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Fortum Oyj

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FY2023 Annual Report · Fortum Oyj
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CEO’s Business 
Review 2023

Highlights 2023

Fortum’s 2023 reporting entity

CEO’s Business Review

Renewed 
strategy 
to drive clean energy 
transition 

98% 
of power 
generation was 
CO2-free 

Successful and fast 
stabilisation 
of financial position 
supported by solid 
earnings 

Comparable  
operating profit of 

EUR 1,544
million

Leverage ratio at very 
low level – financial  
net debt to  
comparable EBITDA 

0.5 times 

New dividend policy, 
dividend proposal 
for 2023 of 

EUR 1.15 
per share

Loss of control of 
the Russian assets, 
full impairments and 
deconsolidation

Financials

Governance

Remuneration

Tax Footprint

Sustainability 
2023

Sustainability

to be published in week 12

2

CEO’s Business Review 2023Financials 2023Governance 2023Remuneration 2023Tax Footprint 2023CEO’s Business  Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023CEO’s Business  
Review 2023

CEO’s Business Review 
2023

Dear Stakeholders, 

Year 2023 was characterised by a downward trend for gas 
and power prices in Europe. In the autumn, the Nordic weather 
realised milder than normal, however, turned cold and dry in 
the fourth quarter. The cold breeze, together with below-normal 
wind conditions, led to a rapidly decreasing water reservoir 
balance; consequently Nordic spot prices recovered by the end 
of the year from the lower levels seen in the previous quarter.
In our 2023 financial results, the Generation segment’s 
strong performance was the key earnings driver throughout 
the year. The segment benefitted from high power prices in 
the Nordics and good physical optimisation supported by high 
price volatility, posting an all-time high comparable operating 
profit of EUR 1,679 million and an achieved power price of 
63.1 euro per MWh for the full year. In the fourth quarter, 
the Generation segment’s comparable operating profit 
declined due to the lower achieved power price, lower power 
production of condensing power generation, lower results in 
the renewables and decarbonisation businesses and higher 
costs related to co-owned production companies. This was 
partly offset by higher power generation volumes and lower 
depreciations in the Loviisa nuclear power plant. 

During 2023, we successfully regained our financial 
strength, driven by solid earnings and cash flow. At the 
end of the year, our leverage was at 0.5 times, and we had 
undrawn credit facilities and liquid funds of EUR 7.5 billion. In 
May, we successfully returned to the fixed income market by 
issuing two bonds totalling EUR 1.15 billion. To finance future 
potential investments in clean energy, we prepared the Green 
Finance Framework, which was published in January 2024. 

Based on the strong Group results in 2023, Fortum’s Board 

of Directors is proposing to the Annual General Meeting 
a dividend of EUR 1.15 per share, corresponding to a 90% 
payout of comparable EPS.

3

FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Overall, after a period of unprecedented turbulence, 

2023 was a year of stabilising and transforming our 
operations. In March, we announced our new strategy and 
purpose with a Nordic focus along with new financial and 
environmental targets. 

One of our strategic priorities is to deliver reliable and clean 

energy. To ensure long-term productivity and security of 
supply, we announced several projects in 2023 that enhance 
our best-in-class operations, such as the Loviisa nuclear 
power plant lifetime extension until 2050 and upgrades 
of the hydropower plants, for example Untra in Sweden. A 
hugely important event was the start of commercial power 
generation of the Olkiluoto 3 nuclear power unit, of which 
Fortum owns 25%. The construction of our Pjelax 380-MW 
wind farm, which is Finland’s third largest, progressed on 
time and within budget. Testing of power generation has 
started, and the wind farm will be commissioned in the second 
quarter of 2024. The acquisition of Telge Energi, one of the 
10 largest clean energy providers in Sweden, is a very good 
fit with our consumer business, and it increases our consumer 
and enterprise customer base by 150,000. During the winter 
months, Finland’s last coal-fired condensing plant, Meri-Pori, 
has operated on a commercial basis to support security of 
supply in the Nordic power market, but it will be transferred to 
production reserve for emergency situations in March 2024.
Our second strategic priority is to drive decarbonisation 

in industries. Our aim is to offer clean and stable power 
supply for our customers’ decarbonisation needs and to 
actively develop projects to enable growth longer term 
to build new clean energy production in partnership with 
strategic customers. In the scope of our nuclear feasibility 
study, we have partnered up and are exploring potential 
cooperation opportunities with both technology suppliers as 
well as energy customers. The support for nuclear power in 
Finland and Sweden is at a record high at the moment, and 
we are engaging with both governments to discuss how the 
conditions for potential new nuclear could be improved. During 
the year, we made a 225-million-euro investment decision 
related to the Espoo Clean Heat programme and began the 
groundworks of the heat pump plant in Kirkkonummi. As 
part of a unique collaboration project with Microsoft, we will 
capture sustainable waste heat from their new data centres 

for use in our district heating. We also saw progress in our 
strategic target to build a strong power purchase agreement 
(PPA) portfolio by signing power supply contracts with various 
industrial customers; these contracts support decarbonisation 
of industries while also lowering risks and contributing to 
stabilisation of earnings and cash flow from our outright 
power generation. 

With our third strategic priority to transform and develop, 
we launched a new operating model and business structure, 
appointed a new leadership team, completed a reorganisation 
and set up new core governance processes. We are continuing 
to develop our culture and leadership to enable efficient 
strategy execution. As Fortum is a much smaller company 
than it was a year ago, we need to adjust to fit the new 
structure and purpose; therefore, we launched an efficiency 
improvement programme with the target to gradually lower 
annual fixed costs by EUR 100 million until the end of 2025. 
To reach the target, actions unfortunately also include 
personnel reductions. We are also addressing turnaround 
actions for underperforming businesses as well as a rescoping 
of our focus areas.

Geopolitical tensions remained high during the year and, 
unfortunately, Russia’s attack on Ukraine and the full-blown 
war continued. In the second quarter, we closed the books 
on our operations in Russia for good. Due to the Russian 
authorities’ unlawful seizure of our assets in Russia, we 
lost control of our operations, impaired them in full and 
deconsolidated the Russia segment. As Russia’s actions are 
a crude violation of the international investment protection 
treaties and deprive Fortum of its shareholder rights, we 
have sent notices of dispute to Russia and the consequent 
arbitration proceedings are expected to be initiated in 
early 2024.

In the second half of 2023, uncertainty in Fortum’s 

operating environment increased further. Economic softness 
is widespread, with elevated inflation and interest rates 
that dampen the investment sentiment across all sectors. 
One decisive factor for investments is abundant subsidies 
available for non-economic decarbonisation projects, which 
seems to steer investments outside Finland and the Nordics. 
As economic weakness is forecasted to continue in 2024, 
we will navigate the uncertainty through our phased strategy 

execution. In the near term, we will sharpen our focus and 
ensure optimisation of existing operations, especially our 
generation portfolio, as well as manage business risks. At the 
same time, we are building preparedness for the electrification 
and growth phase longer term. As one of the largest energy 
companies in the Nordics, we are in a unique position. The 
Nordic power market as well as our power generation are 
already almost fully decarbonised and clean with hardly any 
fossil production to be replaced. Together with our customers, 
we are preparing for the growth phase and are ready to pave 
the way for decarbonisation of other industries as well once 
demand picks up again. 

The developments in the Nordic power market following 
the winter of 2022–23 crisis show that high price volatility 
and even extreme price peaks have become the new normal. 
The main reason is the increasing share of intermittent wind 
power and lower share of firm and flexible capacity in the 
Nordic energy system. While the market works as it was 
designed to, the volatility was extreme as the spot price was 
negative during 11 days in 2023 and reached a daily average 
of up to 900 euros per megawatt hour on the harshest cold 
spell day in January 2024. An expectation of future rare price 
peaks, however, will not be a sufficient incentive for merchant 
investments in new firm or flexible capacity. On the contrary, 
induced fears could deter investments into electrification 
for decarbonisation. It is evident that additional measures, 
such as capacity mechanisms or other investment incentives, 
are needed to ensure security of electricity supply and to 
encourage investments into industrial decarbonisation.

Finally, I would like to thank all our employees for their 

commitment and hard work during the year and our customers 
and all other stakeholders for their continued trust in us to 
deliver our purpose to power a world where people, businesses 
and nature thrive together.

Markus Rauramo
President and CEO

4

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Market Development 

After the energy crisis in 2022, the Nordic power 
market was characterised both by a return to a 
more normal state and by the realisation that the 
new normal has changed.

A mild start of the year, strong LNG flows, well-filled gas 
storages and significant energy saving measures in Europe 
provided for gradually easing gas prices during 2023. This, 
in turn, was reflected throughout the European power 
markets which also saw decreasing prices. In the Nordics, the 
commissioning of the 1.6 GW Olkiluoto 3 nuclear unit in spring 
2023 in Finland and continued strong growth in the onshore 
wind power capacity strengthened the region’s power supply 
significantly putting further downward pressure on prices. 
This supply increase not only compensated for the previous 
year’s discontinuation of the power imports from Russia, but it 
was a key factor pushing down futures prices to levels similar 
to those seen prior to the energy crisis. At the same time, 
corresponding futures prices in several Continental European 
markets, although strongly reduced from 2022, remained 
clearly above the pre-crisis levels. 

The Nordic system price in 2023 was realised at 56 EUR/
MWh while the 2022 realisation was at 136 EUR/MWh. The 
futures price for 2025 baseload delivery started the year 
at 68 EUR/MWh, decreasing to 45 EUR/MWh at the end of 
the year.

Besides becoming extremely price competitive, the Nordic 
power supply is solid with close to 10% of the total generation 
being exported to the Baltics, Continental Europe and the 
UK. Another competitive edge for the Nordics is that Nordic 
power generation was 99% carbon-free last year. Adding 
these elements together, last year’s figures indicate that the 
Nordic power market is ready to pave the way to decarbonise 
other sectors of the economy as well. However, securing 
investments in the energy transition longer term will require 
further development of transparent, predictable and robust 

regulatory framework at the EU and national level, increased 
actions to create new production and demand flexibility as 
well as improved processes to utilise the already existing 
flexibility.

Even though the annual baseload prices, both in terms of 

realised spot and futures markets, have returned to levels 
similar to before the crisis, the dynamics of the Nordic power 
market have changed. Strong growth in wind power, especially 
in the northern price areas, and the new interconnectors in 
southern Norway have contributed to a growing price gap 
between lower-priced northern and higher-priced southern 
parts of the region. Continued strengthening of transmission 
capacity remains crucial in order to enable the Nordic 
potential for renewable energy to be further developed for 
the benefit of the Nordic economy as well as for the European 
energy security and climate goals.

Another equally significant change has been the increase 

in price volatility with the most extreme variations seen in 
the Finnish and Baltic price areas. With the share of wind 
production being more than a third of the Finnish power 
supply on a windy day and export possibilities to neighbouring 
areas remaining limited, the Finnish spot market saw the 
most negative price hours of all the EU countries last year. On 
the other hand, a low wind period in August, coinciding with 
maintenance outages on the Swedish-Finnish interconnector 
and two nuclear units, sent the highest hourly spot prices 
in Finland to above 500 EUR/MWh while prices in Sweden 
and Continental Europe remained close to annual average 
levels. A prolonged cold period in January 2024 tested the 
joint functioning of the supply and demand flexibility in a 
strained situation in Finland. Even if the system worked as 
planned, in the sense that no system reserve units or forced 
load shedding were needed, the average daily spot price was 
extremely high at 900 euro per MWh peaking at 1,900 euro 
per MWh. The realised consumption and regulating prices 
suggest that the market is still learning how to forecast and 
utilise the already increased demand flexibility.

Fortum, as an owner of a significant share of Swedish and 
Finnish hydro and nuclear power capacity, plays an important 
role in the Nordic power market that is a pioneer in creating 
a clean power system while also supporting industrial 
decarbonisation. Our role goes far beyond just owning and 
operating these existing assets. It is about ensuring that 
each of the more than 150 individual power plants we own 
are operated in an optimised and sustainable way, finding 
common solutions and risk sharing models to enable new 
investments and understanding the whole value chain from 
Nordic power generation to end-use demand.

5

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Spot price development 2013–2023, EUR/MWh

System

Helsinki

Stockholm

Sundsvall

Source: Nord Pool

Gas price developmet 2013–2023 (TTF front month), EUR/MWh

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

 1

Source: ICE, Refinitiv 

 1

From deep turmoil towards  
a new normal    

The energy industry operates at the foundation of all 
functioning and prospering modern societies. However, during 
this decade, our operating environment has been under 
constant turmoil. 

First, we were hit by a negative demand shock from the 
global Covid-19 pandemic significantly affecting economic 
activity across various sectors. Next, the backdrop started 
changing and gradually turned into a supply shock towards the 
latter half of 2021, dramatically exacerbated by the Russian 
invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, leading to concerns around 
both energy availability and affordability. 

While Europe survived the flux of disruptions fairly well, 

having a relatively healthy position in terms of its broad 
energy security, the implications of these events are still being 
felt. As with all major transformations, low visibility to the 
full implications will most likely continue to deeply shape our 
operating environment during the years to come.

We are currently living in a multipolar world characterised 
by strategic rivalry and tensions between countries, breaking 
the previous cycle of market opening, globalisation and 
rule-based order which we have become accustomed to since 
the early 1990s. We are back to a world divided into multiple 
power blocks competing with each other dogmatically, 
economically and even militarily, further slowing down global 
and possibly even European integration, at least for the near 
term. The increasing fragmentation on the international 
political arena is already visible in terms of a rise of industrial 
policies and subsidies aimed at bolstering national security, 
domestic manufacturing and employment.

In the short term, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty 

clearly weigh down on global economic potential. This 
coincides with the global economy just starting to recover 
from the recent period of extreme inflation, consequent 
monetary tightening and high interest rates which has 
manifested itself also in terms of clearly pushing up the costs 
for the energy transition. Furthermore, it has potentially 
aggravated the gap between affordable energy prices for 
consumption and needed profitability levels for new entry 

6

02040608010012014016020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023050100150200250300350CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023supply. It remains to be seen how Europe manages to both 
retain its economic competitiveness and roll out the planned 
decarbonisation investments across both energy demand and 
supply in this challenging environment.

One of the key implications of the Russian war in Ukraine 

is a re-appreciation of all corners of the energy triangle: 
sustainability, security of supply and affordability. It is fair to 
say that in the past, much of policy focus has been put on 
pushing forward the sustainability and decarbonisation agenda 
including policies and actions to mitigate climate change. In 
hindsight, it is equally fair to state that the two other corners 
of the energy triangle have been somewhat neglected. 

In the past, pursuing targets for the entire triangle was 
considered somewhat incompatible, while today, and going 
forward, the energy trilemma is in broad terms seen to be 
reinforcing each other. If, in the past, decarbonisation of 
energy usage across various sectors was driven by climate 
change mitigation concerns, today it is seen as a way to 
ensure long-term secure, resilient and affordable energy 
supply which is not reliant on fossil energy imports. Adequate 
policy emphasis and solutions need to be decisively put 
forward to ensure electricity system resilience and security of 
supply, and for shielding the electricity market from excessive 
volatility and unpredictability given its growing importance in 
the total energy usage of our societies.

The Nordics as a global clean energy hub

The Nordic market exhibits numerous strengths instrumental 
to facilitating global and European decarbonisation efforts at 
scale and we firmly believe the Nordic region is able to play a 
key role in the upcoming energy transition. Consequently, our 
strategy builds on seizing and enabling this opportunity.
We have the largest hydro power resources in Europe, 
a well-functioning stable nuclear power fleet with societal 
support for new investments with a ready solution for 
disposing of nuclear waste and massive renewables potential, 
especially for wind energy, far exceeding plausible future 
domestic needs for conventional electricity demand. This 
is a formula delivering the most competitive electricity 
prices in Europe today, having the potential to attract 

industries needing clean, affordable and predictable energy 
for decarbonisation.

While direct electrification is the go-to route for several 

industrial sectors, such as residential heat and light 
transport, there are other applications, especially in certain 
industrial processes and heavy transport, needing high 
energy densities where electrification alone is not suitable. 
For these applications, hydrogen and its derivative e-fuels 
offer a solution with the Nordic region possessing unique 
advantages. In addition to its competitive clean electricity, 
there is abundant supply of fresh water and good availability 
of biogenic carbon together with an ability to connect excess 
electrolyser heat into e.g. existing district heating networks.
In addition, the Nordic region has a developing energy 

infrastructure and energy policy landscape aimed at enabling 
carbon neutrality. Nordic transmission system operators for 
electricity and gas are cooperating both nationally and across 
the Gulf of Bothnia to develop a long-term plan to build a 
robust energy transmission network covering both the Nordics 
and extensive export routes to the Continent to facilitate both 
electricity and hydrogen trade. This development makes the 
Nordic countries increasingly interconnected to the rest of 
Europe, enabling them to serve a larger pool of demand either 
via exports of electricity and hydrogen or, alternatively, by 
locating new demand directly in the Nordics.

The Nordic region is ideally positioned to connect abundant 

clean energy resources with the structurally clean energy 
deficient markets on the Continent, thereby obtaining the 
role of a major energy hub – a decarbonised, affordable 
and European contribution to solving the energy trilemma. 
Leveraging such new opportunities, there is already now 
concrete evidence of several companies contemplating 
investments in fully decarbonised industries and value 
chains around e.g. green steel, green fuels and battery 
manufacturing. Over the coming years and decades, this 
development will likely lead to electricity demand growth in 
the order of hundreds of terawatt hours, potentially doubling 
the Nordic market size.

 As a trusted energy partner with a competitive production 

fleet and unparalleled energy industry know-how, Fortum is 
well-positioned to play a key role in this transition.

Fortum and market position

Fortum is the third-largest power generator in the Nordics and 
one of Europe’s cleanest power generators. In 2023, roughly 
98.5% of the Group’s EBITDA originates from the company’s 
Nordic 45 TWh outright power generation, which is based on 
CO2-free hydro and nuclear power. 

Fortum is also the largest electricity retailer in the Nordics 

with 2.4 million customers representing a market share of 
15%. Furthermore, Fortum has district heating and cooling 
business in Finland and Poland. In 2023, Fortum produced 
4.3 TWh of heat mainly from energy-efficient combined heat 
and power (CHP) plants. These businesses are complemented 
by onshore wind and solar, electricity and gas retail business 
in Poland and circular economy businesses.

7

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Specific CO2 emissions of major utilities in Europe, gCO2/kWh electricity, 2022

Nordic power generation, 419 TWh, over 350 companies

Vattenfall
Statkraft
Fortum
Uniper
Hafslund
PVO
Å Energi
Ørsted
Eviny
Norsk Hydro
Others

Source: Fortum, company information, 2022 figures pro forma. Fortum continuing operations.

Fortum's data includes specific carbon dioxide emissions from power generation in Europe in 2023. 
All other figures, except Fortum, include European power generation in 2022. For some companies the PwC figures might also include heat production.  
Source: PwC, December 2023, Climate change and Electricity, Fortum.

Largest power generators in Europe, TWh

Nordic electricity retail, 16 million customers,  
~350 companies

Source: Company information, Fortum analyses, 2022 figures pro forma. 
*2021 figures for Ukrainian companies. 
Fortum continuing operations. EPH incl. LEAG.

 1

 1

Fortum
Vattenfall
Andel
Elmera
E.ON
Norlys
Helen
Oomi
Väre
Lumme Energia
Others

Source:  Fortum, company information, 2022 pro forma.

 1

 1

8

02004006008001,0001,200StatkraftFortumDraxVerbundPVOEDFØrsted       Iberdrola +  Scottish PowerVattenfallEngieEDPE.ONEnecoSSEEnelNaturgyCEZEnBWUniperA2ARWEPPCEPHPGE050100150200250300350400450EDFRWEEnelENGIEVattenfall          NNEGC  Energoatom*EPHIberdrolaPGEUniperStatkraftCEZFortumEnBWEDPEPSNaturgyVerbundAxpoDTEK*SSEDEIØrstedCEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023CEO’s Business  
Review 2023

Business model

Fortum reorganised its operating structure at the 
end of March 2023 and has three business reporting 
segments: Generation, Consumer Solutions and 
Other Operations. The target of the new organisation 
is successful implementation of the company’s 
new purpose and strategy. The new business 
structure mirrors the key value drivers in Fortum’s 
clean generation portfolio, strong sales and trading 
capabilities as well as customer orientation.

Generation segment

The Generation segment consists of the Hydro Generation, 
Nuclear Generation, Corporate Customers and Markets and 
Renewables and Decarbonisation business units.

Hydro Generation
The Hydro Generation business unit is responsible for 
operating, maintaining and developing Fortum’s 4.7 gigawatt 
(GW) hydropower assets. The unit’s key value drivers include 
safe operations and the ability to optimise and increase the 
assets’ flexibility and availability.

Nuclear Generation
The Nuclear Generation business unit operates, maintains 
and develops Fortum’s fully-owned 1.0 GW Loviisa nuclear 
power plant, and it manages Fortum’s ownership in the 
co-owned nuclear assets in Finland and Sweden with a share 
of 2.2 GW. The business has significant in-house engineering 
competencies and it also offers expert services that cover 
the whole lifecycle of nuclear power plants, from newbuilds to 
decommissioning and final disposal of nuclear waste.

Corporate Customers and Markets
The Corporate Customers and Markets business unit is 
responsible for hedging and value creation in both physical 

and financial power markets, locking in revenues for Fortum’s 
power generation and managing the supply for the Consumer 
Solutions unit. The unit also serves as the customer interface 
for large industrial customers and thereby pursues long-term 
value through power demand creation in the Nordic market.

Renewables and Decarbonisation
The Renewables and Decarbonisation business unit is 
responsible for onshore wind and solar power business 
through project development and execution. The unit is 
also responsible for Fortum’s district heating and cooling 
business and the decarbonisation of heat production assets. 
Furthermore, the business unit explores clean hydrogen in 
the Nordics.

Consumer Solutions segment

The Consumer Solutions segment includes the Consumer 
Solutions business unit, which is responsible for offering 
energy solutions to consumers and small and medium-sized 
enterprises predominantly in the Nordics and Poland, including 
customer service and invoicing services. With its over 2 million 
customers, Fortum is the largest energy solution provider in 
the Nordics.

Other operations segment

The Other operations segment includes the Circular Solutions 
business comprising the recycling and waste business, 
turbine and generator services and biobased solutions. These 
businesses are not at the core of Fortum’s new strategy. 
In August 2023, Fortum announced that it had decided to 
assess strategic options, including potential divestments, of 
its Circular Solutions businesses. In addition, Other operations 
include innovation and venturing activities, enabling functions 
and corporate management. Fortum’s enabling functions are 
Finance, Sustainability and Corporate Relations, People and 
Procurement, Legal & Compliance, and Transformation and IT.

9

FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Strategy – Power to renew

Fortum’s renewed strategy with a focus on the 
Nordic market and launched in March 2023 is 
designed to deliver on the company’s new purpose: 
“To power a world where people, businesses and 
nature thrive together”. It crystallises our value 
proposition to our stakeholders.

Fortum has a unique ability to reliably deliver clean energy 
at scale. With its energy, Fortum helps its customers to 
decarbonise their processes and societies to reach carbon 
neutrality in balance with nature.

Operating environment outlook

In the near term, the energy sector continues to be impacted 
by geopolitical tensions, general weaker economic outlook 
with higher inflation and interest rates, tightening regulation 
and volatile commodity markets.

However, in the longer term, electricity is expected to 
continue to gain a significantly higher share of total energy 
consumption. Electricity demand will increasingly benefit from 
the decarbonisation of energy-intensive industrial, transport 
and heating sectors through direct electrification and clean 
hydrogen. The Nordic market provides clean and affordable 
electricity for decarbonisation, and Fortum is well-positioned 
to drive this transition.

10

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Fortum’s strategic priorities:

1. Deliver reliable clean energy
Fortum’s biggest strength is its ability to deliver reliable and clean energy at scale to customers and the Nordic energy 
system ensuring long-term productivity and security of supply. Building on its assets and strong competence to optimise 
the highly competitive power generation fleet, Fortum continues to maintain and develop its best-in-class operations to 
constantly secure top efficiency and flexibility. Fortum also continues to decarbonise and modernise its existing assets and 
operations to ensure optimal value creation and to reach its environmental targets. Partnering with customers to deliver the 
clean power volumes they require on long-term contracts with stable prices will also enable Fortum to better manage the 
impact of the volatile wholesale power prices in the Nordics.

2. Drive decarbonisation in industries
Decarbonisation of heavy industries is a key hurdle to address on the way to carbon neutrality. More sustainable fuels in 
industrial production processes are also accelerating. With its strong position in clean power in the Nordics, Fortum works to 
find solutions for industrial customers to lower their carbon footprint. In line with the growing power demand, Fortum aims 
to develop and build new clean power generation in partnerships with strategic customers longer term and actively develops 
ready-to-build project pipeline of renewables to enable future growth. Further, Fortum explores future opportunities in 
nuclear, for example in small modular reactors (SMRs), in cooperation with customers and partners. Fortum will stepwise and 
in small scale explore hydrogen through pilot projects in the Nordics.

3. Transform and develop
In order to ensure competitiveness in the years to come, the company’s third strategic priority is transformation and 
development. The aim is to restructure organisation to fit the current structure and purpose, build an efficient operating 
model and develop company culture and leadership to support strategy execution. 

Selective growth with disciplined 
growth capital expenditure

Fortum is prudent in its capital allocation, to carefully manage 
the current volatile and uncertain operating environment. 
At the same time, the company aims to take benefit of the 
prevailing good power market conditions.

Fortum’s growth initiatives are selective and target clean 
energy and decarbonisation projects. Fortum has estimated 
that its capital expenditure for the years 2024–2026 would 
amount to EUR 1.7 billion of which growth capital expenditure 
(excluding acquisitions) is estimated to be a maximum of 
EUR 800 million. Annual maintenance capital expenditure is 
estimated to be EUR 300 million. Ongoing growth investments 
include projects such as the 380 MW Pjelax wind project 
and the lifetime extension of the Loviisa nuclear power plant 
in Finland. For its investment decisions, Fortum applies 
investment criteria such as investment hurdles of 150–400 
basis points on top of project WACC. Investment decisions 
will also be evaluated against the company’s climate targets 
and biodiversity.

Financial flexibility with  
updated leverage guidance

Fortum‘s balance sheet is strong and leverage has been 
reduced to a very low level, providing a substantial buffer to 
accommodate for the current uncertain and volatile market 
conditions. Fortum’s objective is to maintain a stable credit 
rating of at least BBB and would be comfortable with financial 
net debt-to-comparable EBITDA of 2.0–2.5 times longer 
term. In order to manage power market risks related to the 
outright generation, Fortum also aims to maintain a sufficient 
liquidity position to manage margining requirements in various 
price scenarios.

At year-end 2023, Fortum’s financial net debt-to-

comparable EBITDA ratio was at a low level of 0.5 times. In 
2023, Fortum refinanced the company’s loan portfolio and 
successfully returned to the bond markets thus extending 
and balancing its debt maturities which further improved 
the group’s financial flexibility. This in turn supports strategy 
execution and growth in the longer term.

11

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023CEO’s Business  
Review 2023

Dividend policy

The dividend policy – a payout ratio of 60–90% of Comparable 
EPS – reflects the potential earnings fluctuations of Fortum’s 
power generation portfolio. The payout ratio will be used so 
that the upper end of the range of the pay-out ratio is applied 
in situations with a strong balance sheet and low investments, 
while the lower end of the range would be applied with high 
leverage and/or significant investments and high capital 
expenditure. For the year 2023, Fortum’s Board of Directors 
proposes a dividend of EUR 1.15 per share which corresponds 
to 90% of the Group’s comparable EPS of EUR 1.28 for 
continuing operations. The Board proposes that the dividend 
be paid in two instalments, in the second and fourth quarter 
of 2024.

Ambitious environmental targets

Fortum’s position as a leading Nordic clean energy company 
is complemented by considerably enhanced environmental 
targets with the aim to be a leader in sustainability.

Fortum brought forward its target to reach carbon neutrality 

(Scopes 1, 2, 3) by 2030 and will exit all coal generation by 
the end of 2027. Fortum has also committed to set emission 
reduction targets based on the climate science (SBTi 1.5 °C). 
Fortum continues the work by further developing its transition 
plan and defining near- and long-term company-wide 
emissions reduction paths and targets in line with the SBTi 
criteria. Fortum’s climate targets will be revisited and aligned 
to correspond to the SBTi Net-zero Standard during the target 
setting process. Fortum’s transition will include the exit from 
coal and emission reduction in the company’s own operations 
as well as influencing its electricity sales footprint through 
product selection and electricity purchases.

To measure the progress, mid-point targets have also 
been set for specific emissions: below 20 g CO2/kWh for 
total energy production and below 10 g CO2/kWh for power 
generation by 2028. Fortum is already taking steps to reach 
the new environmental targets and examples of these include 
the Loviisa nuclear power plant lifetime extension, increasing 
the use of hydro power and the ongoing decarbonisation 
projects in district heating.

12

FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Further, Fortum is also committed to an ambitious 
biodiversity target to have no net loss of biodiversity 
(excluding any aquatic impacts) from existing and new 
operations (Scopes 1, 2) from 2030 onwards. In addition, the 
company will reduce its negative dynamic terrestrial impacts 
in upstream Scope 3 by 50% by 2030 (base year 2021). 
Fortum will continue local initiatives, especially in hydropower 
generation, and is committed to developing a science-based 
methodology to assess the company’s aquatic impacts.

Phased strategy execution to manage 
the short-term uncertainty in the 
operating environment
Fortum will phase the implementation of its strategy to 
enable successful strategy execution and manage the market 
uncertainty and weaker investment sentiment. In the near 
term, a sharpened focus will be put on the core business to 
optimise the existing best-in-class operations, especially the 
generation portfolio, as well as manage business risks, for 
example to decrease the share of merchant exposure. Fortum 
continues to be prudent and disciplined in its capital allocation 
to maximise value creation from flexibility, efficiency, and cash 
flows. During this phase, Fortum prepares for future growth by 
developing a ready-to-build renewables pipeline. Furthermore, 
Fortum is investigating longer-term investments opportunities 
in new nuclear through its ongoing two-year feasibility study 
which is expected to be ready by the end of this year.

With these actions, Fortum will be prepared for growth 
longer term, which will be driven by decarbonisation through 
electrification of other sectors. With its already decarbonised 
production portfolio and hardly any fossil assets to replace, 
Fortum can partner and over time grow with industrial 
customers in clean energy while focusing on efficient 
capital allocation, attractive returns, balanced risk exposure, 
and sustainability.

Strategy implementation based on 
Fortum’s strategic priorities in 2023

Deliver reliable clean energy 
Sustainability and CO₂-free power generation have been part 
of Fortum’s strategy for decades. The energy system needs to 
transform into a system with substantially lower emissions and 
higher resource efficiency.

The successful green transition will require CO₂-free 
capacities which optimally serve the needs of the system, 
society and customers. In order to achieve this, the power 
system needs a balanced mix of capabilities – stable and 
reliable nuclear power, flexible hydro power and intermittent 
renewable energy. 

An example of how Fortum continues to provide reliable 

clean energy is the lifetime extension by approximately 
20 years of Fortum’s Loviisa nuclear power plant until the end 
of 2050. The approval was granted by the Finnish Government 
in February 2023. Over the course of the new licence 
period, the plant is expected to generate up to 170 TWh of 
CO2-free electricity. In 2023–2050, investments related to 
the continuation of operations and lifetime extension will 
amount to an estimated EUR 1 billion. Over the past five years, 
Fortum has already invested approximately EUR 200 million in 
refurbishing the Loviisa power plant. 

In 2023, Fortum also received the license from the Finnish 
Government to operate the final disposal facility for low and 
intermediate-level radioactive waste until the end of 2090. 
This facility, operational since 1998, is located 110 metres 
underground on the Loviisa nuclear power plant site. The 
spent fuel generated at the Loviisa power plant will eventually 
be deposited in Posiva’s final disposal facility for spent nuclear 
fuel, jointly owned by Fortum and Teollisuuden Voima (TVO). 
TVO’s third Olkiluoto nuclear power plant unit (OL3), the 
largest electricity generation unit in Finland by capacity and 
of which Fortum owns a 25% stake, started its commercial 
operations in May 2023. The total capacity of OL3 is 
approximately 1,600 MW (Fortum’s share is approximately 
400 MW), and it will produce approximately 14% of Finland’s 
total electricity consumption. In 2023, Fortum’s share of 
OL3 electricity generation was approximately 2.6 TWh. 

Fortum has several projects, such as upgrades of hydro 

power plants, that enhance the company’s best-in-class 
operations. For example, in September Fortum announced 
that it will invest over SEK 700 million (over EUR 60 million) 
during 2023–2030 to modernise Untra, one of Sweden’s 
oldest hydropower plants. The renovation will involve 
the replacement of three turbine units and a significant 
restructuring of the power plant, all aimed at ensuring Untra’s 
ability to provide flexibility to the power system and to supply 
fossil-free electricity in Sweden. Fortum has also made a 
substantial investment in dam safety for an extensive rebuild 
of the over 100-year-old Forshuvud hydropower plant in 
Sweden. Fortum is investing approximately SEK 650 million 
(approximately EUR 57 million) during 2021–2025. This 
investment guarantees the safe operation of the power plant 
which supplies renewable electricity and balancing power to 
the system.

In March 2022, Fortum and Microsoft announced the 
world’s largest collaboration of waste heat usage to heat 
homes, services and businesses with sustainable waste heat 
from the new data centres in the Helsinki metropolitan area in 
Finland. The concept utilises Fortum’s existing district heating 
infrastructure, the second largest in Finland, for heat capture 
and distribution. Fortum’s district heating infrastructure 
in this area includes about 900 km of underground pipes 
that transfer heat to approximately 250,000 users. Once 
operational, approximately 60% of the area’s heating will be 
generated by climate-friendly waste heat. Recycling waste 
heat from the planned Microsoft data centres will replace coal, 
gas and wood-based production and will be an essential part 
of delivering carbon-neutral district heating to customers in 
Espoo, Kirkkonummi and Kauniainen by the end of the decade. 
Electricity-based heat production will allow Fortum to close 
the last coal-fired unit in Suomenoja in Espoo in 2025.

Following on the announced cooperation agreement with 

Microsoft in March 2022 on the use of waste heat from 
new data centres, Fortum announced in June 2023 that the 
company had decided to invest approximately EUR 225 million 
during 2023–2027 in projects within the Espoo Clean Heat 
programme to drive decarbonisation and build sustainable 
waste heat solutions in the Helsinki metropolitan area. The 
total capital expenditure of the Espoo Clean Heat programme 

13

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023amounts to approximately EUR 300 million. During 2023, 
EUR 31 million of these investments materialised Fortum’s 
district heat in Finland will be coal-free already in 2025 
and carbon-neutral before 2030. The investment includes 
building heat pump plants on the Espoo and Kirkkonummi 
sites for waste heat recovery and approximately 15 km of 
new or upgraded district heating main pipeline. The total 
investment for the project is EUR 225 million. Construction of 
Fortum’s sustainable heat solutions on the Kirkkonummi site 
began in September 2023. Heat production with air-to-water 
heat pumps and electric boilers at the sites in Kirkkonummi 
and Espoo is expected to start in the heating season of 
2025–2026. The district heat production capacity is expected 
to be approximately 180 MW per site, producing a total 
of approximately 1.4 TWh annually by utilising Microsoft’s 
Kirkkonummi and Espoo data centres’ waste heat, air-to-water 
heat pumps and electric boilers.

To strengthen Fortum’s leading position as a clean 

energy provider to consumers and enterprise customers in 
the Nordics, Fortum acquired Telge Energi AB, one of the 
10 largest electricity solutions providers in Sweden, in June 
2023. The total consideration for the entire shareholding in 
Telge Energi on a cash and debt-free basis was approximately 
SEK 450 million (EUR 39 million).

Drive decarbonisation in industries 
Decarbonisation of industries requires large volumes of 
clean and reliable electricity that cannot only be covered by 
new intermittent sources. Additional nuclear capacity as a 
stable production form is also a key enabler for the growth 
of wind and solar in the Nordic power system. Fortum’s 
strategic ambition is to develop and build new clean power in 
partnerships with strategic customers and actively develop a 
project pipeline to enable future growth.

In order to support this ambition, Fortum is carrying out a 
thorough assessment of the economic viability of building new 
nuclear in Finland and/or Sweden. The two-year feasibility 
study, to be completed in 2024, focuses on the technical, 
economic and societal preconditions that must be in place 
for Fortum to consider such a new, large and long-term 
investment. The feasibility study also covers small modular 
reactors (SMRs) for potential commissioning in the 2030s and 

beyond. The study also explores potential partnerships and 
collaboration opportunities. Fortum has signed cooperation 
agreements with the American Westinghouse Electric 
Company, Korean KHNP, British Rolls-Royce SMR, French 
EDF, Swedish Kärnfull Next and Studsvik as well as Finnish 
Outokumpu and Helen. Any possible decisions about future 
investments in nuclear or SMRs will be made in due course.

Long-term partnerships play a vital role in ensuring 

predictability in long-term energy procurement and advancing 
electrification in the energy transition. In 2023, Fortum 
announced a 13-year fixed price Power Purchase Agreement 
(PPA) with Norwegian aluminium and renewable energy 
company Hydro Energi AS for the delivery of 0.44 TWh of 
electricity in Sweden per annum starting in 2024. These kinds 
of long-term power supply contracts also help to mitigate 
Fortum’s business risk by reducing exposure to price volatility 
for a longer time horizon.

Renewable energy to support decarbonisation 
In addition to CO₂-free hydro and nuclear power generation, 
renewables play an essential role in the energy transition and 
in Fortum’s strategy. Together with its partners, Fortum is 
currently operating 345 MW of wind power in Finland, Sweden 
and Norway. In line with its strategy, Fortum is preparing a 
ready-to-build pipeline of renewables projects with power 
purchase agreements (long-term PPAs) to serve demand 
growth in the Nordics.

In December 2021, Fortum announced an investment 

decision to construct the 380-MW Pjelax wind park in Finland 
in partnership with the Finnish energy company Helen.

Construction started in January 2022, the project is on 
time and budget and the wind farm is expected to be fully 
operational in the second quarter of 2024 at the latest. 
The testing of power generation at the wind farm started in 
October 2023. Fortum has a 60% majority and Helen a 40% 
minority ownership in the project and Fortum will consolidate 
the investment on its balance sheet. The total capital 
expenditure of the project is approximately EUR 360 million, of 
which Fortum’s share is approximately EUR 216 million.

Additionally, Fortum has two solar development projects; 
an 80 MW industrial-scale solar power project in Virolahti in 
Finland and is also investigating the possibility of a 90 MW 
solar park in Havdhem, in southern Gotland, Sweden. The 

permit processes for a solar park in Finland and Sweden take 
1–3 years, and after a possible investment decision, the 
construction is expected to take about a year.

Transform and develop
In order to ensure competitiveness in the years to come, 
the company’s third strategic priority is transformation and 
development. The Fortum Renew programme includes two 
tasks: building an efficient and fit-for-purpose operating 
model and developing the company culture and leadership to 
support strategy execution. As part of the new organisational 
structure, Fortum’s leadership team and senior leaders 
were appointed during the first half of 2023. In addition, 
Fortum’s new core governance processes – strategy and 
capital allocation, investment management, performance 
management, risk management and talent management – 
were renewed during 2023 to reflect and support efficient 
decision-making under the new operating model and structure 
of the company.

After the summer, Fortum’s operating environment and the 
general economic sentiment weakened further. In November 
2023, the company initiated an efficiency improvement 
programme to adjust the cost level to the new size and 
structure of the company to improve profitability and secure 
cash flows. Fortum targets to gradually reduce its annual fixed 
costs by EUR 100 million until the end of 2025. The reduction 
of EUR 100 million corresponds to some 10% of the Group’s 
fixed costs for the year 2022. The efficiency programme 
includes strategic prioritisation and assessment of allocated 
resources as well as turnaround actions for underperforming 
businesses. To reach the target, it is expected that actions will 
also include personnel reductions.

14

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Sustainability at Fortum 

Geopolitical tensions remained high in 2023. 
However, progress was made in the regulation 
to combat climate change and develop the 
energy market. 

Most of the EU Fit for 55 legislation (e.g. emissions 
trading and renewable energy directives) was 
finalised and proceeds to national implementation 
in the member states. The EU market design 
regulation was completed and is expected to 
facilitate clean energy investments needed for the 
energy transition whilst providing more predictable 
prices to electricity consumers. Further, at the 
end of 2023, the UN Climate Change Conference, 
COP28, resulted, for the first time, in international 
consensus to tackle the main driver of climate 
change: fossil fuels. The aim is to transition 
away from fossil fuels in energy systems and to 
accelerate zero and low-emission technologies such 
as renewables, nuclear and hydrogen.

At the beginning of 2023, Fortum launched its new strategy 
and announced new, ambitious environmental targets. 
Fortum is also committed to setting near- and long-term 
company-wide emission reduction targets in line with climate 
science with the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi).  
During the target-setting process, Fortum’s climate targets 
will be revisited and aligned to correspond to the SBTi Net-zero 
Standard. 

Fortum’s climate policy advocacy is strongly based 
on climate science, and the Paris Agreement is the core 
principle underpinning Fortum’s climate advocacy. At the 
end of the year, Fortum published a second update to its 

Climate Lobbying Review, originally published in 2021. 
Fortum aims to be a forerunner in transparent lobbying and 
stakeholder management. Fortum actively participated in 
the implementation of the Finnish Transparency Register 
Act, developed an IT tool for stakeholder management 
and implemented Fortum’s Business Ethics Guidelines for 
Lobbying, published in 2022. Fortum also participated in 
the OECD process that is preparing OECD Principles on 
Responsible Political Engagement.

During 2023 Fortum also started preparations for the 

Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), set by the 
EU, and its 2024 reporting will be fully in accordance with the 
CSRD requirements. 

In 2023, 98% of Fortum’s power generation was CO2-free. 
Fortum’s specific emissions from total energy production were 
32 gCO2/kWh. The carbon intensity is now among the lowest 
in Europe. Fortum’s coal-based capacity totalled 0.7 GW and 
generation 0.6 TWh. The share of fossil fuels of Fortum’s 
revenues was 11%, including fossil-based generation and 
gas trading.

Fortum has assessed its impact on biodiversity using the 
internationally recognised Global Biodiversity Score (GBS®) 
tool. Based on the assessment, Fortum’s main biodiversity 
impacts (excluding hydropower’s aquatic impacts) are related 
to GHG emissions, land use and fuel procurement. In March 
2023, Fortum committed to developing a science-based 
methodology to assess the company’s aquatic impacts. 
During the year Fortum participated in developing the aquatic 
segment of the GBS® tool and assessed other potential tools 
to measure hydropower’s aquatic biodiversity impacts. The 
work continues in 2024. 

The safety of own personnel and contractors remains 
Fortum’s core responsibility and Fortum continuously strives 
to improve its safety performance. In 2023, Fortum’s TRIF 
(Total Recordable Injury Frequency) for own personnel and 
contractors was 5.0. Fortum’s LTIF (Lost Time Injury Frequency) 
for own personnel and contractors was 3.9. In terms of safety 
performance, year 2023 was a clear disappointment as both 

KPIs developed negatively. The majority of accidents took place 
in Fortum Recycling and Waste where the SafetyCORE project is 
being implemented with concrete improvement actions related 
to, e.g., developing safety leadership and culture, process 
safety, learning organisation and risk management. The work 
will continue in 2024.

In safety training, Fortum reached its goal as the completion 

rate of Fortum Management Safety and Security Leadership 
Programme was 100%. The multi-year programme will proceed 
in 2024 when the goal is to train Fortum’s own trainers 
instead of using external trainers and arrange Fortum-adapted 
training modules.

In 2023, the wellbeing services highlighted mental 

wellbeing, resilience, stress management, power of community 
and working together. Managers were supported in leading 
employees’ wellbeing. According to the latest employee 
survey, conducted in November 2023, the health and 
wellbeing score was 7.7, which is in line with the relevant 
energy and utility benchmark score.

An inclusive culture where everyone feels safe, included and 

equally treated also promotes the wellbeing of personnel. In 
2023, Fortum continued to provide training and information 
on diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) for managers and all 
employees, and to measure employees’ perceptions of the 
DEI culture. DEI-related questions are included in Fortum’s 
internal Employee Voice survey, conducted bi-annually, 
to evaluate the company’s current maturity in DEI. The 
overall DEI score, from November 2023, is 7.8 (employee 
Net Promoter Score, eNPS) positioning Fortum close to the 
industry benchmark. In addition, during the 2023 renewal of 
the corporate organisation, special attention was paid to the 
composition and diversity of leadership teams, which resulted 
in a significant increase of females in top management.

As Fortum’s purpose, corporate strategy, geographical 

scope as well as business priorities have changed significantly 
in recent years, Fortum’s CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility) 
Programme, launched in 2020, is currently under revision. The 
work will proceed during 2024.

15

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023Key drivers and risks 

Fortum’s operations are exposed to a number of 
financial, operational, strategic and sustainability-
related risks. Fortum is exposed to these risks both 
directly and indirectly through its subsidiaries, 
associated companies and joint ventures. The 
principal associated companies and joint ventures 
are Teollisuuden Voima Oyj, Forsmarks Kraftgrupp 
AB, OKG AB and Kemijoki Oy. 

Fortum’s new strategy, launched in March 2023, has partly 
been developed in order to reduce the business risks of the 
Group. Fortum’s core business, consisting mainly of outright 
generation assets in the Nordics, implies that the Nordic 
power price exposure remains the single largest key driver 
and financial risk for Fortum. It is a key priority for Fortum to 
successfully mitigate this market risk, including managing the 
related credit and liquidity risks from hedging this exposure. 

The main strategic risks are that the business and/or 
regulatory environment develop in ways that have not been 
foreseen and prepared for. The current geopolitical uncertainty 
continues to pose material operational and business risks 
for Fortum as the owner and operator of power and heat 
generation in the Nordics and Poland. Future energy market, 
regulation and climate scenarios as well as scenarios for 
how the current geopolitical situation develops, including 
the impact of these to Fortum’s existing and potential 
new businesses, are regularly updated and used in the 
development of the strategy. 

Sustainability-related risks, including exposure to climate 

change, continue to be a focus area for Fortum and we 
are well-positioned to take advantage of opportunities in 
the green transition with our existing portfolio of largely 
CO2-free assets. 

Business operating environment

Regulatory environment

Fortum operates in a global business environment, with main 
operational focus in the Nordics, and is therefore exposed 
to political and other risks which affect the macroeconomic 
development and consumer behaviour in Fortum’s markets.

The global landscape has experienced a further escalation 

of conflict and increasing geopolitical uncertainty. Several 
regional and territorial disputes have worsened, increasing 
instability and insecurity in energy-producing regions, 
potentially disrupting energy supply chains and raising 
concerns about energy security. Russia’s attack on Ukraine 
in February 2022 severely impacted Fortum’s businesses. A 
number of geopolitical risks were realised, while other risks 
remain on an elevated level as a result of the ongoing war. 
Following the unlawful seizure by the Russian authorities 
and loss of control in spring 2023, the Russian assets were 
fully written down, deconsolidated and discontinued. Fortum 
has sent notices of dispute to the Russian Federation in 
order to protect its legal position and shareholder interests. 
These notices of dispute are the first step required in 
arbitration proceedings planned to be initiated in early 
2024. A further escalation of the war may increase the risk 
of hostile actions by the Russian Federation against foreign 
companies. This could have severe implications, such as an 
increased risk of sabotage including direct physical or cyber-
attacks on, for example, energy infrastructure in Fortum’s 
operating countries. 

The current geopolitical uncertainty has also intensified 
the trend of nationalistic policies and protectionism which 
may lead to further trade restrictions or sanctions which, 
in turn, could affect demand for Fortum’s products and 
services, production capabilities, asset values and access 
to financing. The EU, US and UK have implemented a broad 
range of sanctions towards Russia, the scope of which may 
be further increased. The unpredictable nature of sanctions 
remains a risk for Fortum despite having lost control of the 
Russian business.

The energy sector is heavily influenced by national and 
EU-level energy and climate policies and regulations. The 
overall complexity and possible regulatory changes in Fortum’s 
operating countries pose risks and create opportunities for the 
generation and consumer businesses. Fortum analyses and 
assesses a number of future market and regulation scenarios, 
including the impact of these on different generation forms 
and technologies as part of its strategy. Fortum maintains an 
active dialogue with different policymakers and legislators 
involved in the development of laws, policies and regulations 
in order to manage these risks and to proactively contribute 
to the development of the energy and climate policy and 
regulatory framework in line with Fortum’s strategic objectives.

Nordic power price exposure and 
related risks 

The earnings capability and profitability of Fortum’s outright 
power generation, such as hydro, nuclear, and wind power 
generation, are primarily exposed to fluctuations in the Nordic 
power prices. In the Nordics, power prices exhibit significant 
short- and long-term variations on the back of several 
factors, including, but not limited to, weather conditions, 
outage patterns in production and transmission lines, CO₂ 
emission allowance prices, commodity prices, energy mix, 
and the supply-demand balance. An economic downturn, 
lower commodity prices, warm weather or wet hydrology 
could lead to significantly lower Nordic power prices, which 
would negatively impact earnings from Fortum’s outright 
power production. The increased geopolitical uncertainty 
and fears of escalation of other conflicts may impact power 
and other commodity prices and volatility, especially in case 
of disturbances to other sources of power or gas supply. 
In general, price volatility is expected to continue also with 
the increasing share of intermittent generation and the 
occasionally re-emerging concerns over the security of energy 

16

CEO’s Business Review 2023FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023CEO’s Business  
Review 2023

supply. This also increases the risk of further political market 
interventions going forward. Fortum hedges its exposure to 
commodity market prices in order to improve the predictability 
of future results by reducing volatility in earnings while 
ensuring that there is sufficient cash flow and liquidity to cover 
financial commitments.

Fortum’s liquidity and refinancing risks are primarily related 

to the need to finance its business operations, including 
margining payments and collaterals issued to enable hedging 
of commodity market risk exposures. Higher and more volatile 
commodity prices increase the net margining payments toward 
clearing houses and clearing banks. Fortum mitigates this risk 
by entering into OTC derivatives contracts directly with bilateral 
counterparties without margining requirements. Consequently, 
credit exposure from hedges with OTC counterparties has 
increased. Due to Fortum’s net short position in Nordic power 
hedges, the credit exposure would increase in line with the 
value of hedges if Nordic power prices decrease. 

Fortum targets to maintain a solid investment grade-rating 
of at least BBB. A lowering of the credit ratings, in particular 
to below investment-grade level (BB+ or below), could trigger 
counterparties’ rights to demand additional cash or non-cash 
collateral. In March 2023, both S&P Global Ratings and Fitch 
rating agencies affirmed Fortum’s BBB rating and revised the 
outlook to stable. Fortum continues to constantly monitor 
all rating-related developments and to regularly exchange 
information with the rating agencies. During 2023, a new 
risk management framework has been developed to manage 
credit, liquidity and market risks holistically and support 
maintaining our rating under different market scenarios. 

Operational Risks

Fortum’s business activities include energy generation, 
storage and control of operations, as well as the construction, 
modernisation, maintenance and decommissioning of 
power plants or other energy-related industrial facilities. 
Any unwanted operational event (which could be caused 
by, e.g., technical failure, human or process error, natural 
disaster, sabotage, failure of key suppliers, or terrorist attack) 
can endanger personal safety or lead to environmental or 
physical damage, business interruptions, project delays and 

possible third-party liability. The associated costs can be high, 
especially in Fortum’s largest units and projects.

Climate change

Fortum believes that the growing awareness and concern 
about climate change will increase the demand for low-
carbon and resource- and energy-efficient energy products 
and services. The company is leveraging its know-how in 
CO2-free hydro, nuclear, wind, and solar power by offering its 
customers low-carbon energy solutions. The electrification 
of energy-intensive industry, services and transportation is 
likely to increase the consumption of low-carbon electricity in 
particular. The development of the hydrogen economy, and 
especially clean hydrogen produced with CO2-free power, will 
offer business opportunities for Fortum. 

Driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy is 
therefore an integral part of Fortum’s strategy. Fortum’s 
strategy includes ambitious sustainability and decarbonisation 
ambitions. However, the transition to a low-carbon economy 
poses a number of strategic and operative risks related 
to changes in energy and climate policy and regulation, 
technology development and the business environment in 
which Fortum operates.

Fortum’s operations are exposed to the physical risks 
caused by climate change, including changes in weather 
patterns that could alter energy production volumes and 
energy demand. Fluctuating precipitation, flooding, and 
extreme temperatures may affect e.g. hydropower generation, 
dam safety, availability of cooling water, and the price and 
availability of biofuels. Hydrological conditions, precipitation, 
temperatures, and wind conditions also affect the short-term 
electricity price in the Nordic power market. In addition 
to climate change mitigation, we also aim to adapt our 
operations and we take climate change into consideration in, 
among other things, the assessment of growth projects and 
investments as well as in operation and maintenance planning. 
Fortum identifies and assesses its assets’ resilience towards 
different acute and chronic physical climate-related risks 
within different Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 
(IPCC) climate scenarios and creates adaptation plans for the 
most material risks. 

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FORTUM CEO’S BUSINESS REVIEW 2023