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Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation

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FY2018 Annual Report · Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation
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2018 Annual Report

Contents

Fairfax Africa Corporate Performance . . . . . . . .

Corporate Profile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Letter to Shareholders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Management’s Responsibility for the

Consolidated Financial Statements . . . . . . . .

Independent Auditor’s Report . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Fairfax Africa Consolidated Financial Statements

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

. . .

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of

Financial Condition and Results of Operations

1

2

4

16

17

20

25

62

Corporate Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

112

3MAR201804150596

2018 Annual Report

(in US$ thousands, except as otherwise indicated)(1)

Fairfax Africa Corporate Performance

As at and for the years ended December 31

Initial public offering
2017

2018

Compound annual growth (decline)

Book
value
per
share

10.00
10.21

9.60
(2.2)%(3)

Closing
share
Net
price Income earnings

Total
assets Investments

Common
shareholders’

Shares
equity outstanding(1)

Earnings
per
share

10.00(2)
14.16

31,851

23,484 669,111

8.11

(42,108)

(60,580) 643,830

(10.6)%

339,052

409,475

516,736

603,127

50.6

62.8

0.54

(1.06)

(1) All  share  references  are  to  common  shares;  Closing  share  price  and  per  share  amounts  are  in  U.S.  dollars;  Shares  outstanding  are

in millions.

(2) On February 17, 2017, upon completion of the company’s initial public offering price of $10.00 per share, Fairfax Africa Holdings

Corporation’s subordinate voting shares began trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol FAH.U.

(3) The company’s book value per share of $9.60 at December 31, 2018 represented a compound annual decline from the initial public

offering price of $10.00 per share at February 17, 2017 of 2.2%.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Corporate Profile

Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation (‘‘Fairfax Africa’’) is an investment holding company whose investment
objective is to achieve long term capital appreciation, while preserving capital, by investing in public and private
equity securities and debt instruments in Africa and African businesses (‘‘African Investments’’).

African Investments

Fairfax Africa’s Public African Investments, whose shares are listed on stock exchanges noted below, are comprised
as follows:

Atlas Mara Limited (‘‘Atlas Mara’’) is a publicly traded, Sub-Saharan African financial services group listed on the
London  Stock  Exchange  under  the  symbol  ATMA.  Atlas  Mara’s  vision  to  establish  itself  as  a  premier  financial
institution across key markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since its inception in 2013, Atlas Mara has acquired control or
significant  influence  in  banks  across  seven  Sub-Saharan  African  countries:  Nigeria,  Botswana,  Zimbabwe,
Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania and Zambia. Atlas Mara’s revenues for the twelve months ended September 30,
2018 were $248 million. At September 30, 2018, Atlas Mara had shareholders’ equity of $760 million and there were
approximately  5,900  employees.  Additional 
information  can  be  accessed  from  Atlas  Mara’s  website
www.atlasmara.com.

Consolidated  Infrastructure  Group  Limited  (‘‘CIG’’)  is  a  publicly  traded  Pan-African  engineering
infrastructure  company  listed  on  the  Johannesburg  Stock  Exchange  under  the  stock  symbol  CIL.  CIG  has  a
diversified portfolio of operations including services and materials in power and electrical, oil and gas, building
materials  and  the  railway  sector,  with  a  footprint  that  spans  over  20  African  countries  and  the  Middle  East.
Historically, over 71% of CIG’s net earnings has been derived outside of South Africa. CIG’s revenues for the twelve
months ended August 31, 2018 were $210 million. At August 31, 2018, CIG had shareholders’ equity of $126 million
and  there  were  approximately  2,100  employees.  Additional  information  can  be  accessed  from  CIG’s  website
www.ciglimited.co.za.

Fairfax Africa’s Private African Investments, whose fair values cannot be derived from an active market and accordingly
are determined using industry accepted valuation techniques and models, are comprised as follows:

AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited is a private holding company based in South Africa and owns 100.0% of
AFGRI Group Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘AGH’’, formerly known as AFGRI), an investment holding company
with interests in a number of agricultural and food-related companies providing products and services to ensure
sustainable  agriculture.  AGH’s  investment  philosophy  is  to  create  long  term  sustainable  value  by  targeting
investments  in  agriculture,  food  processing  and  financial  services,  by  building  or  acquiring  equity  interests  in
companies which provide the company with control or significant influence. AGH’s long term growth strategy is
based on a vision to ensure sustainable agriculture and enable food security across Africa. AGH’s core focus is grain
commodities and it provides services across the entire grain production and storage cycle, offering financial support
and solutions as well as high-tech equipment through the John Deere brand supported by a large retail footprint. In
addition  to  South  Africa,  AGH  currently  has  operational  activities  aimed  at  supporting  agriculture  in  Zambia,
Zimbabwe,  Mozambique,  Congo-Brazzaville,  Botswana,  C ˆote  d’Ivoire  and  Uganda.  AGH  also  has  a  John  Deere
operation in Australia, an animal feeds research and development venture in the United Kingdom and an investment
in animal feeds in the United States of America. AGH’s revenues for the twelve months ended December 31, 2018
were  $971  million.  At  December  31,  2018,  AGH  had  shareholders’  equity  of  $178  million  and  there  were
4,218 employees. Additional information can be accessed from AGH’s website www.agh.co.za.

Philafrica  Foods  Proprietary  Ltd.  (‘‘Philafrica’’),  formed  to  hold  AGH’s  legacy  food  processing  business,  is
headquartered in South Africa, where it owns and operates maize mills, wheat mills, animal feed factories, snacking
facilities, soya crushing and extraction plants, which process oil and other raw materials into edible oils, fats and
proteins for human consumption (primarily for the food processing and quick-service restaurant industries), and a
mussels farm and factory. Philafrica also has food-related businesses outside South Africa, consisting mainly of a
cassava  processing  business  in  C ˆote  d’Ivoire  and  Mozambique  and  a  poultry  joint  venture  in  Mozambique.
Philafrica’s  vision  is  to  transform  the  lives  of  millions  of  Africans  through  food  processing  in  Africa.  Philafrica’s
management believes that the most effective way to transform African agriculture is to create market pull through
large-scale food processing, which requires vertical integration throughout the entire food value chain straight back
to  the  farms  and  ensures  consistent  quality  supply  of  raw  materials  into  the  company’s  food  production  sites.
Philafrica’s revenues for the twelve months ended December 31, 2018 were $410 million. At year end, Philafrica had

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shareholders’ equity of $104 million and there were 2,096 employees. Additional information can be accessed from
Philafrica’s website www.philafricafoods.com.

GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited  (‘‘GroCapital  Holdings’’)  is  a  bank  holding  company  that  owns
99.9% of the South African Bank of Athens Limited (‘‘SABA’’). SABA was established in 1947 in South Africa and is
focused on delivering world-class banking services to the medium-sized business market in the country. SABA offers
comprehensive traditional business banking such as lending, transaction banking, treasury and foreign exchange as
well  as  alliance  banking  services,  which  provide  niche  transactional  banking  offerings  in  partnership  with
non-banking entities who would like to offer financial services into their customer base. SABA’s revenues for the
twelve months ended September 30, 2018 were $9 million. At September 30, 2018, SABA had shareholders’ equity of
$19  million  and  there  were  178  employees.  Additional  information  can  be  accessed  from  SABA’s  website
www.bankofathens.co.za.

Nova  Pioneer  Education  Group  (‘‘Nova  Pioneer’’)  is  a  Pan-African  independent  school  network  offering
preschool through secondary education for students from ages 3 through 19. Nova Pioneer was started in 2013 with
its first school opening in South Africa in 2014. Since then, the company has expanded across South Africa and
launched its first campus in Kenya in 2015. Nova Pioneer currently operates ten schools with a combined enrollment
of  approximately  3,850  students.  Additional  information  can  be  accessed  from  Nova  Pioneer’s  website
www.novapioneer.com.

Other – Fairfax Africa also has investments in common shares of a public African company in the infrastructure
sector and a secured loan with PGR2 Investments Proprietary Limited, a significant shareholder of CIG.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

To Our Shareholders,

We finished 2018 with book value per share (BVPS) of $9.60*, down 6.0% from the previous year and 2.2% on a
compounded annual basis from our IPO in February 2017. We reported a net loss in 2018 of $60.6 million ($1.06 net
loss per diluted share), primarily derived from unrealized losses on our public company investments and foreign
currency, which was only partially offset by interest income on our investment portfolio, and realized and unrealized
gains on our private company investments. This was a disappointing result which did not reflect our view of the
positive trajectory of the Company or the inherent value of our underlying investments. The primary drivers of this
accounting result were the decline in the fourth quarter in the Atlas Mara share price and the South African rand,
both of which factors we discuss in some detail below.

Since our IPO in 2017, we have made a total of six significant investments, and by year-end 2018 had deployed
(or committed to deploy) $469 million (approximately 95%) of our net IPO proceeds. We completed in June 2018 a
follow-on  offering  in  which  Fairfax  Africa  raised  $148.3 million  in  net  proceeds  to  provide  the  Company  with
additional resources to take advantage of the investment opportunities we see potentially available in the market. In
the months after the follow-on offering, our conviction in the African opportunity only increased as global emerging
market sentiment deteriorated and valuation levels turned more favorable for investments.

During the course of the year, we made three new investments (Consolidated Infrastructure Group (CIG), Philafrica
Foods  (Philafrica)  and  GroCapital  Holdings  (GroCapital))  and  three  ‘‘top-up’’  investments  in  existing  investee
companies  (AFGRI  Group  Holdings  (AGH,  formerly  AFGRI),  Atlas  Mara  Limited  (Atlas  Mara)  and  Nova  Pioneer
Education Group (Nova Pioneer)). These investments can be summarized as follows:

(cid:127) AGH: $18.5 million (220 million South African rand) capital contribution funded during the year, and an
additional $13.1 million (180 million South African rand) committed to a bridge facility to support growth
initiatives, including acquisitions and capital expenditure in its agri-services, food processing and financial
services businesses;

(cid:127) Atlas  Mara:  $33.8 million  in  secured  debt  and  warrants,  the  proceeds  of  which  were  used  to  support

operational improvements and working capital;

(cid:127) CIG: $97.0 million (1,312 million South African rand) through a convertible note and participation in a rights
offering to recapitalize CIG’s business, reduce debt and provide resources for growth, which resulted in Fairfax
Africa acquiring a 49.1% stake in CIG, a platform investment in energy infrastructure;

(cid:127) GroCapital:  $12.1 million  (171.6 million  South  African  rand)  to  acquire  a  35.0%  equity  interest  (which

proceeds GroCapital used to acquire and recapitalize the South African Bank of Athens (SABA));

(cid:127) Nova Pioneer: $14.0 million in total commitments for debt and warrants, of which $4.8 million was funded in
2018 and $3.5 million in January 2019, the proceeds of which will be used to fund the expansion of Nova
Pioneer’s schools and student enrollment; and

(cid:127) Philafrica: $23.3 million (325 million South African rand) to acquire a 26.0% equity interest, and an additional
$18.7 million (172 million South African rand) in bridge funding, which was repaid in cash in December 2018.

AFGRI Group Holdings (AGH)

We are pleased to report that under Chris Venter’s leadership, AGH had a strong year with improved financial and
operating performance, including a successful turnaround and partial separation of its legacy foods business. The
group’s vision of ‘‘Driving Food Security across Africa’’ was advanced through several initiatives as described below.

AGH  completed  in  July 2018  the  previously  announced  restructuring  of  the  group  into  an  investment  holding
company with three primary business units:

(cid:127) AFGRI (agri-services, including grain management and John Deere branded equipment);

(cid:127) newly-formed Philafrica Foods (the legacy processed foods business of AFGRI); and

(cid:127) GroCapital (bank controlling company and financial services provider).

* Amounts in this letter are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.

4

This reorganization marked the successful conclusion of Chris Venter’s efforts over the years of his leadership and our
involvement to simplify the company from what was a very complex conglomerate with multiple non-core and
unrelated  business  lines  (e.g. golf  carts,  ATMs,  and  poultry  to  name  but  a  few)  into  a  decentralized  investment
holding company that now has a clear focus on the agricultural vertical.

AGH completed in October 2018 the acquisition of SABA through its investment in GroCapital. Access to a banking
license in South Africa adds a significant competitive edge for AGH in its strategy to deliver a full suite of banking
products and financial services to its customers. As part of the transaction, Fairfax Africa simultaneously acquired a
35.0% interest in GroCapital (see GroCapital below).

Subsequently,  AGH  completed  in  November 2018  the  partial  spin  out  of  Philafrica  through  the  sale  of  a  40.0%
interest to Fairfax Africa (26.0%) and the Public Investment Corporation of South Africa (PIC) (14.0%) (see Philafrica
below).  The  successful  transaction  enabled  AGH  to  strengthen  and  expand  its  food  operations  through  the
conversion of its shareholder loans with Philafrica and by raising additional capital from its own shareholder base.

AGH’s AFGRI division (agri-services including grain management and John Deere equipment) performed well in 2018,
with strong profitability in the grain management business and stable performance elsewhere. AFGRI has over five
million tonnes of grain silo capacity in South Africa, and handles about a third of South Africa’s grain commodities.
AFGRI  remains  the  main  contributor  to  AGH’s  performance.  Despite  an  over  20%  drop  in  year-over-year  grain
production in South Africa, as a result of AFGRI’s leading market position, AFGRI is on track to meet its budget and
maintain its previous year’s operating performance. AFGRI was awarded a 15-year concession from Transnet, the
South African port and rail authority, to operate and manage the country’s import/export facilities in two major
South African ports. Through AFGRI, AGH successfully enhanced the positioning of its digital platform which will
enable farmers to order inputs, perform online transactional banking, obtain credit lines and sell their harvested
goods from remote locations, all on one proprietary digital interface.

The South African government announced in January 2018 a process to potentially change the constitution of the
country to allow expropriation of land without compensation under certain specific circumstances in an attempt to
speed up the process of land reform. The ongoing and highly politicized process of land reform in South Africa has
led to substantial uncertainty in both the investing and farming communities. This uncertainty and speculation
around  potential  outcomes  have  hindered  investment  in  the  agricultural  sector,  including  capital  spending  by
AFGRI’s  core  commercial  farming  customers,  impacting  AGH’s  equipment  and  financial  services  businesses  in
particular. We discuss the South African environment in greater detail below.

Results from operations outside of South Africa were mixed. During 2018, AGH took a strategic decision to reduce
risk exposure in parts of Africa where it does not have the scale or expertise to compete effectively. As a result, AGH
took steps over the course of 2018 to close businesses and reduce exposure in Nigeria, Ghana, Uganda and Zambia. At
the  same  time,  the  Australian  John  Deere  equipment  business  continued  to  show  positive  results  and  growth
following  consolidating  acquisitions  undertaken  by  AFGRI  in  2017.  AGH  also  reached  an  agreement  with  John
Deere & Co. to act as the exclusive agent for the John Deere construction and forestry equipment business in Western
Australia, complementing AFGRI’s existing equipment business in the region.

For 2019, Chris and his team will be focused on fully incorporating the bank into the group’s financial services
offering to AGH’s farming base, which will include a re-branding and re-positioning of the bank (formerly known as
SABA) to focus on serving the needs of the agricultural and food processing sectors. AGH will continue to develop
and expand its digital platform and product and services offering, which is expected to create a strong foundation for
revenue  growth  within  financial  services.  Within  AFGRI  (agri-services),  creation  of  a  new  storage  platform  is
expected to allow for the expansion of the storage footprint and diversification of storage services into a broader
commodity pool. Outside of South Africa, AGH will continue to streamline its agricultural operations in Africa to
ensure more efficient capital deployment.

Fairfax Africa held a 44.7% interest in AGH at December 31, 2018.

Atlas Mara Limited (Atlas Mara)

Atlas  Mara  is  a  sub-Saharan  African  financial  services  group  which  controls  and  operates  banks  in  six  countries
(Botswana, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe) and holds a significant position in a bank that
operates in Nigeria (Africa’s largest economy and financial services market outside of South Africa). Atlas Mara, along
with our investment in GroCapital in South Africa, provides a foundation on which to build our financial services
offerings across the continent.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Atlas Mara’s shares closed 2018 at $1.66, down 26% from Fairfax Africa’s initial investment at $2.25 per share, and
down  29%  from  $2.34  at  year-end  2017  and  $2.33  at  quarter-end  September 2018.  This  decline  resulted  in  a
$49.6 million unrealized loss, or a $0.77 decrease in our BVPS, from the third quarter of 2018. The year-end 2018
share price of $1.66 represented a price to book value of 0.37x for Atlas Mara’s BVPS for the third quarter of 2018. All
of  the  decline  in  the  Atlas  Mara  share  price  occurred  in  the  fourth  quarter  of  2018,  which  we  believe  primarily
resulted from substantial selling pressure from one shareholder with liquidity issues that resulted in dislocation in
the market. Other than Fairfax Africa, the majority of other shareholders have been invested in Atlas Mara since its
IPO in December 2013, and, having lost over 85% of the value of their investment over the past five years, now
appear  to  be  extremely  fatigued  and  to  have  capitulated  in  the  absence  of  value  creation.  The  general
underperformance  of  and  negative  sentiment  towards  emerging  markets  in  the  second  half  of  2018  likely
exacerbated this result. Taking into account the market value of Atlas Mara’s stakes in publicly-listed Union Bank of
Nigeria Plc (UBN) (which value represented 78% of Atlas Mara’s market cap) and BancABC Botswana, the share price
for Atlas Mara at year-end 2018 implied negative value for the remainder of Atlas Mara’s assets (including banking
operations in five other countries)! Needless to say, we do not believe this share price reflects the intrinsic value of
Atlas Mara.

Fairfax Africa acquired a 42.4% interest in Atlas Mara in August 2017 for net cash consideration of $155.8 million and
other existing shareholders of Atlas Mara concurrently invested $41.4 million. We acquired additional shares in
December 2017,  bringing  our  net  cash  investment  to  $158.2 million.  At  December 31,  2018,  Fairfax  Africa’s
ownership in Atlas Mara was 42.4%. Our initial investment was made at an attractive valuation representing 0.33x
book value and a 77.5% discount to Atlas Mara’s IPO price. During the course of 2018, Fairfax Africa invested an
additional $33.8 million of cash in the form of secured debt plus warrants, which proceeds were used to support
operational improvements and working capital, and to increase Atlas Mara’s stake in UBN to 49% by year-end 2018.

Bob Diamond, along with co-founder Ashish Thakkar, founded and listed Atlas Mara on the London Stock Exchange
in  2013  with  an  IPO  price  of  $10  per  share.  Bob  and  his  team  approached  us  on  the  Atlas  Mara  investment
opportunity in early 2017. Fairfax Africa appointed representatives to the Atlas Mara Board in October 2017 and
assumed the chairmanship of the Board in February 2019. This transition reflects our role as the largest shareholder
in the company and facilitates our objective to closely oversee this investment while we work to generate value
creation for Atlas Mara shareholders.

Atlas Mara’s net earnings attributed to ordinary shareholders for the nine months ended September 30, 2018 was
$30.6 million compared to $15.8 million for the previous year comparable period. The Markets and Treasury business
continued its growth with total revenue of $39 million for the same nine months period, compared to $32 million in
the previous year. On a constant currency basis, expenses increased 8.3% year-over-year, primarily due to the impact
of local inflation in countries of operation, as well as increased expenditure on key IT solutions. At September 30,
2018 Atlas Mara’s BVPS was $4.39 and tangible book value per share was $3.53. Both income and asset growth have
been  muted  through  much  of  2018,  a  trend  we  expect  to  continue  through  the  fourth  quarter.  As  a  result,  net
earnings for the full year are expected to be more or less flat with the nine months results outlined above.

Nigeria remains a flagship market for Atlas Mara and is central to the group’s overall strategy. UBN, 49% owned by
Atlas Mara at year-end 2018, is a leading Nigerian bank with a rich 100-year history, and strong brand awareness.
Today, UBN has over $4.4 billion (1.6 trillion Nigerian naira) in assets and 4.3 million customers which it serves
across 300 sales and service centers. UBN’s operating results are showing positive trends across several core metrics
including growth in customers, growth in deposits and loans, lower non-performing loans (NPLs), and improving
returns on assets and equity. Cost to income still has room for improvement and will be a focus in 2019 for UBN. UBN
performed very well through the first nine months of 2018. Atlas Mara equity accounts for its investment in UBN and
as a result Atlas Mara recorded share of profit of associates from UBN of $22.1 million over that period (excluding a
one-time  gain)  based  on  its  49%  ownership,  up  92%  from  the  previous  year’s  nine  months  comparable  period
($11.5 million). UBN reported the following key results for the nine months ended September 30, 2018:

(cid:127) Earnings before income tax up 14%;

(cid:127) Gross earnings up 12%, driven by higher earning assets and a 46% growth in non-interest income;

(cid:127) Interest income up 3%;

(cid:127) Net operating income up 17%;

(cid:127) Gross loans up 5%; and

6

(cid:127) Customer  deposits  up  10%,  with  a  37%  increase  in  foreign  currency  deposits  (excluding  the  impact  of

devaluation) alongside a growing low-cost deposit book.

Fairfax  Africa’s  initial  investment  enabled  Atlas  Mara  to  increase  its  shareholding  in  UBN  from  31%  to  49%  by
year-end  2018  through  public  and  private  market  acquisitions,  and  through  participation  in  the  rights  offering
undertaken by UBN in late 2017. This was an attractively valued investment opportunity for Atlas Mara; the rights
issue pricing represented a 32% discount to UBN’s closing share price on August 30, 2017 and a 73% discount to book
value at June 30, 2017.

In December 2018 a wholly-owned subsidiary of Atlas Mara successfully completed the IPO of BancABC Botswana on
the Botswana Stock Exchange, selling 20.5% to institutional and retail investors for $28 million in gross proceeds at a
price to book value of 1.5x based on BVPS at June 30, 2018. The transaction was intended to strengthen BancABC
Botswana’s local market connectivity by providing a broad base of more than 450 domestic shareholders, and serves
to illustrate the value of the group’s underlying banking operations not currently reflected in  the share price of
Atlas Mara.

Atlas Mara announced on February 6, 2019 a review of strategic options to determine the key strategic priorities and
actions for 2019 and beyond to drive shareholder value. Atlas Mara has hired an investment bank to assist in this
process,  which  will  include  a  review  of  each  banking  operation  to  ensure  that  top  five  market  leadership  is
practicably  achievable  in  the  near  term,  or  to  explore  transactions  that  will  reduce  risk  exposure  where  such
leadership is unlikely on a stand-alone basis. Co-founder Bob Diamond has transitioned from his role of Chairman
and Michael Wilkerson has been appointed to the role to oversee this strategic review.

Fairfax Africa will assist the company in achieving these objectives through its representatives on the Board and
involvement in the strategic review, all with a view towards creating value for shareholders.

Also on February 6, 2019 Atlas Mara announced it had entered into a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding
with Fairfax Africa whereby Atlas Mara would explore the acquisition, in a proposed share exchange transaction on
terms to be agreed, of Fairfax Africa’s 35.0% stake in GroCapital, a South African financial services provider with a
core focus on the agricultural and food processing sectors. We discuss GroCapital, and this potential transaction,
further below.

Consolidated Infrastructure Group (CIG)

We are pleased to have completed our latest investment, CIG, just days after year-end on January 4, 2019. We look
forward to welcoming Raoul Gamsu, CIG’s CEO, to the Fairfax Africa family when he joins us for the AGM in April.

CIG is a pan-African infrastructure-focused group founded and listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange in 2007.
CIG has a diversified portfolio of operations including services and materials in power and electrical, oil and gas,
building materials and the railway sector. CIG’s footprint spans over 20 countries in Africa and the Middle East, with
over 70% of net earnings derived outside of South Africa. CIG operates in four divisions:

(cid:127) Power: wholly-owned  Conco  is  Africa’s  leading  supplier  of  high  voltage  turnkey  electrical  substations,
overhead power lines, renewable energy (wind and solar) and related products and services; wholly-owned
Conlog is a leading smart metering business; and wholly-owned renewable power project developer CIGenCo
was recently launched to capitalize on the substantial opportunity in renewable energy project development;

(cid:127) Building Materials: wholly-owned Drift Supersand provides crushed stone for the construction industry for
application  in  roads,  ready-mix,  concrete  and  aggregates  for  stabilization,  while  wholly-owned  West  End
Claybrick manufactures housing materials;

(cid:127) Oil &  Gas: Angola  Environmental  Servi¸cos  (AES,  30.5%  owned  by  CIG)  provides  full  integrated  waste

management services to the offshore oil and gas industry in Angola; and

(cid:127) Rail: wholly-owned Tractionel is the leading railway electrification company in South Africa.

CIG got itself in a bit of financial trouble in 2017 as a result of a drive to aggressively grow its Conco footprint across
multiple geographies while simultaneously increasing its exposure to development of new renewable technologies,
which strained its balance sheet and liquidity. The focus on top-line growth at the expense of margin and cash flow,
and  the  additional  complexity  created  by  this  expansion,  resulted  in  a  number  of  missteps  by  CIG,  including
allowing growth to outstrip systems and processes, combined with sub-optimal pricing and contracts management,
and over-leverage. The situation was exacerbated by exceptionally weak conditions in CIG’s home market of South

7

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Africa. CIG announced a financial and operational restructuring to address the situation, while in the meantime its
share price fell by over 85% from its peak through the announcement of Fairfax Africa’s investment. This temporary
but potentially debilitating liquidity issue created a fantastic opportunity for Fairfax Africa to make a stabilizing
investment in CIG on attractive financial terms.

The decentralized structure of CIG prevented contagion of the issues at Conco, and while other group companies
and personnel were distracted by the issues, there was no significant impact on the daily running of their businesses.

The recapitalization of CIG through the $23.3 million (300 million South African rand) secured convertible loan
provided by Fairfax Africa and the $57.2 million (800 million South African rand) rights offering (underwritten by
Fairfax Africa and further discussed below) were essential steps to ensure that CIG could not only survive, but be
strongly  positioned  as  a  well-capitalized  leader  in  the  market  going  forward.  Since  the  recapitalization  and
restructuring, substantial progress has been made.

Conlog delivered a strong set of financial results for its fiscal year ended August 31, 2018, significantly exceeding the
original earnings forecasts (from the date of acquisition in November 2017) by 31% through the introduction of new
products and expanding its footprint in several new markets.

The restructuring of the Conco business and the critical steps needed to transform this business have been largely
implemented and are expected to yield benefits in future reporting periods. These key steps included combining the
international and South African operations into a single organizational structure, and segregating the go-to-market
functions  from  operations,  moves  which  are  expected  to  result  in  an  improved  focus  on  project  execution  and
margins.  The  Conco  executive  team  was  strengthened  with  the  appointment  of  Johnny  Dladla  as  CEO  in
November 2018.  Johnny  is  a  highly  experienced  power  industry  executive  and  the  former  acting  group  chief
executive  for  Eskom  and  CEO  of  Rotek  Industries,  who  has  already  rolled  up  his  sleeves  and  gone  to  work  on
strengthening this business.

CIGenCo marked its first results milestone with a maiden profit contribution to the group when its Namibian Ejuva
Solar Energy Project reached commercial operation in 2018.

Activity for power and rail projects in South Africa has been at exceptionally low levels, and CIG’s order backlog in
the  traditional  substation  business  in  South  Africa  is  at  an  all-time  cyclical  low.  Activity  is  expected  to  pick  up
following national elections in May 2019. The African market has significant opportunity, but the completion of
financial closure of proposed projects is slower than desired.

Raoul’s objectives for 2019 include 1) returning Conco to profitability; 2) getting the right people in the right roles;
3) continuing  to  transition  the  group  away  from  the  vagaries  of  engineering,  procurement  and  construction
contracting into a sustainable platform supplying power needs across Africa; and 4) capitalizing on the increasing
renewable  energy  and  off-grid  industrial  scale  opportunities  in  Africa.  CIG’s  established  regional  presence  and
market experience can be leveraged to geographically expand other group companies’ products and services.

Since this is our first time describing the CIG opportunity, we should provide a little background on the investment
itself. On January 4, 2019 we acquired 178,995,353 ordinary shares of CIG at a price of 4.00 South African rand per
share  for  net  consideration  of  $49.7 million  (696 million  South  African  rand)  as  part  of  an  underwritten  rights
offering  for  CIG  ordinary  shares.  This  equity  investment  is  in  addition  to  Fairfax  Africa’s  previously  announced
$23.3 million (300 million South African rand) secured convertible loan to CIG, a loan to PGR2 of $20.0 million
(260 million South African rand), and an existing equity investment of $4.0 million (56 million South African rand)
which brings our total project related commitment to $97.0 million (1,312 million South African rand). Following
completion of the investment in January 2019, Fairfax Africa now owns 49.1% of CIG’s ordinary shares.

We were strongly supportive of the rights offering, which we believe has materially strengthened CIG’s balance sheet
and  provided  the  required  headroom  for  CIG  to  deliver  on  its  corporate  strategy  and  to  manage  the  business
optimally in an efficient and effective manner. We believe that the strong financial base created by Fairfax Africa’s
investment will position CIG well to capitalize on dislocation amongst its competitors and extend its leadership
position in its markets.

8

Our investment rationale can be summarized as follows:

Deep Value Investment: Fairfax Africa’s investment in CIG was made at a significant 21.9% discount to tangible book
value per share as at CIG’s fiscal year-end August 2018.

Pent-up Demand:
well-positioned as a leader in the African energy infrastructure sector.

Infrastructure and energy represent multi-billion dollar supply-demand gaps in Africa, and CIG is

Growth &  Earnings  Potential: Fairfax  Africa  has  identified  a  large  pipeline  of  attractive  investment  opportunities
across  CIG’s  portfolio  with  potential  for  stable  long-term  returns,  to  be  pursued  with  appropriate  timing  as  the
current portfolio reorients towards profitability, and as operational and capital allocation strategies improve.

Investment Timing: The timing of Fairfax Africa’s investment is expected to capitalize on macro tailwinds supporting
strong earnings potential in CIG’s existing portfolio:

(cid:127) Conco: South Africa’s REIPPP (the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement) program has

now re-commenced, enabling progression of existing Conco projects;

(cid:127) AES: After a two-year performance lag at AES from low offshore rig counts due to historically low WTI pricing,

Fairfax Africa expects an uptick in Angolan rigs in 2019 on the back of global oil price recovery; and

(cid:127) Conlog: A country-wide shift in South African municipalities towards installing pre-paid meters is expected to
significantly increase demand. Conlog is expected to be a substantial contributor to CIG’s profits in 2019.

Finally, we are honoured to welcome John Beck to the Board of CIG. John is the Founder and Executive Chairman of
Aecon  Group,  Canada’s  premier  construction  and  infrastructure  development  company.  With  over  50 years’
experience in the construction industry, we expect John will make a substantial contribution to CIG over the coming
months. It’s hard to imagine someone better suited to understand and help address the challenges and opportunities
facing CIG from an industry perspective.

We believe that CIG has substantial potential over the long-term.

GroCapital Holdings (GroCapital)

GroCapital, a bank holding company, acquired 99.8% of SABA from the National Bank of Greece in October 2018
pursuant to an agreement entered into in March 2017. As part of the transaction, Fairfax Africa acquired a 35.0%
interest in GroCapital for $12.1 million (171.6 million South African rand). In addition to Fairfax Africa, GroCapital’s
shareholders include the PIC (35.0%) and AGH (30.0%).

SABA was established and has been operational in South Africa since 1947, and offers comprehensive traditional
business banking such as lending, transactional banking and treasury functions, as well as alliance, business and
international  banking.  SABA  is  known  for  its  focus  on  the  development  of  market-leading,  niche  alliance
transactional banking offerings in partnership with businesses. GroCapital’s go-forward strategy for the bank is to
focus on serving companies in agriculture and food production, offering debt origination, forex and commodity
trading, specialised finance and broking services, and providing an array of financial and insurance products and
services to the agricultural sector. As part of AGH, GroCapital has an established track record in financial services,
offering bespoke financial products and services to the agribusiness and food sectors. AGH maintains approximately
$1 billion (14 billion South African rand) in farmer and corporate loan portfolios, with a history of negligible bad
debts through multiple agricultural cycles.

On February 6, 2019, Atlas Mara and Fairfax Africa entered into a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding
whereby Atlas Mara will explore the acquisition of Fairfax Africa’s 35.0% stake in GroCapital in a proposed share
exchange transaction with Atlas Mara. This transaction will be subject to the approval of the South African Reserve
Bank,  the  Minister  of  Finance,  and  the  Competition  Commission,  and  other  customary  conditions  precedent.
Assuming completion of the transaction, we expect that GroCapital will serve as a center of excellence for Atlas
Mara’s financial product and service offerings to the agricultural sector throughout Africa.

The proposed transaction will position Atlas Mara with access to the South African banking market, enabling Atlas
Mara to participate in financing of trade flows, foreign exchange, commodity finance and retail banking, and allow
for operational integration into the core bank and technology environment of Atlas Mara, including with regard to
digital banking and cross-border payments.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Nova Pioneer Education Group (Nova Pioneer)

Nova Pioneer was founded as Ascendant Learning Limited and is run by CEO Chinezi Chijioke (who previously led
McKinsey’s  educational  practice  in  Africa).  Nova  Pioneer  is  a  pan-African  independent  school  network  offering
preschool through secondary education for students from ages three through 19. Nova Pioneer launched its first
campus  in  2015  in  South  Africa,  and  now  operates  ten  schools  with  a  combined  enrollment  of  3,830 students,
comprised of 1,895 students in Kenya across four campuses and 1,935 students in South Africa across six campuses.
These ten campuses represent a future total capacity of over 10,000 students.

Nova  Pioneer  had  very  solid  operating  performance  in  2018,  highlighted  by  the  opening  of  two  new  campuses
(bringing the total number of campuses to ten), strong growth in enrollment in both South Africa (increase of 47%
year-over-year) and Kenya (increase 135% year-over-year), and 70% revenue growth group wide, representing a very
strong result for Chinezi and his management team. All ten schools are now tracking to meet or exceed enrollment
targets and are on plan towards cash flow breakeven in line with projections, while operating costs have remained in
line  with  budgeted  expectations.  Nova  Pioneer’s  success  is  gaining  recognition;  the  group  was  featured  in  The
Economist as a leading innovative African school network.

The Nova Pioneer team faced some challenges in 2018, including a delay in securing property finance in the local
market in Kenya, which had the knock-on effect of delaying a campus opening, and rising bad debts in South Africa
as the economy struggled. However, the Nova Pioneer team has managed through these and other difficulties typical
of a young and growing company and remains on track towards its long-term plan.

Average tuition per student is about $3,250 per year and is priced to target middle to upper-middle income families
whose alternatives are either (1) strained government schools; (2) ‘‘affordable’’ private schools that are often of poor
quality; or (3) very expensive private schools. Nova Pioneer management is targeting a rollout of 20 new campuses
across  key  African  markets  over  the  next  five  years,  reaching  an  enrollment  of  over  11,000 students,  with  an
enrollment capacity of around 30,000 students. Nova Pioneer’s long-term goal is to offer world-class and affordable
education  to  students  on  over  100 campuses  across  Africa.  Single  school  economics  are  very  attractive.  Once  a
campus reaches full enrollment, returns on invested capital tend to be very high and provide investment capital for
further expansion. Schools are also non-cyclical with reliable long-term cash flows as individual students are enrolled
for up to 15 years, and multi-sibling families even longer.

We invested an additional $4.8 million in 2018 to support Nova Pioneer’s continued growth, and ended the year
with an additional commitment of $9.2 million, of which $3.5 was funded in January, with the remainder expected
to be funded in the first half of 2019.

We are pleased to report that Nova Pioneer will produce its first graduating class in 2019 in both Kenya and South
Africa.  Alongside  this  important  milestone,  Chinezi  and  his  team  are  focused  in  2019  on  system  profitability,
including further strengthening school unit economics (through management of capital and operating expenses and
revenue diversification), sourcing more efficient property financing in Kenya and capital for accelerated growth for
Nova  Pioneer,  and  further  improving  strong  educational  results  (specifically  targeting  enhanced  student
performance outcomes across all schools and ages on internationally benchmarked assessments). Nova Pioneer is
also focused on aggressively building its talent pool (both teachers and administrators) and will implement a new
Emerging Leader Programme for its top performers and enhanced teacher training resources in both markets. Nova
Pioneer is highly selective in its hiring, with less than 3% of applicants receiving offers.

Over the next three years, Nova Pioneer expects to grow from 10 to 20 schools, including expansion to West Africa in
2020 or 2021, and is already working on the detailed development plans for these campuses. As previously noted, the
demographic opportunity of for-profit education in Africa is vast, with very high growth rates and the potential for
attractive long-term returns on investment. We are very proud of the management team’s accomplishments to date
and remain supportive of the team’s strategy to serve this fast-growing market’s potential in the coming years.

Philafrica Foods (Philafrica)

Philafrica was formed in April 2017 to hold AFGRI’s legacy foods processing business, and to serve as a platform for
development and acquisition of additional food processing businesses in attractive categories and markets on the
continent. Philafrica was partially (40%) spun-out of AGH in November 2018 through a direct investment by Fairfax
Africa (26%) and the PIC (14%).

10

All of the legacy businesses of AFGRI Foods, including Animal Feeds, Nedan (soy-based oils and protein), and Milling,
performed well in 2018, ahead of budget and significantly ahead of the prior year’s performance. A new management
team led by Roland Decorvet set a clear strategy for the business, implemented operational improvements and more
disciplined procurement practices, which resulted in improved operational efficiencies at the plant and group level.
Roland is a seasoned international food company executive, having spent over 20 years with Nestl´e, most recently in
the role of Chairman and CEO of Nestl ´e China. During his three years in this role, Nestl ´e China’s revenues tripled to
become  Nestl ´e’s  second  largest  market.  Roland  was  also  CEO  of  Nestl ´e  Switzerland  and  CEO  of  Nestl ´e  Pakistan.
Roland brought Eduardo Ngo (from Barry Callebaut Group) on board as CFO and Joel Bryce as head of Strategy and
Investments.  Thanks  to  Roland  and  his  team,  the  legacy  South  Africa  business  showed  a  34%  year-over-year
improvement at the EBITDA level for the nine months ended September 30, 2018.

Philafrica  also  invested  in  new  categories,  diversifying  its  product  mix  away  from  low-margin,  commoditized
categories  towards  higher  value-added  product  lines.  Specifically,  Philafrica  acquired  the  snacking  company
Pakworks, PepsiCo’s largest co-manufacturer in Africa, which produces the popular Nik Naks brand of maize snacks.
Philafrica also built the largest mussels farm and processing plant in Africa (under the Southern Atlantic brand, to be
targeted for the export market) and developed at Dutch Agricultural Development Trading Company (DADTCO) a
unique cassava processing technology with mobile factories in Mozambique and Ivory Coast (the latter inaugurated
in early 2019). Cassava is a key part of diets in many parts of Africa and is an important input for the brewing and
bakery industries locally. However, it is highly perishable in unprocessed form and spoils quickly. The DADTCO
technology allows for on-site processing of the commodity into flour paste, which can then be safely transported to
brewery or bakery in a stable form.

While  Philafrica  produced  a  strong  result  in  its  legacy  businesses,  it  faced  timing  and  other  challenges  in  new
business lines including at Southern Atlantic, where unforeseen weather and challenges with international trading
permits slowed the launch of commercial operations; Novos Horizontes, Philafrica’s 50% owned poultry business in
Mozambique,  where  an  outbreak  of  Newcastle  disease  impacted  revenue  and  profits;  and  at  DADTCO,  where
equipment  manufacturing  and  importation  delays  slowed  the  implementation  of  the  cassava  mobile  processing
business.  Nonetheless,  Philafrica’s  management  has  no  significant  concerns  about  the  long-term  future  of  these
operations as each of their fundamental business cases remains positive.

Philafrica achieved significant structural and managerial changes during the year, including substantial operational
and financial restructuring and the partial separation from AGH, the successful installation of a new operational
management  team  with  experienced  and  dedicated  leaders  expert  in  their  respective  fields,  and  the  raising  of
$35.8 million (500 million South African rand) in new equity capital, which reduced the debt-to-equity ratio of the
company and provided funding for additional growth.

The African Environment

According to a January 2019 report by the African Development Bank (AfDB), over 40% of African countries are
expected to grow at over five percent in 2019. Overall, African GDP is projected to expand by more than 4% in each
of 2019 and 2020, and the AfDB points out several policy initiatives that could see this growth rate expand to above
4.5%. During this time East Africa, an attractive target region for Fairfax Africa, is expected to grow at 6% per year.
South Africa and Nigeria, Africa’s two largest economies, have been in either recession or faced slow growth in recent
years, and have pulled down the average growth for the continent. While somewhat lower than China or India, the
continent’s growth substantially outpaces both of most other emerging markets and the developed world.

In our instant media and short attention span world, sensational, recent and often bad news is much easier to notice
and remember than is the quiet, slow but persistent daily march of economic progress and wealth creation. And yet
that is the real underlying story of Africa. Infrastructure is being developed, economies are growing and diversifying,
children are being educated and living standards are improving in most nations in Africa. Because we are focused on
the long-term, we expect to see over the years the transformation of lives, communities and nations, while we work
to generate substantial shareholder value along the way.

Foreign direct investment into Africa increased in 2018 for the first time after three consecutive years of decline.
However, at a mere $40 billion this represents less than 3.4% of total global FDI, and scarcity of capital remains a core
issue for the continent. 2018 saw the parent of Abraaj, the sponsor of one of sub-Saharan Africa’s largest private
equity firms at nearly $1 billion, file for bankruptcy. This event and the circumstances around it created substantial
disruption  and  instability  in  several  corners  of  the  market,  however  it  reinforced  the  benefits  of  Fairfax  Africa’s
permanent  capital  structure  as  a  listed  company  on  the  Toronto  Stock  Exchange,  with  the  transparency  and

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

accountability that comes along with it. We continue to follow the Abraaj situation closely for any opportunities that
may emerge for Fairfax Africa. Blackstone also announced plans in 2018 to scale back in Africa, which may similarly
open up opportunity for Fairfax Africa.

As  we  write  this  letter,  political  and  economic  change  and  convulsions  dominate  the  headlines  for  several  key
countries in Africa including the Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa and Zimbabwe.

Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)

The  DRC  is  one  of  the  largest,  most  populous,  resource-rich  yet  poverty-stricken  countries  on  the  continent
(per capita annual income is less than $400). In January 2019 the fifth president of the country, F´elix Tshisekedi, was
elected  under  controversial  circumstances.  Based  on  leaked  data  from  the  election  commission  and  a  count  by
volunteers working with the Catholic Church, President-elect Tshisekedi is believed to have won less than 20% of the
vote while another opposition candidate, Martin Fayulu, is believed to have taken over 60%. Notwithstanding this
evidence and wide African and international protests, the constitutional court upheld the official outcome. The new
president represents a party long in opposition to the previous regime, however he will not have a majority in the
national assembly and will be unlikely to be able to influence much change from the status quo. While we believe the
DRC may present opportunities for Fairfax Africa in the future, we will remain cautious in our approach.

Kenya

Kenya is a bright spot on the African economic horizon. After growing 5.9% in 2018, real GDP is projected to grow by
over 6% in each of 2019 and 2020. Over 60% of the economy remains in the informal sector, presenting substantial
opportunity in education, real estate and consumer products as the economy formalizes. Fairfax Africa is invested in
Kenya  through  Nova  Pioneer,  and  as  we  go  to  press  we  are  actively  investigating  other  potential  investment
opportunities in the country.

Nigeria

Nigeria  is  the  most  populous  country  and  largest  economy  in  Africa  (representing  close  to  20%  of  total  GDP),
however much of the economy is based on oil revenues and wealth is highly concentrated. Much of the population
remains  in  stifling  poverty.  After  emerging  from  recession  in  2017,  Nigerian  GDP  grew  at  1.9%  in  2018,  and  is
expected  to  grow  at  2.3%  and  2.4%  in  2019  and  2020  respectively.  The  Power  Sector  Reform  Program  targets
development of 10 gigawatts of operational capacity by 2020, and could be a boon for private investment in the
sector. Economic challenges persist, external imbalances are growing, and risk will remain elevated through the year.
On February 24, 2019, Nigeria’s electoral commission declared incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari the winner
of the country’s presidential election after securing 56%, or 15.2 million votes, in the February polls.

Fairfax Africa is invested in Nigeria through Atlas Mara’s 49% stake in UBN, and CIG is actively pursuing a number of
opportunities in the country.

South Africa

South  Africa  is  facing  a  very  difficult  situation.  The  official  unemployment  rate  remains  very  high  at  28%  (real
unemployment is much higher), while real GDP stagnated over the past year at 0.7% (1.3% in previous year). The
fiscal deficit is high at 4%, while inflation is down slightly below 5%. Over the course of 2018, the South African rand
deteriorated by nearly 16% from 12.4 to 14.4 South African rand per U.S. dollar at year-end 2018. This devaluation
negatively impacted our results by $25.9 million or $0.41 per share. In 2018, the government signed long-delayed
renewable energy contracts valued at nearly $4 billion with independent renewable power producers, resuming a
process paused in the last years of the Zuma regime to migrate the country from coal (which still accounts for over
80% of electricity generation) to renewable power (currently only 7% of total generation capacity). This pent-up
demand should be beneficial to our investment in CIG. Under President Ramaphosa there has been a strong push to
clean  up  state-owned  enterprises  (SOEs)  where  corruption  had  taken  deep  root  during  President  Zuma’s  regime,
draining the coffers of the SOEs. The PIC, which oversees the government employees’ pension fund, has not escaped
the scandal’s aftermath. Over the past year, half of the PIC’s executive committee including the CEO, have been
suspended or resigned. In February 2019, the entire PIC board, including the country’s deputy finance minister who
served as chair, resigned amidst an investigation into allegations of financial impropriety. As Africa’s largest pension
fund with over $144.8 billion in assets under management, the PIC is invested in most listed companies in South
Africa,  as  well  as  in  many  privately-held  companies  including  several  in  which  Fairfax  Africa  is  invested  (AGH,

12

Philafrica and GroCapital). While the situation remains fluid, we do not believe that the governance situation at the
PIC will have any impact on our investments in these companies.

Looking forward, South Africa is expected to see continued slow growth in 2019 and 2020 (approximately 2% each
year) as the hangover effect of the Zuma years continues to negatively impact economic development and foreign
investment.  National  elections  to  be  held  in  May 2019  are  widely  expected  to  see  President  Cyril  Ramaphosa
re-elected, consolidating his power within the African National Congress and enabling bolder policy actions and
pro-market reforms. The international investment community has responded favorably to the changes implemented
under  President  Ramaphosa,  as  indicated  by  an  over  fivefold  increase  in  foreign  direct  investment  (FDI)  from
$1.3 billion  in  2017  to  $7.1 billion  in  2018.  While  economic  trends  are  improving,  we’d  like  to  see  greater
acceleration and positive momentum before investing much further in the country. Structural issues such as the lack
of skilled labour, high leverage and poor governance at the SOEs will continue to act as a drag on growth. While
government has to date denied plans for privatization, there may not be a viable option. On the positive side, strong
and  independent  institutions,  including  the  Reserve  Bank,  the  judiciary,  and  a  vocal  free  press,  are  comforting
features.

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe  was  once  widely  and  proudly  labeled  as  ‘‘the  breadbasket  of  Africa’’. Under  the  Mugabe  regime,
agricultural and mining production and exports, as well as GDP and GDP per capita, each declined substantially.
Hope for change was seeded last year by a ‘‘peaceful coup’’ that saw President Mugabe removed from power and
Emmerson Mnangagwa installed as his successor. The new president soon thereafter declared Zimbabwe ‘‘open for
business’’. These hopes were partially dashed in January 2019 when the police and political arm of the state reacted
violently to protests triggered by a 167% increase in fuel prices. While President Mnangagwa repudiated the violence
and committed to investigate and prosecute any malefactors, the promises rang hollow. As was seen in 2018 with the
rise in France of le mouvement gilet jaune — also sparked by rising fuel prices — political leaders must take great care in
destabilizing  an  already  economically  strained  populace.  Underlying  these  issues  in  Zimbabwe  is  an  untenable
monetary policy regime. Fairfax Africa has indirect investments in Zimbabwe through both AFGRI and Atlas Mara’s
BancABC, and the dual risks of monetary policy actions and further political instability are at the center of our radar.
On  February 20,  2019,  the  Ministry  of  Finance  issued  a  monetary  policy  statement  which  opened  the  door  for
re-introduction of a local currency, and identified proactive measures to liberalize the foreign exchange markets. This
move was widely expected to result in the formal recognition of the existing de facto devaluation of Real-time Gross
Settlement dollars (RTGS) from 1:1 against the U.S. dollar. On February 22, 2019, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe
announced  the  opening  of  an  interbank  trading  window  at  2.5 RTGS  per  U.S. dollar,  however  trading  has  been
limited to date due to the lack of foreign currency and FDI. The banking industry and the accounting and auditing
profession in Zimbabwe have been in discussions around how to deal with the potential currency impact on the 2018
financial results for foreign-owned banks, with a likely impact to capital (although not stated profit and loss). These
discussions are ongoing, but if implemented would have a negative impact to the U.S. dollar capital position for all
foreign-owned banks in Zimbabwe, including Atlas Mara’s BancABC.

Share Repurchases

Fairfax  Africa  may  from  time  to  time  purchase  shares  for  cancellation  if  it  finds  the  price  attractive  and  if  it
determines that such purchases are financially prudent. During the fourth quarter of 2018, Fairfax Africa successfully
executed on its previously authorized share purchase program, acquiring 108,224 subordinated voting shares at an
average price of $9.05 per share through year-end. Subsequent to December 31, 2018 and up to March 8, 2019, the
company repurchased for cancellation 1,671,937 subordinate voting shares at a cost of $14.6 million (an average
price of $8.75 per share). These purchases were made at a substantial discount to book value per share. While not the
focus of our efforts, these actions were mildly accretive to book value per share and, in our view, in the best interests
of our shareholders.

Board of Directors

Louis von Zeuner resigned from the Board of Fairfax Africa in August 2018 to focus on his increasing responsibilities
in South Africa in supporting President Ramaphosa in implementing governance reforms at certain SOEs. We wish
Louis great success at this important task. Fortunately for us, Louis will continue to work closely with us on the AGH
Board as a director and as the Chairman of the Audit & Risk committee.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

We welcome retired Lt. General The Honourable Rom ´eo Dallaire to the Board of Fairfax Africa. General Dallaire is the
founder of the Rom ´eo Dallaire Child Soldiers Initiative, a global partnership with a mission to end the recruitment
and use of child soldiers. With deep Africa experience, General Dallaire is a celebrated advocate for human rights,
especially  in  regard  to  child  soldiers,  veterans,  and  the  prevention  of  mass  atrocities.  General  Dallaire  is  also  a
respected  government  and  United  Nations  advisor  and  former  Canadian  Senator.  General  Dallaire  had  a
distinguished military career spanning forty years. Most notably, he was appointed Force Commander of the United
Nations Assistance Mission for Rwanda prior to and during the 1994 genocide. General Dallaire is a recipient of the
Order of Canada, the Meritorious Service Cross, the United States Legion of Merit, the Aegis Award on Genocide
Prevention, and he is the author of several books.

In Closing

At  Fairfax  Africa,  we  are  committed  to  ensuring  that  we  and  our  investee  companies  operate  with  the  highest
professional  standards  consistent  with  Fairfax  Financial’s  Guiding  Principles  and  industry  global  best  practices.
While this is an ongoing process, we are pleased to report that we have made good progress in 2018 to align ourselves
and our investee companies with Fairfax’s distinctive culture and high standards.

On behalf of our colleagues at Fairfax Africa and our investee companies, we want to thank you for your continued
support and confidence. We are dedicated to delivering on the potential for Fairfax Africa over the course of 2019 and
beyond. We hope to see many of you at our annual meeting at 2:30 p.m. (Eastern time) on Wednesday, April 10th at
The Ritz-Carlton, Toronto, 181 Wellington Street West, Toronto, Canada.

March 8, 2019

28JAN201015171673

Michael Wilkerson
Chief Executive Officer

28FEB201809164316

Paul Rivett
Vice-Chairman

14

(This page has been left blank intentionally.)

15

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Management’s Responsibility for the Consolidated Financial Statements

The  preparation  and  presentation  of  the  accompanying  consolidated  financial  statements,  Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (‘‘MD&A’’) and all financial information
are the responsibility of management and have been approved by the Board of Directors.

The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting
Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board. Financial statements, by nature, are not precise
since  they  include  certain  amounts  based  upon  estimates  and  judgments.  When  alternative  methods  exist,
management has chosen those it deems to be the most appropriate in the circumstances.

Management  maintains  appropriate  systems  of  internal  controls.  Policies  and  procedures  are  designed  to  give
reasonable assurance that transactions are properly authorized, assets are safeguarded and financial records properly
maintained to provide reliable information for the preparation of the consolidated financial statements.

We,  as  Fairfax  Africa’s  Chief  Executive  Officer  and  Chief  Financial  Officer,  have  certified  Fairfax  Africa’s  annual
disclosure  documents  filed  with  the  Canadian  Securities  Administrators  in  accordance  with  Canadian  securities
legislation.

The Board of Directors is responsible for ensuring that management fulfills its responsibilities for financial reporting
and is ultimately responsible for reviewing and approving the consolidated financial statements and MD&A. The
Board  carries  out  this  responsibility  principally  through  its  Audit  Committee  which  is  independent  from
management.

The Audit Committee is appointed by the Board of Directors and reviews the consolidated financial statements and
MD&A;  considers  the  report  of  the  independent  auditor;  assesses  the  adequacy  of  the  internal  controls  of  the
company; examines the fees and expenses for audit services; and recommends to the Board the independent auditor
for appointment by the shareholders. The independent auditor has full access to the Audit Committee and meet with
it to discuss their audit work, Fairfax Africa’s internal control over financial reporting and financial reporting matters.
The Audit Committee reports its findings to the Board for consideration when approving the consolidated financial
statements and MD&A for issuance to the shareholders.

March 8, 2019

28JAN201015171673

Michael Wilkerson
Chief Executive Officer

28FEB201713300060

Jennifer Allen
Chief Financial Officer

16

Independent Auditor’s Report

To the Shareholders of Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation

Our opinion
In  our  opinion,  the  accompanying  consolidated  financial  statements  present  fairly,  in  all  material  respects,  the
financial  position  of  Fairfax  Africa  Holdings  Corporation  and  its  subsidiaries  (together,  the  Company)  as  at
December 31, 2018 and 2017, and its financial performance and its cash flows for the years then ended in accordance
with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IFRS).

What we have audited

The Company’s consolidated financial statements comprise:

(cid:127) the consolidated balance sheets as at December 31, 2018 and 2017;
(cid:127) the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income for the years then ended;
(cid:127) the consolidated statements of changes in equity for the years then ended;
(cid:127) the consolidated statements of cash flows for the years then ended; and
(cid:127) the  notes  to  the  consolidated  financial  statements,  which  include  a  summary  of  significant  accounting

policies.

Basis for opinion
We conducted our audit in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards. Our responsibilities
under those standards are further described in the Auditor’s responsibilities for the audit of the consolidated financial
statements section of our report.

We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion.

Independence

We are independent of the Company in accordance with the ethical requirements that are relevant to our audit of the
consolidated financial statements in Canada. We have fulfilled our other ethical responsibilities in accordance with
these requirements.

Other information
Management  is  responsible  for  the  other  information.  The  other  information  comprises  the  Management’s
Discussion  and  Analysis  of  Financial  Condition  and  Results  of  Operations  and  the  information,  other  than  the
consolidated  financial  statements  and  our  auditor’s  report  thereon,  included  in  the  annual  report.  The  other
information  does  not  include  information  contained  in  the  websites  of  the  Company’s  African  investments  as
disclosed in the annual report.

Our opinion on the consolidated financial statements does not cover the other information and we do not express
any form of assurance conclusion thereon.

In  connection  with  our  audit  of  the  consolidated  financial  statements,  our  responsibility  is  to  read  the  other
information identified above and, in doing so, consider whether the other information is materially inconsistent
with  the  consolidated  financial  statements  or  our  knowledge  obtained  in  the  audit,  or  otherwise  appears  to  be
materially misstated.

If,  based  on  the  work  we  have  performed,  we  conclude  that  there  is  a  material  misstatement  of  this  other
information, we are required to report that fact. We have nothing to report in this regard.

Responsibilities of management and those charged with governance for the consolidated financial statements
Management is responsible for the preparation and fair presentation of the consolidated financial statements in
accordance  with  IFRS,  and  for  such  internal  control  as  management  determines  is  necessary  to  enable  the
preparation of consolidated financial statements that are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud
or error.

17

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

In preparing the consolidated financial statements, management is responsible for assessing the Company’s ability
to  continue  as  a  going  concern,  disclosing,  as  applicable,  matters  related  to  going  concern  and  using  the  going
concern basis of accounting unless management either intends to liquidate the Company or to cease operations, or
has no realistic alternative but to do so.

Those charged with governance are responsible for overseeing the Company’s financial reporting process.

Auditor’s responsibilities for the audit of the consolidated financial statements
Our objectives are to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the consolidated financial statements as a whole are
free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error, and to issue an auditor’s report that includes our
opinion.  Reasonable  assurance  is  a  high  level  of  assurance,  but  is  not  a  guarantee  that  an  audit  conducted  in
accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards will always detect a material misstatement when it
exists. Misstatements can arise from fraud or error and are considered material if, individually or in the aggregate,
they  could  reasonably  be  expected  to  influence  the  economic  decisions  of  users  taken  on  the  basis  of  these
consolidated financial statements.

As part of an audit in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards, we exercise professional
judgment and maintain professional skepticism throughout the audit. We also:

(cid:127) Identify and assess the risks of material misstatement of the consolidated financial statements, whether due to
fraud or error, design and perform audit procedures responsive to those risks, and obtain audit evidence that is
sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion. The risk of not detecting a material misstatement
resulting  from  fraud  is  higher  than  for  one  resulting  from  error,  as  fraud  may  involve  collusion,  forgery,
intentional omissions, misrepresentations, or the override of internal control.

(cid:127) Obtain an understanding of internal control relevant to the audit in order to design audit procedures that are
appropriate in the circumstances, but not for the purpose of expressing an opinion on the effectiveness of the
Company’s internal control.

(cid:127) Evaluate the appropriateness of accounting policies used and the reasonableness of accounting estimates and

related disclosures made by management.

(cid:127) Conclude on the appropriateness of management’s use of the going concern basis of accounting and, based on
the audit evidence obtained, whether a material uncertainty exists related to events or conditions that may
cast significant doubt on the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern. If we conclude that a material
uncertainty exists, we are required to draw attention in our auditor’s report to the related disclosures in the
consolidated  financial  statements  or,  if  such  disclosures  are  inadequate,  to  modify  our  opinion.  Our
conclusions are based on the audit evidence obtained up to the date of our auditor’s report. However, future
events or conditions may cause the Company to cease to continue as a going concern.

(cid:127) Evaluate the overall presentation, structure and content of the consolidated financial statements, including
the disclosures, and whether the consolidated financial statements represent the underlying transactions and
events in a manner that achieves fair presentation.

(cid:127) Obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence regarding the financial information of the entities or business
activities  within  the  Company  to  express  an  opinion  on  the  consolidated  financial  statements.  We  are
responsible for the direction, supervision and performance of the group audit. We remain solely responsible
for our audit opinion.

We  communicate  with  those  charged  with  governance  regarding,  among  other  matters,  the  planned  scope  and
timing of the audit and significant audit findings, including any significant deficiencies in internal control that we
identify during our audit.

We  also  provide  those  charged  with  governance  with  a  statement  that  we  have  complied  with  relevant  ethical
requirements regarding independence, and to communicate with them all relationships and other matters that may
reasonably be thought to bear on our independence, and where applicable, related safeguards.

18

The engagement partner on the audit resulting in this independent auditor’s report is Claire Cornwall.

10MAR201610573752

Chartered Professional Accountants, Licensed Public Accountants
Toronto, Ontario
March 8, 2019

19

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Consolidated Financial Statements

Consolidated Balance Sheets
as at December 31, 2018 and December 31, 2017
(US$ thousands)

Assets
Cash and cash equivalents
Restricted cash
Short term investments
Loans
Bonds
Common stocks
Derivatives

Total cash and investments

Interest receivable
Other assets

Total assets

Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
Derivative obligation
Payable to related parties
Income taxes payable
Borrowings

Total liabilities

Equity
Common shareholders’ equity

See accompanying notes.

Notes

December 31, December 31,
2017

2018

6, 15
6, 7
6
5, 6
5, 6
5, 6
5, 6

5, 6
12
10
7

8

230,858
–
38,723
38,595
59,856
270,284
2,017

640,333

2,472
1,025

13,012
313,000
32,968
24,233
19,414
261,917
520

665,064

3,506
541

643,830

669,111

531
5,724
1,658
3,263
29,527

40,703

603,127

643,830

811
–
1,482
82
150,000

152,375

516,736

669,111

Signed on behalf of the Board

10MAR201607580995
Director

5MAR201811141462

Director

20

Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Income
for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017
(US$ thousands except per share amounts)

Income

Interest
Net realized gains on investments
Net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments
Net foreign exchange gains (losses)

Expenses

Investment and advisory fees
Performance fee
General and administration expenses
Interest expense

Earnings (loss) before income taxes
Provision for income taxes

Net earnings (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)

Net earnings (loss) per share (basic and diluted)
Shares outstanding (weighted average)

See accompanying notes.

Notes

2018

2017

6
6
6
6

12
12
14
7

10

9
9

20,848
3,661
(40,690)
(25,927)

(42,108)

6,440
(319)
4,281
3,200

13,602

(55,710)
4,870

(60,580)

7,589
11,274
2,362
10,626

31,851

3,400
319
2,076
2,087

7,882

23,969
485

23,484

$

(1.06)
57,249,901

$

0.54
43,329,044

21

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity
for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017
(US$ thousands)

Balance as of January 1, 2018
Net loss
Issuance of shares, net of issuance

costs (note 8)

Purchases for cancellation (note 8)
Purchases and amortization

Subordinate
voting shares
193,326
–

Multiple
voting shares
300,000
–

Share-based Retained
earnings
(deficit)
23,410
(60,580)

payments,
net
–
–

Common
shareholders’
equity
516,736
(60,580)

148,316
(1,124)
–

–
–
–

–
–
(364)

–
143
–

148,316
(981)
(364)

Balance as of December 31, 2018

340,518

300,000

(364)

(37,027)

603,127

Balance as of January 1, 2017
Net earnings
Issuance of shares, net of issuance

costs (note 8)

Balance as of December 31, 2017

–
–

–
–

193,326

193,326

300,000

300,000

–
–

–

–

(74)
23,484

–

23,410

(74)
23,484

493,326

516,736

See accompanying notes.

22

Notes

2018

2017

6
6
6

15
15
7

7

8

8

(60,580)

23,484

(3,613)
(4,148)
71
(3,661)
40,690
25,927
(3,613)
(155,950)
37,986
162,519

(39)
–
–
(11,274)
(2,362)
(10,626)
(32,659)
(255,515)
48,973
(162,519)

1,034
3,181
176
(919)

(3,506)
82
622
715

39,100

(404,624)

30,000
(690)
(150,000)
150,481

150,000
(225)
–
(150,481)

150,675
(2,359)
(981)

204,080
(12,876)
–

–

227,154

177,126

417,652

216,226
13,012
1,620

13,028
–
(16)

230,858

13,012

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017
(US$ thousands)

Operating activities
Net earnings (loss)
Items not affecting cash and cash equivalents:

Net bond discount accretion
Payment in kind on loans and bonds
Amortization of share-based payment awards
Net realized gains on investments
Net change in unrealized (gains) losses on investments
Net foreign exchange (gains) losses

Net purchases of short term investments classified as FVTPL
Purchases of investments classified as FVTPL
Sales of investments classified as FVTPL
Decrease (increase) in restricted cash in support of investments
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

Interest receivable
Income taxes payable
Payable to related parties
Other

Cash provided by (used in) operating activities

Financing activities

Borrowings:
Proceeds
Issuance costs
Repayment
Decrease (increase) in restricted cash in support of term loan

Subordinate voting shares:

Issuances
Issuance costs
Purchases for cancellation

Multiple voting shares:

Issuances

Cash provided by financing activities

Increase in cash and cash equivalents

Cash and cash equivalents – beginning of year
Foreign currency translation

Cash and cash equivalents – end of year

See accompanying notes.

23

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Index to Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

1. Business Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

2. Basis of Presentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

3. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

4. Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

5. African Investments

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

6. Cash and Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

7. Borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

8. Common Shareholders’ Equity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

9. Net Earnings per Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

10.

Income Taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

11. Financial Risk Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

12. Related Party Transactions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

13. Segment Reporting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

14. General and Administration Expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

15. Supplementary Cash Flow Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

25

25

25

30

31

43

46

47

49

49

51

58

60

60

60

24

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017
(in US$ and thousands except share and per share amounts and as otherwise indicated)

1. Business Operations

Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation (‘‘the company’’ or ‘‘Fairfax Africa’’) is an investment holding company whose
objective is to achieve long term capital appreciation, while preserving capital, by investing in public and private
equity securities and debt instruments in Africa and African businesses or other businesses with customers, suppliers
or business primarily conducted in, or dependent on, Africa (‘‘African Investments’’). The company makes all or
substantially all of its investments either directly or through one of its wholly-owned subsidiaries, which include a
South Africa based subsidiary Fairfax Africa Investments Proprietary Limited (‘‘SA Sub’’ or ‘‘FSA’’) and a Mauritius
based subsidiary Fairfax Africa Holdings Investments Limited (‘‘Mauritius Sub’’ or ‘‘FMA’’).

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (‘‘Fairfax’’) is Fairfax Africa’s ultimate parent and acts as its administrator. Fairfax
is a holding company which, through its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in property and casualty insurance and
reinsurance and the associated investment management. Hamblin Watsa Investment Counsel Ltd. (the ‘‘Portfolio
Advisor’’), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fairfax and registered portfolio manager in the province of Ontario, is the
portfolio advisor of the company and its consolidated subsidiaries, responsible to source and advise with respect to
all investments. Refer to note 12 for details on Fairfax’s voting rights and equity interest in the company.

The company is federally incorporated and is domiciled in Ontario, Canada. The principal office of the company,
Fairfax and the Portfolio Advisor is located at 95 Wellington Street West, Suite 800, Toronto, Ontario M5J 2N7.

2. Basis of Presentation

The  company’s  consolidated  financial  statements  for  the  year  ended  December  31,  2018  have  been  prepared  in
accordance  with  International  Financial  Reporting  Standards  (‘‘IFRS’’)  as  issued  by  the  International  Accounting
Standards Board (‘‘IASB’’). The company has determined that it continues to meet the definition of an investment
entity under IFRS (see note 4).

The consolidated balance sheets of the company are presented on a non-classified basis. Except for bonds, loans,
common stocks, and derivatives which are comprised of current and non-current amounts, all other assets expected
to be realized and liabilities expected to be settled within the company’s normal operating cycle of one year are
considered current.

The preparation of the company’s consolidated financial statements requires management to make a number of
estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated
financial statements, the reported amounts of income and expenses during the reporting periods covered by the
consolidated financial statements and the related note disclosures. Critical accounting estimates and judgments are
described in note 4.

These  consolidated  financial  statements  were  approved  for  issue  by  the  company’s  Board  of  Directors  on
March 8, 2019.

3. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

The  principal  accounting  policies  applied  to  the  preparation  of  these  consolidated  financial  statements  and  the
methods of computation have been consistently applied to all periods presented unless otherwise stated, and are as
set out below.

Consolidation

Subsidiaries – A subsidiary is an entity over which the company has control. The company controls an entity when
the company is exposed to, or has rights to, variable returns from its involvement with the entity and has the ability
to affect those returns through its power over the entity. As an investment entity (see note 4) the company is required
to account for its investments in subsidiaries (Joseph Investment Holdings (‘‘Joseph Holdings’’)) at fair value through
profit or loss (‘‘FVTPL’’) rather than by consolidation.

25

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company has concluded that SA Sub and Mauritius Sub should continue to be consolidated as these entities
continue to provide services relating to the company’s investment activities. All intercompany balances, profits and
transactions with these subsidiaries are eliminated in full.

Investments  in  associates – An  associate  is  an  entity  over  which  the  company  has  the  ability  to  exercise
significant  influence,  but  not  control,  over  the  financial  and  operating  policies.  As  an  investment  entity,  the
company accounts for its investments in associates (Atlas Mara Limited (‘‘Atlas Mara’’), Philafrica Foods Proprietary
Limited (‘‘Philafrica’’), and GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘GroCapital Holdings’’)) at FVTPL rather than
under the equity method of accounting.

Foreign currency translation

Functional and presentation currency – The consolidated financial statements are presented in U.S. dollars
which is the functional currency of the company and its consolidated subsidiaries.

Although the company’s African Investments are denominated in various currencies, its primary financial reporting
objective  is  to  measure  long  term  capital  appreciation  in  U.S.  dollars.  Accordingly,  the  company  presents  its
consolidated financial statements in U.S. dollars to provide comparability with other North American investment
entities.

Foreign currency transactions – Foreign currency transactions are translated into the functional currency using
the exchange rates prevailing at the dates of the transactions. Foreign exchange gains and losses resulting from the
settlement  of  such  transactions  and  from  the  translation  at  period  end  exchange  rates  of  monetary  assets  and
liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are recognized in net foreign exchange gains (losses) in the consolidated
statements  of  earnings  and  comprehensive  income.  Income  and  expenses  are  translated  at  the  average  rate  of
exchange for the period.

Consolidated statements of cash flows

The  company’s  consolidated  statements  of  cash  flows  are  prepared  in  accordance  with  the  indirect  method,
classifying cash flows by operating, investing and financing activities.

Cash and cash equivalents – Cash and cash equivalents consists of cash on hand, demand deposits with banks
and other short term highly liquid investments with maturities of three months or less when purchased, and exclude
cash that is restricted. The carrying value of cash and cash equivalents approximates fair value.

Restricted  cash – Restricted  cash  primarily  consists  of  amounts  required  to  be  maintained  on  deposit  with  a
Canadian bank to support the company’s term loan and letter of credit facility (see note 7). The carrying value of
restricted cash approximates fair value.

Total cash and investments

Total cash and investments include cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short term investments, loans, bonds,
common  stocks  and  derivatives.  Management  determines  the  appropriate  classifications  of  investments  at  their
acquisition date.

Classification – Short term investments, loans, bonds, common stocks and derivatives are classified at FVTPL. The
company  manages  these  investments  on  a  fair  value  basis,  using  fair  value  information  to  assess  investment
performance and to make investment decisions.

Recognition and measurement – The company recognizes purchases and sales of investments on the trade date,
which is the date on which the company commits to purchase or sell the asset. Transactions pending settlement are
reflected on the consolidated balance sheet in other assets or in accounts payable and accrued liabilities. Transaction
costs  related  to  investments  classified  as  FVTPL  are  expensed  as  incurred  (a  component  of  interest)  in  the
consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income. The company recognizes cash and investments at
fair value upon initial recognition.

Subsequent to initial recognition, investments classified at FVTPL are measured at fair value with changes in fair
value  reported  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and  comprehensive  income  as  income,  comprised  of
interest,  net  realized  gains  (losses)  on  investments  and  net  change  in  unrealized  gains  (losses)  on  investments.
Interest represents interest income on short term investments, loans and bonds calculated using the effective interest

26

method, net of investment expenses and includes bank interest. Calculation of a debt instrument’s effective interest
rate does not consider expected credit losses and requires estimates of future cash flows considering all contractual
terms of the financial instrument including the stated interest rate, discount or premium, and any origination or
structuring  fees.  Interest  receivable  is  shown  separately  on  the  consolidated  balance  sheets  based  on  the  debt
instrument’s  stated  rate  of  interest.  All  other  changes  in  fair  value  are  reported  in  net  realized  gains  (losses)  on
investments and net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments in the consolidated statements of earnings
and  comprehensive  income.  For  short  term  investments,  loans  and  bonds,  the  sum  of  interest  income  and  net
realized gains (losses) on investments and net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments is equal to their
total change in fair value for the reporting period.

Interest, net realized gains (losses) on investments and net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments are
reported as operating activities in the consolidated statements of cash flows.

Derecognition – An investment is derecognized when the rights to receive cash flows from the investment have
expired  or  have  been  transferred  and  when  the  company  has  transferred  substantially  all  the  risks  and  rewards
of ownership.

Short term investments – Highly liquid debt instruments with maturity dates between three months and twelve
months when purchased are classified as short term investments.

Loans – Loans are secured lending arrangements with public or private African businesses that qualify as African
Investments  as  disclosed  in  note  5.  The  carrying  value  of  loans  excludes  the  debt  instrument’s  accrued  interest
receivable at the stated rate of interest.

Bonds – Debt  instruments  with  maturity  dates  greater  than  twelve  months  when  purchased,  or  illiquid  debt
instruments with maturity dates of less than twelve months when purchased, are classified as bonds. The carrying
value of bonds excludes the debt instrument’s accrued interest receivable at the stated rate of interest.

Derivatives – Derivatives  represent  forwards  contracts  and  warrants,  which  derive  their  value  primarily  from
changes  in  underlying  equity  instruments.  The  fair  value  of  derivatives  in  a  gain  position  are  presented  on  the
consolidated balance sheets within total cash and investments, as derivatives. The fair value of derivatives in a loss
position are presented on the consolidated balance sheets in derivative obligation. The initial premium paid for a
derivative contract, if any, would be recorded as a derivative asset and subsequently adjusted for changes in the fair
value of the contract at each reporting date. Changes in the fair value of derivatives are recorded within net change in
unrealized gains (losses) on investments in the consolidated statement of earnings and comprehensive income.

Determination of fair value – Fair values for substantially all of the company’s investments are measured using
market or income approaches. Considerable judgment may be required in interpreting market data used to develop
estimates of fair value. Accordingly, actual values realized in future market transactions may differ from the estimates
presented  in  these  consolidated  financial  statements.  The  use  of  different  market  assumptions  and/or  valuation
methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair values. The fair values of investments are based on
bid  prices  for  financial  assets  and  ask  prices  for  financial  liabilities.  The  company  categorizes  its  fair  value
measurements using a three level hierarchy in accordance with IFRS (‘‘fair value hierarchy’’) as described below:

Level 1 – Inputs represent unadjusted quoted prices for identical instruments exchanged in active markets.

Level 2 – Inputs include directly or indirectly observable inputs (other than Level 1 inputs) such as quoted prices
for similar financial instruments exchanged in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar financial
instruments exchanged in inactive markets and other market observable inputs.

Level 3 – Inputs include unobservable inputs used in the measurement of financial instruments. Management is
required to use its own assumptions regarding unobservable inputs as there is little, if any, market activity in
these instruments or related observable inputs that can be corroborated at the measurement date.

Transfers between fair value hierarchy categories are considered effective from the beginning of the reporting period
in which the transfer is identified.

Valuation techniques used by the company’s independent pricing service providers and third party broker-dealers
include use of prices from similar instruments where observable market prices exist, discounted cash flow analysis,
option  pricing  models,  and  other  valuation  techniques  commonly  used  by  market  participants.  The  company
assesses the reasonableness of pricing received from these third party sources by comparing the fair values received to
recent transaction prices for similar assets where available, to industry accepted discounted cash flow models (that

27

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

incorporate estimates of the amount and timing of future cash flows and market observable inputs such as credit
spreads and discount rates) and to option pricing models (that incorporate market observable inputs including the
quoted price, volatility and dividend yield of the underlying security and the risk free rate).

Net realized gains (losses) on investments, and Net change in unrealized gains (losses) on
investments

Where a financial instrument continues to be held by the company at the end of a reporting period, changes in the
fair value of that instrument during the reporting period, excluding those changes reported as interest, are presented
in  net  change  in  unrealized  gains  (losses)  on  investments.  On  disposition  of  that  financial  instrument,  its
inception-to-date net gain (loss), excluding those changes previously reported as interest, is presented as net realized
gains  (losses)  on  investments  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and  comprehensive  income.  The
cumulative unrealized net gain (loss) recognized in prior periods on that financial instrument is then reversed in net
change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive
income.

Income taxes

The  provision  for  income  taxes  for  the  period  comprises  current  and  deferred  income  tax.  Income  taxes  are
recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income, except to the extent that they
relate to items recognized directly in equity. In those cases, the related taxes are also recognized directly in equity.

Current income tax is calculated on the basis of the tax laws enacted or substantively enacted at the end of the
reporting period in the countries where the company and its subsidiaries operate and generate taxable income.

Deferred income tax is calculated under the liability method whereby deferred income tax assets and liabilities are
recognized for temporary differences between the financial statements carrying amounts of assets and liabilities and
their respective income tax bases at current substantively enacted tax rates. Changes in deferred income tax are
included in the provision for income taxes in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

Deferred income tax assets are recognized to the extent that it is probable that future taxable profit will be available
against which the temporary differences can be utilized. Carry forwards of unused losses or unused tax credits are tax
effected and recognized as deferred tax assets when it is probable that future taxable profits will be available against
which these losses or tax credits can be utilized.

A  deferred  income  tax  liability  has  not  been  recognized  on  unremitted  earnings  of  the  company’s  subsidiaries
holdings  of  African  Investments  where  the  company  has  determined  it  is  not  probable  that  those  unremitted
earnings will be repatriated in the foreseeable future.

Current  and  deferred  income  tax  assets  and  liabilities  are  offset  when  the  income  taxes  are  levied  by  the  same
taxation authority and there is a legally enforceable right of offset.

Borrowings

Borrowings are initially recognized at fair value, net of incremental and directly attributable transaction costs, and
subsequently  measured  at  amortized  cost.  Interest  expense  on  borrowings  is  recognized  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income using the effective interest method. Borrowings are derecognized
when  extinguished,  with  any  gain  or  loss  on  extinguishment  recognized  in  other  expenses  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

Equity

Common stock issued by the company is classified as equity when there is no contractual obligation to transfer cash
or other financial assets to the holder of the shares. Incremental costs directly attributable to the issue or purchase for
cancellation of equity instruments are recognized in equity, net of tax.

Dividends and other distributions to holders of the company’s equity instruments are recognized directly in equity.

28

Share-based payments

The company has restricted share plans or equivalent for its directors and employees with vesting periods of up to
five  years  from  the  date  of  grant.  The  fair  value  of  restricted  share  awards  on  the  grant  date  is  amortized  to
compensation expense, included in general and administration expenses in the consolidated statements of earnings
and comprehensive income, over the vesting period, with a corresponding increase in share-based payments, net, in
the consolidated statements of changes in equity. At each balance sheet date, the company reviews its estimates of
the number of restricted share awards expected to vest.

Net earnings (loss) per share

Basic net earnings (loss) per share is calculated by dividing the net earnings (loss) by the weighted average number of
subordinate and multiple voting shares issued and outstanding during the period.

Net earnings (loss) per diluted share

Diluted earnings (loss) per share is calculated by adjusting the weighted average number of subordinate and multiple
voting shares outstanding during the period for the dilutive effect, if any, of the contingently issuable subordinate
voting shares relating to the performance fee payable to Fairfax (see note 12) that would have been outstanding
during the period had all potential subordinate voting shares been issued at the beginning of the period.

New accounting pronouncement adopted in 2018

The  company  adopted  the  following  amendment,  effective  January  1,  2018  in  accordance  with  the  applicable
transitional provisions.

IFRS 9 Financial Instruments (‘‘IFRS 9’’)
The complete version of IFRS 9 supersedes the 2010 version of IFRS 9 (‘‘IFRS 9 (2010)’’) previously applied by the
company.  IFRS  9  includes  requirements  for  the  classification  and  measurement  of  financial  assets  and  financial
liabilities, an expected credit loss model for financial assets measured at amortized cost or fair value through other
comprehensive income, and new hedge accounting guidance. The company has determined that its classifications of
financial  assets  and  financial  liabilities,  remain  unchanged  under  IFRS  9  from  those  of  IFRS  9  (2010).  Equity
investments and derivative assets and liabilities continue to be mandatorily classified at FVTPL, debt investments
continue to be classified at FVTPL, and other financial assets and financial liabilities continue to be classified as
amortized cost. IFRS 9 was adopted in accordance with its retrospective transition provisions without restatement of
comparative periods. Adoption of IFRS 9 did not have a significant impact on the company’s consolidated financial
statements.

New accounting pronouncements issued but not yet effective

The following new standards and amendments have been issued by the IASB and were not yet effective for the fiscal
year beginning January 1, 2018. The company does not expect to adopt any of them in advance of their respective
effective dates.

IFRIC Interpretation 23 Uncertainty over Income Tax Treatments (‘‘IFRIC 23’’)
In June 2017 the IASB issued IFRIC 23 to clarify how the requirements of IAS 12 Income Taxes should be applied when
there is uncertainty over income tax treatments. The interpretation is effective for annual periods beginning on or
after January 1, 2019, with modified retrospective or retrospective application. Adoption of IFRIC 23 is not expected
to have a significant impact on the company’s consolidated financial statements.

IFRS Annual Improvements 2015-2017
In December 2017 the IASB issued amendments to clarify the requirements of four IFRS standards. The amendments
are  effective  for  annual  periods  beginning  on  or  after  January  1,  2019,  primarily  with  prospective  application.
Adoption of the amendments is not expected to have a significant impact on the company’s consolidated financial
statements.

29

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting (‘‘Conceptual Framework’’)
On March 29, 2018 the IASB published a revised Conceptual Framework that includes revised definitions of an asset
and a liability as well as new guidance on measurement, derecognition, presentation and disclosure. The revised
Conceptual Framework does not constitute an accounting pronouncement and will not result in any immediate
change to IFRS, but the IASB and IFRS Interpretations Committee will use it in setting future standards. The revised
Conceptual Framework is effective for the company beginning on January 1, 2020 and will apply when developing
an accounting policy for an issue not addressed by IFRS.

Definition of Material (Amendments to IAS 1 and IAS 8)
On October 31, 2018 the IASB issued amendments to IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements and IAS 8 Accounting
Policies, Changes in Accounting Estimates and Errors to clarify the definition of ‘‘material’’. The amendments are applied
prospectively  on  or  after  January  1,  2020  and  are  not  expected  to  have  a  significant  impact  on  the  company’s
consolidated financial statements.

4. Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments

In the preparation of the company’s consolidated financial statements, management has made a number of critical
accounting estimates and judgments which are discussed below. Estimates and judgments are continually evaluated
and are based on historical experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to
be reasonable under the circumstances.

Where estimates were made, the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses may differ from the
amounts that would otherwise be reflected if the ultimate outcome of all uncertainties and future earnings were
known at the time the consolidated financial statements were prepared.

Determination of investment entity status

An entity that meets the IFRS 10 Consolidated Financial Statements (‘‘IFRS 10’’) definition of an investment entity is
required  to  measure  its  investments  in  subsidiaries  at  FVTPL  rather  than  consolidate  them  (other  than  those
subsidiaries that provide services to the company).

An investment entity is an entity that obtains funds from one or more investors for the purpose of providing them
with investment management services, commits to its investors that its business purpose is to invest funds solely for
returns  from  capital  appreciation,  investment  income,  or  both,  and  measures  and  evaluates  the  performance  of
substantially all of its investments on a fair value basis. The company exercised judgment that it continues to meet
the definition of an investment entity, as its strategic objective of investing in African Investments and providing
investment management services to investors for the purpose of generating returns in the form of long term capital
appreciation, remains unchanged. The company has also determined that SA Sub and Mauritius Sub continue to
provide investment related services to the company and should continue to be consolidated.

The company may from time to time seek to realize on any of its African Investments. The circumstances under
which the company may sell some or all of its investments include: (i) where the company believes that the African
Investments are fully valued or that the original investment thesis has played out; or, (ii) where the company has
identified  other  investment  opportunities  which  it  believes  present  more  attractive  risk-adjusted  return
opportunities and additional capital is needed to make such alternative investments.

The company would exit its private African Investments (‘‘Private African Investments’’, as disclosed later in note 5)
either  through  initial  public  offerings  or  private  sales.  For  publicly  traded  African  Investments  (‘‘Public  African
Investments’’,  as  disclosed  later  in  note  5),  exit  strategies  may  include  selling  the  investments  through  private
placements or in public markets.

Valuation of Private African Investments

The valuation of the company’s Private African Investments are assessed at the end of each reporting period.

For  each  Private  African  Investment  acquired  during  the  reporting  period,  the  transaction  price  is  generally
considered to be representative of fair value, subject to changes in market conditions and factors specific to the
investee. The company monitors various factors impacting the businesses of its investees and the transaction price of
a Private African Investment may no longer be an appropriate estimate of fair value upon occurrence of certain
events such as significant variances from budgeted earnings; changes in market conditions; changes to the regulatory

30

environment;  movements  in  interest  rates,  foreign  exchange  rates  and  other  market  variables;  and  the  passage
of time.

Estimates  and  judgments  for  Private  African  Investments  are  continually  evaluated  and  are  based  on  historical
experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable under the
circumstances.  The  company  utilizes  Fairfax’s  valuation  personnel  to  assist  with  the  valuation  of  its  investment
portfolio. Detailed valuations are performed for those financial instruments that are priced internally, while external
pricing  received  from  independent  pricing  service  providers  and  third  party  broker-dealers  are  evaluated  by  the
company for reasonableness. The company does not use independent valuation experts to determine the fair value
of  its  Private  Africa  Investments.  The  company’s  Chief  Financial  Officer  oversees  the  valuation  function  and
regularly reviews valuation processes and results, including at each quarterly reporting period. Significant valuation
matters, particularly those requiring extensive judgment, are communicated to the company’s Audit Committee.

Notwithstanding  the  rigour  of  the  company’s  valuation  processes,  the  valuation  of  Private  African  Investments
inherently has estimation uncertainty and different assumptions could lead to significantly different fair values.
Refer to note 5 and 6 for additional disclosure related to the valuation of the company’s Private African Investments.

Income taxes

The company is subject to income taxes in Canada, Mauritius and South Africa, and the company’s determination of
its tax liability or receivable is subject to review by those applicable tax authorities. The company exercised judgment
in  assessing  that  unremitted  earnings  related  to  its  subsidiaries  holdings  of  Africa  Investments,  as  disclosed  in
note 10, are not expected to result in taxable amounts as the company has determined it is not probable that those
unremitted earnings will be repatriated in the foreseeable future; as a consequence no tax has been recorded in the
consolidated financial statements on these unremitted earnings. While the company believes its tax positions to be
reasonable, where the company’s interpretations differ from those of tax authorities or the timing of realization is
not  as  expected,  the  provision  for  income  taxes  may  increase  or  decrease  in  future  periods  to  reflect  actual
experience. The company has Fairfax tax specialist personnel responsible for assessing the income tax consequences
of planned transactions and events, and undertaking the appropriate tax planning.

Realization of deferred income tax assets is dependent upon the generation of taxable income in those jurisdictions
where  the  relevant  tax  losses  and  temporary  differences  exist.  Tax  legislation  of  each  jurisdiction  in  which  the
company operates is interpreted to determine the provision for (recovery of) income taxes and expected timing of
the reversal of deferred income tax assets and liabilities. The company exercised judgment that certain carryforwards
of unused losses disclosed in note 10 should not be recognized as an asset as it was considered not probable that those
losses could be utilized by the company.

Determination of functional currency

An entity’s functional currency is the currency of the primary economic environment in which the entity operates.
The company expects its foreign currency exposure to increase, and the composition of that exposure to evolve as
new African Investments are completed across more African countries and currencies. When the functional currency
of an entity is not evident, management uses its judgment to determine the functional currency that most faithfully
represents the economic effects of the entity’s underlying transactions, events, and conditions. A significant portion
of the company’s investments and transactions, as well as the company’s net proceeds pursuant to the offerings and
borrowing,  and  significant  expenses  (including  investment  and  advisory  fees,  and  performance  fees,  in  any)  are
denominated in the U.S. dollar. The performance and liquidity of the company are measured and evaluated in the
U.S. dollar. Accordingly, management has determined that the U.S. dollar is the functional currency of the company.

5. African Investments

Throughout  the  company’s  consolidated  financial  statements  for  the  year  ended  December  31,  2018,  the  term
‘‘African Investments’’ refers to deployed capital invested in Public and Private African Investments as disclosed
within this note.

31

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Summary of Changes in the Fair Value of the Company’s African Investments

A summary of changes in the fair value of the company’s Public and Private African Investments during 2018 and
2017 were as follows:

2018

Balance
as of
January 1,

2018 Purchases

Repayments/

(amortization
conversions of premium)(1)

Accretion of

discount/ Net realized
gains on

in unrealized
gains
(losses) on
investments investments(2)

gains Balance as of
(losses) on December 31,
2018

investments

Net change Net foreign
exchange

Public African
Investments:
Common stocks:
Atlas Mara
CIG
Other(3)

Total Public African

Investments

Private African
Investments:

Loans:

AGH Facility
Philafrica Facility
CIG
PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 7.5%

Convertible Bonds

Atlas Mara 11.0%

Convertible Bonds(4)
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds
Nova Pioneer Bond(5)

Common stocks:

Indirect equity interest

in AGH(6)

Philafrica
GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants
Nova Pioneer Warrants

Derivative Obligation:

CIG forward derivative

liability(7)

Total Private African

Investments

Total African
Investments

168,671
2,563
2,369

–
1,599
69

173,603

1,668

–
–
–

–

24,233
–
–
–

–
41,153
23,270
20,996

24,233

85,419

(25,399)
(35,841)
–
–

(61,240)

–

33,840

(36,182)

–
–
19,414

16,280
17,676
6,697

–
–
–

19,414

74,493

(36,182)

88,314
–
–

21,712
23,254
12,141

88,314

57,107

–
520

520

–

–

2,324
326

2,650

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
818
46
–

864

464

(9)
104
27

586

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–
–

–

1,878

–
–
–

1,878

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

(49,579)
98
(2,100)

–
(374)
(310)

119,092
3,886
28

(51,581)

(684)

123,006

–
–
694
(1,545)

(851)

–

63
(281)
(115)

(333)

18,082
870
–

18,952

(1,308)
155

(1,153)

(5,724)

(5,724)

1,166
(6,130)
(2,942)
(1,924)

(9,830)

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
21,068
17,527

38,595

–

16,334
17,499
26,023

59,856

(16,220)
(661)
(214)

111,888
23,463
11,927

(17,095)

147,278

–
–

–

–

–

1,016
1,001

2,017

(5,724)

(5,724)

132,481

219,669

(97,422)

1,450

1,878

10,891

(26,925)

242,022

306,084

221,337

(97,422)

1,450

1,878

(40,690)

(27,609)

365,028

(1) Recorded in interest in the consolidated statement of earnings and comprehensive income.

(2) For all Private African Investments classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy, net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments

related to unrealized gains (losses) on investments held at the end of the reporting period.

(3) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(4) Purchases included capitalized interest of $98.

(5) Purchases included capitalized interest of $2,250.

(6) Acquired through the company’s ownership in Joseph Holdings. In 2018 the company increased its indirect equity interest in AGH from
42.2% to 44.7%. Purchases were primarily comprised of a $18,501 capital contribution to Joseph Holdings and a non-cash realized gain
of $1,803 on the AGH Rights Offer (see note 5).

(7) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

32

Balance
as of
January 1,

2017 Purchases

2017

Net change

in unrealized Net foreign

Repayments/ Accretion of
Discount(1)

conversions

Net realized
gains on

gains
(losses) on
investments investments(2)

exchange Balance as of
gains on December 31,
2017

investments

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–

–

–

–

170,488
2,442
1,986

174,916

23,255
4,000

27,255

–
–
–

–

–
(4,000)

(4,000)

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

100,000
19,545

(106,215)
–

119,545

(106,215)

1,117
–

1,117

74,968

74,968

–
455

455

–

–

(6,055)
–

(6,055)

–

–

–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

5,098
–

5,098

–

–

6,055
–

6,055

(1,817)
(132)
177

(1,772)

–
–

–

–
(131)

(131)

4,200

4,200

–
65

65

–
253
206

459

978
–

978

–
–

–

9,146

9,146

–
–

–

168,671
2,563
2,369

173,603

24,233
–

24,233

–
19,414

19,414

88,314

88,314

–
520

520

222,223

(116,270)

1,117

11,153

4,134

10,124

132,481

397,139

(116,270)

1,117

11,153

2,362

10,583

306,084

Public African
Investments:
Common stocks:
Atlas Mara(3)
CIG
Other(4)

Total Public African

Investments

Private African
Investments:

Loans:

AGH Facility
Nova Pioneer Facility

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 5.0%

Convertible Bond
Nova Pioneer Bond

Common stocks:

Indirect equity interest in

AGH(5)

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara forward

derivative on equity
offering

Nova Pioneer Warrants

Total Private African

Investments

Total African
Investments

(1) Recorded in interest in the consolidated statement of earnings and comprehensive income.

(2) For all Private African Investments classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy, net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments

related to unrealized gains (losses) on investments held at the end of the reporting period.

(3) Purchases in 2017 were comprised of a $159,335 capital contribution and non-cash net realized gains on Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible

Bond of $5,098 (previously entered into in 2017) and Atlas Mara Equity Offering of $6,055.

(4) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(5) Acquired through the company’s ownership in Joseph Holdings.

Public African Investments

The fair values of Fairfax Africa’s Public African Investments are determined using the bid prices of those investments
(without adjustments or discounts) at the balance sheet date.

Investment in Atlas Mara Limited (Common Shares)

Atlas  Mara  Limited  (‘‘Atlas  Mara’’)  is  a  Sub-Saharan  African  financial  services  group  listed  on  the  London  Stock
Exchange under the symbol ATMA. Atlas Mara was founded in 2013 with a vision to establish itself as a premier
financial institution across key markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since its inception, Atlas Mara has acquired control or
significant  influence  in  banks  across  seven  Sub-Saharan  African  countries:  Nigeria,  Botswana,  Zimbabwe,
Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania and Zambia.

33

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company’s investment in Atlas Mara is comprised of common shares, debt instruments and warrants. The debt
instruments and warrants are classified as Level 3 investments in the fair value hierarchy and are discussed in the
Private African Investments section under the heading Investment in Atlas Mara (Debt Instruments and Warrants)
later in note 5.

Atlas Mara Common Shares

On July 17, 2017 the company invested $100,000 in Atlas Mara through the purchase of a mandatory convertible
bond with an interest rate of 5.0% per annum. On August 31, 2017, concurrent with the closing of the Atlas Mara
Equity Offering (described below), the convertible bond of $101,117 (including accrued interest) was converted into
44,722,222 ordinary shares of Atlas Mara at the Issue Price (defined below).

On  August  31,  2017  the  company  acquired  an  additional  26,036,448  ordinary  shares  of  Atlas  Mara  for  $58,582
through participation in Atlas Mara’s equity offering of $100,000 of new ordinary shares (the ‘‘Atlas Mara Equity
Offering’’) at a price of $2.25 per share (the ‘‘Issue Price’’). Fairfax Africa received a fee of $2,800 pursuant to an
agreement to acquire any ordinary shares not taken up by qualifying Atlas Mara shareholders and to purchase a
minimum of 30.0% of the Atlas Mara Equity Offering, resulting in a commitment to acquire Atlas Mara ordinary
shares for net cash consideration of $55,782. The company’s commitment to acquire Atlas Mara shares at a fixed
price was determined to be a derivative financial instrument under IFRS. The appreciation of the Atlas Mara share
price to $2.38 per share on the expiry date of the commitment (August 31, 2017) resulted in the recognition of a
realized  gain  on  investments  of  $6,055  recorded  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and  comprehensive
income in 2017.

On  December  22,  2017  the  company  acquired  an  additional  1,200,000  ordinary  shares  of  Atlas  Mara  for  cash
consideration of $2,436. Upon completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate consideration of
$159,335 (including capitalized accrued interest and net of the $2,800 fee received) for a 43.3% equity interest in
Atlas Mara.

At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in Atlas Mara was $119,092 (December 31, 2017 –
$168,671),  comprised  of  71,958,670  ordinary  shares  representing  a  42.4%  equity  interest  (December  31,  2017 –
43.3%). The changes in fair value of the company’s investment in Atlas Mara in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the
tables disclosed earlier in note 5.

Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Common Shares)

Consolidated Infrastructure Group Limited (‘‘CIG’’) is a Pan-African engineering infrastructure company listed on
the  Johannesburg  Stock  Exchange  under  the  stock  symbol  CIL.  CIG  has  a  diversified  portfolio  of  operations
including services and materials in power and electrical, oil and gas, building materials and the railway sector, with a
footprint that spans over 20 African countries and the Middle East.

The company’s investment in CIG is comprised of common shares, a debt instrument and a derivative obligation.
The debt instrument and derivative obligation are classified as Level 3 investments in the fair value hierarchy and are
discussed in the Private African Investments section under the heading Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure
Group (Debt Instrument and Derivative Obligation) later in note 5.

CIG Common Shares

In 2017 Fairfax Africa acquired 8,789,282 ordinary shares, or a 4.5% equity interest in CIG, for cash consideration of
$2,442. In 2018 the company acquired an additional 6,737,846 ordinary shares for cash consideration of $1,599.
Upon completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate cash consideration of $4,041 for a 7.9%
equity interest in CIG.

At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in CIG was $3,886 (December 31, 2017 – $2,563),
comprised  of  15,527,128  ordinary  shares  representing  a  7.9%  equity  interest  (December  31,  2017 – 4.5%).  The
changes in fair value of the company’s investment in CIG in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed
earlier in note 5.

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Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 4, 2019 CIG completed its previously announced rights offering for $57,179 (800 million South African
rand) where existing CIG shareholders were invited to participate on a pro rata basis in a non-renounceable rights
offer for 200,000,000 CIG ordinary shares (‘‘CIG Rights Offer’’) at a price of 4.00 South African rand (the ‘‘Offer
Price’’). Fairfax Africa was committed to acquire any shares not taken up by existing CIG shareholders and as a result
Fairfax Africa earned a fee equal to 2.5% of the CIG Rights Offer ($1,429 or 20 million South African rand).

Upon  closing  of  the  CIG  Rights  Offer  the  company  acquired  178,995,353  ordinary  shares  of  CIG  for  net  cash
consideration of $49,744 (696 million South African rand). Upon completion of this transaction the company had
invested aggregate cash consideration of $53,785 for a 49.1% equity interest in CIG.

Investment in an Other Public African Investment

In 2018 and 2017 the company acquired common shares of a public company in the infrastructure sector, listed on
the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (‘‘Other Public African Investment’’) for aggregate cash consideration of $2,055.

At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in the Other Public African Investment was $28
(December  31,  2017 – $2,369)  representing  less  than  a  5.0%  equity  interest.  The  changes  in  fair  value  of  the
company’s investment in the Other Public African Investment in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed
earlier in note 5.

Private African Investments

The  fair  values  of  Fairfax  Africa’s  Private  African  Investments  cannot  be  derived  from  an  active  market  and
accordingly, are determined using industry accepted valuation techniques and models. Market observable inputs are
used  where  possible,  with  unobservable  inputs  used  where  necessary.  Use  of  unobservable  inputs  can  involve
significant judgment and may materially affect the reported fair value of these investments.

Investment in AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited

AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘AFGRI Holdings’’) is a private holding company based in South Africa and
owns 100.0% of AFGRI Group Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘AGH’’, formerly known as AFGRI), an investment
holding company with interests in a number of agricultural and food-related companies providing products and
services to ensure sustainable agriculture. AGH’s core focus is grain commodities and it provides services across the
entire grain production and storage cycle, offering financial support and solutions as well as high-tech equipment
through the John Deere brand supported by a large retail footprint.

Indirect Equity Interest in AGH

Prior to Fairfax Africa’s initial public offering (‘‘IPO’’), AgriGroupe Investments LP (‘‘AgriGroupe LP’’) held all of the
ordinary  shares  and  Class  A  shares  of  Joseph  Investment  Holdings  (‘‘Joseph  Holdings’’),  an  investment  holding
company formed to hold an investment in AGH. Fairfax’s beneficial interest in the ordinary shares and Class A shares
of Joseph Holdings was 65.9% and 72.6% respectively. Joseph Holdings has a 60.0% equity interest in AGH and other
than cash, has no other assets, liabilities (contingent or otherwise) or operations, except minimal administrative
overhead.

On  February  17,  2017  in  conjunction  with  its  IPO,  Fairfax  Africa  in  a  non-cash  transaction  acquired  from
AgriGroupe LP (the beneficial equity interests held by Fairfax in Joseph Holdings) 156,055,775 ordinary shares and
49,942,549 Class A shares for $25,001 and $49,967 respectively in exchange for: (i) 7,284,606 multiple voting shares
of Fairfax Africa at $10.00 per multiple voting share issued to Fairfax; and, (ii) 212,189 subordinate voting shares of
Fairfax  Africa  at  $9.50  per  subordinate  voting  share  (being  $10.00  less  a  private  placement  fee  of  $0.50  per
subordinate voting share) issued to certain shareholders of Joseph Holdings. Upon completion of these transactions,
the company invested $74,968 in Joseph Holdings, and owned 70.3% equity interest and 73.3% of the Class A shares
of Joseph Holdings, becoming the largest beneficial shareholder of AGH with a 42.2% indirect equity interest.

On January 31, 2018 AGH completed its previously announced rights issue and raised $43,676 (518.6 million South
African rand) at 2.27 South African rand per ordinary share (the ‘‘AGH Rights Offer’’). Joseph Holdings maintained its
60.0% equity interest in AGH through the purchase of 137,074,140 ordinary shares for cash consideration of $26,137
(311.2  million  South  African  rand).  To  fund  the  additional  investment  in  AGH,  Joseph  Holdings  requested  its

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

shareholders to provide funding on a pro rata basis consistent with their equity interest in Joseph Holdings. Certain
shareholders of Joseph Holdings declined to take up their pro rata share, which resulted in Fairfax Africa acquiring
79,743,201 ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings for cash consideration of $18,501 (excluding a non-cash realized gain
of  $1,803  on  the  AGH  Rights  Offer).  Upon  completion  of  the  AGH  Rights  Offer,  Fairfax  Africa  held
235,798,976 ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings representing a 72.9% equity interest and 49,942,549 or 73.3% of the
outstanding Class A shares, for an aggregate investment of $93,469. In aggregate, Fairfax Africa held a 43.8% indirect
equity interest in AGH through its ownership in Joseph Holdings.

The company’s right to acquire ordinary shares of AGH, through its investment in Joseph Holdings, at a fixed price
was  determined  to  be  a  derivative  financial  instrument  under  IFRS.  The  appreciation  of  AGH’s  share  price  to
2.43 South African rand on closing of the AGH Rights Offer resulted in the recognition of a non-cash realized gain on
investments of $1,803 in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2018.

On November 19, 2018 the company acquired an additional 5,260,679 ordinary shares and 270,362 Class A shares of
Joseph  Holdings  for  aggregate  cash  consideration  of  $1,408  from  an  employee  of  the  company’s  portfolio
sub-advisor, Pactorum Ltd. (‘‘Pactorum’’). Refer to note 12 for additional details on this related party transaction.
Upon completion of this transaction, Fairfax Africa had invested $96,680, inclusive of the non-cash realized gain of
$1,803, in Joseph Holdings (comprised of 74.6% of the ordinary shares and 73.7% of the Class A shares of Joseph
Holdings). Fairfax Africa continues to be the largest beneficial shareholder of AGH, through its investment in Joseph
Holdings, with a 44.7% indirect equity interest.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH
using a discounted cash flow analysis based on multi-year free cash flow projections with assumed after-tax discount
rates ranging from 11.7% to 26.0% and a long term growth rate of 3.0% (December 31, 2017 – 11.6% to 25.1%, and
3.0% respectively). At December 31, 2018 free cash flow projections were based on EBITDA estimates derived from
financial information for AGH’s business units prepared in the fourth quarter of 2018 (December 31, 2017 – fourth
quarter of 2017) by AGH’s management. Discount rates were based on the company’s assessment of risk premiums to
the  appropriate  risk-free  rate  of  the  economic  environment  in  which  AGH  operates.  At  December  31,  2018  the
company’s  internal  valuation  model  indicated  that  the  fair  value  of  its  44.7%  indirect  equity  interest  in  AGH,
acquired  through  the  company’s  ownership  in  Joseph  Holdings,  was  $111,888  (December  31,  2017 – $88,314),
comprised of the Class A shares and ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings. The changes in fair value of the company’s
indirect equity interest in AGH in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed earlier in note 5.

AGH Facilities

On June 21, 2017 Fairfax Africa entered into a secured lending arrangement with AGH, pursuant to which Fairfax
Africa provided $23,255 (300 million South African rand) of financing (the ‘‘AGH Facility’’). The AGH Facility earned
interest at a rate of South African prime plus 2.0% per annum and a raising fee equal to 2.0% of the loan proceeds.

The AGH Facility was initially scheduled to mature on December 23, 2017 with an option for AGH to repay the AGH
Facility in newly issued shares of AGH, subject to certain conditions on maturity. On December 19, 2017 the AGH
Facility maturity date was extended from December 23, 2017 to January 31, 2018. During the extension period, the
AGH Facility interest rate was increased to South African prime plus 6.0% per annum. On January 31, 2018 the AGH
Facility matured and the company received $25,399 (including accrued interest) and recognized a realized foreign
exchange gain of $1,166 (2017 – nil) in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2018.

In  2018  the  company  recorded  interest  income  of  $383  (2017 – $1,982)  within  interest  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income related to the AGH Facility.

On December 13, 2018 the company entered into a second secured lending arrangement with AGH pursuant to
which Fairfax Africa provided $13,074 (180 million South African rand) of financing. The facility will earn interest at
a  rate  of  South  African  prime  plus  2.0%,  payable  on  maturity  and  will  mature  six  months  from  the  date  of  last
issuance. At December 31, 2018 the facility was not drawn down by AGH.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 21, 2019 the full $13,074 (180 million South African rand) was advanced to AGH. The facility including
accrued interest matures on July 19, 2019.

36

Investment in Philafrica Foods Proprietary Ltd.

Philafrica Foods Proprietary Ltd. (‘‘Philafrica’’) is headquartered in South Africa, where it owns and operates maize
mills, wheat mills, animal feed factories, snacking facilities, soya crushing and extraction plants, which process oil
and other raw materials into edible oils, fats and proteins for human consumption (primarily for the food processing
and quick-service restaurant industries), and a mussels farm and factory. Philafrica also has food-related businesses
outside South Africa, consisting mainly of a cassava processing business in C ˆote d’Ivoire and Mozambique and a
poultry joint venture in Mozambique. In addition to its 14 production plants, (including newly acquired mussels
and snack manufacturing operations), across the South African provinces of Gauteng, Kwazulu Natal, Mpumalanga,
Eastern Cape, Western Cape, the Free State and Limpopo, Philafrica has operations in Mozambique.

Philafrica Facility

On February 28, 2018 and May 28, 2018 Fairfax Africa entered into secured lending arrangements with Philafrica,
pursuant to which the company provided Philafrica with $27,934 (330 million South African rand) and $13,219
(170 million South African rand, net of a 2.0% raising fee) (collectively referred to as the ‘‘Philafrica Facility’’) for
aggregate net cash consideration of $41,153. The Philafrica Facility bears interest at a rate of South African prime plus
2.0% per annum, payable monthly in arrears or capitalized to the loan amount at the election of Philafrica. In 2018
Fairfax Africa received a $686 (10 million South African rand) raising fee equal to 2.0% of the loan proceeds.

On  November  19,  2018  the  company  had  converted  $23,254  (325  million  South  African  rand)  of  the  Philafrica
Facility  into  26,000  newly  issued  ordinary  shares  of  Philafrica  as  part  of  the  Philafrica  rights  offering  (described
below).  On  December  24,  2018  the  remaining  investment  in  the  Philafrica  Facility,  including  raising  fees  and
interest, was fully repaid in cash.

The changes in fair value of the Philafrica Facility in 2018 are presented in the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $3,903 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the Philafrica Facility.

Philafrica Common Shares

On November 19, 2018 Fairfax Africa participated in a previously announced rights offering of Philafrica ordinary
shares  for  aggregate  capital  raise  of  $35,775  (500  million  South  African  rand)  (‘‘Philafrica  Rights  Offer’’).  Fairfax
Africa participated in the Philafrica Rights Offer and converted $23,254 (325 million South African rand) of the
Philafrica Facility into 26,000 ordinary shares of Philafrica. Upon completion of this transaction, the company held a
26.0%  equity  interest  in  Philafrica,  and  AGH’s  equity  interest  decreased  from  100.0%  to  60.0%,  with  AGH
maintaining control of Philafrica.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in Philafrica using a discounted cash
flow  analysis  based  on  multi-year  free  cash  flow  projections  with  assumed  after-tax  discount  rates  ranging  from
13.7% to 24.4% and a long term growth rate of 3.0% (December 31, 2017 – nil and nil). At December 31, 2018 free
cash flow projections were based on EBITDA estimates derived from financial information for Philafrica’s business
units  prepared  in  the  fourth  quarter  of  2018  by  Philafrica’s  management.  Discount  rates  were  based  on  the
company’s assessment of risk premiums to the appropriate risk-free rate of the economic environment in which
Philafrica operates. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the fair value of its
investment in Philafrica was $23,463 (December 31, 2017 – nil) for the 26.0% equity interest. The changes in fair
value of the company’s investment in Philafrica in 2018 are presented in the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

Investment in GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited

GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘GroCapital Holdings’’) is a bank holding company that owns 99.9% of
the South African Bank of Athens Limited (‘‘SABA’’). SABA was established in 1947 in South Africa and is focused on
delivering  world-class  banking  services  to  the  medium-sized  business  market  in  the  country.  SABA  offers
comprehensive traditional business banking such as lending, transaction banking, treasury and foreign exchange as
well  as  alliance  banking  services,  which  provide  niche  transactional  banking  offerings  in  partnership  with
non-banking entities who would like to offer financial services into their customer base.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

GroCapital Holdings Common Shares

In December 2016 AFGRI Holdings entered into an agreement with the National Bank of Greece S.A. and NBG Malta
Holdings  Ltd.  (collectively  ‘‘NBG’’)  to  acquire  27,965,985  ordinary  shares,  or  a  99.8%  equity  interest  in  SABA
(the  ‘‘SPA’’).  To  facilitate  the  closing  of  this  transaction,  GroCapital  Holdings  was  established  as  a  bank  holding
company  to  acquire  the  SABA  shares.  On  May  12,  2017  AFGRI  Holdings  appointed  GroCapital  Holdings  as  its
nominee for purposes of the SPA and assigned its rights and obligations under the SPA to GroCapital Holdings. On
September 28, 2018 Fairfax Africa acquired a 35.0% equity interest in GroCapital Holdings for cash consideration of
$9,848 (139.4 million South African rand). The Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited (‘‘PIC’’) and AGH own
the remaining 35.0% and 30.0% equity interest in GroCapital Holdings.

On October 4, 2018 GroCapital Holdings acquired the 99.8% equity interest in SABA from NBG through the SPA
assignment from AFGRI Holdings. GroCapital Holdings subsequently acquired an additional equity interest in SABA
from minority shareholders and at December 31, 2018 held an equity interest in SABA of 99.9%.

On October 26, 2018 GroCapital Holdings issued a capital call to its shareholders to fund their pro rata contribution,
which was invested by GroCapital Holdings into SABA to ensure compliance with capital adequacy requirements of
the South African regulators. On November 8, 2018 Fairfax Africa invested their pro rata contribution of the capital
call of $2,293 (32.2 million South African rand) to GroCapital Holdings to maintain its 35.0% equity interest. Upon
completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate cash consideration of $12,141 in GroCapital
Holdings.

The initial transaction price for the company’s investment in GroCapital Holdings was considered to approximate
fair value at December 31, 2018 as there were no significant changes to its investment in SABA’s business, capital
structure  and  operating  environment  and  the  key  assumptions  in  the  company’s  acquisition  valuation  model
continue to be valid. In 2018 the change in fair value of the company’s equity interest in GroCapital Holdings related
to foreign exchange losses and is presented in the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Debt Instrument and Derivative Obligation)

The company’s investment in CIG is comprised of common shares classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy and
a  debt  instrument  and  derivative  obligation  classified  as  Level  3  in  the  fair  value  hierarchy.  The  company’s
investment  in  CIG  common  shares  is  discussed  in  the  Public  African  Investments  section  under  the  heading
Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Common Shares) earlier in note 5.

CIG Loan

On  May  18,  2018  the  company  entered  into  a  secured  lending  arrangement  with  CIG,  pursuant  to  which  the
company provided CIG with $23,270 (300 million South African rand) of financing (the ‘‘CIG Loan’’). The initial
term of the CIG Loan was for a period of one year at an interest rate of South African prime plus 4.0% per annum,
payable monthly in cash. On August 29, 2018 at a CIG Extraordinary General Meeting, shareholder approval was
received for the conversion features contained in the CIG Loan (described below), and as a result the term of the CIG
Loan was increased to five years and the interest rate was reduced to South African prime plus 2.0% per annum.

Fairfax Africa has the option at any time during the five year term to convert all or a portion of the CIG Loan into a
maximum of 57,692,308 ordinary shares of CIG at a price of 5.20 South African rand per share. CIG has the option
after June 4, 2021 to convert the CIG Loan into ordinary shares at a price of 5.20 South African rand per share,
provided  that  the  CIG  ordinary  shares  have  traded  at  more  than  6.24  South  African  rand  per  share  for  at  least
90 consecutive days at the time of conversion.

Fairfax  Africa  received  a  fee  of  $597  (7.5  million  South  African  rand)  for  its  involvement  in  structuring  the
transaction  that  initially  reduced  the  cost  of  the  company’s  investment  and  is  amortized  over  the  term  of  the
CIG Loan.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the CIG Loan using an industry
accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated the security’s estimated credit spread of
7.8% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and estimated historical share price volatility of 60.9% (December 31, 2017 – nil).
The estimated credit spread was based on a peer group of comparable companies adjusted for credit risk specific to
CIG. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the estimated fair value of the

38

CIG Loan was $21,068 (December 31, 2017 – nil). The changes in fair value of the CIG Loan in 2018 are presented in
the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $1,630 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the CIG Loan.

CIG Rights Offer (Derivative Obligation)

The company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 ordinary shares of CIG as part of the CIG Rights Offer (refer to
the  Public  African  Investments  section  under  the  heading  Investment  in  Consolidated  Infrastructure  Group
(Common Shares) earlier in note 5) gave rise to a forward derivative liability. At December 31, 2018 the company
estimated the fair value of the derivative obligation using an estimated forward price of the CIG ordinary shares on
the closing date of January 4, 2019 compared to the Offer Price, which was multiplied by the take-up of the CIG
Rights Offer by Fairfax Africa. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the
estimated fair value of the derivative obligation was $5,724 (December 31, 2017 – nil). The changes in fair value of
the derivative obligation for CIG’s Rights Offer in 2018 are presented in the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 4, 2019 upon closing of the CIG Rights Offer the company settled the derivative obligation and will
record a realized gain of $5,724 in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in the first
quarter of 2019.

Investment in the PGR2 Loan (Debt Instrument)

On May 18, 2018, in conjunction with the CIG Loan, Fairfax Africa entered into a secured lending agreement with
PGR2  Investments  Proprietary  Limited  (‘‘PGR2’’),  the  largest  shareholder  of  CIG  at  the  time  of  the  transaction,
pursuant to which the company provided PGR2 with $19,969 (260 million South African rand) of secured financing
(the ‘‘PGR2 Loan’’). The PGR2 Loan is secured by ordinary shares of CIG held by PGR2 and associated parties and
bears interest at a rate of 15.0% per annum, payable semi-annually in cash, with a maturity date of May 24, 2021. The
PGR2 loan is repayable in full if the ordinary shares of CIG trade above 6.50 South African rand for 30 consecutive
days. Within six months after the closing date of the CIG Rights Offer, either party may elect to buy or sell shares
from the other to the extent necessary to ensure both parties hold an equal number of shares. In 2018 the company’s
investment in the PGR2 Loan of $20,996 was comprised of a principal draw down of $19,969 (260 million South
African rand) and capitalized interest of $1,027 (14.4 million South African rand).

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the PGR2 Loan using an industry
accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated PGR2’s estimated credit spread of 11.9%
(December 31, 2017 – nil). The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable
companies adjusted for credit risk specific to PGR2. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model
indicated that the estimated fair value its investment in the PGR2 Loan was $17,527 (December 31, 2017 – nil). The
changes in fair value of the PGR2 Loan in 2018 are presented in the table disclosed earlier in note 5.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $1,222 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the PGR2 Loan.

Investment in Atlas Mara Limited (Debt Instruments and Warrants)

The  company’s  investment  in  Atlas  Mara  is  comprised  of  common  shares  classified  as  Level  1  in  the  fair  value
hierarchy  and  debt  instruments  and  warrants  classified  as  Level  3  in  the  fair  value  hierarchy.  The  company’s
investment in Atlas Mara common shares is discussed in the Public African Investments section under the heading
Investment in Atlas Mara Limited (Common Shares) earlier in note 5. The Atlas Mara Bonds discussed below are
not rated.

Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond (Converted into Common Shares)

On July 17, 2017 the company invested $100,000 in Atlas Mara through the purchase of a mandatory convertible
bond with an interest rate of 5.0% per annum (the ‘‘Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond’’) which increased to 10.0%
per annum on August 31, 2017. On August 31, 2017, concurrent with the closing of the Atlas Mara Equity Offering
(described  in  the  Public  African  Investments  section  as  noted  above),  the  Atlas  Mara  5.0%  Convertible  Bond

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

(including accrued interest) was converted into 44,722,222 ordinary shares of Atlas Mara. The change in the fair
value of the Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond between the date of initial recognition and the conversion into Atlas
Mara  ordinary  shares  resulted  in  the  recognition  of  a  realized  gain  on  investment  of  $5,098  recorded  in  the
consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2017.

Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible Bonds (Extinguished for Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds plus Warrants, and Atlas Mara
11.0% Convertible Bonds)

On April 24, 2018 Fairfax Africa and Atlas Mara entered into a placing agreement pursuant to which the company
purchased $16,000 par value convertible bonds maturing on April 24, 2020. The terms of the convertible bonds
included a two year tenor, original issue discount of 5.0% and a 1.0% upfront origination fee with interest at a rate of
7.5% per annum. The bonds were convertible at maturity at the option of Fairfax Africa into ordinary shares of Atlas
Mara (the ‘‘Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible Bonds’’).

On July 5, 2018 the company amended the terms of the placing agreement (the ‘‘Amended Placing Agreement’’) to
provide an additional $20,000 in funding to Atlas Mara. Upon completion of this transaction, the company held
$36,000 par value convertible bonds with an interest rate of 7.5% maturing on April 24, 2020 for total aggregate cash
consideration of $33,840 (net of the fees). In the fourth quarter of 2018 the terms of the Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible
Bonds  were  amended  resulting  in  the  company  for  accounting  purposes  treating  it  as  an  extinguishment,  as
described below.

Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds plus Warrants

On November 6, 2018 the company amended the terms of the Amended Placing Agreement on the $20,000 par value
convertible bonds as follows: (i) replaced the conversion feature of the bonds with 6,200,000 of Atlas Mara warrants,
that can be exercised by the company at a price of $3.20 per ordinary share of Atlas Mara; and, (ii) amended maturity
date of the bonds to November 6, 2021, with the option by Atlas Mara to extend the maturity by an additional year to
November 6, 2022. The interest rate on the bonds remained at 7.5% per annum, with interest payable semi-annually
(‘‘Atlas  Mara  7.5%  Bonds’’).  Under  IFRS  the  changes  to  the  terms  of  the  bonds  were  deemed  as  substantial  and
accounted for as a non-cash extinguishment for the $20,000 par value convertible bonds that were exchanged for
$20,000 par value non-convertible bonds and 6,200,000 warrants with fair values of $17,676 and $2,324 on the date
of amendment. In 2018 the company recognized a realized gain on investment of $993 on the extinguishment of the
$20,000 par value convertible bond in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Atlas Mara’s estimated credit
spread of 10.3% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and assumptions related to certain redemption options embedded in the
bonds. The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable companies adjusted
for credit risk specific to Atlas Mara. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that
the estimated fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds was $17,499 (December 31, 2017 – nil).

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara warrants using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated estimated historical share price
volatility  of  34.5%  (December  31,  2017 – nil).  At  December  31,  2018  the  company’s  internal  valuation  model
indicated that the estimated fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara warrants was $1,016 (December 31, 2017 –
nil).

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds

On December 11, 2018 the company amended the terms of the Amended Placing Agreement for the $16,000 par
value convertible bonds as follows: (i) an increase in the interest rate to 11.0% per annum accrued quarterly and in
lieu of cash, the interest is payable in kind in the form of additional Atlas Mara bonds (‘‘Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible
Bonds’’); and, (ii) amended the maturity date to December 11, 2019 with the option by Atlas Mara to extend the
maturity by an additional year to December 11, 2020. Under IFRS the changes to the terms of the convertible bonds
were  deemed  substantial  and  accounted  for  as  a  non-cash  extinguishment  for  the  original  $16,000  par  value
convertible  bonds  that  were  exchanged  for  11.0%  Convertible  Bonds  with  a  fair  value  of  $16,182  on  date  of
amendment. In 2018 the company recognized a realized gain of $885 on extinguishment of the $16,000 par value
convertible bonds in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

40

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible
Bonds using an industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Atlas Mara’s
estimated credit spread of 10.3% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and assumptions related to certain redemption options
embedded in the bonds. The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable
companies adjusted for credit risk specific to Atlas Mara. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation
model  indicated  that  the  estimated  fair  value  of  its  investment  in  the  Atlas  Mara  11.0%  Convertible  Bonds  was
$16,334 (December 31, 2017 – nil).

The changes in fair value of the company’s bond and warrant investments in Atlas Mara during 2018 and 2017 are
presented in the tables disclosed earlier in note 5. In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $2,441 (2017 –
$1,117) within interest in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income related to the Atlas
Mara bonds.

Investment in Nova Pioneer Education Group

Nova Pioneer Education Group (‘‘Nova Pioneer’’) is a Pan-African independent school network offering preschool
through secondary education for students from ages 3 through 19. Nova Pioneer was started in 2013 with its first
school opening in South Africa in 2014. Since then, the company has expanded across South Africa and launched its
first  campus  in  Kenya  in  2015.  Nova  Pioneer  currently  operates  ten  schools  with  a  combined  enrollment  of
approximately 3,850 students.

Nova Pioneer Facility (Converted in 2017 for Nova Pioneer Bond and Warrants)

On  June  8,  2017  Fairfax  Africa  entered  into  a  secured  lending  arrangement  with  Ascendant  Learning  Limited
(‘‘Ascendant’’), the Mauritius based parent entity of Nova Pioneer. In advance of the secured lending arrangement,
Ascendant was permitted to borrow up to $4,000 (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer Facility’’) for the benefit of Nova Pioneer. The
Nova  Pioneer  Facility  had  an  initial  interest  rate  of  5.0%  per  annum,  which  increased  to  18.0%  per  annum  on
June 30, 2017. The Nova Pioneer Facility was secured against certain assets of Ascendant and its subsidiaries. On
June  8,  2017  and  August  10,  2017,  Ascendant  borrowed  $3,000  and  $1,000,  respectively,  on  the  Nova  Pioneer
Facility. On August 22, 2017 the Nova Pioneer Facility was converted into the Nova Pioneer securities (discussed
below).

Nova Pioneer Bonds and Warrants

On  June  30,  2017  Fairfax  Africa  announced  a  $20,000  investment  in  Nova  Pioneer  which  consisted  of  secured
debentures maturing on December 31, 2024 (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer Bonds’’) and 2,000,000 warrants (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer
Warrants’’) to be issued in tranches. At December 31, 2017 the $20,000 investment was completed, consisting of
securities with fair values on the date of the investment of Nova Pioneer Bonds of $19,545 and 2,000,000 Nova
Pioneer Warrants of $455.

The Nova Pioneer Bonds bear interest at a rate of 20.0% per annum and are redeemable by Ascendant at par at any
time after June 30, 2021, except in circumstances relating to a change of control or a value realization event. Each
Nova Pioneer Warrant can be exercised by the company at a price of $2.06 per ordinary share of Ascendant. Other
than in circumstances relating to a change of control or a value realization event, the Nova Pioneer Warrants may be
exercised after June 30, 2021. The Nova Pioneer Bonds are not rated.

On August 30, 2018 on the same terms as the initial investment in Nova Pioneer as described above, the company
entered into an Amending Agreement and completed an additional $4,000 investment in Nova Pioneer, comprised
of secured debentures and 400,000 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with fair values on the date of the investment of $3,705
and $295. On December 31, 2018 the company entered into a Second Amending Agreement, under the same terms
as the prior investment, to provide an additional $10,000 investment in Nova Pioneer and invested $773 relating to
the incremental investment in Nova Pioneer, comprised of secured debentures and 77,293 Nova Pioneer Warrants,
with fair values on the date of the investment of $742 and $31 (‘‘tranche 1’’). Upon completion of this transaction,
the company had invested $26,242 in Nova Pioneer Bonds and $781 in Nova Pioneer Warrants, with a remaining
investment commitment of $9,227 at December 31, 2018 (partially completed on January 11, 2019 for an additional
$3,500 investment, as described below).

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Nova Pioneer Bonds using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Nova Pioneer’s estimated credit

41

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

spread of 18.5% (December 31, 2017 – 18.9%). The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer
group of comparable companies adjusted for credit risk specific to Nova Pioneer and assumptions related to certain
redemption  options  embedded  in  the  bonds.  At  December  31,  2018  the  company’s  internal  valuation  model
indicated that the fair value of the investment in Nova Pioneer Bonds was $26,023 (December 31, 2017 – $19,414).
The changes in fair value of the Nova Pioneer Bonds in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed earlier in
note 5.

In  2018  the  company  recorded  interest  income  of  $4,772  (2017 – $1,016)  within  interest  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income related to the Nova Pioneer Bonds.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Nova Pioneer Warrants using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated an estimated share price of
$1.46 (December 31, 2017 – $1.15) At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the
fair value of the investment in the Nova Pioneer Warrants was $1,001 (December 31, 2017 – $520). The changes in
fair value of the Nova Pioneer Warrants in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed earlier in note 5.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 11, 2019 the company completed an additional $3,500 investment in Nova Pioneer as part of the Second
Amending Agreement, comprised of secured debentures and 350,000 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with fair values on the
date of investment of $3,333 and $167 (‘‘tranche 2’’).

42

6. Cash and Investments

Fair Value Disclosures

The  company’s  use  of  quoted  market  prices  (Level  1),  valuation  models  using  observable  market  information  as
inputs (Level 2) and valuation models without observable market information as inputs (Level 3) in the valuation of
securities by type of issuer was as follows:

December 31, 2018

Significant
other

Significant

December 31, 2017

Significant
other

Significant

observable unobservable Total fair
value
of assets

inputs
(Level 3)

inputs
(Level 2)

Cash and cash equivalents
Restricted cash(1)

Short term investments –

U.S. treasury bills

Loans:

AGH Facility
CIG
PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 11.0%

Convertible Bonds
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds
Nova Pioneer Bond

Common stocks:
Atlas Mara
CIG
Other
Indirect equity interest in

AGH
Philafrica
GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants
Nova Pioneer Warrants

Quoted
prices
(Level 1)

230,858
–

230,858

38,723

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

119,092
3,886
28

–
–
–

123,006

–
–

–

Total cash and investments

392,587

Derivative obligation:

CIG forward derivative

liability(2)

–

Total cash and investments,

net of derivative obligation

392,587

61.9%

Quoted
prices
(Level 1)

13,012
313,000

230,858
–

230,858

326,012

38,723

32,968

–
–

–

–

–
21,068
17,527

–
21,068
17,527

38,595

38,595

16,334
17,499
26,023

16,334
17,499
26,023

59,856

59,856

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

119,092
3,886
28

168,671
2,563
2,369

111,888
23,463
11,927

111,888
23,463
11,927

–
–
–

147,278

270,284

173,603

1,016
1,001

2,017

1,016
1,001

2,017

–
–

–

247,746

640,333

532,583

(5,724)

(5,724)

–

242,022

634,609

532,583

38.1%

100.0%

80.1%

observable unobservable Total fair
value
of assets

inputs
(Level 2)

inputs
(Level 3)

–
–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–

–

–
–

–

–

24,233
–
–

13,012
313,000

326,012

32,968

24,233
–
–

24,233

24,233

–
–
19,414

–
–
19,414

19,414

19,414

–
–
–

168,671
2,563
2,369

88,314
–
–

88,314
–
–

88,314

261,917

–
520

520

–
520

520

132,481

665,064

–

–

132,481

665,064

19.9%

100.0%

–
–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–

–

(1) During 2018, $150,000 of cash collateral was used to repay the company’s Term Loan with interest received on the cash collateral of
$2,535 released to the company as non-restricted cash (see note 7). During 2018, $162,519 of cash collateral and accrued interest,
relating to the LC Facility was released from restricted cash (see note 7). At December 31, 2017 restricted cash comprised of $150,000
cash  collateral  relating  to  the  Term  Loan,  $162,000  cash  collateral  relating  to  the  LC  Facility  and  $1,000  of  interest  earned  on
restricted cash.

(2) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

43

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Transfers between fair value hierarchy levels are considered effective from the beginning of the reporting period in
which the transfer is identified. During 2018 and 2017 there were no transfers of financial instruments between
Level 1 and Level 2 and there were no transfers of financial instruments in or out of Level 3 as a result of changes in
the  observability  of  valuation  inputs.  The  changes  in  fair  value  of  the  company’s  Private  African  Investments
(classified as Level 3) are disclosed in note 5.

The  table  that  follows  illustrates  the  potential  impact  on  net  earnings  of  various  combinations  of  changes  in
unobservable  inputs  in  the  company’s  internal  valuation  model  for  its  Private  African  Investments  classified  as
Level 3 at December 31, 2018. The analysis assumes variations within a reasonably possible range determined by the
company based on analysis of the return on various equity indexes, management’s knowledge of the applicable
equity markets and the potential impact of changes in interest rates. This sensitivity analysis excludes the company’s
investments  in  the  derivative  obligation  relating  to  the  CIG  Rights  Offer  and  the  equity  interest  in  GroCapital
Holdings as the company determined that there were no significant unobservable inputs suited for a sensitivity
analysis.

Fair value
of
Investment

Valuation
Technique

Significant
unobservable
Inputs

Investments

Loans:

Significant
unobservable
inputs used
in the
internal
valuation
models

Hypothetical
$ change
effect on
fair value
measurement(1)

Hypothetical
$ change
effect on net
earnings(1)

CIG Loan

$21,068

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Credit spread
Historical share price
volatility

7.8%
60.9%

(275) / 338
nil / (1,525)

(202) / 248
nil / (1,121)

PGR2 Loan

$17,527

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 11.0%
Convertible
Bonds

$16,334

Atlas Mara 7.5%

Bonds

$17,499

Nova Pioneer

Bonds

$26,023

Common stocks:

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Credit spread

11.9%

(330) / 362

(243) / 266

Credit spread

10.3%

(82) / 77

(60) / 57

Credit spread

10.3%

(424) / 430

(312) / 316

Credit spread

18.5%

(851) / 894

(626) / 657

Indirect equity

interest in AGH

$111,888

Discounted cash
flow

After-tax discount rate
Long-term growth rate

11.7% to 26.0%
3.0%

(4,810) / 5,632
2,018 / (1,623)

(4,172) / 4,886
1,750 / (1,408)

Philafrica

$23,463

Discounted cash
flow

After-tax discount rate
Long-term growth rate

13.7% to 24.4%
3.0%

(1,162) / 1,268
414 / (397)

(1,008) / 1,100
359 / (344)

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara
Warrants

Nova Pioneer
Warrants

$1,016

$1,001

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Discounted cash
flow and option
pricing model

Historical share price
volatility

34.5%

273 / (6)

201 / (4)

Share price

$1.46

99 / (190)

73 / (140)

(1) The impact on the internal valuation models from changes in significant unobservable inputs deemed to be subject to the most judgment
and estimates disclosed in the above table shows the hypothetical increase (decrease) in net earnings. Changes in the after-tax discount
rates (50 basis points), long term growth rates (25 basis points), estimated share price volatility (minimum and maximum historical
volatility over a two year period from the balance sheet date), changes in share price (5.0%) and credit spreads (100 basis points), each in
isolation, would hypothetically change the fair value of the company’s investments as noted in the table above. Generally, an increase
(decrease) in long term growth rates or a decrease (increase) in after-tax discount rates, estimated share price volatility or credit spreads
would result in a higher (lower) fair value of the company’s Private African Investments classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

44

Fixed Income Maturity Profile

Loans  and  bonds  are  summarized  by  their  earliest  contractual  maturity  date  in  the  table  that  follows.  Actual
maturities may differ from maturities shown below due to the existence of call and put features. At December 31,
2018  debt  instruments  containing  call  features  represented  $38,595  and  $42,357  (December  31,  2017 – nil  and
$19,414) of the total fair value of loans and bonds respectively. At December 31, 2018 and 2017 there were no debt
instruments containing put features.

Loans:

Due in 1 year or less
Due after 1 year through 5 years

Effective interest rate

Bonds:

Due in 1 year or less
Due after 1 year through 5 years

Effective interest rate

Investment Income

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Amortized
cost

Fair Amortized
cost

value

Fair
value

–
44,313

–
38,595

24,233
–

24,233
–

44,313

38,595

24,233

24,233

14.1%

16.3%

–
60,320

–
59,856

–
20,000

–
19,414

60,320

59,856

20,000

19,414

15.3%

20.0%

An analysis of investment income for the years ended December 31 is summarized in the table that follows:

Interest

Interest:

Cash and cash equivalents
Restricted cash
Short term investments
Loans
Bonds

Total interest income

2018

2017

2,360
1,947
2,190
7,138
7,213

1,020
1,374
309
2,076
2,810

20,848

7,589

45

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Net gains (losses) on investments and net foreign exchange gains (losses)

Net gains (losses) on

investments:(1)
Short term investments –

U.S. treasury bills

Loans
Bonds
Common stocks
Derivatives

Net foreign exchange gains

(losses) on:(1)
Cash and cash equivalents
Loans
Common stocks
Other

2018

2017

Net realized
gains
(losses)

Net change in
unrealized
gains (losses)

Net gains
(losses)

Net realized
gains
(losses)

Net change in
unrealized
gains (losses)

Net gains
(losses)

(20)
–
1,878
1,803
–

3,661

1,620
(4,964)
–
–

(3,344)

–
(851)
(333)
(32,629)
(6,877)

(20)
(851)
1,545
(30,826)
(6,877)

–
–
5,219
–
6,055

–
–
(131)
2,428
65

–
–
5,088
2,428
6,120

(40,690)

(37,029)

11,274

2,362

13,636

–
(4,866)
(17,779)
62

1,620
(9,830)
(17,779)
62

(22,583)

(25,927)

(16)
–
–
–

(16)

–
978
9,605
59

(16)
978
9,605
59

10,642

10,626

(1) Refer  to  note  5  for  a  summary  of  changes  in  the  fair  value  of  the  company’s  Public  and  Private  African  Investments  during  2018

and 2017.

7. Borrowings

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Principal

Carrying
value(1)

Fair
value(2)

Principal

Carrying
value

Fair
value(2)

Revolving Credit Facility, floating rate

due March 21, 2019

30,000

29,527

30,000

–

–

–

Secured Term Loan, floating rate, repaid

on August 29, 2018

–

–

–

150,000

150,000

150,000

30,000

29,527

30,000

150,000

150,000

150,000

(1) Principal net of unamortized issue costs.

(2) Principal approximated fair value at December 31, 2018 and 2017.

Revolving Credit Facility

On September 7, 2018 the company entered into a $90,000 secured, revolving demand credit facility with a syndicate
of Canadian lenders, bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 400 basis points (the ‘‘Credit Facility’’) which is payable
in arrears on the applicable interest payment date. The Credit Facility has a maturity date of September 7, 2019 with
an option to extend for an additional year on an annual basis. Issuance costs of $690 were initially deferred, with
$217  amortized  and  recorded  in  interest  expense  in  the  consolidated  statement  of  earnings  and  comprehensive
income  in  2018.  The  Credit  Facility  is  presented  net  of  unamortized  issuance  costs  when  drawn;  otherwise
unamortized  issuance  costs  are  recorded  in  other  assets  on  the  consolidated  balance  sheet.  The  Credit  Facility
contains  a  financial  covenant  that  requires  the  company  to  maintain  common  shareholders’  equity  of  not  less
than $600,000.

On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000 from the Credit Facility with a 3-month term that will be repaid
on March 21, 2019 along with accrued interest of $509. At December 31, 2018 the company was in compliance with
the financial covenant requirement to maintain common shareholders’ equity of not less than $600,000.

46

Term Loan

On August 31, 2017 the company completed a secured term loan with a Canadian bank with a principal amount of
$150,000 and bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 100 basis points (the ‘‘Term Loan’’). In connection with the
Term Loan, the company was required to maintain cash collateral of $150,000, which together with interest received
of $2,535, was classified as restricted cash on the consolidated balance sheet. On January 31, 2018 the company
extended  the  maturity  of  the  Term  Loan  to  August  31,  2018.  On  August  29,  2018  the  proceeds  from  the  cash
collateral, including interest received, was released from restricted cash and used to fully repay the Term Loan.

Letter of Credit Facility

On August 31, 2017 the company entered into a non-revolving term credit facility available by way of a letter of
credit in the aggregate amount of $153,900 (2 billion South African rand) (the ‘‘LC Facility’’) with a Canadian bank in
connection  with  the  company’s  offer  to  acquire  shares  in  PPC  Limited,  a  South  African  company  listed  on  the
Johannesburg Stock Exchange. The LC Facility incurred interest at a rate of 100 basis points.

Under  the  terms  of  the  LC  Facility,  the  company  was  required  to  contribute  cash  to  a  cash-collateral  account
equivalent to 105.0% of the LC Facility. At December 31, 2017 the company had placed $162,000 in a cash-collateral
account, which together with interest received of $519, was classified as restricted cash in the consolidated balance
sheet at December 31, 2017. On December 7, 2017 the company rescinded its offer to acquire shares in PPC Limited
and the LC Facility was terminated. Subsequently on January 12, 2018, the cash collateral of $162,000 was released
from restricted cash.

Interest Income

In 2018 the company earned interest income of $1,947 (2017 – $1,374) on the cash collateral provided for the Term
Loan and LC Facility which was recognized as interest in the company’s consolidated statements of earnings and
comprehensive income.

Interest Expense

In 2018 consolidated interest expense of $3,200 (2017 – $2,087) was comprised of interest expense of $2,983 (2017 –
$1,619) and amortization of issuance costs of $217 (2017 – $468).

8. Common Shareholders’ Equity

Authorized Capital

The company’s authorized share capital consists of: (i) an unlimited number of multiple voting shares that may only
be issued to Fairfax or its affiliates; (ii) an unlimited number of subordinate voting shares; and, (iii) an unlimited
number of preference shares, issuable in series. Except as provided in any special rights or restrictions attaching to
any series of preference shares issued from time to time, the preference shares will not be entitled to vote at any
meeting of the shareholders of the company.

Issued Capital

Issued capital at December 31, 2018 included 30,000,000 (December 31, 2017 – 30,000,000) multiple voting shares
and 32,811,965 (December 31, 2017 – 20,620,189) subordinate voting shares. Each subordinate voting share carries
one vote per share at all meetings of shareholders except for separate meetings of holders of another class of shares.
Fairfax Africa’s subordinate voting shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange (‘‘TSX’’) under the symbol FAH.U.
Each multiple voting share carries fifty votes per share at all meetings of shareholders except for separate meetings of
holders of another class of shares. Fairfax, through its subsidiaries, owns all the issued and outstanding multiple
voting shares, which are not publicly traded. At December 31, 2018 and December 31, 2017 there were no preference
shares outstanding.

47

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Common Stock

The number of shares outstanding was as follows:

Subordinate voting shares – January 1

Issuances of shares
Purchases for cancellation

Subordinate voting shares – December 31

Multiple voting shares – January 1

Issuances during the year

Multiple voting shares – December 31

Common shares effectively outstanding – December 31

Capital Transactions

2018
20,620,189
12,300,000
(108,224)

2017
–
20,620,189
–

32,811,965

20,620,189

30,000,000
–

1
29,999,999

30,000,000

30,000,000

62,811,965

50,620,189

On June 18, 2018 the company completed an underwritten public offering of 12,300,000 subordinate voting shares
at a price of $12.25 per share (the ‘‘Secondary Offering’’) and raised gross proceeds of $150,675 (net proceeds of
$148,316  after  commission  and  expenses  of  $2,359).  Fairfax  purchased,  directly  or  through  its  affiliates,
4,100,000  subordinate  voting  shares  for  $50,225.  Subsequently,  Fairfax  purchased  additional  subordinate  voting
shares through open market purchases. Net proceeds from the Secondary Offering will be used to acquire additional
African Investments and for general corporate purposes. Upon closing of the Secondary Offering, Fairfax, through its
subsidiaries,  owned  30,000,000  multiple  voting  shares  and  6,885,421  subordinate  voting  shares  (December  31,
2017 – 30,000,000 and 2,500,000 respectively) of Fairfax Africa.

On  February  17,  2017  the  company  completed  its  IPO  and  underwriters’  over-allotment  option  and  issued
6,030,000 subordinate voting shares at an issue price of $10.00 per share for gross proceeds of $60,300. Concurrent
with  the  IPO,  Fairfax  and  certain  cornerstone  investors  acquired  22,715,394  multiple  voting  shares  and
14,378,000  subordinate  voting  shares  in  private  placements  for  gross  proceeds  of  $227,154  and  $143,780
respectively (the ‘‘Concurrent Private Placements’’).

The company acquired a 42.2% indirect equity interest in AGH (through the acquisition of the ordinary and class A
shares  of  Joseph  Holdings  as  described  in  note  5)  with  an  estimated  fair  value  of  $74,968  in  exchange  for
7,284,606 multiple voting shares of the company issued to Fairfax (upon the winding-up of AgriGroupe LP) and
212,189 subordinate voting shares issued to certain other Joseph Holdings shareholders (the ‘‘AGH Transaction’’).

The aggregate proceeds of $506,202 were comprised of gross cash proceeds of $431,234 (net proceeds of $418,358
after commission and expenses of $12,876) from the IPO and Concurrent Private Placements, and the non-cash
capital contribution of $74,968 from the AGH Transaction, (collectively ‘‘the Offerings’’).

Purchase of Shares

During  2018,  under  the  terms  of  the  normal  course  issuer  bid,  the  company  purchased  for  cancellation
108,224 subordinate voting shares (2017 – nil) for a net cost of $981 (2017 – nil), of which $143 was recorded as a
benefit in retained earnings (2017 – nil).

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

Subsequent to December 31, 2018 and up to March 8, 2019, the company purchased for cancellation 1,671,937
subordinate voting shares at a net cost of $14,623.

Dividends

The company did not pay any dividends on its outstanding multiple and subordinate voting shares during 2018
and 2017.

48

9. Net Earnings per Share

Net earnings per share is calculated in the following table based on the weighted average shares outstanding:

Net earnings (loss) – basic and diluted

Weighted average shares outstanding – basic
Contingently issuable subordinate voting shares

Weighted average common shares outstanding – diluted

2018
(60,580)

2017
23,484

57,249,901
–

43,329,044
22,294

57,249,901

43,351,338

Net earnings (loss) per share – basic and diluted

$

(1.06) $

0.54

At December 31, 2018 there were no contingently issuable subordinate voting shares relating to the performance fee
payable to Fairfax (December 31, 2017 – 22,294). The performance fee is assessed quarterly and relates to the period
from February 17, 2017 to December 31, 2019. Under the terms of the Investment Advisory Agreement (defined in
note 12), if a performance fee is payable for the period ending on December 31, 2019, settlement of the performance
fee will take place in subordinate voting shares of the company if the market price per share is less than two times the
then book value per share. The number of subordinate voting shares to be issued would be calculated based on the
volume-weighted average trading price of the company’s subordinate voting shares for the 10 trading days prior to
and  including  December  31,  2019  (‘‘VWAP’’).  Refer  to  note  12  for  further  details  on  the  contingently  issuable
subordinate voting shares in the event that a performance fee is determined to be payable.

10. Income Taxes

The company’s provision for income taxes for the years ended December 31 are summarized in the following table:

Current income tax:

Current year expense

Deferred income tax:

Origination and reversal of temporary differences
Adjustments to prior years’ deferred income taxes

Provision for income taxes

2018

2017

4,870

485

(52)
52

–

–
–

–

4,870

485

A significant portion of the company’s earnings (loss) before income taxes is earned or incurred outside of Canada.
The  statutory  income  tax  rates  for  jurisdictions  outside  of  Canada  generally  differ  from  the  Canadian  statutory
income tax rate (and may be significantly higher or lower).

On July 31, 2018 Mauritius enacted the Finance (Miscellaneous Provision) Act (the ‘‘Mauritius Finance Act’’) which
abolishes,  with  effect  from  January  1,  2019,  the  deemed  Foreign  Tax  Credit  (‘‘FTC’’)  regime  available  to  Global
Business License companies. For entities holding a Category 1 Global Business License issued before October 16, 2017
(held by FMA) the deemed FTC regime will continue to apply until June 30, 2021. In place of the deemed FTC, the
Mauritius Finance Act introduces an 80% exemption regime on foreign source income including certain foreign
dividends  and  foreign  source  interest.  The  80%  exemption  is  available  upon  meeting  predefined  substance
requirements issued by the Financial Services Commission. The company has evaluated the potential impact of the
Mauritius Finance Act and concluded that it will not have a material impact on the company.

49

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company’s earnings (loss) before income taxes by jurisdiction and the associated provision for income taxes for
2018 and 2017 is summarized in the following table:

2018

2017

South
Canada Mauritius Africa

Total

South
Canada Mauritius Africa

Total

Earnings (loss) before

income taxes

Provision for income taxes

(6,333)
3,214

(41,978)
91

(7,399)
1,565

(55,710)
4,870

(1,757)
–

23,901
106

1,825
379

23,969
485

Net earnings (loss)

(9,547)

(42,069)

(8,964)

(60,580)

(1,757)

23,795

1,446

23,484

The  increase  in  pre-tax  losses  in  Canada  in  2018  compared  to  2017  primarily  reflected  unrealized  losses  on  the
company’s Other Public African Investment and increased interest expense, partially offset by net foreign exchange
gains on cash and cash equivalents and increased interest income.

The decrease in pre-tax profitability in Mauritius in 2018 compared to 2017 primarily reflected decreased net change
in  unrealized  gains  on  investments  (principally  related  to  the  company’s  investment  in  Atlas  Mara),  increased
foreign exchange losses (principally related to the company’s indirect equity interest in AGH) and decreased net
realized  gains  on  derivative  obligations  and  bonds,  partially  offset  by  unrealized  gains  related  to  the  company’s
investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH and increased interest income.

The  decrease  in  pre-tax  profitability  in  South  Africa  in  2018  compared  to  2017  primarily  reflected  net  foreign
exchange losses on the Philafrica and CIG loans and unrealized losses on the company’s derivative obligation related
the CIG Rights Offer, partially offset by increased interest income and a net realized foreign exchange gain on the
AGH Facility.

A reconciliation of the provision for (recovery of) income taxes calculated at the Canadian statutory income tax rate
to the provision for income taxes at the effective tax rate in the consolidated financial statements for the years ended
December 31 is summarized in the following table:

Canadian statutory income tax rate

Provision for (recovery of) income taxes at the Canadian statutory income tax rate
Tax rate differential on losses incurred (income earned) outside of Canada
Provision relating to prior years
Change in unrecorded tax benefit of losses and temporary differences
Foreign exchange effect
Other including permanent differences

Provision for income taxes

2018

2017
26.5% 26.5%

(14,763)
14,869
52
(2,017)
6,710
19

6,352
(4,531)
–
2,678
(3,994)
(20)

4,870

485

The tax rate differential on losses incurred outside of Canada of $14,869 in 2018 (2017 – income earned of $4,531)
principally  reflected  the  impact  of  net  investment  income  taxed  in  Mauritius  at  lower  rates,  partially  offset  by
income earned taxed in South Africa at marginally higher rates.

The  change  in  unrecorded  tax  benefit  of  losses  and  temporary  differences  of  $2,017  in  2018  (2017 – $2,678)
principally reflected changes in unrecorded deferred tax assets incurred related to utilization of net operating loss
carryforwards  in  Canada  of  $4,388  (2017 – net  operating  loss  carryforward  of  $2,677),  partially  offset  by  foreign
accrual property losses of $2,371 (2017 – nil) with respect to the company’s wholly-owned subsidiaries that were not
recorded  by  the  company  as  the  related  pre-tax  losses  did  not  meet  the  recognition  criteria  under  IFRS.  At
December 31, 2018 deferred tax assets in Canada of $4,626 (December 31, 2017 – $6,115) were not recorded by the
company as it was not probable that those losses could be utilized by the company.

Foreign exchange effect of $6,710 in 2018 (2017 – $3,994) principally reflected the impact of fluctuations in the
value  of  the  Canadian  dollar  relative  to  the  U.S.  dollar  as  the  company  computes  its  corporate  tax  liability  in
Canadian dollars pursuant to the requirements of Canadian tax authorities, whereas the functional currency of the
company and its subsidiaries is the U.S. dollar.

50

Changes in net income taxes payable for the years ended December 31 were as follows:

Balance – January 1

Amounts recorded in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income
Payments made during the year

Balance – December 31

2018
82
4,870
(1,689)

2017
–
485
(403)

3,263

82

Management reviews the recoverability of the potential deferred income tax asset on an ongoing basis and adjusts, as
necessary,  to  reflect  its  anticipated  realization.  At  December  31,  2018  deferred  tax  assets  not  recorded  by  the
company of $4,626 (December 31, 2017 – $6,115) were principally comprised of: (i) $2,259 (December 31, 2017 –
$2,456)  related  to  the  costs  of  the  IPO  and  Secondary  Offerings;  (ii)  foreign  accrual  property  losses  of  $2,371
(December 31, 2017 – nil); and (iii) net operating loss carryforwards of nil (December 31, 2017 – $3,659). The foreign
accrual property losses expire in 2038.

At December 31, 2018 a net unrealized loss related to the company’s African Investments resulted in no deferred
income tax consideration for withholding and other taxes that could be payable on unremitted earnings of African
Investments.  At  December  31,  2017  deferred  income  tax  of  approximately  $1,800  has  not  been  recognized  on
unremitted earnings of approximately $6,700 as the company determined it is not probable that those unremitted
earnings will be repatriated in the foreseeable future.

11. Financial Risk Management

Overview

The  primary  goals  of  the  company’s  financial  risk  management  are  to  ensure  that  the  outcomes  of  activities
involving elements of risk are consistent with the company’s objectives and risk tolerance, while maintaining an
appropriate balance between risk and reward and protecting the company’s consolidated balance sheet from events
that  have  the  potential  to  materially  impair  its  financial  strength.  The  company’s  activities  expose  it  to  certain
financial risks during or at the end of the reporting period. There were no significant changes in the types of the
company’s risk exposures or the processes used by the company for managing those risk exposures at December 31,
2018 compared to those identified at December 31, 2017, except as discussed below.

Market Risk

Market risk (comprised of foreign currency risk, interest rate risk and other price risk) is the risk that the fair value or
future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate due to changes in market price. The company is exposed to
market risk principally in its investing activities and to the extent that those activities expose the company to foreign
currency risk. The valuation of the company’s investment portfolio is dependent upon the underlying performance
of the companies within the portfolio, but may also be affected, along with other financial statement items, by
fluctuations in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, and market prices.

Foreign Currency Risk

Foreign currency risk is the risk that the fair value or cash flows of a financial instrument or another asset or liability
will fluctuate because of changes in exchange rates and as a result, could produce an adverse effect on net earnings
and  common  shareholders’  equity  when  measured  in  U.S.  dollars,  the  company’s  functional  currency.  At
December 31, 2018 the company increased the holdings in African Investments which are partially denominated in
South African rand, decreasing the amount of assets that are denominated in U.S. dollars, which is the functional and
presentation currency of the company. As a result, the company common shareholders’ equity and net earnings may
also be significantly affected by foreign currency movements as it pertains to the items denoted in the table that
follows. The company has not hedged its foreign currency risk.

51

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company’s net foreign currency exposure on balances denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar
(expressed in U.S. dollars) are comprised as follows:

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Cash
and cash

Net
equivalents Investments receivable obligation exposure equivalents Investments receivable exposure

Interest Derivative

Interest

Net

Cash
and cash

Canadian dollars
South African rand(1)
Mauritian rupees

Total

254
64,883
15

65,152

–
189,787
–

189,787

–
421
–

421

–
(5,724)
–

254
249,367
15

(5,724)

249,636

1,024
139
32

1,195

–
117,479
–

–
2,114
–

1,024
119,732
32

117,479

2,114

120,788

(1) At December 31, 2018 the company was exposed to the South African rand primarily due to its indirect equity interest in AGH, equity
interests  in  Philafrica  and  GroCapital  Holdings,  and  the  CIG  and  PGR2  loans,  partially  offset  by  the  CIG  rights  offer  derivative
obligation. At December 31, 2017 the company was exposed to the South African rand primarily due to its indirect equity interest in AGH
and the AGH Facility. The AGH Facility matured on January 31, 2018 and was fully repaid in cash.

The table above shows the company’s net exposure to all other currencies, other than the U.S. dollar. The company’s
net exposure to the South African rand increased at December 31, 2018 compared to December 31, 2017 primarily as
a result of the investments in Philafrica and the CIG and PGR2 loans, partially offset by the AGH Facility maturing.

The following table illustrates the potential impact on pre-tax earnings (loss) and net earnings (loss) of a hypothetical
appreciation  or  depreciation  in  the  South  African  rand  (the  foreign  currency  to  which  the  company  has  the
most exposure).

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Net Hypothetical $ Hypothetical $
change effect

foreign
currency
exposure

change effect
on pre-tax
earnings

foreign
on net currency
earnings exposure

Net Hypothetical $ Hypothetical $
change effect
on net
earnings

change effect
on pre-tax
earnings

Changes in South
African rand
exchange rate
10.0% appreciation
5.0% appreciation
No change
5.0% depreciation
10.0% depreciation

274,304
261,835
249,367
236,899
224,430

24,937
12,468
–
(12,468)
(24,937)

18,329
9,164
–
(9,164)
(18,329)

131,705
125,719
119,732
113,745
107,759

11,973
5,987
–
(5,987)
(11,973)

8,800
4,400
–
(4,400)
(8,800)

Certain shortcomings are inherent with this method of analysis, including the assumption that the hypothetical
appreciation  or  depreciation  of  the  South  African  rand  against  the  U.S.  Dollar  occurred  with  all  other  variables
held constant.

Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk is the risk that the fair values or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of
changes in market interest rates. Typically, as interest rates rise, the fair value of fixed income investments decline
and, conversely, as interest rates decline, the fair value of fixed income investments rise. In each case, the longer the
maturity  of  the  financial  instrument,  the  greater  the  consequence  of  a  change  in  interest  rates.  The  company’s
interest rate risk management strategy is to position its fixed income portfolio based on its view of future interest
rates and the yield curve, balanced with liquidity requirements. General economic conditions, political conditions
and many other factors can also adversely affect the bond markets and, consequently, the value of fixed income
securities held. Interest rate movements in African countries may affect the company’s common shareholders’ equity
and  net  earnings.  The  Portfolio  Advisor  and  Fairfax  actively  monitor  interest  rates  in  African  countries  for  the
potential  impact  changes  in  interest  rates  may  have  on  the  company’s  investment  portfolio.  There  were  no
significant  changes  to  the  company’s  framework  used  to  monitor,  evaluate  and  manage  interest  rate  risk  at
December 31, 2018 compared to December 31, 2017.

The company’s exposure to interest rate risk increased in 2018 primarily reflecting the investments in the Atlas Mara
11.0% Convertible Bonds, Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds, the CIG and PGR2 Loans and the additional investment in Nova
Pioneer Bonds, partially offset by the repayment of the AGH Facility (January 31, 2018) and the Philafrica Facility

52

(December  24,  2018).  The  table  that  follows  displays  the  potential  impact  of  changes  in  interest  rates  on  the
company’s  fixed  income  portfolio  based  on  parallel  200  basis  point  shifts  up  and  down  in  100  basis  point
increments. This analysis was performed on each individual security, with the hypothetical effect on net earnings. At
December 31, 2017 the impact of the hypothetical effect on net earnings relating to the Philafrica Facility (fully
repaid as of December 24, 2018) and the AGH Facility (repaid on January 31, 2018) has not been included in the
below sensitivity analysis due to the short duration to maturity.

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Fair

Fair

value of Hypothetical $

value of Hypothetical $

Change in interest rates
200 basis point increase
100 basis point increase
No change
100 basis point decrease
200 basis point decrease

fixed
income
portfolio

94,720
96,488
98,451
100,552
102,363

change effect Hypothetical %
change in fair

on net
earnings

fixed
income
value portfolio

change effect Hypothetical %
change in fair
value

on net
earnings

(2,742)
(1,443)
–
1,544
2,875

(3.8)%
(2.0)%
–
2.1%
4.0%

18,078
18,729
19,414
20,126
20,629

(982)
(504)
–
524
893

(6.9)%
(3.5)%
–
3.7%
6.3%

Certain shortcomings that are inherent in the method of analysis presented above. Computations of the prospective
effects of hypothetical interest rate changes are based on numerous assumptions, including the maintenance of the
level and composition of fixed income securities at the indicated date and these should not be relied on as indicative
of  future  results.  Actual  values  may  differ  from  the  projections  presented  should  market  conditions  vary  from
assumptions used in the calculation of the fair value of individual securities; these variations include non-parallel
shifts in the term structure of interest rates and a change in individual issuer credit spreads.

Market Price Fluctuations

Market price fluctuation is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of an equity investment will fluctuate due
to changes in market prices (other than those arising from interest rate risk or foreign currency risk), whether those
changes are caused by factors specific to the individual investment or its issuer, or other factors affecting all similar
investments  in  the  market.  The  company’s  exposure  to  equity  price  risk  through  its  equity  investments  at
December 31, 2018 compared to December 31, 2017 are described below.

The company holds significant equity investments. The market value and the liquidity of these investments are
volatile and may vary dramatically either up or down in short periods, and their ultimate value will therefore only be
known over a period of time or on disposition.

The  company’s  exposure  to  market  price  risk  increased  to  $270,284  at  December  31,  2018  from  $261,917  at
December 31, 2017 as a result of additional investments in the indirect equity interest in AGH and investments in
Philafrica and GroCapital Holdings (Level 3 investments in the fair value hierarchy), partially offset by unrealized
losses on the company’s investments in Atlas Mara and Other Public African Investment (Level 1 investments in the
fair value hierarchy). Refer to note 6 for the potential impact on net earnings of various combinations of changes in
significant unobservable inputs in the company’s internal valuation models for the company’s investments classified
as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

The following table illustrates the potential impact on pre-tax earnings (loss) and net earnings (loss) of a 10.0%
change in the fair value of the company’s equity investments classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy (Atlas
Mara, CIG and Other Public African Investment).

Change in equity markets

December 31,
2018

December 31,
2017

+10.0% (cid:1)10.0%

+10.0% (cid:1)10.0%

Level 1 equity investments, fair value at December 31

123,006

123,006

173,603

173,603

Hypothetical $ change effect on pre-tax earnings (loss)

12,301

(12,301)

17,360

(17,360)

Hypothetical $ change effect on net earnings (loss)

9,093

(9,093)

12,825

(12,825)

53

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Credit Risk

Credit risk is the risk of loss resulting from the failure of a counterparty to honour its financial obligations to the
company  and  arises  predominantly  with  respect  to  cash  and  cash  equivalents,  short  term  investments,  and
investments in debt instruments. There were no significant changes to the company’s framework used to monitor,
evaluate and manage credit risk at December 31, 2018 compared to December 31, 2017. Significant changes in the
company’s exposure to credit risk are discussed below:

Cash and Cash Equivalents, and Short Term Investments

At December 31, 2018 the company’s cash and cash equivalents of $230,858 (December 31, 2017 – $13,012) were
comprised of $169,398 at the holding company (principally in high credit quality Canadian financial institutions)
and $61,460 at the company’s wholly-owned subsidiaries (principally $55,032 held in deposit accounts with SABA
which were partially used to finance the CIG Rights Offer). The company monitors risks associated with cash and
cash equivalents, and short term investments by regularly reviewing the financial strength and creditworthiness of
these  financial  institutions.  From  these  reviews,  the  company  may  transfer  balances  from  financial  institutions
where it perceives heightened credit risk to others considered to be more stable.

At December 31, 2018 the company’s short term investments in U.S. treasury bills of $38,723 (December 31, 2017 –
$32,968) were rated Aaa by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (‘‘Moody’s’’) and AA+ by Standard & Poor’s Financial
Services LLC (‘‘S&P’’).

Investments in Debt Instruments

The company’s risk management strategy for debt instruments is to limit the amount of credit exposure with respect
to any one corporate issuer. While the company reviews third party credit ratings, it also carries out its own analysis
and does not delegate the credit decision to rating agencies. The company endeavours to limit credit exposure by
monitoring fixed income portfolio limits on individual corporate issuers and limits based on credit quality.

At December 31, 2018 the company’s debt instruments were all considered to be subject to credit risk with a fair value
of $98,451 (December 31, 2017 – $43,647) representing 15.5% (December 31, 2017 – 12.4%) of the total cash and
investments portfolio, net of the derivative obligation (excluding restricted cash of $313,000 at December 31, 2017).

The composition of the company’s fixed income portfolio, including loans and bonds is presented in the table below:

Loans:(1)

AGH Facility
CIG
PGR2
Bonds:(1)

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds
Nova Pioneer Bonds

Total loans and bonds

December 31, December 31,
2017

2018

–
21,068
17,527

16,334
17,499
26,023

98,451

24,233
–
–

–
–
19,414

43,647

(1) The company’s African Investments in loans and bonds are not rated.

The company’s exposure to credit risk from its investment in fixed income securities increased at December 31, 2018
compared to December 31, 2017 primarily reflecting the investments in the Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds,
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds, the CIG and PGR2 Loans and the additional investment in Nova Pioneer Bonds, partially
offset by the repayment of the AGH Facility (January 31, 2018) and the Philafrica Facility (December 24, 2018), all of
which have specific collateral arrangements or guarantees that mitigates the company’s exposure to credit risk. The
company  assesses  the  creditworthiness  of  each  new  counterparty  prior  to  entering  into  contracts.  Management
monitors credit risk from its African investments in debt instruments through reviewing financial performance of its
counterparties, collateral arrangements, diversification, and other credit risk mitigation techniques.

54

Liquidity Risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that the company will encounter difficulty in meeting obligations associated with financial
liabilities  that  are  settled  by  delivering  cash  or  another  financial  asset.  The  company  manages  liquidity  risk  by
maintaining sufficient liquid assets to enable settlement of financial commitments on their respective due dates. All
accounts payable and accrued liabilities are due within three months, and income taxes payable, if any, must be
remitted to the respective tax jurisdictions as they are due. There were no significant changes to the company’s
exposure to liquidity risk (except as set out in the discussion below) or the framework used to monitor, evaluate and
manage liquidity risk at December 31, 2018 compared to December 31, 2017.

The undeployed cash and investments at December 31, 2018 provides adequate liquidity to meet the company’s
known  significant  commitments  in  2019,  which  are  principally  comprised  of  the  CIG  Rights  Offer  (closed  on
January 4, 2019), Second AGH Facility, the additional investment in Nova Pioneer, investment and advisory fees,
general and administration expenses and corporate income taxes. On August 29, 2018 the company used the cash
collateral  classified  as  restricted  cash  to  repay  the  principal  amount  of  the  Term  Loan.  To  further  augment  its
liquidity, on June 18, 2018 the company raised net proceeds of $148,316 from the Secondary Offering (see note 8),
and  the  holding  company  can  draw  upon  its  revolving  credit  facility  (see  note  7).  On  December  21,  2018  the
company drew $30,000 from the Credit Facility with a 3-month term that will be repaid on March 21, 2019 along
with accrued interest of $509. The company expects to continue to receive investment income on its holdings of
fixed  income  securities  to  supplement  its  cash  and  cash  equivalents.  Accordingly,  the  company  has  adequate
working capital to support its operations.

Refer to note 12 for details on the settlement of the performance fees, if any, at the end of the first calculation period,
December 31, 2019.

Concentration Risk

The company’s cash and investments are primarily concentrated in Africa and in African businesses or businesses
with  customers,  suppliers  or  business  primarily  conducted  in,  or  dependent  on,  Africa.  The  market  value  of  the
company’s investments, the income generated by the company and the company’s performance will be particularly
sensitive to changes in the economic condition, interest rates, and regulatory environment of African countries in
which  company  has  investments.  Adverse  changes  to  the  economic  condition,  interest  rates  or  regulatory
environment in those African countries may have a material adverse effect on the company’s business, cash flows,
financial condition and net earnings.

55

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company’s total cash and investments, net of the derivative obligation composition by the issuer’s region of
domicile where the primary underlying risk of the business resides was as follows:

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

South Africa

Sub-Saharan

Africa(1) Canada

Total South Africa

Sub-Saharan

Africa(1) Canada

Total

Cash and cash equivalents

55,139

6,321 169,398 230,858

657

–

12,355

13,012

Restricted cash

Short term investments –

U.S. treasury bills

Loans:

AGH Facility
CIG(2)
PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 11.0%

Convertible Bonds(3)
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds(3)
Nova Pioneer Bond(4)

Common stocks:
Atlas Mara(3)
CIG(2)
Other(5)
Indirect equity interest

in AGH(6)
Philafrica(7)
GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants(3)
Nova Pioneer Warrants(4)

–

–

–
–
17,527

17,527

–
–
26,023

26,023

–

–

–
21,068
–

21,068

16,334
17,499
–

33,833

–
–
28

119,092
3,886
–

111,888
23,463
11,927

–
–
–

–

–

38,723

38,723

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
21,068
17,527

38,595

16,334
17,499
26,023

59,856

– 119,092
3,886
–
28
–

– 111,888
23,463
–
11,927
–

147,306

122,978

– 270,284

–
1,001

1,001

1,016
–

1,016

–
–

–

1,016
1,001

2,017

Total cash and investments
Derivative obligation(8)

246,996
–

185,216 208,121 640,333
(5,724)

(5,724)

–

–

–

24,233
–
–

24,233

–
–
19,414

19,414

–
–
2,369

88,314
–
–

90,683

–
520

520

135,507
–

– 313,000 313,000

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

168,671
2,563
–

–
–
–

32,968

32,968

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

24,233
–
–

24,233

–
–
19,414

19,414

– 168,671
2,563
–
2,369
–

–
–
–

88,314
–
–

171,234

– 261,917

–
–

–

–
–

–

–
520

520

171,234 358,323 665,064
–

–

–

Total cash and

investments, net of
derivative obligation

246,996

179,492 208,121 634,609

135,507

171,234 358,323 665,064

(1)

Sub-Saharan Africa is geographically, the area of the continent of Africa that lies south of the Sahara Desert. It encompasses 46 of Africa’s
54  countries  including:  Angola,  Botswana,  Congo-Brazzaville,  Cˆote  d’Ivoire,  Ethiopia,  Kenya,  Mauritius,  Mozambique,  Nigeria,
Rwanda, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe. For the purposes of assessing concentration risk, Fairfax Africa’s
investments in South Africa are disclosed separately.

(2) CIG’s footprint extends across 20 African countries and the Middle East. Key countries include South Africa, Angola, Ethiopia and Kenya.

(3) Atlas Mara is listed on the London Stock Exchange and has acquired control or significant influence positions in banking operations
across seven countries in Sub-Saharan Africa: Botswana, Nigeria, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Mozambique, Rwanda and Tanzania.

(4)

In addition to South Africa, Nova Pioneer also has school campuses in Kenya.

(5) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(6) Acquired  through  the  company’s  ownership  in  the  investment  holding  company  Joseph  Holdings.  In  addition  to  South  Africa,  AGH
currently has operational activities in Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Congo-Brazzaville, Botswana, Cˆote d’Ivoire and Uganda. AGH
also  has  an  equipment  operation  in  Australia  under  the  John  Deere  brand,  an  animal  feeds  research  development  venture  in  the
United Kingdom and an investment in animal feeds in the United States.

(7) Philafrica also has food-related businesses outside of South Africa, consisting mainly of a cassava processing business in Cote d’Ivoire and
Mozambique  and  a  poultry  joint  venture  in  Mozambique.  Philafrica  recently  completed  the  acquisition  of  Pakworks,  a  snack
manufacturing company which produces dry snacks exclusively for PepsiCo in Sub-Saharan Africa.

(8) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

56

The company’s holdings of Public and Private African Investments (see note 5) at December 31, 2018 and 2017 are
summarized by the issuer’s primary sector in the table below:

Financial services
Food and agriculture
Infrastructure
Education
Other

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

165,868
135,351
19,258
27,024
17,527

365,028

168,671
112,547
4,932
19,934
–

306,084

During 2018 the company’s concentration risk in the financial services sector decreased primarily due to unrealized
losses on Atlas Mara common shares, partially offset by the investments in GroCapital Holdings, the Atlas Mara
11.0% Convertible Bonds and the Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds and Warrants. The company’s concentration risk in the
food and agriculture sector increased primarily due to the additional investment in the indirect equity interest in
AGH,  and  the  equity  interest  acquired  in  Philafrica,  partially  offset  by  the  maturity  of  the  AGH  Facility.  The
company’s concentration risk in the infrastructure sector increased primarily due to the investments in CIG and the
CIG Loan, net of the derivative obligation, partially offset by unrealized losses on the company’s Other Public African
Investment.  The  company’s  concentration  risk  in  the  education  sector  increased  as  a  result  of  the  additional
investment in Nova Pioneer, while the company’s concentration risk in the other sector related to the PGR2 Loan.

The  company  will  not  make  an  African  Investment  if,  after  giving  effect  to  such  investment,  the  total  invested
amount  of  such  investment  would  exceed  20.0%  of  the  company’s  total  assets  at  the  time  of  the  investment,
provided, however, that the company is permitted to complete up to two African Investments where, after giving
effect to each such investment, the total invested amount of each such investment would be less than or equal to
25.0% of the company’s total assets (the ‘‘Investment Concentration Restriction’’). The company’s investment limit
for an African Investment in accordance with the Investment Concentration Restriction decreased at December 31,
2018 from December 31, 2017 principally as a result of the repayment of the Term Loan and net foreign exchange
losses arising as a result of the weakening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar, partially offset by the
net proceeds received from the Secondary Offering and funds drawn from the Credit Facility.

African Investments may be financed through equity or debt offerings as part of the company’s objective to reduce its
cost of capital and provide returns to common shareholders. At December 31, 2018 the company determined that it
was in compliance with the Investment Concentration Restriction.

Capital Management

The company’s objectives when managing capital are to protect its lenders, to safeguard its ability to continue as a
going concern, and to maintain an optimal capital structure to reduce the cost of capital in order to optimize returns
for common shareholders. The company will seek attractive risk-adjusted returns, but will at all times seek downside
protection and attempt to minimize the loss of capital. Total capital comprised of common shareholders’ equity and
drawn  funds  from  the  Credit  Facility  at  December  31,  2018  decreased  from  $666,736  at  December  31,  2017
(comprised of the Term Loan and common shareholders’ equity) to $632,654 at December 31, 2018, principally
reflecting a decrease in the Term Loan, partially offset by an increase in common shareholders’ equity, as described
below, and funds drawn from the Credit Facility.

On January 31, 2018 the company extended the maturity of the Term Loan to August 31, 2018. On August 29, 2018
the proceeds from the cash collateral, including interest received, was released from restricted cash and used to fully
repay the Term Loan. See note 7 for details.

On September 7, 2018 the company entered into a $90,000 secured, revolving demand credit facility with a syndicate
of Canadian lenders, bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 400 basis points which is payable in arrears on the
applicable interest payment date. The Credit Facility has a maturity date of September 7, 2019 with an option to
extend for an additional year on an annual basis. On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000 from the Credit
Facility  with  a  3-month  term  that  will  be  repaid  on  March  21,  2019  along  with  accrued  interest  of  $509.  At
December 31, 2018 the company was in compliance with the financial covenant requirement to maintain common
shareholders’ equity of not less than $600,000 (see note 7 for details).

57

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Common shareholders’ equity increased to $603,127 at December 31, 2018 from $516,736 at December 31, 2017
primarily reflecting the net proceeds received from the Secondary Offering of $148,316, partially offset by a net loss
of $60,580 in 2018.

12. Related Party Transactions

Payable to Related Parties

The company’s payable to related parties was comprised as follows:

Performance fee
Investment and advisory fees
Other

Investment Advisory Agreement

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

–
1,550
108

1,658

319
1,395
(232)

1,482

The company and its subsidiaries have entered into an agreement with Fairfax and the Portfolio Advisor to provide
administration  and  investment  advisory  services  to  the  company  (the  ‘‘Investment  Advisory  Agreement’’).  As
compensation  for  the  provision  of  these  services,  the  company  pays  an  investment  and  advisory  fee,  and  if
applicable, a performance fee. Such fees are determined with reference to the company’s common shareholders’
equity.

Performance Fee

The  performance  fee,  if  applicable,  is  accrued  quarterly  and  paid  for  the  period  from  February  17,  2017  to
December  31,  2019  (the  ‘‘first  calculation  period’’)  and  for  each  consecutive  three-year  period  thereafter.  It  is
calculated on a cumulative basis, as 20.0% of any increase in common shareholders’ equity per share (including
distributions) above a 5.0% per annum increase. The amount of common shareholders’ equity per share at any time,
which must be achieved before any performance fee would be payable, is sometimes referred to as the ‘‘hurdle per
share’’. At December 31, 2018 the company determined that there was no performance fee accrual (December 31,
2017 – $319)  as  the  book  value  per  share  of  $9.60  (before  factoring  in  the  impact  of  the  performance  fee)  at
December 31, 2018 was less than the hurdle per share at that date of $11.00.

If a performance fee is payable for the first calculation period, it will be paid within 30 days after the company issues
its annual audited consolidated financial statements, in subordinate voting shares of the company unless the market
prices per share of those shares is more than two times the then book value per share, in which event Fairfax may
elect to receive that fee in cash. The number of subordinate voting shares to be issued will be calculated based on the
VWAP of the company’s subordinate voting shares for the 10 trading days prior to and including the last day of the
calculation period in respect of which the performance fee is paid. At December 31, 2018 there were no contingently
issuable shares subordinate voting shares relating to the performance fee payable to Fairfax (December 31, 2017 –
22,294).

In 2018 the company recorded a performance fee recovery of $319 (2017 – performance fee of $319) in performance
fee in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

Investment and Advisory Fees

The investment and advisory fees are calculated and payable quarterly as 0.5% of the value of undeployed capital and
1.5% of the company’s common shareholders’ equity less the value of undeployed capital. In 2018 the company
determined a significant portion of its assets were invested in African investments, which are considered deployed
capital.  In  2018  the  investment  and  advisory  fee  recorded  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and
comprehensive income was $6,440 (2017 – $3,400).

Other

Other payable of $108 at December 31, 2018 (December 31, 2017 – receivable of $232) was primarily comprised of
amounts due to related parties for expenses incurred by Fairfax and the Portfolio Advisor on behalf of the company.

58

Fairfax’s Voting Rights and Equity Interest

On February 17, 2017, upon closing of the IPO, Fairfax, through its subsidiaries, owned 30,000,000 multiple voting
shares and 2,500,000 subordinate voting shares of Fairfax Africa.

Upon closing of the Secondary Offering on June 18, 2018 and through open market purchases, Fairfax, through its
subsidiaries,  owned  30,000,000  multiple  voting  shares  and  6,885,421  subordinate  voting  shares  (December  31,
2017 – 30,000,000 and 2,500,000 respectively) of Fairfax Africa.

At December 31, 2018 Fairfax’s holdings of multiple and subordinate voting shares represented 98.3% of the voting
rights and 58.7% of the equity interest in Fairfax Africa (December 31, 2017 – 98.8% and 64.2%).

Management Compensation

Pursuant to the Investment Advisory Agreement, Fairfax is required to provide a Chief Executive Officer, a Chief
Financial Officer and a Corporate Secretary to the company. For so long as the Investment Advisory Agreement
remains  in  effect,  all  compensation  payable  to  the  Chief  Executive  Officer,  the  Chief  Financial  Officer  and  the
Corporate Secretary of the company will be borne by Fairfax.

Director Compensation

Compensation for the company’s Board of Directors for the years ended December 31, determined in accordance
with  the  company’s  IFRS  accounting  policies,  was  recognized  in  general  and  administrative  expenses  in  the
consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income as follows:

Retainers and fees
Share-based payments

Other

Deposits on Account with SABA

2018

2017

138
71

209

150
–

150

On October 4, 2018 GroCapital Holdings acquired the 99.8% equity interest in SABA from NBG through the SPA
assignment from AFGRI Holdings. GroCapital Holdings subsequently acquired an additional equity interest in SABA
from minority shareholders and at December 31, 2018 had an equity interest in SABA of 99.9%. At December 31,
2018 the company had $55,032 (December 31, 2017 – nil) held in deposit accounts with SABA which were partially
used to finance the CIG Rights Offer.

Additional Indirect Investment in AGH

On November 19, 2018 the company acquired an additional 5,260,679 ordinary shares and 270,362 Class A shares of
Joseph Holdings for aggregate cash consideration of $1,408 from an employee of Pactorum. The estimated fair value
of  the  ordinary  shares  and  Class  A  shares  of  Joseph  Holdings  acquired  in  this  transaction  were  based  on  the
company’s  third  quarter  of  2018  internal  valuation  model  used  to  determine  the  estimated  fair  value  of  its
investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH. Following the completion of this transaction, Fairfax Africa held
74.6% of the ordinary shares and 73.7% of the Class A shares of Joseph Holdings.

59

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

13. Segment Reporting

A business segment is a group of assets and operations engaged in providing products or services that are subject to
risks and returns that are different from those of other business segments. A geographical segment is engaged in
providing products or services within a particular economic environment that is subject to risks and returns, that are
different from those of segments operating in other economic environments.

The company has concluded that Fairfax Africa is engaged in a single geographic and business segment, that of
investing in Africa and African investments.

14. General and Administration Expenses

General and administration expenses for the years ended December 31 were comprised as follows:

Audit, legal and tax professional fees
Salaries and employee benefit expenses
Administrative expenses
Brokerage fees

2018

1,940
984
1,307
50

4,281

2017

1,253
418
378
27

2,076

15. Supplementary Cash Flow Information

Cash and cash equivalents were included in the consolidated balance sheets and statements of cash flows as follows:

Cash and balances with banks
U.S. treasury bills

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

76,389
154,469

230,858

13,012
–

13,012

Details of certain cash flows included in the consolidated statements of cash flows for the years ended December 31
were as follows:

(a) Purchases of investments classified as FVTPL

Loans
Bonds
Common stocks
Derivatives

(b) Sales of investments classified as FVTPL

Loans
Bonds

(c) Net interest received

Interest received
Interest paid on borrowings

(d) Income taxes paid

60

2018

2017

(84,392)
(37,545)
(33,718)
(295)

(23,255)
(69,159)
(162,646)
(455)

(155,950)

(255,515)

37,986
–

–
48,973

37,986

48,973

16,639
(3,965)

3,861
(1,720)

12,674

2,141

1,689

403

Index to Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Notes to Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations . . . . . .
Business Developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Capital Transactions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
African Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Operating Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Business Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Investment Objective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Investment Strategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Investment Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Investment Restrictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
African Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Cautionary Statement Regarding Financial Information of Significant African Investments . . . . . . . . . .
Summary of African Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Summary of Changes in Fair Value of the Company’s African Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Public African Investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Private African Investments
Results of Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Consolidated Balance Sheet Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Financial Risk Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Capital Resources and Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Book Value per Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Liquidity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Contractual Obligations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Related Party Transactions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Accounting and Disclosure Matters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Management’s Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Significant Accounting Policy Changes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Future Accounting Changes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Risk Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Risks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Quarterly Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Stock Prices and Share Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Compliance with Corporate Governance Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Forward-Looking Statements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

62
62
62
62
63
63
65
65
66
66
67
67
67
68
69
70
76
91
93
95
96
96
97
99
100
100
100
101
101
101
101
101
101
102
109
109
110
110
110

61

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(as of March 8, 2019)

(Figures and amounts are in US$ and $ thousands except share and per share amounts and as otherwise indicated. Figures may
not add due to rounding.)

Notes to Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

(1) Readers of the Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(‘‘MD&A’’) should review the entire Annual Report for additional commentary and information. Additional
information  relating  to  the  company,  including  its  annual  information  form,  can  be  found  on  SEDAR
at  www.sedar.com.  Additional 
company’s
website www.fairfaxafrica.ca.

can  also  be  accessed 

information 

from 

the 

(2) Unless otherwise noted, consolidated financial information of the company within this MD&A is derived
from  the  consolidated  financial  statements  of  the  company  prepared  in  accordance  with  International
Financial Reporting Standards (‘‘IFRS’’) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (‘‘IASB’’),
and is presented in U.S. dollars which is also the functional currency of the company and its consolidated
subsidiaries.

(3) The MD&A contains references to book value per share. On any date, book value per share is calculated as
common  shareholders’  equity  at  the  end  of  the  reporting  period,  determined  in  accordance  with  IFRS,
divided by the total number of common shares of the company effectively outstanding on that date. Book
value  per  share  is  a  key  performance  measure  of  the  company  and  is  closely  monitored  as  it  is  used  to
calculate the performance fee, if any, to Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (‘‘Fairfax’’).

(4) Throughout this MD&A, the term ‘‘African Investments’’ refers to deployed capital invested in Public and
Private  African  Investments  as  disclosed  in  note  5  (African  Investments)  to  the  consolidated  financial
statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

Business Developments

Overview

Fairfax is Fairfax Africa’s ultimate parent and acts as its administrator. Fairfax is a holding company which, through
its  subsidiaries,  is  principally  engaged  in  property  and  casualty  insurance  and  reinsurance  and  the  associated
investment  management.  Hamblin  Watsa  Investment  Counsel  Ltd.  (the  ‘‘Portfolio  Advisor’’),  a  wholly-owned
subsidiary of Fairfax and registered portfolio manager in the province of Ontario, is the portfolio advisor of the
company and its consolidated subsidiaries, responsible to source and advise with respect to all investments. Fairfax
Africa’s subordinate voting shares commenced trading on February 17, 2017 on the Toronto Stock Exchange (‘‘TSX’’)
under the symbol FAH.U. The multiple voting shares are not publicly traded.

The book value per share at December 31, 2018 was $9.60 compared to $10.21 at December 31, 2017 representing a
decrease in 2018 of 6.0%, primarily reflecting a net loss of $60,580 (principally related to net change in unrealized
losses  on  investments,  net  foreign  exchange  losses,  investment  and  advisory  fees,  general  and  administration
expenses and interest expense), partially offset by the Secondary Offering completed on June 18, 2018 as described
below.

The following narrative sets out the company’s key business developments in 2018 and 2017.

Capital Transactions

On September 7, 2018 the company entered into a $90,000 secured, revolving demand credit facility with a syndicate
of Canadian lenders, bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 400 basis points (the ‘‘Credit Facility’’) which is payable
in arrears on the applicable interest payment date. The Credit Facility has a maturity date of September 7, 2019 with
an option to extend for an additional year on an annual basis. On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000
from the Credit Facility with a 3-month term that will be repaid on March 21, 2019 along with accrued interest
of $509.

On June 18, 2018 the company completed an underwritten public offering of 12,300,000 subordinate voting shares
at a price of $12.25 per share (the ‘‘Secondary Offering’’) and raised gross proceeds of $150,675 (net proceeds of

62

$148,316  after  commission  and  expenses  of  $2,359).  Fairfax  purchased,  directly  or  through  its  affiliates,
4,100,000  subordinate  voting  shares  for  $50,225.  Subsequently,  Fairfax  purchased  additional  subordinate  voting
shares through open market purchases. Net proceeds from the Secondary Offering will be used to acquire additional
African Investments and for general corporate purposes.

On August 31, 2017 the company completed a secured term loan with a Canadian bank with a principal amount of
$150,000 and bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 100 basis points (the ‘‘Term Loan’’). In connection with the
Term Loan, the company was required to maintain cash collateral of $150,000, which together with interest received
of $2,535, was classified as restricted cash on the consolidated balance sheet. On January 31, 2018 the company
extended  the  maturity  of  the  Term  Loan  to  August  31,  2018.  On  August  29,  2018  the  proceeds  from  the  cash
collateral, including interest received, was released from restricted cash and used to fully repay the Term Loan.

On August 31, 2017 the company entered into a non-revolving term credit facility available by way of a letter of
credit in the aggregate amount of $153,900 (2 billion South African rand) (the ‘‘LC Facility’’) with a Canadian bank in
connection  with  the  company’s  offer  to  acquire  shares  in  PPC  Limited,  a  South  African  company  listed  on  the
Johannesburg Stock Exchange. The LC Facility incurred interest at a rate of 100 basis points. Under the terms of the
LC Facility, the company was required to contribute cash to a cash-collateral account equivalent to 105.0% of the LC
Facility. At December 31, 2017 the company had placed $162,000 in a cash-collateral account, which together with
interest received of $519, was classified as restricted cash in the consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2017. On
December  7,  2017  the  company  rescinded  its  offer  to  acquire  shares  in  PPC  Limited  and  the  LC  Facility  was
terminated. Subsequently on January 12, 2018, the cash collateral of $162,000 was released from restricted cash.

On February 17, 2017 the company completed its initial public offering (‘‘IPO’’) and underwriters’ over-allotment
option and issued 6,030,000 subordinate voting shares at an issue price of $10.00 per share for gross proceeds of
$60,300. Concurrent with the IPO, Fairfax and certain cornerstone investors acquired 22,715,394 multiple voting
shares and 14,378,000 subordinate voting shares in private placements for gross proceeds of $227,154 and $143,780
respectively (the ‘‘Concurrent Private Placements’’). The company acquired a 42.2% indirect equity interest in AFGRI
Group Holdings (‘‘AGH’’, formerly known as AFGRI) (through the acquisition of the ordinary and class A shares of
Joseph Holdings as described in note 5 (African Investments) to the consolidated financial statements for the year
ended December 31, 2018, with an estimated fair value of $74,968 in exchange for 7,284,606 multiple voting shares
of  the  company  issued  to  Fairfax  (upon  the  winding-up  of  AgriGroupe  Investments  LP  (‘‘AgriGroupe  LP’’))  and
212,189 subordinate voting shares issued to certain other Joseph Holdings shareholders (the ‘‘AGH Transaction’’).
The aggregate proceeds of $506,202 were comprised of gross cash proceeds of $431,234 (net proceeds of $418,358
after commission and expenses of $12,876) from the IPO and Concurrent Private Placements, and the non-cash
capital contribution of $74,968 from the AGH Transaction, (collectively ‘‘the Offerings’’).

For additional details on the above transactions, refer to note 7 (Borrowings) and note 8 (Common Shareholders’
Equity) to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

African Investments

Full descriptions of the African Investments committed to and acquired in 2018 and 2017 are provided in the African
Investments section of this MD&A.

Operating Environment

Overview

After tepid GDP growth of only 2.1% in 2016, Africa’s economy recovered with 3.6% growth in 2017 and 3.5%
growth in 2018. According to a January 2019 report by the African Development Bank (‘‘AfDB’’), GDP growth is
projected to accelerate to 4.0% in 2019 and 4.1% in 2020, higher than in other emerging and developing economies
as a whole, but lower than in China and India. In 2019, 40% of African countries are projected to see growth of at
least 5%, primarily driven by average year-over-year growth of 6.0% in the East African countries of Ethiopia, Kenya,
Rwanda, Tanzania and Djibouti, partially offset by slower growth in South Africa and Nigeria, the continent’s two
largest economies.

The company believes that this growth will be driven largely by investments in infrastructure, a thriving services
sector, and agricultural output. Fairfax Africa’s exposure in Sub-Saharan Africa (‘‘SSA’’), South Africa, Nigeria and
Kenya through its African Investments is discussed below.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Sub-Saharan Africa

After a two-year period of lagging GDP growth in SSA, the Rand Merchant Bank reported in January 2019 that the
region’s GDP is projected to rise to between 3.1% and 3.4% in 2018 from 2.7% in 2017, and to 3.8% in 2019 and 3.9%
in 2020. These figures include certain low-growth markets where Fairfax Africa’s portfolio companies do not operate.
Half of this expected growth is attributable to a rebound in Nigeria of 2.3% and modest recovery in South Africa of
1.9%. South Africa and Nigeria account for approximately half of Africa’s GDP. The remaining half of this expected
growth is driven by public infrastructure investments in Kenya, Ethiopia, Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Senegal and Rwanda,
which are averaging expected growth of 6%.

In  its  January  2019  African  Markets  Revealed  research  report,  Standard  Bank  indicated  that  despite  the  positive
economic outlook for Africa, it is highly probable that the performance of African economies will diverge from that
of its market. Management believes this dichotomy between actual economic and market performance presents an
ideal opportunity for further investments in Africa at an attractive price point. Approximately half of the company’s
African Investments operate in South Africa, with the remainder primarily in Nigeria and Kenya.

South Africa

Fairfax Africa is invested in South Africa through its indirect equity interests in AGH and the South African Bank of
Athens  Limited  (‘‘SABA’’),  and  investments  in  Philafrica  Foods  Proprietary  Ltd.  (‘‘Philafrica’’)  and  Consolidated
Infrastructure Group Limited (‘‘CIG’’).

South  Africa  is  the  SSA  region’s  second  largest  economy  and  is  driven  primarily  by  agriculture,  mining  and
manufacturing. The South African economy grew by 2.2% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter of 2018, ending
the country’s second recession since 1994. However, unemployment remained very high at 28%, contributing to
persistent inequalities in income and economic opportunities. Higher oil prices and a weak exchange rate following
the emerging market sell-off are pushing inflation to the upper half of the 3% to 6% target range of the South African
Reserve Bank (‘‘SARB’’). Given the weak South African rand exchange rate, exports will be the main driver of growth
for the country.

The AfDB is forecasting that GDP growth will recover from a dip of 0.7% in 2018 compared to 1.3% in 2017, to 1.9%
in 2019. This modest increase in growth is reflective of continued weak activity in most of the major industrial
sectors with upside potential should the agriculture sector rebound. The uncertainty over upcoming land reform
policies continues to constrain growth in South Africa.

The foreign currency credit rating of the Government of South Africa bonds applies to U.S. dollar currency debt and
the local currency credit rating applies to debt raised in South African rand through the domestic market. All three
major  credit  rating  agencies  maintained  their  ratings  in  the  fourth  quarter  of  2018.  In  October  2018  Moody’s
Corporation (‘‘Moody’s’’) reaffirmed its credit rating for the Government of South Africa’s bonds at Baa3, with a
stable outlook, citing the long-term maturity of government debt and the fact that relatively little of this debt is
foreign currency denominated as positive factors. Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (‘‘S&P’’) maintained its
credit rating at BB, with a stable outlook and Fitch Ratings Inc. (‘‘Fitch’’) maintained its credit rating at BB+, with a
stable outlook.

The  South  African  rand  relative  to  the  U.S.  dollar  weakened  from  12.38  at  December  31,  2017  to  14.39  at
December 31, 2018, reflecting foreign investors’ anxiety over the direction of the economy in the short to medium
term. Despite the 16.2% depreciation of the South African rand, the International Monetary Fund (‘‘IMF’’) believes
that South Africa’s long-term currency stability is supported by a range of buffers, including a floating exchange rate,
deep financial markets, contained foreign currency exposures, and long debt maturities.

Nigeria

Fairfax Africa is invested in Nigeria through Atlas Mara Limited’s (‘‘Atlas Mara’’) 49% stake in Union Bank of Nigeria
(‘‘UBN’’) and CIG is actively pursuing a number of opportunities in the country.

Nigeria is the SSA region’s most populous country and has the largest economy, which is primarily driven by the oil
sector. According to the AfDB, Nigeria accounts for nearly 20% of Africa’s GDP and about 75% of the West African
economy. Nigeria’s economy is continuing its recovery from a recession that ended in early 2017. AfDB projects
Nigeria’s  GDP  growth  to  increase  from  0.8%  in  2017  to  1.9%  in  2018  and  2.3%  in  2019  and  2.4%  in  2020,
strengthened  by  the  impact  of  recovering  oil  production  and  prices.  However,  this  growth  will  be  tempered  by

64

investor anxiety over the unpredictable outcome of the upcoming presidential election in February 2019 and lower
inflation.

Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating was downgraded to B2 with a stable outlook by Moody’s in November 2017, citing
insufficient diversification of non-oil government revenue which exposes the government’s balance sheet to further
cyclical shocks despite recent oil price recovery. The rating has held constant since that date, and the stability of the
rating stems from credit supportive medium-term growth prospects, increased foreign capital inflows, a rebound in
oil production, and the current account projected to remain in surplus. S&P’s credit rating for Nigeria is B with a
stable outlook and Fitch’s credit rating is B+ with a stable outlook.

Kenya

Fairfax Africa is invested in Kenya through its investment in Nova Pioneer Education Group (‘‘Nova Pioneer’’) and is
actively investigating other potential investments in the country.

According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Kenya’s economy experienced a dip in growth of 4.9% in 2017
due  to  the  compound  effect  of  adverse  weather  conditions,  which  contributed  to  its  under  performance  in  the
agricultural sector, a tight credit environment and a prolonged election cycle. Despite this, Kenya remains one of the
world’s most consistent high-growth economies, with GDP growth of 5.9% in 2018 and near-term forecasted growth
of 6.0% in 2019 and 2020, primarily due to normalized weather conditions and increased agricultural yields, less
political uncertainty, improved business confidence and strong private consumption. Kenya’s position as a much
more  diverse  economy  (compared  to  its  SSA  peers)  is  expected  to  continue  to  attract  foreign  investment  in
infrastructure projects. Over the medium and long-term, Kenya’s economy is expected to continue on a high GDP
growth trajectory of 6.0%, mainly driven by favourable demographics arising from declining poverty, a dynamic
services sector (domestic tourism, hospitality and information technology) and a strong infrastructure investment
pipeline.

In February 2018 Moody’s downgraded Kenya’s credit rating from B1 to B2 with a stable outlook, due to rising debt
levels  and  a  deterioration  in  debt  affordability.  Nevertheless,  the  agency  stated  that  ‘‘Kenya  retains  strong
fundamental  economic  strengths  with  a  relatively  diversified  economy  that  holds  strong  growth  potential’’.
Moreover, Kenya has a relatively deep capital market and mature financial sector, which afford government some
capacity to issue debt domestically in local currency and with longer terms. S&P’s and Fitch’s credit rating for Kenya
remains at B+ with a stable outlook.

The Mauritius Finance Act 2018

On July 31, 2018 Mauritius enacted the Finance (Miscellaneous Provision) Act (the ‘‘Mauritius Finance Act’’) which
abolishes,  with  effect  from  January  1,  2019,  the  deemed  Foreign  Tax  Credit  (‘‘FTC’’)  regime  available  to  Global
Business License companies. For entities holding a Category 1 Global Business License issued before October 16, 2017
(held  by  Fairfax  Africa  Holdings  Investments  Limited  (‘‘Mauritius  Sub’’  or  ‘‘FMA’’))  the  deemed  FTC  regime  will
continue to apply until June 30, 2021. In place of the deemed FTC, the Mauritius Finance Act introduces an 80%
exemption regime on foreign source income including certain foreign dividends and foreign source interest. The
80%  exemption  is  available  upon  meeting  predefined  substance  requirements  issued  by  the  Financial  Services
Commission. The company has evaluated the potential impact of the Mauritius Finance Act and concluded that it
will not have a material impact on the company.

Business Objectives

Investment Objective

Fairfax Africa is an investment holding company whose objective is to achieve long term capital appreciation, while
preserving capital, by investing in public and private equity securities and debt instruments in Africa and African
businesses or other businesses with customers, suppliers or business primarily conducted in, or dependent on, Africa
(‘‘African Investments’’). The company makes all or substantially all of its investments either directly or through one
of  its  wholly-owned  subsidiaries,  which  include  a  South  African  based  subsidiary  Fairfax  Africa  Investments
Proprietary Limited (‘‘SA Sub’’ or ‘‘FSA’’) and FMA.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Investment Strategy

The company invests in businesses that are expected to benefit from Africa’s demographic trends that are expected to
underpin growth for several years. Sectors of the African economy that the company believes will benefit most from
such trends include the energy, food and agricultural, financial services, infrastructure and logistics, and consumer
products and retail sectors. The company, however, is not limited to investing solely in these sectors and intends to
invest in other sectors as and when opportunities arise.

The company utilizes and expects to benefit significantly from, the experience and expertise of its management,
Fairfax (the Portfolio Advisor), and Pactorum Ltd. (‘‘Pactorum’’, a Mauritius and South African-based third-party
strategic consultant), and their respective networks in Africa, to source and evaluate investment opportunities for
the company.

The  company  employs  a  conservative,  fundamental  value-based  approach  to  identifying  and  investing  in  high
quality public and private African businesses. This approach is designed to compound book value per share over the
long term. The company will seek attractive risk adjusted returns, but will at all times seek downside protection and
attempt to minimize the loss of capital.

The company intends to make African Investments with a view to being a strategic partner to grow the business and
optimize investment returns for the shareholders of Fairfax Africa. The level and nature of this strategic investment
will vary by investment. Such a position may include one or more of the following, as deemed appropriate by the
company:  (i)  board  appointment  or  nomination  rights;  (ii)  board  observer  rights;  (iii)  input  on  management
selection; (iv) the provision of managerial assistance; and (v) ongoing monitoring and cooperation with the board
and  management  of  the  portfolio  business  to  ensure  that  its  strategy  is  being  implemented  in  a  manner  that  is
consistent with the investment objectives of the company and with the company’s and Fairfax’s fundamental values
(as set forth in Fairfax’s guiding principles which are included in Fairfax’s publicly available annual reports).

Fairfax Africa’s involvement with the African Investments may include providing specialized guidance or expertise in
limited circumstances or on a temporary basis and does not extend to any involvement in the day-to-day operations
of  those  African  Investments.  Activities  are  expected  to  be  ancillary  and  undertaken  to  maximize  returns  from
investments. Board representation is sought only to maintain protective rights and to maximize the value of the
company’s investment for its shareholders.

The company may from time to time seek to realize on any of its African Investments. The circumstances under
which the company may sell some or all of its investments include: (i) where the company believes that the African
Investments are fully valued or that the original investment thesis has played out; or, (ii) where the company has
identified  other  investment  opportunities  which  it  believes  present  more  attractive  risk-adjusted  return
opportunities and additional capital is needed to make such alternative investments.

The company would exit its private African Investments (‘‘Private African Investments’’ as disclosed in the African
Investments section of this MD&A) either through initial public offerings or private sales. For publicly traded African
Investments  (‘‘Public  African  Investments’’  as  disclosed  in  the  African  Investments  section  of  this  MD&A),  exit
strategies may include selling the investments through private placements or in public markets.

Investment Selection

To identify potential investments, the company principally relies on the expertise of its management, the Portfolio
Advisor and Pactorum and their respective extensive networks in Africa. Pactorum provides, on an exclusive basis to
the Portfolio Advisor, and for the benefit of the company, investment research and analysis, transaction origination,
due  diligence  and  similar  consulting  services  with  respect  to  investments  of  the  company  and  its  subsidiaries.
Pactorum, in its capacity as a strategic consultant, assists the company and the Portfolio Advisor in researching and
identifying  investment  opportunities  for  the  company  and  its  subsidiaries.  As  a  result  of  its  proximity  to  the
investment  opportunities  in  Africa  and  its  immersion  in  certain  key  African  marketplaces,  the  Pactorum  team
identifies  many  of  the  investment  opportunities  for  the  company  and  frequently  conducts,  together  with  the
company,  Fairfax  and  the  Portfolio  Advisor,  the  initial  suitability  screen  when  evaluating  potential  African
Investments.  Pactorum  works  closely  with  the  company  and  the  Portfolio  Advisor  in  respect  of  the  review  and
evaluation of potential investment opportunities for the company.

The Portfolio Advisor may employ other strategic or other consultants to provide services to it, for the benefit of the
company, with respect to evaluating African Investments.

66

The following is an illustrative list of criteria that the company, Fairfax, the Portfolio Advisor and Pactorum believe to
be paramount when identifying and investing in African Investments:

Attractive valuation – The company’s conservative fundamental value approach leads it to focus on businesses that
have positive, stable cash flows that can be purchased at discounted multiples. While the company does not intend
to invest in start-up businesses or businesses that have speculative business plans, it may invest a portion of its capital
in early-stage companies where the company views potential for growth and positive and stable cash flows and the
opportunity for additional investment in the future.

Experienced  and  aligned  management – The  company  focuses  on  businesses  with  experienced,  entrepreneurial
management teams with strong, long term track records. The company generally requires the portfolio businesses to
have  in  place,  either  prior  to  or  immediately  following  an  investment  by  the  company,  proper  management
incentives to drive the businesses’ profitability and maintain effective governance structures.

Strong competitive position in industry – The company seeks to invest in businesses that hold leading and defendable
market positions, possess strong brand power and are well-positioned to capitalize on the growth opportunities in
the  African  economy.  The  company  also  seeks  to  invest  in  businesses  that  demonstrate  significant  competitive
advantages relative to their peers, such that they are in a position to protect their market position and profitability.

Alignment of the management team with the values of the company – The company, Fairfax, the Portfolio Advisor and
Pactorum all seek to adhere to the highest standards of business practices and ethics. The company requires that the
management teams at each of its portfolio businesses adhere to a similar standard of business practices and ethics
and adhere to the company’s fundamental values as described above.

The Portfolio Advisor, Pactorum, the company and their affiliates conduct thorough due diligence investigations
when evaluating any African Investments prior to making a recommendation to the company and its subsidiaries to
invest.  This  generally  includes  consultations  with  Fairfax’s  network  of  current  and  former  management  teams,
consultants,  competitors,  investment  bankers  and  senior  executives  to  assess,  among  other  things,  the  industry
dynamics, the character of the management team and the viability of the business plan.

More specifically, due diligence in respect of a particular investment opportunity typically includes, among other items as
deemed  necessary  from  time  to  time:  (i)  review  of  historical  and  projected  financial  information;  (ii)  on-site  visits;
(iii) interviews with management, employees, customers and vendors; (iv) review of material agreements; (v) background
checks; and (vi) research relating to the businesses’ management, industry, markets, products and services, and competitors.

Investment Restrictions

The  company  will  not  make  an  African  Investment  if,  after  giving  effect  to  such  investment,  the  total  invested
amount  of  such  investment  would  exceed  20.0%  of  the  company’s  total  assets  at  the  time  of  the  investment,
provided, however, that the company is permitted to complete up to two African Investments where, after giving
effect to each such investment, the total invested amount of each such investment would be less than or equal to
25.0% of the company’s total assets (the ‘‘Investment Concentration Restriction’’). The company’s investment limit
for an African Investment in accordance with the Investment Concentration Restriction decreased at December 31,
2018 from December 31, 2017 principally as a result of the repayment of the Term Loan and net foreign exchange
losses arising as a result of the weakening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar, partially offset by the
net proceeds received from the Secondary Offering and funds drawn from the Credit Facility. African Investments
may be financed through equity or debt offerings as part of the company’s objective to reduce its cost of capital and
provide returns to common shareholders.

The company intends to make multiple different investments as part of its prudent investment strategy in a manner
that complies with the Investment Concentration Restriction. At December 31, 2018 the company determined that
it was in compliance with the Investment Concentration Restriction.

African Investments

Cautionary Statement Regarding Financial Information of Significant African Investments

Fairfax  Africa  has  agreed  to  voluntarily  provide  within  its  MD&A,  summarized  unaudited  financial  information
prepared  for  all  of  its  African  Investments  for  which  it  had  previously  filed  a  business  acquisition  report  in
accordance with section 8.2 of National Instrument 51-102 Continuous Disclosure Obligations. AGH and CIG (a listed
entity on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange), prepare their financial statements in accordance with IFRS as issued by

67

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

the IASB. Atlas Mara, a listed entity on London Stock Exchange, prepares its financial statements in accordance with
IFRS as adopted by the European Union (AGH, Atlas Mara and CIG collectively, ‘‘Significant African Investments’’).
The company is limited in respect to the amount of independent verification it is able to perform with respect to the
financial  statements  of  the  Significant  African  Investments.  Such  unaudited  financial  information  is  the
responsibility of the respective managements and has been prepared by them using recognition, measurement and
presentation principles consistent with IFRS, and provided to the company in their underlying functional currencies.

The  company’s  investments  in  AGH,  CIG  and  Atlas  Mara’s  fiscal  years  each  end  on  March  31,  August  31  and
December 31 respectively. Summarized financial information of the company’s Significant African Investments has
generally been provided for the periods subsequent to the company’s investment and to the extent that the most
recent interim financial information is available to the company’s management. Significant African Investments’
summarized  financial  information  should  be  read  in  conjunction  with  Fairfax  Africa’s  historical  consolidated
financial statements including the notes thereto and the related MD&A as well as Fairfax Africa’s other public filings.

Fairfax  Africa  has  no  knowledge  that  would  indicate  that  the  Significant  African  Investments’  summarized  financial
information contained herein requires material modifications. However, readers are cautioned that the Significant African
Investments’ summarized financial information contained in the MD&A may not be appropriate for their purposes.

Summary of African Investments

The table below provides a summary of the company’s African Investments:

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Date Ownership

Net cash
% consideration

Fair
value

Net Ownership

Net cash
% consideration

change

Fair
value

Net
change

Public African Investments:
Common stocks:

Atlas Mara

CIG

Other(1)

Private African Investments:
Loans:

AGH Facility(2)
CIG

PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds

Nova Pioneer Bond

Common stocks:

Indirect equity interest in AGH

Philafrica

GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants

Nova Pioneer Warrants

Acquired

August and
December 2017
Primarily
fourth quarters
of 2017 and
2018
Various

June 2017
June 2018
June and
December 2018

December 2018
November 2018
Third and
fourth quarters
of 2017 and
2018

February 2017,
January and
November 2018
November 2018
Fourth quarter
of 2018

November 2018
Third and
fourth quarters
of 2017 and
2018

42.4%

159,335

119,092

(40,243)

43.3%

159,335

168,671

9,336

7.9%

<5%

4,041

3,886

(155)

4.5%

2,442

2,563

2,055

28

(2,027)

<5%

1,986

2,369

121

383

165,431

123,006

(42,425)

163,763

173,603

9,840

–
23,270

19,969

–
21,068

17,527

–
(2,202)

(2,442)

23,255
–

–

24,233
–

–

43,239

38,595

(4,644)

23,255

24,233

15,040
16,476

16,334
17,499

1,294
1,023

–
–

–
–

978
–

–

978

–
–

23,250

26,023

2,773

19,545

19,414

(131)

54,766

59,856

5,090

19,545

19,414

(131)

44.7%

26.0%

35.0%

94,877

111,888

17,011

42.2%

74,968

88,314

13,346

23,254

12,141

23,463

11,927

209

(214)

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

130,272

147,278

17,006

74,968

88,314

13,346

2,324

1,016

(1,308)

750

1,001

251

3,074

2,017

(1,057)

–

455

455

–

–

520

520

–

–

65

65

–

Derivative Obligation:

CIG forward derivative liability(3)

May 2018

–

(5,724)

(5,724)

Total African Investments

231,351

242,022

10,671

396,782

365,028

(31,754)

118,223

132,481

281,986

306,084

14,258

24,098

(1) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(2) On  January  31,  2018  the  company  received  $25,399  from  AGH  for  settlement  of  the  AGH  Facility,  resulting  in  a  realized  foreign

exchange gain of $1,166.

(3) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

68

Summary of Changes in Fair Value of the Company’s African Investments

A summary of changes in the fair value of the company’s Public and Private African Investments during 2018 and
2017 were as follows:

Balance
as of
January 1,

2018 Purchases

2018

Accretion of

Repayments/

(amortization
conversions of premium)(1)

discount/ Net realized
gains on
investments

Net change Net foreign
exchange

in unrealized
gains
(losses) on

investments investments

gains Balance as of
(losses) on December 31,
2018

Public African
Investments:
Common stocks:
Atlas Mara
CIG
Other(2)

Total Public African

Investments

Private African
Investments:

Loans:

AGH Facility
Philafrica Facility
CIG
PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 7.5%

Convertible Bonds

Atlas Mara 11.0%

Convertible Bonds(3)
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds
Nova Pioneer Bond(4)

Common stocks:

Indirect equity interest

in AGH(5)

Philafrica
GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants
Nova Pioneer Warrants

Derivative Obligation:

CIG forward derivative

liability(6)

Total Private African

Investments

Total African
Investments

168,671
2,563
2,369

–
1,599
69

173,603

1,668

–
–
–

–

24,233
–
–
–

–
41,153
23,270
20,996

24,233

85,419

(25,399)
(35,841)
–
–

(61,240)

–

33,840

(36,182)

–
–
19,414

16,280
17,676
6,697

–
–
–

19,414

74,493

(36,182)

88,314
–
–

21,712
23,254
12,141

88,314

57,107

–
520

520

–

–

2,324
326

2,650

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
818
46
–

864

464

(9)
104
27

586

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–
–

–

1,878

–
–
–

1,878

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

(49,579)
98
(2,100)

–
(374)
(310)

119,092
3,886
28

(51,581)

(684)

123,006

–
–
694
(1,545)

(851)

–

63
(281)
(115)

(333)

18,082
870
–

18,952

(1,308)
155

(1,153)

(5,724)

(5,724)

1,166
(6,130)
(2,942)
(1,924)

(9,830)

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
21,068
17,527

38,595

–

16,334
17,499
26,023

59,856

(16,220)
(661)
(214)

111,888
23,463
11,927

(17,095)

147,278

–
–

–

–

–

1,016
1,001

2,017

(5,724)

(5,724)

132,481

219,669

(97,422)

1,450

1,878

10,891

(26,925)

242,022

306,084

221,337

(97,422)

1,450

1,878

(40,690)

(27,609)

365,028

(1) Recorded in interest in the consolidated statement of earnings and comprehensive income.

(2) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(3) Purchases included capitalized interest of $98.

(4) Purchases included capitalized interest of $2,250.

(5) Acquired through the company’s ownership in Joseph Holdings. In 2018 the company increased its indirect equity interest in AGH from
42.2% to 44.7%. Purchases were primarily comprised of a $18,501 capital contribution to Joseph Holdings and a non-cash realized gain
of $1,803 on the AGH Rights Offer.

(6) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

69

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Balance
as of
January 1,

2017 Purchases

Repayments/ Accretion of
Discount(1)

conversions

Net realized
gains on
investments

2017

Net change

in unrealized Net foreign

gains
(losses) on

exchange Balance as of
gains on December 31,
2017

investments investments

Public African
Investments:
Common stocks:
Atlas Mara(2)
CIG
Other(3)

Total Public African

Investments

Private African
Investments:

Loans:

AGH Facility
Nova Pioneer Facility

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 5.0%

Convertible Bond
Nova Pioneer Bond

Common stocks:

Indirect equity interest in

AGH(4)

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara forward

derivative on equity
offering

Nova Pioneer Warrants

Total Private African

Investments

Total African
Investments

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

–
–

–

–

–

–
–

–

–

–

170,488
2,442
1,986

174,916

23,255
4,000

27,255

–
–
–

–

–
(4,000)

(4,000)

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

100,000
19,545

(106,215)
–

119,545

(106,215)

1,117
–

1,117

74,968

74,968

–
455

455

–

–

(6,055)
–

(6,055)

–

–

–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–

–

5,098
–

5,098

–

–

6,055
–

6,055

(1,817)
(132)
177

(1,772)

–
–

–

–
(131)

(131)

4,200

4,200

–
65

65

–
253
206

459

978
–

978

–
–

–

9,146

9,146

–
–

–

168,671
2,563
2,369

173,603

24,233
–

24,233

–
19,414

19,414

88,314

88,314

–
520

520

222,223

(116,270)

1,117

11,153

4,134

10,124

132,481

397,139

(116,270)

1,117

11,153

2,362

10,583

306,084

(1) Recorded in interest in the consolidated statement of earnings and comprehensive income.

(2) Purchases in 2017 were comprised of a $159,335 capital contribution and non-cash net realized gains on Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible

Bond of $5,098 (previously entered into in 2017) and Atlas Mara Equity Offering of $6,055.

(3) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(4) Acquired through the company’s ownership in Joseph Holdings.

Public African Investments

The fair values of Fairfax Africa’s Public African Investments are determined using the bid prices of those investments
(without adjustments or discounts) at the balance sheet date.

Investment in Atlas Mara Limited (Common Shares)

Business Overview

Atlas  Mara  Limited  (‘‘Atlas  Mara’’)  is  a  Sub-Saharan  African  financial  services  group  listed  on  the  London  Stock
Exchange under the symbol ATMA. Atlas Mara was founded in 2013 with a vision to establish itself as a premier
financial institution across key markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since its inception, Atlas Mara has acquired control or
significant  influence  in  banks  across  seven  Sub-Saharan  African  countries:  Nigeria,  Botswana,  Zimbabwe,
Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania and Zambia.

The company’s investment in Atlas Mara is comprised of common shares, debt instruments and warrants. The debt
instruments and warrants are discussed in the Private African Investments section under the heading Investment in
Atlas Mara Limited (Debt Instruments and Warrants) later in this MD&A.

70

Atlas Mara’s principal lines of business are as follows:

Retail and Commercial Banking

Atlas Mara’s retail and commercial banking provides banking services to retail, small and medium-sized enterprises
(‘‘SMEs’’), and corporate clients through physical branch networks, third party partnerships and digital channels.
Atlas Mara provides a wide range of products for SMEs and corporate clients including short term working capital
financing,  trade  finance  services,  medium  and  long  term  investment  credit,  treasury  services  and  transactional
banking. Atlas Mara leverages its presence in the countries it is domiciled to facilitate investment and flow of funds
for its regional and multinational corporate clients. Atlas Mara’s retail banking offers a full suite of products to its
retail customers through bank accounts, personal short term loans, and auto, home and mortgage financing.

Atlas Mara’s retail and commercial banking segments operate under the brand names and in the African countries
as follows:

(cid:127) ABC Holdings Limited (‘‘BancABC’’) is comprised of banks across Botswana, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique

and Tanzania,

(cid:127) Banque Populaire du Rwanda Limited (‘‘BPR’’) in Rwanda, and

(cid:127) an investment in associate in Union Bank of Nigeria (‘‘UBN’’) located in Nigeria.

Markets and Treasury

The  markets  and  treasury  line  of  business  provides  transaction  capabilities  for  its  clients’  foreign  exchange  and
hedging requirements and also centrally manages Atlas Mara’s surplus liquidity and funding requirements.

Digital Banking

Developing a digital banking platform that can be implemented across its markets to strengthen its retail banking
segment continues to be a strategic focus for Atlas Mara and is expected to lead to a broader base of deposits and lower
cost  of  funds.  Sub-Saharan  Africa  remains  one  of  the  greatest  global  opportunities  for  enhancing  financial
intermediation using technology. Atlas Mara intends to use the digital banking platform to profitably accelerate its
core business growth across its business and promote financial inclusion.

Additional information can be accessed from Atlas Mara’s website www.atlasmara.com.

Transaction Description

Atlas Mara Common Shares

On July 17, 2017 the company invested $100,000 in Atlas Mara through the purchase of a mandatory convertible
bond with an interest rate of 5.0% per annum. On August 31, 2017, concurrent with the closing of the Atlas Mara
Equity Offering (described below), the convertible bond of $101,117 (including accrued interest) was converted into
44,722,222 ordinary shares of Atlas Mara at the Issue Price (defined below).

On  August  31,  2017  the  company  acquired  an  additional  26,036,448  ordinary  shares  of  Atlas  Mara  for  $58,582
through participation in Atlas Mara’s equity offering of $100,000 of new ordinary shares (the ‘‘Atlas Mara Equity
Offering’’) at a price of $2.25 per share (the ‘‘Issue Price’’). Fairfax Africa received a fee of $2,800 pursuant to an
agreement to acquire any ordinary shares not taken up by qualifying Atlas Mara shareholders and to purchase a
minimum of 30.0% of the Atlas Mara Equity Offering, resulting in a commitment to acquire Atlas Mara ordinary
shares for net cash consideration of $55,782. The company’s commitment to acquire Atlas Mara shares at a fixed
price was determined to be a derivative financial instrument under IFRS. The appreciation of the Atlas Mara share
price to $2.38 per share on the expiry date of the commitment (August 31, 2017) resulted in the recognition of a
realized  gain  on  investments  of  $6,055  recorded  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and  comprehensive
income in 2017.

On  December  22,  2017  the  company  acquired  an  additional  1,200,000  ordinary  shares  of  Atlas  Mara  for  cash
consideration of $2,436. Upon completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate consideration of
$159,335 (including capitalized accrued interest and net of the $2,800 fee received) for a 43.3% equity interest in
Atlas Mara.

71

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

At December 31, 2018 the company had appointed four of the nine Atlas Mara board members.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On February 6, 2019 Atlas Mara announced it is undertaking a review of strategic options to determine the key
strategic priorities and actions for 2019 and beyond to drive shareholder value. The process includes a review of each
banking operation to ensure that top five market leadership is practicably achievable in the near term, or to explore
transactions that will reduce risk exposure where such leadership is unlikely on a stand-alone basis. Concurrent with
this  announcement,  Michael  Wilkerson  (Fairfax  Africa’s  Chief  Executive  Officer)  replaced  Bob  Diamond  as  the
Executive Chairman of Atlas Mara. Mr. Diamond, Atlas Mara’s founder, had initially assumed the role of Executive
Chairman on an interim basis and will return to his role as a non-executive director of the Board. Mr. Wilkerson’s
appointment  as  Executive  Chairman  reflects  the  company’s  role  as  the  largest  shareholder  in  Atlas  Mara  and
facilitates Fairfax Africa’s objective to closely oversee the investment while the company works to generate value
creation  for  all  Atlas  Mara  shareholders.  Atlas  Mara  also  revised  the  composition  of  its  board  and  as  a  result  at
March 8, 2019 Fairfax Africa had appointed three of the seven Atlas Mara board members.

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

Atlas Mara’s key business drivers relate to its ability to penetrate geographically diverse segments of the financial
services industry in SSA, particularly in the corporate and retail markets aiming to offer differentiated products and
services to top tier national companies and the retail segment.

Over the past three years Atlas Mara has raised $900 million of debt and equity financing, completed six acquisitions
and  has  hired  a  team  of  professionals  with  extensive  experience  in  the  African  banking  sector.  A  significant
component of Atlas Mara’s portfolio is its investment in associate UBN. During the second quarter of 2018 Atlas Mara
purchased additional shares in UBN and increased its equity interest from 48.0% to 49.0%. The company issued
2,360,062 ordinary shares as consideration for the UBN shares acquired. Atlas Mara’s investment in UBN provides the
company with a strong position in the financial services sector in Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy. The AfDB expects
the Nigerian economy to build on its recovery from a recession in 2017, forecasting GDP growth of 2.3% in 2019
compared to 1.9% in 2018. This growth is expected to be driven by increased contribution from key non-oil sectors
such as agriculture and energy.

Atlas  Mara  has  commenced  an  extensive  review  of  its  capital  and  funding  structure  and  began  upgrading  its
information technology systems group-wide. Atlas Mara is focused on a long-term migration to a stronger retail
deposit  franchise  in  each  operating  market,  to  reduce  reliance  on  interbank  and  wholesale  funding.  There  is  a
heightened urgency in expediting this work as the market backdrop has been less buoyant than it was in 2017. Lower
international demand for commodities, international trade tensions, Central Banks in the United States and Europe
pursuing  less  accommodating  monetary  policies  and  the  relative  strengthening  of  the  U.S.  dollar  have  reduced
foreign  inflows  and  the  economic  growth  trajectory  in  some  of  Atlas  Mara’s  markets,  particularly  Mozambique,
Tanzania and Zambia. These factors have resulted in tighter liquidity conditions, increased capital requirements and
lower credit demand from viable customers.

Despite these challenges, during the first nine months of 2018, Atlas Mara was able to maintain a stable balance sheet
and reported net earnings of $31,252, compared to $16,003 for the comparable first nine months of 2017, discussed
later.

On December 13, 2018 Atlas Mara completed the partial IPO of its wholly-owned subsidiary BancABC Botswana on
the  Botswana  Stock  Exchange,  selling  20.5%  equity  interest  to  institutional  and  retail  investors  and  raised
$28.0 million in gross proceeds. The IPO proceeds will be used to develop and enhance IT infrastructure and banking
platforms across its operations in Africa.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

Atlas Mara Common Shares

At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in Atlas Mara was $119,092 (December 31, 2017 –
$168,671),  comprised  of  71,958,670  ordinary  shares  representing  a  42.4%  equity  interest  (December  31,  2017 –
43.3%). The changes in fair value of the company’s investment in Atlas Mara in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the
tables at the outset of the African Investments section of this MD&A. Atlas Mara’s share price decreased by 29.1%
from $2.34 per share at December 31, 2017 to $1.66 per share at December 31, 2018.

72

Atlas Mara’s Summarized Financial Information

Atlas Mara and the company’s fiscal years both end on December 31. As of March 8, 2019 Atlas Mara had not yet
released its December 31, 2018 audited financial statements and as a result they were not made available to Fairfax
Africa. Summarized below are Atlas Mara’s balance sheets at September 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017.

Balance Sheets
(unaudited – US$ thousands)

Financial assets
Non-financial assets
Financial liabilities
Non-financial liabilities
Shareholders’ equity

September 30, 2018 December 31, 2017(1)
2,244,895
895,490
2,230,371
96,791
813,223

2,239,474
906,187
2,326,703
58,764
760,194

(1) Certain prior year comparative figures have been reclassified to be consistent with current year’s presentation.

Financial assets modestly decreased primarily due to a decrease in cash and short-term funds, financial assets held at
FVTPL and loans and advances, partially offset by an increase in investment securities as the company continues to
invest in treasury bonds. Non-financial assets modestly increased due to a higher investment in associate balance due
to share of profits recorded from Atlas Mara’s equity accounted investment in UBN, partially offset by a decrease in
intangible and other assets.

Financial liabilities increased moderately due to increased borrowed funds and customer deposits. Non-financial
liabilities had decreased due to a decrease in other liabilities. Shareholders’ equity decreased primarily due after-tax
adjustments to opening retained earnings from the adoption of IFRS 9 and other comprehensive loss mainly as a
result of foreign exchange translation losses, partially offset by net earnings during the period.

Summarized below are Atlas Mara’s statements of earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017.

Statements of Earnings
(unaudited – US$ thousands)

Revenue
Earnings before taxes
Net earnings

Nine months ended Nine months ended
September 30, 2017
September 30, 2018
188,936
175,961
20,778
42,121
16,003
31,252

Revenues decreased primarily due to lower interest income as a result of decline in loan book growth, lower interest
margins, tighter market liquidity and depressed credit markets, partially offset by an increase in non-interest revenue
due to increased trading revenue in Zimbabwe and increased fees and commissions income in Botswana, Zambia and
Zimbabwe. Net earnings increased primarily reflecting improved performance from its investment in associate UBN,
a gain on the investment in UBN and lower impairment charges as a result of recoveries and impairment reversals,
partially offset by increased operating expenses attributable to investments in information technology infrastructure
and increased employee costs.

Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Common Shares)

Business Overview

Consolidated Infrastructure Group Limited (‘‘CIG’’) is a Pan-African engineering infrastructure company listed on
the  Johannesburg  Stock  Exchange  under  the  stock  symbol  CIL.  CIG  has  a  diversified  portfolio  of  operations
including services and materials in power and electrical, oil and gas, building materials and the railway sector, with a
footprint that spans over 20 African countries and the Middle East. Historically, over 71% of CIG’s net earnings has
been derived outside of South Africa.

73

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The company’s investment in CIG is comprised of common shares, a debt instrument and a derivative obligation.
The debt instrument and derivative obligation are discussed in the Private African Investments section under the
heading  Investment  in  Consolidated  Infrastructure  Group  (Debt  Instrument  and  Derivative  Obligation)  later  in
this MD&A.

CIG’s principal lines of business are as follows:

Power

infrastructure  development.  Conco  provides  high  voltage 

CIG’s Power business is comprised of the following wholly-owned subsidiaries: (i) Conco Group (‘‘Conco’’) is Africa’s
largest  power  infrastructure  service  provider  with  three  decades  of  experience  in  transmission,  distribution  and
power 
turnkey  solutions  of  unsurpassed
design/engineering  and  quality,  to  a  multitude  of  customers  across  the  African  continent  and  the  Middle  East;
(ii) Consolidated Power Maintenance Proprietary Limited (‘‘CPM’’) provides long term operational and maintenance
services to wind farms, solar parks, municipalities and utilities; (iii) CIGenCo SA Proprietary Limited (‘‘CIGenCo’’) is
a developer and owner of renewable energy power generation; and (iv) Conlog Proprietary Limited (‘‘Conlog’’), a
leading metering solution provider to utilities, municipalities and property management companies in South Africa,
the Middle East and across Africa. Conlog’s smart meters help with utility management, revenue protection, load and
demand management, and the company has a strong focus on big data analytics and smart city solutions.

Consolidated Building Materials

CIG’s  Consolidated  Building  Materials  business  is  comprised  of  the  following  subsidiaries:  (i)  Drift  Supersand
Proprietary Limited (‘‘Drift Supersand’’), through a 74.0% equity interest held by CIG, provides crushed stone and
rock for the construction industry for application in roads, ready-mix, concrete and for stabilization; and (ii) West
End  Claybrick  Proprietary  Limited  (‘‘West  End  Claybrick’’),  a  wholly-owned  subsidiary,  manufactures  housing
materials (semi-faced and plaster clay bricks, and a range of concrete roof tiles for the building sector including
developers, contractors and wholesalers).

Oil & Gas

CIG’s  Oil  and  Gas  business,  through  Angola  Environmental  Servicos  Limitada  (‘‘AES’’),  an  Angolan  company,
provides fully integrated waste management services, and collection, recycling and disposals of oil-based waste to the
oil and gas industry. CIG owns 30.5% of AES and accounts for its investment in associate under the equity method
of accounting.

Rail

CIG’s Rail business through Tension Overhead Electrification (Pty) Limited or Tractionel Enterprise (‘‘Tractionel’’), a
wholly-owned  subsidiary  in  South  Africa,  is  a  leading  provider  of  railway  electrification  and  maintenance
(installation and maintenance of railway electrics, and railway maintenance services to public and private owners).

Additional information can be accessed from CIG’s website www.ciglimited.co.za.

Transaction Description

CIG Common Shares

In 2017 Fairfax Africa acquired 8,789,282 ordinary shares, or a 4.5% equity interest in CIG, for cash consideration of
$2,442. In 2018 the company acquired an additional 6,737,846 ordinary shares for cash consideration of $1,599.
Upon completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate cash consideration of $4,041 for a 7.9%
equity interest in CIG.

At December 31, 2018 the company had appointed one of the eleven board members of CIG.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 4, 2019 CIG completed its previously announced rights offering for $57,179 (800 million South African
rand) where existing CIG shareholders were invited to participate on a pro rata basis in a non-renounceable rights
offer for 200,000,000 CIG ordinary shares (‘‘CIG Rights Offer’’) at a price of 4.00 South African rand (the ‘‘Offer
Price’’). Fairfax Africa was committed to acquire any shares not taken up by existing CIG shareholders and as a result
Fairfax Africa earned a fee equal to 2.5% of the CIG Rights Offer ($1,429 or 20 million South African rand).

74

Upon  closing  of  the  CIG  Rights  Offer  the  company  acquired  178,995,353  ordinary  shares  of  CIG  for  net  cash
consideration of $49,744 (696 million South African rand). Upon completion of this transaction the company had
invested  aggregate  cash  consideration  of  $53,785  for  a  49.1%  equity  interest  in  CIG  and  appointed  four  of  the
thirteen CIG board members.

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

The CIG Rights Offer is intended to enable the company to establish a strong and sustainable capital structure that
will allow CIG to take advantage of long-term value creation opportunities in the markets that it serves through its
diversified portfolio of businesses. Specifically:

(cid:127) Right-sizing the operations of Conco to ensure that it is running at optimum levels. Conco in the past had
grown  too  fast  and  was  in  too  many  regions  and  countries,  resulting  in  margin  pressures,  increased
investments  in  working  capital  and  increased  complexity  in  its  operations.  CIG  is  addressing  the  risks
associated  with  restructuring  Conco  by  assessing  office  and  division  closures,  reducing  working  capital
investments and borrowings;

(cid:127) Organically growing its Conlog smart metering business by establishing a prepaid meter leasing platform and

funding additional capital expenditures to increase plant capacity;

(cid:127) Investing in its pipeline of 7 renewable energy projects (219.5 megawatts) to generate annuity income; and

(cid:127) Focusing on providing waste management services through AES as the oil sector recovers, leading to more rigs

coming online in Angola.

CIG’s footprint extends across 20 African countries in addition to South Africa and the Middle East. Key markets for
CIG outside South Africa include Angola, Ethiopia and Kenya. Refer to the Business Developments section under the
heading Operating Environment of this MD&A for a description of the macroeconomic conditions.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

CIG Common Shares

At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in CIG was $3,886 (December 31, 2017 – $2,563),
comprised  of  15,527,128  ordinary  shares  representing  a  7.9%  equity  interest  (December  31,  2017 – 4.5%).  The
changes in fair value of the company’s investment in CIG in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables disclosed at
the  outset  of  the  African  Investments  section  of  this  MD&A.  CIG’s  share  price  decreased  slightly  by  0.3%  from
3.61 South African rand per share at December 31, 2017 to 3.60 South African rand per share at December 31, 2018.

CIG’s Summarized Financial Information

The company’s fiscal year ends on December 31 and CIG’s fiscal year ends on August 31. The South African rand
weakened relative to the U.S. dollar in fiscal 2018 compared to fiscal 2017. To avoid the distortion of results caused by
foreign currency translation, the tables below present CIG’s financial and operating results in both U.S. dollar and
South African rand (CIG’s presentation and functional currency). The discussion which follows refers to those South
African rand figures unless indicated otherwise.

Balance Sheets
(US$ thousands)

Current assets
Non-current assets
Current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Shareholders’ equity

South African rand

US$

August 31, 2018 August 31, 2017 August 31, 2018(1) August 31, 2017(1)
331,042
208,314
226,382
17,640
295,334

4,303,542
2,708,085
2,942,960
229,319
3,839,348

3,692,963
2,135,636
2,906,649
1,075,836
1,846,114

252,080
145,777
198,406
73,436
126,015

(1) The net assets of CIG were translated at August 31, 2018 at $1 U.S. dollar = 14.65 South African rand and at August 31, 2017 at

$1 U.S. dollar = 13.00 South African rand. The exchange rates used were the spot rates prevailing on those respective dates.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Current assets decreased primarily due to lower receivables from decline in customer contracts as a result of reduced
order intake. Non-current assets declined largely as a result of impairment of goodwill and an investment in associate
(discussed later). Current liabilities remained relatively consistent from the prior year while non-current liabilities
increased primarily as a result of increased borrowings, inclusive of the loan advanced by Fairfax Africa (refer to the
Private  African  Investments  section  under  the  heading  Investment  in  Consolidated  Infrastructure  Group  (Debt
Instrument and Derivative Obligation) later in this MD&A).

Summarized below are CIG’s statements of earnings for the years ended August 31, 2018 and 2017.

Statements of Earnings
(US$ thousands)

South African rand

US$

Revenue
Loss before taxes
Net loss

Twelve months ended Twelve months ended Twelve months ended Twelve months ended
August 31, 2017(1)
325,307
(10,830)
(11,203)

August 31, 2018(1)
209,649
(142,516)
(157,069)

August 31, 2018
2,706,570
(1,839,880)
(2,027,762)

August 31, 2017
4,368,875
(145,447)
(150,456)

(1) Amounts for the years ended August 31, 2018 and 2017 were translated into US$ using the average exchange rates of $1 U.S. dollar =

12.91 South African rand and $1 U.S. dollar = 13.43 South African rand prevailing during those periods.

Revenue decreased primarily due to declines in the Power business, as it continued to be affected by difficult trading
conditions which resulted in lower order intake and slower execution of work. Net loss increased primarily due to
ongoing  restructuring  initiatives  that  contributed  to  project  cost  overruns,  increase  in  borrowing  costs  and
impairment of goodwill from the acquisitions of Conco and Tractionel, as well as an impairment in its investment in
associate AES.

Investment in an Other Public African Investment

In 2018 and 2017 the company acquired common shares of a public company in the infrastructure sector, listed on
the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (‘‘Other Public African Investment’’) for aggregate cash consideration of $2,055.
At December 31, 2018 the fair value of the company’s investment in the Other Public African Investment was $28
(December  31,  2017 – $2,369)  representing  less  than  a  5.0%  equity  interest.  The  changes  in  fair  value  of  the
company’s investment in the Other Public African Investment in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables at the
outset of the African Investments section of this MD&A.

At December 31, 2018 the company did not have any board representation in the Other Public African Investment.

Private African Investments

Cautionary Statement Regarding the Valuation of Private African Investments

In the absence of an active market for the company’s Private African Investments, fair values of these investments are
determined by management using industry acceptable valuation methodologies after considering the history and
nature of the business, operating results and financial conditions, outlook and prospects, general economic, industry
and market conditions, contractual rights relating to the investment, public market comparables (if available) and,
where applicable, other pertinent considerations. The process of valuing investments for which no active market
exists is inevitably based on inherent uncertainties and the resulting values may differ from values that would have
been used had an active market existed. The amounts at which the company’s private African Investments could be
disposed of may differ from the fair values assigned and those differences may be material.

Investment in AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited

Business Overview

AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘AFGRI Holdings’’) is a private holding company based in South Africa and
owns 100.0% of AFGRI Group Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘AGH’’, formerly known as AFGRI), an investment
holding company with interests in a number of agricultural and food-related companies providing products and
services to ensure sustainable agriculture. AGH’s core focus is grain commodities and it provides services across the

76

entire grain production and storage cycle, offering financial support and solutions as well as high-tech equipment
through the John Deere brand supported by a large retail footprint. AGH is one of the largest John Deere distributors
outside of the United States, with a presence in several markets in Africa and western Australia.

AGH’s investment philosophy is to create long term sustainable value by targeting investments in agriculture, food
processing and financial services, by building or acquiring equity interests in companies which provide the company
with control or significant influence. AGH’s long term growth strategy is based on a vision to ensure sustainable
agriculture  and  enable  food  security  across  Africa.  In  addition  to  South  Africa,  AGH  currently  has  operational
activities aimed at supporting agriculture in Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Congo-Brazzaville, Botswana, C ˆote
d’Ivoire and Uganda. AGH also has a John Deere operation in Australia, an animal feeds research and development
venture in the United Kingdom and an investment in animal feeds in the United States of America. AGH’s current
strategic  initiatives  also  include  growing  its  existing  financial  services  business,  which  is  currently  centered  on
providing  credit,  trade  and  commodity  finance,  insurance,  payments  and  related  products  and  services  to  the
agricultural sector.

AGH’s principal lines of business are as follows:

AFGRI (formerly known as AFGRI Agricultural Services)

AGH holds a 73.2% equity interest in AFGRI Proprietary Limited, (‘‘AFGRI’’, formerly known as AFGRI Agricultural
Services),  which  focuses  on  grain  management,  silos,  equipment  (through  the  John  Deere  brand),  agricultural
finance and insurance, retail and farmer development. AFGRI is the market leader for grain management solutions in
South  Africa,  with  69  silos  and  15  bunkers  representing  more  than  5  million  tonnes  of  storage  capacity.  AFGRI
manages one of South Africa’s largest loan books to the agricultural sector on behalf of the Land Bank, (a South
African government-owned development bank). AFGRI maintains approximately $1.0 billion (14.0 billion South
African  rand)  in  loan  book  value,  inclusive  of  the  corporate  lending  portfolio  managed  by  GroCapital  Advisory
Services Proprietary Limited (‘‘GroCapital Advisory’’). AFGRI also manages the group’s agri-related businesses outside
South  Africa  through  AFGRI  International  (see  below),  consisting  mainly  of  grain  management  and  equipment
operations in Zambia, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Tanzania, Mozambique, Congo and Australia.

Philafrica Foods

AGH  holds  a  60.0%  equity  interest  in  Philafrica.  Philafrica  is  headquartered  in  South  Africa,  where  it  owns  and
operates maize mills, wheat mills, animal feed factories, snacking facilities, soya crushing and extraction plants,
which process oil and other raw materials into edible oils, fats and proteins for human consumption (primarily for
the food processing and quick-service restaurant industries), and a mussels farm and factory. Refer to the Private
African Investments section under the heading Investment in Philafrica Foods Proprietary Ltd. later in this MD&A
for a discussion on Fairfax Africa’s equity interest in Philafrica.

GroCapital Advisory Services (formerly known as AFGRI Investment Services)

GroCapital  Advisory,  a  wholly-owned  subsidiary,  provides  collateral  management  solutions,  such  as  monitoring
status, quality and quantity of collateral to various parties, in 13 African countries on behalf of banks, insurers and
customers. GroCapital Advisory holds a number of key investments in financial services, logistics, technology and
other  sectors.  Investments  in  financial  services  and  logistics  comprise  more  than  75%  of  GroCapital  Advisory’s
business. GroCapital Advisory’s investments in financial services, which manages the Land Bank’s corporate debtors’
books, and investments in logistics includes the group’s collateral management business as well as an interest in a
diesel venture.

Cambium Business Services (formerly known as AFGRI Management Services)

Cambium  Business  Services  Proprietary  Limited  (‘‘Cambium’’),  a  wholly-owned  subsidiary,  is  a  service  company
responsible  for  the  group’s  support  functions  with  core  competencies  in  internal  audit,  governance,  risk  and
compliance, human resources, information technology, and other financial and management services.

AFGRI International

AFGRI International Proprietary Limited (‘‘AFGRI International’’), a wholly-owned subsidiary, focuses on operations
outside of South Africa.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Additional information can be accessed from AGH’s website www.agh.co.za.

Transaction Description

Indirect Equity Interest in AGH

On  February  17,  2017  in  conjunction  with  its  IPO,  Fairfax  Africa  in  a  non-cash  transaction  acquired  from
AgriGroupe LP (the beneficial equity interests held by Fairfax in Joseph Holdings) 156,055,775 ordinary shares and
49,942,549 Class A shares for $25,001 and $49,967 respectively in exchange for: (i) 7,284,606 multiple voting shares
of Fairfax Africa at $10.00 per multiple voting share issued to Fairfax; and, (ii) 212,189 subordinate voting shares of
Fairfax  Africa  at  $9.50  per  subordinate  voting  share  (being  $10.00  less  a  private  placement  fee  of  $0.50  per
subordinate voting share) issued to certain shareholders of Joseph Holdings. Upon completion of these transactions,
the company invested $74,968 in Joseph Holdings, and owned 70.3% equity interest and 73.3% of the Class A shares
of Joseph Holdings, becoming the largest beneficial shareholder of AGH with a 42.2% indirect equity interest.

On January 31, 2018 AGH completed its previously announced rights issue and raised $43,676 (518.6 million South
African rand) at 2.27 South African rand per ordinary share (the ‘‘AGH Rights Offer’’). Joseph Holdings maintained its
60.0% equity interest in AGH through the purchase of 137,074,140 ordinary shares for cash consideration of $26,137
(311.2  million  South  African  rand).  To  fund  the  additional  investment  in  AGH,  Joseph  Holdings  requested  its
shareholders to provide funding on a pro rata basis consistent with their equity interest in Joseph Holdings. Certain
shareholders of Joseph Holdings declined to take up their pro rata share, which resulted in Fairfax Africa acquiring
79,743,201 ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings for cash consideration of $18,501 (excluding a non-cash realized gain
of  $1,803  on  the  AGH  Rights  Offer).  Upon  completion  of  the  AGH  Rights  Offer,  Fairfax  Africa  held
235,798,976 ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings representing a 72.9% equity interest and 49,942,549 or 73.3% of the
outstanding Class A shares, for an aggregate investment of $93,469. In aggregate, Fairfax Africa held a 43.8% indirect
equity interest in AGH through its ownership in Joseph Holdings.

The company’s right to acquire ordinary shares of AGH, through its investment in Joseph Holdings, at a fixed price
was  determined  to  be  a  derivative  financial  instrument  under  IFRS.  The  appreciation  of  AGH’s  share  price  to
2.43 South African rand on closing of the AGH Rights Offer resulted in the recognition of a non-cash realized gain on
investments of $1,803 in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2018.

On November 19, 2018 the company acquired an additional 5,260,679 ordinary shares and 270,362 Class A shares of
Joseph  Holdings  for  aggregate  cash  consideration  of  $1,408  from  an  employee  of  the  company’s  portfolio
sub-advisor, Pactorum Ltd. (‘‘Pactorum’’). Refer to note 12 for additional details on this related party transaction.
Upon completion of this transaction, Fairfax Africa had invested $96,680, inclusive of the non-cash realized gain of
$1,803, in Joseph Holdings (comprised of 74.6% of the ordinary shares and 73.7% of the Class A shares of Joseph
Holdings). Fairfax Africa continues to be the largest beneficial shareholder of AGH, through its investment in Joseph
Holdings, with a 44.7% indirect equity interest.

At December 31, 2018 the company had appointed five of the ten AGH board members and three of the four Joseph
Holdings board members.

AGH Facilities

On June 21, 2017 Fairfax Africa entered into a secured lending arrangement with AGH, pursuant to which Fairfax
Africa provided $23,255 (300 million South African rand) of financing (the ‘‘AGH Facility’’). The AGH Facility earned
interest at a rate of South African prime plus 2.0% per annum and a raising fee equal to 2.0% of the loan proceeds.

The AGH Facility was initially scheduled to mature on December 23, 2017 with an option for AGH to repay the AGH
Facility in newly issued shares of AGH, subject to certain conditions on maturity. On December 19, 2017 the AGH
Facility maturity date was extended from December 23, 2017 to January 31, 2018. During the extension period, the
AGH Facility interest rate was increased to South African prime plus 6.0% per annum. On January 31, 2018 the AGH
Facility matured and the company received $25,399 (including accrued interest) and recognized a realized foreign
exchange gain of $1,166 (2017 – nil) in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2018.

On December 13, 2018 the company entered into a second secured lending arrangement with AGH pursuant to
which Fairfax Africa provided $13,074 (180 million South African rand) of financing. The facility will earn interest at
a  rate  of  South  African  prime  plus  2.0%,  payable  on  maturity  and  will  mature  six  months  from  the  date  of  last
issuance. At December 31, 2018 the facility was not drawn down by AGH.

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Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 21, 2019 the full $13,074 (180 million South African rand) was advanced to AGH. The facility including
accrued interest matures on July 19, 2019.

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

AGH is headquartered in South Africa. Refer to the Business Developments section under the heading Operating
Environment of this MD&A for a description of the macroeconomic conditions in South Africa.

AGH’s key business drivers relate to its ability to sustain and grow its grain management and equipment operations
through  capital  upgrades,  support  the  growth  of  Philafrica  and  expand  its  financial  services  offerings  to  the
agricultural sector.

In March 2018 AFGRI Holdings previously announced acquisition of National Bank of Greece Group’s 99.8% stake in
SABA was approved by the Ministry of Finance. AFGRI Holdings had previously received approval for the acquisition
in 2017 by the competition authorities and the South African Reserve Bank. On September 28, 2018 AFGRI Holdings
acquired a 30.0% equity interest in GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited (‘‘GroCapital Holdings’’). On October 4,
2018  GroCapital  Holdings  acquired  the  99.8%  equity  interest  in  SABA  and  subsequently  acquired  an  additional
equity interest in SABA from minority shareholders and as a result at December 31, 2018 held an equity interest in
SABA of 99.9%. The acquisition of GroCapital Holdings provides AGH with a retail and alliance banking platform for
current and prospective customers, allowing AGH to continue its focus on innovation and food security.

For  AGH’s  fiscal  year  ending  March  31,  2018,  the  company  achieved  an  overall  Broad-Based  Black  Economic
Empowerment (‘‘B-BBEE’’) scorecard rating of level 4, representing one of the most empowered companies in the
agricultural  sector  in  South  Africa.  The  B-BBEE  scorecard  was  designed  to  ensure  economic  transformation  and
re-distribution  within  the  South  African  corporate  sector,  to  the  benefit  of  racial  groups  who  were  previously
discriminated against. A B-BBEE scorecard rating level of 4 represents 100% compliance with the Black Economic
Empowerment Act.

In January 2019 South Africa’s department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries released its preliminary area planted
estimate for the 2019 summer crop, with the total area for the maize crop planted decreasing slightly by 2.2% to
2.27  million  hectares  when  compared  to  the  2018  summer  crop  covering  2.32  million  hectares  (which  yielded
12.9 million tons of maize).

On November 19, 2018, concurrent with Philafrica’s previously announced rights offering, AGH converted $59,601
(833 million South African rand) of its $96,092 (1,343 million South African rand) shareholder loan with Philafrica
into  30,000  ordinary  shares  of  Philafrica.  Following  the  completion  of  the  Philafrica  Rights  Offer,  AGH  held
60,000 ordinary shares of Philafrica representing a 60.0% equity interest (Philafrica was a wholly-owned subsidiary of
AGH prior to its rights offer).

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

Indirect Equity Interest in AGH

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH
using a discounted cash flow analysis based on multi-year free cash flow projections with assumed after-tax discount
rates ranging from 11.7% to 26.0% and a long term growth rate of 3.0% (December 31, 2017 – 11.6% to 25.1%, and
3.0% respectively). At December 31, 2018 free cash flow projections were based on EBITDA estimates derived from
financial information for AGH’s business units prepared in the fourth quarter of 2018 (December 31, 2017 – fourth
quarter of 2017) by AGH’s management. Discount rates were based on the company’s assessment of risk premiums to
the  appropriate  risk-free  rate  of  the  economic  environment  in  which  AGH  operates.  At  December  31,  2018  the
company’s  internal  valuation  model  indicated  that  the  fair  value  of  its  44.7%  indirect  equity  interest  in  AGH,
acquired  through  the  company’s  ownership  in  Joseph  Holdings,  was  $111,888  (December  31,  2017 – $88,314),
comprised of the Class A shares and ordinary shares of Joseph Holdings. The changes in fair value of the company’s
indirect equity interest in AGH in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables at the outset of the African Investments
section of this MD&A.

The  change  in  the  fair  value  of  the  company’s  indirect  equity  interest  in  AGH  at  December  31,  2018  from
December 31, 2017 was primarily related to the additional investment of $18,501 completed on January 31, 2018 as
part of the AGH Rights Offer, a non-cash realized gain of $1,803 related to the forward derivative arising from the

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

AGH Rights Offer and unrealized gains of $18,082 primarily due to an increase in the fair value of the silo business
within AAS, partially offset by unrealized foreign exchange losses of $16,220.

AGH Facilities

On January 31, 2018 the AGH Facility matured and the company received $25,399 (including accrued interest) and
recognized a realized foreign exchange gain of $1,166 (2017 – nil) in the consolidated statements of earnings and
comprehensive income in 2018.

In  2018  the  company  recorded  interest  income  of  $383  (2017 – $1,982)  within  interest  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income related to the AGH Facility.

AGH’s Summarized Financial Information

The company’s fiscal year ends on December 31 and AGH’s fiscal year ends on March 31. Effective March 31, 2018
AGH  changed  its  presentation  currency  from  U.S.  dollars  to  the  South  African  rand  to  better  align  with:  (i)  its
functional currency; (ii) the change in its governance structure to that of an investment holding company; and
(iii) the Board’s performance evaluation and investment decisions, which are based on the South African rand.

The South African rand weakened relative to the U.S. dollar in the first six months of fiscal 2018 compared to the first
six months of fiscal 2017 by 4.8%. To avoid the distortion of results caused by foreign currency translation, the tables
below present AGH’s financial and operating results in both U.S. dollar and South African rand (AGH’s functional
currency). The discussion which follows refers to those South African rand figures unless indicated otherwise.

Balance Sheets
(unaudited – US$ thousands)

Current assets
Non-current assets
Current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Shareholders’ equity

South African rand

US$

September 30, 2018 March 31, 2018
6,011,610
4,747,152
5,115,028
3,452,998
2,190,736

7,568,525
5,067,389
6,975,846
3,499,875
2,160,193

September 30, 2018(1) March 31, 2018(1)
508,407
403,311
432,580
292,700
186,438

534,962
358,174
493,123
247,379
152,634

(1) The net assets of AGH were translated at September 30, 2018 at $1 U.S. dollar = 14.15 South African rand and at March 31, 2018 at

$1 U.S. dollar = 11.82 South African rand. The exchange rates used were the spot rates prevailing on those respective dates.

The increase in current assets primarily reflected an increase in trade and other receivables, inventories and cash and
cash  equivalents  arising  from  trading  activities  in  AFGRI  International  (as  the  Zambia  market  enters  its  buying
season), improved performances in AFGRI’s grain management business (due to an increase in storage fees) and an
increase in volumes in Philafrica’s milling and Nedan divisions (arising from better procurement in a less volatile
commodity market), partially offset by a decrease in income tax assets and trade receivables financed by banks. The
increase  in  non-current  assets  primarily  related  to  increases  in  other  intangible  assets,  property,  plant  and
equipment, deferred income taxes and goodwill arising from Philafrica’s acquisition of Pakworks. The increase in
current  liabilities  primarily  related  to  increases  in  short-term  borrowings  and  bank  overdrafts,  trade  and  other
payables,  commodity  finance,  short-term  portion  of  long-term  borrowings,  commodity  finance  and  derivative
financial  instruments  (due  to  a  weaker  rand,  which  impacted  the  fair  value  of  derivatives  within  the  financial
markets brokerage business), partially offset by a reduction in borrowings from banks to finance trade receivables.
The increase in non-current liabilities primarily related to borrowings and deferred income tax liabilities.

Summarized below are AGH’s statements of earnings for the six months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017.

80

Statements of Earnings
(unaudited – US$ thousands)

South African rand

US$

Revenue
Earnings before taxes
Net earnings (loss)

Six months ended

Six months ended

Six months ended
September 30, 2018 September 30, 2017 September 30, 2018(1) September 30, 2017(1)
478,331
13,027
8,060

6,399,401
47,845
(31,262)

6,304,810
171,716
106,253

479,271
3,584
(2,341)

Six months ended

(1) Amounts  for  the  six  months  ended  September  30,  2018  and  2017  were  translated  into  US$  using  the  average  exchange  rates  of

$1 U.S. dollar = 13.35 South African rand and $1 U.S. dollar = 13.18 South African rand prevailing during those periods.

Revenues increased primarily due to the strong performances in Philafrica’s milling and Nedan divisions (arising
from better procurement in a less volatile commodity market), the inclusion of recently acquired Pakworks’ revenue
for 3 months and a strong performance by AFGRI International’s equipment business following its 2017 acquisition,
partially offset by lower equipment volumes in South Africa (through the John Deere brand) following a late harvest
and uncertainty surrounding government plans on land reform (with farmers holding off on capital purchases), and
lower volumes at Philafrica’s mussels, cassava and poultry businesses. The decrease in earnings before taxes and net
loss  were  primarily  due  to  increased  costs  associated  with  Philafrica’s  acquisitions  of  DADTCO  and  Pakworks,  a
decrease in grain management’s storage fees following a smaller summer crop, a decrease in equipment volumes in
South  Africa  (due  to  the  factors  mentioned  earlier),  foreign  currency  losses  reported  at  the  non-South  African
operations following the depreciation of the South African rand and increased income tax expense.

Investment in Philafrica Foods Proprietary Ltd.

Business Overview

Philafrica Food Proprietary Ltd. (‘‘Philafrica’’) is headquartered in South Africa, where it owns and operates maize
mills, wheat mills, animal feed factories, snacking facilities, soya crushing and extraction plants, which process oil
and other raw materials into edible oils, fats and proteins for human consumption (primarily for the food processing
and quick-service restaurant industries), and a mussels farm and factory. Philafrica also has food-related businesses
outside South Africa, consisting mainly of a cassava processing business in C ˆote d’Ivoire and Mozambique and a
poultry joint venture in Mozambique. In addition to its 14 production plants, (including newly acquired mussels
and snack manufacturing operations), across the South African provinces of Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga,
Eastern Cape, Western Cape, the Free State and Limpopo, Philafrica has operations in Mozambique.

Philafrica’s vision is to transform the lives of millions of Africans through food processing in Africa. Currently, most
African  countries  are  net  importers  of  processed  food  products.  Philafrica’s  management  believes  that  the  most
effective way to transform African agriculture is to create market pull through large-scale food processing, which
requires vertical integration throughout the entire food value chain straight back to the farms and ensures consistent
quality supply of raw materials into the company’s food production sites. In order to achieve this vision, Philafrica
has  implemented  a  three  pillar  strategy  focused  on:  (i)  increasing  its  share  in  the  South  African  value  chain  by
acquiring food processing companies; (ii) replacing imported food products by growing and processing more local
raw materials in Africa, specifically by building greenfield production sites; and (iii) localizing the entire food value
chain  so  that  Africa  can  capitalize  on  export  opportunities,  specifically  through  acquisitions  within  strategic
countries such as C ˆote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Ethiopia and Mozambique.

Philafrica’s principal lines of business are as follows:

Cassava Processing

Philafrica’s Cassava Processing business, through its controlling stake in the Dutch Agricultural Development and
Trading  Company  (‘‘DADTCO’’),  produces  a  high  quality  wet  starch  and  dry  starch  flour  derived  from  cassava.
Cassava is a starchy root and the largest produced crop in Africa (on a tonnage measurement), and is mainly grown
by smallholder farmers. Philafrica processes cassava into an intermediate product (‘‘business-to-business’’) and an
end product (‘‘business-to-consumer’’). The intermediate product, cassava starch cake, is a semi wet cassava paste or

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

wet starch flour. The end product is cassava starch flour, which is a white dry starch flour derived from the cassava
root. Both cassava starch cake and cassava starch flour are primarily used in the baking and brewing industries.

The cassava root is a perishable product that needs to be processed within 48 hours of harvesting, making it a difficult
crop  to  industrialize.  DADTCO  has  invented  a  unique  mobile  cassava  processing  factory  that  is  able  to  process
cassava into food grade products at the village level, bridging the gap between smallholder farmers and large food
companies while guaranteeing consistent high product quality.

Grain Milling

Philafrica’s Grain Milling business, through its AFGRI Milling division, is involved in the industrial milling of yellow
corn (maize) and wheat flour. AFGRI Milling operates three maize mills in Mpumalanga (Bethal, Kinross and Ermelo)
and  one  wheat  mill  in  Harrismith  in  the  Free  State.  These  mills  have  achieved  FSSC  22000  Food  Safety  System
Certification, which is the worldwide preferred and accepted Food Safety Standard and they are also certified Halaal
and Kosher producers.

Corn, or maize as it is known in South Africa, is the largest produced field crop and is planted throughout the country
under  diverse  environments.  South  Africa  is  the  main  maize  producer  on  the  African  continent.  Approximately
14  million  tons  of  maize  is  produced  annually  on  2.5  million  hectares  of  land,  of  which  7.7  million  tons  and
6.2 million tons are white and yellow maize respectively. In developed countries, yellow maize is consumed mainly
as a second-cycle produce, in the form of meat, eggs and dairy products. In Africa, white maize is consumed directly
and serves as staple diet for some 200 million people. In South Africa yellow maize is used predominantly for animal
feed as well as for cereals and snack products.

To ensure consistent high product quality, AFGRI Milling has implemented a stringent Identity Preservation Program
in collaboration with AFGRI Grain Management Proprietary Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of AGH, in order to
segregate, handle and store the different classes and grades of maize and wheat which is required to mill to customer
specifications.

Oil and Protein

Philafrica’s  Oil  and  Protein  business,  through  its  division  Nedan  Foods  (‘‘Nedan’’),  processes  oil  and  other  raw
materials  into  edible  oils  and  high-protein  textured  vegetable  products  for  the  food  processing  and  fast  food
industries. As a bulk oil supplier to the industrial food market and related industries in South Africa, Nedan is also the
market leader in texturized soya protein for human consumption and supplies high quality oil cake for the animal
feed industry. Nedan operates soya crushing and extraction plants with a refinery in Mokopane (Limpopo province)
with a plant capacity of 255,000 tonnes of soya beans per annum, and holds the FSSC 22000 Food Safety System
Certification and is also a Halaal and Kosher certified producer.

Animal Feeds

Philafrica’s animal feeds business, through AFGRI Animal Feeds, plays a vital role in the food value chain converting
raw materials into balanced feed for animal production to feed South Africa. With seven factories across the country
and approximately 1 million metric tonnes of annual capacity, AFGRI Animal Feeds is the largest independent feed
company, producing a comprehensive range of rations for poultry, dairy, beef, sheep, game and pet food (under the
dog food brand name Jock). It also operates an upstream integration business focused on supply of raw materials,
such as poultry-rendered products and by-pass products, to the animal feed industry in South Africa.

Poultry Mozambique

Philafrica’s Poultry Mozambique business, through its joint venture with Novos Horizontes, is based in Nampula,
Mozambique  and  provides  integrated  and  sustainable  agriculture  and  food  processing  across  the  entire  poultry
value chain.

Snack Manufacturing

Philafrica’s  Snack  Manufacturing  business,  through  its  recent  acquisition  of  Pakworks,  is  a  snack  manufacturing
company producing dry snacks exclusively for PepsiCo in SSA under the popular Nik Naks and Simba brand names.
Pakworks  operates  a  production  facility  based  in  Heilbron  in  the  Free  State  of  South  Africa  with  three  main

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manufacturing platforms: (i) processing, frying and packaging of peanuts; (ii) two hard-extruding lines producing
Nik Naks; and (iii) a full pellet frying line with the flexibility to process corn as well as potato-based pellets.

Mussel Farming and Processing

Philafrica’s Mussel Farming and Processing business, through Southern Atlantic Seafood Holdings under the brand
name Atlantic Royal, the largest, fully vertically-integrated mussel farm and processing company in South Africa.
Philafrica’s  Mussel  Farming  and  Processing  business  provides  farming,  harvesting,  processing,  packaging  and
marketing services to process and freeze the raw material directly after harvest, thus ensuring the highest quality
mussels for the market.

Additional information can be accessed from Philafrica’s website www.philafricafoods.com.

Transaction Description

Philafrica Facility

On February 28, 2018 and May 28, 2018 Fairfax Africa entered into secured lending arrangements with Philafrica,
pursuant to which the company provided Philafrica with $27,934 (330 million South African rand) and $13,219
(170 million South African rand, net of a 2% raising fee) (collectively referred to as the ‘‘Philafrica Facility’’) for
aggregate net cash consideration of $41,153. The Philafrica Facility bears interest at a rate of South African prime plus
2.0% per annum, payable monthly in arrears or capitalized to the loan amount at the election of Philafrica. In 2018
Fairfax Africa received a $686 (10 million South African rand) raising fee equal to 2.0% of the loan proceeds.

On  November  19,  2018  the  company  had  converted  $23,254  (325  million  South  African  rand)  of  the  Philafrica
Facility  into  26,000  newly  issued  ordinary  shares  of  Philafrica  as  part  of  the  Philafrica  rights  offering  (described
below).  On  December  24,  2018  the  remaining  investment  in  the  Philafrica  Facility,  including  raising  fees  and
interest, was fully repaid in cash.

Philafrica Common Shares

On November 19, 2018 Fairfax Africa participated in a previously announced rights offering of Philafrica ordinary
shares  for  aggregate  capital  raise  of  $35,775  (500  million  South  African  rand).  Fairfax  Africa  participated  in  the
Philafrica  Rights  Offer  and  converted  $23,254  (325  million  South  African  rand)  of  the  Philafrica  Facility  into
26,000 ordinary shares of Philafrica. Upon completion of this transaction, the company held a 26.0% equity interest
in  Philafrica,  and  AGH’s  equity  interest  decreased  from  100.0%  to  60.0%,  with  AGH  maintaining  control
of Philafrica.

At December 31, 2018 the company had appointed two of the seven Philafrica board members.

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

Philafrica is headquartered in South Africa, refer to the Business Developments section under the heading Operating
Environment of this MD&A for a description of the macroeconomic conditions in South Africa.

Philafrica’s key business drivers relate to its ability to grow and vertically integrate its share in the food value chain
across the African continent.

On July 1, 2018 Philafrica announced its acquisition of a majority shareholding in Pakworks, following approval by
the Competition Tribunal. The Pakworks acquisition will allow Philafrica to partner with one of its important milling
customers and diversify its business model by moving down the supply chain to drive additional value.

On November 19, 2018 Philafrica completed its previously announced rights offering of $35,775 (500 million South
African rand) as discussed above. The proceeds from the rights offering will provide Philafrica with the liquidity
needed to pursue merger and acquisition activities, and reduced its total debt, which strengthened its balance sheet
enabling Philafrica to refinance its debt with more favourable market terms.

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Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

Philafrica Facility

At December 31, 2018 the Philafrica Facility was fully extinguished as discussed above. The changes in fair value of
the Philafrica Facility in 2018 are presented in the table at the outset of the African Investments section of this
MD&A. In 2018 upon conversion and repayment of the Philafrica Facility, the company recorded a realized foreign
exchange loss of $6,130 in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $3,903 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the Philafrica Facility.

Philafrica Common Shares

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in Philafrica using a discounted cash
flow  analysis  based  on  multi-year  free  cash  flow  projections  with  assumed  after-tax  discount  rates  ranging  from
13.7% to 24.4% and a long term growth rate of 3.0% (December 31, 2017 – nil and nil). At December 31, 2018 free
cash flow projections were based on EBITDA estimates derived from financial information for Philafrica’s business
units  prepared  in  the  fourth  quarter  of  2018  by  Philafrica’s  management.  Discount  rates  were  based  on  the
company’s assessment of risk premiums to the appropriate risk-free rate of the economic environment in which
Philafrica operates. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the fair value of its
investment in Philafrica was $23,463 (December 31, 2017 – nil) for the 26.0% equity interest. The changes in fair
value of the company’s investment in Philafrica in 2018 are presented in the table disclosed at the outset of the
African Investments section of this MD&A.

Investment in GroCapital Holdings Proprietary Limited

Business Overview

GroCapital Holdings is a bank holding company that owns 99.9% of SABA. SABA was established in 1947 in South
Africa and is focused on delivering world-class banking services to the medium-sized business market in the country.
SABA offers comprehensive traditional business banking such as lending, transaction banking, treasury and foreign
exchange as well as alliance banking services, which provide niche transactional banking offerings in partnership
with non-banking entities who would like to offer financial services into their customer base.

SABA’s principal lines of business are as follows:

Business and Commercial Banking

SABA’s Business and Commercial Banking is focused on the cornerstones of business banking (transactional banking,
lending and deposit services) and targets the small and medium sized business customer. To facilitate international
business  transactions  SABA’s  Business  and  Commercial  banking  is  fully  integrated  with  the  SABA’s  Treasury  and
Global  Transactional  Services  (‘‘GTS’’)  business  (see  below).  SABA  also  offers  risk  and  investment  solutions  from
leading providers in the industry which includes short and long term insurance as well as investment management
services.  These  solutions  are  delivered  through  seven  business  suites  situated  in  key  business  centres  across
South Africa.

Treasury and Global Transaction Services

SABA’s GTS business is focused on providing professional and personalized foreign exchange (import and export)
services  to  the  small  and  medium  sized  business  customer.  GTS’  range  of  products  include  spot  and  forward
contracts,  foreign  currency  accounts,  letters  of  credit,  collection  of  foreign  currency,  cross  border  payments  and
exchange control applications.

Alliance Banking

SABA’s Alliance Banking business model focuses on banking products developed and offered to identified market
segments or groups through a leveraged partner system. SABA strategically partners with established retailers and
innovative financial technology (FinTech) companies to deliver these solutions.

Additional information can be accessed from SABA’s website www.bankofathens.co.za.

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Transaction Description

GroCapital Holdings Common Shares

In December 2016 AFGRI Holdings entered into an agreement with the National Bank of Greece S.A. and NBG Malta
Holdings  Ltd.  (collectively  ‘‘NBG’’)  to  acquire  27,965,985  ordinary  shares,  or  a  99.8%  equity  interest  in  SABA
(the  ‘‘SPA’’).  To  facilitate  the  closing  of  this  transaction,  GroCapital  Holdings  was  established  as  a  bank  holding
company  to  acquire  the  SABA  shares.  On  May  12,  2017  AFGRI  Holdings  appointed  GroCapital  Holdings  as  its
nominee for purposes of the SPA and assigned its rights and obligations under the SPA to GroCapital Holdings. On
September 28, 2018 Fairfax Africa acquired a 35.0% equity interest in GroCapital Holdings for cash consideration of
$9,848 (139.4 million South African rand). The Public Investment Corporation SOC Limited (‘‘PIC’’) and AGH own
the remaining 35.0% and 30.0% equity interest in GroCapital Holdings.

On October 4, 2018 GroCapital Holdings acquired the 99.8% equity interest in SABA from NBG through the SPA
assignment from AFGRI Holdings. GroCapital Holdings subsequently acquired an additional equity interest in SABA
from minority shareholders and at December 31, 2018 had an equity interest in SABA of 99.9%.

On October 26, 2018 GroCapital Holdings issued a capital call to its shareholders to fund their pro rata contribution,
which was invested by GroCapital Holdings into SABA to ensure compliance with capital adequacy requirements of
the South African regulators. On November 8, 2018 Fairfax Africa invested their pro rata contribution of the capital
call of $2,293 (32.2 million South African rand) to GroCapital Holdings to maintain its 35.0% equity interest. Upon
completion of this transaction, the company had invested aggregate cash consideration of $12,141 in GroCapital
Holdings.

At December 31, 2018 the company had not yet appointed any GroCapital Holdings board members where the
company is allowed to appoint two of the seven. At December 31, 2018 the company had appointed one of the nine
SABA board members.

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

SABA is headquartered in South Africa. See the Operating Environment section of this MD&A for a description of the
macroeconomic conditions in South Africa.

SABA’s  key  business  drivers  relate  to  its  ability  to  grow  and  penetrate  the  financial  services  industry  in  Africa,
particularly  through  its  Business  Banking  and  Alliance  Banking  lines  of  businesses.  As  part  of  AGH’s  GroCapital
Advisory Services line of business, SABA intends to grow its customer base in the agricultural industry with a focus on
SMEs. SABA’s Alliance Banking creates an opportunity to provide co-branded financial services to AGH’s customers in
a strategic partnership with established retailers and FinTech companies.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

GroCapital Holdings Common Shares

The initial transaction price for the company’s investment in GroCapital Holdings was considered to approximate
fair value at December 31, 2018 as there were no significant changes to its investment in SABA’s business, capital
structure  and  operating  environment  and  the  key  assumptions  in  the  company’s  acquisition  valuation  model
continue to be valid. In 2018 the change in fair value of the company’s equity interest in GroCapital Holdings related
to  foreign  exchange  losses  and  is  presented  in  the  table  at  the  outset  of  the  African  Investments  section  of
this MD&A.

Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Debt Instrument and Derivative Obligation)

Business Overview

The company’s investment in CIG is comprised of common shares, a debt instrument and a derivative obligation.
The company’s investment in CIG common shares is discussed in the Public African Investments section under the
heading Investment in Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Common Shares) earlier in this MD&A.

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Transaction Description

CIG Loan

On  May  18,  2018  the  company  entered  into  a  secured  lending  arrangement  with  CIG,  pursuant  to  which  the
company provided CIG with $23,270 (300 million South African rand) of financing (the ‘‘CIG Loan’’). The initial
term of the CIG Loan was for a period of one year at an interest rate of South African prime plus 4.0% per annum,
payable monthly in cash. On August 29, 2018 at a CIG Extraordinary General Meeting, shareholder approval was
received for the conversion features contained in the CIG Loan (described below), and as a result the term of the CIG
Loan was increased to five years and the interest rate was reduced to South African prime plus 2.0% per annum.

Fairfax Africa has the option at any time during the five year term to convert all or a portion of the CIG Loan into a
maximum of 57,692,308 ordinary shares of CIG at a price of 5.20 South African rand per share. CIG has the option
after June 4, 2021 to convert the CIG Loan into ordinary shares at a price of 5.20 South African rand per share,
provided  that  the  CIG  ordinary  shares  have  traded  at  more  than  6.24  South  African  rand  per  share  for  at  least
90 consecutive days at the time of conversion.

Fairfax  Africa  received  a  fee  of  $597  (7.5  million  South  African  rand)  for  its  involvement  in  structuring  the
transaction  that  initially  reduced  the  cost  of  the  company’s  investment  and  is  amortized  over  the  term  of  the
CIG Loan.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

CIG Loan

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the CIG Loan using an industry
accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated the security’s estimated credit spread of
7.8% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and estimated historical share price volatility of 60.9% (December 31, 2017 – nil).
The estimated credit spread was based on a peer group of comparable companies adjusted for credit risk specific to
CIG. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that the estimated fair value of the
CIG Loan was $21,068 (December 31, 2017 – nil). The changes in fair value of the CIG Loan in 2018 are presented in
the table at the outset of the African Investments section of this MD&A.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $1,630 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the CIG Loan.

CIG Rights Offer (Derivative Obligation)

The  company’s  obligation  to  subscribe  for  178,995,353  ordinary  shares  of  CIG  as  part  of  the  CIG  Rights  Offer
(as previously discussed in the Public African Investments section under the heading Investment in Consolidated
Infrastructure  Group  (Common  Shares)  earlier  in  this  MD&A)  gave  rise  to  a  forward  derivative  liability.  At
December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of the derivative obligation using an estimated forward
price of the CIG ordinary shares on the closing date of January 4, 2019 compared to the Offer Price, which was
multiplied by the take-up of the CIG Rights Offer by Fairfax Africa. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal
valuation model indicated that the estimated fair value of the derivative obligation was $5,724 (December 31, 2017 –
nil). The changes in fair value of the derivative obligation for CIG’s Rights Offer in 2018 are presented in the table at
the outset of the African Investments section of this MD&A.

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 4, 2019 upon closing of the CIG Rights Offer the company settled the derivative obligation and will
record a realized gain of $5,724 in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in the first
quarter of 2019.

Investment in the PGR2 Loan (Debt Instrument)

Transaction Description

On May 18, 2018, in conjunction with the CIG Loan, Fairfax Africa entered into a secured lending agreement with
PGR2  Investments  Proprietary  Limited  (‘‘PGR2’’),  the  largest  shareholder  of  CIG  at  the  time  of  the  transaction,
pursuant to which the company provided PGR2 with $19,969 (260 million South African rand) of secured financing

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(the ‘‘PGR2 Loan’’). The PGR2 Loan is secured by ordinary shares of CIG held by PGR2 and associated parties and
bears interest at a rate of 15.0% per annum, payable semi-annually in cash, with a maturity date of May 24, 2021. The
PGR2 Loan is repayable in full if the ordinary shares of CIG trade above 6.50 South African rand for 30 consecutive
days. Within six months after the closing date of the CIG Rights Offer, either party may elect to buy or sell shares
from the other to the extent necessary to ensure both parties hold an equal number of shares. In 2018 the company’s
investment in the PGR2 Loan of $20,996 was comprised of a principal draw down of $19,969 (260 million South
African rand) and capitalized interest of $1,027 (14.4 million South African rand).

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the PGR2 Loan using an industry
accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated PGR2’s estimated credit spread of 11.9%
(December 31, 2017 – nil). The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable
companies adjusted for credit risk specific to PGR2. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model
indicated that the estimated fair value its investment in the PGR2 Loan was $17,527 (December 31, 2017 – nil). The
changes in fair value of the PGR2 Loan in 2018 are presented in the table at the outset of the African Investments
section of this MD&A.

In 2018 the company recorded interest income of $1,222 (2017 – nil) within interest in the consolidated statements
of earnings and comprehensive income related to the PGR2 Loan.

Investment in Atlas Mara Limited (Debt Instruments and Warrants)

The  company’s  investment  in  Atlas  Mara  is  comprised  of  common  shares,  debt  instruments  and  warrants.  The
common shares are discussed in the Public African Investments section under the heading Investment in Atlas Mara
Limited (Common Shares) earlier in this MD&A. The Atlas Mara bonds discussed below are not rated.

Transaction Description

Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond (Converted into Common Shares)

On July 17, 2017 the company invested $100,000 in Atlas Mara through the purchase of a mandatory convertible
bond with an interest rate of 5.0% per annum (the ‘‘Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond’’) which increased to 10.0%
per annum on August 31, 2017. On August 31, 2017, concurrent with the closing of the Atlas Mara Equity Offering
(described  in  the  Public  African  Investments  section  as  noted  above),  the  Atlas  Mara  5.0%  Convertible  Bond
(including accrued interest) was converted into 44,722,222 ordinary shares of Atlas Mara.

Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible Bonds (Extinguished for Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds plus Warrants, and Atlas Mara
11.0% Convertible Bonds)

On April 24, 2018 Fairfax Africa and Atlas Mara entered into a placing agreement pursuant to which the company
purchased $16,000 par value convertible bonds maturing on April 24, 2020. The terms of the convertible bonds
included a two year tenor, original issue discount of 5.0% and a 1.0% upfront origination fee with interest at a rate of
7.5% per annum. The bonds were convertible at maturity at the option of Fairfax Africa into ordinary shares of Atlas
Mara (the ‘‘Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible Bonds’’).

On July 5, 2018 the company amended the terms of the placing agreement (the ‘‘Amended Placing Agreement’’) to
provide an additional $20,000 in funding to Atlas Mara. Upon completion of this transaction, the company held
$36,000 par value convertible bonds with an interest rate of 7.5% maturing on April 24, 2020 for total aggregate cash
consideration of $33,840 (net of the fees). In the fourth quarter of 2018 the terms of the Atlas Mara 7.5% Convertible
Bonds  were  amended  resulting  in  the  company  for  accounting  purposes  treating  it  as  an  extinguishment,  as
described below.

Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds plus Warrants

On November 6, 2018 the company amended the terms of the Amended Placing Agreement on the $20,000 par value
convertible bonds as follows: (i) replaced the conversion feature of the bonds with 6,200,000 of Atlas Mara warrants,
that can be exercised by the company at a price of $3.20 per ordinary share of Atlas Mara; and, (ii) amended maturity
date of the bonds to November 6, 2021, with the option by Atlas Mara to extend the maturity by an additional year to

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

November 6, 2022. The interest rate on the bonds remained at 7.5% per annum, with interest payable semi-annually
(‘‘Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds’’).

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds

On December 11, 2018 the company amended the terms of the Amended Placing Agreement for the $16,000 par
value convertible bonds as follows: (i) an increase in the interest rate to 11.0% per annum accrued quarterly and in
lieu of cash, the interest is payable in kind in the form of additional Atlas Mara bonds (‘‘Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible
Bonds’’); and, (ii) amended the maturity date to December 11, 2019 with the option by Atlas Mara to extend the
maturity by an additional year to December 11, 2020.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond (Converted into Common Shares)

The change in the fair value of the Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond between the date of initial recognition and the
conversion into Atlas Mara ordinary shares resulted in the recognition of a realized gain on investment of $5,098
recorded in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in 2017.

Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds plus Warrants

Under IFRS the changes to the terms of the bonds were deemed as substantial and accounted for as a non-cash
extinguishment  for  the  $20,000  par  value  convertible  bonds  that  were  exchanged  for  $20,000  par  value
non-convertible bonds and 6,200,000 warrants with fair values of $17,676 and $2,324 on the date of amendment. In
2018 the company recognized a realized gain on investment of $993 on the extinguishment of the $20,000 par value
convertible bond in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Atlas Mara’s estimated credit
spread of 10.3% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and assumptions related to certain redemption options embedded in the
bonds. The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable companies adjusted
for credit risk specific to Atlas Mara. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that
the estimated fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds was $17,499 (December 31, 2017 – nil).

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara warrants using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated estimated historical share price
volatility  of  34.5%  (December  31,  2017 – nil).  At  December  31,  2018  the  company’s  internal  valuation  model
indicated that the estimated fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara warrants was $1,016 (December 31, 2017 –
nil).

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds

Under  IFRS  the  changes  to  the  terms  of  the  convertible  bonds  were  deemed  substantial  and  accounted  for  as  a
non-cash  extinguishment  for  the  original  $16,000  par  value  convertible  bonds  that  were  exchanged  for  11.0%
Convertible Bonds with a fair value of $16,182 on date of amendment. In 2018 the company recognized a realized
gain  of  $885  on  extinguishment  of  the  $16,000  par  value  convertible  bonds  in  the  consolidated  statements  of
earnings and comprehensive income.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible
Bonds using an industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Atlas Mara’s
estimated credit spread of 10.3% (December 31, 2017 – nil) and assumptions related to certain redemption options
embedded in the bonds. The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer group of comparable
companies adjusted for credit risk specific to Atlas Mara. At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation
model  indicated  that  the  estimated  fair  value  of  its  investment  in  the  Atlas  Mara  11.0%  Convertible  Bonds  was
$16,334 (December 31, 2017 – nil).

The  changes  in  fair  value  of  the  company’s  bond  and  warrant  investments  in  Atlas  Mara  in  2018  and  2017  are
presented in the tables at the outset of the African Investments section of this MD&A. In 2018 the company recorded
interest  income  of  $2,441  (2017 – $1,117)  within  interest  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and
comprehensive income related to the Atlas Mara bonds.

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Investment in Nova Pioneer Education Group

Business Overview

Nova Pioneer Education Group (‘‘Nova Pioneer’’) is a Pan-African independent school network offering preschool
through secondary education for students from ages 3 through 19. Nova Pioneer was started in 2013 with its first
school opening in South Africa in 2014. Since then, the company has expanded across South Africa and launched its
first  campus  in  Kenya  in  2015.  Nova  Pioneer  currently  operates  ten  schools  with  a  combined  enrollment  of
3,830 students.

The middle class has rapidly expanded across key regions in Africa. As a result, the demand for affordable, quality
private education has grown in excess of available supply. Nova Pioneer is well-positioned to become a leading brand
in the African education sector. Average annual tuition per student is approximately $3,250 (2017 – $3,000) and is
priced to target emerging middle to upper-middle income families.

Additional information can be accessed from Nova Pioneer’s website www.novapioneer.com.

Transaction Description

Nova Pioneer Facility (Converted in 2017 for Nova Pioneer Bond and Warrants)

On  June  8,  2017  Fairfax  Africa  entered  into  a  secured  lending  arrangement  with  Ascendant  Learning  Limited
(‘‘Ascendant’’), the Mauritius based parent entity of Nova Pioneer. In advance of the secured lending arrangement,
Ascendant was permitted to borrow up to $4,000 (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer Facility’’) for the benefit of Nova Pioneer. The
Nova  Pioneer  Facility  had  an  initial  interest  rate  of  5.0%  per  annum,  which  increased  to  18.0%  per  annum  on
June 30, 2017. The Nova Pioneer Facility was secured against certain assets of Ascendant and its subsidiaries. On
June  8,  2017  and  August  10,  2017,  Ascendant  borrowed  $3,000  and  $1,000,  respectively,  on  the  Nova  Pioneer
Facility. On August 22, 2017 the Nova Pioneer Facility was converted into the Nova Pioneer securities (discussed
below).

Nova Pioneer Bonds and Warrants

On  June  30,  2017  Fairfax  Africa  announced  a  $20,000  investment  in  Nova  Pioneer  which  consisted  of  secured
debentures maturing on December 31, 2024 (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer Bonds’’) and 2,000,000 warrants (the ‘‘Nova Pioneer
Warrants’’) to be issued in tranches. At December 31, 2017 the $20,000 investment was completed, consisting of
securities with fair values on the date of the investment of Nova Pioneer Bonds of $19,545 and 2,000,000 Nova
Pioneer Warrants of $455.

The Nova Pioneer Bonds bear interest at a rate of 20.0% per annum and are redeemable by Ascendant at par at any
time after June 30, 2021, except in circumstances relating to a change of control or a value realization event. Each
Nova Pioneer Warrant can be exercised by the company at a price of $2.06 per ordinary share of Ascendant. Other
than in circumstances relating to a change of control or a value realization event, the Nova Pioneer Warrants may be
exercised after June 30, 2021. The Nova Pioneer Bonds are not rated.

On August 30, 2018 on the same terms as the initial investment in Nova Pioneer as described above, the company
entered into an Amending Agreement and completed an additional $4,000 investment in Nova Pioneer, comprised
of secured debentures and 400,000 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with fair values on the date of the investment of $3,705
and $295. On December 31, 2018 the company entered into a Second Amending Agreement, under the same terms
as the prior investment, to provide an additional $10,000 investment in Nova Pioneer and invested $773 relating to
the incremental investment in Nova Pioneer, comprised of secured debentures and 77,293 Nova Pioneer Warrants,
with fair values on the date of the investment of $742 and $31 (‘‘tranche 1’’). Upon completion of this transaction,
the company had invested $26,242 in Nova Pioneer Bonds and $781 in Nova Pioneer Warrants, with a remaining
investment commitment of $9,227 at December 31, 2018 (partially completed on January 11, 2019 for an additional
$3,500 investment, as described below).

At December 31, 2018 the company did not have any board representation in Nova Pioneer.

89

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

On January 11, 2019 the company completed an additional $3,500 investment in Nova Pioneer as part of the Second
Amending Agreement, comprised of secured debentures and 350,000 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with fair values on the
date of investment of $3,333 and $167 (‘‘tranche 2’’).

Key Business Drivers, Events, and Risks

Nova Pioneer’s key business drivers relate to its success in meeting its enrollment targets, and scaling and expanding
its  operations  across  multiple  campuses  in  Kenya  and  South  Africa.  Nova  Pioneer’s  current  student  enrollment
represents a 75% increase over the prior year and they will produce their first high school graduates in 2019.

Nova Pioneer’s operations in Kenya continue to outperform, while the South African market remains competitive. As
a  result,  in  the  near  term  Nova  Pioneer’s  management  intends  to  pursue  more  growth  opportunities  in  Kenya,
mitigating the impact of the market dynamics in South Africa.

Valuation and Consolidated Financial Statement Impact

Nova Pioneer Bonds and Warrants

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Nova Pioneer Bonds using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated Nova Pioneer’s estimated credit
spread of 18.5% (December 31, 2017 – 18.9%). The estimated credit spread was based on the credit spreads of a peer
group of comparable companies adjusted for credit risk specific to Nova Pioneer and assumptions related to certain
redemption  options  embedded  in  the  bonds.  At  December  31,  2018  the  company’s  internal  valuation  model
indicated that the fair value of the investment in Nova Pioneer Bonds was $26,023 (December 31, 2017 – $19,414).
The changes in fair value of the Nova Pioneer Bonds in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables at the outset of the
African Investments section of this MD&A.

In  2018  the  company  recorded  interest  income  of  $4,772  (2017 – $1,016)  within  interest  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income related to the Nova Pioneer Bonds.

At December 31, 2018 the company estimated the fair value of its investment in the Nova Pioneer Warrants using an
industry accepted discounted cash flow and option pricing model that incorporated an estimated share price of
$1.46 (December 31, 2017 – $1.15). At December 31, 2018 the company’s internal valuation model indicated that
the fair value of the investment in the Nova Pioneer Warrants was $1,001 (December 31, 2017 – $520). The changes
in fair value of the Nova Pioneer Warrants in 2018 and 2017 are presented in the tables at the outset of the African
Investments section of this MD&A.

90

Results of Operations

Fairfax Africa’s consolidated statements of earnings for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, and for the
period April 28, 2016 (date of incorporation) to December 31, 2016 are shown in the following table:

2018

April 28-
2017 December 31, 2016

Income

Interest
Net realized gains on investments
Net change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments
Net foreign exchange gains (losses)

Expenses

Investment and advisory fees
Performance fee
General and administration expenses
Interest expense

Earnings (loss) before income taxes
Provision for income taxes

Net earnings (loss)

20,848
3,661
(40,690)
(25,927)

7,589
11,274
2,362
10,626

(42,108)

31,851

6,440
(319)
4,281
3,200

13,602

3,400
319
2,076
2,087

7,882

(55,710)
4,870

23,969
485

(60,580)

23,484

Net earnings (loss) per share (basic and diluted)

$

(1.06) $ 0.54

–
–
–
–

–

–
–
74
–

74

(74)
–

(74)

–

Total loss from income of $42,108 in 2018 decreased from total income of $31,851 in 2017 principally as a result of a
decreased net change in unrealized gains on investments (primarily related to unrealized losses on the company’s
investment in Atlas Mara common shares), and net foreign exchange gains (net foreign exchange losses in 2018 from
the weakening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar), partially offset by increased interest (primarily
relating to the Private African Investment loans and bonds investments completed in 2018).

Net realized gains on investments of $3,661 in 2018 primarily related to the extinguishment of the Atlas Mara bonds
($1,878) and recognition of a forward derivative liability as a result of the company’s participation in the AGH Rights
Offer through its investment in Joseph Holdings ($1,803) (refer to the Private African Investments section under the
heading Investment in AFGRI Holdings Proprietary Limited of this MD&A for further details). Net realized gains on
investments of $11,274 in 2017 primarily related to the recognition of realized gains on the Atlas Mara Commitment
derivative ($6,055) and the conversion of the Atlas Mara 5.0% Convertible Bond ($5,098) (see Investment in Atlas
Mara Limited (Debt Instruments and Warrants) within Private African Investments section of this MD&A for further
details).

The net change in unrealized losses on investments of $40,690 in 2018 was principally comprised of unrealized losses
on the company’s investment in Atlas Mara common shares ($49,579), a derivative obligation relating to the CIG
Rights Offer ($5,724), unrealized losses on Other African Investment ($2,100), the PGR2 loan ($1,545) and the Atlas
Mara  warrants  ($1,308),  partially  offset  by  unrealized  gains  on  the  company’s  investment  in  the  indirect  equity
interest in AGH ($18,082). The net change in unrealized gains on investments of $2,362 in 2017 was principally
comprised  of  unrealized  gains  on  the  company’s  indirect  equity  interest  in  AGH  ($4,200),  partially  offset  by
unrealized losses on the company’s investment in Atlas Mara ($1,817).

Net foreign exchange losses of $25,927 in 2018 was primarily a result of the weakening of the South African rand
relative to the U.S. dollar principally related to the company’s investments in the indirect equity interest in AGH
($16,220), Philafrica Facility ($6,130), CIG Loan ($2,942) and PGR2 Loan ($1,924), partially offset by net foreign
exchange gains on cash and cash equivalents. The net foreign exchange gain of $10,626 in 2017 primarily related to
the company’s investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH ($9,146) arising from the strengthening of the
South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar.

91

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Net gains (losses) on investments and net foreign currency gains (losses) in 2018 and 2017 were comprised as follows:

2018

2017

Net realized

Net change in
gains unrealized gains Net gains
(losses)

(losses)

(losses)

Net realized

Net change in
gains unrealized gains Net gains
(losses)

(losses)

(losses)

Net gains (losses) on

investments:
Short term investments –

U.S. treasury bills

Loans
Bonds
Common stocks
Derivatives

Net foreign exchange
gains (losses) on:
Cash and cash
equivalents

Loans
Common stocks
Other

(20)
–
1,878
1,803
–

3,661

1,620
(4,964)
–
–

(3,344)

–
(851)
(333)
(32,629)
(6,877)

(20)
(851)
1,545
(30,826)
(6,877)

–
–
5,219
–
6,055

–
–
(131)
2,428
65

–
–
5,088
2,428
6,120

(40,690)

(37,029)

11,274

2,362

13,636

–
(4,866)
(17,779)
62

1,620
(9,830)
(17,779)
62

(22,583)

(25,927)

(16)
–
–
–

(16)

–
978
9,605
59

(16)
978
9,605
59

10,642

10,626

Total expenses of $13,602 in 2018 increased from total expenses of $7,882 in 2017 primarily as a result of increased
investment and advisory fees as a result of the increased holdings of African Investments, increased general and
administration  expenses  and  interest  expense  incurred  on  the  secured  term  loan,  partially  offset  by  recovery  of
performance  fee  as  a  result  of  the  company  determining  that  there  was  no  performance  fee  accrual  at
December 31, 2018.

The investment and advisory fees are calculated and payable quarterly as 0.5% of the value of undeployed capital and
1.5% of the company’s common shareholders’ equity less the value of undeployed capital. In 2018 the company
determined a significant portion of its assets were invested in African investments, which are considered deployed
capital.  In  2018  the  investment  and  advisory  fee  recorded  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and
comprehensive income was $6,440 (2017 – $3,400).

The  performance  fee,  if  applicable,  is  accrued  quarterly  and  paid  for  the  period  from  February  17,  2017  to
December  31,  2019  (the  ‘‘first  calculation  period’’)  and  for  each  consecutive  three-year  period  thereafter.  It  is
calculated on a cumulative basis, as 20.0% of any increase in common shareholders’ equity per share (including
distributions) above a 5.0% per annum increase. The amount of common shareholders’ equity per share at any time,
which must be achieved before any performance fee would be payable, is sometimes referred to as the ‘‘hurdle per
share’’. At December 31, 2018 the company determined that there was no performance fee accrual (December 31,
2017 – $319)  as  the  book  value  per  share  of  $9.60  (before  factoring  in  the  impact  of  the  performance  fee)  at
December  31,  2018  was  less  than  the  hurdle  per  share  at  that  date  of  $11.00.  In  2018  the  company  recorded  a
performance  fee  recovery  of  $319  (2017 – performance  fee  of  $319)  in  performance  fee  in  the  consolidated
statements of earnings and comprehensive income. Refer to the Related Party Transactions section of this MD&A for
additional discussion on performance fee.

Interest expense of $3,200 in 2018 primarily related to the company’s Term Loan and, to a lesser extent, the funds
drawn on the company’s Credit Facility. On August 29, 2018 the proceeds from the cash collateral, including interest
received, was released from restricted cash and used to fully repay the Term Loan. Interest expense of $2,087 in 2017
primarily related to the company’s Term Loan and the LC Facility.

92

The provision for income taxes of $4,870 in 2018 differed from the recovery of income taxes determined by applying
the company’s Canadian statutory income tax rate of 26.5% to the company’s loss before income taxes primarily due
to tax rate differential on losses incurred outside of Canada and foreign exchange fluctuations, partially offset by
changes in unrecorded tax benefit of losses and temporary differences. The provision for income taxes of $485 in
2017  differed  from  the  provision  for  income  taxes  determined  by  applying  the  company’s  Canadian  statutory
income tax rate of 26.5% to the company’s earnings before income taxes primarily due to tax rate differential on
income earned outside of Canada and foreign exchange fluctuations, partially offset by changes in unrecorded tax
benefit of losses and temporary differences.

The company reported a net loss of $60,580 (net loss of $1.06 per basic and diluted share) in 2018 compared to net
earnings  of  $23,484  (net  earnings  of  $0.54  per  basic  and  diluted  share)  in  2017.  The  year-over-year  decrease  in
profitability primarily reflected decreased net change in unrealized gains on investments and net foreign exchange
gains, and increased provision for income taxes, investment and advisory fees, interest expense and general and
administration expenses, partially offset by increased interest.

Consolidated Balance Sheet Summary

The assets and liabilities reflected on the company’s consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2018 were impacted
by the African Investments, repayment of the Term Loan, and draw on the Credit Facility.

93

FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Total Assets

Total  assets  at  December  31,  2018  of  $643,830  (December  31,  2017 – $669,111)  were  principally  comprised
as follows:

Total cash and investments, net of derivative obligation decreased to $634,609 at December 31, 2018 from
$665,064 at December 31, 2017. The company’s total cash and investments, net of the derivative obligation, by the
issuer’s country of domicile was as follows:

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017

Cash and cash equivalents

55,139

6,321 169,398 230,858

657

South Sub-Saharan
Africa

Africa(1) Canada

Total Africa

South Sub-Saharan

Africa(1) Canada
12,355
–

Total

13,012

Restricted cash

Short term investments – U.S. treasury bills

Loans:

AGH Facility
CIG(2)
PGR2

Bonds:

Atlas Mara 11.0% Convertible Bonds(3)
Atlas Mara 7.5% Bonds(3)
Nova Pioneer Bond(4)

Common stocks:
Atlas Mara(3)
CIG(2)
Other(5)
Indirect equity interest in AGH(6)
Philafrica(7)
GroCapital Holdings

Derivatives:

Atlas Mara Warrants(3)
Nova Pioneer Warrants(4)

Total cash and investments
Derivative obligation(8)

–

–

–
–
17,527

17,527

–
–
26,023

26,023

–
–
28
111,888
23,463
11,927

147,306

–
1,001

1,001

246,996
–

–

–

–

–

38,723

38,723

–

–

– 313,000 313,000

–

32,968

32,968

–
21,068
–

21,068

16,334
17,499
–

33,833

119,092
3,886
–
–
–
–

122,978

1,016
–

1,016

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
21,068
17,527

24,233
–
–

38,595

24,233

16,334
17,499
26,023

–
–
19,414

59,856

19,414

– 119,092
3,886
–
28
–
– 111,888
23,463
–
11,927
–

–
–
2,369
88,314
–
–

– 270,284

90,683

–
–

–

1,016
1,001

2,017

–
520

520

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

168,671
2,563
–
–
–
–

171,234

–
–

–

–
–
–

–

–
–
–

–

24,233
–
–

24,233

–
–
19,414

19,414

– 168,671
2,563
–
2,369
–
88,314
–
–
–
–
–

– 261,917

–
–

–

–
520

520

185,216 208,121 640,333 135,507
–

(5,724)

(5,724)

–

171,234 358,323 665,064
–

–

–

Total cash and investments, net of derivative

obligation

246,996

179,492 208,121 634,609 135,507

171,234 358,323 665,064

(1)

Sub-Saharan Africa is geographically, the area of the continent of Africa that lies south of the Sahara Desert. It encompasses 46 of Africa’s
54  countries  including:  Angola,  Botswana,  Congo-Brazzaville,  Cˆote  d’Ivoire,  Ethiopia,  Kenya,  Mauritius,  Mozambique,  Nigeria,
Rwanda, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe. For the purposes of assessing concentration risk, Fairfax Africa’s
investments in South Africa are disclosed separately.

(2) CIG’s footprint extends across 20 African countries and the Middle East. Key countries include South Africa, Angola, Ethiopia and Kenya.

(3) Atlas Mara is listed on the London Stock Exchange and has acquired control or significant influence positions in banking operations
across seven countries in Sub-Saharan Africa: Botswana, Nigeria, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Mozambique, Rwanda and Tanzania.

(4)

In addition to South Africa, Nova Pioneer also has school campuses in Kenya.

(5) Comprised of common shares of a public company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

(6) Acquired  through  the  company’s  ownership  in  the  investment  holding  company  Joseph  Holdings.  In  addition  to  South  Africa,  AGH
currently has operational activities in Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Congo-Brazzaville, Botswana, Cˆote d’Ivoire and Uganda. AGH
also  has  an  equipment  operation  in  Australia  under  the  John  Deere  brand,  an  animal  feeds  research  development  venture  in  the
United Kingdom and an investment in animal feeds in the United States.

(7) Philafrica also has food-related businesses outside of South Africa, consisting mainly of a cassava processing business in Cote d’Ivoire and
Mozambique  and  a  poultry  joint  venture  in  Mozambique.  Philafrica  recently  completed  the  acquisition  of  Pakworks,  a  snack
manufacturing company which produces dry snacks exclusively for PepsiCo in SSA.

(8) Relates to the company’s obligation to subscribe for 178,995,353 CIG ordinary shares as part of the CIG Rights Offer.

94

Cash and cash equivalents increased to $230,858 at December 31, 2018 from $13,012 at December 31, 2017
primarily as a result of the release of cash collateral, including accrued interest, related to the company’s LC Facility
($162,519), net proceeds received from the Secondary Offering ($148,316) and proceeds received from the Credit
Facility ($30,000), partially offset by the use of those funds primarily to finance the company’s African Investments
(Philafrica Facility, Atlas Mara Bonds, CIG and PGR2 loans, the company’s participation in the AGH Rights Offering
and the investment in GroCapital Holdings).

Restricted cash decreased to nil at December 31, 2018 from $313,000 at December 31, 2017 primarily as a result of
the release of cash collateral, including accrued interest, related to the company’s LC Facility and the company’s
Term  Loan  in  2018.  See  note  7  (Borrowings)  to  the  consolidated  financial  statements  for  the  year  ended
December 31, 2018.

Short  term  investments  increased  to  $38,723  at  December  31,  2018  from  $32,968  at  December  31,  2017
reflecting net purchases of U.S. treasury bills.

Loans, Bonds, Common stocks and Derivatives – The company is actively seeking investment opportunities
in Africa and will continue to redirect capital from its cash and cash equivalents, and short term investments into
African Investments as and when those opportunities are identified. For more information about recent African
Investments, see the African Investments section of this MD&A.

Interest Receivable of $2,472 at December 31, 2018 primarily related to interest receivable on the Nova Pioneer
Bonds,  CIG  and  PGR2  Loans.  Interest  receivable  of  $3,506  at  December  31,  2017  primarily  related  to  interest
receivable on the company’s investments in the AGH Facility and Nova Pioneer Bonds.

Total Liabilities

Total  liabilities  at  December  31,  2018  of  $40,703  (December  31,  2017 – $152,375)  were  principally  comprised
as follows:

Derivative  obligation  of  $5,724  at  December  31,  2018  (December  31,  2017 – nil)  related  to  the  company’s
commitment to purchase any ordinary shares from the CIG Rights Offer not acquired by other shareholders. The CIG
Rights Offer closed on January 4, 2019 and the company acquired 178,995,353 ordinary shares of CIG for net cash
consideration of $49,744 (696 million South African rand).

Payable  to  related  parties  increased  to  $1,658  at  December  31,  2018  from  $1,482  at  December  31,  2017
principally as a result of increased investment and advisory fees, partially offset by decreased performance fee. See
note 12 Related Party Transactions to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

Income taxes payable increased to $3,263 at December 31, 2018 from $82 at December 31, 2017 primarily as a
result of the company computing its corporate tax liability in Canadian dollars pursuant to the requirements of
Canadian tax authorities, whereas the functional currency of the company and its subsidiaries is the U.S. dollar,
which resulted in an income tax liability on the realized foreign exchange gains from holdings of U.S treasury bills.

Borrowings decreased to $29,527 at December 31, 2018 from $150,000 at December 31, 2017 principally as a result
of repayment of the Term Loan, partially offset by a draw from the Credit Facility of $30,000 to partially finance the
CIG Rights Offer.

Comparison of 2017 to 2016 – Total assets and liabilities of $786 and $860, respectively, at December 31, 2016
increased to $669,111 and $152,375, respectively, at December 31, 2017 primarily due to the completion of the
company’s  IPO  on  February  17,  2017  and  completion  of  the  Term  Loan,  enabling  the  commencement  of  the
company’s  objective  to  achieve  long  term  capital  appreciation,  while  preserving  capital,  by  investing  in  African
Investments.

Financial Risk Management

The primary goals of the company’s financial risk management program are to ensure that the outcomes of activities
involving elements of risk are consistent with the company’s objectives and risk tolerance, while maintaining an
appropriate balance between risk and reward and protecting the company’s consolidated balance sheets from events
that have the potential to materially impair its financial strength. There were no significant changes in the types of
the  company’s  risk  exposures  or  the  processes  used  by  the  company  for  managing  those  risk  exposures  at
December 31, 2018 compared to those identified at December 31, 2017, other than as outlined in note 11 (Financial
Risk Management) to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Capital Resources and Management

The company’s objectives when managing capital are to protect its lenders, to safeguard its ability to continue as a
going concern, and to maintain an optimal capital structure to reduce the cost of capital in order to optimize returns
for common shareholders. The company will seek attractive risk-adjusted returns, but will at all times seek downside
protection and attempt to minimize the loss of capital. Total capital comprised of common shareholders’ equity and
drawn  funds  from  the  Credit  Facility  at  December  31,  2018  decreased  from  $666,736  at  December  31,  2017
(comprised of the Term Loan and common shareholders’ equity) to $632,654 at December 31, 2018, principally
reflecting a decrease in the Term Loan, partially offset by an increase in common shareholders’ equity, as described
below, and funds drawn from the Credit Facility.

On January 31, 2018 the company extended the maturity of the Term Loan to August 31, 2018. On August 29, 2018
the proceeds from the cash collateral, including interest received, was released from restricted cash and used to fully
repay  the  Term  Loan.  See  note  7  (Borrowings)  to  the  consolidated  financial  statements  for  the  year  ended
December 31, 2018 for details.

On September 7, 2018 the company entered into a $90,000 secured, revolving demand credit facility with a syndicate
of Canadian lenders, bearing interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 400 basis points which is payable in arrears on the
applicable interest payment date. The Credit Facility has a maturity date of September 7, 2019 with an option to
extend for an additional year on an annual basis. On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000 from the Credit
Facility  with  a  3-month  term  that  will  be  repaid  on  March  21,  2019  along  with  accrued  interest  of  $509.  At
December 31, 2018 the company was in compliance with the financial covenant requirement to maintain common
shareholders’ equity of not less than $600,000 (see note 7 (Borrowings) to the consolidated financial statements for
the year ended December 31, 2018 for details).

Common shareholders’ equity increased to $603,127 at December 31, 2018 from $516,736 at December 31, 2017
primarily reflecting the net proceeds received from the Secondary Offering of $148,316, partially offset by a net loss
of $60,580 in 2018.

Book Value per Share

Common shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2018 was $603,127 (December 31, 2017 – $516,736). The company’s
book value per share at December 31, 2018 was $9.60 compared to $10.21 at December 31, 2017 representing a
decrease in 2018 of 6.0%, primarily due to a net loss of $60,580 in 2018 (principally related to unrealized losses on
the company’s investment in Atlas Mara and the weakening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar,
partially offset by unrealized gains on the company’s investment in the indirect equity investment in AGH), partially
offset by the Secondary Offering in the second quarter of 2018 where the company issued subordinate voting shares
at a price of $12.25 per share.

The table below presents the book value per share before and after the performance fee, if any, for the period from the
company’s IPO date of February 17, 2017 to December 31, 2018, and the annual growth rate and the compound
annual growth rate in book value per share before and after the performance fee. The performance fee, if any, is
accrued quarterly and paid for the period from February 17, 2017 to December 31, 2019 in accordance with the
Investment Advisory Agreement (defined in the Related Party Transactions section later in this MD&A) and for each
consecutive three-year period thereafter.

February 17, 2017(1)
December 31, 2017
December 31, 2018

Compound annual decline in

book value per share(2)

Book value per
share after
Performance Fee
$10.00
$10.21
$ 9.60

Annual growth in
book value per
share after
Performance Fee
–
2.1%
(6.0)%

Book value per
share before
Performance Fee
$10.00
$10.21
$ 9.60

Annual growth
in book value
per share before
Performance Fee
–
2.1%
(6.0)%

(2.2)%

(2.2)%

(1) On February 17, 2017 Fairfax Africa completed its IPO at an offering price of $10.00 per share.

(2) The company’s book value per share, before and after performance fee, of $9.60 at December 31, 2018 represented a compound annual

decline rate from the initial public offering price of $10.00 per share of 2.2%.

96

Fairfax Africa’s compound annual decline in book value per share to $9.60 at December 31, 2018 was reflective of the
broader  African  macroeconomic  environment.  Political  and  economic  uncertainty  in  Africa’s  macroeconomic
environment led to a significant sell-off of equities in the market during the second half of 2018, as reflected in the
unrealized losses recorded on the company’s investment in Atlas Mara common shares. Fairfax Africa’s book value
per share of $9.60 at December 31, 2018 represented a compound annual decline during that period of 2.2% from the
initial public offering price of $10.00 per share, marginally outperforming the compound annual decline of the MSCI
Emerging Frontier Markets Africa Index of 3.9% during the same period.

During  2018  the  total  number  of  shares  effectively  outstanding  increased  primarily  as  a  result  of
12,300,000  subordinate  voting  shares  issued  in  the  Secondary  Offering,  partially  offset  by  purchases  of
108,224 subordinate voting shares for cancellation under the normal course issuer bid. At December 31, 2018 there
were 62,811,965 common shares effectively outstanding.

The  company  has  issued  and  purchased  common  shares  since  it  was  federally  incorporated  on  April  28,  2016
as follows:

Date
2016 – issuance of shares
2017 – issuance of shares

Number of
subordinate
voting
shares
–

Number
of
multiple
voting
shares(1)
1
20,620,189 29,999,999

Total Average issue / Net proceeds
(purchase
cost)
–
493,326

number purchase price
per share
$10.00
$ 9.75

of shares
1
50,620,188

20,620,189 30,000,000

50,620,189

2018 – issuance of shares
2018 – purchase of shares

12,300,000
(108,224)

–
–

12,300,000
(108,224)

$12.06
$ 9.06

148,316
(981)

32,811,965 30,000,000

62,811,965

(1) Multiple voting shares that may only be issued to Fairfax or its affiliates and are not publicly traded.

On July 3, 2018 the company received acceptance from the TSX of a notice filed by Fairfax Africa of its intention to
commence a normal course issuer bid for its subordinate voting shares by which it is authorized, until expiry of the
bid on July 5, 2019, to acquire up to 2,536,996 subordinate voting shares representing at that date approximately
10% of the public float in respect of the subordinate voting shares. Decisions regarding any future purchases will be
based on market conditions, share price and other factors including opportunities to invest capital for growth. The
Notice of Intention to Make a Normal Course Issuer Bid is available, without charge, by contacting the Corporate
Secretary of the company.

During  2018,  under  the  terms  of  the  normal  course  issuer  bid,  the  company  purchased  for  cancellation
108,224 subordinate voting shares (2017 – nil) for a net cost of $981 (2017 – nil), of which $143 was recorded as a
benefit in retained earnings (2017 – nil).

Subsequent to December 31, 2018

Subsequent to December 31, 2018 and up to March 8, 2019, the company purchased for cancellation 1,671,937
subordinate voting shares at a net cost of $14,623.

Liquidity

The undeployed cash and investments at December 31, 2018 provides adequate liquidity to meet the company’s
known  significant  commitments  in  2019,  which  are  principally  comprised  of  the  CIG  Rights  Offer  (closed  on
January 4, 2019), Second AGH Facility, the additional investment in Nova Pioneer, investment and advisory fees,
general and administration expenses and corporate income taxes. On August 29, 2018 the company used the cash
collateral  classified  as  restricted  cash  to  repay  the  principal  amount  of  the  Term  Loan.  To  further  augment  its
liquidity,  on  June  18,  2018  the  company  raised  net  proceeds  of  $148,316  from  the  Secondary  Offering  and  the
holding company can draw upon its revolving credit facility. On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000
from the Credit Facility with a 3-month term that will be repaid on March 21, 2019 along with accrued interest of
$509. The company expects to continue to receive investment income on its holdings of fixed income securities to

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

supplement its cash and cash equivalents. Accordingly, the company has adequate working capital to support its
operations.  Refer  to  the  contractual  obligations  section  of  this  MD&A  for  details  on  the  settlement  of  the
performance fees, if any, at the end of the first calculation period, December 31, 2019.

Highlights in 2018 (with comparisons to 2017) of major components of the statements of cash flows are presented in
the following table:

Operating activities

Cash used in operating activities before the undernoted
Net purchases of short term investments classified as FVTPL
Purchases of investments classified as FVTPL
Sales of investments classified as FVTPL
Decrease (increase) in restricted cash in support of investments

Financing activities

Net proceeds from the Term Loan
Net proceeds from the Credit Facility
Repayment of the Term Loan
Decrease (Increase) in restricted cash in support of Term Loan
Issuance of subordinate voting shares, net of issuance costs
Issuance of multiple voting shares
Purchase of subordinate voting shares

Increase in cash and cash equivalents during the year

2018

2017

(1,842)
(3,613)
(155,950)
37,986
162,519

(2,904)
(32,659)
(255,515)
48,973
(162,519)

–
29,310
(150,000)
150,481
148,316
–
(981)

149,775
–
–
(150,481)
191,204
227,154
–

216,226

13,028

Cash used in operating activities before the undernoted is comprised of net earnings (loss) adjusted for items not
affecting cash and cash equivalents and changes in operating assets and liabilities. Cash used in operating activities
before the undernoted of $1,842 in 2018 decreased from cash used in operating activities before the undernoted of
$2,904 primarily due to increased interest income, partially offset by higher investment and advisory fees paid to
Fairfax, interest paid on borrowings, and income taxes.

Net purchases of short term investments classified as FVTPL of $3,613 in 2018 and $32,659 in 2017 related to net
purchases of U.S. treasury bills. Purchases of investments classified as FVTPL of $155,950 in 2018 primarily related to
the  company’s  investments  in  the  Philafrica  Facility,  Atlas  Mara  and  Nova  Pioneer  bonds,  and  the  CIG  and
PGR2  loans,  additional  investment  in  the  company’s  indirect  equity  interest  in  AGH  (primarily  related  to  the
participation  in  the  AGH  rights  offering  through  its  ownership  in  Joseph  Holdings),  and  an  investment  in
GroCapital  Holdings.  Purchases  of  investments  classified  as  FVTPL  of  $255,515  in  2017  primarily  related  to  the
company’s investments in Atlas Mara, the AGH Facility, purchases of Government of South Africa bonds and the
Nova Pioneer Bonds. Sales of investments classified as FVTPL of $37,986 in 2018 related to the proceeds received on
the  maturity  of  the  AGH  Facility  (January  31,  2018)  and  the  Philafrica  Facility  (cash  proceeds  received  on
December 24, 2018 that were not converted into common shares of Philafrica). Sales of investments classified as
FVTPL of $48,973 in 2017 related to net proceeds from the sale of Government of South Africa bonds to support the
company’s purchases of African Investments as described above.

Decrease in restricted cash in support of investment of $162,519 in 2018 reflected the release of cash collateral from
restricted  cash  related  to  the  termination  of  the  company’s  LC  Facility.  Increase  in  restricted  cash  in  support  of
investment of $162,519 in 2017 reflected the cash collateral provided as part of the company’s LC facility, including
accrued interest, which was entered into in on August 31, 2017. Refer to note 7 (Borrowings) to the consolidated
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 for additional details.

Net proceeds from the Credit Facility of $29,310 in 2018 related to proceeds of $30,000 ($29,310 net of issuance costs
of  $690),  where  the  company  drew  $30,000  from  the  facility  to  supplement  the  financing  requirements  for  the
investment in the CIG Rights Offer (closed on January 4, 2019). Refer to note 7 (Borrowings) to the consolidated
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 for additional details.

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Decrease in restricted cash in support of the Term Loan of $150,481 and repayment of the Term Loan of $150,000 in
2018 related to proceeds from the cash collateral, including interest received, which was released from restricted cash
and used to fully repay the Term Loan. Net proceeds from the Term Loan of $149,775 and increase in restricted cash
in support of the Term Loan of $150,481 in 2017 related to the net proceeds received from the Term Loan and the
cash collateral provided, including accrued interest, in connection with the Term Loan. Refer to note 7 (Borrowings)
to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 for details.

Issuance of subordinate voting shares, net of issuance costs, of $148,316 in 2018 related to the net proceeds received
from the Secondary Offering. Issuance costs of $2,359 in 2018 relating to the Secondary Offering were primarily
comprised of fees paid to underwriters of the subordinate voting shares. Issuance of subordinate voting shares, net of
issuance costs, of $191,204 and issuance of multiple voting shares of $227,154 in 2017 related to the net proceeds
received from the Offerings. Issuance costs of $12,876 in 2017 relating to the Offerings were primarily comprised of
fees paid to underwriters of the subordinate voting shares. Purchases of subordinate voting shares of $981 in 2018
related to the company’s purchases for cancellation of 108,224 subordinate voting shares under the terms of the
normal course issuer bid. Refer to note 8 (Common Shareholders’ Equity) to the consolidated financial statements for
the year ended December 31, 2018 for details.

Contractual Obligations

On December 13, 2018 the company entered into a second secured lending arrangement with AGH pursuant to
which Fairfax Africa provided $13,074 (180 million South African rand) of financing. The facility will earn interest at
a  rate  of  South  African  prime  plus  2.0%,  payable  on  maturity  and  will  mature  six  months  from  the  date  of  last
issuance. At December 31, 2018 the facility was not drawn down by AGH. On January 21, 2019 the full $13,074
(180  million  South  African  rand)  was  advanced  to  AGH.  The  facility  including  accrued  interest  matures  on
July 19, 2019.

On December 31, 2018 the company entered into a Second Amending Agreement, under the same terms as the prior
investment,  to  provide  an  additional  $10,000  investment  in  Nova  Pioneer  and  invested  $773  relating  to  the
incremental investment in Nova Pioneer, comprised of secured debentures and 77,293 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with
fair  values  on  the  date  of  the  investment  of  $742  and  $31  (‘‘tranche  1’’).  On  January  11,  2019  the  company
completed an additional $3,500 investment in Nova Pioneer as part of the Second Amending Agreement, comprised
of secured debentures and 350,000 Nova Pioneer Warrants, with fair values on the date of investment of $3,333 and
$167 (‘‘tranche 2’’).

As part of the CIG Rights Offer, Fairfax Africa agreed to acquire any shares not taken up by existing CIG shareholders.
The company’s obligation to subscribe for any shares not taken up by existing CIG shareholders gave rise to a forward
derivative liability of $5,724 at December 31, 2018 (December 31, 2017 – nil). On January 4, 2019 upon closing of the
CIG Rights Offer (as previously discussed in the Private African Investments section under the heading Investment in
Consolidated Infrastructure Group (Debt Instrument and Derivative Obligation) earlier in this MD&A) the company
settled the derivative obligation and will record a realized gain of $5,724 in the consolidated statements of earnings
and comprehensive income in the first quarter of 2019.

On December 21, 2018 the company drew $30,000 from the Credit Facility with a 3-month term that will be repaid
on March 21, 2019 along with accrued interest of $509.

Under the terms of the Investment Advisory Agreement (defined in the Related Party Transactions section later in
this MD&A), the company and its subsidiaries are contractually obligated to pay Fairfax an investment and advisory
fee and, if applicable, a performance fee. These fees will vary based on the company’s common shareholders’ equity
and book value per share.

The investment and advisory fees recorded in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income in
2018 was $6,440 (2017 – $3,400).

At December 31, 2018 the company determined that there was no performance fee accrual (December 31, 2017 –
$319) as the book value per share of $9.60 (before factoring in the impact of the performance fee) at December 31,
2018 was less than the hurdle per share at that date of $11.00. In 2018 the company recorded a performance fee
recovery of $319 (2017 – performance fee of $319) in performance fee in the consolidated statements of earnings and
comprehensive income. Refer to the Related Party Transactions section of this MD&A that follows for discussion on
the performance fee.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Related Party Transactions

Investment Advisory Agreement

The company and its subsidiaries have entered into an agreement with Fairfax and the Portfolio Advisor to provide
administration  and  investment  advisory  services  to  the  company  (the  ‘‘Investment  Advisory  Agreement’’).  As
compensation  for  the  provision  of  these  services,  the  company  pays  an  investment  and  advisory  fee,  and  if
applicable, a performance fee. Such fees are determined with reference to the company’s common shareholders’
equity.

Performance Fee

The  performance  fee,  if  applicable,  is  accrued  quarterly  and  paid  for  the  period  from  February  17,  2017  to
December  31,  2019  (the  ‘‘first  calculation  period’’)  and  for  each  consecutive  three-year  period  thereafter.  It  is
calculated on a cumulative basis, as 20.0% of any increase in common shareholders’ equity per share (including
distributions) above a 5.0% per annum increase. The amount of common shareholders’ equity per share at any time,
which must be achieved before any performance fee would be payable, is sometimes referred to as the ‘‘hurdle per
share’’. At December 31, 2018 the company determined that there was no performance fee accrual (December 31,
2017 – $319)  as  the  book  value  per  share  of  $9.60  (before  factoring  in  the  impact  of  the  performance  fee)  at
December 31, 2018 was less than the hurdle per share at that date of $11.00.

If a performance fee is payable for the first calculation period, it will be paid within 30 days after the company issues
its annual audited consolidated financial statements, in subordinate voting shares of the company unless the market
prices per share of those shares is more than two times the then book value per share, in which event Fairfax may
elect to receive that fee in cash. The number of subordinate voting shares to be issued would be calculated based on
the volume-weighted average trading price of the company’s subordinate voting shares for the 10 trading days prior
to and including December 31, 2019 (‘‘VWAP’’). At December 31, 2018 there were no contingently issuable shares
subordinate voting shares relating to the performance fee payable to Fairfax (December 31, 2017 – 22,294).

In 2018 the company recorded a performance fee recovery of $319 (2017 – performance fee of $319) in performance
fee in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income.

Investment and Advisory Fees

The investment and advisory fees are calculated and payable quarterly as 0.5% of the value of undeployed capital and
1.5% of the company’s common shareholders’ equity less the value of undeployed capital. In 2018 the company
determined a significant portion of its assets were invested in African investments, which are considered deployed
capital.  In  2018  the  investment  and  advisory  fee  recorded  in  the  consolidated  statements  of  earnings  and
comprehensive income was $6,440 (2017 – $3,400).

Fairfax’s Voting Rights and Equity Interest

On February 17, 2017, upon closing of the IPO, Fairfax, through its subsidiaries, owned 30,000,000 multiple voting
shares and 2,500,000 subordinate voting shares of Fairfax Africa.

Upon closing of the Secondary Offering on June 18, 2018 and through open market purchases, Fairfax, through its
subsidiaries,  owned  30,000,000  multiple  voting  shares  and  6,885,421  subordinate  voting  shares  (December  31,
2017 – 30,000,000 and 2,500,000 respectively) of Fairfax Africa.

At December 31, 2018 Fairfax’s holdings of multiple and subordinate voting shares represented 98.3% of the voting
rights and 58.7% of the equity interest in Fairfax Africa (December 31, 2017 – 98.8% and 64.2%).

For additional details on the company’s related party transactions, see note 12 (Related Party Transactions) to the
consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

Accounting and Disclosure Matters

Management’s Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

Under the supervision and with the participation of the company’s management, including the company’s CEO and
CFO,  the  company  conducted  an  evaluation  of  the  effectiveness  of  its  disclosure  controls  and  procedures  as  of
December  31,  2018,  as  required  by  the  Canadian  securities  legislation.  Disclosure  controls  and  procedures  are

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designed to ensure that the information required to be disclosed by the company in the reports it files or submits
under  securities  legislation  is  recorded,  processed,  summarized  and  reported  on  a  timely  basis  and  that  such
information is accumulated and reported to management, including the company’s CEO and CFO, as appropriate, to
allow  required  disclosures  to  be  made  in  a  timely  fashion.  Based  on  their  evaluation,  the  CEO  and  CFO  have
concluded that as of December 31, 2018, the company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective.

Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting

The company’s management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial
reporting (as defined under National Instrument 52-109). The company’s internal control over financial reporting is
a  process  designed  to  provide  reasonable  assurance  regarding  the  reliability  of  financial  reporting  and  the
preparation  of  financial  statements  for  external  purposes  in  accordance  with  International  Financial  Reporting
Standards (‘‘IFRS’’) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (‘‘IASB’’). A company’s internal control
over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in
reasonable  detail,  accurately  and  fairly  reflect  the  transactions  and  dispositions  of  the  assets  of  the  company;
(ii)  provide  reasonable  assurance  that  transactions  are  recorded  as  necessary  to  permit  preparation  of  financial
statements in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are
being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (iii) provide
reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the
company’s assets that could have a material effect on the consolidated financial statements.

Because  of  its  inherent  limitations,  internal  control  over  financial  reporting  may  not  prevent  or  detect
misstatements.  Also,  projections  of  any  evaluation  of  effectiveness  to  future  periods  are  subject  to  the  risk  that
controls  may  become  inadequate  because  of  changes  in  conditions,  or  that  the  degree  of  compliance  with  the
policies or procedures may deteriorate.

The company’s management assessed the effectiveness of the company’s internal control over financial reporting as
of December 31, 2018. In making this assessment, the company’s management used the criteria set forth by the
Committee  of  Sponsoring  Organizations  of  the  Treadway  Commission  (‘‘COSO’’)  in  Internal  Control – Integrated
Framework (2013). Based on this assessment the company’s management, including the CEO and CFO, concluded
that, as of December 31, 2018, the company’s internal control over financial reporting was effective based on the
criteria in Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by COSO.

Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments

Please refer to note 4 (Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments) to the consolidated financial statements for the
year ended December 31, 2018.

Significant Accounting Policy Changes

There were no significant accounting policy changes during 2018. Please refer to note 3 (Summary of Significant
Accounting Policies) to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018 for a detailed
discussion of the company’s accounting policies.

Future Accounting Changes

Certain new IFRS may have a significant impact on the company’s consolidated financial reporting in the future.
Each of those standards will require a moderate degree of implementation effort. The company does not expect to
adopt any of these new standards in advance of their respective effective dates. New standards and amendments that
have been issued but are not yet effective are described in note 3 (Summary of Significant Accounting Policies) to the
consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

Risk Management

Overview

The primary goals of the company’s financial risk management program are to ensure that the outcomes of activities
involving elements of risk are consistent with the company’s objectives and risk tolerance, while maintaining an
appropriate balance between risk and reward and protecting the company’s consolidated balance sheets from events
that have the potential to materially impair its financial strength. There were no significant changes in the types of

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

the  company’s  risk  exposures  or  the  processes  used  by  the  company  for  managing  those  risk  exposures  at
December 31, 2018 compared to those identified at December 31, 2017, other than as outlined in note 11 (Financial
Risk Management) to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2018.

Risks

The following risks, among others, should be considered in evaluating the outlook for the company. Additional risks
not currently known to the company or that are currently deemed immaterial may also impair business operations.
The company, its consolidated subsidiaries, Fairfax, the Portfolio Advisor and Pactorum monitor these risks on an
on-going basis and take actions as needed to mitigate their impact. For further detail about the risks relating to the
company, please see Risk Factors in Fairfax Africa’s most recent annual information form, which are available on
SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Geographic Concentration of Investments

Substantially all of the company’s investments will be made in Africa and in African businesses or other businesses
with customers, suppliers or business primarily conducted in, or dependent on, Africa. As a result, the company’s
performance  will  be  particularly  sensitive  to  economic  changes  in  Africa.  The  market  value  of  the  company’s
investments, the income generated by the company and the company’s performance will be particularly sensitive to
changes in the economic condition and regulatory environment in the countries in Africa. Adverse changes in the
economic condition or regulatory environment of the countries in Africa in which it invests may have a material
adverse effect on the company’s business, cash flows, financial condition and net earnings.

Financial Market Fluctuations

The  company  invests  in  both  private  businesses  and  publicly  traded  businesses.  With  respect  to  publicly  traded
businesses, as disclosed in note 5 (African Investments) to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended
December  31,  2018,  fluctuations  in  the  market  prices  of  such  securities  may  negatively  affect  the  value  of  such
investments. In addition, general instability in the public debt market and other securities markets may impede the
ability  of  businesses  to  refinance  their  debt  through  selling  new  securities,  thereby  limiting  the  company’s
investment options with regard to a particular portfolio investment.

Global capital markets have experienced extreme volatility and disruption in recent years as evidenced by the failure
of major financial institutions, significant write-offs suffered by the financial services sector, the re-pricing of credit
risk, the unavailability of credit or the downgrading and the possibility of default by sovereign issuers, forced exit or
voluntary withdrawal of countries from a common currency and/or devaluation. Despite actions of government
authorities,  these  events  have  contributed  to  a  worsening  of  general  economic  conditions,  high  levels  of
unemployment in certain Western economies and the introduction of austerity measures by certain governments.

Such worsening of financial market and economic conditions may have a negative effect on the valuations of, and
the ability of the company to exit or partially divest from, investment positions. Adverse economic conditions may
also decrease the value of collateral securing some of its positions, and require the company to contribute additional
collateral.

Depending  on  market  conditions,  the  company  may  incur  substantial  realized  and  unrealized  losses  in  future
periods, all of which may materially adversely affect its results of operations and the value of any investment in
the company.

Pace of Completing Investments

The company’s business is to identify, with the assistance of the Portfolio Advisor, suitable investment opportunities,
pursuing such opportunities and consummating such investment opportunities. If the company is unable to source
and manage its investments effectively, it would adversely impact the company’s financial position and earnings.

There can be no assurance as to the pace of finding and implementing investment opportunities. Conversely, there
may only be a limited number of suitable investment opportunities at any given time. This may cause the company,
while  it  deploys  cash  proceeds  not  yet  invested,  to  hold  significant  levels  of  cash,  cash  equivalents,  short  term
U.S. treasury bills or Government of South Africa bonds. A lengthy period prior to which capital is deployed may
adversely affect the company’s overall performance.

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Minority Investments

The company may make minority equity investments in businesses in which the company does not participate in
the management or otherwise influence the business or affairs of such businesses. The company will monitor the
performance  of  each  investment  and  maintain  an  ongoing  dialogue  with  each  business  management  team.
However, day-to-day operations will primarily be the responsibility of each business’ management and the company
may not have the right to influence such operations.

Reliance on Key Personnel and Risks Associated with the Investment Advisory Agreement

The management and governance of the company depends on the services of certain key personnel, including the
Portfolio Advisor, Fairfax, as administrator, and certain executive officers of the company. The loss of the services of
any key personnel, particularly V. Prem Watsa, Paul Rivett and Michael Wilkerson, could have a material adverse
effect on the company and materially adversely affect the company’s financial condition and results of operations.

The company relies on the Portfolio Advisor and any of its sub-advisors or consultants, from time to time, including
Pactorum, with respect to the sourcing and advising, as applicable, with respect to their investments. Consequently,
the company’s ability to achieve its investment objectives depends in large part on the Portfolio Advisor and its
ability to identify and advise the company on attractive investment opportunities. This means that the company’s
investments  are  dependent  upon  the  Portfolio  Advisor’s  business  contacts,  its  ability  to  successfully  hire,  train,
supervise and manage its personnel and its ability to maintain its operating systems. If the company were to lose the
services provided by the Portfolio Advisor or its key personnel or if the Portfolio Advisor fails to satisfactorily perform
its  obligations  under  the  Investment  Advisory  Agreement,  the  company’s  investments  and  growth  prospects
may decline.

The company may be unable to duplicate the quality and depth of management from the Portfolio Advisor if the
company  were  to  source  and  manage  its  own  investments  or  if  it  were  to  hire  another  investment  advisor.
Prospective investors should not purchase any securities of the company unless they are prepared to rely on the
Directors, the Sub Directors, each of their respective executive officers and the Portfolio Advisor. The Investment
Advisory  Agreement  may  be  terminated  in  certain  circumstances  and  is  only  renewable  on  certain  conditions.
Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the company will continue to have the benefit of the Portfolio Advisor’s
services, or Fairfax’s services, including their respective executive officers, that the Portfolio Advisor will continue to
be the company’s investment advisor or that Fairfax will continue to provide investment administration services. If
the Portfolio Advisor should cease for whatever reason to be the investment advisor of the company or if Fairfax
should cease to provide investment administration services to the company, the cost of obtaining substitute services
may be greater than the fees the company will pay the Portfolio Advisor and Fairfax under the Investment Advisory
Agreement. Such increased fees may adversely affect the company’s ability to meet its objectives and execute its
strategy which could materially and adversely affect the company’s cash flows, net earnings and financial condition.

Operating and Financial Risks of African Investments

Businesses  in  which  the  company  invests  could  deteriorate  as  a  result  of,  among  other  factors,  an  adverse
development in their business operations, a change in the competitive environment or an economic downturn. As a
result,  businesses  that  the  company  expects  to  be  stable  may  operate  at  a  loss  or  have  significant  variations  in
operating  results,  may  require  substantial  additional  capital  to  support  their  operations  or  to  maintain  their
competitive position, or may otherwise have a weak financial condition or experience financial distress. In some
cases,  the  success  of  the  company’s  investment  strategy  will  depend,  in  part,  on  the  ability  of  the  company  to
restructure  and  effect  improvements  in  the  operations  of  a  business  in  which  it  has  invested.  The  activity  of
identifying  and  implementing  restructuring  programs  and  operating  improvements  at  businesses  entails  a  high
degree  of  uncertainty.  There  can  be  no  assurance  that  the  company  will  be  able  to  successfully  identify  and
implement such restructuring programs and improvements.

Valuation Methodologies Involve Subjective Judgments

The  company’s  financial  assets  and  liabilities  are  valued  in  accordance  with  IFRS.  Accordingly,  the  company  is
required to follow a specific framework for measuring the fair value of its assets and liabilities and, in its consolidated
financial statements, to provide certain disclosures regarding the use of fair value measurements.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

The  fair  value  measurement  accounting  guidance  establishes  a  hierarchal  disclosure  framework  that  ranks  the
observability of market inputs used in measuring financial instruments at fair value. The observability of inputs
depends  on  a  number  of  factors,  including  the  type  of  financial  instrument,  the  characteristics  specific  to  the
financial  instrument  and  the  state  of  the  marketplace,  including  the  existence  and  transparency  of  transactions
between  market  participants.  Financial  instruments  with  readily  quoted  prices,  or  for  which  fair  value  can  be
measured from quoted prices in active markets, generally will have a high degree of market price observability and
less judgment applied in determining fair value.

A portion of the company’s portfolio investments are in the form of securities that are not publicly traded. The fair
value of securities and other investments that are not publicly traded may not be readily determinable. The company
will value these securities quarterly at fair value as determined in good faith by the company and in accordance with
the valuation policies and procedures under IFRS. The company may utilize the services of an independent valuation
firm to aid it in determining the fair value of these securities. The types of factors that may be considered in fair value
pricing of the company’s investments include the nature and realizable value of any collateral, the portfolio business’
ability to make payments and its earnings, the markets in which the portfolio investment does business, comparison
to  publicly  traded  companies,  discounted  cash  flow  and  other  relevant  factors.  Because  such  valuations,  and
particularly valuations of private securities and private companies, are inherently uncertain, such valuations may
fluctuate over short periods of time and may be based on estimates, and the company’s determinations of fair value
may differ materially from the values that would have been used if a ready market for these securities existed. The
value of the company’s total assets could be materially adversely affected if the company’s determinations regarding
the fair value of its investments were materially higher than the values that it ultimately realizes upon the disposition
of such securities.

The value of the company’s investment portfolio may also be affected by changes in accounting standards, policies or
practices.  From  time  to  time,  the  company  will  be  required  to  adopt  new  or  revised  accounting  standards  or
guidance. It is possible that future accounting standards that the company is required to adopt could change the
valuation of the company’s assets and liabilities.

Due to a wide variety of market factors and the nature of certain securities to be held by the company, there is no
guarantee that the value determined by the company or any third-party valuation agents will represent the value
that will be realized by the company on the eventual disposition of the investment or that would, in fact, be realized
upon an immediate disposition of the investment. Moreover, the valuations to be performed by the company or any
third-party valuation agents are inherently different from the valuation of the company’s securities that would be
performed if the company were forced to liquidate all or a significant portion of its securities, which liquidation
valuation could be materially lower.

Lawsuits

The  company  may,  from  time  to  time,  become  party  to  a  variety  of  legal  claims  and  regulatory  proceedings  in
Canada, Africa (including Mauritius) or elsewhere. The existence of such claims against the company or its affiliates,
directors  or  officers  could  have  various  adverse  effects,  including  the  incurrence  of  significant  legal  expenses
defending such claims, even those claims without merit. The company manages day-to-day regulatory and legal risk
primarily by implementing appropriate policies, procedures and controls. Internal and external legal counsel also
work closely with the company to identify and mitigate areas of potential regulatory and legal risk.

Use of Leverage

The company may rely on the use of leverage when making its investments. As such, the ability to achieve attractive
rates of return on such investments will significantly depend on the company’s continued ability to access sources of
debt financing on attractive terms. An increase in either market interest rates or in the risk spreads demanded by
lenders would make it more expensive for the company to finance its investments and, in turn, would reduce net
returns  therein.  Increases  in  interest  rates  could  also  make  it  more  difficult  for  the  company  to  locate  and
consummate investments because other potential buyers, including operating companies acting as strategic buyers,
may be able to bid for an asset at a higher price due to a lower overall cost of capital. Availability of capital from debt
capital  markets  is  subject  to  significant  volatility  and  the  company  may  not  be  able  to  access  those  markets  on
attractive terms, or at all, when completing an investment. Any of the foregoing circumstances could have a material
adverse effect on the financial condition and results of operations of the company.

104

Foreign Currency Fluctuation

All of the company’s portfolio investments have been and will be made in Africa and in African businesses or other
businesses with customers, suppliers or business primarily conducted in, or dependent on, Africa, and the financial
position and results for certain investments are denominated in currencies other than the United States dollar. The
company’s functional and reporting currency is the United States dollar. Accordingly, the income and expenses of
such African Investments will be translated at average rates of exchange in effect during the applicable reporting
period. Assets and liabilities will be translated at the exchange rates in effect at the balance sheet date. As a result, the
company’s consolidated financial position is subject to foreign currency fluctuation risk, which could materially
adversely  impact  its  operating  results  and  cash  flows.  Although  the  company  may  enter  into  currency  hedging
arrangements in respect of its foreign currency cash flows, there can be no assurance that the company will do so or,
if they do, that the full amount of the foreign currency exposure will be hedged at any time.

Investments May Be Made in Foreign Private Businesses Where Information Is Unreliable
or Unavailable

In  pursuing  the  company’s  investment  strategy,  the  company  may  seek  to  make  one  or  more  investments  in
privately-held  African  businesses  as  disclosed  in  note  5  (African  Investments)  to  the  consolidated  financial
statements  for  the  year  ended  December  31,  2018.  As  minimal  public  information  exists  about  private  African
businesses,  the  company  could  be  required  to  make  investment  decisions  on  whether  to  pursue  a  potential
investment in a private business on the basis of limited information, which may result in an investment in a business
that is not as profitable as the company initially suspected, if at all.

Investments  in  private  African  businesses  pose  certain  incremental  risks  as  compared  to  investments  in  public
businesses, including that they:

(cid:127) have reduced access to the capital markets, resulting in diminished capital resources and ability to withstand

financial distress;

(cid:127) may have limited financial resources and may be unable to meet their obligations under their debt securities
that the company may hold, which may be accompanied by a deterioration in the value of any collateral and a
reduction in the likelihood of the company realizing any guarantees that it may have obtained in connection
with its investment;

(cid:127) may have shorter operating histories, narrower product lines and smaller market shares than larger businesses,
which tend to render them more vulnerable to competitors’ actions and changing market conditions, as well
as general economic downturns;

(cid:127) are more likely to depend on the management talents and efforts of a small group of persons; therefore, the
death, disability, resignation or termination of one or more of these persons could have a material adverse
impact on a portfolio investment and, as a result, the company; and

(cid:127) generally  have  less  predictable  operating  results,  may  from  time  to  time  be  parties  to  litigation,  may  be
engaged in rapidly changing businesses with products subject to a substantial risk of obsolescence, and may
require  substantial  additional  capital  to  support  their  operations,  finance  expansion  or  maintain  their
competitive position.

Significant Ownership by Fairfax May Adversely Affect the Market Price of the Subordinate
Voting Shares

As of March 8, 2019, Fairfax and its affiliates hold a 98.4% and 60.3% voting and equity interest, respectively, in the
company  through  ownership  of  all  of  the  30,000,000  issued  and  outstanding  multiple  voting  shares  and
6,885,421 subordinate voting shares.

For so long as Fairfax, either directly or through one or more subsidiaries, maintains a significant voting interest in
the company, Fairfax will have the ability to exercise substantial influence with respect to the company’s affairs and
significantly  affect  the  outcome  of  shareholder  votes,  and  may  have  the  ability  to  prevent  certain  fundamental
transactions.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Accordingly, the subordinate voting shares may be less liquid and trade at a relative discount compared to such
subordinate  voting  shares  in  circumstances  where  Fairfax  did  not  have  the  ability  to  significantly  influence  or
determine matters affecting the company. Additionally, Fairfax’s significant voting interest in the company may
discourage transactions involving a change of control of the company, including transactions in which an investor,
as a holder of subordinate voting shares, might otherwise receive a premium for its subordinate voting shares over
the then-current market price.

Emerging Markets

The  company’s  investment  objective  is  to  achieve  long  term  capital  appreciation,  while  preserving  capital,  by
investing in African Investments. Foreign investment risk is particularly high given that the company invests in
securities of issuers based in or doing business in emerging market countries.

The economies of emerging market countries have been and may continue to be adversely affected by economic
conditions  in  the  countries  with  which  they  trade.  The  economies  of  emerging  market  countries  may  also  be
predominantly based on only a few industries or dependent on revenues from particular commodities. In addition,
custodial services and other investment-related costs may be more expensive in emerging markets than in many
developed  markets,  which  could  reduce  the  company’s  income  from  securities  or  debt  instruments  of  emerging
market country issuers.

Certain  African  countries  still  have  some  form  of  exchange  control  regulation  that  can  lead  to  additional  costs,
delays  and/or  restrictions/requirements  on  the  repatriation  of  profits  for  the  company.  There  is  a  heightened
possibility  of  imposition  of  withholding  taxes  on  interest  or  dividend  income  generated  from  emerging  market
securities. It is also possible that certain African revenue authorities will apply a withholding tax in breach of the
relevant  tax  treaty  and  the  company  may  be  unable  to  reclaim  this  undue  tax  in  the  form  of  a  tax  credit.
Governments of emerging market countries may engage in confiscatory taxation or expropriation of income and/or
assets  to  raise  revenues  or  to  pursue  a  domestic  political  agenda.  In  the  past,  emerging  market  countries  have
nationalized assets, companies and even entire sectors, including the assets of foreign investors, with inadequate or
no compensation to the prior owners. Certain governments in African countries may also restrict or control the
ability of foreign investors to invest in securities by varying degrees. These restrictions and controls may limit or
preclude foreign investment, require governmental approval, special licences, impose certain costs and expenses,
and/or limit the amount of foreign investment, or limit such investment to certain classes of securities that may be
less advantageous than the classes available for purchase by domestic investors. There can be no assurance that the
company will not suffer a loss of any or all of its investments or, interest or dividends thereon, due to adverse fiscal or
other policy changes in emerging market countries.

Governments of many emerging market countries have exercised and continue to exercise substantial influence over
many aspects of the private sector. In some cases, the government owns or controls many companies, including
some of the largest in the country. Crime, corruption and fraud in certain African countries, as well as ties between
government, agencies or officials and the private sector, have resulted, and could in the future result, in preferential
treatment for local competitors, inefficient resource allocation, arbitrary decisions and other practices or policies.
Accordingly, government actions could have a significant effect on economic conditions in an emerging country
and on market conditions, prices and yields of securities in the company’s portfolio.

Bankruptcy law and creditor reorganization processes in the African countries in which the company may invest
may  differ  substantially  from  those  in  Canada,  resulting  in  greater  uncertainty  as  to  the  rights  of  creditors,  the
enforceability  of  such  rights,  reorganization  timing  and  the  classification,  seniority  and  treatment  of  claims.  In
certain emerging market countries, although bankruptcy laws have been enacted, the process for reorganization
remains highly uncertain. In addition, it may be impossible to seek legal redress against an issuer that is a sovereign
state.

Also, because publicly traded debt instruments of emerging market issuers represent a relatively recent innovation in
the world debt markets, there is little historical data or related market experience concerning the attributes of such
instruments under all economic, market and political conditions.

Other heightened risks associated with emerging markets investments include without limitation: (i) risks due to less
social,  political  and  economic  stability,  including  the  risk  of  war,  terrorism,  nationalization,  limitations  on  the
removal of funds or other assets, or diplomatic developments that affect investments in these countries; (ii) the
smaller size of the market for such securities and a lower volume of trading, resulting in a lack of liquidity and in price

106

volatility;  (iii)  certain  national  policies  which  may  restrict  the  company’s  investment  opportunities,  including
restrictions on investing in issuers or industries deemed sensitive to relevant national interests and requirements that
government approval be obtained prior to investment by foreign persons; (iv) certain national policies that may
restrict the company’s repatriation of investment income, capital or the proceeds of sales of securities, including
temporary restrictions on foreign capital remittances; (v) the lack of uniform accounting and auditing standards
and/or  standards  that  may  be  significantly  different  from  the  standards  required  in  Canada;  (vi)  less  publicly
available  financial  and  other  information  regarding  issuers;  (vii)  potential  difficulties  in  enforcing  contractual
obligations;  (viii)  higher  rates  of  inflation,  higher  interest  rates  and  other  economic  concerns;  and  (ix)  less
development  and/or  obsolescence  in  banking  systems  and  practices,  postal  systems,  communications  and
information technology and transportation networks. The company may invest to a substantial extent in emerging
market securities that are denominated in currencies other than the United States dollar, subjecting the company to a
greater  degree  of  foreign  currency  risk.  Also,  investing  in  emerging  market  countries  may  entail  purchases  of
securities  of  issuers  that  are  insolvent,  bankrupt  or  otherwise  of  questionable  ability  to  satisfy  their  payment
obligations as they become due, subjecting the company to a greater amount of credit risk and/or high yield risk.

As reflected in the above discussion, investments in emerging market securities involve a greater degree of risk than,
and special risks in addition to the risks associated with, investments in domestic securities or in securities of foreign
developed countries.

South African Black Economic Empowerment

As a company that has invested, and will seek to complete further investment, in South Africa, the entities in which
the company has and may invest could be required to comply with the South African government’s policy and legal
framework relating to black economic empowerment in respect of any South African investments. Black economic
empowerment is governed generally by the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment Act of 2003 and the Codes
of Good Practice, promulgated under that Act. The relevant South African entities will be required to comply with
local procurement, employment equity, ownership and other regulations which are designated to address social and
economic transformation issues, redress social and economic inequalities and ensure socio-economic stability from
time  to  time.  Compliance  with  the  said  legislation  and  policies,  including  the  need  to  meet  minimum  equity
ownership targets depending on the sector of the proposed investment, may result in the dilution of the company’s
indirect interest in its South African investments whilst non-compliance with the said legislation and policies may
result  in  financial  penalties,  the  loss  of  key  customer  contacts  with  state  owned  entities  and  parastatals  or  the
suspension or revocation of any underlying licenses that the relevant entity requires in order to conduct its business
which,  in  either  case,  could  have  an  adverse  effect  on  the  company’s  business,  financial  condition  and  results
of operations.

Economic Risk

The economies of certain African countries have grown rapidly during the past several years and there is no assurance
that this growth rate will be maintained. Certain countries in Africa may experience substantial (and, in some cases,
extremely  high)  rates  of  inflation  or  economic  recessions  causing  a  negative  effect  on  such  economies.  Certain
countries in Africa may also impose restrictions on the exchange or export of currency, institute adverse currency
exchange rates or experience a lack of available currency hedging instruments. Any of these events could have a
material adverse effect on their respective economies.

Weather Risk

Certain African Investments are operating in industries exposed to weather risk. The revenues of these portfolio
companies may be adversely affected during a period of severe weather conditions in Africa. Because weather events
are  by  their  nature  unpredictable,  historical  results  of  operations  of  certain  African  Investments  may  not  be
indicative  of  their  future  results  of  operations.  As  a  result  of  the  occurrence  of  one  or  more  major  weather
catastrophes in any given period, the expected returns from African Investments impacted by weather risk may fall
short of the company’s expectations.

Taxation Risks

The company structures its business according to prevailing taxation law and practice in Canada, Mauritius and
South Africa. Any change in tax policy, tax legislation (including in relation to taxation rates), the interpretation of

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

tax policy or legislation or practice could adversely affect the company’s return earned on investments and on the
capital  available  to  be  invested.  Further,  taxes  and  other  constraints  that  would  apply  to  the  company  and  its
consolidated subsidiaries in such jurisdictions may not apply to other parties, and such parties may therefore have a
significantly lower effective cost of capital and a corresponding competitive advantage in pursuing investments. A
number of other factors may increase the effective tax rates, which would have a negative impact on net earnings.
These include, but are not limited to, changes in the valuation of our deferred tax assets and liabilities, and any
reassessment of taxes by a taxation authority. The company utilizes Fairfax’s tax specialist personnel for assessing the
income tax consequences of planned transactions and events and undertaking the appropriate tax planning. The
company also consults with external tax professionals as needed. Tax legislation of each jurisdiction in which the
company operates is interpreted to determine income taxes and expected timing of the reversal of deferred income
tax assets and liabilities.

Tax Laws in African Jurisdictions

In February 2013 the South African Minister of Finance, when tabling the 2013/14 Budget, announced that the
South African Government will initiate a tax review ‘‘to assess our tax policy framework and its role in supporting the
objectives  of  inclusive  growth,  employment,  development  and  fiscal  sustainability’’.  The  committee  set  up  to
conduct the review is known as The Davis Tax Committee (‘‘DTC’’). The terms of reference of the DTC (the ‘‘Terms of
Reference’’)  are  to  inquire  into  the  role  of  the  tax  system  in  the  promotion  of  inclusive  economic  growth,
employment creation, development and fiscal sustainability. Aspects that are to receive specific attention from the
DTC include a review of the corporate tax system, whether the current mining tax regime is appropriate and the
efficiency and effectiveness of the VAT system (sub committees have been set up to deal with specific items in the
terms of reference). The DTC will make recommendations to the Minister of Finance and any tax proposals arising
from these recommendations will be announced as part of the usual budget and legislative processes. In April 2018
the DTC announced its conclusion based on the Terms of Reference. It is important to note that in the Terms of
Reference, ‘‘the Committee is advisory in nature, and will make recommendations to the Minister of Finance. The
Minister will take into account the report and recommendations and will make any appropriate announcements as
part of the normal budget and legislative processes. As with all tax policy proposals, these will be subject to the
normal  consultative  processes  and  Parliamentary  oversight  once  announced  by  the  Minister.’’  Accordingly,  it  is
possible that SA Sub and its investments in South Africa could become subject to taxation outlined in the reports that
is not currently anticipated, or it may become subject to a higher rate of taxation, which could have a materially
adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results of operations in South Africa.

Changes in Law

The Republic of Mauritius or South African legal framework under which Mauritius Sub and SA Sub, respectively,
invest  in  Africa  may  undergo  changes  in  the  future,  which  could  impose  additional  costs  or  burdens  on  the
Company’s  operations.  Future  changes  to  Mauritian  or  South  African  law,  or  the  relevant  tax  treaties,  or  the
interpretations given to them by regulatory authorities, could impose additional costs or obligations on Mauritius
Sub’s  and  SA  Sub’s  activities  in  Mauritius  or  South  Africa.  Significant  adverse  tax  consequences  could  result  if
Mauritius Sub or SA Sub do not qualify for benefits under the relevant tax treaties. There can be no assurance that
Mauritius Sub or SA Sub will continue to qualify for or receive the benefits of the relevant tax treaties or that the terms
of the relevant tax treaties will not be modified. It is possible that provisions of the relevant tax treaties will be
overridden by local legislation in a way that materially adversely affects the Company, Mauritius Sub and SA Sub.
Further, there can be no assurance that changes in the law or government policies of Mauritius or South Africa that
may  limit  or  eliminate  a  non-Mauritian  or  non-South  African  investor’s  ability  to  make  investments  into  other
countries in Africa via Mauritius or South Africa will not occur.

Trading Price of Common Shares Relative to Book Value per Share

The company is neither a mutual fund nor an investment fund, and due to the nature of its business and investment
strategy, and the composition of its investment portfolio, the market price of its common shares, at any time, may
vary significantly from its book value per share. This risk is separate and distinct from the risk that the market price of
the common shares may decrease.

108

Other

Quarterly Data (unaudited)

Years ended December 31

US$ thousands, except per share amounts
2018
Income (loss)
Expenses (recovery)
Provision for income taxes
Net earnings (loss)
Net earnings (loss) per share (basic)
Net earnings (loss) per share (diluted)

2017
Income (loss)
Expenses (recovery)
Provision for (recovery of) income taxes
Net earnings (loss)
Net earnings (loss) per share (basic)
Net earnings (loss) per share (diluted)

First
Quarter

Second
Quarter

Third
Quarter

Fourth
Quarter

Full Year

53,916
12,735
331
40,850
$ 0.81
$ 0.80

2,501
594
1,357
550
$ 0.02
$ 0.02

(46,823)
(5,327)
337
(41,833)

(8,165)
3,392
470
(12,027)

$
$

(0.80) $
(0.80) $

(0.19) $
(0.19) $

(41,036)
2,802
3,732
(47,570)
(0.76)
(0.76)

(42,108)
13,602
4,870
(60,580)
(1.06)
(1.06)

$
$

4,139
1,187
(812)
3,764
0.07
0.07

41,640
8,189
432
33,019
0.65
0.65

$
$

$
$

(16,429)
(2,088)
(492)
(13,849)
(0.27)
(0.27)

$
$

31,851
7,882
485
23,484
0.54
0.54

$
$

Total loss from income of $41,036 in the fourth quarter of 2018 increased from total loss from income of $16,429 in
the fourth quarter of 2017 primarily as a result of increased net change in unrealized losses on investments and
increased net foreign exchange losses (arising from the weakening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar
during the fourth quarter of 2018), partially offset by increased interest income (primarily relating to the Philafrica
Facility, the Nova Pioneer Bonds, the CIG and PGR2 loans, and increased interest income from U.S. treasury bills).

The net change in unrealized losses on investments of $45,524 in the fourth quarter of 2018 primarily related to
unrealized  losses  on  the  company’s  investment  in  Atlas  Mara  ($48,572)  and  the  reversal  of  the  prior  period
unrealized  gain  on  the  extinguishment  of  the  Atlas  Mara  7.5%  Convertible  Bonds  ($5,332),  partially  offset  by
unrealized gains on the company’s investment in the indirect equity interest in AGH ($9,890). The net change in
unrealized losses on investments of $28,912 in the fourth quarter of 2017 primarily related to unrealized losses on
the company’s investments in Atlas Mara ($26,866) and its indirect equity interest in AGH ($1,794).

The net foreign exchange loss of $3,996 in the fourth quarter of 2018 was primarily a result of the weakening of the
South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar during the period (principally related to the company’s investments in
an indirect equity interest in AGH ($1,846)). The net foreign exchange gain of $9,684 in the fourth quarter of 2017
was primarily a result of the strengthening of the South African rand relative to the U.S. dollar during the period
(principally related to the company’s indirect equity interest in AGH ($7,047) and the AGH Facility ($2,001)).

Total expenses of $2,802 in the fourth quarter of 2018 increased from a total recovery of expenses of $2,088 in the
fourth quarter of 2017 primarily related a recovery of performance fee of $5,314 recorded in the fourth quarter of
2017 compared to no performance fee recorded in the fourth quarter of 2018.

The company reported a net loss of $47,570 (a net loss of $0.76 per basic and diluted share) in the fourth quarter of
2018 compared to a net loss of $13,849 (a net loss of $0.27 per basic and diluted share) in the fourth quarter of 2017.
The  increase  in  the  net  loss  in  the  fourth  quarter  of  2018  primarily  reflected  increased  net  unrealized  losses  on
investments (principally related to unrealized losses on the company’s investment in Atlas Mara ($48,572)), and
decreased net foreign exchange gains, partially offset by the recovery of performance fee recorded in fourth quarter
of 2017.

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FAIRFAX  AFRICA  HOLDINGS  CORPORATION

Individual quarterly results have been (and are expected to continue to be) significantly impacted by net unrealized
gains or losses on the company’s African Investments and net foreign exchange gains (losses), the timing of which is
not predictable. Individual quarterly results have been (and may in the future be) affected by increased expenses
impacted  by  the  change  in  fair  value  of  the  company’s  African  Investments  which  would  result  in  higher
performance fee, if applicable, and investment and advisory fees.

Stock Prices and Share Information

At March 8, 2019 the company had 31,140,028 subordinate voting shares and 30,000,000 multiple voting shares
outstanding (an aggregate of 61,140,028 common shares effectively outstanding). Each subordinate voting share
carries one vote per share at all meetings of shareholders except for separate meetings of holders of another class of
shares. Fairfax Africa’s subordinate voting shares trade on the TSX under the symbol FAH.U. Each multiple voting
share carries fifty votes per share at all meetings of shareholders except for separate meetings of holders of another
class of shares. Fairfax, through its subsidiaries, owns all the issued and outstanding multiple voting shares, which are
not publicly traded.

The table that follows presents the TSX high, low and closing U.S. dollar prices of the subordinate voting shares of
Fairfax Africa, trading under the symbol FAH.U, for each quarter of 2018 and 2017.

First

Second

Fourth
Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter
($US)

Third

2018

High
Low
Close

2017

High
Low
Close

15.75
12.90
13.16

10.05
9.65
10.00

13.10
11.00
11.39

10.75
9.90
10.75

11.99
11.02
11.50

14.70
10.45
14.20

11.59
7.25
8.11

15.90
14.05
14.16

Compliance with Corporate Governance Rules

Fairfax Africa is a Canadian reporting issuer with securities listed on the TSX and trading in U.S. dollars under the
symbol FAH.U. It has in place corporate governance practices that comply with all applicable rules and substantially
comply with all applicable guidelines and policies of the Canadian Securities Administrators and the practices set
out therein.

The company’s Board of Directors has adopted a set of Corporate Governance Guidelines (which include a written
mandate  of  the  Board),  established  an  Audit  Committee  and  Governance,  Compensation  and  Nominating
Committee, approved written charters for all of its committees, approved a Code of Business Conduct and Ethics
applicable to all directors, officers and employees of the company and established, in conjunction with the Audit
Committee,  a  Whistleblower  Policy.  The  company  continues  to  monitor  developments  in  the  area  of  corporate
governance as well as its own procedures.

Forward-Looking Statements

This annual report may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation.
Forward-looking statements may relate to the company’s or an African Investment’s future outlook and anticipated
events or results and may include statements regarding the financial position, business strategy, growth strategy,
budgets, operations, financial results, taxes, dividends, plans and objectives of the company. Particularly, statements
regarding  future  results,  performance,  achievements,  prospects  or  opportunities  of  the  company,  an  African
Investment, or the African market are forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be
identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as ‘‘plans’’, ‘‘expects’’ or ‘‘does not expect’’, ‘‘is expected’’,
‘‘budget’’, ‘‘scheduled’’, ‘‘estimates’’, ‘‘forecasts’’, ‘‘intends’’, ‘‘anticipates’’ or ‘‘does not anticipate’’ or ‘‘believes’’, or
variations  of  such  words  and  phrases  or  state  that  certain  actions,  events  or  results  ‘‘may’’,  ‘‘could’’,  ‘‘would’’,
‘‘might’’, ‘‘will’’ or ‘‘will be taken’’, ‘‘occur’’ or ‘‘be achieved’’.

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Forward-looking statements are based on our opinions and estimates as of the date of this annual report and they are
subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause the actual results,
level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the following factors that are described in greater detail
elsewhere in this annual report: geographic concentration of investments; financial market fluctuations; pace of
completing investments; minority investments; reliance on key personnel and risks associated with the Investment
Advisory  Agreement;  operating  and  financial  risks  of  African  investments;  valuation  methodologies  involve
subjective judgments; lawsuits; use of leverage; foreign currency fluctuation; investments may be made in foreign
private businesses where information is unreliable or unavailable; significant ownership by Fairfax may adversely
affect  the  market  price  of  the  subordinate  voting  shares;  emerging  markets;  South  African  black  economic
empowerment; economic risk; weather risk; taxation risks; and trading price of common shares relative to book value
per  share.  Additional  risks  and  uncertainties  are  described  in  the  company’s  annual  information  form  which  is
available  on  SEDAR  at  www.sedar.com  and  on  the  company’s  website  at  www.fairfaxafrica.ca.  These  factors  and
assumptions  are  not  intended  to  represent  a  complete  list  of  the  factors  and  assumptions  that  could  affect  the
company. These factors and assumptions, however, should be considered carefully.

Although the company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from  those  contained  in  forward-looking  statements,  there  may  be  other  factors  that  cause  results  not  to  be  as
anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as
actual  results  and  future  events  could  differ  materially  from  those  anticipated  in  such  statements.  Accordingly,
readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The company does not undertake to update
any forward-looking statements contained herein, except as required by applicable securities laws.

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Directors of the Company

Hisham Ezz Al-Arab
Chairman and Managing Director
Commercial International Bank

Lieutenant-General (ret.) Rom ´eo Dallaire
Founder of the Rom´eo Dallaire Child Soldiers Initiative

Christopher D. Hodgson
President
Ontario Mining Association

Quinn McLean
Managing Director, Middle East and Africa
Hamblin Watsa Investment Counsel

Ndidi Okonkwo Nwuneli
Managing Partner
Sahel Consulting Agriculture and Nutrition Ltd.

Richard Okello
Co-Founder and Partner
Sango Capital Management

Paul C. Rivett
Vice Chairman of the Company

V. Prem Watsa
Chairman of the Company

Michael Wilkerson
Chief Executive Officer of the Company

Operating Management

Fairfax Africa Investments Proprietary Limited

Fairfax Africa Holdings Investments Limited

Dylan Buttrick
Managing Director, South Africa and Mauritius

Officers of the Company

Jennifer Allen
Chief Financial Officer

Keir Hunt
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Paul C. Rivett
Vice Chairman

V. Prem Watsa
Chairman

Michael Wilkerson
Chief Executive Officer

Head Office

95 Wellington Street West
Suite 800
Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5J 2N7
Telephone: (416) 646-4180
Website: www.fairfaxafrica.ca

Auditor

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

Transfer Agents and Registrars

Computershare Trust Company of Canada, Toronto

Share Listing

Toronto Stock Exchange
Stock Symbol: FAH.U

Annual Meeting

The annual meeting of the shareholders of
Fairfax Africa Holdings Corporation will be
held on Wednesday, April 10, 2019 at 2:30 p.m.
(Toronto time) at The Ritz-Carlton, Toronto
181 Wellington Street West, Toronto, Canada M5V 3G7

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