Selective Insurance Group
Annual Report 2021

Plain-text annual report

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-K (Mark One) ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended: December 31, 2021 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from_______________________to_______________________ Commission file number: 001-33067 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter) New Jersey (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization) 22-2168890 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 40 Wantage Avenue Branchville, New Jersey 07890 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code) 973 948-3000 (Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each class Trading Symbol (s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $2 per share Depositary Shares, each representing a 1/1,000th interest in a share of 4.60% Non- Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B, without par value SIGI The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC SIGIP The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. ☒ Yes ☐ No Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. ☐ Yes ☒ No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. ☒ Yes ☐ No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). ☒ Yes ☐ No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and "emerging growth company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. 1 Large accelerated filer ☒ Non-accelerated filer ¨ Accelerated filer ¨ Smaller reporting company ☐ Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management's assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☒ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). ☐ Yes ☒ No The aggregate market value of the voting company common stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant, based on the closing price on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, was $4,787,831,538 on June 30, 2021. As of January 31, 2022, the registrant had outstanding 60,186,063 shares of common stock. DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE Portions of the registrant’s definitive Proxy Statement for the 2022 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to be held on May 3, 2022, are incorporated by reference into Part III of this report. 2 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. Table of Contents Page No. PART I Item 1. Item 1A. Item 1B. Item 2. Item 3. Item 4. PART II Item 5. Item 6. Item 7. Item 7A. Item 8. Item 9. Item 9A. Item 9B. Item 9C. PART III Item 10. Item 11. Item 12. Item 13. Item 14. PART IV Item 15. Item 16. Business Risk Factors Unresolved Staff Comments Properties Legal Proceedings Mine Safety Disclosures Market For Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities Reserved Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Forward-looking Statements Introduction Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment Federal Income Taxes Liquidity and Capital Resources Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk Financial Statements and Supplementary Data Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 Consolidated Statements of Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure Controls and Procedures Other Information Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance Executive Compensation Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence Principal Accountant Fees and Services Exhibit and Financial Statement Schedules Form 10-K Summary 3 4 20 32 32 32 32 32 34 34 34 34 35 43 46 59 59 63 70 72 73 74 75 76 77 127 127 129 129 129 129 129 129 130 130 141 PART I Item 1. Business. Overview Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (“Parent”) is a New Jersey insurance holding company incorporated in 1977 that owns ten property and casualty insurance subsidiaries ("Insurance Subsidiaries"). The Insurance Subsidiaries sell products and services only in the United States ("U.S.") exclusively through independent insurance agents and wholesale brokers. Various state departments of insurance (i) license nine of our subsidiaries as admitted carriers to write specific lines of property and casualty insurance in the standard marketplace and (ii) authorize the tenth subsidiary as a non-admitted carrier to write property and casualty insurance in the excess and surplus ("E&S") lines market. We refer throughout this document to the Parent and the Insurance Subsidiaries collectively as "we," “us,” or “our.” We use Parent only to distinguish the holding company from the Insurance Subsidiaries. Our main office is located in Branchville, New Jersey. Our common and preferred stock are listed and traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbols “SIGI” and "SIGIP," respectively. In 2021, AM Best Company (“AM Best”) ranked us as the 39th largest property and casualty group in its annual list of “Top 200 U.S. Property/Casualty Writers,” based on 2020 net premiums written (“NPW”). We have a long and successful history in the property and casualty industry since our founding in 1926. Our AM Best financial strength rating is currently "A+" (Superior). Strategic Advantages We have three key sustainable competitive advantages: • A distribution model that emphasizes franchise value, meaning we focus on appointing high-quality independent distribution partners, with whom we have meaningful and close business relationships; • A unique field model, in which we (i) locate our Standard Commercial Lines underwriting and safety management personnel in the geographic territories they serve, (ii) organize our claims operation regionally by specialty, with local personnel managing our customer, claimant, and agency relationships, and (iii) provide our teams with sophisticated tools and technologies to inform underwriting, pricing, safety management, and claims decisions; and • A superior omnichannel customer experience provided by best-in-class employees, enhanced by digital platforms and value-added services to increase customer engagement and retention. Several nationally recognized statistical rating organizations ("NRSROs") issue opinions on our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position, and ability to meet policyholder obligations: NRSRO Financial Strength Rating AM Best Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings (“S&P”) Moody’s Investors Services (“Moody’s”) Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”) A+ A A2 A+ Outlook Stable Stable Stable Stable In the fourth quarter of 2021, AM Best (i) upgraded our financial strength rating to "A+" (Superior) from "A" (Excellent), the second-highest of their 13 financial strength ratings, and (ii) revised our outlook to "Stable" from "Positive." In taking this action, AM Best cited our strong balance sheet strength, strong operating performance, favorable business profile, and appropriate enterprise risk management. We believe that our ability to write insurance business is most influenced by our AM Best rating. Our independent distribution partners recommend insurance carriers based, in part, on financial strength ratings, which many of our customers also consider in their purchasing decisions. Distribution partners generally recommend higher-rated carriers to limit their potential liability for error and omission claims by customers. Most of our customers often have minimum insurer rating requirements in loans, mortgages, and other agreements securing real and personal property. 4 These NRSROs also rate our long-term debt creditworthiness. Credit ratings indicate the ability of debt issuers to meet obligations in a timely manner and are important factors in our overall funding profile and ability to access certain types of liquidity. Our current senior debt credit ratings are as follows: NRSRO AM Best S&P Moody’s Fitch Credit Rating a- BBB Baa2 BBB+ Long-Term Credit Outlook Stable Stable Stable Stable Our S&P, Moody's, and Fitch financial strength and associated credit ratings affect our ability to access capital markets. We have provided a glossary of terms defining certain industry-specific and other terms that we use as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 10-K. Human Capital We recognize that developing and protecting our human capital complements and contributes to superior longer-term financial performance. We are committed to maintaining a safe and inclusive workplace that promotes diversity and provides attractive benefits to our approximately 2,440 employees. In 2021, we (i) were designated as a Great Place to Work CertifiedTM organization for the second year in a row, with 88% of employees identifying us as a great place to work, (ii) received the "2021 Best Places to Work" award from Business Intelligence Group, and (iii) were recognized by Forbes as one of "America's Best-in-State Employers." We discuss our approach to (i) physical, social, and financial well-being of our employees; (ii) talent development and employee retention; and (iii) diversity, equity, and inclusion more fully below. Physical, Social, and Financial Well-Being of our Employees We invest significantly in our employees' physical, social, and financial well-being, which is essential to attracting and retaining the best talent. We are committed to fair pay and regularly analyze and adjust compensation to ensure internal equity and external market alignment. To support the financial well-being of our employees and their families, we offer competitive financial benefit programs, including a 401(k) plan with non-elective and employer matching contributions, an employee stock purchase plan that allows our stock to be purchased at a discount, and tuition reimbursement and student loan repayment. Most of our employees are eligible to participate in our annual cash incentive program, the funding and payout of which is based on the achievement of our financial and strategic objectives, and our long-term stock-based incentive compensation program. To promote the health and well-being of our employees, we offer a range of competitive and convenient health and wellness programs. We also support our employees' social well-being, encouraging connections with their colleagues and communities through various programs, such as paid time off for volunteer work and matching charitable donations. Talent Development and Employee Retention We invest significant time and resources in training and development to assist our employees in fulfilling their professional potential and having rewarding careers. We are committed to ongoing learning, personal growth, and continuous improvement. Our employees have access to various live instructor-led training courses and over 22,000 online skills training courses and resources. We also have leadership and talent development programs and initiatives at all levels of the organization. Examples include our (i) Next Generation of Leaders program, which identifies early- and mid-career management for focused development opportunities that prepare them for future senior leadership, and (ii) RISE (Retain Include Support Engage) program, which is an accelerated professional development program for diverse individual contributors interested in first-level management positions. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated our capabilities and cultural adaptation to a flexible work environment. As a result, we have instituted changes to increase flexibility and enhance employee engagement and productivity. During 2021, most of our office-based employees remained fully remote. In the future, when we return to the office, we will be adhering to our new hybrid work policy that allows most employees to work remotely 40% of the time. To retain our best talent and foster a positive work-life balance, we invest in talent development, and focus on workplace flexibility. Our employee turnover rate in 2021 was approximately 13%. Employees with over 20 years of service represented approximately 17% of our workforce. Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion We recognize that when employees with diverse backgrounds, ideas, and experiences collaborate, it can foster innovation that improves operational performance, products and services, customer experience, market opportunities, and revenue. We have initiatives to increase representation and cultivate greater inclusion of people with different ethnicity, race, age, sexual 5 orientation, gender identity and expression, and socio-economic background. Some recent initiatives include (i) increasing gender and racial diversity in our Next Generation of Leaders program, which was 79% in 2021 and 66% in 2020, and through the launch of various employee resource groups for women, Black, and LGBTQ+ employees, (ii) increasing the focus on leadership development programs for under-represented groups through our RISE program, (iii) implementing business objectives tied to supporting and participating in diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives, (iv) enhanced hiring, retention, and promotion practices intended to increase the level of diversity at all levels within the organization, and (v) increasing the size of our Board of Directors ("Board"), adding new directors with diverse backgrounds, skills, experience, and ethnicity and race. As of December 31, 2021, women represented 58% of our non-officer workforce and 32% of our officer workforce, compared to 57% and 31% at December, 31, 2020, respectively. Increasing the representation of women in first-level, middle, and senior management roles is a prioritized goal. Our ethnic diversity for officers and non-officers is consistent with the national average for financial services, but our objective is to increase this representation over time. Currently, approximately 80% of our workforce is White; and 20% of our workforce is a combination of Black, Latin, Asian, and all other ethnicities combined, compared to 82% and 18% at December, 31, 2020, respectively. In addition, we have five directors who identify as diverse. Segments We have four reportable segments: • • • • Standard Commercial Lines, which represents 73% of consolidated revenues and comprises property and casualty insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to commercial enterprises, typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local government agencies. This business represented 81% of our total insurance operations’ NPW in 2021 and is primarily sold in 27 states and the District of Columbia. The average premium per policyholder in 2021 was approximately $14,000. Standard Personal Lines, which represents 9% of consolidated revenues and comprises property and casualty insurance products and services provided primarily to individuals acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace. This business represented 9% of our total insurance operations’ NPW in 2021 and is sold in 15 states. The average premium per policyholder in 2021 was approximately $2,500. Standard Personal Lines also includes flood insurance coverage sold through the Write Your Own ("WYO") program of the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP"). Based on 2020 direct premiums written ("DPW") as reported in the S&P Market Intelligence platform, we are the fourth-largest writer of this coverage through the NFIP. We write flood business in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. E&S Lines, which represents 8% of consolidated revenues and comprises commercial property and casualty insurance products and services provided to customers unable to obtain coverage in the standard marketplace, generally because of unusual or high-risk exposures. E&S insurers do not have constraints related to form and rate regulations like standard market insurers, and they are exempt from many other standard market requirements. E&S carriers are authorized to write an insurance policy if the party seeking insurance coverage has been rejected by three separate standard line carriers. This business represented 10% of our total insurance operations’ NPW in 2021 and is sold in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The average premium per policyholder in 2021 was approximately $3,300. Investments, which represents 10% (including net realized and unrealized gains and losses) of consolidated revenues and invests the (i) premiums collected by our insurance operations and (ii) amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which include the issuance of debt and equity securities. We derive nearly all of our income/loss in three ways: • Underwriting income/loss from our insurance operations. Underwriting income/loss is comprised of revenues, which are the net premiums earned ("NPE") from our insurance products and services less expenses. Gross premiums are DPW plus premiums assumed from other insurers and mandatory pools and associations. NPW is equal to gross premiums less premiums ceded to reinsurers. NPW is recognized as revenue ratably over a policy’s term as NPE. Expenses related to our insurance operations fall into three categories depicted on our Consolidated Statements of Income: (i) "Loss and loss expense incurred," which includes losses associated with claims and all loss expenses for adjusting claims incurred during a policy's term, net of losses and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers; (ii) "Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs," which includes expenses related to the successful acquisition of 6 insurance policies, such as commissions to our distribution partners and premium taxes, recognized ratably over a policy's term; and (iii) "Other insurance expenses," which includes acquisition and other insurance-related expenses not otherwise classified as "Loss and loss expense incurred" or "Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs" incurred in maintaining policies and policyholder dividends. Total underwriting expenses are the total of Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and Other insurance expenses, offset by Other income on our Consolidated Statements of Income. Other income primarily includes installment fees, which are fees charged to customers paying their premiums on an installment basis. • • Net investment income earned from our investment segment. We generate income from investing insurance premiums and amounts generated through our capital management strategies. Net investment income consists primarily of (i) interest earned on fixed income investments and commercial mortgage loans, (ii) dividends earned on equity securities, (iii) other income primarily generated from our alternative investments portfolio, partially offset by (iv) investment expenses. Net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investment securities from our investments segment. Realized gains and losses from our investment portfolio are the result of (i) security disposals through sales, calls, and redemptions, (ii) losses on securities for which we intend to sell, (iii) credit loss expense or benefit, and (iv) net unrealized gains and losses on equity securities. Net income (or loss) available to common stockholders on our Consolidated Statements of Income also includes (i) corporate expenses, which includes the Parent's long-term incentive compensation to our employees and other general corporate expenses, (ii) interest on our debt obligations, (iii) federal income taxes, and (iv) dividends to preferred shareholders. We use net income (or loss) available to common stockholders and non-U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") operating income as measures of financial performance. Non-GAAP operating income differs from net income available to common stockholders by excluding after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments. We use combined ratio as the key performance measure in assessing our insurance operations. The combined ratio is calculated by adding (i) the loss and loss expense ratio, which is the ratio of net loss and loss expense incurred to NPE, (ii) the expense ratio, which is the ratio of underwriting expenses to NPE, and (iii) the dividend ratio, which is the ratio of policyholder dividends to NPE. A combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit, and a combined ratio over 100% indicates an underwriting loss. The combined ratio does not reflect net investment income, net realized and unrealized investment gains or losses, federal income taxes, or Parent income or expense. The loss and loss expense ratio is typically the largest contributor to our combined ratio. Key drivers typically are the amount of catastrophe and non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses incurred, current year casualty loss estimates, and the impact of prior year casualty reserve development. We principally use after-tax net investment income as the key measure in assessing the financial performance of our investments segment. We also assess total return, which we calculate by adding pre-tax net realized and unrealized investment gains or losses (including losses on securities we intend to sell and credit loss expense or benefit) to pre-tax net investment income. Our investment philosophy includes setting specific risk and return objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment portfolios and comparing each portfolio's returns to a weighted-average benchmark of comparable indices. We also consider return on common equity ("ROE") and non-GAAP operating return on common equity ("non-GAAP operating ROE") as important measures of our overall financial performance. ROE is a profitability measurement calculated by dividing net income available to common stockholders by average common stockholders' equity during the period. Non-GAAP operating ROE is calculated by dividing non-GAAP operating income available to common stockholders by average common stockholders' equity during the period. We evaluate our segments, in part, based on their contribution to non-GAAP operating ROE. We establish our non-GAAP operating ROE target annually based on the sum of (i) our current estimated weighted average cost of capital and (ii) an appropriate spread over our estimated weighted average cost of capital. We also consider the current interest rate environment and property and casualty insurance industry market conditions when establishing our non- GAAP operating ROE target. For 2022, our non-GAAP operating ROE target is 11%. For further details about our 2021 results related to these performance measures, refer to "Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K. 7 In addition to measuring and monitoring our results by segment using combined ratio and non-GAAP operating ROE metrics, we also monitor key operating leverage metrics, such as NPW to surplus and invested assets per dollar of common stockholders’ equity. We define operating leverage as the ratio of NPW to statutory surplus, and we target a ratio between 1.35x and 1.55x. Our operating leverage at December 31, 2021 was 1.33x, compared to the U.S. standard commercial and personal lines industry average of approximately 0.7x that Conning, Inc. reported in its Fourth Quarter 2021 Property-Casualty Forecast & Analysis (Source: ©2022 Conning, Inc. Used with permission.). In recent years, our operating leverage has declined, principally driven by our strong profitability, which has increased our statutory capital and statutory surplus. Our higher operating leverage than the industry average, coupled with our casualty-oriented business profile, has resulted in higher investment leverage than the industry. We define investment leverage as invested assets per dollar of common stockholders’ equity. Our investment leverage at December 31, 2021 was $2.88, compared to the U.S. commercial and personal lines average invested assets to statutory surplus of $2.09 that Conning, Inc. reported in its Fourth Quarter 2021 Property-Casualty Forecast & Analysis (Source: ©2022 Conning, Inc. Used with permission.). Due to our higher investment leverage, we have adopted a slightly more conservative investment management philosophy with fixed income securities and short-term investments, representing 91% of our invested assets. As of December 31, 2021, these fixed income securities and short-term investments had a weighted average credit rating of "A+" and an effective duration of 3.9 years, compared to "AA-" and 3.8 years as of December 31, 2020. The weighted average credit rating decline reflects a planned reduction in our sector allocation to agency residential mortgage-backed securities over the past year. Given this asset class's very low reinvestment rates, we have reallocated these non-sale disposal cash flows into other high-quality fixed income sectors, including corporate securities and other asset-backed security classes that lack a "AAA" rating but currently have a better risk versus reward trade- off. For additional information about the design and credit quality characteristics of our investment segment, refer to "Credit Risk" in Item 7A. "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk." and Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. We believe we have a lower financial risk profile than our industry because: • Our Standard Commercial Lines segment underwriting risk appetite is focused on small-to-medium sized accounts, with risks generally characterized as low- to medium-hazard. Our average premium per policyholder is approximately $14,000, with about 86% of our casualty lines business in this segment having limits of $1 million or less (excluding workers compensation policies, as they do not have limits), and about 92% of our property lines of business in this segment having limits of $3 million or less; • We maintain sophisticated pricing tools and disciplined financial planning and reserving practices. The latter includes quarterly ground-up reserve reviews for most lines of business, semi-annual independent external reserve reviews, and year-end regulatory actuarial reserve opinions issued by an independent external actuary; • We purchase significant levels of reinsurance, including (i) a property catastrophe reinsurance program that limits the net after-tax impact of a 1 in 250 year catastrophe to about 4% of our GAAP equity, and (ii) property and casualty excess of loss reinsurance agreements that limit the impact of individual property claims to $3 million per risk and casualty claims to $2 million per occurrence; and • We maintain a conservative investment portfolio principally invested in high quality and liquid fixed income and short-term investments, with a modest allocation to risk assets. Our strong financial strength and lower financial and underwriting risk profile has permitted us historically to operate with higher operating leverage than our industry as a whole. This strategy, while requiring us to balance growth and profit, provides us the opportunity to generate higher underwriting and investment portfolio ROEs, assuming profitable operations. We generate 0.9 points of ROE for each point on the combined ratio and 2.3 points of ROE for each point of pre-tax investment yield. In 2021, we generated a 14.8% ROE and a 14.3% non-GAAP operating ROE, exceeding our 2021 11% ROE target, driven by strong underwriting income and investment results, which included higher gains on our alternative investment portfolio, as discussed further in "Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K. 8 Insurance Operations Overview We derive all our insurance operations revenue from selling insurance policies in return for insurance premiums. The vast majority of our sales are annual insurance policies. Our most significant cost associated with the sale of insurance policies is our loss and loss expense for insured events covered under these policies. Loss and loss expense reserves are one of our critical estimates and represent the ultimate amounts we will need in the future to pay insured claims and related expenses for insured claims that have not yet been settled or reported. Estimating reserves as of any given date is an inherently uncertain process, requiring the application of estimation techniques and a considerable degree of judgment. We regularly review our overall reserve position through internal and external actuarial reserve analyses. For a full discussion regarding our loss reserving process, see "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." and Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. As part of our risk management efforts associated with the sale of our products and services, we use reinsurance to protect our capital resources and insure us against losses on the risks we underwrite. We enter into reinsurance contracts and arrangements with third parties that cover various policies we issue to our customers. Similarly, we maintain an internal reinsurance pooling agreement by which each Insurance Subsidiary shares in premiums and losses based on specified percentages. For information regarding reinsurance treaties and agreements, see "Reinsurance" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K. Products and Services The types of insurance we sell in our insurance operations fall into two broad categories: • • Casualty insurance, which generally covers the financial consequences of (i) employee injuries in the course of employment, (ii) bodily injury and/or property damage to a third party as a result of an insured’s negligent acts, omissions, or legal liabilities, and (iii) the obligation to defend our insured(s) when the claim is covered. Casualty claims have long tails and may take several years and, in some situations, even decades to be reported and settled. Property insurance, which generally covers the accidental loss to an insured’s real property, personal property, and/or earnings due to the property's loss. Property claims are generally reported and settled in a relatively short period from the date of loss. Our insurance premiums relate to the property and casualty insurance policies we underwrite and issue. The following table shows the principal types of policies we write: Types of Policies Commercial Property (including Inland Marine) Commercial Automobile Standard Personal Lines E&S Lines X X X Standard Commercial Lines X X X X X X General Liability (including Excess Liability/Umbrella) Workers Compensation Businessowners' Policy Bonds (Fidelity and Surety) Homeowners Personal Automobile Personal Umbrella Flood1 1The majority of our exposure to flood losses comes from our participation in the NFIP's WYO program where our flood insurance premiums and losses are 100% ceded to the NFIP. The results of our Standard Personal Lines and Standard Commercial Lines flood operations are reported solely within our Standard Personal Lines segment results. X X X X X Category of Insurance Property Property/Casualty Casualty Casualty Property/Casualty Casualty Property/Casualty Property/Casualty Casualty Property Product Development and Pricing Our insurance policies are contracts with our policyholders that specify the losses we cover and the amounts we will pay on a covered loss. We develop our coverages by (i) adopting policy forms created or filed by statistical rating agencies or other third parties, notably Insurance Services Office, Inc. (“ISO”), American Association of Insurance Services, Inc. ("AAIS"), and the National Council on Compensation Insurance, Inc. ("NCCI"), (ii) independently creating our own policy forms, or (iii) modifying third-party policy forms. In developing products and services, we consider market demands, profitability, competitive research and feedback from our independent distribution partners, and the potential impact of the product or service in making our customers’ commercial or personal endeavors safer. 9 Our policies provide coverage for future events, so the actual individual policy loss costs are unknown at the point of sale. Determining pricing for coverage requires us to consider many variables. Like most property and casualty insurance companies, our loss data alone is not sufficiently credible to independently establish the complex sets of loss costs and rating variables required for our products. Therefore, we often adopt loss costs and rating structures filed by statistical rating agencies, such as ISO and NCCI. We typically modify these loss costs or factors based on actuarial analyses of our own credible historical statistical data, factoring in loss trends and other expected impacts. The resulting loss costs are converted to premium rates by adding provisions for expense and profit. In some cases, we supplement the indicated rates with competitive market information to determine our final filed rates. We have developed predictive models for many of our Standard Commercial and Standard Personal Lines that we use to refine the statistical rating agencies' rating plans or independently develop our own rating plans. Predictive models analyze historical statistical data related to various risk characteristics that drive loss experience. For our Standard Commercial Lines, we use the output of these models to group existing or potential policies based on their expected loss potential. These groupings are inputs in the underwriting and pricing process for individual risks. We use these models to develop factors in our filed Standard Personal Lines rating plans. In all cases, the predictive capabilities of these models depend on the quantity and quality of available statistical data. Consequently, we may supplement them with other competitive market information or underwriting judgment. Customers and Customer Markets We categorize our Standard Commercial Lines customers into the following strategic business units ("SBUs"): Contractors Mercantile and Services Community and Public Services Manufacturing and Wholesale Bonds Total Standard Commercial Lines Percentage of Standard Commercial Lines 43% 25% 16% 15% 1% 100% Description General contractors and trade contractors Retail, office, lessors risk/property owners, automobile services and golf courses Public entities, social services, religious institutions, and schools Manufacturers, wholesalers, and distributors Fidelity and surety We do not categorize our Standard Personal Lines customers or our E&S Lines customers by SBU. No one customer accounts for 10% or more of our insurance operations in the aggregate. We manage volatility in our underwriting results, in part, by writing accounts with lower-limits profiles. The table below illustrates the percentage of accounts with total insured value and exposure limits at and below $1 million for property and casualty insurance accounts, respectively: Standard Commercial Lines Standard Personal Lines E&S Lines 1Standard Commercial Lines excludes policies written in our workers compensation line of business, which do not have statutory policy limits, but are covered by our casualty excess of loss reinsurance treaty, which provides coverage for losses above $2 million. Property 77% 81% 96% Casualty 86%1 97% 98% We also purchase significant levels of reinsurance from reinsurers with an average credit rating of "A" or better. Our reinsurance program supports our ability to write accounts with larger policy limits by limiting the impact of individual property and casualty losses to $3 million per risk for property claims and $2 million per occurrence for casualty claims. For information regarding reinsurance treaties and agreements, see "Reinsurance" in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K. Geographic Markets We sell our insurance products and services in the following geographic markets: • • Standard Commercial Lines products and services are primarily sold in 27 states located in the Eastern, Midwestern, and Southwestern regions of the U.S. and the District of Columbia. Standard Personal Lines products and services are sold in 15 states located in the Eastern, Midwestern, and Southwestern regions of the U.S. In addition, flood insurance, which is reported in this segment, is sold in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. 10 • E&S Lines products and services are sold in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. We plan to expand our current 27-state Standard Commercial Lines segment footprint to 30 states by year-end 2022 by adding, subject to regulatory approvals, Vermont, Alabama, and Idaho. This expansion should allow us to issue policies to customers who have exposures in these states, allowing us to compete more effectively against insurers with national footprints. Our ultimate plan is to expand our Standard Commercial Lines footprint throughout the Continental U.S. We currently do not intend to expand the states in which we write Standard Personal Lines. We manage and support our business from our (i) corporate headquarters in Branchville, New Jersey, (ii) six regional branches (referred to as our “Regions”), and (iii) underwriting and claims service center in Richmond, Virginia. The table below lists our Regions and their main office locations: Region Heartland New Jersey Northeast Mid-Atlantic Southern Southwest Office Location Indianapolis, Indiana Hamilton, New Jersey Branchville, New Jersey Allentown, Pennsylvania, and Hunt Valley, Maryland Charlotte, North Carolina Scottsdale, Arizona In addition, our E&S Lines has offices in Dresher, Pennsylvania, and Scottsdale, Arizona. Distribution Channel The property and casualty insurance market is highly regulated and competitive with fragmented market share, particularly in standard commercial lines. The market has three main distribution methods: (i) sales through appointed independent insurance agents and wholesale brokers; (ii) direct sales to personal and commercial customers, including Internet-based digital platforms; and (iii) sales through captive insurance agents employed by or contracted to sell exclusively with one insurance company. We sell our insurance products and services through the following types of independent distribution partners: • • • Standard Commercial Lines: Independent retail agents; Standard Personal Lines: Independent retail agents; and E&S Lines: Wholesale general agents. We generally pay our distribution partners commissions calculated as a percentage of DPW, often supplemented by amounts based on profitability or other considerations for business placed with us. We seek to compensate them fairly and consistently with market practices. No one independent distribution partner is responsible for 10% or more of our combined insurance operations' premium. Our top 20 distribution partners generated approximately 38% of our DPW, excluding the flood line of business, in 2021. Independent Retail Agents A 2020 Independent Insurance Agents & Brokers of America study reported that independent retail insurance agents and brokers write approximately 85% of standard commercial lines insurance and 36% of standard personal lines insurance in the U.S. We expect that independent retail insurance agents, the bulk of our independent distribution partners, will remain a significant force in overall insurance industry premium production because they generally represent multiple insurance carriers. This business model provides customers with a wider choice of insurance products, more competitive pricing, and individualized risk-based consultation. We have approximately 1,430 distribution partners selling our standard lines business. These 1,430 distribution partners sell our products and services through approximately 2,500 office locations. We also have approximately 6,200 distribution partners selling our flood insurance products. Wholesale General Agents We have approximately 80 wholesale general agents, with an aggregated 320 office locations, selling our E&S Lines business. We have granted these wholesale general agents limited binding authority for risks that meet our prescribed underwriting and pricing guidelines. 11 Marketing Our primary marketing strategy is to: • • • • Use an empowered field underwriting model for Standard Commercial Lines to provide our distribution partners with resources near their businesses and our mutual customers. For further discussion on this model, see the “Technology, Innovation, and Field Model” section below. Develop a distribution model that emphasizes franchise value, meaning we focus our independent insurance agency appointments to high-quality partners with whom we have meaningful and close business relationships, particularly with their principals and producers, by (i) soliciting, gathering, and acting on feedback from them and our mutual customers on various topics, including our products and services and brand awareness, (ii) advising them on our product development efforts, and (iii) providing education and development programs focused on producer recruitment, sales training, enhancing customer experience, online marketing, and distribution operations, all designed to help them profitably grow and succeed. Develop and carefully monitor annual goals with each distribution partner on (i) types and mix of risks placed with us, (ii) new business and renewal retention expectations, (iii) customer service and engagement rates, (iv) pricing of their in-force book and renewal price changes, and (v) profitability of business placed with us. Develop brand recognition and meaningful customer engagement through a data-driven marketing strategy and a focus on superior customer experience. This integrated marketing and customer engagement approach (i) affords us a dynamic view of the changing marketplace and customer expectations, (ii) provides us insight into the unique value- added products and services that will have the greatest impact on each customer, and (iii) will help drive business acquisition and retention, and brand health, which we expect will position us as a marketplace leader. Technology, Innovation, and Field Model We continue to evolve our technology and field model by maintaining a strong focus on innovation, providing our customers and distribution partners with "around the clock" digital access to account information and transactional capabilities. While many insurers offer such digital customer solutions in personal lines, we strive to be a digital and customer experience leader in all three segments of our insurance operations. Technology We leverage technology in our business and make significant investments in information technology ("IT") platforms, integrated systems, and cloud-based solutions. We make these technology investments to provide: • • • • Our distribution partners with accurate business information and seamless integration with our systems, permitting easy policy transaction processing. In 2021, Insurance Business America (IBA) recognized us as a "Five-Star Carrier" for superior performance in five of eleven key categories, one of which was online platforms and services. Our service representatives with a customer account-centric view of our policyholders, not a traditional policy-centric view, which reduces customer inquiry response time, complementing customer access to on-demand digital transactional capabilities. Our underwriters with advanced underwriting and pricing tools with pricing guidance and automated retrieval of relevant public information on existing and potential policyholders, which enhances profitability and enables premium growth. We have used predictive models in our Standard Commercial Lines underwriting for over 15 years. Our claims adjusters with predictive tools that identify specific claims likely to experience escalating losses, fraud or subrogation recovery, or litigation. As part of our digital strategy, we provide our Standard Commercial Lines and Standard Personal Lines customers with a mobile application and a self-service portal. Our mobile application received Best Mobile App Awards' Platinum Award for "Best Mobile Design," in the summer of 2020. As of December 31, 2021, 47% of our customers registered for these digital self-service capabilities. Both the application and portal encourage policyholders to use on-demand self-service access for account information, electronic bill payment, and claims reporting. We provide customers with other digital value-added services, such as proactive messaging about vehicle and product recalls, adverse weather, and claim status. 12 We manage our IT projects through an Enterprise Project Management Office (“EPMO”). The EPMO is supported by certified project managers who apply methodologies to (i) communicate project management standards, (ii) provide project management training and tools, (iii) manage projects, (iv) review project status, including external and internal costs and any projected net present value of project benefits, and (v) provide non-technology project management consulting services to the rest of the organization. The EPMO, which includes senior management representatives from all primary business and corporate areas, meets regularly to review all significant initiatives and receives status reports on other projects. The EPMO is an important factor in the success of our business strategy and technology implementations. Our primary technology operations are located in Branchville, New Jersey and Glastonbury, Connecticut. We have agreements with multiple consulting, IT, and supplemental staffing service providers to augment our internal resources. Collectively, these providers supply approximately 54% of our skilled technology capacity, with 74% of their resources overseas. We retain management oversight of all projects and ongoing IT production operations. We have existing procedures to manage an efficient transition to new technology vendors without significant impact on our operations if we terminated any current service provider. Our business relies heavily on IT and application systems that may be accessed from, or are connected to, the Internet. Consequently, a malicious cyber-attack could affect us. Our systems also contain proprietary and confidential information, including personally identifiable information, about our operations, employees, agents, and customers and their employees and property. We have a dedicated unit responsible for implementing and reporting on cybersecurity risks and controls led by our Senior Vice President, Enterprise Strategy and Execution. We work with carefully selected industry-leading security consulting and technology partners and follow security-minded design principles. The cybersecurity team receives oversight and executive support through engagement with our Executive Risk Committee ("ERC"). Similarly, the team works with our Enterprise Risk Management ("ERM") function on business alignment and procuring cybersecurity insurance. Our cybersecurity program balances responsiveness to rapidly-changing threats with ensuring long-term results. It focuses on six key areas: • • • • • • Proactive cybersecurity, including cyber threat hunting, ethical hacking campaigns, and periodic cybersecurity program assessments; Reactive cybersecurity processes that we regularly test using incident response and disaster recovery exercises, based on realistic scenarios; Endpoint controls that provide data encryption, threat detection, malicious software defense, and data backups; Identity and access management controls that include multi factor authentication and additional safeguards for employees with elevated privileges; Employee cyber risk awareness programs that leverage general education, role-based training, and simulated phishing attacks; and Third-party risk management and security standards that include due diligence, continuous monitoring, and cyber risk scoring. For further information regarding our risks associated with cyber-attacks, see Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. For additional information regarding our ERM function and ERC, see the section entitled, “Enterprise Risk Management” in Item 1. “Business.” of this Form 10-K. Innovation To continue advancing (i) an organizational culture of innovation, (ii) agility, (iii) digital and customer experience initiatives, and (iv) our long-term value proposition to our customers and distribution partners, we have undertaken several important strategic actions, which include the following: • • Created a team dedicated to innovation under a Chief Innovation Officer. We established this team to (i) apply proven innovation techniques and methods for identifying, prioritizing, and advancing strategic innovative ideas and opportunities, (ii) stay apprised on critical industry and insurance technology trends that impact our customers, distribution partners, and employees, and (iii) further expand our innovation culture by providing training and skill- building opportunities, facilitating departmental and cross-functional strategy and innovation sessions, and leading relevant communities of interest that intersect with the lifecycle of innovation; Established an innovation lab at our corporate headquarters in late-2019 to spur innovation and further our efforts to identify and deploy product, agency and customer experience, and operational efficiency improvements. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we accelerated our ability to drive innovation virtually. We now can conduct innovation design work (i) in-person, using our innovation lab at our corporate headquarters, (ii) fully virtual, combining live facilitation with collaboration software and digital whiteboard and polling capabilities, and (iii) hybrid capabilities, mixing live attendance and digital capabilities at our innovation lab with attendees at remote locations; and 13 • Expanded the scope of our Strategic Investment Committee to review and act on potential investment opportunities, including technology and Insurtech platforms that may positively impact our business or the industry. These efforts position us to offer customers an improved service experience and demonstrate our long-term value proposition to our customers and distribution partners. Field Model We believe our unique field model is a competitive advantage. To support and build better and stronger relationships with our independent distribution partners, our (i) Standard Commercial Lines underwriting and safety management personnel are located in the geographic territories they serve, (ii) claims operation is organized regionally by specialty, with local personnel managing our customer, claimant, and distribution partner relationships, and (iii) teams are provided with sophisticated tools and technologies to inform underwriting, pricing, safety management, and claims decisions. At December 31, 2021, we had approximately 2,440 employees, 730 of whom are normally home-based, 935 are based in our regional offices, with the remainder in our corporate office. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, most of our office-based employees remained fully remote throughout 2021. Underwriting Process Our underwriting process by segment is as follows: • Standard Commercial Lines: Our Standard Commercial Lines corporate underwriting department oversees our underwriting guidelines and philosophy for each industry segment and line of business. Through formal letters of authority, our Chief Underwriting Officer ("CUO") delegates underwriting authority after assessing an individual underwriter's job grade and industry and line of business expertise. Our corporate underwriting department coordinates with our actuarial department to determine adequate pricing levels for all Standard Commercial Lines products. Under the CUO's delegated authorities, our regional underwriting operations make most individual policyholder underwriting and pricing decisions. New business is underwritten by Agency Management Specialists ("AMSs"), with contributions from Production Underwriters, Small Business Teams, and Large Account Underwriters. Renewal business is handled primarily in each Region, but some renewals are handled through our Underwriting Service Center ("USC"), where underwriters are assigned to specific distribution partners. Our field model also focuses on improving safety and risk management programs, loss experience, and retention, including: • • • • Risk evaluation, and virtual and on-site improvement surveys that evaluate potential exposures and provide solutions for mitigation; Internet-based safety management educational resources, including an extensive library of coverage-specific safety materials, videos, and online courses, such as defensive driving and employee educational safety courses; Thermographic infrared surveys that identify potential electrical hazards; and Occupational Safety and Health Administration construction and general industry certification training. We brand these services as “Safety Management: Solutions for a safer workplace.”SM We have 87 Safety Management Specialists ("SMS") supporting our policyholders locally in the field. These specialists regularly interact with customers and prospective accounts. They provide advice on risk mitigation for perils such as property damage, liability, and workers compensation risks, including best practices for preventing abuse claims. Their efforts permit our underwriters to understand our customers' exposures, and their safety enhancement recommendations reduce our customers' risk exposure, enhancing our new business and renewal underwriting decisions. Over the past two years, we have embarked on safety management initiatives to proactively service policyholders with notifications and alerts, risk identification and mitigation of potential loss occurrence, and tools and technologies to reduce losses and improve safety. Examples include: • Vehicle recall notifications to our policyholders and distribution partners; 14 • Weather preparation notices for large storms or hurricanes, including guides on structural improvements, roof and drainage maintenance, and measures to prevent plumbing from freezing or clogging; and • Food and product recall notifications to policyholders in food manufacturing, distribution, and preparation. In 2021, we continued rolling out a new Standard Commercial Lines platform designed to streamline new small business policy quoting and issuance for our distribution partners. We generally consider small business to be lower hazard risks in specific industry classifications with policy premiums less than $25,000. Writing small business has always been a core part of our strategy. The small business market has become more competitive in recent years, with more carriers entering the market with technology dedicated to new business generation. We continue to execute a multi-year strategy to (i) improve small business writing ease and speed for our distribution partners, and (ii) offer a best-in-class small business customer experience. We are enhancing our rating platform's user experience by reducing the amount of information required to be input before generating a quote. We have deployed this new small business platform for most of our lines of business, including businessowners, commercial automobile, workers compensation, commercial property, and general liability. Our plans include adding capabilities in 2022 to help us maximize new business growth and share of small business with our distribution partners. Standard Personal Lines: Our Standard Personal Lines underwriting operations are centralized and highly automated. Most of our new and renewal business is underwritten and priced through an automated system reflecting our filed rates and rules. Exceptions are approved under the direction of our Standard Personal Lines CUO. For long-term growth, we are actively repositioning our Standard Personal Lines business to provide our insurance products to a customer base that is less price-sensitive and more focused on insurance product coverage and service. E&S Lines: Our E&S relationship and underwriting managers focus on marketing our product capabilities, training our wholesale general agents on underwriting guidelines and automation, and collecting market intelligence from our wholesale general agents. In return, our wholesale general agents provide front-line underwriting and policy administration services for new and renewal business per our prescribed guidelines. Our small commercial E&S underwriters review all exceptions our wholesale general agents submit for approval, revision, or declination based on individual account risk characteristics. Our middle market E&S commercial underwriters write larger accounts and receive complete submissions for individual underwriting and pricing based on the account’s exposures. Wholesale general agents who submit middle market commercial risks do not have authority to quote or bind accounts on our behalf. • • Our USC services certain Standard Commercial Lines and Standard Personal Lines accounts that our independent distribution partners designate. All USC employees are licensed agents who respond to policyholder inquiries about insurance coverage, billing transactions, and other matters. For the convenience of having us handle USC transactions, our distribution partners agree to receive a slightly lower than standard commission on the associated premium. As of December 31, 2021, our USC was servicing NPW of $93.2 million, which represents 3% of our total NPW. Claims Management Timely and appropriate investigation of a claim's facts and circumstances in light of our policy's terms, conditions, and exclusions is one of the essential services we provide to our policyholders, their claimants, and our distribution partners. To address the increasing complexity of coverage evaluation, construction methods, and litigation, we have structured our claims organization to emphasize: • • • Claims handling by technical areas of expertise, such as auto liability, general liability, property, and workers compensation, including deployment of specialized claim units within each of these lines of business that focus on high severity or technically complex losses and litigation; Claims customer managers and agency executives ("CAEs") who have responsibility for enhancing the relationship among our policyholders, agents, and our claims operation. The CAEs provide a single point-of-contact for our large account customers and distribution partners. They work with our regional underwriters to ensure appropriate claims service delivery, communicate trends, and discuss results and client services; Cost-effective delivery of claims services and control of loss and loss expense, including our Claims Service Center that manages our high volume, low severity automobile and property claims with a focus on adjusting tools that provide prompt and efficient service to our customers; and 15 • Timely and adequate claims reserving and resolution. As an example, despite the magnitude of the catastrophic weather events during 2021 (including Hurricane Ida), 76% of reported claims had their initial payments made within the first 30 days. We have been executing a multi-year claims modernization strategy to improve our claims organization’s ability to process claims more efficiently through improved workflows and enhanced capabilities for our employees, customers, and distribution partners. In 2021, we introduced enhanced capabilities, such as electronic payments to injured workers or customers, and bi- directional text enabling same-day payment to insureds. We are actively testing a new digital intake method to allow insureds to file automobile claims to improve the information gathered on first notices of loss. In 2022, we expect to introduce workers compensation to our new claims platform, which will improve claims adjuster efficiency through automated processes, workflows, and business rules. The remaining lines will be put on the platform subsequently. The Special Investigative Unit ("SIU") supports all insurance operations and investigates potential insurance fraud and abuse, consistent with law and direction from regulatory bodies and trade associations. The SIU adheres to uniform internal procedures to improve detection and take action on potentially fraudulent claims. We have developed a proprietary SIU fraud detection model that identifies potential fraud cases early in a claim's life. The SIU supervises anti-fraud training for all claims adjusters and AMSs. Its operation sends a clear message that we will not tolerate fraud against our policyholders or us. Our practice (and usually our legal requirement) is to notify the proper authorities of SIU findings. Insurance Operations Competition We face substantial competition in the insurance marketplace, including public, private, and mutual insurance companies, with varied levels of brand recognition, scale and operational efficiency, capital bases, book of business diversification and cost of capital. Like us, many of our competitors rely on independent partners to distribute their products and services. Other insurance carriers either employ their own agents, who only represent them, or use a combination of distribution partners, captive agents, and direct marketing. The property and casualty insurance market is highly competitive in each of our insurance segments, with market share fragmented among many companies, particularly in Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines. We compete primarily with regional and national insurers, mostly based on coverage terms, claims service, customer experience, safety management services, ease of technology usage, price, and financial ratings. We also face increased competition from established direct-to- consumer insurers, existing competitors, and new entrants that may have a lower cost structure and leverage digital technology that may offer enhanced servicing capabilities or enhanced customer experience. Investments Segment Our Investments segment seeks to generate net investment income by investing the premiums we receive from our insurance operations and the amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which may include debt and equity security issuances. Our investment portfolio mainly consists of fixed income securities, which primarily includes corporate securities, asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, and state and local municipal obligations. As of December 31, 2021, 15% of this portfolio was invested in floating rate securities that reset principally on the 90-day U.S. dollar-denominated London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR"). We also invest in both public and private equity securities, commercial mortgage loans, short-term investments, and other investments. Other investments primarily includes alternative investments, which are limited partnership investments in private equity, private credit, and real estate strategies. The primary objective of our investment portfolio is to maximize after-tax net investment income subject to our risk appetite, market conditions, and our desire for long-term growth in book value per common share. Our investment strategy and objectives are managed by our Management Investment Committee ("MIC") and executed by our internal investment team and its external investment manager relationships. The MIC, comprised of senior management appointed by our Board's Finance Committee, is responsible for (i) setting and implementing the investment objectives and asset allocation, (ii) administering investment policies, (iii) selecting qualified external investment managers and advisors, and (iv) monitoring performance, transactions, and certain risk metrics, in the execution of our investment strategy. The Board's Finance Committee reviews and makes recommendations on our policies and other financial matters, including, without limitation, investments and investment policies and guidelines, financial planning, capital structure and management, dividend policy and dividends, share repurchases, and strategic plans and transactions. Our investment strategy considers climate change risk by prohibiting any new direct equity or debt investments in thermal coal enterprises, including those generating 30% or more of their (i) revenue from the ownership, exploration, mining, or refining of thermal coal, or (ii) electricity generation from thermal coal. 16 For further information regarding our risks associated with the overall investment portfolio, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” and Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. For additional information about investments, see the section entitled, “Investments Segment,” in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” and Note 5. "Investments" included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Regulation Primary Oversight by the States in Which We Operate The regulation and taxation of insurance is primarily overseen at the state level because of the U.S. Congress's delegation in the McCarran-Ferguson Act. The primary public policy behind insurance regulation is protecting policyholders and claimants over all other constituencies, including shareholders. Property and casualty insurance activities regulated by the states include the following: • • • Protection of claimants: Oversight of financial matters to ensure claims-paying ability, including: minimum capital; statutory surplus; solvency standards; accounting methods; form and content of statutory financial statements and other reports; loss and loss expense reserves; investments; reinsurance; dividend payments and other distributions to shareholders; security deposits; and periodic financial examinations. Protection of policyholders: Oversight of matters including: certificates of authority and other insurance company licenses; licensing and compensation of distribution partners; underwriting criteria; premium rates (required to not be excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory); policy forms; policy terminations; claims handling and related practices; cybersecurity; data protection and customer privacy; reporting of premium and loss statistical information; periodic market conduct examinations; unfair trade practices; mandatory participation in shared market mechanisms, such as assigned risk pools and reinsurance pools; mandatory participation in state guaranty funds; and mandated continuing workers compensation coverage post-termination of employment. Protection of policyholders, claimants, and shareholders: Related to our ownership of the Insurance Subsidiaries, oversight of matters including: registration of insurance holding company systems in states where we have domiciled insurance subsidiaries, reporting about intra-holding company system developments, self-assessment of current and future risks, including cybersecurity and climate change, and required pre-approval of certain transactions that may materially affect the operations, management, or financial condition of the insurers, including dividends and change in control. NAIC Financial Monitoring Tools Our various state insurance regulators are members of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"), which has established statutory accounting principles ("SAP") and other accounting reporting formats and model insurance laws and regulations governing insurance companies. An NAIC model statute, however, only becomes law after state legislative enactments, and an NAIC model rule only becomes a regulation after state insurance department promulgation. Adoption of specific NAIC model laws and regulations is a condition of the NAIC Financial Regulations Standards and Accreditation Program. This program permits state insurance departments to recognize and rely on the financial examinations and reviews their counterparts conduct, creating efficiencies and limiting overlapping examinations of the same insurance companies. The following are among the NAIC's various financial monitoring tools, most predicated on NAIC model laws and regulations that are material to the regulators in states in which our Insurance Subsidiaries are organized: • • • The Insurance Regulatory Information System ("IRIS"). IRIS identifies 13 industry financial ratios and specifies “usual values” for each ratio. Departure from the usual values on four or more of the financial ratios can lead to inquiries from individual state insurance departments about certain aspects of an insurer's business. Our Insurance Subsidiaries have consistently met the majority of the IRIS ratio tests. Risk-Based Capital ("RBC"). RBC is measured by four major areas of risk to which property and casualty insurers are exposed: (i) asset risk; (ii) credit risk; (iii) underwriting risk; and (iv) off-balance sheet risk. Regulators increase their scrutiny, up to and including intervention, as an insurer's total adjusted capital declines below the NAIC required capital level. Based on our 2021 statutory financial statements prepared in accordance with SAP, the total adjusted capital for each of our Insurance Subsidiaries substantially exceeded the required capital as defined by the NAIC. Annual Financial Reporting Regulation (referred to as the "Model Audit Rule"). The Model Audit Rule, based closely on the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, as amended ("Sarbanes-Oxley Act"), regulates (i) auditor independence, (ii) 17 • • corporate governance, and (iii) internal control over financial reporting. As permitted under the Model Audit Rule, the Audit Committee of the Board of the Parent serves as the audit committee of each of our Insurance Subsidiaries, even though the Parent is not an insurance entity. Own Risk and Solvency Assessment ("ORSA"). ORSA requires an insurer to maintain a framework for identifying, assessing, monitoring, managing, and reporting “material and relevant risks” associated with the insurers' (or insurance groups') current and future business plans. ORSA, which the state insurance regulators of our Insurance Subsidiaries have adopted, requires an insurer to annually file an internal assessment of the adequacy of its risk management framework, and current and estimated projected future solvency position. For more information on our internal process of assessing our major risks, refer to the "Enterprise Risk Management" section below. Group Capital Calculation ("GCC"). In the fourth quarter of 2020, the NAIC adopted the basic structure of the GCC, along with a model law to enable the GCC after state legislative enactment. The calculation provides state insurance regulators with additional analytical information for assessing group risks and capital adequacy, complementing the existing holding company disclosures and analyses. The GCC expands the existing RBC calculation, to include (i) capital requirements for other regulated entities in the group, and (ii) defined capital calculations for other group entities that are unregulated. The GCC model law is expected to be enacted in some states by year-end 2022, and we subsequently will be required to make GCC filings. After reviewing the NAIC's GCC model law and considering our 2021 statutory financial statements prepared in accordance with SAP, we expect our GCC ratio would be well over any regulatory action minimum threshold. NRSROs Rating agencies are not formal regulators, but they also monitor our capital adequacy. Two are (i) AM Best, with its Capital Adequacy Ratio ("BCAR"), and (ii) S&P, with its capital model. Both evaluate the strength of an insurer's balance sheet and compare available capital to estimated required capital at various probability or rating levels. BCAR and the S&P model differ from the NAIC financial monitoring tools, particularly RBC. While RBC, BCAR, and the S&P capital model show similar direction as simulation scenarios change, they react differently to changes in economic conditions, underwriting and investment portfolio mix, and capital. Consequently, we analyze capital adequacy model divergence while managing our capital, risk profile, and growth objectives. Rating agencies also revise and update their capital adequacy models and requirements more frequently than the NAIC updates its financial monitoring tools. In December 2021, S&P issued its initial draft of a material update to its Risk-Based Capital Adequacy methodology; its first in more than 10 years. The draft is comprehensive, covering all the original criteria. S&P expects the updated methodology will change up to 10% of its ratings. We expect the final Risk- Based Capital Adequacy methodology update to be released and implemented in 2022. Federal Regulation While primarily regulated at the state level, our business is subject to certain federal laws and regulations, including: • • • • • • • The McCarran-Ferguson Act; The Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act ("TRIPRA"); The NFIP, overseen by the Mitigation Division of the Federal Emergency Management Agency ("FEMA"); The Medicare, Medicaid, and SCHIP Extension Act of 2007, which subjects our workers compensation business to Mandatory Medicare Secondary Payer Reporting; The economic and trade sanctions of the Office of Foreign Assets Control (“OFAC”); Various privacy laws related to possession of personal non-public information, including the following: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act; Fair Credit Reporting Act; Drivers Privacy Protection Act; and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (“Dodd-Frank Act”), which govern publicly-traded companies and require or permit national stock exchanges or associations, such as the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC, where our equity securities are listed, to mandate certain governance practices for listed companies. 18 The Dodd-Frank Act, enacted in 2010 in response to the 2008 and 2009 financial markets crises, provided for some public company corporate governance reforms and some oversight of the business of insurance, including: • • Establishing the Federal Insurance Office (“FIO”) under the U.S. Department of the Treasury; and Granting the Federal Reserve oversight of financial services firms designated as systemically important. The FIO, consistent with its Dodd-Frank Act (i) negotiated a covered agreement with the European Union that, among other things, impacted reinsurance collateral requirements for foreign reinsurers, and (ii) has been gathering insurance market data. For additional information on the potential impact of regulation and changes in regulation on our business, refer to the regulation risk factor within Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. Enterprise Risk Management High-quality, effective ERM is best achieved as a shared organizational cultural value that is the responsibility of every employee. We have developed processes and tools that we believe support a risk management culture and create a robust organizational ERM framework. We have also designed our compensation policies and practices and our governance framework and Board leadership structure to support our overall risk appetite and strategy. Our ERM processes and practices help us identify potential events that may affect us and quantify, evaluate, and manage our significant risks. As a property and casualty holding company, our Insurance Subsidiaries are in the business of taking risk. We categorize our major risks into six broad categories: • • • • • • Asset risk, which stems primarily from our investment portfolio and reinsurance recoverables and includes credit and market risk; Underwriting risk, which is the risk that our insured losses exceed our expectations, including: ◦ ◦ ◦ Losses from inadequate loss reserves; Larger than expected non-catastrophe current accident year losses; and Catastrophe losses that exceed our expectations or our reinsurance treaty limits. Liquidity risk, which is the risk we will be unable to meet our contractual obligations as they become due because we cannot liquidate assets or obtain adequate funding without incurring unacceptable investment losses or borrowing expense; Pension risk, which is the risk that our obligations under the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America exceed our expectations because its invested assets supporting those obligations underperform or there are adverse changes in the assumptions we used to calculate the pension liabilities; Other risks, which include a broad range of operational risks, many difficult to quantify, such as talent/human capital, market conditions, economic, legal, regulatory, reputational, and strategic risks – as well as the risks of fraud, human failure, modeling risks, inadequate business continuity plans, or failure of controls or systems, including cybersecurity risk; and Emerging risks, which include risks in the other categories that are new, rapidly evolving, or increasing substantially compared to historical levels. For example, we consider the risks associated with increased frequency and intensity of catastrophes, heightened levels of economic inflation, the enactment of reviver statutes for abuse victims, climate change, increased threat of cyber incidents, and the COVID-19 pandemic's significant economic and societal impacts, including disrupted supply chains and products, services, and labor shortages, all to be emerging risks. Our internal control framework deploys three lines of defense: • • • The first line of defense is the individual business functions that deliberately assume, own, and manage the risk on a daily operational basis. The second line of defense is responsible for risk oversight and supports the first line to understand, monitor, and manage our risk profile through an ERC and a dedicated risk team led by our Chief Risk Officer, who reports to the Chief Financial Officer. The third line of defense is our Internal Audit team, which provides independent, objective assurance in assessing the adequacy and effectiveness of our internal control environment with oversight from our Board's audit committee. Internal Audit also coordinates risk-based audits, compliance reviews, and other specific initiatives to evaluate and address risk within targeted areas of our business. 19 We use ERM as part of our governance and control process to take an entity-wide view of our major risks and their potential impact. We designed our ERM framework to identify, measure, report, and monitor our major risks and develop appropriate responses to support the successful execution of our business strategies. Our Board oversees our ERM process, and the various Board committees oversee risks specific to their areas of supervision and report their activities and findings to the Board. The ERC is responsible for the holistic monitoring and management of our risk profile. The ERC consists of the Chief Executive Officer, his direct reports, and key operational and financial leaders, including the Chief Risk Officer. The ERC relies on several management committees to analyze and manage specific major risks, including the Emerging Risk Committee and the Underwriting Committee. The Chief Risk Officer reports to the Board or the appropriate Board committee on the ERC's activities, analyses, and findings, providing quarterly updates on specific risk metrics. We rely on quantitative and qualitative tools to identify, prioritize, and manage our major risks, including proprietary and third- party computer modeling and various other analyses. The ERC meets at least quarterly to review and discuss various topics and the interrelation of our major risks, including, without limitation, capital modeling results, capital adequacy, risk metrics, emerging risks, and sensitivity analysis. When appropriate, we engage subject matter experts, such as external actuaries, third- party risk modeling firms, and IT and cybersecurity consultants. Annually, our Insurance Subsidiaries file their ORSA report, an internal solvency assessment developed by the Chief Risk Officer in coordination with the ERC and reviewed by our Board, with their domiciliary regulators. COVID-19 remained a risk and an area of focus in 2021. The ERC actively reviews and addresses all significant COVID-19- related operational, compliance, claims management, underwriting, and financial risk matters. This oversight includes such matters as employee health and safety, facilities, operational business continuity, IT and third-party vendors, regulatory developments, and economic impacts, such as heightened inflation, supply chain disruption and labor shortages, premium collections, past due accounts, investments, liquidity, capital, cash flow, claims activity, and other key financial and operational metrics. Our MIC oversees our investment portfolio, reviewing detailed portfolio metrics and market projections. Our Board meets quarterly with senior executives to ensure appropriate corporate governance and oversight. We have not significantly modified our existing internal controls or processes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We also have not experienced any material impact to our internal control environment over financial reporting, despite having most of our employees working remotely in 2021 due to the pandemic. We are continually monitoring and assessing COVID-19- related current events to minimize their potential impact on our internal controls and their design and operating effectiveness. In addition, our cybersecurity program was well-positioned to support increased remote working arrangements and respond to an increase in attempted attacks to exploit the COVID-19 outbreak. Our risk governance structure facilitates effective risk conversations across all levels and disciplines of the organization and promotes strong risk management practices. All our strategies and controls, however, have inherent limitations. We cannot be certain that an event or series of unanticipated events will (i) not occur and generate losses greater than we expect and (ii) have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. An investor should carefully consider the risks and all other information included in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.”, Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.", and Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. Reports to Security Holders We file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") all required disclosures, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K, Proxy Statements, and any amendments to these reports that we file or furnish pursuant to Sections 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which can be accessed on the SEC's website, www.SEC.gov. We also provide access to these filed materials on our Internet website, www.Selective.com, as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the SEC. Item 1A. Risk Factors. Certain risk factors can significantly impact our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations, financial condition, and debt ratings. These risk factors might affect, alter, or change actions we might take executing our long-term capital strategy. Examples include, without limitation, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing our existing debt and/or equity securities, or increasing or decreasing common stockholders’ dividends. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge 20 from time to time. Consequently, we can neither predict such new risk factors nor assess the potential future impact, if any, they might have on our business. Risks Related to our Insurance Operations We are subject to losses from catastrophic events. Losses from natural and human-made catastrophes can negatively impact our financial results. Examples include, without limitation, hurricanes, tornadoes, windstorms, earthquakes, hail, severe convective storms, severe winter weather, derechos, floods, and fires, some related to climate change, and criminal and terrorist acts, including cyber-attacks, civil unrest, and explosions. The frequency and severity of these catastrophes are inherently unpredictable, and the frequency and severity of catastrophe losses have increased globally in recent years. Although we use sophisticated catastrophe modeling techniques to manage our catastrophe exposure, catastrophe models provide estimates, and actual exposure and loss experience may materially differ. For example, catastrophe models did not fully estimate the potential for some recent catastrophe loss activity (such as the Texas freeze in March of 2021 and Hurricane Ida-related severe flooding in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast) and the concurrent recent economic inflation on construction costs. Unmodeled or under-modeled catastrophe risks could result in understated catastrophe exposure and our actual catastrophe losses could be higher. Our insurance operations primarily write risks in the Eastern, Midwestern, and Southwestern regions of the U.S. Our most significant natural and/or human made catastrophe exposures are (i) hurricanes impacting the Eastern U.S., (ii) severe convective storms, including hailstorms and tornadoes, (iii) winter storms, and (iv) terrorism events. Single storms could adversely impact our financial results, but it is also possible that we could experience more than one severe catastrophic event in any given calendar year. We track our severe weather and catastrophe losses using definitions and information we obtain from ISO’s Property Claim Services unit, an internationally recognized authority on insured property losses from catastrophes in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Certain factors can impact our estimates of ultimate costs for natural and/or human-made catastrophes, including: • • • • • Inability to access portions of the affected areas after a catastrophic event; Scarcity of necessary labor and materials that delay repairs and increase our loss costs; Regulatory uncertainties, including new or expanded interpretations of coverage; Residual market assessment-related increases in our catastrophe losses; Potential fraud and inflated repair costs, partly driven by (a) demand surge post-event, and (b) opportunistic service providers; Higher loss adjustment expenses due to shortages of claims adjusters available to appraise damage; Late claims reporting; Escalation of business interruption costs due to infrastructure disruption; and • • • • Whether the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury certifies an event as a terrorist act under TRIPRA. Natural catastrophes The United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (“IPCC”) is an international body responsible for assessing climate change science. In 2018, the IPCC estimated in its "Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C" that human activities (i) have caused approximately 1.8°F of global warming above pre-industrial levels and (ii) could cause an additional 0.9°F increase above pre-industrial levels between 2030 and 2052. Climate change models project robust differences in global regional climate characteristics between 1.8°F and 3.6°F. The IPCC's 2019 "Special Report on Climate Change and Land" reinforced these findings, as did the IPCC’s “2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.” These global regional differences, whether attributable to nature or human activities, include increases in (i) mean temperature in most land and ocean regions, (ii) hot extremes in most inhabited regions, (iii) heavy precipitation in several regions, and (iv) the probability of drought and precipitation deficits in some regions. These temperature changes can impact weather patterns and the frequency and severity of catastrophes, including hurricanes, severe convective storms, and wildfires — all of which could cause our catastrophe losses to increase. Human-made catastrophes The risk of a wide-scale criminal or terrorist cyber-attack has become more significant and has drawn increased attention from IT and national security experts, U.S. policymakers, the U.S. military, and the insurance industry. There is increased general recognition that a wide-scale cyber-attack that simultaneously impacts multiple victims is more likely and insurance industry systemic risk has increased. We have identified three primary sources of potential insured exposure to cyber losses: (i) cyber specific policies designed to cover both first-party and third-party losses; (ii) affirmative cyber coverage grants included in 21 other types of policies, such as commercial property or businessowners policies; and (iii) “silent cyber” exposures that may exist if courts, regardless of intent, interpret policy forms without specific related coverage exclusions to provide coverage for a cyber-related incident. We provide cyber-specific policies to our commercial lines and personal lines customers through 100% reinsured solutions with highly-rated specialty cyber markets. These markets allow us to mitigate our underwriting risk, meet our customers’ needs for cyber insurance, and develop our expertise in the cyber insurance market. Our other insurance policies provide some first- and third-party cyber coverages: • We offer limited first-party affirmative cyber coverage in our commercial property and businessowners policy forms. • We believe we have limited our “silent cyber” exposure through an affirmative coverage grant subject to a sub-limit. Our base property forms typically include a coverage grant of $2,000 or $10,000 and most of our property policies also contain an affirmative endorsement providing “virus and harmful code” coverage subject to a sub-limit. Over 90% of our policies with virus/harmful code coverage on commercial property, businessowners, commercial output policy, or inland marine forms have sublimits of $25,000 or lower. • Most of our general liability policies and businessowners policies specifically exclude cyber-related liability losses, except for "bodily injury." Our specific cyber-exclusion and our liability forms' lack of affirmative sub-limited cyber coverage, effectively limit most “silent cyber” exposure. Any related potential exposures, however, are subject to our Casualty Reinsurance Program, which has no cyber-related loss exclusion. By statute, workers compensation policies do not have cyber exclusions, and a cyber-attack-related workplace injury could trigger coverage. • An increase in natural or man-made catastrophe losses, including a systemic cyber-attack resulting in an aggregation of property and/or casualty cyber losses, will reduce our net income and stockholders’ equity and could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial strength, and debt ratings. In addition, the closer a catastrophe occurs to the end of a reporting period, the more likely we have limited information to estimate loss and loss expense reserves, adding greater uncertainty to our estimates. More detailed claims information available after a reporting period may result in reserve changes in subsequent periods. Our loss and loss expense reserves may not be adequate to cover actual losses and expenses. We maintain reserves for our estimated liability for loss and loss expense associated with reported and unreported insurance claims. Estimating loss and loss expense reserves is inherently uncertain, and there is no method for precisely estimating the ultimate liability for the settlement of claims. We base our loss and loss expense reserve estimates on our internal comprehensive reserve review, which utilizes our own loss experience, including claims payment and reporting patterns, as well as our view of underlying trends in claims frequency and severity. The results are supplemented with other subjective considerations, such as projected impacts from various broad economic, political, social, and legal developments or trends, such as inflation, ongoing impacts of the COVID-19-related governmental actions, judicial tort decisions, and various state legislative initiatives. The timing or impact of these developments or trends cannot be predicted with certainty, and we cannot be sure the reserves we establish are adequate or will be so in the future. We review our reserve position quarterly and adjust the reserve position accordingly. An increase in reserves (i) reduces net income and stockholders’ equity, and (ii) could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial strength, and debt ratings. As we underwrite new business and renew existing business, we estimate future loss cost trends in pricing our products to generate an adequate risk-adjusted return. If our estimate of future loss cost trends proves to be understated, our pricing of future new and renewal business may be inadequate to cover actual loss costs, understating our future loss and loss expense reserves. Three examples of how loss and loss expense reserves might be affected by economic, political, social, or legal developments or trends are: • If inflation, including medical and social inflation, is higher than our assumptions, our loss and loss expense reserves associated with our longer tail lines of business may prove to be insufficient. For example, inflation rates in 2021 increased from 2020, as reflected in the overall consumer price index ("CPI"), the Core CPI, and the Producer Price Index. We, however, do not know how long elevated inflation will persist. Our workers compensation line of business is susceptible to inflation because of its extended payment pattern and the medical inflationary environment. • Our loss and loss expense reserves may be impacted by the following COVID-19-related items: ◦ All of our commercial property and businessowners' policies require direct physical loss of, or damage to, property by a covered cause of loss in order to trigger a business interruption claim. Whether COVID-19- 22 related contamination, the existence of a pandemic, and/or the continuing government actions cause physical loss of or damage to property continues to be the subject of much debate and litigation. While the insurance industry has won most of the cases at the trial level, many cases are now on appeal and we cannot predict the outcome of that litigation. Our practice is to include in, or attach to, all standard lines commercial property and businessowners' policies an exclusion that states that all loss or property damage caused by, or resulting from, any virus, bacterium, or other microorganism that induces or is capable of inducing physical distress, illness, or disease is not a covered cause of loss. We offer some limited coverages that could apply in COVID-19-related claims and circumstances, primarily tied to clean-up and food-contamination that are subject to sub-limits. Principally all of our commercial property and businessowners' policies now include the very specific and regulatory-approved virus exclusion. Limited medical resources availability could result in medical inflation and complicate, delay and/or extend medical treatment that could impact exposure on workers compensation, general liability, and personal and commercial automobile claims. ◦ ◦ We may have increased workers compensation loss and loss expenses if policyholders' employees in high-risk roles of essential businesses contracted COVID-19 in the workplace. We may experience higher frequency of workers compensation claims, particularly as state legislative or executive order proposals are enacted that create presumptions that the contraction of COVID-19 by an essential business employee who interacted with the public is work-related. We also may see an extension of workers compensation benefits if employees do not have jobs to which they can return. ◦ We may experience an increase in liability claims against our policyholders related to business practices as remote-office work-from-home employees return to their pre-COVID-19 pandemic office and business locations. This may be exacerbated by an active plaintiffs’ attorney seeking to generate COVID-19-related claim activity. Loss frequency and severity could increase related to our auto and property coverages due to, among other things, disruptions in supply chains and changes in business practices and individual behaviors resulting from the shelter-in-place and social distancing measures, such as arson and fraud. ◦ ◦ We may experience delayed reporting of losses, settlement negotiations, and trial of disputed claims that may disrupt our normal claims resolution processes and trends. • Various states have expanded or could expand the statute of limitations for civil actions alleging sexual abuse. By retroactively permitting previously time-barred claims, these “reviver” laws may result in insurance claims that could significantly increase loss costs and require re-evaluation of previously-established reserves or the creation of new reserves. Since reviver statutes have been enacted, we have received some notices of claims or potential claims for acts alleged to have occurred, some dating as far back as the 1950s. Without prior experience, we cannot estimate how many "reviver" claims notices we may receive. Most notices we have received (i) are blanket notices sent by attorneys representing claimants unsure of the alleged assailant or supervising entity's insurer or policy (if any) and (ii) may not implicate any insurance policies we or a predecessor issued. For those we determine implicate a policy we or a predecessor issued, we (i) have investigated or are investigating facts, (ii) have evaluated policy terms, (iii) believe we have appropriate coverage defenses to most of these claims and/or sufficient reinsurance protections, and (iv) have considered these factors in establishing our reserves, which we believe provide a reasonable estimate of the aggregate ultimate net exposure for these claims. As coverage positions may be challenged through litigation or otherwise, we face litigation risks further discussed below in the Risk Factor entitled, “We are engaged in ordinary routine legal proceedings incidental to our insurance operations that, because litigation outcomes are inherently unpredictable, could impact our reputation and/or have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.” For further discussion on our loss and loss expense reserves, please see the “Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates” section of Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” and Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. Our ability to reduce our risk exposure depends on the availability and cost of reinsurance. We transfer a significant portion of our underwriting risk exposure – specifically a portion of our loss and loss expense – to reinsurance companies in exchange for a specified portion of premiums. Typically, our reinsurance coverages align with the coverages offered under our primary insurance policies. The availability, amount, and cost of reinsurance depend on market conditions, including retrocessional reinsurance market capacity. Most of our reinsurance contracts have annual terms, so reinsurance costs may fluctuate significantly and not necessarily correlate to the loss experience of our specific book of business. State insurance regulators generally permit us to consider catastrophe reinsurance expense in our filed rates and rating plans. However, the degree and timing of regulatory 23 approval may not align with the actual expense impact from new reinsurance terms. Disproportionate increases in our reinsurance expense that we cannot include in our filed rates and rating plans will reduce our earnings. If we are unable to negotiate desired reinsurance amounts or terms, we may experience (i) increased reinsurance expense, (ii) increased risk assumption on individual or aggregate claim losses, and (iii) limitations on our ability to write future business. Commercial property and homeowners coverages have historically accounted for most of our catastrophe-related claims. To limit our exposure to catastrophe losses, we purchase catastrophe reinsurance. Our reinsurance coverage may prove to be inadequate, particularly if: • We do not purchase sufficient amounts of reinsurance because of defects or inaccuracies in the various modeling • • • software programs we use to analyze our Insurance Subsidiaries' risk; A major catastrophe loss exceeds (i) the purchased reinsurance limit or (ii) the financial capacity of one or more of our reinsurers even if the loss is within the purchased limit; The frequency of catastrophe losses increases and our Insurance Subsidiaries' insured losses exceed the aggregate limits of the catastrophe reinsurance treaty or our Insurance Subsidiaries experience an aggregation of losses that fall below our per occurrence reinsurance retention; or Our reinsurance counterparties (i) are unable to access their reinsurance markets, or retrocessions, (ii) suffer significant financial losses, (iii) are sold, (iv) cease writing reinsurance business, or (v) are unable or unwilling to satisfy their contractual obligations to us. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic and recent increased catastrophic loss activity, the reinsurance industry has sought to tighten contractual terms and conditions, reduce reinsurance capacity, and increase pricing. Tightened terms and conditions include introducing new coverage exclusions, such as excluding losses related to cyber risk and communicable diseases, particularly for business interruption losses in property treaties and, to a lesser extent, in casualty treaties. To the extent we are exposed to losses on our primary policies from risks, such as cyber and communicable disease, that are now principally excluded from coverage under our reinsurance treaties, we face increased underwriting risk. The increased underwriting risk could increase our net loss and loss expenses and increase the volatility in our underwriting results. Decreased reinsurance capacity also would increase our underwriting risk if we cannot fully place our existing reinsurance treaties upon renewal. Even with the benefits of reinsurance, our exposure to catastrophe risks could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. We may be subject to potentially significant losses from acts of terrorism. We are required to participate in TRIPRA, now extended to December 31, 2027, for our Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines business. TRIPRA rescinded all previously-approved coverage exclusions for terrorism and requires private insurers and the U.S. government to share the risk of loss on future acts of terrorism certified by the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury. Under TRIPRA, each participating insurer is responsible for paying a significant deductible of specified losses before federal assistance is available. Our deductible of $419 million is based on a percentage of our prior year’s applicable Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines premiums. In 2022, the federal government will pay 80% of losses above the deductible, with the insurer retaining 20%. Although TRIPRA will mitigate some of our loss exposure to a large-scale terrorist attack, our deductible could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. If the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury does not certify specific terrorist events (as occurred with the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing and the 2015 San Bernardino shootings), we could be required to pay terrorism-related covered losses without TRIPRA's risk-sharing benefits. We also could be required to pay terrorism-related losses for customers who declined terrorism coverage. Our primary workers compensation policies are required to cover terrorism risk, so TRIPRA applies to those policies. Insureds with non-workers compensation commercial policies have the option to accept or decline our terrorism coverage or negotiate with us for other terms. In 2021, 85% of our Standard Commercial Lines non-workers compensation policyholders purchased terrorism coverage that included nuclear, biological, chemical, and radioactive ("NBCR") events. TRIPRA also applies to cyber liability insurance policies reported under a Terrorism Risk Insurance Program-eligible line of insurance. Many states mandate that commercial property policies cover fire following an act of terrorism - regardless of whether the insured purchased terrorism coverage. We also sometimes elect to provide terrorism coverage for lines of business not included in TRIPRA, such as Commercial Automobile. TRIPRA has never covered personal lines of business. Our Standard Personal Lines homeowner policies exclude nuclear losses but not biological or chemical losses. Our current reinsurance programs generally cover losses from conventional foreign and domestic terrorism acts, but not NBCR events. 24 We are exposed to credit risk. We face credit risk in several areas of our insurance operations, including from: • • • • Our reinsurers, which are obligated to make payments to us under our reinsurance agreements. Reinsurance credit risk can fluctuate over time, increasing during periods of high industry catastrophe and liability losses. Reinsurers generally manage their large loss exposure through their own reinsurance programs, or retrocessions, about which we do not always have the full details. If our reinsurers have difficulty collecting on their retrocession programs or reinstating retrocession coverage after a large loss, we may not receive timely or full payment of our reinsurance claims. This means that we have direct and indirect counterparty credit risk to our reinsurers and the reinsurance industry, which is a global but concentrated market. Certain life insurance companies, if they fail to fulfill their annuity contract obligations to our policyholders or claimants under annuities we purchased as part of structured claims settlements. Some of our independent distribution partners, who collect premiums from our policyholders for us. Some policyholders, who are directly obligated to us for premium and/or deductible payments, the timing of which may be impacted by mandated payment moratoriums. Our exposure to credit risk could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. We depend on distribution partners. We market and sell our insurance products through independent, non-employee distribution partners. Insurance law and regulation makes us responsible for the business practices and customer interactions of our distribution partners. Independent distribution partners have – and we expect will continue to have – a significant role in overall insurance industry premium production. While our customers find advantages in using independent distribution partners, our reliance on independent distribution partners presents risks and challenges, including: • • • • Competition in our distribution channel, as we must market our products and services to our independent distribution partners who have access to products from multiple carriers and markets. Challenges in developing brand recognition because we closely coordinate with our distribution partners and some customers cannot differentiate their insurance agent from their insurance carrier. Our market share growth is tied to our distribution partners' market share. Independent retail insurance agencies control 85% of standard commercial lines business and 36% of standard personal lines business in the U.S. Consequently, growth in our Standard Personal Lines could be more limited than in our Standard Commercial Lines. Competitors have focused on lower-cost "direct-to-customer" distribution models that emphasize digital ease and efficiencies to address the discrepancy in agency control of standard personal lines business. Continued advancements in "direct-to-customer" distribution models may impact the overall market share our independent distribution partners control, make it more difficult for us to grow, or require us to establish relationships with more distribution partners. Aggregation and consolidation of our independent distribution partners and their market share, as some publicly- traded and private equity-backed independent distribution partners have deployed consolidation strategies to acquire other independent distribution partners and increase their market share ("Aggregators") over the last decade. If more of our independent distribution partners become Aggregators or are acquired by Aggregators, Aggregator demands and influence on our business could increase. For example, Aggregators could develop and implement strategies to consolidate their business with fewer insurers and demand higher base and supplemental commissions. Aggregators accounted for approximately 36% of our DPW at December 31, 2021, up from 28% three years ago. Currently, no one distribution partner is responsible for 10% or more of our combined insurance operations' premium. Our financial condition and results of operations are impacted by our independent distribution partners' success in marketing and selling our products and services. 25 National and global economic conditions could adversely and materially affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and growth. Unfavorable economic developments, such as increased inflation levels and the effect, lifting, or lapsing of COVID-19-related governmental directives experienced in 2021, could adversely affect our earnings if our policyholders need less insurance coverage, cancel existing insurance policies, modify coverage, or choose not to renew with us. Inflation and unemployment increases could significantly impact our claims severity across multiple lines of business and could result in adverse reserve development. Heightened levels of economic inflation also could cause higher interest rates, which would likely result in unrealized losses within our portfolio of fixed income securities and lower total returns from our other invested assets. The effect, lifting, or lapsing of COVID-19-related governmental directives in 2021 disrupted supply chains and caused shortages of products, services, and labor. These economic condition-induced shortages may impact our ability to attract and retain labor, including increasing attrition rates, wages, and the cost and difficulty of obtaining third-party resources. An economic downturn also could lead to increased credit and premium receivable risk, failure of reinsurance counterparties and other financial institutions, limitations on our ability to issue new debt, reduced liquidity, and declines in our investments' fair value and financial strength ratings. These potential events and other economic factors could adversely and materially affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and growth. During 2021, 28% of DPW in our Standard Commercial Lines business was based on payroll or sales of our underlying policyholders. An economic downturn in which our policyholders experience declines in revenue or employee count could adversely affect our total written premium, including audit and endorsement premium. The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have widespread, rapidly evolving, and unpredictable impacts on ordinary business commerce and financial markets. Federal and state governments have acted to contain the virus, including establishing social distancing requirements, travel restrictions, and vaccination initiatives. While pandemic containment efforts have resulted in the relaxation of some restrictions, new virus variants are leading to new outbreaks and restrictions. The COVID-19 pandemic has and will likely continue to impact our results of operations, financial position, and liquidity. There is substantial uncertainty about the nature and degree of its continued effects over time. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business going forward will depend on numerous evolving factors we cannot reliably predict, including the duration and scope of the pandemic, its impact on economic activity, including the possibility of financial market instability or recession, and the response of government, businesses, and individuals. A downgrade or a potential downgrade in our financial strength or credit ratings could result in a loss of business and could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. A significant financial strength rating downgrade, particularly from AM Best, would affect our ability to write new or renewal business. Most policyholders are required by various third-party agreements, primarily with lenders, to maintain insurance policies from a carrier with a minimum AM Best or S&P rating. Credit rating downgrades could also make it more expensive for us to access capital markets. We cannot predict the possible rating actions NRSROs might take that could adversely affect our business or our potential actions in response. Any significant downgrade in our financial strength and credit ratings could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. For additional information on our current financial strength and credit ratings, refer to "Overview" in Item 1. "Business." of this Form 10-K. Markets for insurance products and services are highly competitive and subject to rapid technological change, and we may be unable to compete effectively. We offer our insurance products and services in a highly competitive market characterized by aggressive price competition and downward pressure on underwriting margins, introduction of new products and services, evolving industry standards, continual improvement in product pricing based on performance characteristics and larger data sets, rapid competitor adoption of technological advancements, and consumer and business price sensitivity. Our ability to compete successfully depends heavily on our timely and consistent introduction of innovative new products and services through digital platforms. We face substantial competition from a wide range of property and casualty insurance companies for customers, distribution partners, and employees. Competitors include public, private, and mutual insurance companies. Many competitors are larger and may have lower relative operating costs, lower cost of capital, or greater ability to absorb or diversify more risk while maintaining their financial strength ratings. Other competitors, such as mutual or reciprocal companies, are owned by or operated cooperatively for insureds and, unlike us, do not have shareholders who evaluate ROE performance. Consequently, some competitors may be able to price their products more competitively. The Internet has emerged as a significant competitive digital marketplace for existing and new competitors. Established insurance competitors, such as The Progressive Corporation, are beginning to explore broader digital Internet offerings, while new competitors with variations on traditional business models have emerged, such as Lemonade, Root, and Next. Because the Internet makes it easier and less expensive to bundle products and services, it also is possible that non-insurance companies 26 conducting business on the Internet could enter the insurance business or form strategic alliances with insurers in the future. Changes in competitors and competition, particularly on the Internet, could cause changes in the supply or demand for insurance and adversely affect our business. The increasing importance of the Internet, technology, and digital strategy in our industry also highlights our need to attract and retain employees in difficult-to-fill data science, advanced analytics, and IT roles – and the potential negative impact if we fail in so doing. We have less loss experience data than our larger competitors. Insurers depend on access to reliable data about their policyholders and loss experience to build complex analytics and predictive models that assess risk profitability, reserve adequacy, adverse claim development potential, recovery opportunities, fraudulent activities, and customer buying habits. Because we use and depend on the aggregated industry loss data assembled by rating bureaus under the antitrust exemptions of the McCarran-Ferguson Act, we likely would be at a competitive disadvantage to larger insurers if Congress repealed the McCarran-Ferguson Act. We expect the use of data science and analytics to increase and become more complex and accurate, particularly with larger sets of relevant data. Some larger competitors have significantly more data about the performance of their underwritten risks. In comparison, we may not have sufficient volumes of loss experience data to analyze and project our future costs as accurately or granularly. We use industry loss experience from ISO, AAIS, NCCI, and other publicly available sources to supplement our data. While relevant, industry data may not correlate specifically to the performance of our underwritten risks and be as predictive as data on a larger book of our own business. We are subject to various modeling risks that could have a material adverse impact on our business results. We rely on complex financial and other statistical models, developed internally and by third parties, to predict (i) underwriting results on individual risks and our overall portfolio, (ii) claims fraud and other claims impacts, such as escalation, (iii) impacts from catastrophes, (iv) enterprise risk management capital scenarios, and (v) investment portfolio changes. We rely on these financial and other statistical models to analyze historical loss costs and pricing, claims severity and frequency trends, catastrophe losses, reinsurance attachment and exhaustion points, investment performance, portfolio risk, and our economic capital position. Flaws in these financial and other statistical models, or in their embedded assumptions, could lead to increased losses. Our statistical models are extremely useful in monitoring and controlling risk, but they are not a substitute for senior management's experience or judgment. Risks Related to Our Investments Segment Our investments are exposed to credit risk, interest rate fluctuation, and changes in value. We depend on income from our investment portfolio for a significant portion of our revenue and earnings. Our investments can be negatively affected by (i) liquidity, (ii) credit deterioration, (iii) financial results, (iv) public equity and/or debt market changes, (v) economic conditions, including heightened levels of economic inflation and any ongoing COVID-19-related governmental orders, (vi) political risk, (vii) sovereign risk, (viii) interest rate fluctuations, or (ix) other factors, including climate change risk and civil unrest. Our investment portfolio's value is subject to credit risk from the issuers, and/or guarantors and insurers, of the securities we hold and other counterparties in certain transactions. Defaults on any of our investments by any issuer, guarantor, insurer, or other counterparty could reduce our net investment income and net realized investment gains - or result in investment losses. We are subject to the risk that the issuers or guarantors of fixed income securities we own may default on principal and interest payment obligations. Additionally, we are exposed to interest rate risk, primarily related to the market price and cash flow variability associated with changes in interest rates. Consequently, the value and liquidity of our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable and non- marketable securities may fluctuate substantially. Future fluctuations in the value of our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable and non-marketable securities could result in significant losses and have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and operating results. Our investment portfolio also has climate change-related transition risks. Transition risks arise from society’s transition towards a low-carbon economy, driven by policy and regulations, low-carbon technology advancement, and shifting sentiment and societal preferences. This transition can lead to stranded assets in areas such as the fossil-fuel and automotive industries. It can also result in increased costs to reinvest in and replace infrastructure and litigation against fossil-fuel companies. Transition risks can lead to corporate asset devaluation, lower corporate profitability, lower property values, and lower household wealth. Transition risks may reduce the market value of some energy, transportation, and other investments with high carbon footprints 27 or those closely tied to carbon-based economic activity. As of December 31, 2021, sectors identified as carbon intensive within our fixed income securities portfolio represented less than 5% of our total invested assets. Significant future investment value declines could require further losses recorded on securities we intend to sell and credit losses. For more information regarding market interest rate, credit, and equity price risk, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of this Form 10-K. We have securities tied to LIBOR, which will be eliminated on June 30, 2023. As of December 31, 2021, approximately 15% of our fixed income securities portfolio had floating rate securities primarily tied to the 1- and 3-month U.S. dollar-denominated London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR"). The global banking industry has used LIBOR as a primary metric to calculate interest rates for numerous types of debt obligations, including personal and commercial loans, interest rate swaps, and other derivative products. In anticipation of LIBOR's elimination, the U.S. Federal Reserve established the Alternative Reference Rates Committee ("ARRC") to select a replacement index for U.S. Dollar LIBOR. The ARRC, comprised of a broad group of private-market participants, including banks, asset managers, insurers, and industry regulators, identified the Secured Overnight Financing Rate ("SOFR") as the recommended benchmark rate to replace LIBOR. SOFR is based on overnight repurchase agreement transactions backed by U.S. Treasury securities. The ARRC announced a paced transition plan for this new rate, including specific steps and timelines designed to encourage the adoption of SOFR. Effective December 31, 2021, LIBOR can no longer be used as a benchmark reference rate in new issue loans, securitized products, and other floating rate instruments. Effective June 30, 2023, LIBOR will cease to exist and require remaining floating rate securities to transition to SOFR. Consequently, our fixed income securities portfolio may be subject to (i) interest rate and prepayment risk associated with the resetting of our floating rate coupons from LIBOR to SOFR, (ii) potential rating agency downgrades, (iii) reduced trading liquidity on securities with insufficient fallback transition language, and (iv) lower returns associated with basis risk from a reference rate mismatch between liabilities and assets in certain securitized assets. We continue to monitor the potential impact, if any, the elimination of LIBOR and the transition to SOFR will have on our floating rate investments' performance. We have and continue to evaluate and monitor other LIBOR risks across the organization. We are subject to the risks inherent in investing in private limited partnerships. Our other investments include investments in private limited partnerships that invest in various strategies, such as private equity, private credit, and real assets. The primary assets and liabilities underlying the investments in these limited partnerships generally do not have quoted prices in active markets for the same or similar assets, so their valuation is subject to a higher level of subjectivity and unobservable inputs than substantially all of our other investments. Because these limited partnership investments are recorded under the equity method of accounting, any valuation decreases could negatively impact our results of operations. Because of their return relative to risk, we currently expect to slightly increase our allocation to these investments, which may produce additional variability in our net investment income. The determination of the amount of credit losses taken on our investments is highly subjective and could materially impact our results of operations or our financial position. The determination of the amount of credit losses taken on our investments is based on our quarterly evaluation and assessment of our investments and known and inherent risks associated with the various asset classes. Such evaluations and assessments are revised as conditions change and new information becomes available. Management updates its evaluations regularly and reflects changes in credit losses at the time of evaluation. There can be no assurance that management has accurately assessed the level of credit losses recorded in our Financial Statements. For further information about our evaluation and considerations for determining whether a security has a credit loss, please refer to “Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates” in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” of this Form 10-K. Risks Related to Evolving Laws, Regulations, and Public Policy Debates We are subject to complex and changing laws, regulations, and public policy debates that expose us to regulatory scrutiny, potential liabilities, increased costs, reputational harm, and other adverse effects on our business. Our operations are subject to complex and changing state and federal laws, regulations, and public policy debates on subjects, including, without limitation, the following: Pricing and underwriting practices; Claims practices; Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves; Exiting geographic markets and/or canceling or non-renewing policies; Environmental, social, and governance ("ESG") related issues, including ESG investment mandates; Assessments for guaranty funds and second-injury funds, and other mandatory assigned risks and reinsurance; The types, quality, and concentration of investments we make; • • • • • • • 28 • Minimum capital requirements for the Insurance Subsidiaries; Dividends from our Insurance Subsidiaries to the Parent; • Privacy and data security; • Tax; • Antitrust; • Consumer protection; • Advertising; • Sales; • Billing and e-commerce; • Intellectual property ownership and infringement; • Digital platforms; • Internet, telecommunications, and mobile communications; • • Media and digital content; • • • • Workplace environmental, health, and safety issues. Availability of third-party software applications and services; Labor and employment; Anti-money laundering; and Changes to laws and regulations can adversely affect our business by increasing our costs, limiting our ability to offer a product or service to customers, requiring changes to our business practices, or otherwise making our products and services less attractive to customers. If Congress enacted a law directly regulating insurance, particularly insurer solvency oversight, and state regulators remained responsible for rate approval, we could be subject to a conflicting and inconsistent regulatory framework that could impact our profitability and capital adequacy. While we underwrite risks only in the U.S., international regulatory developments, particularly related to capital adequacy and risk management requirements in the European Union (“EU”), may influence U.S. regulators as they develop or revise domestic regulatory standards. In the fourth quarter of 2020, the NAIC's Group Capital Calculation Working Group adopted the basic structure of its new Group Capital Calculation and drafted model law changes that provide for its adoption as a state law requirement for U.S. insurance groups. It is expected that state legislatures will begin to adopt the group capital calculation model law by year-end 2022. The changes could increase the amount of capital our insurance subsidiaries are required to hold. We have implemented policies and procedures designed to ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations. However, we can provide no assurance that our employees, contractors, or independent distribution partners will not violate such laws and regulations or our policies and procedures. To some degree, we have multiple regulators whose authority may overlap and may have different interpretations and/or regulations related to the same legal issues. This creates the risk that one regulator's position or interpretation may conflict with another regulator on the same issue. The cost of complying with various, potentially conflicting laws and regulations, and changes in those laws and regulations, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. Insurers are subject to intense regulatory, political, and media scrutiny. We are subject to government market conduct review and investigations, legal actions, and penalties. There can be no assurance that our business will not be materially adversely affected by the outcomes of such examinations, investigations, or media scrutiny in the future. If we are found to have violated laws and regulations, it could materially adversely affect our reputation, financial condition, and operating results. Our business is subject to a variety of state, federal, and other laws, rules, policies, and other obligations regarding data protection. We are subject to federal and state laws relating to the collection, use, retention, security, and transfer of personally identifiable information (“PII”). Federal laws include the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, the Fair Credit Reporting Act, the Drivers Privacy Protection Act, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act, and Unfair and Deceptive Acts and Practices laws. Several states, like New York, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and California, have passed laws in this area, and other jurisdictions are considering imposing additional restrictions or creating new rights concerning PII. These laws continue to develop and may be inconsistent from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. Complying with emerging and changing requirements may cause us to incur substantial costs or require us to change our business practices. Noncompliance could result in significant reputational harm, penalties, and legal liability. The EU adopted the General Data Protection Regulation ("GDPR") in 2016. Effective since 2018 after a two-year implementation period, GDPR regulates data protection and privacy in the EU and transfers of personal data outside the EU. 29 GDPR’s main tenet is to give individuals primary control over their personal data. Because we do not write coverages in the EU, GDPR has no direct impact on us. Some U.S. states have subsequently incorporated individual-control mechanisms into state privacy laws. Future EU data privacy actions likely will influence U.S. regulators over time. We make statements about our use and disclosure of PII through our privacy policy, information provided on our website, and other public statements. If we fail to comply with these public statements or federal and state privacy-related and data protection laws and regulations, we could be subject to litigation or governmental actions. Such proceedings could impact our reputation and result in penalties, including ongoing audit requirements and significant legal liability. We are engaged in ordinary routine legal proceedings incidental to our insurance operations that, because litigation outcomes are inherently unpredictable, could impact our reputation and/or have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods. We are engaged in ordinary routine legal proceedings incidental to our insurance operations that include: • • • • • Defense of or indemnity for third-party suits brought against our insureds; Defense of actions brought against us by our insureds who disagree with our coverage decisions, some of which allege bad faith claims handling and seek extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or other penalties; Actions we file, primarily for declaratory judgment, seeking confirmation that we have made appropriate coverage decisions under our insurance contracts; Actions brought against us or competitors alleging improper business practices and sometimes seeking class status. Such actions historically have included issues and allegations, without limitation, related to (i) unfairly discriminatory underwriting practices, including the impact of credit score usage, (ii) managed care practices, such as provider reimbursement, and (iii) automobile claims practices; and Actions we file against third parties and other insurers for subrogation and recovery of other amounts we paid on behalf of our insureds. From time-to-time, legal proceedings in which we are involved may receive media attention based on their perceived newsworthiness and/or relationship to a variety of broad economic, political, social, and legal developments or trends. Such media stories could negatively impact our reputation. We expect any potential ultimate liability for ordinary routine legal proceedings incidental to our insurance business will not be material to our consolidated financial condition after considering estimated loss provisions. Litigation outcomes, however, are inherently unpredictable even with meritorious defenses. The time a case is in litigation also is unpredictable, as state court dockets are increasingly overcrowded. Generally, the longer a case is in litigation, the more expensive it can become. Because the amounts sought in certain of these actions are large or indeterminate, any adverse outcomes could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods. Additionally, we do not have any material litigation risks related to climate change. Risks Related to Our Corporate Structure and Governance We are a holding company, and our ability to declare dividends to our shareholders, pay indebtedness, and enter into affiliate transactions may be limited because our Insurance Subsidiaries are regulated. Restrictions on our Insurance Subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends, make loans or advances to the Parent, or enter into transactions with affiliates may materially affect our ability to pay dividends on our preferred stock and common stock, or repay our indebtedness. Based on these restrictions, the maximum in ordinary annual dividends the Insurance Subsidiaries can provide the Parent in 2022 is $322 million. Their ability to pay dividends or make loans or advances, however, is subject to domiciliary state insurance regulators' approval or review. For additional details regarding dividend restrictions, see Note 22. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. The Parent’s ability to pay dividends to its stockholders is also impacted by covenants in its credit agreement (the “Line of Credit”) among the Parent, the lenders named therein (the “Lenders”), and the Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, as Administrative Agent. These covenants obligate the Parent to, among other things, maintain a minimum consolidated net worth and a maximum ratio of debt to capitalization. Under the terms of our Preferred Stock, the Parent's ability to declare or pay dividends on, or purchase, redeem or otherwise acquire, shares of its common stock or any shares of the Parent that rank junior to, or on parity with, the Preferred Stock will be subject to certain restrictions if the Parent does not declare and pay (or set aside) dividends on the Preferred Stock for the last preceding dividend period. For additional details about the Line of Credit’s 30 financial covenants, see Note 11. “Indebtedness” in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" of this Form 10-K. For additional details about conditions related to our Preferred Stock, see Note 17. "Preferred Stock" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" of this Form 10-K. Because we are a New Jersey corporation and an insurance holding company, we may be less attractive to potential acquirers and the value of our common stock could be adversely affected. We are a New Jersey company, and provisions of the New Jersey Shareholders’ Protection Act and our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation may discourage, delay, or prevent us from being acquired. A supermajority of our shareholders must approve (i) certain business combinations with interested shareholders, or (ii) any amendment to the related provisions of our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation unless certain conditions are met. These conditions may relate to, among other things, the interested stockholder’s acquisition of stock, the approval of the business combination by disinterested members of our Board and disinterested stockholders, and the price and payment of the consideration proposed in the business combination. In addition to considering the effects of any action on our shareholders (including any offer or proposal to acquire the Parent), our Board may consider: (i) the long-term, as well as the short-term, interests of the Parent and our shareholders, including the possibility that these interests may best be served by the continued independence of the Parent; (ii) the effects of the action on the Parent's employees, suppliers, creditors, and customers; and (iii) the effects of the action on the community in which the Parent operates. These provisions of our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation and New Jersey law could deprive our common shareholders of an opportunity to receive a premium over the prevailing market price in the event of a hostile takeover and may adversely affect the value of our common stock. Because we own insurance subsidiaries, any party seeking to acquire 10% or more of our common stock must seek prior approval from the subsidiaries' domiciliary insurance regulators and file extensive information about their business operations and finances. The New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance Commissioner, who regulates seven of our Insurance Subsidiaries, also considers whether (i) the acquisition of control of an insurer would be adverse to the public interest or the protection of existing and future policyholders or (ii) persons seeking control would use control adversely to the public interest or the protection of policyholders. Risks Related to Our General Operations We, our distribution partners, and our vendors are subject to attempted cyber-attacks, other cybersecurity risks, and system availability risk. Our business heavily relies on IT and application systems that may be accessed from, or are connected to, the Internet. Consequently, a malicious cyber-attack could affect us. Our systems also contain proprietary and confidential information, including PII, about our operations, employees, agents, and customers and their employees and property. A malicious cyber- attack on (i) our systems, (ii) our distribution partners or their key operating systems, and (iii) any other of our third-party partners or vendors and their key operating systems may interrupt our ability to operate, damage our reputation and result in monetary damages that are difficult to quantify, and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. We have implemented systems and processes, through encryption and authentication technologies, intended to mitigate or secure our IT systems and prevent unauthorized access to, or loss of, sensitive data. As cyber-attacks continue to evolve daily, our security measures may not be sufficient for all eventualities. We may be vulnerable to hacking, employee error, malfeasance, system error, faulty password management, or other irregularities. Any disruption or breach of our systems or data security could damage our reputation, result in monetary damages that are difficult to quantify, and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings. To mitigate this risk, we have and expect to continue to (i) conduct employee education programs and tabletop exercises and (ii) develop and invest in a variety of controls to prevent, detect, and appropriately react to cyber-attacks, including frequently testing our systems' security and access controls. We have insurance coverage for certain cybersecurity risks, including privacy breach incidents, which coverage may be insufficient to indemnify all losses or types of claims that may arise. In addition to cyber-attack risk, we face system availability risk. Our business relies heavily on various IT and application systems. We have robust business continuity plans, which are designed to minimize the duration and impact of an unexpected loss of availability of any of these systems. Nevertheless, we could experience an event that impacts one or more of these systems, including those based in facilities where we or our vendors operate, which may interrupt our ability to operate and negatively impact our results of operations, despite our business continuity plans. 31 Our long-term strategy to deploy operational leverage is dependent on the success of our risk management strategies, and their failure could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations. As an insurer, we assume risk from our policyholders. Our long-term strategy includes the use of above-average operational leverage, which can be measured as the ratio of NPW to our equity or statutory surplus. We balance and mitigate our operational leverage risk with several risk management strategies within our insurance operations to achieve a balance of growth and profit, including using significant amounts of reinsurance, a disciplined approach to reserving, and a conservative investment philosophy. These strategies have inherent limitations. We cannot be certain that an event or series of unanticipated events will not occur and result in losses greater than we expect. Given our higher operating leverage than that of our industry, an event or series of unanticipated events could have a more material adverse effect on our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition, financial strength, and debt ratings compared to our industry. Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments. None. Item 2. Properties. Our headquarters occupy a 315,000 square foot building located on an owned 56-acre site zoned for office and professional use in Branchville, New Jersey. We lease all our other facilities from unrelated parties. The principal office locations of our insurance operations are listed in the “Geographic Markets” section of Item 1. “Business.” of this Form 10-K. Our Investments operations are principally located in leased space in Farmington, Connecticut. Our facilities provide adequate space for our present needs and, if additional space is needed, should be available on reasonable terms. Our headquarters site also contains our ground-mount solar facility that annually generates approximately three million kilowatt hours ("kWh") of electricity that we sell to others. Item 3. Legal Proceedings. Incidental to our insurance operations, we are routinely engaged in legal proceedings with inherently unpredictable outcomes that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods. For additional information regarding our legal risks, refer to Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” and Note 21. "Litigation" included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. As of December 31, 2021, we have no material pending legal proceedings that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows. Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures. Not applicable. PART II Item 5. Market For Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities. (a) Market Information Our common stock is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol “SIGI.” (b) Holders We had 2,949 common stockholders of record as of January 31, 2022, according to the records maintained by our transfer agent. (c) Dividends Dividends on shares of our common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board of Directors (the "Board") based on our results of operations, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors. We currently expect to continue to pay quarterly cash dividends on shares of our common stock in the future. On October 27, 2021, the Board approved a 12% increase in our common stock dividend to $0.28 per share. In addition, on February 3, 2022, the Board declared a $0.28 per share quarterly cash dividend on common stock that is payable March 1, 2022, to stockholders of record as of February 15, 2022. 32 (d) Securities Authorized for Issuance under Equity Compensation Plans The following table provides information about our common stock authorized for issuance under equity compensation plans as of December 31, 2021: Plan Category (a) (b) (c) Number of securities to be issued upon exercise of outstanding options, warrants and rights Weighted-average exercise price of outstanding options, warrants and rights Number of securities remaining available for future issuance under equity compensation plans (excluding securities reflected in column (a))1 Equity compensation plans approved by security holders 5,506,750 1Includes 1,184,849 shares available for issuance under our Employee Stock Purchase Plan (2021); 1,608,234 shares available for issuance under the Stock Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance Agencies; and 2,713,667 shares for issuance under the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan ("Stock Plan"). Future grants under the Stock Plan can be made, among other things, as stock options, restricted stock units, or restricted stock. — $ — (e) Performance Graph The following chart, produced by Research Data Group, Inc., depicts our performance for the period beginning December 31, 2016, and ending December 31, 2021, comparing total stockholder return on our common stock to the total return of (i) the NASDAQ Composite Index and (ii) a select group of peer companies comprised of NASDAQ-listed companies in SIC Code 6330-6339, Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. This performance graph is not incorporated into any other filing we have made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and will not be incorporated by reference into any future SEC filing unless we so specifically state. This performance graph shall not be deemed to be “soliciting material” or to be “filed” with the SEC unless we specifically request so or specifically incorporate it by reference in any filing we make with the SEC. (f) Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer and Affiliated Purchasers The following table provides information regarding our purchases of our common stock in the fourth quarter of 2021: Period October 1 – 31, 2021 November 1 – 30, 2021 December 1 – 31, 2021 Total Number of Shares Purchased1 Average Price Paid Per Share — $ — 944 — — 80.51 Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Programs2 Approximate Dollar Value of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased Under the Announced Programs2 — — — 96.6 96.6 96.6 Total 1We purchased these shares from employees to satisfy tax withholding obligations associated with the vesting of their restricted stock units. 2On December 2, 2020, we announced our Board authorized a $100 million share repurchase program with no set expiration or termination date. Our repurchase program does not obligate us to acquire any particular amount of our common stock. Management will determine the timing and amount of any share repurchases under the authorization at its discretion based on market conditions and other considerations. 944 $ — $ 80.51 96.6 33 Item 6. Reserved. Not applicable. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations. Forward-looking Statements Certain statements in this report, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). The PSLRA provides a safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for forward-looking statements. These statements relate to our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations, or forecasts of future events and financial performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our or industry actual results, activity levels, or performance to materially differ from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by words such as “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “target,” “project,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “pro forma,” “seek,” “likely,” “continue,” or comparable terms. Our forward-looking statements are only predictions, and we can give no assurance that such expectations will prove correct. We undertake no obligation, other than as federal securities laws may require, to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason. Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what we project, forecast, or estimate in forward-looking statements are discussed in further detail in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a constantly changing business environment, and new risk factors may emerge at any time. We can neither predict these new risk factors nor assess their impact, if any, on our businesses or the extent any new factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements. Given these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events we discuss in this report might not occur. Introduction We classify our business into four reportable segments: • • • • Standard Commercial Lines; Standard Personal Lines; Excess and Surplus Lines ("E&S Lines"); and Investments. For more details about these segments, refer to Note 1. "Organization" and Note 12. "Segment Information" in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. We write our Standard Commercial and Standard Personal Lines products and services through nine of our insurance subsidiaries, some of which participate in the federal government's National Flood Insurance Program's ("NFIP") Write Your Own Program ("WYO"). We write our E&S products through another subsidiary, Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company, a nationally-authorized non-admitted platform for customers who generally cannot obtain coverage in the standard marketplace. Collectively, we refer to our ten insurance subsidiaries as the "Insurance Subsidiaries." The following is Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of the consolidated results of operations and financial condition, as well as known trends and uncertainties, that may have a material impact in future periods. The MD&A discusses and analyzes our 2021 results compared to 2020. Investors should read the MD&A in conjunction with Item 8. "Financial Statements." of this Form 10-K. For discussion and analysis of our 2020 results compared to 2019, refer to Item 7. "Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of our Annual Report on Form 10- K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020. In the MD&A, we will discuss and analyze the following: • • • • • Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates; Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019; Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment; Federal Income Taxes; and Liquidity and Capital Resources. 34 Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates We have identified the policies and estimates critical to our business operations and the understanding of our results of operations. The policies and estimates we consider most critical to the preparation of the Financial Statements involved (i) reserves for loss and loss expense, (ii) investment valuations and the allowance for credit losses on available-for-sale ("AFS") fixed income securities, and (iii) reinsurance. Reserves for Loss and Loss Expense Significant time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the claim to us, and the final settlement and payment of the claim. To recognize liabilities for unpaid loss and loss expense, insurers establish reserves as balance sheet liabilities representing an estimate of amounts needed to pay reported and unreported loss and loss expense. The following tables provide case and incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves for loss and loss expenses, and reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense as of December 31, 2021 and 2020: As of December 31, 2021 ($ in thousands) General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile Businessowners' policies Commercial property Other Total Standard Commercial Lines Personal automobile Homeowners Other Total Standard Personal Lines E&S casualty lines1 E&S property lines2 Total E&S Lines Loss and Loss Expense Reserves Case Reserves IBNR Reserves Total Reinsurance Recoverable on Unpaid Loss and Loss Expense Net Reserves $ 345,996 351,705 271,729 41,603 76,406 3,671 1,091,110 60,871 13,709 44,301 118,881 94,839 9,080 103,919 1,427,326 700,304 476,176 67,786 46,975 22,474 2,741,041 82,468 35,602 33,115 151,185 361,875 12,892 374,767 1,773,322 1,052,009 747,905 109,389 123,381 26,145 3,832,151 143,339 49,311 77,416 270,066 456,714 21,972 478,686 213,253 196,670 15,480 6,828 22,277 2,136 456,644 40,941 2,392 64,975 108,308 11,672 2,017 13,689 1,560,069 855,339 732,425 102,561 101,104 24,009 3,375,507 102,398 46,919 12,441 161,758 445,042 19,955 464,997 578,641 4,002,262 Total 4,580,903 1Includes general liability (95% of net reserves) and commercial auto liability coverages (5% of net reserves). 2Includes commercial property (91% of net reserves) and commercial auto property coverages (9% of net reserves). 1,313,910 3,266,993 $ 35 $ December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) General liability Workers compensation Commercial auto Businessowners' policies Commercial property Other Total Standard Commercial Lines Personal automobile Homeowners Other Total Standard Personal Lines E&S casualty lines1 E&S property lines2 E&S Lines Loss and Loss Expense Reserves Case Reserves IBNR Reserves Total Reinsurance Recoverable on Unpaid Loss and Loss Expense Net Reserves 275,133 359,344 246,428 39,047 60,254 5,247 985,453 60,860 15,456 10,498 86,814 80,506 9,401 89,907 1,363,508 721,437 410,123 62,517 38,228 15,073 2,610,886 79,596 31,926 30,013 141,535 336,596 9,164 345,760 1,638,641 1,080,781 656,551 101,564 98,482 20,320 3,596,339 140,456 47,382 40,511 228,349 417,102 18,565 435,667 215,136 210,450 11,611 6,849 21,760 2,853 468,659 42,403 847 29,589 72,839 12,195 576 12,771 1,423,505 870,331 644,940 94,715 76,722 17,467 3,127,680 98,053 46,535 10,922 155,510 404,907 17,989 422,896 554,269 3,706,086 Total 4,260,355 1Includes general liability (95% of net reserves) and commercial auto liability coverages (5% of net reserves). 2Includes commercial property (92% of net reserves) and commercial auto property coverages (8% of net reserves). 1,162,174 3,098,181 $ The Insurance Subsidiaries' net loss and loss expense reserves duration was approximately 3.5 years at December 31, 2021, down from 3.7 years at December 31, 2020. How reserves are established Reserves for loss and loss expense include case reserves on reported claims and IBNR reserves. Case reserves are estimated on each individual claim based on claim-specific facts and circumstances known at the time. Case reserves may be adjusted up or down as the claim's specific facts and circumstances change. IBNR reserves are established at more aggregated levels, and they include provisions for (i) claims not yet reported, (ii) future development on reported claims, (iii) closed claims that will reopen in the future, and (iv) anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries. Our robust reserve process relies on quarterly internal reserve reviews, based on our own loss experience, with consideration given to various internal and external factors. In addition to our internal reserve reviews, we have an external consulting actuary perform an independent review of our reserves semi-annually. We do not rely on the external consulting actuary's report to determine our recorded reserves; however, we review and discuss with the consulting actuary our respective observations regarding trends, key assumptions, and actuarial methodologies. While not required, our independent consulting actuary issues the annual statutory Statements of Actuarial Opinion for our Insurance Subsidiaries. For additional information on our accounting policy for reserves for loss and loss expense, refer to Note. 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Range of reasonable reserve estimates We have estimated a range of reasonable reserve estimates for net loss and loss expense of $3,564 million to $4,236 million at December 31, 2021. This range reflects low and high reasonable reserve estimates determined by judgmentally adjusting the methods, factors, and assumptions selected within the internal reserve review. This approach produces a range of reasonable reserve estimates, and does not represent a distribution of all possible outcomes. Therefore, the final outcomes may fall above or below these amounts. The range does not include a provision for potential increases or decreases associated with asbestos, environmental, and certain other continuous exposure claims, which by their nature are more variable and, therefore, traditional actuarial techniques cannot be effectively applied. The range of reasonable reserve estimates increased as of December 31, 2021 relative to December 31, 2020. This increase primarily relates to the growth in reserves commensurate with our growth in net premiums earned ("NPE") and additional risk created by the current inflationary environment. 36 Changes in Reserve Estimates (Loss Development) Our quarterly reserve process may lead to changes in the recorded reserves for prior accident years, referred to as favorable or unfavorable prior year loss and loss expense development. In 2021, we experienced net favorable prior year loss development of $82.9 million, compared to $72.9 million in 2020 and $50.3 million in 2019. The following table summarizes prior year development by line of business: (Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Loss and Loss Expense Development ($ in millions) General liability Commercial Automobile Workers compensation Businessowners' policies Commercial property Homeowners Personal automobile E&S casualty lines E&S property lines Other Total 2021 2020 2019 $ $ (29.0) 13.3 (58.0) (0.4) (2.6) 1.8 (0.2) (7.0) (0.8) — (82.9) (35.0) 7.1 (60.0) 3.9 9.2 7.7 (1.8) — (4.0) — (72.9) (5.0) 0.7 (68.0) 1.9 5.1 7.5 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.1 (50.3) A detailed discussion of recent reserve development by line of business follows. Standard Market General Liability Line of Business At December 31, 2021, our general liability line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $1.6 billion, representing 39% of our total net reserves. In 2021, this line experienced favorable development of $29.0 million, attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2018 and prior. During 2020, this line experienced favorable development of $35.0 million, attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2017 and prior. By its nature, general liability presents a diverse set of exposures. Losses and loss trends are influenced by various factors, including legislative enactments, judicial decisions, and economic and social inflation. Economic inflation directly impacts our claims severities by increasing the costs of raw materials, medical procedures and labor. Social inflation may impact both the frequency and severity of claims by affecting (i) the propensity for a claimant to file a claim, (ii) the percentage of claimants who engage lawyers, and (iii) the nature of judicial verdicts and amount of the associated awards, which influence settlement values going forward. We monitor claim litigation rates regularly and have observed modest increases in the percentage of claims with attorney involvement in recent periods. This trend and the impact of court closures are affecting the time to settle claims. We have exposure to abuse or molestation claims, mainly through insurance policies that we (i) underwrite through our Community and Public Services ("CAPS") strategic business unit and (ii) issue to schools, religious institutions, day-care facilities, and other social services. These customers within our CAPS business unit represented approximately 10% of our total Standard Commercial Lines NPW in 2021 and 11% in 2020. Through 2017, our exposure to abuse or molestation risk increased, reflective of our CAPS book's growth. In 2018, we implemented more stringent underwriting eligibility guidelines and partnered with a third party to better assess exposure and enhance loss control measures. In 2019, we filed and approved significant rate increases for this exposure. We continue to monitor each jurisdiction's statute of limitations to ensure our rate level accounts for the changing exposure as best we reasonably can. While these underwriting and pricing actions have been necessary to ensure the profitability of the portfolio going forward, they have limited our CAPS growth in recent years. We also have exposure to abuse or molestation claims from recently enacted state laws that extend the statute of limitations or permit windows for abuse or molestation claims and lawsuits to be filed that statutes of limitations previously barred. Consequently, we may receive claims decades after the alleged acts occurred that will involve complex claims coverage determinations, potential litigation, higher defense costs, and the need to collect from reinsurers under older reinsurance agreements. Our claims and actuarial departments actively monitor these claims to identify changes in frequency or severity and any emerging or shifting trends. While this should help us better understand this rapidly evolving exposure, the ultimate impact of social, political, and legal trends remains highly uncertain, and may significantly impact the ultimate settlement values for these claims. The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting economic slowdown have presented additional risks to this line of business. The impact of the pandemic, including related governmental orders, court closures, and other behavioral and procedural changes, such as slower than usual timing in which an individual might bring a claim, may have or could impact claims reporting or 37 settlement patterns. Settlement patterns may be further impacted by a general trend towards increased attorney involvement in the claims process, as previously discussed. Standard Market Workers Compensation Line of Business At December 31, 2021, our workers compensation line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $855 million, representing 21% of our total net reserves. During 2021, this line experienced favorable reserve development of $58.0 million, driven by accident years 2019 and prior. Similarly, this line experienced favorable reserve development during 2020 of $60.0 million, driven by accident years 2018 and prior. During both 2021 and 2020, the lower loss emergence than expected was partly due to: (i) medical inflation that was lower than originally anticipated; and (ii) various significant claims initiatives we have implemented. Because of the length of time injured workers can receive related medical treatment, decreases in medical inflation can cause favorable loss development over an extended number of accident years. While we believe our underwriting and claims operational changes improved our underwriting experience, there is risk associated with these changes. Most notably, changes in operations may inherently change paid and reported development patterns. While our reserve analyses incorporate methods that adjust for these changes, a greater risk of fluctuation remains in the estimated reserves. In addition to the operational changes, a variety of other issues can impact the workers compensation line of business, such as the following: Unexpected changes in medical cost inflation –The industry is currently experiencing a period of lower medical claim cost inflation. However, some signs indicate inflationary pressure on these costs. Changes in our historical workers compensation medical costs, along with potential changes in future medical inflation, can create additional variability in our reserves; Changes in statutory workers compensation benefits – Benefit changes may be enacted that affect all outstanding claims, including claims that have occurred in the past, but have not yet been settled. Depending on the social and political climate, these changes may either increase or decrease associated claim costs; Changes in utilization of the workers compensation system – These changes may be driven by economic, legislative, or other changes, such as increased pharmaceutical prescriptions, more complex medical procedures, changes in permanently injured workers' life expectancy, and health insurance availability. COVID-19-related impacts – While not a major insurer of front-line workers (e.g. medical facilities and hospitals), we have potential exposure to employees contracting COVID-19 in the course of their employment. These claims may be asserted under certain state "presumption statutes" that shift the burden of proof from the claimant to the insurer. Medical system service and supply constraints, coupled with injured workers delaying non-essential procedures, may extend the duration of non-COVID-19 claims. To date, we have not seen significant COVID-19-related workers compensation losses Standard Market Commercial Automobile Line of Business At December 31, 2021, our commercial automobile line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $732 million, which represented 18% of our total net reserves. In 2021, this line experienced unfavorable prior year reserve development of $13.3 million, driven by higher loss severities in accident years 2016 through 2019. In 2020, this line experienced unfavorable prior year reserve development of $7.1 million, driven by higher loss severities in accident years 2016 through 2019 and higher than expected frequencies in accident year 2019. For both us and the industry, the commercial automobile line has experienced unfavorable trends in recent years. Pre- pandemic, increased frequencies were likely due to increased miles driven related to lower unemployment, poor road quality, and an increase in distracted driving. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020, along with governmental "stay-at- home" orders, dramatically reduced miles driven and road traffic, significantly reducing claims frequency in 2020. While miles driven increased in 2021, driving patterns have also shifted, including changes in the days of the week and times of day people are driving. As of the end of 2021, frequencies remained somewhat below pre-pandemic levels. Since the pandemic's start, we have seen increasing severities in both the liability and physical damage coverages. The average value of our bodily injury paid loss settlements has increased, possibly relating to higher average driving speeds, higher jury awards, and an increase in distracted driving. Increasing property damage severities may relate to elevated repair costs for increasingly complex vehicles that incorporate more technology, as well as recent disruptions to the supply chain. Continued complications in the supply chain, including labor shortages, increase the risk of longer-term elevated economic inflation. 38 Over the last several years, we have taken actions to improve the profitability of this line of business, including: • • • • Taking meaningful rate and underwriting actions on our renewal portfolio. We will continue to leverage our predictive modeling and analytical capabilities to provide more granular insights about where we should focus our actions. Reducing premium leakage by improving the quality of our rating information, including validating application information with third-party data and obtaining more detailed driver information. Implementing new tools to score drivers to underwrite more effectively and align rate with exposure. Aggressively managing new business pricing and hazard mix while deploying co-underwriting by our regional underwriters and corporate underwriting teams' subject matter experts for selected higher hazard classes to improve risk driver recognition and exposure-based pricing. Standard Market Personal Automobile Line of Business At December 31, 2021, our personal automobile line of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $102 million, which represented 3% of our total net reserves. In 2021, this line experienced favorable prior year reserve development of $0.2 million. In 2020, this line experienced unfavorable prior year reserve development of $1.8 million. Some of the same issues affecting the commercial automobile line are affecting this line. The COVID-19-related reduction in frequencies was even more pronounced than in commercial automobile line. As with the commercial automobile line, these frequencies significantly rebounded in 2021, yet remain less than pre-pandemic levels. This line also has a similar potential for higher average severities like the commercial automobile line. In addition to the COVID-19-related temporary impacts, the underlying trends of increased vehicle repair costs and poor road quality are likely causes of rising severities, possibly exacerbated by distracted driving trends. We continue to recalibrate our predictive models and refine our underwriting and pricing approaches. While we believe these underwriting and pricing changes will ultimately lead to improved profitability and greater stability, the resulting changes to our exposure profile may impact paid and reported development patterns, thereby increasing the uncertainty in the reserves in the near term. E&S Casualty Lines of Business At December 31, 2021, our E&S casualty lines of business had recorded reserves, net of reinsurance, of $445 million, representing 11% of our total net reserves. Our E&S casualty lines results have improved over recent years. In 2021, this line experienced favorable prior year reserve development of $7.0 million, primarily attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2016 and prior. In 2020, this line did not experience prior year reserve development. Some of the risk factors for the general liability line also affect the E&S casualty lines. These include (i) economic inflation, such as materials and labor costs; (ii) social trends, such as increased attorney involvement; and (iii) COVID-19-related impacts, such as court closures. The E&S casualty lines also are impacted by operational changes we have made to improve the portfolio's performance. Our underwriting operations have substantially exited several targeted business classes that have historically produced volatile results, including commercial automobile liability, liquor liability, and snow removal. Recent E&S casualty claims actions have created further casualty improvements: • In 2020, we created a dedicated E&S claims team in our corporate claims function, bringing greater expertise and consistency to E&S claims handling. • We have segregated “litigated,” “non-litigated,” and "high exposure" claims, with separate specialized teams for each. • We implemented the following operational and expense improvement initiatives for legal counsel: ◦ ◦ ◦ Increased the use of staff counsel, increasing legal staff in their assigned territories to support claims volume; Heightened focus on legal budgeting and expense management; and Implemented a panel counsel review process. While we believe these underwriting and claims operational changes improved our underwriting experience, there is risk associated with these changes. Most notably, changes in portfolio composition or our claims processes may inherently change paid and reported development patterns. While our reserve analyses incorporate methods that adjust for these changes, there remains a greater risk of fluctuation in the estimated reserves. 39 Other impacts creating additional loss and loss expense reserve uncertainty Claims Initiative Impacts Consistent with our strategic imperative to optimize operational efficiency, our Claims Department continually identifies areas for improvement and efficiency to increase our value proposition to policyholders. These improvements may lead to claims practice changes that affect average case reserve levels and claims settlement rates, which directly impact the data used to project ultimate loss and loss expense. While these changes may increase uncertainty in our estimates in the short term, we expect refined management of the claims process to be the longer-term benefit. Our internal reserve analyses incorporate certain actuarial projection methods that make adjustments for changes in case reserve adequacy and claims settlement rates. These methods adjust our historical loss experience to the current case adequacy or settlement rate level, providing a more consistent basis for projecting future development patterns. These methods, like all projection methods, have their own associated assumptions and judgments. Therefore, no single method can be interpreted as definitive. Unanticipated Changes in Inflation United States ("U.S.") monetary policy and global economic conditions will bring additional uncertainty related to inflationary trends. Changes in inflation affect the ultimate settlement costs for many of our lines of business, with the greatest reserve impact on the longer-tailed lines such as general liability and workers compensation. Therefore, uncertainty about future inflation or deflation creates the potential for additional reserve variability in these lines of business. Sensitivity analysis: Potential impact on reserve estimates due to changes in key assumptions Our process to establish reserves includes a variety of key assumptions, including without limitation: • • • • The selection of loss and loss expense development factors; The weight to be applied to each individual actuarial projection method; Projected future loss trends; and Expected claim frequencies, severities, and ultimate loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year. The importance of any single assumption depends on several considerations, such as the line of business and the accident year. If the actual experience emerges differently than the assumptions underlying the reserve process, changes in our reserve estimates are possible that may be material to the results of operations in future periods. Below are sensitivity tests highlighting potential impacts to loss and loss expense reserves for the major casualty lines of business under different scenarios. These tests consider each assumption and line of business individually, without any consideration of correlation between lines of business and accident years. Therefore, the results do not constitute an actuarial range. While the figures represent possible impacts from variations in certain key assumptions, there is no assurance that future loss and loss expense emergence will be consistent with either our current or alternative sets of assumptions. While the sources of reserve variability are generated by different internal and external trends and operational changes, they ultimately manifest themselves as changes in the expected loss and loss expense development patterns. These patterns are a key assumption in the reserving process. In addition, the current accident year expected loss and loss expense ratios are also a key assumption. These ratios are developed through a rigorous process of projecting recent accident years' experience to an ultimate settlement basis. Then they are adjusted to the current accident year's pricing and loss cost levels. The impact from underwriting portfolio and claims handling practice changes are also quantified and reflected where appropriate. As with all estimates, the ultimate loss and loss expense ratios may differ from those currently estimated. The sensitivities of loss and loss expense reserves to these key assumptions are illustrated below for the major casualty lines. The first table displays estimated impacts from changes in expected reported loss and loss expense development patterns for our major casualty lines of business. It shows line of business reserve impacts if the actual calendar year incurred amounts are greater or less than current expectations by the selected percentages. While judgmental, the selected percentages by line are based on the reserve range analysis and the actual historical reserve development for the line of business. The second table displays the estimated impacts from changes to the expected loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year. It shows reserve impacts by line of business if the expected loss and loss expense ratios for the current accident year are greater or less than current expectations by the selected percentages. 40 Reserve Impacts of Changes to Expected Loss and Loss Expense Reporting Patterns ($ in millions) General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile liability Personal automobile liability E&S casualty lines Percentage Decrease/ Increase (Decrease) to Future Calendar Year Reported Increase to Future Calendar Year Reported 10 % $ 18 15 15 10 (155) $ (105) (90) (10) (45) 155 105 90 10 45 Reserve Impacts of Changes to Current Year Expected Ultimate Loss and Loss Expense Ratios ($ in millions) General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile liability Personal automobile liability E&S casualty lines Percentage Decrease/ Increase (Decrease) to Current Accident Year Expected Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Increase to Current Accident Year Expected Loss and Loss Expense Ratio 10 pts $ 10 10 10 10 (80) $ (30) (50) (10) (20) 80 30 50 10 20 Note that there is some overlap between the impacts in the two tables. For example, increases in the calendar year development would ultimately impact our view of the current accident year's loss and loss expense ratios. However, these tables provide perspective on the sensitivity of each key assumption. While the changes represent outcomes based on reasonably likely changes to our underlying reserving assumptions, they do not represent a range of possible outcomes. Our reserves could increase or decrease significantly from what the tables above reflect. Asbestos and Environmental Reserves Our general liability, excess liability, and homeowners reserves include exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. The emergence of these claims occurs over an extended period and can be unpredictable. The total recorded net loss and loss expense reserves for these claims were $21.1 million as of December 31, 2021 and $21.4 million as of December 31, 2020, with asbestos claims constituting approximately 23% of these reserves in both years. Environmental claims have arisen primarily from insured landfill exposures in municipal government and small non- manufacturing commercial risk, as well as leaking underground storage tanks within our homeowners policies. Asbestos claims have arisen primarily from policies issued to various distributors of asbestos-containing products, such as electrical and plumbing materials. We handle our asbestos and environmental claims in a centralized and specialized asbestos and environmental claim unit. That unit establishes case reserves on individual claims based on the facts and circumstances known at a given point in time, supplemented by bulk IBNR reserves. Estimating IBNR reserves for asbestos and environmental claims is difficult because these claims have delayed and inconsistent reporting patterns. In addition, there are significant uncertainties associated with estimating critical reserve assumptions, such as average clean-up costs, third-party costs, potentially responsible party shares, allocation of damages, litigation and coverage costs, and potential state and federal legislative changes. Limiting our exposure to asbestos and environmental claims are (i) the fuel oil system exclusion on our New Jersey homeowners policies that we introduced in 2007, and (ii) the Insurance Services Office, Inc.'s Total Pollution Exclusion that was introduced in the mid-1980's, Prior to the mid-1980's, we primarily wrote Standard Personal Lines, which has also limited our exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. Other Latent Exposures We also have other latent and continuous trigger exposures in our ongoing portfolio. Examples include claims for construction defect and abuse or molestation, for which states have increased and expanded the statute of limitations. We manage our exposure to these liabilities through our underwriting and claims practices, and, a dedicated claims unit, similar to our handling of asbestos and environmental claims. The impact of social, political, and legal trends on these claims remains highly uncertain, so our related loss and loss expense reserves remain highly uncertain. These exposures remain in our ongoing portfolio, and as such, are reserved in aggregate, with other exposures within the line of business reserves. 41 Investment Valuation and the Allowance for Credit Losses on AFS Fixed Income Securities Investment Valuation Accounting guidance defines the fair value of our investment portfolio as the exit price, or the amount that would be (i) received to sell an asset or (ii) paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants. When determining an exit price we must rely on observable market data, if available. Most securities in our equity portfolio have readily determinable fair values and are recorded at fair value with changes in unrealized gains or losses recognized through income. Our AFS fixed income securities portfolio is recorded at fair value, and the related unrealized gains or losses are reflected in stockholders' equity, net of tax. For our AFS fixed income securities portfolios, fair value is a key factor in the measurement of (i) losses on securities for which we have the intent to sell, and (ii) changes in the allowance for credit losses. The fair value of approximately 96% of our investments measured at fair value are classified as either Level 1 or Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy and are priced using observable inputs for identical or similar assets. About 3% are classified as Level 3 and are based on unobservable market inputs because the related securities are not traded on a public market. For additional information, refer to the following within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K: (i) item (d) of Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" regarding descriptions of the levels within the fair value hierarchy and the valuation techniques used for our Level 3 securities, and (ii) Note 7. "Fair Value Measurements" for additional information on the unobservable inputs in our securities measured using Level 3 inputs. Allowance for Credit Losses on AFS Fixed Income Securities When fixed income securities are in an unrealized loss position and we do not intend to sell them, we record an allowance for credit losses for the portion of the unrealized loss related to an expected credit loss. We estimate expected credit losses on these securities by performing a discounted cash flow (“DCF”). The allowance for credit losses is the excess of amortized cost over the greater of (i) our estimate of the present value of expected future cash flows, or (ii) fair value. The allowance for credit losses cannot exceed the unrealized loss, and therefore it may fluctuate with changes in the security's fair value. We also consider the need to record losses on securities in an unrealized loss position for which we have the intent to sell. We analyze unrealized losses for credit loss in accordance with our existing accounting policy, which includes performing DCF analyses on each security at the lot level and analyzing these DCFs using various economic scenarios. In performing these DCF analyses, we calculate the present value of future cash flows using various models specific to the major security types in our portfolio. These models use security-specific information and forecasted macroeconomic data to determine possible expected credit loss scenarios based on projected changes in the economy. The models contain forecasted economic data from the Federal Reserve Board’s annual supervisory stress test review on certain large banks and financial institutions. We also have the ability to incorporate internally-developed forecast information into the models as we deem appropriate. In developing our best estimate of the allowance for credit losses, we consider our outlook as to the probability of the various scenarios occurring. Based on these analyses, we recorded an allowance for credit losses of $9.7 million in 2021 and $4.0 million in 2020 on our AFS fixed income securities portfolio. After considering the allowance for credit losses, the remaining unrealized losses on this portfolio were $17.4 million in 2021 and $11.5 million in 2020. If the security-specific and macroeconomic assumptions in our DCF analyses or our outlook as to the occurrence probability of our DCF model scenarios were to change, our allowance for credit losses and the resulting credit loss expense will negatively impact our results of operations. Factors considered in determining the allowance for credit losses require significant judgment, including our evaluation of the security's projected cash flow stream. For additional information regarding our allowance for credit losses on AFS fixed income securities, see item (c) of Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" and item (i) of Note 5. "Investments" within Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K, respectively. Reinsurance Reinsurance recoverables on paid and unpaid loss and loss expense represent our estimates of the amounts we will recover from reinsurers. Each reinsurance contract is analyzed to ensure that sufficient risk is transferred to record the transactions appropriately as reinsurance in the Financial Statements. Amounts recovered from reinsurers are recognized as assets contemporaneously and in a manner consistent with the paid and unpaid losses associated with the reinsured policies. An allowance for credit losses on our reinsurance recoverable balance is recorded based on an evaluation of balances due from reinsurers and other available information, including collateral we hold under the terms and conditions of the underlying agreements. Reinsurers often purchase and rely on their own retrocessional reinsurance programs to manage their capital position and improve their financial strength ratings. Details about retrocessional reinsurance programs are not always transparent, making it difficult to assess our reinsurers' exposure to counterparty credit risk. Our reinsurer's credit quality is 42 also impacted by other factors, such as their reserve adequacy, investment portfolio, regulatory capital position, catastrophe aggregations, and risk management expertise. In addition, contractual language interpretations and willingness to pay valid claims can impact our allowance for estimated uncollectible reinsurance. Our allowance for estimated uncollectible reinsurance totaled $1.6 million at December 31, 2021, and $1.8 million at December 31, 2020. We continually monitor developments that may impact recoverability from our reinsurers, for which we have contractual remedies if necessary. For further information regarding reinsurance, see the “Reinsurance” section below in "Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment" and Note 9. “Reinsurance” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 20191 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Financial Data: Revenues After-tax net investment income After-tax underwriting income Net income before federal income tax Net income Net income available to common stockholders 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ 3,379,164 263,000 172,688 505,310 403,837 394,484 2,922,274 184,612 107,716 302,988 246,355 246,355 16 % $ 2,846,491 181,161 42 129,554 60 336,390 67 271,623 64 271,623 60 3 % 2 (17) (10) (9) (9) Key Metrics: Combined ratio Invested assets per dollar of common stockholders' equity Return on average common equity ("ROE") Net premiums written to statutory surplus ratio Per Common Share Amounts: Diluted net income per share Book value per share Dividends declared per share to common stockholders Non-GAAP Information: Non-GAAP operating income2 Diluted non-GAAP operating income per common share2 Non-GAAP operating ROE2 $ $ $ 92.8 % 2.88 14.8 % 1.33 x 6.50 46.24 1.03 94.9 2.96 10.4 1.30 4.09 42.38 0.94 (2.1) pts (3) % $ 4.4 pts 0.03 pts 93.7 % 3.05 13.6 1.39 1.2 pts (3) % (3.2) pts (0.09) pts 59 % $ 9 10 4.53 36.91 0.83 (10) % 15 13 380,580 6.27 14.3 % 249,686 4.15 10.5 52 % $ 51 3.8 pts 264,418 4.40 13.3 % (6) % (6) (2.8) pts 1Refer to the Glossary of Terms attached to this Form 10-K as Exhibit 99.1 for definitions of terms used in this financial review. 2Non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share, and non-GAAP operating ROE are measures comparable to net income available to common stockholders, net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and ROE, respectively, but exclude after- tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments, and after-tax debt retirement costs. They are used as important financial measures by us, analysts, and investors because the timing of realized investment gains and losses on sales of securities in any given period is largely discretionary. In addition, net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on investments that are charged to earnings and the debt retirement costs could distort the analysis of trends. Reconciliations of net income available to common stockholders, net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share, and ROE to non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share, and non- GAAP operating ROE, respectively, are provided in the tables below: Reconciliation of net income available to common stockholders to non-GAAP operating income ($ in thousands) Net income available to common stockholders Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses, before tax Debt retirement costs, before tax Tax on reconciling items Non-GAAP operating income Reconciliation of net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share to non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share Net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses, before tax Debt retirement costs, before tax Tax on reconciling items Non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share 2021 2020 2019 394,484 (17,599) — 3,695 380,580 246,355 4,217 — (886) 249,686 271,623 (14,422) 4,175 3,042 264,418 2021 2020 2019 6.50 (0.29) — 0.06 6.27 4.09 0.07 — (0.01) 4.15 4.53 (0.24) 0.07 0.04 4.40 $ $ $ $ 43 Reconciliation of ROE to non-GAAP operating ROE ROE Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses, before tax Debt retirement costs, before tax Tax on reconciling items Non-GAAP operating ROE 2021 2020 2019 14.8 % (0.7) — 0.2 14.3 % 10.4 0.2 — (0.1) 10.5 13.6 (0.7) 0.2 0.2 13.3 The components of our ROE and non-GAAP operating ROE are as follows: ROE Components Standard Commercial Lines segment Standard Personal Lines segment E&S Lines segment Total insurance operations Investment income Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) Total investments segment Debt retirement costs Other ROE Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses, after tax Debt retirement costs, after tax Non-GAAP operating ROE 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 5.9 % 0.1 0.5 6.5 9.9 0.5 10.4 — (2.1) 14.8 % (0.5) — 14.3 % 5.1 (0.5) — 4.6 7.8 (0.1) 7.7 — (1.9) 10.4 0.1 — 10.5 0.8 pts 0.6 0.5 1.9 2.1 0.6 2.7 — (0.2) 4.4 (0.6) — 3.8 5.8 0.3 0.4 6.5 9.1 0.5 9.6 (0.2) (2.3) 13.6 (0.5) 0.2 13.3 (0.7) pts (0.8) (0.4) (1.9) (1.3) (0.6) (1.9) 0.2 0.4 (3.2) 0.6 (0.2) (2.8) In 2021, we met the challenges associated with (i) the economic and societal impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, (ii) higher inflation, (iii) severe natural catastrophes, and (iv) a competitive labor market and delivered another exceptional year of results. We generated our eighth consecutive year of double-digit non-GAAP operating ROEs, with a 14.3% non-GAAP operating ROE, above our full-year 2021 target of 11% and our 2020 non-GAAP operating ROE of 10.5%. Our 2021 results included exceptional growth in revenues and a record level of net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share as discussed below. Our ongoing financial success led to an AM Best Company ("AM Best") rating upgrade to “A+” (Superior) from "A" (Excellent) in November 2021, reflecting our financial strength, accomplishments, and future prospects. In 2021, we grew book value per common share by 9%. This increase reflected $6.50 per diluted common share of net income available to common stockholders, partially offset by $2.07 of lower unrealized gains on our fixed income securities portfolio and $1.03 in dividends paid to our common stockholders. Non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share of $6.27 in 2021, increased $2.12, or 51%, compared to 2020, with the increase driven by strong contributions from both underwriting and net investment income. The increase in non-GAAP operating income per diluted common share in 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily driven by (i) a 60% increase in after-tax underwriting income to $172.7 million, or $2.85 per share, resulting from a decrease in net catastrophe losses of $1.02 due to industry-wide U.S. catastrophe loss activity in 2020 that significantly exceeded the 10-year historical median, and (ii) a 42% increase in after-tax net investment income to $263 million, or $4.34 per share. The $1.28 per share increase in after-tax net investment income in 2021 was driven by a $1.19 per share increase in after-tax net investment income from our alternative investments within our other investments portfolio. These strong alternative investment returns principally reflect our private equity holdings and the results were driven by strong corporate earnings and robust valuations. Outlook For 2022, we have established a non-GAAP operating ROE target of 11%. We have based our 2022 target on (i) our current estimated weighted average cost of capital ("WACC"), (ii) an approximate 350 basis point spread over our estimated WACC, (iii) the current interest rate environment, and (iv) property and casualty insurance market conditions. Our 2022 11% ROE target sets a high bar for our financial performance, challenges us to perform at our best, and aligns our incentive compensation structure with shareholder interests. We entered 2022 in the strongest financial position in our 95-year history, with having a record level of GAAP equity, statutory capital and surplus, and holding company cash and investments. We are well positioned to continue executing on our strategic objectives and delivering growth and profitability. 44 Our focus in 2022 will be on several areas to position us for ongoing success: • Delivering on our strategy for continued disciplined and profitable growth by: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Continuing to expand our Standard Commercial Lines market share by (i) increasing our share towards our 12% target of our agents' premiums, (ii) strategically appointing new agents, and (iii) maximizing new business growth in the small business market through utilization of our enhanced small business platform; Expanding our geographic footprint, with a plan to commence writing Standard Commercial Lines business in the states of Vermont, Alabama, and Idaho, subject to regulatory approvals, in the near-term, and other states over time; Increasing customer retention by delivering a superior omnichannel experience and offering value-added technologies and services; Shifting our focus towards targeting new and renewal customers in the mass affluent market within our Standard Personal Lines segment, where we believe we can be more competitive with the strong coverage and servicing capabilities that we offer; and Deploying our new underwriting platform in our E&S segment that will improve agents' ease of interactions with us. • • Continuing to achieve written renewal pure price increases, along with underwriting improvements, that are in line with expected loss trend, while delivering on our strategy for continued disciplined growth. Continuing to build on a culture centered on the values of diversity, equity, and inclusion that fosters innovation, idea generation, and developing a group of specially trained leaders who can guide us successfully into the future. For 2022, our full-year guidance is as follows: • • • • A GAAP combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, of 91.0%. Our combined ratio estimate assumes no prior-year casualty reserve development; Net catastrophe losses of 4.0 points on the combined ratio; After-tax net investment income of $200 million that includes $20 million in after-tax net investment income from our alternative investments; An overall effective tax rate of approximately 20.5% that assumes an effective tax rate of 19.5% for net investment income and 21.0% for all other items; and • Weighted average shares of 61 million on a fully diluted basis. 45 Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment Insurance Operations The following table provides quantitative information for analyzing the combined ratio: All Lines ($ in thousands) Insurance Operations Results: Net premiums written ("NPW") NPE Less: Loss and loss expense incurred Net underwriting expenses incurred Dividends to policyholders Underwriting income Combined Ratios: Loss and loss expense ratio Underwriting expense ratio Dividends to policyholders ratio Combined ratio 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ 3,189,713 3,017,253 1,813,984 979,537 5,140 218,592 $ 60.1 % 32.5 0.2 92.8 2,773,092 2,681,814 1,635,823 905,830 3,812 136,349 61.0 33.8 0.1 94.9 15 % $ 13 2,679,424 2,597,171 11 8 35 60 % $ 1,551,491 876,567 5,120 163,993 (0.9) pts (1.3) 0.1 (2.1) 59.7 % 33.8 0.2 93.7 3 % 3 5 3 (26) (17) % 1.3 pts — (0.1) 1.2 The 15% NPW growth in 2021 compared to the prior-year period reflects our strong relationships with best-in-class distribution partners, sophisticated underwriting and pricing tools, and excellent customer servicing capabilities. This solid growth included (i) renewal pure price increases, and (ii) new business growth, as follows ($ in millions) Direct new business Renewal pure price increases 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ 648.5 4.9 % 579.7 4.3 12 % $ 0.6 pts 548.7 3.7 % 6 % 0.6 pts In addition, our strong NPW growth in 2021 benefited from exposure growth driven by robust economic activity in the U.S., which resulted in our customers increasing their sales, payrolls, and exposure units, all of which favorably impacted our NPW. The growth in 2021 was further impacted by the 2020 COVID-19-related $75 million estimate of return audit and mid-term endorsement premium and $19.7 million of premium credits to our personal and commercial automobile customers, which reduced NPW by $94.7 million in 2020. The reduction in NPW in 2020 from COVID-19-related adjustments had the impact of increasing our 2021 NPW growth rate by 4 percentage points. Consistent with the impacts to NPW, the increase in NPE in 2021 compared to 2020 reflected the items discussed above. Loss and Loss Expenses The loss and loss expense ratio decreased 0.9 points in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to (i) non-catastrophe and catastrophe property loss and loss expenses, (ii) prior year casualty reserve development, and (iii) the current year loss and loss expense ratio, which is detailed as follows: ($ in millions) Non-Catastrophe Property Loss and Loss Expenses Net Catastrophe Losses For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/ Unfavorable Change in Ratio $ 471.7 410.0 410.5 15.6 pts $ 15.3 15.8 164.2 215.4 81.0 5.4 pts 8.0 3.1 21.0 23.3 18.9 (2.3) 4.4 (1.3) Net catastrophe losses of 5.4 points in 2021 and 8.0 points in 2020 were higher than our longer-term net catastrophe loss averages. Catastrophe losses in 2021 included gross losses of $53 million from Hurricane Ida, or net losses of approximately $41 million, or 1.4 points, after factoring in the benefit from our Property Catastrophe Excess of Loss Treaty, which attaches at $40 million. The structure of our Property Catastrophe Excess of Loss Treaty is detailed in the "Reinsurance" section in "Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment" of this MD&A. The majority of the Hurricane Ida losses, which included meaningful property losses from damage to personal and commercial automobiles, occurred in New Jersey and the 46 surrounding states. Losses in 2020 were mainly driven by a tornado and subsequent hail event that impacted Tennessee in March, two large storms in April, civil unrest claims, the Midwestern derecho, and Hurricane Isaias. ($ in millions) Favorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (81.0) (85.0) (61.0) (2.7) pts (3.2) (2.3) (Favorable)/ Unfavorable Change in Ratio 0.5 (0.9) (0.6) Details of the prior year casualty reserve development were as follows: 2021 2020 2019 (Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development ($ in millions) General liability Commercial automobile Workers compensation Businessowners' policies Total Standard Commercial Lines Personal automobile Total Standard Personal Lines E&S $ (29.0) 15.0 (58.0) (2.0) (74.0) — — (7.0) Total (favorable) prior year casualty reserve development $ (81.0) (Favorable) impact on loss ratio (2.7) pts (35.0) 10.0 (60.0) — (85.0) — — — (85.0) (3.2) (5.0) 4.0 (68.0) — (69.0) 6.0 6.0 2.0 (61.0) (2.3) In addition to the prior year casualty reserve development, the current year loss and loss expense ratio was 0.9 points higher in 2021 compared to 2020. In 2020, we experienced lower claims frequencies in our commercial and personal automobile lines of business reflecting reductions in miles driven due to the pandemic environment, which benefited our loss ratio in 2020. Although some benefit continued in 2021, it was not as significant as in 2020. For additional qualitative reserve development discussion, refer to the insurance segment sections below. Underwriting Expenses The underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.3 points in 2021 compared to 2020. The underwriting expense ratio in 2020 was elevated by 1.1 points for COVID-19-related items. The decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in 2021 reflects the absence of these COVID-19-related impacts, as well as a continued below-normal travel and entertainment expense levels due to most of 2021's pandemic-related limited business travel. The COVID-19-related items included in 2020 results were as follows: (i) lower NPE from the estimate of return audit and mid-term endorsement premium and premium credits given to our personal and commercial automobile customer; and (ii) a $13.5 million increase to our allowance for credit losses on premiums receivable. 47 Standard Commercial Lines Segment ($ in thousands) Insurance Segments Results: NPW NPE Less: Loss and loss expense incurred Net underwriting expenses incurred Dividends to policyholders Underwriting income Combined Ratios: Loss and loss expense ratio Underwriting expense ratio Dividends to policyholders ratio Combined ratio 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ 2,593,018 2,443,885 1,426,768 813,381 5,140 198,596 $ 2,230,636 2,143,184 1,245,627 742,014 3,812 151,731 16 % $ 14 2,137,071 2,049,614 15 10 35 31 % $ 1,187,856 710,648 5,120 145,990 58.4 % 33.3 0.2 91.9 58.1 34.6 0.2 92.9 0.3 pts (1.3) — (1.0) 58.0 % 34.7 0.2 92.9 4 % 5 5 4 (26) 4 % 0.1 pts (0.1) — — NPW growth of 16% in this segment in 2021 compared to 2020 reflected (i) renewal pure price increases, (ii) new business growth, and (iii) stable retention as follows: ($ in millions) Direct new business Retention Renewal pure price increases on NPW For the Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ 469.9 $ 85 % 5.3 421.1 85 4.4 Consistent with our overall insurance operations, NPW growth in 2021 (i) benefited from exposure growth, and (ii) was positively impacted by approximately four points due to the following 2020 COVID-19 related items that did not reoccur in 2021: • • A $75 million estimate of return audit and mid-term endorsement premium that reduced 2020 NPW. A $15.4 million premium credit to our commercial automobile customers that reduced 2020 NPW. Consistent with the impacts to NPW, the increase in NPE in 2021 compared to 2020 reflected the items discussed above. The 0.3-point increase in the loss and loss expense ratio in 2021 compared to 2020 was driven by the following: ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 Non-Catastrophe Property Losses Impact on Loss Loss and Loss and Loss Expense Expense Ratio Incurred Catastrophe Losses Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change $ 340.7 296.2 13.9 pts $ 13.8 104.1 117.8 4.3 pts 5.5 18.2 19.3 (1.1) 2.9 Our losses in 2021 and 2020 included elevated levels of catastrophe losses, with 4.3 points this year and 5.5 points last year. Both years compared unfavorably to our longer-term catastrophe loss average for this segment. Catastrophe losses for this segment are consistent with the discussion in the "Insurance Operations" section above. ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ (Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable) Year-Over-Year Change (74.0) (85.0) (3.0) pts (4.0) 1.0 (0.6) In addition to the prior year casualty reserve development above, current year casualty loss costs were 0.4 points higher in 2021 compared to 2020, driven by our commercial automobile line of business, which experienced an increase in claim frequencies as driving patterns continued to evolve in the COVID-19 environment, despite still being below our 2019 pre-pandemic levels. In 2020, we experienced lower claim frequencies in our commercial automobile line of business due to the pandemic environment. Lower claims frequencies and lower non-catastrophe property losses provided an offset to the $15.4 million premium credit to customers in 2020. 48 For quantitative information on the prior year development by line of business, see "Financial Highlights of Results for Years Ended December 2021, 2020, and 2019" above and for qualitative information about the significant drivers of this development, see the line of business discussions below. The Standard Commercial Lines underwriting expense ratio decreased 1.3-points in 2021 compared to 2020. The ratio was elevated in 2020 by 1.2 points for COVID-19-related items, as discussed in the "Insurance Operations" section above. The decrease in the 2021 underwriting expense ratio reflects the absence of these COVID-19-related impacts. The following is a discussion of our most significant Standard Commercial Lines of business: General Liability ($ in thousands) NPW Direct new business Retention Renewal pure price increases NPE Underwriting income Combined ratio % of total standard commercial NPW 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ $ 859,284 139,255 85 % 4.4 807,158 123,450 84.7 33 716,119 122,159 85 3.9 694,019 103,262 85.1 32 20 % $ 14 — pts 0.5 16 % $ 20 (0.4) 699,262 119,055 83 % 2.8 669,895 69,932 89.6 33 2 % 3 2 pts 1.1 4 % 48 (4.5) NPW grew 20% in 2021 due to renewal pure price increases, exposure growth, and higher direct new business. NPW growth in 2021 also included a 7-point benefit from the 2020 COVID-19-related $46 million estimate of return audit and mid-term endorsement premium recorded on this line in the first quarter of 2020, which did not reoccur in 2021. The combined ratio decreased 0.4 points in 2021, driven principally by a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 1.5 points, the drivers of which are consistent with the items discussed in the Standard Commercial Lines Segment above. Partially offsetting this decrease in the combined ratio was less favorable prior year casualty reserve development compared to 2020, as outlined in the table below. ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 (Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio $ (29.0) (35.0) (3.6) pts (5.0) (Favorable)/Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change 1.4 4.3 In 2021, the prior year reserve development was primarily attributable to favorable reserve development on loss severities in accident years 2018 and prior. In 2020, the prior year reserve development was primarily attributable to favorable reserve development on loss severities in accident years 2017 and prior. While this line experienced favorable prior year casualty reserve development in 2021 and 2020, it is also exposed to changes in economic and social trends, including litigation propensity and outcomes, and changes in state laws such as those that extend the statute of limitations or open windows for previously time-barred actions. Commercial Automobile ($ in thousands) NPW Direct new business Retention Renewal pure price increases NPE Underwriting loss Combined ratio % of total standard commercial NPW 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ $ 767,723 115,088 86 % 8.3 724,398 (23,335) 103.2 30 658,930 112,893 86 8.1 615,181 (3,126) 100.5 30 17 % $ 2 — pts 0.2 18 % $ (646) 2.7 590,011 102,956 83 % 7.5 554,256 (43,797) 107.9 28 12 % 10 3 pts 0.6 11 % 93 (7.4) NPW growth of 17% benefited from renewal pure price increases and higher direct new business, as shown in the table above. Additionally, NPW growth in 2021 included (i) exposure growth, and (ii) a 3-point benefit from the 2020 COVID-19-related 49 3.1 (3.0) 0.5 0.9 $15.4 million premium credit to our commercial automobile customers in the second quarter of 2020, which did not reoccur in 2021. The 2.7-point increase in the combined ratio in 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily driven by the items in the tables shown below. ($ in millions) Non-Catastrophe Property Losses Catastrophe Losses For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable) Year-Over-Year Change $ 125.2 92.2 17.3 pts 15.0 $ 9.8 3.4 1.4 pts 0.6 18.7 15.6 ($ in millions) Unfavorable Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/ Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change 15.0 10.0 pts 2.1 1.6 The 2021 and 2020 prior year casualty reserve development was primarily attributable to unfavorable reserve development on loss severities in accident years 2016 through 2019. The 2020 prior year casualty reserve development also experienced higher than expected frequencies in accident year 2019. In addition to the items in the table above, the combined ratio variances included the following: • • A 1.4-point increase in the current year casualty loss costs in 2021 compared to 2020, driven primarily by increased claim frequencies in 2021 due to driving patterns that continue to evolve in the COVID-19 environment compared to 2020. Last year experienced lower claim frequencies reflecting reductions in miles driven due to the COVID-19- related driving pattern shifts impacting this line of business. Lower claims frequencies and lower non-catastrophe property losses provided an offset to the $15.4 million of premium credits to customers in 2020. A 2.2-point decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in 2021 compared to 2020, the drivers of which are consistent with the items discussed in the Standard Commercial Lines Segment above. This line of business remains an area of focus for us and most of the industry, as profitability challenges continue to generate combined ratios higher than risk-adjusted targets. We will continue to (i) actively implement price increases consistent with levels experienced in 2021 and 2020, (ii) enhance our underwriting tools to further improve the accuracy of our rating information to prevent premium leakage, and (iii) actively manage our new and renewal business. Workers Compensation ($ in thousands) NPW Direct new business Retention Renewal pure price increases (decreases) NPE Underwriting income Combined ratio % of total standard commercial NPW 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 $ $ 317,035 59,938 86 % 0.1 306,428 78,537 74.4 12 270,168 51,078 84 (2.0) 278,062 70,897 74.5 12 17 % $ 17 2 pts 2.1 10 % $ 11 (0.1) 2019 309,322 60,139 84 % (2.8) 311,370 80,630 74.1 14 2020 vs. 2019 (13) % (15) — pts 0.8 (11) % (12) 0.4 NPW increased 17% in 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher retention, exposure growth, and increased direct new business. Additionally, NPW growth in 2021 included an 11-point benefit due to the 2020 COVID-19-related $29 million estimate of return audit and mid-term endorsement premium recorded on this line in the first quarter of 2020 that did not reoccur in 2021. The decrease in the combined ratio in 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily due to: (i) a decrease in the underwriting expense ratio of 1.7 points, the drivers of which are consistent with the items discussed in the Standard Commercial Lines Segment above; and (ii) a 1.4-point reduction in the current year casualty loss costs. This reduction was in recognition of the favorable frequency trends and sustained lower medical severity trends impacting this line. 50 Partially offsetting the decreases in the combined ratio was less favorable prior year casualty reserve development compared to 2020, as follows: ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ (Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Unfavorable/(Favorable) Year-Over-Year Change (58.0) (60.0) (18.9) pts (21.6) 2.7 0.2 For both periods, the favorable reserve development was due to continued favorable medical severity trends impacting accident years 2019 and prior. Due to the length of time injured workers can receive related medical treatment, decreases in medical inflation can cause favorable loss development across an extended number of accident years. Commercial Property ($ in thousands) NPW Direct new business Retention Renewal pure price increases NPE Underwriting income (loss) Combined ratio % of total standard commercial NPW 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ $ 470,043 108,418 84 % 6.0 436,412 10,515 97.6 18 413,194 94,697 84 4.6 388,120 (21,296) 105.5 19 14 % $ 14 — pts 1.4 12 % $ (149) (7.9) 373,809 88,527 82 % 3.3 353,834 21,639 93.9 17 11 % 7 2 pts 1.3 10 % (198) 11.6 NPW growth of 14% in this line in 2021 compared to 2020 was driven by renewal pure price increases, exposure growth, and higher new business. Quantitative information regarding property losses is as follows: ($ in millions) Non-Catastrophe Property Losses Catastrophe Losses For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/ Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change $ 182.5 168.6 41.8 pts $ 43.4 79.3 90.2 18.2 pts 23.3 60.0 66.7 (6.7) 11.7 Our losses in 2021 and 2020 included elevated levels of catastrophe losses, with 18.2 points this year and 23.3 points last year. Both years compare unfavorably to our longer-term catastrophe loss average for this line of business. Catastrophe losses for this segment are consistent with the discussion in the "Insurance Operations" section above. Standard Personal Lines Segment ($ in thousands) Insurance Segments Results: NPW NPE Less: Loss and loss expense incurred Net underwriting expenses incurred Underwriting income Combined Ratios: Loss and loss expense ratio Underwriting expense ratio Combined ratio 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ $ 292,265 293,559 212,116 77,477 3,966 72.2 % 26.4 98.6 295,166 299,140 233,260 81,388 (15,508) 78.0 27.2 105.2 (1) % $ (2) (9) (5) (126) % $ (5.8) pts (0.8) (6.6) 304,592 307,739 211,300 88,179 8,260 (3) % (3) 10 (8) (288) % 68.6 % 9.4 pts 28.7 97.3 (1.5) 7.9 NPW declined 1% in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily driven by a reduction in direct new business and slightly lower retention, both of which were impacted by the challenging personal automobile competitive environment. This decrease was 51 partially offset by the impact of the COVID-19 related premium credits to our personal automobile customers, which reduced NPW by $4.3 million in 2020 and added one point of growth in 2021 compared to 2020, as these premium credits did not reoccur in 2021. In the third quarter of 2021, we transitioned our personal lines strategy to targeting new and renewal customers in the mass affluent market where we believe our strong coverage and servicing capabilities can be more competitive. ($ in millions) Direct new business premiums1 Retention Renewal pure price increases on NPW 1Excludes our flood direct premiums written, which is 100% ceded to the NFIP and therefore has no impact on our NPW. $ 2021 2020 40.9 $ 82 % 1.0 44.7 83 2.5 The reduction in NPE in 2021 compared to 2020 reflects the decreases in NPW discussed above. The loss and loss expense ratio decreased 5.8 points in 2021 compared to 2020, the primary drivers of which were as follows: ($ in millions) Non-Catastrophe Property Losses Catastrophe Losses For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change $ 102.8 86.0 35.0 pts $ 28.7 37.4 77.5 12.7 pts 25.9 47.7 54.6 (6.9) 13.8 Our 2021 losses were impacted by 44 events that were designated as catastrophes by Property Claims Services ("PCS"), an internationally recognized authority on insured catastrophe property losses, including two severe thunderstorms accompanied by wind and hail occurring in March and June, Hurricane Ida in late August and early September, and a series of severe tornadoes that swept the Midwest in December. Our 2020 losses were impacted by 38 events that PCS designated as catastrophes, including a tornado affecting Tennessee in March, two severe April storms with damaging winds and tornadoes affecting the Midwestern states, Hurricane Isaias in late July and early August, and the August derecho in the Midwest. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in either 2021 and 2020. However, current year casualty loss costs were 1.2 points higher in 2021 compared to 2020, driven by our personal automobile line of business, reflecting increases in claim frequencies as driving patterns continued to evolve in the COVID-19 environment. The underwriting expense ratio decreased 0.8-points in 2021 compared to 2020. The ratio was elevated in 2020 by 1.0 points for COVID-19-related items, as discussed in the "Insurance Operations" section above. The decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in 2021 reflects the absence of these COVID-19-related impacts. E&S Lines Segment ($ in thousands) Insurance Segments Results: NPW NPE Less: Loss and loss expense incurred Net underwriting expenses incurred Underwriting income (loss) Combined Ratios: Loss and loss expense ratio Underwriting expense ratio Combined ratio 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019 $ $ 304,430 279,809 175,100 88,679 16,030 62.6 % 31.7 94.3 247,290 239,490 156,936 82,428 126 65.5 34.4 99.9 23 % $ 17 237,761 239,818 12 8 12,622 % $ 152,335 77,740 9,743 (2.9) pts (2.7) (5.6) 63.5 % 32.4 95.9 4 % — 3 6 (99) % 2.0 pts 2.0 4.0 The strong NPW growth of 23% in 2021 was due to increases in direct new business, renewal pure price, and exposure growth driven by favorable market conditions in E&S lines in the U.S. 52 Quantitative information is as follows: ($ in millions) Overall renewal price increases Direct new business premiums 2021 2020 6.5 % $ 137.7 6.2 113.9 The increase in NPE in 2021 compared to 2020 reflects the increases in NPW discussed above. The 2.9-point decrease in the loss and loss expense ratio in 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily attributable to favorable prior year casualty reserve development and a decrease in property losses. This was partially offset by an increase in current year casualty loss costs of 1.4 points, driven primarily by increased claim frequencies in 2021 compared to the decreased levels experienced in 2020. Quantitative information regarding our property losses and prior year casualty reserve development are as follows: ($ in millions) Non-Catastrophe Property Losses Catastrophe Losses For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio Total Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/ Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change $ 28.2 27.9 10.1 pts $ 11.6 22.7 20.0 8.1 pts 8.4 18.2 20.0 (1.8) 8.3 Our 2021 losses were impacted by 50 events that PCS designated as catastrophes, including Winter Storm Uri affecting Texas in February, a series of large storms affecting the Southern and Midwestern states in May, and Hurricane Ida in late August and early September. Our 2020 losses were impacted by 49 events that PCS designated as catastrophes, including the civil unrest throughout the country in June and Hurricane Laura in August. ($ in millions) For the year ended December 31, 2021 2020 $ (Favorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development Loss and Loss Expense Incurred Impact on Loss and Loss Expense Ratio (Favorable)/Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Change (7.0) — (2.5) pts — (2.5) (0.8) The favorable prior year casualty reserve development in 2021 was primarily attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2016 and prior. There was no prior year casualty reserve development in 2020. The 2.7-point decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in 2021 compared to 2020 was primarily driven by: (i) a decrease in labor expenses of 1.5 points and (ii) a decrease in compensation to our distribution partners of 0.6 points from changes in premium mix and corresponding commission rates. In addition, the underwriting expense ratio in 2020 was elevated by 0.9 points for the COVID-19-related increase in our allowance for credit losses on premiums receivable, as discussed in "Insurance Operations" above. The decrease in the underwriting expense ratio in 2021 reflects the absence of this COVID-19-related impact. Reinsurance We use reinsurance to protect our capital resources and insure against losses on property and casualty risks that we underwrite in excess of the amount that we are prepared to accept. We use two main reinsurance vehicles: (i) a reinsurance pooling agreement among our Insurance Subsidiaries through which each company agrees to share in premiums and losses based on certain specified percentages; and (ii) reinsurance contracts and arrangements with third parties that cover various policies that we issue to our customers. Reinsurance Pooling Agreement The primary purposes of the Insurance Subsidiaries' reinsurance pooling agreement are to: • • Pool or share proportionately the underwriting profit and loss results of property and casualty insurance underwriting operations through reinsurance; Reduce administration expenses; and 53 • Permit all the Insurance Subsidiaries to obtain a uniform rating from AM Best. The following illustrates the pooling percentages by Insurance Subsidiary as of December 31, 2021: Insurance Subsidiary Selective Insurance Company of America ("SICA") Selective Way Insurance Company ("SWIC") Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC") Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast ("SICSE") Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY") Selective Casualty Insurance Company ("SCIC") Selective Auto Insurance Company of New Jersey ("SAICNJ") Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC") Selective Insurance Company of New England ("SICNE") Selective Fire and Casualty Insurance Company ("SFCIC") Pooling Percentage 32.0% 21.0% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 3.0% 3.0% Reinsurance Treaties and Arrangements By entering into reinsurance treaties and arrangements, we can increase our underwriting capacity, accepting larger individual risks and aggregations of risks without directly increasing our capital or statutory surplus. Our reinsurance program principally consists of traditional reinsurance. Under our reinsurance treaties, we cede to our reinsurers a portion of our incurred losses from an individual policy or group of policies in exchange for a portion of the premium on those policies. Amounts not reinsured below a specified dollar threshold are known as retention. Reinsurance does not legally discharge us from liability under the terms and limits of our policies, but it does make our reinsurers liable to us for the amount of liability we cede to them. Our reinsurers often rely on their own reinsurance programs, or retrocessions, to manage their large loss exposures. The size of the global reinsurance community is relatively small. If our reinsurers are unable to collect on their retrocessional programs, it may impair their ability to pay us for the amounts we cede to them. Consequently, our reinsurers present us with direct, indirect, and contingent counterparty credit risk. We attempt to mitigate this credit risk by (i) pursuing relationships with reinsurers rated “A-” or higher by AM Best and/or (ii) obtaining collateral to secure reinsurance obligations. Some of our reinsurance treaties permit us to terminate or commute them – or require the reinsurer to post collateral if the reinsurer's financial condition or rating deteriorates. We monitor our reinsurers' financial condition, and we review the quality of reinsurance recoverables and reserves for uncollectible reinsurance. For additional information regarding our reinsurance counterparty credit risk, see Note 9. "Reinsurance" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. We have reinsurance contracts that separately cover our property and casualty insurance business that can be segregated into the following key categories: • • • • Property Reinsurance, which includes our (i) property excess of loss treaties purchased for protection against large individual property losses and (ii) property catastrophe treaties purchased to provide protection for the overall property portfolio against severe catastrophic events. We also purchase a limited amount of facultative reinsurance, primarily for large individual property risks greater than our property excess of loss treaty capacity. Casualty Reinsurance, which provides protection for both individual large casualty losses and catastrophic casualty losses involving multiple claimants or insureds. We also may use facultative reinsurance for large individual casualty risks in excess of our treaty capacity. We may also purchase quota share capacity for certain new or higher severity casualty lines of business. Terrorism Reinsurance, which provides a federal reinsurance backstop, behind the protection built into our property and casualty reinsurance treaties, for terrorism losses covered under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (“TRIPRA”). For further information about TRIPRA, see Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K. Flood Reinsurance, for which all of the premiums and losses related to our participation in the WYO (for which we also receive a servicing fee) are 100% ceded to the federal government. Property Reinsurance We renewed our main property catastrophe treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S business, effective January 1, 2022. For this treaty, we purchased an additional $50 million in limit to respond to our growing property portfolio, thereby 54 extending the coverage to $835 million in excess of the $40 million retention. Due to growth in our E&S property book of business, more challenging market conditions, and our recent and planned Standard Commercial Lines geographic expansion, we restructured our non-footprint catastrophe treaty from a $35 million in excess of $5 million structure covering a limited number of states to a $30 million in excess of $10 million treaty, covering all 50 states and the District of Columbia, for our E&S business only. This removed our five newest Standard Commercial Lines states from coverage under this treaty, as they are covered under the main property catastrophe treaty. We also increased our co-participation from 15% to 34% to balance the cost versus volatility protection provided by this treaty. Consistent with the prior year, both treaties were renewed with restrictions in coverage related to the systemic perils of communicable disease and first-party cybersecurity coverage, in line with current market conditions. Consequently, the property catastrophe program excludes coverage for communicable disease, but retains limited reinsurance coverage for cybersecurity risks. Despite these limitations, coverage for traditionally covered property perils was maintained. We seek to minimize reinsurance credit risk by transacting with highly-rated reinsurance partners and purchasing collateralized reinsurance products, particularly for high-severity, low-probability events, if feasible. Our current reinsurance program includes $259 million in collateralized limit, primarily in the top layer of the catastrophe program, compared to $281 million in collateralized limit under the prior year's reinsurance program. Overall, we expect ceded premium for our property catastrophe reinsurance treaties to increase modestly in 2022 due to three factors: (i) increases in underlying property exposures in line with our growing property insurance portfolio; (ii) the addition of $50 million of coverage purchased to maintain stability in our net risk profile; and (iii) modest risk-adjusted price increases. We model various catastrophic perils, and hurricane risk continues to be our portfolio's most significant natural catastrophe peril because of the geographic location of the risks we insure. The table below illustrates the impact of the five largest hurricane losses we have experienced in the last 35 years: ($ in millions) Hurricane Name Superstorm Sandy Hurricane Ida Hurricane Irene Hurricane Hugo Hurricane Isabel Actual Gross Loss1 $125.5 53.4 44.8 26.4 25.1 Net Loss2 45.6 41.5 40.2 3.0 15.7 Accident Year 2012 2021 2011 1989 2003 1This amount represents reported and unreported gross losses estimated as of December 31, 2021. 2Net loss does not include reinstatement premiums, taxes, or flood claims handling fees. We review our exposure to hurricane risk by examining third-party vendor models and conducting our own proprietary analysis. The third-party vendor models provide a long-term view that closely relates modeled event frequency to historical hurricane activity, adjusting to reflect certain non-modeled cost assumptions, such as the impact of loss expenses, residual market assessments, and automobile-related losses. We believe that modeled estimates provide a range of potential outcomes, and we review multiple estimates to understand our catastrophic risk. Occurrence Exceedance Probability Modeled Losses ($ in thousands) 4.0% (1 in 25 year event) 2.0% (1 in 50 year event) 1.0% (1 in 100 year event) 0.67% (1 in 150 year event) 0.5% (1 in 200 year event) 0.4% (1 in 250 year event) 0.2% (1 in 500 year event) 1Gross losses include uncertainty associated with damage/loss estimation, demand and storm surge, and assumptions for certain un-modeled costs, such as the impact of loss expenses, residual market assessments, and automobile-related losses, which collectively increase our gross losses by approximately 13%. 2Net losses are after-tax losses net of catastrophe reinsurance including reinstatement premiums. 3GAAP Equity as of December 31, 2021. % Net Losses2 35,304 38,613 43,956 61,871 67,544 125,306 454,888 Net Losses as a Percent of GAAP Equity3 1 1 1 2 2 4 15 Gross Losses1 $196,905 325,920 529,858 757,577 831,257 965,971 1,384,970 Our current catastrophe reinsurance program exhausts at an approximately 1 in 216 year return period, or events with 0.5% probability, based on a multi-model view of hurricane risk. Our actual gross and net losses incurred from hurricanes making U.S.-landfall will vary, perhaps materially, from our estimated modeled losses. 55 We renewed the property excess of loss treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S business, on July 1, 2021, and the top layer renewed on January 1, 2022. This treaty was renewed with an increase in the retention on the first layer to $3.0 million from $2.0 million to manage the overall reinsurance cost on our growing portfolio and maintain projected earnings volatility protection in line with our historical levels. The following table summarizes of our property reinsurance treaties and arrangements covering our Insurance Subsidiaries: PROPERTY REINSURANCE ON INSURANCE PRODUCTS Terrorism Coverage All nuclear, biological, chemical, and radioactive ("NBCR") losses are excluded regardless of whether or not they are certified under TRIPRA. Non-NBCR losses are covered to the same extent as non-terrorism losses. Please see Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” of this Form 10-K for discussion regarding TRIPRA. Treaty Name Property Catastrophe Excess of Loss (covers all insurance operations) Reinsurance Coverage $835 million above $40 million retention treaty that responds on per occurrence basis in four layers: - 82% of losses in excess of $40 million up to $100 million; - 97% of losses in excess of $100 million up to $225 million; - 97% of losses in excess of $225 million up to $525 million; and - 90% of losses in excess of $525 million up to $875 million. The treaty provides one reinstatement in each of the first three layers and no reinstatement in the fourth layer. The per occurrence limit is $776.5 million and the annual aggregate limit is $1.2 billion, net of the Insurance Subsidiaries' co- participation. In addition, our $30 million above $10 million retention treaty that responds on per occurrence basis covers 66% of E&S losses only, in all states, and has an annual aggregate limit of $34 million, net of the Insurance Subsidiaries' co- participation. Property Excess of Loss (covers all insurance operations) $57 million above $3 million retention covering 100% in three layers. Losses other than TRIPRA certified losses are subject to the following reinstatements and annual aggregate limits: - $7 million in excess of $3 million layer provides unlimited reinstatements; - $30 million in excess of $10 million layer provides three reinstatements, $120 million in aggregate limits; and - $20 million in excess of $40 million layer provides three reinstatements, $80 million in aggregate limits. 100% reinsurance by the federal government’s WYO. Flood All NBCR losses are excluded regardless of whether or not they are certified under TRIPRA. For non-NBCR losses, the treaty distinguishes between acts committed on behalf of foreign persons or foreign interests ("Foreign Terrorism") and those that are not. The treaty provides annual aggregate limits for Foreign Terrorism (other than NBCR) acts of $21 million for the first layer; $60 million for the second layer; and $40 million for the third layer. Non-foreign terrorism losses (other than NBCR) are covered to the same extent as non-terrorism losses. None 56 Casualty Reinsurance We renewed the casualty excess of loss treaty, which covers both our standard market and E&S Lines business, on July 1, 2021, substantially on the same terms as the treaty expiring June 30, 2021. The following table summarizes our casualty reinsurance treaties and arrangements covering our Insurance Subsidiaries: CASUALTY REINSURANCE ON INSURANCE PRODUCTS Treaty Name Casualty Excess of Loss (covers all insurance operations) Reinsurance Coverage There are six layers covering 100% of $88 million in excess of $2 million. Losses other than terrorism losses are subject to the following: - $3 million in excess of $2 million layer provides 33 reinstatements, $102 million annual aggregate limit; - $7 million in excess of $5 million layer provides six reinstatements, $49 million annual aggregate limit; - $9 million in excess of $12 million layer provides three reinstatements; $36 million annual aggregate limit; - $9 million in excess of $21 million layer provides one reinstatement, $18 million annual aggregate limit; - $20 million in excess of $30 million layer provides one reinstatement, $40 million annual aggregate limit; and - $40 million in excess of $50 million layer provides one reinstatement, $80 million annual aggregate limit. Terrorism Coverage All NBCR losses are excluded. All other losses stemming from the acts of terrorism are subject to the following: - $3 million in excess of $2 million layer with $15 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit; - $7 million in excess of $5 million layer with $28 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit; - $9 million in excess of $12 million layer with $27 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit; - $9 million in excess of $21 million layer with $18 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit; - $20 million in excess of $30 million layer with $40 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit; and - $40 million in excess of $50 million layer with $80 million net annual terrorism aggregate limit. We have other reinsurance treaties, such as our (i) Surety and Fidelity Excess of Loss Reinsurance Treaty, (ii) National Workers Compensation Reinsurance Pool Quota Share, which covers business assumed from the involuntary workers compensation pool, (iii) Endurance Specialty Quota share and Loss Development Cover, which protects against losses on policies written before the acquisition and any development on reserves established by MUSIC as of the date of acquisition, (iv) Equipment Breakdown Coverage Reinsurance Treaty, (v) Multi-line Quota Share, which covers additional personal lines coverages, (vi) Cyber Liability Quota Share, and (vii) Excess Liability Quota Share, which covers MUSIC's excess liability business. We regularly evaluate our overall reinsurance program, and we try to develop effective ways to manage the transfer of risk. We base our analysis on a comprehensive process that includes periodic analysis of modeling results, our own loss experience, aggregation of exposures, exposure growth, diversification of risks, limits written, projected reinsurance costs, reinsurer financial strength, and projected impact on earnings, equity, and statutory surplus. We strive to balance reinsurer credit quality, price, terms, and our appetite to retain a certain level of risk. Investments Segment The primary objective of the investment portfolio is to maximize after-tax net investment income and the overall total return of the portfolio, while maintaining a high credit quality core fixed income securities portfolio and managing our duration risk profile. The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio, including short-term investments, was 3.9 years as of December 31, 2021, compared to the Insurance Subsidiaries' net loss and loss expense reserves duration of 3.5 years. The effective duration is monitored and managed to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk at an acceptable level. We maintain a well-diversified portfolio across sectors, with credit quality and maturities that provide ample liquidity. Purchases and sales are made with the intent of maximizing investment returns in the current market environment while balancing capital preservation. Our fixed income and short-term investments represented 91% of our invested assets at December 31, 2021, and 92% at December 31, 2020. These investments had a weighted average credit rating of “A+” as of December 31, 2021 and "AA-" as of December 31, 2020, with a 96% allocation to investment grade holdings at both December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020. The weighted average credit rating decline reflects a planned reduction in our sector allocation to agency residential mortgage- backed securities over the past year as lower interest rates accelerated prepayments, as expected. Given the very low reinvestment rates for this asset class, we reallocated these non-sale disposal cash flows into other high-quality fixed income sectors, including corporate securities and other asset-backed security classes without a "AAA" rating but in our view currently offer a better risk and reward trade-off. For further details on the composition, credit quality, and the various risks to which our portfolio is subject, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of this Form 10-K. 57 Total Invested Assets ($ in thousands) Total invested assets 2021 2020 Change $ 8,026,988 7,505,599 Invested assets per dollar of common stockholders' equity Unrealized gain – before tax1 Unrealized gain – after tax1 312,214 1Includes unrealized gain on fixed income securities of $229 million and equity securities of $27 million at December 31, 2021. 255,658 395,207 201,970 2.96 2.88 7 % (3) (35) (35) Invested assets increased $521 million at December 31, 2021, compared to December 31, 2020, reflecting strong 2021 operating cash flows of $771 million, partially offset by a decrease in pre-tax unrealized gains of $140 million. The majority of this $140 million decrease was related to our fixed income securities portfolio, which was impacted by an increase in benchmark U. S. Treasury rates, partially offset by a tightening of credit spreads. Net Investment Income The components of net investment income earned were as follows: ($ in thousands) Fixed income securities Equity securities Commercial mortgage loans ("CMLs") Short-term investments Other investments Investment expenses Net investment income earned – before tax Net investment income tax expense Net investment income earned – after tax Effective tax rate Annual after-tax yield on fixed income investments Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio 2021 $ 209,709 15,920 2,743 260 118,060 (20,103) 326,589 63,589 $ 263,000 19.5 % 2.6 3.4 2020 203,926 9,286 844 1,821 26,922 (15,692) 227,107 42,495 184,612 18.7 2.6 2.6 2021 vs. 2020 3 % 71 225 (86) 339 (28) 44 50 42 0.8 pts — 0.8 2019 203,255 6,996 — 6,653 18,778 (13,139) 222,543 41,382 181,161 18.6 2.9 2.9 2020 vs. 2019 — % 33 n/m (73) 43 (19) 2 3 2 0.1 pts (0.3) (0.3) The $78.4 million increase in after-tax net investment income in 2021 compared to 2020 was driven by higher alternative investments gains in our other investment portfolio of $93.0 million, after-tax, in 2021 compared to $20.9 million, after-tax, in 2020, resulting in a $72.0 million increase in after-tax net investment income in 2021. Our alternative investments are accounted for under the equity method of accounting and are recorded on a one-quarter lag. The results on alternative investments in 2021 principally reflected unrealized gains on our holdings that benefited from the strong equity and credit capital market performance in the 12-month period ended September 2021. Realized and Unrealized Investment Gains and Losses When evaluating securities for sale, our general philosophy is to reduce our exposure to securities and sectors based on economic evaluations of whether the fundamentals for that security or sector have deteriorated or the timing is appropriate to opportunistically trade for other securities with better economic-return characteristics. Net realized and unrealized gains and losses for the indicated periods were as follows: ($ in thousands) Net realized gains on disposals Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities Net credit loss (expense) on fixed income securities, AFS Net credit loss (expense) benefit on fixed income securities, HTM Losses on securities for which we have the intent to sell Net other-than-temporary-impairment losses recognized earnings Total net realized and unrealized investment (losses) gains 2021 2020 2019 $ $ 7,144 17,881 (6,858) (49) (519) 17,599 9,148 7,939 (5,042) 4 (16,266) (4,217) 26,715 (8,649) (3,644) 14,422 Realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) in 2020 were significantly impacted by COVID-19-related market volatility in the first quarter of 2020, and substantially all of the $16.3 million of losses on securities we intended to sell were recorded in that quarter to provide our investment managers flexibility to trade and optimize our investment portfolio. The increase in unrealized gains on equity securities in 2021 was driven by strong public equities performance in the year. 58 For additional information regarding our losses on securities we intend to sell and our methodology for estimating the allowance for credit losses, see Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Federal Income Taxes The following table provides information regarding federal income taxes. ($ in millions) Federal income tax expense Effective tax rate1 1The effective tax rate is calculated by taking "Total federal income tax expense" divided by "Income before federal income tax" less "Preferred stock dividends" on our Consolidated Statements of Income. 56.6 18.7 20.5 % 101.5 2021 2020 $ 2019 64.8 19.3 Federal income tax expense increased by $44.9 million in 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to an increase in pre-tax income that is taxed at the statutory rate. The increase in pre-tax income was primarily driven by increases in underwriting income and net investment income earned primarily due to higher gains on alternative investments in our other investment portfolio. See Note 14. “Federal Income Taxes” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K for further information about the following: (i) a reconciliation of our effective tax rate to the statutory rate of 21%; and (ii) details regarding our net deferred tax liability and asset. Liquidity and Capital Resources Capital resources and liquidity reflect our ability to generate cash flows from business operations, borrow funds at competitive rates, and raise new capital to meet our operating and growth needs. Liquidity We manage liquidity by focusing on generating sufficient cash flows to meet the short-term and long-term cash requirements of our business operations. We also adjust our liquidity in light of economic or market conditions, as discussed further below. Sources of Liquidity Sources of cash for Selective Insurance Group, Inc. ("Parent") historically have consisted of dividends from the Insurance Subsidiaries, the investment portfolio held at the Parent, borrowings under third-party lines of credit, loan agreements with certain Insurance Subsidiaries, and the issuance of equity (common or preferred) and debt securities. We continue to monitor these sources, considering both our short-term and long-term liquidity and capital preservation strategies. The Parent’s investment portfolio includes (i) short-term investments that are generally maintained in “AAA” rated money market funds approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, (ii) high-quality, highly-liquid government and corporate fixed income securities, (iii) equity securities, (iv) other investments, and (v) a cash balance. In the aggregate, Parent cash and total investments amounted to $527 million at December 31, 2021, and $490 million at December 31, 2020. The composition of the Parent's investment portfolio may change over time based upon various factors, including the amount and availability of dividends from our Insurance Subsidiaries, investment income, expenses, other Parent cash needs, such as dividends payable to shareholders, asset allocation investment decisions, inorganic growth opportunities, debt retirement, and share repurchases. Our target is for the Parent to maintain highly liquid investments of at least twice its expected annual net cash outflow needs, with the target currently estimated at approximately $180 million. Insurance Subsidiary Dividends The Insurance Subsidiaries generate liquidity through insurance float, which is created by collecting premiums and earning investment income before paying claims. The period of float can extend over many years. Our investment portfolio consists of maturity dates that continually provide a source of cash flow for claims payments in the ordinary course of business. To protect our Insurance Subsidiaries' capital, we purchase reinsurance coverage for significantly large claims or catastrophes that may occur. The Insurance Subsidiaries paid $140 million in dividends to the Parent in 2021. As of December 31, 2021, our allowable ordinary maximum dividend is $322 million for 2022. All Insurance Subsidiary dividends to the Parent are (i) subject to the approval and/or review of its domiciliary state insurance regulator and (ii) generally payable only from earned statutory surplus reported in its annual statements as of the preceding December 31. Although domiciliary state insurance regulators historically have approved dividends, there is no assurance they will approve future Insurance Subsidiary dividends. New Jersey corporate law also limits the maximum amount of dividends the Parent can pay our shareholders if either (i) the Parent would be unable to pay its debts as they became due in the usual course of business, or (ii) the Parent’s total assets 59 would be less than its total liabilities. The Parent’s ability to pay dividends to shareholders is also impacted by (i) covenants in its credit agreement that obligate it, among other things, to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth and a maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, and (ii) the terms of our preferred stock that prohibit dividends to be declared or paid on our common stock if dividends are not declared and paid, or made payable, on all outstanding preferred stock for the latest completed dividend period. For additional information regarding dividend restrictions and financial covenants, where applicable, see Note 11. “Indebtedness,” Note 17. “Equity,” and Note 22. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Line of Credit On December 20, 2019, the Parent entered into a Credit Agreement with the lenders named therein (the “Lenders”) and the Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, as Administrative Agent ("Line of Credit"). Under the Line of Credit, the Lenders have agreed to provide the Parent with a $50 million revolving credit facility that can be increased to $125 million with the Lenders' consent. No borrowings were made under the Line of Credit in 2021. The Line of Credit will mature on December 20, 2022, and has a variable interest rate based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. For additional information regarding the Line of Credit and corresponding representations, warranties, and covenants, refer to Note 11. “Indebtedness” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Four of the Insurance Subsidiaries are members of Federal Home Loan Bank ("FHLB") branches, as shown in the following table. Membership requires the ownership of branch stock and includes the right to access to liquidity. All Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") and Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY") borrowings are required to be secured by investments pledged as collateral. For additional information regarding collateral outstanding, refer to Note 5. "Investments" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Branch FHLBI FHLBNY Insurance Subsidiary Member SICSC1 SICSE1 SICA SICNY 1These subsidiaries are jointly referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana. The Line of Credit permits aggregate borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY up to 10% of the respective member company’s admitted assets for the previous year. As SICNY is domiciled in New York, its FHLBNY borrowings are limited by New York insurance regulations to the lower of 5% of admitted assets for the most recently completed fiscal quarter, or 10% of admitted assets for the previous year-end. The following table provides information on the remaining capacity for FHLB borrowings based on these restrictions, as well as the amount of additional FHLB stock that would need to be purchased to allow these member companies to borrow their remaining capacity: ($ in millions) As of December 31, 2021 SICSC SICSE SICA SICNY Total Admitted Assets Borrowing Limitation Amount Borrowed Remaining Capacity $ 833.2 $ 665.6 3,160.6 580.2 $ 83.3 66.6 316.1 29.0 495.0 32.0 28.0 — — 60.0 51.3 38.6 316.1 29.0 435.0 Additional FHLB Stock Requirements 0.6 0.5 14.2 1.3 16.6 Short-term Borrowings We did not make any short-term borrowings from FHLB branches during 2021. Intercompany Loan Agreements The Parent has lending agreements with the Indiana Subsidiaries approved by the Indiana Department of Insurance that provide additional liquidity. Similar to the Line of Credit, these lending agreements limit the Parent's borrowings from the Indiana 60 Subsidiaries to 10% of the admitted assets of the respective Indiana Subsidiary. The following table provides information on the Parent’s borrowings and remaining borrowing capacity from the two Indiana Subsidiaries: ($ in millions) As of December 31, 2021 SICSC SICSE Total Admitted Assets as of December 31, 2021 Borrowing Limitation Amount Borrowed Remaining Capacity $ 833.2 $ 665.6 $ 83.3 66.6 149.9 24.0 16.0 40.0 59.3 50.6 109.9 Capital Market Activities The Parent had no private or public issuances of stock during 2021. In the fourth quarter of 2020, we enhanced our capital structure flexibility at the Parent by issuing $200 million of 4.60% non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock. Net proceeds after issuance costs were $195 million. The Parent is using these proceeds for general corporate purposes, which may include the repurchase of common stock under a $100 million share repurchase program authorized by our Board of Directors (the "Board") in conjunction with the preferred stock offering. During 2021, we repurchased 52,781 shares of our common stock under this authorization at a cost of $3.4 million, with a $64.49 average price per share. We have $96.6 million of remaining capacity under our share repurchase program. For additional information on the preferred stock transaction, refer to Note 17. “Preferred Stock” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Uses of Liquidity The Parent's liquidity generated from the sources discussed above is used, among other things, to pay dividends to our shareholders. Dividends on shares of the Parent's common and preferred stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board based on our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors. In October 2021, our Board approved a 12% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, to $0.28 from $0.25 per share. On February 3, 2022, our Board declared: • A quarterly cash dividend on common stock of $0.28 per common share, that is payable March 1, 2022, to holders of record on February 15, 2022; and • A cash dividend of $287.50 per share on our 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B (equivalent to $0.28750 per depository share) payable on March 15, 2022, to holders of record as of February 28, 2022. Our ability to meet our interest and principal repayment obligations on our debt, as well as our ability to continue to pay dividends to our stockholders, is dependent on (i) liquidity at the Parent, (ii) the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends, if necessary, and/or (iii) the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. Our next FHLB borrowing principal repayment is $60 million to FHLBI due on December 16, 2026. Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, without alternative liquidity options, could materially affect our ability to service debt and pay dividends on common and preferred stock. Capital Resources Capital resources ensure we can pay policyholder claims, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting insurance risks, and facilitate continued business growth. At December 31, 2021, we had GAAP stockholders’ equity of $3.0 billion and statutory surplus of $2.4 billion. With total debt of $506.1 million at December 31, 2021, our debt-to-capital ratio was 14.5%. For additional information on our statutory surplus, see Note 22. "Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. 61 The following table summarizes current and long-term material cash requirements as of December 31, 2021, which we expect to fund primarily with operating cash flows. Less than 1 year Payment Due by Period 1-3 years 3-5 years More than 5 years ($ in millions) Notes payable Interest on debt obligation Subtotal Gross loss and loss expense payments Ceded loss and loss expense payments Net loss and loss expense payments $ Total 510.0 593.6 1,103.6 4,580.9 578.6 4,002.3 — 28.3 28.3 1,303.5 174.5 1,129.0 — 56.6 56.6 1,473.8 137.3 1,336.5 Total $ 5,105.9 1,157.3 1,393.1 60.0 56.6 116.6 701.5 71.1 630.4 747.0 450.0 452.1 902.1 1,102.1 195.7 906.4 1,808.5 Our loss and loss expense payments in the table above represent estimated paid amounts by year on our loss and loss expense reserves that are estimates based on past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, and include considerable judgment. There is no precise method for evaluating the impact of any specific factor on the projected timing of loss and loss expense reserve payments, so the timing and amounts of the actual payments will be affected by many factors. Therefore, the projected settlement of the reserves for net loss and loss expense may differ, perhaps significantly, from actual future payments. For more information on our case reserves and estimates of reserves for loss and loss expense IBNR, refer to the “Reserve for Loss and Loss Expense” section in the "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" section of this MD&A and Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. For additional information regarding cross-default provisions associated with our notes payable in the table above or our Line of Credit, see Note 11. "Indebtedness" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." in this Form 10-K. In addition to the above, the following table summarizes certain contractual obligations we had at December 31, 2021 that may require us to invest additional amounts into our investment portfolio, which we would fund primarily with operating cash flows. ($ in millions) Alternative and other investments Non-publicly traded collateralized loan obligations in our fixed income securities portfolio Non-publicly traded common stock within our equity portfolio CMLs Privately-placed corporate securities Total Amount of Obligation Year of Expiration of Obligation $ $ 215.0 59.8 4.2 5.5 4.3 288.8 2036 2030 2027 2023 Less than 1 year There is no certainty that any such additional investment will be required, and we expect to have the capacity to repay or refinance these obligations as they come due. Our other cash requirements include, without limitation, dividends to stockholders, capital expenditures, and other operating expenses, including commissions to our distribution partners, labor costs, premium taxes, general and administrative expenses, and income taxes. As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, we had no (i) material guarantees on behalf of others and trading activities involving non- exchange traded contracts accounted for at fair value, (ii) material transactions with related parties other than those disclosed in Note 18. “Related Party Transactions” included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K, and (iii) material relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships at December 31, 2021 and 2020, such as structured finance or special purpose entities, established to facilitate off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes. Consequently, we are not exposed to any material financing, liquidity, market, or credit risk related to off-balance sheet arrangements. We continually monitor our cash requirements and the amount of capital resources we maintain at the holding company and operating subsidiary levels. As part of our long-term capital strategy, we strive to maintain capital metrics that support our targeted financial strength relative to the macroeconomic environment. Based on our analysis and market conditions, we may take a variety of actions, including, without limitation, contributing capital to the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt 62 and/or equity securities, repurchasing existing debt, repurchasing shares of the Parent’s common stock, and increasing stockholders’ dividends. Our capital management strategy is intended to protect the interests of the policyholders of the Insurance Subsidiaries and our stockholders, while enhancing our financial strength and underwriting capacity. We have a profitable book of business and solid capital base, positioning us well to take advantage of market opportunities that may arise. Book value per common share increased 9% to $46.24 as of December 31, 2021, from $42.38 as of December 31, 2020, driven by $6.50 in net income per diluted common share, partially offset by $2.07 of lower unrealized gains on our fixed income securities portfolio and $1.03 in dividends to our common stockholders. The book value per common share at December 31, 2021 included $3.01 of unrealized gains on our fixed income securities portfolio, which have an inverse relationship to changes in interest rates. The yields on benchmark U.S. Treasury securities have increased subsequent to December 31, 2021, which has resulted in a decrease in the net unrealized gains on our fixed income securities. If interest rates continue to increase and/or credit spreads widen in 2022, our net unrealized gains on our fixed income securities portfolio will come under pressure and could move into a net unrealized loss position. Cash Flows Net cash provided by operating activities was $771 million in 2021 compared to $554 million in 2020. Cash flows from operations increased in 2021 primarily driven by growth in our insurance operations. For more information on our underwriting results, refer to "Insurance Operations" above in this MD&A. Net cash used in investing activities was $619 million in 2021 compared to $688 million in 2020. Investing activity was greater in 2020, as we benefited from $195 million of net proceeds from our perpetual preferred stock issuance last year. Net cash used in financing activities was $123 million in 2021 compared to net cash provided of $141 million in 2020. The cash flows from financing activities decreased due to (i) a long-term debt repayment to the FHLBNY of $50 million in 2021, and (ii) our 2020 perpetual preferred stock issuance that resulted in $195 million of net proceeds last year. Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk. Market Risk The fair value of our assets and liabilities are subject to market risks — primarily interest rate risk, credit risk, equity price risk, and liquidity risk related to our investment portfolio — and fluctuations in the value of our alternative investment portfolio. Our portfolio allocation was 84% fixed income securities, 1% commercial mortgage loans, 4% equity securities, 6% short-term investments, and 5% other investments as of December 31, 2021. We do not directly hold derivatives, commodities, or other investments denominated in foreign currency. We have minimal foreign currency fluctuation risk within our alternative investment portfolio. For a discussion of our investment objective and philosophy, see the "Investments Segment" section of Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations." of this Form 10-K. We manage our investment portfolio to mitigate risks associated with various financial market scenarios. We assume prudent risk to enhance our overall long-term results while managing a conservative, well-diversified investment portfolio to support our underwriting activities. Interest Rate Risk Investment Portfolio We invest in interest rate-sensitive securities, mainly fixed income securities. Our fixed income securities portfolio is comprised of primarily investment grade (investments receiving S&P or an equivalent rating of BBB or above) corporate securities, U.S. government and agency securities, municipal obligations, collateralized loan obligations ("CLO") and other asset-backed securities ("ABS"), and mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"). As of December 31, 2021, approximately 15% of our fixed income securities portfolio was floating rate securities, primarily tied to the one- and three-month U.S. dollar- denominated London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR"). Our strategy to manage interest rate risk is to purchase intermediate- term fixed income investments that are attractively priced in relation to perceived credit risks. For more information on the upcoming transition away from LIBOR, refer to "Risks Related to our Investments Segment" in Item 1A. "Risk Factors." of this Form 10-K. Our exposure to interest rate risk relates primarily to the market price and cash flow variability associated with changes in interest rates. Our fixed income securities portfolio contains interest rate-sensitive instruments, and its performance may be adversely affected by changes in interest rates resulting from governmental monetary policies, domestic and international 63 economic and political conditions, and other factors beyond our control. All else being equal, a rise in interest rates will decrease the fair value of our existing fixed income investments, and a decline in interest rates will increase the fair value of our existing fixed income investments. However, new and reinvested money used to purchase fixed income securities would benefit from rising interest rates and would be negatively impacted by falling interest rates. We seek to mitigate our interest rate risk associated with holding fixed income investments by monitoring and managing the effective duration of our portfolio to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk at an acceptable level. The effective duration of the fixed income securities portfolio, including short-term investments, at December 31, 2021, was 3.9 years, which is within our historical range. The Insurance Subsidiaries’ net loss and loss expense reserves duration was approximately 3.5 years at December 31, 2021. We use an interest rate sensitivity analysis to measure the potential loss or gain in future earnings, fair values, or cash flows of market sensitive fixed income securities. The sensitivity analysis hypothetically assumes an instant parallel 200 basis point shift in interest rates up and down in 100 basis point increments from the date of the Financial Statements. We use fair values to measure the potential loss. This analysis is not intended to provide a precise forecast, or range, of the effect of changes in market interest rates and equity prices on our income or stockholders’ equity, but rather provides insight into the portfolio's sensitivity. These calculations do not consider (i) any actions we may take in response to market fluctuations and (ii) changes to credit spreads, liquidity spreads, and other risk factors that may also impact the value of the fixed income securities portfolio. The following table presents the sensitivity analysis of interest rate risk as of December 31, 2021: ($ in thousands) Fixed income securities Fair value of fixed income securities portfolio Fair value change Fair value change from base (%) -200 2021 Interest Rate Shift in Basis Points 100 — -100 200 $ 7,231,423 491,987 7,008,488 269,052 7.3 % 4.0 % 6,739,436 6,461,821 (277,615) 6,184,206 (555,230) (4.1) % (8.2) % Credit Risk Our most significant credit risk is within our fixed income securities portfolio, which had an overall credit quality of “A+” as of December 31, 2021, and "AA-" as of December 31, 2020. Non-investment grade exposure represented approximately 4% of the total fixed income securities portfolio at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020. Despite the strong performance of our portfolio, the average after-tax new money yield on fixed income security purchases continued to decline throughout the year as U.S. Treasury rates remained low and credit spreads continued to tighten throughout the year. The decline in the weighted average credit rating reflects a planned reduction in our sector allocation to agency residential MBS ("RMBS") over the past year as lower interest rates accelerated prepayments as we had expected. Given the current environment, we have reallocated these non-sale disposal cash flows into other high-quality fixed income sectors, including corporate securities and other ABS classes that do not carry a "AAA" rating, but in our view currently offer a better risk and reward trade-off. 64 Details on the credit quality of our invested assets at December 31, 2021 are provided below: December 31, 2021 ($ in millions) Short-term investments Fixed income securities: Amortized Cost Fair Value 448 $ 448 $ % of Yield to Invested Assets Worst 5.6 % 0.2 % Effective Duration in Years 0.10 Average Life in Years 0.10 AAA $ 420 AA $ 22 A $ 5 BBB $ — Non- Investment Grade — $ Not Rated $ — Credit Rating U.S. government obligations Foreign government obligations State and municipal obligations Corporate securities MBS: RMBS: Agency RMBS Non-agency RMBS Total RMBS Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS") Total mortgage-backed securities CLO and other ABS: Auto Aircraft CLOs Credit cards Other ABS Total CLOs and Other ABS Total securitized assets Total fixed income securities and short-term investments Total fixed income securities and short-term investments by credit rating percentage Commercial mortgage loans Equity securities: Common stock1 Preferred stock Total equity securities Other investments: Alternative investments: Private equity Private credit Real assets Total alternative investments Other investments Total other investments 128 15 1,125 2,504 130 16 1,193 2,599 1.6 0.2 14.9 32.4 631 125 756 652 125 776 8.1 1.6 9.7 648 674 8.4 1,404 1,450 18.1 26 70 857 12 380 1,344 2,748 27 68 858 12 386 1,351 2,801 0.3 0.8 10.7 0.1 4.8 16.8 34.9 7,063 7,285 90.7 1.6 2.2 1.0 2.3 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.3 5.1 2.9 0.5 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 5.9 5.7 4.8 5.1 3.6 1.9 3.3 3.7 3.5 2.3 3.5 1.7 0.9 4.2 2.5 3.0 3.9 10.4 7.2 4.5 6.8 127 — 258 17 3 3 520 155 — 10 358 1,093 — 3 56 1,159 — — — 174 — — — — 4.7 4.6 4.6 652 42 694 — 13 13 — 69 69 — — — — — — — — — 4.8 580 43 40 11 — — 4.7 1,274 56 108 11 — — 2.2 3.9 5.4 0.9 5.8 5.4 5.0 25 — 413 12 82 532 1,806 — 1 304 — 50 356 412 2 35 45 — 215 297 406 — 29 26 — 25 80 91 — 3 54 — 10 68 68 — — 15 — 3 19 19 5.4 2,629 1,116 1,916 1,363 242 19 96 98 1.2 3.5 3.2 7.4 36.1 % 15.3 % 26.3 % 18.7 % — 44 — 54 307 2 309 333 2 336 273 63 24 273 63 24 4.2 — 4.2 3.4 0.8 0.3 0.5 4.8 0.5 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2 2 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.3 % 0.3 % — — — — — — — — — — — 242 333 — 333 276 61 23 360 49 409 $ 761 360 49 409 360 49 409 7,781 $ 8,029 4.5 0.6 5.1 100 % — % — — — — — — — — — — — — — — $ 2,629 $ 1,116 $ 1,916 $ 1,365 $ — — — — — — — — — Total invested assets 1Includes investments in exchange traded funds, mutual funds, business development corporations, and real estate investment trusts. Amounts may not foot due to rounding. $ On a quarterly basis, we review our invested assets for concentrations of credit risk. The sectors representing more than 10% of our invested assets at December 31, 2021 were (i) special revenue bonds within our state and municipal obligations portfolio (12%), (ii) the financial sector within corporate securities (16%), and (iii) collateralized loan obligations within our CLO's and other ABS portfolio (11%). We discuss each of these sector holdings in more detail below. 65 State and Municipal Obligations Our state and municipal obligations represented 15% of our invested assets at December 31, 2021. The tables below provide details on this portfolio at December 31, 2021 and 2020: December 31, 2021 ($ in millions) General obligation state & local Special revenue Total state and municipal obligations December 31, 2020 ($ in millions) General obligation state & local Special revenue Total state and municipal obligations Fair Value Carry Value 235.9 957.0 1,192.9 235.9 956.8 1,192.7 Fair Value Carry Value 271.4 980.5 1,251.9 271.4 980.2 1,251.6 $ $ $ $ Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) 11.6 56.6 68.2 Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) 17.5 70.3 87.8 Weighted Average Credit Quality AA+ AA- AA- Weighted Average Credit Quality AA+ AA- AA- The following table details the top 10 state exposures of this portfolio at December 31, 2021: State Exposures of Municipal Bonds ($ in thousands) New York California Texas1 New Jersey Pennsylvania Colorado Washington Massachusetts Ohio Florida Other Pre-refunded/escrowed to maturity bonds Total General Obligation State & Local 8,310 51,533 34,278 — — 4,476 13,342 864 2,218 — 65,303 180,324 55,575 235,899 $ $ Special Revenue 127,975 75,817 43,945 67,303 50,213 36,203 25,494 35,012 36,083 34,279 317,659 849,983 107,001 956,984 Fair Value 136,285 127,350 78,223 67,303 50,213 40,679 38,836 35,876 38,301 34,279 382,962 1,030,307 162,576 1,192,883 % of Total 12% 11% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 32% 86% 14% 100% Weighted Average Credit Quality AA- A+ AA A AA- A+ AA AA A+ AA- AA- AA- AAA AA- % of Total Municipal Portfolio % of Total Investment Portfolio 1Of the $34.3 million in state and local Texas general obligation bonds, $17.2 million represents investments in Texas Permanent School Fund bonds, which are considered to have lower risk as a result of the bond guarantee programs that support these bonds. 100 % 15 % 20 % 3 % 80 % 12 % Special revenue fixed income securities of municipalities (referred to as “special revenue bonds”) represented 12% of our total invested assets at December 31, 2021. These securities generally do not have the “full faith and credit” backing of the municipal or state governments, like general obligation bonds, but special revenue bonds have a dedicated revenue stream for repayment. For our special revenue bonds, 65% of the dedicated revenue stream is comprised of the following: (i) essential services (52%), which is comprised of transportation, water and sewer, and electric; and (ii) education (13%), which includes school districts and higher education, including state-wide university systems. Because of the quality of these dedicated revenue streams, we believe our special revenue bond portfolio is appropriate for the current environment. Corporate Securities Our corporate securities represented 32% of our invested assets at December 31, 2021. For investment-grade corporate bonds, we address the risk of an individual issuer's default by maintaining a diverse portfolio of holdings. The primary risk related to non-investment grade corporate bonds is credit risk. A weak financial profile can lead to credit rating downgrades, which can put further downward pressure on bond prices. Valuations on these bonds are related more directly to underlying operating performance than to general interest rates. Our holdings of non-investment grade corporate bonds, which typically exhibit weaker credit profiles and are subject to more risk of credit loss, represent 2% of our overall investment portfolio. 66 The tables below provide details on our corporate bond holdings at December 31, 2021 and 2020: December 31, 2021 ($ in millions) Investment grade Non-investment grade Total corporate securities December 31, 2020 ($ in millions) Investment grade Non-investment grade Total corporate securities Fair Value Carry Value 2,424.8 174.6 2,599.4 2,424.3 174.6 2,598.9 Fair Value Carry Value 2,109.2 232.1 2,341.3 2,108.3 232.1 2,340.4 $ $ $ $ Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) 100.0 2.5 102.5 Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) 173.8 5.7 179.5 Weighted Average Credit Quality A- B+ BBB+ Weighted Average Credit Quality A- B+ BBB+ The following tables provide the sector composition of this portfolio at December 31, 2021 and 2020: ($ in millions) Financials Consumer non-cyclicals Communications Utilities Consumer cyclicals Technology Energy Bank loans Basic materials Other industrials Other Total corporate securities December 31, 2021 Weighted Average Credit Rating A- BBB+ A- A- BBB BBB+ BBB B BBB- BBB BBB+ BBB+ Fair Value 1,286.9 242.8 133.3 123.7 101.6 95.6 94.2 57.3 33.0 242.4 188.6 2,599.4 % of Fixed Income Securities Fair Value 19 % $ 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 39 1,048.5 281.3 150.2 76.4 144.5 109.0 100.5 71.4 40.0 204.9 114.6 2,341.3 December 31, 2020 Weighted Average Credit Rating A- BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB- BBB+ BBB B BBB- BBB BBB+ BBB+ % of Fixed Income Securities 16 % 4 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 36 As illustrated in the table above, within our allocation to corporate securities, financials is our most significant industry concentration at 19% of our fixed income securities portfolio at December 31, 2021. These holdings represented 16% of our total investment portfolio. The corporate securities portfolio allocation to financials is well-diversified by issuer and has a weighted average credit rating of “A-.” No individual issuer comprised more than 1% of our fixed income securities portfolio at December 31, 2021. MBS (RMBS and CMBS Portfolios) MBS represent our most significant exposure to real estate. Further breakdown of this exposure is provided in the table above that shows details on the credit quality of our invested assets. Agency RMBS represented 84% of our RMBS allocation, and 8% of our total invested assets, as of December 31, 2021. These securities are rated “AAA" and had an unrealized gain of approximately $20 million as of December 31, 2021. To manage and mitigate exposure on our RMBS and CMBS portfolios, we perform analyses both at the time of purchase and as part of the ongoing portfolio evaluation. These analyses includes review of loan-to-value ratios, geographic spread of the assets securing the bond, delinquencies in payments on the underlying mortgages, gains/losses on sales, evaluations of projected cash flows, as well as other information that aids in determination of the health of the underlying assets. We consider the overall credit environment, economic conditions, the investment's total projected return, and overall portfolio asset allocation in deciding to purchase or sell these securities. CLO and Other ABS Portfolio For CLO and other ABS, the primary risk is credit risk. We manage this risk by evaluating a number of factors, including the deal's structure, the credit quality of underlying loans or assets, the composition of the underlying portfolio, and the portfolio manager's track record and capabilities. We monitor key performance metrics, including over-collateralization, interest coverage, and cash flows, on an on-going basis. We consider the overall credit environment, economic conditions, the 67 investment's total projected return, and overall portfolio asset allocation in our deciding to purchase or sell CLO and other ABS. Other ABS includes structured note obligations and securities collateralized by loans and other financial assets, including, without limitation, auto loans, credit card receivables, equipment leases, and student loans. The tables below provide details on our CLO and other ABS holdings at December 31, 2021, and December 31, 2020: December 31, 2021 ($ in millions) Investment grade: CLO Other ABS Total investment grade Non-investment grade: CLO Other ABS Total non-investment grade Total CLO and other ABS December 31, 2020 ($ in millions) Investment grade: CLO Other ABS Total investment grade Non-investment grade: CLO Other ABS Total non-investment grade Total CLO and other ABS Fair Value Carry Value Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) Weighted Average Credit Quality 788.6 475.9 1,264.5 69.8 16.5 86.3 1,350.8 788.6 475.9 1,264.5 69.8 16.5 86.3 1,350.8 2.6 5.9 8.5 (0.3) (0.2) (0.5) 8.0 AA+ A+ AA B CCC+ B AA- Fair Value Carry Value Net Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss) Weighted Average Credit Quality 611.6 351.9 963.5 49.2 13.9 63.1 1,026.6 611.6 351.9 963.5 49.2 13.9 63.1 1,026.6 4.1 10.4 14.5 (2.3) 0.1 (2.2) 12.3 AA+ A+ AA BB- B BB- AA- $ $ $ $ Within our CLO and other ABS portfolio, the allocation to CLOs represents 11% of our total invested assets as of December 31, 2021. Investment grade CLOs accounted for the majority of this portfolio at 10% of invested assets, while non-investment grade CLOs represented only 1% of invested assets. The CLO portfolio is well diversified by issuer, manager, vintage year, and underlying corporate borrowers and sectors. No individual CLO comprises more than 1% of our fixed income securities portfolio at December 31, 2021, and this portfolio has an average credit quality of AA-. Equity Price Risk Our equity securities portfolio is exposed to risk from potential volatility in equity market prices. We attempt to minimize equity price risk exposure by maintaining a diversified portfolio and limiting concentrations in any one company or industry. The following table presents the hypothetical increases and decreases in 10% increments in market value of the equity portfolio as of December 31, 2021: ($ in thousands) Fair value of equity securities portfolio Fair value change (30)% (20)% $ 234,876 (100,661) 268,430 (67,107) Change in Equity Values in Percent 10% 0% (10)% 369,090 335,537 33,554 301,983 (33,554) 20% 402,644 67,107 30% 436,198 100,661 In addition to our equity securities, we invest in certain other investments that are also subject to price risk. Our other investments primarily include alternative investments in private limited partnerships that invest in various strategies such as private equity, direct lending, mezzanine financing, distressed debt, infrastructure, and real estate. As of December 31, 2021, other investments represented 5% of our total invested assets and 14% of our stockholders’ equity. These investments are subject to the risks arising from the fact that their valuation is inherently subjective. The general partner of each of these partnerships usually reports the change in the value of the interests in the partnership on a one quarter lag because of the nature of the underlying assets or liabilities. Since these partnerships' underlying investments consist primarily of assets or liabilities for which there are no quoted prices in active markets for the same or similar assets, the valuation of interests in these partnerships are subject to a higher level of subjectivity and unobservable inputs than substantially all of our other invested 68 assets. Each of these general partners is required to determine the partnerships' value by the price obtainable for the sale of the interest at the time of determination. Valuations based on unobservable inputs are subject to greater scrutiny and reconsideration from one reporting period to the next, and therefore, may be subject to significant fluctuations, which could lead to significant decreases from one reporting period to the next. As we record our investments in these various partnerships under the equity method of accounting, any decreases in the valuation of these investments would negatively impact our results of operations. For additional information regarding these alternative investment strategies, see Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. Liquidity Risk As a property and casualty insurer, we meet our liquidity needs generally through the cash flow provided by our on-going operations, as premium collections and investment income generated from our portfolio provide a significant flow of cash to support policyholder claims and other payment obligations. Additionally, we purchase substantial reinsurance at low retention levels to mitigate exposure to significant loss events and we have access to various borrowing facilities if the need to raise capital were to arise. See the "Liquidity and Capital Resources" section in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" of this Form 10-K for additional information regarding our available borrowing capacity. In addition to this, we monitor our investment portfolio's liquidity profile to ensure it meets our operational liquidity needs. The liquidity characteristics of our portfolio are illustrated below: Asset Category Highly-liquid assets Generally liquid assets, may become less liquid with market stress1 Generally illiquid assets2 Total 1These exposures are concentrated within CMBS and CLO and other ABS. 2These exposures include our alternative investments and other non-publicly traded securities. Percentage of Invested Assets 63 % 30 7 100 % Indebtedness (a) Long-Term Debt As of December 31, 2021, we had outstanding long-term debt of $506.1 million that matures as shown in the following table: ($ in thousands) Financial liabilities Long-term debt 3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI 7.25% Senior Notes 6.70% Senior Notes 5.375% Senior Notes Subtotal Unamortized debt issuance costs Finance lease obligations Total notes payable Year of Maturity Carrying Amount Fair Value 2021 2026 2034 2035 2049 60,000 49,917 99,520 294,330 503,767 (3,167) 5,450 506,050 $ 64,126 63,719 127,574 395,652 651,071 The weighted average effective interest rate for our outstanding long-term debt was 5.5% at December 31, 2021. Our debt is not exposed to material changes in interest rates because the interest rates are fixed. (b) Short-Term Debt On December 20, 2019, the Parent entered into a Credit Agreement (the "Line of Credit") with the lenders named therein (the “Lenders”) and the Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, as Administrative Agent. Under the Line of Credit, the Lenders have agreed to provide the Parent with a $50 million revolving credit facility that can be increased to $125 million with the Lenders' consent. The Line of Credit will mature on December 20, 2022 and has a variable interest rate based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. For additional information regarding the Line of Credit agreement and corresponding representations, warranties, and covenants, refer to Note 11. “Indebtedness” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. 69 Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm To the Stockholders and Board of Directors Selective Insurance Group, Inc.: Opinion on the Consolidated Financial Statements We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and subsidiaries (the Company) as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, the related consolidated statements of income, comprehensive income, stockholders’ equity, and cash flows for each of the years in the three‑year period ended December 31, 2021, and the related notes and financial statement schedules I to V (collectively, the consolidated financial statements). In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of the Company as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, and the results of its operations and its cash flows for each of the years in the three-year period ended December 31, 2021, in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) (PCAOB), the Company's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, based on criteria established in Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission, and our report dated February 11, 2022 expressed an unqualified opinion on the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting. Basis for Opinion These consolidated financial statements are the responsibility of the Company’s management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these consolidated financial statements based on our audits. We are a public accounting firm registered with the PCAOB and are required to be independent with respect to the Company in accordance with the U.S. federal securities laws and the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB. We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the consolidated financial statements are free of material misstatement, whether due to error or fraud. Our audits included performing procedures to assess the risks of material misstatement of the consolidated financial statements, whether due to error or fraud, and performing procedures that respond to those risks. Such procedures included examining, on a test basis, evidence regarding the amounts and disclosures in the consolidated financial statements. Our audits also included evaluating the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall presentation of the consolidated financial statements. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion. Critical Audit Matter The critical audit matter communicated below is a matter arising from the current period audit of the consolidated financial statements that was communicated or required to be communicated to the audit committee and that: (1) relates to accounts or disclosures that are material to the consolidated financial statements and (2) involved our especially challenging, subjective, or complex judgments. The communication of a critical audit matter does not alter in any way our opinion on the consolidated financial statements, taken as a whole, and we are not, by communicating the critical audit matter below, providing a separate opinion on the critical audit matter or on the accounts or disclosures to which it relates. Estimate of reserve for loss and loss expense As discussed in Notes 2 and 10 to the consolidated financial statements, the Company estimates the reserve for loss and loss expense (reserves) through an internal reserve review that relies upon methods consistent with actuarial standards of practice supplemented with other internal and external information. The Company develops reserve estimates by line of business and, as experience emerges and other information develops, the reserve estimates are assessed in aggregate and adjusted as necessary. As of December 31, 2021, the Company recorded a liability of $4.58 billion for reserves. 70 We identified the evaluation of the estimate of reserves for loss and loss expense as a critical audit matter. The process to evaluate the Company’s estimate of reserves involved a high degree of subjective auditor judgment due to the inherent uncertainties in adjusting past experience for current development and anticipating trends for predicting future events. These uncertainties may be affected by a number of considerations, including internal factors, such as changes to underwriting practices, claim practices, and claim experience; as well as external factors, such as economic conditions, legislative enactments, judicial decisions, and social trends. Evaluating the impact of these factors on the estimate of reserves also required specialized actuarial skills and knowledge. The following are the primary procedures we performed to address this critical audit matter. With the involvement of actuarial professionals, when appropriate, we evaluated the design and tested the operating effectiveness of certain internal controls related to the Company’s internal reserve review and determination of the Company’s best estimate of recorded reserves. We also involved actuarial professionals with specialized skills and knowledge, who assisted in: • • • • evaluating the Company’s actuarial methods by comparing them to methods consistent with actuarial standards of practice developing an independent estimate of reserves for certain lines of business using methods consistent with actuarial standards of practice for certain other lines of business, assessing the Company's internal reserve review by evaluating the assumptions and actuarial methods used developing a consolidated range of reserves and comparing it to the Company's recorded reserves assessing movement of the Company’s recorded reserves within the consolidated range of reserves. We have served as the Company's auditor since 1964. New York, New York February 11, 2022 /s/ KPMG LLP 71 Consolidated Balance Sheets December 31, ($ in thousands, except share amounts) ASSETS Investments: Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity – at carrying value (fair value: $29,460 – 2021; $18,001 – 2020) $ Less allowance for credit losses Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity, net of allowance for credit losses Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (allowance for credit losses: $9,724 – 2021; $3,969 – 2020; amortized cost: $6,490,753 – 2021; $6,073,517 – 2020) Commercial mortgage loans – at carrying value (fair value: $97,598 – 2021; $47,289 – 2020) Less: allowance for credit losses Commercial mortgage loans, net of allowance for credit losses Equity securities – at fair value (cost: $308,840 – 2021; $301,551 – 2020) Short-term investments Other investments Total investments (Notes 5 and 7) Cash Restricted cash Accrued investment income Premiums receivable Less: allowance for credit losses (Note 8) Premiums receivable, net of allowance for credit losses Reinsurance recoverable Less: allowance for credit losses (Note 9) Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance for credit losses Prepaid reinsurance premiums (Note 9) Current federal income tax (Note 14) Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of: $253,427 – 2021; $240,150 – 2020 Deferred policy acquisition costs (Note 2) Goodwill (Note 12) Other assets Total assets LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY Liabilities: Reserve for loss and loss expense (Note 10) Unearned premiums Long-term debt (Note 11) Current federal income tax (Note 14) Deferred federal income tax (Note 14) Accrued salaries and benefits Other liabilities Total liabilities Stockholders’ Equity: Preferred stock of $0 par value per share (Note 17): Authorized shares: 5,000,000; Issued shares: 8,000 with $25,000 liquidation preference per share – 2021 and 2020 Common stock of $2 par value per share: Authorized shares 360,000,000 Issued: 104,450,916 – 2021; 104,032,912 – 2020 Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive income (Note 6) Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 44,266,534 – 2021; 44,127,109 – 2020) Total stockholders’ equity Commitments and contingencies (Notes 19 and 20) Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 72 $ $ $ $ 2021 2020 28,850 (65) 28,785 6,709,976 95,795 — 95,795 335,537 447,863 409,032 8,026,988 455 44,608 48,247 958,787 (13,600) 945,187 601,668 (1,600) 600,068 183,007 772 82,053 326,915 7,849 195,240 10,461,389 4,580,903 1,803,207 506,050 — 13,413 121,057 453,874 7,478,504 16,846 (22) 16,824 6,455,928 46,306 — 46,306 310,367 409,852 266,322 7,505,599 394 14,837 45,004 857,014 (21,000) 836,014 589,269 (1,777) 587,492 170,531 — 77,696 288,578 7,849 153,919 9,687,913 4,260,355 1,618,271 550,743 14,021 27,096 114,868 363,670 6,949,024 200,000 200,000 208,902 464,347 2,603,472 115,099 (608,935) 2,982,885 208,066 438,985 2,271,537 220,186 (599,885) 2,738,889 $ 10,461,389 9,687,913 Consolidated Statements of Income December 31, ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Revenues: Net premiums earned Net investment income earned Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) Other income Total revenues Expenses: Loss and loss expense incurred Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs Other insurance expenses Interest expense Corporate expenses Total expenses 2021 2020 2019 $ 3,017,253 326,589 17,599 17,723 2,681,814 227,107 (4,217) 17,570 2,597,171 222,543 14,422 12,355 3,379,164 2,922,274 2,846,491 1,813,984 1,635,823 1,551,491 626,469 375,931 29,165 28,305 560,271 366,941 30,839 25,412 535,973 358,069 33,668 30,900 2,873,854 2,619,286 2,510,101 Income before federal income tax 505,310 302,988 336,390 Federal income tax expense: Current Deferred Total federal income tax expense Net income Preferred stock dividends Net income available to common stockholders Earnings per common share: Net income available to common stockholders - Basic Net income available to common stockholders - Diluted See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 87,335 14,138 101,473 60,059 (3,426) 56,633 60,640 4,127 64,767 $ 403,837 246,355 271,623 9,353 — — 394,484 246,355 271,623 6.55 6.50 4.12 4.09 4.57 4.53 $ $ $ 73 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income December 31, ($ in thousands) Net income 2021 2020 2019 $ 403,837 246,355 271,623 Other comprehensive (loss) income ("OCI"), net of tax: Unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities: Unrealized holding (losses) gains arising during year Unrealized losses on securities with credit loss recognized in earnings Amounts reclassified into net income: Held-to-maturity securities Net realized (gains) losses on disposals and losses on intent-to-sell available-for-sale ("AFS") securities Credit loss expense (119,598) (7,159) 133,104 (6,459) 168,021 — (9) (3,022) 5,418 (19) 4,247 3,984 (46) 530 — Total unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities (124,370) 134,857 168,505 Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans: Net actuarial gain (loss) Amounts reclassified into net income: Net actuarial loss Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans Other comprehensive (loss) income Comprehensive income See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 17,093 1,197 (10,898) 2,190 19,283 (105,087) $ 298,750 2,382 3,579 138,436 384,791 2,099 (8,799) 159,706 431,329 74 Consolidated Statements of Stockholders’ Equity December 31, ($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts) Preferred stock: Beginning of year Issuance of preferred stock End of year Common stock: Beginning of year Dividend reinvestment plan Stock purchase and compensation plans End of year Additional paid-in capital: Beginning of year Dividend reinvestment plan Preferred stock issuance costs Stock purchase and compensation plans End of year Retained earnings: Beginning of year, as previously reported Cumulative effect adjustment due to adoption of lease guidance, net of tax Cumulative effect adjustment due to adoption of guidance on allowance for credit losses, net of tax Balance at beginning of year, as adjusted Net income Dividends to preferred stockholders Dividends to common stockholders End of year Accumulated other comprehensive income: Beginning of year Other comprehensive (loss) income End of year Treasury stock: Beginning of year Acquisition of treasury stock - share repurchase authorization Acquisition of treasury stock - shares acquired related to employee share-based compensation plans End of year Total stockholders’ equity Dividends declared per preferred share Dividends declared per common share Preferred stock, shares outstanding: Beginning of year Issuance of preferred stock End of year 2021 2020 2019 $ 200,000 — 200,000 208,066 46 790 208,902 438,985 1,707 — 23,655 464,347 2,271,537 — — 2,271,537 403,837 (9,353) (62,549) 2,603,472 220,186 (105,087) 115,099 (599,885) (3,404) (5,646) (608,935) — 200,000 200,000 206,968 58 1,040 208,066 418,521 1,645 (5,416) 24,235 438,985 2,080,529 — 1,435 2,081,964 246,355 — (56,782) 2,271,537 81,750 138,436 220,186 (592,832) — (7,053) (599,885) — — — 205,697 44 1,227 206,968 390,315 1,510 — 26,696 418,521 1,858,414 342 — 1,858,756 271,623 — (49,850) 2,080,529 (77,956) 159,706 81,750 (584,668) — (8,164) (592,832) $ $ $ 2,982,885 2,738,889 2,194,936 1,169.17 1.03 8,000 — 8,000 — 0.94 — 8,000 8,000 — 0.83 — — — Common stock, shares outstanding: Beginning of year Dividend reinvestment plan Stock purchase and compensation plan Acquisition of treasury stock - share repurchase authorization Acquisition of treasury stock - shares acquired related to employee share-based compensation plans End of year 59,905,803 22,986 395,018 (52,781) (86,644) 60,184,382 59,461,153 28,890 519,863 — (104,103) 59,905,803 58,948,554 22,087 613,678 — (123,166) 59,461,153 See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 75 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows December 31, ($ in thousands) Operating Activities Net income Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and amortization Stock-based compensation expense Undistributed gains of equity method investments Distributions in excess of current year income of equity method investments Net realized and unrealized (gains) losses Loss on disposal of fixed assets Changes in assets and liabilities: Increase in reserve for loss and loss expense, net of reinsurance recoverable Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance (Increase) decrease in net federal income taxes Increase in premiums receivable Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs Increase in accrued investment income Increase (decrease) in accrued salaries and benefits Increase in other assets Increase in other liabilities Net cash provided by operating activities Investing Activities Purchase of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Purchase of commercial mortgage loans Purchase of equity securities Purchase of other investments Purchase of short-term investments Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Proceeds from commercial mortgage loans Sale of short-term investments Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Sale of equity securities Sale of other investments Distributions from other investments Fixed asset disposals Purchase of property and equipment Net cash used in investing activities Financing Activities Dividends to preferred stockholders Dividends to common stockholders Acquisition of treasury stock Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans Preferred stock issued, net of issuance costs Proceeds from borrowings Repayment of borrowings Repayment of finance lease obligations Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities Net increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash Cash and restricted cash, beginning of year Cash and restricted cash, end of year See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. $ 76 2021 2020 2019 $ 403,837 246,355 271,623 55,109 15,893 (69,873) 2,910 (17,599) 50 307,972 172,460 (542) (109,173) (38,337) (3,243) 7,216 (33,379) 78,121 771,422 (16,250) (2,165,555) (50,204) (88,640) (85,044) (4,345,140) 502,911 714 4,306,684 4,192 1,217,555 99,235 5,428 17,497 — (22,163) (618,780) (9,353) (60,136) (9,050) 7,976 (479) — (50,000) (1,768) (122,810) 29,832 15,231 45,063 59,350 16,227 (12,408) 3,472 4,217 22 181,839 91,278 7,708 (13,171) (17,392) (158) (13,264) (27,927) 27,897 554,045 — (1,723,818) (46,506) (230,813) (79,598) (5,762,725) 487,087 201 5,635,463 3,888 1,019,132 1,320 5,375 24,884 — (22,064) (688,174) — (54,486) (7,053) 8,411 195,063 587,000 (587,000) (550) 141,385 7,256 7,975 15,231 55,205 19,077 (12,773) 2,807 (14,422) 42 149,232 82,253 7,721 (53,383) (18,574) (3,226) (3,748) (39,337) 34,998 477,495 — (1,856,125) — (46,397) (64,908) (6,087,909) 594,743 — 6,129,885 16,149 626,686 137,294 17,964 19,972 9 (30,986) (543,623) — (47,675) (8,164) 8,243 — 355,757 (250,000) (977) 57,184 (8,944) 16,919 7,975 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Note 1. Organization Selective Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, (collectively referred to as “we,” “us,” or “our”) offers standard commercial, standard personal, and excess and surplus ("E&S") lines property and casualty insurance products. Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (referred to as the “Parent”) was incorporated in New Jersey in 1977 and its corporate headquarters is located in Branchville, New Jersey. The Parent’s common and preferred stock are publicly traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbols “SIGI” and "SIGIP," respectively. We have provided a glossary of terms as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 10-K, which defines certain industry-specific and other terms that are used in this Form 10-K. We classify our business into four reportable segments, which are as follows: • • • • Standard Commercial Lines – comprised of property and casualty insurance products and services provided in the standard marketplace to commercial enterprises, which are typically businesses, non-profit organizations, and local government agencies. Standard Personal Lines – comprised of property and casualty insurance products and services, including flood insurance coverage, provided primarily to individuals acquiring coverage in the standard marketplace. E&S Lines – comprised of property and casualty insurance products and services provided to customers who are unable to obtain coverage in the standard marketplace. Investments – invests the premiums collected by our insurance operations, as well as amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities. Note 2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies (a) Principles of Consolidation The accompanying consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) include the accounts of the Parent and its subsidiaries, and have been prepared in conformity with: (i) United States ("U.S.") generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"); and (ii) the rules and regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). All significant intercompany accounts and transactions are eliminated in consolidation. (b) Use of Estimates The preparation of our Financial Statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported financial statement balances, as well as the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Actual results could differ from those estimates. (c) Investments Portfolio Composition and Presentation in the Consolidated Balance Sheet Our investment portfolio is primarily comprised of fixed income investments. We also hold commercial mortgage loans ("CMLs"), equity securities, short-term investments, and other investments. A description of our portfolio holdings, and the related presentation in our Consolidated Balance Sheet, is provided below. Fixed Income Investments Our fixed income investments include our fixed income securities portfolio and our CML portfolio. Fixed Income Securities We hold the following types of securities in our fixed income securities portfolio: • • • • • • • U.S. government and government agency obligations; Foreign government obligations; Obligations of states and political subdivisions, including special revenue and general obligation bonds; Corporate securities, which may include investment grade and below investment grade bonds, bank loan investments, redeemable preferred stock, and non-redeemable preferred stock with certain debt-like characteristics; Collateralized loan obligations ("CLOs") and other asset-backed securities ("ABS"); Residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS"); and Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS"). 77 We have designated substantially all of the holdings in our fixed income securities as available-for-sale ("AFS"). These securities are reported at fair value in our Consolidated Balance Sheet. The after-tax difference between fair value and cost or amortized cost is reflected in stockholders’ equity as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI"). The amortized cost of fixed income securities is adjusted for the amortization of premiums and the accretion of discounts over the expected life of the security using the effective yield method. Callable debt securities held at a premium are amortized to the earliest call date. Premiums and discounts arising from the purchase of RMBS, CMBS, CLO and other ABS are amortized over the expected life of the security based on future principal payments, giving additional consideration to prepayments. These prepayments are estimated based on historical and projected cash flows. Prepayment assumptions are reviewed quarterly and adjusted to reflect actual prepayments and changes in expectations. Future amortization of any premium and/or discount is adjusted to reflect the revised assumptions. Accrued interest on our fixed income securities is recorded as a component of “Accrued investment income” on our Consolidated Balance Sheet. If accrued interest is due but not paid within 90 days, we reverse the delinquent amount and record this reversal through earnings as a component of “Net investment income earned” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. CMLs CMLs are loans secured by commercial property, such as an office building, multi-family apartment complex, industrial warehouse, or shopping center. We may acquire investments in CMLs through (i) direct originations under a loan syndication arrangement or (ii) a marketplace purchase. We record our investment in CMLs on the settlement date of the loan. Our CMLs are classified as held-for-investment and reported at amortized cost, net of any allowance for credit losses ("ACL"), on our Consolidated Balance Sheet. Interest is recorded using the effective yield method and accrued interest on our CMLs is recorded as a component of “Accrued investment income” on our Consolidated Balance Sheet. Other Portfolio Holdings Equity securities may include common and non-redeemable preferred stocks. Equity securities with readily determinable fair values are reported at fair value. Equity securities without readily determinable fair values are reported at net asset value ("NAV") as a practical expedient. Short-term investments may include money market instruments, savings accounts, commercial paper, and fixed income securities purchased with a maturity of less than one year. We may also enter into reverse repurchase agreements that are included in short-term investments. These repurchase agreements are fully collateralized by high-quality, readily-marketable instruments that support the principal amount. At maturity, we receive principal and interest income on these agreements. Short-term investments are generally reported at fair value. Other investments are primarily comprised of alternative investments, which are limited partnership investments in private equity, private credit, and real estate strategies. These alternative investments are accounted for using the equity method, with income typically recognized on a one-quarter lag. Because these alternative investments are recorded under the equity method of accounting, with the underlying holdings carried at fair value, the valuation and income recognized on these investments may be impacted by volatility in the financial markets. In addition to our alternative investments, our other investment portfolio includes Federal Home Loan Bank stock (“FHLB Stock”) and tax credit investments. The FHLB Stock is reported at cost. Accounting for our tax credit investments is dependent on the type of credit we have purchased, as follows: • • Federal low income housing tax credits are accounted for under the proportional amortization method; and All other tax credits in our investment portfolio are accounted for using the equity method. For federal tax credits accounted for under the equity method, we use the deferral method for recognizing the benefit of the tax credit with the related deferred revenue being recognized in our Consolidated Income Statement as a component of "Federal income tax expense" proportionately over the life of the investment. We categorize distributions from our investments accounted for using the equity method on our Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows using the cumulative earnings approach. Under this approach, distributions received are classified as cash flows from operating activities until such time that the cumulative distributions exceed cumulative earnings for the investment. When such an excess occurs, the excess portion of the current period distribution is considered a return of investment and is classified as a cash flow from investing activities. 78 We evaluate the alternative investments and tax credit investments included in our other investments portfolio to determine whether those investments are variable interest entities ("VIEs") and if so, whether consolidation is required. A VIE is an entity that either has equity investors that lack certain essential characteristics of a controlling financial interest or lack sufficient funds to finance its own activities without financial support provided by other entities. We consider several significant factors in determining if our investments are VIEs and if we are the primary beneficiary, including whether we have (i) the power to direct activities of the VIE, (ii) the ability to remove the decision maker of the VIE, (iii) the ability to participate in making decisions that are significant to the VIE, and (iv) the obligation to absorb losses and the right to receive benefits that could potentially be significant to the VIE. We have reviewed our alternative and tax credit investments and have concluded that they are VIEs, but that we are not the primary beneficiary and therefore, consolidation is not required. Presentation in the Consolidated Statement of Income Net Investment Income Earned Net investment income earned on our Consolidated Statement of Income includes the following: • • • • • Interest income, as well as amortization and accretion, on fixed income securities; Interest income on CMLs; Dividend income on equity securities; Interest income on our short-term investments; and Income recognized on our alternative and other investments accounted for under the equity method of accounting, except for federal tax credits, as discussed below. Income related to federal tax credits (either low income housing tax credits or other federal credits) is recorded in our Consolidated Statement of Income as a component of “Federal income tax expense” proportionately over the life of the investment. Net Realized and Unrealized Investment (Losses) Gains Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) on our Consolidated Statement of Income include the following: • • • • Realized gains and losses on the disposal of holdings in our investment portfolio, which are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold; Changes in unrealized gains or losses on our equity securities; Losses on investments for which we have the intent to sell, which are discussed further below; and Net credit loss expense or benefit resulting from changes in the ACL related to our investment portfolio, which is also discussed further below. Losses on securities for which we have the intent to sell and ACL on AFS Fixed Income Securities and Short-Term Investments We review our fixed income securities in an unrealized loss position to determine (i) if we have the intent to sell the security, or (ii) if it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before its anticipated recovery. If we determine that we have the intent or likely requirement to sell the security, we write down its amortized cost to its fair value. In writing down amortized cost, any amount previously recorded as an ACL is reversed and any incremental reduction in amortized cost is recorded directly to earnings as a component of “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. When fixed income securities are in an unrealized loss position and we do not record any losses on securities for which we intend to sell, we record an ACL for the portion of the unrealized loss due to an expected credit loss. We estimate expected credit losses on fixed income securities by performing a discounted cash flow (“DCF”). The ACL is equal to the excess of amortized cost over the greater of: (i) our estimate of the present value of expected future cash flows, or (ii) fair value. The ACL is recorded as a contra-asset reflected in the carrying value of the investment on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. The initial ACL and any subsequent changes are recorded to earnings as a component of “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. Any remaining unrealized loss is the non-credit amount and is recorded in AOCI. The ACL cannot exceed the unrealized loss of an AFS security and therefore it may fluctuate with changes in the fair value of the security. The ACL is written off against the amortized cost basis in the period in which it is determined uncollectible. Our DCF analyses calculate the present value of expected future cash flows using various models specific to the major security types in our portfolio. These models use security-specific information, as well as reasonable and forecasted macroeconomic data, to determine possible expected credit loss scenarios based on projected changes in the economy. The forecasted economic data incorporated into the models is based on the Federal Reserve Board’s annual supervisory stress test review on certain large 79 banks and financial institutions. We also have the ability to incorporate internally-developed forecast information into the models as we deem appropriate. The discount rate used in a DCF is one of the following: • • • The current yield in effect at the reporting date to accrete the beneficial interest for RMBS, CMBS, CLO and other ABS that were not of high credit quality at acquisition; The effective interest rate in effect as of the reporting date for non-fixed rate securities; and The effective interest rate implicit in the security at the date of acquisition for all other securities. DCFs may include, but are not necessarily limited to: (i) generating cash flows for each tranche considering tranche-specific data, market data, and other pertinent information, such as the historical performance of the underlying collateral, including net operating income generated by underlying properties, conditional default rate assumptions, loan loss severity assumptions, consensus projections, prepayment projections, and actual pool and collateral information; (ii) identifying applicable benchmark yields; and (iii) applying market-based tranche specific spreads to determine an appropriate yield by incorporating collateral performance, tranche-level attributes, trades, bids, and offers. We do not record a valuation allowance on the accrued interest balance associated with our fixed income securities as we reverse delinquent amounts on a timely basis. We consider a fixed income security to be past due at the time any principal or interest payments become 90 days delinquent. ACL on CMLs We evaluate our CMLs on a quarterly basis for expected credit losses. If we hold a CML with a specific credit concern, we record an individual ACL on that loan. For all other CMLs, we record an ACL on the pool of loans based on lifetime expected credit losses. The ACL is recorded as a contra-asset reflected in the carrying value of our CMLs on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. Our initial ACL and any subsequent changes are recorded to earnings as a component of “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. We utilize a forecasting model to estimate lifetime expected credit losses at a loan level under multiple economic scenarios. The scenarios apply reasonable and forecasted macroeconomic data such as unemployment and inflation to project property- specific operating income and capitalization rates that are used to estimate the value of the future operating income stream. This information, coupled with historical data about mortgage loan performance, is used to project the probability of default, the amount of loss given a default, and the resulting lifetime expected loss. Losses on securities for which we have the intent to sell and Credit Losses on Other Investments If we determine that we intend to sell a holding in our investment portfolio and the expected proceeds are less than the recorded value of the investment, we will record a loss on those securities we intend to sell in earnings as a component of “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. Additionally, we review our alternative investment portfolio for potential credit losses through quarterly fund reports and conversations with the general partners of the alternative investments concerning the following: The current investment strategy; Changes made or future changes to be made to the investment strategy; Emerging issues that may affect the success of the strategy; and The appropriateness of the valuation methodology used regarding the underlying investments. • • • • Our evaluation for potential credit loss on tax credits and FHLB Stock include a qualitative assessment of credit indicators, which include, but are not limited to, the following: • • An adverse development of the expected receipt of remaining tax credits and other tax benefits; and A significant deterioration in the financial condition or liquidity of the Federal Home Loan Bank. If we do not intend to sell a security, and we expect a credit loss on a holding in our other investments portfolio, we record a charge to earnings as a component of “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on our Consolidated Statement of Income. (d) Fair Values of Financial Instruments Assets The fair values of our investments are generated using various valuation techniques and are placed into the fair value hierarchy considering the following: (i) the highest priority is given to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets (Level 1); (ii) the next highest priority is given to quoted prices in markets that are not active or inputs that are observable either directly or indirectly, including quoted prices for similar assets in markets that are not active and other inputs that can be derived 80 principally from, or corroborated by, observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets (Level 2); and (iii) the lowest priority is given to unobservable inputs supported by little or no market activity and that reflect our assumptions about the exit price, including assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset (Level 3). An asset’s classification within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its valuation. The techniques used to value our financial assets are as follows: Level 1 Pricing Security Type Equity Securities; U.S. Treasury Notes Short-Term Investments Methodology Equity and U.S. Treasury Note prices are received from an independent pricing service that are based on observable market transactions. We validate these prices against a second external pricing service, and if established market value comparison thresholds are breached, further analysis is performed to determine the price to be used. Short-term investments are recorded at fair value. Given the liquid nature of our short-term investments, we generally validate their fair value by way of active trades within approximately one week of the financial statement close. Level 2 Pricing We utilize a market approach for our Level 2 securities, using primarily matrix pricing models prepared by external pricing services. Matrix pricing models use mathematical techniques to value fixed income securities by relying on the securities' relationship to other benchmark quoted securities, and not relying exclusively on quoted prices for specific securities, as the specific securities are not always frequently traded. As a matter of policy, we consistently use one pricing service as our primary source and secondary pricing services if prices are not available from the primary pricing service. Fixed income security pricing is reviewed for reasonableness by (i) comparing our pricing to other third-party pricing services as well as benchmark indexed pricing, (ii) comparing fair value fluctuations between months for reasonableness, (iii) reviewing stale prices, and (iv) internally reviewing prices for reasonableness if a price from another third-party source is not available. If further analysis is needed, a challenge is sent to the pricing service for review and confirmation of the price. Further information on our Level 2 asset pricing is included in the following table: Security Type Methodology Corporate Securities including preferred stocks classified as Fixed Income Securities, and U.S. Government and Government Agencies Obligations of States and Political Subdivisions RMBS, CMBS, CLO and other ABS Foreign Government Evaluations include obtaining relevant trade data, benchmark quotes and spreads, and incorporating this information into either spread-based or price-based evaluations as determined by the observed market data. Spread-based evaluations include: (i) creating a range of spreads for relevant maturities of each issuer based on the new issue market, secondary trading, and dealer quotes; and (ii) incorporating option adjusted spreads for issues that have early redemption features. Based on the findings in (i) and (ii) above, final spreads are derived and added to benchmark curves. Price-based evaluations include matching each issue to its best-known market maker and contacting firms that transact in these securities. Evaluations are based on yield curves that are developed based on factors such as: (i) benchmarks to issues with interest rates near prevailing market rates; (ii) established trading spreads over widely-accepted market benchmarks; (iii) yields on new issues; and (iv) market information from third-party sources such as reportable trades, broker-dealers, or issuers. Evaluations are based on a DCF, including: (i) generating cash flows for each tranche considering tranche-specific data, market data, and other pertinent information, such as historical performance of the underlying collateral, including net operating income generated by the underlying properties, conditional default rate assumptions, loan loss severity assumptions, consensus projections, prepayment projections, and actual pool and loan level collateral information; (ii) identifying applicable benchmark yields; and (iii) applying market-based tranche-specific spreads to determine an appropriate yield by incorporating collateral performance, tranche-level attributes, trades, bids, and offers. Evaluations are performed using a DCF model and by incorporating observed market yields of benchmarks as inputs, adjusting for varied maturities. 81 Level 3 Pricing Security Type CMLs Methodology Evaluations are performed by a third-party and are based on matrix pricing. For fixed rate loans, the matrix process uses a yield build up approach to create a pricing yield, with components for base yield, credit quality spread, property type spread, and a weighted average life spread. Floating rate loans are priced with a target quality spread over the swap curve. In addition to our CML portfolio, certain securities in our AFS fixed income portfolio are priced using unobservable inputs. These valuations are primarily based on broker quotes, or they are received from other third-party sources, for which there is a lack of transparency as to the inputs used to generate the valuation. The quantitative detail of these unobservable inputs is neither provided to us, nor reasonably available to us. Liabilities The techniques used to value our notes payable are as follows: Level 2 Pricing Security Type 7.25% Senior Notes; 6.70% Senior Notes; 5.375% Senior Notes Borrowings from Federal Home Loan Banks Methodology Based on matrix pricing models prepared by external pricing services. Evaluations are performed using a DCF model based on current borrowing rates provided by the Federal Home Loan Banks that are consistent with the remaining term of the borrowing. (e) Allowance for Credit Losses on Premiums Receivable We estimate an ACL on our outstanding premiums receivable balance at each reporting date. In determining this allowance, we use a method that considers the aging of the receivable, based on the effective year of the related policy, along with our historical receivable loss experience. We also contemplate expected macroeconomic conditions over the expected collection period, which are short-term in nature because the majority of the balances are collected within two years of policy issuance. Changes in our ACL are charged to earnings as credit loss expense or benefit, which is a component of "Other insurance expenses" on our Consolidated Statements of Income, with an offsetting ACL recorded as a contra-asset reflected in the carrying value of the receivable. We charge write-offs against the allowance when we determine the account to be uncollectible after considering information obtained from our collection efforts. (f) Share-Based Compensation Share-based compensation consists of all share-based payment transactions in which an entity acquires goods or services by issuing (or offering to issue) its shares, share units, share options, or other equity instruments. The cost resulting from all share- based payment transactions are recognized in the Financial Statements based on the fair value of both equity and liability awards. The fair value is measured at grant date for equity awards, whereas the fair value for liability awards are remeasured at each reporting period. The fair value of both equity and liability awards is recognized over the requisite service period. The requisite service period is typically the lesser of the vesting period or the period of time from the grant date to the date of retirement eligibility. The expense recognized for share-based awards, which, in some cases, contain performance criteria, is based on the number of shares or units expected to be issued at the end of the performance period. We repurchase the Parent’s stock from our employees in connection with tax withholding obligations, as permitted under our stock-based compensation plans. This activity is disclosed in our Consolidated Statement of Stockholders' Equity. (g) Reinsurance The “Reinsurance recoverable” balance on our Consolidated Balance Sheet represents our estimate of amounts that will be recovered from reinsurers under our various treaties. Generally, amounts recoverable from reinsurers are recognized as assets at the same time and in a manner consistent with the paid and unpaid losses associated with the reinsured policies. We would consider a recoverable balance from a reinsurer to be past due if payment is not received by the first day following the invoice due date. We require collateral to secure reinsurance recoverable balances primarily from our reinsurance carriers that are not authorized, otherwise approved, or certified to do business in one or more of our ten insurance subsidiaries' domiciliary states. Our ten insurance subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the "Insurance Subsidiaries." The collateral received is typically in the form of a letter of credit, trust funds, or funds withheld against reinsurance recoverables. 82 We estimate an ACL on our outstanding reinsurance recoverable balance at each reporting date. Credit risk is mitigated to the extent we have obtained collateral. As part of our estimation of the ACL, we reduce the recoverable balance by the amount of the collateral. We then pool the uncollateralized balances by similar risk characteristics, including the financial strength rating of the reinsurer, and use a probability-of-default methodology to calculate the allowance. Historical default rates are sourced from AM Best Company ("AM Best") and are coupled with severity assumptions in developing a baseline scenario. We then stress this scenario by incorporating forecasts of industry catastrophe losses and economic factors sourced through third-party data providers. In developing our best estimate of the allowance for credit losses, we consider our outlook as to the probability of each of these scenarios occurring. Changes in our ACL are charged to earnings as credit loss expense, which is a component of “Loss and loss expense incurred” on our Consolidated Statement of Income, with an offsetting ACL recorded as a contra-asset reflected in the carrying value of the recoverable balance. We charge write-offs against the ACL when we determine the recoverable balance to be uncollectible after considering information obtained from our efforts to collect amounts due or through a review of the financial condition of the reinsurer. (h) Property and Equipment Property and equipment used in operations, including certain costs incurred to develop or obtain computer software for internal use, are capitalized and recorded at cost less accumulated depreciation. Depreciation is calculated using the straight-line method over the estimated useful lives of the assets. The following estimated useful lives can be considered as general guidelines: Asset Category Computer hardware Computer software Software licenses Internally developed software Furniture and fixtures Buildings and improvements Years to to to 3 5 5 5 10 40 3 3 5 We recorded depreciation expense of $24.3 million, $21.5 million, and $18.7 million for 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. (i) Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs Deferred policy acquisition costs are limited to costs directly related to the successful acquisition of insurance contracts. Costs meeting this definition typically include, among other things, sales commissions paid to our distribution partners, premium taxes, and the portion of employee salaries and benefits directly related to time spent on acquired contracts. These costs are deferred and amortized over the life of the contracts. Accounting guidance requires a premium deficiency analysis to be performed at the level an entity acquires, services, and measures the profitability of its insurance contracts. We currently perform three premium deficiency analyses for our insurance operations, consistent with our reportable segments of Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines. A combined ratio of over 100% does not necessarily indicate a premium deficiency, as any year's combined ratio includes a portion of underwriting expenses that are expensed at policy inception and therefore are not covered by the remaining unearned premium. In addition, investment income is not contemplated in the combined ratio calculation. There were no premium deficiencies for any of the reported years, as the sum of the anticipated loss and loss expense, unamortized acquisition costs, policyholder dividends, and other expenses for each segment did not exceed that segment’s related unearned premium and anticipated investment income. The investment yields assumed in the premium deficiency assessment for each reporting period, which were based on our actual average investment yield before tax as of the September 30 calculation date, were 4.3% for 2021, 3.0% for 2020, and 3.5% for 2019. (j) Goodwill Goodwill results from business acquisitions where the cost of assets and liabilities acquired exceeds the fair value of those assets and liabilities. A quantitative goodwill impairment analysis is performed if our quarterly qualitative analysis indicates that it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. Goodwill is allocated to the reporting units for purposes of these analyses. Based on our analysis at December 31, 2021, goodwill was not impaired. (k) Reserve for Loss and Loss Expense Reserves for loss and loss expense includes case reserves on reported claims and reserves known as incurred but not reported ("IBNR") reserves. Case reserves are estimated on each individual claim, and based on claim-specific facts and circumstances 83 known at the time. The case reserves may be adjusted upward or downward as the specific facts and circumstances change. IBNR reserves are established at more aggregated levels and include provisions for (i) claims not yet reported, (ii) future development on reported claims, (iii) previously closed claims that could be reopened in the future, and (iv) anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries. We evaluate our reserves quarterly, through our comprehensive reserve review process and adjustments to recorded reserves are made accordingly. The primary input in evaluating reserve levels is the quarterly reserve review prepared by our internal actuaries, which provides comprehensive loss and loss expense projections. Our reviews are based primarily on our own loss experience, organized by line of business. Where sufficient statistical credibility exists, we may further segment the experience by coverage within line, or by geographic area. Generally accepted actuarial methodologies are applied to these reserve groups to produce ultimate loss and loss expense projections. Typically, we organize our experience by accident year and age, which lends itself to the application of various loss development methods. These methods rely on historical claims reporting and payment patterns to project ultimate loss or expense for open accident years. Consideration is also given to the prior loss estimate, particularly for longer-tailed lines of business, and the current accident year. For the current accident year, this expectation comes from our detailed actuarial planning process. The initial estimate is adjusted over time as actual experience emerges. These methods require numerous assumptions, such as the selection of loss and loss expense development factors and the weight applied to each individual projection method, among others. Therefore, no single method can be interpreted as definitive. Instead, ultimate loss and loss expenses are selected based on the various methods, considering the strengths and weaknesses of each as it applies to the specific line of business and accident year. Certain liabilities, by their nature, do not lend themselves to loss development methods. Examples include property catastrophes (low frequency/high severity, unique events), latent claims (where losses are incurred over an extended period of time), and unallocated loss expenses (loss expenses that cannot be attributed to a specific claim). Alternate development techniques are used for these liabilities, some of which are primarily exposure-based methods. These methods include individual claims reviews, calendar year counts and averages, aggregate benchmark measures, such as paid and incurred “survival ratios,” and others. These approaches often require additional assumptions and a greater amount of professional judgment. The result of the reserve review is a set of ultimate loss and loss expense estimates by line of business, including the current and prior accident years. The selected ultimate losses are separated into their components of claim frequency and severity, along with their associated trends, to provide additional insight. While these ultimate loss and loss expense estimates serve as the primary basis for determining the recorded IBNR reserves, other internal and external factors are considered in our overall reserve review. Internal factors include (i) changes to our underwriting and claims practices, (ii) supplemental data on claims reporting and settlement trends, (iii) exposure estimates for reported claims, (iv) potential large or complex claims, and (v) additional trends observed by claims personnel or defense counsel. External factors considered include (i) legislative and regulatory enactments, (ii) judicial trends and decisions, (iii) social trends, including the impacts of social inflation, and (iv) trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation on medical costs, raw materials, and labor. The combination of IBNR estimates and case reserve estimates on individual claims results in our total reserves for loss and loss expense. These reserves are expected to be sufficient for settling loss and loss expense obligations under our policies on unpaid claims, including changes in the (i) volume of business written, (ii) claims frequency and severity, (iii) mix of business, (iv) claims processing, and (v) other items that management expects to affect our ultimate settlement of loss and loss expense. However, our loss and loss expense reserves are estimates of future events, the outcomes of which are not yet known. As with all estimates, they carry inherent uncertainty, which may be driven by internal factors, such as changes to our claims or underwriting operations, or external factors, such as changes in legislative, judicial, economic, or social trends. Actual outcomes are further impacted by inherent randomness, such as the actual number of accidents/incidents, or the occurrence or non-occurrence of a single large event. Because of these uncertainties, it is possible that actual outcomes will differ materially from the reserves established. While this risk cannot be eliminated, we review our reserves quarterly based on the information available at that time, and make adjustments to our ultimate loss and loss expense estimates accordingly. These changes in our ultimate loss and loss expense estimates are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income for the period in which such estimates are changed. Changes in the liability estimate could be material to the results of operations in future periods. Loss reserves are estimates, and as such, we also consider a range of possible loss and loss expense reserve estimates. This range is determined at the beginning of each year, using prior year-end data, and reflects the fact that there is no single precise method for estimating the required reserves, due to the many factors that may influence the amounts ultimately paid. 84 We do not discount to present value that portion of our loss and loss expense reserves expected to be paid in future periods. Our loss and loss expense reserves implicitly include anticipated recoveries for salvage and subrogation claims. Claims are counted at the occurrence, line of business, and policy level. For example, if a single occurrence (e.g. an automobile accident) leads to a claim under an automobile and an associated umbrella policy, they are each counted separately. Conversely, multiple claimants under the same occurrence/line/policy would contribute only a single count. The claim counts provided are on a reported basis. A claim is considered reported when a reserve is established or a payment is made. Therefore, claims closed without payment are included in the count as long as there was an associated case reserve at some point in its life cycle. (l) Revenue Recognition Premiums written are recognized as revenue over the period that coverage is provided using the semi-monthly pro-rata method. Unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance premiums represent that portion of premiums written that are applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force. The Insurance Subsidiaries' net premiums written (“NPW”) include direct insurance policy writings, plus reinsurance assumed, less reinsurance ceded. The estimated premium on the workers compensation and general liability lines is referred to as audit premium. We estimate this premium, as it is anticipated to be either billed or returned on policies subsequent to expiration based on exposure levels (i.e. payroll or sales) when it is reasonably possible to do so based on historical trends adjusted for the uncertainty of future economic conditions. If we determine it is not reasonably possible to estimate this premium, we do not do so. (m) Dividends to Policyholders We establish reserves for dividends to policyholders on certain policies, most significantly workers compensation policies. These dividends are based on the policyholders' loss experience. Dividend reserves are established based on past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends. The expense for these dividends is recognized over a period that begins at policy inception and ends with the payment of the dividend. We report these dividends within "Other insurance expenses" on the Consolidated Statement of Income. We do not issue policies that entitle the policyholder to participate in the statutory earnings or surplus of our Insurance Subsidiaries. (n) Federal Income Tax We use the asset and liability method of accounting for income taxes. Current federal income taxes are recognized for the estimated taxes payable or refundable on tax returns for the current year. Deferred federal income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the tax basis of assets and liabilities. We consider all evidence, both positive and negative, with respect to our federal tax loss carryback availability, expected levels of pre-tax financial statement income, and federal taxable income, when evaluating whether the temporary differences will be realized. In projecting future taxable income, we begin with budgeted pre-tax income adjusted for estimated non-taxable items. The assumptions about future taxable income require significant judgment and are consistent with the plans and estimates we use to manage our businesses. A valuation allowance is established when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred tax asset will not be realized. A liability for uncertain tax positions is recorded when it is more likely than not that a tax position will not be sustained upon examination by taxing authorities. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in the period of enactment. If we were to be levied interest and penalties by the Internal Revenue Service, these amounts would be recognized as a component of “Total federal income tax expense” on the Consolidated Statement of Income. (o) Leases We have various operating leases for office space, equipment, and fleet vehicles. In addition, we have various finance leases for computer hardware. We determine if an arrangement is a lease on the commencement date of the contract. Lease assets represent our right to use an underlying asset for the lease term, and lease liabilities represent our obligation to make lease payments arising from the lease. The lease asset and liability are measured by the present value of the future minimum lease payments over the lease term. Our fleet vehicle leases include a residual value guarantee; however, the residual value guarantee is not probable of being owed. Therefore, there is no impact to the lease liability or lease asset. To measure the present value, we use the discount rate in the contract. If the discount rate is not readily determinable, our incremental borrowing rate is used. The lease asset is then adjusted to exclude lease incentives. We recognize variable lease payments in the periods in which the obligations for those payments are incurred. In calculating a lease liability, we include options to extend or terminate the lease if it is reasonably certain that we will exercise such option. Lease expense is calculated using the straight-line method. In addition, we have adopted accounting policy elections to: (i) aggregate lease and non-lease components into a single lease component; and (ii) expense short-term leases on a straight-line basis over the lease term. 85 (p) Pension Our pension obligations and related costs are calculated using actuarial methods, within the framework of GAAP. Our pension benefit obligation is determined as the actuarial present value of the vested benefits to which employees are currently entitled, based on the average life expectancy of the employees. Our funding policy provides that payments to our pension trust shall be equal to the minimum funding requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 ("ERISA"), plus additional amounts that the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Selective Insurance Company of America (“SICA”) may approve from time to time. Two key assumptions, the benefit obligation discount rate and the expected return on plan assets, are important elements of expense and/or liability measurement. We evaluate these key assumptions annually unless facts indicate that a more frequent review is required. The discount rate enables us to state expected future cash flows at their present value on the measurement date. The purpose of the discount rate is to determine the interest rates inherent in the price at which pension benefits could be effectively settled. Our discount rate selection is based on high-quality, long-term corporate bonds. To determine the expected long-term rate of return on the plan assets, we consider the current and expected asset allocation, as well as historical and expected returns on each plan asset class. Other assumptions involve demographic factors such as retirement age and mortality. A portion of our plan assets is allocated to a liability hedging strategy through which we have an expectation that our plan assets will move in tandem with a portion of the plan liabilities, helping to mitigate funding ratio volatility. Note 3. Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements In December 2019, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standards Update ("ASU") 2019-12, Income Taxes - Simplifying the Accounting for Income Taxes (“ASU 2019-12”). Among other items, ASU 2019-12 simplifies the accounting treatment of tax law changes and year-to-date losses in interim periods. An entity generally recognizes the effects of a change in tax law in the period of enactment; however, there is an exception for tax laws with delayed effective dates. Under current guidance, an entity may not adjust its annual effective tax rate for a tax law change until the period in which the law is effective. ASU 2019-12 provides that all effects of a tax law change, including adjustment of the estimated annual effective tax rate, are recognized in the period of enactment. For year-to-date losses in interim periods, an entity is required currently to estimate its annual effective tax rate for the full fiscal year at the end of each interim period and use that rate to calculate its income taxes on a year-to-date basis. When an interim period loss exceeds the anticipated loss for the year, the income tax benefit is limited to the amount that would be recognized if the year-to-date loss were the anticipated loss for the full year. ASU 2019-12 removes this limitation and an entity would compute its income tax benefit at each interim period based on its estimated annual effective tax rate. We adopted this guidance on January 1, 2021, and it did not have a material impact to our financial condition, cash flows, or results of operations. Pronouncements to be effective in the future In March 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-04, Reference Rate Reform (Topic 848) - Facilitation of the Effects of Reference Rate Reform on Financial Reporting (“ASU 2020-04”). ASU 2020-04 provides optional expedients and exceptions to the guidance in GAAP on contract modifications and hedge accounting to ease the financial reporting burdens related to the expected market transition away from the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and other interbank offered rates to alternative reference rates. Companies can elect to adopt ASU 2020-04 as of the beginning of the interim period that includes March 2020, or any date thereafter through December 31, 2022. We are currently evaluating the impact of this guidance on our financial condition and results of operations. 86 Note 4. Statements of Cash Flows Supplemental cash flow information for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 is as follows: ($ in thousands) Cash paid during the period for: Interest Federal income tax Cash paid for amounts included in the measurement of lease liabilities: Operating cash flows from operating leases Operating cash flows from financing leases Financing cash flows from finance leases Non-cash items: Corporate actions related to fixed income securities, AFS1 Corporate actions related to fixed income securities, held-to-maturity ("HTM")1 Corporate actions related to equity securities1 Conversion of AFS fixed income securities to equity securities Assets acquired under finance lease arrangements Assets acquired under operating lease arrangements Non-cash purchase of property and equipment 1Examples of corporate actions include like-kind exchanges, non-cash acquisitions, and stock-splits. 2021 2020 2019 $ 28,930 100,000 7,935 35 1,768 56,365 — 30,666 15,139 6,709 3,272 472 30,464 47,000 9,498 15 550 55,446 2,589 10,890 — 324 22,390 590 25,089 55,825 8,138 16 977 61,369 — 14,250 — 824 13,808 89 The following table provides a reconciliation of cash and restricted cash reported within the Consolidated Balance Sheets that equate to the amount reported in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows: ($ in thousands) Cash Restricted cash Total cash and restricted cash shown in the Statements of Cash Flows December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 $ $ 455 44,608 45,063 394 14,837 15,231 Amounts included in restricted cash represent cash received from the National Flood Insurance Program ("NFIP"), which is restricted to pay flood claims under the Write Your Own Program. Note 5. Investments (a) Net unrealized gains on investments included in OCI by asset class were as follows for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019: ($ in thousands) AFS securities: Fixed income securities Total AFS securities HTM securities: Fixed income securities Total HTM securities Short-term securities Total net unrealized gains Deferred income tax Net unrealized gains, net of deferred income tax 2021 2020 2019 $ 228,947 228,947 386,380 386,380 215,634 215,634 (4) (4) 20 7 7 6 31 31 23 228,963 (48,082) 180,881 386,393 (81,142) 305,251 215,688 (45,294) 170,394 Increase (decrease) in net unrealized gains in OCI, net of deferred income tax $ (124,370) 134,857 168,505 87 (b) Information regarding our AFS securities as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020 were as follows: December 31, 2021 ($ in thousands) AFS fixed income securities: Cost/ Amortized Cost Allowance for Credit Losses Unrealized Gains Unrealized Losses Fair Value U.S. government and government agencies $ 127,974 Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS 15,420 1,121,422 2,478,348 1,343,687 756,280 647,622 Total AFS fixed income securities $ 6,490,753 — (46) (137) (6,682) (939) (1,909) (11) (9,724) 3,629 609 68,258 106,890 14,350 24,813 27,752 246,301 (1,145) (123) (235) (4,953) (6,284) (2,932) (1,682) (17,354) 130,458 15,860 1,189,308 2,573,603 1,350,814 776,252 673,681 6,709,976 December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) AFS fixed income securities: U.S. government and government agencies Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities Cost/ Amortized Cost Allowance for Credit Losses Unrealized Gains Unrealized Losses Fair Value $ $ 110,038 16,801 1,159,588 2,152,203 1,014,820 999,485 620,582 6,073,517 $ — (1) (4) (2,782) (592) (561) (29) (3,969) 6,239 1,569 87,564 180,971 20,166 53,065 48,348 397,922 (137) (3) (11) (2,340) (7,843) (201) (1,007) (11,542) 116,140 18,366 1,247,137 2,328,052 1,026,551 1,051,788 667,894 6,455,928 The following tables provide a roll forward of the allowance for credit losses on our AFS fixed income securities for the years indicated: 2021 ($ in thousands) Foreign Government Obligations of states and political subdivisons Corporate Securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities Beginning Balance $ $ 1 4 2,782 592 561 29 3,969 Current Provisions for Securities without Prior Allowance Increase (Decrease) on Securities with Prior Allowance, excluding intent (or Requirements) to Sell Securities Reductions for Securities Sold Reductions for Securities Identified as Intent (or Requirement) to Sell during the Period 46 122 5,785 579 1,593 10 8,135 (1) 11 (992) (211) (63) (28) (1,284) — — (723) (21) (182) — (926) — — (170) — — — (170) 2020 ($ in thousands) Current Provisions for Securities without Prior Allowance Increase (Decrease) on Securities with Prior Allowance, excluding intent (or Requirements) to Sell Securities Reductions for Securities Sold Reductions for Securities Identified as Intent (or Requirement) to Sell during the Period Beginning Balance Foreign Government Obligations of states and political subdivisons Corporate Securities $ CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities $ — — — — — — — 19 4 3,645 722 623 29 5,042 — — — — — — — (18) — (781) (113) (62) — (974) During 2021 or 2020, we did not have any write-offs or recoveries of our AFS fixed income securities and we did not purchase any assets with credit deterioration, so these items are not included in the tables above. As disclosed in Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies," we do not evaluate accrued interest on our AFS 88 Ending Balance 46 137 6,682 939 1,909 11 9,724 Ending Balance 1 4 2,782 592 561 29 — — (82) (17) — — (99) 3,969 securities for expected credit loss as we write-off these balances in a timely manner. Accrued interest on AFS securities was $46.3 million as of December 31, 2021, and $43.8 million as of December 31, 2020. We did not record any material write-offs of accrued interest during 2021 or 2020. (c) Quantitative information about unrealized losses on our AFS portfolio is provided below. December 31, 2021 Less than 12 months 12 months or longer Total ($ in thousands) AFS fixed income securities: Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses U.S. government and government agencies Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities $ $ 34,857 2,000 25,837 300,549 663,976 236,010 112,899 1,376,128 (746) (84) (235) (4,903) (4,934) (2,931) (1,016) (14,849) 7,827 1,061 — 2,520 53,368 20 20,326 85,122 (399) (39) — (50) (1,350) (1) (666) (2,505) 42,684 3,061 25,837 303,069 717,344 236,030 133,225 1,461,250 (1,145) (123) (235) (4,953) (6,284) (2,932) (1,682) (17,354) December 31, 2020 Less than 12 months 12 months or longer Total ($ in thousands) AFS fixed income securities: U.S. government and government agencies Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses Fair Value Unrealized Losses $ $ 11,519 1,122 2,223 65,187 261,746 18,227 55,482 415,506 (137) (3) (11) (2,152) (2,995) (194) (616) (6,108) — — — 2,400 165,661 1,181 16,093 185,335 — — — (188) (4,848) (7) (391) (5,434) 11,519 1,122 2,223 67,587 427,407 19,408 71,575 600,841 (137) (3) (11) (2,340) (7,843) (201) (1,007) (11,542) We do not currently intend to sell any of the securities in the tables above, nor will we be required to sell any of these securities. The increase in gross unrealized losses during 2021 was driven by an increase in benchmark U.S. Treasury rates, partially offset by a tightening of credit spreads. Considering these factors and our review of these securities under our credit loss policy as described in Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of this Form 10-K, we have concluded that no allowance for credit loss is required on these balances. This conclusion reflects our current judgment about the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the investment security and underlying collateral. (d) Fixed income securities at December 31, 2021, by contractual maturity are shown below. Mortgage-backed securities are included in the maturity tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. Listed below are the contractual maturities of fixed income securities at December 31, 2021: ($ in thousands) Due in one year or less Due after one year through five years Due after five years through 10 years Due after 10 years Total fixed income securities AFS Fair Value $ $ 500,579 3,182,282 2,316,389 710,726 6,709,976 HTM Carrying Value 1,384 11,811 15,590 — 28,785 Fair Value 1,401 12,493 15,566 — 29,460 89 (e) The following table summarizes our other investment portfolio by strategy: Other Investments December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) Alternative Investments Carrying Value Remaining Commitment Maximum Exposure to Loss1 Carrying Value Remaining Commitment Maximum Exposure to Loss1 $ Total alternative investments Private equity Private credit Real assets 258,181 152,347 36,152 446,680 Other securities 35,370 Total other investments 482,050 1In addition to the amounts in this table, previously recognized tax credits are subject to the risk of recapture. We do not consider this significant and therefore do not include in this table. 157,276 54,017 19,659 230,952 35,370 266,322 273,070 63,138 23,524 359,732 49,300 409,032 372,804 155,812 46,103 574,719 49,300 624,019 100,905 98,330 16,493 215,728 — 215,728 99,734 92,674 22,579 214,987 — 214,987 $ We are contractually committed to make additional investments up to the remaining commitments stated above. We did not provide any non-contractual financial support during 2021 or 2020. The following is a description of our alternative investment strategies: Our private equity strategy includes the following: • • • Primary Private Equity: This strategy makes private equity investments, primarily in established large and middle market companies across diverse industries globally, with an emphasis on North America. Secondary Private Equity: This strategy purchases seasoned private equity funds from investors desiring liquidity prior to normal fund termination. Investments are made across all sectors of the private equity market, including leveraged buyouts ("LBO"), venture capital, distressed securities, mezzanine financing, real estate, and infrastructure. Venture Capital: In general, these investments are made principally by investing in equity securities of startup companies and small-to-medium sized privately-held corporations with strong long-term growth potential. This strategy makes private equity investments in seed stage, early stage, late stage, and growth equity partnerships. Our private credit strategy includes the following: • Direct Lending: This strategy provides privately negotiated loans to U.S. middle market companies. Typically, these are floating rate, senior secured loans diversified across industries. Loans are made to companies that may or may not have private equity sponsors to finance LBOs, recapitalizations, and acquisitions. • Mezzanine Financing: This strategy provides privately-negotiated fixed income securities, generally with an equity component, to LBO firms and private and publicly-traded large, mid, and small-cap companies to finance LBOs, recapitalizations, and acquisitions. • Opportunistic and Distressed Debt: This strategy makes investments in debt and equity securities of companies that are experiencing financial distress, operational issues, or dislocated pricing of publicly-traded securities. Investments include buying indebtedness of bankrupt or financially-troubled companies, small balance loan portfolios, special situations and capital structure arbitrage trades, commercial real estate mortgages, and similar non-U.S. securities and debt obligations. Our real assets strategy includes the following: • • Infrastructure: This strategy invests in the equity or debt of cash flow generating assets, diversified across a variety of industries, including transportation, energy infrastructure, renewable power, such as wind and solar, social infrastructure, power generation, water, telecom, and other regulated entities principally located in North America and Western Europe. Real Estate: This strategy invests in real estate in North America, Europe, and Asia via direct property ownership, joint ventures, mortgages, and investments in equity and debt instruments. 90 Our alternative investment strategies may employ leverage and may use hedging to reduce foreign exchange or interest rate volatility. At this time, our alternative investment strategies do not include hedge funds. We typically cannot redeem our investments with the general partners of these investments; however, occasionally these partnership positions can be sold on the secondary market. Once liquidation is triggered by clauses within the limited partnership agreements or at the funds’ stated end date, we receive our final allocation of capital and any earned appreciation of the underlying investments, assuming we have not divested ourselves of our partnership interests prior to that time. We currently receive distributions from these alternative investments through the realization of the underlying investments of, or income generated by, the limited partnerships. The following tables show gross summarized financial information for our other investments portfolio, including the portion we do not own. As the majority of these investments report results to us on a one quarter lag, the summarized financial statement information is as of, and for the 12-month period ended, September 30: Balance Sheet Information December 31, ($ in millions) Investments Total assets Total liabilities Total partners’ capital Income Statement Information 12 months ended September 30, ($ in millions) Net investment (loss) income Realized gains Net change in unrealized appreciation Net income before tax Alternative investment income included in "Net investment income earned" on our Consolidated Statements of Income 2021 2020 $ 107,347 112,232 12,371 99,861 2021 2020 2019 $ $ 653 6,121 26,877 33,651 117.7 (26) 1,452 4,898 6,324 26.5 55,145 58,819 6,744 52,075 (8) 695 5,543 6,230 17.9 (f) We did not have exposure to any credit concentration risk of a single issuer greater than 10% of our stockholders' equity, other than to certain U.S. government agencies, as of December 31, 2021 or December 31, 2020. (g) We have pledged certain AFS fixed income securities as collateral related to our borrowing relationships with the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") and the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York ("FHLBNY"). In addition, certain securities were on deposit with various state and regulatory agencies at December 31, 2021 to comply with insurance laws. We retain all rights regarding all securities pledged as collateral. The following table summarizes the market value of these securities at December 31, 2021: ($ in millions) U.S. government and government agencies Obligations of states and political subdivisions RMBS CMBS Total pledged as collateral FHLBI Collateral FHLBNY Collateral State and Regulatory Deposits Total $ $ — — 62.4 6.3 68.7 — — 40.4 14.1 54.5 22.3 4.0 — — 26.3 22.3 4.0 102.8 20.4 149.5 (h) The components of pre-tax net investment income earned were as follows: ($ in thousands) Fixed income securities CMLs Equity securities Short-term investments Other investments Investment expenses Net investment income earned 2021 2020 2019 $ $ 209,709 2,743 15,920 260 118,060 (20,103) 326,589 203,926 844 9,286 1,821 26,922 (15,692) 227,107 203,255 — 6,996 6,653 18,778 (13,139) 222,543 91 (i) The following tables summarize net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses for the periods indicated: ($ in thousands) Gross gains on sales Gross losses on sales Net realized gains on disposals Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities Net credit loss (expense) on fixed maturities, AFS Net credit loss (expense) benefit on fixed maturities, HTM Losses on securities for which we have the intent to sell Net other-than-temporary-impairment ("OTTI") losses recognized in earnings Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) 2021 2020 2019 $ 15,284 (8,140) 7,144 17,881 (6,858) (49) (519) $ 17,599 18,893 (9,745) 9,148 7,939 (5,042) 4 (16,266) (4,217) 31,910 (5,195) 26,715 (8,649) (3,644) 14,422 Unrealized (losses) recognized in income on equity securities, as reflected in the table above, included the following: ($ in thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Unrealized gains (losses) recognized in income on equity securities: On securities remaining in our portfolio at end of period On securities sold in period Total unrealized gains (losses) recognized in income on equity securities $ $ 16,473 1,408 17,881 7,936 3 7,939 1,219 (9,868) (8,649) Proceeds from the sales of AFS fixed income securities were $502.9 million, $487.1 million, and $594.7 million in 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Proceeds from the sales of equity securities were $99.2 million, $1.3 million, and $137.3 million in 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Note 6. Comprehensive Income (a) The components of comprehensive income, both gross and net of tax, for 2021, 2020, and 2019 were as follows: 2021 ($ in thousands) Net income Components of OCI: Unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities: Unrealized holding losses during the year Unrealized losses on securities with credit loss recognized in earnings Amounts reclassified into net income: HTM securities Net realized gains on disposals and losses on intent-to-sell AFS securities Credit loss expense Total unrealized losses on investment securities Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans: Net actuarial gain Amounts reclassified into net income: Net actuarial loss Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans Other comprehensive loss Comprehensive income Gross Tax Net $ 505,310 101,473 403,837 (151,391) (9,061) (11) (3,825) 6,858 (157,430) (31,793) (1,902) (2) (803) 1,440 (33,060) (119,598) (7,159) (9) (3,022) 5,418 (124,370) 21,636 4,543 17,093 2,772 24,408 (133,022) 372,288 $ 582 5,125 (27,935) 73,538 2,190 19,283 (105,087) 298,750 92 2020 ($ in thousands) Net income Components of OCI: Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities: Unrealized holding gains during the year Unrealized losses on securities with credit loss recognized in earnings Amounts reclassified into net income: HTM securities Net realized losses on disposals and losses on intent-to-sell AFS securities Credit loss expense Total unrealized gains on investment securities Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans: Net actuarial gain Amounts reclassified into net income: Net actuarial loss Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans Other comprehensive income Comprehensive income 2019 ($ in thousands) Net income Components of OCI: Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities: Unrealized holding gains during the year Amounts reclassified into net income: HTM securities Realized losses on disposals and OTTI of AFS securities Total unrealized gains on investment securities Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans: Net actuarial loss Amounts reclassified into net income: Net actuarial loss Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans Other comprehensive income Comprehensive income Gross Tax Net $ 302,988 56,633 246,355 168,487 (8,176) (24) 5,376 5,042 170,705 35,383 (1,717) (5) 1,129 1,058 35,848 133,104 (6,459) (19) 4,247 3,984 134,857 1,515 318 1,197 3,015 4,530 175,235 478,223 $ 633 951 36,799 93,432 2,382 3,579 138,436 384,791 Gross Tax Net $ 336,390 64,767 271,623 212,683 44,662 168,021 (58) 671 213,296 (12) 141 44,791 (46) 530 168,505 (13,795) (2,897) (10,898) 2,657 (11,138) 202,158 538,548 $ 558 (2,339) 42,452 107,219 2,099 (8,799) 159,706 431,329 (b) The balances of, and changes in, each component of AOCI (net of taxes) as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 were as follows: Net Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Investment Securities Credit Loss Related1 $ HTM Related ($ in thousands) Balance, December 31, 2019 OCI before reclassifications Amounts reclassified from AOCI Net current period OCI Balance, December 31, 2020 OCI before reclassifications Amounts reclassified from AOCI Net current period OCI Balance, December 31, 2021 1Represents change in unrealized loss on securities with credit loss recognized in earnings. (71) (6,459) 3,984 (2,475) (2,546) (7,159) 5,418 (1,741) (4,287) 25 — (19) (19) 6 — (9) (9) (3) $ All Other 170,439 133,104 4,247 137,351 307,790 (119,598) (3,022) (122,620) 185,170 Investments Subtotal 170,393 126,645 8,212 134,857 305,250 (126,757) 2,387 (124,370) 180,880 Defined Benefit Pension and Post-retirement Plans (88,643) 1,197 2,382 3,579 (85,064) 17,093 2,190 19,283 (65,781) Total AOCI 81,750 127,842 10,594 138,436 220,186 (109,664) 4,577 (105,087) 115,099 93 The reclassifications out of AOCI are as follows: ($ in thousands) HTM related Year ended December 31, 2021 Year ended December 31, 2020 Affected Line Item in the Consolidated Statements of Income Unrealized gains on HTM disposals Amortization of net unrealized gains on HTM securities $ Net realized (gains) losses on disposals and losses on intent-to-sell AFS securities Net realized (gains) losses on disposals and losses on intent-to-sell AFS securities Credit loss related Credit loss expense Defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans Net actuarial loss Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement life (14) 3 (11) 2 (9) (3,825) (3,825) 803 (3,022) 6,858 6,858 (1,440) 5,418 638 2,134 2,772 (582) 2,190 (16) Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) (8) Net investment income earned (24) Income before federal income tax 5 Total federal income tax expense (19) Net income 5,376 Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) 5,376 Income before federal income tax (1,129) Total federal income tax expense 4,247 Net income 5,042 Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) 5,042 Income before federal income tax (1,058) Total federal income tax expense 3,984 Net income 647 Loss and loss expense incurred 2,368 Other insurance expenses 3,015 Income before federal income tax (633) Total federal income tax expense 2,382 Net income Total reclassifications for the period $ 4,577 10,594 Net income Note 7. Fair Value Measurements The financial assets in our investment portfolio are primarily measured at fair value as disclosed on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The following table presents the carrying amounts and estimated fair values of our financial liabilities as of December 31, 2021 and 2020: ($ in thousands) Financial Liabilities Long-term debt: 7.25% Senior Notes 6.70% Senior Notes 5.375% Senior Notes 1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY 1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY 3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI Subtotal long-term debt Unamortized debt issuance costs Finance lease obligations Total long-term debt December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 Carrying Amount Fair Value Carrying Amount Fair Value $ 49,917 99,520 294,330 — — 60,000 503,767 (3,167) 5,450 63,719 127,574 395,652 — — 64,126 651,071 49,914 99,499 294,241 25,000 25,000 60,000 553,654 (3,419) 508 $ 506,050 $ 550,743 66,148 127,886 383,669 25,182 25,198 67,513 695,596 For discussion regarding the fair value techniques of our financial instruments, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" of this Form 10-K. 94 The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of our financial assets that were measured and recorded at fair value at December 31, 2021 and 2020: December 31, 2021 ($ in thousands) Description Measured on a recurring basis: AFS fixed income securities: Fair Value Measurements Using Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) Assets Measured at Fair Value U.S. government and government agencies $ Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities Equity securities: Common stock1 Preferred stock Total equity securities Short-term investments 130,458 15,860 1,189,308 2,573,603 1,350,814 776,252 673,681 6,709,976 333,449 2,088 335,537 447,863 Total assets measured at fair value $ 7,493,376 60,615 — — — — — — 60,615 249,846 2,088 251,934 442,723 755,272 69,843 15,860 1,181,563 2,459,476 1,225,905 776,007 669,425 6,398,079 — — — 5,140 6,403,219 — — 7,745 114,127 124,909 245 4,256 251,282 — — — — 251,282 December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) Description Measured on a recurring basis: AFS fixed income securities: Fair Value Measurements Using Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) Assets Measured at Fair Value U.S. government and government agencies $ Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities CLO and other ABS RMBS CMBS Total AFS fixed income securities Equity securities: Common stock1 Preferred stock Total equity securities Short-term investments 116,140 18,366 1,247,137 2,328,052 1,026,551 1,051,788 667,894 6,455,928 308,632 1,735 310,367 409,852 40,960 — — — — — — 40,960 261,846 1,735 263,581 405,400 75,180 18,366 1,244,243 2,257,352 970,176 1,051,788 667,894 6,284,999 — — — 4,452 — — 2,894 70,700 56,375 — — 129,969 — — — — Total assets measured at fair value 129,969 1Investments amounting to $83.6 million and $46.8 million at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively, were measured at fair value using the net asset value per share (or its practical expedient) and have not been classified in the fair value hierarchy. These investments are not redeemable and the timing of liquidations of the underlying assets is unknown at each reporting period. The fair value amounts presented in this table are intended to permit reconciliation of the fair value hierarchy to total assets measured at fair value. 6,289,451 7,176,147 709,941 $ 95 The following tables provide a summary of the changes in the fair value of securities measured using Level 3 inputs and related quantitative information for the years indicated: 2021 ($ in thousands) Fair value, December 31, 2020 Total net (losses) gains for the period included in: OCI Net realized and unrealized (losses) gains Net investment income earned Purchases Sales Issuances Settlements Transfers into Level 3 Transfers out of Level 3 Fair value, December 31, 2021 Change in unrealized (losses) gains for the period included in earnings for assets held at period end Change in unrealized (losses) gains for the period included in OCI for assets held at period end 2020 ($ in thousands) Fair value, December 31, 2019 Total net (losses) gains for the period included in: OCI Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) Net investment income earned Purchases Sales Issuances Settlements Transfers into Level 3 Transfers out of Level 3 Fair value, December 31, 2020 Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate Securities 2,894 70,700 CLO and Other ABS 56,375 (239) (11) — — — — — 5,101 — 7,745 1,636 (50) 27 64,813 — — (544) 981 (23,436) 114,127 $ (520) (214) 16 76,731 — — (5,161) 11,344 (13,662) 124,909 (11) (50) (239) 1,636 (214) (520) $ RMBS CMBS — — — — 249 — — (4) — — 245 — — — (196) 5 19 98 — — (52) 4,382 — 4,256 5 (196) Total 129,969 681 (270) 62 141,891 — — (5,761) 21,808 (37,098) 251,282 (270) 681 Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate Securities CLO and Other ABS Total $ — 17,051 17,034 34,085 4 — — — — — — 2,890 — 2,894 — 4 (785) (1,046) 21 46,150 — — (283) 9,592 — 70,700 1,883 (237) 6 25,785 — — (2,638) 31,520 (16,978) 56,375 1,102 (1,283) 27 71,935 — — (2,921) 44,002 (16,978) 129,969 (1,046) (237) (1,283) (785) 1,883 1,102 $ Change in unrealized gains (losses) for the period included in earnings for assets held at period end Change in unrealized gains (losses) for the period included in OCI for assets held at period end The following tables present quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs utilized in the fair value measurements of Level 3 assets at December 31, 2021 and 2020: December 31, 2021 ($ in thousands) Internal valuations: Corporate securities CLO and other ABS Total internal valuations Other1 Total Level 3 securities Assets Measured at Fair Value Valuation Techniques Unobservable Inputs Range (Weighted Average) $ $ 54,135 Discounted Cash Flow 34,903 Discounted Cash Flow 89,038 162,244 251,282 Illiquidity Spread Illiquidity Spread 0.3% - 3.0% (1.2)% 0.7%- 8.0% (2.1)% 96 December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) Internal valuations: Assets Measured at Fair Value Valuation Techniques Unobservable Inputs Range (Weighted Average) Other1 Total internal valuations Corporate securities CLO and other ABS 15,907 27,005 42,912 87,057 129,969 1Other is comprised of broker quotes or other third-party pricing for which there is a lack of transparency as to the inputs used to develop the valuations. The quantitative details of these unobservable inputs is neither provided to us, nor reasonably available to us, and therefore are not included in the tables above. Discounted Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow 1.8% - 1.8% (1.8)% 1.2% - 3.1% (1.8)% Illiquidity Spread Illiquidity Spread Total Level 3 securities $ $ For the securities in the tables above valued using a discounted cash flow analysis, we apply an illiquidity spread in our determination of fair value. An increase in this assumption would result in a lower fair value measurement. The following tables provide quantitative information regarding our financial assets and liabilities that were not measured, but were disclosed at fair value at December 31, 2021 and 2020: December 31, 2021 Fair Value Measurements Using ($ in thousands) Financial Assets HTM: Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities Total HTM fixed income securities CMLs Financial Liabilities Long-term debt: 7.25% Senior Notes 6.70% Senior Notes 5.375% Senior Notes 3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI Total long-term debt Assets/Liabilities Disclosed at Fair Value Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) $ $ $ $ $ 3,576 25,884 29,460 97,598 63,719 127,574 395,652 64,126 651,071 — — — — — — — — — 3,576 25,884 29,460 — — — — 97,598 63,719 127,574 395,652 64,126 651,071 — — — — — December 31, 2020 Fair Value Measurements Using ($ in thousands) Financial Assets HTM: Obligations of states and political subdivisions Corporate securities Total HTM fixed income securities CML Financial Liabilities Long-term debt: 7.25% Senior Notes 6.70% Senior Notes 5.375% Senior Notes 1.61% Borrowings from FHLBNY 1.56% Borrowings from FHLBNY 3.03% Borrowings from FHLBI Total long-term debt Assets/Liabilities Disclosed at Fair Value Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) $ $ $ $ $ 4,795 13,206 18,001 47,289 66,148 127,886 383,669 25,182 25,198 67,513 695,596 97 — — — — — — — — 4,795 13,206 18,001 — — — — 47,289 66,148 127,886 383,669 25,182 25,198 67,513 695,596 — — — — Note 8. Allowance for Credit Losses on Premiums Receivable The following table provides a roll forward of the ACL on our premiums receivable balance for 2021 and 2020: ($ in thousands) Balance at beginning of year Cumulative effect adjustment1 Balance at beginning of year, as adjusted Current period change for expected credit losses Write-offs charged against the allowance for credit losses Recoveries ACL, end of year 1Represents the impact of our adoption of ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses. $ $ $ December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 21,000 — 21,000 1,291 (9,343) 652 13,600 6,400 1,058 7,458 16,751 (3,754) 545 21,000 In 2020, we recognized an additional allowance for credit losses of $13.5 million, net of write-offs and recoveries. This increase was driven by heightened credit risk in 2020 related to the COVID-19 pandemic and considering (i) the billing accommodations we announced during the first quarter of 2020, and (ii) the impact of certain state regulations that provided for deferral of payments without cancellation for a period up to 90 days and increased earned but uncollected premiums. During 2021, the uncertainty around customer payment patterns in light of COVID-19 significantly declined. As a result, we realized a portion of the anticipated write-offs, and further reduced our current expected allowance on outstanding receivables, which reduced our allowance to $13.6 million at December 31, 2021. Note 9. Reinsurance Our Financial Statements reflect the effects of assumed and ceded reinsurance transactions. Assumed reinsurance refers to the acceptance of certain insurance risks that other insurance entities have underwritten. Ceded reinsurance involves transferring certain insurance risks (along with the related written and earned premiums) that we have underwritten to other insurance companies that agree to share these risks. The primary purpose of ceded reinsurance is to protect the Insurance Subsidiaries from potential losses in excess of the amount that we are prepared to accept. Our major treaties covering property, property catastrophe, and casualty business are excess of loss contracts. In addition, we have an intercompany quota share (proportional) pooling arrangement and other minor reinsurance treaties. As a Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines writer, we are subject to the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act ("TRIPRA"), which was extended by Congress to December 31, 2027. TRIPRA requires private insurers and the U. S. government to share the risk of loss on future acts of terrorism certified by the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury. Under TRIPRA, each participating insurer is responsible for paying a deductible of specified losses before federal assistance is available. This deductible is based on a percentage of the prior year’s applicable Standard Commercial Lines and E&S Lines premiums. In 2022, our deductible, before tax, is approximately $419 million. For losses above the deductible, the federal government will pay 80% of losses to an industry limit of $100 billion, and the insurer retains 20%. The Insurance Subsidiaries remain liable to policyholders to the extent that any reinsurer becomes unable to meet their contractual obligations. In addition to this direct counterparty credit risk, we have indirect counterparty credit risk as our reinsurers often enter into their own reinsurance programs, or retrocessions, as part of managing their exposure to large losses and improving their financial strength ratings. The credit quality of our reinsurers is also impacted by other factors, such as their reserve adequacy, investment portfolio, regulatory capital position, catastrophe aggregations, and risk management expertise. We evaluate and monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers under voluntary reinsurance arrangements to minimize our exposure to significant losses from reinsurer insolvencies. 98 The following tables provide (i) a disaggregation of our reinsurance recoverable balance by financial strength rating, and (ii) an aging analysis of our past due reinsurance recoverable balances as of December 31, 2021 and 2020: ($ in thousands) Financial strength rating of rated reinsurers A++ A+ A A- B++ B+ Total rated reinsurers Non-rated reinsurers Federal and state pools Other than federal and state pools Total non-rated reinsurers Total reinsurance recoverable, gross Less: ACL Total reinsurance recoverable, net ($ in thousands) Financial strength rating of rated reinsurers A++ A+ A A- B++ B+ Total rated reinsurers Non-rated reinsurers Federal and state pools Other than federal and state pools Total non-rated reinsurers Total reinsurance recoverable, gross Less: ACL Total reinsurance recoverable, net Current December 31, 2021 Past Due Total Reinsurance Recoverables 38,601 $ 339,857 95,675 3,209 — — 477,342 $ 116,378 $ 4,597 120,975 $ 9 $ 1,520 1,227 145 — — 2,901 $ — $ 450 450 $ 598,317 $ 3,351 $ $ 38,610 341,377 96,902 3,354 — — 480,243 116,378 5,047 121,425 601,668 (1,600) 600,068 Current December 31, 2020 Past Due Total Reinsurance Recoverables 37,464 $ 354,846 105,652 2,139 56 — 500,157 $ 82,575 $ 2,676 85,251 $ 102 $ 2,452 415 — 324 — 3,293 $ — $ 568 568 $ 585,408 $ 3,861 $ $ 37,566 357,298 106,067 2,139 380 — 503,450 82,575 3,244 85,819 589,269 (1,777) 587,492 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ The following table provides a rollforward of the allowance for credit losses on our reinsurance recoverable balance for 2021 and 2020: ($ in thousands) Balance at beginning of year Cumulative effect adjustment Balance at beginning of year, as adjusted Current period change for expected credit losses Write-offs charged against the allowance for credit losses Recoveries ACL, end of year December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 $ $ $ 1,777 $ — 1,777 $ (177) — — 1,600 $ 4,400 (2,903) 1,497 280 — — 1,777 99 The following table represents our total reinsurance balances segregated by reinsurer to illustrate our concentration of risk throughout our reinsurance portfolio: ($ in thousands) Total reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance for credit losses Total prepaid reinsurance premiums Total reinsurance balance Federal and state pools1: NFIP New Jersey Unsatisfied Claim Judgment Fund Other Total federal and state pools Remaining reinsurance balance Munich Re Group (AM Best rated "A+") Hannover Ruckversicherungs AG (AM Best rated "A+") AXIS Reinsurance Company (AM Best rated "A") Swiss Re Group (AM Best rated "A+") Transatlantic Reinsurance Company (AM Best rated “A+”) All other reinsurers Total reinsurers Less: ACL Reinsurers, net of ACL Less: collateral2 Reinsurers, net of collateral As of December 31, 2021 % of Reinsurance Balance Reinsurance Balances As of December 31, 2020 % of Reinsurance Balance Reinsurance Balances $ $ $ $ 600,068 183,007 783,075 223,845 49,738 2,385 275,968 507,107 108,381 107,110 70,814 29,186 26,490 166,726 508,707 (1,600) 507,107 (128,699) 378,408 $ 29 % 6 — 35 65 $ $ 14 14 9 4 3 21 65 % $ 587,492 170,531 758,023 178,532 52,053 1,625 232,210 525,813 117,028 115,251 78,617 33,249 24,374 159,071 527,590 (1,777) 525,813 (130,169) 395,644 25 % 6 — 31 69 15 15 10 4 3 21 69 % 1Considered to have minimal risk of default. 2Includes letters of credit, trust funds, and funds held against reinsurance recoverables. Under our reinsurance arrangements, which are prospective in nature, reinsurance premiums ceded are recorded as prepaid reinsurance and amortized over the remaining contract period in proportion to the reinsurance protection provided, or recorded periodically, as per the terms of the contract, in a direct relationship to the gross premium recording. Reinsurance recoveries are recognized as gross losses are incurred. The following table contains a listing of direct, assumed, and ceded reinsurance amounts for premiums written, premiums earned, and loss and loss expense incurred: ($ in thousands) Premiums written: Direct Assumed Ceded Net Premiums earned: Direct Assumed Ceded Net Loss and loss expense incurred: Direct Assumed Ceded Net 2021 2020 2019 $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,656,537 22,664 (489,488) 3,189,713 3,472,715 21,550 (477,012) 3,017,253 2,096,512 13,813 (296,341) 1,813,984 3,204,512 24,288 (455,708) 2,773,092 3,108,687 25,010 (451,883) 2,681,814 1,822,034 17,201 (203,412) 1,635,823 3,084,451 24,339 (429,366) 2,679,424 2,993,157 24,399 (420,385) 2,597,171 1,714,880 22,879 (186,268) 1,551,491 Direct premiums written ("DPW") increased 14% in 2021 compared to 2020, and increased 4% in 2020 compared to 2019. The increase in our DPW growth rate was attributable to the following items (i) overall renewal pure price increases, (ii) strong retention, and (iii) new business growth. In addition, our strong growth in DPW in 2021 benefited from exposure growth driven by strong economic activity in the U.S., which resulted in our customers increasing their sales, payrolls, and exposure 100 units, all of which favorably impacted our DPW. This increase included three percentage points from the $75 million return audit and endorsement premium accrual that was recorded in the first quarter of 2020 and a $19.7 million premium credit to our personal and commercial automobile policyholders in the second quarter of 2020. The return audit and endorsement premium accrual reflected lower exposure levels, which determine the premium we charge, attributable to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the anticipated decline in sales and payroll exposures on the general liability and workers compensation lines of business in 2020. The increase in direct premiums earned in 2021 compared to 2020 was elevated by the items discussed above for the DPW impacts. Ceded premiums written, ceded premiums earned, and ceded loss and loss expenses incurred related to our participation in the NFIP, to which we cede 100% of our NFIP flood premiums, losses, and loss expenses, were as follows: Ceded to NFIP ($ in thousands) Ceded premiums written Ceded premiums earned Ceded loss and loss expense incurred 2021 2020 2019 $ (284,311) (274,384) (215,224) (274,042) (271,598) (78,993) (266,925) (259,119) (71,676) Note 10. Reserve for Loss and Loss Expense (a) The table below provides a roll forward of reserves for loss and loss expense for beginning and ending reserve balances: ($ in thousands) Gross reserves for loss and loss expense, at beginning of year Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense, at beginning of year1 Net reserves for loss and loss expense, at beginning of year Incurred loss and loss expense for claims occurring in the: Current year Prior years Total incurred loss and loss expense Paid loss and loss expense for claims occurring in the: Current year Prior years $ 2021 4,260,355 554,269 3,706,086 1,896,837 (82,853) 1,813,984 676,331 841,477 1,517,808 4,002,262 578,641 4,580,903 2020 4,067,163 547,066 3,520,097 1,708,755 (72,932) 1,635,823 642,586 807,248 1,449,834 3,706,086 554,269 4,260,355 2019 3,893,868 537,388 3,356,480 1,601,780 (50,289) 1,551,491 579,527 805,443 1,384,970 3,523,001 544,162 4,067,163 Total paid loss and loss expense Net reserves for loss and loss expense, at end of year Add: Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss and loss expense, at end of year Gross reserves for loss and loss expense at end of year 12020 includes an adjustment of $2.9 million related to our adoption of ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses. $ Our net loss and loss expense reserves increased by $296.2 million in 2021, $183.1 million in 2020, and $166.5 million in 2019. The loss and loss expense reserves are net of anticipated recoveries for salvage and subrogation claims, which amounted to $87.0 million for 2021, $80.9 million for 2020, and $76.7 million for 2019. The increase in net loss and loss expense reserves in 2021 was primarily driven by increases in exposure due to premium growth. This increase in our net loss and loss expense reserves was partially offset by favorable prior year loss reserve development. In 2021, we experienced overall net favorable prior year loss reserve development of $82.9 million, compared to $72.9 million in 2020 and $50.3 million in 2019. 101 The following table summarizes the prior year reserve development by line of business: (Favorable)/Unfavorable Prior Year Development ($ in millions) General Liability Commercial Automobile Workers Compensation Businessowners' Policies Commercial Property Homeowners Personal Automobile E&S Casualty Lines E&S Property Lines Other Total 2021 2020 2019 $ $ (29.0) 13.3 (58.0) (0.4) (2.6) 1.8 (0.2) (7.0) (0.8) — (82.9) (35.0) 7.1 (60.0) 3.9 9.2 7.7 (1.8) — (4.0) — (72.9) (5.0) 0.7 (68.0) 1.9 5.1 7.5 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.1 (50.3) The Insurance Subsidiaries had $82.9 million of favorable prior accident year reserve development during 2021, which included $81.0 million of net favorable casualty reserve development and $1.9 million of favorable property reserve development. The net favorable casualty reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation and general liability lines of business. Workers compensation was impacted by continued favorable medical trends in accident years 2019 and prior, and general liability development was attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2018 and prior. In addition, our E&S casualty lines experienced favorable reserve development of $7.0 million in 2021. Partially offsetting this net favorable reserve development was $15.0 million of unfavorable casualty reserve development in the commercial auto line of business ($13.3 million net of property reserve development), driven by unfavorable reserve development on loss severities in accident years 2016 through 2019. The Insurance Subsidiaries had $72.9 million of favorable prior accident year reserve development during 2020, which included $85.0 million of net favorable casualty reserve development and $12.1 million of unfavorable property reserve development. The net favorable casualty reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation and general liability lines of business. Workers compensation was impacted by continued favorable medical trends in accident years 2018 and prior, and general liability development was attributable to lower loss severities in accident years 2017 and prior. Partially offsetting this net favorable reserve development was $10.0 million of unfavorable casualty reserve development in the commercial auto line of business ($7.1 million net of property reserve development), driven by unfavorable reserve development on loss severities in accident years 2016 through 2019, and higher than expected frequencies in accident year 2019. The Insurance Subsidiaries had $50.3 million of favorable prior accident year reserve development during 2019, which included $61.0 million of net favorable casualty reserve development and $10.7 million of unfavorable property reserve development. The net favorable casualty reserve development was largely driven by the workers compensation line of business, reflecting continued favorable medical trends in accident years 2017 and prior. (b) We have exposure to abuse or molestation claims within our general liability line of business, primarily through insurance policies that we issue to schools, religious institutions, daycares, and other social services. We also have exposure to abuse or molestation claims from recently enacted state laws that extend the statute of limitations or permit windows to be opened for abuse or molestation claims and lawsuits that were previously barred by statutes of limitations. The emergence of these claims is slow and highly unpredictable. There are significant uncertainties in estimating our exposure to abuse or molestation claims (for both case and IBNR reserves) resulting from (i) lack of relevant historical data, (ii) the delayed and inconsistent reporting patterns associated with these claims, (iii) the obligation of an insurer to defend a claim, (iv) the extent to which a party can prove the existence of coverage, and (v) uncertainty as to the number and identity of claimants. It is possible, as a result, that we may receive claims decades after the allegations occurred from coverages provided by us, including predecessor companies, that will require complex claims coverage determinations, potential litigation, and the need to collect from reinsurers under older reinsurance agreements. (c) Reserves established for liability insurance include exposure to asbestos and environmental claims. These claims have arisen primarily from insured exposures in municipal government, small non-manufacturing commercial risk, and homeowners policies. The emergence of these claims is slow and highly unpredictable. There are significant uncertainties in estimating our exposure to asbestos and environmental claims (for both case and IBNR reserves) resulting from (i) lack of relevant historical data, (ii) the delayed and inconsistent reporting patterns associated with these claims, and (iii) uncertainty as to the number and identity of claimants and complex legal and coverage issues. Legal issues that arise in asbestos and environmental cases include federal or state venue, choice of law, causation, admissibility of evidence, allocation of damages and contribution among joint defendants, successor and predecessor liability, and whether direct action against insurers can be maintained. 102 Coverage issues that arise in asbestos and environmental cases include the interpretation and application of policy exclusions, the determination and calculation of policy limits, the determination of the ultimate amount of a loss, the extent to which a loss is covered by a policy, if at all, the obligation of an insurer to defend a claim, and the extent to which a party can prove the existence of coverage. Courts have reached different and sometimes inconsistent conclusions on these legal and coverage issues. Traditional accident year loss development methods cannot be applied because past loss history is not necessarily indicative of future behavior. Instead, we review the experience by calendar year and rely on alternative metrics, such as paid and incurred survival ratios. As a result, reserves for asbestos and environmental require a high degree of judgment. Because of the significant uncertainty in the estimate, we do not calculate an asbestos and environmental loss range. The following table details our loss and loss expense reserves for various asbestos and environmental claims showing gross and net of reinsurance: ($ in millions) Asbestos Landfill sites Underground storage tanks Total 2021 Gross Net $ $ 6.1 12.1 9.6 27.8 4.9 7.6 8.6 21.1 Historically, our asbestos and environmental claims have been significantly lower in volume than many other Standard Commercial Lines carriers since, prior to the introduction of the absolute pollution exclusion endorsement in the mid-1980’s, we primarily wrote Standard Personal Lines, and therefore, our exposure to asbestos and environmental claims has been limited. The following table provides a roll forward of asbestos and environmental incurred loss and loss expense and related reserves thereon showing gross and net of reinsurance: ($ in thousands) Asbestos Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year Incurred loss and loss expense Less: loss and loss expense paid Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year Environmental Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year Incurred loss and loss expense Less: loss and loss expense paid Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year Total Asbestos and Environmental Claims Reserves for loss and loss expense at beginning of year Incurred loss and loss expense Less: loss and loss expense paid Reserves for loss and loss expense at the end of year 2021 2020 2019 Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net $ $ $ $ $ $ 6,254 51 (190) 6,115 22,276 (613) (5) 21,658 28,530 (562) (195) 27,773 5,023 51 (190) 4,884 16,398 (14) (193) 16,191 21,421 37 (383) 21,075 6,288 320 (354) 6,254 22,413 (447) 310 22,276 28,701 (127) (44) 28,530 5,057 320 (354) 5,023 16,532 (474) 340 16,398 21,589 (154) (14) 21,421 7,328 (375) (665) 6,288 22,692 723 (1,002) 22,413 30,020 348 (1,667) 28,701 6,097 (375) (665) 5,057 16,686 609 (763) 16,532 22,783 234 (1,428) 21,589 (d) The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2021, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the associated IBNR liabilities. During the experience period we implemented a series of underwriting and claims-related initiatives, including claims management changes. These initiatives focused on general underwriting and claims improvements occurring naturally through our portfolio and may impact some relationships in the tables below. As a result, several historical patterns have changed and may no longer be appropriate to use as the sole basis for projections. 103 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims All Lines (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 1,065,437 1,071,290 1,020,655 998,028 973,089 973,644 973,411 968,536 962,091 962,678 36,108 104,515 1,044,142 1,062,045 1,047,230 1,021,007 1,002,316 987,763 984,858 973,739 957,958 40,736 1,107,513 1,133,798 1,146,990 1,124,014 1,104,218 1,100,208 1,089,529 1,094,367 48,550 1,114,081 1,130,513 1,144,830 1,138,313 1,119,441 1,108,860 1,103,592 56,165 1,188,608 1,203,634 1,227,142 1,199,734 1,180,829 1,171,273 90,598 1,270,110 1,313,372 1,313,585 1,288,526 1,268,941 122,313 1,413,800 1,461,603 1,457,415 1,441,303 222,464 1,483,945 1,523,041 1,526,566 383,970 1,591,972 1,587,607 562,065 1,784,661 932,590 Total 12,898,946 91,756 95,610 94,874 95,559 99,424 106,569 103,271 93,515 89,801 All Lines (in thousands) Accident Year 2012 2013 Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2016 2015 2017 2018 2014 $ 378,067 555,819 335,956 651,544 518,872 405,898 743,742 644,475 614,075 376,641 810,135 748,758 736,154 581,203 387,272 856,195 833,823 855,959 725,385 617,958 433,440 879,372 872,331 936,425 845,868 764,331 678,453 511,271 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 898,269 891,841 905,816 904,825 913,478 911,657 981,868 1,002,157 1,020,961 929,222 892,390 829,134 779,466 510,091 967,857 1,000,509 983,852 1,025,264 954,792 1,050,258 942,893 1,083,556 781,462 572,302 949,996 831,976 609,889 Total 9,397,544 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 372,496 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 3,873,898 General Liability (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 238,979 245,561 215,083 194,144 175,305 175,268 180,659 182,085 178,285 179,197 12,796 250,609 251,421 239,776 225,709 210,785 203,831 202,697 195,697 192,782 15,661 244,312 249,946 257,132 239,333 234,082 237,125 229,679 230,247 21,413 254,720 245,710 246,990 233,249 219,204 214,176 211,768 25,873 277,214 272,048 277,986 263,245 252,733 246,643 41,647 293,747 293,128 301,384 289,883 278,607 67,475 317,934 336,326 345,224 332,013 126,438 347,150 356,363 361,554 358,301 360,302 196,836 252,458 422,748 356,223 Total 2,812,608 104 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 10,052 10,433 10,677 10,532 10,763 11,219 11,641 11,264 9,076 8,260 General Liability (in thousands) Accident Year Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $ 13,030 35,241 12,789 56,580 35,113 14,901 89,008 72,127 46,825 14,665 109,448 104,587 79,972 39,978 15,684 130,866 139,114 121,969 78,668 46,549 17,366 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 144,451 153,628 154,957 116,804 89,431 49,470 19,531 156,186 163,764 179,192 144,216 133,757 92,355 60,784 18,097 158,397 169,847 187,352 157,071 164,136 131,980 108,421 58,284 21,858 162,516 172,983 198,772 173,697 181,770 167,002 155,538 100,206 58,699 28,069 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 102,433 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 1,515,789 Total 1,399,252 Workers Compensation (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 203,864 208,036 199,360 195,197 188,596 187,359 183,314 178,774 177,658 177,706 20,697 199,794 194,318 187,658 173,160 166,662 162,787 159,767 157,645 153,436 20,638 199,346 187,065 182,579 172,515 164,420 160,646 159,604 161,021 21,285 193,729 194,639 183,604 179,642 176,242 172,572 170,577 20,748 196,774 184,946 176,248 166,009 156,540 155,210 24,850 195,202 184,306 175,853 162,672 154,159 25,096 193,894 193,818 181,151 173,428 34,218 188,625 188,596 174,912 44,549 168,643 168,594 61,878 185,198 111,451 Total 1,674,241 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 11,628 11,384 10,495 10,554 10,585 10,809 11,129 10,307 7,495 8,089 Workers Compensation (in thousands) Accident Year 2012 2013 Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2016 2017 2014 2018 2015 2019 2020 2021 $ 40,911 86,909 36,829 108,211 122,755 74,568 35,924 96,376 78,944 33,857 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 132,052 109,739 100,876 77,320 34,525 139,477 118,669 113,626 98,195 78,531 40,375 143,281 124,130 119,392 112,601 98,037 82,216 41,122 146,739 126,822 124,077 120,097 109,166 100,645 84,780 37,826 148,750 129,224 127,858 124,046 115,159 110,645 105,903 77,878 29,559 151,273 130,467 130,726 129,019 119,800 116,426 119,904 100,812 68,277 32,918 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 241,987 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 816,606 Total 1,099,622 105 Commercial Automobile (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 179,551 191,947 183,527 184,289 184,367 186,128 184,633 185,357 184,477 184,411 188,289 205,282 209,197 207,994 210,410 207,975 209,602 208,040 207,554 200,534 212,725 216,824 219,925 218,172 217,334 216,461 214,992 220,994 240,958 253,074 259,495 260,565 261,386 262,054 255,187 274,367 285,302 285,304 290,359 291,674 467 595 875 1,826 3,226 301,274 329,389 324,291 322,197 326,461 10,110 347,908 352,487 345,547 350,310 23,671 385,212 398,346 404,854 63,122 381,654 381,163 121,558 483,831 232,070 Total 3,107,304 Commercial Automobile (in thousands) As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 24,431 26,053 28,079 29,837 31,754 33,066 35,714 36,079 30,095 34,461 Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $ 73,316 105,371 76,469 127,235 109,893 80,810 148,669 140,015 117,169 91,347 168,114 169,850 148,884 132,260 106,022 176,656 189,626 180,701 175,866 155,720 117,287 179,501 200,750 202,821 211,515 200,701 178,823 134,867 181,353 202,622 209,655 238,142 233,939 220,422 193,788 149,538 183,098 205,064 212,481 249,905 264,858 262,349 243,713 221,590 139,016 183,365 206,162 213,689 255,600 277,242 296,600 291,725 283,410 198,034 187,200 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 3,427 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 717,704 Total 2,393,027 Businessowners' Policies (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 54,342 48,029 49,617 46,303 42,618 55,962 44,172 41,005 60,949 52,871 44,077 40,624 62,548 53,768 52,335 43,747 41,369 59,806 57,245 53,792 46,624 43,418 39,709 58,517 55,925 54,993 48,698 55,024 43,717 39,699 58,093 54,454 53,835 51,524 57,202 53,531 43,444 39,358 57,302 52,325 53,367 48,067 62,427 59,466 71,836 43,534 38,930 57,483 52,200 53,147 43,606 60,393 64,667 198 120 746 801 1,010 2,642 7,655 11,556 73,680 11,225 66,312 21,947 Total 553,952 106 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 5,545 3,483 4,067 3,967 3,851 3,892 4,256 3,616 5,364 3,078 Businessowners' Policies (in thousands) Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $ 22,199 31,833 17,412 35,089 26,592 28,914 37,215 30,845 40,584 24,189 38,766 34,760 44,911 36,014 24,655 40,627 37,993 49,460 42,710 36,848 21,865 41,326 38,464 52,940 46,571 39,973 31,337 29,995 41,356 39,085 55,458 49,073 45,308 36,950 39,791 27,718 42,075 39,212 55,708 49,839 48,786 40,359 44,316 41,587 43,376 42,061 39,440 55,729 50,005 50,536 39,940 48,144 46,113 57,210 34,412 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 9,139 99,501 Total 463,590 Commercial Property (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 118,464 114,224 115,375 116,658 117,102 117,170 117,225 117,220 117,200 117,277 88,101 90,639 90,103 90,005 90,436 90,278 90,218 90,486 90,461 141,192 136,249 136,820 138,751 138,155 136,212 136,237 136,151 110,270 109,513 111,750 111,566 112,496 112,582 112,937 121,927 126,185 125,937 124,487 123,567 123,005 138,773 149,106 149,044 153,664 154,119 183,177 190,834 192,558 194,016 4 3 10 12 23 54 98 173,826 177,075 179,574 232,060 225,278 530 4,314 246,319 36,186 Total 1,579,137 Commercial Property (in thousands) Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 8,519 5,715 6,517 6,407 6,743 6,904 8,289 7,300 10,116 7,153 Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 $ 81,528 108,834 60,244 111,503 87,874 101,131 114,699 90,446 132,909 79,048 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 116,625 90,840 137,883 109,829 118,789 99,047 116,671 90,696 137,418 110,994 122,930 142,338 135,416 116,674 90,646 136,008 110,969 123,828 148,589 184,813 130,891 116,673 90,917 135,928 112,117 123,601 152,018 192,698 172,768 164,613 116,755 90,891 136,141 112,410 122,909 153,750 193,487 177,825 215,107 161,757 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 99 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 98,204 Total 1,481,032 Unaudited 2016 116,291 90,350 136,634 106,182 83,966 107 Personal Automobile (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 113,771 114,921 109,832 109,324 110,294 110,300 109,795 109,701 109,634 109,546 108,417 109,620 106,225 106,703 107,759 107,680 107,916 107,803 107,754 102,250 109,325 106,757 107,452 106,821 107,104 107,106 107,566 96,387 99,698 100,214 99,570 98,718 92,727 98,032 100,202 101,140 98,588 99,544 98,596 99,858 101,880 105,139 103,653 103,260 103,557 111,594 113,569 112,030 112,418 114,043 115,688 115,993 5 72 79 109 357 447 2,100 5,649 95,625 94,532 17,790 108,244 28,461 Total 1,058,064 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 22,333 22,376 22,509 20,865 19,826 20,744 22,682 22,845 17,501 18,931 Personal Automobile (in thousands) Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $ 63,704 82,729 61,384 94,842 80,861 62,519 102,977 92,637 83,739 58,725 107,890 100,528 92,589 76,470 57,961 109,355 105,131 99,173 87,163 76,823 62,854 109,447 106,679 104,055 92,102 86,752 82,730 69,721 109,482 106,876 105,709 95,997 94,372 91,479 89,628 69,699 109,554 107,419 106,478 97,275 98,080 97,628 99,982 92,162 53,407 109,539 107,423 107,108 97,761 98,977 100,521 107,026 102,930 68,691 65,325 Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 5,713 98,476 Total 965,301 Homeowners (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 87,260 82,744 73,670 86,560 72,528 80,111 86,667 71,494 82,461 76,637 86,271 72,145 83,637 76,400 60,105 86,330 71,714 83,844 76,559 60,931 59,167 86,483 72,148 83,539 74,723 62,391 67,978 62,961 86,567 72,318 83,824 74,978 61,723 70,365 68,526 64,306 86,519 71,948 83,525 74,673 61,735 70,064 69,832 72,772 86,533 71,955 83,830 74,682 60,855 68,938 68,931 73,816 109,033 112,523 35 38 32 478 465 570 1,289 3,027 4,829 82,425 15,963 Total 784,488 108 As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 16,944 7,750 8,775 7,750 6,895 7,386 7,607 7,001 9,791 6,298 Homeowners (in thousands) Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $ 69,056 79,584 50,664 82,720 65,528 61,561 84,250 67,838 76,007 52,589 85,196 69,775 79,751 70,078 42,252 85,562 71,776 81,664 72,202 57,333 45,466 85,642 72,197 82,583 72,927 59,546 63,290 49,430 85,897 72,433 82,836 74,079 60,082 67,193 64,137 49,680 85,899 72,446 82,831 74,052 61,187 67,767 65,348 67,631 83,838 Total All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 85,918 72,447 83,321 74,096 60,449 68,078 66,634 69,911 105,690 59,054 745,598 5,438 44,328 E&S Casualty Lines (in thousands, except for claim counts) Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Unaudited Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IBNR $ 42,367 $ 42,621 55,468 43,175 60,309 55,316 46,149 67,099 63,505 75,498 46,165 69,112 69,929 76,432 94,451 45,988 67,647 71,719 82,404 46,444 68,972 71,206 90,488 44,622 68,451 71,153 90,355 44,348 68,029 70,846 90,126 44,083 60,349 74,270 87,662 1,911 3,637 4,115 6,293 96,416 104,655 105,120 104,730 102,476 19,208 91,438 95,783 99,866 99,395 99,960 16,217 98,324 103,004 103,184 104,983 25,673 117,087 118,298 117,736 56,323 103,872 103,137 71,650 128,099 111,132 Total 922,755 E&S Casualty Lines (in thousands) Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2021 Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 2,064 2,310 2,131 2,875 2,968 2,797 2,762 2,553 1,595 1,223 Accident Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 $ 3,722 $ 7,914 2,715 16,430 9,470 2,353 25,064 21,980 12,234 3,036 32,343 35,200 25,571 13,057 3,720 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Unaudited 2017 36,278 46,108 43,877 29,389 16,195 5,057 2018 2019 2020 2021 38,298 51,142 53,780 50,712 33,950 14,672 5,509 39,832 54,974 60,092 64,529 56,581 34,179 21,337 4,422 40,615 55,988 64,698 71,421 69,448 53,238 39,174 17,812 3,695 41,299 57,152 66,661 75,844 75,004 68,266 57,962 35,844 13,064 4,326 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 2,843 Liabilities for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance 430,176 Total 495,422 109 (e) The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for loss and loss expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows: (in thousands) Net outstanding liabilities: Standard Commercial Lines General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile Businessowners' policies Commercial property Other Standard Commercial Lines Total Standard Commercial Lines net outstanding liabilities Standard Personal Lines Personal automobile Homeowners Other Standard Personal Lines Total Standard Personal Lines net outstanding liabilities E&S Lines Casualty lines Property lines Total E&S Lines net outstanding liabilities Total liabilities for unpaid loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims: Standard Commercial Lines General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile Businessowners' policies Commercial property Other Standard Commercial Lines Total Standard Commercial Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss Standard Personal Lines Personal automobile Homeowners Other Standard Personal Lines Total Standard Personal Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss E&S Lines Casualty lines Property lines Total E&S Lines reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid loss Unallocated loss expenses December 31, 2021 $ 1,515,789 816,606 717,704 99,501 98,204 22,866 3,270,670 98,476 44,328 12,261 155,065 430,176 17,987 448,163 3,873,898 213,253 196,670 15,480 6,828 22,277 2,136 456,644 40,941 2,392 64,975 108,308 11,672 2,017 13,689 578,641 128,364 Total gross liability for unpaid loss and loss expenses $ 4,580,903 110 (f) The table below reflects the historical average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age. For example, the general liability line of business averages payout of 6.4% of its ultimate losses in the first year, 11.9% in the second year, and so forth. The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2021: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years General liability Workers compensation Commercial automobile Businessowners’ policies Commercial property Personal automobile Homeowners E&S Lines - casualty 1 6.4% 21.8 37.2 49.2 69.4 59.0 71.5 3.8 2 11.9 25.9 16.7 20.8 25.8 18.1 21.0 11.2 3 15.6 13.6 14.7 8.0 3.1 10.3 3.4 16.7 4 17.6 8.4 13.0 8.7 1.0 6.4 1.8 5 14.4 4.5 10.0 5.9 0.4 3.7 1.6 19.0 14.8 6 9.8 2.9 4.5 3.1 — 1.4 0.1 7.9 7 6.6 2.3 1.7 1.2 — 0.3 0.2 5.7 8 5.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 — 0.4 0.2 3.5 9 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 — 0.1 0.2 3.0 10 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 — 0.1 — 2.0 Note 11. Indebtedness The table below provides a summary of our outstanding debt at December 31, 2021 and 2020: Outstanding Debt ($ in thousands) Description Long term Issuance Date Maturity Date Interest Rate Original Amount Unamortized Issuance Costs Debt Discount December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 2021 Carry Value (1) Senior Notes 3/1/2019 3/1/2049 5.375 % 300,000 $ 2,733 5,670 (2) FHLBI (3) FHLBNY (3) FHLBNY (4) Senior Notes (5) Senior Notes 12/16/2016 12/16/2026 3.03 % 8/15/2016 8/16/2021 1.56 % 7/21/2016 7/21/2021 1.61 % 60,000 25,000 25,000 11/3/2005 11/1/2035 6.70 % 100,000 11/16/2004 11/15/2034 7.25 % 50,000 — — — 287 147 — — — 480 83 Finance lease obligations Total long-term debt $ 3,167 6,233 291,597 60,000 — — 99,233 49,770 5,450 506,050 291,307 60,000 25,000 25,000 99,180 49,748 508 550,743 On December 20, 2019, the Parent entered into a Credit Agreement (the “Line of Credit”) among the Parent, the lenders named therein (the “Lenders”), and Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, as Administrative Agent. Under the Line of Credit, the Lenders have agreed to provide the Parent with a $50 million revolving credit facility, which can be increased to $125 million with the consent of the Lenders. The Line of Credit will mature on December 20, 2022 and has an interest rate, which varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. Our Line of Credit contains representations, warranties, and covenants that are customary for credit facilities of this type, including, without limitation, financial covenants under which we are obligated to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth, a maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, and covenants limiting our ability to: (i) merge or liquidate; (ii) incur debt or liens; (iii) dispose of assets; (iv) make investments and acquisitions; and (v) engage in transactions with affiliates. The table below outlines information regarding certain covenants in the Line of Credit: Consolidated net worth1 Debt to total capitalization ratio1 1Calculated in accordance with the Line of Credit. Required as of December 31, 2021 Not less than $1.8 billion Not to exceed 35% Actual as of December 31, 2021 $2.9 billion 15.0% In addition to the above requirements, the Line of Credit contains a cross-default provision that provides that the Line of Credit will be in default if we fail to comply with any condition, covenant, or agreement (including payment of principal and interest when due on any debt with an aggregate principal amount of at least $20 million), which causes or permits the acceleration of principal. Additionally, the Line of Credit limits borrowings from the FHLBI and the FHLBNY to 10% of the respective member company's admitted assets for the previous year. 111 Long-term Debt Activity (1) In the first quarter of 2019, we issued $300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due 2049 at a discount of $5.9 million which, when coupled with debt issuance costs of approximately $3.3 million, resulted in net proceeds from the offering of $290.8 million. The 5.375% Senior Notes pay interest on March 1 and September 1 of each year. The first payment was made on September 1, 2019. A portion of the proceeds from this debt issuance was used to fully redeem the $185 million aggregate principal amount of our 5.875% Senior Notes due 2043, with the remaining $106 million being used for general corporate purposes. The 5.875% Senior Notes had pre-tax debt retirement costs of $4.2 million, or $3.3 million after tax, which was recorded in Interest expense on the Consolidated Statements of Income in the first quarter of 2019. There are no financial debt covenants to which we are required to comply in regards to the 5.375% Senior Notes. (2) In the first quarter of 2009, SICSC and SICSE, which are collectively referred to as the "Indiana Subsidiaries" as they are domiciled in Indiana, joined, and invested in, the FHLBI, which provides them with access to additional liquidity. The Indiana Subsidiaries’ aggregate investment in the FHLBI was $5.7 million at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020. Our investment provides us the ability to borrow approximately 20 times the total amount of the FHLBI common stock purchased with additional collateral, at comparatively low borrowing rates. The proceeds from the FHLBI borrowing on December 16, 2016 of $60 million were used to repay a $45 million borrowing from the FHLBI that was outstanding at the time, with the remaining $15 million used for general corporate purposes. All borrowings from the FHLBI require security. There are no financial debt covenants to which we are required to comply with in regards to these borrowings. For information on investments that are pledged as collateral for these borrowings, see Note 5. "Investments" above. (3) In the fourth quarter of 2015, SICA and Selective Insurance Company of New York ("SICNY") joined, and invested in, the FHLBNY, which provides them with access to additional liquidity. The aggregate investment for both subsidiaries was $0.8 million at December 31, 2021 and $3.1 million at December 31, 2020. Our investment provides us the ability to borrow approximately 20 times the total amount of the FHLBNY common stock purchased with additional collateral, at comparatively low borrowing rates. In 2016, SICA borrowed the following amounts from the FHLBNY: (i) $25 million in August 2016 at an interest rate of 1.56%, which was repaid on August 16, 2021; and (ii) $25 million in July 2016 at an interest rate of 1.61%, which was repaid on July 21, 2021. (4) In November 2005, we issued $100 million of 6.70% Senior Notes due 2035. These notes were issued at a discount of $0.7 million resulting in an effective yield of 6.754%. Net proceeds of approximately $50 million were used to fund an irrevocable trust that subsequently funded certain payment obligations in respect of our outstanding debt. The remainder of the proceeds was used for general corporate purposes. The agreements covering these notes contain a standard default cross-acceleration provision that provides the 6.70% Senior Notes will enter a state of default upon the failure to pay principal when due or upon any event or condition that results in an acceleration of principal of any other debt instrument in excess of $10 million that we have outstanding concurrently with the 6.70% Senior Notes. There are no financial debt covenants to which we are required to comply in regards to these notes. (5) In November 2004, we issued $50 million of 7.25% Senior Notes due 2034. These notes were issued at a discount of $0.1 million, resulting in an effective yield of 7.27%. We contributed $25 million of the bond proceeds to the Insurance Subsidiaries as capital. The remainder of the proceeds was used for general corporate purposes. The agreements covering these notes contain a standard default cross-acceleration provision that provides the 7.25% Senior Notes will enter a state of default upon the failure to pay principal when due or upon any event or condition that results in an acceleration of principal of any other debt instrument in excess of $10 million that we have outstanding concurrently with the 7.25% Senior Notes. There are no financial debt covenants to which we are required to comply in regards to these notes. Note 12. Segment Information We evaluate the results of our four reportable segments as follows: • • Our Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, and E&S Lines are evaluated based on before and after- tax underwriting results (net premiums earned, incurred loss and loss expense, policyholders dividends, policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses), return on equity ("ROE") contribution, and combined ratios. Our Investments segment is primarily evaluated after-tax net investment income and its ROE contribution. After- tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses, which are not included in non-GAAP operating income, are also included in our Investment segment results. In computing each segment's results, we do not make adjustments for interest expense or corporate expenses. No segment has a separate investment portfolio or allocated assets. 112 Our combined insurance operations are subject to certain geographic concentrations, particularly in the Eastern region of the country. In 2021, approximately 18% of NPW were related to insurance policies written in New Jersey. We also had a goodwill balance of $7.8 million at both December 31, 2021 and 2020 on our Consolidated Balance Sheet that relates to our Standard Commercial Lines reporting unit. The following summaries present revenues (net investment income and net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments in the case of the Investments segment) and pre-tax income for the individual segments: Revenue by Segment ($ in thousands) Standard Commercial Lines: Net premiums earned: Commercial property Workers compensation General liability Commercial automobile Businessowners’ policies Bonds Other Miscellaneous income Total Standard Commercial Lines revenue Standard Personal Lines: Net premiums earned: Personal automobile Homeowners Other Miscellaneous income Total Standard Personal Lines revenue E&S Lines: Net premiums earned: Casualty lines Property lines Total E&S Lines revenue Investments: Net investment income Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) Total Investments revenues Total revenues Years ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 436,412 306,428 807,158 724,398 110,622 35,762 23,105 16,056 2,459,941 163,007 122,526 8,026 1,667 295,226 197,779 82,030 279,809 326,589 17,599 344,188 $ 3,379,164 388,120 278,062 694,019 615,181 110,210 36,742 20,850 15,512 2,158,696 165,020 125,405 8,715 2,058 301,198 174,408 65,082 239,490 227,107 (4,217) 222,890 2,922,274 353,834 311,370 669,895 554,256 105,252 35,726 19,281 10,889 2,060,503 172,606 127,543 7,590 1,466 309,205 182,864 56,954 239,818 222,543 14,422 236,965 2,846,491 113 Income Before and After Federal Income Tax ($ in thousands) Standard Commercial Lines: Underwriting income, before federal income tax Underwriting income, after federal income tax Combined ratio ROE contribution Standard Personal Lines: Underwriting income (loss), before federal income tax Underwriting income (loss), after federal income tax Combined ratio ROE contribution E&S Lines: Underwriting income (loss), before federal income tax Underwriting income (loss), after federal income tax Combined ratio ROE contribution Investments: Net investment income earned Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) Total investment segment income, before federal income tax Tax on investment segment income Total investment segment income, after federal income tax ROE contribution of after-tax net investment income earned Reconciliation of Segment Results to Income Before Federal Income Tax ($ in thousands) Underwriting income (loss) Standard Commercial Lines Standard Personal Lines E&S Lines Investment income Total all segments Interest expense Corporate expenses Income, before federal income tax Preferred stock dividends Income available to common stockholders, before federal income tax Years ended December 31, 2020 2019 2021 $ 198,596 156,891 91.9 % 5.9 % 3,966 3,133 98.6 % 0.1 % 16,030 12,664 94.3 % 0.5 % 326,589 17,599 344,188 67,284 276,904 9.9 % 151,731 119,867 92.9 % 5.1 (15,508) (12,251) 105.2 % (0.5) 126 100 99.9 % — 227,107 (4,217) 222,890 41,609 181,281 7.8 145,990 115,332 92.9 % 5.8 8,260 6,525 97.3 % 0.3 9,743 7,697 95.9 % 0.4 222,543 14,422 236,965 45,301 191,664 9.6 Years ended December 31, 2020 2021 2019 198,596 3,966 16,030 344,188 562,780 (29,165) (28,305) 505,310 (9,353) 495,957 $ 151,731 (15,508) 126 222,890 359,239 (30,839) (25,412) 302,988 — 302,988 $ 145,990 8,260 9,743 236,965 400,958 (33,668) (30,900) 336,390 — 336,390 $ $ $ $ $ Note 13. Earnings per Share The following table provides a reconciliation of the numerators and denominators of basic and diluted earnings per share ("EPS"): 2021 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Basic EPS: Net income available to common stockholders Effect of dilutive securities: Stock compensation plans Diluted EPS: Net income available to common stockholders Income (Numerator) Shares (Denominator) Per Share Amount $ 394,484 60,183 $ 6.55 — 484 $ 394,484 60,667 $ 6.50 114 2020 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Basic EPS: Net income available to common stockholders Effect of dilutive securities: Stock compensation plans Diluted EPS: Net income available to common stockholders 2019 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) Basic EPS: Net income available to common stockholders Effect of dilutive securities: Stock compensation plans Diluted EPS: Net income available to common stockholders Income (Numerator) Shares (Denominator) Per Share Amount $ 246,355 59,862 $ 4.12 — 431 $ 246,355 60,293 $ 4.09 Income (Numerator) Shares (Denominator) Per Share Amount $ 271,623 59,421 $ 4.57 — 583 $ 271,623 60,004 $ 4.53 Note 14. Federal Income Taxes (a) A reconciliation of federal income tax on income at the corporate rate (21.0%) to the effective tax rate is as follows: ($ in thousands) Tax at statutory rate Tax-advantaged interest Dividends received deduction Executive compensation Stock-based compensation Other Federal income tax expense Income before federal income tax, less preferred stock dividends Effective tax rate $ 2021 106,115 (4,514) (558) 2,469 (693) (1,346) 101,473 495,957 2020 2019 63,627 (4,730) (514) 2,246 (1,846) (2,150) 56,633 302,988 70,642 (4,909) (443) 2,985 (3,253) (255) 64,767 336,390 20.5 % 18.7 % 19.3 % (b) The tax effects of the significant temporary differences that gave rise to deferred tax assets and liabilities were as follows: ($ in thousands) Deferred tax assets: Net loss reserve discounting Net unearned premiums Employee benefits Long-term incentive compensation plans Temporary investment write-downs Other Total deferred tax assets Deferred tax liabilities: Deferred policy acquisition costs Unrealized gains on investment securities Other investment-related items, net Accelerated depreciation and amortization Total deferred tax liabilities Net deferred federal income tax liability 2021 2020 $ $ 60,227 68,086 2,787 5,904 4,314 2,245 143,563 68,652 48,082 27,044 13,198 156,976 (13,413) 54,240 60,842 8,943 5,472 6,037 7,195 142,729 60,601 81,142 14,760 13,322 169,825 (27,096) After considering all evidence, both positive and negative, with respect to our federal tax loss carryback availability, expected levels of pre-tax financial statement income, and federal taxable income, we believe it is more likely than not that the existing deductible temporary differences will reverse during periods in which we generate net federal taxable income or have adequate federal carryback availability. As a result, we had no valuation allowance recognized for federal deferred tax assets at December 31, 2021 or 2020. We did not have unrecognized tax expense or benefit as of December 31, 2021. 115 We have analyzed our tax positions in all open tax years, which as of December 31, 2021 were 2018 through 2021. The 2018 tax year audit was completed in 2021 with no material changes. We believe our tax positions will more likely than not be sustained upon examination, including related appeals or litigation. In the event we had a tax position that did not meet the more likely than not criteria, any tax, interest, and penalties incurred related to such a position would be reflected in "Total federal income tax expense" on our Consolidated Statements of Income. Note 15. Retirement Plans (a) Selective Insurance Retirement Savings Plan (“Retirement Savings Plan”) and the Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan ("Deferred Compensation Plan") SICA offers a voluntary defined contribution 401(k) plan that is available to most of our employees and is a tax-qualified retirement plan subject to ERISA. In addition, SICA offers a Deferred Compensation Plan to a group of management or highly compensated employees as a method of recognizing and retaining such employees. Expenses recorded for these plans were $19.2 million in 2021, $18.6 million in 2020, and $17.3 million in 2019. (b) Retirement Income Plan SICA maintains a defined benefit pension plan, the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America (the "Pension Plan"). This qualified, noncontributory plan is closed to new entrants and existing participants ceased accruing benefits after March 31, 2016. The following tables provide details on the Pension Plan for 2021 and 2020: December 31, ($ in thousands) Change in Benefit Obligation: Benefit obligation, beginning of year Interest cost Actuarial (gains) losses Benefits paid Benefit obligation, end of year Change in Fair Value of Assets: Fair value of assets, beginning of year Actual return on plan assets, net of expenses Benefits paid Fair value of assets, end of year Funded status Amounts Recognized in the Consolidated Balance Sheet: Net pension assets, end of year Amounts Recognized in AOCI: Net actuarial loss Other Information as of December 31: Accumulated benefit obligation Weighted-Average Liability Assumptions as of December 31: Discount rate Pension Plan 2021 2020 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 425,161 8,593 (12,844) (13,152) 407,758 432,716 30,741 (13,152) 450,305 42,547 42,547 78,304 407,758 2.98 % 391,021 11,312 35,276 (12,448) 425,161 385,087 60,077 (12,448) 432,716 7,555 7,555 101,414 425,161 2.68 When determining the most appropriate discount rate to be used in the valuation at December 31, 2021, we consider, among other factors, our expected payout patterns of the Pension Plan's obligations as well as our investment strategy. We ultimately select the rate that we believe best represents our estimate of the inherent interest rate at which our pension benefits can be effectively settled. The approach we utilize discounts the individual expected cash flows using the applicable spot rates derived from the yield curve over the projected cash flow period. Our discount rate increased 30 basis points, to 2.98% as of December 31, 2021, from 2.68% as of December 31, 2020, which drove the decrease in the benefit obligation for the period. 116 ($ in thousands) Components of Net Periodic Benefit Cost and Other Amounts Recognized in Other Comprehensive Income: 2021 Pension Plan 2020 2019 Net Periodic Benefit Cost (Benefit): Interest cost Expected return on plan assets Amortization of unrecognized actuarial loss Total net periodic pension cost (benefit)1 Other Changes in Plan Assets and Benefit Obligations Recognized in Other Comprehensive Income: Net actuarial (gain) loss Reversal of amortization of net actuarial loss Total recognized in other comprehensive income $ $ $ $ 8,593 (22,976) 2,501 (11,882) (20,609) (2,501) (23,110) 11,312 (21,907) 2,817 (7,778) (2,894) (2,817) (5,711) Total recognized in net periodic benefit cost and other comprehensive income 1The components of net periodic pension cost (benefit) are included within "Loss and loss expense incurred" and "Other insurance expenses" on the Consolidated Statements of Income. (13,489) (34,992) $ 13,506 (21,114) 2,575 (5,033) 11,643 (2,575) 9,068 4,035 Weighted-Average Expense Assumptions for the years ended December 31: Discount rate Interest rate Expected return on plan assets 2021 Pension Plan 2020 2019 2.68 % 2.06 % 5.40 3.33 2.95 % 5.80 4.46 4.12 % 6.50 Pension Plan Assets Assets of the Pension Plan are invested to adequately support the liability associated with the Pension Plan's defined benefit obligation. Our return objective is to exceed the returns of the plan's policy benchmark, which is the return the plan would have earned if the assets were invested according to the target asset class weightings and earned index returns shown below. In 2022, we will continue to phase in adjustments to the asset allocation to steadily close the gap between the duration of the assets and the duration of the liabilities, provided certain improved funding targets are achieved. Over time, the target and actual asset allocations may change based on the funded status of the Pension Plan and market return expectations. The Pension Plan’s target ranges, as well as the actual weighted average asset allocation by strategy, at December 31 were as follows: Return seeking assets1 Liability hedging assets Short-term investments Total 1Includes limited partnerships. 2021 Target Percentage Actual Percentage Minimum Maximum 2020 Actual Percentage 50 % 70 % - 100 % 70 % 80 % - 100 % 66 % 33 % 1 % 100 % 64 % 35 % 1 % 100 % The use of derivative instruments is permitted under certain circumstances for the Pension Plan portfolio, but may not be used for unrelated speculative purposes or to create exposures that are not permitted in the Pension Plan's investment guidelines. We currently invest in a U.S. Treasury overlay derivative strategy, within the funds in our liability hedging assets, to manage the interest rate duration mismatch between the assets and liabilities of the Pension Plan to help insulate the funded status of the plan. Considering the impact of this derivative overlay, the liability hedging assets provide for an approximate 79% hedge against the projected benefit obligation. The Pension Plan had no investments in the Parent’s common stock as of December 31, 2021 or 2020. For information regarding investments in funds of our related parties, refer to Note 18. "Related Party Transactions" below. 117 The techniques used to determine the fair value of the Pension Plan's invested assets that appear on the following page are as follows: • • • • The investments in the equities and liability hedging funds include collective investment funds and fund of funds that utilize a market approach wherein the published prices in the active market for identical assets are used. These investments are traded at their net asset value per share. These investments are classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy. The investments in private limited partnerships are valued utilizing net asset value as a practical expedient for fair value. These investments are not classified in the fair value hierarchy. Short-term investments are recorded at fair value. Given that these investments are listed on active exchanges, coupled with their liquid nature, these investments are classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy. The deposit administration contract is recorded at cost, which approximates fair value. Given the liquid nature of the underlying investments in overnight cash deposits and other short-term duration products, we have determined that a correlation exists between the deposit administration contract and other short-term investments, such as money market funds. As such, this investment is classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. For discussion regarding the levels within the fair value hierarchy, see Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies." In addition, refer to Note 5. "Investments" for discussion regarding the limited partnership investment strategies, excluding the secondary private equity and direct lending strategies as these investments are currently not part of the Pension Plan's investment portfolio. The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of the Pension Plan’s invested assets that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis: December 31, 2021 Fair Value Measurements at 12/31/21 Using Assets Measured at Fair Value At 12/31/21 Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) ($ in thousands) Description Return seeking assets: Equities: Global equity Diversified credit Real assets Total equities Limited partnerships (at net asset value)1: Real assets Private equity Total limited partnerships Total return seeking assets Liability hedging assets: Fixed income U.S. Treasury overlay Total liability hedging assets Cash and short-term investments: Short-term investments Deposit administration contracts Total cash and short-term investments $ 144,634 66,165 89,590 300,389 47 413 460 300,849 86,183 65,304 151,487 1,744 2,422 4,166 144,634 66,165 89,590 300,389 — — — 300,389 86,183 65,304 151,487 1,744 — 1,744 Total invested assets $ 456,502 453,620 118 — — — — — — — — — — — — 2,422 2,422 2,422 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — December 31, 2020 Fair Value Measurements at 12/31/20 Using ($ in thousands) Description Return seeking assets: Equities: Global equity Diversified credit Real assets Total equities Limited partnerships (at net asset value)1: Real assets Private equity Private credit Total limited partnerships Total return seeking assets Liability hedging assets: Fixed income U.S. Treasury overlay Total liability hedging assets Cash and short-term investments: Short-term investments Deposit administration contracts Total cash and short-term investments Assets Measured at Fair Value At 12/31/20 Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets/ Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) $ 142,320 73,762 61,585 277,667 73 400 29 502 278,169 99,490 52,756 152,246 3,273 2,073 5,346 142,320 73,762 61,585 277,667 — — — — 277,667 99,490 52,756 152,246 3,273 — 3,273 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2,073 2,073 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Total invested assets 435,761 1In accordance with the FASB issued ASU 2015-07, Disclosures for Investments in Certain Entities That Calculate Net Asset Value per Share (or Its Equivalent), certain investments that are measured at fair value using the net asset value per share (or its practical expedient) have not been classified in the fair value hierarchy. The fair value amounts presented in this table are intended to permit reconciliation of the fair value hierarchy to total Pension Plan invested assets. 433,186 2,073 — $ Contributions We presently do not anticipate contributing to the Pension Plan in 2022, as we have no minimum required contribution amounts. Benefit Payments ($ in thousands) Benefits Expected to be Paid in Future Fiscal Years: 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2026-2030 Note 16. Share-Based Payments Pension Plan $ 14,900 16,099 17,232 18,296 19,394 108,742 Active Plans As of December 31, 2021, the following four plans were available for the issuance of share-based payment awards: The 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective as of May 2, 2018 (the "Stock Plan"); The Cash Incentive Plan, As Amended and Restated as of May 1, 2014 (the "Cash Plan"); The Employee Stock Purchase Plan, As Amended and Restated as of July 1, 2021 ("ESPP"); and The Amended and Restated Stock Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance Agencies (2010), Amended and Restated as of November 1, 2020 (the "Agent Plan"). • • • • 119 The following table provides information regarding the approval of these plans: Plan Stock Plan Cash Plan ESPP Agent Plan Approvals Approved effective as of May 1, 2014 by stockholders on April 23, 2014. Most recently amended and restated plan was approved effective May 2, 2018 by stockholders on May 2, 2018. Approved effective April 1, 2005 by stockholders on April 27, 2005. Most recently amended and restated plan was approved effective May 1, 2014 by stockholders on April 23, 2014. Approved effective July 1, 2009 by stockholders on April 29, 2009. Most recently amended and restated plan was approved effective July 1, 2021 by stockholders on April 28, 2021. Approved by stockholders on April 26, 2006. Most recently amended and restated plan was approved effective November 1, 2020 by the Salary and Employee Benefits Committee of the Parent's Board on October 26, 2020. The types of awards that can be issued under each of these plans are as follows: Plan Stock Plan Cash Plan ESPP Agent Plan Types of Share-Based Payments Issued Qualified and nonqualified stock options, stock appreciation rights ("SARs"), restricted stock, restricted stock units ("RSUs"), stock grants, and other awards valued in whole or in part by reference to the Parent's common stock. The maximum exercise period for an option grant under this plan is 10 years from the date of the grant. Dividend equivalent units ("DEUs") are earned during the vesting period on RSU grants. The DEUs are reinvested in the Parent's common stock at fair value on each dividend payment date. The requisite service period for grants to employees under this plan is the lesser of: (i) the stated vested date, which is typically three years from issuance; or (ii) the date the employee becomes eligible to retire. Cash incentive units (“CIUs”). The initial dollar value of each CIU will be adjusted to reflect the percentage increase or decrease in the total shareholder return on the Parent's common stock over a specified performance period. In addition, for certain grants, the number of CIUs granted will be increased or decreased to reflect our performance on specified performance indicators compared to targeted peer companies. The requisite service period for grants under this plan is the lesser of: (i) the stated vested date, which is typically three years from issuance; or (ii) the date the employee becomes eligible to retire. Enables employees to purchase shares of the Parent’s common stock. The purchase price is the lower of: (i) 85% of the closing market price at the time the option is granted; or (ii) 85% of the closing price at the time the option is exercised. Shares are generally issued on June 30 and December 31 of each year. Quarterly offerings to purchase the Parent's common stock at a 10% discount with a one-year restricted period during which the shares purchased cannot be sold or transferred. Only our independent retail insurance agencies and wholesale general agencies, and certain eligible persons associated with the agencies, are eligible to participate in this plan. Shares authorized and available for issuance as of December 31, 2021 are as follows: Stock Plan ESPP Agent Plan Authorized 4,750,000 5,500,000 3,000,000 Available for Issuance 2,713,667 1,184,849 1,608,234 Awards Outstanding 660,697 — — Retired Plans The following plans are closed for the issuance of new awards, although awards outstanding continue in effect according to the terms of the applicable award agreements: December 31, 2021 Plan 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan ("2005 Stock Plan") Types of Share-Based Payments Issued Qualified and nonqualified stock options, SARs, restricted stock, RSUs, phantom stock, stock bonuses, and other awards in such amounts and with such terms and conditions as it determined, subject to the provisions of the 2005 Stock Plan. The maximum exercise period for an option grant under this plan is 10 years from the date of the grant. DEUs are earned during the vesting period on RSU grants. The DEUs are reinvested in the Parent's common stock at fair value on each dividend payment date. Reserve Shares Awards Outstanding1 1,958,306 32,906 Parent's Stock Compensation Plan for Non-employee Directors Directors could elect to receive a portion of their annual compensation in shares of the Parent's common stock. 44,468 44,468 1Awards outstanding under the 2005 Stock Plan represent shares deferred by our non-employee directors. RSU Transactions A summary of the RSU transactions under our share-based payment plans is as follows: Number of Shares Weighted Average Grant Date Fair Value 61.02 64.03 57.10 62.61 63.73 667,674 $ 249,293 (258,477) (16,854) 641,636 $ Unvested RSU awards at December 31, 2020 Granted in 2021 Vested in 2021 Forfeited in 2021 Unvested RSU awards at December 31, 2021 120 As of December 31, 2021, total unrecognized compensation expense related to unvested RSU awards granted under our Stock Plan was $10.1 million. That expense is expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 1.7 years. The total intrinsic value of RSUs vested was $17.2 million for 2021, $20.6 million for 2020, and $22.0 million for 2019. In connection with vested RSUs, the total value of the DEUs that vested was $0.6 million in 2021, $0.7 million in 2020, and $0.8 million in 2019. Option Transactions As of December 31, 2021 and 2020, we had no stock options outstanding under our 2005 Stock Plan. The total intrinsic value of options exercised was $1.3 million in 2020 and $5.2 million in 2019. CIU Transactions The liability recorded in connection with our Cash Plan was $11.0 million as of December 31, 2021, and $8.2 million as of December 31, 2020. The remaining cost associated with the CIUs is expected to be recognized over a weighted average period of 1.2 years. The CIU payments made in connection with the CIU vestings were $2.2 million in 2021, $2.3 million in 2020, and $18.4 million in 2019. There were structural changes to our Cash Plan in early 2017, and as a result, payments in 2021 and 2020 were comparatively lower than 2019. ESPP and Agent Plan Transactions A summary of ESPP and Agent Plan share issuances is as follows: ESPP Issuances Agent Plan Issuances 2021 2020 2019 72,239 50,999 99,141 69,238 72,952 47,888 Fair Value Measurements The grant date fair value of RSUs is based on the market price of our common stock on the grant date, adjusted for the present value of our expected dividend payments. The expense recognized for share-based awards is based on the number of shares or units expected to be issued at the end of the performance period and the grant date fair value. The grant date fair value of each option award is estimated using the Black Scholes option valuation model ("Black Scholes"). The following are the significant assumptions used in applying Black Scholes: (i) the risk-free interest rate, which is the implied yield currently available on U.S. Treasury zero-coupon issues with an equal remaining term; (ii) the expected term, which is based on historical experience of similar awards; (iii) the dividend yield, which is determined by dividing the expected per share dividend during the coming year by the grant date stock price; and (iv) the expected volatility, which is based on the volatility of the Parent's stock price over a historical period comparable to the expected term. In applying Black Scholes, we use the weighted average assumptions illustrated in the following table: Risk-free interest rate Expected term Dividend yield Expected volatility 2021 0.07 % 6 months 1.4 % 28 % ESPP 2020 0.76 6 months 1.6 37 2019 2.33 6 months 1.2 26 The weighted-average fair value per share of options and stock, including RSUs granted under the Parent's stock plans, during 2021, 2020, and 2019 was as follows: RSUs ESPP: Six month option Discount of grant date market value Total ESPP Agent Plan: Discount of grant date market value 2021 2020 2019 $ 64.03 4.69 10.98 15.67 7.57 62.91 4.82 8.61 13.43 5.73 63.60 4.32 9.99 14.31 7.00 The fair value of the CIU liability is remeasured at each reporting period through the settlement date of the awards, which is three years from the date of grant, based on an amount expected to be paid. A Monte Carlo simulation is performed to 121 approximate the projected fair value of the CIUs that, in accordance with the CIU agreements established under the Cash Plan, is adjusted to reflect our performance on specified indicators compared to targeted peer companies. Expense Recognition The following table provides share-based compensation expense in 2021, 2020, and 2019: ($ in millions) Share-based compensation expense, pre-tax Income tax benefit, including the benefit related to stock grants that vested during the year Share-based compensation expense, after-tax 2021 2020 2019 $ $ 22.3 (5.1) 17.2 19.8 (5.7) 14.1 24.5 (8.2) 16.3 Note 17. Equity Preferred Stock We have 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock authorized, with no par value, of which (i) 300,000 shares are designated Series A junior preferred stock, which have not been issued, and (ii) 8,000 shares were issued as Series B in 2020 as discussed below. On December 2, 2020, we issued 8.0 million depository shares, each representing a 1/1,000th interest in a share of our perpetual 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B, without par value, with a liquidation preference of $25,000 per share (equivalent to $25.00 per depository share) (“Preferred Stock”), for net proceeds of $194.6 million. Dividends are recorded when declared and, if declared are payable quarterly in arrears on the 15th day of March, June, September, and December. If a dividend is not declared and paid or made payable on all outstanding shares of the Preferred Stock for the latest completed dividend period, no dividends may be declared or paid on our common stock and we may not purchase, redeem, or otherwise acquire our outstanding common stock. The Preferred Stock is redeemable at our option in whole or in part, from time to time, on or after December 15, 2025 at a redemption price equal to $25,000 per share of Preferred Stock (equivalent to $25.00 per depository share), plus unpaid dividends attributable to the then current dividend period. Prior to December 15, 2025, the Preferred Stock is redeemable at the Company’s option, in whole but not in part, within 90 days of the occurrence of (a) a rating agency event at a redemption price equal to $25,500 per share of Preferred Stock (equivalent to $25.50 per depository share), plus unpaid dividends attributable to the current dividend period in circumstances where a rating agency changes its criteria used to assign equity credit to securities like the Preferred Stock; or (b) a regulatory capital event at a redemption price equal to $25,000 per share of Preferred Stock (equivalent to $25.00 per depository share), plus unpaid dividends attributable to the current dividend period in circumstances where a capital regulator such as a state insurance regulator changes or proposes to change capital adequacy rules. Share Repurchase Program On December 2, 2020, we announced that our Board authorized a $100 million share repurchase program, which has no set expiration or termination date. Our repurchase program does not obligate us to acquire any particular amount of our common stock. The timing and amount of any share repurchases under the authorization is determined by management at its discretion based on market conditions and other considerations. As of December 31, 2021, 52,781 shares were repurchased under the share repurchase program at a total cost of $3.4 million. These repurchases were all completed in the first quarter of 2021, and we did not repurchase any shares under our share repurchase program during the remainder of 2021. We have $96.6 million of remaining capacity under our share repurchase program. Note 18. Related Party Transactions William M. Rue, a Director of the Parent, is Chairman of, and owns more than 10% of the equity of Rue Holding Company, which owns 100% of Chas. E. Rue & Son, Inc., t/a Rue Insurance, a general independent retail insurance agency ("Rue Insurance"). Rue Insurance is an appointed distribution partner of the Insurance Subsidiaries on terms and conditions similar to those of our other distribution partners, which includes the right to participate in the Agent Plan. Mr. Rue’s son is President, and an employee, of Rue Insurance, and owns more than 10% of the equity of Rue Holding Company. Mr. Rue’s daughter is an employee of Rue Insurance and owns less than 10% of the equity of Rue Holding Company. Our relationship with Rue Insurance has existed since 1928. Rue Insurance placed insurance policies with the Insurance Subsidiaries for its customers and itself. Direct premiums written associated with these policies were $12.8 million in 2021, and $11.0 million in both 2020 and 2019. In return, the Insurance Subsidiaries paid standard market commissions, including supplemental commissions, to Rue Insurance of $2.0 million in 2021, $1.8 million in 2020, and $2.0 million in 2019. Amounts due to Rue Insurance at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020 were $0.7 million and $0.2 million, respectively. All contracts and transactions with Rue Insurance were consummated in the ordinary course of business on an arm's-length basis. 122 In 2005, we established a private foundation, now named The Selective Insurance Group Foundation (the "Foundation"), under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. The Board of the Foundation is comprised of some of the Parent's officers. We made $1.3 million of contributions to the Foundation in both 2021 and 2019, and $0.5 million in 2020. BlackRock, Inc., a leading publicly-traded investment management firm (“BlackRock”), has purchased our common shares in the ordinary course of its investment business and has previously filed Schedules 13G/A with the SEC. On January 27, 2022, BlackRock filed a Schedule 13G/A reporting beneficial ownership as of December 31, 2021, of 11.4% of our common stock. In connection with purchasing our common shares, BlackRock filed the necessary filings with insurance regulatory authorities. On the basis of those filings, BlackRock is deemed not to be a controlling person for the purposes of applicable insurance law. We are required to disclose related party information for our transactions with BlackRock. BlackRock is highly regulated, serves its clients as a fiduciary, and has a diverse platform of active (alpha) and index (beta) investment strategies across asset classes that enables it to tailor investment outcomes and asset allocation solutions for clients. BlackRock also offers the BlackRock Solutions® investment and risk management technology platform, Aladdin®, risk analytics, advisory, and technology services and solutions to a broad base of institutional and wealth management investors. We incurred expenses related to BlackRock for services rendered of $1.8 million in 2021, $2.0 million in 2020, and $2.2 million in 2019. Amounts payable for such services were $0.5 million at December 31, 2021, $1.3 million at December 31, 2020, and $1.1 million at December 31, 2019. As part of our overall investment diversification, we invest in various BlackRock funds from time to time. These funds accounted for less than 1% of our invested assets at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, and are predominately reflected in "Equity securities" on our Consolidated Balance Sheet. During 2021, with regard to BlackRock funds, we (i) purchased $16.5 million in securities, (ii) sold $32.5 million, (iii) recognized net realized and unrealized losses of $0.6 million, and (iv) recorded $0.9 million in income. During 2020, we purchased (i) $62.2 million in securities, (ii) recognized net unrealized losses of $0.2 million, and (iii) recorded $0.4 million in income. We did not make any sales of BlackRock funds in 2020. During 2019, we purchased $21.7 million in securities, (ii) sold $59.5 million, (iii) recognized net realized and unrealized gains of $5.7 million, and (iv) recorded $0.8 million in income. There were no amounts payable on the settlement of these investment transactions at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020. Our Pension Plan's investment portfolio contained investments in BlackRock funds of $209.9 million at December 31, 2021 and $191.8 million at December 31, 2020. During 2021, with regard to BlackRock funds, the Pension Plan (i) purchased $18.0 million in securities, (ii) sold $18.1 million, and (iii) recorded net investment income of $18.2 million. In 2020, with regard to BlackRock funds, the Pension Plan (i) purchased $56.7 million in securities, (ii) sold $44.9 million, and (iii) recorded net investment income of $35.8 million. In 2019, with regard to BlackRock funds, the Pension Plan (i) purchased $19.7 million in securities, (ii) sold $44.1 million, and (iii) recorded net investment income of $36.7 million. In addition, our Deferred Compensation Plan and Retirement Savings Plan may offer our employees the option to invest in various BlackRock funds. All contracts and transactions with BlackRock were consummated in the ordinary course of business on an arm's-length basis. NOTE 19. Leases We have various operating leases for office space, equipment, and fleet vehicles. In addition, we have various finance leases for computer hardware. Such lease agreements, which expire at various dates through 2032, are generally renewed or replaced by similar leases. The components of lease expense for the year ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 were as follows: ($ in thousands) Operating lease cost, included in Other insurance expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Income Finance lease cost: $ 2021 Amortization of assets, included in Other insurance expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Income Interest on lease liabilities, included in Interest expense on the Consolidated Statements of Income Total finance lease cost Variable lease cost, included in Other insurance expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Income Short-term lease cost, included in Other insurance expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Income $ 123 7,935 1,765 35 1,800 291 832 2020 9,498 550 15 565 758 2,011 The following table provides supplemental information regarding our operating and finance leases. Weighted-average remaining lease term Operating leases Finance leases Weighted-average discount rate Operating leases Finance leases December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 7 2 2.1 0.8 years 8 2 2.3 % 1.6 Operating and finance lease asset and liability balances are included within the following line items on the Consolidated Balance Sheets: ($ in thousands) Operating leases Other assets Other liabilities Finance leases Property and equipment - at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization Long-term debt At December 31, 2021, the maturities of our lease liabilities were as follows: $ $ 35,644 37,296 5,446 5,450 December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands) Year ended December 31, 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Thereafter Total lease payments Less: imputed interest Less: leases that have not yet commenced Total lease liabilities Finance Leases Operating Leases Total $ $ 2,350 2,255 795 64 41 — 5,505 55 — 5,450 7,235 6,610 5,992 5,902 5,967 24,356 56,062 2,726 16,040 37,296 At December 31, 2020, the maturities of our lease liabilities for capital and operating leases were as follows: ($ in thousands) Year ended December 31, 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Thereafter Total lease payments Less: imputed interest Less: leases that have not yet commenced Total lease liabilities Finance Leases Operating Leases Total $ $ 330 127 56 — — — 513 5 — 508 8,372 6,788 5,411 4,690 3,572 16,234 45,067 3,393 — 41,674 40,215 41,674 502 508 9,585 8,865 6,787 5,966 6,008 24,356 61,567 2,781 16,040 42,746 8,702 6,915 5,467 4,690 3,572 16,234 45,580 3,398 — 42,182 Refer to Note 4 "Statements of Cash Flows" in this Form 10-K for supplemental cash and non-cash transactions included in the measurement of operating and finance lease liabilities. Note 20. Commitments and Contingencies (a) We purchase annuities from life insurance companies to fulfill obligations under claim settlements that provide for periodic future payments to claimants. As of December 31, 2021, we had purchased such annuities with a present value of $31.6 million for settlement of claims on a structured basis for which we are contingently liable. To our knowledge, there are no material defaults from any of the issuers of such annuities. 124 (b) As of December 31, 2021, we have made commitments that may require us to invest additional amounts into our investment portfolio, which are as follows: ($ in millions) Alternative and other investments Non-publicly traded collateralized loan obligations in our fixed income securities portfolio Non-publicly traded common stock within our equity portfolio CMLs Privately-placed corporate securities Total Amount of Obligation Year of Expiration of Obligation $ $ 215.0 59.8 4.2 5.5 4.3 288.8 2036 2030 2027 2023 Less than 1 year There is no certainty that any such additional investment will be required. We expect to have the capacity to repay or refinance these obligations as they come due. Note 21. Litigation As of December 31, 2021, we do not believe we are involved in any legal action that could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows. In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are parties in various legal actions. Most are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against our customers, (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them, or (iii) liability insurers seeking declaratory judgment on our insurance coverage obligations. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid loss and loss expense reserves. In ordinary course claims litigation, we expect that any potential ultimate liability, after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows. All of our commercial property and businessowners' policies require direct physical loss of or damage to property by a covered cause of loss. It also is our practice to include in, or attach to, all standard lines commercial property and businessowners' policies an exclusion that states that all loss or property damage caused by or resulting from any virus, bacterium, or other microorganism that induces or is capable of inducing physical distress, illness, or disease is not a covered cause of loss ("Virus Exclusion"). Whether COVID-19-related contamination, the existence of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the resulting COVID-19-related government shutdown orders cause physical loss of or damage to property is the subject of much public debate and first-party coverage litigation against some insurers, including us. The Virus Exclusion also is the subject of first- party coverage litigation against some insurers, including us. We cannot predict the outcome of litigation over these two coverage issues, including interpretation of provisions similar or identical to those in our insurance policies. From time to time, our Insurance Subsidiaries also are named as defendants in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. Plaintiffs may style these actions as putative class actions and seek judicial certification of a state or national class for allegations involving our business practices, such as improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies or improper reimbursement for automobile parts. Similarly, our Insurance Subsidiaries can be named in individual actions seeking extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties, often alleging bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these allegations and we account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid loss and loss expense reserves. In these other legal actions, we expect that any potential ultimate liability, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition. Nonetheless, litigation outcomes are inherently unpredictable and, because the amounts sought in certain of these actions are large or indeterminate, it is possible that any adverse outcomes could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods. Note 22. Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds (a) Statutory Financial Information The Insurance Subsidiaries prepare their statutory financial statements in accordance with accounting principles prescribed or permitted by the various state insurance departments of domicile. Prescribed statutory accounting principles include state laws, regulations, and general administrative rules, as well as a variety of publications of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC"). Permitted statutory accounting principles encompass all accounting principles that are not prescribed; such principles differ from state to state, may differ from company to company within a state and may change in the future. The Insurance Subsidiaries do not utilize any permitted statutory accounting principles that affect the determination of statutory surplus, statutory net income, or risk-based capital (“RBC”). As of December 31, 2021, the various state insurance departments of domicile have adopted the March 2021 version of the NAIC Accounting Practices and Procedures manual in its 125 entirety, as a component of prescribed or permitted practices. The following table provides statutory data for each of our Insurance Subsidiaries: ($ in millions) SICA State of Domicile Unassigned Surplus Statutory Surplus Statutory Net Income 2021 2020 2021 2020 2021 2020 2019 New Jersey $ 673.1 574.2 838.3 739.4 134.7 81.8 113.9 Selective Way Insurance Company ("SWIC") New Jersey 436.4 374.0 492.4 430.0 SICSC SICSE SICNY Selective Insurance Company of New England ("SICNE") Indiana Indiana New York New Jersey Selective Auto Insurance Company of New Jersey ("SAICNJ") New Jersey Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC") New Jersey Selective Casualty Insurance Company ("SCIC") Selective Fire and Casualty Insurance Company ("SFCIC") New Jersey New Jersey 166.3 148.6 200.6 182.8 132.7 115.9 160.3 143.5 127.0 111.7 154.7 139.4 34.5 90.4 47.4 83.4 34.2 30.0 65.6 61.2 70.0 135.2 114.9 34.4 116.9 103.9 71.1 159.9 147.5 29.2 67.1 62.1 74.5 24.2 19.4 18.6 7.5 16.7 13.9 20.6 8.2 54.0 20.8 16.8 15.3 6.8 12.9 11.4 16.2 6.4 59.2 23.9 18.5 17.0 7.8 14.9 13.2 16.8 7.5 Total $ 1,825.4 1,559.1 2,391.0 2,124.7 338.3 242.4 292.7 (b) Capital Requirements The Insurance Subsidiaries are required to maintain certain minimum amounts of statutory surplus to satisfy the requirements of their various state insurance departments of domicile. RBC requirements for property and casualty insurance companies are designed to assess capital adequacy and to raise the level of protection that statutory surplus provides for policyholders. The Insurance Subsidiaries' combined total adjusted capital exceeded the required level of capital as defined by the NAIC based on their 2021 statutory financial statements. In addition to statutory capital requirements, we are impacted by various rating agency requirements related to certain rating levels. These required capital levels may be higher than statutory requirements. (c) Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds Our ability to declare and pay dividends on the Parent's common stock is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. In addition to regulatory restrictions on the availability of dividends that our Insurance Subsidiaries can pay to the Parent, the maximum amount of dividends the Parent can pay our shareholders is limited by certain New Jersey corporate law provisions that limit dividends if either: (i) the Parent would be unable to pay its debts as they became due in the usual course of business; or (ii) the Parent’s total assets would be less than its total liabilities. The Parent’s ability to pay dividends to shareholders also are impacted by (i) covenants in its Line of Credit that obligate it, among other things, to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth and a maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, and (ii) the terms of our preferred stock that prohibit dividends to be declared or paid on our common stock if dividends are not declared and paid, or made payable, on all outstanding preferred stock for the latest completed dividend period. As of December 31, 2021, the Parent had an aggregate of $527.1 million in investments and cash available to fund future dividends and interest payments. These amounts are not subject to any regulatory restrictions other than the standard state insolvency restrictions noted above, whereas our consolidated retained earnings of $2.6 billion are predominately restricted due to regulations applicable to our Insurance Subsidiaries. In 2022, the Insurance Subsidiaries have the ability to provide for $322.0 million in annual dividends to the Parent; however, as regulated entities, these dividends are subject to certain restrictions, which are further discussed below. The Parent also has other potential sources of liquidity, such as: (i) borrowings from our Indiana Subsidiaries; (ii) debt issuances; (iii) common and preferred stock issuances; and (iv) borrowings under our Line of Credit. Borrowings from our Indiana Subsidiaries are governed by approved intercompany lending agreements with the Parent that provide for additional capacity of $109.9 million as of December 31, 2021, based on restrictions in these agreements that limit borrowings to 10% of the admitted assets of the Indiana Subsidiaries. For additional restrictions on the Parent's debt, see Note 11. "Indebtedness" in this Form 10-K. Insurance Subsidiaries Dividend Restrictions As noted above, the restriction on our net assets and retained earnings is predominantly driven by our Insurance Subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends to the Parent under applicable laws and regulations. Under the insurance laws of the domiciliary states of the Insurance Subsidiaries, New Jersey, Indiana, and New York, an insurer can potentially make an ordinary dividend payment if its statutory surplus following such dividend is reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities, is adequate to its financial needs, and the dividend does not exceed the insurer's unassigned surplus. In general, New Jersey defines an ordinary 126 dividend as a dividend whose fair market value, together with other dividends made within the preceding 12 months, is less than the greater of 10% of the insurer's statutory surplus as of the preceding December 31, or the insurer's net income (excluding capital gains) for the 12-month period ending on the preceding December 31. Indiana's ordinary dividend calculation is consistent with New Jersey's, except that it does not exclude capital gains from net income. In general, New York defines an ordinary dividend as a dividend whose fair market value, together with other dividends made within the preceding 12 months, is less than the lesser of 10% of the insurer's statutory surplus, or 100% of adjusted net investment income. New Jersey and Indiana require notice of the declaration of any ordinary dividend distribution. During the notice period, the relevant state regulatory authority may disallow all or part of the proposed dividend if it determines that the dividend is not appropriate given the above considerations. New York does not require notice of ordinary dividends. Dividend payments exceeding ordinary dividends are referred to as extraordinary dividends and require review and approval by the applicable domiciliary insurance regulatory authority prior to payment. The table below provides the following information: (i) quantitative data regarding all Insurance Subsidiaries' dividends paid to the Parent in 2021, which was used for debt service, shareholder dividends, and general operating purposes; and (ii) the maximum ordinary dividends that can be paid to the Parent by the Insurance Subsidiaries in 2022, based on the 2021 statutory financial statements. Dividends ($ in millions) SICA SWIC SICSC SICSE SICNY SICNE SAICNJ MUSIC SCIC SFCIC Total State of Domicile Ordinary Dividends Paid Maximum Ordinary Dividends Twelve Months ended December 31, 2021 2022 New Jersey New Jersey Indiana Indiana New York New Jersey New Jersey New Jersey New Jersey New Jersey $ $ 66.0 $ 27.5 10.0 8.8 4.0 3.0 0.7 6.1 10.4 3.5 140.0 $ 124.4 72.8 24.2 19.4 15.5 7.5 16.8 13.7 19.5 8.2 322.0 Item 9. Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure. None. Item 9A. Controls and Procedures. Our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act")) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on this evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, our disclosure controls and procedures are: (i) effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting information on a timely basis that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act; and (ii) effective in ensuring that information that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting Our management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) under the Exchange Act) is a process designed by, or under the supervision of, a company's principal executive and principal financial officers and effected by the Board, management and other personnel, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and includes those policies and procedures that: • Pertain to the maintenance of records that in reasonable detail accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; 127 • • Provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and Provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company's assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements. Our management assessed the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021. In making this assessment, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission in Internal Control-Integrated Framework ("COSO Framework") in 2013. Based on this assessment, our management believes that, as of December 31, 2021, our internal control over financial reporting is effective. No changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) occurred during the fourth quarter of 2021 that materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting. Attestation Report of the Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm Our independent registered public accounting firm, KPMG, LLP, has issued their attestation report on our internal control over financial reporting which is set forth below. Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm To the Stockholders and Board of Directors Selective Insurance Group, Inc.: Opinion on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting We have audited Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and subsidiaries’ (the Company) internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, based on criteria established in Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. In our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2021, based on criteria established in Internal Control – Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) (PCAOB), the consolidated balance sheets of the Company as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, the related consolidated statements of income, comprehensive income, stockholders’ equity, and cash flows for each of the years in the three-year period ended December 31, 2021, and the related notes and financial statement schedules I to V (collectively, the consolidated financial statements), and our report dated February 11, 2022 expressed an unqualified opinion on those consolidated financial statements. Basis for Opinion The Company’s management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, included in the accompanying Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on the Company’s internal control over financial reporting based on our audit. We are a public accounting firm registered with the PCAOB and are required to be independent with respect to the Company in accordance with the U.S. federal securities laws and the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB. We conducted our audit in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, and testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk. Our audit also included performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinion. Definition and Limitations of Internal Control Over Financial Reporting A company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures 128 that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements. Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. /s/ KPMG LLP New York, New York February 11, 2022 Item 9B. Other Information. Not applicable. Item 9C. Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections. Not applicable. PART III Because we will file a Proxy Statement within 120 days after the end of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2021, this Annual Report on Form 10-K omits certain information required by Part III and incorporates by reference certain information included in the Proxy Statement. Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance. Information about our executive officers, directors, and all other matters required to be disclosed in Item 10. "Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance." appears under the "Executive Officers," "Information About Proposal 1 - Election of Directors," "Delinquent Section 16(a) Reports," "Code of Conduct," and "Board Meetings and Committees" sections of the Proxy Statement. These portions of the Proxy Statement are hereby incorporated by reference. Item 11. Executive Compensation. Information about compensation of our named executive officers appears under the "Executive Compensation," including, without limitation, the Compensation Discussion and Analysis and related tabular disclosures, the "CEO Pay Ratio," and the "Compensation Committee Report" sections of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. Information about compensation of the Board appears under the "Director Compensation" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. Item 12. Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters. Information about security ownership of certain beneficial owners and management appears under the "Security Ownership of Management and Certain Beneficial Owners" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. Information about securities authorized for issuance under the Company’s equity compensation plans is set forth under Item 5. "Market For Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities." in this Form 10-K and is hereby incorporated by reference. Item 13. Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence. Information about certain relationships and related transactions, and director independence appears under “Transactions with Related Persons” section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. 129 Item 14. Principal Accountant Fees and Services. Information about the fees and services of our principal accountants, KPMG LLC (Public Company Accounting Oversight Board ID No. 185), appears under the "Fees of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm" section of the Proxy Statement and is hereby incorporated by reference. PART IV Item 15. Exhibit and Financial Statement Schedules. (a) The following documents are filed as part of this report: (1) Financial Statements: The Financial Statements listed below are included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." Consolidated Balance Sheets as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 Consolidated Statements of Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 (2) Financial Statement Schedules: Form 10-K Page 72 73 74 75 76 77 The financial statement schedules, with Independent Auditors' Report thereon, required to be filed are listed below by page number as filed in this report. All other schedules are omitted as the information required is inapplicable, immaterial, or the information is presented in the Financial Statements or related notes. Schedule I Summary of Investments – Other than Investments in Related Parties at December 31, 2021 Schedule II Condensed Financial Information of Registrant at December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 and for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Schedule III Supplementary Insurance Information for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Schedule IV Reinsurance for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Schedule V Allowance for Credit Losses on Premiums and Other Receivables for the Years Ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 Form 10-K Page 130 132 135 136 136 (3) Exhibits: The exhibits required by Item 601 of Regulation S-K are listed in the Exhibit Index, which is incorporated by reference and immediately precedes the exhibits filed with or incorporated by reference in this Form 10-K. 130 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES SUMMARY OF INVESTMENTS - OTHER THAN INVESTMENTS IN RELATED PARTIES December 31, 2021 SCHEDULE I Types of investment ($ in thousands) Fixed income securities: Held-to-maturity: Amortized Cost or Cost Fair Value Carrying Amount Obligations of states and political subdivisions $ Public utilities All other corporate securities Total fixed income securities, held-to-maturity Available-for-sale: U.S. government and government agencies Foreign government Obligations of states and political subdivisions Public utilities All other corporate securities Collateralized loan obligation securities and other asset-backed securities Residential mortgage-backed securities Commercial mortgage-backed securities 3,442 1,345 24,067 28,854 127,974 15,420 1,121,422 119,980 2,358,369 1,343,687 756,280 647,621 3,576 1,368 24,516 29,460 130,458 15,860 1,189,308 122,329 2,451,274 1,350,814 776,252 673,681 3,440 1,352 23,993 28,785 130,458 15,860 1,189,308 122,329 2,451,274 1,350,814 776,252 673,681 Total fixed income securities, available-for-sale 6,490,753 6,709,976 6,709,976 Equity securities: Common stock: Banks, trusts and insurance companies Industrial, miscellaneous and all other Nonredeemable preferred stock Total equity securities Commercial mortgage loans Short-term investments Other investments Total investments 45,537 261,343 1,960 308,840 95,795 447,862 409,032 $ 7,781,136 44,086 289,363 2,088 335,537 44,086 289,363 2,088 335,537 95,795 447,863 409,032 8,026,988 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. 131 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (Parent Corporation) Balance Sheets ($ in thousands, except share amounts) Assets: Fixed income securities, available-for-sale - at fair value (allowance for credit losses: $542 – 2021; $22 – 2020; amortized cost: $317,703 – 2021; $272,256 – 2020 $ Equity securities Short-term investments Other investments Cash Investment in subsidiaries Current federal income tax Deferred federal income tax Other assets Total assets Liabilities: Long-term debt Intercompany notes payable Accrued long-term stock compensation Other liabilities Total liabilities Stockholders’ Equity: Preferred stock of $0 par value per share: SCHEDULE II December 31, 2021 2020 325,014 136,362 56,042 9,241 455 290,428 159,524 36,425 3,392 394 2,954,725 2,754,012 7,208 4,487 9,178 11,040 2,218 1,959 $ 3,502,712 3,259,392 $ 440,600 57,980 10,965 10,282 $ 519,827 440,235 59,611 8,238 12,419 520,503 Authorized shares: 5,000,000; Issued shares: 8,000 with $25,000 liquidation preference per share – 2021 and 2020 $ 200,000 200,000 Common stock of $2 par value per share: Authorized shares: 360,000,000 Issued: 104,450,916 – 2021; 104,032,912 – 2020 Additional paid-in capital Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive income Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 44,266,534 – 2021; 44,127,109 – 2020) Total stockholders’ equity Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity 208,902 464,347 208,066 438,985 2,603,472 2,271,537 115,099 (608,935) 2,982,885 $ 3,502,712 220,186 (599,885) 2,738,889 3,259,392 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. 132 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (Parent Corporation) Statements of Income SCHEDULE II (continued) ($ in thousands) Revenues: Dividends from subsidiaries Net investment income earned Net realized and unrealized investment gains Total revenues Expenses: Interest expense Other expenses Total expenses Year ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 140,018 104,992 110,004 15,454 1,898 157,370 28,988 28,305 57,293 7,579 1,756 7,301 207 114,327 117,512 29,220 25,412 54,632 33,426 30,900 64,326 Income before federal income tax 100,077 59,695 53,186 Federal income tax (benefit) expense: Current Deferred Total federal income tax benefit (6,552) 12 (6,540) (10,987) 473 (10,514) (16,080) 3,606 (12,474) Net income before equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries 106,617 70,209 65,660 Equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries, net of tax 297,220 176,146 205,963 Net income Preferred stock dividends $ 403,837 246,355 271,623 9,353 — — Net income available to common stockholders $ 394,484 246,355 271,623 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. 133 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (Parent Corporation) Statements of Cash Flows SCHEDULE II (continued) ($ in thousands) Operating Activities: Net income Year ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 $ 403,837 246,355 271,623 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Equity in undistributed income of subsidiaries, net of tax (297,220) (176,146) Stock-based compensation expense Net realized and unrealized investment gains Undistributed (income) losses of equity method investments Amortization – other Changes in assets and liabilities: Increase (decrease) in accrued long-term stock compensation Decrease in net federal income taxes Increase in other assets (Decrease) increase in other liabilities Net cash provided by operating activities Investing Activities: Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Purchase of equity securities Purchase of short-term investments Purchase of other investments Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale Sale of equity securities Sale of short-term investments Proceeds from other investments Capital contribution to subsidiaries Net cash used in investing activities Financing Activities: Dividends to preferred stockholders Dividends to common stockholders Acquisition of treasury stock Proceeds from borrowings Repayment of borrowings Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans Preferred stock issued, net of issuance costs Principal payment on borrowings from subsidiaries Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities Net increase (decrease) in cash Cash, beginning of year Cash, end of year 15,893 (1,898) (1,859) 1,076 2,727 3,843 (7,251) (1,742) 16,227 (1,756) 672 1,080 (366) 5,549 (317) (390) 117,406 90,908 (205,963) 19,077 (207) — 4,614 (12,970) 1,651 (533) 3,919 81,211 (153,482) (10,824) (1,116,766) — 10,579 20,189 10,828 (89,726) (157,411) (523,961) (4,065) 26,877 23,276 — 523,813 1,116,253 — (30,000) (231,197) — (54,486) (7,053) 50,000 (50,000) 8,411 195,063 (1,552) 140,383 94 300 394 — — (123,223) — (47,675) (8,164) 290,757 (185,000) 8,243 — (16,354) 41,807 (205) 505 300 (113,829) (5,676) (330,843) (4,949) 51,524 15,713 31,204 311,225 959 — (44,672) (9,353) (60,136) (9,050) — — 7,976 (479) (1,631) (72,673) 61 394 455 $ See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm. Information should be read in conjunction with the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Both items are in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of this Form 10-K. 134 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES SUPPLEMENTARY INSURANCE INFORMATION Year ended December 31, 2021 SCHEDULE III Deferred policy acquisition costs Reserve for loss and loss expense Unearned premiums Net premiums earned Net investment income1 Loss and loss expense incurred Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs Other operating expenses2 Net premiums written ($ in thousands) Standard Commercial Lines Segment Standard Personal Lines Segment E&S Lines Segment Investments Segment $ 279,850 12,911 34,154 — 3,832,151 270,066 478,686 — 1,346,809 317,276 139,122 — 2,443,885 293,559 279,809 — — — — 344,188 1,426,768 212,116 175,100 — 539,606 25,918 60,945 — 278,915 51,559 27,734 — 2,593,018 292,265 304,430 — 3,189,713 Total 358,208 1Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on the Consolidated Statements of Income. 2“Other operating expenses” of $358,208 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows: $ 326,915 3,017,253 1,803,207 4,580,903 1,813,984 626,469 344,188 Other insurance expenses Other income Total $ $ 375,931 (17,723) 358,208 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. Year ended December 31, 2020 Other Unearned operating expenses2 ($ in thousands) premiums Standard Commercial Lines Segment 1,196,243 271,504 Standard Personal Lines Segment 308,183 50,694 E&S Lines Segment 113,845 27,173 Investments Segment — — Total 1,618,271 349,371 1Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on the Consolidated Statements of Income. 2“Other operating expenses” of $349,371 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows: Net premiums earned 2,143,184 299,140 239,490 — 2,681,814 — — — 222,890 222,890 Net investment income1 Deferred policy acquisition costs $ 246,494 13,803 28,281 — $ 288,578 Loss and loss expense incurred 1,245,627 233,260 156,936 — 1,635,823 Reserve for loss and loss expense 3,596,340 228,348 435,667 — 4,260,355 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 474,322 30,694 55,255 — 560,271 Other insurance expenses Other income Total $ $ Net premiums written 2,230,636 295,166 247,290 — 2,773,092 366,941 (17,570) 349,371 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. Year ended December 31, 2019 ($ in thousands) Standard Commercial Lines Segment Standard Personal Lines Segment E&S Lines Segment Investments Segment Deferred policy acquisition costs $ 226,464 16,848 27,874 — Reserve for loss and loss expense 3,436,363 224,200 406,600 — Unearned premiums 1,108,009 309,125 106,033 — Net premiums earned 2,049,614 307,739 239,818 — Net investment income1 — — — 236,965 Loss and loss expense incurred 1,187,856 211,300 152,335 — Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 445,661 34,477 55,835 — Other operating expenses2 270,107 53,702 21,905 — Total 1,523,167 345,714 1Includes “Net investment income earned” and “Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)” on the Consolidated Statements of Income. 2“Other operating expenses” of $345,714 reconciles to the Consolidated Statements of Income as follows: $ 271,186 236,965 2,597,171 4,067,163 1,551,491 535,973 Other insurance expenses Other income Total $ $ Net premiums written 2,137,071 304,592 237,761 — 2,679,424 358,069 (12,355) 345,714 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. 135 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES REINSURANCE Years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 SCHEDULE IV ($ thousands) 2021 Premiums earned: Accident and health insurance Property and liability insurance Total premiums earned 2020 Premiums earned: Accident and health insurance Property and liability insurance Total premiums earned 2019 Premiums earned: Accident and health insurance Property and liability insurance Total premiums earned Direct Amount Assumed from Other Companies Ceded to Other Companies Net Amount % of Amount Assumed to Net $ $ $ 2 3,472,713 3,472,715 13 3,108,674 3,108,687 17 2,993,140 2,993,157 — 21,550 21,550 — 25,010 25,010 — 24,399 24,399 2 477,010 477,012 — 3,017,253 3,017,253 13 451,870 451,883 — 2,681,814 2,681,814 17 420,368 420,385 — 2,597,171 2,597,171 — 1 % 1 % — 1 % 1 % — 1 % 1 % See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. SCHEDULE V SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. AND CONSOLIDATED SUBSIDIARIES ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES ON PREMIUMS AND OTHER RECEIVABLES Years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 ($ in thousands) Balance, January Cumulative effect adjustment Balance at the beginning of the period, as adjusted Additions Deductions Balance, December 31 2021 2020 2019 $ $ 22,777 — 22,777 1,766 (9,343) 15,200 10,800 (1,845) 8,955 17,576 (3,754) 22,777 13,900 — 13,900 2,730 (5,830) 10,800 See accompanying Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of this Form 10-K. 136 EXHIBIT INDEX Exhibit Number 3.1 3.2 3.3 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., filed May 4, 2010, as amended by Certificate of Correction thereto, dated August 17, 2020 and effective May 4, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 3.1 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, filed October 29, 2020, File No. 001-33067). Certificate of Amendment of the Restated Certificate of Incorporation of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., with respect to the 4.60% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series B of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., filed with the State of New Jersey Department of Treasury and effective December 7, 2020 (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to the Company’s Registration Statement on Form 8-A, filed December 8, 2020, File No. 001-33067). By-Laws of Selective Insurance Group, Inc., effective July 29, 2015 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 3.2 of the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2015, filed July 30, 2015, File No. 001-33067). Indenture, dated as of September 24, 2002, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and National City Bank, as Trustee, relating to the Company's 1.6155% Senior Convertible Notes due September 24, 2032 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Registration Statement on Form S-3, filed November 26, 2002 File No. 333-101489). Indenture, dated as of November 16, 2004, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Wachovia Bank, National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company's 7.25% Senior Notes due 2034 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 18, 2004, File No. 000-08641). Indenture, dated as of November 3, 2005, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Wachovia Bank, National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company’s 6.70% Senior Notes due 2035 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 9, 2005, File No. 000-08641). Registration Rights Agreement, dated as of November 16, 2004, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 18, 2004, File No. 000-08641). Registration Rights Agreement, dated as of November 3, 2005, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 9, 2005, File No. 000-08641). Indenture, dated as of February 8, 2013, between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and U.S. Bank National Association, as Trustee (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K, filed February 8, 2013, File No. 001-33067). Second Supplemental Indenture, dated as of March 1, 2019 between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and U.S. Bank National Association, as Trustee, relating to the Company’s 5.375% Senior Notes due 2049 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed March 1, 2019 File No. 001-33067). Deposit Agreement, dated as of December 9, 2020, among the Company and Equiniti Trust Company, acting as Depositary, Registrar and Transfer Agent, and the holders from time to time of the depositary receipts described therein (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.2 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed December 9, 2020, File No. 001-33067). 137 Exhibit Number 4.9 10.1+ 10.1a+ 10.1b+ 10.2+ 10.2a+ 10.2b+ 10.3+ 10.4+ 10.5+ 10.6+ 10.7+ 10.8+ 10.9+ Description of the Company's Securities Registered Under Section 12 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 4.9 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, filed February 12, 2021, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Supplemental Pension Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective January 1, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008, filed October 31, 2008, File No. 001-33067). Amendment No. 1 to Selective Insurance Supplemental Pension Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective January 1, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8- K, filed March 25, 2013, File No. 001-33067). Amendment No. 2 to Selective Insurance Supplemental Pension Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective January 1, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, filed May 5, 2020, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005), As Amended and Restated Effective as of January 1, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011, filed October 27, 2011, File No. 001-33067). Amendment No 1. to Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005) (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2a of the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011, filed October 27, 2011, File No. 001-33067). Amendment No. 2 to Selective Insurance Company of America Deferred Compensation Plan (2005), As Amended and Restated Effective as of January 1, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K, filed March 25, 2013, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan, effective May 1, 2014 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix A-1 to the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2014 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed April 3, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.2 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.3 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.4 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Unit Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.5 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Unit Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.6 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10- Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). 138 Exhibit Number 10.10+ 10.11+ 10.12+ 10.13+ 10.14+ 10.15+ Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Restricted Stock Unit Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.7 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan As Amended and Restated Effective as of May 1, 2010 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix C of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2010 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed March 25, 2010, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan as Amended and Restated Effective as of May 2, 2018 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix A of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2018 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed March 26, 2018, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.9 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005, filed March 1, 2006, File No. 000-08641). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan Automatic Director Stock Option Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 2 of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2005 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed April 6, 2005, File No. 000-08641). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Compensation and Deferral Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective as of January 1, 2017 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.18 to the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, filed February 22, 2017, File No. 001-33067). 10.16+ (P) Deferred Compensation Plan for Directors (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.5 to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1993, File No. 000-08641). 10.17+ 10.18+ 10.19+ 10.20+ 10.21+ 10.22+ 10.23+ Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Employee Stock Purchase Plan (2021), Amended and Restated Effective July 1, 2021 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2021, filed April 29, 2021, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan As Amended and Restated as of May 1, 2014 (incorporated by reference herein to Appendix B to the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2014 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed March 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Service-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.8 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Performance-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.9 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10- Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2014, filed April 24, 2014, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.14c of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, filed February 28, 2008, File No. 001-33067). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.14d of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, filed February 28, 2008, File No. 001-33067). Amended and Restated Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Purchase Plan for Independent Insurance Agencies (2010), Amended and Restated as of November 1, 2020 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, filed October 29, 2020, File No. 001-33067). 139 Exhibit Number 10.24+ 10.25+ 10.26+ 10.27+ 10.28+ 10.29+ 10.30+ 10.31+ 10.32+ 10.33+ 10.34+ 10.35 10.36 10.37+ Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Option Plan for Directors (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit B of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2000 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed March 31, 2000, File No. 000-08641). Amendment to the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Option Plan for Directors, as amended, effective as of July 26, 2006, (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.3 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006, filed August 4, 2006, File No. 000-08641). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Compensation Plan for Nonemployee Directors, (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit A of the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement for its 2000 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, filed March 31, 2000, File No. 000-08641). Amendment to Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Stock Compensation Plan for Nonemployee Directors, as amended (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.22a of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, filed February 27, 2009, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Gregory E. Murphy, effective as of February 1, 2020 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 1, 2019, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and John J. Marchioni, dated as of February 10, 2020 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.32 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, filed February 12, 2020, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Mark A. Wilcox, dated as of October 28, 2016 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed October 31, 2016, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Michael H. Lanza, dated as of March 2, 2020 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company's Current Report on Form 8- K, filed March 2, 2020, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Brenda M. Hall, dated as of September 30, 2019 (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2021, filed October 28, 2021, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Paul Kush, dated as of December 5, 2019 (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.2 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10- Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2021, filed October 28, 2021, File No. 001-33067). Employment Agreement between Selective Insurance Company of America and Vincent M. Senia, dated as of June 6, 2017 (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.3 of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2021, filed October 28, 2021, File No. 001-33067). Credit Agreement among Selective Insurance Group, Inc., the Lenders Named Therein and Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, as Administrative Agent, dated as of December 20, 2019 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.34 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, filed February 12, 2020, File No. 001-33067). Form of Indemnification Agreement between Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and each of its directors and executive officers, as adopted on May 19, 2005 (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.1 of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed May 20, 2005, File No. 000-08641). Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Deferred Compensation Plan (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.27 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009, filed February 24, 2010, File No. 001-33067). 140 Exhibit Number 10.38+ *21 *23.1 *24.1 *24.2 *24.3 *24.4 *24.5 *24.6 *24.7 *24.8 *24.9 *24.10 *24.11 *24.12 *24.13 *24.14 *24.15 *24.16 *31.1 *31.2 **32.1 **32.2 *99.1 ** 101 ** 104 Amendment No. 1 to the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Deferred Compensation Plan (incorporated by reference herein to Exhibit 10.27a of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010, filed February 25, 2011, File No. 001-33067). Subsidiaries of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Consent of KPMG LLP. Power of Attorney of Ainar D. Aijala, Jr. Power of Attorney of Lisa Rojas Bacus. Power of Attorney of John C. Burville. Power of Attorney of Terrence W. Cavanaugh. Power of Attorney of Wole C. Coaxum. Power of Attorney of Robert Kelly Doherty. Power of Attorney of Thomas A. McCarthy. Power of Attorney of Stephen C. Mills. Power of Attorney of H. Elizabeth Mitchell. Power of Attorney of Michael J. Morrissey. Power of Attorney of Gregory E. Murphy. Power of Attorney of Cynthia S. Nicholson. Power of Attorney of William M. Rue. Power of Attorney of John S. Scheid. Power of Attorney of J. Brian Thebault. Power of Attorney of Philip H. Urban. Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Glossary of Terms. The following financial statements from the Company's Annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, formatted in Inline Extensible Business Reporting Language (iXBRL): (i) Consolidated Balance Sheets, (ii) Consolidated Statements of Income, (II) Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income, (iv) Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity, (v) Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, and (vi) Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. The cover page from the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, formatted in iXBRL. * Filed herewith. ** Furnished and not filed herewith. + Management compensation plan or arrangement. (P) Paper filed. Item 16. Form 10-K Summary. None. 141 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized. SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. By: /s/ John J. Marchioni John J. Marchioni President and Chief Executive Officer (principal executive officer) By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox Mark A. Wilcox Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (principal financial officer) By: /s/ Anthony D. Harnett Anthony D. Harnett Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer (principal accounting officer) February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 142 Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this Report has been signed below by the following persons on behalf of the Registrant and in the capacities and on the date indicated. By: /s/ John J. Marchioni John J. Marchioni President and Chief Executive Officer * Ainar D. Aijala, Jr. Director * Lisa Rojas Bacus Director * John C. Burville Director * Terrence W. Cavanaugh Director * Wole C. Coaxum Director * Robert Kelly Doherty Director * Thomas A. McCarthy Director * Stephen C. Mills Director * H. Elizabeth Mitchell Director * Michael J. Morrissey Director * Gregory E. Murphy Non-Executive Chairperson of the Board * Cynthia S. Nicholson Director * William M. Rue Director * John S. Scheid Director * J. Brian Thebault Director * Philip H. Urban Director 143 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 February 11, 2022 * By: /s/ Michael H. Lanza Michael H. Lanza Attorney-in-fact February 11, 2022 144 SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. SUBSIDIARIES AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2021 Name Jurisdiction in which organized Parent Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Auto Insurance Company of New Jersey New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Casualty Insurance Company New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Fire and Casualty Insurance Company New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of America New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of New England New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of New York New York Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina Indiana Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast Indiana Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Way Insurance Company New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. SRM Insurance Brokerage, LLC. New Jersey Selective Way Insurance Company Wantage Avenue Holding Company, Inc. New Jersey Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast Exhibit 21 Percentage voting securities owned 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 75 % 25 % 100 %  Exhibit 23.1 Consent of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm We consent to the incorporation by reference in the registration statements (Nos. 333-255640, 333‑224607, 333‑195617, 333‑168765, 333‑125451, 033‑14620, 333‑147383,333‑41674, 333‑10465, 333‑88806, 333‑97799, 333‑87832, and 333‑31942) on Form S‑8 and the registration statements (Nos. 333-256741, 333‑136024, 333‑110576, 333‑101489, and 333‑71953) on Form S‑3 of our reports dated February 11, 2022, with respect to the consolidated financial statements and financial statement schedules I to V of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting. /s/ KPMG LLP New York, New York February 11, 2022 Exhibit 31.1 Certification pursuant to Rule 13a–14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 I, JOHN J. MARCHIONI, President and Chief Executive Officer of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), certify, that: 1. I have reviewed this annual report on Form 10-K of the Company; 2. Based on my knowledge, this annual report on Form 10-K does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report; 3. Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this annual report on Form 10- K, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations, comprehensive income and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report; 4. The registrant's other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and have: (a) Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared; (b) Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles; (c) Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and (d) Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant's most recent fiscal quarter (the registrant's fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant's internal control over financial reporting; and 5. The registrant's other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant's auditors and the audit committee of the registrant's board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions): (a) All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant's ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and (b) Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting. Date: February 11, 2022 By: /s/ John J. Marchioni John J. Marchioni President and Chief Executive Officer Exhibit 31.2 Certification pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a), as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 I, MARK A. WILCOX, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), certify, that: 1. I have reviewed this annual report on Form 10-K of the Company; 2. Based on my knowledge, this annual report on Form 10-K does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report; 3. Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this annual report on Form 10- K, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations, comprehensive income and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report; 4. The registrant's other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and have: (a) Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared; (b) Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles; (c) Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and (d) Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant's most recent fiscal quarter (the registrant's fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant's internal control over financial reporting; and 5. The registrant's other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant's auditors and the audit committee of the registrant's board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions): (a) All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant's ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and (b) Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting. Date: February 11, 2022 By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox Mark A. Wilcox Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Certification pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 32.1 I, JOHN J. MARCHIONI, President and Chief Executive Officer of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), hereby certify, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, that the annual report on Form 10-K of the Company for the period ended December 31, 2021, which this certification accompanies, fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the information contained in the Form 10-K fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and results of operations of the Company. Date: February 11, 2022 By: /s/ John J. Marchioni John J. Marchioni President and Chief Executive Officer Certification pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 32.2 I, MARK A. WILCOX, the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), hereby certify, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, that the annual report on Form 10-K of the Company for the period ended December 31, 2021, which this certification accompanies, fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the information contained in the Form 10-K fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and results of operations of the Company. Date: February 11, 2022 By: /s/ Mark A. Wilcox Mark A. Wilcox Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.1 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Ainar D. Aijala Jr. POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.2 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Lisa Rojas Bacus POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.3 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ John C. Burville POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.4 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Terrence W. Cavanaugh POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.5 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Wole C. Coaxum POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.6 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Robert Kelly Doherty POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.7 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Thomas A. McCarthy POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.8 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Stephen C. Mills POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.9 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ H. Elizabeth Mitchell POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.10 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Michael J. Morrissey POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.11 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, the Non-Executive Chairperson of the Board of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Gregory E. Murphy POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.12 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Cynthia S. Nicholson POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.13 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ William M. Rue POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.14 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ John S. Scheid POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.15 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ J. Brian Thebault POWER OF ATTORNEY Exhibit 24.16 KNOW ALL BY THESE PRESENTS THAT I, the undersigned, a Director of Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the “Company”), do hereby appoint John J. Marchioni, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Mark A. Wilcox, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, and Michael H. Lanza, Executive Vice President and General Counsel of the Company, as my true and lawful attorney-in-fact and agent with full power of substitution and resubstitution for me and in my name, place and stead, and in any and all capacities, to execute on my behalf the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, and any amendments and supplements thereto, and to file the same with all exhibits thereto, and other documents in connection therewith, with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and hereby grant to such attorney-in-fact and agent full power and authority to do and perform each and every act and thing requisite and necessary to be done, as fully to all intents and purposes as I might do or could do in person, hereby ratifying and confirming all that said attorney-in-fact and agent, or their substitute or substitutes may lawfully do or cause to be done by virtue hereof. Date: February 11, 2022 /s/ Philip H. Urban Glossary of Terms Accident Year: accident year reporting focuses on the cost of the losses that occurred in a given year regardless of when reported. These losses are calculated by adding all payments that have been made for those losses occurring in a given calendar year (regardless of the year in which they were paid) to any current reserve that remains for losses that occurred in that given calendar year. Agent (Independent Retail Insurance Agent): a distribution partner who recommends and markets insurance to individuals and businesses; usually represents several insurance companies. Insurance companies pay agents for business production. Allocated loss expenses: defense, litigation, and medical cost containment expense, whether internal or external. Audit Premium: premiums based on data from an insured’s records, such as payroll data. Insured’s records are subject to periodic audit for purposes of verifying premium amounts. Book Value per Common Share: an expression of the value of an entity per outstanding common share, which is calculated by dividing common stockholders’ equity by the number of common shares outstanding as of a specified date. This metric is used by both investors and us in evaluating the financial strength of our company. Catastrophe Loss: severe loss, as defined by the Insurance Services Office's Property Claims Service (PCS) unit, either natural or man-made, usually involving, but not limited to, many risks from one occurrence such as fire, hurricane, tornado, earthquake, windstorm, explosion, hail, severe winter weather, and terrorism. Combined Ratio: measure of underwriting profitability determined by dividing the sum of all GAAP expenses (losses, loss expenses, underwriting expenses, and dividends to policyholders) by GAAP net premiums earned for the period. A ratio over 100% is indicative of an underwriting loss, and a ratio below 100% is indicative of an underwriting profit. Credit Risk: risk that a financially-obligated party will default on any type of debt by failing to make payment obligations. Examples include: (i) a bond issuer does not make a payment on a coupon or principal payment when due; or (ii) a reinsurer does not pay policy obligations. Credit Spread: represents the risk premium required by market participants for a given credit quality and debt issuer. Spread is the difference between the yield on a particular debt instrument and the yield of a similar maturity U.S. Treasury debt security. Changes in credit spreads may arise from changes in economic conditions and perceived risk of default or downgrade of individual debt issuers. Customers: another term for policyholders; individuals or entities that purchase our insurance products or services. Diluted Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding: represents weighted-average common shares outstanding adjusted for the impact of any dilutive common stock equivalents. Direct New Business: premiums for all new policies sold directly by the insurance subsidiaries during a specific accounting period, without consideration given to reinsurance activities. Distribution Partners: insurance consultants that we partner with in selling our insurance products and services. Independent retail insurance agents are our distribution partners for standard market business and wholesale general agents are our distribution partners for E&S market business. Exhibit 99.1 Invested Assets per Dollar of Common Stockholders' Equity Ratio: measure of investment leverage calculated by dividing invested assets by common stockholders' equity. Liquidity Spread: represents the risk premium that flows to a market participant willing to provide liquidity to another market participant that is demanding it. The spread is the difference between the price a seller is willing to accept to sell the asset and the price the buyer is willing to pay for the asset. Loss Expenses: expenses incurred in the process of evaluating, defending, and paying claims. Loss and Loss Expense Reserves: amount of money an insurer expects to pay for claim obligations and related expenses resulting from losses that have occurred and are covered by insurance policies it has sold. Loss Trend: represents increases or decreases to losses incurred relative to underlying exposures over time and is typically expressed as a percentage relative to the loss ratio. Various factors influence loss trend and can affect claims frequency and severity. These factors include, but are not limited to, legislative enactments, judicial decisions, changes in societal behavior as well as economic and social inflation. Loss trend may be historical, which we estimate based on our historical loss experience, or future, which we estimate using our loss experience supplemented with forward-looking indicators. Net Premiums Written to Statutory Surplus Ratio: statutory measure of solvency risk calculated by dividing net statutory premiums written for the year by the ending statutory surplus. Non-Catastrophe Property Losses: Losses and loss expenses incurred that are attributable to property coverages that we have written throughout our lines of business, but exclude any such amounts that are related to catastrophe losses. Non-GAAP Operating Income: non-GAAP measure that is comparable to net income available to common stockholders with the exclusion of after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments, and after-tax debt retirement costs. Non-GAAP operating income is used as an important financial measure by us, analysts, and investors, because the realization of investment gains and losses on sales of securities in any given period is largely discretionary as to timing. In addition, net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses on investments that are charged to earnings and the debt retirement costs could distort the analysis of trends. Non-GAAP Operating Income per Diluted Common Share: non-GAAP measure that is comparable to net income available to common stockholders per diluted common share with the exclusion of after-tax net realized and unrealized gains and losses on investments, and after-tax debt retirement costs. Non-GAAP Operating Return on Common Equity: measurement of profitability that reveals the amount of non-GAAP operating income generated by dividing non-GAAP operating income by average common stockholders’ equity during the period. Reinsurance: insurance company assuming all or part of a risk undertaken by another insurance company. Reinsurance spreads the risk among insurance companies to reduce the impact of losses on individual companies. Types of reinsurance include proportional, excess of loss, treaty, and facultative. Earned Premiums: portion of a premium that is recognized as income based on the expired portion of the policy period. Premiums Written: premiums for all policies sold during a specific accounting period. Effective Duration: expressed in years, provides an approximate measure of the portfolio's price sensitivity to a change in interest rates, taking into consideration how the change in interest rates may impact the timing of expected cash flows. Frequency: a measure of the rate at which claims occur that is generally calculated by dividing the number of claims by a measure of exposure, such as earned premium or earned exposure units. Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development: Loss reserve development is the increase or decrease in incurred loss and loss expenses as a result of the re-estimation of these amounts at successive valuation dates. Prior year casualty reserve development is casualty loss reserve development related to prior accident years. Renewal Pure Price: estimated average premium change on renewal policies (excludes all significant exposure changes). Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP): accounting practices used in the United States of America determined by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. Public companies use GAAP when preparing financial statements to be filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) Reserves: reserves for estimated losses that have been incurred by insureds but not yet reported plus provisions for future emergence on known claims and reopened claims. Interest Rate Risk: exposure to interest rate risk relates primarily to market price and cash flow variability associated with changes in interest rates. A rise in interest rates may decrease the fair value of our existing fixed income security investments and declines in interest rates may result in an increase in the fair value of our existing fixed income security investments. Retention: measures how well an insurance company retains business. Retention is expressed as a ratio of renewed over expired business, based on aggregate line of business coverages provided to our customers. Return on Common Equity: measure of profitability that is calculated by dividing net income available to common stockholders by average common stockholders' equity during the period. Risk: two distinct and frequently used meanings in insurance: (i) the chance that a claim loss will occur; or (ii) an insured or the property covered by a policy. Exhibit 99.1 Glossary of Terms Severity: a measure of the average cost of claims that provides an indication of the amount of damage that is, or may be, inflicted by a loss. In general, severity is calculated by dividing loss and loss expenses incurred by the number of claims. Statutory Accounting Principles (SAP): accounting practices prescribed and required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) and state insurance departments that stress evaluation of a company’s solvency. Statutory Surplus: amount left after an insurance company’s liabilities are subtracted from its assets. Statutory surplus is not based on GAAP, but SAP prescribed or permitted by state and foreign insurance regulators. Unallocated loss expenses: loss adjustment expenses other than allocated loss adjustment expenses. Underwriting: insurer’s process of reviewing applications submitted for insurance coverage, deciding whether to provide all or part of the coverage requested, and determining applicable premiums and terms and conditions of coverage. Underwriting Result: underwriting income or loss; represents premiums earned less insurance losses and loss expenses, underwriting expenses, and dividends to policyholders. This measure of performance is used by management and analysts to evaluate profitability of underwriting operations and is not intended to replace GAAP net income. Unearned Premiums: portion of a premium that a company has written but has yet to earn because a portion of the policy is unexpired. Wholesale General Agent: distribution partner authorized to underwrite on behalf of a surplus lines insurer through binding authority agreements. Insurance companies pay wholesale general agents for business production. Yield on Investments: Yield is the income earned on an investment, expressed as an annual percentage rate that is calculated by dividing income earned by the average invested asset balance. Yield can be calculated based on either pre-tax or after-tax income and can be calculated on the entire investment portfolio, or on a portion thereof, such as the fixed income securities portfolio. 

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