
the equity method. Our share of distributed and undistributed net income from alternative investments is included in "Net
investment income earned" on our Consolidated Statements of Income. Other securities are primarily comprised of tax credit
investments. Low income housing tax credits are accounted for under the proportional amortization method and all other tax
credits are accounted for using the equity method. Under the proportional amortization method, our share of the investment’s
performance is recorded in our Consolidated Statements of Income as a component of “Federal income tax expense.” Under
the equity method, our share of distributed and undistributed net income is included in "Net investment income earned" on our
Consolidated Statements of Income. For federal income tax credits accounted for under the equity method, we use the deferral
method for recognizing the benefit of the tax credit with the related deferred revenue being recognized in our Consolidated
Statements of Income as a component of "Federal income tax expense" proportionately over the life of the investment.
We evaluate the alternative investments and tax credit investments included in our other investments portfolio to determine
whether those investments are variable interest entities ("VIEs") and if so, whether consolidation is required. A VIE is an entity
that either has equity investors that lack certain essential characteristics of a controlling financial interest or lack sufficient
funds to finance its own activities without financial support provided by other entities. We consider several significant factors
in determining if our investments are VIEs and if we are the primary beneficiary, including whether we have: (i) the power to
direct activities of the VIE; (ii) the ability to remove the decision maker of the VIE; (iii) the ability to participate in making
decisions that are significant to the VIE; and (iv) the obligation to absorb losses and the right to receive benefits that could
potentially be significant to the VIE. We have reviewed our alternative and tax credit investments and have concluded that they
are VIEs, but that we are not the primary beneficiary and therefore, consolidation is not required.
Realized gains and losses on the sale of investments are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold and
are credited or charged to income. Included in realized gains and losses are the other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI")
charges recognized in earnings, which are discussed below.
On a quarterly basis, we review our investment portfolio for impairments that are other than temporary. Interest-related
unrealized losses typically do not result in other-than-temporary impairments. The following provides information on this
analysis for our fixed income securities and short-term investments, equity securities, and other investments.
Fixed Income Securities and Short-Term Investments
We review securities that are in an unrealized loss position to determine: (i) if we have the intent to sell the security; (ii) if it is
more likely than not that we will be required to sell the debt security before its anticipated recovery; and (iii) if the decline is
other than temporary. Broad changes in the overall market or interest rate environment generally will not lead to a write down.
If we determine that we have either the intent or requirement to sell the security, we write down its amortized cost to its fair
value through a charge to earnings as a component of realized losses. If we do not have either the intent or requirement to sell
the security, our evaluation for OTTI may include, but is not limited to, evaluation of the following factors:
• Whether the decline appears to be issuer or industry specific;
• The degree to which the issuer is current or in arrears in making principal and interest payments on the fixed income
security;
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• The issuer’s current financial condition and ability to make future scheduled principal and interest payments on a
timely basis;
• Evaluation of projected cash flows;
• Buy/hold/sell recommendations published by outside investment advisors and analysts; and
• Relevant rating history, analysis, and guidance provided by rating agencies and analysts.
Non-redeemable preferred stocks that are classified as fixed income securities are evaluated under this OTTI method unless the
security is below investment grade, at which time it is evaluated under the equity securities OTTI model discussed below.
To determine if an impairment is other than temporary, we perform assessments that may include, but are not limited to, a
discounted cash flow analysis ("DCF") to determine the security's present value of future cash flows. This analysis is also
performed on all previously-impaired debt securities that continue to be held by us and all structured securities that were not of
high credit quality at the date of purchase. Any shortfall in the expected present value of the future cash flows, based on the
DCF, from the amortized cost basis of a security is considered a “credit impairment,” with the remaining decline in fair value of
a security considered a “non-credit impairment.” Credit impairments are charged to earnings as a component of realized losses,
while non-credit impairments are recorded to Other Comprehensive Income ("OCI") as a component of unrealized losses.
The discount rate we use in a DCF is the effective interest rate implicit in the security at the date of acquisition for those
structured securities that were not of high credit quality at acquisition. For all other securities, we use a discount rate that
equals the current yield, excluding the impact of previous OTTI charges, used to accrete the beneficial interest. DCFs may
include, but are not necessarily limited to: (i) generating cash flows for each tranche considering tranche-specific data, market
data, and other pertinent information, such as the historical performance of the underlying collateral, including net operating
income generated by underlying properties, conditional default rate assumptions, loan loss severity assumptions, consensus
projections, prepayment projections, and actual pool and collateral information; (ii) identifying applicable benchmark yields;
and (iii) applying market-based tranche specific spreads to determine an appropriate yield by incorporating collateral
performance, tranche-level attributes, trades, bids, and offers.
Equity Securities
We review securities that are in an unrealized loss position to determine: (i) if we do not intend to hold the security to its
forecasted recovery; or (ii) if the decline is other than temporary, which includes declines driven by market volatility for which
we cannot assert the security will recover in the near term. If we determine either that we do not intend to hold a security, or
the decline is other than temporary, we write down the security's cost to its fair value through a charge to earnings as a
component of realized losses. If we intend to hold the security, our evaluation for OTTI may include, but is not limited to, an
evaluation of the following factors:
• Whether the decline appears to be issuer or industry specific;
• The relationship of market prices per share to book value per share at the date of acquisition and date of evaluation;
• The price-earnings ratio at the time of acquisition and date of evaluation;
• The financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer, including any specific events that may influence the
issuer's operations, coupled with our intention to hold the securities in the near-term;
• The recent income or loss of the issuer;
• The independent auditors' report on the issuer's recent financial statements;
• The dividend policy of the issuer at the date of acquisition and the date of evaluation;
• Buy/hold/sell recommendations or price projections published by outside investment advisors;
• Rating agency announcements;
• The length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been, or is expected to be, less than its cost in the near
term; and
• Our expectation of when the cost of the security will be recovered.
Other Investments
Our evaluation for OTTI of an other investment (i.e., an alternative investment) may include, but is not limited to,
conversations with the management of the alternative investment concerning the following:
• The current investment strategy;
• Changes made or future changes to be made to the investment strategy;
• Emerging issues that may affect the success of the strategy; and
• The appropriateness of the valuation methodology used regarding the underlying investments.
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If there is a decline in the fair value of an other investment that we do not intend to hold, or if we determine the decline is other
than temporary, we write down the carry value of the investment and record the charge through earnings as a component of
realized losses.
(e) Fair Values of Financial Instruments
Assets
The fair values of our investments are generated using various valuation techniques and are placed into the fair value hierarchy
considering the following: (i) the highest priority is given to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets (Level 1); (ii)
the next highest priority is given to quoted prices in markets that are not active or inputs that are observable either directly or
indirectly, including quoted prices for similar assets in markets that are not active and other inputs that can be derived
principally from, or corroborated by, observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets (Level 2); and (iii) the
lowest priority is given to unobservable inputs supported by little or no market activity and that reflect our assumptions about
the exit price, including assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset (Level 3). An asset’s classification
within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its valuation. Transfers between levels in the
fair value hierarchy are recognized at the end of the reporting period.
The techniques used to value our financial assets are as follows:
Level 1 Pricing
Security Type
Equity Securities;
U.S. Treasury Notes
Short-Term Investments
Methodology
Equity and U.S. Treasury Note prices are received from an independent pricing service that are based on observable
market transactions. We validate these prices against a second external pricing service, and if established market
value comparison thresholds are breached, further analysis is performed to determine the price to be used.
Short-term investments are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. Given the liquid nature of our short-term
investments, we generally validate their fair value by way of active trades within approximately one week of the
financial statement close.
Level 2 Pricing
We utilize a market approach for our Level 2 securities, using primarily matrix pricing models prepared by external pricing
services. Matrix pricing models use mathematical techniques to value debt securities by relying on the securities' relationship
to other benchmark quoted securities, and not relying exclusively on quoted prices for specific securities, as the specific
securities are not always frequently traded. As a matter of policy, we consistently use one pricing service as our primary source
and secondary pricing services if prices are not available from the primary pricing service. Fixed income securities portfolio
pricing is reviewed for reasonableness in the following ways: (i) comparing our pricing to other third-party pricing services as
well as benchmark indexed pricing; (ii) comparing fair value fluctuations between months for reasonableness; and (iii)
reviewing stale prices. If further analysis is needed, a challenge is sent to the pricing service for review and confirmation of the
price.
Further information on our Level 2 asset pricing is included in the following table:
Security Type
Methodology
Corporate Securities including
preferred stocks classified as Fixed
Income Securities, and U.S.
Government and Government Agencies
Evaluations include obtaining relevant trade data, benchmark quotes and spreads and incorporating this information
into either spread-based or price-based evaluations as determined by the observed market data. Spread-based
evaluations include: (i) creating a range of spreads for relevant maturities of each issuer based on the new issue
market, secondary trading, and dealer quotes; and (ii) incorporating option adjusted spreads for issues that have
early redemption features. Based on the findings in (i) and (ii) above, final spreads are derived and added to
benchmark curves. Price-based evaluations include matching each issue to its best-known market maker and
contacting firms that transact in these securities.
Obligations of States and Political
Subdivisions
Evaluations are based on yield curves that are developed based on factors such as: (i) benchmarks to issues with
interest rates near prevailing market rates; (ii) established trading spreads over widely-accepted market benchmarks;
(iii) yields on new issues; and (iv) market information from third-party sources such as reportable trades, broker-
dealers, or issuers.
Structured Securities (including CLO
and other ABS, Commercial Mortgage-
Backed Securities ("CMBS"),
Residential Mortgage-Backed
Securities ("RMBS"))
Evaluations are based on a DCF, including: (i) generating cash flows for each tranche considering tranche-specific
data, market data, and other pertinent information, such as historical performance of the underlying collateral,
including net operating income generated by the underlying properties, conditional default rate assumptions, loan
loss severity assumptions, consensus projections, prepayment projections, and actual pool and loan level collateral
information; (ii) identifying applicable benchmark yields; and (iii) applying market-based tranche-specific spreads
to determine an appropriate yield by incorporating collateral performance, tranche-level attributes, trades, bids, and
offers.
Foreign Government
Evaluations are performed using a DCF model and by incorporating observed market yields of benchmarks as
inputs, adjusting for varied maturities.
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Level 3 Pricing
Less than 1% of our portfolio cannot be priced using our primary or secondary pricing service. At times, we may use non-
binding broker quotes to value some of these securities. These prices are from various broker/dealers that use bid or ask prices,
or benchmarks to indices, in measuring the fair value of a security. We review these fair value measurements for
reasonableness. This review typically includes an analysis of price fluctuations between months with variances over
established thresholds being analyzed further.
Further information on our current Level 3 asset pricing is included in the following table:
Security Type
Methodology
Corporate Securities
These tax credit investments are priced internally using spread-based evaluations.
Equity Securities
These non-publicly traded stocks are valued by the issuer and reviewed internally.
Liabilities
The techniques used to value our notes payable are as follows:
Level 1 Pricing
Security Type
5.875% Senior Notes
Level 2 Pricing
Security Type
7.25% Senior Notes;
6.70% Senior Notes
Based on the quoted market prices.
Methodology
Methodology
Based on matrix pricing models prepared by external pricing services.
Borrowings from Federal Home Loan
Banks
Evaluations are performed using a DCF model based on current borrowing rates provided by the Federal Home
Loan Banks that are consistent with the remaining term of the borrowing.
See Note 7. “Fair Value Measurements” for a summary table of the fair value and related carrying amounts of financial
instruments.
(f) Allowance for Doubtful Accounts
We estimate an allowance for doubtful accounts on our premiums receivable. This allowance is based on historical write-off
percentages adjusted for the effects of current and anticipated trends. An account is charged off when we believe it is probable
that we will not collect a receivable. In making this determination, we consider information obtained from our efforts to collect
amounts due directly or through collection agencies.
(g) Share-Based Compensation
Share-based compensation consists of all share-based payment transactions in which an entity acquires goods or services by
issuing (or offering to issue) its shares, share units, share options, or other equity instruments. The cost resulting from all
share-based payment transactions are recognized in the Financial Statements based on the fair value of both equity and liability
awards. The fair value is measured at grant date for equity awards, whereas the fair value for liability awards are remeasured at
each reporting period. The fair value of both equity and liability awards is recognized over the requisite service period. The
requisite service period is typically the lesser of the vesting period or the period of time from the grant date to the date of
retirement eligibility. The expense recognized for share-based awards, which, in some cases, contain performance criteria, is
based on the number of shares or units expected to be issued at the end of the performance period. We repurchase the Parent’s
stock from our employees in connection with tax withholding obligations, as permitted under our stock-based compensation
plans. This activity is disclosed in our Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity.
(h) Reinsurance
Reinsurance recoverables represent estimates of amounts that will be recovered from reinsurers under our various treaties.
Generally, amounts recoverable from reinsurers are recognized as assets at the same time and in a manner consistent with the
paid and unpaid losses associated with the reinsured policies. We require collateral to secure reinsurance recoverables
primarily from our reinsurance carriers that are not authorized, otherwise approved, or certified to do business in one or more
of our ten insurance subsidiaries' domiciliary states. Our ten insurance subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the
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"Insurance Subsidiaries." This collateral is typically in the form of a letter of credit or cash. An allowance for estimated
uncollectible reinsurance is recorded based on an evaluation of balances due from reinsurers and other available information,
such as each reinsurers' credit rating from A.M. Best Company ("A.M. Best") or Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P").
We charge off reinsurance recoverables on paid losses when it becomes probable that we will not collect the balance.
(i) Property and Equipment
Property and equipment used in operations, including certain costs incurred to develop or obtain computer software for internal
use, are capitalized and carried at cost less accumulated depreciation. Depreciation is calculated using the straight-line method
over the estimated useful lives of the assets. The following estimated useful lives can be considered as general guidelines:
Asset Category
Computer hardware
Computer software
Internally developed software
Software licenses
Furniture and fixtures
Buildings and improvements
Years
3
3 to 5
5 to 10
3 to 5
10
5 to 40
We recorded depreciation expense of $17.8 million, $17.4 million, and $16.4 million for 2017, 2016, and 2015, respectively.
(j) Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Deferred policy acquisition costs are limited to costs directly related to the successful acquisition of insurance contracts. Costs
meeting this definition typically include, among other things, sales commissions paid to our distribution partners, premium
taxes, and the portion of employee salaries and benefits directly related to time spent on acquired contracts. These costs are
deferred and amortized over the life of the contracts.
Accounting guidance requires a premium deficiency analysis to be performed at the level an entity acquires, services, and
measures the profitability of its insurance contracts. We currently perform three premium deficiency analyses for our insurance
operations, consistent with our reportable segments of Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines.
A combined ratio of over 100% does not necessarily indicate a premium deficiency, as any year's combined ratio includes a
portion of underwriting expenses that are expensed at policy inception and therefore are not covered by the remaining unearned
premium. In addition, investment income is not contemplated in the combined ratio calculation.
There were no premium deficiencies for any of the reported years, as the sum of the anticipated loss and loss expense,
unamortized acquisition costs, policyholder dividends, and other expenses for each segment did not exceed that segment’s
related unearned premium and anticipated investment income. The investment yields assumed in the premium deficiency
assessment for each reporting period, which were based on our actual average investment yield before tax as of the September
30 calculation date, were 2.9% for 2017, 2.4% for 2016, and 2.5% for 2015.
(k) Goodwill
Goodwill results from business acquisitions where the cost of assets and liabilities acquired exceeds the fair value of those
assets and liabilities. A quantitative goodwill impairment analysis is performed if our quarterly qualitative analysis indicates
that it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. Goodwill is allocated to the
reporting units for purposes of these analyses. Based on our analysis at December 31, 2017, goodwill was not impaired.
(l) Reserves for Loss and Loss Expense
Reserves for loss and loss expense are comprised of both case reserves on individual claims and reserves for claims incurred
but not reported ("IBNR"). Case reserves result from claims that have been reported to one or more of our Insurance
Subsidiaries, and are estimated at the amount of the expected ultimate payment. IBNR reserves are established at more
aggregated levels than case basis reserves, and in addition to reserves on claims that have been incurred but not reported, they
include provisions for future emergence on known claims, as well as reopened claims. IBNR reserves are established based on
the results of the Insurance Subsidiaries’ internal reserve analysis, supplemented with other internal and external information.
The internal reserve analysis is performed quarterly, and relies upon generally accepted actuarial techniques. Such techniques
assume that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, are an appropriate basis for
predicting future events. Our analyses rely upon historical paid and case loss and loss expense experience organized by line of
business, accident year, and maturity (i.e., “triangles”). Standard actuarial projection methods are applied to this history,
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producing a set of estimated ultimate loss and loss expenses. Ultimate loss and loss expenses are selected from the various
methods, considering the strengths and weaknesses of the methods as they apply to the specific line and accident year.
Certain types of exposures do not lend themselves to standard actuarial methods. Examples of these are:
• Certain property catastrophe events may be low in frequency and high in severity. These events may affect many
insureds simultaneously. Due to the unique nature of these events, ultimate liabilities are estimated for each event,
based on surveys of our portfolio of exposures, in conjunction with individual claims estimates. While generally
short-tailed, the liabilities associated with these events are subject to a higher degree of uncertainty. We maintain
significant reinsurance protection that greatly limits the impact that these extreme events have on net loss and loss
expenses.
•
Some insured events may span multiple years and trigger multiple policies, as in the case of asbestos and
environmental claims, where the injury is deemed to occur over an extended period of time. These types of losses
often do not lend themselves to traditional actuarial methods. Where we deem appropriate, our experience may be
analyzed without differentiating by accident year, using alternative methods and metrics. In these cases, the associated
selected ultimate loss and loss expenses are then allocated to the applicable accident years for reporting.
• Another example of non-standard methods relate to loss expenses that cannot be attributed to a specific claim (referred
to as “unallocated loss expenses”). These expenses are first allocated to line of business, and alternative projection
methods are then applied to estimate expenses by calendar year, which are then allocated back to the applicable
accident years for reporting.
The selected ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses are translated into indicated IBNR reserves, which are then
compared to the recorded IBNR reserves. Management's judgment is applied in determining any required adjustments and the
resulting adjustments are then recorded and assigned or allocated to accident year using the results of the actuarial analysis.
While the reserve analysis is the primary basis for determining the recorded IBNR reserves, other internal and external factors
are considered. Internal factors include: (i) supplemental data regarding claims reporting and settlement trends; (ii) exposure
estimates for reported claims, along with recent development on those estimates with respect to individual large claims and the
aggregate of all claims; (iii) the rate at which new large or complex claims are being reported; and (iv) additional trends
observed by claims personnel or reported to them by defense counsel. External factors considered include: (i) legislative
enactments; (ii) judicial decisions; (iii) legal developments in the determination of liability and the imposition of damages; and
(iv) trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation.
Loss reserves are estimates, and as such, we also consider a range of possible loss and loss expense reserve estimates. This
range is determined at the beginning of each year, using prior year-end data, and reflects the fact that there is no single precise
method for estimating the required reserves, due to the many factors that may influence the amounts ultimately paid.
Considering the reserve range along with all of the items described above, as well as current market conditions, IBNR estimates
are then established and recorded.
The combination of the IBNR estimates along with the case reserve estimates on individual claims results in our total reserves
for loss and loss expense. These reserves are expected to be sufficient for settling losses and loss reserve obligations under our
policies on unpaid claims, including changes in the volume of business written, claims frequency and severity, the mix of
business, claims processing, and other items that management expects to affect our ultimate settlement of loss and loss expense.
However, the ultimate claim settlements may be higher or lower than reserves established. As our experience emerges and
other information develops, we revise our reserve estimates accordingly. The changes in these estimates, resulting from the
continuous review process and the differences between estimates and ultimate payments, are reflected in the Consolidated
Statements of Income for the period in which such estimates are changed. The associated impacts may be material to the
results of operations in future periods.
We do not discount to present value that portion of our losses and loss expense reserves expected to be paid in future periods.
Our loss and loss expense reserves implicitly include anticipated recoveries for salvage and subrogation claims.
Claims are counted at the occurrence, line of business, and policy level. For example, if a single occurrence (e.g. an auto
accident) leads to a claim under an auto and an associated umbrella policy, they are each counted separately. Conversely,
multiple claimants under the same occurrence/line/policy would contribute only a single count. The claim counts provided are
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on a reported basis. A claim is considered reported when a reserve is established or payment is made. Therefore, claims closed
without payment are included in the count as long as there was an associated case reserve at some point in its life cycle.
We also write a small amount of assumed reinsurance. Currently, this business is limited to our share of certain involuntary
pools. Since the associated claims are not processed by us, they are not captured within our claims system. Therefore, the
claim counts reported exclude this business.
(m) Revenue Recognition
The Insurance Subsidiaries' net premiums written (“NPW”) include direct insurance policy writings, plus reinsurance assumed
and estimates of premiums earned but unbilled on the workers compensation and general liability lines of insurance, less
reinsurance ceded. The estimated premium on the workers compensation and general liability lines is referred to as audit
premium. We estimate this premium, as it is anticipated to be either billed or returned on policies subsequent to expiration
based on exposure levels (i.e. payroll or sales). Audit premium is based on historical trends adjusted for the uncertainty of
future economic conditions. Economic instability could ultimately impact our estimates and assumptions, and changes in our
estimate may be material to the results of operations in future periods. Premiums written are recognized as revenue over the
period that coverage is provided using the semi-monthly pro-rata method. Unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance
premiums represent that portion of premiums written that are applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force.
(n) Dividends to Policyholders
We establish reserves for dividends to policyholders on certain policies, most significantly workers compensation policies.
These dividends are based on the policyholders' loss experience. Dividend reserves are established based on past experience,
adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends. The expense for these dividends is recognized over a
period that begins at policy inception and ends with the payment of the dividend. We do not issue policies that entitle the
policyholder to participate in the earnings or surplus of our Insurance Subsidiaries.
(o) Federal Income Tax
We use the asset and liability method of accounting for income taxes. Current federal income taxes are recognized for the
estimated taxes payable or refundable on tax returns for the current year. Deferred federal income taxes arise from the
recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the tax basis of assets and liabilities.
We consider all evidence, both positive and negative, with respect to our federal tax loss carryback availability, expected levels
of pre-tax financial statement income, and federal taxable income, when evaluating whether the temporary differences will be
realized. In projecting future taxable income, we begin with budgeted pre-tax income adjusted for estimated non-taxable items.
The assumptions about future taxable income require significant judgment and are consistent with the plans and estimates we
use to manage our businesses. A valuation allowance is established when it is more likely than not that some portion of the
deferred tax asset will not be realized. A liability for uncertain tax positions is recorded when it is more likely than not that a
tax position will not be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in
the period of enactment. If we were to be levied interest and penalties by the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”), the interest
would be recognized as “Interest expense” and the penalties would be recognized as either “Other insurance expenses” or
"Corporate expenses" on the Consolidated Statements of Income depending on the nature of what caused the occurrence of
such an item.
For information regarding the impact of the the recent tax reform, refer to Note 13. "Federal Income Taxes" of this Form 10-K.
(p) Leases
We have various operating leases for office space, equipment, and fleet vehicles. Rental expense for such leases is recorded on
a straight-line basis over the lease term. If a lease has a fixed and determinable escalation clause, or periods of rent holidays,
the difference between rental expense and rent paid is included in "Other liabilities" in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
In addition, we have various capital leases for computer hardware and software. These leases are accounted for as an
acquisition of an asset with a corresponding obligation. Depreciation is calculated using the straight-line method over the
shorter of the estimated useful life of the asset or the lease term.
(q) Pension
Our pension and post-retirement life benefit obligations and related costs are calculated using actuarial methods, within the
framework of GAAP. Our pension benefit obligation is determined as the actuarial present value of the vested benefits to
which the employee is currently entitled, based on the average life expectancy of the employee. Our funding policy provides
that payments to our pension trust shall be equal to the minimum funding requirements of the Employee Retirement Income
Security Act, plus additional amounts that the Board of Directors of Selective Insurance Company of America (“SICA”) may
approve from time to time.
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Two key assumptions, the discount rate and the expected return on plan assets, are important elements of expense and/or
liability measurement. We evaluate these key assumptions annually unless facts indicate that a more frequent review is
required. The discount rate enables us to state expected future cash flows at their present value on the measurement date. The
purpose of the discount rate is to determine the interest rates inherent in the price at which pension benefits could be effectively
settled. Our discount rate selection is based on high-quality, long-term corporate bonds. To determine the expected long-term
rate of return on the plan assets, we consider the current and expected asset allocation, as well as historical and expected returns
on each plan asset class. Other assumptions involve demographic factors such as retirement age and mortality.
Note 3. Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements
In March 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standard Update ("ASU") 2016-09,
Compensation - Stock Compensation: Improvements to Employee Share-based Payment Accounting (“ASU 2016-09”). ASU
2016-09 simplifies several aspects of the accounting for share-based payment transactions. We adopted this guidance in the
first quarter of 2017, which resulted in the following impacts on our consolidated financial statements:
Consolidated Statements of Income
The new standard requires that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax provision as
discrete items outside of the annual estimated expected tax rate. In addition, all excess tax benefits and tax deficiencies should
be recognized as income tax benefit or expense in the income statement. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional
paid-in capital. In addition, in calculating potential common shares used to determine diluted earnings per share, GAAP
requires us to use the treasury stock method. The new standard requires that assumed proceeds under the treasury stock method
be modified to exclude the amount of excess tax benefits that would have been recognized in additional paid-in capital. These
changes were adopted on a prospective basis. As a result of adoption, we recognized an income tax benefit in the Consolidated
Statements of Income of $4.3 million in 2017 related to stock grants that have vested this year.
In recording share-based compensation expense, the standard allows companies to make a policy election as to whether they
will include an estimate of awards expected to be forfeited or whether they will account for forfeitures as they occur. We have
elected to include an estimate of forfeitures in the computation of our share-based compensation expense. As this treatment is
consistent with previous guidance, this election had no impact on our consolidated financial statements.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
ASU 2016-09 requires that excess tax benefits from share-based awards be reported as operating activities in the consolidated
statement of cash flows. Previously, these cash flows were included in financing activities. We elected to apply this change on
a prospective basis; therefore, no changes have been made to the prior periods disclosed in this report.
ASU 2016-09 also requires that employee taxes paid when an employer withholds shares for tax-withholding purposes be
reported as financing activities in the consolidated statement of cash flows. This requirement has no impact to us as we have
historically reported these cash flows as part of financing activities.
In October 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-17, Consolidation: Interests Held through Related Parties That Are under
Common Control ("ASU 2016-17"). ASU 2016-17 changes how a decision maker considers indirect interests in a VIE held
under common control in making the primary beneficiary determination. We adopted ASU 2016-17 in the first quarter of 2017.
This adoption did not impact us, as we are not the decision maker in any of the VIEs in which we invest.
In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-08, Receivables-Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs: Premium Amortization on
Purchased Callable Debt Securities ("ASU 2017-08"). ASU 2017-08 revises the amortization period for certain callable debt
securities held at a premium, requiring the premium to be amortized to the earliest call date. Under current GAAP, entities
generally amortize the premium as an adjustment of yield over the contractual life of the instrument. ASU 2017-08 is effective
for annual periods, and interim periods within those annual periods, beginning after December 15, 2018 with early adoption
permitted. We adopted this guidance in the fourth quarter of 2017 and the adoption did not impact us as we amortize premium
on these callable debt securities to the earliest call date.
In May 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-09, Compensation - Stock Compensation: Scope of Modification Accounting ("ASU
2017-09"). ASU 2017-09 provides clarification about which changes to the terms or conditions of a share-based payment
award would require the application of modification accounting. ASU 2017-09 is effective for annual and interim periods
beginning after December 15, 2017, with early adoption permitted. We adopted this guidance in the fourth quarter of 2017 and
the adoption did not impact us, as we currently record modifications in accordance with this ASU.
86
Pronouncements to be effective in the future
In January 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-01, Financial Instruments - Overall: Recognition and Measurement of Financial
Assets and Financial Liabilities (“ASU 2016-01”). ASU 2016-01 provides guidance to improve certain aspects of recognition,
measurement, presentation, and disclosure of financial instruments. Specifically the guidance: (i) requires equity investments
to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in earnings; (ii) simplifies the impairment assessment of
equity investments without readily determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify impairment; (iii)
eliminates the requirement to disclose the methods and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that is required to
be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized cost; (iv) requires the use of the exit price notion when measuring
the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes; and (v) clarifies that the need for a valuation allowance on a
deferred tax asset related to an available-for-sale ("AFS") security should be evaluated with other deferred tax assets.
ASU 2016-01 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual
periods. Our adoption of this guidance will require a cumulative-effect adjustment between AOCI and retained earnings on the
balance sheet for approximately $25 million, which represents the after-tax unrealized gain on our equity securities portfolio as
of December 31, 2017. On a pre-tax basis, the unrealized gain on our equity securities portfolio increased $13 million during
2017 and, had this literature been in effect, we would have recognized additional after-tax net income of approximately $10
million, or $0.17 per diluted share, assuming a 21% corporate tax rate.
In February 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-02, Leases (“ASU 2016-02”). ASU 2016-02 requires all lessees to recognize a
lease liability and a right-of-use asset, measured at the present value of the future minimum lease payments, at the lease
commencement date. ASU 2016-02 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018, including interim reporting
periods within that fiscal year, with early adoption permitted. ASU 2016-02 requires the application of a modified retrospective
approach for leases existing at, or entered into after, the beginning of the earliest comparative period presented in the financial
statements. While we are currently evaluating ASU 2016-02, we do not expect a material impact on our financial condition or
results of operations from the adoption of this guidance.
In June 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (“ASU 2016-13”). ASU 2016-13 will
change the way entities recognize impairment of financial assets by requiring immediate recognition of estimated credit losses
expected to occur over the remaining life of many financial assets, including, among others, held-to-maturity debt securities,
trade receivables, and reinsurance recoverables. ASU 2016-13 requires a valuation allowance to be calculated on these
financial assets and that they be presented on the financial statements net of the valuation allowance. The valuation allowance
is a measurement of expected losses that is based on relevant information about past events, including historical experience,
current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts that affect the collectability of the reported amount. This
methodology is referred to as the current expected credit loss model. ASU 2016-13 is effective for fiscal years beginning after
December 15, 2019, including interim periods within those annual periods. Early adoption is permitted, but no earlier than
fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2018. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our financial
condition and results of operations.
In August 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-15, Statement of Cash Flows: Classification of Certain Cash Receipts and Cash
Payments (“ASU 2016-15”). ASU 2016-15 adds or clarifies guidance on the classification of certain cash receipts and
payments in the statement of cash flows, including, but not limited to: (i) debt prepayment or debt extinguishment costs; (ii)
proceeds from the settlement of corporate-owned life insurance policies, including bank-owned life insurance policies; (iii)
distributions received from equity method investees; and (iv) separately identifiable cash flows and application of the
predominance principle. ASU 2016-15 is effective, with retrospective adoption, for annual periods beginning after December
15, 2017, and interim periods within those fiscal years. We anticipate that the adoption of this guidance in 2018 will result in
an increase to our 2017 and 2016 operating cash flows of approximately $2 million and $3 million, respectively, reflecting
adjustments for distributions received from equity method investees.
87
In November 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows: Restricted Cash ("ASU 2016-18"). ASU
2016-18, requires that restricted cash and restricted cash equivalents be included with cash and cash equivalents in the
reconciliation of beginning and ending cash on the statements of cash flows. This update also requires a reconciliation of the
statement of the cash flows to the balance sheet if the balance sheet includes more than one line item containing cash, cash
equivalents, and restricted cash. We currently have restricted cash associated with our participation in the National Flood
Insurance Program ("NFIP") within "Other assets" on our consolidating balance sheets. This restricted cash amounted to $44.2
million, $36.9 million, and $11.9 million on December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015, respectively. ASU 2016-18 is effective, with
retrospective adoption, for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, and interim periods within those annual periods.
We anticipate that the adoption of this guidance in 2018 will result in increases to operating cash flows of $7 million and $25
million for 2017 and 2016, respectively. The restricted cash balance will also be included in the reconciliation of beginning and
ending cash balances.
In January 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-04, Intangibles-Goodwill and Other: Simplifying the Test for Goodwill
Impairment (“ASU 2017-04”). ASU 2017-04 eliminates the second step of the two part goodwill impairment test, which
required entities to determine the fair value of individual assets and liabilities of a reporting unit to measure the goodwill
impairment. Under the new guidance, a goodwill impairment is calculated as the amount by which a reporting unit’s carrying
value exceeds its fair value, not to exceed the carrying amount of goodwill. An entity still has the option to perform the
qualitative assessment for a reporting unit to determine if the quantitative impairment test is necessary. The amendments in this
update should be applied on a prospective basis for annual or interim goodwill impairment tests in fiscal years beginning after
December 15, 2019. Early adoption is permitted for interim or annual goodwill impairment tests performed on testing dates
after January 1, 2017. We intend to adopt this guidance in 2018, but do not expect it to impact our financial condition or results
of operations.
In March 2017, the FASB issued ASU 2017-07, Compensation-Retirement Benefits: Improving the Presentation of Net
Periodic Pension Cost and Net Periodic Postretirement Benefit Cost ("ASU 2017-07"). ASU 2017-07 requires that an
employer report a pension plan's service cost in the same line item or line items as other compensation costs arising from
services rendered by pertinent employees during the period. ASU 2017-07 also requires that other components of net benefit
cost be presented in the income statement separately from the service cost component. If a separate line item or items are not
used, the line item or items used in the income statement to present the other components of net benefit cost must be disclosed.
ASU 2017-07 is effective for annual periods beginning after December 15, 2017, including interim periods within those annual
periods, with early adoption permitted at the beginning of an annual period. As our pension plan was frozen as of March 2016,
we have ceased accruing additional service fee costs since that time. Therefore, the application of this guidance is not
anticipated to impact our financial condition, results of operations, or disclosures.
Note 4. Statements of Cash Flows
Supplemental cash flow information for the years ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015 is as follows:
($ in thousands)
Cash paid during the period for:
Interest
Federal income tax
Non-cash items:
Exchange of fixed income securities, AFS
Exchange of fixed income securities, HTM
Corporate actions related to equity securities, AFS1
Assets acquired under capital lease arrangements
Non-cash purchase of property and equipment
1Examples of such corporate actions include non-cash acquisitions and stock-splits.
2017
2016
2015
$
23,905
62,000
22,511
—
4,725
278
—
22,098
46,405
23,579
—
3,263
3,151
78
21,892
39,500
36,792
15,257
4,239
6,760
—
Included in "Other assets" on the Consolidated Balance Sheet was $44.2 million at December 31, 2017 and $36.9 million at
December 31, 2016 of cash received from the NFIP, which is restricted to pay flood claims under the Write Your Own Program.
88
Note 5. Investments
(a) Net unrealized gains on investments included in OCI by asset class were as follows for the years ended December 31, 2017,
2016, and 2015:
($ in thousands)
AFS securities:
Fixed income securities
Equity securities
Total AFS securities
HTM securities:
Fixed income securities
Total HTM securities
Total net unrealized gains
Deferred income tax
Net unrealized gains, net of deferred income tax
2017
2016
2015
$
85,806
38,894
124,700
(21)
(21)
124,679
(44,103)
80,576
38,781
25,864
64,645
159
159
64,804
(22,681)
42,123
55,689
13,235
68,924
300
300
69,224
(24,228)
44,996
Increase (decrease) in net unrealized gains in OCI, net of deferred income tax
$
38,453
(2,873)
(35,398)
(b) The amortized cost, net unrealized gains and losses, carrying value, unrecognized holding gains and losses, and fair value of
HTM fixed income securities were as follows:
December 31, 2017
($ in thousands)
Obligations of state and political
subdivisions
Corporate securities
Total HTM fixed income securities
December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)
Obligations of state and political
subdivisions
Corporate securities
CMBS
Amortized
Cost
$
$
25,154
16,996
42,150
Amortized
Cost
77,466
22,711
1,220
Total HTM fixed income securities
$
101,397
Net
Unrealized
Gains
(Losses)
Carrying
Value
Unrecognized
Holding
Gains
Unrecognized
Holding
Losses
Fair
Value
84
(105)
(21)
25,238
16,891
42,129
1,023
1,003
2,026
—
(55)
(55)
26,261
17,839
44,100
Net
Unrealized
Gains
(Losses)
Carrying
Value
Unrecognized
Holding
Gains
Unrecognized
Holding
Losses
Fair
Value
317
(143)
(15)
159
77,783
22,568
1,205
101,556
2,133
1,665
15
3,813
—
(158)
—
(158)
79,916
24,075
1,220
105,211
Unrecognized holding gains and losses of HTM securities are not reflected in the Financial Statements, as they represent fair
value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as HTM either through purchase or transfer from AFS;
or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an HTM security, through the date of the balance sheet.
89
(c) The cost/amortized cost, unrealized gains and losses, and fair value of AFS securities were as follows:
December 31, 2017
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
Unrealized
Gains
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total AFS securities
December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total AFS securities
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
$
5,220,527
49,326
18,040
1,539,307
1,588,339
789,152
382,727
709,825
5,076,716
129,696
14,115
143,811
75,139
26,559
1,366,287
1,976,556
527,876
256,356
524,986
4,753,759
104,663
16,226
120,889
$
4,874,648
647
526
44,245
30,891
6,508
1,563
6,487
90,867
38,287
904
39,191
130,058
(233)
(11)
(582)
(1,762)
(202)
(841)
(1,430)
(5,061)
(226)
(71)
(297)
49,740
18,555
1,582,970
1,617,468
795,458
383,449
714,882
5,162,522
167,757
14,948
182,705
(5,358)
5,345,227
2,230
322
18,610
27,057
1,439
1,514
3,006
54,178
26,250
274
26,524
80,702
(36)
(16)
(5,304)
(5,860)
(355)
(1,028)
(2,798)
77,333
26,865
1,379,593
1,997,753
528,960
256,842
525,194
(15,397)
4,792,540
(305)
(355)
(660)
130,608
16,145
146,753
(16,057)
4,939,293
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
Unrealized
Gains
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Unrealized gains and losses of AFS securities represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is
designated as AFS; or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an AFS security, through the date of the balance sheet.
These unrealized gains and losses are recorded in AOCI on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
90
(d) The severity of impairment on the securities in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position averaged 1% of amortized cost at
December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Quantitative information regarding unrealized losses on our AFS portfolio is
provided below. Our HTM portfolio had $0.1 million in unrealized/unrecognized losses at December 31, 2017 and no
unrealized/unrecognized losses at December 31, 2016.
December 31, 2017
Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
Total
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
23,516
1,481
107,514
238,326
74,977
154,267
269,485
869,566
4,727
3,833
8,560
(233)
(11)
(422)
(1,744)
(196)
(773)
(1,285)
(4,664)
(226)
(71)
(297)
250
—
14,139
3,228
1,655
5,214
11,200
35,686
—
—
—
—
—
(160)
(18)
(6)
(68)
(145)
(397)
—
—
—
23,766
1,481
121,653
241,554
76,632
159,481
280,685
905,252
4,727
3,833
8,560
(233)
(11)
(582)
(1,762)
(202)
(841)
(1,430)
(5,061)
(226)
(71)
(297)
Total AFS securities
$
878,126
(4,961)
35,686
(397)
913,812
(5,358)
December 31, 2016
Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
Total
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
6,419
13,075
306,509
462,902
189,795
82,492
279,480
(36)
(16)
(5,304)
(5,771)
(354)
(1,021)
(2,489)
—
—
—
4,913
319
1,645
8,749
Total AFS fixed income securities
1,340,672
(14,991)
15,626
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
11,271
6,168
17,439
(305)
(355)
(660)
—
—
—
— $
6,419
$
13,075
306,509
467,815
190,114
84,137
288,229
(36)
(16)
(5,304)
(5,860)
(355)
(1,028)
(2,798)
1,356,298
(15,397)
11,271
6,168
17,439
(305)
(355)
(660)
—
—
(89)
(1)
(7)
(309)
(406)
—
—
—
Total AFS securities
$
1,358,111
(15,651)
15,626
(406) $
1,373,737
$
(16,057)
We do not intend to sell any of the securities in the tables above, nor do we believe we will be required to sell any of these
securities. Additionally, we have reviewed these securities in accordance with our OTTI policy, as described in Note 2.
“Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of this Form 10-K and have concluded that they are temporarily impaired. This
conclusion reflects our current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the security
and underlying collateral. If our judgment about an individual security changes in the future, we may ultimately record a credit
loss after having originally concluded that one did not exist, which could have a material impact on our net income and
financial position in future periods.
(e) Fixed income securities at December 31, 2017, by contractual maturity are shown below. MBS are included in the maturity
tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because
issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.
91
Listed below are the contractual maturities of fixed income securities at December 31, 2017:
($ in thousands)
Due in one year or less
Due after one year through five years
Due after five years through 10 years
Due after 10 years
Total fixed income securities
AFS
HTM
Fair Value
Carrying Value
Fair Value
$
315,857
2,099,529
2,510,294
236,842
$
5,162,522
10,997
23,035
8,097
—
42,129
11,168
24,235
8,697
—
44,100
(f) The following table summarizes our other investment portfolio by strategy:
Other Investments
December 31, 2017
December 31, 2016
($ in thousands)
Alternative Investments
Private equity
Private credit
Real assets
Total alternative investments
Carrying
Value
Remaining
Commitment
Maximum
Exposure to Loss1
Carrying
Value
Remaining
Commitment
Maximum
Exposure to Loss1
$
52,251
37,743
25,379
115,373
99,026
94,959
27,014
220,999
151,277
132,702
52,393
336,372
41,135
28,193
14,486
83,814
76,774
40,613
22,899
140,286
117,909
68,806
37,385
224,100
Other securities2
Total other investments
246,083
1The maximum exposure to loss includes both the carrying value of these investments and the related unfunded commitments. In addition, tax credits that have
been previously recognized in Other securities are subject to the risk of recapture, which we do not consider significant.
2 Other securities primarily consists of tax credit investments.
16,895
132,268
16,895
353,267
—
220,999
143,686
102,397
18,583
21,983
3,400
$
We have reviewed various investments included in the table above and have concluded that they are VIEs, but that we are not
the primary beneficiary and therefore, consolidation is not required. We do not have a future obligation to fund losses or debts
on behalf of these investments; however, we are contractually committed to make additional investments up to the remaining
commitment outlined above. We have not provided any non-contractual financial support at any time during 2017 or 2016.
The following is a description of our alternative investment strategies:
Our private equity strategy includes the following:
• Primary Private Equity: This strategy makes private equity investments, primarily in established large and middle
market companies across diverse industries globally.
•
Secondary Private Equity: This strategy purchases seasoned private equity funds from investors desiring liquidity
prior to normal fund termination. Investments are made across all sectors of the private equity market, including
leveraged buyouts ("LBO"), venture capital, distressed securities, mezzanine financing, real estate, and infrastructure.
• Venture Capital: In general, these investments are made principally by investing in equity securities of privately-held
corporations, for long-term capital appreciation. This strategy makes private equity investments in growth equity and
buyout partnerships.
Our private credit strategy includes the following:
• Middle Market Lending: This strategy provides privately negotiated loans to U.S. middle market companies.
Typically, these are floating rate, senior secured loans diversified across industries. Loans can be made to private
equity sponsor-backed companies or non-sponsored companies to finance LBOs, recapitalizations, and acquisitions.
• Mezzanine Financing: This strategy provides privately negotiated fixed income securities, generally with an equity
component, to LBO firms and private and publicly traded large, mid, and small-cap companies to finance LBOs,
recapitalizations, and acquisitions.
• Distressed Debt: This strategy makes direct and indirect investments in debt and equity securities of companies that
are experiencing financial and/or operational distress. Investments include buying indebtedness of bankrupt or
financially troubled companies, small balance loan portfolios, special situations and capital structure arbitrage trades,
92
commercial real estate mortgages, and similar non-U.S. securities and debt obligations.
Our real assets strategy includes the following:
• Energy & Power Generation: This strategy makes energy and power generation investments in cash flow generating
infrastructure assets. Energy investments are made in a variety of industries including oil, natural gas, and coal.
These investments are diversified across the energy supply chain and include assets in the exploration and production,
pipeline, and refining sectors. Power generation includes investments in: (i) conventional power, such as natural gas
and oil; (ii) renewable power, such as wind and solar; and (iii) electric transmission and distribution.
• Real Estate: This strategy invests in real estate in North America, Europe, and Asia via direct property ownership,
joint ventures, mortgages, and investments in equity and debt instruments.
Our alternative investment strategies generally employ low or moderate levels of leverage and use hedging only to reduce
foreign exchange or interest rate volatility. At this time, our alternative investment strategies do not include hedge funds. We
cannot redeem our investments with the general partners of these investments; however, occasionally these partnerships can be
traded on the secondary market. Once liquidation is triggered by clauses within the limited partnership agreements or at the
funds’ stated end date, we will receive our final allocation of capital and any earned appreciation of the underlying investments,
assuming we have not divested ourselves of our partnership interests prior to that time. We currently receive distributions from
these alternative investments through the realization of the underlying investments in the limited partnerships. We anticipate
that the general partners of these alternative investments will liquidate their underlying investment portfolios through 2032.
The following tables set forth summarized financial information for our other investments portfolio, including the portion not
owned by us. The investments are carried under the equity method of accounting. The last line in the income statement
information table below reflects our share of the aggregate income, which is the portion included in our Financial Statements.
As the majority of these investments report results to us on a one quarter lag, the summarized financial statement information is
as of, and for the 12-month period ended, September 30:
Balance Sheet Information
September 30,
($ in millions)
Investments
Total assets
Total liabilities
Total partners’ capital
Income Statement Information
12 months ended September 30,
($ in millions)
Net investment (loss) income
Realized gains
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation)
Net income
Insurance Subsidiaries' alternative investments income (loss)
2017
2016
$
21,046
22,357
4,767
17,590
2017
2016
2015
$
$
(143)
325
2,894
3,076
12.7
(44)
1,374
(719)
611
3.1
11,244
12,075
1,802
10,273
129
1,187
(1,364)
(48)
(1.9)
(g) We did not have exposure to any credit concentration risk of a single issuer greater than 10% of our stockholders' equity,
other than certain U.S. government agencies, as of December 31, 2017 or December 31, 2016.
(h) We have pledged certain AFS fixed income securities as collateral related to our relationships with the Federal Home Loan
Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") and the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY"). In addition, certain securities
were on deposit with various state and regulatory agencies at December 31, 2017 to comply with insurance laws. We retain all
rights regarding securities pledged as collateral.
93
The following table summarizes the market value of these securities at December 31, 2017:
($ in millions)
U.S. government and government agencies
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
CMBS
RMBS
Total pledged as collateral
FHLBI
Collateral
FHLBNY
Collateral
State and
Regulatory
Deposits
Total
$
$
3.0
—
6.2
56.3
65.5
—
—
14.1
59.6
73.7
22.6
3.1
—
—
25.7
25.6
3.1
20.3
115.9
164.9
(i) The components of pre-tax net investment income earned were as follows:
($ in thousands)
Fixed income securities
Equity securities
Short-term investments
Other investments
Investment expenses
Net investment income earned
2017
2016
2015
$
$
153,230
6,442
1,526
12,871
(12,187)
161,882
129,306
123,230
7,368
686
2,940
(9,546)
130,754
9,161
112
(1,890)
(9,297)
121,316
(j) The following tables summarize OTTI by asset type for the periods indicated:
2017
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
U.S. government and government agencies
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Total AFS equity securities
Other investments
Total OTTI losses
2016
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
Obligations of states and political subdivisons
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total OTTI losses
Gross
Included in OCI
Recognized in
Earnings
36
612
587
96
670
1,183
3,184
1,435
1,435
190
4,809
—
—
—
—
—
(36)
(36)
—
—
—
(36)
36
612
587
96
670
1,219
3,220
1,435
1,435
190
4,845
Gross
Included in OCI
Recognized in
Earnings
2,797
1,880
19
220
275
5,191
3,316
2
3,318
8,509
—
—
—
—
10
10
—
—
—
10
2,797
1,880
19
220
265
5,181
3,316
2
3,318
8,499
$
$
$
$
$
94
2015
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities:
Corporate securities
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total OTTI losses
Gross
Included in OCI
Recognized in
Earnings
$
$
2,188
1
2,189
15,996
181
16,177
18,366
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2,188
1
2,189
15,996
181
16,177
18,366
The majority of the OTTI charges in both 2017 and 2016 were on securities for which we had the intent to sell to facilitate our
fixed income strategy change to more actively manage the portfolio to maximize after-tax income and total return, while
maintaining a similar level of credit quality and duration risk. Charges in 2015 related to equity securities for which we had the
intent to sell in relation to our high-dividend yield strategy, with the remaining charges relating to securities that we did not
believe would recover in the near term.
(k) The components of net realized gains, excluding OTTI charges, were as follows:
($ in thousands)
HTM fixed income securities
Gains
Losses
AFS fixed income securities
Gains
Losses
AFS equity securities
Gains
Losses
Short-term investments
Gains
Losses
Other investments
Gains
Losses
Total net realized investment gains
2017
2016
2015
$
$
44
(1)
10,193
(3,292)
5,829
(1,200)
2
(6)
494
(859)
11,204
3
(1)
7,741
(11,411)
8,108
(864)
—
(13)
3
(4)
3,562
5
(1)
4,515
(312)
29,168
(1,347)
—
—
162
(653)
31,537
Realized gains and losses on the sale of investments are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold.
Proceeds from the sale of AFS securities were $1,235.9 million in 2017, $1,046.1 million in 2016, and $234.1 million in 2015.
Net realized gains in the table above were driven by the following:
•
•
•
2017: A higher trading volume in our fixed income securities portfolio related to a more active external investment
management approach and opportunistic sales in our equity portfolio.
2016: A repositioning of our equity portfolio partially offset by net losses in our AFS fixed income portfolio related to
the change in our strategy to more actively manage this portfolio.
2015: A change in our dividend strategy from a quantitative, model-driven stock selection strategy to a
fundamentally-based stock selection approach that incorporates an assessment of the sustainability and growth rate of
a company's dividends and future cash flow.
95
Note 6. Comprehensive Income
(a) The components of comprehensive income, both gross and net of tax, for 2017, 2016, and 2015 were as follows:
2017
($ in thousands)
Net income
Components of OCI:
Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities:
Unrealized holding gains during the year
Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities
Non-credit OTTI
Realized gains on AFS securities
Net unrealized gains
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Net actuarial loss
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
Other comprehensive income
Comprehensive income
2016
($ in thousands)
Net income
Components of OCI:
Unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities:
Unrealized holding losses during the year
Non-credit portion of OTTI recognized in OCI
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities
Non-credit OTTI
Realized losses on AFS securities
Net unrealized losses
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Net actuarial loss
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
Other comprehensive loss
Comprehensive income
Gross
Tax
Net
$
261,968
93,142
168,826
66,894
36
(179)
104
(6,979)
59,876
(4,684)
2,102
(2,582)
57,294
319,262
23,879
13
(63)
36
(2,442)
21,423
(984)
735
(249)
21,174
114,316
43,015
23
(116)
68
(4,537)
38,453
(3,700)
1,367
(2,333)
36,120
204,946
Gross
Tax
Net
219,955
61,460
158,495
(9,195)
(10)
(141)
213
4,713
(4,420)
(12,079)
6,462
(5,617)
(10,037)
209,918
(3,218)
(4)
(49)
75
1,649
(1,547)
(4,227)
2,262
(1,965)
(3,512)
57,948
(5,977)
(6)
(92)
138
3,064
(2,873)
(7,852)
4,200
(3,652)
(6,525)
151,970
$
$
$
96
2015
($ in thousands)
Net income
Components of OCI:
Unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities:
Unrealized holding losses during the year
Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities
Non-credit OTTI
Realized gains on AFS securities
Net unrealized losses
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:
Net actuarial gain
Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
Other comprehensive loss
Comprehensive income
Gross
Tax
Net
$
232,692
66,831
165,861
(40,221)
(14,078)
(26,143)
(580)
357
(14,016)
(54,460)
2,438
7,077
9,515
(44,945)
187,747
$
(203)
125
(4,906)
(19,062)
853
2,477
3,330
(15,732)
51,099
(377)
232
(9,110)
(35,398)
1,585
4,600
6,185
(29,213)
136,648
(b) The balances of, and changes in, each component of AOCI (net of taxes) as of December 31, 2017 and 2016 were as
follows:
Net Unrealized (Loss) Gain on Investment Securities
($ in thousands)
OTTI Related
HTM Related
All Other
Investments
Subtotal
Defined Benefit
Pension and Post-
retirement Plans
Total AOCI
Balance, December 31, 2015
$
OCI before reclassifications
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
Net current period OCI
Balance, December 31, 2016
OCI before reclassifications
Amounts reclassified from AOCI
Net current period OCI
Balance, December 31, 2017
$
(282)
(6)
138
132
(150)
23
68
91
(59)
194
—
(92)
(92)
102
—
(116)
(116)
(14)
45,083
(5,977)
3,064
(2,913)
42,170
43,015
(4,537)
38,478
80,648
44,995
(5,983)
3,110
(2,873)
42,122
43,038
(4,585)
38,453
80,575
(54,420)
(7,852)
4,200
(3,652)
(58,072)
(3,700)
1,367
(2,333)
(60,405)
(9,425)
(13,835)
7,310
(6,525)
(15,950)
39,338
(3,218)
36,120
20,170
97
The reclassifications out of AOCI are as follows:
($ in thousands)
OTTI related
Non-credit OTTI on disposed securities
$
HTM related
Unrealized losses on HTM disposals
Amortization of net unrealized gains on HTM
securities
Realized (losses) gains on AFS
Realized (losses) gains on AFS disposals
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans
Net actuarial loss
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement life
Year ended
December 31, 2017
Year ended
December 31, 2016
Affected Line Item in the Consolidated
Statements of Income
104
104
(36)
68
32
(211)
(179)
63
(116)
(6,979)
(6,979)
2,442
(4,537)
450
1,652
2,102
(735)
1,367
213 Net realized gains (losses)
213
Income before federal income tax
(75) Total federal income tax expense
138 Net income
169 Net realized gains (losses)
(310) Net investment income earned
(141)
Income before federal income tax
49 Total federal income tax expense
(92) Net income
4,713 Net realized gains (losses)
4,713
Income before federal income tax
(1,649) Total federal income tax expense
3,064 Net income
1,486 Loss and loss expense incurred
4,976 Other insurance expenses
6,462
Income before federal income tax
(2,262) Total federal income tax expense
4,200 Net income
Total reclassifications for the period
$
(3,218)
7,310 Net income
Note 7. Fair Value Measurements
The following table presents the carrying amounts and estimated fair values of our financial instruments as of December 31,
2017 and 2016:
($ in thousands)
Financial Assets
Fixed income securities:
HTM
AFS
Equity securities, AFS
Short-term investments
Long-term debt:
7.25% Senior Notes
6.70% Senior Notes
5.875% Senior Notes
1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY
1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY
3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI
Subtotal long-term debt
Unamortized debt issuance costs
Total long-term debt
December 31, 2017
December 31, 2016
Carrying
Amount
Fair Value
Carrying
Amount
Fair Value
$
$
42,129
5,162,522
182,705
165,555
49,904
99,446
185,000
25,000
25,000
60,000
444,350
(5,234)
439,116
44,100
5,162,522
182,705
165,555
61,391
116,597
186,332
24,270
24,210
60,334
473,134
105,211
4,792,540
146,753
221,701
56,148
108,333
176,860
24,286
24,219
59,313
449,159
101,556
4,792,540
146,753
221,701
49,901
99,430
185,000
25,000
25,000
60,000
444,331
(5,664)
438,667
For discussion regarding the fair value techniques of our financial instruments, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant
Accounting Policies" in this Form 10-K.
98
The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of our financial assets that were measured and recorded at fair value at
December 31, 2017 and 2016:
December 31, 2017
($ in thousands)
Description
Measured on a recurring basis:
AFS fixed income securities:
Fair Value Measurements Using
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)1
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)1
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Assets Measured
at Fair Value
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock2
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total AFS securities
Short-term investments
Total assets measured at fair value
$
49,740
18,555
1,582,970
1,617,468
795,458
383,449
714,882
5,162,522
167,757
14,948
182,705
5,345,227
165,555
5,510,782
24,652
—
—
—
—
—
—
24,652
138,640
14,948
153,588
178,240
165,555
343,795
25,088
18,555
1,582,970
1,617,468
795,458
376,895
714,882
5,131,316
—
—
—
5,131,316
—
5,131,316
—
—
—
—
—
6,554
—
6,554
5,398
—
5,398
11,952
—
11,952
December 31, 2016
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Description
Measured on a recurring basis:
AFS fixed income securities:
Assets Measured at
Fair Value
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)1
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)1
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
U.S. government and government agencies
$
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CLO and other ABS
CMBS
RMBS
Total AFS fixed income securities
AFS equity securities:
Common stock
Preferred stock
Total AFS equity securities
Total AFS securities
Short-term investments
Total assets measured at fair value
$
77,333
26,865
1,379,593
1,997,753
528,960
256,842
525,194
4,792,540
130,608
16,145
146,753
4,939,293
221,701
5,160,994
27,520
—
—
—
—
—
—
49,813
26,865
1,379,593
1,997,753
528,960
256,842
525,194
27,520
4,765,020
122,932
16,145
139,077
166,597
221,701
388,298
—
—
—
4,765,020
—
4,765,020
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7,676
—
7,676
7,676
—
7,676
1 There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2.
2 In accordance with ASU 2015-07, investments amounting to $23.7 million at December 31, 2017, respectively, were measured at fair value using the net asset
value per share (or its practical expedient) and have not been classified in the fair value hierarchy. The fair value amounts presented in this table are intended
to permit reconciliation of the fair value hierarchy to total assets measured at fair value.
99
The following table provides a summary of the changes in the fair value of securities measured using Level 3 inputs and related
quantitative information during 2017:
2017
($ in thousands)
Fair value, December 31, 2016
Total net (losses) gains for the period included in:
OCI
Net income
Purchases
Sales
Issuances
Settlements
Transfers into Level 3
Transfers out of Level 3
Fair value, December 31, 2017
CMBS
Common Stock
$
—
4
—
6,550
—
—
—
—
—
$
6,554
$
7,676
—
—
3,780
(3,958)
—
—
—
(2,100)
5,398
The following tables provide quantitative information regarding our financial assets and liabilities that were not measured, but
were disclosed at fair value at December 31, 2017 and 2016:
December 31, 2017
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Financial Assets
HTM:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
Total HTM fixed income securities
Financial Liabilities
Long-term debt:
7.25% Senior Notes
6.70% Senior Notes
5.875% Senior Notes
1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY
1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY
3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI
Total long-term debt
Assets/Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets/Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
$
$
$
26,261
17,839
44,100
61,391
116,597
186,332
24,270
24,210
60,334
—
—
—
—
—
186,332
—
—
—
$
473,134
186,332
26,261
12,306
38,567
61,391
116,597
—
24,270
24,210
60,334
286,802
—
5,533
5,533
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
100
December 31, 2016
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Financial Assets
HTM:
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Corporate securities
CMBS
Total HTM fixed income securities
Financial Liabilities
Long-term debt:
7.25% Senior Notes
6.70% Senior Notes
5.875% Senior Notes
1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY
1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY
3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI
Total long-term debt
Assets/Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
$
$
$
79,916
24,075
1,220
105,211
56,148
108,333
176,860
24,286
24,219
59,313
—
—
—
—
—
—
176,860
—
—
—
$
449,159
176,860
79,916
16,565
1,220
97,701
56,148
108,333
—
24,286
24,219
59,313
272,299
—
7,510
—
7,510
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Note 8. Reinsurance
Our Financial Statements reflect the effects of assumed and ceded reinsurance transactions. Assumed reinsurance refers to the
acceptance of certain insurance risks that other insurance entities have underwritten. Ceded reinsurance involves transferring
certain insurance risks (along with the related written and earned premiums) that we have underwritten to other insurance
companies that agree to share these risks. The primary purpose of ceded reinsurance is to protect the Insurance Subsidiaries
from potential losses in excess of the amount that we are prepared to accept. Our major treaties covering property, property
catastrophe, and casualty business are excess of loss contracts. In addition, we have an intercompany quota share pooling
arrangement and other minor quota share treaties.
As a Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines writer, we are subject to the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program
Reauthorization Act ("TRIPRA"), which was extended by Congress to December 31, 2020. TRIPRA requires private insurers
and the United States government to share the risk of loss on future acts of terrorism certified by the U.S. Secretary of the
Treasury. Under TRIPRA, each participating insurer is responsible for paying a deductible of specified losses before federal
assistance is available. This deductible is based on a percentage of the prior year’s applicable Standard Commercial Lines and
E&S Lines premiums. In 2018, our deductible is approximately $323 million. For losses above the deductible, the federal
government will pay 82% of losses to an industry limit of $100 billion, and the insurer retains 18%. The federal share of losses
will be reduced by 1% each year to 80% by 2020.
The Insurance Subsidiaries remain liable to policyholders to the extent that any reinsurer becomes unable to meet their
contractual obligations. In addition to this direct counterparty credit risk, we have indirect counterparty credit risk as our
reinsurers often enter into their own reinsurance programs, or retrocessions, as part of managing their exposure to large losses.
We evaluate and monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers under voluntary reinsurance arrangements to minimize our
exposure to significant losses from reinsurer insolvencies. On an ongoing basis, we review amounts outstanding, length of
collection period, changes in reinsurer credit ratings, and other relevant factors to determine collectability of reinsurance
recoverables. The allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables was $4.6 million at December 31, 2017 and $5.5
million at December 31, 2016.
101
The following table represents our total reinsurance balances segregated by reinsurer to depict our concentration of risk
throughout our reinsurance portfolio:
($ in thousands)
Total reinsurance recoverables
Total prepaid reinsurance premiums
Total reinsurance balance
Federal and state pools1:
NFIP
New Jersey Unsatisfied Claim Judgment Fund
Other
Total federal and state pools
Remaining reinsurance balance
Munich Re Group (A.M. Best rated "A+")
Hannover Ruckversicherungs AG (A.M. Best rated "A+")
AXIS Reinsurance Company (A.M. Best rated "A+")
Swiss Re Group (A.M. Best rated "A+")
Partner Reinsurance Company of the U.S. (A.M. Best rated “A”)
All other reinsurers
Total reinsurers
Less: collateral2
Reinsurers, net of collateral
As of December 31, 2017
As of December 31, 2016
Reinsurance
Balances
% of
Reinsurance
Balance
Reinsurance
Balances
% of
Reinsurance
Balance
$
$
$
594,832
153,493
748,325
204,161
62,947
3,634
270,742
477,583
117,460
101,652
62,396
40,772
16,925
138,378
477,583
$
$
$
27%
9
—
36
64
16
14
8
5
2
19
64%
621,537
146,282
767,819
211,181
65,574
3,227
279,982
487,837
119,520
106,298
59,737
50,494
21,125
130,663
487,837
(122,413)
$
355,170
(113,763)
$
374,074
27%
9
—
36
64
16
13
8
7
3
17
64%
1 Considered to have minimal risk of default.
2 Includes letters of credit, trust funds, and funds held against reinsurance recoverables.
Under our reinsurance arrangements, which are prospective in nature, reinsurance premiums ceded are recorded as prepaid
reinsurance and amortized over the remaining contract period in proportion to the reinsurance protection provided, or recorded
periodically, as per the terms of the contract, in a direct relationship to the gross premium recording. Reinsurance recoveries
are recognized as gross losses are incurred.
The following table contains a listing of direct, assumed, and ceded reinsurance amounts for premiums written, premiums
earned, and loss and loss expense incurred:
($ in thousands)
Premiums written:
Direct
Assumed
Ceded
Net
Premiums earned:
Direct
Assumed
Ceded
Net
Loss and loss expense incurred:
Direct
Assumed
Ceded
Net
2017
2016
2015
2,733,459
26,685
(389,503)
2,370,641
2,647,488
25,831
(382,292)
2,291,027
1,570,678
17,588
(243,192)
1,345,074
2,577,259
28,779
(368,750)
2,237,288
2,484,715
28,214
(363,357)
2,149,572
1,560,356
22,708
(348,267)
1,234,797
2,403,519
23,848
(357,463)
2,069,904
2,330,267
23,209
(363,567)
1,989,909
1,274,872
16,996
(143,327)
1,148,541
$
$
$
$
$
$
102
The ceded premiums and losses related to our participation in the NFIP, under which 100% of our flood premiums, and loss and
loss expense are ceded to the NFIP, are as follows:
Ceded to NFIP ($ in thousands)
Ceded premiums written
Ceded premiums earned
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred
2017
2016
2015
$
(241,345)
(235,088)
(160,922)
(232,245)
(227,882)
(239,891)
(228,907)
(233,940)
(62,078)
Note 9. Reserve for Loss and Loss Expense
(a) The table below provides a roll forward of reserves for loss and loss expense for beginning and ending reserve balances:
($ in thousands)
2017
2016
2015
Gross reserves for loss and loss expense, at beginning of year
$
3,691,719
Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense, at beginning of year
Net reserves for loss and loss expense, at beginning of year
Incurred loss and loss expense for claims occurring in the:
Current year
Prior years
Total incurred loss and loss expense
Paid loss and loss expense for claims occurring in the:
Current year
Prior years
Total paid loss and loss expense
Net reserves for loss and loss expense, at end of year
Add: Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense, at end of year
611,200
3,080,519
1,384,266
(39,192)
1,345,074
497,486
742,722
1,240,208
3,185,385
585,855
Gross reserves for loss and loss expense at end of year
$
3,771,240
3,517,728
551,019
2,966,709
1,300,565
(65,768)
1,234,797
450,811
670,176
1,120,987
3,080,519
611,200
3,691,719
3,477,870
571,978
2,905,892
1,217,550
(69,009)
1,148,541
446,550
641,174
1,087,724
2,966,709
551,019
3,517,728
Our net loss and loss expense reserves increased by $104.9 million in 2017, $113.8 million in 2016, and $60.8 million in 2015.
The loss and loss expense reserves are net of anticipated recoveries for salvage and subrogation claims, which amounted to $64.8
million for 2017, $64.9 million for 2016, and $62.1 million for 2015. The changes in the net loss and loss expense reserves were
the result of growth in exposures, anticipated loss trends, payments of claims, and normal reserve changes inherent in the
uncertainty in establishing reserves for loss and loss expense. As additional information is collected in the loss settlement
process, reserves are adjusted accordingly. These adjustments are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income in the
period in which such adjustments are identified. These changes could have a material impact on the results of operations of future
periods when the adjustments are made.
In 2017, we experienced overall net favorable prior year loss development of $39.2 million, compared to $65.8 million in 2016
and $69.0 million in 2015. The following table summarizes the prior year development by line of business:
(Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Development
($ in millions)
General Liability
Commercial Automobile
Workers Compensation
Businessowners' Policies
Commercial Property
Homeowners
Personal Automobile
E&S Casualty Lines
Other
Total
2017
2016
2015
$
$
(48.3)
35.6
(52.3)
1.9
8.7
0.4
6.7
10.0
(1.9)
(39.2)
(45.0)
25.3
(56.0)
1.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
6.0
(0.9)
(65.8)
(51.0)
2.4
(37.0)
2.2
(3.0)
1.5
0.4
16.0
(0.5)
(69.0)
The Insurance Subsidiaries had $39.2 million of favorable prior accident year development during 2017, which included $48.6
million of net favorable casualty development and $9.4 million of unfavorable property development. The net favorable casualty
reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation and general liability lines of business, including products
liability and excess liability. Partially offsetting this net favorable development was $36.0 million of unfavorable casualty
development in the commercial auto line of business. In addition, our E&S casualty lines experienced unfavorable development
of $10.0 million in 2017.
103
The majority of the 2017 net favorable development was attributable to accident years 2016 and prior, driven by the general
liability and workers compensation lines of business. This net favorable development was partially offset by unfavorable
development in accident years 2015 and 2016 attributable to our commercial auto and E&S casualty lines of business. The
unfavorable development in our commercial auto line of business was driven primarily by bodily injury liability for accident
years 2012 through 2016, driven by higher than expected frequency and severity.
The Insurance Subsidiaries had $65.8 million of favorable prior accident year development during 2016, which included $69.0
million of net favorable casualty development and $3.2 million of unfavorable property development. The net favorable casualty
reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation and general liability lines of business, including products
liability and excess liability. Partially offsetting this net favorable development was $25.0 million of unfavorable casualty
development in the commercial automobile line of business. In addition, our E&S casualty lines experienced unfavorable
development of $6.0 million in 2016.
The majority of the 2016 net favorable development was attributable to accident years 2013 and prior, driven by the workers
compensation and general liability lines of business. This net favorable development was partially offset by unfavorable
development in accident years 2014 and 2015 attributable to our commercial auto and E&S casualty lines of business. The
unfavorable development in our commercial auto line of business was driven primarily by bodily injury liability for accident
years 2014 and 2015. The unfavorable development in accident year 2014 was driven by higher than expected severity, whereas
accident year 2015 was driven by higher than expected frequency and severity.
The Insurance Subsidiaries had $69.0 million of favorable prior accident year development during 2015, which included $67.0
million of net favorable casualty development and $2.0 million of favorable property development. The net favorable casualty
reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation and general liability lines of business. Our E&S casualty
lines experienced unfavorable development of $16.0 million in 2015.
The majority of the 2015 net favorable development was attributable to accident years 2009 through 2013, driven by the workers
compensation and general liability lines of business. This net favorable development was partially offset by unfavorable
development in accident years 2012 through 2014 attributable to our E&S casualty lines of business.
(b) Reserves established for liability insurance include exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. These claims have arisen
primarily from insured exposures in municipal government, small non-manufacturing commercial risk, and homeowners policies.
The emergence of these claims is slow and highly unpredictable. There are significant uncertainties in estimating our exposure to
asbestos and environmental claims (for both case and IBNR reserves) resulting from lack of relevant historical data, the delayed
and inconsistent reporting patterns associated with these claims, and uncertainty as to the number and identity of claimants and
complex legal and coverage issues. Legal issues that arise in asbestos and environmental cases include federal or state venue,
choice of law, causation, admissibility of evidence, allocation of damages and contribution among joint defendants, successor and
predecessor liability, and whether direct action against insurers can be maintained. Coverage issues that arise in asbestos and
environmental cases include the interpretation and application of policy exclusions, the determination and calculation of policy
limits, the determination of the ultimate amount of a loss, the extent to which a loss is covered by a policy, if at all, the obligation
of an insurer to defend a claim, and the extent to which a party can prove the existence of coverage. Courts have reached different
and sometimes inconsistent conclusions on these legal and coverage issues. We do not discount to present value that portion of
our losses and loss expense reserves expected to be paid in future periods.
The following table details our loss and loss expense reserves for various asbestos and environmental claims:
($ in millions)
Asbestos
Landfill sites
Underground storage tanks
Total
2017
Gross
Net
$
$
7.6
12.4
8.4
28.4
6.3
7.7
7.2
21.2
Reserves for asbestos and environmental claims are highly uncertain. There are significant uncertainties associated with
estimating critical assumptions, such as average clean-up costs, third-party costs, potentially responsible party shares, allocation
of damages, litigation and coverage costs, and potential state and federal legislative changes. Estimating IBNR is challenging
because of the delayed and inconsistent reporting patterns associated with these claims. Traditional actuarial approaches cannot
be applied because past loss history is not necessarily indicative of future behavior. While certain alternative projection models
104
can be applied, such models can produce significantly different results with small changes in assumptions. As a result, reserves
for asbestos and environmental require a high degree of judgment. Because of the significant uncertainty in the estimate, we do
not calculate an asbestos and environmental loss range.
Historically, our asbestos and environmental claims have been significantly lower in volume than many other standard
commercial lines carriers since, prior to the introduction of the absolute pollution exclusion endorsement in the mid-1980’s, we
were primarily a Standard Personal Lines carrier and therefore do not have broad exposure to asbestos and environmental claims.
Additionally, we are the primary insurance carrier on the majority of these exposures, which provides more certainty in our
reserve position compared to other insurance carriers.
The following table provides a roll forward of gross and net asbestos and environmental incurred loss and loss expense and
related reserves thereon:
($ in thousands)
Asbestos
Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year
Incurred loss and loss expense
Less: loss and loss expense paid
Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year
Environmental
Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year
Incurred loss and loss expense
Less: loss and loss expense paid
Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year
Total Asbestos and Environmental Claims
Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year
Incurred loss and loss expense
Less: loss and loss expense paid
Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year
2017
2016
2015
Gross
Net
Gross
Net
Gross
Net
$
$
$
$
$
$
7,847
—
(270)
7,577
22,115
126
(1,403)
20,838
29,962
126
(1,673)
28,415
6,615
—
(269)
6,346
16,101
—
(1,235)
14,866
22,716
—
(1,504)
21,212
8,024
77
(254)
7,847
22,387
1,406
(1,678)
22,115
30,411
1,483
(1,932)
29,962
6,793
77
(255)
6,615
16,368
1,303
(1,570)
16,101
23,161
1,380
(1,825)
22,716
8,751
(428)
(299)
8,024
21,902
3,396
(2,911)
22,387
30,653
2,968
(3,210)
30,411
7,314
(77)
(444)
6,793
15,680
3,397
(2,709)
16,368
22,994
3,320
(3,153)
23,161
(c) The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2017, net of reinsurance, as well
as cumulative claim frequency and the total of IBNR liabilities. During the experience period, we implemented a series of
claims-related initiatives and claims management changes. These initiatives focused on claims handling and reserving, medical
claims costs, and loss adjustment expenses. As a result of these initiatives, several historical patterns have changed and may no
longer be appropriate to use as the sole basis for projections.
All Lines
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$
957,247
988,584
990,931
964,862
947,306
936,975
927,958
931,785
926,017
920,143
941,972
916,691
883,590
870,057
869,927
857,960
853,401
950,114
973,742
977,959
956,600
943,118
922,404
915,131
923,978
848,413
907,074
1,042,576 1,061,667 1,062,233 1,056,107 1,033,518 1,023,726
1,019,351
1,065,437 1,071,290 1,020,655
998,028
973,089
973,644
41,791
41,937
50,293
63,891
77,542
1,044,142 1,062,045 1,047,230 1,021,007
1,002,316
116,449
1,107,513 1,133,798 1,146,990
1,124,014
171,913
1,114,081 1,130,513
1,144,830
256,758
1,188,608
1,203,634
416,010
1,270,110
634,863
Total
10,417,364
105
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
85,338
85,575
94,258
104,500
103,745
90,755
94,375
92,891
92,191
88,941
All Lines
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
286,314
489,633
277,275
609,851
442,417
328,826
690,016
540,982
509,910
391,944
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
764,196
634,902
625,229
585,867
378,067
798,996
695,249
704,895
692,730
555,819
335,956
819,280
736,100
773,536
782,655
651,544
518,872
405,898
839,392
760,589
803,773
852,202
743,742
644,475
614,075
376,641
853,769
775,885
823,770
901,801
810,135
748,758
736,154
581,203
387,272
860,745
784,713
835,532
924,111
856,195
833,823
855,959
725,385
617,958
433,440
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
352,192
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
3,041,694
Total
7,727,861
General Liability
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$ 250,239
243,755
243,536
234,770
233,712
224,236
219,551
221,640
221,203
237,913
241,625
233,530
223,146
212,947
211,243
206,387
205,741
215,208
228,680
242,499
237,154
222,328
211,619
208,968
227,769
228,720
239,480
230,785
217,256
211,196
238,979
245,561
215,083
194,144
175,305
250,609
251,421
239,776
225,709
244,312
249,946
257,132
254,720
245,710
277,214
219,617
201,568
202,394
212,011
175,268
210,785
239,333
246,990
272,048
293,747
14,326
17,629
18,403
25,729
27,702
53,014
80,168
124,639
178,904
249,085
Total
2,273,761
General Liability
(in thousands)
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
13,769
13,841
12,672
11,579
9,922
10,226
10,391
9,987
9,617
8,194
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
16,397
45,595
14,346
82,421
37,143
15,726
113,088
64,970
46,201
13,924
151,055
103,213
80,018
42,692
13,030
166,394
130,554
113,050
73,643
35,241
12,789
176,873
151,920
143,360
102,978
56,580
35,113
14,901
186,896
166,767
161,487
135,377
89,008
72,127
46,825
14,665
194,257
176,316
172,394
159,768
109,448
104,587
79,972
39,978
15,684
Total
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
198,360
180,621
178,179
170,525
130,866
139,114
121,969
78,668
46,549
17,366
1,262,217
80,514
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
1,092,058
106
Workers Compensation
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$ 219,616
243,186
255,810
250,423
241,921
245,993
244,100
243,512
238,836
197,504
215,946
213,036
210,109
210,756
216,992
212,536
208,611
198,371
214,469
212,815
211,030
214,916
212,448
208,155
205,238
218,973
214,743
215,114
210,591
205,708
203,864
208,036
199,360
195,197
188,596
199,794
194,318
187,658
173,160
199,346
187,065
182,579
193,729
194,639
196,774
238,218
208,142
204,423
200,674
187,359
166,662
172,515
183,604
184,946
195,202
25,993
22,575
28,964
32,881
36,233
34,776
42,869
42,287
70,424
112,086
Total
1,941,745
Workers Compensation
(in thousands)
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
14,401
12,217
12,184
11,845
11,605
11,366
10,482
10,530
10,509
10,182
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
39,628
100,678
37,885
139,144
87,299
46,795
158,083
117,019
93,281
42,941
171,403
133,116
122,442
90,836
40,911
180,556
145,417
137,184
118,847
86,909
36,829
188,206
154,726
149,086
134,646
108,211
74,568
35,924
191,265
160,529
153,795
139,232
122,755
96,376
78,944
33,857
195,962
164,336
158,078
149,269
132,052
109,739
100,876
77,320
34,525
198,512
167,894
162,796
154,320
139,477
118,669
113,626
98,195
78,531
40,375
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
247,121
916,471
Total
1,272,395
Commercial Automobile
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$196,370
195,823
190,349
187,100
187,417
182,785
180,902
183,736
183,618
199,541
191,079
182,724
169,858
166,682
162,911
161,251
161,923
187,562
189,305
187,778
181,923
179,854
172,969
173,157
174,006
183,044
182,325
178,421
172,617
174,882
179,551
191,947
183,527
184,289
184,367
188,289
205,282
209,197
207,994
200,534
212,725
216,824
220,994
240,958
255,187
183,151
161,300
173,471
174,514
186,128
210,410
219,925
253,074
274,367
301,274
Total 2,137,614
736
897
1,491
2,937
3,880
8,258
19,053
36,137
71,303
132,814
107
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
24,129
24,652
25,301
25,272
23,889
25,392
27,338
28,818
30,480
30,187
Commercial Automobile
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
69,053
104,711
63,126
130,857
94,406
68,098
151,741
113,697
99,254
69,849
166,487
137,564
128,015
99,196
73,316
173,795
149,949
146,913
121,576
105,371
76,469
175,244
155,560
163,513
142,507
127,235
109,893
80,810
180,779
158,303
167,227
157,291
148,669
140,015
117,169
91,347
181,779
159,723
169,100
166,082
168,114
169,850
148,884
132,260
106,022
181,979
160,013
169,793
170,000
176,656
189,626
180,701
175,866
155,720
117,287
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
4,158
464,131
Total
1,677,641
Businessowners' Policies
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$ 39,660
38,986
48,535
39,334
51,762
53,669
32,974
46,645
49,285
54,469
30,250
43,828
42,408
57,083
54,342
29,793
43,553
39,915
51,047
48,029
49,617
31,066
44,938
40,899
58,242
46,303
42,618
55,962
31,340
44,299
40,581
59,256
44,172
41,005
60,949
52,871
30,967
44,273
41,239
58,966
44,077
40,624
62,548
53,768
52,335
31,065
43,933
41,197
58,456
43,747
41,369
59,806
57,245
53,792
46,624
Total
477,234
192
272
697
1,080
756
3,192
5,952
10,256
11,938
15,252
Businessowners' Policies
(in thousands)
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
3,258
3,474
3,917
4,959
5,540
3,479
4,054
3,913
3,757
3,462
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
15,019
21,765
18,915
24,449
29,612
20,821
25,738
32,689
28,131
27,884
28,026
36,073
31,027
37,362
22,199
28,660
40,052
34,705
41,011
31,833
17,412
28,589
42,895
37,819
46,444
35,089
26,592
28,914
29,778
43,358
38,900
52,114
37,215
30,845
40,584
24,189
30,873
43,448
40,279
55,856
38,766
34,760
44,911
36,014
24,655
30,873
43,547
40,395
57,045
40,627
37,993
49,460
42,710
36,848
21,865
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
7,292
83,163
Total
401,363
108
Commercial Property
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
7,604
7,009
7,667
9,036
8,514
5,709
6,512
6,398
6,686
6,358
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$ 97,578
102,860
101,436
101,470
101,265
101,702
101,043
100,881
101,043
101,054
82,619
82,124
105,647
82,025
96,851
82,014
97,386
80,774
96,127
80,455
95,530
80,558
95,363
80,545
95,178
136,954
131,667
130,942
131,282
131,353
131,113
118,464
114,224
115,375
116,658
117,102
88,101
90,639
90,103
90,005
141,192
136,249
136,820
110,270
109,513
121,927
80,416
95,155
131,049
117,170
90,436
138,751
111,750
126,185
138,773
Total
1,130,739
2
4
5
4
24
42
126
261
804
8,794
Commercial Property
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
68,211
98,921
59,933
100,465
78,695
69,543
99,288
80,433
91,918
94,538
100,213
100,752
100,908
100,868
101,034
80,894
94,602
127,580
81,528
80,251
95,111
129,579
108,834
60,244
80,352
95,270
130,681
111,503
87,874
101,131
80,529
95,147
131,060
114,699
90,446
132,909
79,048
80,509
95,156
131,115
116,291
90,350
136,634
106,182
83,966
101,032
80,405
95,150
131,089
116,625
90,840
137,883
109,829
118,789
99,047
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
250
50,300
Total
1,080,689
Personal Automobile
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$100,311
106,999
106,842
103,934
100,213
99,912
99,686
99,255
99,116
93,808
103,319
105,033
103,908
104,734
103,866
103,393
103,412
103,340
110,075
112,346
109,515
107,490
107,405
107,224
113,232
116,164
113,686
112,993
114,241
113,830
113,771
114,921
109,832
109,324
110,294
108,417
109,620
106,225
106,703
102,250
109,325
106,757
96,387
99,698
92,727
99,270
103,348
107,054
113,988
110,300
107,759
107,452
100,214
98,032
101,880
191
191
222
284
728
851
2,554
6,541
11,651
22,284
Total
1,049,297
109
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
16,042
17,346
20,822
22,700
22,332
22,371
22,499
20,840
19,747
19,818
Personal Automobile
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
50,396
73,194
51,039
84,715
71,911
58,786
91,834
86,431
82,490
61,323
95,932
96,229
95,300
82,102
63,704
97,723
100,566
101,540
93,878
82,729
61,384
98,174
102,187
104,061
105,068
94,842
80,861
62,519
98,604
102,322
105,849
111,085
102,977
92,637
83,739
58,725
98,668
102,437
106,453
112,732
107,890
100,528
92,589
76,470
57,961
98,810
103,009
106,733
113,551
109,355
105,131
99,173
87,163
76,823
62,854
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
5,862
92,557
Total
962,602
Homeowners
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$ 41,224
41,747
47,636
39,342
44,511
68,373
39,203
42,609
67,525
103,804
38,062
40,313
63,285
98,211
87,260
38,410
61,927
97,761
82,744
82,745
73,670
38,111
40,400
62,462
94,167
86,560
72,528
80,111
38,042
40,465
62,402
94,543
86,667
71,494
82,461
76,637
38,045
40,457
62,339
94,183
86,271
72,145
83,637
76,400
60,105
38,038
40,451
62,392
94,378
86,330
71,714
83,844
76,559
60,931
59,167
Total
673,804
56
73
84
159
180
284
1,146
2,744
2,067
5,315
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
5,139
5,633
9,131
15,106
16,936
7,747
8,762
7,724
6,820
6,651
Homeowners
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
21,277
33,535
28,299
36,271
36,965
43,699
37,086
38,078
58,638
71,668
37,763
39,342
60,295
89,963
69,056
37,837
39,731
61,106
91,718
79,584
50,664
37,933
39,819
62,155
92,185
82,720
65,528
61,561
37,939
39,907
62,227
93,312
84,250
67,838
76,007
52,589
37,930
40,189
62,241
93,720
85,196
69,775
79,751
70,078
42,252
Total
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
37,928
40,269
62,272
94,007
85,562
71,776
81,664
72,202
57,333
45,466
648,479
5,403
30,728
110
E&S Casualty Lines
(in thousands, except for claim counts)
Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
Accident
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
IBNR
$
92
885
3,294
8,127
169
1,053
4,106
7,102
42,367
146
938
3,369
9,853
42,621
55,468
119
728
4,299
12,207
43,175
60,309
55,316
52
710
3,831
10,273
46,149
67,099
63,505
75,498
(162)
96
3,055
9,652
46,165
69,112
69,929
76,432
94,451
119
737
4,932
10,228
45,988
67,647
71,719
82,404
96,416
91,438
—
—
—
361
7,313
15,326
18,224
32,909
65,489
79,354
Total
471,628
As of
December 31, 2017
Cumulative
Number of
Reported
Claims
35
274
804
1,316
2,006
2,219
1,987
2,606
2,454
1,760
E&S Casualty Lines
(in thousands)
Accident
Year
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Unaudited
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$
—
—
—
—
24
198
1,218
806
3,722
70
431
2,570
3,200
7,914
2,715
80
605
3,574
6,445
16,430
9,470
2,353
79
626
4,078
9,954
25,064
21,980
12,234
3,036
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
92
709
4,513
9,912
32,343
35,200
25,571
13,057
3,720
Total
All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance
Liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
97
737
4,610
10,256
36,278
46,108
43,877
29,389
16,195
5,057
192,604
—
279,023
In 2011, the Parent purchased Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC"), a wholly-owned E&S Lines
subsidiary of Montpelier Re Holdings, Ltd. Under the terms of the purchase agreement, the Parent acquired net loss and loss
adjustment reserves amounting to approximately $15 million. All development on this acquired business was fully reinsured as of
the acquisition date.
111
(d) The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for loss and loss adjustment expenses
in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows:
(in thousands)
Net outstanding liabilities:
Standard Commercial Lines
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile
Businessowners' policies
Commercial property
Other Standard Commercial Lines
Total Standard Commercial Lines net outstanding liabilities
Standard Personal Lines
Personal automobile
Homeowners
Other Standard Personal Lines
Total Standard Personal Lines net outstanding liabilities
E&S Lines
Casualty lines
Property lines
Total E&S Lines net outstanding liabilities
Total liabilities for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims:
Standard Commercial Lines
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile
Businessowners' policies
Commercial property
Other Standard Commercial Lines
Total Standard Commercial Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss
Standard Personal Lines
Personal automobile
Homeowners
Other Standard Personal Lines
Total Standard Personal Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss
E&S Lines
Casualty lines
Property lines
Total E&S Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss
Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss
Unallocated loss adjustment expenses
Total gross liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses
112
December 31, 2017
1,092,058
916,471
464,131
83,163
50,300
10,560
2,616,683
92,557
30,728
9,184
132,469
279,023
13,519
292,542
3,041,694
175,276
218,024
16,745
3,926
24,387
2,287
440,645
53,129
999
69,333
123,461
21,360
389
21,749
585,855
143,691
3,771,240
(e) The table below reflects the historical average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age. For example, the general
liability line of business averages payout of 6.6% of its ultimate losses in the first year, 12.5% in the second year, and so forth.
The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2017:
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
Years
General liability
Workers compensation
Commercial automobile
Businessowners’ policies
Commercial property
Personal automobile
Homeowners
E&S Lines - casualty
1
6.6%
20.2
38.2
46.6
70.5
56.1
71.1
4.5
2
12.5
23.9
17.4
20.8
25.6
18.9
21.0
12.5
3
15.4
13.6
14.0
8.1
2.7
10.7
3.3
18.2
4
16.7
8.3
12.8
7.5
0.7
7.4
2.1
5
14.9
5.0
9.0
7.5
0.4
4.2
1.6
20.4
15.5
6
10.1
3.9
4.1
4.1
0.1
1.5
0.1
8.3
7
6.0
2.8
1.6
2.0
—
0.4
—
4.0
8
4.6
2.0
1.4
1.6
—
0.1
0.2
9
2.2
1.8
0.7
0.1
—
0.2
0.2
10
1.3
1.9
0.1
1.1
—
—
0.1
Note 10. Indebtedness
The table below provides a summary of our outstanding debt at December 31, 2017 and 2016:
Outstanding Debt
($ in thousands)
Description
Long-term:
(1) FHLBI
(2) FHLBNY
(2) FHLBNY
(3) Senior Notes
(4) Senior Notes
(5) Senior Notes
Total long-term debt
Issuance
Date
Maturity
Date
Interest
Rate
Original
Amount
12/16/2016
12/16/2026
3.03% $
60,000
8/15/2016
8/16/2021
7/21/2016
7/21/2021
1.56%
1.61%
2/8/2013
2/9/2043
5.875%
11/3/2005
11/1/2035
11/16/2004
11/15/2034
6.70%
7.25%
25,000
25,000
185,000
100,000
50,000
$ 445,000
2017
Debt Discount
and Unamortized
Issuance Costs
Carry Value
December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016
—
—
—
(4,570)
(989)
(325)
(5,884)
60,000
25,000
25,000
180,430
99,011
49,675
439,116
60,000
25,000
25,000
180,068
98,952
49,647
438,667
Short-term Debt
Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA") borrowed: (i) $64 million in short-term funds from the FHLBNY on
February 28, 2017 at an interest rate of 0.75%, which it repaid on March 21, 2017; and (ii) $20 million in short-term funds from
the FHLBNY on November 8, 2017 at an interest rate of 1.29%, which it repaid on November 15, 2017.
The Parent's line of credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust
Company (BB&T) (referred to as our "Line of Credit"), was renewed effective December 1, 2015, with a borrowing capacity of
$30 million, which can be increased to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners. Our Line of Credit expires on
December 1, 2020, and has an interest rate, which varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. There
were no balances outstanding under our Line of Credit at December 31, 2017 or at any time during 2017.
Our Line of Credit agreement contains representations, warranties, and covenants that are customary for credit facilities of this
type, including, without limitation, financial covenants under which we are obligated to maintain a minimum consolidated net
worth, minimum combined statutory surplus, maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, and covenants limiting
our ability to: (i) merge or liquidate; (ii) incur debt or liens; (iii) dispose of assets; (iv) make investments and acquisitions; and
(v) engage in transactions with affiliates.
The table below outlines information regarding certain of the covenants in the Line of Credit:
Consolidated net worth
Statutory surplus
Debt-to-capitalization ratio1
A.M. Best financial strength rating
1 Calculated in accordance with the Line of Credit agreement.
Required as of
December 31, 2017
Not less than $1.2 billion
Not less than $750 million
Not to exceed 35%
Minimum of A-
113
Actual as of
December 31, 2017
$1.7 billion
$1.7 billion
20.5%
A
In addition to the above requirements, the Line of Credit agreement contains a cross-default provision that provides that the
Line of Credit will be in default if we fail to comply with any condition, covenant, or agreement (including payment of
principal and interest when due on any debt with an aggregate principal amount of at least $20 million), which causes or
permits the acceleration of principal. Additionally, the Line of Credit limits borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY to
10% of the respective member company's admitted assets for the previous year.
Long-term Debt
(1) In the first quarter of 2009, Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC") and Selective Insurance Company
of the Southeast ("SICSE"), which are collectively referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana,
joined, and invested in, the FHLBI, which provides them with access to additional liquidity. The Indiana Subsidiaries’
aggregate investment in the FHLBI was $2.8 million at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016. Our investment provides
us the ability to borrow approximately 20 times the total amount of the FHLBI common stock purchased with additional
collateral, at comparatively low borrowing rates. The proceeds from the FHLBI borrowing on December 16, 2016 of $60
million were used to repay a $45 million borrowing from the FHLBI that was outstanding at the time, with the remaining $15
million used for general corporate purposes. All borrowings from the FHLBI require security. For information on investments
that are pledged as collateral for these borrowings, see Note 5. "Investments" above.
(2) In the fourth quarter of 2015, SICA and Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY") joined, and invested in, the
FHLBNY, which provides them with access to additional liquidity. The aggregate investment for both subsidiaries was $2.6
million at December 31, 2017 and $2.8 million at December 31, 2016. Our investment provides us the ability to borrow
approximately 20 times the total amount of the FHLBNY common stock purchased with additional collateral, at comparatively
low borrowing rates. In 2016, SICA borrowed the following amounts from the FHLBNY: (i) $25 million in August 2016 at an
interest rate of 1.56%, which is due on August 16, 2021; and (ii) $25 million from the FHLBNY at an interest rate of 1.61%,
which is due on July 21, 2021.
All borrowings from the FHLBNY require security. For information on investments that are pledged as collateral for these
borrowings, see Note 5. "Investments" above.
(3) In February 2013, we issued $185 million of 5.875% Senior Notes due 2043. The notes became callable by us on February
8, 2018, at a price equal to 100% of their principal outstanding amount, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the
date of redemption. A portion of the proceeds from this debt issuance was used to fully redeem the $100 million aggregate
principal amount of our 7.5% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2066. Of the remaining net proceeds, $57.1 million was used to
make capital contributions to the Insurance Subsidiaries, while the balance was used for general corporate purposes. There are
no financial debt covenants to which we are required to comply in regards to these Senior Notes.
(4) In November 2005, we issued $100 million of 6.70% Senior Notes due 2035. These notes were issued at a discount of $0.7
million resulting in an effective yield of 6.754%. Net proceeds of approximately $50 million were used to fund an irrevocable
trust that subsequently funded certain payment obligations in respect of our outstanding debt. The remainder of the proceeds
was used for general corporate purposes. The agreements covering these notes contain a standard default cross-acceleration
provision that provides the 6.70% Senior Notes will enter a state of default upon the failure to pay principal when due or upon
any event or condition that results in an acceleration of principal of any other debt instrument in excess of $10 million that we
have outstanding concurrently with the 6.70% Senior Notes. There are no financial debt covenants to which we are required to
comply in regards to these notes.
(5) In November 2004, we issued $50 million of 7.25% Senior Notes due 2034. These notes were issued at a discount of $0.1
million, resulting in an effective yield of 7.27%. We contributed $25 million of the bond proceeds to the Insurance Subsidiaries
as capital. The remainder of the proceeds was used for general corporate purposes. The agreements covering these notes
contain a standard default cross-acceleration provision that provides the 7.25% Senior Notes will enter a state of default upon
the failure to pay principal when due or upon any event or condition that results in an acceleration of principal of any other debt
instrument in excess of $10 million that we have outstanding concurrently with the 7.25% Senior Notes. There are no financial
debt covenants to which we are required to comply in regards to these notes.
114
Note 11. Segment Information
The disaggregated results of our four reportable segments are used by senior management to manage our operations. These
reportable segments are evaluated as follows:
• Our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines are evaluated based on before and after-
tax underwriting results (net premiums earned, incurred loss and loss expense, policyholders dividends, policy
acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses), and combined ratios.
• Our Investments segment is evaluated based on after-tax net investment income and net realized gains and losses.
In computing the results of each segment, we do not make adjustments for interest expense or corporate expenses. We do not
maintain separate investment portfolios for the segments and therefore, do not allocate assets to the segments.
Our combined insurance operations are subject to certain geographic concentrations, particularly in the Northeast and Mid-
Atlantic regions of the country. In 2017, approximately 20% of NPW were related to insurance policies written in New Jersey.
The goodwill balance of $7.8 million at both December 31, 2017 and 2016 relates to our Standard Commercial Lines reporting
unit.
The following summaries present revenues (net investment income and net realized gains on investments in the case of the
Investments segment) and pre-tax income for the individual segments:
Revenue by Segment
($ in thousands)
Standard Commercial Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Commercial automobile
Workers compensation
General liability
Commercial property
Businessowners’ policies
Bonds
Other
Miscellaneous income
Total Standard Commercial Lines revenue
Standard Personal Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Personal automobile
Homeowners
Other
Miscellaneous income
Total Standard Personal Lines revenue
E&S Lines:
Net premiums earned:
Casualty lines
Property lines
Miscellaneous income
Total E&S Lines revenue
Investments:
Net investment income
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Total Investments revenues
Total revenues
Years ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
$
442,818
317,982
569,217
311,932
100,266
29,086
17,198
9,488
398,942
308,233
527,859
293,438
97,754
23,227
16,030
7,782
358,909
290,075
483,291
269,022
93,428
20,350
14,367
6,343
1,797,987
1,673,265
1,535,785
153,147
129,699
6,855
1,228
290,929
157,366
55,461
—
212,827
161,882
6,359
168,241
142,876
130,973
6,758
1,098
281,705
151,638
51,844
1
203,483
130,754
(4,937)
125,817
146,784
134,382
6,968
1,113
289,247
126,064
46,269
—
172,333
121,316
13,171
134,487
$
2,469,984
2,284,270
2,131,852
115
Income Before Federal Income Tax
($ in thousands)
Standard Commercial Lines:
Underwriting gain, before federal income tax
Underwriting gain, after federal income tax
Combined ratio
Standard Personal Lines:
Underwriting gain, before federal income tax
Underwriting gain, after federal income tax
Combined ratio
E&S Lines:
Underwriting loss, before federal income tax
Underwriting loss, after federal income tax
Combined ratio
Investments:
Net investment income
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Total investment income, before federal income tax
Tax on investment income
Total investment income, after federal income tax
Reconciliation of Segment Results to Income Before Federal Income Tax
($ in thousands)
Underwriting gain (loss)
Standard Commercial Lines
Standard Personal Lines
E&S Lines
Investment income
Total all segments
Interest expense
Corporate expenses
Income, before federal income tax
Years ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
149,514
97,184
91.6%
146,435
95,183
91.2%
11,104
7,217
96.2%
(6,282)
(4,083)
103.0%
161,882
6,359
168,241
45,588
122,653
12,419
8,072
95.6%
(6,921)
(4,499)
103.4%
130,754
(4,937)
125,817
30,621
95,196
164,496
106,923
89.2%
1,336
868
99.5%
(16,803)
(10,922)
109.8%
121,316
13,171
134,487
32,090
102,397
Years ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
149,514
11,104
(6,282)
168,241
322,577
(24,354)
(36,255)
261,968
146,435
12,419
(6,921)
125,817
277,750
(22,771)
(35,024)
219,955
164,496
1,336
(16,803)
134,487
283,516
(22,428)
(28,396)
232,692
$
$
$
$
$
Note 12. Earnings per Share
The following table provides a reconciliation of the numerators and denominators of basic and diluted earnings per share
("EPS"):
2017
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
Basic EPS:
Net income available to common stockholders
Effect of dilutive securities:
Stock compensation plans
Diluted EPS:
Income
(Numerator)
Shares
(Denominator)
Per Share
Amount
$
168,826
58,458
$
2.89
—
899
Net income available to common stockholders
$
168,826
59,357
$
2.84
116
2016
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
Basic EPS:
Net income available to common stockholders
Effect of dilutive securities:
Stock compensation plans
Diluted EPS:
Net income available to common stockholders
2015
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
Basic EPS:
Net income available to common stockholders
Effect of dilutive securities:
Stock compensation plans
Diluted EPS:
Income
(Numerator)
Shares
(Denominator)
Per Share
Amount
$
158,495
57,889
$
2.74
—
858
$
$
158,495
58,747
$
2.70
Income
(Numerator)
Shares
(Denominator)
Per Share
Amount
165,861
57,212
$
2.90
—
944
Net income available to common stockholders
$
165,861
58,156
$
2.85
Note 13. Federal Income Taxes
(a) On December 22, 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 ("Tax Reform") was signed into law, which among other
implications, will reduce our statutory corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% beginning with our 2018 tax year. We revalued our
deferred tax inventory as of December 31, 2017 in anticipation of this reduction, which resulted in a $20.2 million charge to
income as illustrated in the rate reconciliation table below. This charge included a $5.7 million benefit related to net unrealized
gains on our investment portfolio and pension plan, which were originally recorded through AOCI.
Our accounting for the impact of Tax Reform on our deferred tax assets and liabilities is complete with the exception of
amounts related to loss reserve discounting. Prior to Tax Reform, we had elected to use our own loss reserve payment patterns
in determining the factors that we use in our discounting calculation. Under Tax Reform, this election has been eliminated and
we are required to use an industry experience approach that includes a discount rate based on a corporate bond yield curve for
which the IRS has not yet issued any guidance. Considering this, we have recorded a $7.5 million provisional increase to our
deferred tax asset that is based on the industry experience approach under the tax law that existed prior to Tax Reform. We
believe this is a reasonable estimate for the elimination of the company experience method election. We have not estimated a
provisional amount based on the revised Tax Reform industry experience approach. Based on a Tax Reform transition rule that
allows for this type of change in accounting method to be amortized into expense over an eight-year period beginning in 2018,
we have established an offsetting deferred tax liability of $7.5 million as of December 31, 2017. During 2018, we will obtain,
prepare, and analyze the necessary information to complete the accounting for loss reserve discounting.
(b) A reconciliation of federal income tax on income at the corporate rate to the effective tax rate is as follows:
($ in thousands)
Tax at statutory rate of 35%
Tax-advantaged interest
Dividends received deduction
Stock based compensation
Tax reform rate change
Other
Federal income tax expense from continuing operations
2017
2016
2015
$
$
91,689
(11,510)
(1,961)
(4,281)
20,205
(1,000)
93,142
76,984
(12,126)
(1,114)
—
—
(2,284)
61,460
81,442
(13,164)
(1,817)
—
—
370
66,831
In addition to the impact of Tax Reform discussed above, our rate reconciliation for 2017 was also impacted by the $4.3 million
impact of new accounting literature requiring that the tax effects of share-based compensation be recognized in the income tax
provision. Previously, these amounts were recorded in additional paid-in capital. See Note 3. "Adoption of Accounting
Pronouncements" for additional information regarding this literature change.
117
(c) The tax effects of the significant temporary differences that gave rise to deferred tax assets and liabilities were as follows:
($ in thousands)
Deferred tax assets:
Net loss reserve discounting
Net unearned premiums
Employee benefits
Long-term incentive compensation plans
Temporary investment write-downs
Other investment related items, net
Net operating loss
Other
Total deferred tax assets
Deferred tax liabilities:
Deferred policy acquisition costs
Unrealized gains on investment securities
Other investment-related items, net
Accelerated depreciation and amortization
Total deferred tax liabilities
Net deferred federal income tax asset
2017
2016
$
$
38,771
50,267
8,606
12,221
1,044
—
54
5,784
116,747
47,484
26,183
2,500
8,590
84,757
31,990
70,065
78,201
17,881
17,750
2,475
1,484
771
8,344
196,971
75,310
22,681
—
14,140
112,131
84,840
Net deferred federal income tax assets decreased by $52.9 million during 2017. As mentioned above, net deferred federal
income tax assets were reduced by $20.2 million in relation to Tax Reform. In addition to this charge, net deferred assets
decreased by $21.4 million resulting from additional unrealized gains generated during the year on our investment portfolio.
After considering all evidence, both positive and negative, with respect to our federal tax loss carryback availability, expected
levels of pre-tax financial statement income, and federal taxable income, we believe it is more likely than not that the existing
deductible temporary differences will reverse during periods in which we generate net federal taxable income or have adequate
federal carryback availability. As a result, we had no valuation allowance recognized for federal deferred tax assets at
December 31, 2017 or 2016.
As of December 31, 2017, we had federal tax net operating loss ("NOL") carryforwards of $0.3 million. These NOLs, which
are subject to an annual limitation of $1.9 million, will expire between 2030 and 2031.
Stockholders' equity reflects tax benefits related to compensation expense deductions for share-based compensation awards of
$23.8 million at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016, and $22.0 million at December 31, 2015. As mentioned above,
beginning in 2017, all excess tax benefits and tax deficiencies on share-based payment awards are recognized as income tax
expense or benefit on the Consolidated Statements of Income.
We have analyzed our tax positions in all open tax years, which as of December 31, 2017 were 2014 through 2016, and we
believe our tax positions will more likely than not be sustained upon examination, including related appeals or litigation. In the
event we had a tax position that did not meet the more likely than not criteria, any tax, interest, and penalties incurred related to
such a position would be reflected in "Total federal income tax expense" on our Consolidated Statements of Income. We are
not currently under a federal income tax audit for any tax year.
Note 14. Retirement Plans
(a) Selective Insurance Retirement Savings Plan (“Retirement Savings Plan”)
SICA offers a voluntary defined contribution 401(k) plan, which is available to most of our employees and is a tax-qualified
retirement plan subject to the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 ("ERISA"). Expense recorded for this plan
was $15.8 million in 2017, $15.0 million in 2016, and $14.1 million in 2015.
118
(b) Deferred Compensation Plan
SICA offers a nonqualified deferred compensation plan ("Deferred Compensation Plan") to a group of management or highly
compensated employees as a method of recognizing and retaining such employees. The Deferred Compensation Plan provides
these employees the opportunity to elect to defer receipt of specified portions of compensation and to have such deferred
amounts deemed to be invested in specified investment options. In addition to the employee deferrals, SICA may choose to
make matching contributions to some or all of the participants in this plan to the extent the participant did not receive the
maximum matching or non-elective contributions permissible under the Retirement Savings Plan due to limitations under the
Internal Revenue Code or the Retirement Savings Plan. Expense recorded for these contributions was $0.2 million in 2017,
$0.3 million in 2016, and $0.2 million in 2015.
(c) Retirement Income Plan and Retirement Life Plan
SICA's primary pension plan is the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America (the "Pension Plan").
This qualified, noncontributory defined benefit plan is closed to new entrants and existing participants ceased accruing benefits
after March 31, 2016.
In addition to the Pension Plan, SICA also sponsors the Supplemental Excess Retirement Plan (the "Excess Plan") and a life
insurance benefit plan (the "Retirement Life Plan"). Both of these plans are closed to new entrants and participants in the
Excess Plan ceased accruing benefits after March 31, 2016. The Retirement Life Plan does not accrue benefits and this plan
applies only to retirees who terminated employment with SICA on or before March 31, 2009. These are both unfunded plans
with benefit obligations as of December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016 of $10.1 million and $9.1 million, respectively, for
the Excess Plan and $6.4 million and $6.3 million, respectively, for the Retirement Life Plan. Expense recorded for the Excess
Plan was $0.4 million in 2017, $0.5 million in 2016, and $0.8 million in 2015. Expense recorded for the Retirement Life Plan
was $0.3 million in 2017, 2016, and 2015.
The following tables provide details on the Pension Plan for 2017 and 2016:
December 31,
($ in thousands)
Change in Benefit Obligation:
Benefit obligation, beginning of year
Service cost
Interest cost
Actuarial losses
Benefits paid
Benefit obligation, end of year
Change in Fair Value of Assets:
Fair value of assets, beginning of year
Actual return on plan assets, net of expenses
Contributions by the employer to funded plans
Benefits paid
Fair value of assets, end of year
Funded status
Amounts Recognized in the Consolidated Balance Sheet:
Liabilities
Net pension liability, end of year
Amounts Recognized in AOCI:
Net actuarial loss
Total
Other Information as of December 31:
Accumulated benefit obligation
Weighted-Average Liability Assumptions as of December 31:
Discount rate
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
119
Pension Plan
2017
2016
330,588
—
12,490
31,158
(9,825)
364,411
316,515
46,983
10,000
(9,825)
363,673
(738)
(738)
(738)
87,438
87,438
364,411
3.78%
310,308
1,647
12,336
15,086
(8,789)
330,588
249,700
21,079
54,525
(8,789)
316,515
(14,073)
(14,073)
(14,073)
85,845
85,845
330,588
4.41
($ in thousands)
Components of Net Periodic Benefit Cost and Other Amounts Recognized in
Other Comprehensive Income:
2017
Pension Plan
2016
2015
Net Periodic Benefit Cost:
Service cost
Interest cost
Expected return on plan assets
Amortization of unrecognized actuarial loss
Total net periodic cost
Other Changes in Plan Assets and Benefit Obligations Recognized in Other
Comprehensive Income:
Net actuarial loss (gain)
Reversal of amortization of net actuarial loss
Total recognized in other comprehensive income
Total recognized in net periodic benefit cost and other comprehensive income
$
$
$
$
$
—
12,490
(19,419)
2,001
(4,928)
3,594
(2,001)
1,593
(3,335)
1,647
12,336
(17,309)
6,299
2,973
11,316
(6,299)
5,017
7,990
7,215
13,668
(15,969)
6,831
11,745
(1,425)
(6,831)
(8,256)
3,489
The estimated net actuarial loss for the Pension Plan that will be amortized from AOCI into net periodic benefit cost during the
2018 fiscal year is $2.0 million.
Weighted-Average Expense Assumptions for the years ended December 31:
Discount rate
4.41%
4.69
2017
Pension Plan
2016
2015
Expected return on plan assets
Rate of compensation increase1
1This assumption was 4.00% through March 31, 2016, the date after which benefits ceased accruing for all participants of the Pension Plan.
6.37
6.24
—
—
4.29
6.27
4.00
Our latest measurement date was December 31, 2017, at which time we increased our expected return on plan assets to 6.36%,
reflecting a higher allocation to equity securities in the portfolio.
When determining the most appropriate discount rate to be used in the valuation, we consider, among other factors, our
expected payout patterns of the Pension Plan's obligations as well as our investment strategy and we ultimately select the rate
that we believe best represents our estimate of the inherent interest rate at which our pension and post-retirement life benefits
can be effectively settled. Effective January 1, 2016, the approach used to calculate the service and interest components of net
periodic benefit cost for benefit plans was changed to provide a more precise measurement of service and interest costs. Prior
to 2016, we calculated these service and interest components utilizing a single weighted-average discount rate derived from the
yield curve used to measure the benefit obligation at the beginning of the period. Beginning in 2016, we elected to utilize an
approach that discounts the individual expected cash flows using the applicable spot rates derived from the yield curve over the
projected cash flow period. We have accounted for this change prospectively as a change in accounting estimate. The weighted
average discount rate used to determine 2018 interest cost is 3.46%.
Plan Assets
Assets of the Pension Plan are invested to adequately support the liability associated with the Pension Plan's defined benefit
obligation. Our return objective is to exceed the returns of the plan's policy benchmark, which is the return the plan would have
earned if the assets were invested according to the target asset class weightings and earned index returns shown below. In 2018,
we will continue to phase in adjustments to the asset allocation to steadily close the gap between the duration of the assets and
the duration of the liabilities, provided certain improved funding targets are achieved. Over time, the target and actual asset
allocations may change based on the funded status of the Pension Plan and market return expectations.
120
The Pension Plan’s equity investments may not contain investments in any one security greater than 8% of the portfolio value
without notification to our management investment committee, nor have more than 5% of the outstanding shares of any one
corporation or other entity. The use of derivative instruments is permitted under certain circumstances, but shall not be used for
unrelated speculative hedging or to apply leverage to portfolio positions. Within the alternative investments portfolio, some
leverage is permitted as defined and limited by the partnership agreements.
The plan’s target ranges, as well as the actual weighted average asset allocation by strategy, at December 31 were as follows:
Return seeking assets1
Liability hedging assets
20% - 60%
40% - 80%
Total
1Includes limited partnerships.
2Target percent allocations may change over time based on the funded status of the plan and market return expectations.
100%
58%
42%
100%
50%
50%
100%
2017
2016
Target Percentage2
Actual Percentage
Actual Percentage
The Pension Plan had no investments in the Parent’s common stock as of December 31, 2017 or 2016.
The techniques used to determine the fair value of the Pension Plan's invested assets that appear on the following page are as
follows:
• The long-duration fixed income mutual funds utilize a market approach wherein the quoted prices in the active market
for identical assets are used. All of the mutual funds are traded in active markets at their net asset value per share.
These investments are classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy.
• The investments in global equity collective investment funds utilize a market approach wherein the published prices in
the active market for identical assets are used. These investments are traded at their net asset value per share. There are
no restrictions as to the redemption of these investments nor do we have any contractual obligations for further
investment. These investments are classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy.
• The investments in private equity limited partnerships are valued utilizing net asset value as a practical expedient for
fair value. These investments are not classified in the fair value hierarchy.
• The investments in other private equity securities are non-publicly traded stocks and are valued by the issuer and
•
reviewed internally. These investments are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.
Short-term investments are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. Given that these investments are listed on
active exchanges, coupled with their liquid nature, these investments are classified as Level 1 in the fair value
hierarchy.
• The deposit administration contract is carried at cost, which approximates fair value. Given the liquid nature of the
underlying investments in overnight cash deposits and other short-term duration products, we have determined that a
correlation exists between the deposit administration contract and other short-term investments, such as money market
funds. As such, this investment is classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy.
For discussion regarding the levels within the fair value hierarchy, see Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies."
In addition, refer to Note 5. "Investments" for discussion regarding the limited partnership investment strategies, excluding the
middle market lending strategy, as these investments are not part of the Pension Plan. The hedge fund strategy is part of the
overall private asset strategy and is only included in the Pension Plan assets. The Pension Plan invests in hedge funds with
diversified exposure to a number of underlying systematic strategies that include arbitrage, macro-oriented and equity related
strategies. These positions are expected to improve the risk-adjusted return of the portfolio given their lower volatility profile
than public equities with returns that are generally uncorrelated to traditional asset classes over a complete market cycle.
121
The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of the Pension Plan’s invested assets that are measured at fair value on a
recurring basis:
December 31, 2017
Fair Value Measurements at 12/31/17 Using
($ in thousands)
Description
Return seeking assets:
Long-duration fixed income:
Global asset allocation fund
Global equity:
Non-U.S. equity
U.S. equity
Total global equity
Private assets:
Limited partnerships (at net asset value)1:
Real assets
Private equity
Private credit
Hedge fund
Total limited partnerships
Other private assets
Total private assets
Total return seeking assets
Liability hedging assets:
Long-duration fixed income:
Extended duration fixed income
Cash and short-term investments:
Short-term investments
Deposit administration contracts
Total cash and short-term investments
Total liability hedging assets
Total invested assets
Assets Measured at
Fair Value
At 12/31/17
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
$
41,309
41,309
67,989
66,353
134,342
16,305
1,096
460
15,192
33,053
980
34,033
209,684
67,989
66,353
134,342
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
175,651
146,837
146,837
4,939
1,615
6,554
153,391
4,939
—
4,939
151,776
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1,615
1,615
1,615
$
363,075
$
327,427
$
1,615
$
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
980
980
980
—
—
—
—
—
980
122
December 31, 2016
Fair Value Measurements at 12/31/16 Using
($ in thousands)
Description
Return seeking assets:
Long-duration fixed income:
Global asset allocation fund
Global equity:
Non-U.S. equity
U.S. equity
Total global equity
Private assets (limited partnerships, at net asset value)1:
Real assets
Private equity
Private credit
Total private assets
Total return seeking assets
Liability hedging assets:
Long-duration fixed income:
Extended duration fixed income
Cash and short-term investments:
Short-term investments
Deposit administration contracts
Total cash and short-term investments
Total liability hedging assets
Assets Measured at
Fair Value
At 12/31/16
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
$
37,878
37,878
48,836
55,073
103,909
15,466
1,615
1,108
18,189
159,976
48,836
55,073
103,909
—
—
—
—
141,787
131,457
131,457
23,722
1,832
25,554
157,011
23,722
—
23,722
155,179
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1,832
1,832
1,832
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Total invested assets
—
1In accordance with ASU 2015-07, certain investments that are measured at fair value using the net asset value per share (or its practical expedient) have not
been classified in the fair value hierarchy. The fair value amounts presented in this table are intended to permit reconciliation of the fair value hierarchy to total
Pension Plan invested assets.
316,987
296,966
1,832
$
$
$
$
Contributions
We presently do not anticipate contributing to the Pension Plan in 2018, as we have no minimum required contribution
amounts.
Benefit Payments
($ in thousands)
Benefits Expected to be Paid in Future
Fiscal Years:
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023-2027
Pension Plan
$
12,913
12,936
13,987
15,093
16,128
94,542
123
Note 15. Share-Based Payments
Active Plans
As of December 31, 2017, the following four plans were available for the issuance of share-based payment awards:
• The 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan (the "Stock Plan");
• The Cash Incentive Plan, amended and restated effective as of May 1, 2014 (the "Cash Plan");
• The Employee Stock Purchase Plan (2009) ("ESPP"); and
• The Amended and Restated Stock Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance Agencies (the "Agent Plan").
The following table provides information regarding the approval of these plans:
Plan
Stock Plan
Cash Plan
ESPP
Agent Plan
Approvals
Approved effective as of May 1, 2014 by stockholders on April 23, 2014.
Approved effective April 1, 2005 by stockholders on April 27, 2005.
Most recently amended and restated plan was approved effective May 1, 2014 by stockholders on April 23, 2014.
Approved by stockholders on April 29, 2009 effective July 1, 2009.
Approved by stockholders on April 26, 2006.
Most recently amended and restated plan was approved on December 13, 2016 by the Parent's Board of Directors' Salary and
Employee Benefits Committee. The amendment was effective February 1, 2017.
The types of awards that can be issued under each of these plans are as follows:
Plan
Types of Share-Based Payments Issued
Stock Plan
Cash Plan
ESPP
Agent Plan
Qualified and nonqualified stock options, stock appreciation rights ("SARs"), restricted stock, restricted stock units ("RSUs"), stock
grants, and other awards valued in whole or in part by reference to the Parent's common stock. The maximum exercise period for an
option grant under this plan is 10 years from the date of the grant. Dividend equivalent units ("DEUs") are earned during the vesting
period on RSU grants. The DEUs are reinvested in the Parent's common stock at fair value on each dividend payment date. The
requisite service period for grants to employees under this plan is the lesser of: (i) the stated vested date, which is typically three
years from issuance; or (ii) the date the employee becomes eligible to retire.
Cash incentive units (“CIUs”). The initial dollar value of each CIU will be adjusted to reflect the percentage increase or decrease in
the total shareholder return on the Parent's common stock over a specified performance period. In addition, for certain grants, the
number of CIUs granted will be increased or decreased to reflect our performance on specified performance indicators as compared to
targeted peer companies. The requisite service period for grants under this plan is the lesser of: (i) the stated vested date, which is
typically three years from issuance; or (ii) the date the employee becomes eligible to retire.
Enables employees to purchase shares of the Parent’s common stock. The purchase price is the lower of: (i) 85% of the closing
market price at the time the option is granted; or (ii) 85% of the closing price at the time the option is exercised. Shares are generally
issued on June 30 and December 31 of each year.
Quarterly offerings to purchase the Parent's common stock at a 10% discount with a one year restricted period during which the shares
purchased cannot be sold or transferred. Only our independent retail insurance agencies and wholesale general agencies, and certain
eligible persons associated with the agencies, are eligible to participate in this plan.
Shares authorized and available for issuance as of December 31, 2017 are as follows:
As of December 31, 2017
Authorized
Available for Issuance
Awards Outstanding
Stock Plan
ESPP
Agent Plan
3,500,000
1,500,000
3,000,000
2,516,871
499,629
1,817,493
882,490
—
—
124
Retired Plans
The following plans are closed for the issuance of new awards, although awards outstanding continue in effect according to the
terms of the applicable award agreements:
Types of Share-Based Payments Issued
Reserve Shares
Awards Outstanding1
December 31, 2017
Plan
2005 Omnibus Stock Plan
("2005 Stock Plan")
Qualified and nonqualified stock options, SARs, restricted stock, RSUs,
phantom stock, stock bonuses, and other awards in such amounts and with
such terms and conditions as it determined, subject to the provisions of the
2005 Stock Plan. The maximum exercise period for an option grant under
this plan is 10 years from the date of the grant. DEUs are earned during
the vesting period on RSU grants. The DEUs are reinvested in the Parent's
common stock at fair value on each dividend payment date.
Parent's Stock Compensation
Plan for Non-employee Directors
("Directors Stock Compensation
Plan")
1 Awards outstanding under the 2005 Stock Plan consisted of 47,268 RSUs and 229,864 stock options.
Directors could elect to receive a portion of their annual compensation in
shares of the Parent's common stock.
RSU Transactions
A summary of the RSU transactions under our share-based payment plans is as follows:
Unvested RSU awards at December 31, 2016
Granted in 2017
Vested in 2017
Forfeited in 2017
Unvested RSU awards at December 31, 2017
2,202,532
277,132
66,506
66,506
Number
of Shares
Weighted
Average
Grant Date
Fair Value
916,640
$
321,928
(360,702)
(12,279)
865,587
$
26.20
42.66
22.78
32.09
33.66
As of December 31, 2017, total unrecognized compensation expense related to unvested RSU awards granted under our stock
plans was $8.0 million. That expense is expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 1.8 years. The total
intrinsic value of RSUs vested was $16.0 million for 2017, $12.6 million for 2016, and $10.3 million for 2015. In connection
with vested RSUs, the total value of the DEU shares that vested was $0.9 million during 2017 and $0.7 million in 2016 and
2015.
Option Transactions
A summary of the stock option transactions under our share-based payment plans is as follows:
Outstanding at December 31, 2016
Granted in 2017
Exercised in 2017
Forfeited or expired in 2017
Outstanding at December 31, 2017
Exercisable at December 31, 2017
Weighted
Average
Exercise
Price
Weighted
Average
Remaining
Contractual
Life in Years
Aggregate
Intrinsic Value
($ in thousands)
16.87
—
19.39
24.54
15.38
15.38
1.50
1.50
$
$
9,958
9,958
Number
of Shares
355,391
$
—
(120,496)
(5,031)
229,864
229,864
$
$
The total intrinsic value of options exercised was $4.0 million in 2017, $2.3 million in 2016, and $2.2 million in 2015.
CIU Transactions
The liability recorded in connection with our Cash Plan was $37.0 million at December 31, 2017 and $32.0 million at
December 31, 2016. The remaining cost associated with the CIUs is expected to be recognized over a weighted average period
of 0.9 years. The CIU payments made were $14.2 million in 2017, $14.3 million in 2016, and $10.2 million in 2015.
125
ESPP and Agent Plan Transactions
A summary of ESPP and Agent Plan share issuances is as follows:
ESPP Issuances
Agent Plan Issuances
2017
2016
2015
75,093
49,794
88,432
69,867
100,944
82,142
Fair Value Measurements
The grant date fair value of RSUs is based on the market price of our common stock on the grant date, adjusted for the present
value of our expected dividend payments. The expense recognized for share-based awards is based on the number of shares or
units expected to be issued at the end of the performance period and the grant date fair value.
The grant date fair value of each option award is estimated using the Black Scholes option valuation model ("Black Scholes").
The following are the significant assumptions used in applying Black Scholes: (i) the risk-free interest rate, which is the
implied yield currently available on U.S. Treasury zero-coupon issues with an equal remaining term; (ii) the expected term,
which is based on historical experience of similar awards; (iii) the dividend yield, which is determined by dividing the expected
per share dividend during the coming year by the grant date stock price; and (iv) the expected volatility, which is based on the
volatility of the Parent's stock price over a historical period comparable to the expected term. In applying Black Scholes, we
use the weighted average assumptions illustrated in the following table:
Risk-free interest rate
Expected term
Dividend yield
Expected volatility
2017
1.07%
6 months
1.3%
24%
ESPP
2016
0.47
6 months
1.7
31
2015
0.10
6 months
2.0
20
The weighted-average fair value of options and stock per share, including RSUs granted for the Parent's stock plans, during
2017, 2016, and 2015 was as follows:
RSUs
ESPP:
Six month option
Discount of grant date market value
Total ESPP
Agent Plan:
Discount of grant date market value
2017
2016
2015
$
42.66
32.53
25.22
2.73
7.06
9.79
5.04
2.63
5.23
7.86
3.79
1.26
4.16
5.42
2.94
The fair value of the CIU liability is remeasured at each reporting period through the settlement date of the awards, which is
three years from the date of grant based on an amount expected to be paid. A Monte Carlo simulation is performed to
approximate the projected fair value of the CIUs that, in accordance with the Cash Plan, is adjusted to reflect our performance
on specified indicators as compared to targeted peer companies.
Expense Recognition
The following table provides share-based compensation expense in 2017, 2016, and 2015:
($ in millions)
Share-based compensation expense, pre-tax
Income tax benefit, including the benefit related to stock grants that have vested during the year
Share-based compensation expense, after-tax
2017
2016
2015
$
$
31.2
(15.0)
16.2
30.3
(10.3)
20.0
23.8
(8.0)
15.8
126
Note 16. Related Party Transactions
William M. Rue, a Director of the Parent, is Chairman of, and owns more than 10% of the equity of, Chas. E. Rue & Son, Inc.,
t/a Rue Insurance, a general independent retail insurance agency ("Rue Insurance"). Rue Insurance is an appointed distribution
partner of the Insurance Subsidiaries on terms and conditions similar to those of our other distribution partners, which includes
the right to participate in the Agent Plan. Mr. Rue’s son is President, and an employee, of Rue Insurance and Mr. Rue’s
daughter is an employee of Rue Insurance. Our relationship with Rue Insurance has existed since 1928.
Rue Insurance placed insurance policies with the Insurance Subsidiaries for its customers and itself. Direct premiums written
associated with these policies were $11.1 million in 2017, $10.4 million in 2016, and $9.6 million in 2015. In return, the
Insurance Subsidiaries paid standard market commissions, including supplemental commissions, to Rue Insurance of $2.3
million in 2017, $2.1 million in 2016, and $1.7 million in 2015. Amounts due to Rue Insurance at December 31, 2017 and
December 31, 2016 were $0.6 million and $0.7 million, respectively.
In 2005, we established a private foundation, now named The Selective Insurance Group Foundation (the "Foundation"), under
Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. The Board of Directors of the Foundation is comprised of some of the Parent's
officers. We made less than $0.1 million of contributions and no contributions to the Foundation in 2017 and 2016,
respectively. We made contributions to the Foundation in the amount of $1.0 million in 2015.
BlackRock, Inc., a leading publicly traded investment management firm (“BlackRock”), has purchased our common shares in
the ordinary course of its investment business and has previously filed Schedules 13G/A with the SEC. On January 19, 2018,
BlackRock filed a Schedule 13G/A reporting beneficial ownership as of December 31, 2017, of 12.8% of our common stock.
In connection with purchasing our common shares, BlackRock filed the necessary filings with insurance regulatory authorities.
On the basis of those filings, BlackRock is deemed not to be a controlling person for the purposes of applicable insurance law.
We are required to disclose related party information for our transactions with BlackRock. BlackRock is highly regulated,
serves its clients as a fiduciary, and has a diverse platform of active (alpha) and index (beta) investment strategies across asset
classes that enables it to tailor investment outcomes and asset allocation solutions for clients. BlackRock also offers the
BlackRock Solutions® investment and risk management technology platform, Aladdin®, risk analytics, advisory, and technology
services and solutions to a broad base of institutional and wealth management investors. In 2017 and 2016, we incurred
expenses related to BlackRock of $2.0 million and $0.4 million, respectively, for services rendered. Amounts payable for such
services at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016, were $0.5 million and $0.4 million, respectively. All contracts with
BlackRock were consummated in the ordinary course of business on an arm's-length basis.
Note 17. Commitments and Contingencies
(a) We purchase annuities from life insurance companies to fulfill obligations under claim settlements that provide for periodic
future payments to claimants. As of December 31, 2017, we had purchased such annuities with a present value of $18.5 million
for settlement of claims on a structured basis for which we are contingently liable. To our knowledge, there are no material
defaults from any of the issuers of such annuities.
(b) We have various operating leases for office space, equipment, and fleet vehicles. Such lease agreements, which expire at
various times, are generally renewed or replaced by similar leases. Rental expense under these leases amounted to $10.8
million in 2017, $12.3 million in 2016, and $11.7 million in 2015. We also lease computer hardware and software under capital
lease agreements expiring at various dates through 2019. See item (p) of Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting
Policies" in this Form 10-K for information on our accounting policy regarding leases.
127
In addition, certain of these leases are non-cancelable, and liability for payment will continue even though the leased asset may
no longer be in use. At December 31, 2017, the total future minimum rental commitments under non-cancelable leases were as
follows:
($ in millions)
Capital Leases
Operating Leases
Total
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
After 2022
Total minimum payment required
$
$
2.3
0.1
—
—
—
—
2.4
10.0
7.5
6.0
3.7
2.1
2.6
31.9
12.3
7.6
6.0
3.7
2.1
2.6
34.3
(c) As of December 31, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire at various dates through 2032 to invest up to an
additional $221 million in alternative and other investments. There is no certainty that any such additional investment will be
required. For additional information regarding these investments, see item (f) of Note 5. "Investments" in this Form 10-K. In
addition, as of December 31, 2017, we had contractual obligations that expire in 2023 to invest $16.3 million in a non-publicly
traded common stock within our available-for-sale portfolio. We expect to have the capacity to repay and/or refinance these
obligations as they become due.
Note 18. Litigation
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these
proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing
indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought
against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and loss expense reserves. We expect
that any potential ultimate liability in such ordinary course claims litigation will not be material to our consolidated financial
condition, results of operations, or cash flows after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense.
From time to time, our Insurance Subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims
for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national
class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers
compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries are also
named from time-to-time in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, some of
which allege bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect
that any potential ultimate liability in any such lawsuit will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, after
consideration of provisions made for estimated losses. Nonetheless, given the inherent unpredictability of litigation and the
large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, an adverse outcome in certain matters could possibly have a
material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.
As of December 31, 2017, we do not believe the Company was involved in any legal action that could have a material adverse
effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.
Note 19. Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds
(a) Statutory Financial Information
The Insurance Subsidiaries prepare their statutory financial statements in accordance with accounting principles prescribed or
permitted by the various state insurance departments of domicile. Prescribed statutory accounting principles include state laws,
regulations, and general administrative rules, as well as a variety of publications of the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners (“NAIC"). Permitted statutory accounting principles encompass all accounting principles that are not
prescribed; such principles differ from state to state, may differ from company to company within a state and may change in the
future. The Insurance Subsidiaries do not utilize any permitted statutory accounting principles that materially affect the
determination of statutory surplus, statutory net income, or risk-based capital (“RBC”). As of December 31, 2017, the various
state insurance departments of domicile have adopted the March 2017 version of the NAIC Accounting Practices and
Procedures manual in its entirety, as a component of prescribed or permitted practices.
128
The following table provides statutory data for each of our Insurance Subsidiaries:
State of
Domicile
Unassigned Surplus
Statutory Surplus
Statutory Net Income
2017
2016
2017
2016
2017
2016
2015
($ in millions)
SICA
Selective Way Insurance Company ("SWIC")
SICSC
SICSE
SICNY
New Jersey
$
New Jersey
Indiana
Indiana
New York
Selective Insurance Company of New England ("SICNE") New Jersey
Selective Auto Insurance Company of New Jersey
("SAICNJ")
MUSIC
Selective Casualty Insurance Company ("SCIC")
Selective Fire and Casualty Insurance Company
("SFCIC")
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
455.5
276.1
112.9
86.2
78.8
16.1
42.1
21.4
34.5
13.7
414.4
260.5
110.6
83.5
74.1
13.6
36.9
16.7
26.6
609.7
325.1
144.1
111.8
106.5
46.3
84.9
89.9
568.6
309.5
141.9
109.1
101.8
43.7
79.8
85.2
109.0
101.0
84.6
43.6
17.9
14.7
13.4
6.3
11.4
10.3
13.4
72.2
41.2
17.4
13.4
12.9
5.9
11.5
9.7
12.6
11.3
45.6
43.2
5.6
5.5
69.6
42.3
15.9
12.1
12.7
5.5
10.8
9.5
12.1
5.3
Total
$ 1,137.3
1,048.2
1,672.9
1,583.8
221.2
202.3
195.8
(b) Capital Requirements
The Insurance Subsidiaries are required to maintain certain minimum amounts of statutory surplus to satisfy the requirements
of their various state insurance departments of domicile. RBC requirements for property and casualty insurance companies are
designed to assess capital adequacy and to raise the level of protection that statutory surplus provides for policyholders. The
Insurance Subsidiaries' combined total adjusted capital exceeded the authorized control level RBC, as defined by the NAIC
based on their 2017 statutory financial statements. In addition to statutory capital requirements, we are impacted by various
rating agency requirements related to certain rating levels. These required capital levels may be more than statutory
requirements.
(c) Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds
Our ability to declare and pay dividends on the Parent's common stock is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the
ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of
liquidity to the Parent. As of December 31, 2017, the Parent had an aggregate of $114.5 million in investments and cash
available to fund future dividends and interest payments. These amounts are not subject to any regulatory restrictions other
than standard state insolvency restrictions, whereas our consolidated retained earnings of $1.7 billion is predominately
restricted due to the regulation associated with our Insurance Subsidiaries. In 2018, the Insurance Subsidiaries have the ability
to provide for $211.0 million in annual dividends to the Parent; however, as regulated entities, these dividends are subject to
certain restrictions, which are further discussed below. The Parent also has available to it other potential sources of liquidity,
such as: (i) borrowings from our Indiana Subsidiaries; (ii) debt issuances; (iii) common stock issuances; and (iv) borrowings
under our Line of Credit. Borrowings from our Indiana Subsidiaries are governed by approved intercompany lending
agreements with the Parent that provide for additional capacity of $70.5 million as of December 31, 2017, based on restrictions
in these agreements that limit borrowings to 10% of the admitted assets of the Indiana Subsidiaries. For additional restrictions
on the Parent's debt, see Note 10. "Indebtedness" in this Form 10-K.
Insurance Subsidiaries Dividend Restrictions
As noted above, the restriction on our net assets and retained earnings is predominantly driven by our Insurance Subsidiaries'
ability to pay dividends to the Parent under applicable law and regulations. Under the insurance laws of the domiciliary states
of the Insurance Subsidiaries, New Jersey, Indiana, and New York, an insurer can potentially make an ordinary dividend
payment if its statutory surplus following such dividend is reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities, is adequate to its
financial needs, and the dividend does not exceed the insurer's unassigned surplus. In general, New Jersey defines an ordinary
dividend as a dividend whose fair market value, together with other dividends made within the preceding 12 months, is less
than the greater of 10% of the insurer's statutory surplus as of the preceding December 31, or the insurer's net income
(excluding capital gains) for the 12-month period ending on the preceding December 31. Indiana's ordinary dividend
calculation is consistent with New Jersey's, except that it does not exclude capital gains from net income. In general, New York
defines an ordinary dividend as a dividend whose fair market value, together with other dividends made within the preceding
12 months, is less than the lesser of 10% of the insurer's statutory surplus, or 100% of adjusted net investment income.
New Jersey and Indiana require notice of the declaration of any ordinary dividend distribution. During the notice period, the
relevant state regulatory authority may disallow all or part of the proposed dividend if it determines that the dividend is not
appropriate given the above considerations. New York does not require notice of ordinary dividends. Dividend payments
129
28.0
19.0
10.0
7.5
4.5
2.0
2.5
2.1
3.0
1.5
80.1
77.6
43.3
17.9
14.7
10.7
6.2
11.3
10.3
13.4
5.6
211.0
exceeding ordinary dividends are referred to as extraordinary dividends and require review and approval by the applicable
domiciliary insurance regulatory authority prior to payment.
The following table provides quantitative data regarding all Insurance Subsidiaries' dividends paid to the Parent in 2017 for
debt service, shareholder dividends, and general operating purposes:
State of Domicile
Ordinary Dividends Paid
Twelve Months ended December 31, 2017
Dividends
($ in millions)
SICA
SWIC
SICSC
SICSE
SICNY
SICNE
SAICNJ
MUSIC
SCIC
SFCIC
Total
New Jersey
New Jersey
Indiana
Indiana
New York
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
$
$
Based on the 2017 statutory financial statements, the maximum ordinary dividends that can be paid to the Parent by the
Insurance Subsidiaries in 2018 are as follows:
($ in millions)
State of Domicile
Maximum Ordinary Dividends
2018
SICA
SWIC
SICSC
SICSE
SICNY
SICNE
SAICNJ
MUSIC
SCIC
SFCIC
Total
New Jersey
New Jersey
Indiana
Indiana
New York
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey
$
$
Note 20. Quarterly Financial Information
(unaudited, $ in thousands,
First Quarter
Second Quarter
Third Quarter
except per share data)
Net premiums earned
Net investment income earned
Net realized (losses) gains
Other income
Total revenues
Income before federal income taxes
Net income
Net income per share:
Basic
2017
2016
$
560,854
522,458
37,419
(1,045)
3,241
30,769
(2,704)
951
2017
568,030
41,430
1,734
3,291
2016
531,932
31,182
1,765
3,868
2017
572,055
40,446
6,798
1,994
2016
542,429
33,375
3,688
2,199
Fourth Quarter
2017 1
2016
590,088
552,753
42,587
(1,128)
2,190
35,428
(7,686)
1,863
600,469
551,474
614,485
568,747
621,293
581,691
633,737
582,358
67,574
50,440
51,875
37,032
58,929
41,426
62,311
43,601
67,315
46,718
55,443
38,502
68,150
30,242
50,326
39,360
0.87
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.80
0.66
0.52
0.68
Diluted
0.67
1 Results for the fourth quarter of 2017 include the impact of the $20.2 million write off of deferred tax assets required with the implementation of Tax Reform.
See Note 13. "Federal Income Taxes" above for additional information.
0.51
0.70
0.79
0.85
0.63
0.66
0.74
The addition of all quarters may not agree to annual amounts on the Financial Statements due to rounding.
130
Note 21. Subsequent Events
Subsequent to year-end and through the end of January 2018, our insurance operations experienced significant insured property
losses, principally due to the deep freeze that impacted our footprint states during the month, the Property Claims Services
("PCS") named winter storm that occurred between January 3 and January 6, and a relatively large number of severe fire losses.
For January 2018, non-catastrophe property losses amounted to $47 million and catastrophe losses, which we define as only
those losses specifically attributable to a named PCS catastrophe, totaled $16 million. In total, the $63 million of insured
property losses were approximately $30 million in excess of our property loss expectations for the month of January.
131
Item 9. Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure.
None.
Item 9A. Controls and Procedures.
Our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the
effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act")) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based
on this evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period,
our disclosure controls and procedures are: (i) effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting information on a
timely basis that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act; and (ii) effective in
ensuring that information that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is
accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as
appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
Our management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Internal
control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) under the Exchange Act) is a process designed by,
or under the supervision of, a company's principal executive and principal financial officers and effected by the Board,
management and other personnel, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the
preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and
includes those policies and procedures that:
•
•
•
Pertain to the maintenance of records that in reasonable detail accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and
dispositions of the assets of the company;
Provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial
statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the
company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and
Provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or
disposition of the company's assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
Our management assessed the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2017. In
making this assessment, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway
Commission in Internal Control-Integrated Framework ("COSO Framework") in 2013.
Based on this assessment, our management believes that, as of December 31, 2017, our internal control over financial reporting
is effective.
Except for internal controls over financial reporting related to the October 1, 2017 implementation of a new billing system,
there were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the
Exchange Act) that occurred during the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2017 that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal controls over financial reporting. Management reviewed and tested the
effectiveness of the internal controls over financial reporting related to the implementation of the new billing system and
concluded they were effective.
Attestation Report of the Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
Our independent registered public accounting firm, KPMG, LLP, has issued their attestation report on our internal control over
financial reporting which is set forth below.
132
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
The Board of Directors and Stockholders
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.:
Opinion on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
We have audited Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and subsidiaries’ (the Company) internal control over financial reporting as of
December 31, 2017, based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of
Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. In our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects,
effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2017, based on criteria established in Internal Control -
Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission.
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States)
(PCAOB), the consolidated balance sheets of the Company as of December 31, 2017 and 2016, the related consolidated
statements of income, comprehensive income, stockholders’ equity, and cash flows for each of the years in the three-year
period ended December 31, 2017, and the related notes and financial statement schedules I to V (collectively, the consolidated
financial statements), and our report dated February 19, 2018 expressed an unqualified opinion on those consolidated
financial statements.
Basis for Opinion
The Company’s management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting and for its
assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, included in the accompanying Management’s
Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on the Company’s internal
control over financial reporting based on our audit. We are a public accounting firm registered with the PCAOB and are
required to be independent with respect to the Company in accordance with U.S. federal securities laws and the applicable rules
and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB.
We conducted our audit in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the
audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all
material respects. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting included obtaining an understanding of internal control
over financial reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, and testing and evaluating the design and operating
effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk. Our audit also included performing such other procedures as we
considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinion.
Definition and Limitations of Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
A company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the
reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally
accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures
that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and
dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit
preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and
expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the
company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or
disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also,
projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate
because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
New York, New York
February 19, 2018
/s/ KPMG LLP
1 3 3
Item 9B. Other Information.
There is no other information that was required to be disclosed in a report on Form 8-K during the fourth quarter of 2017 that
we did not report.
PART III
Because we will file a Proxy Statement within 120 days after the end of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2017, this Annual
Report on Form 10-K omits certain information required by Part III and incorporates by reference certain information included
in the Proxy Statement.
Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance.
Information about our executive officers, Directors, and all other matters required to be disclosed in Item 10. "Directors,
Executive Officers and Corporate Governance." appears under the "Executive Officers" and "Information About Proposal 1 -
Election of Directors" sections of the Proxy Statement. These portions of the Proxy Statement are hereby incorporated by
reference.
Section 16(a) Beneficial Ownership Reporting Compliance
Information about compliance with Section 16(a) of the Exchange Act appears under "Section 16(a) Beneficial Ownership
Reporting Compliance" in the "Information About Proposal 1 - Election of Directors" section of the Proxy Statement and is
hereby incorporated by reference.
Item 11. Executive Compensation.
Information about compensation of our named executive officers appears under "Executive Compensation" in the "Information
About Proposal 1 - Election of Directors" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. Information
about compensation of the Board appears under "Director Compensation" in the "Information About Proposal 1 - Election of
Directors" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference.
Item 12. Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters.
Information about security ownership of certain beneficial owners and management appears under "Security Ownership of
Management and Certain Beneficial Owners" in the "Information About Proposal 1 - Election of Directors" section of the
Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference.
Item 13. Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence.
Information about certain relationships and related transactions, and director independence appears under “Transactions with
Related Persons” in the "Information About Proposal 1 - Election of Directors" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby
incorporated by reference.
Item 14. Principal Accounting Fees and Services.
Information about the fees and services of our principal accountants appears under "Audit Committee Report" and "Fees of
Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm" in the "Information About Proposal 4 - Ratification of Appointment of
Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference.
134
PART IV
Item 15. Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules.
(a) The following documents are filed as part of this report:
(1) Financial Statements:
The Financial Statements listed below are included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data."
Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2017 and 2016
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
(2) Financial Statement Schedules:
Form 10-K
Page
73
74
75
76
77
78
The financial statement schedules, with Independent Auditors' Report thereon, required to be filed are listed below by page
number as filed in this report. All other schedules are omitted as the information required is inapplicable, immaterial, or the
information is presented in the Financial Statements or related notes.
Schedule I
Summary of Investments – Other than Investments in Related Parties at December 31, 2017
Schedule II
Condensed Financial Information of Registrant at December 31, 2017 and 2016 and for the Years Ended
December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Schedule III
Supplementary Insurance Information for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Schedule IV
Reinsurance for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
Schedule V
Allowance for Uncollectible Premiums and Other Receivables for the Years Ended December 31, 2017, 2016,
and 2015
Form 10-K
Page
136
137
140
142
142
(3) Exhibits:
The exhibits required by Item 601 of Regulation S-K are listed in the Exhibit Index, which is incorporated by reference and
immediately precedes the exhibits filed with or incorporated by reference in this Form 10-K.
135
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
SUMMARY OF INVESTMENTS - OTHER THAN INVESTMENTS IN RELATED PARTIES
December 31, 2017
SCHEDULE I
Types of investment
($ in thousands)
Fixed income securities:
Held-to-maturity:
Amortized Cost
or Cost
Fair Value
Carrying
Amount
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
$
Public utilities
All other corporate securities
Total fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
Available-for-sale:
U.S. government and government agencies
Foreign government
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
Public utilities
All other corporate securities
Collateralized loan obligation securities and other asset-backed securities
Commercial mortgage-backed securities
Residential mortgage-backed securities
25,154
7,466
9,530
42,150
49,326
18,040
1,539,307
50,071
1,538,268
789,152
382,727
709,825
26,261
7,956
9,883
44,100
49,740
18,555
1,582,970
51,035
1,566,433
795,458
383,449
714,882
25,238
7,443
9,448
42,129
49,740
18,555
1,582,970
51,035
1,566,433
795,458
383,449
714,882
Total fixed income securities, available-for-sale
5,076,716
5,162,522
5,162,522
Equity securities:
Common stock:
Public utilities
Banks, trusts and insurance companies
Industrial, miscellaneous and all other
Total common stock, available-for-sale
Preferred stock:
Banks, trusts and insurance companies
Total preferred stock, available-for-sale
Total equity securities, available-for-sale
Short-term investments
Other investments
Total investments
5,957
34,301
89,438
129,696
14,115
14,115
143,811
165,555
132,268
$
5,560,500
6,156
40,510
121,091
167,757
14,948
14,948
182,705
165,555
6,156
40,510
121,091
167,757
14,948
14,948
182,705
165,555
132,268
5,685,179
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
136
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Parent Corporation)
Balance Sheets
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
Assets:
Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (amortized cost: $89,799 – 2017; $73,471 – 2016)
Short-term investments
Cash
Investment in subsidiaries
Current federal income tax
Deferred federal income tax
Other assets
Total assets
Liabilities:
Long-term debt
Intercompany notes payable
Accrued long-term stock compensation
Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Stockholders’ Equity:
Preferred stock at $0 par value per share:
Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
Authorized shares: 360,000,000
Issued: 102,284,564 – 2017; 101,620,436 – 2016
Additional paid-in capital
Retained earnings
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 43,789,442 – 2017; 43,653,237 – 2016)
Total stockholders’ equity
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
SCHEDULE II
December 31,
2017
2016
89,872
24,080
534
73,509
17,777
458
2,013,304
1,845,410
22,266
13,239
871
19,766
19,562
840
2,164,166
1,977,322
329,116
78,443
37,017
6,633
451,209
328,667
79,324
32,029
5,932
445,952
—
—
$
$
$
$
$
204,569
367,717
1,698,613
20,170
(578,112)
1,712,957
$
2,164,166
203,241
347,295
1,568,881
(15,950)
(572,097)
1,531,370
1,977,322
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
137
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Parent Corporation)
Statements of Income
SCHEDULE II (continued)
Year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
$
80,096
2,044
(15)
82,125
24,721
36,251
60,972
61,014
1,259
(220)
62,053
24,030
35,020
59,050
57,752
852
—
58,604
24,057
28,393
52,450
($ in thousands)
Revenues:
Dividends from subsidiaries
Net investment income earned
Net realized losses
Total revenues
Expenses:
Interest expense
Other expenses
Total expenses
Income before federal income tax
21,153
3,003
6,154
Federal income tax (benefit) expense:
Current
Deferred
Total federal income tax benefit
(22,187)
6,311
(15,876)
(17,924)
(2,143)
(20,067)
(16,609)
(1,603)
(18,212)
Net income before equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries
37,029
23,070
24,366
Equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries, net of tax
131,797
135,425
141,495
Net income
$
168,826
158,495
165,861
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
138
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Parent Corporation)
Statements of Cash Flows
SCHEDULE II (continued)
($ in thousands)
Operating Activities:
Net income
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries, net of tax
Stock-based compensation expense
Net realized losses
Amortization – other
Changes in assets and liabilities:
Increase in accrued long-term stock compensation
Decrease (increase) in net federal income taxes
Decrease in other assets
Increase (decrease) in other liabilities
Net cash provided by operating activities
Investing Activities:
Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
Purchase of short-term investments
Sale of short-term investments
Net cash used in investing activities
Financing Activities:
Dividends to stockholders
Acquisition of treasury stock
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
Principal payment on borrowings from subsidiaries
Net cash used in financing activities
Net increase (decrease) in cash
Cash, beginning of year
Cash, end of year
Year ended December 31,
2017
2016
2015
$
168,826
158,495
165,861
(131,797)
12,089
15
678
4,988
3,811
(60)
714
59,264
(58,832)
10,465
31,819
(185,590)
179,292
(22,846)
(37,045)
(6,015)
7,599
—
(881)
(36,342)
76
458
534
$
(135,425)
10,449
220
648
5,564
(3,612)
(202)
80
36,217
(45,789)
14,983
18,768
(119,501)
130,841
(698)
(33,758)
(4,992)
7,811
1,819
(6,839)
(35,959)
(440)
898
458
(141,495)
8,973
—
740
4,575
(3,052)
(12)
(202)
35,388
(33,717)
21,578
—
(106,933)
94,422
(24,650)
(31,052)
(4,182)
10,089
1,736
(2,798)
(26,207)
(15,469)
16,367
898
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this
Form 10-K.
139
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTARY INSURANCE INFORMATION
Year ended December 31, 2017
SCHEDULE III
Deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Reserve
for loss
and loss
expense
Unearned
premiums
Net
premiums
earned
Net
investment
income1
Loss
and loss
expense
incurred
Amortization
of deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Other
operating
expenses2
Net
premiums
written
$
193,408
3,165,217
956,173
1,788,499
— 1,008,150
387,552
243,283
1,858,735
16,952
24,695
263,166
342,857
295,435
98,036
289,701
212,827
—
—
189,294
147,630
32,542
49,142
56,761
22,337
296,775
215,131
($ in thousands)
Standard Commercial
Lines Segment
Standard Personal
Lines Segment
E&S Lines Segment
Investments Segment
—
—
—
—
168,241
—
—
—
—
Total
$
235,055
3,771,240
1,349,644
2,291,027
168,241
1,345,074
469,236
322,381
2,370,641
1 Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized investment gains” on the Consolidated Statements of Income.
2 “Other operating expenses” of $322,381 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows:
Other insurance expenses
Other income
Total
$
$
333,097
(10,716)
322,381
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
Year ended December 31, 2016
Deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Reserve
for loss
and loss
expense
Unearned
premiums
Net
premiums
earned
Net
investment
income1
Loss
and loss
expense
incurred
Amortization
of deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Other
operating
expenses2
Net
premiums
written
$ 181,193
3,098,554
884,976
1,665,483
16,664
24,707
—
286,081
307,084
—
282,111
95,732
—
280,607
203,482
—
125,817
—
—
—
913,506
367,813
237,729
1,745,782
177,749
143,542
—
34,105
48,410
—
56,334
18,451
—
281,822
209,684
—
($ in thousands)
Standard Commercial
Lines Segment
Standard Personal
Lines Segment
E&S Lines Segment
Investments Segment
Total
$ 222,564
3,691,719
1,262,819
2,149,572
125,817
1,234,797
450,328
312,514
2,237,288
1 Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized investment gains” on the Consolidated Statements of Income.
2 “Other operating expenses” of $312,514 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows:
Other insurance expenses
Other income
Total
$
$
321,395
(8,881)
312,514
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
140
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTARY INSURANCE INFORMATION
Year ended December 31, 2015
SCHEDULE III (continued)
Deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Reserve
for loss
and loss
expense
Unearned
premiums
Net
premiums
earned
Net
investment
income1
Loss
and loss
expense
incurred
Amortization
of deferred
policy
acquisition
costs
Other
operating
expenses2
Net
premiums
written
$ 171,476
2,998,749
803,648
1,529,442
17,258
24,425
—
265,054
253,925
—
276,533
89,529
—
288,134
172,333
—
134,487
—
—
—
819,573
323,754
221,619
1,596,965
200,237
128,731
—
33,638
42,044
—
52,923
18,361
—
283,926
189,013
—
($ in thousands)
Standard Commercial
Lines Segment
Standard Personal
Lines Segment
E&S Lines Segment
Investments Segment
Total
$ 213,159
3,517,728
1,169,710
1,989,909
134,487
1,148,541
399,436
292,903
2,069,904
1 Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized investment gains” on the Consolidated Statements of Income.
2 “Other operating expenses” of $292,903 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows:
Other insurance expenses
Other income
Total
$
$
300,359
(7,456)
292,903
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
141
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
REINSURANCE
Years ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
SCHEDULE IV
($ thousands)
2017
Premiums earned:
Accident and health insurance
Property and liability insurance
Total premiums earned
2016
Premiums earned:
Accident and health insurance
Property and liability insurance
Total premiums earned
2015
Premiums earned:
Accident and health insurance
Property and liability insurance
Total premiums earned
Direct Amount
Assumed from
Other
Companies
Ceded to Other
Companies
Net Amount
% of Amount
Assumed to Net
$
$
$
24
2,647,464
2,647,488
32
2,484,683
2,484,715
37
2,330,230
2,330,267
—
25,831
25,831
—
28,214
28,214
—
23,209
23,209
24
382,268
382,292
—
2,291,027
2,291,027
—
363,357
363,357
32
2,149,540
2,149,572
37
363,530
363,567
—
1,989,909
1,989,909
—
1%
1%
—
1 %
1 %
—
1 %
1 %
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES
ALLOWANCE FOR UNCOLLECTIBLE PREMIUMS AND OTHER RECEIVABLES
Years ended December 31, 2017, 2016, and 2015
SCHEDULE V
($ in thousands)
Balance, January 1
Additions
Deductions
Balance, December 31
2017
2016
2015
$
$
11,480
6,414
(3,294)
14,600
10,122
4,669
(3,311)
11,480
11,037
3,604
(4,519)
10,122
See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K.
142
EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit
Number
3.1
3.2
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
10.1+
10.1a+
10.2+
10.2a
Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., filed May 4, 2010
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 3.1 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended June 30, 2010, File No. 001-33067).
By-Laws of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., effective July 29, 2015 (incorporated by reference herein to
Exhibit 3.2 of the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2015, File No.
001-33067).
Indenture, dated as of September 24, 2002, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and National City Bank,
as Trustee, relating to the Company's 1.6155% Senior Convertible Notes due September 24, 2032
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Registration Statement on Form S-3 No.
333-101489).
Indenture, dated as of November 16, 2004, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Wachovia Bank,
National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company's 7.25% Senior Notes due 2034 (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K filed November 18, 2004, File
No. 000-08641).
Indenture, dated as of November 3, 2005, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Wachovia Bank,
National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company’s 6.70% Senior Notes due 2035 (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed November 9, 2005, File
No. 000-08641).
Registration Rights Agreement, dated as of November 16, 2004, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current
Report on Form 8-K filed November 18, 2004, File No. 000-08641).
Registration Rights Agreement, dated as of November 3, 2005, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current
Report on Form 8-K filed November 9, 2005, File No. 000-08641).
Indenture, dated as of February 8, 2013, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and U.S. Bank National
Association, as Trustee (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Current Report on
Form 8-K filed February 8, 2013, File No. 001-33067).
First Supplemental Indenture, dated as of February 8, 2013, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and U.S.
Bank National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company’s 5.875% Senior Notes due 2043 (incorporated
by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed February 8, 2013, File
No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Supplemental Pension Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective January 1, 2005
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended September 30, 2008, File No. 001-33067).
Amendment No. 1 to Selective Insurance Supplemental Pension Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective
January 1, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8-
K filed March 25, 2013, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005), As Amended and Restated
Effective as of January 1, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2 of the Company’s Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011, File No. 001-33067).
Amendment No 1. to Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005)
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2a of the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended September 30, 2011, File No. 001-33067).
143
Exhibit
Number
10.2b+
10.3+
10.4+
10.5+
10.6+
10.7+
10.8+
10.9+
10.10+
10.11+
10.12+
10.13+
10.14+
10.15+
Amendment No. 2 to Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005), As
Amended and Restated Effective as of January 1, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2 of the
Company's Current Report on Form 8-K filed March 25, 2013, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan, effective May 1, 2014 (incorporated by reference
herein to Appendix A-1 to the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2014 Annual Meeting of
Stockholders filed April 3, 2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March
31, 2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference
herein to Exhibit 10.2 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31,
2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.3 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014 File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.4 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Unit Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.5 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014 File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Unit
Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.6 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-
Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Restricted Stock Unit Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.7 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan As Amended and Restated Effective as of May 1,
2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix C of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its
2010 Annual Meeting of Stockholders filed March 25, 2010, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference
herein to Exhibit 10.2 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31,
2006, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Restricted Stock Unit Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.8 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year
ended December 31, 2009, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.9 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2005, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Restricted Stock Unit Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.12 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2009, File No. 001-33067).
144
Exhibit
Number
10.16+
10.17+
10.18+
10.19+
10.20+
10.21+
10.22+
10.23+
10.24+
10.25+
10.26+
10.27+
10.28+
10.29+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Restricted Stock Unit Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.13 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2009, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Automatic Director Stock Option Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 2 of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2005
Annual Meeting of Stockholders filed April 6, 2005, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Compensation and Deferral Plan, As Amended and
Restated Effective as of January 1, 2017 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.18 to the Company's
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, File No. 000-08641).
Deferred Compensation Plan for Directors (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.5 to the Company’s
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1993, File No. 000-08641) (paper filed).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Employee Stock Purchase Plan (2009), amended and restated effective July 1,
2009 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix A to the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its
2009 Annual Meeting of Stockholders filed March 26, 2009, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan As Amended and Restated as of May 1, 2014
(incorporated by reference herein to Appendix B to the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2014
Annual Meeting of Stockholders filed March 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Service-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement
(incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.8 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Performance-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award
Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.9 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-
Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.14c of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2007, File No. 001-33067).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.14d of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2007, File No. 001-33067).
Amended and Restated Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance
Agencies (2010), Amended and Restated as of February 1, 2017 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit
10.26 to the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, File No.
000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Option Plan for Directors (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit B
of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2000 Annual Meeting of Stockholders filed March 31,
2000, File No. 000-08641).
Amendment to the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Option Plan for Directors, as amended, effective as
of July 26, 2006, (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.3 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Compensation Plan for Nonemployee Directors, (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit A of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2000 Annual Meeting of
Stockholders filed March 31, 2000, File No. 000-08641).
145
Exhibit
Number
10.30+
10.31+
10.32+
10.33+
10.34+
10.35
10.36
10.37+
10.38+
Amendment to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Compensation Plan for Nonemployee Directors, as
amended (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.22a of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2008, File No. 001-33067).
Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Gregory E. Murphy, dated as
of December 23, 2008 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on
Form 8-K filed December 30, 2008, File No. 001-33067).
Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Michael H. Lanza, dated as of
December 23, 2008 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.23e of the Company’s Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, File No. 001-33067).
Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and John J. Marchioni, dated as of
September 10, 2013 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on
Form 8-K filed September 11, 2013, File No. 001-33067).
Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Mark A. Wilcox, dated as of
October 28, 2016 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form
8-K filed October 31, 2016, File No. 001-33067).
Credit Agreement among Selective Insurance Group, Inc., the Lenders Named Therein and Wells Fargo Bank,
National Association, as Administrative Agent, dated as of December 1, 2015 (incorporated by reference
herein to Exhibit 10.35 of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015,
File No. 001-33067).
Form of Indemnification Agreement between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and each of its directors and
executive officers, as adopted on May 19, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the
Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed May 20, 2005, File No. 000-08641).
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Deferred Compensation Plan (incorporated by
reference herein to Exhibit 10.27 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2009, File No. 001-33067).
Amendment No. 1 to the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Deferred Compensation
Plan (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.27a of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2010, File No. 001-33067).
146
Exhibit
Number
*21
*23.1
*24.1
*24.2
*24.3
*24.4
*24.5
*24.6
*24.7
*24.8
*24.9
*24.10
*24.11
*24.12
*31.1
*31.2
*32.1
*32.2
*99.1
Subsidiaries of Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Consent of KPMG LLP.
Power of Attorney of Paul D. Bauer.
Power of Attorney of A. David Brown.
Power of Attorney of John C. Burville.
Power of Attorney of Robert Kelly Doherty.
Power of Attorney of Thomas A. McCarthy.
Power of Attorney of Michael J. Morrissey.
Power of Attorney of Cynthia S. Nicholson.
Power of Attorney of Ronald L. O'Kelley.
Power of Attorney of William M. Rue.
Power of Attorney of John S. Scheid.
Power of Attorney of J. Brian Thebault.
Power of Attorney of Philip H. Urban.
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
Glossary of Terms.
XBRL Instance Document.
** 101.INS
** 101.SCH XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document.
** 101.CAL XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document.
** 101.LAB XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document.
** 101.PRE XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document.
** 101.DEF XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document.
* Filed herewith.
** Furnished and not filed herewith.
+ Management compensation plan or arrangement.
147
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this
report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
By: /s/ Gregory E. Murphy
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox
Mark A. Wilcox
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
(principal financial officer)
By: /s/ Anthony D. Harnett
Anthony D. Harnett
Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer
(principal accounting officer)
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this Report has been signed below by the following
persons on behalf of the Registrant and in the capacities and on the date indicated.
148
By: /s/ Gregory E. Murphy
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
*
Paul D. Bauer
Director
*
A. David Brown
Director
*
John C. Burville
Director
*
Robert Kelly Doherty
Director
*
Thomas A. McCarthy
Director
*
Michael J. Morrissey
Director
*
Cynthia S. Nicholson
Director
*
Ronald L. O’Kelley
Director
*
William M. Rue
Director
*
John S. Scheid
Director
*
J. Brian Thebault
Director
*
Philip H. Urban
Director
* By: /s/ Michael H. Lanza
Michael H. Lanza
Attorney-in-fact
149
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
February 19, 2018
Glossary of Terms
Accident Year: accident year reporting focuses on the cost of the losses that
occurred in a given year regardless of when reported. These losses are calculated
by adding all payments that have been made for those losses occurring in a
given calendar year (regardless of the year in which they were paid) to any
current reserve that remains for losses that occurred in that given calendar year.
Agent (Independent Retail Insurance Agent): a distribution partner who
recommends and markets insurance to individuals and businesses; usually
represents several insurance companies. Insurance companies pay agents for
business production.
Allocated loss adjustment expenses: defense, litigation, and medical cost
containment expense, whether internal or external.
Audit Premium: premiums based on data from an insured’s records, such as
payroll data. Insured’s records are subject to periodic audit for purposes of
verifying premium amounts.
Catastrophe Loss: severe loss, as defined by the Insurance Services Office's
Property Claims Service (PCS) unit, either natural or man-made, usually
involving, but not limited to, many risks from one occurrence such as fire,
hurricane, tornado, earthquake, windstorm, explosion, hail, severe winter
weather, and terrorism.
Combined Ratio: measure of underwriting profitability determined by
dividing the sum of all GAAP expenses (losses, loss expenses, underwriting
expenses, and dividends to policyholders) by GAAP net premiums earned for
the period. A ratio over 100% is indicative of an underwriting loss, and a ratio
below 100% is indicative of an underwriting profit.
Contract Binding Authority: business that is written in accordance with a
well-defined underwriting strategy that clearly delineates risk eligibility, rates,
and coverages; generally distributed through wholesale general agents.
Credit Risk: risk that a financially-obligated party will default on any type of
debt by failing to make payment obligations. Examples include: (i) a bond issuer
does not make a payment on a coupon or principal payment when due; or (ii)
a reinsurer does not pay policy obligations.
Credit Spread Risk: represent the risk premium required by market
participants for a given credit quality and debt issuer. Spread is the difference
between the yield on a particular debt instrument and the yield of a similar
maturity U.S. Treasury debt security. Changes in credit spreads may arise from
changes in economic conditions and perceived risk of default or downgrade of
individual debt issuers.
Customers: another term for policyholders; individuals or entities that
purchase our insurance products or services.
Diluted Weighted Average Shares Outstanding: represents weighted-
average common shares outstanding adjusted for the impact of any dilutive
common stock equivalents.
Distribution Partners: insurance consultants that we partner with in selling
our insurance products and services. Independent retail insurance agents are
our distribution partners for standard market business and wholesale general
agents are our distribution partners for E&S market business.
Earned Premiums: portion of a premium that is recognized as income based
on the expired portion of the policy period.
Effective Duration: expressed in years, provides an approximate measure of
the portfolio's price sensitivity to a change in interest rates, taking into
consideration how the change in interest rates may impact the timing of expected
cash flows.
Frequency: likelihood that a loss will occur. Expressed as low frequency
(meaning the loss event is possible but has rarely happened in the past and is
not likely to occur in the future), moderate frequency (meaning the loss event
has happened once in a while and can be expected to occur sometime in the
future), or high frequency (meaning the loss event happens regularly and can
be expected to occur regularly in the future).
Exhibit 99.1
Liquidity Spread: represents the risk premium that flows to a market
participant willing to provide liquidity to another market participant that is
demanding it. The spread is the difference between the price a seller is willing
to accept to sell the asset and the price the buyer is willing to pay for the asset.
Loss Expenses: expenses incurred in the process of evaluating, defending, and
paying claims.
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves: amount of money an insurer expects to pay
for claim obligations and related expenses resulting from losses that have
occurred and are covered by insurance policies it has sold.
Non-GAAP Operating Income: non-GAAP measure that is comparable to net
income with the exclusion of capital gains and losses, the deferred tax write-
off that was recognized in 2017 in relation to the tax reform, and the results of
discontinued operations. Non-GAAP operating income is used as an important
financial measure by us, analysts, and investors, because the realization of
investment gains and losses on sales in any given period is largely discretionary
as to timing. Realized investment gains and losses, other-than-temporary
impairment charges included in earnings, the deferred tax write-off, and the
results of discontinued operations, could distort the analysis of trends.
Non-GAAP Operating Income per Diluted Share: non-GAAP measure that
is comparable to net income per diluted share with the exclusion of capital gains
and losses, the deferred tax write-off that was recognized in 2017 in relation to
the tax reform, and the results of discontinued operations.
Non-GAAP Operating Return on Average Equity: measurement of
profitability that reveals the amount of non-GAAP operating income generated
by dividing non-GAAP operating income by average stockholders’ equity
during the period.
Reinsurance: insurance company assuming all or part of a risk undertaken by
another insurance company. Reinsurance spreads the risk among insurance
companies to reduce the impact of losses on individual companies. Types of
reinsurance include proportional, excess of loss, treaty, and facultative.
Premiums Written: premiums for all policies sold during a specific accounting
period.
Renewal Pure Price: estimated average premium change on renewal policies
(excludes exposure changes).
Reported claim count: amount of reported claims, including those closed
without payment.
Retention: measures how well an insurance company retains business by count;
is expressed as a ratio of renewed over expired policies.
Risk: two distinct and frequently used meanings in insurance: (i) the chance
that a claim loss will occur; or (ii) an insured or the property covered by a policy.
Severity: amount of damage that is, or may be, inflicted by a loss or catastrophe.
Statutory Accounting Principles (SAP): accounting practices prescribed and
required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”)
and state insurance departments that stress evaluation of a company’s solvency.
Statutory Premiums to Surplus Ratio: statutory measure of solvency risk
calculated by dividing net statutory premiums written for the year by the ending
statutory surplus.
Statutory Surplus: amount left after an insurance company’s liabilities are
subtracted from its assets. Statutory surplus is not based on GAAP, but SAP
prescribed or permitted by state and foreign insurance regulators.
Unallocated loss adjustment expenses: loss adjustment expenses other than
allocated loss adjustment expenses.
Underwriting: insurer’s process of reviewing applications submitted for
insurance coverage, deciding whether to provide all or part of the coverage
requested, and determining applicable premiums and terms and conditions of
coverage.
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP): accounting practices
used in the United States of America determined by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board. Public companies use GAAP when preparing financial
statements to be filed with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission.
Underwriting Result: underwriting income or loss; represents premiums
earned less insurance losses and loss expenses, underwriting expenses, and
dividends to policyholders. This measure of performance is used by
management and analysts to evaluate profitability of underwriting operations
and is not intended to replace GAAP net income.
Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) Reserves: reserves for estimated losses
that have been incurred by insureds but not yet reported plus provisions for
future emergence on known claims and reopened claims.
Interest Rate Risk: exposure to interest rate risk relates primarily to market
price and cash flow variability associated with changes in interest rates. A rise
in interest rates may decrease the fair value of our existing fixed maturity
investments and declines in interest rates may result in an increase in the fair
value of our existing fixed maturity investments.
Invested Assets per Dollar of Stockholders' Equity Ratio: measure of
investment leverage calculated by dividing invested assets by stockholders'
equity.
Unearned Premiums: portion of a premium that a company has written but
has yet to earn because a portion of the policy is unexpired.
Wholesale General Agent: distribution partner authorized to underwrite on
behalf of a surplus lines insurer through binding authority agreements.
Insurance companies pay wholesale general agents for business production.
DIRECTORS
Paul D. Bauer 1998
Independent Consultant, and retired,
former Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer, Tops Markets, Inc.
A. David Brown 1996 to April 2015 and since July 2015
Retired, former Executive Vice President and
Chief Administrative Officer, Urban Brands, Inc.
John C. Burville, Ph.D, FIA, MAAA 2006
Retired, former Insurance Consultant
to the Bermuda Government
Robert Kelly Doherty 2015
Managing Partner, Caymen Advisors
and Caymen Partners
Thomas A. McCarthy 2018
Retired, former Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer, CIGNA
H. Elizabeth Mitchell 2018
Retired, former President and Chief Executive Officer
of Renaissance Reinsurance U.S., Inc.
Michael J. Morrissey, CFA 2008
President and Chief Executive Officer,
International Insurance Society, Inc.
Gregory E. Murphy 1997
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer,
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Cynthia (Cie) S. Nicholson 2009
Chief Marketing Officer, Forkcast
Ronald L. O’Kelley 2005
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer,
Atlantic Coast Venture Investments Inc.
William M. Rue 1977
Chairman, Chas. E. Rue & Son, Inc.,
t/a Rue Insurance
John S. Scheid, CPA 2014
Owner, Scheid Investment Group, LLC
Former Senior Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC
J. Brian Thebault 1996
Lead Independent Director, Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Partner, Thebault Associates
Philip H. Urban 2014
Retired, former President and
Chief Executive Officer, Grange Insurance
SELECTIVE 2017 ANNUAL REPORT
OFFICERS
Chairman and
Chief Executive Officer
Gregory E. Murphy 1,2
President and
Chief Operating Officer
John J. Marchioni 1,2
Executive
Vice Presidents
George D. Dufala, Jr. 2
Insurance Operations
Gordon J. Gaudet 2
Chief Information Officer
Michael H. Lanza 1,2
General Counsel and
Chief Compliance Officer
Charles A. Musilli, III 2
Chief Human Resources Officer
George A. Neale 2
Chief Claims Officer
Vincent M. Senia 2
Chief Actuary
Mark A. Wilcox 1,2
Chief Financial Officer
1 Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
2 Selective Insurance Company of America
Senior Vice Presidents
Charles C. Adams 2
Regional Manager
Mid-Atlantic Region
Shadi Albert 2
Regional Manager
Southwest Region
Allen H. Anderson 2
Chief Underwriting Officer
Personal Lines/Flood
Jeffrey F. Beck 2
Government and Regulatory
Affairs
John P. Bresney 2
Enterprise Application
Delivery Services
Teresa M. Caro 2
Regional Manager
New Jersey Region
Sarita G. Chakravarthi 1,2
Tax and Assistant Treasurer
Thomas M. Clark 2
Claims General Counsel
Joseph O. Eppers 1,2
Chief Investment Officer
Brenda M. Hall 2
Chief Strategic Operations Officer
Anthony D. Harnett 1,2
Chief Accounting Officer
Todd Hoivik 2
Commercial Lines Pricing
and Research
Martin Hollander 1,2
Chief Audit Executive
Kory Jensen 2
IT Infrastructure and Operations
Jeffrey F. Kamrowski 2
MUSIC
President, Mesa Underwriters
Specialty Insurance Company
Robert J. McKenna, Jr. 2
Enterprise Architecture and
Information Security
James McLain 2
Chief Field Operations Officer
Ryan Miller 2
Regional Manager
Southern Region
Yanina Montau-Hupka 1,2
Chief Risk Officer
Rohit Mull 2
Chief Marketing Officer
Maria Orecchio 2
Deputy General Counsel
Rohan Pai 1,2
Investor Relations and Treasurer
Thomas S. Purnell 2
Regional Manager
Northeast Region
Erik A. Reidenbach 2
Regional Manager
Heartland Region
Brian C. Sarisky 2
Chief Underwriting Officer,
Commercial Lines
INVESTOR
INFORMATION
Annual Meeting
Wednesday, May 2, 2018 - 9:00 a.m. (ET)
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
40 Wantage Avenue
Branchville, New Jersey 07890
Investor Relations
Rohan Pai
Senior Vice President
Investor Relations and Treasurer
(973) 948.1364
Investor.Relations@Selective.com
Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. makes available
to holders of its common stock an automatic
dividend reinvestment and stock purchase plan.
For information contact:
EQ Shareowner Services
P.O. Box 64854
St. Paul, Minnesota 55164
(866) 877.6351
Registrar and Transfer Agent
EQ Shareowner Services
P.O. Box 64854
St. Paul, Minnesota 55164
(866) 877.6351
Auditors
KPMG LLP
345 Park Avenue
New York, New York 10154
Internal Audit Department
Martin Hollander
Chief Audit Executive
Internal.Audit@Selective.com
Executive Office
40 Wantage Avenue
Branchville, New Jersey 07890
(973) 948.3000
Shareholder Relations
Robyn P. Turner
Corporate Secretary
(973) 948.1766
Shareholder.Relations@Selective.com
Common Stock Information
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.’s common
stock trades on the NASDAQ Global Select
Market under the symbol: SIGI.
Form 10-K
Selective’s Form 10-K, as filed with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission,
is provided as part of this 2017 Annual Report.
Website
Visit us at www.Selective.com
for information about Selective,
including our latest financial news.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
40 Wantage Avenue
Branchville, New Jersey 07890
www.Selective.com